HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1145 AM MST FEB 12 2007
...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE/NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL 
WYOMING AS OF FEBRUARY 2007...
.JANUARY PRECIPITATION ALONG MANY OF THE MAJOR WATERSHEDS ACROSS
CENTRAL AND WESTERN WYOMING WAS BELOW TO MUCH BELOW AVERAGE. THE 
ONLY EXCEPTION WAS THE WIND AND TONGUE BASINS--WHERE PRECIPITATION 
TOTALS WERE NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL.
.SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS (SWES) IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING 
MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK REMAINED 70 TO 80 PERCENT OF NORMAL THROUGHOUT 
JANUARY.
.SNOWMELT STREAMFLOW VOLUMES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS 
A MAJORITY OF WATERSHEDS IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING.  
THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY STREAMFLOW VOLUME FORECASTS FOR 
SELECTED POINTS:
                                            MOST PROBABLE 
FORECAST                                        VOLUME      PERCENT 
STREAM AND STATION                    PERIOD    1000 AF     OF AVG 
__________________________________    ______    _______     _______
GREEN RIVER
  NR DANIEL, AT WARREN BRIDGE         APR-SEP     205          77 
PINE CREEK
  ABV FREMONT LAKE                    APR-SEP      82          79 
NEW FORK RIVER
  NR BIG PINEY                        APR-SEP     280          71
GREEN RIVER
  FONTENELLE RESERVOIR,NR FONTENELLE  APR-SEP     585          68
BIG SANDY RIVER
  NR FARSON                           APR-SEP      40          69
GREEN RIVER
  NR GREEN RIVER                      APR-SEP     595          68
HAMS FORK RIVER
  BLO POLE CREEK, NR FRONTIER         APR-SEP      40          62
  VIVA NAUGHTON RESERVOIR             APR-SEP      58          65 
SMITHS FORK RIVER
  NR BORDER                           APR-SEP      78          65 
YELLOWSTONE RIVER
  YELLOWSTONE LAKE OUTLET             APR-SEP     645          80 
WIND RIVER
  BOYSEN RESERVOIR INFLOW             APR-SEP     525          65
BIG HORN RIVER
  NR KANE                             APR-SEP     775          70
GREYBULL RIVER
 NR MEETEETSE                         APR-SEP     120          60 
SHELL CREEK
  NR SHELL                            APR-SEP      54          75
SHOSHONE RIVER
  BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR INFLOW       APR-SEP     630          78 
ROCK CREEK
  NR BUFFALO                          APR-SEP     13.2         55 
NORTH FORK POWDER RIVER
  NR HAZELTON                         APR-SEP      7.3         70 
SWEETWATER RIVER                     
  NR ALCOVA                           APR-SEP      49          61 
SNAKE RIVER
  JACKSON LAKE INFLOW                 APR-SEP     725          80      
GREYS RIVER
  ABV PALISADES RESERVOIR, NR ALPINE  APR-SEP     285          72  
SALT RIVER
  NR ETNA                             APR-SEP     290          69
ABBREVIATIONS USED:
 ABV = ABOVE
BLO = BELOW
 NR  = NEAR
***ASSUMPTIONS***
THESE FORECAST VOLUMES REFLECT FULL NATURAL FLOW. ACTUAL OBSERVED
FLOW WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY UPSTREAM WATER MANAGEMENT.
ALL AVERAGES ARE FOR THE PERIOD 1971 THROUGH 2000 THIS OUTLOOK IS
BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS OF SNOWPACK AND ASSUMES NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SNOW SEASON.  IF THE ACTUAL
OBSERVED PRECIPITATION DEVIATES FROM THE NORMAL...THEN THE ACTUAL
OBSERVED RUNOFF WILL LIKELY BE DIFFERENT THAN THE FORECASTS IN THIS
OUTLOOK.  THIS PRODUCT IS ISSUED MONTHLY BEGINNING IN JANUARY WITH
THE FINAL OUTLOOK ISSUED IN JUNE. EACH MONTH THIS OUTLOOK IS UPDATED 
TO REASSESS THE SITUATION BASED ON THE LATEST DATA.
USERS OF THIS REPORT ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE IN RIVERTON, WYOMING FOR CONTINUED UPDATES ON THE WATER SUPPLY
SITUATION. HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP THAT WOULD
HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE CURRENT WATER SUPPLY FORECAST.
THIS MESSAGE IS THE RESULT OF THE COORDINATED ACTIVITY BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATURAL RESOURCE CONSERVATION
SERVICE.  PROJECTED RESERVOIR INFLOW FORECASTS HAVE BEEN COORDINATED
WITH THE U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION.
FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS PRODUCT, VISIT THE RIVERTON
HYDROLOGY HOME PAGE AT...
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/riw/hydro/water.php
FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC PRODUCTS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET, VISIT 
THE RIVERTON HYDROLOGIC HOMEPAGE AT...
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=riw
JTFAHEY