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000
FZAK80 PAFC 252257
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY 2015

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 02 MARCH 2015

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PUSH ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERIES OF LOWS WILL BRING COLDER AIR TO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND PUSH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-

PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ185-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE ALASKA COAST NEAR NAKNEK TO 58.3N
158.5W TO 58.5N 159.3W TO 58.5N 162.2W TO 59.7N 162.2W TO 59.4N
163.3W TO 59.6N 164.8W TO 58.5N 167.2W TO 58.6N 172.4W TO 60.5N
177.1W TO 61.8N 177.7W AND CONTINUES ALONG THE RUSSIAN COAST. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN BECOME STRONG
FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST 15 TO 30
NM THROUGH MONDAY.

-COOK INLET-PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK LOW
PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TOWARD COOK INLET LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF ON
MONDAY.

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE COAST NEAR 60.4N 151.3W TO 60.5N
151.9W TO 60.4N 152.2W. THE ICE EDGE CONSISTS OF MAINLY OPEN WATER.
LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ICE ARE ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW BAYS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET.

FORECAST FOR COOK INLET THROUGH MONDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MONDAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE OVERALL ICE PACK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DECREASE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH SOME
ADDITIONAL STRIPS OF ICE WILL LIKELY BE PULLED DOWN IN THE RIP NEAR
THE WEST FORELAND WITH DAILY TIDE CHANGE. THESE WILL LIKELY MELT
WITH WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.



000
FZAK80 PAFC 252257
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY 2015

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 02 MARCH 2015

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PUSH ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERIES OF LOWS WILL BRING COLDER AIR TO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND PUSH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-

PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ185-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE ALASKA COAST NEAR NAKNEK TO 58.3N
158.5W TO 58.5N 159.3W TO 58.5N 162.2W TO 59.7N 162.2W TO 59.4N
163.3W TO 59.6N 164.8W TO 58.5N 167.2W TO 58.6N 172.4W TO 60.5N
177.1W TO 61.8N 177.7W AND CONTINUES ALONG THE RUSSIAN COAST. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN BECOME STRONG
FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST 15 TO 30
NM THROUGH MONDAY.

-COOK INLET-PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK LOW
PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TOWARD COOK INLET LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF ON
MONDAY.

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE COAST NEAR 60.4N 151.3W TO 60.5N
151.9W TO 60.4N 152.2W. THE ICE EDGE CONSISTS OF MAINLY OPEN WATER.
LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ICE ARE ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW BAYS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET.

FORECAST FOR COOK INLET THROUGH MONDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MONDAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE OVERALL ICE PACK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DECREASE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH SOME
ADDITIONAL STRIPS OF ICE WILL LIKELY BE PULLED DOWN IN THE RIP NEAR
THE WEST FORELAND WITH DAILY TIDE CHANGE. THESE WILL LIKELY MELT
WITH WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.



000
FZAK80 PAFC 252257
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY 2015

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 02 MARCH 2015

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PUSH ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERIES OF LOWS WILL BRING COLDER AIR TO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND PUSH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-

PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ185-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE ALASKA COAST NEAR NAKNEK TO 58.3N
158.5W TO 58.5N 159.3W TO 58.5N 162.2W TO 59.7N 162.2W TO 59.4N
163.3W TO 59.6N 164.8W TO 58.5N 167.2W TO 58.6N 172.4W TO 60.5N
177.1W TO 61.8N 177.7W AND CONTINUES ALONG THE RUSSIAN COAST. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN BECOME STRONG
FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST 15 TO 30
NM THROUGH MONDAY.

-COOK INLET-PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK LOW
PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TOWARD COOK INLET LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF ON
MONDAY.

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE COAST NEAR 60.4N 151.3W TO 60.5N
151.9W TO 60.4N 152.2W. THE ICE EDGE CONSISTS OF MAINLY OPEN WATER.
LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ICE ARE ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW BAYS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET.

FORECAST FOR COOK INLET THROUGH MONDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MONDAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE OVERALL ICE PACK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DECREASE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH SOME
ADDITIONAL STRIPS OF ICE WILL LIKELY BE PULLED DOWN IN THE RIP NEAR
THE WEST FORELAND WITH DAILY TIDE CHANGE. THESE WILL LIKELY MELT
WITH WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 252257
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY 2015

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 02 MARCH 2015

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PUSH ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERIES OF LOWS WILL BRING COLDER AIR TO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND PUSH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-

PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ185-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE ALASKA COAST NEAR NAKNEK TO 58.3N
158.5W TO 58.5N 159.3W TO 58.5N 162.2W TO 59.7N 162.2W TO 59.4N
163.3W TO 59.6N 164.8W TO 58.5N 167.2W TO 58.6N 172.4W TO 60.5N
177.1W TO 61.8N 177.7W AND CONTINUES ALONG THE RUSSIAN COAST. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN BECOME STRONG
FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST 15 TO 30
NM THROUGH MONDAY.

-COOK INLET-PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK LOW
PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TOWARD COOK INLET LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF ON
MONDAY.

