National Weather Service
FY 2000 Annual Operating Plan
(Condensed)
March 8, 2000
(A pre-release version of this documents was published on January
7, 2000. This is the final version based on the approved NWS Fiscal Year
2000 Annual Operating Plan.)
Contents
Mission
Planning Assumptions/Overview
1.0 Program Information/Planned Accomplishments
1.1 NWS Objectives
1.2 NWS Performance Measures
1.3 NWS Milestones
2.0 Management Issues
2.1 Diversity
2.2 Affirmative Action
2.3 Employee Development and Training
3.0 Other Information
3.1 Legislative Issues
3.2 Minority Serving Institutions
Mission
The National Weather Service provides weather, hydrologic, and
climate forecasts and warnings for the United States, its
territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas, for the protection
of life and property and the enhancement of the national economy.
NWS data and products form a national information database and
infrastructure which can be used by other governmental agencies,
the private sector, the public and the global community.
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Planning Assumptions/Overview
The NWS FY 2000 Operating Plan is based on an appropriation of
$656.9M. The OR&F account is $601.4M, $37.7M above the FY 1999
appropriation, while the Procurement, Acquisition, and
Construction (PAC) account is $55.5M, $43.3M below the FY 1999
appropriation.
Funding levels provided in the appropriation will enable the NWS
to continue to improve weather, water and climate services and
achieve the goals of the NOAA and NWS Strategic Plans. The plan
also supports key Departmental program initiatives including the
Natural Disaster Reduction Initiative and Climate in the 21st
Century.
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1.0 Program Information/Planned Accomplishments
1.1 National Weather Service (NWS) Objectives
The NWS supports three of NOAA's Strategic Planning goals
(Advance Short-Term Warning and Forecast Services, Implement
Seasonal to Inter-annual Climate Forecasts, and Predict and
Assess Decadal to Centennial Change) and will continue to examine
potential involvement in other NOAA-related activities. The
milestones in this plan are listed in accordance with the five
major goals in the NWS Strategic Plan: 1) Deliver Better
Products and Services, 2) Capitalize on Scientific and
Technological Advances, 3) Exercise Global Leadership, 4)Change
in the Organizational Culture, and 5) Manage NWS Resources.
1.2 NWS Performance Measures
Performance measures have been modified to better align with the goals
and objectives of the NWS Strategic Plan. Measures have been added for
winter storm warnings and aviation and marine forecasts.
Measures of Performance/Service Improvements:
|
1999
Actual
|
2000
Goal
|
2005
Goal
|
|
Tornado Warning
|
| Lead Time (minutes) |
12
|
12 |
15
|
| Accuracy (%) |
70 |
70 |
80 |
| False Alarm Rate (%) |
72
|
65 |
40
|
|
Flash Flood Warning
|
| Lead Time (minutes) |
40 |
55 |
65 |
| Accuracy (%) |
82 |
86 |
90 |
|
Winter Storm Warning
|
| Lead Time (hours) |
11 |
12 |
18 |
| Accuracy (%) |
85 |
85 |
90 |
|
Hurricane Warning
|
| Lead Time (hours) |
19
|
20 |
25
|
|
Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling/Visibility)
|
| Accuracy (%) |
19
|
20 |
29
|
| False Alarm Rate (%) |
52 |
50
|
26 |
|
Marine Forecasts (Wind/Wave)
|
| Accuracy (%) |
50 |
51 |
65 |
|
Precipitation Forecasts
|
| Accuracy of 3-Day Forecast (%) |
XX |
20 |
30 |
|
| (XX - 3-day precipitation forecast not issued
in 1999) |
1.3 NWS Milestones
Deliver Better Products and Services
Public Services
- Complete project plan and concept design for Caribou Weather
Forecast Office (1st Qtr)
- Deploy a temporary radar in Evansville, IN (2nd Qtr)
- Complete project plan and acquisition approach for Key West
Weather Forecast Office (2nd Qtr)
- Issue 48-hour probabilistic winter weather guidance product
for snow and ice (2nd Qtr)
- Broadcast watches and warnings in Spanish over selected NWR
transmitters (2nd Qtr)
- Extend precipitation forecast guidance product from two to
three days (3rd Qtr)
- Implement the NOAA Weather Wire Service System replacement
system (3rd Qtr)
- Complete installation of all NWR stations mandated by
Congress in FY 1999 (3rd Qtr)
- Complete construction of the new Guam Weather Forecast
Office (3rd Qtr)
- Extend public weather forecasts from five to seven days
(4th Qtr)
- Establish web-site containing verification information (4th
Qtr)
- Modify the current NWR plan to identify high risk
communities and prioritize areas lacking NWR coverage (4th
