HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
940 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2006
...SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NWS QUAD CITIES SERVICE AREA. THIS REGION
INCLUDES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM DUBUQUE...IOWA TO ABOVE
CANTON...MISSOURI AND FOR RIVERS IN EASTERN IOWA...NORTHWESTERN
ILLINOIS AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI.
WE ROUTINELY PROVIDE OUTLOOKS CONCERNING THE 90-DAY POTENTIAL FOR
BOTH HIGH AND LOW RIVER STAGES AT LEAST ONCE PER MONTH...EVERY MONTH
OF THE YEAR. TODAY/S PARTICULAR OUTLOOK IS AN EXPANDED VERSION OF THE
OUTLOOKS WE NORMALLY PROVIDE. WE USUALLY UPDATE THE OUTLOOK AROUND
THE 1ST OF THE MONTH AND MORE OFTEN IF NECESSARY.
...THE CHANCES OF RIVER FLOODING THIS SPRING ARE GENERALLY 40 PERCENT
OR LESS...WHICH IS 10 TO 30 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL...
THIS OUTLOOK COVERS THE TIME PERIOD OF MARCH 13TH THROUGH JUNE
11TH...2006.
THE TABLES BELOW SHOW THE PERCENTAGE CHANCES OF AREA RIVERS RISING
ABOVE AND FALLING BELOW VARIOUS STAGES OVER THE NEXT 90 DAYS. THESE
PROBABILITIES ARE CALLED EXCEEDANCE AND NON EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES
RESPECTIVELY.
IN TABLE 1 BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE
EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES /THE CHANCES OF THE RIVER RISING ABOVE THE
LISTED STAGE LEVELS/ FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE NON
EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES /THE CHANCES OF THE RIVER FALLING BELOW THE
LISTED STAGE LEVELS/ FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
HERE ARE SOME EXAMPLES USING THE TABLES BELOW...
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT ROCK ISLAND LD15 HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 15.0
FT. TABLE 1 INDICATES THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE THE RIVER WILL
RISE ABOVE 14.8 FT.
ALSO...THE CEDAR RIVER AT CEDAR RAPIDS HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FT.
TABLE 2 INDICATES THERE IS AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW 4.0 FT.
TABLE 1--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID MAR. 13 2006 - JUN. 11 2006
ALL STAGES IN FEET
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
MISSISSIPPI RIVER
DUBUQUE LD11 16.0 9.7 10.6 11.5 12.8 13.7 14.2 14.9 15.8 18.6
DUBUQUE 17.0 11.5 12.4 13.1 14.3 15.1 15.7 16.5 17.4 20.1
BELLEVUE LD12 17.0 10.3 11.0 11.7 12.7 13.6 14.2 15.0 16.0 18.0
FULTON LD13 16.0 9.8 10.7 11.6 12.9 13.6 14.3 15.1 16.0 18.3
CAMANCHE 17.0 11.9 12.5 13.1 13.9 14.5 15.0 15.6 16.4 18.6
LE CLAIRE LD14 11.0 7.4 8.0 8.6 9.1 9.5 9.9 10.2 10.9 12.4
ROCK ISLAND LD15 15.0 10.0 10.9 11.5 12.1 13.2 14.1 14.8 15.8 17.6
ILL. CITY LD16 15.0 8.5 10.0 10.8 11.8 13.2 14.2 15.0 16.2 18.7
MUSCATINE 16.0 10.3 11.7 12.3 13.1 14.2 15.1 15.9 17.2 19.4
NEW BOSTON LD17 15.0 10.1 11.7 12.4 13.2 14.4 15.4 16.2 17.5 19.6
KEITHSBURG 14.0 10.2 11.2 11.7 12.1 13.0 13.7 14.9 15.7 16.6
GLADSTONE LD18 10.0 5.5 7.0 7.5 8.1 9.0 9.8 11.1 12.0 13.1
BURLINGTON 15.0 11.1 12.3 12.7 13.2 13.9 14.6 15.7 16.5 17.5
KEOKUK LD19 16.0 7.8 8.9 9.6 10.9 11.6 12.5 14.6 15.4 17.7
GREGORY LANDING 15.0 9.2 10.3 11.1 12.3 13.2 14.2 16.0 16.8 18.8
...IOWA RIVERS...
