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000
FZAK80 PAFC 060050
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
350 PM AKST FRIDAY 5 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BERING
WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND BY SUNDAY AND THEN DISSIPATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. A DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.5N 161.8W
TO 59.5N 169.2W TO 60.5N 169.4W TO 61.5N 172.2W TO 61.6N 177.8W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER THE NORTHERN BERING BEFORE
INCREASING AND BECOMING EAST TO NORTHEAST ON MONDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE
SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 NM THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LITTLE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER COOK
INLET THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A FRONT MOVES OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY. LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 152.1W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW PROTECTED
BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE ICE EDGE IS
MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 060050
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
350 PM AKST FRIDAY 5 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BERING
WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND BY SUNDAY AND THEN DISSIPATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. A DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.5N 161.8W
TO 59.5N 169.2W TO 60.5N 169.4W TO 61.5N 172.2W TO 61.6N 177.8W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER THE NORTHERN BERING BEFORE
INCREASING AND BECOMING EAST TO NORTHEAST ON MONDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE
SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 NM THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LITTLE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER COOK
INLET THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A FRONT MOVES OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY. LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 152.1W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW PROTECTED
BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE ICE EDGE IS
MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$


000
FZAK80 PAFC 060050
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
350 PM AKST FRIDAY 5 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...WEDNESDAY 10 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BERING
WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND BY SUNDAY AND THEN DISSIPATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. A DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.5N 161.8W
TO 59.5N 169.2W TO 60.5N 169.4W TO 61.5N 172.2W TO 61.6N 177.8W AND
CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA
ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER THE NORTHERN BERING BEFORE
INCREASING AND BECOMING EAST TO NORTHEAST ON MONDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ICE EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE
SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 NM THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LITTLE GROWTH WITHIN
BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER COOK
INLET THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A FRONT MOVES OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY. LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE KENAI
RIVER TO 60.7N 152.1W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW PROTECTED
BAYS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE ICE EDGE IS
MAINLY OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...NEW SEA ICE
DEVELOPMENT IN UPPER COOK INLET IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 052022
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
400 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE
REGION FROM THE SOUTH MOST OF THE WEEKEND.  THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
MILD AND LEAD TO CONTINUED ICE DETERIORATION IN THE SOUTH AND LITTLE
IF ANY GROWTH IN THE NORTH.  BY LATE SUNDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL BE NEAR
LAKE SUPERIOR.  THIS LOW WILL MOVE OVER THE CENTRAL LAKES ON MONDAY AND
FINALLY PUSH THE SURFACE HIGH OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.  THE LOW WILL
LINGER OVER THE REGION ON TUESDAY AND FINALLY SHIFT TO THE EAST COAST
ON WEDNESDAY.  COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER OVER THE WESTERN AND
NORTHERN LAKES TUESDAY AND WILL REACH THE EASTERN END OF THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY.  TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL IN THE
WEST WITH BELOW NORMAL TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
REGION WIDE ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS WILL RESULT IN NEW ICE FORMATION.  THE
WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE SHOULD AGAIN ICE OVER LATE NEXT WEEK.
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED MOST AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND AND AHEAD OF
THE LOW INTO NEXT WEEK.  STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WITH GALES POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.


THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

       TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/06   02/07   02/08   02/09   02/10   02/11
   DULUTH  15  32  21  -1  12  10  -1  15   4  20   1
MARQUETTE  19  28  21  33  26  29  16  19   9  16   8  20
 GREENBAY  20  30  24  36  25  31  15  21   5  18   6  23
MILWAUKEE  24  36  28  39  28  35  19  23  10  19  10  24
  CHICAGO  25  39  28  42  29  33  20  25  12  23  14  29
 MUSKEGON  23  35  26  41  29  37  25  30  17  23  14  26
   ALPENA  19  33  21  33  25  33  22  26   9  16   7  20
  DETROIT  26  38  27  41  30  39  28  34  19  26  16  26
   TOLEDO  25  31  18  25  22  40  27  43  30
CLEVELAND  27  33  21  27  29  40  30  45  33
  BUFFALO  27  39  28  39  27  40  28  35  23  29  16  21


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 3:

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON FRI FEB 5:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB    4 1411  889
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB    4 1144  655
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB    4  901  469
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB    4  888  449
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB    4  511  287
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB    4  415  223
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB    4  297  146
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB    4  670  332
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB    4  298   94
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB    4  308  140
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB    4  165   85
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB    4  384  109


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR FRI FEB 5

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  23   3
 MARQUETTE,MI  24   8
  GREENBAY,WI  23   3
 MILWAUKEE,WI  32  18
   CHICAGO,IL  34  18
  MUSKEGON,MI  31  17
    ALPENA,MI  23   3
   DETROIT,MI  33  18
    TOLEDO,OH  34  18
 CLEVELAND,OH  35  20
   BUFFALO,NY  32  17

