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Home > Climate > NWS Topeka > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: September 2014)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
TOPEKA BILLARD MNCPL AP, KS
SHAWNEE County, Coop ID: 148167
Elevation: 881 ft.
Latitude: 39° 4' N Longitude: 95° 38' W
NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Table
  OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND
**R 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0
99% 38.2 27.9 24.2 29.6 39.5 49.5 59.8 69.1 72.4 70.0 62.2 51.4 38.2
98% 38.9 28.7 25.1 30.3 40.2 50.2 60.4 69.5 72.9 70.6 62.8 52.0 38.9
97% 39.3 29.3 25.7 30.8 40.6 50.6 60.8 69.8 73.2 71.0 63.2 52.3 39.3
96% 39.6 29.6 26.1 31.2 40.9 50.9 61.0 70.0 73.5 71.2 63.4 52.6 39.6
95% 39.9 30.0 26.5 31.5 41.1 51.1 61.2 70.1 73.7 71.4 63.7 52.8 39.9
90% 40.8 31.1 27.7 32.6 42.0 52.0 62.0 70.7 74.4 72.2 64.5 53.5 40.8
80% 41.9 32.4 29.1 33.9 43.0 53.0 62.9 71.3 75.2 73.1 65.4 54.4 41.9
70% 42.7 33.3 30.2 34.8 43.7 53.7 63.6 71.8 75.8 73.8 66.1 55.1 42.7
60% 43.4 34.1 31.1 35.6 44.3 54.3 64.2 72.2 76.3 74.4 66.7 55.6 43.4
50% 44.0 34.9 31.9 36.3 44.9 54.9 64.7 72.6 76.8 74.9 67.3 56.1 44.0
40% 44.6 35.7 32.7 37.0 45.5 55.5 65.2 73.0 77.3 75.4 67.9 56.6 44.6
30% 45.3 36.5 33.6 37.8 46.1 56.1 65.8 73.4 77.8 76.0 68.5 57.1 45.3
20% 46.1 37.4 34.7 38.7 46.8 56.8 66.5 73.9 78.4 76.7 69.2 57.8 46.1
10% 47.2 38.7 36.1 40.0 47.8 57.8 67.4 74.5 79.2 77.6 70.1 58.7 47.2
5% 48.1 39.8 37.3 41.1 48.7 58.7 68.2 75.1 79.9 78.4 70.9 59.4 48.1
4% 48.4 40.2 37.7 41.4 48.9 58.9 68.4 75.2 80.1 78.6 71.2 59.6 48.4
3% 48.7 40.5 38.1 41.8 49.2 59.2 68.6 75.4 80.4 78.8 71.4 59.9 48.7
2% 49.1 41.1 38.7 42.3 49.6 59.6 69.0 75.7 80.7 79.2 71.8 60.2 49.1
1% 49.8 41.9 39.6 43.0 50.3 60.3 69.6 76.1 81.2 79.8 72.4 60.8 49.8
*Mean 44.0 34.9 31.9 36.3 44.9 54.9 64.7 72.6 76.8 74.9 67.3 56.1 44.0
StDev 2.5 3.0 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.5

Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 < -2.5
 -2.0 thru -2.5
 -1.5 thru -2.0
 -1.0 thru -1.5
Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 -0.5 thru -1.0
 -0.5 > deg F < 0.5
 0.5 thru 1.0
 1.0 thru 1.5
Color
Legend
Deviation from
Climatology
(deg F)
 1.5 thru 2.0
 2.0 thru 2.5
 > 2.5
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Topeka Weather Forecast Office
1116 NE Strait Ave.
Topeka, KS 66616-1698
Tel: (785) 234-2592
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