HYDROLOGIC AND FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
240 PM MST FRI MAR 10 2006

...FLOOD OUTLOOK...

IN ARIZONA THERE IS ESSENTIALLY NO SNOWPACK... 
LESS THAN 10 PERCENT... AT ANY MEASURING SITES.  
THE LIKELIHOOD OF SOLELY SNOWMELT INDUCED
FLOODING DURING THE CURRENT DROUGHT IS VIRTUALLY
NON EXISTENT.  FLOODING WILL ONLY RESULT FROM A 
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTENSE RAIN.  NO SUCH RAIN IS
IN THE CURRENT FORECASTS.

PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS WILL HAVE VERY MARGINAL IMPACT UPON THE OUTLOOK.

 
...HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

SEASONAL PRECIPITATION TO DATE...
   WELL BELOW NORMAL
CURRENT RESERVOIR STORAGE...
   NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL
MONTHLY RUNOFF FORECAST...
   WELL BELOW MEDIAN
THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...
   BELOW NORMAL

PRECIPITATION SUMMARY AS OF MARCH 1...

BASIN          SEASONAL PRECIP 
               PERCENT MEDIAN     

  GILA ......        25    
  SALT               15    
  VERDE .....        20    
  LITTLE COLORADO    25 
  SAN PEDRO ..       10
  BILL WILLIAMS      35

RESERVOIRS...AS OF MARCH 7 ...

   RESERVOIR/SYSTEM    PERCENT     VOLUME IN
                         FULL       ACRE-FT

   LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
      LYMAN LAKE          27           8040
   WALNUT CREEK
      UPPER LAKE MARY     48           7450
   COLORADO RIVER
      LAKE POWELL         44       10777080			
      LAKE MEAD           60       15498000
      LAKE MOHAVE         90        1629900
      LAKE HAVASU         90         555600
   BILL WILLIAMS RIVER
      ALAMO LAKE          17         179243
   SALT RIVER
      SALT SYSTEM         81        1649033
   VERDE RIVER
      VERDE SYSTEM        41         117303
   AGUA FRIA RIVER
      LAKE PLEASANT       92         787044
   GILA RIVER
      SAN CARLOS          19         171000
      PAINTED ROCK         0              0

RUNOFF...

FORECASTS FOR MARCH...

  LOCATION                  FCST-OBSVD   MEDIAN
                              THOUSAND AC-FT

  SAN FRANCISCO - CLIFTON..   3.0        20.0
  GILA - SOLOMON...........   6.3 .....  53.0
  SALT - ROOSEVELT.........   9.0       131.0
  TONTO CREEK - ROOSEVELT..   0.5 .....  17.0
  VERDE - HORSESHOE........  13.0        50.0
  LITTLE COLORADO - LYMAN..   0.2 .....   1.7
   

SEASONAL FORECASTS FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY UNLESS NOTED...

  LOCATION                  FCST-OBSVD   MEDIAN
                         THOUSAND AC-FT  PERCENT
 

  LITTLE COLORADO -LYMAN...   0.5 ........   8  MAR-JUNE
  E CLEAR CK - BLUE RIDGE..   0.8            6
  WALNUT - LAKE MARY.......   0.1 ........   2
  SAN FRANCISCO - CLIFTON..   7.2           17
  GILA - SOLOMON...........  13.0 ........  12
  SALT - ROOSEVELT.........  25.0            9
  TONTO CREEK - ROOSEVELT..   1.0 ........   4
  VERDE - HORSESHOE........  30.0           21
 

WEATHER OUTLOOK COURTESY OF CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
                                                                    

LONG RANGE WEATHER FOR MARCH... APRIL... MAY...
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES STATEWIDE
   BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION STATEWIDE

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HYDROMET SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK WILL 
BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON..APR 7 2006.