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Home > Climate > NWS Upton > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: August 2014)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
NEW YORK CITY CENTRAL PK, NY
NEW YORK County, Coop ID: 305801
Elevation: 130 ft.
Latitude: 40° 47' N Longitude: 73° 58' W
NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON
**R 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0
99% 54.5 42.7 33.2 28.8 31.0 39.2 48.6 59.0 66.9 71.0 70.0 63.8 54.5
98% 54.9 43.3 33.9 29.6 31.7 39.7 49.1 59.4 67.3 71.4 70.4 64.2 54.9
97% 55.2 43.7 34.3 30.0 32.1 40.0 49.4 59.7 67.6 71.7 70.7 64.5 55.2
96% 55.3 43.9 34.6 30.4 32.4 40.3 49.6 59.9 67.8 71.9 70.9 64.6 55.3
95% 55.5 44.1 34.9 30.7 32.7 40.5 49.8 60.0 67.9 72.1 71.1 64.8 55.5
90% 56.0 44.9 35.9 31.6 33.6 41.2 50.4 60.6 68.5 72.6 71.6 65.3 56.0
80% 56.6 45.8 37.0 32.8 34.7 42.0 51.2 61.2 69.1 73.4 72.4 65.9 56.6
70% 57.1 46.5 37.8 33.7 35.5 42.6 51.7 61.7 69.6 73.9 72.9 66.4 57.1
60% 57.4 47.1 38.5 34.4 36.2 43.1 52.2 62.1 70.0 74.3 73.3 66.7 57.4
50% 57.8 47.6 39.2 35.1 36.8 43.6 52.6 62.5 70.4 74.7 73.7 67.1 57.8
40% 58.2 48.1 39.9 35.8 37.4 44.1 53.0 62.9 70.8 75.1 74.1 67.5 58.2
30% 58.5 48.7 40.6 36.5 38.1 44.6 53.5 63.3 71.2 75.5 74.5 67.8 58.5
20% 59.0 49.4 41.4 37.4 38.9 45.2 54.0 63.8 71.7 76.0 75.0 68.3 59.0
10% 59.6 50.3 42.5 38.6 40.0 46.0 54.8 64.4 72.3 76.8 75.8 68.9 59.6
5% 60.1 51.1 43.5 39.5 40.9 46.7 55.4 65.0 72.9 77.3 76.3 69.4 60.1
4% 60.3 51.3 43.8 39.8 41.2 46.9 55.6 65.1 73.0 77.5 76.5 69.6 60.3
3% 60.4 51.5 44.1 40.2 41.5 47.2 55.8 65.3 73.2 77.7 76.7 69.7 60.4
2% 60.7 51.9 44.5 40.6 41.9 47.5 56.1 65.6 73.5 78.0 77.0 70.0 60.7
1% 61.1 52.5 45.2 41.4 42.6 48.0 56.6 66.0 73.9 78.4 77.4 70.4 61.1
*Mean 57.8 47.6 39.2 35.1 36.8 43.6 52.6 62.5 70.4 74.7 73.7 67.1 57.8
StDev 1.4 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4

Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
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Upton, NY 11973
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