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Home > Climate > NWS Phoenix > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
PHOENIX SKY HRBR INTL AP, AZ
MARICOPA County, Coop ID: 26481
Elevation: 1107 ft.
Latitude: 33° 25' N Longitude: 112° 0' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
88.8°F at 99% 89.2°F at 98% 89.5°F at 97% 89.7°F at 96% 89.9°F at 95% 90.4°F at 90% 91.1°F at 80% 91.6°F at 70% 92°F at 60% 92.4°F at 50% 92.8°F at 40% 93.3°F at 30% 93.8°F at 20% 94.5°F at 10% 95°F at 5% 95.2°F at 4% 95.4°F at 3% 95.7°F at 2% 96.1°F at 1% 89°F at 99% 89.4°F at 98% 89.7°F at 97% 89.9°F at 96% 90.1°F at 95% 90.6°F at 90% 91.4°F at 80% 91.9°F at 70% 92.3°F at 60% 92.7°F at 50% 93.1°F at 40% 93.5°F at 30% 94°F at 20% 94.8°F at 10% 95.3°F at 5% 95.5°F at 4% 95.7°F at 3% 96°F at 2% 96.4°F at 1% 88.8°F at 99% 89.2°F at 98% 89.5°F at 97% 89.7°F at 96% 89.9°F at 95% 90.4°F at 90% 91.1°F at 80% 91.6°F at 70% 92°F at 60% 92.4°F at 50% 92.8°F at 40% 93.3°F at 30% 93.8°F at 20% 94.5°F at 10% 95°F at 5% 95.2°F at 4% 95.4°F at 3% 95.7°F at 2% 96.1°F at 1% 89°F at 99% 89.4°F at 98% 89.7°F at 97% 89.9°F at 96% 90.1°F at 95% 90.6°F at 90% 91.4°F at 80% 91.9°F at 70% 92.3°F at 60% 92.7°F at 50% 93.1°F at 40% 93.5°F at 30% 94°F at 20% 94.8°F at 10% 95.3°F at 5% 95.5°F at 4% 95.7°F at 3% 96°F at 2% 96.4°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
88.6 and 96.8 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1981-2010 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Phoenix Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 52025
Phoenix, AZ 85072
Tel: (602) 275-0073
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Page last modified: 8-Jul-2011 7:25 PM
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