2013>
Veenhuis, Bruce A., 2013: Spread Calibration of Ensemble MOS Forecasts.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 2467-2482.
2012>
Glahn, Bob, 2012: Bias Correction of MOS Temperature and Dewpoint Forecasts.
MDL Office Note 12-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 35 pp.
Glahn, Bob, J.S. Im and G. Wagner, 2012: Objective Analysis of
MOS Forecasts and Observations in Sparse Data Regions.
Preprints, 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in
the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Huntemann, Tabitha L., P. E. Shafer, K. K. Gilbert, and M. R. Peroutka, 2012:
MOS precipitation forecasts formatted for the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD).
Preprints, 37th National Weather Association Annual Meeting, Madison, WI, Natl. Wea. Assoc., P2.64.
Veenhuis, Bruce A., and J.L. Wagner, 2012: Second moment calibration
and comparative verification of ensemble MOS forecasts.
Preprints, 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in
the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
2011>
Charba, J.P., and F.G. Samplatsky, 2011: Comparative verification of
experimental HRMOS QPFs with model and forecaster-prepared QPFs in the NWS.
Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/
20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction,
Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 10B.2.
Charba, J.P., and F.G. Samplatsky, 2011: Deriving Improved 6-H
Probabilistic QPFs (PQPFs) By Blending Two Model-Produced
PQPFs: Preliminary Results. MDL Office Note 11-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 13 pp.
Charba, J.P., F.G. Samplatsky, and P.E. Shafer, 2011: Experimental LAMP 2-h
convection guidance on a 20-km grid. Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction,
Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J19.3.
Charba, J.P., and F.G. Samplatsky, 2011: High resolution GFS-based MOS
quantitative precipitation forecasts on a 4-km grid. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 39-68.
Charba, J.P., and F.G. Samplatsky, 2011: Regionalization in fine grid GFS MOS
6-h quantitative precipitation forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 24-38.
Di Liberto, T., B.A. Colle, N. Georgas, A.F. Blumberg and A.A. Taylor, 2011:
Verification of a Multimodel Storm Surge Ensemble around New York
City and Lond Island for the Cool Season.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 26, 922-939.
Eckel, A., and D. Hilderbrand, 2011: Advancing the national
ensemble prediction system capability. Preprints, 24th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Ghirardelli, J. E., and B. Glahn, 2011: Gridded Localized Aviation MOS Program
(LAMP) guidance for aviation forecasts. Preprints, 15th Conference on
Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Los Angeles, CA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.4
Glahn, Bob, and J.S. Im, 2011: Algorithms for effective objective
analysis of surface weather variables. Preprints, 24th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Glahn, Bob and J-S. Im, 2011: Error Estimation of Objective Analysis of Surface
Observations. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-85, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.
Gorline, J. L. and McQueen, J. T., 2011: Performance of the National
Air Quality Forecast Capability, Urban vs. Rural and Other Comparisons,
10th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference,
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
, 2011: Performance of the National Air Quality Forecast Capability,
Urban vs. Rural and Other Comparisons, 3rd International
Workshop on Air Quality Forecasting Research, Bolger Conference
Center, Osgood Building, Potomac, MD.
Hilderbrand, D., 2011: Expressing forecast uncertainty:
NOAA/NWS progress report. Preprints, 24th Conferenc on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Hilderbrand, D., 2011: Research and innovation transition team:
facilitating transitions into operations. Preprints, 24th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Im, Jung-Sun, Bob Glahn and Judy E. Ghirardelli, 2011: Real-Time Hourly Objective
Analysis of Surface Observations. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-84,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.
Timofeyeva, M., A. Hollingshead, D. Hilderbrand, B.E. Mayes, T. Hartley,
N. McGavock, E. Lau, F.C. Fritsch, L. Brown, E.A. O'Lenic, B.C. Motta,
and R. Bunge, 2011: Improving communication using NWS local climate
analysis tool. Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Wu, C. S. and B. C. Brewster, 2011: Dangerous Rip Currents On Beaches.
Mariners Weather Log, Volume 55. Number 2, 2-4.
2010>
Ghirardelli, J.E. and B. Glahn, 2010: The Meteorological Development
Laboratory's Aviation Weather Prediction System. Weather and
Forecasting, Vol. 24, Number 4, 1027-1051.
Glahn, Bob, and J.S. Im, 2010: Estimating the error of the BCDG analysis
of surface data.Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics
in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Im, Jung-Sun, B Glahn, and J.E. Ghirardelli, 2010: Real-time objective analysis of
surface data at the Meteorological Development Laboratory. Preprints, 20th Conf.
on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Peroutka, Matthew R., G. Zylstra, T. Huntemann, and J. Wagner, 2010: Probability
distributions of apparent temperature from ensemble MOS. Preprints, 20th Conf.
on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Plant, N. G., H. F. Stockdon, A. H. Sallenger Jr., M. J. Turco, J. W. East, A. A.
Taylor, and W. A. Shaffer, 2010: Forecasting hurricane impact
on coastal topography. EOS, Volume 91, Number 7, 65-72.
Rudack, D.E. and J.E. Ghirardelli, 2010: A comparative verification of Localized
Aviation Model Output Statistics Program (LAMP) and Numerical Weather
Prediction (NWP) model forecasts of ceiling and visibility.
Weather and Forecasting, Vol. 24, Number 4, 1161-1178.
Seguin, W.R. and S.B. Smith, 2010: The Student Career Experience Program -
A Door to a Career with the National Weather Service.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91, 1-7.
Shafer, Phillip E., 2010: Logit transforms in forecasting precipitation type.
Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric
Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Mieteor. Soc.
Wagner, John and B. Glahn, 2010: Ensemble MOS forecasts from multiple
models. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics
in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
2009
Antolik, Mark S., and Michael N. Baker, 2009: On the ability to develop MOS
guidance with short dependent samples from an evolving numerical model.
Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th
Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Baker, Michael N., Kari L. Sheets, and Geoffrey A. Wagner, 2009: Using gridded MOS
techniques to derive snowfall climatologties. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather
Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Prediction,
Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Charba, J. P., and F. G. Samplatsky, 2009: Hi-res gridded MOS 6-h QPF guidance.
Preprints,23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th
Conference on Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
17B.2.
Charba, J. P., and F. G. Samplatsky, 2009: Operational 2-h thunderstorm guidance
forecasts to 24 hours on a 20-km grid. Preprints,23rd Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conference on Numerical
Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 15B.5.
Gilbert, Kathryn K., Bob Glahn, Rebecca L. Cosgrove, Kari L. Sheets, and Geoffrey A.
Wagner, 2009: Gridded model output statistics: Improving and expanding.
Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th
Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Glahn, B., K. Gilbert, R. Cosgrove, D.P. Ruth, and K. Sheets, 2009: The
Gridding of MOS. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 520-529.
Glahn, B., M. Peroutka, J. Wiedenfeld, J. Wagner, G. Zylstra, B. Schuknecht,
and B. Jackson, 2009: MOS Uncertainty Estimates in an Ensemble
Framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 246-268.
Glahn, B., A. Taylor, N. Kurkowski, and W. A. Shaffer, 2009: The Role of
the SLOSH Model in National Weather Service Storm Surge Forecasting.
National Weather Digest, Volume 33, Number 1, 3-14.
Gorline, J. L. and Lee, P., 2009: Performance of NOAA-EPA Air Quality Predictions,
2007-2009, 8th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis
System Conference, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
, 2009: Performance of NOAA-EPA Air Quality Predictions, 2007-2008,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment,
Dispersion and Air Quality in Cities, Phoenix, AZ, Amer.
Meteor. Soc.
Kuhlman, K.M., E. Gruntfest, K.A. Scharfenberg, and G.J. Stumpf, 2009:
Beyond Storm-Based Warnings: An Advanced WAS*IS Workshop to study
communication of probabilistic hazardous weather information.
Extended Abstracts, 4th Symp. on Policy and Socio-Economic
Research,Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.5.
Maloney, Joseph, Eric Engle, Phillip Shafer, and Geoffrey A. Wagner, 2009:
The NMM MOS replacement for the Eta MOS. Preprints, 23rd Conf.
Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Prediction,
Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Rudack, D.E., 2009: Aviation Weather Observations vs. LAMP Forecasts with the
Onset of Precipitation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 929-938.
Ruth, D.P., B. Glahn, V. Dagostaro, and K. Gilbert, 2009: The Performance of
MOS in the Digital Age. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 504-519.
Schattel, J. L., P. R. Hershberg, and R. Bunge, 2009: User Preferences for
Weather Data Dissemniation Standards on the Web. Preprints, 25th
Conference on International Interactive Information and Processing
Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix,
AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J1.2.
Weiss, Mitchell, and J.E. Ghirardelli 2009: Improvements to the Localized Aviation
MOS Program (LAMP) statistical guidance for ceiling height and sky cover.
Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th
Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Wright, C. W., E. J. Walsh, W. B. Krabill, W. A. Shaffer, S. R. Baig, M. Peng,
L.J. Pietrafesa, A. W. Garcia, F. D. Marks Jr., P. G. Black, J. Sonntag, and
B. D. Beckley, 2009: Measuring Storm Surge with an Airborne Wide-Swath
Radar Altimeter. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology,
Volume 26, 2200-2215.
Yan, Wei, and Shengrong Zhao, 2009: GFS-based MOD opaque sky cover and ceiling
height for the contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico.
Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th
Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
2008
Ba, M., B. Smith, S., O’Donnell, S., Sperow, K., Tan, X., Roberts, R.,
Megenhardt, D., Saxen, T., Albo, D., Fano, S., and Patrick, G., 2008:
Transitioning NCAR’s autonowcast system capability into NWS
operation. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace
Meteorology, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.1.
Glahn, B., 2008: Comments on "Weather and Calculated Risk". Air and
Space Power Journal, Volume XXII, No. 4.
Glahn, B., 2008: Reforecasts: An Important Dataset for Improving Weather
Predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
Comments, Volume 89, Issue 89, pp. 1373-1376.
Glahn, B., Gilbert, K., Cosgrove, R., Ruth, D., and Sheets, K., 2008:
Gridded MOS guidance in the national digital guidance database.,
Preprints, 19th Conference opn Probability and Statistics., New
Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11.3.
Glahn, B., Peroutka, M., Wiedenfeld, J., Wagner, J., Zylstra, G., Schuknecht,
B., and Jackson, B., 2008: MOS uncertainty estimates in an ensemble
framework. Preprints, 19th Conference on Probability and
Statistics, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.3.
Gorline, J. L. and Lee, P., 2008: Performance of NOAA-EPA Air Quality Predictions,
2007-2008, 7th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference,
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
, 2008: Performance Evaluation of NOAA-EPA Developmental Aerosol Forecasts,
Journal Environmental Fluid Mechanics, DOI:10.1007/s10652-008-9090-7,
Springer Netherlands.
Guillot, E.M., V. Lakshmanan, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, and D.W. Burgess,
K.L. Elmore, 2008: Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Warning Forecast
Skill and its Relationship to Storm Type. Extended Abstracts,
24th Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems,
New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4A.3.
Kuhlman, K.M., T.M. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, K.L. Ortega, and K.L. Manross, 2008:
Experimental probabilistic hazard information in practice: Results from
the 2008 EWP Spring Program. Extended Abstracts, 24th Conf. on Severe
Local Storms,, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8A.2.
Manross, K.L., T.M. Smith, J.T. Ferree, and G.J. Stumpf, 2008: An on-demand
user interface for requesting multi-radar, multi-sensor time accumulated
products to support severe weather verification. Extended Abstracts,
24th Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems, New Orleans,
LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.13.
Oberfield, M. G., M. R. Peroutka, and C. Abelman, 2008: Using probabilistic
forecast guidance and an update technique to generate terminal aerodrome
forecasts. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and
Aerospace Meteorology, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5.4.
Rudack, D., and Ghirardelli, J., 2008: Statistical guidance for terminal
aerodrome forecasts from the localized aviation MOS program., Preprints,
13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology. New
Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.1.
Schattel, J. L., and R. Bunge, 2008: WEB APPLICATIONS: The National Weather
Service Shares Digital Forecasts Using Web Services. Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 89, 449-450.
Shafer, P., and Gilbert, K., 2008: Developing GFS-Based MOS thunderstorm
guidance for Alaska., Preprints, Third Conference on Meteorological
Applications of Lightning Data, New Orleans, LA, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., P2.9.
Sheets, K. L., 2008: Employing geographic information systems for gridded
output statistics. Preprints, 24th Conference on IIPS, New Orleans,
LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5A.14.
Stumpf, G. J., T. M. Smith, D. L. Andra, D. W. Burgess, J. G. LaDue, L. R.
Lemon, M. A. Magsig, K. Manross, D. J. Miller, S. Nelson, K. L.
Ortega, K. Scharfenberg, D. W. Sharp, 2008: Experimental gridded
warning guidance for severe convective weather threats. 24th
Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems, New
Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.3.
Stumpf, G.J., T.M. Smith, K. Manross, and D.L. Andra, 2008: The Experimental
Warning Program 2008 Spring Experiment at the NOAA Hazardous Weather
Testbed. Extended Abstracts, 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms,
Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., DC-ROM, 8A.1.
Su, James C., 2008: Performance of MOS statistical weather forecast guidance
over the tropical western Pacific warm pool. Preprints, 28th Conference
on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 11D.6.
Taylor, A., and Glahn, B., 2008: Probabilistic guidance for hurricane storm
surge. Preprints, 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics, New
Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 7.4.
Uhlenhake, H. M., T. R. Boyer, and D. P. Ruth., D. P., 2008: Developing tools
for calibrating four-dimensional aviation weather forecasts. Preprints,
13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, New Orleans,
LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.10.
Wu, C-S, J. Taylor, M. Churma, and S. Smith, 2008: Rip Current Observations
and Monitoring Tool Calibration for Southern California. Abstract
Preprints, 2008 Joint Assembly, 27-30 May, Fort Lauderdale Convention
Center, Florida, American Geophysical Union, Sec., 24A.
2007
Gorline, J. L. and Lee, P., 2007: Verification of NOAA-EPA Developmental Aerosol
Forecasts, 6th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference,
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
Hondl, K.D., V. Lakshmanan, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2007: Warning Decision
Support System - Integrated Information (WDSS-II) Progress and Plans.
Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems,
San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6.3.
Lakshmanan, V., A. Fritz, T. Smith, K. Hondl, G. J. Stumpf, 2007: An Automated
technique to quality control radar reflectivity data. J. Appl. Meteor.,
46, 288-305.
Lakshmanan, V., T.M. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, K.D. Hondl, 2007: The Warning Decision
Support System-Integrated Information. Wea. Forecasting,
22, 596-612.
Olson, S. R., M. R. Peroutka, J. E. Calkins, D. C. Young, A. P. Noel, A. Thomas,
A.E. Danaher, and J. M. Huddelston, 2007: Tabular product evolution using
extensible markup language. Preprints, 23rd International Conference on
Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology,
Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Antonio, TX,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3A.4.
Phan, L. T., E. Simiu, M. A. McInerney, A. A. Taylor, B. Glahn, and M. D. Powell, 2007:
Methodology for development of design criteria for joint hurricane wind
speed and strom surge events: proof of concept. NIST Technical
Note 1482, U. S. Department of Commerce, 45 pp.
Schattel, J. L., A. A. Taylor, P. R. Hershberg, and R. Bunge., 2007:
Disseminating National Weather Service digital forecasts using open
geospatial standards. Preprints, 23rd International Conference on
Interaction and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography,
and Hydrology, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3B.9.
Sheets, K. L., 2007: Supporting gridded model output statistics forecast
guidance system. Conference Proceeding, 27th Annual ESRI International
User Conference, San Diego.
Su, James C., 2007: GFS-based MOS precipitation forecast guidance for islands
in the tropical western Pacific Ocean. Preprints, 22nd Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather
Prediction, Park City, UT, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A6.
2006
Glahn, B., and Dallavalle, J.P., 2006: Gridded MOS - Techniques, Status and
Plans. 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in
the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA.
Glahn, B., and Wiedenfeld, J.R., 2006: Insuring temporal and spatial consistency
in short range statistical weather forecasts. 18th Conference on
Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Atlanta, GA.
Gorline, J. L., Schenk, M., Shaffer, W., and Taylor, A., 2006: Verification of
the NOAA-EPA Air Quality Forecasts for Summer 2005, 5th Annual Community
Modeling and Analysis System Conference, University of North Carolina,
Chapel Hill.
Lakshmanan, V., T. Smith, K. Hondl, G.J. Stumpf, and A. Witt, 2006: A real-time,
three dimensional, rapidly updating, heterogeneous radar merger technique
for reflectivity, velocity and derived products. Wea. Forecasting,
21, 802-823.
Lakshmanan, V., T.M. Smith, K. Cooper, J.J. Levit, G.J. Stumpf, and D.R. Bright,
2006: High-resolution radar data and products over the continental United
States. Preprints, 22nd Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information
Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.7.
Magsig, M.A., and G.J. Stumpf, 2006: The first workshop on severe weather
technology for NWS warning decision making. Preprints, Symp. on
the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms. Atlanta, GA, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., P1.8.
Monteverdi, J.P., R. Edwards, G.J. Stumpf, and D. Gudgel, 2006: An
Analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado: Highest
elevation tornado documented in the US extended abstract.
Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St.
Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. P12.2.
Ortega, K.L., T.M. Smith and G.J. Stumpf, 2006: Verification of
multi-sensor, multi-radar hail diagnosis techniques.
Preprints, Symp. on the Challenges of Severe
Convective Storms. Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., P1.1.
Rudack, D. E., 2006: GFS-based MOS Wind Gust Guidance for the United States,
Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. MDL Technical Procedures
Bulletin No. 06-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 9 pp.
Schenk, M., 2006: Performance of three forecast systems at selected MOS and
non-MOS stations. MDL Office Note 06-01, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
Stumpf, G. J., M. T. Filiaggi, M. A. Magsig, K. D. Hondl, S. B. Smith, R.
Toomey, C. Kerr, 2006: Status on the integration of the NSSL
Four-dimensional Stormcell Investigator (FSI) into AWIPS. Preprints,
23rd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8.3.
2005
Carroll, K. L., 2005: GFS-based MOS temperature and dewpoint guidance for the
United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-05, NOAA, U.S.
Dept of Commerce, 8 pp.
Charba, J. P., and Liang, F., 2005: Automated two hour thunderstorm guidance
forecasts. Preprints, Conference on Meteorological Applications of
Lightning Data, San Diego, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM 3.4.
, 2005: Quality control of gridded national radar reflectivity data.
Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A5.
Cosgrove, R. L., and Dallavalle, J. P., 2005: GFS-based MOS Guidance - The
extended-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast
cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-07, NOAA,
U.S. Dept of Commerce, 12 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and Cosgrove, R. L., 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - the
short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast
cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-03, NOAA,
U.S. Dept of Commerce, 13 pp.
, 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - the short-range alphanumeric messages
from the 0600/1800 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures
Bulletin No. 05-04, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 13 pp.
, 2005: ETA-based MOS guidance - the 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages.
MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-06, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce,
11 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and Glahn, B., 2005: Toward a Gridded MOS System. Preprints,
21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D. C., Amer.
Meteor. Soc.
Dallavalle, J. P., and Su, J. C., 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - the extended-
range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL
Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept of
Commerce, 11 pp.
Ghirardelli, J. E., 2005: An overview of the redeveloped Localized Aviation
MOS Program (LAMP) for short-range forecasting. Preprints, 21st
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13B5.
Glahn, B., 2005: Comments on Implementation and Refinement of
Digital Forecasting Databases. Bulletin of the American
Meteorological Society, Volume 86, Issue 9, 1315-1318.
Glahn, B., 2005: Comments on "Understanding User Decision Making
and the Value of Improved Precipitation Forecasts:
Lessons from a Case Study". Bulletin of the American Meteorological
Society, Volume 86, Issue 10, 1484-1487.
Glahn, B., 2005: Tornado-Warning Performance in the Past and Future-
Another Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological
Society, Volume 86, Issue 8, 1135-1141.
Lakshmanan, V., G.J. Stumpf, and A. Witt, 2005: A Neural Network for Detecting
and Diagnosing Tornadic Circulations using the Mesocyclone Detection
and Near Storm Environment Algorithms. Preprints, 4th Conf. on
Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science,
San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J5.2.
Lakshmanan, V., and G.J. Stumpf, 2005: A Real-Time Learning Technique to
Predict Cloud-to-Ground Lightning. Preprints, 4th Conf. on
Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science,
San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J5.6.
Lakshmanan, V., I. Adrianto, T.M. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, 2005: A spatiotemporal
approach to tornado prediction. Preprints, Intl. Joint Conf. on
Neural Networks 2005, Montreal, Canada, INNS, 1072.
Manross, K.L., J.G. LaDue, and G.J. Stumpf, 2005: The Volume Coverage
Pattern Explorer: A New Tool for Visualizing Radar Beam Paths.
Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information
Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and
Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5.5.
Ortega, K.L., T.M. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, J. Hocker, and L. Lopez, 2005:
A comparison of multi-sensor hail diagnosis techniques.
Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information
Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and
Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.11.
Peroutka, M. R., G. Zylstra, and J. L. Wagner, 2005: Assessing forecast
uncertainty in the National Digital Forecast Database. Preprints, 21st
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C.,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2B.3.
Rudack, D. E., 2005: Improvements in the Localized Aviation MOS Program
(LAMP) categorical visibility and obstruction to vision statistical
guidance. Preprints, 21st Confrerence on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.52.
Scharfenberg, K.A., T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2005: The testing
of NSSL multi-sensor applications and data from prototype
platforms in NWS forecast operations. Preprints, 21st
Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, Washington,
DC, USA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A.2.
Sheets, K. L., Trimarco, R. A., and Hughes, K. K., 2005: Using Geographic
Information Systems to Develop Gridded Model Output Statistics. Preprints,
21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D. C.,
Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Stumpf, G.J., S.B. Smith and K.E. Kelleher, 2005: Collaborative activities
of the NWS MDL and NSSL to improve and develop new severe weather
warning guidance applications. Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on
Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor.,
Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., P2.13.
Stumpf, G. J., K. D. Hondl, S. B. Smith, M. T. Filiaggi, and V. Lakshmanan,
2005: Status on the four-dimensional base radar data analysis tool
for AWIPS. Preprints, 32nd Conf. on Radar Meteor., Albuquerque,
NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8R.5.
, S. B, Smith, and K. E. Kelleher, 2005: Collaborative activities of the
NWS MDL and NSSL to improve and develop new severe weather warning
guidance applications. Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on
Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography,
and Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.13.
Su, J. C., 2005: GFS-based MOS wind forecast guidance for islands in the
tropical western Pacific Ocean. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D. C., Amer. Meteor. Soc.
, 2005: GFS-based MOS wind forecast guidance for the western Pacific
Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-02, NOAA, U.S. Dept of
Commerce, 11 pp.
Trimarco, R. A., Sheets, K. L., and Hughes, K. K., 2005: Building a gridded
climatological dataset for use in the statistical interpretation of
numerical weather prediction models. Preprints, 15th Conference on
Applied Climatology, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Weiss, M., and Ghirardelli, J. E., 2005: A summary of ceiling height and total
sky cover short-term statistical forecasts in the Localized Aviation MOS
Program (LAMP). Preprints, 21st Confrerence on Weather Analysis
and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13B.6.
Wiedenfeld, J. R., 2005: Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP): statistical
guidance of wind speed, direction, and gusts for aviation weather.
Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.48.
2004
Antolik, M. S., 2004: Using new remotely-sensed datasets in MOS development:
A step toward true high-resolution statistical quantitative precipitation
forecasts. Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics
in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 1.10.
Carroll, K. L., and Maloney, J. C., 2004: Improvements in extended range
temperature and precipitation guidance. Preprints, Symposium on
the 50th Anniversary of Operational Numerical Weather Prediction,
College Park, MD, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Cosgrove, R. L., Sfanos, B., 2004: Producing MOS snowfall amounts from
cooperative observer reports. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather,
Analysis, and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Dagostaro, V. J., W. A. Shaffer, M. J. Schenk, J. L. Gorline, and A. A. Taylor,
2004: A prototype verification system for examining NDFD forecasts.
Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric
Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.7.
Dallavalle, J. P., M. C. Erickson, and J. C. Maloney, III, 2004: Model Output
Statistics (MOS) guidance for short-range projections. Preprints, 20th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 6.1.
, and V. J. Dagostaro, 2004: Objective interpretation of numerical
weather prediction model output - A perspective based on verification of
temperature and precipitation guidance. Symposium on the 50th Anniversary of
Operational Numerical Weather Prediction, College Park, MD, CD-ROM.
Ghirardelli, J. E., D. E. Rudack, and J. M. Flatley, 2004: Using 20-km Rapid
Update Cycle (RUC) model output in redeveloping the Local AWIPS MOS Program
(LAMP). Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.4.
Glahn, B., 2004: Discussion of Verification Concepts in Forecast Verification:
A practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science.
Weather and Forecasting, Volume 19, 769-775.
Glahn, B., and J. E. Ghirardelli, 2004: The new and improved Localized
Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) Analysis and Prediction system. Preprints,
17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric
Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J12.3.
Hughes, K. K., 2004: Probabilistic forecast guidance for aviation. Preprints,
11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace, Hyannis, MA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Hughes, K. K., and R. A. Trimarco, 2004: Impacts of resolution on gridded
probability thunderstorm forecast guidance. Preprints, 20th Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, J6.5.
Lakshmanan, V., K.D. Hondl, D. MacGorman, and G.J. Stumpf, 2004: The use of
Lightning Mapping Array data in WDSS-II. Preprints, 22nd Conference
on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P14.3.
Peroutka, M. R., M. Graf, M. G. Oberfield, G. Trojan, and B. Li, 2004: The
Aviation Forecast Preparation System of The National Weather Service.
Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology,
Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P3.2.
Ruth, D. P., 2004: Translating advances in numerical weather prediction into
official NWS forecasts. Symposium on the 50th Anniversary of Operational
Numerical Weather Prediction, College Park, MD, 9.9.
Stumpf, G. J., M. T. Filiaggi, V. Lakshmanan, W. F. Roberts, M. J. Istok,
and S. B. Smith, 2004: A four-dimensional radar analysis tool for AWIPS.
Preprints, 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8B.6.
Stumpf, G. J., T. M. Smith, and J. Hocker, 2004: New Hail Diagnostic Parameters
Derived by Integrating Multiple Radars and Multiple Sensors. Preprints,
22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P7.8.
Stumpf, G.J., T.M. Smith, V. Lakshmanan, K.L. Manross, and K.D. Hondl, 2004:
Status of Multiple-Sensor Severe Weather Application Development at
NSSL. Preprints, 20th Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information
and Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 12.3a - CD preprints.
Wu, C.S., A.A. Taylor, J. Chen, and W. A. Shaffer, 2004: Wave Induced Surges
During Hurricane Opal. Preprints, 8th International Workshop on
Wave Forecasting.
2003
Boyer, T. R., and D. P. Ruth, 2003: National Digital Forecast Database design
and development. Preprints, 19th International Conference on Interactive
Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and
Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 12.3.
Charba, J. P., D. W. Reynolds, B. E. McDonald, and G. M. Carter, 2003: Comparative
verification of recent quantitative precipitation forecasts in the
National Weather Service: A simple approach for scoring forecast
accuracy. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 161-183.
Glahn, B., 2003: Comments on "IFPS and the Future of the National Weather Service.
Weather and Forecasting, Volume 19, Number 4, 1299-1304.
Glahn, H. R., and D. P. Ruth, 2003: The new digital forecast database of the
National Weather Service. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 195-201.
McAloon, C. M., 2003: GFS-based MOS wind, temperature, and dewpoint temperature
guidance for marine locations in the United States. MDL Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. xxx, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of
Commerce, 10 pp. (Draft).
McAloon, C. M., 2003: Model Output Statistics guidance for air temperature
and dewpoint temperature based on the Eta model. Program National
Weather Association 28th Annual Meeting, Jacksonville, National
Weather Association, p. ??.
Ruth, D. P., and H. R. Glahn, 2003: Creating a national digital forecast
database of official National Weather Service forecasts, Preprints,
19th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 12.1.
Schaake, J., Z. Toth, D. Reynolds, M. Antolik, J. Maloney, J. Du, B. Zhou,
M. Halpert, R. Martin, P. Dallavalle, E. Danaher, and K. Lynott,
2003: Toward a science infusion strategy for NWS probabilistic
quantitative precipitation forecasting (PQPF). Preprints, 17th
Conference on Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Wu, C-S, A. A. Taylor, J. Chen, and W. A. Shaffer. 2003: Tropical Cyclone
Forcing of Ocean Surface Waves. Preprints. Fifth Conference on Coastal
Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes. American
Meteorological Society, 6-8 Aug 2003,
Seattle, Washington. Sec. 3.5.
2002
Boyer, T. R., and D. P. Ruth, 2002: Tools for model interpretation in the
Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on
the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 46-51.
Calkins, J. E., E. J. Mandel, and R. K. Meiggs, 2002: Providing user support for
the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive
Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS),
Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84-87.
Dagostaro, V. J., and J. P. Dallavalle, 2002: AFOS-era verification of guidance
and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 25 (October 1995 - March 1996).
MDL Office Note 02-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 51 pp.
, and J. L. Offutt, 2002: AFOS-era verification of guidance
and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 24 (April 1995 - September 1995).
MDL Office Note 02-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 48 pp.
Erickson, M. C., J. P. Dallavalle, and K. L. Carroll, 2002: The new AVN/MRF MOS
development and model changes: A volatile mix?. Preprints, Sixteenth
Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82-87.
Feng, Y., and D. H. Kitzmiller, 2002: A comparison between neural network and
linear regression approaches to a short-range quantitative precipitation
forecasting problem. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on
Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J220-J226.
Filiaggi, M. T., S. B. Smith, M. Churma, L. Xin, and M. Glaudemans, 2002: Flash
Flood Monitoring and Prediction Version 2.0: Continued AWIPS Modernization
.
Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive
Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J179-J182.
Glahn, H. R., 2002: A methodology for evaluating and estimating performance
metrics. MDL Office Note 02-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 18 pp.
, 2002: NWS Receives Rare Book. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
September 2002, p. 1360
, and J. P. Dallavalle, 2002: The new NWS MOS development and implementation
systems. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics
in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, FL, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 78-81.
, and B. Lawrence, 2002: GRIB2: The WMO standard for the transmission of
gridded data - Current status and NWS plans. Preprints, Interactive
Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System
(AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J267-J269.
Gorline, J. L., Determining the effect of IFPS implementation on verification
metrics. MDL Office Note 02-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 5 pp.
Hughes, K. K., 2002: Automated gridded forecast guidance for thunderstorms and
severe local storms based on the Eta model. Preprints, Nineteenth
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, TX, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., J19-J22.
Kitzmiller, David H., Frederick G. Samplatsky and David L. Keller, 2002: Production of
a National Radar Reflectivity Mosaic and Automated Radar Observations from
WSR-88D Radar Coded Messages. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-83,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 28 pp.
, and C. Mello, 2002: Probabilistic forecasts of severe local storms in the
0-3 hour timeframe from an advective-statistical technique. Preprints,
Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., J89-J92.
Maloney, J. C., 2002: Eta-based MOS probability of precipitation (PoP) and
quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) guidance for the continental
United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 487, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 22 pp.
,2002: Eta-based probability of precipitation amount guidance for the continental
United States. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis
and Forecasting, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 415-418.
Meiggs, R. K., and B. D. Papa, 2002: Performing service backup with the Interactive
Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the
Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80-83.
Oberfield, M. G., and K. V. Pegion, 2002: Generating digital forecast matrices
from gridded forecasts in the interactive forecast preparation system.
Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive
Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 54-57.
Papa, B. D., M. A. McInerney, M. R. Peroutka, and J. L. Schattel, Jr., 2002:
Generating marine watches, warnings, and advisories using Interactive
Forecast Preparation. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced
Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS),
Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 62-65.
Peroutka, M. R., M. G. Oberfield, J. T. Davis, and R. Yu, 2002: Identifying
local effects in gridded forecasts for the Interactive Forecast Preparation
System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive
Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 58-61.
Ruth, D. P., 2002: Interactive Forecast Preparation - The future has come.
Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive P
rocessing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 20-22.
2001
Allen, R. L., 2001: Observational data and MOS: The challenges in creating high-quality
guidance. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 322-325.
, 2001: MRF-based MOS precipitation type guidance for the United States. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 485, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, and M. C. Erickson, 2001: AVN-based MOS precipitation type guidance for the United States.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 476, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Erickson, 2001: Eta-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC
alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 486, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
, 2001: AVN-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 482, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 2001: AVN-based MOS guidance - The 0600/1800 UTC alphanumeric messages.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 481, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Hughes, K. K., 2001: Development of MOS thunderstorm and severe thunderstorm forecast equations
with multiple data sources. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 191-195.
Kitzmiller, D. H., S. D. Vibert, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2001: Short-range forecasts of rainfall
amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor
observations. Preprints, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction,
Impacts, and Responses, Albuquerque, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-270.
Sfanos, B., 2001: AVN-based MOS wind guidance for the United States and Puerto Rico. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 474, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 9 pp.
Smith, S. B., D. Pace, S. Goodman, D. Burgess, D. Smarsh, R. Roberts, and M. Wolfson, 2001: The
THOR Project: Reducing the impact of thunderstorms on aviation and the general public
through a multi-agency effort. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis
and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 314-315.
Weiss, M., 2001: AVN-based MOS ceiling height and total sky cover guidance for the contiguous
United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin
No. 483, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 22 pp.
Wu, C. S., 2001: Tropical cyclone waves in the ocean. Preprints, International Conference on
Port and Maritime Research and Development Technology, Singapore, International
Maritime Organization.
,and A. A. Taylor, 2001: Wave forecasting in the coastal marine zone. Preprints, Fourth
International Symposium on Ocean Waves (WAVES 2001), San Francisco, CA, American
Society of Civil Engineers (ONR).
2000
Antolik, M.S., 2000: An overview of the National Weather Service's centralized statistical
quantitative precipitation forecasts. Journal of Hydrology, 306-337.
Antolik, M. S., 2000: NGM-based statistical quantitative precipitation forecast guidance
for the contiguous United States and Alaska. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 461,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Erickson, 2000: AVN-based MOS guidance - The alphanumeric messages.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 463, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce.
Erickson, M. C., and J. P. Dallavalle, 2000: MRF-based MOS guidance - The alphanumeric messages.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 460, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce.
Ghirardelli, J. E., 2000: Current status and future plans for the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP).
Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, MD, National
Weather Association, p. 49.
Glahn, H. R., 2000: "Millennium Perspectives". Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Vol. 80, No. 11, p. 2684.
Glahn, H. R., and J. P. Dallavalle, 2000: MOS-2000. TDL Office Note 00-1, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.
, 2000: Computer programs for MOS-2000. TDL Office Note 00-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Guan, S., D. H. Kitzmiller, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2000: National Weather Service program for
the development of radar mosaic products. Program National Weather Association 25th
Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, MD, National Weather Association, p. 41-42.
Hirschberg, P.A., S. B. Smith, and M. M. Mercer, 2000: National Weather Service SAFESEAS -
Update on a new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS.
Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems
for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 128-131.
Johnson, J. T., M. D. Eilts, D. Ruth, W. Goodman, and L. Rothfusz, 2000: Warning Operations
in Support of the 1996 Centinnial Olympic Games. Bull. Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 81, 543-554.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 2000: Forecasts of rainfall amount and lightning occurrence from an
extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations.
Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, MD, National
Weather Association, p. 45.
Kitzmiller, D. H., S. D. Vibert, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2001: Short-range forecasts of rainfall
amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor
observations. Preprints, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and
Responses, Albuquerque, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-270.
Laybe, P., K. S. Sperow, and R. K. Meiggs, 2000: Generating watches, warnings, and advisory
broadcast scripts for the NOAA Weather Radio using Interactive Forecast Preparation.
Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 90-93.
Peroutka, M. R., and J. E. Calkins, 2000: Generating marine forecasts using Interactive
Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive
Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98-101.
Ruth, D. P., 2000: Models, forecasters, and Interactive Forecast Preparation in the new
millennium. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach
CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82-85.
Schattel, J. L., Jr., and R. K. Meiggs, 2000: Managing product improvement in the Interactive
Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive
Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94-97.
Smith, S. B., 2000: Categorical thunderstorm and tornado warnings in the National Weather Service.
Preprints, 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 307-309.
, 2000: The THOR project: Improved thunderstorm forecasts for aviation and the general public.
Preprints, 9th Conf. on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Orlando, FL, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., J15-J17.
, J. G. LaDue, and D.R. MacGorman, 2000: The relationship between cloud-to-ground lightning polarity
and surface equivalent potential temperature during three tornadic outbreaks.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 3320-3328.
, J. Roe, M. T. Filiaggi, M. Glaudemans, M. Churma, L. Xin, and R. Erb, 2000: Flash flood
monitoring and prediction in AWIPS build 5 and beyond. Preprints, 15th Conference on
Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 229-232.
Sperow, K. S., R. K. Meiggs, W. J. Goodman, and W. D. Jiang, 2000: Generating watches, warnings, and
advisories using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 16th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology,
Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86-89.
Weiss, M., and J. P. Dallavalle, 2000: A comparison of AVN- and NGM-based statistical forecasts of ceiling
height and total cloud amount. Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting,
Gaithersburg, National Weather Association, p. 49.
1999
Allen, R. L., 1999: AVN-based MOS precipitation type forecasts. Program National Weather
Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 36.
Battel, G. F., J. P. Tuell, G. Trojan, S. V. Romano, and B. N. Baxter, 1999: Generating automated
weather summaries in the AWIPS era. Preprints, 15th International Conference on
Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and
Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 345-348.
Carroll, K. L., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: Statistical forecasts of temperature in the medium
range. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi,
National Weather Association, p. 32.
Chen, J., W. A. Shaffer, 1999: Evaluation of Surge Forecasts
from the NWS's Extratropical Storm Surge Model. Preprints, 3rd Conference on
Coastal and Oceanic Predictions and Process, New Orleans, LA,
Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: MOS-2000: A new era in interpretive weather guidance?
Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather
Association, p. 25.
Erickson, M. C., 1999: Updated MRF-based MOS guidance: Another step in the evolution of objective
medium-range forecasts. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 190-195.
Houston, S. H., W. A. Shaffer, M. D. Powell, and J. Chen, 1999: Comparisons of HRD and SLOSH Surface
Wind Fields in Hurricanes: Implications for Storm Surge Modeling. Wea. Forecasting,
Hughes, K. K., 1999: AVN-based statistical forecasts of thunder storms and severe thunderstorms
for the contiguous U.S. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 201-205.
Kim, S.C. and J. Chen, 1999: Bottom Stress of Wind-Driven Currents Over an Inner Shelf
Determined from a Depth-Integrated Storm Surge Model. J. Coastal Res., 766-773.
Kitzmiller, D. H., M. A. R. Lilly, and S. D. Vibert, 1999: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts
from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing radar, satellite, and lightning
observations. Preprints, 29th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Montreal, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 876-879.
Lenning, E., and M.S. Antolik, 1999: New AVN-based MOS precipitation forecasts: Taking the primary
statistical precipitation guidance to the threshold of the medium range. Preprints, 17th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 196-200.
Morris, K. R., and C. K. Kluepfel, 1999: WFO forecast verification in AWIPS--initial capabilities
and future plans. Preprints, 15th International Conference on Interactive Information
and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 360-363.
Shirey, M. A., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: Statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts
based on the medium range forecast model. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 206-211.
Smith, S. B., S. K. Goel, M. T. Filiaggi, M. Churma, and L. Xin, 1999: Overview and status of
the AWIPS System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints, 15th
International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for
Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 326-329.
Smith, S. B., P. A. Hirschberg, and J. L. Partain, 1999: NWS SAFESEAS - A new marine/coastal
monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Program National Weather Association
Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 23.
Smith, S. B., P. A. Hirschberg, and M. M. Mercer, 1999: National Weather Service SAFESEAS -
A new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Preprints, 3rd
Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, New Orleans,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 176-179.
Tuell, J. P., B. N. Baxter, and G. F. Battel, 1999: Generating automated climatological summaries in
the AWIPS era. Preprints, 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 349-355.
Weiss, M., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1999: AVN-based statistical forecasts of total cloud amount and
ceiling height. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting,
Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 41.
1998
Antolik, M. S., 1998: Eta-based MOS quantitative precipitation forecasts in an era of
rapidly changing numerical models: How well can we do? Preprints, 16th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 446-449.
, 1998: Packing of individual radar products. TDL Office Note 98-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
Battel, G., J. P. Tuell, G. Trojan, S. Romano, and B. Baxter, 1998:
Generating automated weather summaries in the AWIPS era.
Abstracts National Weather Association 23rd Annual Meeting Program,
Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
Blier, W., S. Keefe, W. A. Shaffer, and S. C. Kim, 1998: Observational and
Numerical Moeling Investigations of Three Bearing Sea Storms
and Their Associated Storm Surges in the Region of Nome, Alaska
Conference on Coastal and Oceanic and Atmospherice Prediction,
Atlanta, Georgia, American Meteorological Society.
Calkins, J. E., M. R. Peroutka, R. K. Meiggs, and J. Lang, 1998: Creating
NOAA Weather Radio broadcast scripts using Interactive Forecast Preparation.
Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. 355-358.
Charba, J. P., 1998: Evaluation of LAMP quantitative precipitation forecasts.
Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 440-442.
, 1998: The LAMP QPF products. Part I: Model development. Wea. Forecasting,
934-965.
, Y. Liu, M. H. Hollar, B. Exley, and A. Belayachi, 1998: Gridded climatic
monthly frequencies of precipitation amount for 1-, 3-, and 6-h periods over
the conterminous United States. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 25-57.
Churma, M. E., and S. B. Smith, 1998: Evaluation of the AWIPS thunderstorm product.
Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 472-474.
Glahn, H. R., 1998: Packing of radar mosaics. TDL Office Note 98-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
Kelly, D.S., and J. E. Ghirardelli, 1998: A general overview of methodology
and applications of the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP), a short-range forecast
guidance product. Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 437-439.
Kim, S.C., J. Chen, K. Park, and J.K. Choi, 1998: Coastal surges from
extratropical storms on the west coast of the Korean Peninsula.
Journal of Coastal Research, 14(2), 660-666.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1998: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from a
satellite extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints, 16th Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-455.
Mannarano, D., and R. Beasley, 1998: Quality control of ASOS observations.
Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 487-491.
Meiggs, R. K., M. R. Peroutka, and D. P. Ruth, 1998: Implementing Interactive
Forecast Preparation nationwide. Preprints, 14th International Conference on
Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology,
Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 359-363.
Peroutka, M. R., R. K. Meiggs, and M. B. Romberg, 1998: The generation of
products in Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 14th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for
Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 350-354.
Ruth, D. P., 1998: Model interpretation using slider bars in Interactive Forecast
Preparation. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information
and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 464-468.
, M. A. Mathewson, T. J. LeFebvre, and P. K. Wu, 1998: Interpretation and
editing techniques for Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 14th
International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems
(IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 345-349.
Saffle, R., J. Cappelletti, W. Carrigg, T. Ganger, M. Jain, D. Miller, and
S. B. Smith, 1998: Accelerating the integration of new meteorological
algorithms into the WSR-88D. The Common Operations and Development Environment.
Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 254-258.
Silverman, A. M., R. W. Przybylinski, and D. H. Kitzmiller, 1998: Derived WSR-88D
products and environmental indices as severe weather predictors - a statistical
evaluation. Preprints, 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 744-747.
Smith, S. B., G. W. Reuter, and M. K. Yau, 1998: The episodic occurrence of hail
in Central Alberta and Highveld of South Africa.
Atmosphere-Ocean, 36-2, 169-178.
, J. T. Johnson, R. D. Roberts, S. M. Zubrick, and S. J. Weiss, 1998:
The System for Convection Analysis and Now-casting Field Test 1997-98.
Preprints, 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms,
Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 790-793.
, T. M. Graziano, R. A. Lane, W. O. Alexander, M. D. Eilts,
J. T. Johnson, J. W. Wilson, R. D. Roberts, D. W. Burgess, D. H. Kitzmiller,
R. E. Saffle, R. C. Elvander, S. M. Zubrick, J. T. Schaefer, S. J. Weiss, and
D. A. Imy, 1998: The System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN).
Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., J22-24.
Tuell, J. P., B. Baxter, D. Zipper, and G. Battel, 1998: Generating automated
climatological summaries in the AWIPS era. Abstracts National Weather Association
23rd Annual Meeting Program, Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
1997
Blier, W., S. Keefe, W. A. Shaffer, and S. C. Kim, 1997: Storm Surges in
the Region of Western Alaska. Mon. Wea. Rev., Vol. 125, No. 12, 3094-3108.
Burroughs, L. B., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1997: Great Lakes storm surge guidance.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 434, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.
, 1997: Great Lakes wind and wave guidance.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 433, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.
, W. A. Shaffer, 1997: East coast extratropical storm surge and beach erosion.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 436, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Calkins, J. E., and M. R. Peroutka, 1997: Local effect phrases in the
Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for
Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
120-123.
Dagostaro, V. J., J. P. Dallavalle, AFOS-ERA Verification of Guidance and Local
Aviation/Public Weather Forecasts--No. 23 (October 1994 - March 1995).
TDL Office Note 97-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 53pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1997: Changes in the National Weather Service's
Statistical forecasting system. Proceedings EPRI 11th
Forecasting Symposium, Arlington, Electrical Power Research Institute, 10 pp.
Fiebrich, C. A., V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, 1997: An Algorithm to
Eliminate Precipitation Reports Caused by Surface Condensation in
AEV-ASOS Data. TDL Office Note 97-2, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
Foose, J. M., 1997: NGM-based MOS wind guidance for Alaska. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 439, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce.
Ghirardelli, J. E., and D. A. Unger, 1997: Cloud layer forecasting within the
Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints, Seventh Conference on Aviation,
Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
426-431.
Glahn, H. R. 1997: Satellite, Gridpoint, and Vector Data Packing. TDL Office
Note 97-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Kitzmiller, D. H., and J. Sun, 1997: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from
a radar extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints, 28th Conference on
Radar Meteorology, Austin, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 216-217.
Kuligowski, R. J., An Overview of National Weather Service Quantitative Precipitation
Estimates. TDL Office Note 97-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 27 pp.
Meiggs, R. K., M. R. Peroutka, and S. L. Snyder, 1997: Updating forecasts via
the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for
Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
116-119.
Meyer, F. G., V. J. Dagostaro, and D. T. Miller, 1997: NGM-based MOS visibility
and obstruction to vision guidance for the contiguous U.S. NWS
Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 431, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Oberfield, M. G., and D. P. Ruth, 1997: Preparing aviation terminal forecasts
via the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, Seventh Conference
on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., J18-J21.
Peroutka, M. R., M. G. Oberfield, and J. M. Sierchio, 1997: Fire weather
products in the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th
International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64-67.
Reap, R. M., 1997: Probability forecasts of aircraft icing for the contiguous
U.S. Preprints, Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace
Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100-105.
, 1997: Aircraft icing forecasts for the contiguous U.S.
NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 437, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Ruth, D. P., and L. Du, 1997: Tailoring model forecasts with slider bars in
the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for
Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
124-127.
Smith, S. B., 1997: Comments on "An interesting mesoscale storm-
environment interaction observed just prior to changes in severe
storm behavior." Wea. Forecasting, 12, 368-372.
1996
Antolik, M. S., 1996: Toward an objective NGM-based expected-value quantitative
precipitation forecast system. Preprints, 13th Conference on
Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, San Francisco,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 57-64.
, 1996: What are our needs for synoptic-scale interpretive statistical
QPF guidance in a modernized National Weather Service? How should TDL
help meet them? Abstracts Fifth National Heavy Precipitation Workshop,
State College, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 4.
, 1996: Synoptic-scale statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts:
Present and future. Abstracts National Weather Association 21st Annual
Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
Beasley, R. A., 1996: Retrieving individual observations from surface
aviation observation collectives. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory
Computer Program NWS TDL CP 96-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, 1996: ASOS quality control. Abstracts National Weather Association
21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page
number).
Blier, W., S. Keefe, W. A. Shaffer, and S.-C. Kim, 1996: Observational and
numerical modeling investigations of three Bering Sea storms and their
associated storm surges in the region of Nome, Alaska. Preprints
Conference on Coastal Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction, Atlanta, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 272-280.
Charba, J. P., 1996: The LAMP QPF product: What are some potential hydrologic
forecast applications. Abstracts Fifth National Heavy Precipitation
Workshop, State College, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 15.
Dagostaro, V. J., J. P. Dallavalle, and V. C. Southall, 1996: AFOS-era
verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 22
(April 1994 - September 1994). TDL Office Note 96-2, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1996: A perspective on the use of Model Output Statistics
in objective weather forecasting. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 479-482.
Erickson, M. C., 1996: Medium-range prediction of PoP and max/min in the era
of ensemble model output. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis
and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J35-J38.
Glahn, H. R., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1996: Publications of members of the
Techniques Development Laboratory. TDL Office Note 96-4, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.
Houston, S. H., W. A. Shaffer, M. D. Powell, and J. Chen, 1996: Incorporating
HRD surface wind fields into the SLOSH model. Preprints, Conference on
Coastal Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
265-267.
Hughes, K. K., 1996: Complementing ASOS cloud reports with the GOES satellite
cloud product. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-39.
Kellenbenz, D. J., 1996: The New York derecho event of 15 July 1995.
Abstracts National Weather Association 21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa
Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
Kelly, D. S., 1996: Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP) graphical display:
Guidance for short term and first period forecasts. Abstracts National
Weather Association 21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea.
Assoc., (no page number).
Kim, S.-C., J. Chen, and W. A. Shaffer, 1996: An operational Forecast Model
for Extratropical Storm Surges along the U.S. East Coast. Preprints,
Conference on Coastal Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction, Atlanta, Georgia,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 281-286.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1996: What is the skill of short-range extrapolation
forecasts of rainfall? Abstracts Fifth National Heavy Precipitation
Workshop, State College, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 40.
, 1996: One-hour forecasts of radar-estimated rainfall by an
extrapolative-statistical method. TDL Office Note 96-1, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.
Kuligowski, R. J., 1996: An overview of NWS QPF products. TDL Office Note
96-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.
Li, Y., and S. B. Smith, 1996: An automated technique for determining
satellite cloud-top temperatures for thunderstorms. Preprints, 15th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 150-152.
Oberfield, M. G., 1996: Creation of aviation forecasts from a digital
database. Preprints, 12th International Conference on Interactive
Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography,
and Hydrology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 247-251.
Reap, R. M., 1996: Probability forecasts of clear-air turbulence for the
contiguous U.S. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 430, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce,
15 pp.
Rothfusz, L. P., J. Noffsinger, M. R. Peroutka, S. Schotz, and J. T. Johnson,
1996: Weather information display, analysis and product generation tools
used in support of the 1996 Summer Olympic Games: Daily forecasts.
Preprints, 12th International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 7-12.
, 1996: Probability forecasts of clear-air turbulence for the contiguous
U.S. Preprints, 13th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the
Atmospheric Sciences, San Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66-71.
Settelmaier, J. B., 1996: Evaluating medium-range weather forecasts: An
analysis of errors. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 461-464.
Smith, S. B., 1996: How soon can a thunderstorm be identified? A comparison
of satellite-observed cloud-top cooling and the onset of cloud-to-ground
lightning. Preprints, 18th Conference on Severe Local Storms, San
Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 479-482.
, and M. E. Churma, 1996: An overview of the AWIPS thunderstorm product.
Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 297-300.
1995
Antolik, M. S., 1995: NGM-based quantitative precipitation forecast guidance:
Performance tests and practical applications. Preprints, 14th Conference
on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 182-187.
Breidenbach, J. P., D. H. Kitzmiller, W. E. McGovern, and R. E. Saffle, 1995:
The use of volumetric radar reflectivity predictors in the development of
a second-generation severe weather potential algorithm. Wea. Forecasting,
10, 369-379.
Dagostaro, V. J., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1995: AFOS-era verification of guidance
and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 20 (April 1993 -
September 1993). TDL Office Note 95-1, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.
, M. D. Miller, and V. C. Southall, 1995: AFOS-era verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 21 (October 1993 -
March 1994). TDL Office Note 95-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1995: MOS forecasts of cold air damming along the lee of
the Appalachians. Abstracts Training Symposium for Operational Fore-
casters in the Carolinas and Virginia Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Svc.,
(no page number).
, and V. J. Dagostaro, 1995: The accuracy of ceiling and visibility
forecasts produced by the National Weather Service. Preprints, Sixth
Conference on Aviation Weather Systems, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 213-218.
, S. A. Gilbert, and F. G. Meyer, 1995: NGM-based MOS guidance for
Alaska - The FOAK13/FOAK14 messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin
No. 425, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 13 pp.
Erickson, M. C., 1995: Evaluating NWS precipitation type forecasts.
Preprints, Sixth Conference on Aviation Weather Systems, Dallas, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 219-224.
, 1995: NGM-based MOS precipitation type forecasts for the United
States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 421, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1995: Medium-range prediction of PoP and max/min: New possibilities
based on ensemble model output. Abstracts National Weather Association
Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page
number).
Ghirardelli, J. E., 1995. Cloud layer forecasting within the Local AWIPS MOS
Program: Guidance for the aviation terminal forecast. Abstracts
National Weather Association Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston,
Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
Glahn, H. R., 1995: GRIB product sizes for AWIPS. TDL Office Note 95-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.
Houston, S. H., W. A. Shaffer, M. D. Powell, and J. Chen, 1995: Comparisons
of SLOSH parametric and HRD analyzed surface wind fields in recent hurricanes.
Preprints, 21st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology,
Miami, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 619-621.
Jensenius, J. S., K. K. Hughes, and J. B. Settelmaier, 1995: The National
Weather Service's AVN- and MRF-based statistical weather forecast
systems. Preprints, 14th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 163-170.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1995: Quantitative high-resolution rainfall forecasts by
an extrapolative-statistical method. Abstracts National Weather Association
Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
, and Jay P. Breidenbach, 1995: Detection of Severe Local
Storm Phenomena by Automated Interpretation of Radar and Storm Environment.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-82, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 42 pp.
, and , 1995: Probabilistic nowcasts of severe local storms based
on radar and storm environment data. Preprints, 27th Conference on
Weather Radar, Vail, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 68-70.
, W. E. McGovern, and R. E. Saffle, 1995: The WSR-88D severe weather
potential algorithm. Wea. Forecasting, 10, 141-159.
Leffler, R. J., and W. E. McGovern, 1995: Use of National Weather Service
cooperative station climatic data for the preparation of objective
county-level temperature adjustments. Preprints, 14th Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 112-117.
Meiggs, R. K., 1995: An overview of the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast.
Abstracts Training Symposium for Operational Forecasters in the Carolinas
and Virginia Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Svc., (no page number).
Miller, D. T., 1995: NGM-based MOS ceiling height guidance for the contiguous
U.S. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 414, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Settelmaier, J. B., 1995: A developer's approach to forecasting the precipitation
type associated with a major cyclone. Preprints, 14th Conference
on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 274-279.
, 1995: Medium-range weather forecasting: A backward look and a forward
look. Abstracts National Weather Association Twentieth Annual Meeting
Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
Smith, S. B., J. G. LaDue, and D. R. MacGorman, 1995: Integrated data sets in
the study and forecasting of thunderstorms. Preprints, 14th Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 347-351.
Wantz, J. F., 1995: An alternative program to PILEDIT for generating an AFOS
TRANS file. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS
TDL CP 95-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
10 pp.
1994
Battel, G. F., G. A. Kokolis, and J. E. Calkins, 1994: NOAA weather radio
hourly weather roundup formatter. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory
Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 41 pp.
Beasley, R. A., 1994: Miscellaneous disk utility application programs for the
AFOS background partition. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory
Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
, 1994: A utility for examining the contents of DATAKEY0. NOAA Techniques
Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-4, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
Bower, J. B., 1994: Using new technology at TDL to improve objective weather
guidance. Abstracts National Weather Association Nineteenth Annual
Meeting Program, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea Assoc., p. 23.
, 1994: NGM-based MOS snowfall amount forecasts for the United States.
Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 420, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
Charba, J. P., 1994: The LAMP QPF product: An overview and initial results.
Abstracts Fourth National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, Scottsdale, Nat.
Wea. Svc., 10-11.
Glahn, H. R., 1994: An improved algorithm for determining the groups in GRIB
second-order packing. TDL Office Note 94-1, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25 pp.
Hughes, K. K., and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1994: Improvements in statistical
forecasts of medium-range maximum and minimum temperature. Abstracts
National Weather Association Nineteenth Annual Meeting Program, Salt Lake
City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 24.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., J. P. Dallavalle, and S. A. Gilbert, 1994:
The AVN-based statistical guidance message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin
No. 415, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 13 pp.
Kluepfel, C. K., A. J. Schreiner, and D. A. Unger, 1994: The satellite-derived
cloud cover product (sounder). NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin
No. 410, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 15 pp.
LaDue, J. G., S. B. Smith, and D. R. MacGorman, 1994: The integration of
satellite, radar, and lightning data for the study of tornadic storms.
Preprints, 7th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography,
Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 341-344.
McDonald, M., and R. E. Saffle, 1994: Revised RADAP II archive data user's
guide. TDL Office Note 94-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 48 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1994: Analysis and prediction of lightning strike distributions
associated with synoptic map types over Florida. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122,
1698-1715.
, 1994: 24-h NGM-based probability and categorical forecasts of thunder-
storms and severe local storms for the contiguous U.S. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 419, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
tion, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Seguin, W. R., R. A. Beasley, and J. L. Pellett, 1994: Changes in the surface
observation program and their impact on applications programs, developers,
and users. Abstracts National Weather Association Nineteenth Annual
Meeting Program, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 25.
Smith, S. B., J. G. LaDue, and D. R. MacGorman, 1994: Intensification of
tornadic storms in relation to their mesoscale environment. Preprints,
6th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 205-208.
Su, J. C., 1994: Short-range MOS probability of precipitation guidance for
the western contiguous United States and Alaska. Abstracts National
Weather Association Nineteenth Annual Meeting Program, Salt Lake City,
Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 24.
Vercelli, D. J., and M. A. Leaphart, 1994: AFOS terminal forecast quality
control. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL
CP 94-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
28 pp.
Wantz, J. F., 1994: AFOS terminal aerodrome forecast encoding.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Weaver, J., J. F. W. Purdom, and S. B. Smith, 1994: Comments on "Nowcasts of
thunderstorm initiation and evolution." Wea. Forecasting, 9, 658-662.
1993
Antolik, M. S., 1993: New NGM-based quantitative precipitation forecast
guidance. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual
Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 35.
Battel, G. F., M. A. Leaphart, J. T. Moeller, and M. A. Petrie, 1993: AFOS
profiler software system. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory
Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 188 pp.
Beasley, R. A., 1993: AFOS surface observation decoding. NOAA Techniques
Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-2, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 74 pp.
, 1993: Decoding satellite cloud products. NOAA Techniques Development
Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-3, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, 1993: Decoding nested grid model statistical forecasts. NOAA Tech-
niques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-4, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
, 1993: Retrieving alphanumeric and graphic products from the AFOS
database through the background partition. NOAA Techniques Development
Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-5, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Bower, J. B., 1993: NGM-based MOS thunderstorm and severe thunderstorm
probability forecasts for the contiguous United States. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 407, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
tion, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
, 1993: New NGM-based MOS guidance for snowfall amount. Abstracts
National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh,
Nat. Wea. Assoc., 34-35.
Breidenbach, J. P., D. H. Kitzmiller, R. E. Saffle, and W. E. McGovern, 1993:
Evaluation of new radar predictors and their use in severe weather
potential algorithms. Preprints, 26th International Conference on Radar
Meteorology, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 163-166.
, , and , 1993: Joint relationship between severe local storm
occurrence and radar-derived and environmental variables. Preprints, 13th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 588-591.
Calkins, J. E., and G. F. Battel, 1993: NOAA weather radio climatological
data reports. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program
NWS TDL CP 93-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 51 pp.
Chen, J., 1993: On the operational storm surge model in the United States.
Proceedings Conference on Marine Meteorology, Taipei, Taiwan Central
Weather Bureau, 21-32.
, W. A. Shaffer, and S.-C. Kim, 1993: A forecast model for extratropical
storm surge. Advances in Hydro-Science and Engineering. Center for
Computational Hydroscience and Engineering, University of Mississippi,
1437-1444.
Dagostaro, V. J., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1993: AFOS-era verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 18 (April 1992
- September 1992). TDL Office Note 93-1, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.
, and , 1993: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 19 (October 1992 - March 1993).
TDL Office Note 93-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 52 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Erickson, 1993: Using the National Weather
Service's NGM-based statistical guidance for short-range forecasting.
Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 44-47.
Erickson, M. C., 1993: Rain, snow, sleet, or freezing rain: TDL delivers NGM
MOS precipitation type guidance. Abstracts National Weather Association
Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 33-34.
, J. P. Dallavalle, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1993: Comments on "Snow
versus rain: Looking beyond the 'magic' numbers". Wea. Forecasting, 8,
542-544.
Glahn, H. R., 1993: An analysis of some features of the GRIB code. TDL
Office Note 93-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 42 pp.
, and G. M. Carter, 1993: Eastern Region Publications Handbook. Eastern
Region Scientific Services Division, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 56 pp.
Hughes, K. K., and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1993: Statistical forecasts of
maximum and minimum temperature and mean wind speed for medium-range
projections. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 315-318.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., J. P. Dallavalle, and S. A. Gilbert, 1993:
The MRF-based statistical guidance message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin
No. 411, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 14 pp.
Kitzmiller, D. H., and J. P. Breidenbach, 1993: Probabilistic nowcasts of
large hail based on volumetric reflectivity and storm environment
characteristics. Preprints, 26th International Conference on Radar
Meteorology, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 157-159.
, and J. B. Ator, 1993: Extrapolative-statistical forecasts of radar
reflectivity. National Weather Digest, 18-2, 12-19.
Miller, D. T., 1993: NGM-based MOS wind guidance for the contiguous United
States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 399, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.
