Symbolic representation of NWS mission: protecting lifes and properties

Title:
Responding to Inquiries on Abrupt Climate Change


What is abrupt climate change?

  • Abrupt climate change is the earth's climate system shifting into a new climate state over a period of years to decades. The new climate state lasts long enough to distinguish it from a singular extreme event.

    Climate versus weather

  • Weather is the day-to-day changes in the atmosphere that happen in short-term increments from seconds to minutes to weeks.
  • Climate is the synthesis of this short-term weather information and a description of any variations in weather at a given place for a specified time frame, like months, years decades and centuries.
  • Climate scientists look for trends or cycles of variability and study them in context of the bigger picture and over the long term.

    Does climate change affect the local weather?

  • We have a limited knowledge at this point. We're still studying the complicated climate system to find out whether long-term climate change is affecting local weather.
  • For example, we have been successful studying and predicting short-term climate change like El Nino or La Nina, and know they have measurable impacts on regional and local weather patterns.
  • There is not enough evidence to determine whether long-term climate change increases the frequency or intensity of storms, hurricanes or tornadoes.

    Can abrupt climate change happen in days?

  • No. Paleoclimatological records show that the most rapid changes in our climate happen in the span of years or decades, not days. It is impossible for the global climate to change within a span of days or even weeks or months.

    NOAA Public Affairs Contact
    Kent Laborde in NOAA Public Affairs can arrange an interview with NOAA climate experts.

    Additional Training Resources

    Thermohaline Circulation: From class schedule (following link), select first presentation from Friday entitled "PDO, Atmospheric Bridge (Alexander)."

    Climate Change: A webcast by Dr. Kevin Trenberth "The Science of Global Climate Change and Human Influences"