MAQUOKETA RIVER
MANCHESTER HWY 20 14.0 5.7 6.4 6.9 7.8 8.1 8.5 9.6 11.1 15.2
MAQUOKETA 24.0 12.0 12.9 13.5 14.0 14.4 15.5 16.2 18.2 20.8
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
INDEPENDENCE 12.0 6.0 6.5 6.7 7.1 7.4 7.6 7.9 8.5 10.6
ANAMOSA SHAW RD 14.0 7.4 8.4 8.7 9.6 10.1 10.6 11.3 12.6 15.6
DEWITT 11.0 7.5 9.0 9.3 10.0 10.7 11.0 11.5 12.3 12.9
CEDAR RIVER
VINTON 15.0 7.2 8.0 9.3 9.9 10.7 11.4 11.9 12.9 14.0
CEDAR RAPIDS 12.0 5.5 5.9 6.4 7.0 7.5 8.1 8.7 10.2 11.6
CONESVILLE 13.0 9.1 9.8 10.8 11.2 11.9 12.6 13.0 14.1 14.7
IOWA RIVER
MARENGO 14.0 8.0 9.4 11.7 12.4 13.3 14.2 14.8 15.6 16.4
IOWA CITY 22.0 11.4 12.6 14.4 15.0 15.9 16.4 16.8 19.8 20.2
LONE TREE 15.0 6.9 9.0 10.0 10.6 11.1 12.3 13.3 14.8 16.7
COLUMBUS JCT 19.0 12.4 13.5 14.6 15.1 15.8 17.0 18.3 19.7 21.3
WAPELLO 20.0 14.3 15.4 16.9 17.4 18.1 19.1 20.5 21.8 23.5
ENGLISH RIVER
KALONA 14.0 4.0 5.6 6.8 7.8 8.9 9.6 11.4 13.8 17.1
NORTH SKUNK RIVER
SIGOURNEY 16.0 5.2 9.4 10.9 11.7 12.5 13.9 15.1 16.8 18.1
SKUNK RIVER
BRIGHTON 14.0 4.8 9.2 10.8 12.3 13.0 14.1 14.5 15.3 16.1
AUGUSTA 15.0 4.3 5.7 7.4 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.4 14.4 16.6
DES MOINES RIVER
KEOSAUQUA 22.0 12.4 15.2 16.1 16.3 17.1 18.4 19.2 20.4 21.6
ST. FRANCISVILLE 18.0 9.9 12.8 13.9 14.5 15.9 18.0 18.9 20.8 22.2
...ILLINOIS RIVERS...
PECATONICA RIVER
FREEPORT 13.0 6.3 7.2 7.4 8.0 8.9 9.4 10.3 12.3 13.0
ROCK RIVER
COMO 10.0 4.4 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.6 5.9 6.4 7.0 10.2
JOSLIN 12.0 7.3 7.9 8.2 8.8 9.8 10.3 11.2 12.2 15.2
MOLINE 12.0 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.4 10.7 11.3 12.1 13.4
GREEN RIVER
GENESEO 15.0 4.6 5.2 6.7 7.5 7.8 8.3 9.3 10.0 12.4
LA MOINE RIVER
COLMAR 20.0 7.8 10.2 12.9 15.7 18.3 19.4 20.3 20.7 22.7
ILLINOIS RIVER
LA SALLE 20.0 14.3 16.3 18.4 20.1 20.7 21.4 22.8 24.4 25.9
HENRY 23.0 15.6 16.7 17.8 18.8 19.8 20.4 21.1 22.8 25.0
--NOTE...LA SALLE IS IN THE NWS CHICAGO IL SERVICE AREA.
