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000
FZAK80 PAFC 182233
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
231 PM AKDT FRIDAY 18 APRIL 2014

FORECAST VALID...WEDNESDAY 23 APRIL 2014

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO LOW.

SYNOPSIS...A LARGE COMPLEX LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY. ANOTHER LARGE LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
ALEUTIAN ISLAND CHAIN SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-

THE ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE KUSKOKWIM BAY TO 59.7N 164.1W TO 62N
166.4W TO 61.1N 168.5W TO 59.8N 165.7W TO 60.2N 167.9W TO 59.5N
169.4W TO 61.3N 176.8E AND CONTINUES ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST OF
RUSSIA. THE ICE EDGE RANGES 3 TO 7 TENTHS YOUNG...NEW AND FIRST YEAR
THIN ICE IN STRIPS.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNDAY SHIFTING THE ICE PACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. FLOW WILL BECOME
EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY AGAIN ON MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE OVERALL ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 NM THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS STRIPS OF ICE ARE PULLED
OFF THE MAIN ICE PACK. THE AREA SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND OVER TO
KUSKOKWIM BAY SHOULD BE SEA ICE FREE BY MONDAY WITH THE ONLY ICE
REMAINING NEAR SHORE WITH STRIPS OF ICE BEING PULLED OFF THE
PREVIOUSLY SHOREFAST ICE. RIVER ICE WILL CONTINUE TO ENTER BRISTOL
BAY NEAR RIVER DELTAS THROUGH BREAKUP.

SCHRECK 2014

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 182024
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
423 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN LAKES TONIGHT.  HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER ALL OF THE GREAT LAKES OVER THE WEEKEND.
A SERIES OF FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAKES WILL BE NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH A PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES READINGS WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR MODERATE ICE
DETERIORATION. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...ALL THE LAKES EXCEPT
LAKE SUPERIOR SHOULD BE VIRTUALLY ICE FREE.

WINDS SPEEDS OVER THE LAKES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS SHOULD GENERALLY
REMAIN BELOW 20 KNOTS AND WE DO NOT EXPECT STRONG ICE FLOES.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

     MAX WIND AT EACH SITE FOR THE 12 HOUR FCST PERIOD

       LOCATION   TONIGHT      SAT  SAT NIGHT      SUN  SUN NIGHT
  WEST SUPERIOR    120/14    110/14    120/18    130/06    250/08
   MID SUPERIOR    300/10    120/10    130/18    150/22    250/10
  EAST SUPERIOR    310/08    090/08    130/16    140/22    220/10
 NORTH MICHIGAN    020/06    080/06    110/10    160/16    210/16
 SOUTH MICHIGAN    020/12    080/12    120/12    150/18    190/18
    NORTH HURON    300/12    110/12    130/04    130/16    170/16
      MID HURON    010/12    340/12    060/04    130/10    170/16
    SOUTH HURON    360/06    350/06    010/02    100/06    170/12
      WEST ERIE    020/12    040/12    040/12    080/10    150/08
      EAST ERIE    300/06    350/06    020/08    090/08    090/06
CENTRAL ONTARIO    290/16    290/16    310/08    010/02    100/08

  TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   04/22   04/23   04/18   04/19   04/20   04/21
   DULUTH  28  47  35  58  36  58  34  53  33  48  35  46
MARQUETTE  21  43  38  53  31  51  34  44  29  45  34  45
 GREENBAY  29  59  43  63  44  63  40  59  35  54  37  52
MILWAUKEE  34  54  44  65  47  59  43  55  38  51  41  58
  CHICAGO  36  64  47  73  53  67  46  60  40  56  44  67
 MUSKEGON  32  60  41  69  50  69  46  61  38  58  43  62
   ALPENA  28  47  33  54  41  57  34  51  32  52  36  51
  DETROIT  35  53  38  67  47  64  47  61  41  56  40  57
   TOLEDO  36  57  37  70  48  71  49  62  38  53  40  62
CLEVELAND  38  52  41  67  46  72  50  61  38  54  40  63
  BUFFALO  34  54  36  69  46  70  47  60  39  53  36  60


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON FRI APR 18:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  APR   17 1810 2900
MARQUETTE,   MI  APR   17 1675 2742
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  MAR   24 1366 2346
 GREENBAY,   WI  APR   17 1025 2087
MILWAUKEE,   WI  APR   17  334 1220
  CHICAGO,   IL  APR   17   69  944
 MUSKEGON,   MI  APR   17   95  888
   ALPENA,   MI  APR   17  917 2008
  DETROIT,   MI  APR   17    0  862
   TOLEDO,   OH  APR   17    0  896
CLEVELAND,   OH  APR   17    0  306
  BUFFALO,   NY  APR   17  262  941


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR FRI APR 18

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  53  31
 MARQUETTE,MI  51  32
  GREENBAY,WI  53  31
 MILWAUKEE,WI  59  38
   CHICAGO,IL  61  40
  MUSKEGON,MI  57  39
    ALPENA,MI  53  31
   DETROIT,MI  61  41
    TOLEDO,OH  62  39
 CLEVELAND,OH  61  40
   BUFFALO,NY  58  39

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN LOWER
CASE.

$$

GARNET






000
FZAK80 PAFC 170049
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
449 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY 16 APRIL 2014

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 21 APRIL 2014

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE.