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE COAST NEAR 60.4N 151.3W TO 60.5N
151.9W TO 60.4N 152.2W. THE ICE EDGE CONSISTS OF MAINLY OPEN WATER.
LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ICE ARE ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW BAYS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET.

FORECAST FOR COOK INLET THROUGH MONDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MONDAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE OVERALL ICE PACK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DECREASE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH SOME
ADDITIONAL STRIPS OF ICE WILL LIKELY BE PULLED DOWN IN THE RIP NEAR
THE WEST FORELAND WITH DAILY TIDE CHANGE. THESE WILL LIKELY MELT
WITH WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


000
FZAK80 PAFC 252257
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY 2015

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 02 MARCH 2015

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PUSH ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERIES OF LOWS WILL BRING COLDER AIR TO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND PUSH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-

PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ185-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE ALASKA COAST NEAR NAKNEK TO 58.3N
158.5W TO 58.5N 159.3W TO 58.5N 162.2W TO 59.7N 162.2W TO 59.4N
163.3W TO 59.6N 164.8W TO 58.5N 167.2W TO 58.6N 172.4W TO 60.5N
177.1W TO 61.8N 177.7W AND CONTINUES ALONG THE RUSSIAN COAST. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN BECOME STRONG
FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST 15 TO 30
NM THROUGH MONDAY.

-COOK INLET-PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK LOW
PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TOWARD COOK INLET LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF ON
MONDAY.

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE COAST NEAR 60.4N 151.3W TO 60.5N
151.9W TO 60.4N 152.2W. THE ICE EDGE CONSISTS OF MAINLY OPEN WATER.
LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ICE ARE ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW BAYS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET.

FORECAST FOR COOK INLET THROUGH MONDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MONDAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE OVERALL ICE PACK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DECREASE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH SOME
ADDITIONAL STRIPS OF ICE WILL LIKELY BE PULLED DOWN IN THE RIP NEAR
THE WEST FORELAND WITH DAILY TIDE CHANGE. THESE WILL LIKELY MELT
WITH WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


000
FZAK80 PAFC 252257
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
200 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY 2015

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 02 MARCH 2015

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PUSH ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERIES OF LOWS WILL BRING COLDER AIR TO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA AND PUSH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-

PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ185-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE ALASKA COAST NEAR NAKNEK TO 58.3N
158.5W TO 58.5N 159.3W TO 58.5N 162.2W TO 59.7N 162.2W TO 59.4N
163.3W TO 59.6N 164.8W TO 58.5N 167.2W TO 58.6N 172.4W TO 60.5N
177.1W TO 61.8N 177.7W AND CONTINUES ALONG THE RUSSIAN COAST. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN BECOME STRONG
FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST 15 TO 30
NM THROUGH MONDAY.

-COOK INLET-PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK LOW
PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TOWARD COOK INLET LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF ON
MONDAY.

THE MAIN ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE COAST NEAR 60.4N 151.3W TO 60.5N
151.9W TO 60.4N 152.2W. THE ICE EDGE CONSISTS OF MAINLY OPEN WATER.
LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ICE ARE ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW BAYS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET.

FORECAST FOR COOK INLET THROUGH MONDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MONDAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. THE OVERALL ICE PACK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DECREASE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH SOME
ADDITIONAL STRIPS OF ICE WILL LIKELY BE PULLED DOWN IN THE RIP NEAR
THE WEST FORELAND WITH DAILY TIDE CHANGE. THESE WILL LIKELY MELT
WITH WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 252213
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
513 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE ACROSS THE LAKES TONIGHT WILL LIFT A LITTLE NORTH ON
THURSDAY AS A LOW MOVES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY. THE
RIDGE WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN WEAKEN
AND MOVE EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN LAKES SUNDAY AND THE EASTERN LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY.

WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AT GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON LAKES
SUPERIOR...HURON...ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND 15 TO
20 KNOTS ON LAKE MICHIGAN. THE WINDS WILL BECOME A LITTLE STRONGER
FOR THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT VERY MUCH BELOW NORMAL AND BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL IN MOST AREAS. ICE GROWTH
WILL CONTINUE RAPID THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN START TO SLOW DOWN FOR
SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNTIL TEMPERATURES MODERATE LATER IN THE
PERIOD THE ICE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ON LAKES MICHIGAN AND
ONTARIO...WHILE ON THE OTHER LAKES THAT ARE MOSTLY ICE COVERED THE
THICKNESS WILL INCREASE. THE EVER INCREASING SUN ANGLE WILL HELP
SOME IN THE DETERRING THE ICE GROWTH AND EXPANSION OF THE ICE FIELDS.

