ࡱ> 45  !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~Root Entryb.@p`9$@SlideShowp$p$Main sPerfectOffice_MAIN&Wsk Original Slide Show Oh+'Oh+'0D P \TDL$5c:\Corel\Suite8\Programs\Masters\Printout\BARS.MST$TDL      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123WPCW ~  U::,;2;8; B(H(Y(_(.|"XXXX'3XXXX3' >A'h[ 6TDaQRLMKWPC '  '2  I  .3  AVN-BasedMOSPrecipitationTypeForecasts....2  1  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@RebeccaL.AllenO, \AZ"Arial RegularOTechniquesDevelopmentLaboratoryOfficeofSystemsDevelopmentNWS[?a 9Z+.Courier New Regular[   '  '2  I  .3  AVNPrecipitationTypeGuidance..2  A  .3  Theprobabilitythataspecificprecipitationtypewilloccurgiventhatprecipitationoccursatthatstation.-# -2  I  .3  PrecipitationTypes..2  A  .3  Frozen󀀀󀀀Liquid..2  A  .3  ԀO, \AZ"Arial RegularOPureSnowRainO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^Ԁ..2  A  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOSnowGrainsDrizzleO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^ԀO, \AZ"Arial RegularOO, \AZ"Arial RegularOԀRain/SnowMixedThunderstorms..2  A  .3  ..2  A  .3  ..2  A  .3  Freezing..2  A  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOFreezingRainO, \AZ"Arial RegularOFreezingDrizzleO, \AZ"Arial RegularOIcePelletsO, \AZ"Arial RegularOAnythingMixedwithFreezingRain/Drizzle,orIcePelletsO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^..2  A  .3  ..2  A  .3  # #2  I  .3  MOSTechnique..2  A  .3  StatisticallyrelatesobservedweatherelementstoO, \AZ"Arial RegularOappropriateO, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@Ԁpredictors.( (2  I  .3  StatisticalParticulars..2  A  .3  MultipleLinearRegression....2  1  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOxxxForwardselection....2  1  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOxxxEnhancednon-linearpredictorsO, \AZ"Arial RegularO..2  A  .3  RegionalEquations( (2  I  .3  PtypeDevelopmentRegions....2  1  .3  4RegionalEquationsO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^'`  '2  I  .3  Predictors,"    ,2  I  .3  ZRPredictor..2  A  .3  Coldtemperatureatsurface..2  A  .3  Inversionaloftwithintemperaturebounds..2  A  .3  Modelpredictsprecipitation(   (2  I  .3  DevelopmentalSample..2  A  .3  611stationsjudgedto reportreliably ..2  A  .3  2YearsofData:....2  1  .3  Sep16-May15of97/98,98/99....2  1  .3  Modeldatafrom00zcycle..2  A  .3  ConditionalO, \AZ"Arial RegularOFFF -onlycaseswhereprecipoccurredO, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@ @O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^((2  I  .3  Verification....2  1  .3  Isitanygood?..2  A  .3  P-Score....2  1  .3  Mean-squarederrorofprobabilityforecasts....2  1  .3  ComparewithNGMMOSPtypeandclimatology..2  A  .3  IndependentSample....2  1  .3  ~400stations....2  1  .3  88days:Last15daysOct98-Mar99"a  "2  I  .3   2  I  .3  '  '2  I  .3  Conclusions&FutureWork..2  A  .3  AVNPtypeskillfull;notasaccurateasNGMyet..2  A  .3  ScheduledimplementationFebruary2000# #2  I  .3  TDLWebsite..2  A  .3  Http://nws.noaa.gov/tdl/synop VB3 -`y'C)^XZzC@[Background BlankBackground 3 TitleBulleted ListTextOrg ChartData ChartCombinationWPCINEMWS-3'XXXX,,,,513 ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9WPCXX81%k 3'XXXXKKKK5139WPCT}ZQ0%13'XXXXKKKK5/ @1 9tv  0ZQ0%/ @1 f 3B"`!a +$+#%#%##(""c# # #+#+$1  **`"_ $$##**`# s^dnw$$##1""`$]GQ$Q$^#^#1f3""`%a;$;$~$$**`& Ua;$F#C#9$1."`'aD#k#k#G $;$;$C#1  3**`( NS3_ $$##**`)GW s 03nw$$##  */lnee\w.k1 fr **`*2g9sY~ "+"+e~ e**`+$$##**`, s^dn$$##**`- NS3$$##**`.GW s 03n$$##WPC)XX81%/Ņ3'XXXXKKKK ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9R"HF.0 :.0 C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  ! 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$ =2  I  .3  TitleofShow  H.0 .+13 `… .0 .0  .+%13 `Å/-O, \AZ"Arial RegularO` ` `         @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO` ` `  TitleofShow.+%13 `ą.0.0nn.+13"J*20h20Cxx \AZ"Arial Regular +Cxx \AZ"Arial Regular +Cxx \AZ"Arial Regular +Cxx \AZ"Arial Regular +Cxx \AZ"Arial Regular +Cxx \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  Z 4 f@2  I  .3  SubtitleofShow  J20+%13 |/8O, \AZ"Arial RegularOxxx        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularOxxx        @SubtitleofShowWPCu'XX81%0"]3'XXXXKKKK ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9R"z2-R/#:R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  ! 