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000
WTNT32 KWNH 311509
TCPAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING BACK INTO THE
CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 77.8W
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...S OF WILMINGTON/NEW HAN NORTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...25 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS DRIFTED BACK INTO THE COASTAL
WATERS SOUTH OF WILMINGTON...NORTH CAROLINA.  SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT SOME CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED AND HAS BEEN
PERSISTING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...ONLY SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA
WITH A SOME THUNDERSTORMS JUST OFF THE COAST.  THE REMNANT
CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER THIS
WEEK.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23
GLASGOW                              2.01
NEW CASTLE                           1.94
TOWNSEND                             1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK                        1.82
PORT PENN                            1.64
WOODSIDE                             1.57
PRICES CORNER                        1.57
DOVER AFB                            1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74
MARLOW                               7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           7.94
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW                 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE              1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT            1.26
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT       1.04

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP                    4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W                       3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08
SEWELL                               2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S                     2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S                      2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA                  1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK                       3.09
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE                      3.00
WALNUTPORT                           2.70
DREXEL HILL                          2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT               1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK                1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT                  1.34

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE                   10.43
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW                     9.03
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW              8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW                      6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   6.44
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW                    6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   4.98
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.56
RICHMOND                             2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND                       2.02
NORFOLK NAS                          1.87
TINKER CREEK                         1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                  1.24
PETERSBURG                           1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW                       1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/1500Z 33.2N 77.8W
12HR VT 01/0000Z 33.4N 77.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/1200Z 33.8N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/0000Z 34.2N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/1200Z 34.6N 76.1W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$





000
WTNT32 KNHC 290550
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
200 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...BONNIE TURNS NORTHWARD...
...RAINBANDS AFFECTING MOST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AND EXTREME
EASTERN GEORGIA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 79.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
estimated to be near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 79.4 West.
Bonnie is now moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast
track, the center of Bonnie is expected to move near the coast in
the warning area later today. A slow northeastward motion near the
central and northern coast of South Carolina is expected by tonight
and on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is expected to begin later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central
and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern
North Carolina.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area later this morning.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide this morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible through early this
morning over the immediate South Carolina coastal region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart/Berg




000
WTNT32 KNHC 290233
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
1100 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...BONNIE A BIT STRONGER BUT THE MAIN THREAT IS HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 79.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 31.0 North, longitude 79.5 West. Bonnie is currently
stationary. A motion toward the north-northwest is expected to begin
overnight, followed by a turn toward the north as the center of
Bonnie moves near the coast in the warning area on Sunday. A slow
northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South
Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change
in strength is expected overnight. Some weakening is expected to
begin by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The latest estimated minimum central pressure based on data from
the aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central
and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern
North Carolina.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area overnight or early Sunday.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide on Sunday morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible late tonight and
early Sunday over the immediate South Carolina coastal region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
WTNT32 KNHC 282342
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
800 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

CORRECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE IN SUMMARY SECTION

...BONNIE HESITATES WHILE RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 79.4W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 30.9 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie has moved little
during the past few hours, but a northwest motion near 9 mph (15
km/h) is expected to resume this evening. A decrease in forward
speed and a turn toward the north-northwest are expected on Sunday
as the system nears the coast within the warning area. A slow
northward to northeastward motion of the center across coastal
South Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are
near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. A little strengthening is
possible tonight, with gradual weakening forecast on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated by the aircraft is
1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches with maximum totals of 5 inches from eastern South
Carolina through southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide on Sunday morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible late tonight
and early Sunday over the immediate coastal region from central
South Carolina through southern North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan





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