HENRY IS IN THE NWS LINCOLN IL SERVICE AREA.
...MISSOURI RIVERS...
FOX RIVER
WAYLAND 15.0 4.0 5.4 7.0 7.9 10.1 11.0 13.4 16.0 17.6
TABLE 2--NON EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...
CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID MAR. 13 2006 - JUN. 11 2006
ALL STAGES IN FEET
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
MISSISSIPPI RIVER
DUBUQUE LD11 16.0 6.5 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.5
DUBUQUE 17.0 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.3 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.5
BELLEVUE LD12 17.0 7.1 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.1
FULTON LD13 16.0 6.6 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.5
CAMANCHE 17.0 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.2 9.1 8.9
LE CLAIRE LD14 11.0 5.6 5.2 5.2 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.5
ROCK ISLAND LD15 15.0 6.7 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.5
ILL. CITY LD16 15.0 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.6
MUSCATINE 16.0 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.0
NEW BOSTON LD17 15.0 5.5 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.1 3.5
KEITHSBURG 14.0 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.6
GLADSTONE LD18 10.0 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.2
BURLINGTON 15.0 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.7
KEOKUK LD19 16.0 5.1 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.2 3.6 2.9 2.4
GREGORY LANDING 15.0 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3
...IOWA RIVERS...
MAQUOKETA RIVER
MANCHESTER HWY 20 14.0 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1
MAQUOKETA 24.0 11.0 10.7 10.6 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.0
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
INDEPENDENCE 12.0 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8
ANAMOSA SHAW RD 14.0 5.8 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9
DEWITT 11.0 6.2 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8
CEDAR RIVER
VINTON 15.0 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.0
CEDAR RAPIDS 12.0 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.2
CONESVILLE 13.0 6.9 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.2
IOWA RIVER
MARENGO 14.0 6.9 6.8 6.4 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.3
IOWA CITY 22.0 10.8 10.4 10.2 10.0 9.9 9.2 8.2 8.1 8.0
LONE TREE 15.0 5.7 5.5 4.9 4.8 4.7 3.8 3.3 3.1 2.8
COLUMBUS JCT 19.0 10.4 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.7 8.3
WAPELLO 20.0 12.4 12.1 11.9 11.4 11.2 11.1 10.9 10.6 10.1
ENGLISH RIVER
KALONA 14.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3
NORTH SKUNK RIVER
SIGOURNEY 16.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0
SKUNK RIVER
BRIGHTON 14.0 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 -0.4
AUGUSTA 15.0 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.4
DES MOINES RIVER
KEOSAUQUA 22.0 11.2 11.1 11.0 10.8 10.7 10.7 10.6 10.5 10.3
ST. FRANCISVILLE 18.0 7.7 7.5 7.4 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.3
...ILLINOIS RIVERS...
PECATONICA RIVER
FREEPORT 13.0 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.0
ROCK RIVER
COMO 10.0 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6
JOSLIN 12.0 6.0 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.8
MOLINE 12.0 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6
GREEN RIVER
GENESEO 15.0 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6 1.9 1.2
LA MOINE RIVER
COLMAR 20.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.6 0.8
ILLINOIS RIVER
LA SALLE 20.0 11.4 11.1 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.6
HENRY 23.0 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 14.2
--NOTE...LA SALLE IS IN THE NWS CHICAGO IL SERVICE AREA.
HENRY IS IN THE NWS LINCOLN IL SERVICE AREA.
...MISSOURI RIVERS...
FOX RIVER
WAYLAND 15.0 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS NUMBERS THAT ARE
CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SPRING SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE
YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA. THESE NUMBERS ALSO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT
CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...SNOW COVER AND SOIL MOISTURE...AS
WELL AS 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILISTIC
NUMBERS...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING
DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THIS PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION IS PART
OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE/S AHPS SUITE.
...OUTLOOK SUMMARY...
THE CHANCES OF FLOODING AT ALL LOCATIONS ARE BELOW NORMAL OVER THE
NEXT 90 DAYS.
ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...THE CHANCES OF FLOODING ARE GENERALLY 20
TO 35 PERCENT...OR 25 TO 40 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL.
ON THE OTHER RIVERS...THE CHANCES OF FLOODING VARY BY RIVER BASIN.
THE HIGHEST CHANCES ARE IN THE IOWA RIVER BASIN WHERE FLOODING
CHANCES ARE GENERALLY 30 TO 45 PERCENT...OR 20 TO 30 PERCENT BELOW
NORMAL. THE MAIN EXCEPTION IS IN IOWA CITY WHERE THE CHANCES OF
FLOODING ON THE IOWA RIVER ARE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT...OR 25 TO 30
PERCENT BELOW NORMAL. MOST OF THE OTHER RIVER BASINS HAVE A 20 TO 30
PERCENT CHANCE OF FLOODING WHICH IS 10 TO 25 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL.
...CURRENT CONDITIONS...
EXCEPT WHERE NOTED...THIS INFORMATION COVERS THE NWS QUAD CIITES
SERVICE AREA.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING FLOODING IS AFFECTED BY SEVERAL
FACTORS...INCLUDING CURRENT FLOODING...STREAM FLOWS...SNOW
COVER...SOIL MOISTURE...GROUND FROST...AND RIVER ICE. HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF EACH FACTOR INCREASE THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WHILE LOWER AMOUNTS
DECREASE THE FLOODING POTENTIAL.
CURRENT FLOODING...
PRESENTLY...NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALTHOUGH SOME STREAMS HAVE
EXPERIENCED MINOR RISES IN RESPONSE TO RECENT PRECIPITATION.
CURRENT STREAM FLOWS...
STREAM FLOWS GENERALLY VARY FROM NEAR NORMAL TO MUCH BELOW
NORMAL...WITH THE LOWEST FLOWS OCCURRING IN ILLINOIS. FLOWS ARE NEAR
NORMAL ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MOST OF THE STREAMS IN IOWA AND
MISSOURI ARE EXPERIENCING NEAR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL FLOWS. IN
ILLINOIS...THE STREAMS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 88 ARE EXPERIENCING NEAR
NORMAL FLOWS. STREAMS TO THE SOUTH ARE EXPERIENCING BELOW TO MUCH
BELOW NORMAL FLOWS.
PRIOR TO THE RECENT PRECIPITATION...MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA WERE EXPERIENCING BELOW TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL FLOWS...WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS REPORTING NEAR NORMAL FLOWS. THE RECENT PRECIPITATION LED
TO RISES ON MANY STREAMS IN IOWA AND MISSOURI...WITH SMALLER CHANGES
ON ILLINOIS STREAMS ESPECIALLY THOSE STREAMS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 88.
CURRENT SNOW COVER ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN...
THIS INFORMATION COVERS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN FROM THE NWS QUAD
CITIES SERVICE AREA NORTHWARD...OR MUCH OF IOWA...MINNESOTA...
WISCONSIN AND PARTS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI.
SNOW DEPTH AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS BELOW NORMAL IN MOST PLACES.
WHERE SNOW COVER EXISTS...THE SNOW DEPTHS ARE GENERALLY 40 PERCENT OF
NORMAL OR LESS. ONE EXCEPTION IS PARTS OF THE ROCK RIVER BASIN IN
EASTERN WISCONSIN. SNOW DEPTHS THERE ARE AS HIGH AS 120 PERCENT OF
NORMAL. THE OTHER EXCEPTION IS THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN...NORTH OF BRAINERD MINNESOTA...WHERE SNOW
DEPTHS ARE AS HIGH AS 170 TO 180 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE AREAS WITH
ABOVE NORMAL SNOW COVER MAKE UP ONLY A SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE ENTIRE
LAND AREA OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN HOWEVER.
