Observing and Predicting the 2015-2016 El Niño
Date Posted: November 22, 2016
Alongside colleagues in Australia and Peru, NOAA scientists involved with observing and predicting the 2015-2016 El Niño co-authored an article about the event and prediction for the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), which was released on Nov. 21. They found that the El Niño event was one of the strongest since 1950, rivaling the events of 1982-83 and 1997-98. Predictions of the event were very good compared to recent past events, with global alerts posted throughout the first half of 2015. This event was associated with significant temperature and precipitation impacts globally, and there were also global impacts that weren’t clearly related to El Niño, such as a poleward shift in the jet stream across both hemispheres.