Morris, K. R., and R. W. Kessler, 1993: Helicity characteristics in tornadic
storm environments from hourly wind profiler data. TDL Office Note 93-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1993: The use of network lightning data to detect thunderstorms
near surface reporting stations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 464-469.
, 1993: Lightning distributions associated with synoptic map types over
Florida. Preprints, Conference on Atmospheric Electricity, St. Louis,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 761-767.
Ruth, D. P., 1993: The interactive modification of gridded forecasts.
Preprints, Ninth International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 327-332.
, and M. R. Peroutka, 1993: The Interactive Computer Worded Forecast.
Preprints, Ninth International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 321-326.
Seguin, W. R., and A. A. Rezek, 1993: Opportunities for producing new
forecast products in the era of the modernized Weather Service.
Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program,
Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 31-32.
Settelmaier, J. B., 1993: Precipitation type guidance for medium-range
projections. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual
Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 34.
, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1993: Objective forecasts of probability of
precipitation and mean opaque cloudiness at medium-range projections.
Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 319-322.
Sohl, C. J., and M. R. Peroutka, 1993: Implementation of the Interactive
Computer Worded Forecast at the National Weather Service Forecast Office
in Norman, Oklahoma. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and
Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 209-212.
Su, J. C., 1993: Development of the NGM-based probability of precipitation
guidance. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 121-124.
, 1993: NGM-based MOS guidance for the probability of precipitation
(PoP). NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 409, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
1992
Beasley R. A., 1992: Separating individual synoptics from within synoptic
collectives. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program,
NWS TDL CP 92-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 13 pp.
Breidenbach, J. P., D. H. Kitzmiller, R. E. Saffle, and W. E. McGovern, 1992:
Initial development of a second generation severe weather algorithm from
volumetric radar reflectivity. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability
and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
144-149.
Cammarata, M. W., and J. M. Kosarik, 1992: The automated generation of cloud
phrases for the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office
Note 92-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
17 pp.
, and , 1992: The automated generation of precipitation phrases for
the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office Note 92-9, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.
Carroll, L. A., III, 1992: An enhanced precipitation type guidance system for
short range forecasting. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and
Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 155-160.
Charba, J. P., 1992: Estimates of hourly precipitation amount from routine
observations of current weather. Postprints Third National Heavy
Precipitation Workshop, Pittsburgh, Nat. Wea. Svc., 81-93.
, A. W. Harrell III, and A. C. Lackner III, 1992:
A monthly precipitation amount climatology derived from published atlas maps:
Development of a digital database. TDL Office Note 92-7, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
Dagostaro, V. J., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1992: AFOS-era verification of local
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 12 (April 1989 - September 1989).
TDL Office Note 91-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 47 pp.
, and , 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public
weather forecasts--No. 13 (October 1989 - March 1990). TDL
Office Note 92-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 51 pp.
, , and R. W. Kessler, 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and
local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 14 (April 1990 - September
1990). TDL Office Note 92-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 49 pp.
, and , 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local avia-
tion/public weather forecasts--No. 15 (October 1990 - March 1991). TDL
Office Note 92-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 52 pp.
, and , 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local avia-
tion/public weather forecasts--No. 16 (April 1991 - September 1991). TDL
Office Note 92-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 49 pp.
, and , 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public
weather forecasts--No. 17 (October 1991 - March 1992). TDL
Office Note 92-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 52 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1992: Characteristics of the
National Weather Service's new systems for producing statistical weather
forecast guidance. Abstracts Sixteenth Annual Meeting of the National
Weather Association, St. Louis, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 13-14.
, J. B. Bower, V. J. Dagostaro, D. T. Miller, and J. C. Su, 1992:
Development of a new statistical weather forecast system. Preprints, 12th
Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 201-206.
, J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and S. A. Gilbert, 1992: NGM-based MOS guidance
- The FOUS14/FWC message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 408,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
Erickson, M. C., 1992: MOS precipitation type forecasts based on the Nested
Grid Model. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in
the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 195-200.
Glahn, H. R., 1992: On the packing of gridpoint data for efficient transmission.
TDL Office Note 92-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 32 pp.
, J. P. Charba, J. P. Dallavalle, and R. E. Saffle, 1992: The quantitative
precipitation forecast program of the Techniques Development Laboratory.
Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric
Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 132-137.
, , , and , 1992: Providing objective quantitative
precipitation guidance forecasts in the modernized Weather Service.
Abstracts Sixteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association,
St. Louis, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 17.
Jelesnianski, C. P., J. Chen, and W. A. Shaffer, 1992: SLOSH: Sea, lake, and
overland surges from hurricanes. NOAA Technical Report NWS 48, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U. S. Department of Commerce,
71 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1992: The use of grid-binary variables as predictors
for statistical weather forecasting. Preprints, 12th Conference on
Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 225-230.
, K. K. Hughes, and J. B. Settelmaier, 1992: Calibrated perfect prog
temperature and probability of precipitation forecasts for medium-range
projections. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in
the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 213-218.
Kitzmiller, D. H., and J. B. Ator, 1992: An extrapolative-statistical method
for forecasting radar reflectivity. TDL Office Note 92-15, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
, W. E. McGovern, and R. E. Saffle, 1992: The NEXRAD severe weather
potential algorithm. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-81, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce,
76 pp.
Kosarik, J. M., and M. W. Cammarata, 1992: The automated generation of wind
phrases for the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office
Note 92-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
17 pp.
, M. A. Przybocki, M. W. Cammarata, J. F. Wantz, J. Lang, and M. R.
Peroutka, 1992: The automated generation of temperature phrases for the
Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office Note 92-8, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
McGovern, W. E., 1992: The ratio of the range to the standard deviation:
Potential applications within meteorology. Preprints, 12th Conference on
Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 114-118.
, 1992: The range of a data set: Its relationship to the standard
deviation for various distributions. American Journal of Physics, 60,
943-944.
, 1992: Plan for the development of advanced severe weather algorithms
for NEXRAD/AWIPS sites. TDL Office Note 92-1, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.
, D. H. Kitzmiller, and R. E. Saffle, 1992: First generation NEXRAD
severe weather potential algorithm. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability
and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 138-143.
Reap, R. M., 1992: The Techniques Development Laboratory three-dimensional
trajectory model. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 397, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce,
11 pp.
, 1992: Detection of thunderstorms near surface stations by lightning
data. Proceedings International Aerospace and Ground Conference on
Lightning and Static Electricity, Atlantic City, National Inter agency
Coordinating Group, 49.1-49.9.
Ruth, D. P., 1992: The systematic interpolative radial search (SIRS)--A
method to compute gridpoint values from contours. TDL Office Note 92-14,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
Unger, D. A., 1992: An evaluation of satellite sky cover estimates to
complement ASOS observations. TDL Office Note 92-13, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, 1992: An adaptive thresholding procedure to determine categorical
forecasts from probabilities. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability
and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
66-71.
1991
Bower, J. B., 1991: Case studies of new NGM MOS guidance for major thunder-
storm and severe weather outbreaks in the spring of 1991. Abstracts
Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, Salt Lake
City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 29-30.
Carroll, L. A., III, 1991: Using the wind profiler's range normalized
returned power to monitor moisture changes. TDL Office Note 91-4,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
Dagostaro, V. J., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1991: AFOS-era verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 11 (October
1988 - March 1989). TDL Office Note 91-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 64 pp.
, and , 1991: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 12 (April 1989 - September 1989).
TDL Office Note 91-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 47 pp.
Erickson, M. C., J. B. Bower, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, E. Jacks,
J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and J. C. Su, 1991: Evaluating the impact of RAFS
changes on the NGM-based MOS guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 142-147.
Glahn, H. R., 1991: The evolution and use of statistical guidance forecasts
in the United States. PSMP Report Series No. 34, World Meteorological
Organization, Geneva, XX57-XX62.
, 1991: On MOS and perfect prog for interpretive guidance. TDL Office
Note 91-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
23 pp.
, J. P. Charba, J. P. Dallavalle, and R. E. Saffle, 1991: The
production and use of quantitative precipitation forecasts in the
modernized NWS and TDL's role in their production. TDL Office
Note 91-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
, A. H. Murphy, L. J. Wilson, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1991:
Lectures and papers presented at the WMO training workshop on the
interpretation of NWP products in terms of local weather phenomena
and their verification, Wageningen, The Netherlands, World Meteorological
Organization, Geneva, 340 pp.
Miller, R. G., and J. Lang, 1991: Verification of 1-6 hour statistical
weather forecasts. TDL Office Note 91-1, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 51 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1991: Climatological characteristics and objective prediction of
thunderstorms over Alaska. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 309-319.
, 1991: Lightning strike distributions associated with synoptic map
types over Florida. Abstracts Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the National
Weather Association, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 37.
, 1991: Thunderstorm probability forecasts for Alaska. NWS Technical
Procedures Bulletin No. 392, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
tion, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.
1990
Bower J. B., 1990: An evaluation of surface wind forecast equations based on
a new wind speed predictand. TDL Office Note 90-3, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.
, 1990: Development of NGM MOS guidance for the prediction of thunder-
storms and severe weather. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the
National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 31.
Cammarata, M. W., 1990: The automated specification of explicit weather type
and intensity from MOS. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the
National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 27.
Carroll, L. A., III, 1990: An estimation of the relative importance of the
observations, simple advection models, and MOS to short range forecast-
ing. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather
Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 27.
Charba, J. P., 1990: Geographical and seasonal variability in predictability
and predictor variables for operational 0-6 and 3-9 h heavy precipitation
forecasts. Preprints, Eighth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Kananaskis
Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 124-131.
, 1990: The use of operational 0-6 and 3-9 h quantitative precipitation
forecasts for predicting heavy rain events. Abstracts Second National
Heavy Precipitation Workshop, Reno, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 4.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1990: Development of new statistical weather guidance in
the National Weather Service. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the
National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 24-25.
Erickson, M. C., 1990: Evaluating the impact of RAFS changes on the NGM-based
MOS guidance. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National
Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 43.
Glahn, H. R., 1990: The equivalency of the tangent and secant Lambert
conformal map projections. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 2781-2783.
, 1990: On the provision of 5-minute satellite data for AWIPS-90. TDL
Office Note No. 90-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 32 pp.
Jacks, E., 1990: Development and evaluation of the National Weather Service's
NGM-based MOS guidance for the contiguous 48 states. Abstracts Fourteenth
Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New
Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 43.
, 1990: A quiz on the interpretation and use of the National Weather
Service's statistical guidance products. Nat. Wea. Digest, 15-4, 2-15.
, J. B. Bower, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, M. C. Erickson, and
J. C. Su, 1990: New NGM-based MOS guidance for maximum/minimum temperature,
probability of precipitation, cloud amount, and surface wind. Wea.
Forecasting, 5, 128-138.
, , M. C. Erickson, and J. C. Su, 1990: NGM-based MOS guidance for
maximum/minimum temperature, probability of precipitation, cloud amount,
and surface wind. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 387, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce,
15 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1990: A comparison of the observed and forecast
frequencies of various precipitation amounts in the 1986, 1987, and 1988
versions of the Nested Grid Model. TDL Office Note 90-2, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
, 1990: A statistical comparison of the forecasts produced by the NGM
and LFM for the 1987-88 cool season. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 116-127.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1990: Relationships between vertically-integrated liquid
and thunderstorm severity over different regions of the United States.
Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association,
New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 30-31.
, 1990: Prognostic relationships between profiler winds and warm-season
rain events near Denver. Profiler Forum, January, 3-8.
, and W. E. McGovern, 1990: Wind profiler observations preceding
outbreaks of large hail over northeastern Colorado. Wea. Forecasting, 5,
78- 88.
, R. E. Saffle, M. McDonald, R. G. Miller, J. Lang, and W. E. McGovern,
1990: Relationships between vertically-integrated liquid and thunderstorm
severity over central Florida. Preprints, 16th Conference on Severe
Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 603-606.
Peroutka, M. R., 1990: "Explicit weather"--A new approach to forecast
formatting. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather
Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 28.
Reap, R. M., 1990: Thunderstorms over Alaska as revealed by lightning
location data. Preprints, 16th Conference on Severe Local Storms,
Kananaskis Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J46-J51.
, 1990: Six-hour thunderstorm probability forecasts for Kansas-Oklahoma
and the Northeast United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin
No. 385, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 6 pp.
, 1990: Forecasting snow amounts from net vertical displacements. NWS
Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 389, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
, and R. E. Orville, 1990: On the relationships between network lightning
locations and surface hourly observations of thunderstorms. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 118, 94-108.
Ruth, D. P., and A. Rezek, 1990: Interactive computer worded forecasts and
the local forecaster, an operational experiment. Abstracts Fourteenth
Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat.
Wea. Assoc., p. 28.
Su, J. C., 1990: LFM-based MOS forecasts of the probability of precipitation
(PoP). NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 386, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Unger, D. A., 1990: The Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP): A short range
statistical guidance system. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the
National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 25.
Winkler, J. A., and J. P. Charba, 1990: Variability of subsynoptic-scale
circulation features preceding heavy rain events. Preprints, Eighth
Conference on Hydrometeorology, Kananaskis Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 56-61.
1989
Adams, S. A., 1989: Structure flow diagram generator. NOAA Techniques
Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 89-1, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1989: String search. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer
Program NWS TDL CP 89-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 12 pp.
Battel, G., 1989: Wind profiler applications software development plan. TDL
Office Note 89-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 16 pp.
Carter, G. M., J. P. Dallavalle, and H. R. Glahn, 1989: Statistical forecasts
based on NMC's numerical weather prediction system. Wea. Forecasting, 4,
401-412.
Charba, J. P., and J. T. Moeller, 1989: Use of operational 0-6 and 3-9 h
quantitative precipitation forecasts for predicting heavy rain events.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-80, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 34 pp.
Dagostaro, V. J., C. L. Alex, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, and P. D.
Polger, 1989: Evolution of the NWS national verification system: Past,
present, and future. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and
Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J41-J46.
, G. M. Carter, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1989: AFOS-era verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 10 (April 1988
- September 1988). TDL Office Note 89-6 , National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 56 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1989: The Techniques Development Laboratory--The first
25 years. Preprints, 11th Conference of Probability and Statistics in
Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J20-J27.
, 1989: Publications of members of the Techniques Development Laboratory,
1964-1989. TDL Office Note 89-5, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 68 pp.
, and W. L. Wolf, 1989: Simulation of AWIPS-90 technique processing load
for a WFO. TDL Office Note 89-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U. S.
Department of Commerce, 28 pp.
Jacks, E. J., G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, J. S. Jensenius, Jr., M. C.
Erickson, and J. B. Bower, 1989: Enhancing interactions among the
developers and users of statistical guidance products. Preprints, 11th
Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 120-125.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1989: A statistical comparison of the forecasts
produced by the NGM and LFM for the cool season of 1987-88. TDL Office
Note 89-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
14 pp.
, 1989: Insolation Forecasting. Solar Heat Technologies: Fundamentals
and Applications. MIT Press, Cambridge, Vol. II, 335-349.
Kitzmiller, D. H., and W. E. McGovern, 1989: VAS retrievals as a source of
information for convective weather forecasts: An objective assessment
and comparison with other sources of upper-air observations. Mon. Wea.
Rev., 117, 2095-2109.
Klein, W. H., 1989: Objective guidance for weather forecasts. Preprints, 11th
Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J28-J32.
Leaphart, M. A., 1989: Extended memory library for AFOS applications. NOAA
Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 89-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 47 pp.
Lee, W. J., J. Y. Cho, and R. G. Miller, 1989: Local very short range weather
forecasting in the Republic of Korea. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., (page
numbers unknown).
McDonald, M., and R. E. Saffle, 1989: RADAP II archive data user's guide.
TDL Office Note 89-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 16 pp.
McGovern, W. E., 1989: High resolution ground based remote sensors: New
local or mesoscale climatic data sources. Preprints, Sixth Conference on
Applied Climatology, Charleston, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 209-216.
, 1989: Subsynoptic guidance forecasts and mesoscale processes.
Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric
Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J33-J40.
Miller, R. G., 1989: Very short range weather forecasting using automated
observations. Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown. Wadsworth &
Brooks/Cole Advanced Books & Software, Pacific Grove, 261-267.
Reap, R. M., and D. R. MacGorman, 1989: Cloud to ground lightning: Climatological
characteristics and relationships to model fields, radar observations, and severe
local storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 518-535.
Ruth, D. P., and D. J. Vercelli, 1989: Interactive techniques for preparing
domestic and international terminal forecast products. Preprints, Fifth
International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 313-320.
Saffle, R. E., 1989: Plan for the development and implementation of severe
weather probability relationships at NEXRAD sites. TDL Office Note 89-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Seguin, W. R., 1989: Impact of local computer applications programs on
concurrent and future Weather Service operations. Preprints, 11th Conference
on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., J47-J52.
Shaffer, W. A., C. P. Jelesnianski, and J. Chen, 1989: Hurricane
Storm Surge Forecasting. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability
and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J53-J58.
Unger, D. A., W. L. Wolf, T. L. Chambers, and M. W. Cammarata, 1989: The
local AFOS MOS program: Current status and plans. Preprints, 11th
Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 114-119.
Vercelli, D. J., and D. P. Ruth, 1989: Formatting of domestic and international
terminal forecasts from a digital data base. Preprints, Fifth
International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing
Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 213-219.
1988
Charba, J. P., J. T. Moeller, and P. D. Yamamoto, 1988: Performance of
operational objective 0-6 h quantitative precipitation forecasts
relative to manual and model generated forecasts: A preliminary
assessment. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-79, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 31 pp.
Dagostaro, V. J., 1988: The national verification score archive.
TDL Office Note 88-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.
, G. M. Carter, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1988: AFOS-era verification
of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 8
(April 1987 September 1987). TDL Office Note 88-1, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 46 pp.
, , and , 1988: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 9 (October 1987 - March 1988).
TDL Office Note 88-4. National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 58 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1988: An evaluation of techniques used by the National
Weather Service to produce objective maximum/minimum temperature forecasts.
Preprints Eighth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction,
Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 572-579.
Erickson, M. C., 1988:Development and evaluation of perfect prog guidance
based on output from the Nested Grid Model. Preprints Eighth Conference
on Numerical Weather Prediction, Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 565-571.
Glahn, H. R., 1988: Characteristics of map projections and implications for
AWIPS-90. TDL Office Note 88-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 48 pp.
Jacks, E., 1988: Results of a survey on the use of statistical guidance by
field forecasters. TDL Office Note 88-3, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1988: Statistical characteristics of the National
Meteorological Center's regional and global weather prediction models.
Preprints Eighth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Baltimore,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 550-557.
, 1988: Objectively forecasting sunshine. Wea. and Forecasting, 3, 5-17.
Kitzmiller, D. H., and W. E. McGovern, 1988: Relationships between profiler
winds and hail occurrence over northern Colorado. Profiler Forum, April, 2-5.
, and , 1988: Objective assessment of 1984-85 VAS products as indices
of thunderstorm and severe local storm potential. NOAA Technical Memorandum
NWS TDL-78, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 38 pp.
Miller, R. G., 1988: Very short range weather forecasting using automated
observations. Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown, J. Tanur, F. Mosteller,
W. Kruskal, R. Link, R. Pieters, G. Rising, eds., Wadsworth and
Brooks/Cole Advanced Books and Software, Pacific Grove, 261-267.
, 1988: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather
observations. Final Report DOT/FAA/PS-88/3, Federal Aviation Administration,
U.S. Department of Transportation, 236 pp.
Reap, R. M., and D. R. MacGorman, 1988: A comparison of cloud-to-ground lightning
to analyzed model fields, radar observations, and severe local storms.
Preprints 15th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 505-510.
, and R. E. Orville, 1988: A comparison of network lightning locations
and surface hourly observations of thunderstorms. EOS. Trans. Amer.
Geophysicial Union, 69, 1076.
Saffle, R. E., 1988: Radar rainfall estimates for the Pittsburgh Little Pine
Creek flash flood of May 1986. Preprints 15th Conference on Severe Local
Storms, Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 198-200.
Vercelli, D. J., and M. Leaphart, 1988: AFOS terminal forecast decoding.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 88-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 35 pp.
1987
Bermowitz, R. J., 1987: Combining forecast periods in computer worded
forecasts. TDL Office Note 87-2, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Cammarata, M. W., 1987: Forecasting temperature, dew point, and maximum
temperature, using the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP). TDL Office Note 87-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.
Carter, G. M., 1987: Short range forecasting based on statistical interpretation
of output variables from an evolving numerical weather prediction system.
Preprints Tenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric
Sciences, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-11.
, 1987: Statistical methods for interpretation of NWP products to local
weather elements. Lecture Notes WHO RA I Seminar on Modern Weather Forecasting,
Addis Ababa, World Meteor. Org., 350-359.
Charba, J. P., 1987: Features of an operational 0-6 and 3-9 h system for
forecasting heavy precipitation amounts. Preprints Seventh Conference
on Hydrometeorology, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 137-142.
