MDL JOURNAL ARTICLES/CONFERENCE PREPRINTS

MDL Journal Articles and Conference Preprints

1997

Blier, W., S. Keefe, W. A. Shaffer, and S. C. Kim, 1997: Storm surges in the region of western Alaska. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 3094-3108. Calkins, J. E., and M. R. Peroutka, 1997: Local effect phrases in the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 120-123. Dallavalle, J. P., 1997: Changes in the National Weather Service's statistical forecasting system. Proceedings EPRI 11th Forecasting Symposium, Arlington, Electrical Power Research Institute, 10 pp. Ghirardelli, J. E., and D. A. Unger, 1997: Cloud layer forecasting within the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 426-431. Kitzmiller, D. H., and J. Sun, 1997: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from a radar extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints 28th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Austin, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 216-217. Meiggs, R. K., M. R. Peroutka, and S. L. Snyder, 1997: Updating forecasts via the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 116-119. Oberfield, M. G., and D. P. Ruth, 1997: Preparing aerodrome forecasts via the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J18-J21. Peroutka, M. R., M. G. Oberfield, and J. M. Sierchio, 1997: Fire weather products in the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64-67. Reap, R. M., 1997: Probability forecasts of aircraft icing for the contiguous U.S. Preprints Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100-105. Ruth, D. P. , and L. Du, 1997: Tailoring model forecasts with slider bars in the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 124-127. Settlemaire, J.B., and M.C. Erickson, 1997: A preliminary verification of medium-range ensemble-based MOS forecasts. Abstracts National Weather Association 22nd Annual Meeting Program, Reno, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number) Smith, S. B., 1997: Comments on "An interesting mesoscale storm- environment interaction observed just prior to changes in severe storm behavior." Wea. Forecasting, 12, 368-372. 1998

Antolik, M. S., 1998: Eta-based MOS quantitative precipitation forecasts in an era of rapidly changing numerical models: How well can we do? Preprints 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Battel, G., J.P. Tuell, G. Trojan, S. Romano, and B. Baxter, 1998: Generating automated weather summaries in the AWIPS era. Abstracts National Weather Association 23rd Annual Meeting Program, Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number) Calkins, J. E., and M. R. Peroutka, R. K. Meiggs, and J. Lang, 1998: Creating NOAA Weather Radio broadcast scripts using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Charba, J. P., 1998: Evaluation of LAMP quantitative precipitation forecasts. Preprints 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). , 1998: The LAMP QPF products. Part I: Model development. Wea. Forecasting, Wea. Forecasting, 934 - 965. , Y. Liu, M. H. Hollar, B. Exley, and A. Belayachi, 1998: Gridded climatic monthly frequencies of precipitation amount for 1-, 3-, and 6-h periods over the conterminous United States. Wea. Forecasting, (in press). Churma, M. E., and S. B. Smith, 1998: Evaluation of the AWIPS thunderstorm product. Preprints 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (in press). Kelly, D. S., and J. E. Ghirardelli, 1998: A general overview of methodology and applications of the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP), a short-range forecast guidance product. Preprints 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Kitzmiller, D.H., 1998: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from a satellite extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-455. Mannarano, D., and R. Beasley, 1998: Quality control of ASOS observations. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Meiggs, R. K., M. R. Peroutka, and D. P. Ruth, 1998: Implementing Interactive Forecast Preparation nationwide. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Peroutka, M. R., R. K. Meiggs, and M. B. Romberg, 1998: The generation of products in Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Ruth, D. P., 1998: Model interpretation using slider bars in Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Ruth, D. P., M. A. Mathewson, T. J. LeFebvre, and P. K. Wu, 1998: Interpretation and editing techniques for Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Saffle, R. E., J. Cappelletti, W. Carrigg, T. Ganger, M. Jain, S. B. Smith, and D. Miller, 1998: Accelerating the integration of new meteorological algorithms into the WSR-88D, The Common Operations Development Environment. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Silverman, A.M., R.W. Przybylinski, and D.H. Kitzmiller, 1998: Derived WSR-88D products and environmental indicies as severe weather predictors - a statistical evaluation. Preprints 19th Conference on severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 744-747 `~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~```` storms Smith, S. B., G. W. Reuter, and M. K. Yau, 1998: The episodic occurrence of hail in Central Alberta and Highveld of South Africa. Atmosphere-Ocean, 36-2, 169-178. _____, J. T. Johnson, R. D. Roberts, S. M. Zubrick, and S. J. Weiss, 1998: The System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting Field Test 1997-98. Preprints 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 790-793. _____, S. B., T. M. Graziano, R. A. Lane, W. O. Alexander, M. D. Eilts, J. T. Johnson, J. W. Wilson, R. D. Roberts, D. W. Burgess, D. H. Kitzmiller, R. E. Saffle, R. C. Elvander, S. M. Zubrick, J. T. Schaefer, S. J. Weiss, and D. A. Imy, 1998: The System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., (in press). Tuell, J. P., B. Baxter, D. Zipper, and G. Battel, 1998: Generating automated climatological summaries in the AWIPS era. Abstracts National Weather Association 23rd Annual Meeting Program, Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number). 1999

