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000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010901
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
705 PM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI TURNING WEST-NORTHWEST...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.6N 133.1E

ABOUT 440 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 445 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR
ABOUT 780 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 850 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.1 DEGREES
EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM NURI
IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A TYPHOON
EARLY SUNDAY.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 200 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010901
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
705 PM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI TURNING WEST-NORTHWEST...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.6N 133.1E

ABOUT 440 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 445 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR
ABOUT 780 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 850 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.1 DEGREES
EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM NURI
IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A TYPHOON
EARLY SUNDAY.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 200 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 010843
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014

...VANCE ADVANCING WESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 102.7W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST.  VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 010843
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014

...VANCE ADVANCING WESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 102.7W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST.  VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010843
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.3N 102.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z  9.7N 104.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.2N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.4N 102.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010843
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.3N 102.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z  9.7N 104.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.2N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.4N 102.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010843
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.3N 102.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z  9.7N 104.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.2N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.4N 102.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010843
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N 102.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.3N 102.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z  9.7N 104.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.2N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.4N 102.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 010232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT IS EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 101.8W
ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH VANCE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS...RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 010232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT IS EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 101.8W
ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH VANCE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS...RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010232
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.5N 103.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.1N 107.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 110.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.1N 108.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 24.3N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N 101.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010232
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.5N 103.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.1N 107.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 110.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.1N 108.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 24.3N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N 101.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010149
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
1150 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI STRENGTHENING OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.2N 133.6E

ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 410 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 825 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.6
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM NURI IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A
TYPHOON TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

CHAN




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010149
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
1150 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI STRENGTHENING OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.2N 133.6E

ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 410 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 825 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.6
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM NURI IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A
TYPHOON TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

CHAN





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010149
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
1150 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI STRENGTHENING OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.2N 133.6E

ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 410 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 825 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.6
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM NURI IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A
TYPHOON TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

CHAN




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010149
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
1150 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI STRENGTHENING OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.2N 133.6E

ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 410 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 825 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.6
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM NURI IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A
TYPHOON TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

CHAN





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 312054
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE NOW MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 101.4W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 312054
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 101.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z  9.3N 102.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z  9.6N 104.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.5N 106.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.7N 108.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 19.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N 101.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 312054
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE NOW MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 101.4W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 312054
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 101.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 101.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z  9.3N 102.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z  9.6N 104.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.5N 106.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.7N 108.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 19.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N 101.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 311933
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
533 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.5N 134.1E

ABOUT 385 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 430 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 715 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 785 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.1
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED BY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NURI IS
FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE WEEKEND.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 311933
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
533 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.5N 134.1E

ABOUT 385 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 430 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 715 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 785 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.1
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED BY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NURI IS
FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE WEEKEND.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 311933
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
533 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.5N 134.1E

ABOUT 385 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 430 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 715 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 785 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.1
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED BY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NURI IS
FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE WEEKEND.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 311933
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
533 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL STORM NURI TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.5N 134.1E

ABOUT 385 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 430 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 715 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 785 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW...295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 AM CHST...1900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.1
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. NURI IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED BY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NURI IS
FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE WEEKEND.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 311437
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING ERRATICALLY WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.1N 100.8W
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 195 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST. VANCE IS
DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.  A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 311437
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 100.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 195 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 100.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 100.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z  9.7N 101.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.6N 103.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.2N 105.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.3N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.5N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 100.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 311437
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 100.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 195 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 100.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 100.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z  9.7N 101.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.6N 103.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.2N 105.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.3N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.5N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 100.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 311423
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
1223 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM NURI...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.9N 135.1E

ABOUT 310 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 390 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 720 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...280 DEGREES AT 11 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 AM CHST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.1
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST AT 11 MPH. NURI IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
NURI IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE WEEKEND.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 800 AM LATER THIS MORNING.

$$

WILLIAMS




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 311423
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NURI ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
1223 AM CHST SAT NOV 1 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM NURI...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.9N 135.1E

ABOUT 310 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT 390 MILES NORTH OF KOROR
ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT 720 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...280 DEGREES AT 11 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 AM CHST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL
BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.1
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM NURI IS MOVING WEST AT 11 MPH. NURI IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
NURI IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE WEEKEND.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM NURI WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 800 AM LATER THIS MORNING.

$$

WILLIAMS





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310857
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
800 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.7N 136.0E

ABOUT  265 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  310 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  365 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  390 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  590 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  675 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.0
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.0W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.0W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.0W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.0W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 310835
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.0W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.0W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.1N 101.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z  9.8N 103.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 10.0N 104.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 106.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 101.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 310835
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.0W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.0W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.1N 101.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z  9.8N 103.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 10.0N 104.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 106.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 101.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 101.3W
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST.  VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 310231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 101.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.4N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.0N 103.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 310231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 101.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.4N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.0N 103.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 310231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 101.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.4N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.0N 103.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 310231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 101.3W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 101.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.4N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.0N 103.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 12.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310154
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W FORMS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.8N 136.8E

ABOUT  245 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  275 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  330 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  415 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  535 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  620 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MCELROY





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310154
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W FORMS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.8N 136.8E

ABOUT  245 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  275 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  330 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  415 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  535 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  620 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MCELROY





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310154
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W FORMS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.8N 136.8E

ABOUT  245 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  275 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  330 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  415 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  535 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  620 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MCELROY





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310154
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W FORMS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.8N 136.8E

ABOUT  245 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  275 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  330 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  415 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  535 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  620 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MCELROY





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310154
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W FORMS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.8N 136.8E

ABOUT  245 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  275 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  330 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  415 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  535 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  620 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MCELROY






000
WTPQ31 PGUM 310154
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202014
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 31 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W FORMS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.8N 136.8E

ABOUT  245 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP
ABOUT  275 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT  330 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT  415 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR
ABOUT  535 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND
ABOUT  620 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W...260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W
WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8
DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS
FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

MCELROY





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 302033
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
2100 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.0W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.0W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 100.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.6N 101.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.1N 102.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z  9.9N 104.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 10.1N 105.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.0N 109.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 302033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE IS THE 20TH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 101.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY... WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  VANCE SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 302033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE IS THE 20TH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 101.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY... WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  VANCE SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 301446
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.7W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 11.4N 101.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.7N 102.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.4N 103.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 10.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.9N 108.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 15.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 100.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 301446
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.7W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 11.4N 101.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.7N 102.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.4N 103.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 10.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.9N 108.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 15.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 100.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 301446
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 100.9W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE
100.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9
KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...
WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE DEPRESSION
SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 300841
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 100.2W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...AND THIS
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 300841
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 100.2W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...AND THIS
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 300840
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.1N 100.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.8N 101.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.3N 102.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 100.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 300840
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.1N 100.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.8N 101.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.3N 102.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 100.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 300840
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.1N 100.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.8N 101.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.3N 102.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 100.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 300840
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.1N 100.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.8N 101.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.3N 102.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 100.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





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