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Home > Climate > NWS Flagstaff > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP, AZ
COCONINO County, Coop ID: 23010
Elevation: 7003 ft.
Latitude: 35° 8' N Longitude: 111° 39' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA
**R 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9
99% 60.3 59.6 53.5 43.6 34.1 28.2 25.4 28.8 33.5 39.8 47.2 55.5 60.3
98% 60.7 60.0 53.8 44.1 34.5 28.7 26.0 29.3 34.0 40.4 47.8 56.0 60.7
97% 61.0 60.3 54.1 44.4 34.8 29.0 26.4 29.6 34.3 40.8 48.2 56.3 61.0
96% 61.2 60.4 54.2 44.6 35.0 29.2 26.6 29.8 34.5 41.0 48.4 56.6 61.2
95% 61.3 60.6 54.4 44.8 35.2 29.4 26.8 30.0 34.7 41.2 48.7 56.8 61.3
90% 61.9 61.1 54.8 45.4 35.7 30.0 27.6 30.6 35.3 42.0 49.5 57.5 61.9
80% 62.5 61.7 55.4 46.2 36.5 30.8 28.5 31.4 36.1 42.9 50.4 58.3 62.5
70% 63.0 62.2 55.8 46.7 37.0 31.3 29.2 31.9 36.6 43.6 51.1 58.9 63.0
60% 63.4 62.5 56.2 47.2 37.4 31.8 29.8 32.4 37.1 44.2 51.7 59.4 63.4
50% 63.8 62.9 56.5 47.6 37.8 32.2 30.3 32.8 37.5 44.7 52.3 59.9 63.8
40% 64.2 63.3 56.8 48.0 38.2 32.6 30.8 33.2 37.9 45.2 52.9 60.4 64.2
30% 64.6 63.6 57.2 48.5 38.6 33.1 31.4 33.7 38.4 45.8 53.5 60.9 64.6
20% 65.1 64.1 57.6 49.0 39.1 33.6 32.1 34.2 38.9 46.5 54.2 61.5 65.1
10% 65.7 64.7 58.2 49.8 39.9 34.4 33.0 35.0 39.7 47.4 55.1 62.3 65.7
5% 66.3 65.2 58.6 50.4 40.4 35.0 33.8 35.6 40.3 48.2 55.9 63.0 66.3
4% 66.4 65.4 58.8 50.6 40.6 35.2 34.0 35.8 40.5 48.4 56.2 63.2 66.4
3% 66.6 65.5 58.9 50.8 40.8 35.4 34.2 36.0 40.7 48.6 56.4 63.5 66.6
2% 66.9 65.8 59.2 51.1 41.1 35.7 34.6 36.3 41.0 49.0 56.8 63.8 66.9
1% 67.3 66.2 59.5 51.6 41.5 36.2 35.2 36.8 41.5 49.6 57.4 64.3 67.3
*Mean 63.8 62.9 56.5 47.6 37.8 32.2 30.3 32.8 37.5 44.7 52.3 59.9 63.8
StDev 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.5

Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
Table Text Only

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Probability of Exceedance 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar
Flagstaff Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 16057
Bellemont, AZ 86015-6057
Tel: (928) 556-9161
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