Diagnostics and Prediction
NOAA 32st Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Tallahassee, FL, 22-26 October 2007
Definition Consensus
Soil Moisture
Long Term Trend
Annular Modes
Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Multi-Model Ensemble
DEMETER
EU ENSEMBLES
WMO Lead Center for LRFVS
CU/IRI Climate Predictability Tool
Predictability and Attribution
Progression of ENSO Forecasts for 2006-2007
Predictability of coupled GCM forecasts: NCEP CFS, CliPAS, and DEMETER
Climate factors helping to shape winter 2005-2006
Lessons learned from successful forecast for July 2004 [Print Version]
A-priori skill estimates of soil moisture forecasts using the constructed analog method
Multi-model Ensemble
Consolidation of seasonal forecasts An evaluation of the probabilistic information in multi-model ensembles by David Unger (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk] Objective weighting of multi-method seasonal predictions by Huug van den Dool (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk]
An evaluation of the probabilistic information in multi-model ensembles by David Unger (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk] Objective weighting of multi-method seasonal predictions by Huug van den Dool (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk]
by David Unger (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk]
Objective weighting of multi-method seasonal predictions by Huug van den Dool (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk]
by Huug van den Dool (10/25/2005) [View the presentation, Listen to the talk]
NOAA/CTB/CST discussions on model overconfidence in prediction
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Books
Stratosphere Troposphere Interaction
K. Mohanakumar Springer
July 2008
Empirical Methods in Short-Term Climate Prediction
H. van den Dool
Oxford Univ. Press
December 2006