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Home > Climate > NWS Phoenix > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2013)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
PHOENIX SKY HRBR INTL AP, AZ
MARICOPA County, Coop ID: 26481
Elevation: 1107 ft.
Latitude: 33° 25' N Longitude: 112° 0' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA
**R 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9
99% 89.0 87.9 82.0 71.6 60.9 54.2 53.0 56.2 61.2 68.5 76.7 84.8 89.1
98% 89.4 88.4 82.5 72.2 61.4 54.7 53.4 56.6 61.7 69.1 77.3 85.3 89.5
97% 89.7 88.7 82.8 72.6 61.7 55.0 53.7 56.9 62.0 69.5 77.7 85.6 89.8
96% 89.9 88.9 83.0 72.8 61.9 55.2 53.9 57.1 62.2 69.7 77.9 85.8 90.0
95% 90.1 89.1 83.2 73.1 62.1 55.4 54.0 57.3 62.4 70.0 78.2 86.0 90.2
90% 90.6 89.8 83.9 73.9 62.8 56.0 54.6 57.8 63.1 70.8 79.0 86.7 90.7
80% 91.4 90.6 84.7 74.8 63.6 56.8 55.2 58.6 63.9 71.7 79.9 87.5 91.5
70% 91.9 91.2 85.3 75.5 64.2 57.3 55.7 59.1 64.5 72.4 80.6 88.1 92.0
60% 92.3 91.6 85.7 76.1 64.6 57.8 56.1 59.5 64.9 73.0 81.2 88.5 92.4
50% 92.7 92.1 86.2 76.7 65.1 58.2 56.5 59.9 65.4 73.6 81.8 89.0 92.8
40% 93.1 92.6 86.7 77.3 65.6 58.6 56.9 60.3 65.9 74.2 82.4 89.5 93.2
30% 93.5 93.0 87.1 77.9 66.0 59.1 57.3 60.7 66.3 74.8 83.0 89.9 93.6
20% 94.0 93.6 87.7 78.6 66.6 59.6 57.8 61.2 66.9 75.5 83.7 90.5 94.1
10% 94.8 94.4 88.5 79.5 67.4 60.4 58.4 62.0 67.7 76.4 84.6 91.3 94.9
5% 95.3 95.1 89.2 80.3 68.1 61.0 59.0 62.5 68.4 77.2 85.4 92.0 95.4
4% 95.5 95.3 89.4 80.6 68.3 61.2 59.1 62.7 68.6 77.5 85.7 92.2 95.6
3% 95.7 95.5 89.6 80.8 68.5 61.4 59.3 62.9 68.8 77.7 85.9 92.4 95.8
2% 96.0 95.8 89.9 81.2 68.8 61.7 59.6 63.2 69.1 78.1 86.3 92.7 96.1
1% 96.4 96.3 90.4 81.8 69.3 62.2 60.0 63.6 69.6 78.7 86.9 93.2 96.5
*Mean 92.7 92.1 86.2 76.7 65.1 58.2 56.5 59.9 65.4 73.6 81.8 89.0 92.8
StDev 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.6

Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend		Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
Table Text Only

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Probability of Exceedance 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar
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