PRESENTLY...THE SNOW COVER IS NORTH OF A LINE THROUGH MANKATO
MINNESOTA...MASON CITY IOWA...JANESVILLE WISCONSIN AND MILWAUKEE
WISCONSIN. NORMALLY...AT THIS TIME OF YEAR THE SNOW COVER IS NORTH OF
A LINE THROUGH OMAHA NEBRASKA...CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA AND MILWAUKEE
WISCONSIN.
CURRENT SOIL MOISTURE...
THE COMBINATION OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST WEEK...ALONG WITH
LITTLE OR NO GROUND FROST...HAS RESULTED IN CONSIDERABLE INCREASES IN
SOIL MOISTURE AT MOST LOCATIONS.
IN THE FIRST 4 INCHES OF SOIL...THE MOISTURE IS ABOVE NORMAL AT ALL
LOCATIONS. IT IS 120 TO 125 PERCENT OF NORMAL.
IN THE FIRST 12 INCHES OF SOIL...THE MOISTURE IS ABOVE NORMAL AT ALL
LOCATIONS. IT IS 115 TO 130 PERCENT OF NORMAL.
IN THE FIRST 36 INCHES OF SOIL...THE MOISTURE IS NEAR NORMAL. IT IS
95 TO 105 PERCENT OF NORMAL.
IN THE FIRST 72 INCHES OF SOIL...THE MOISTURE IS NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL
AT ALL LOCATIONS. IT IS 85 TO 98 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS WERE IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST AND EXTREME NORTH WHILE THE
LOWEST AMOUNTS WERE IN THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST.
ALTHOUGH SOIL MOISTURE HAS INCREASED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST
WEEK...IT IS DUE TO THE RECENT PRECIPITATION. ADDITIONAL NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS NEEDED TO SUSTAIN THE CURRENT SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS.
IF PRECIPITATION FALLS BELOW NORMAL...THEN THE SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS
WILL BEGIN FALLING AGAIN.
CURRENT GROUND FROST...
LITTLE OR NO GROUND FROST EXISTS. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NORTH OF FULTON LD13 AND IN THE ROCK RIVER BASIN
WHERE FROST DEPTHS ARE SIX INCHES OR LESS.
CURRENT RIVER ICE...
LITTLE OR NO RIVER ICE EXISTS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS ON THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NORTH OF FULTON LD13. IN THESE LOCATIONS SOME MINOR
ICE IS BEING REPORTED BUT IT IS CONFINED MAINLY TO THE LOCK AND DAM
POOLS.
OTHER CURRENT CONDITIONS...
CORALVILLE RESERVOIR NEAR IOWA CITY...IOWA IS PRESENTLY UNDERGOING
ITS TRADITIONAL WINTER DRAW DOWN OF THE LAKE.
...CLIMATOLOGICAL DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK...
THESE OUTLOOKS COVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN FROM THE NWS QUAD
CITIES SERVICE AREA NORTHWARD...OR MUCH OF IOWA...MINNESOTA...
WISCONSIN AND PARTS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI.
THE SIX TO TEN DAY OUTLOOK...WHICH INCLUDES MARCH 14TH THROUGH THE
18TH...CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL BUT THE
FAR WEST WHERE BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. EQUAL CHANCES
MEANS THAT THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...NEAR NORMAL AND BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.
THE 30-DAY OUTLOOK...WHICH INCLUDES MARCH...CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES
FOR BOTH PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE.
THE 90-DAY OUTLOOK...WHICH INCLUDES MARCH...APRIL AND MAY...CALLS FOR
EQUAL CHANCES FOR BOTH PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE.
...NEXT OUTLOOK...
WE WILL UPDATE THIS OUTLOOK AROUND APRIL 1ST...2006.
...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DVN/.
YOU CAN ALSO FIND OUR LATEST OUTLOOK ON OUR WEB PAGE. TO VIEW IT...GO
TO OUR WEB PAGE AND SELECT THE OUTLOOK LINK IN THE RIVERS SECTION ON
THE LEFT HAND MENU.
$$
JAZ