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 051644 CCA
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
142 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 3 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING SEA THURSDAY MORNING AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR
BRISTOL BAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING OVER SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND ON SUNDAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.6N 161.8W
TO 59.3N 163.4W TO 59.8N 165.8W TO 59.4N 167.5W TO 61.9N 171.6W TO
61.3N 173.9W TO 61.2N 177.1E AND CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED
BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG EAST
TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE WINDS
BECOME LIGHT FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL THEN BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS SOUTH OF
NUNIVAK ISLANDS WHERE WINDS WILL BE FROM WEST/SOUTHWEST. THE ICE
EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 NM THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH LITTLE GROWTH WITHIN BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
COOK INLET REGION THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR KENAI TO 60.5N 151.7W TO
60.6N 152.1W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY
OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...WE DO NOT
ANTICIPATE NEW SEA ICE DEVELOPING IN UPPER COOK INLET THROUGH
MONDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZAK80 PAFC 032242 RRA
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
142 PM AKST MONDAY 3 FEBRUARY 2016

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2016

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING SEA THURSDAY MORNING AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR
BRISTOL BAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING OVER SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND ON SUNDAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING.

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ181-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ180-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY-

THE MAIN ICE EDGE IN THE BERING SEA EXTENDS FROM NEAR 59.6N 161.8W
TO 59.3N 163.4W TO 59.8N 165.8W TO 59.4N 167.5W TO 61.9N 171.6W TO
61.3N 173.9W TO 61.2N 177.1E AND CONTINUES IN RUSSIAN WATERS. THE
ICE EDGE IS MAINLY OPEN WATER. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHELTERED
BAYS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF BRISTOL BAY.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE BERING SEA...MODERATE TO STRONG EAST
TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE WINDS
BECOME LIGHT FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL THEN BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS SOUTH OF
NUNIVAK ISLANDS WHERE WINDS WILL BE FROM WEST/SOUTHWEST. THE ICE
EDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO THE SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 NM THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH LITTLE GROWTH WITHIN BRISTOL BAY.

-COOK INLET-
PKZ130-WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
PKZ139-COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO PT. BEDE-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-

COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...A SERIES OF FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
COOK INLET REGION THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE ICE EDGE STRETCHES FROM A POINT NEAR KENAI TO 60.5N 151.7W TO
60.6N 152.1W. SEA ICE IS ALSO PRESENT IN SHALLOW PROTECTED BAYS
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF LOWER COOK INLET. THE ICE EDGE IS MAINLY
OPEN WATER.

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY FOR COOK INLET...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S...WE DO NOT
ANTICIPATE NEW SEA ICE DEVELOPING IN UPPER COOK INLET THROUGH
MONDAY.

PLEASE NOTE...COOK INLET SEA ICE CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE
TIDES.

$$



000
FZUS81 KCLE 032129
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
500 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...

STRONG LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE QUEBEC AND ONTARIO BORDER WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
EASTERN LAKES.  STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD AND BEHIND OF THIS
FRONT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION FROM THE SOUTH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THE HIGH WILL LINGER
OVER THE EASTERN LAKES THROUGH SUNDAY.  AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL MOVE
OVER THE WESTERN LAKES ON SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE LITTLE THROUGH MONDAY.

TEMPERATURES DURING THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD SO LITTLE ICE FORMATION IS EXPECTED.  IN THE SOUTH...THE
REMAINING ICE FIELDS WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE.


THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS


TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/04   02/05   02/06   02/07   02/08   02/09
   DULUTH   4  21   5  18  11  30  18  20   0   9  -7
MARQUETTE  15  24  16  25  15  24  14  28  21  27  15  20
 GREENBAY  11  21  11  25  17  30  19  33  24  30  14  21
MILWAUKEE  17  28  20  29  23  35  26  37  28  32  19  25
  CHICAGO  21  30  22  33  26  38  28  41  28  34  20  25
 MUSKEGON  26  27  26  32  23  36  25  37  28  35  23  30
   ALPENA  20  27  16  29  19  30  16  28  21  31  20  27
  DETROIT  29  33  23  37  25  37  27  37  29  37  25  33
   TOLEDO  29  33  22  38  25  39  28  40  30  38  25  30
CLEVELAND  30  33  24  38  27  39  29  41  31  40  27  32
  BUFFALO  33  36  26  35  27  37  26  37  24  40  28  33

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 3:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB    2 1371  846
MARQUETTE,   MI  JAN   31 1642 1073
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB    2  869  443
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB    2  860  432
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB    2  493  281
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB    2  401  218
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB    2  284  144
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB    2  644  323
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB    2  286  107
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB    2  296  149
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB    2  159  103
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB    2  370  131


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 3

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  22   2
 MARQUETTE,MI  24   8
  GREENBAY,WI  22   2
 MILWAUKEE,WI  32  18
   CHICAGO,IL  33  17
  MUSKEGON,MI  31  16
    ALPENA,MI  22   2
   DETROIT,MI  33  18
    TOLEDO,OH  34  18
 CLEVELAND,OH  35  20
   BUFFALO,NY  32  17

$$




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