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Home > Climate > NWS Flagstaff > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: September 2014)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP, AZ
COCONINO County, Coop ID: 23010
Elevation: 7003 ft.
Latitude: 35° 8' N Longitude: 111° 39' W
NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND
**R 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
99% 33.7 27.7 25.4 28.8 33.3 38.9 46.9 55.2 60.3 59.8 53.5 43.3 34.0
98% 34.1 28.2 26.0 29.3 33.8 39.5 47.5 55.7 60.7 60.2 53.8 43.8 34.4
97% 34.4 28.5 26.4 29.6 34.1 39.9 47.9 56.0 61.0 60.5 54.1 44.1 34.7
96% 34.6 28.7 26.6 29.8 34.3 40.1 48.1 56.3 61.2 60.6 54.2 44.3 34.9
95% 34.8 28.9 26.8 30.0 34.5 40.3 48.4 56.5 61.3 60.8 54.4 44.5 35.1
90% 35.3 29.5 27.6 30.6 35.1 41.1 49.2 57.2 61.9 61.3 54.8 45.1 35.6
80% 36.1 30.3 28.5 31.4 35.9 42.0 50.1 58.0 62.5 61.9 55.4 45.9 36.4
70% 36.6 30.8 29.2 31.9 36.4 42.7 50.8 58.6 63.0 62.4 55.8 46.4 36.9
60% 37.0 31.3 29.8 32.4 36.9 43.3 51.4 59.1 63.4 62.7 56.2 46.9 37.3
50% 37.4 31.7 30.3 32.8 37.3 43.8 52.0 59.6 63.8 63.1 56.5 47.3 37.7
40% 37.8 32.1 30.8 33.2 37.7 44.3 52.6 60.1 64.2 63.5 56.8 47.7 38.1
30% 38.2 32.6 31.4 33.7 38.2 44.9 53.2 60.6 64.6 63.8 57.2 48.2 38.5
20% 38.7 33.1 32.1 34.2 38.7 45.6 53.9 61.2 65.1 64.3 57.6 48.7 39.0
10% 39.5 33.9 33.0 35.0 39.5 46.5 54.8 62.0 65.7 64.9 58.2 49.5 39.8
5% 40.0 34.5 33.8 35.6 40.1 47.3 55.6 62.7 66.3 65.4 58.6 50.1 40.3
4% 40.2 34.7 34.0 35.8 40.3 47.5 55.9 62.9 66.4 65.6 58.8 50.3 40.5
3% 40.4 34.9 34.2 36.0 40.5 47.7 56.1 63.2 66.6 65.7 58.9 50.5 40.7
2% 40.7 35.2 34.6 36.3 40.8 48.1 56.5 63.5 66.9 66.0 59.2 50.8 41.0
1% 41.1 35.7 35.2 36.8 41.3 48.7 57.1 64.0 67.3 66.4 59.5 51.3 41.4
*Mean 37.4 31.7 30.3 32.8 37.3 43.8 52.0 59.6 63.8 63.1 56.5 47.3 37.7
StDev 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.6

Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
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Flagstaff Weather Forecast Office
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Bellemont, AZ 86015-6057
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