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Home > Climate > NWS Lincoln > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: July 2014)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
DECATUR, IL
MACON County, Coop ID: 112193
Elevation: 620 ft.
Latitude: 39° 49' N Longitude: 88° 57' W
NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
61.2°F at 99% 61.7°F at 98% 62°F at 97% 62.3°F at 96% 62.5°F at 95% 63.2°F at 90% 64.1°F at 80% 64.7°F at 70% 65.2°F at 60% 65.7°F at 50% 66.2°F at 40% 66.7°F at 30% 67.4°F at 20% 68.2°F at 10% 68.9°F at 5% 69.1°F at 4% 69.4°F at 3% 69.7°F at 2% 70.2°F at 1% 61.2°F at 99% 61.7°F at 98% 62°F at 97% 62.3°F at 96% 62.5°F at 95% 63.2°F at 90% 64°F at 80% 64.6°F at 70% 65.1°F at 60% 65.6°F at 50% 66.1°F at 40% 66.6°F at 30% 67.2°F at 20% 68°F at 10% 68.7°F at 5% 68.9°F at 4% 69.2°F at 3% 69.5°F at 2% 70°F at 1% 61.2°F at 99% 61.7°F at 98% 62°F at 97% 62.3°F at 96% 62.5°F at 95% 63.2°F at 90% 64.1°F at 80% 64.7°F at 70% 65.2°F at 60% 65.7°F at 50% 66.2°F at 40% 66.7°F at 30% 67.4°F at 20% 68.2°F at 10% 68.9°F at 5% 69.1°F at 4% 69.4°F at 3% 69.7°F at 2% 70.2°F at 1% 61.2°F at 99% 61.7°F at 98% 62°F at 97% 62.3°F at 96% 62.5°F at 95% 63.2°F at 90% 64°F at 80% 64.6°F at 70% 65.1°F at 60% 65.6°F at 50% 66.1°F at 40% 66.6°F at 30% 67.2°F at 20% 68°F at 10% 68.7°F at 5% 68.9°F at 4% 69.2°F at 3% 69.5°F at 2% 70°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
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Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
60.7 and 70.5 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1971-2000 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table
Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar
Temperature Range
Temperature Range

Lincoln Weather Forecast Office
1362 State Route 10
Lincoln, IL 62656
Tel: (217) 732-3089
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Page last modified: 21-Jun-2007 2:27 PM
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