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$ >2  I  .3  TitleofSlide  zR/#.+13 `WR9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `X/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q Q O, \AZ"Arial RegularOTitleofSlide.+%13 `YR / /{R{.+13"|=/j/C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 fA2  I  .3  SubtitleofSlide  |/+%13 O5F/9O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @SubtitleofSlide+%13"&u/"Ju/"C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +9/-111  ! 4  @ @ @ @ @ " dddddd$ X2  I  .3  FirstItem2  A  .3  Subitem2  I  .3  SecondItem2  A  .3  Subitem2  I  .3  ThirdItem2  I  .3  FourthItem  u/".+13 `Zu//"u"+13 `[+:/1O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        a /-111aO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..FirstItem..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..SubitemO, \AZ"Arial RegularO            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..SecondItem..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..SubitemO, \AZ"Arial RegularO            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..ThirdItemO, \AZ"Arial RegularO            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..FourthItem+13 `\u//uWPC%XX81%F0"3'XXXXKKKK ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9"2.R/#:R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  ! 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$ >2  I  .3  TitleofSlide  R/#.+13 `R9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q Q O, \AZ"Arial RegularOTitleofSlide.+%13 `R / /{R{.+13"=/j/C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 fA2  I  .3  SubtitleofSlide  /+%13 5F/9O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @SubtitleofSlide+%13"&u /":u /"C @@, \AZ"Arial Regular +C xx, \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  ! 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$ 2  I  .3  Thisisthefirstitem.Thisistheseconditem.Thisisthethirditem.Thisisthefourthitem.  u /".+13 `u//"u".+%13 `+:/*O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@Thisisthefirstitem.Thisistheseconditem.Thisisthethirditem.Thisisthefourthitem..+%13 `u!/!/|u|WPCTXX81%0"3'XXXX,,,, ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9"ߌ/.#CA"Arial Regular #@  @K  2  I  .3  PR7OrgChart@y/< Name >< Title >      ! $     $ $    $    $ $ $ $  $  $ $ $  $  $ $ $  $  $ $ $  $  $ $ $ $  $  $ $ $  $  $ $ $  $  $ $ $  $  $A                                        O ߌ/- r sT#T# t uT# v- '  wT#- T#'  x)- )'  yT#' T#!  z' )' -+13 `{'s,s,- '- 1``` `|&u,u,_ s,- s,'1 `}&u&_ ,_ s,- '- '1 `~  & &- - 1``` `k u=&u=&_ &- & 1 `k uk _ =&_ &- - 1 `5- 5- 1``` `uu_ - 51 `u_ _ - 5- 51 ` ! &! & 1``` `k =& =& & &! ! 1 `k k =& &  ! -+13  - '  - '  - '  ' !   ' ' -+13 `;;- - 1``` `umum_ ;- ;1 `u_ m_ ;- - 1 `e - e - 1``` `3 uu_ - e 1 `3 u3 _ _ - e - e 1 `k k - - 1``` `u u _ k - k 1 `u_ _ k - - 1 `e ! ! e 1``` `3  ! e ! 1 `3 3 e e ! 1 `oo!!1``` `iiSo!o1 `iSSo!!+13"o21R/#jR/#C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 f>2  I  .3  TitleofSlide  oR/#+13 `lR9#/9#/#R#+'13 `m/"9O \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO \AZ"Arial RegularO        @ TitleofSlide+'13 `nR//nRn+13"q=/j/C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 fA2  I  .3  SubtitleofSlide  q/+' p5F/9O \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO \AZ"Arial RegularO        @SubtitleofSlideWPCCXX81%Z0"B3'XXXXKKKK ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9"]20R/#jR/#C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +C \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 f>2  I  .3  TitleofSlide  ]R/#+13 `ZR9#/9#/#R#+%13 `[/"9O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @ TitleofSlide+%13 `\R//nRn+13"_=/j/C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 fA2  I  .3  SubtitleofSlide  _/+%13 ^5F/9O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @SubtitleofSlide+%13 1Z/EvZ/E#?Y@4@#?Y@4@#?@?cc 1Z 1Z   22226ffffffֿp= ף(\?TQ ! 1DDD  ! 1fff  ! 1  ! 1   ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1   ! 1    ! 1    ! 1    ! 1    ! 1   ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1?  