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000
FZAK80 PAFC 102332
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
230 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 15 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY...MOVING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH
MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.3N 162.1W
TO 59.5N 168.2W TO 61.6N 172.7W TO 60.7N 178.1W AND CONTINUES IN
RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA ICE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
MONDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST 20
TO 30 NM THROUGH MONDAY...WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 102332
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
230 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 15 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY...MOVING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH
MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.3N 162.1W
TO 59.5N 168.2W TO 61.6N 172.7W TO 60.7N 178.1W AND CONTINUES IN
RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA ICE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
MONDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST 20
TO 30 NM THROUGH MONDAY...WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


000
FZAK80 PAFC 102332
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
230 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 15 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE
FRIDAY...MOVING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH
MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.3N 162.1W
TO 59.5N 168.2W TO 61.6N 172.7W TO 60.7N 178.1W AND CONTINUES IN
RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA ICE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
MONDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST 20
TO 30 NM THROUGH MONDAY...WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 102202
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
502 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION... TEMPERATURES AROUND THE LAKES WILL RUN BELOW
TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL INTO MONDAY MORNING THEN START TO MODERATE
CLOSER TO NORMAL BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME AREAS MAY EVEN SEE
READINGS VERY MUCH BELOW NORMAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

THE ARCTIC AIR WILL LEAD TO RAPID ICE GROWTH FOR LAKE ERIE THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT SO AN ICE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. SHALLOW
AREAS...ESPECIALLY RIVERS...BAYS AND NARROW WATERWAYS IN THE OTHER
LAKES WILL SEE MODERATE ICE GROWTH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT THEN LITTLE
CHANGE ON MONDAY. OTHER OPEN...DEEPER AREAS ON THE LAKES WILL SEE
SLOW TO LOCALLY MODERATE ICE GROWTH THROUGH DAYBREAK MONDAY.

WINDS WILL MAINLY BE NORTHWEST TO WEST INTO SUNDAY MORNING THEN TURN
OUT OF THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. WIND
SPEEDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH LATER FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MAY INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES SO SOME PRESSURING OF THE ICE TOWARD
THE SOUTHEAST MAY OCCUR. HOWEVER...THE MODERATE TO RAPID RATE OF ICE
GROWTH SHOULD LIMIT ICE MOVEMENT AS MOST OF THE ICE REMAINS FASTED
IN PLACE.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS


     MAX WIND AT EACH SITE FOR THE 12 HOUR FCST PERIOD

       LOCATION   TONIGHT      THU  THU NIGHT      FRI  FRI NIGHT
  WEST SUPERIOR         /         /         /         /         /
   MID SUPERIOR         /         /         /         /         /
  EAST SUPERIOR         /         /         /         /         /
 NORTH MICHIGAN         /         /         /         /         /
 SOUTH MICHIGAN         /         /         /         /         /
    NORTH HURON         /         /         /         /         /
      MID HURON         /         /         /         /         /
    SOUTH HURON         /         /         /         /         /
      WEST ERIE         /         /         /         /         /
      EAST ERIE         /         /         /         /         /
CENTRAL ONTARIO         /         /         /         /         /
        TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/11   02/12   02/13   02/14   02/15   02/16
   DULUTH -11   4  -7  -6 -18  15  -6  27  17  28  15
MARQUETTE   4  15   5   9  -3   6  -6  18  13  25  20  29
 GREENBAY  -1  16   4  15  -3  11  -6  19  12  28  19  32
MILWAUKEE   5  18   8  19   1  11   4  21  17  30  21  34
  CHICAGO   4  21  11  22   3  13   4  22  19  32  23  36
 MUSKEGON  12  21  14  23   5  14   2  19  14  30  22  35
   ALPENA   2  18  12  17  -6   1  -4  15   7  27  18  31
  DETROIT  12  19  15  24   2   9   0  17  14  32  24  35
   TOLEDO  10  23  12  25   5  12   0  19  14  32  24  34
CLEVELAND  12  19   5  24   4   9   2  18  13  32  26  35
  BUFFALO  11  16  13  23   0   2  -4  12  10  32  26  35

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 10:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB    9 1508  973
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB    9 1234  719
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB    9  981  499
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB    9  957  487
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB    9  551  306
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB    9  448  239
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB    9  327  145
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB    9  735  354
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB    9  326   86
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB    9  335  138
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB    9  179   74
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB    9  419   93


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 10

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  24   5
 MARQUETTE,MI  25   9
  GREENBAY,WI  24   5
 MILWAUKEE,WI  33  19
   CHICAGO,IL  35  19
  MUSKEGON,MI  32  18
    ALPENA,MI  24   5
   DETROIT,MI  34  19
    TOLEDO,OH  35  19
 CLEVELAND,OH  36  21
   BUFFALO,NY  33  18



NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN LOWER
CASE.