Qtr)
Climate Services
- Extend the threats assessment outlook from 10 to 14 days
(3rd Qtr)
- Issue 14 day extreme heat index outlook (3rd Qtr)
- Implement new global climate forecast model (coupled
atmosphere and ocean) (4th Qtr)
Aviation Services
- Complete evaluation of airport specific amendment criteria
for Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)(3rd Qtr)
- Complete evaluation of NWS/FAA web-based aviation forecast
collaboration program (4th Qtr)
- Issue new Airport Weather Warning products at selected
airports (4th Qtr)
- Establish baseline skill for aviation en-route hazard
(turbulence, icing, convective) forecasts (4th Qtr)
- Issue two web-based aviation training modules (low altitude
fog and clouds) (4th Qtr)
Marine Services
- Complete test and evaluation of five day marine forecast
(i.e. wind speed, direction, and wave height) (4th Qtr)
- Begin verification of Coastal Marine Warnings (4th Qtr)
- Deploy test buoy to evaluate new weather sensors and support
systems (4th Qtr)
- Begin assessment of NOS and NWS coastal observing networks
to identify potential operational efficiencies (2nd Qtr)
Fire Services
- Issue 48 hour fire weather outlook (4th Qtr)
- Begin verification of fire weather products (4th Qtr)
Flood Forecasting and Water Management
- Issue one week to two month probabilistic river stage
forecasts for 58 locations in the Upper Mississippi and Ohio
River Basins (4th Qtr)
- Begin verification of river forecasts (3rd Qtr)
- Issue 4km flash flood guidance products at two River
Forecast Centers (Ft. Worth & Salt Lake City RFC)
(4th Qtr)
- Create capability to demonstrate AHPS product suite at seven
River Forecast Centers (4th Qtr)
Emergency Management
- Expand Emergency Managers Weather Information Network
(EMWIN) to entire Pacific basin (3rd Qtr)
- Develop a web-based training course on NWS products for
state and local emergency managers (4th Qtr)
- Establish ten "StormReady" communities (4th Qtr)
Capitalize on Scientific and Technological Advances
Research to Operations
- Integrate and prioritize NOAA Research & Development (R&D)
activities with NWS service improvement goals (1st Qtr)
- Award Cooperative Institute research grants to Texas A&M,
Utah, and Florida State University (2nd Qtr)
- Award three new COMET outreach proposals to universities
(3rd Qtr)
- Provide applied meteorology training (COMET) to 300 NWS
field forecasters (4th Qtr)
Technology
- Issue report on the utility of GOES Sounder data in
preparing local forecasts and warnings (2nd Qtr)
- Increase resolution of the global forecast model (105 km to
75 km) (2nd Qtr)
- Complete government furnished software for AWIPS Release 5.0
for integration and testing (3rd Qtr)
- Issue report on use of aircraft observations and other data
to reduce the number of radiosonde observations (3rd Qtr)
- Increase resolution of the regional (Eta) forecast model
(32 km to 22 km) (4th Qtr)
- Issue new Aviation (AVN) and Medium Range Forecast (MRF)
statistical guidance packages (4th Qtr)
- Deploy hurricane storm surge model for Lake Pontchatrain/
New Orleans basin (4th Qtr)
- Begin integration and testing for AWIPS Release 5.0 (4th
Qtr)
- Begin software design and code for AWIPS Release 5.1 (4th
Qtr)
- Perform testing and evaluation of prototype radiosonde
ground-based tracking system and GPS radiosondes (4th Qtr)
- Procure 60 surface data sensors for radiosonde replacement
system (4th Qtr)
- Procure 70 computer/data processing workstations for
radiosonde replacement system (4th Qtr)
Procure necessary computer hardware to retrofit Radar
Product Generator system on 50 WSR-88Ds (migrate to open
systems) (4th Qtr)
- Complete commissioning of AWIPS (4th Qtr)
- Complete decommissioning of AFOS (4th Qtr)
- Transfer operations and maintenance responsibility of Alaska
Wind Profilers from OAR to NWS (4th Qtr)
Exercise Global Leadership
Increase U.S. participation in international activities
- Complete development of Hurricane Mitch reconstruction plan
(2nd Qtr)
- Begin collection and distribution of Canadian radar data for
use at all northern tier WFOs in Western Region (3nd Qtr)
- Install 3 automatic weather stations in the Bahamas (3th Qtr)
- Complete bilateral agreements with Singapore, Vietnam, and
Korea (4th Qtr)
- Provide flood forecast products for Rio Grande Basin to
Mexican Weather Agency (4th Qtr)
Foster national/international education efforts
- Develop Spanish language Internet HomePages for the
meteorological services of six Central American countries
(3rd Qtr)
