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Home > Climate > NWS Bismarck > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: August 2014)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
BISMARCK MUNICIPAL AP, ND
BURLEIGH County, Coop ID: 320819
Elevation: 1651 ft.
Latitude: 46° 46' N Longitude: 100° 45' W
NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
38.3°F at 99% 39°F at 98% 39.4°F at 97% 39.7°F at 96% 40°F at 95% 40.9°F at 90% 42.1°F at 80% 42.9°F at 70% 43.6°F at 60% 44.2°F at 50% 44.8°F at 40% 45.5°F at 30% 46.3°F at 20% 47.5°F at 10% 48.4°F at 5% 48.7°F at 4% 49°F at 3% 49.4°F at 2% 50.1°F at 1% 38.6°F at 99% 39.3°F at 98% 39.7°F at 97% 40°F at 96% 40.3°F at 95% 41.2°F at 90% 42.3°F at 80% 43.1°F at 70% 43.8°F at 60% 44.4°F at 50% 45°F at 40% 45.7°F at 30% 46.5°F at 20% 47.6°F at 10% 48.5°F at 5% 48.8°F at 4% 49.1°F at 3% 49.5°F at 2% 50.2°F at 1% 38.3°F at 99% 39°F at 98% 39.4°F at 97% 39.7°F at 96% 40°F at 95% 40.9°F at 90% 42.1°F at 80% 42.9°F at 70% 43.6°F at 60% 44.2°F at 50% 44.8°F at 40% 45.5°F at 30% 46.3°F at 20% 47.5°F at 10% 48.4°F at 5% 48.7°F at 4% 49°F at 3% 49.4°F at 2% 50.1°F at 1% 38.6°F at 99% 39.3°F at 98% 39.7°F at 97% 40°F at 96% 40.3°F at 95% 41.2°F at 90% 42.3°F at 80% 43.1°F at 70% 43.8°F at 60% 44.4°F at 50% 45°F at 40% 45.7°F at 30% 46.5°F at 20% 47.6°F at 10% 48.5°F at 5% 48.8°F at 4% 49.1°F at 3% 49.5°F at 2% 50.2°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
38 and 50.8 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1981-2010 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table
Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar
Temperature Range
Temperature Range

Bismarck Weather Forecast Office
2301 University Drive, Building 27
Bismarck, ND 58502-1016
Tel: (701) 250-4224
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Page last modified: 8-Jul-2011 7:25 PM
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