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  4+++@@@UUUkkkfffW ` ` &d9 Z6Times New Roman Regular +  1ZW &d9 Z6Times New Roman Regular +  1ZC ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +ٝ  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +ٝ  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C , \AZ"Arial Regular +  1ZC , \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C , \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +   1  C , \AZ"Arial Regular +   1  C , \AZ"Arial Regular +    1 Z C , \AZ"Arial Regular +    1  C , \AZ"Arial Regular +    1   $ // ?Title of ChartSubtitleLegendd )@1st Qtr2nd Qtr3rd Qtr4th QtrNorth# Z2AU@South# 2(-F@East# (@West# - m 1Z/E.'13  TT  //  T / L)+13 TP V/V T / Tw |/| T  /)   y   7' ) K. S   S  S  ,@ @   @  *~ ~  ~ _ %  1 [-)+1###3``` L1 ! !)L1DDD3  1 L1 L 14443 L!)) 1###3```  1   1DDD3 1 1 14443  1###3``` #1 $ $#1DDD3 i1 #1 #i14443 #$> i1###3``` ,1 [- [-,$1DDD3 '(1 ,1 ,$'($14443 ,$[-('($ %  C p ++13333``` p w wA1fff3 C p p C 1MMM3 wA AC 13333``` `p 5 5`1fff3 p `p `1MMM3 `513333``` "p " "";1fff3 p "p ";;1MMM3 ";";13333``` *p + +*t1fff3 }&p *p *t}&t1MMM3  *t+R'}&t $  *61DDD3```    G  13     1ggg3   G m G 1DDD3```     13 V   V 1ggg3   + V 1DDD3``` s H! H!6s 13  s s 1ggg3 s H!661DDD3``` 1) * * 1)B 13 $ 1) 1)B $B 1ggg3 1)B * % $B  $ $\(1UUU3``` M "N " M 7 13 M M 7 7 13 M 7 " 7 1UUU3```  N   13     13      1UUU3``` N +  13 j j 13   + ?+ j 1UUU3``` !'\(N \('13 "(#''(#13 #'\(#(#13 %  .%3 & ^ O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  1stQtr.%3 'qq.%3 (GO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  2ndQtr.%3 )//.%3 *{O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  3rdQtr.%3 +$$.%3 ,9#&O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  4thQtr.%3 -T.%3 .`, O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  0.%3 /TP P .%3 0( ` O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  20.%3 1T  .%3 2(B `SO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  40.%3 3Tww.%3 4(`O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  60.%3 5T  .%3 6(h`yO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  80.%3 7T.%3 8` O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  100 0 A 'A.+%1DDD3 9  A. A. .+%13 :sN O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  North.+%1fff3 ;UUAA.+%13 < O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  South.+%13 =AA.+%13 >K& O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  East.+%13 ?-"-"Ar#Ar#.+%13 @$' O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  WestWPC<[XX81%0"3'XXXXKKKK ?"""333DDDUUUfffwwwMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMffM&f3@MYfs3MfMMff3Mf&M3f@MYfs3MfMf33MMff&M3f@MYfs3Mf̙ٳMMff3MfM&f3@MYfs3MfpJ&T0Z4`8f<k@pEzJ̉]٘p槂Ħϰֿfffffffffrffffrffffff9"Y2.R/#:R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  ! 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$ >2  I  .3  TitleofSlide  YR/#.+13 `R9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q Q O, \AZ"Arial RegularOTitleofSlide.+%13 `R / /{R{.+13"[=/j/C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +C` \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  @Z 4 fA2  I  .3  SubtitleofSlide  [/+%13 Z5F/9O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @SubtitleofSlide+%13"A JA C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +9/!!!!!!  ! 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$ X2  I  .3  FirstItem2  A  .3  Subitem2  I  .3  SecondItem2  A  .3  Subitem2  I  .3  ThirdItem2  I  .3  FourthItem  A .+13 `+++13 `䓁 O, \AZ"Arial RegularORRR        @a /!!!!!!aO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..FirstItemO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @..        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @06..SubitemfO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..SecondItemO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @..        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @06..SubitemfO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..ThirdItemfO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..FourthItem+13 `B B   .+13"ƇY/zY/#?Y@4@#?Y@4@#?@?cc 1Z 1Z   22226ffffffֿp= ף(\?TQ ! 1DDD  ! 1fff  ! 1  ! 1   ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1   ! 1    ! 1    ! 1    ! 1    ! 1   ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1?  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  ! 1  4+++@@@UUUkkkfffW ` ` &d9 Z6Times New Roman Regular +  1ZW &d9 Z6Times New Roman Regular +  1ZC ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +ٝ  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +ٝ  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C , \AZ"Arial Regular +  1ZC , \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C , \AZ"Arial Regular +  1C ee, \AZ"Arial Regular +   1  C , \AZ"Arial Regular +   1  C , \AZ"Arial Regular +    1 Z C , \AZ"Arial Regular +    1  C , \AZ"Arial Regular - @   3 @   // ?Title of ChartSubtitleLegendd .