THE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT STRONG THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD...HOWEVER...THEY COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH ESPECIALLY FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TO CAUSE LIMITED RIDGING AND RAFTING OF ICE
FIELDS AND CREATE ICE FLOES. IN ADDITION ANY TRACKS THAT HAVE BEEN
OPENED DUE TO ICE BREAKER OPERATION WILL LIKELY CLOSE ESPECIALLY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

 TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/26   02/27   02/28   03/01   03/02   03/03
   DULUTH -14   7 -10  14  -2  19   7  22   4  25  10  23
MARQUETTE -10   6  -5  14   1  21  10  25   9  27  12  26
 GREENBAY  -6  12 -10  16  -6  18   5  26   9  27  15  27
MILWAUKEE   5   8  -4  15  -4  18  11  25  16  30  21  29
  CHICAGO  10  13  -4  17  -2  17  13  26  16  29  24  33
 MUSKEGON   5  11  -5  18   2  18   8  25  17  29  18  30
   ALPENA -10   8  -8  15   0  21   5  24  12  27  11  26
  DETROIT   3  12  -4  14  -1  16   6  27  19  29  20  34
   TOLEDO   4  10  -8  10  -5  14   5  30  19  30  18  31
CLEVELAND   5  13  -2  11  -5  16   8  31  23  32  19  33
  BUFFALO   0  10  -4  11  -1  18   4  27  21  29  13  30

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 25:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   24 1753 1875
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   24 1477 2021
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  DEC   31 1137 1223
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   24 1125 1310
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   24  635  808
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   24  504  763
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   24  396  645
   ALPENA,   MI  DEC   31  834  859
  DETROIT,   MI  DEC   31  332  298
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   24  385  823
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   24  196  701
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   24  501  872

NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 25

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  29  11
 MARQUETTE,MI  30  13
  GREENBAY,WI  29  11
 MILWAUKEE,WI  37  22
   CHICAGO,IL  41  24
  MUSKEGON,MI  37  23
    ALPENA,MI  29  11
   DETROIT,MI  40  23
    TOLEDO,OH  41  23
 CLEVELAND,OH  41  25
   BUFFALO,NY  37  22

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN
LOWER CASE.

$$

KIELTYKA





000
FZUS81 KCLE 252213
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
513 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE ACROSS THE LAKES TONIGHT WILL LIFT A LITTLE NORTH ON
THURSDAY AS A LOW MOVES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY. THE
RIDGE WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN WEAKEN
AND MOVE EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN LAKES SUNDAY AND THE EASTERN LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY.

WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AT GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON LAKES
SUPERIOR...HURON...ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND 15 TO
20 KNOTS ON LAKE MICHIGAN. THE WINDS WILL BECOME A LITTLE STRONGER
FOR THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT VERY MUCH BELOW NORMAL AND BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL IN MOST AREAS. ICE GROWTH
WILL CONTINUE RAPID THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN START TO SLOW DOWN FOR
SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNTIL TEMPERATURES MODERATE LATER IN THE
PERIOD THE ICE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ON LAKES MICHIGAN AND
ONTARIO...WHILE ON THE OTHER LAKES THAT ARE MOSTLY ICE COVERED THE
THICKNESS WILL INCREASE. THE EVER INCREASING SUN ANGLE WILL HELP
SOME IN THE DETERRING THE ICE GROWTH AND EXPANSION OF THE ICE FIELDS.

THE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT STRONG THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD...HOWEVER...THEY COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH ESPECIALLY FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TO CAUSE LIMITED RIDGING AND RAFTING OF ICE
FIELDS AND CREATE ICE FLOES. IN ADDITION ANY TRACKS THAT HAVE BEEN
OPENED DUE TO ICE BREAKER OPERATION WILL LIKELY CLOSE ESPECIALLY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

 TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/26   02/27   02/28   03/01   03/02   03/03
   DULUTH -14   7 -10  14  -2  19   7  22   4  25  10  23
MARQUETTE -10   6  -5  14   1  21  10  25   9  27  12  26
 GREENBAY  -6  12 -10  16  -6  18   5  26   9  27  15  27
MILWAUKEE   5   8  -4  15  -4  18  11  25  16  30  21  29
  CHICAGO  10  13  -4  17  -2  17  13  26  16  29  24  33
 MUSKEGON   5  11  -5  18   2  18   8  25  17  29  18  30
   ALPENA -10   8  -8  15   0  21   5  24  12  27  11  26
  DETROIT   3  12  -4  14  -1  16   6  27  19  29  20  34
   TOLEDO   4  10  -8  10  -5  14   5  30  19  30  18  31
CLEVELAND   5  13  -2  11  -5  16   8  31  23  32  19  33
  BUFFALO   0  10  -4  11  -1  18   4  27  21  29  13  30

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 25:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   24 1753 1875
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   24 1477 2021
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  DEC   31 1137 1223
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   24 1125 1310
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   24  635  808
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   24  504  763
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   24  396  645
   ALPENA,   MI  DEC   31  834  859
  DETROIT,   MI  DEC   31  332  298
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   24  385  823
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   24  196  701
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   24  501  872

NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 25

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  29  11
 MARQUETTE,MI  30  13
  GREENBAY,WI  29  11
 MILWAUKEE,WI  37  22
   CHICAGO,IL  41  24
  MUSKEGON,MI  37  23
    ALPENA,MI  29  11
   DETROIT,MI  40  23
    TOLEDO,OH  41  23
 CLEVELAND,OH  41  25
   BUFFALO,NY  37  22

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN
LOWER CASE.

$$

KIELTYKA





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