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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 201431
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 109.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 109.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 108.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 111.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 112.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 109.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 201431
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 109.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 109.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 108.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 111.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 112.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 109.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200831
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 108.3W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.1N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.8N 110.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.2N 112.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 108.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200831
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 108.3W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.1N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.8N 110.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.2N 112.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 108.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200230
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0300 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.2W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.2W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 107.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.7N 109.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 110.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 111.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 112.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.4N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200230
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0300 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.2W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.2W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 107.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.7N 109.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 110.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 111.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 112.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.4N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192037
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CORRECTED FOR INITIAL WIND GUSTS.

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192037
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CORRECTED FOR INITIAL WIND GUSTS.

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 192030
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  37.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 300SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  37.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  37.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.4N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.0N  33.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 38.0N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.3N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  37.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON EDOUARD. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/HUFFMAN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 191509
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CORRECTED FOR INITIAL INTENSITY...

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 107.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.4N 110.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.7N 112.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 107.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 191455
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  38.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  38.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  38.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 39.6N  37.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.5N  35.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.9N  32.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.3N  30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N  30.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  38.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/HUFFMAN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 191455
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  38.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  38.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  38.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 39.6N  37.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.5N  35.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.9N  32.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.3N  30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N  30.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  38.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/HUFFMAN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 191454
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 107.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.4N 110.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.7N 112.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 107.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 191454
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 107.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.4N 110.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.7N 112.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 107.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190850
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 107.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190850
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 107.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190850
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 107.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190850
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 107.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTNT21 KNHC 190850
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  38.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 160SE 150SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  38.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  38.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.7N  37.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.7N  35.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 130SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N  33.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 120SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 34.5N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.8N  38.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTNT21 KNHC 190850
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  38.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 160SE 150SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  38.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  38.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.7N  37.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.7N  35.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 130SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N  33.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 120SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 34.5N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.8N  38.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190236
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0300 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 106.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 106.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 106.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.6N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.2N 113.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 106.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT21 KNHC 190234
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 180SE 180SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  40.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 130SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 39.9N  36.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  39.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTNT21 KNHC 190234
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 180SE 180SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  40.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 130SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 39.9N  36.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  39.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTNT21 KNHC 190234
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 180SE 180SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  40.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 130SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 39.9N  36.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  39.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTNT21 KNHC 190234
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 180SE 180SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  39.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  40.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 130SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 39.9N  36.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  39.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 182037
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF
THE TRACK COULD REQUIRE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR A PORTION OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 105.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 106.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.2N 107.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.8N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 105.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 182037
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF
THE TRACK COULD REQUIRE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR A PORTION OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 105.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 106.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.2N 107.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.8N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 105.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 182035
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.9N  39.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.8N  37.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.8N  35.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.8N  33.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  41.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT21 KNHC 182035
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.9N  39.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.8N  37.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.8N  35.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.8N  33.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  41.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT21 KNHC 182035
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.9N  39.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.8N  37.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.8N  35.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.8N  33.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  41.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT21 KNHC 182035
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  41.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.9N  39.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.8N  37.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.8N  35.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.8N  33.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  41.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 181435
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 106.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.7N 107.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.4N 109.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 105.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 181435
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 106.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.7N 107.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.4N 109.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 105.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT21 KNHC 181433
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  80SE  70SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 340SW 430NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  43.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.1N  39.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTNT21 KNHC 181433
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  80SE  70SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 340SW 430NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  43.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.1N  39.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180849
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 105.0W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 105.0W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.4N 105.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.2N 106.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 107.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.6N 108.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 22.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 105.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 180848
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  45.3W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 110SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 200SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 350SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  45.3W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  46.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  41.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 170SE 160SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.9N  38.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 110SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 39.7N  37.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.7N  35.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N  31.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 35.0N  30.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N  45.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180234
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO ZIHUATANEJO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 104.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.1N 105.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.7N 106.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.4N 107.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.2N 108.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N 111.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 21.6N 113.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 104.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180234
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO ZIHUATANEJO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 104.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.1N 105.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.7N 106.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.4N 107.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.2N 108.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N 111.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 21.6N 113.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 104.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT21 KNHC 180233
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 310SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  49.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 39.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.2N  40.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 40.1N  38.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.4N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.0N  29.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 180233
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 310SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  49.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 39.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.2N  40.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 40.1N  38.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.4N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.0N  29.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 180233
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 310SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  49.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 39.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.2N  40.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 40.1N  38.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.4N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.0N  29.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 180233
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 310SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  48.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  49.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 39.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.2N  40.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 40.1N  38.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.4N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.0N  29.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 172050
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO ZIHUATANEJO
* WEST OF PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.7W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.7W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 103.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.2N 105.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.8N 106.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.2N 108.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 103.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 172034
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 310SE 270SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  52.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.4N  47.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.4N  42.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.2N  39.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 40.0N  38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  31.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N  51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT21 KNHC 172034
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 310SE 270SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  52.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.4N  47.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.4N  42.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.2N  39.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 40.0N  38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  31.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N  51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT21 KNHC 172034
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 310SE 270SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  52.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.4N  47.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.4N  42.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.2N  39.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 40.0N  38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  31.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N  51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT21 KNHC 172034
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 310SE 270SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  51.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  52.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.4N  47.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.4N  42.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.2N  39.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 40.0N  38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  31.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N  51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 172022
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE DUE TO THE
THREATS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 112.7W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 112.7W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 112.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.9N 111.8W...REMNANTS OF ODILE
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 112.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ35 KWNH...BEGINNING
AT 8 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 172022
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE DUE TO THE
THREATS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 112.7W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 112.7W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 112.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.9N 111.8W...REMNANTS OF ODILE
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 112.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ35 KWNH...BEGINNING
AT 8 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





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