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     Probabilistic Hurricane Inundation Surge Height


  Storm Images Storm Data Product Description Survey Model Description
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This graphic shows storm surge heights, in feet above ground, which have a 10 percent chance of being exceeded during the next 3 days.  The graphic is based on an ensemble of Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model runs using the current National Hurricane Center (NHC) official hurricane advisory.  The exceedance heights depend on the historical accuracy of NHC's forecasts of hurricane track, and wind speed, and an estimate of storm size.


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    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    Meteorological Development Laboratory
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    Page Author: arthur.taylor@noaa.gov
    Page last Modified: September 14, 2011.
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