Dagostaro, V. J., G. M. Carter, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1987: AFOS-era
verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No.7 (October 1986 - March 1987). TDL Office Note 87-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 54 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1987: Comments on "Error determination of a successive
correction type objective analysis scheme." J. Atmos. Oceanic
Tech., 4, 348-350.
, 1987: Formulation and verification of weather forecasts. ISF 87
The Seventh International Symposium on Forecasting, Boston, International
Institute of Forecasters, 89.
, G. M. Carter, and D. A. Unger, 1987: Current status, recent developments,
and extensions to the MOS guidance system in the United States. Extended
Abstracts of Papers Presented at the WHO Workshop on Significant Weather
Elements Prediction and Objective Interpretation Methods, Toulouse, PSMP
Report Series No. 25, World Meteor. Org., 39-44.
Harnack, R. P., and M. W. Cammarata, 1987: Winter season temperature forecasts
using discriminant analysis. Natl. Wea. Digest, 12, No.2, 15-20.
Jensenius, J. S., and M. C. Erickson, 1987: Monthly relative frequencies of
precipitation for the United States for 6-, 12-, and 24-h periods. NOAA
Technical Report NWS TDL-39, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 267 pp.
Kitzmiller, D. H., &nd W. E. McGovern, 1987: VAS products as indices
of thunderstorms and severe local storm potential. Proceedings Symposium
on Mesoscale Analysis and Forecasting, Vancouver, Int. Asso. of Meteor.
and Atm. Physics, 85-90.
McGovern, W. E., 1987: Statistical remote sensing algorithm development: A
complementary process to mesoscale numerical models. Proceedings Symposium
on Mesoscale Analysis and Forecasting, Vancouver, Int. Asso. of Meteor. and
Atm. Physics, 321-325.
Miller, R. G., 1987: Very short range weather forecasting using automated
observations. Preurints Tenth Conference on probability and Statistics
in Atmospheric Sciences, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 26-31.
, 1987: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather
observations. Third Interim Report No. DOT/FAA/PM-87/2, Federal Aviation
Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 128 pp.
Norman, G. A., and M. C. Newton, 1987: AFOS monitoring of MDR data using flash
flood guidance. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS
TDL CP 87-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerc, 31 pp.
Reap, R. M., and J. P. Charba, 1987: Automated prediction of convective
storms and associated weather phenomena. Extended Abstracts of Papers
Presented at the WHO Workshop on Significant Weather Elements Prediction
and Objective Interpretation Methods, Toulouse, PSMP Report Series No. 25,
World Meteor. Org., 17-21.
Ruth, D. P., and C. L. Alex, 1987: AFOS-era forecast verification. NOAA Techniques
Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 87-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.
Salem, T. L., Jr., 1987: Wind forecasts for the central United States from
the local AFOS MOS program. TDL Office Note 87-5, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Seguin, W. R., 1987: Implementation plans for TDL's local application system.
TDL Office Note 87-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 20 pp.
Unger, D. A., 1987: Updated MOS ceiling height and visibility from the Local
AFOS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints Tenth Conference on Probability and
Statistics in Atmosuheric Sciences, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 18-25.
Vercelli, D. J., and M. Leaphart, 1987: AFOS terminal forecast quality control.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 87-5,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.
Wantz, J., and C. A. Eggers, 1987: AFOS terminal aerodrome forecast formatting.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 87-1,
National Weather Service, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
Wolf, W. L., 1987: Forecast review. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer
Program NWS TDL CP 87-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 19 pp.
, 1987: Forecast review, FORREV--Test report. TDL Office Note 87-4, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
1986
Bermowitz, R. J., 1986: An algorithm for forecasting precipitation type.
Natl. Wea. Digest, 11, No.3, 30-36.
, 1986: Humidity and thunderstorm forecasting in computer worded forecasts.
TDL Office Note 86-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 8 pp.
Carter, G. M., 1986: Moving towards a more responsive statistical guidance system.
Preprints 11th Conference on Weather Forecastine and Analysis, Kansas City, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 39-45.
, and P. D. Polger, 1986: A 20-year summary of National Weather Service
verification results for temperature and precipitation. NOAA Technical
Memorandum NWS FCST-3l, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 50 pp.
Dagostaro, V. J., G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1986:
AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 5 (October 1985 - March 1986). TDL Office Note 86-2,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.
, , , , 1986: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 6 (April 1986 - September 1986).
TDL Office Note 86-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 48 pp.
Erickson, M. C., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1986: Objectively forecasting the
short-range maximum/minimum temperature--A new look. Preprints 11th
Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Kansas City, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 33-38.
Gardner, T. J., 1986: Consistency checks for the fourth period MOS
maximum/minimum temperature forecasts. TDL Office Note 86-5,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1986: Simulated stratification for prediction of precipitation
type. Natl. Wea. Digest, 11, No.4, 4-11.
, and D. A. Unger, 1986: A Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP) and its application
to wind prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev. 114, 1313-1329.
Jendrowski, P. A., and G. J. Huffman, 1986: Performance of quantitative parameters
associated with the NEXRAD mesocyclone detection algorithm from simulated single
doppler velocities. Preprints 23rd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Snowmass,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5-13.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1986: An objective comparison of severe local storm predictors
derived from VAS temperature and dew point profiles. Preprints Second
Conference on Satellite Meteorology/Remote Sensing Applications, Williamsburg,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 353-358.
, 1986: Characteristic subsynoptic patterns in the tornado environment as
analyzed from observations and model forecasts. Preprints 11th Conference
on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 109-113.
Maglaras, G. J., and G. M. Carter, 1986: How to use MOS guidance effectively.
Preprints 11th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Kansas City,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17-22.
McGovern, W. E., 1986: Remote Sensing - Upscale forecasting: A technical strategy for contributing
to improved mesoscale forecasting. TDL Office Note 86-1, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
Miller, R. G., 1986: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather
observations. Interim Report No. DOT/FAA/PM-86/10, Federal Avia¬tion Agency,
U.S. Department of Transportation, 91 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1986: Evaluation of cloud-to-ground lightning data from the western
United States for the 1983-84 summer seasons. J. Climate Appl.
Meteor., 25, 785-799.
Saffle, R. E., and R. C. Elvander, 1986: Refinement of the National Weather Service
severe weather probability algorithm. Preprints 23rd Conference on Radar
Meteorology, Snowmass, Amer. Meteor. Soc., JP 70-72.
, W. E. McGovern, and M. McDonald, 1986: Use of RADAP II data to estimate the
impact of NEXRAD scan strategies on calculations of vertically integrated liquid
water. Preprints 23rd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Snowmass,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., JP 60-61.
Shaffer, W. A., C. P. Jelesnianski, and J. Chen, 1986: Hurricane storm surge forecasting.
Preprints Oceans 86, Washington, D.C., Marine Tech. Soc. and IEEE/Oceanic
Eng. Soc., 1379-1385.
1985
Carter, G. M., and V. J. Dagostaro, 1985: Testing MOS surface wind gust prediction
equations. TDL Office Note 85-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1985: Applications of the MOS technique:
A bib1iography--No. 4. TDL Office Note 85-12, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 43 pp.
, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Da11avalle, N. S. Foat, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and
G. J. Mag1aras, 1985: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 3 (October 1984 - March 1985).
TDL Office Note 85-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 66 pp.
, , , , , and , 1985: AFOS-era verification of guidance
and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 4 (April 1985 - September 1985).
TDL Office Note 85-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 48 pp.
, , , , J. T. Hawes, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and G. J. Maglaras, 1985:
AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 2, (April 1984 - September 1984). TDL Office Note 85-2,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.
Charba, J. P., 1985: Climatological relative frequencies of six-hour precipitation
amount over the conterminous United States. Preprints Sixth Conference
on Hydrometeorology, Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-8.
Dagostaro, V. J., 1985: The National AFOS-era verification data processing system.
TDL Office Note 85-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 47 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1985: Objective prediction of
temperature and precipitation for medium-range projections. Preprints
in Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics Atmospheric Sciences,
Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 137-143.
Glahn, H. R., 1985: Yes, precipitation forecasts have improved.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66, 820-830.
, 1985: Statistical weather forecasting, Chapter 8 in Probability,
Statistics. and Decision Making in Atmospheric Sciences, A. H. Murphy and
R. W. Katz, editors, Westview Press, Boulder, 289-335. Also published in
Seminar Workshop 1982. Interpretation of Numerical Weather Prediction Products.
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, 1983, 263-310.
, T. L. Chambers, W. S. Richardson, and H. P. Perrotti, 1985: Objective map analysis
for the local AFOS MOS program. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-75, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Depart¬ment of Commerce, 34 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1985: The accuracy of objective sunshine forecasts
produced by the National Weather Service. Preprints 17th Conference on
Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105-108.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1985: Characteristic subsynoptic features of the tornado
environment as analyzed from surface observations and model forecasts.
TDL Office Note 85-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 20 pp.
, 1985: The application of cumulus models to MOS forecasts of convective weather.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-76, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.
Lewis, F., D. A. Unger, and J. R. Bocchieri, 1985: Estimation of saturation
thickness to initialize the LAMP moisture model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113,
1933-1941.
Maglaras, G. J., 1985: The performance of MOS snow amount guidance during two
heavy snow events. Preprints Sixth Conference on Hydrometeorology,
Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 324-330.
, 1985: Verification of objective snow amount guidance
(October 1983 - March 1984). TDL Office Note 85-1, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
, and E. L. Chiang 1985: Development of an improved automated system for
forecasting the probability of liquid precipitation type. TDL Office
Note 85-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, F. Lewis, and H. R. Glahn, 1985: Development of an experimental system
to forecast precipitation using empirical orthogonal functions. TDL Office
Note 85-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
, , , and K. A. Hocker, 1985: Experiments using empirical orthogonal
functions to forecast the probability of precipitation. Preprints Ninth
Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 31-36.
McGovern, W. E., R. E. Saffle, and R. C. Elvander, 1985: Mesobeta scale thunderstorm
forecasting with mesogamma scale data base. Preprints Ninth Conference
on probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 11-15.
Miller, R. G., 1985: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather
observations. Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics in
Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 388-391.
, and T. J. Perrone, 1985: Comparative verification between GEM and the official
aviation Terminal Forecast (FT). TDL Office Note 85-8, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.
, and , 1985: A comparative verification between GEM and the official
aviation Terminal Forecast (FT). Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability
and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 23-30.
Miller, R. L., and H. R. Glahn, 1985: Techniques used in the computer worded forecast
for zones: Interpolation and combination. TDL Office Note 85-5, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.
Norman, G. A., Jr., and D. J. Vercelli, 1985: The effect of terminal forecast remarks
on the AFOS terminal forecast monitoring system. Preprints Second International
Conference on the Aviation Weather System, Montreal, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 238-242.
Palko, J. M., J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1985: Development of
medium range forecast equations for maximum/minimum temperature and probability
of precipitation. TDL Office Note 85-7, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Perrone, T. J., and R. G. Miller, 1985: Generalized exponential Markov and model
output statistics: A comparative verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1524-1541.
Polger, P. D., R. M. Thompson, and G. M. Carter, 1985: NWS precipitation forecast
verification: A new look. Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability and
Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90-95.
Ruth, D. P., R. L. Miller, and M. M. Heffernan, 1985: AFOS-era forecast verification.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 85-3, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 47 pp.
Unger, D. A., 1985: A method to approximate the continuous ranked probability score.
Preprints Ninth Conference on probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 206-213.
, 1985: The moisture model for the local AFOS MOS program.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-77, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 41 pp.
Vercelli, D. J., 1985: Automatic monitoring of aviation terminal forecasts.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66, 292-296.
, and G. A. Norman, 1985: AFOS monitoring of terminal forecasts.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 85-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.
, , and M. M. Heffernan, 1985: AFOS terminal forecast decoding. NOAA
Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 85-2,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, F. Lewis, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1985: Computer formatted terminal forecasts.
Preprints Second International Conference on the Aviation Weather System, Montreal,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 243-246.
Wright, D. M., 1985: Extratropica1 storm surge forecast guidance for
Southport, North Carolina. TDL Office Note 85-14, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
Winkler, J. A., 1985: Regiona1ization of the diurnal distribution of summertime
heavy precipitation. Preprints Sixth Conference on Hydrometeors,
Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9-16.
, and J. P. Charba, 1985: Composite surface subsynoptic fields associated
with summertime heavy rainstorms in the central United States. Preprints
Sixth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 34-41.
, and , 1985: The diurnal distribution of summertime heavy precipitation
in the eastern and central United States. 1985 NWS Southern Region QPF
Workshop, NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS SR-112, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25-30.
1984
Baker, J. M., 1984: Model Output Statistics (MOS) forecast guidance for
U.S. Air Force locations in Alaska. TDL Office Note 84-7, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., and R. L. Miller, 1984: A field evaluation and some
recent changes in the computer worded forecast. Preprints l8th
Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 92-97.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1984: Some results from the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP)
for forecasting precipitation type in the Washington, D.C. WSFO forecast
area. Preprints l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis,
Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 278-285.
, and A. L. Forst, 1984: Experiments in the use of the Local AFOS MOS
Program (LAMP) for forecasting precipitation type in the Washington, D.C.
WSFO forecast area. TDL Office Note 84-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Burroughs, L. D., 1984: Development of forecast guidance for Santa Ana conditions.
Preprints l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 450-454.
, 1984: Great Lakes nearshore wind predictions from Great Lakes MOS wind guidance.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-74, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.
Carter, G. M., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1984: Application of the MOS technique:
A bibliography--No. 3. TDL Office Note 84-17, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 38 pp.
, E. L. Chiang, and K. P. Hlywiak, 1984: The use of satellite moisture bogus
data in MOS prediction equations. TDL Office Note 84-5, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and G. J. Maglaras, 1984:
AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 1 (October 1983 - March 1984). TDL Office Note 84-15,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1984: Objective forecasts of some record-breaking minimum
temperatures during December 1983. TDL Office Note 84-11, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1984: Comparison of LAMP and GEM wind forecasts. TDL Office
Note 84-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.
, 1984: Experimental wind forecasts from the local AFOS MOS program. NOAA Technical
Memorandum NWS TDL-72, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 60 pp.
, 1984: Surface wind forecasts from the local AFOS program (LAMP).
Preprints l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater
Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78-86.
, 1984: Trends in skill and accuracy of National Weather Service PoP forecasts.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-73, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 34 pp.
Hess, K. W., 1984: Single-point forecasts of wind-driven and tidal currents
in San Pedro Channel. TDL Office Note 84-8, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25 pp.
, 1984: A technique for forecasting spilled oil transport in bays.
Natl. Wea. Digest, 9, No.2, 26-33.
,1984: Models of gulf stream behavior: A literature survey.
TDL Office Note 84-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, 1984: Assessment techniques for coastal hazards. Proceedings of
the Geologic and Hydrologic Hazards Training Program, Denver, Agency for
International Development, and U.S. Geological Survey, 812-832.
Hlywiak, K. P., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1984: Two case studies of MOS temperature
forecast inconsistencies at Brownsville, Texas during the winter of 1983-1984.
TDL Office Note 84-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 20 pp.
Jelesnianski, C. P., J. Chen, W. A. Shaffer, and A. J. Gilad, 1984: SLOSH--A hurricane
storm surge forecast model. Preprints Oceans 84, Washington, D.C., Marine Tech.
Soc. and IEEE/Oceanic Eng. Soc., 314-317.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1984: Automated forecasts of percent of possible sunshine.
Preprints lath Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 69-74.
Maglaras, G. J., 1984: Verification of objective snow amount guidance
(October 1982 - March 1983). TDL Office Note 84-3, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and B. E. Schwartz, 1984:
Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 16 (April 1983 - September 1983). TDL Office Note 84-4,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 69 pp.
McGovern, W. E., R. E. Saffle, and K. C. Crawford, 1984: Verification results
from 1982-1984 operational radar reflectivity experiment. Preprints 22nd
Conference on Radar Meteorology, Zurich, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 188-191.
Miller, R. G., 1984: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather
observations. Report No. DOT/FAA/PM-84/3l, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S.
Department of Transportation, 17 pp.
, 1984: GEM: A statistical weather forecasting procedure. PMSP Publication
Series No. la, World Meteor. Org., 102 pp.
Miller, R. L., M. M. Heffernan, and D. P. Ruth, 1984: AFOS era forecast verification.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 84-3, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.
Murphy, M. C., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1984: An investigation of MOS minimum temperature
errors in North and South Dakota during December 1982. TDL Office Note 84-16,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Newton, M. C., 1984: AFOS display of MDR data on local map background.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 84-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.
, 1984: A field evaluation of the AFOS plotting program for manually
digitized radar data. TDL Office Note 84-6, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
Perrone, T. J., and R. G. Miller, 1984: A comparative verification of GEM and MOS.
PMSP Publication Series No. 10, World Meteor. Org., 67 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1984: Evaluation of MOS probability forecasts for major tornado
outbreaks. Preprints 10th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis,
Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 521-524.
Richardson, W. S., and C. S. Gilman, 1984: Improved automated extra tropical
storm surge forecast guidance for East Coast cities. Natl. Wea. Digest,
9, No.2, 11-17.
, and H. P. Perrotti, 1984: Computer worded high seas forecasts.
TDL Office Note 84-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 18 pp.
Schwartz, B. E., 1984: Typical warm season MOS guidance errors.
Preprints 10th Conference on Weather Forecasting and
Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 50-56.
, and E. L. Chiang, 1984: Testing of objective guidance for Hawaii.
TDL Office Note 84-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 22 pp.
Waldstreicher, J. S., and R. J. Bermowitz, 1984: An in-house evaluation of
computer worded forecasts for zones. TDL Office Note 84-9, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
Weiss, S. J., and R. M. Reap, 1984: Performance characteristics of the TDL
automated severe storm outlook: A statistical evaluation. Preprints 10th
Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 181-188.
1983
Allegrino, A. S., D. R. Rodenhuis, and R. G. Miller, 1983: Diagnostic studies
of the influence of station climatology on a Markov forecast procedure.
Preprints Eighth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric
Sciences, Hot Springs, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 138-147.
Barrientos, C. S., and K. W. Hess, 1983: Ocean oil spill concentration and
trajectory forecast project. Final Report prepared for Environmental
Protection Agency, Department of Energy, Interagency Agreement EPA-IAG-0693,
Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 86 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., and R. L. Miller, 1983: The computer worded forecast: A field
evaluation. TDL Office Note 83-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1983: Automated guidance for forecasting snow amount.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 2099-2109.
, and G. J. Maglaras, 1983: An improved operational system for forecasting
precipitation type. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 405-419.
Burroughs, L. D., 1983: Development of automated Santa Ana forecast guidance-Phase I.
TDL Office Note 83-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.
Carter, G. M., J. R. Bocchieri, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1983: Applications of the MOS
technique: A bibliography--No. 2. TDL Office Note 83-15, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.
, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh, G. J. Maglaras, and B. E. Schwartz, 1983:
Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 14 (April 1982 - September 1982). TDL Office Note 83-7, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 70 pp.
, , , , , 1983: Comparative verification of guidance and
local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 15 (October 1982 - March 1983).
TDL Office Note 83-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 76 pp.
Charba, J. P., 1983: Experiments in 0-9 hour objective quantitative precipitation
forecasting. Preprints Fifth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Tulsa, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 269-278.
Dallavalle, J. P., and W. D. Bonner, 1983: Statistical methods in the U.S. National
Weather Service for the interpretation of NWP products. Papers Presented at the
Asia and Southwest Pacific Conference on Operational Weather Forecasting Including
Interpretation of Numerical Weather Prediction, Beijing, World Meteor. Org., 145-152.
Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Murphy, 1983: Development of LFM-based MOS temperature
forecast equations for Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-14, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.
Gilhousen, D. B., J. E. Kemper, and D. J. Vercelli, 1983: Cross sectional analysis
of wind speed and Richardson number. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory
Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1983: MOS support for military locations from the Techniques
Development Laboratory. TDL Office Note 83-9, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Greene, D. R., J. D. Nilsen, R. E. Saffle, D. W. Holmes, M. D. Hudlow, and
P. R. Ahnert, 1983: RADAP II, an interim radar data processor.
Preprints 21st Conference on Radar Meteorology, Edmonton, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 404-408.
Heffernan, M. M., 1983: Results of the field test of the AFOS-era forecast
verification program. TDL Office Note 83-13, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, M. C. Newton, and R. L. Miller, 1983: AFOS-era forecast verification.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-3, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 45 pp.
Herrmann, W. C., 1983: Generalized Exponential Markov (GEM) updating procedure
for AFOS. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL
CP 83-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
Hess, K. W., 1983: Simulation of spilled oil behavior in bays and coastal waters.
NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-2, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., 1983: Automated forecasts of daily global solar energy.
Preprints Annual Meeting of the Solar Energy Society, Minneapo¬lis, Amer. Solar
Energy Soc., 859-864.
Maglaras, G. J., 1983: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting
the probability of frozen precipitation in Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-6,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25 pp.
