HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 945 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2008
...DESPITE IMPROVEMENTS TO THE DROUGHT...DRY CONDITIONS STILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTHEAST MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
...STARTING ON JUNE 10 2008 THE CURRENT DROUGHT INFORMATION WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE NEW AWIPS HEADER MEMDGTOHX...
THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS VARYING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE...WITH 53 PERCENT OF THE STATE EXPERIENCING AT LEAST ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS...38 PERCENT EXPERIENCING AT LEAST MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AND 15 PERCENT EXPERIENCING SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE SEVERE DROUGHT STILL REMAINS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
RAINFALL FROM THIS PAST WINTER AND SO FAR THIS SPRING HAS BEEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS WHICH HAS ALLOWED FOR SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT TO THE DROUGHT. BELOW ARE SOME PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN INCHES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS...FEBRUARY THROUGH APRIL...THE DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL...AND THE PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS...6 MONTHS...9 MONTHS...AND 12 MONTHS:
COUNTY % OF NORMAL LOCATION PRECIP DEP 3 MO 6 MO 9 MO 12 MO --------------------------------------------------------------------- BEDFORD SHELBYVILLE 13.38 -1.46 90% 76% 76% 73% CANNON WOODBURY 12.58 -2.43 84% 74% 68% 68% CHEATHAM KINGSTON SPRINGS 17.12 +3.09 122% 111% 99% 84% COFFEE TULLAHOMA 15.46 -1.07 94% 74% 69% 69% CUMBERLAND CROSSVILLE AIRPORT 16.44 +1.44 110% 89% 85% 82% DAVIDSON NASHVILLE INTL AIRPORT 15.29 +2.80 122% 118% 109% 94% OLD HICKORY DAM 18.76 +6.25 150% 121% N/A N/A DE KALB SMITHVILLE 12.66 -1.77 88% 74% 66% N/A DICKSON DICKSON 19.57 +4.60 131% 113% 108% 95% FENTRESS ALLARDT 14.44 +0.78 106% 92% 87% 89% JAMESTOWN 14.78 +0.48 103% 89% 77% 78% GILES PULASKI 16.75 +1.50 110% 83% 82% 71% HICKMAN CENTERVILLE 20.89 +6.14 142% 119% 113% N/A JACKSON GAINESBORO 14.75 +0.83 106% 94% 83% 83% LAWRENCE LAWRENCEBURG 14.28 -1.86 88% 78% 78% 69% MAURY COLUMBIA 14.44 -1.01 93% 83% 84% 75% MONTGOMERY CLARKSVILLE 20.34 +6.47 147% 126% 126% 107% OVERTON LIVINGSTON 14.13 +0.74 106% 94% 90% N/A PERRY LINDEN 20.36 +5.39 136% 99% 105% 86% PUTNAM COOKEVILLE 15.39 +0.58 104% 83% 72% 71% MONTEREY 15.93 +0.20 101% 87% N/A N/A RUTHERFORD MURFREESBORO 14.62 +0.60 104% 90% 87% 79% SMITH CARTHAGE 11.33 -2.20 84% 73% 65% N/A STEWART DOVER 20.82 +6.38 144% 123% N/A N/A SUMNER BETHPAGE 15.72 +1.84 113% 100% 90% N/A PORTLAND 18.38 +4.46 132% 112% 99% 88% WARREN MC MINNVILLE 11.88 -2.34 84% 69% 62% 66% WAYNE WAYNESBORO 14.79 -1.48 91% 83% 93% 82% WHITE SPARTA 13.62 -0.81 94% 76% 71% 66% WILLIAMSON FRANKLIN 17.17 +2.84 120% 99% 102% 89% WILSON LEBANON 16.24 +2.53 118% 95% 85% 80%
...DROUGHT DEFINITIONS...
ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS MEAN GROWTH OF CROPS...PLANTS...OR PASTURES MAY BE SLOWED...AND THE FIRE RISK MAY BE ELEVATED.
MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS MEAN CROPS...PLANTS...OR PASTURES MAY HAVE SOME DAMAGE...THE FIRE RISK CONTINUES TO BE ELEVATED...WATER LEVELS IN AREA RIVERS...CREEKS...AND STREAMS ARE BELOW NORMAL...AND WATER SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS MAY DEVELOP.
A SEVERE DROUGHT MEANS AGRICULTURAL LOSSES MAY OCCUR...THE FIRE RISK IS VERY HIGH...AND WATER SHORTAGES ARE COMMON AND RESTRICTIONS MAY BE IMPOSED.
A SIGN OF EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LOSSES...EXTREME FIRE DANGER...AND WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS ARE COMMON.
IN AN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT...WATER SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS ARE WIDESPREAD AND THERE ARE MAJOR AGRICULTURAL LOSSES.
THE DROUGHT CATEGORIES IN DEGRADING ORDER ARE ABNORMALLY DRY... MODERATE...SEVERE...EXTREME AND EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT.
...OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE... BELOW...OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN MAY.
THE 90 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY...JUNE...AND JULY ALSO INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW...OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
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LAROSA