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Home > Climate > NWS Bismarck > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
BISMARCK MUNICIPAL AP, ND
BURLEIGH County, Coop ID: 320819
Elevation: 1651 ft.
Latitude: 46° 46' N Longitude: 100° 45' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA
**R 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9
99% 62.9 61.7 53.3 38.5 22.5 9.4 3.4 9.5 22.8 36.3 49.3 58.7 62.9
98% 63.6 62.3 53.8 39.2 23.4 10.6 4.8 10.7 23.7 37.0 50.0 59.3 63.6
97% 64.0 62.7 54.1 39.6 24.0 11.3 5.7 11.6 24.3 37.5 50.4 59.7 64.0
96% 64.3 62.9 54.4 39.9 24.4 11.9 6.4 12.2 24.8 37.9 50.7 59.9 64.3
95% 64.6 63.1 54.6 40.2 24.8 12.3 7.0 12.7 25.1 38.2 50.9 60.2 64.6
90% 65.4 63.9 55.3 41.1 26.0 13.9 8.9 14.4 26.4 39.3 51.8 61.0 65.4
80% 66.5 64.8 56.1 42.2 27.4 15.8 11.2 16.4 28.0 40.6 52.8 61.9 66.5
70% 67.2 65.5 56.7 43.0 28.5 17.1 12.9 17.9 29.1 41.5 53.5 62.6 67.2
60% 67.9 66.1 57.2 43.7 29.4 18.3 14.4 19.2 30.0 42.3 54.1 63.2 67.9
50% 68.5 66.6 57.7 44.3 30.2 19.4 15.7 20.4 30.9 43.0 54.7 63.8 68.5
40% 69.1 67.1 58.2 44.9 31.0 20.5 17.0 21.6 31.8 43.7 55.3 64.4 69.1
30% 69.8 67.7 58.7 45.6 31.9 21.7 18.5 22.9 32.7 44.5 55.9 65.0 69.8
20% 70.5 68.4 59.3 46.4 33.0 23.0 20.2 24.4 33.8 45.4 56.6 65.7 70.5
10% 71.6 69.3 60.1 47.5 34.4 24.9 22.5 26.4 35.4 46.7 57.6 66.6 71.6
5% 72.4 70.1 60.8 48.4 35.6 26.5 24.4 28.1 36.7 47.8 58.5 67.4 72.4
4% 72.7 70.3 61.0 48.7 36.0 26.9 25.0 28.6 37.0 48.1 58.7 67.7 72.7
3% 73.0 70.5 61.3 49.0 36.4 27.5 25.7 29.2 37.5 48.5 59.0 67.9 73.0
2% 73.4 70.9 61.6 49.4 37.0 28.2 26.6 30.1 38.1 49.0 59.4 68.3 73.4
1% 74.1 71.5 62.1 50.1 37.9 29.4 28.0 31.3 39.0 49.7 60.1 68.9 74.1
*Mean 68.5 66.6 57.7 44.3 30.2 19.4 15.7 20.4 30.9 43.0 54.7 63.8 68.5
StDev 2.4 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.3 4.3 5.3 4.7 3.5 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.4

Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
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Probability of Exceedance 		Three Category Calendar
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Bismarck Weather Forecast Office
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Bismarck, ND 58502-1016
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