, 1983: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting cloud amount,
ceiling height, visibility, and obstructions to vision in Alaska. TDL Office
Note 83-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
McGovern, W. E., and R. E. Saffle, 1983: Results of the 1982-83 RADAP II/ICRAD
operational experiments. Papers Presented at the Workshop on Very Short-Range
Forecasting Systems Research Aspects, Boulder, PSMP Pub. Series No.5, World Meteor.
Org., 53-58.
Miller, R. G., 1983: GEM. Papers Presented at the Workshop on Very Short-Range
Forecasting Systems Research Aspects, Boulder, PSMP Pub. Series No.5, World Meteor.
Org., 63-70.
, and T. J. Perrone, 1983: GEM. Preprints Ninth Conference on Aerospace and
Aeronautical Meteorology, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 129-138.
, , and D. L. Best, 1983: A critical look at GEM. PreDrints Eighth Conference
on probability and Statistics in AtmosDheric Sciences, Hot Springs, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
158-165.
Perrone, T. J., and R. G. Miller, 1983: A comparative verification of GEM and MOS.
TDL Office Note 83-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 70 pp.
Pore, N. A., 1983: Experimental automated wave forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay and
lower Potomac River. TDL Office Note 83-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, 1983: Experimental automated wave forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay and lower
Potomac River. Natl. Wea. Digest, 8, No.4, 47-54.
Reap, R. M., 1983: Preliminary evaluation of 1982-83 cool season forecasts from an
automated convective outlook (AC) chart. Preprints 13th Conference on Severe
Local Storms, Tulsa, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 47-50.
Richardson, W. S., 1983: Statistical wave forecast equations for a deepwater buoy
location off the Washington-Oregon coast. TDL Office Note 83-1, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, and D. C. Marsico, 1983: A method for estimating waves at a nearshore buoy
location off the Delaware-New Jersey coast. TDL Office Note 83-4, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, and C. S. Gilman, 1983: Improved 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-h extratropical storm
surge forecast guidance for Boston, Mass.; New York, N.Y.; Norfolk, Va.; and
Charleston, S.C. TDL Office Note 83-8, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.
, and , 1983: Improved 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-h extratropical storm surge
forecast guidance for Willets Point, N.Y. TDL Office Note 83-17, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
Rodenhuis, D. R., F. Lewis, A. L. Forst, A. S. Allegrino, and D. H. Kitzmiller, 1983:
Improvements in terminal weather forecasts. Final Report, Contract No.
NA-80-SAC-0284, University of Maryland, 89 pp.
Schwartz, B. E., 1983: Development of a new automated system for forecasting
surface winds in Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-5, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. ITepartment of Commerce, 14 pp.
Unger, D. A., 1983: An evaluation of the sea level pressure and moisture models
of LAMP. PreDrints Sixth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction,
Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 252-258.
Vercelli, D. J., 1983: AFOS terminal forecast monitoring system--Operational aspects.
Preprints Ninth Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, Omaha, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 1-6.
, 1983: AFOS monitoring of terminal forecasts. NOAA Techniques Development
Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDI. CP 83-4, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
, G. Norman, Jr., and W. R. Seguin, 1983: Results of the AFOS monitoring and
updating field tests. TDL Office Note 83-18, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
1982
Bocchieri, J. R., 1982: Recent experiments in the use of model output statistics
for forecasting snow amounts. TDL Office Note 82-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
, 1982: Further development and testing of an automated system to forecast snow
amounts. TDL Office Note 82-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 21 pp.
, and G. J. Mag1aras, 1982: Recent improvements in an automated system for
forecasting precipitation type. TDL Office Note 82-3, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 38 pp.
Burroughs, L. D., 1982: Analyses of elements of the marine environment for the
Atlantic Remote Sensing Land Ocean Experiment (ARSLOE)--An atlas for October 22
through October 27, 1980. NOAA Technical Report NWS 29, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
, 1982: Coastal wind forecasts based on model output statistics.
Preprints Ninth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 351-355.
Carter, G. M., J. R. Bocchieri, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1982: Applications of
the MOS technique: A bib1iography--No. 1. TDL Office Note 82-10, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.
, , , G. W. Hollenbaugh, G. J. Mag1aras, and B. E. Schwartz, 1982:
Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 12 (April 1981 - September 1981). TDL Office Note 82-8,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 71 pp.
, , , , , and , 1982: Comparative verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 13
(October 1981 - March 1982). TDL Office Note 82-11, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 75 pp.
, H. R. Glahn, and D. S. Cooley, 1982: Quality and trends in National
Weather Service forecasts. Preprints 9th Conference on Weather
Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89-93.
Charba, J. P., and P. A. Jendrowski, 1982: A comparison of 6-12 h forecasts of
atmospheric surface variables using pattern correlation and other simple models.
Preprints 12th Conference on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105-109.
Dallavalle, J. P., and V. J. Dagostaro, 1982: Objectively predicting temperature
in the low and middle troposphere. Preprints 9th Conference on Weather
Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 344-350.
Glahn, H. R., 1982: Comments on "An average correlation coefficient."
J. Appl. Meteor., 21, 1202-1203.
, and D. A. Unger, 1982: Some results from the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP).
Preprints 9th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 364-371.
Hebenstreit, K. F., and K. A. Peterson, 1982: Verification of MOS guidance for cloud
amount, ceiling, and visibility. Preprints 9th Conference on Weather Forecasting
and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 356-363.
Hess, K. W., 1982: A revised user's guide to COSMOS (Composite Oil Spill Model
for Operational Services). TDL Office Note 82-4, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Maglaras, G. J., 1982: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting
the probability of precipitation in Alaska. TDL Office Note 82-9, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
Pore, N. A., 1982: An updated comparison of surface winds on the Great Lakes as
reported by buoys and ships. TDL Office Note 82-5, National Weather U.S.
Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Reap, R. M., D. S. Foster, and S. J. Weiss, 1982: Development and evaluation of
an automated convective outlook (AC) chart. Preprints 12th Conference on
Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 110-115.
Richardson, W. S., N. A. Pore, and D. M. Feit, 1982: A tide climatology for Boston,
Massachusetts. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-71,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 67 pp.
Schwartz, B. E., and G. M. Carter, 1982: An evaluation of a modified speed
enhancement technique for objective surface wind forecasting. TDL Office Note 82-1,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, J. P. Da11ava11e, 1982: An evaluation of MOS maximum/minimum temperature
forecasts for the eastern United States during two Arctic outbreaks. TDL Office
Note 82-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
Unger, D. A., 1982: The Sea Leve Pressure Prediction Model of the Local AFOS
MOS Program. Technical Memorandum 70 (TDL-70), National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.
1981
Bocchieri, J. R., J. P. Da11ava11e, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh,
D. J. Verce11i, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1981: Comparative verification
of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 9
(October 1979 - March 1980). TDL Office Note 81-3, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 78 pp.
Cahir, J. J., J. M. Norman, and D. A. Lowry, 1981: Use of a real-time
computer graphics system in analysis and forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
109, 485-500.
Charba, J. P., P. A. Jendrowski, and G. W. VandenBerghe, 1981: >Six-to-twe1ve
hour forecasting of meteorological fields using a pattern correlation model.
TDL Office Note 81-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 36 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and R. J. Bermowitz, 1981: Development of precipitation, surface
temperature, and upper-air temperature forecast equations for the Columbia River
Basin. Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of
Interior, BPA Contract No. 14-03-5269N, Phase V, Techniques Development Laboratory,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1981: Comments on "A comparison of interpolation methods for sparse data:
Application to wind and concentration fields." J. App1. Meteor., 20, 88-91.
, 1981: Comments "On the evaluation of point precipitation probability forecasts
in terms of areal coverage." Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 1120-1121.
Hess, K. W., 1981: A user's guide to COSMOS (Composite Oil Spill Model for
Operational Services). TDL Office Note 81-1, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.
Janowiak, J. E., 1981: The usefulness of LFM boundary layer forecasts as
predictors in objective surface wind forecasting. TDL Office Note 81-6,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1981: Automated forecasts of
surface temperature and dew point at 3-h intervals. Preprints Fifteenth
Conference on Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, Anaheim, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 190-193.
Kemper, J. E., P. E. Long, Jr., W. A. Shaffer, and M. McDonald, 1981: Application
of output from the Techniques Development Laboratory's Boundary Layer Model to
MOS forecasts of temperature, dew point, and precipitation type.
Preprints Seventh Conference on probability and Statistics in
Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90-93.
Long, P. E., Jr., and D. W. Pepper, 1981: An examination of some simple numerical
schemes for calculating scalar advection. J. App1. Meteor., 20, 146-156.
Lowry, D. A., 1981: The physical relationships contained within the MOS
precipitation model. Preprints Fourth Conference on Hydrometeorology,
Reno, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88-93.
Maglaras, G. J., J. P. Dallavalle, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, B. E. Schwartz,
and D. J. Vercelli, 1981: Comparative verification of guidance and local
aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 10 (April 1980 - September 1980).
TDL Office Note 81-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 61 pp.
Miller, R. G., 1981: GEM: A statistical weather forecasting procedure.
NOAA Technical Report NWS 28, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 103 pp.
, 1981: The Generalized Equivalent Markov (GEM) model.
Preprints Seventh Conference on probability and Statistics
in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 159-165.
, and D. L. Best, 1981: A beta classification model. TDL Office Note
81-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, T. J. Perrone, and W. C. Herrmann, 1981: Details on the application of GEM.
Preprints Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 166-169.
Pore, N. A., and B. G. Smith, 1981: Chesapeake Bay wave forecasts. TDL Office
Note 81-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.
, W. E. Kennedy, and J. A. May, 1981: Comparison of surface winds on the
Great Lakes as reported by buoys and ships. TDL Office Note 81-2, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Reap, R. M., D. S. Foster, and S. J. Weiss, 1981: The experimental convective
outlook (AC) chart: Comparative verification and preliminary evaluation.
TDL Office Note 81-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 24 pp.
Saffle, R. E., and R. C. Elvander, 1981: Use of digital radar data in automated
short range estimates of severe weather probability and radar reflectivity.
Preprints Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 192-199.
Schwartz, B. E., J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh,
G. J. Maglaras, and D. J. Vercelli, 1981: Comparative verification of guidance
and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 11 (October 1980 - March 1981).
TDL Office Note 81-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 77 pp.
Shaffer, W. A., P. E. Long, and J. E. Kemper, 1981: Use of trajectory forecasts
from the TDL Boundary Layer Model. Preprints Fifth Symposium on Turbulence.
Diffusion. and Air Pollution, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2 pp.
1980
Bermowitz, R. J., M. M. Heffernan, and H. R. Glahn, 1980: Computer worded forecasts:
An update. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-456.
Best, D. L., 1980: Surface wind forecasting using generalized operator model output
statistics. TDL Office Note 80-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1980: The objective use of upper air soundings to specify
precipitation type. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 598-603.
, 1980: Experiments in the use of local surface and upper-air observations
to update MOS precipitation type guidance. Preprints Eighth Conference on
Weather Forecastin~ and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 457-462.
Charba, J. P., and W. H. Klein, 1980: Skill in precipitation forecasting in the
National Weather Service. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 61, 1546-1555.
, and , 1980: Trends in precipitation forecasting skill in the National
Weather Service. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and
Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 391-396.
Dallavalle, J. P., J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and W. H. Klein, 1980: Improved surface
temperature guidance from the Limited-Area Fine Mesh Model. Preprints Eighth
Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-8.
Elvander, R. C., 1980: Further studies on the relationships between parameters
observed with objectively defined echoes and reported severe weather events.
Preprints 19th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Miami Beach, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 80-86.
Gilhousen, D. B., 1980: Automated prediction of tower winds and turbulence for the
Savannah River Nuclear Facility. Preprints Second Joint Conference in Applications
of Air Pollution Meteorology, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 792-792.
, 1980: Development and testing of automated wind forecasts for wind turbine
generator sites. Final Report No. PNL-3620 UC-60, Battelle Pacific Northwest
Laboratories, U.S. Department of Energy, 24 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1980: Methods and accuracy of statistical weather forecasting
in the United States. Preprints WMO Symposium on Probabilistic and
Statistical Methods in Weather Forecasting, Nice, World Meteor. Org., 387-395.
, 1980: Plans for the development of a Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP).
Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver,
Amer. Meteor. Suc., 302-305.
Heffernan, M. M., H. R. Glahn, and A. E. MacDonald, 1980: AFOS-era forecast
verification program. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting
and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 403-406.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., and V. J. Dagostaro, 1980: Specialized agricultural
weather guidance for Kentucky. TDL Office Note 80-5, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
Klein, W. H., and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1980: The evolution of MOS and perfect prog
methods of forecasting maximin surface temperatures in the United States.
Preprints WMO Symposium on Probabilistic and Statistical Methods in Weather
Forecasting, Nice, World Meteor. Org., 431-438.
Lowry, D. A., 1980: How to use and not to use MOS guidance. Preprints Eighth
Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11-12.
Murphy, A. H., and G. M. Carter, 1980: On the comparative evaluation of objective
and subjective precipitation probability forecasts in terms of economic value.
Preprints Ei~hth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 478-487.
Pore, N. A., 1980: Verification of ocean wave forecasts by the singular and spectral
methods. TDL Office Note 80-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 4 pp.
, and S. F. Brown, 1980: Improvement in the National Weather Service's North
Atlantic wave forecasts. Natl. Wea. Digest, 5, 39-42.
, and , 1980: Improvement in the National Weather Service's North Atlantic
wind and wave forecasts. Preprints Second Conference on Coastal Meteorology,
Los Angeles, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 54-57.
Reap, R. M., and D. S. Foster, 1980: Reply (to "Comments on 'Automated 12-36 hour
probability forecasts of thunderstorms and severe local storms'"). J. Appl.
Meteor., 19, 1334-1339.
Richardson, W. S., and C. L. Boggio, 1980: A new extratropical storm surge forecast
equation for Charleston, South Carolina. TDL Office Note 80-7, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
, 1980: Improved beach erosion forecasts for the U.S. East Coast.
TDL Office Note 80-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 13 pp.
Vercelli, D. J., J. P. Dallavalle, D. B. Gilhousen, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh,
and J. E. Janowiak, 1980: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public
weather forecasts--No. 8 (April 1979 - September 1979). TDL Office Note 80-8,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 68 pp.
Zurndorfer, E. A., 1980: A comparison of objective models for deriving threshold
probabilities to maximize the threat score. TDL Office Note 80-3, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.
, 1980: A comparative evaluation of PE, LFM, and probability of precipitation
amount quantitative precipitation forecasts for the period 1975-1979.
Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 19-22.
, and S. F. Corfidi, 1980: The use of a multivariate logit model for predicting
quantitative precipitation. TDL Office Note 80-4, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1980: Verification of MOS, PE, and LFM quantitative precipitation forecasts
for the 1979-80 cool season. TDL Office Note 80-9, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
1979
Alaka, M. A., R. C. Elvander, and R. E. Saffle, 1979: Nowcasts and short-range
(0-2 hour) forecasts of thunderstorms and severe convective weather for use in
air traffic control. Final Report No. FAA-RD-79-98, Federal Aviation Agency,
U.S. Department of Transportation, 31 pp.
, , and , 1979: The use of digitized radar to forecast severe convective
weather at or near air terminals, Preprints WHO Technical Con¬ference on
Aviation Meteorology, Geneva, World Meteor. Org., 21 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., and D. L. Best, 1979: An objective method for maximizing threat
score. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric
Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103-107.
, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1979: Automated guidance for predicting quantitative
precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 122-128.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1979: A new operational system for forecasting precipitation type.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 637-649.
, 1979: An improved use of the logit model to transform predictors for
precipitation type forecasting. TDL Office Note 79-7, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, 1979: Experiments in the use of local surface and upper-air observations
to update MOS precipitation type guidance. TDL Office Note 79-14, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, 1979: Studies in the specification of precipitation type from observed
upper-air soundings. TDL Office Note 79-12, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
, 1979: The use of LFM output for automated prediction of heavy snow.
Preprints Fourth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Silver Spring,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77-81.
, 1979: Use of the logit model to transform predictors for precipitation
type forecasting. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics
in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 49-54.
Burroughs, L. D., 1979: Verification of great lakes MOS wind forecasts.
Office Note 79-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 16 pp.
, and R. N. Larson, 1979: Wave clouds in the vicinity of Oahu Island, Hawaii.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 608-611
Carter, G. M., 1979: Experimental forecasts of convective gust potential-Phase II.
TDL Office Note 79-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, and D. B. Gilhousen, 1979: The potential impact of automated wind guidance on
wind energy conversion operations. Preprints Conference on Wind Characteristics
and Wind Energy Siting, Portland, U.S. Department of Energy and Amer. Meteor. Soc., 191-203.
, J. P. Dallavll1e, A. L. Forst, and W. H. Klein, 1979: Improved automated surface
temperature guidance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1263-1274.
Charba, J. P., 1979: Two to six hour severe local storm probabilities: An operational
forecasting system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 268-282.
, 1979: Recent performance of operational two-six hour objective forecasts of
severe local storms on outbreak days. Preprints 11th Conference on Severe
Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 600-607.
, and S. M. Burnham, 1979: Comparative verification of operational two to six hour
objective forecasts and official NWS watches of severe local storms: An update. TDL
Office Note 79-1, National Weather Se"rvice, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1979: Development of objective maximum/minimum temperature forecast
equations for Alaska. TDL Office Note 79-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 28 pp.
, and G. M. Carter, 1979: An objective scheme for including observed snow cover in
the MOS temperature guidance. TDL Office Note 79-4, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
, , and A. L. Forst, 1979: Development of LFM maximin and 3-hour1y temperature
equations for the cool season. TDL Office Note 79-3, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.
, , D. B. Gi1housen, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and
D. J. Verce11i, 1979: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/
public weather forecasts--No. 6 (April 1978 - September 1978). TDL Office Note
79-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Depart¬ment of Commerce, 61 pp.
Gilhousen, D. B., 1979: Automated prediction of boundary layer winds and turbulence
for the Savannah River Laboratory. Final Report prepared for U.S. Department of
Energy, Agreement No. EY-77-A-09-1007. Techniques Development Laboratory, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.
, 1979: Improved prediction of liquid precipitation type. TDL Office Note 79-8,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
, J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Da11ava11e, K. F. Hebenstreit,
G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and D. J. Verce11i, 1979: Comparative
verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts-¬No.5
(October 1977 - March 1978). TDL Office Note 79-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 73 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1979: Computer worded forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60, 4-11
, 1979: Comments on "The number of significant proper functions of two
dimensional fields." J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 713.
, 1979: Statistical Weather Forecasting in the National Weather Service,
Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences,
Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 139-147.
, 1979: Techniques Development Laboratory software standards. TDL Office
Note 79-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
Hebenstreit, K. F., J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, D. B.
Gilhousen, G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and D. J. Vercelli, 1979:
Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 7 (October 1978 - March 1979). TDL Office Note 79-17,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 85 pp.
Heffernan, M. M., and H. R. Glahn, 1979: Users guide for TDL's computer worded
forecast program. TDL Office Note 79-6, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.
Hess, K. W., 1979: The National Weather Service oil spill motion forecasting program.
Preprints Workshop on the Physical Behavior of Oil in the Marine Environment, Princeton,
Princeton University and National Weather Service, 311-322.
, and C. L. Kerr, 1979: A model to forecast the motion of oil on the sea.
Preprints 1979 Oil Spill Conference (Prevention. Behavior. Control. Cleanup),
Los Angeles, Amer. Petroleum Institute, 653-663.
Jelesnianski, C. P., 1979: Tropical storm surge forecasting in the National Weather
Service. Preprints Improved Hydrologic Forecasting Why and How Meeting. Pacific
Grove, Amer. Soc. of Civil Eng. and Amer. Meteor. Soc., 65-75.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., and G. M. Carter, 1979: Automated forecasts of agricultural
weather elements. Preprints Fourteenth Conference on Agriculture and Forest
Meteorology, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 42-44.
, and , 1979: Specialized agricultural weather guidance for South
Carolina. TDL Office Note, 79-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
Kemper, J. E., P. E. Long, and W. A. Shaffer, 1979: Forecast guidance products
from the Techniques Development Laboratory's Boundary Layer Model. Preprints
Fourth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor.
Soc. I 270-277.
Long, P. E., Jr" J. E. Kemper, and W. A. Shaffer, 1979: Physics, numerics, and
forecasts of the National Weather Service's atmospheric Boundary Layer Model.
Preprints Third IMACS International Symposium on Computer Methods for Partial
Differential Eauations, Bethlehem, Int. Assoc. Math. and Computers in
Simulation, 427-434.
Miller, R. G., 1979: Estimating event probabilities by discrete likelihood
functions. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics
in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc. 93-97.
, 1979: Conditional climatology given the local observation Natl. Wea.
Digest, 4, No.4, 2-15.
, and D. L. Best, 1979: A model for converting probability forecasts
to categorical forecasts. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability
and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc. 98-102.