@1st Qtr2nd Qtr3rd Qtr4th QtrNorth# Z2AU@South# 2(-F@East# (@West# - m ƇY/.'13 "O "p  "O "//O   "O /O f- +13  "o/o "/ 1"/ P"/) Q# %O  & =)O   * ,O ) Q/ !  ! !O . =!  =! =!  .p p   p  % " .+1###3``` $ $' $$f1DDD3 " $ $f"f14443 $f$2#"f1###3``` ' =(' =(w''1DDD3 =& ' ''=&'14443 ''=(w&w=&'1###3``` G+ +' +G+1DDD3 ) G+ G+)14443 G++))1###3``` . .' ...1DDD3 , . .,14443 ...G-., % ="8 Q.+13333``` #8 =$ =$#1fff3 ="8 #8 #="1MMM3 #=$"="13333``` G'8 ' 'G'w1fff3 %8 G'8 G'w%w1MMM3 G'w'%%w13333``` *8 * *O*1fff3 (8 *8 *(1MMM3 **OG)O(13333``` -8 Q. Q.-1fff3 Q,8 -8 -Q,1MMM3 -Q.,Q, $ ! -(1DDD3``` G# # # G#@ 13 ! G# G#@ !@ 1ggg3 G#@ # ! !@ 1DDD3``` & & && 13 $ & & $ 1ggg3 & &G%$ 1DDD3``` ) Q* Q*()13 Q( ) )Q(1ggg3 )Q*(((Q(1DDD3``` [- - - [- 13 + [- [- + 1ggg3 [- - + +  $ “ -1UUU3``` " "I "Y " 13  " " 13 " "Y G!Y 1UUU3``` % Q&I Q&h % 13 Q$ % % Q$ 13 % Q&h $h Q$ 1UUU3``` [) )I )x [)) 13 ' [) [)) ') 13 [)) )x 'x ') 1UUU3``` , -I -,13  + , , +13 , -[+ +13 Ó! !5 .%3 ē *#O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  1stQtr.%3 œ$ $5 .%3 ƓL#&O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  2ndQtr.%3 Ǔ[( [(5 .%3 ȓ&)O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  3rdQtr.%3 ɓ+ +5 .%3 ʓ'*H-O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  4thQtr.%3 ˓ Y .%3 ̓o4 = O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  0.%3 ͓ Y .%3 ΓT ] O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  20.%3 ϓY.%3 Гt }O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  40.%3 ѓ1Y1.%3 ғ O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  60.%3 ӓPYP.%3 ԓ O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  80.%3 ՓpYp.%3 ֓Y O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  100 0 ߓ ,w.+%1DDD3 ד ? w!w!?.+%13 ؓ0#>%GO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @North.+%1fff3 ٓu'?u'w(w(?.+%13 ړ)>,GO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @South.+%13 ۓ  !!.+%13 ܓ0#%O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @East.+%13 ݓu'u'((.+%13 ޓ),O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @West ^o 66L9he4a;Bi%JRYh a npQvTp{߲uT sw>u*WPCXX81%XX81%'3'XXXXKKKK9"$#eX0{8#eX0{C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +C ` ` , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   $#eX0{.+'13 `!#X0X0{#{.+%13 `"3:H/O, \AZ"Arial RegularO` ` `         @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO` ` `  AVN-BasedMOSPrecipitationTypeForecasts.+%13 `##fX0fX0#WPCXX81%XX81%'3'XXXXKKKK9"&O/2/C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  Z 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   &/.+%1 %5F/O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularOO, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@RebeccaL.AllenO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @TechniquesDevelopmentLaboratoryOfficeofSystemsDevelopmentNWS        @WPCfXX81%XX81%c3'XXXXKKKK9"\2'R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   \R/#.+'13 `YR9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `Z/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO Verification.+%13 `[R / /{R{WPCXX81%XX81%c3'XXXXKKKK9"^=/2/C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?  Z 4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   ^/.+%1 ]5F/O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO Isitanygood?WPCXX81%XX81%c3'XXXXKKKK9"b&u/"Hu/"C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +9/-111   4  @ @ @ @ @ " dddddd$  bu/".+%1 `_u//"u"+13 ``+:/1EO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        a /-111aO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..P-Score..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..Mean-squarederrorofprobabilityforecasts..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..ComparewithNGMMOSPtypeandclimatology..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..IndependentSample..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..~400stations..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..88days:Last15daysOct98-Mar99+13 `au//yuyWPC_XX81%XX81%q3'XXXXKKKK9"n2-R/#2R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   nR/#.+'13 `kR9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `l/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO TDLWebsite.