SYNOPSIS...A LARGE COMPLEX LOW OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL BERING SEA WILL
SHIFT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY WHERE THE LOW WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER LARGE LOW WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN
BERING SEA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-

THE ICE EDGE LIES FROM THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA NEAR 60N 162.2W TO 60N
163.7W TO 62N 167.6W TO 61.3N 168.2W TO 60.5N 165.9W TO 59.2N 170.8W
TO 61.2N 178.8E AND CONTINUES ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST OF RUSSIA.
THE ICE EDGE RANGES 1 TO 9 TENTHS YOUNG...NEW AND FIRST YEAR THIN
ICE IN STRIPS. RIVER ICE WILL CONTINUE TO ENTER BRISTOL BAY NEAR
RIVER DELTAS THROUGH BREAKUP.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY...NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY SHIFTING THE ICE PACK TO THE SOUTHWEST.
FLOW WILL BECOME EASTERLY AGAIN ON MONDAY. THE OVERALL ICE EDGE IS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 NM THROUGH MONDAY AS
STRIPS OF ICE ARE PULLED OFF THE MAIN ICE PACK. THE AREA SOUTH OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND OVER TO KUSKOKWIM BAY SHOULD BE SEA ICE FREE BY
MONDAY WITH THE ONLY ICE REMAINING NEAR SHORE WITH STRIPS OF ICE
BEING PULLED OFF THE PREVIOUSLY SHOREFAST ICE.

SCHRECK 2014

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 162026
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
425 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
AFTER WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS SETTLE DOWN INTO MIDDAY THURSDAY ON
LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN...WINDS THROUGHOUT THE LAKES SHOULD
GENERALLY STAY UNDER 25 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY. MOVEMENT OF ICE FIELDS
MAY TAKE PLACE INTO THURSDAY ON LAKES SUPERIOR AND UPPER MICHIGAN
...POSSIBLY CLOSING ALREADY OPEN TRACKS. AFTER THURSDAY...THE
LIGHTER WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN LITTLE MOVEMENT OF REMAINING ICE
FIELDS.

TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW TO MUCH BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY THEN RUN NEAR NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY. EVEN
WITH THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...READINGS WILL STILL BE WARM
ENOUGH FOR SOME SLOW ICE DETERIORATION IN LAKE SUPERIOR THROUGH
SATURDAY INCREASING TO MODERATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE REST OF THE
LAKES WILL SEE MODERATE ICE DETERIORATION THROUGH MONDAY. BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...ALL THE LAKES EXCEPT LAKE SUPERIOR SHOULD BE
VIRTUALLY ICE FREE.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

     MAX WIND AT EACH SITE FOR THE 12 HOUR FCST PERIOD

       LOCATION   TONIGHT      THU  THU NIGHT      FRI  FRI NIGHT
  WEST SUPERIOR    070/26    070/26    070/16    340/08    350/06
   MID SUPERIOR    100/20    100/20    110/22    360/10    340/12
  EAST SUPERIOR    110/20    110/20    120/26    270/04    330/14
 NORTH MICHIGAN    090/20    130/20    140/18    270/10    330/10
 SOUTH MICHIGAN    140/22    160/22    190/18    330/08    360/14
    NORTH HURON    140/20    130/20    210/22    210/10    300/12
      MID HURON    140/18    130/18    140/20    200/12    340/06
    SOUTH HURON    150/16    130/16    150/18    170/12    070/04
      WEST ERIE    080/14    120/14    160/14    180/10    180/08
      EAST ERIE    090/08    110/08    120/10    150/08    150/06
CENTRAL ONTARIO    250/10    130/10    120/14    150/14    120/10


        TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   04/20   04/21   04/19   04/20   04/21   04/22
   DULUTH  19  35  21  39  25  40  31  47  31  53  34  54
MARQUETTE  29  38  26  37  24  38  30  42  31  47  33  46
 GREENBAY  34  46  30  45  29  48  36  49  35  56  37  59
MILWAUKEE  38  51  34  44  32  45  37  52  41  53  40  56
  CHICAGO  43  57  39  50  36  52  41  61  47  56  42  62
 MUSKEGON  33  59  40  49  31  50  36  56  42  58  41  60
   ALPENA  32  48  32  45  28  45  30  45  34  49  36  52
  DETROIT  33  59  43  54  35  51  37  58  42  57  42  59

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED APR 16:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  APR   15 1826 2890
MARQUETTE,   MI  APR   15 1688 2721
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  MAR   24 1366 2346
 GREENBAY,   WI  APR   15 1050 2099
MILWAUKEE,   WI  APR   15  362 1239
  CHICAGO,   IL  APR   15  104  970
 MUSKEGON,   MI  APR   15  125  906
   ALPENA,   MI  APR   15  937 2010
  DETROIT,   MI  APR   15    5  878
   TOLEDO,   OH  APR   15    0  913
CLEVELAND,   OH  APR   15    0  329
  BUFFALO,   NY  APR   15  291  953


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED APR 16

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  52  31
 MARQUETTE,MI  50  31
  GREENBAY,WI  52  31
 MILWAUKEE,WI  58  37
   CHICAGO,IL  61  40
  MUSKEGON,MI  56  39
    ALPENA,MI  52  31
   DETROIT,MI  61  40
    TOLEDO,OH  62  39
 CLEVELAND,OH  60  40
   BUFFALO,NY  57  38



NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN LOWER
CASE.

$$

ADAMS







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