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Home > Climate > NWS Des Moines > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
DES MOINES AP, IA
POLK County, Coop ID: 132203
Elevation: 957 ft.
Latitude: 41° 32' N Longitude: 93° 39' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
68.9°F at 99% 69.4°F at 98% 69.8°F at 97% 70.1°F at 96% 70.3°F at 95% 71°F at 90% 71.9°F at 80% 72.6°F at 70% 73.2°F at 60% 73.7°F at 50% 74.2°F at 40% 74.8°F at 30% 75.4°F at 20% 76.3°F at 10% 77.1°F at 5% 77.3°F at 4% 77.6°F at 3% 77.9°F at 2% 78.5°F at 1% 68.7°F at 99% 69.3°F at 98% 69.7°F at 97% 69.9°F at 96% 70.1°F at 95% 70.9°F at 90% 71.8°F at 80% 72.5°F at 70% 73.1°F at 60% 73.6°F at 50% 74.1°F at 40% 74.7°F at 30% 75.4°F at 20% 76.3°F at 10% 77.1°F at 5% 77.3°F at 4% 77.5°F at 3% 77.9°F at 2% 78.5°F at 1% 68.9°F at 99% 69.4°F at 98% 69.8°F at 97% 70.1°F at 96% 70.3°F at 95% 71°F at 90% 71.9°F at 80% 72.6°F at 70% 73.2°F at 60% 73.7°F at 50% 74.2°F at 40% 74.8°F at 30% 75.4°F at 20% 76.3°F at 10% 77.1°F at 5% 77.3°F at 4% 77.6°F at 3% 77.9°F at 2% 78.5°F at 1% 68.7°F at 99% 69.3°F at 98% 69.7°F at 97% 69.9°F at 96% 70.1°F at 95% 70.9°F at 90% 71.8°F at 80% 72.5°F at 70% 73.1°F at 60% 73.6°F at 50% 74.1°F at 40% 74.7°F at 30% 75.4°F at 20% 76.3°F at 10% 77.1°F at 5% 77.3°F at 4% 77.5°F at 3% 77.9°F at 2% 78.5°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
68.2 and 79 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1981-2010 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Des Moines Weather Forecast Office
9607 NW Beaver Dr.
Des Moines, IA 50131
Tel: (515) 270-2614
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Page last modified: 8-Jul-2011 7:25 PM
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