Allen, R. L., 1999: AVN-based MOS precipitation type forecasts. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 36. Antolik, M.S., 1999: An overview of the National Weather Service's centralized statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts. Journal of Hydrology, submitted for publication. Battel, G. F., J. P. Tuell, G. Trojan, S. V. Romano, and B. N. Baxter, 1999: Generating automated weather summaries in the AWIPS era. Preprints 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 345-348. Carroll, K. L., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: Statistical forecasts of temperature in the medium range. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 32. Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: MOS-2000: A new era in interpretive weather guidance? Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 25. Erickson, M. C., 1999: Updated MRF-based MOS guidance: Another step in the evolution of objective medium-range forecasts. Preprints 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 190-195. Houston, S. H., W. A. Shaffer, M. D. Powell, and J. Chen, 1999: Comparisons of HRD and SLOSH surface wind fields in hurricanes: Implications for storm surge forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 671-686. Hughes, K. K., 1999: AVN-based statistical forecasts of thunder storms and severe thunderstorms for the contiguous U.S. Preprints 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 201-205. Kim, S.-C. and J. Chen, 1999: Bottom stress of wind-driven currents over an inner shelf determined from a depth-integrated storm surge model. J. Coastal Res., 766-773. Kitzmiller, D. H., M. A. R. Lilly, and S. D. Vibert, 1999: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing radar, satellite, and lightning observations. Preprints 29th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Montreal, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 876-879. Lenning, E., and M.S. Antolik, 1999: New AVN-based MOS precipitation forecasts: Taking the primary statistical precipitation guidance to the threshold of the medium range. Preprints 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 196-200. Morris, K. R., and C. K. Kluepfel, 1999: WFO forecast verification in AWIPS--initial capabilities and future plans. Preprints 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 360-363. Shirey, M. A., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: Statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts based on the medium range forecast model. Preprints 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 206-211. Smith, S. B., S. K. Goel, M. T. Filiaggi, M. Churma, and L. Xin, 1999: Overview and status of the AWIPS System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 326-329. Smith, S. B., P. A. Hirschberg, and M. M. Mercer, 1999: National Weather Service SAFESEAS - A new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Preprints 3rd Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 176-179. _____, P. A. Hirschberg, and M. M. Mercer, 1999: National Weather Service SAFESEAS - A new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Preprints 3rd Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 176-179. _____,_____, and J. L. Partain, 1999: NWS SAFESEAS - A new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 23. Tuell, J. P., B. N. Baxter, and G. F. Battel, 1999: Generating automated climatological summaries in the AWIPS era. Preprints 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 349-355. Weiss, M., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1999: AVN-based statistical forecasts of total cloud amount and ceiling height. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 41. 2000

Antolik, M.S., 2000: An overview of the National Weather Service's centralized statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts. Journal of Hydrology, 306-337. Ghirardelli, J. E., 2000: Current status and future plans for the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, National Weather Association, p. 49. Guan, S., D. H. Kitzmiller, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2000: National Weather Service program for the development of radar mosaic products. Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, National Weather Association, p. 41-42. Hirschberg, P.A., S. B. Smith, and M. M. Mercer, 2000: National Weather Service SAFESEAS - Update on a new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Preprints 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 128-131. Laybe, P., K. S. Sperow, and R. K. Meiggs, 2000: Generating watches, warnings, and advisory broadcast scripts for the NOAA Weather Radio using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90-93. Peroutka, M. R., and J. E. Calkins, 2000: Generating marine forecasts using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98-101. Ruth, D. P., 2000: Models, forecasters, and Interactive Forecast Preparation in the new millennium. Preprints 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82-85. Schattel, J. L., Jr., and R. K. Meiggs, 2000: Managing product improvement in the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94-97. Smith, S. B., 2000: Categorical thunderstorm and tornado warnings in the National Weather Service. Preprints, 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 307-309. _____,2000: The THOR project: Improved thunderstorm forecasts for aviation and the general public. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J15-J17. _____, J. G. LaDue, and D.R. MacGorman, 2000: The relationship between cloud-to-ground lightning polarity and surface equivalent potential temperature during three tornadic outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 3320-3328. _____, J. Roe, M. T. Filiaggi, M. Glaudemans, M. Churma, L. Xin, and R. Erb, 2000: Flash flood monitoring and prediction in AWIPS build 5 and beyond. Preprints 15th Conference on Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 229-232. Sperow, K. S., R. K. Meiggs, W. J. Goodman, and W. D. Jiang, 2000: Generating watches, warnings, and advisories using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86-89. Weiss, M., and J. P. Dallavalle, 2000: A comparison of AVN- and NGM-based statistical forecasts of ceiling height and total cloud amount. Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, National Weather Association, p. 49. 2001