- Produce and distribute two COMET training courses in Spanish
(4th Qtr)
- Conduct a hurricane awareness tour to five Caribbean and
Central American countries with emphasis on outreach and
public education (3rd Qtr)
- Host 25 scientists from 12 countries at NCEP's International
Training Desk (4th Qtr)
Change the NWS Organizational Culture
Enhance professional development and training program
- Expand the number of "Diversity Change Agents" from 20 to
100 employees (3rd Qtr)
- Provide leadership training to 48 field personnel (3rd Qtr)
Establish comprehensive training requirements for all NWS
field staff (3rd Qtr)
- Complete proficiency standards for all operational positions
at WFOs, RFCs, CWSUs, and NCEP Service Centers (4th Qtr)
- Provide one-on-one diversity training opportunities to all
NWS employees (4th Qtr)
- Conduct 9 new training courses in AWIPS system management
and local applications (3rd Qtr)
- Provide team training to 220 employees in 11 offices (4th
Qtr)
Increase representation of women and minorities
- Participate in NOAA's Graduate Scientist Program (3rd Qtr)
- Increase representation of women and minorities by 1% (4th
Qtr)
- Expand Student Career Experience Program (SCEP) (4th Qtr)
- Recruit 30 students and 2 faculty members through summer
programs (e.g. ORISE, METCON, AISES, HACU) (4th Qtr)
- Complete educational outreach visits at 10 Minority Serving
Institutions (4th Qtr)
- Use DOC's exit interview form to determine separation cause
factors (4th Qtr)
- Use DOC's placement assessment survey for graduating
meteorologists and hydrologists (4th Qtr)
Implement human resource and management practices to support NOAA mission
- Support NOAA Office of Diversity with Phase 2 of Survey Feedback Action:
NOAA Organizational Culture Assessment (4th Qtr)
Place decision and budget authority at lowest and most effective levels
- Establish requirements for new NWS financial management
system (3rd Qtr)
- Place budget authority at lowest practical levels in the
four conterminous Regions (4th Qtr)
Manage NWS Resources
Integrate Planning and Evaluation
Revise budget planning process to integrate NWS Strategic
Plan and Information Technology (IT) (1st Qtr)
- Develop recommendation (as part of the overall NOAA study)
to improve NWS budget structure (2nd Qtr)
- Submit reprogramming for NWS Headquarters reorganization
(2nd Qtr)
- Begin cost accounting pilot projects for Central Region (2nd
Qtr)
- Complete assessment for implementing performance-based
budgeting (3rd Qtr)
Begin cost accounting pilot project on NOAA Weather Radio
(4th Qtr)
Leverage Information Technology/Infrastructure
- Move Class VIII Supercomputer to Census Bowie Computer
Center (1st Qtr)
- Create a Chief Information Officer (CIO) Office (2nd Qtr)
- Develop Telecommunications Strategic Plan (3rd Qtr)
- Exercise contract option for AWIPS Operations & Maintenance
Phase (4th Qtr)
Ensure Cost Efficiency
- Conduct base operations budget reviews for all NWS Financial
Management Centers as part of the FY 2002 Budget Planning
Process (2nd Qtr)
- Complete eight additional office closure certifications (2nd
Qtr)
- Complete five additional office closure certifications (4th
Qtr)
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2.0 Management Issues
2.1 Diversity
In FY 1999, the NWS appointed a new Diversity Coordinator, established
a Diversity Council, and developed a Managing Diversity Webpage. FY 2000
activities include:
- Provide one-on-one diversity training opportunities to all
NWS employees (All Qtrs)
- Support NOAA Office of Diversity with Phase 2 of the SFA:
NOAA Organizational Culture Audit (All Qtrs)
- Expand the number of "Diversity Change Agents" from 20 to
100 employees. These individuals will be responsible
promoting diversity in the workforce and modeling behaviors
of managing diversity. These efforts will serve to
complement the role of the NWS Diversity Council (3rd Qtr)
- Develop an NWS one-stop training webpage listing existing
and planned training opportunities (4th Qtr)
- Broadcast watches and warnings in Spanish over selected NWR
transmitters (2nd Qtr)
2.2 Affirmative Action
The NWS will continue to support the NOAA Affirmative Action
Plan. All recruitment efforts within the NWS promote hiring
practices independent of age, class, ethnicity, gender, sexual
orientation, disability, race, religion, or language. NWS will
continue to foster and promote opportunities for advancement,
training, and challenges for all. In FY 2000, NWS has
established a goal of increasing representation and promotions
for women and minorities by 1%.