, and R. C. Whiton, 1979: A weather simulation model based on REEP.
Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric
Sciences, Banff, Amer.Meteor. Soc., 167-172.
Morrill, R. A., E. H. Chin., and W. S. Richardson, 1979: Maine coastal storm
and flood of February 2, 1976. Geological Survey Professional Paper
No. 1087, Geological Survey, U.S. Department of the Interior, and National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
Pepper, D. W., D. C. Kern, and P. E. Long, 1979: Modeling the dispersion of
atmospheric pollution using cubic splines and chapeau functions.
Atmospheric Environment, 13, 223-237.
Pore, N. A., 1979: Automated wave forecasting for the Great Lakes.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1275-1286.
Reap, R. M., and D. S. Foster, 1979: Automated 12-36 hour probability forecasts
of thunderstorms and severe local storms. J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 1304-1315.
, and , 1979: On producing categorical forecasts from operational
probability forecasts of thunderstorms and severe local storms. Preprints
11th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 619-624.
Richardson, W. S., 1979: Extratropical storm surge forecast guidance for Ocean
City, Md. TDL Office Note 79-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
Richardson, W. S., D. A. Andrews, and F. A. Rosentein, 1979: Verification of Automated
East Coast Extratropical Storm Surge Forecasts. TDL Office Note 79-18, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.
Richardson, W. S. and D. J. Schawb, 1979: Comparison and Verification of Dynamical
and Statistical Lake Erie Storm Surge Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 69 (TDL-69),
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.
Saffle, R. E., 1979: Objective forecasts of convective weather using digital
radar data. Preprints 11th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 199-201.
Shaffer, W. A., 1979: A Simple Soil Heat Flux Calculation for Numerical Models.
Technical Memorandum 68 (TDL-68), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.
Zurndorfer, E. A., 1979: A Comparison of Conditional and Unconditional Forecasts
of The Probability of Precipitation Amount. TDL Office Note 79-19, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Zurndorfer, E. A., J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, D. B.
Gilhousen, K. F. Hebenstreit, and D. J. Vercelli, 1979: Trends in
comparative verification scores for guidance and local aviation/public
weather forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 799-811
1978
Barrientos, C. S., and K. W. Hess, 1978: Techniques for foracasting
trajectories and fates of ocean oil spills. TDL Office Note
78-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1978: On the use of LFM predictors in
PE-based PoPA equations. TDL Office Note 78-4, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
, and , 1978: On the use of LFM predictors in PE-based probability
of precipitation amount equations. Natl. Wea. Digest, 3, No.4, 45-47.
, and D. L. Best, 1978: An objective method for maximizing threat score.
TDL Office Note 78-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 11 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1978: A new automated system for forecasting precipitation type.
Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation
Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 355-362.
, 1978: Verification of MOS heavy snow forecasts for the 1977-78 winter season.
TDL Office Note 78-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 9 pp.
Cahir, J. J., J. M. Norman, and D. A. Lowry, 1978: Use of a real-time computer
graphics system for diagnosis and forecasting. Preprints Conference on
Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 194-196.
Carter, G. M., A. L. Forst, W. H. Klein, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1978: Improved
automated forecasts of maximum/minimum and 3-hour1y temperatures. Preprints
Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology,
Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 171-178.
Charba, J. P., and S. M. Burnham 1978: Comparative verification of operational
two to six hour objective forecasts and official NWS watches of severe local
storms. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and
Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 20-26.
, and , 1978: Comparative verification of operational two to six
hour objective forecasts and official NWS watches of severe local storms.
TDL Office Note 78-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 15 pp.
Crisci, R. L., 1978: A plan for improved short-range aviation weather forecasts.
Final Report No. FAA-RD-78-73, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of
Transportation, 38 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and T. H. Grayson, 1978: Development and operational use of
3-hour temperature guidance. TDL Office Note 78-2, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.
Das, P. K., M. Miyazaki, and C. P. Je1esnianski, 1978: Present techniques of
tropical storm surge prediction. Reports on Marine Science Affairs No. 13,
WHO No. 500, World Meteor. Org., 87 pp.
Feit, D. M., and N. A. Pore, 1978: Objective wind forecasting and verification
on the Great Lakes. J. Great Lakes Res., 4, 10-18.
Foster, D. S., and R. M. Reap, 1978: Archiving the new manually-digitized radar
data. TDL Office Note 78-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 21 pp.
, and , 1978: Comparative verification on the operational 24-hr
convective outlooks with the objective severe local storm guidance based
on model output statistics. TDL Office Note 78-7, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
, and , 1978: Verification of forecasts made from the thunderstorm
probability nomogram for Washington, D.C. TDL Office Note 78-8, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,S pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1978: Computer worded forecasts. Preprints Conference on
Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 374-381.
, 1978: Comments on "Determining the relative frequency of occurrence of
local cumulonimbus activity through discriminant analysis." Mon. Wea.
Rev., 106, 265-267.
, 1978: Computer Worded Public Weather Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 67
(TDL-67), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.
, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1978: Design study for the development and use of
model output statistics in automated aviation weather forecasting. Final
Report prepared for Air Force Geophysicia1 Laboratory, Hanscom Air Force Base,
Massachusetts, Contract No. AFGL-TR-79-0002, Techniques Development Laboratory,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 37 pp.
, E. A. Zurndorfer, J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, D. J. Verce11i, D. B.
Gilhousen, J. P. Da11ava11e, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1978: The role of
statistical weather forecasts in the National Weather Service's operational
system. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and
Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 382-389.
Grayson, T. H., G. M. Carter, S. Brown, and A. MacDonald, 1978: Forecasting
high level convection and gusty surface winds--An interactive man machine
experiment. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and
Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 313-319.
Green D. R., and R. E. Saffle, 1978: Radar Analysis of the 1977 Johnstown
flash flood. Preprints Conference on Flash Floods: Hydrometeoro1ogical
Aspects, Los Angeles, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 176-180.
Hoxit, L. R., R. A. Maddox, C. F. Chappell, F. L. Zuckerberg, H. M. Mogil,
I. Jones, D. R. Greene, R. E. Saffle, and R. A. Scofield, 1978: Meteorological
analysis of the Johnstown, Pennsylvania, flash flood, 19-20 July 1977.
NOAA Technical Report ERL 40l-APCL 43, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 71 pp.
Jensenius, J. S., Jr., and G. M. Carter, 1978: Ground condensation guidance
for Indiana and Michigan. TDL Office Note 78-12, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
, and , 1978: Experimental rate of pan evaporation forecasts--
Phase II. TDL Office Note 78-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, E. A. Zurndorfer, and G. M. Carter, 1978: Specialized agriculture
forecast guidance for Michigan and Indiana. TDL Office Note 78-9,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
Lewis, F., P. L. Moore, and D. A. Lowry, 1978: Use of manually digitized
radar data in forecasting precipitation and flash floods. Preprints
18th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-456.
Long, P. E., 1978: Calculations for estimating the equilibrium washout of tritium.
Report No. DP-1443, E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company, Savannah River Laboratory,
Aiken, South Carolina, 35 pp.
, W. A. Shaffer, J. E. Kemper, and F. J. Hicks, 1978: The state of the
Techniques Development Laboratory's Boundary Layer Model: May 24, 1977.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-66, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.
Miller, R. G., and D. L. Best, 1978: A model for converting probability
forecasts to categorical forecasts. TDL Office Note 78-14, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Pepper, W. D., and P. E. Long, 1978: A comparison of results using second
order moments with and without correction to solve the advection equations.
J. Appl. Meteor., 17, 228-233.
Richardson, W. S., 1978: Extratropical storm-related beach erosion. Mariners
Wea. Log, 22, 149-153.
, 1978: Forecasting extratropical storm-related beach erosion along the
U. S. east coast. TDL Office Note 78-13, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.
Saffle, R. E., and D. R. Green, 1978: The role of radar in the flash flood watch
warning system: Johnstown examined. Preprints 18th Conference on Radar
Meteorology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 468-473.
Vercelli, D. J., and M. M. Heffernan, 1978: AFOS aviation local monitoring and
updating program. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and
Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 369-373.
Zurndorfer, E. A., G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, D. B. Gilhousen, K. F.
Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and D. J. Vercelli, 1978:
Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather
forecasts--No. 4 (April - September 1977) TDL Office Note 78-3,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.
1977
Alaka, M. A., J. P. Charba, and R. M. Reap, 1977: Automated operational
prediction of thunderstorms and severe local storms. Proceedings
of the 7th Technical Exchange Conference. El Paso. Texas.
30 November-3 December 1976, Atmospheric Sciences Laboratory, White
Sands Missile Range, New Mexico, 137-144.
, , and R. C. Elvander, 1977: Thunderstorm prediction for use in air
traffic control (0-6 hours time range). Final Report No. FAA-RD-77-40,
Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 32 pp.
Barrientos, C. S., 1977: Development of ocean oil spill concentration and
trajectory forecast methods. Proceedings of the Program Review Meeting.
Environmental Protection Agency's Interagency Energy/Environment Program,
Newport, 10 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1977: Verification of warm season PoPA
categorical forecasts of precipitation amount. TDL Office Note 77-2,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.
, and , 1977: Verification of PoPA categorical forecasts of
precipitation amount--Cool season. TDL Office Note 77-21, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 4 pp.
, , and J. P. Dallavalle, 1977: Development of updated warm season
precipitation and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin.
Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of
Interior, BPA Contract No. l4-03-5269N, Phase III, Techniques Development
Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
, , and, , 1977: Development of updated cool season precipitation
and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared
for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, BPA
Contract No. l4-03-5269N, Phase IV, Techniques Development Laboratory,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1977: Two cases of inaccurate probability of frozen
precipitation (PoF) forecasts. TDL Office Note 77-3, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
, 1977: Experiments to improve the conditional probability of frozen
precipitation (PoF) forecasts for the Eastern Region of the National
Weather Service. TDL Office Note 77-16, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
, 1977: A graphical aid for forecasting the conditional probability
of freezing rain. TDL Office Note 77-17, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
, 1977: A graphical aid for forecasting the conditional probability
of freezing rain. Natl. Wea. Digest, 2, No.4, 3-4.
, 1977: The use of Model Output Statistics (MOS) for predicting the
probability of heavy snow. TDL Office Note 77-18, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.
, G. M. Carter, R. L. Crisci, D. B. Gilhousen, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W.
Hollenbaugh, and D. J. Verce11i, 1977: Comparative verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 3
(October 1976 - March 1977). TDL Office Note 77-14, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.
Carter, G. M., 1977: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 4.
TDL Office Note 77-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 5 pp.
, 1977: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 3. TDL
Office Note 77-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1977: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 2.
TDL Office Note 77-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 11 pp.
, and T. H. Grayson, 1977: Experimental forecasts of convective gust
potential. TDL Office Note 77-9, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
, and J. S. Jensenius, 1977: Experimental rate of pan evaporation forecasts.
TDL Office Note 77-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 10 pp.
Charba, J. P., 1977: Operational system for predicting thunderstorms two to six
hours in advance. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-64, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.
, 1977: Operational System for Predicting Severe Local Storms two
to Six Hours in Advance. Technical Memorandum 65 (TDL-65), National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.
, 1977: Features of a two to six hour forecasting system of thunderstorms and
severe local storms as revealed by individual predictor-predictand relationships.
Preprints Tenth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 344-351.
Crisci, R. L., G. M. Carter, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1977: Comparative verification of
guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 2 (April - September 1976).
TDL Office Note 77-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., 1977: Development of 0000 GMT cycle statistical 3-hr
temperature forecast equations for the fall season. TDL Office Note
77-20, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
, 1977: Development of objective 72-hr 0000 GMT cycle maximum temperature
prediction equations for the summer and fall seasons. TDL Office Note 77-22,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.
, and G. A. Hammons, 1977: Tests on various predictor lists used in development
of maximum/minimum forecast equations. TDL Office Note 77-19, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
. , and , 1977: Testing and implementation of MOS maximin forecast
equations derived from extended range PE fields. TDL Office Note 77-4,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, W. H. Klein, and G. A. Hammons, 1977: Verification of the National
Weather Service's objective maximum/minimum temperature guidance.
PreDrints Fifth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric
Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 347-352.
Dewey, K. F., 1977: Lake-effect snowstorms and the record breaking 1976-77
snowfall to the lee of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Weatherwise, 30, 228-231.
, 1977: Daily maximum and minimum temperature forecasts and the influence
of snow cover. Mon. Wea. Rev., lOS, 1594-1597.
Elvander, R. C., 1977: Relationships between radar parameters observed with
objectively defined echoes and reported severe weather occurrences.
Preprints Tenth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 73-76.
Foster, D. S., and R. M. Reap, 1977: Thunderstorm probability nomogram.
TDL Office Note 77-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 4 pp.
Gilhousen, D. B., 1977: Automated prediction of probability of precipitation
(PoP) in Alaska--Summer season. TDL Office Note 77-8, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, 1977: Automated prediction of the conditional probability of frozen
precipitation (PoF) for Alaska. TDL Office Note 77-12, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1977: Automated prediction of probability of precipitation (PoP) in
Alaska--Fall season. TDL Office Note 77-11, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1977: Automated forecasts of surface weather elements.
Proceedings of the 7th Technical Exchan~e Conference. El Paso. Texas.
30 November-3 December 1976, Atmospheric Sciences Laboratory, White Sands
Missile Range, New Mexico, 29-36.
Grayson, T. J., 1977: Analysis of cool season lake-related mesoscale phenomena
using numerical variational analysis. Preprints Third Conference on Numerical
Weather Prediction, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 182-188.
, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1977: Development and operational use of 3-hr objective
temperature forecasts. Preprints Fifth Conference on Probability and Statistics
in Atmospheric Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53-56.
Long, P. E., W. A. Shaffer, J. E. Kemper, and F. J. Hicks, 1977: The State of the
Techniques Development Laboratory's Bounday Layer Model.
Technical Memorandum 66 (TDL-66), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 66 pp.
Miller, R. G., R. C. Whiton and M. J. Kelly, Jr., 1977: Results of a single station
forecasting experiment. Preprints Fifth Conference on Probability and Statistics
in Atmospheric Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 37-40.
Pore, N. A., 1977: Automated Great Lakes Wave Forecasts.
Technical Memorandum 63 (TDL-63), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
, 1977: Storm hazards. Coastal Ecosystem Management.
John Wiley and Sons, 720-723.
, and P. S. DeLeonibus, 1977: An aid for reducing wind speeds over water
to a standard level. TDL Office Note 77-10, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1977: Operational thunderstorm and severe local storm probability
forecasts based on model output statistics. Preprints Tenth Conference on
Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 376-381.
, and D. S. Foster, 1977: Automated Prediction of Thunderstorms and Severe
Local Storms. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-62, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
, and , 1977: Operational probability forecasts for major outbreaks
of severe local storms. Preprints Fifth Conference on Probability and
Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 41-46.
Saffle, R. E., 1977: A case study of reported severe weather events and
concurrent vertically integrated liquid water content values. Preprints
Tenth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104-109.
Yu, T. W., 1977: A comparative study on parameterization of vertical turbulent
exchange processes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 57-66.
, 1977: Parameterization of surface evaporation rate for use in numerical
modeling. J. ADD1. Meteor., 16, 393-400.
, 1977: Notes on a turbulence parameterization of the atmospheric boundary
layer. J. Meteor. Soc. of JaDan, 55, 617-622.
Zurndorfer, E. A., and H. R. Glahn, 1977: Significance testing of regression
equations developed by screening regression. Preprints Fifth Conference
on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences. Las Vegas, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 95-100.
1976
Alaka, M. A., J. P. Charba, and R. C. Elvander, 1976: Short-range thunderstorm
prediction for air terminals and surrounding airlines. Final Report
No. FAA-RD-77-40, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of
Transportation, 31 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., 1976: An on-station method for forecasting precipitation amount.
TDL Office Note 76-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 9 pp.
, 1976: Reply (to "Comments on 'An application of model output statistics to
forecasting quantitative precipitation'''). Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1183-1184.
, E. A. Zurndorfer, J. P. Dallavalle, and G. A. Hammons, 1976: Development of
warm season precipitation and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin.
Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior,
Contract No. 14-03-5269N, Phase I, Techniques Development Laboratory, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.
, , , and , 1976: Development of cool season precipitation and
temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared for
Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, Contract No.
l4-03-5269N, Phase II, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., and H. R. Glahn, 1976: Verification and further development of an
operational model for forecasting the probability of frozen precipitation.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 691-701.
, and , 1976: Reply (to "Comments on 'Verification and further development
of an operational model for forecasting the probability of frozen precipitation').
Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1446-1448.
Carter, G. M., 1976: Automated prediction of cloud amount from numerical model output.
Preprints Sixth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 62-66.
, 1976: Comparative verification of local and guidance cloud amount forecasts--No. 2.
TDL Office Note 76-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
13 pp.
, 1976: Testing LFM- and PE-based statistical cloud prediction for the cool season.
TDL Office Note 76-18, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
11 pp.
, 1976: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 1. TDL Office
Note 76-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1976: Comparative verification of local and guidance
surface wind forecasts--No. 4. TDL Office Note 76-7, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1976: Testing LFM-based statistical cloud prediction
equations for the cool season. TDL Office Note 76-12, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 3 pp.
, and H. R. Glahn, 1976: Objective prediction of cloud amount based on model
output statistics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1565-1572.
, J. R. Bocchieri, R. L. Crisci, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1976: Comparative
verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts-¬No.1.
TDL Office Note 76-13, National Weather Service, NOAA. U.S. Department
of Commerce, 32 pp.
Crisci, R. L., 1976: Improving the bias in MOS ceiling and visibility forecasts.
TDL Office Note 76-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 8 pp.
, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and D. J. Vercelli, 1976: Comparative verification of
guidance, local, and persistence forecasts of ceiling and visibility-No.1.
TDL Office Note 76-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 8 pp.
Dallavalle, J. P., and G. A. Hammons, 1976: Use of LFM data in PE-based maximin
forecast equations. TDL Office Note 76-14, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Elvander, R. C., 1976: An evaluation of the relative performance of three weather
radar echo forecasting techniques. Preprints 17th Conference on Radar
Meteorology, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 526-532.
Feit, D. M . 1976: Single station marine wind forecasts based on model output
statistics. Preprints Conference on Coastal Meteorology, Virginia Beach,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83-87.
, and D. S. Goldenberg, 1976: Climatology of surface temperatures of Lakes
Superior, Huron, Erie and Ontario. TDL Office Note 76-16, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Foster, D. S., 1976: Severe local storm relative frequency distributions for use
in deriving severe thunderstorm forecast equations. TDL Office Note 76-1.
National Weather Service, NOAA. U.S. Department of Commerce, 3 pp.
, 1976: Thunderstorm relative frequency distributions for use in deriving
thunderstorm forecast equations. TDL Office Note 76-2, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
Foster, D. S., 1976: Verification of Severe Local Storm Warnings
Based on Radar Echo Characteristics. Technical Memorandum 60 (TDL-60), National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.
, and R. M. Reap, 1976: Verification of thunderstorm probability forecasts
for the summer of 1975. TDL Office Note 76-5, National Weather Service,
NOAA. U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.
, and , 1976: Verification of severe local storm conditional
probability forecasts for 1975. TDL Office Note 76-9, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U,S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Gilhousen, D. B., 1976: Improving short-range precipitation guidance during
the summer months. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS ER-6l, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.
, 1976: Testing the LFM for PoP forecasting-summer season. TDL Office
Note 76-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1976: Comments on "A central Texas synoptic climatology and its
use as a precipitation forecast tool." Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1069-1070.
, 1976: Progress in automation of public weather forecasts. Mon. Wea.
Rev., 104, 1505-1512.
, 1976: Numerical-statistical forecasting in the National Weather Service.
Weather Forecasting and Weather Forecasts: Models. Systems. and Users--Vol. 2.
National Center for Atmospheric Research Colloquium, Boulder, 448-552.
, 1976: Forecast evaluation at Techniques Development Laboratory.
Weather Forecasting and Weather Forecasts: Models. Systems. and
Users--Vol. 2. National Center for Atmospheric Research Colloquium,
Boulder, 831-838.
, 1976: Automation of public weather forecasting. Preprints Sixth
Conference on Weather Forecastin~ and Analysis, Albany, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 44-49.
, 1976: Comments on "Bayes Strategies." Aerospace Sciences Rev.,76-1,
Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of Defense, 48-51.
, and J. R. Bocchieri, 1976: Testing the Limited Area Fine Mesh Model for
probability of precipitation forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 127-132.
Hammons, G. A., J. P. Dallavalle, and W. H. Klein, 1976: MOS temperature forecast
equations based on three-month seasons. Preprints Sixth Conference on Weather
Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 50-55.
, , and, , 1976: Automated temperature guidance based on three-month seasons.
Mon.Wea. Rev., 104, 1557-1564.
