FGUS85 KABQ 091418 RVSABQ NMC001-028-033-039-045-047-049-055-061-101418- HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 818 AM MDT FRI MAY 09 2008 NORTHERN NEW MEXICO RIVER SUMMARY LOCATION FLOOD STAGE NEAR 6AM 24 HOUR /FT/ STAGE /FT/ CHANGE /FT/ RIO GRANDE CERRO 16.0 7.8 0.2 EMBUDO 10.0 6.1 MSG ALBUQUERQUE 8.0 5.6 0.0 RIO CHAMA CHAMITA 8.0 5.6 -0.4 PECOS RIVER PECOS 5.0 2.8 -0.0 MORA RIVER GOLONDRINAS 5.5 1.0 0.0 SAN JUAN RIVER FARMINGTON 8.5 4.2 0.1 ARCHULETA 7.0 5.1 -0.0 ANIMAS RIVER CEDAR HILL 9N 10.5 6.5 0.1 SUMMARY...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL SLIDE RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS COLORADO SATURDAY BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR DRY THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE NEW MEXICO/COLORADO BORDER. AS THE DISTURBANCE PASSES EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES...A COLD FRONT WILL DIVE SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN ITS WAKE FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. EXTENDED MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS SYSTEM INTENSIFYING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE CURRENT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WOULD INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL ACROSS NEW MEXICO. NO MAJOR CHANGES IN SNOW MELT RUNOFF ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. SNOW MELT RUNOFF ON THE UPPER RIO CHAMA ABOVE EL VADO RESERVOIR IS RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL. FLOWS IN THE UPPER RIO CHAMA AND RIO BRAZOS COULD PEAK MONDAY...BUT NO FLOOD PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED. FOR CURRENT NEW MEXICO RIVER STAGES AND FLOWS VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/INDEX.PHP?WFO=ABQ OR THE USGS WEB PAGE AT NM.WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS $$