MOS Training Course

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Contents

  1. Model Output Statistics (MOS) -Objective Interpretation of NWP

  2. OUTLINE

  3. WHY STATISTICAL GUIDANCE?

  4. MRF MOS Max Temp vs. DMO

  5. A SIMPLE STATISTICAL MODEL

  6. MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS (MOS)

  7. MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS (MOS)

  8. MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS (MOS)

  9. AVN MOS GUIDANCE MESSAGE

  10. AVN / Eta MOS vs. NGM MOS

  11. Slide 11

  12. Slide 12

  13. MRF MOS GUIDANCE MESSAGE

  14. MRF MOS: A SUMMARY

  15. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  16. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  17. REDUCTION OF VARIANCE

  18. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  19. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  20. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  21. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  22. MOS LINEAR REGRESSION

  23. EXAMPLE REGRESSION EQUATIONS

  24. If the predictand is BINARY,

  25. DEFINITION of PROBABILITY

  26. PROPERTIES OF

  27. DEVELOPMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS

  28. PREDICTAND DEFINITION

  29. PREDICTAND DEFINITION

  30. "APPROPRIATE" PREDICTORS

  31. POINT BINARY PREDICTOR

  32. GRID BINARY PREDICTOR

  33. Logit Transform Example

  34. "REAL" REGRESSION EQUATIONS

  35. FORWARD SELECTION

  36. AVN MOS Cool Season PoP/QPF Regions

  37. MOS BEST CATEGORY SELECTION

  38. CHALLENGE TO NEW MOS DEVELOPMENT:

  39. The New MOS Systems

  40. Slide 40

  41. Cool Season 3-h Tmp Verif.

  42. Warm Season QPF Verification

  43. QPF Verification: MOS

  44. Max Temperature Verification

  45. The Future of MOS

  46. The Future of MOS

  47. MRF MOS Day 3 Maximum Temperature

  48. AVN MOS 6-hr Probability of Precipitation (PoP)

  49. The Future of MOS

  50. The Future of MOS

  51. Slide 51

  52. Slide 52

  53. Slide 53

  54. Slide 54

  55. The Future of MOS

  56. REFERENCES


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Last updated:
April 11, 2003 (Friday)