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The National
HAS Conference was held in Silver Spring, Maryland, September 14th
- September 19th, 1997. HAS (Hydrometeorological Analysis and Support)
Forecasters from each of the thirteen river forecast centers attended
the conference to discuss scientific and technical issues as well
as some of the software tools that they use in their effort to assimilate
meteorological data into the River Forecast models.
The participants
from left to right
Seated: Greg
Hanson (OSF), Jeff Smith (CBRFC), Tyree Wilde (NWRFC), Dave Cokely
(MBRFC), Bill Lawrence (ABRFC).
Standing: Patty
Wnek (MARFC), Owen Rhea (CNRFC), Jeff Graschel (LMRFC), Jeff Perry
(AKRFC), Bob Wavrin (NCRFC), Judy Bradberry (SERFC), Althea Austin-Smith
(NERFC), Mark Fenbers (OHRFC), Greg Story (WGRFC), Matt Lorentson
(SERFC), Jay Breidenbach (OH/HRL).
Summary
of Conference
The conference
began with the Director of OH, Danny Fread, giving a management
level overview of the end-to-end forecasting process, stressing
how important the HAS function is to the entire concept. Dr. Fread
emphasized that the HAS forecasters will play an increasingly important
role in the assimilation of QPF and Probabillistic QPF to ultimately
produce Probabillistic River Stage Forecasts. To adequately perform
this function, a large amount of computer software, much of it yet
to be written, will be needed.
Each RFC was
given an opportunity to discuss the HAS function and software that
is used at the RFC. From these discussions it immediately became
clear that there has already been an enormous amount of local software
developed for the specific needs of each RFC. It also was clear
from these briefings that each RFC has a unique set of problems
that they must be able to handle which varies significantly across
the United States. The wide variation in climate, terrain, and precipitation
characteristics among the RFCs has led to differences in the way
the HAS function is run and software that has been developed. Despite
these large differences there has been some duplication of effort.
This conference has helped to clarify what data and tools are available
locally, nationally, and what is being planned.
It was pointed
out that some RFC's use Stage III or P1 radar/gage estimates directly
in the model and others do not depending the circumstances of that
particular RFC. There were also differences in software used to
specify and mosaic QPF. RFC's east of the Rocky mountains primarily
used HAS/WIN QPF or some slight variation. Most Western RFC's were
using Mountain Mapper, developed at CBRFC for their QPF needs as
well as Data QC, Precipitation Estimation, and Verification. The
following table is an attempt to list some of the differences in
software applications and data used by the HAS forecasters at the
various RFC's. This list only reflects items that were discussed
at the HAS conference.
| RFC
|
RADAR
data used in river model? |
QPF
Software |
Other
Useful Software /Data |
| OHRFC |
Stage III
(auto + qc in morning) used in model for some test basins |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
GMT
Gostscript
Image Magic
Various Scripts |
| MARFC |
Stage III
(auto) (qualitatively) |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
ATLAS GIS
- Mapping Software to display Gage Data, QPF, FFG etc |
| NERFC |
Stage III
(auto + qc where needed)
(qualitatively) |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
Locally
Developed TCL/TK script used as interface to HAS QPF. |
| SERFC |
Stage III
(qualitatively) |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
Atlas GIS. |
| WGRFC |
Stage III
(auto + manual QC) used in most basins |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
Brainmaker
- Neural Network QPF software. |
| LMRFC |
Stage III
(auto + manual QC) used in some basins |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
Basin Average
Rainfall Climatologies. |
| NCRFC |
Stage III
(Auto + maunual QC in morning) used in some basins (Warm Season
Only) |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
Home grown
Software for Temperature Specification and Modification.
Snow Water Content from NOHRSC. |
| MBRFC |
Stage III
used in forecast models (Warm Season Only) |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
Various
Scripts to process ASCII QPF files directly from WFOs. |
| ABRFC |
P1 or Stage
III used in all Basins |
HAS/WIN
QPF |
XNAV -
Displays just about everything. |
| NCRFC |
Stage III
and Mountain Mapper HDP mosaics used qualitatively and for gage
QC |
Mountain
Mapper |
Graphical
HMD (see web site) |
| CNRFC |
|
Mountain
Mapper |
Rhea Orographic
Model |
| NWRFC |
Stage III
(qualitatively) |
Mountain
Mapper |
Various
Scripts |
| AKRFC |
|
|
SAR images
of River ICE |
Since there are many useful scripts and software
including many others not listed above that can be shared among
the RFCs it was recommended that a location be established where
software and scripts can shared by loading and unloading to and
from a given location. The location was not defined but a logical
place would be one that is accessible through the HRL home page.
Action Item: Establish location
to share useful scripts and software
After the presentations from the RFC's, speakers
from the Office of Hydrology, Office of Meteorology and the Operational
Support Facility spoke on various topics. The following lists the
topics and speakers and briefly summarizes important points and
action items originating from the discussion.
Gage Networks -Ben Weiger
Gage Data Support System -Ed Johnson
- GDSS will
be implemented at WGRFC, ABRFC and OHRFC for testing.
- Minimal impact
on RFC operations.
- Ultimate
location of GDSS will be AWIPS.
Procedures
for obtaining more gage data -Mark Fenbers
- Most gages
in OHRFC are state/county funded IFLOWS gages: however, there
are many other source that could be used if work is undertaken
to have the report SHEF encoded
- May require
obtaining lat/lon through mapping software or GPS.