+%13 `mR / /{R{WPCXX81%XX81%q3'XXXXKKKK9"p&uv/"8uv/"C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   puv/".+%13 o+v:/O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularOHttp://nws.noaa.gov/tdl/synopWPCgXX81%XX81%;3'XXXXKKKK9"82,R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   8R/#.+'13 `5R9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `6/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO MOSTechnique.+%13 `7R / /{R{WPCXX81%XX81%;3'XXXXKKKK9":&nr/8nr/C @@, \AZ"Arial Regular +C xx, \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   :nr/.+%13 9$r9/,O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@StatisticallyrelatesobservedweatherelementstoO, \AZ"Arial RegularOappropriateO, \AZ"Arial RegularO@@@Ԁpredictors.WPCXX81%XX81%3'XXXXKKKK9j"2,R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   R/#.)*+%'13 `R9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO Predictors.+%13 `R / /{R{WPCfXX81%XX81%Q3'XXXXKKKK9"L2+R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   LR/#.+'13 `IR9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `J/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO ZRPredictor.+%13 `KR / /{R{WPC XX81%XX81%Q3'XXXXKKKK9"P ~H ~C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +C RR, \AZ"Arial Regular +9/!!!!!!   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$  P ~ `M##~~+13 `N} aVO, \AZ"Arial RegularORRR        @a /!!!!!!aO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..ColdtemperatureatsurfacefO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..InversionaloftwithintemperatureboundsfO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  /  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..Modelpredictsprecipitation+13 `O  ` ` WPCnXX81%XX81%Y3'XXXXKKKK9"T2#R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   TR/#.+'13 `QR9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `R/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO DevelopmentalSample.+%13 `SR / /{R{WPCRXX81%XX81%Y3'XXXXKKKK9"X(v'/Hv'/C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +9/-111   4  @ @ @ @ @ " dddddd$  Xv'/ `Uvs/s/v+13 `V,@/O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        a /-111aO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..611stationsjudgedto reportreliably O, \AZ"Arial RegularO            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..2YearsofData:..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..Sep16-May15of97/98,98/99..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @    O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..Modeldatafrom00zcycle..O, \AZ"Arial RegularO            O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @0..ConditionalO, \AZ"Arial RegularOFFF        -onlycaseswhereprecipoccurredO, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @+13 `Wv(/(/vWPCnXX81%XX81%53'XXXXKKKK9"22)R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   2R/#.+'13 `/R9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `0/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO PrecipitationTypes.+%13 `1R / /{R{WPC~XX81%XX81%53'XXXXKKKK9"4 #0?80?C ^^, \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ " dddddd$   40?.+%13 3UP/Q O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^Frozen󀀀󀀀Liquid  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^ԀO, \AZ"Arial RegularOPureSnowRainO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^Ԁ  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^O, \AZ"Arial RegularOSnowGrainsDrizzleO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^ԀO, \AZ"Arial RegularOO, \AZ"Arial RegularOԀRain/SnowMixedπThunderstorms  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^Freezing  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^O, \AZ"Arial RegularOFreezingRainO, \AZ"Arial RegularOFreezingDrizzleO, \AZ"Arial RegularOIcePelletsO, \AZ"Arial RegularOAnythingMixedwithFreezingRain/Drizzle,orIcePelletsO, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^  O, \AZ"Arial RegularO^^^WPCyXX81%XX81%/3'XXXXKKKK9"*2+R/#8R/#C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   *R/#.+'13 `'R9#/9#/#R#.+%13 `(/"O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q QO, \AZ"Arial RegularO AVNPrecipitationTypeGuidance.+%13 `)R / /{R{WPCXX81%XX81%˅3'XXXXKKKK9j"&u/"4u/"C @@, \AZ"Arial Regular +C xx, \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +)?   4 @ @ @ @ @ @ f" dddddd$   u/".+'13 `ȅu//"u".+%13 `Ʌ+{:/*O, \AZ"Arial RegularO        @  Q