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Home > Climate > NWS Phoenix > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: April 2014)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
PHOENIX SKY HRBR INTL AP, AZ
MARICOPA County, Coop ID: 26481
Elevation: 1107 ft.
Latitude: 33° 25' N Longitude: 112° 0' W
NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
84.3°F at 99% 84.8°F at 98% 85.1°F at 97% 85.4°F at 96% 85.6°F at 95% 86.2°F at 90% 87°F at 80% 87.6°F at 70% 88.1°F at 60% 88.6°F at 50% 89°F at 40% 89.5°F at 30% 90.1°F at 20% 90.9°F at 10% 91.6°F at 5% 91.8°F at 4% 92°F at 3% 92.3°F at 2% 92.8°F at 1% 85.1°F at 99% 85.6°F at 98% 85.9°F at 97% 86.1°F at 96% 86.3°F at 95% 87°F at 90% 87.8°F at 80% 88.4°F at 70% 88.8°F at 60% 89.3°F at 50% 89.8°F at 40% 90.2°F at 30% 90.8°F at 20% 91.6°F at 10% 92.3°F at 5% 92.5°F at 4% 92.7°F at 3% 93°F at 2% 93.5°F at 1% 84.3°F at 99% 84.8°F at 98% 85.1°F at 97% 85.4°F at 96% 85.6°F at 95% 86.2°F at 90% 87°F at 80% 87.6°F at 70% 88.1°F at 60% 88.6°F at 50% 89°F at 40% 89.5°F at 30% 90.1°F at 20% 90.9°F at 10% 91.6°F at 5% 91.8°F at 4% 92°F at 3% 92.3°F at 2% 92.8°F at 1% 85.1°F at 99% 85.6°F at 98% 85.9°F at 97% 86.1°F at 96% 86.3°F at 95% 87°F at 90% 87.8°F at 80% 88.4°F at 70% 88.8°F at 60% 89.3°F at 50% 89.8°F at 40% 90.2°F at 30% 90.8°F at 20% 91.6°F at 10% 92.3°F at 5% 92.5°F at 4% 92.7°F at 3% 93°F at 2% 93.5°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
84.7 and 93.9 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1981-2010 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table
Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar
Temperature Range
Temperature Range

Phoenix Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 52025
Phoenix, AZ 85072
Tel: (602) 275-0073
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Page last modified: 8-Jul-2011 7:25 PM
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