Jelesnianski, D. P., 1976: A Sheared Coordinate System For
Storm Surge Equations of Motion with a Mildly Curved Coast.
Technical Memorandum 61 (TDL-61), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 65 pp.
Klein, W. H., 1976: AFOS forecast applications. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1494-1504.
, 1976: AFOS forecast applications. Preprints Sixth Conference on
Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-43.
, 1976: AFOS program and some forecast applications. Weather Forecasting
and weather Forecasts: Models. Systems. and Users--Vol. 2. National Center for
Atmospheric Research Colloquium, Boulder, 672-681.
, 1976: AFOS--Automation of field operations and services. Physics of the
Earth and Planetary Interiors, 12, 112-117.
, 1976: Statistical forecasting of local weather from numerical programs.
Preprints WHO Symposium on Interpretation of Broad-scale NWP Products for Local
Forecasting Purposes, Warsaw, World Meteor. Org., 85-93.
Long, P. E., and D. W. Pepper, 1976: A comparison of six numerical schemes for
calculating the advection of atmospheric pollution. Preprints Third Symposium
on Atmospheric Turbulence. Diffusion. and Air Oualitx, Raleigh, Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 181-187.
Lowry, D. A., and H. R. Glahn, 1976: An operational model for forecasting probability
of precipitation--PEATMOS PoP. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 221-232.
Pore, N. A., 1976: Automated forecasting of extratropical storm surges.
Preprints Fifteenth Coastal Engineering Conference, Honolulu, Amer. Soc. of
Civil Eng., Vol. 1, 906-920.
, 1976: Operational marine environmental prediction programs of the
Techniques Development Laboratory. TDL Office Note 76-10, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.
, 1976: Low water-storm of April 3-4, 1975. Mariners Weather Log, 20, 6-8.
, and C. S. Barrientos, 1976: Storm Surge. MESA New York Bight Atlas
Monograph 6, New York Sea Grant Institute, Albany, New York, 44 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1976: Assimilation of Surface, Upper Air, and Grid-Point
Data in the Objective Analysis Procedure for
Three-Dimensional Trajectory Model.
Technical Memorandum 59 (TDL-59), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.
Saffle, R. E., 1976: D/RADEX products and field operation. Preprints 17th
Conference on Radar Meteorolo~y, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 555-559.
Wasserman, S. E., and D. B. Gilhousen, 1976: Prediction of meteorological factors
related to beach erosion at New Jersey and Long Island, N. Y., J. Appl.
Meteor., 15, 313-318.
Yu, T. W., 1976: Numerical studies of the atmospheric boundary layer with a
turbulent energy closure scheme. Preprints Third Symposium on Atmospheric
Turbulence. Diffusion. and Air Quality, Raleigh, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53-59.
Zurndorfer, E. A., and R. J. Bermowitz, 1976: Determination of an optimum number
of predictors for probability of precipitation amount forecasting. TDL Office
Note 76-17, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
1975
Alaka, M. A., J. P. Charba, and R. C. Elvander, 1975: Short range thunderstorm
forecasting for aviation. Interim Report No. FAA-RD-75-220, Federal Aviation
Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 24 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., 1975: An application of model output statistics to forecasting
quantitative precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 149-153.
, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1975: Current status of probability of precipitation
amount (POPA) forecasting. TDL Office Note 75-10, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
Carter, G. M., 1975: Automated prediction of thunderstorms, drizzle, rain, and
showers--No. 2. TDL Office Note 75-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 4 pp.
, 1975: Automated prediction of surface wind from numerical model output.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 866-873.
, 1975: Comparative verification of local and guidance cloud amount
forecasts--No. 1., TDL Office Note 75-7, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
, 1975: Forecasting surface wind direction using deviations from the PE
boundary layer wind. TDL Office Note 75-5, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1975: Comparative verification of local and
guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 3, TDL Office Note 75-9, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.
, H. R. Glahn, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1975: Comparative verification of local
and guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 2., TDL Office Note 75-1, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.
Charba, J. P., 1975: Operational scheme for short range forecasts of severe local
weather. Preprints Ninth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Norman, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 51-57.
Dallavalle, J. P., and L. F. Bosart, 1975: A synoptic investigation of
anti-cyclogenesis accompanying North American polar air outbreaks.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 941-957.
Elvander, R. C., 1975: The relationship between digital weather radar data
and reported severe weather occurrences. Preprints 16th Radar Meteorology
Conference, Houston, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 333-336.
Foster, D. S., and R. M. Reap, 1975: Thunderstorm and severe local storm
distributions for 1974 derived from manually digitized radar data and
severe local storm reports. Preprints Ninth Conference on Severe Local
Storms, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64-67.
Glahn, H. R., 1975: Making probability forecasts by objective methods,
Aerospace Sciences Review, 75-3, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department
of Defense, 13-23.
, and J. R. Bocchieri, 1975: Testing the LFM for PoP forecasting. TDL
Office Note 75-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 13 pp.
, and , 1975: Objective estimation of the conditional probability of
frozen precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 3-15.
, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and F. T. Globokar, eds., 1975: Computer programs for
the MOS development system IBM 360/195 version. TDL Office Note 75-2,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, Updated as
necessary, in 1989 contained 186 programs of 1 to 20 pages each.
, and W. H. Klein, 1975: Present status of statistical weather forecasting.
Preprints Fourth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmosuheric Sciences,
Tallahassee, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-6.
Jelesnianski, C. P., nd C. S. Barrientos, 1975: A Preliminary View of Storm Surges Before
and after Storm Modifications for Alongshore-Moving Storms.
Technical Memorandum 58 (TDL-58), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
Klein, W. H., and G. A. Hammons, 1975: Maximum/minimum temperature forecasts
based on model output statistics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 796-806.
Long, Jr., P. E., 1975: Dissipation, Dispersion and Difference Schemes.
Technical Memorandum 56 (TDL-56), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 33.
, and W. A. Shaffer, 1975: Some Physical and Numerical
Aspects of Boundary Layer Modeling.
Technical Memorandum 55 (TDL-55), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 36.
, and F. J. Hicks, 1975: Simple properties of chapeau functions and their
application to the solution of the advection equation. TDL Office Note
75-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.
Lowry, D. A., 1975: Meteorological forecast applications associated with AFOS.
IEEE Transactions of Geoscience Electronics, Vol. GE 13, 116-122.
Pore, N. A., H. P. Perotti, and W. S. Richardson, 1975: Climatology of Lake Erie
Storm Surges at Buffalo and Toledo. Technical Memorandum 54 (TDL-54),
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 27.
Reap, R. M., and D. S. Foster, 1975: New operational thunderstorm and severe storm
probability forecasts based on Model Output Statistics (MOS). Preprints Ninth
Conference on Severe Local Storms, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 58-63.
Richardson, W. S., 1975: Evaluation of computer-produced Lake Erie storm surge
forecasts from September 1, 1974 through April 30, 1975. TDL Office Note 75-6,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.
Shaffer, W. A. and P. E. Long, Jr., 1975: A Predictive Boundary Layer Model.
Technical Memorandum 57 (TDL-57), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 44.
Yu, T. W., and N. K. Wagner, 1975: Numerical study of the nocturnal atmospheric
boundary layer. Boundary Layer Meteor., 9, 143-162.
1974
A1aka, M. A., 1974: The advantages and requirements of optimum interpolation
in the objective analysis of meteorological fields. Preprints Fifth
Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 148-151.
, and R. C. Elvander, 1974: Comparative capabilities of current radiosonde
and satellites in determining geopotentia1 heights and their space derivatives
at 300 mb. TDL Office Note 74-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 14 pp.
Barrientos, C. S., 1974: SPLASH--A numerical model for forecasting hurricane
storm surges. Fourteenth Report on Research Work in Tropical Meteorology,
World Meteor. Org., 3 pp.
, and C. P. Je1esnianski, 1974: Some numerical experiments of the effects of
hurricane modification on storm surges. Proceedings of the WHO Technical
Conference, Manila, World Meteor. Org., 31-36.
, and J. Chen, 1974: Storm surge shoaling corrections along the east coast.
Study for the Federal Insurance Administration, Interagency Agreement IAA-H-19-75,
Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department
of Commerce, 16 pp.
, C. P. Jelesnianski, and A. D. Taylor, 1974: Users' guide for the SPLASH program.
Prepared for the National Technical Information Service, Techniques Development
Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.
Bermowitz, R. J., 1974: Forecasting quantitative precipitation with use of model output
statistics. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 75-78.
, and T. H. Grayson, 1974: Comparative verification of SUM, PE, and LFM models for
the winter season 1973-1974. TDL Office Note 74-8, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., 1974: A Comparison Between the Single Station and Generalized
Operator Techniques for Automated Prediction of Precipitation Probability.
Technical Memorandum 53 (TDL-53), National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce.
, H. R. Glahn, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1974: Comparative verification of guidance
and local forecasts of precipitation type. TDL Office Note 74-11, National Weather
Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
, R. L. Crisci, H. R. Glahn, F. Lewis, and F. T. G1obokar, 1974: Recent
developments in automated prediction of ceiling and visibility. J. Meteor., 13,
277-288.
Carter, G. M., 1974: A brief study of wind gust factors. TDL Office Note 74-2,
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.
, 1974: The use of model output statistics in automated prediction of
surface winds--No. 2. TDL Office Note 74-3, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
, 1974: Automated prediction of thunderstorms, drizzle, rain, and showers.
TDL Office Note 74-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 8 pp.
, H. R. Glahn, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1974: Comparative verification of local
and guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 1. TDL Office Note 74-12, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.
Charba, J. R., 1974: Objective forecasts of severe thunderstorms from observed
surface predictors. TDL Office Note 74-1, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1974: Application of gravity current model to analysis of squall-line
gust front. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 140-156.
Crisci, R. L., 1974: A development plan to improve short range aviation weather
forecasts. Preprints Sixth Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical
Meteorology, El Paso, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 14 pp.
Feit, D. M., and C. S. Barrientos, 1974: Great Lakes wind forecasts based on
model output statistics. Preprints 17th Conference on Great Lakes Research,
Hamilton, Int. Asso. Great Lakes Res., 725-732.
Glahn, H. R., 1974: An objective cloud forecasting system. Preprints Fifth
Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79-80.
, 1974: Problems in the use of probability forecasts. Preprints Fifth
Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 32-35.
, 1974: The TDL MOS development system IBM 360/195 version. TDL Office
Note 74-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 66 pp.
, and J. Bocchieri, 1974: Predicting the Conditional Probability of
Frozen Precipitation. Technical Memorandum 51 (TDL-51),
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.
Globokar, F. T., 1974: Computerized ceiling and visibility forecasts. Preprints
Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 228-233.
Grayson, T. H., and R. J. Bermowitz, 1974: A Subsynoptic Update Model and forecast
system with application to aviation weather. Final Report, Phase II, No.
FAA-RD-74-l00, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 46 pp.
Hammons, G. A., and W. H. Klein, 1974: Operational temperature forecasting by means
of model output statistics. TDL Office Note 74-4, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
, 1974: New MOS temperature forecast equations based on winter 1969-1974 data.
TDL Office Note 74-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
16 pp.
Jelesnianski, C. P., 1974: SPLASH (Special Program to List Amplitudes of Surges
From Hurricanes: Part Two. General Track \softline and Variant Storm
Conditions. Technical Memorandum 52 (TDL-52), National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 55 pp.
Klein, W. H., 1974: Weather forecasting from Model Output Statistics (MOS).
Preprints Second Annual Forecast Research Symposium, Toronto, Canadian
Atmospheric Environment Service, 29 pp.
, 1974: Review of "On synoptic climatology methods and applications."
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 55, 1023-1024.
, and R. L. Crisci, 1974: Objective forecasting of ceiling and visibility.
Preprints Sixth Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, El Paso,
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 472-477.
, and H. R. Glahn, 1974: Forecasting local weather by means of model output
statistics. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 55, 1217-1227.
Lowry, D. A., W. H. Klein, H. R. Glahn, and R. L. Crisci, 1974: Forecast applications
associated with AFOS. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis,
St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 7-12.
Pore, N. A., 1974: A forecast aid for extratropical storm surges at Washington,
North Carolina. TDL Office Note 74-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
, 1974: A forecast aid for extratropical storm surge at Minnesott Beach,
North Carolina. TDL Office Note 74-5, National Weather Service, NOAA,
U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.
, W. S. Richardson, and H. P. Perrotti, 1974: Forecasting Extratropical Storm
Surges the Northeast Coast of the United States. Technical Memorandum 50 (TDL-50),
National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 70 pp.
Reap, R. M., 1974: Thunderstorm and severe weather probabilities based on model
output statistics. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis,
St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-269.
Richardson, W. S., 1974: Evaluation of computer-produced Lake Erie storm surge
forecasts from September 1, 1973 through April 30, 1974. TDL Office Note
74-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.
1973
Alaka, M. A., W. D. Bonner, J. P. Charba, R. L. Crisci, R. C. Elvander, and
R. M. Reap, 1973: Objective techniques for forecasting thunderstorms and
severe convective weather. Final Report No. FAA-RD-73-ll7, Federal
Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 97 pp.
, Robert C. Elvander, 1973: Comparative Capabilities of Current
Radiosondes and Satellites in Determining Geopotential Heights and Their
Space Deriviative at 300 MB. TDL Office Note 73-7, National
Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.
Barrientos, C. S., and C. P. Jelesnianski, 1973: Storm surge shoaling corrections
along the Gulf Coast. Study for Federal Insurance Administration, Interagency
Agreement lAA-H-5-73, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service,
NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.
Bocchieri, J. R., and H. R. Glahn, 1973: Computer prediction of the probability of snow.
Weatherwise, 26, 264-269.
, H. R. Glahn, and F. T. Globokar, 1973: An application of model output statistics
to the prediction of ceiling and visibility. Federal Aviation Administration
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Carter, G. M., 1973: Use of model output statistics in automated prediction of surface
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, 1973: The TDL MOS development system CDC 6600 version. TDL Office Note 73-5,
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Jelesnianski, C. P., and A. D. Taylor, 1973: A preliminary view of storm surges, before and
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Richardson, W. S., 1973: Application of modified Lake Erie storm surge program to 1972-1973
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1972
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1971
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1970
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at 108 Cities in the Conterminous United States. Technical Memorandum 31 (TDL-31),
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visibility prediction. Interim Report No. FAA-RD-70-22, Federal Aviation Agency,
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Klein, W. H., 1970: The forecast research program of the Techniques Development
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Lowry, D. A., 1970: Recent advances in the National Meteorological Service of Greece.
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McClelland, J. M., 1970: Technique for Forecasting Low Water Occurrences
in Baltimore and Norfolk. Technical Memorandum 28 (TDL-28), National Weather
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Murphy, A. H. and R. A. Allan, 1970: Probabilistic Prediction in Meteorology;
a Bibliography. Technical Memorandum 35 (TDL-35), National Weather Service, NOAA,
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Pore, N. A., 1970: Summary of Selected Reference Material on the
Oceanographic Phenomena of Tides, Storm Surges, Waves, and Breakers.
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, 1969: Clear air turbulence and upper level meteorological patterns.
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forecasting. Proceedings of the 1969 Symposium on Meteorolog¬ical Observations and
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, 1969: The computer's role in weather forecasting. Weatherwise, 22, 195-218.
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Korte, August F., Donald L. Jorgensen and William H. Klein, 1969: Charts Giving Station Precipitation in
the Plateau States from 700- and 500millibar Lows During Winter.
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1968
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1967
A1aka, H. A., 1967: A survey of studies of aero1ogica1 network requirements.
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Design of Optimum Global Meteorological Networks.
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1966
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Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.
Klein, W. H., 1966: Objective forecasts of surface temperature from one to three days in advance.
J. Appl. Meteor., 5, 137-147.
, and Billy M. Lewis, 1966: Hemispheric Specification of Sea Level Pressure from Numerical
700-mb Height Forecasts. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 47-TDL-5, Environmental Science
Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 40 pp.
Lewis, F., 1966: Growing pains in the automation of climatic functions. Technical Note No. 73,
World Meteor. Org., 72-74.
1965
Alaka, M. A., and D. T. Rubsam, 1965: Evaluation of the kinematic and thermal fields
during the development of hurricane Ella (1962). Mon. Wea. Rev., 93, 673-686.
Colson, D., and H. A. Panofsky, 1965: An index of clear air turbulence.
Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 91, 507-513.
Glahn, H. R., 1965: Objective weather forecasting by statistical methods.
The Statistician, 15, 111-142.
Harris, D. L., N. A. Pore, and R. A. Cummings, 1965: Tide and tidal current prediction
by high speed digital computer. International Hydrographic Rev., XLII, 95-103.
Harrison, L. P., 1965: Proposal for an experimental triple-tubed adiabatic salurator
to measure thermodynamic wet-bulb temperature as a limit approached during the saturation
process. Humidity and Moisture. Measure¬ment and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 1,
R. E. Ruskin, ed., Reinhold, 33-63.
, 1965: Fundamental concepts and definitions relating to humidity. Humidity and Moisture.
Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 3, A. Wexler and W. A. Wi1dhack, eds.,
Reinhold, 3-69.
, 1965: Some fundamental considerations regarding psychrometry. Humidity and Moisture.
Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 3, A. Wexler and W. A. Wi1dhack,
eds., Reinhold, 71-103.
, 1965: Imperfect gas relationships. Humidity and Moisture. Measurement and Control in
Science and Industry, Vol. 3, A. Wexler and W. A. Wi1dhack, eds., Reinhold, 105-256.
Harrison, W., N. A. Pore, and D. R. Tuck, Jr., 1965: Predictor equations for beach processes
and responses. J. Geophvsica1 Res., 70, 6103-6109.
Jelesnianski, C. P., 1965: A numerical calculation of storm tides induced by a tropical storm
impinging on a continental shelf. Mon. Wea. Rev., Volume 93, number 6,
343-358.
Johannessen, Karl R., 1965: Atmospheric Effects on Re-Entry Vehicle Dispersions.
Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 29-TDL-3, Environmental Science
Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.
Klein, W. H., 1965: Synoptic climatological models for the United States.
Weatherwise, 18, 252-259.
, 1965: Application of synoptic climatology and short-range numerical prediction to
five-day forecasting. Research Paper No. 46, Weather Bureau, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 109 pp.
, 1965: Five-day precipitation patterns derived from circulation and moisture.
Humidity and Moisture. Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 2,
Reinhold, 532-549.
, 1965: Application of synoptic climatology and existing numerical prediction
to medium-range forecasting. WHO-IUGG Symposium on Research and Development
Aspects of Long Range Forecasting, Boulder, Technical Note No. 66,
WHO No. 162.TP.79, World Meteor. Org., 103-125.
, Curtis W. Crockett and Carlos R. Dunn, 1965: Objective Prediction of Daily
Surface Temperature. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 10-TDL-1, Environmental
Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.
, , and J. Andrews, 1965: Objective prediction of daily precipitation and cloudiness.
J. Geophysical Res., 70, 801-813.
Pore, N. A., 1965: Chesapeake Bay extratopical storm surges. Chesapeake Science, 6, 172-182.
, A.T. Angelo and J.G. Taylor, 1965: Hurricane Cindy Galveston
Bay Tides. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 11-TDL-2, Environmental Science
Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.
1964
Alaka, M. A., 1964: On the nature of the triggering mechanism in hurricane formation.
Geofisica International, Mexico, 231-240.
, 1964: Problems of tropical meteorology. Technical Note No. 62, WHO No. l55.TP.75,
World Meteor. Org., 1-36.
Gales, D., 1964: Critical dew-point temperatures for fog at Los Angeles International Airport.
TWA Supplement to Technical Bull. No. 62.6, 6 pp.
Glahn, H. R., 1964: The use of decision theory in meteorology with an application to aviation
weather. Mon. Wea. Rev., 92, 383-388.
, 1964: An application of adaptive logic to meteorological prediction.
J. Appl. Meteor., 3, 718-725.
, and J. O. Ellis, 1964: Note on the determination of probability estimates.
J. Appl. Meteor., 3, 647-650.
, and R. A. Allen, 1964: A comparison of scatter-diagram analysis with discriminant
analysis and a note on maximizing the skill score. Mon. Wea. Rev., 92, 509-512.
Harris, D. L., and C. P. Jelesnianski, 1964: Some problems involved in the numerical
solutions of tidal hydraulics equations. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
Volume 92, Number 9, 409-422.
Harrison, W., and N. A. Pore, 1964: Alternate multiregression technique for obtaining
predictor equations. Technical Memorandum No.7, U.S. Army Coastal Engineering
Research Center, 8 pp.
, 1964: The Weather Bureau tide observing network. Mariners Weather Log, 8, 108-110.
Pore, N. A., 1964: The relation of wind and pressure to extratropical storm surges at
Atlantic City. J. ADD1. Meteor., 3, 155-163.
1963
None
1962
None
1961
None
1960
Pore, A., 1960: Chesapeake Bay hurricane surges. Chesapeake Science, Volume 1,
Number3-4, 178-186.