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Home > Climate > NWS Gaylord > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
PELLSTON RGNL AP, MI
EMMET County, Coop ID: 206438
Elevation: 705 ft.
Latitude: 45° 33' N Longitude: 84° 47' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
58.7°F at 99% 59.3°F at 98% 59.6°F at 97% 59.9°F at 96% 60.1°F at 95% 60.9°F at 90% 61.8°F at 80% 62.5°F at 70% 63.1°F at 60% 63.6°F at 50% 64.1°F at 40% 64.7°F at 30% 65.4°F at 20% 66.3°F at 10% 67°F at 5% 67.3°F at 4% 67.5°F at 3% 67.9°F at 2% 68.5°F at 1% 58.7°F at 99% 59.3°F at 98% 59.7°F at 97% 59.9°F at 96% 60.1°F at 95% 60.9°F at 90% 61.8°F at 80% 62.5°F at 70% 63.1°F at 60% 63.6°F at 50% 64.1°F at 40% 64.7°F at 30% 65.4°F at 20% 66.3°F at 10% 67.1°F at 5% 67.3°F at 4% 67.5°F at 3% 67.9°F at 2% 68.5°F at 1% 58.7°F at 99% 59.3°F at 98% 59.6°F at 97% 59.9°F at 96% 60.1°F at 95% 60.9°F at 90% 61.8°F at 80% 62.5°F at 70% 63.1°F at 60% 63.6°F at 50% 64.1°F at 40% 64.7°F at 30% 65.4°F at 20% 66.3°F at 10% 67°F at 5% 67.3°F at 4% 67.5°F at 3% 67.9°F at 2% 68.5°F at 1% 58.7°F at 99% 59.3°F at 98% 59.7°F at 97% 59.9°F at 96% 60.1°F at 95% 60.9°F at 90% 61.8°F at 80% 62.5°F at 70% 63.1°F at 60% 63.6°F at 50% 64.1°F at 40% 64.7°F at 30% 65.4°F at 20% 66.3°F at 10% 67.1°F at 5% 67.3°F at 4% 67.5°F at 3% 67.9°F at 2% 68.5°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
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Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
58.2 and 69 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1981-2010 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Gaylord Weather Forecast Office
8800 Passenheim Rd,
Gaylord, MI 49735
Tel: (989) 732-6242
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Page last modified: 8-Jul-2011 7:26 PM
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