NWS Vision For Climate Services

This figure shows seamless suite of products and services, forecast uncertainties, predictability dependence and forecast beneficiaries. The climate time scale is defined as week 2 and beyond.

The three focused development areas are:

1. Unified modeling  - Modeling of weather and climate fluctuations and their interactions with the Earth system are integral to the simulation/prediction problem. A unified modeling approach can be used to address common processes in both classes of models, such that the progress in short-range weather forecasts will translate into improvements in long-range climate predictions and vice-versa.

2. Seamless prediction  - The concept emphasizes the importance of scale interactions and puts the stress on the weakest link of the prediction chain. In forecast practice, reducing biases and better representing uncertainties are the common foci of both weather and climate predictions for improvement. Enhanced cooperation and exchange of experiences between the two communities would accelerate progress for both.

3. Integrated services  - Regional services need reliable climate predictions integrated with weather and water information as long term adaptation is inseparable from near term decisions.



Climate Prediction Center,    Environment Modeling Center
Climate Service Division,     Hydrology Laboratory

National Weather Service
Office of Science and Technology
1325 East-West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
Page Author: Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Climate Services
Page last modified: 04-25-2012


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