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Home > Climate > NWS Birmingham > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
BIRMINGHAM INTL AP, AL
JEFFERSON County, Coop ID: 10831
Elevation: 615 ft.
Latitude: 33° 33' N Longitude: 86° 44' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA
**R 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9
99% 77.0 75.9 70.1 60.8 50.4 43.1 41.4 44.4 52.1 59.9 67.4 73.9 77.1
98% 77.4 76.3 70.5 61.3 51.0 43.8 42.0 45.0 52.5 60.3 67.8 74.3 77.5
97% 77.7 76.6 70.8 61.6 51.4 44.2 42.4 45.4 52.8 60.6 68.1 74.6 77.8
96% 77.9 76.8 71.0 61.8 51.6 44.5 42.6 45.6 53.0 60.8 68.3 74.7 78.0
95% 78.0 77.0 71.2 62.0 51.8 44.7 42.8 45.9 53.2 61.0 68.5 74.9 78.1
90% 78.6 77.5 71.7 62.6 52.6 45.6 43.6 46.7 53.7 61.5 69.0 75.4 78.7
80% 79.2 78.3 72.5 63.4 53.5 46.6 44.5 47.6 54.5 62.3 69.8 76.0 79.3
70% 79.7 78.8 73.0 63.9 54.2 47.3 45.2 48.3 55.0 62.8 70.3 76.5 79.8
60% 80.1 79.2 73.4 64.4 54.8 47.9 45.8 48.9 55.4 63.2 70.7 76.8 80.2
50% 80.5 79.6 73.8 64.8 55.3 48.5 46.3 49.5 55.8 63.6 71.1 77.2 80.6
40% 80.9 80.0 74.2 65.2 55.8 49.1 46.8 50.1 56.2 64.0 71.5 77.6 81.0
30% 81.3 80.4 74.6 65.7 56.4 49.7 47.4 50.7 56.6 64.4 71.9 77.9 81.4
20% 81.8 80.9 75.1 66.2 57.1 50.4 48.1 51.4 57.1 64.9 72.4 78.4 81.9
10% 82.4 81.7 75.9 67.0 58.0 51.4 49.0 52.3 57.9 65.7 73.2 79.0 82.5
5% 83.0 82.2 76.4 67.6 58.8 52.3 49.8 53.1 58.4 66.2 73.7 79.5 83.1
4% 83.1 82.4 76.6 67.8 59.0 52.5 50.0 53.4 58.6 66.4 73.9 79.7 83.2
3% 83.3 82.6 76.8 68.0 59.2 52.8 50.2 53.6 58.8 66.6 74.1 79.8 83.4
2% 83.6 82.9 77.1 68.3 59.6 53.2 50.6 54.0 59.1 66.9 74.4 80.1 83.7
1% 84.0 83.3 77.5 68.8 60.2 53.9 51.2 54.6 59.5 67.3 74.8 80.5 84.1
*Mean 80.5 79.6 73.8 64.8 55.3 48.5 46.3 49.5 55.8 63.6 71.1 77.2 80.6
StDev 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.5

Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
Table Text Only

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Probability of Exceedance 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar
Birmingham Weather Forecast Office
465 Weathervane Road
Calera, AL 35040-5427
Tel: (205) 664-3010
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