Allen, R. L., 2001: Observational data and MOS: The challenges in creating high-quality guidance. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 322-325. Hughes, K. K., 2001: Development of MOS thunderstorm and severe thunderstorm forecast equations with multiple data sources. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 191-195. Kitzmiller, D. H., S. D. Vibert, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2001: Short-range forecasts of rainfall amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations. Preprints Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, Albuquerque, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-270. Smith, S. B., D. Pace, S. Goodman, D. Burgess, D. Smarsh, R. Roberts, and M. Wolfson, 2001: The THOR Project: Reducing the impact of thunderstorms on aviation and the general public through a multi-agency effort. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 314-315. Wu, C. S., 2001: Tropical cyclone waves in the ocean. Preprints International Conference on Port and Maritime Research and Development Technology, Singapore, International Maritime Organization, . _____,and A. A. Taylor, 2001: Wave forecasting in the coastal marine zone. Preprints Fourth International Symposium on Ocean Waves (WAVES 2001), San Francisco, American Society of Civil Engineers (ONR), . 2002

Boyer, T. R., and D. P. Ruth, 2002: Tools for model interpretation in the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 46-51. Calkins, J. E., E. J. Mandel, and R. K. Meiggs, 2002: Providing user support for the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84-87. Erickson, M. C., J. P. Dallavalle, and K. L. Carroll, 2002: The new AVN/MRF MOS development and model changes: A volatile mix? Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82-87. Feng, Y., and D. H. Kitzmiller, 2002: A comparison between neural network and linear regression approaches to a short-range quantitative precipitation forecasting problem. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J220-J226. Filiaggi, M. T., S. B. Smith, M. Churma, L. Xin, and M. Glaudemans, 2002: Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction Version 2.0: Continued AWIPS Modernization. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J179-J182. Glahn, H. R. and J. P. Dallavalle, 2002: The new NWS MOS development and implementation systems. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78-81. _____, and B. Lawrence, 2002: GRIB2: The WMO standard for the transmission of gridded data – Current status and NWS plans. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J267-J269. Hughes, K. K., 2002: Automated gridded forecast guidance for thunderstorms and severe local storms based on the Eta model. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J19-J22. Kitzmiller, D.H., F.G. Samplatsky, and C. Mello, 2002: Probabilistic forecasts of severe local storms in the 0-3 hour timeframe from an advective-statistical technique. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J89-J92. Maloney, J.C., 2002: Eta-based probability of precipitation amount guidance for the continental United States. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 415-418. Meiggs, R. K., and B. D. Papa, 2002: Performing service backup with the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80-83. Oberfield, M. G., and K. V. Pegion, 2002: Generating digital forecast matrices from gridded forecasts in the interactive forecast preparation system. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 54-57. Papa, B. D., M. A. McInerney, M. R. Peroutka, and J. L. Schattel, Jr., 2002: Generating marine watches, warnings, and advisories using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 62-65. Peroutka, M. R., M. G. Oberfield, J. T. Davis, and R. Yu, 2002: Identifying local effects in gridded forecasts for the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 58-61. Ruth, D. P., 2002: Interactive Forecast Preparation - The future has come. Preprints Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 20-22. 2003

Boyer, T. R., and D. P. Ruth, 2003: National Digital Forecast Database design and development. Preprints 19th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Charba, J. P., D. W. Reynolds, B. E. McDonald, and G. M. Carter, 2003: Comparative verification of recent quantitative precipitation forecasts in the National Weather Service: A simple approach for scoring forecast accuracy. Wea. Forecasting, 18, in press. Glahn, H. R., and D. P. Ruth: 2003: The new digital forecast database of the National Weather Service. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 195-201.

Date of Last Change - 9/23/2005

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