000
FXUS66 KMFR 081634
AFDMFR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
834 AM PST SUN NOV 8 2009

.DISCUSSION...MOIST WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER
THE CWA WITH ANY SHOWERS MOSTLY CONFINED TO COOS AND NORTHWEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACTION TODAY
WILL BE MAINLY NORTH OF THE REGION. WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING MOVES
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WHICH WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE NAM AND
GFS ARE IN AGREEMENT IN BRINGING THE NEXT FRONT TO THE COAST
MONDAY MORNING...THEN MOVING INLAND MONDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AT THE COAST AROUND DAYBREAK THEN WILL
SPREAD INLAND DURING THE DAY. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO SLOW DOWN AND
THEN STALL OVER THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY. A PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN IS STILL IN THE WORKS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


&&

.AVIATION...AREAS OF FOG WITH LOW CIGS AND VIS IN THE ROGUE
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND 18Z. FOG IS THEN EXPECTED TO
BURN OFF WITH CLEAR SKIES FOR THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG COULD
DEVELOP IN THE UMPQUA BASIN WITH REDUCED VIS BETWEEN NOW AND
18Z...OTHERWISE SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR TO SCATTERED WITH VFR
CIGS. AT THE COAST VFR CIGS ARE BEING REPORTED...BUT THERE IS
CONCERN THAT CIGS COULD LOWER TO MVFR ALONG WITH REDUCED VIS IN
SHOWERS. VFR EXPECTED DURING THE DAY IN THE KLAMATH BASIN.


&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORZ021-
     ORZ022.

CA...NONE.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 AM TO
     10 AM PST MONDAY FOR PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ376.
     GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR PZZ350-PZZ356-
     PZZ370-PZZ376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PZZ350-
     PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR PZZ350-
     PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
     PST MONDAY FOR PZZ370.

$$

PETRUCELLI