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Professional Competency Unit 3: Demonstrate Understanding of the Basis and Methodologies of CPC Products
Producer: Mike Halpert, NWS Climate Prediction Center(CPC)

Training Need: NWS field staff must understand the foundation of CPC products in order to integrate climatic factors into local products and services. This information is needed to maximize the effectiveness of customer outreach.

Training Objective: NWS field staff must have an understanding of the processes used to generate CPC climate forecasts.
This includes philosophical approach, predictive tools, steps for integrating those tools, and the performance characteristics of the tools and forecasts.

Specific Job Task Skills and Knowledge

1. Demonstrate familiarity with CPC product suite:
A. Forecast products
:

  • Long lead forecasts: monthly and 3-month outlooks
  • Extended Range Outlooks: 6-10 day and week 2
  • U.S. Threats Assessment
  • HDD / CDD forecasts
  • SST forecasts
  • Excessive heat forecast
  • UVI forecast
  • Hurricane/Tropical Storm outlook
  • Drought outlook
    B. Monitoring / Diagnostic Products:
  • ENSO advisories
  • Drought monitor
  • Monthly Climate Diagnostics Bulletin
  • Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin
  • Special Bulletins and Summaries
  • Other derived monitoring and diagnostic products

    2. Demonstrate knowledge of how products are produced:

  • Philosophical basis
  • Model tools
  • Human integration of tools
  • Algorithms for derived monitoring and diagnostic products

    3. Demonstrate familiarity with CPC operational production schedule.

    4. Demonstrate familiarity with performance characteristics of forecast tools and products:

  • Hindcast verification statistics of tools
  • Real-time verification statistics of forecasts and tools

    Instructional Components:

    Instructional Component 3.1: Navigating CPC website (webcast: Audio Visit View Presentation*)

    Instructional Component 3.2: CPC Threats Assessment (Online Tutorial, currently under development)

    Instructional Component 3.3: CPC Extended Range Forecast

    3.3.1. CPC Extended Range Forecast Introduction (webcast: Audio Visit View Presentation*)
    3.3.2. Online Tutorial on Bases, Tools and Forecasting Processes (under development)
    3.3.3. Webcast on A Specific Forecast Case Study
    3.3.4. Residence Training on Best Practices of CPC Forecast Interpretation, Its Use in Local Office Operations, and Public Outreach

    Instructional Component 3.4: CPC Long Lead Outlook

    1. CPC Long Lead Outlook Introduction (webcast: Audio Visit View Presentation*)
    2. Online Tutorial on Bases, Tools and Forecasting Processes (under development)
    3. Webcast on A Specific Forecast Case Study
    4. Residence Training on Best Practices of Forecast Interpretation,
    Its Use in Local Office Operations, and Public Outreach

    Instructional Component 3.5: CPC Monitoring Products (webcast)

    Instructional Component 3.6: NOAA Hurricane outlooks (not available at this time)

    *To use the Audio Visit View file:
    1. Save the file on your computer in specified directory
    2. Click twice on the file name to extract all files for the presentation
    3. Run (click twice) visitauto.bat to view the presentation
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