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000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170834
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
200 AM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...ALVIN WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.3N 112.0W
ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/H...AND THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY TO
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170834
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
200 AM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...ALVIN WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.3N 112.0W
ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/H...AND THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY TO
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170236
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
800 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013

...ALVIN IN A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...
...FURTHER WEAKENING EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.8N 110.8W
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. ALVIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT ALVIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AT ANY TIME.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162040
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
200 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013

...ALVIN STRUGGLING...
...MAY NOT SURVIVE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR MUCH LONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 109.1W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST.  ALVIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT ALVIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AT ANY TIME.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162040
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
200 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013

...ALVIN STRUGGLING...
...MAY NOT SURVIVE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR MUCH LONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 109.1W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST.  ALVIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT ALVIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AT ANY TIME.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162040
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
200 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013

...ALVIN STRUGGLING...
...MAY NOT SURVIVE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR MUCH LONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 109.1W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST.  ALVIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT ALVIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AT ANY TIME.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162040
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012013
200 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013

...ALVIN STRUGGLING...
...MAY NOT SURVIVE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR MUCH LONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 109.1W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST.  ALVIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT ALVIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AT ANY TIME.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG





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