NWS Affirmative Action activities in FY 2000 include:
- Increase relationships with Minority Serving Institutions
(MSIs)(4th Qtr)
- Expand the Student Career Experience Program (4th Qtr)
- Expand vacancy advertising in minority serving publications
and journals (4th Qtr)
- Implement NOAA's FY 1999 Affirmative Employment Program Plan
for Grades 13 and above (including developing an NWS
Leadership Development Program) (All Qtrs)
- Participate in NOAA's Graduate Scientist Program (3rd Qtr)
- Use Minority Serving Institution Resource Guide for NWS
recruitment (All Qtrs)
- Recruit 30 students and 2 faculty members for the NOAA
Student/Faculty Research Program (4th Qtr)
- Distribute new White House Policy on Sexual Orientation
Discrimination in Federal Civilian Employment (2nd Qtr)
- Host NWS EEO Conference for EEO managers (TBD)
- Use DOC's exit interview form to determine separation cause
factors (4th Qtr)
- Use DOC's placement assessment survey for graduating
meteorologists and hydrologists (4th Qtr)
2.3 Employee Development and Training
The NWS places a high priority on employee development and
training. In FY 1999 the NWS implemented a National Strategic
Training and Education Plan (NSTEP) to integrate and prioritize
training requirements. In addition to the training activities
outlined in section 1.3, NWS will complete the following
employee development and training actions in FY 2000:
- COMET - provide 14 residence classes in advanced
forecasting techniques
- NWSTC - provide 76 residence classes in a number of areas
including maintenance, system operations, management
- Provide 35 hours of teletraining instructional materials
on AWIPS applications, WSR-88D use and advanced integrated
sensor training to all interested NWS offices
- Release 45 hours of Internet training materials on
Numerical Weather Prediction, Hydrology, Fog forecasting,
Heavy precipitation forecasting, and polar satellite data
applications to all NWS, universities and private sector
meteorologists
- Release 8 severe weather case studies on the Internet for
internal training purposes
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3.0 Other Information
3.1 Legislative Issues
FY 2000 Congressional earmarks are identified below:
- NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) Transmitters: $1.3M for NWR
transmitters in Illinois, Kentucky, South Dakota, Wyoming,
and Missouri
- Emergency Managers Weather Information Network (EMWIN):
$.045M for EMWIN Sites in Kentucky
- North Dakota Agricultural Weather Network: $.275M for the
North Dakota Agricultural Weather Network
- 2002 Olympic Support: $.4M for the University of Utah to
implement data collection and automated weather station
installation in preparation for the 2000 Olympic games
- Advanced Weather Prediction Prototype: $.5M for the
Advanced Weather Prediction Prototype at the University of
Oklahoma
3.2 Minority Serving Institutions
The NWS will increase its relationship with Minority Serving Institutions
including Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs), Hispanic
Serving Institutions, and Tribal Colleges and Universities.
The NWS will increase direct and indirect assistance to Minority Serving
Institutions by $200K in FY 2000. Specific activities include:
- Increase collaborative efforts with NOAA and the
University of Puerto Rico, Mayaquez (UPRM) Campus
- Expand visits to at least 10 new Minority Serving
Institutions
- Recruit two faculty members from Minority Serving
Institutions (temporary summer positions)
- Support the Society for Advancement of Chicanos and Native
Americans in Science (SACNAS)
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