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NWS Uncertainty Requirements for Operations (NURO)

Vision:

NWS operational personnel will have access to the most effective, efficient tools, and related technical information, to generate and communicate uncertainty information to improve the quality of products and services for all users.

Mission:

To lead the gathering, organization, and validation of forecast uncertainty needs and requirements from NWS operational field personnel.

 

Action Items
  • NURO Team Report to Uncertainty Steering Team - Finalized and Approved - April 2008
Background and Team Overview
Materials/Documents

 Notes

 References/Working Documents

NURO Forecast Uncertainty Study

Reading Room

 

Misinterpretations of the “Cone of Uncertainty” in Florida during the 2004 Hurricane Season (pdf)

The Effect of Probabilistic Information on Threshold Forecasts

Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (pdf)

An Experiment in Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (pdf)


National Weather Service
Office of Science and Technology
Page Author: Andrea Bleistein
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ost/nfuse
Page last modified: July 10, 2007

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