This figure shows
seamless suite of products and services, forecast uncertainties,
predictability dependence and forecast beneficiaries. The climate time
scale is defined as week 2 and beyond.
The three focused
development areas are:
1. Unified modeling
- Modeling of weather and climate fluctuations and their interactions with
the Earth system are integral to the simulation/prediction problem. A
unified modeling approach can be used to address common processes in both
classes of models, such that the progress in short-range weather forecasts
will translate into improvements in long-range climate predictions and
vice-versa.
2. Seamless
prediction - The concept emphasizes the
importance of scale interactions and puts the stress on the weakest link
of the prediction chain. In forecast practice, reducing biases and better
representing uncertainties are the common foci of both weather and climate
predictions for improvement. Enhanced cooperation and exchange of
experiences between the two communities would accelerate progress for
both.
3. Integrated
services - Regional services need
reliable climate predictions integrated with weather and water information
as long term adaptation is inseparable from near term decisions.
