HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
305 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
...EAST COAST METRO AREAS NOW IN ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS...
...REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA IN A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS...
SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEEN IN CONTROL OF SOUTH FLORIDA'S WEATHER DURING 
THE FIRST COUPLE OF WEEKS IN MAY. THIS HAS KEPT SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLY 
DRY WITH ONLY VERY LIGHT OR TRACE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
HERE ARE SOME YEARLY RAINFALL TOTALS...NORMALS...AND DEPARTURES FROM 
NORMAL ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR 2007 INTO 2008 AND THE 16 MONTH 
PERIOD COVERING FROM JANUARY 1, 2007 TO MAY 14, 2008.
AIRPORTS                      16 MONTH :    16 MONTH  :   DRY     :  DRY  
                               TOTALS      DEPARTURES    SEASON     SEASON
                                                       07-08 TOTAL  07-08 DEP.
MIAMI INTERNATIONAL            : 78.27  :      8.05    :  15.88   : -1.62
FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL  : 73.41  :     -7.73    :  20.22   : -1.67
PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL       : 83.09  :      5.86    :  22.14   : -2.17
NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT       : 43.89  :    -17.70    :   9.83   : -3.34
SECONDARY OBSERVATION SITES
IMMOKALEE                      : 50.19  :    -9.47    :   8.72   :  -3.29
DEVILS GARDEN                  : 45.41  :    -9.19    :  11.84   :  -1.68
CLEWISTON                      : 44.24  :   -10.10    :  12.66   :  -1.93
BELLE GLADE                    : 57.80  :    -8.60    :  11.42   :  -0.64
MOORE HAVEN LOCK               : 39.94  :   -16.74    :  14.47   :   0.26
FLAMINGO RANGER STATION        : 54.50  :    -4.91    :  12.88   :  -1.32
MIAMI BEACH                    : 82.36  :    17.37    :  21.35   :   4.09
AS A RESULT...THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA ARE NOW IN 
AN ABNORMALLY DRY STATUS (D0)...AND THE EASTERN INTERIOR AREAS OF 
SOUTH FLORIDA ARE NOW IN A MODERATE DROUGHT STATUS (D1). 
GLADES...HENDRY...AND WESTERN COLLIER COUNTIES REMAIN IN A SEVERE 
DROUGHT STATUS (D2)...WHILE REST OF COLLIER COUNTY REMAIN IN A 
MODERATE DROUGHT STATUS (D1).
HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
SOME OF THE EAST COAST WELLS ARE STARTING TO FALL INTO THE 10 TO 30 
PERCENT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS ESPECIALLY OVER THE FAR WESTERN 
AREAS...WHILE REST OF THE EAST COAST WELLS ARE STILL IN THE NORMAL 
LEVELS. WELLS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND INTERIOR SECTIONS REMAIN AT 10 
TO 30 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS...WHILE THE WELLS AROUND LAKE 
OKEECHOBEE REMAIN BELOW THE 10 PERCENT LEVEL. 
THE UNDERGROUND RESERVOIRS ARE AT ADEQUATE LEVELS OVER THE EASTERN 
AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...WHILE THE WESTERN AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA 
ARE BELOW NORMAL LEVELS. THE LEVEL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE REMAINS AROUND 
10 FEET...WHICH IS ABOUT 3.5 FEET BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WAS BETWEEN 450 
AND 550...EXCEPT 550 TO 600 FOR HENDRY COUNTY. THIS INDICATES THAT 
THE FIRE DANGER IS IN THE MODERATE RANGE FOR ALL OF SOUTH 
FLORIDA...EXCEPT SEVERE IN HENDRY COUNTY.
RESPONSE/ACTIONS...
THE SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT HAS KEPT THE WATER 
RESTRICTION AT A PHASE II OVER MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE ONLY 
EXCEPTION IS AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA WHICH IS IN A PHASE III 
WATER RESTRICTION DUE TO THE LOW LEVEL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THIS WILL 
LIMIT MOST RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL WATER USAGE TO TWICE A 
WEEK...EXCEPT ONCE A WEEK AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA.
OUTLOOK...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WILL 
MOVE EAST INTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL 
ALLOW FOR A WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH TO MOVE SOUTH AND DISSIPATE OVER THE 
LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA THIS WEEKEND. THEREFORE...THERE IS A SLIGHT 
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK 
ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER 
NORTHERN AREAS LATE THIS WEEKEND.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER'S PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 
14 DAYS IS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL. THE 
LONGER TERM OUTLOOK THROUGH JULY CONTINUES TO CALL FOR EQUAL CHANCES 
OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND THE END OF MAY UNLESS CONDITIONS 
CHANGE BEFORE THEN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL 
MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.
BAXTER