Investigators Project Title Progress Report

Funded Projects for FY16 (funding period: July 2016 - June 2018)

Augustin Vintzileos, Stephen Baxter,

A Subseasonal Excessive Heat Outlook System for CPC’s Global Tropics Hazards and Benefits Outlook (GTH)


Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Kingtse C. Mo

Development of a Monitoring and Prediction System for Flash Droughts over the United States


Yuejian Zhu, Malaquías Peña, Wei Li, and Xiaqiong Zhou, Hong Guan, Dingchen Hou, Richard Wobus, Xu Li, Qin Zhang, Dan Collins, Jon Gottschalck

An NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System for Monthly Forecasts


Deepthi Achuthavarier, Randal D. Koster, Jelena Marshak, Dan C. Collins, Jon Gottschalck

Estimating the Subseasonal Forecast Skill in the NASA GEOS-5 System with a Focus on the Madden Julian Oscillation and the Land Surface Memory Feedback Processes,


Dan C. Collins, Qin Zhang, Q.J. Wang, Andrew Schepen, Emily Becker

Increasing Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Forecast Skill through Climate Teleconnections: A Hybrid Statistical-Dynamical Prediction System


Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Michael Ek, David Mocko, Sujay Kumar, Youlong Xia, Jiarui Dong

Operational Transition of Soil Moisture and Snow Data Assimilation in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)


Andy Wood, Rajagopalan Balaji, Peitao Peng, Yu Zhang, Kevin Werner, Subhrendu Gangopadhyay, Jeffery Arnold

NMME sub-seasonal to seasonal climate products for hydrology and water management


Benjamin Kirtman, K. Pegion, T. DelSole, A. Robertson, M. Tippett, R. Burgman, H. Lin, J. Gottschalck, D. Collins

Developing a Real-Time Multi-Model Sub-Seasonal Predictive Capability


James A. Carton, Stephen G. Penny, Robert Grumbine, Suranjana Saha

Development of Ensemble-Based Sea Ice Analysis and Forecasting in the Climate Forecast System


Stephen G. Penny, Jim Carton, Yan Xue, David Behringer, Laury Miller

Upgrading the CPC operational ocean monitoring to an eddypermitting global ocean analysis using the Hybrid Global Ocean Data Assimilation System as a replacement for GODAS


Benjamin Kirtman, K. Pegion, R. Fu, J. Gottschalck, D. Collins

Sub-Seasonal Prediction with CCSM4


Uma Bhatt, Peter Bieniek, Allison York

Seasonal Climate Forecasting Applied to Wildland Fire Management in Alaska


Neil Barton, E. Joseph Metzger, Dan C. Collins, Jon Gottschalck

The Inclusion of Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Predictions of the Navy’s Earth System Model in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)


Stephen Griffies, Robert Hallberg, Alistair Adcroft, Arun Chawla, Suranjana Saha, Stephen G. Penny

Development Toward NCEP’s Fully-Coupled Global Forecast and Data Assimilation System: A Coupled Wave - Ocean System


(Project Archives)

1)   Test the most relevant and promising research advances

2)   Make NCEP infrastructure and expertise available to the external community

3)   Deploy the developments arising from funded MAPP-CTB research projects into NCEP operational climate forecast systems, products, and applications


MAPP-CTB Funded Projects