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 082258
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST MONDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...SATURDAY 13 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL SLOWLY TRACK OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
WEDNESDAY...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY. ANOTHER
LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY...
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH SATURDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM
RIVER DELTA TO 59.5N 168.4W TO 61.4N 172.3W TO 61.0N 178.2W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
20 TO 30 NM THROUGH SATURDAY... WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 082258
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST MONDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...SATURDAY 13 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL SLOWLY TRACK OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
WEDNESDAY...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY. ANOTHER
LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY...
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH SATURDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM
RIVER DELTA TO 59.5N 168.4W TO 61.4N 172.3W TO 61.0N 178.2W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
20 TO 30 NM THROUGH SATURDAY... WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


000
FZAK80 PAFC 082258
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST MONDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...SATURDAY 13 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN ISLAND WILL SLOWLY TRACK OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
WEDNESDAY...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THURSDAY. ANOTHER
LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY...
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH SATURDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM
RIVER DELTA TO 59.5N 168.4W TO 61.4N 172.3W TO 61.0N 178.2W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE ICE EDGE THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST
20 TO 30 NM THROUGH SATURDAY... WITH MINIMAL ICE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL PASS OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 151.6W TO 60.7N 151.9W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN
SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 082240
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
545 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREAT LAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES WILL DRIFT EAST AND MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THURSDAY.
AS IT DOES...THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS OVER THE LAKES
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM THE WEST.  WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  A DEEP UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEAST CONUS BY MID WEEK...ALLOWING
A LARGE ARCTIC AIRMASS TO DROP OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA AND MOVE ACROSS
THE LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...USHERING IN MUCH BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS
THAT WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  RAPID ICE GROWTH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN LAKES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS
LOWS DIP TO AROUND ZERO TO 10 BELOW. MODERATE ICE GROWTH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINING LAKES WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS HOVERING IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENT CONDITIONS

         TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/09   02/10   02/11   02/12   02/13   02/14
   DULUTH  -5   5 -12  -7 -10   8  -7   7  -3  19  11
MARQUETTE  16  18   8  12   5  15   5  11  -1  10   0  19
 GREENBAY  17  20   3  14  -1  16   2  15  -2  13  -1  21
MILWAUKEE  20  22   8  15   4  18   7  19   5  16   9  23
  CHICAGO  21  23  11  16   5  19   8  21   8  18  10  24
 MUSKEGON  25  30  17  21  12  20  12  22   9  16   6  21
   ALPENA  28  32  13  17   3  14   8  15  -4   5  -4  18
  DETROIT  30  33  21  24  10  20  12  23   8  13   6  20
   TOLEDO  27  32  20  23  12  22  12  23   8  15   1  15
CLEVELAND  28  33  22  24  14  20  11  23  10  15   1  14
  BUFFALO  31  37  29  31  16  18  10  21   3   5  -3  15

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON MON FEB 8:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB    7 1470  923
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB    7 1198  686
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB    7  949  486
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB    7  930  465
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB    7  535  285
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB    7  436  218
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB    7  315  143
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB    7  709  350
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB    7  316   89
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB    7  325  139
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB    7  174   78
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB    7  405  105


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR MON FEB 8

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  23   4
 MARQUETTE,MI  25   9
  GREENBAY,WI  23   4
 MILWAUKEE,WI  33  19
   CHICAGO,IL  35  18
  MUSKEGON,MI  32  18
    ALPENA,MI  23   4
   DETROIT,MI  34  19
    TOLEDO,OH  35  19
 CLEVELAND,OH  36  21
   BUFFALO,NY  33  18



NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN LOWER
CASE.

$$

DJB




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