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Home > Climate > NWS Buffalo > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
ROCHESTER MONROE CO AP, NY
MONROE County, Coop ID: 307167
Elevation: 533 ft.
Latitude: 43° 7' N Longitude: 77° 40' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
66.1°F at 99% 66.6°F at 98% 66.9°F at 97% 67.1°F at 96% 67.3°F at 95% 67.9°F at 90% 68.7°F at 80% 69.2°F at 70% 69.7°F at 60% 70.1°F at 50% 70.6°F at 40% 71°F at 30% 71.6°F at 20% 72.3°F at 10% 73°F at 5% 73.2°F at 4% 73.4°F at 3% 73.7°F at 2% 74.1°F at 1% 66.5°F at 99% 67°F at 98% 67.3°F at 97% 67.5°F at 96% 67.7°F at 95% 68.3°F at 90% 69.1°F at 80% 69.6°F at 70% 70.1°F at 60% 70.5°F at 50% 70.9°F at 40% 71.4°F at 30% 71.9°F at 20% 72.7°F at 10% 73.3°F at 5% 73.5°F at 4% 73.7°F at 3% 74°F at 2% 74.5°F at 1% 66.1°F at 99% 66.6°F at 98% 66.9°F at 97% 67.1°F at 96% 67.3°F at 95% 67.9°F at 90% 68.7°F at 80% 69.2°F at 70% 69.7°F at 60% 70.1°F at 50% 70.6°F at 40% 71°F at 30% 71.6°F at 20% 72.3°F at 10% 73°F at 5% 73.2°F at 4% 73.4°F at 3% 73.7°F at 2% 74.1°F at 1% 66.5°F at 99% 67°F at 98% 67.3°F at 97% 67.5°F at 96% 67.7°F at 95% 68.3°F at 90% 69.1°F at 80% 69.6°F at 70% 70.1°F at 60% 70.5°F at 50% 70.9°F at 40% 71.4°F at 30% 71.9°F at 20% 72.7°F at 10% 73.3°F at 5% 73.5°F at 4% 73.7°F at 3% 74°F at 2% 74.5°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
66.1 and 74.9 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1981-2010 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
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Page last modified: 8-Jul-2011 7:26 PM
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