- Scan SHEF
decoder log files for complaints then decide if they should be
entered into eligibility table
- OHRFC uses
team of staff members which regularly meets to deal with data
issues
Proposed
Changes to SIPP -Paul Tilles / Mark Fenbers
- Action
item: Add an option in SIPP to create 6 and 24 hour reports
from the 1 hour incremental gage reports
Data
QC Issues -J.J. Pan / Geoff Bonnin / Heather Friedeman
- New data
analysis and QC techniques have been developed for use with hydrologic
data. They include the use of an automated double mass analysis
tool, A multi scale time series analysis tool, and a cluster analysis
tool.
Overview
of Current QPF Specification Capabilities and Plans for Probabilistic
QPF
-Tom
Graziano
- Summary of
AWIPS QPF meeting in Salt Lake City provided.
- Overview
of plans for Probabilistic QPF.
Mountain
Mapper -Jeff Smith
- Capability
of Mountain Mapper demonstrated including Point QPF specification,
rendering to gridded analysis using PRISM data, Daily QC using
surrounding stations.
- Action
item: OH to check with Tom Carrol on nationwide availability
of PRISM data.
Ohio
Floods Case Study -Glen Austin / Bryce Finnerty
- Impact of
QPF shown to have some skill, however, magnitude and basin to
basin variability was missed.
- Large QPFs
must be used appropriately in Stream Forecast. (Does Hydrologist
believe the forecast?)
Coordination
Issues and Station Visits -Patti Wnek
- Stations
visits to each of the WFOs by the HAS forecaster has fostered
a greater cooperation between RFCs and WFOs (Puts a face with
the voice on the phone)
- Important
to keep a log of all of the coordination calls
Automated
Satellite Derived Precipitation -Gilberto Vicente
- Summary of
NESDIS effort to develop satellite precipitation estimates
- Action item:
Incorporate Satellite precipitation estimates into Stage 2/3.
Operational
Satellite Precipitation Estimates -Rich Borneman
- IFFA (Interactive
Flash Flood Analyser) described.
- Will probably
be replaced by the Vicente Automated Satellite Precipitation estimates
Training
and Evaluation Modules: Changing Precipitation Adaptable Parameters
for Tropical Situations
-Greg
Hanson
- TEM's described
as a useful training technique and a tool for SOO's and HAS forecasters
to help train the WFO or RFC Staff on a particular issue such
as use of appropriate Z-R relationships, etc. If a need for a
TEM can be identified in your region or office, the OSF will work
with you to write one.
Improving NAPUP Operations -Mark Albertelly
- Report all
NAPUP operation problems directly to OSF. They will make sure
the RPG is rebooted at a given site. This should free up the RFC
from having to constantly ask trouble sites to perform the reboot.
- OSF is planning
on setting up a multi-port communications monitoring system if
resources permit.
- Action
Item: HAS forecaster need to convince HIC's that monitoring
by the OSF is important and have them push it through their respective
regions.
Improving
PPS estimates close to the Radar -Tim O'Bannon
- The new terrain
following hybrid scan was described. It should significantly improve
estimates close to the radar, especially at mountain top sites.
- Action
Item: OH should push for the generation of the terrain
following Hybrid Scan at all sites. (However, further evaluation
is needed before national implementation)
Build
10.0 Enhancements to PPS -Dennis Miller
Planned
PPS Enhancements in Open System -D.J. Seo / Dennis
Miller
- Plans for
the PPS in the Open Systems described. Initial focus to be on
1) new bias adjustment algorithm. 2) range correction algorithm.
3) bright band detection and mitigation.
- Action
Item: RFC's need ability to request old products such
as missing HDP's
- Action
Item: RFC's would like ability to function as an associated
PUP.
Steps
towards regional reflectivity mosaics -David Kitzmiller
P1
-Bill Lawrence
- P1 described
as providing superior estimates to Stage III in stratiform rainfall
situations in heavily gages areas. Other features allow quicker
interaction with the data for QC purposes, especially in stratiform
or snow situations.
Differences
between P1 and Stage III -Bill Lawrence
/ D.J. Seo
Recent
and Planned Improvements to Stage II/III -D.J.
Seo
- Action
Item: Implement new bias adjustment algorithm which includes
dual bias estimates (short term and climatological)
- Action
Item: Implement RFC wide multisensor estimation as opposed
to estimating rainfall for each radar and then mosaicking.
- Action
Item: Implement new GUI features to allow quick interaction
with the data much like the P1 algorithms. 1) Make Snow 2)Draw
Polygon around and area and multiply by specified number (useful
for bright band). 3) Ability to set all gages in a given area
to missing. (Zero values are still a big problem in Stage III
and P1. 4) Global Remove AP option as opposed to going radar by
radar. 5) Ability to create a list of bad gages though a GUI.
These gages would be set to missing until the user declared them
to be good again.
Stage
II/III Adaptable Parameters GUI -Jay Breidenbach
/ Mark Glaudemans
- Action
Item: Implement ability for RFC to specify parameters
for all the radars in the RFC area of responsibility.
Stage
III Adaptable Parameter Optimization -Jay Breidenbach
- Action
Item: HRL will provide updated guidance on adaptable
parameters
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