|
Schedule
of Topics for Statistical Hydrology Workshop
CBRFC
September 10 to 14, 2001
|
| Monday
PM (Sept 10) |
|
15 min
|
Introductions,
Workshop purpose, Workshop Format (Dave) |
2 hours
|
RFC use
of stats (SWS and ESP) rfc_use.shw |
| Ensemble
Forecasting System |
30 mins
|
Intro to
uncertainty forecasting, distributed modeling? uncert_fcsting.shw
and stat101.shw |
1 hour
|
ESPINIT/FCINIT,
Time series and Analysis, description of DEF-TS fields, any required changes
to use the new FCINIT, file space sys_init.shw |
1 hour
|
computer
exercise |
| Tuesday
AM (Sept 11) |
|
1 hour
|
Running
ESP, ESP Techniques, time shifting, SCRATCH vs. Permanent files sys_esp.shw |
1 hour
|
ens script
and ens directories sys_misc.shw |
1 hour
|
computer
exercise |
1 hour
|
Review
of ESPADP functions via a demo, system enhancements |
| Tuesday
PM (Sept 11) |
|
1 hour
|
espadp
batch sys_adp.shw |
30 mins
|
NCRFC operational
implementation including Linux effort (NCRFC) |
30 mins
|
NWRFC
SSARR conversion (NWRFC) |
2 hour
|
computer
exercise |
| Wednesday
AM (Sept 12) |
|
| Verification
of Statistical Forecasts |
30 min
|
The ESPVS
espvs.shw |
15 min
|
NCRFC verification
project (NCRFC) |
15 min
|
CBRFC SWS
and ESP (CBRFC) |
15 min
|
NWRFC SWS
and ESP (NWRFC) |
15 min
|
ESP and
Water Supply comparison (MBRFC) |
1 hour
|
University
of AZ CPC temp/precip and CBRFC water supply forecast evaluations (Kristie
Franz) kristie_nws_2001.ppt
(download)
|
| Long
Term Hydromet Coupling |
30 min
|
Meaning
of CPC forecasts, and science of the PREADJUST program |
30 min
|
ESP blending
and Year Weighting |
15 min
|
CBRFC:
time series analog pattern matching project/software (CBRFC) |
| Wednesday
PM (Sept 12) |
|
| Short
Term Ensemble Forecasts |
1 hour
|
Summary
of ongoing OH short term forecast research and development shortens.shw |
30 min
|
Susquehana
River Basin project (MARFC) |
45 min
|
CBRFC ESP
Database project (CBRFC) |
30 min
|
Hydromet
coupling system setup EnsPreSetup.shw
EnsPreCal.shw EnsPre.shw |
1 hour
|
Computer
exercise |
| Thursday
AM (Sept 13) |
|
| Accounting
for Model and Calibration Errors |
1 hour
|
Model-Calibration
Error – science and system of the post-adjustments (post processor),
pre-esp model state updates, Relation to Adjust-Q and keeping the models
up to date. EnsPost.shw EnsPostProc.shw |
1 hour
|
Computer
exercise |
| Forecast
Displays |
15 min
|
Short Term
River Forecast Interface (RFI), forecast QC. rfi.gif |
15 min
|
Flood Forecast
Mapping |
30 min
|
CBRFC Web
Interface/Short Term ESP (CBRFC) |
30 min
|
NCRFC web
displays (NCRFC) |
30 min
|
SERFC web
displays and system description (SERFC) |
30 min
|
NERFC displays
(NERFC) |
| Thursday
PM (Sept 13) |
|
| Statistical
Water Supply System |
2 hour
|
SWS –
Science and System of the SWS (CBRFC) |
2 hour
|
SWS –
Science and System of the SWS (CBRFC) |
| Friday
AM (Sept 14) |
|
2 hour
|
SWS computer
exercise |
|
NERFC – Erick
Boehmler
MARFC – Edwin Pryor
OHRFC – Thomas Adams
SERFC – Wylie Quillian
LMRFC – Eric Jones
WGRFC – Jason Johnson
NCRFC – John Halquist
Mike Deweese
MBRFC – Ron Schwartz
ABRFC – Tracy Howieson
CNRFC – Todd Mendell
Peter Fickenscher
NWRFC – Rick Vanderzweep
APRFC – Scott Lindsey
WFO Corpus Cristi
– Mark Lenz
WFO Des Moines – Peter Corrigan
WFO Quad Cities – Jeff Zogg
WR HQ – Gregg Rishel
U of AZ – Kristie Franz
|
www.nws.noaa.gov
