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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252321
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well east of the
circulation center.  Significant development of this system appears
unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a trough of low
pressure.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252321
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well east of the
circulation center.  Significant development of this system appears
unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a trough of low
pressure.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
a concentrated area of disorganized thunderstorms well away from
the low`s circulation center. Satellite data indicate that the
circulation has become less defined since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are expected to continue to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
a concentrated area of disorganized thunderstorms well away from
the low`s circulation center. Satellite data indicate that the
circulation has become less defined since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are expected to continue to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
a concentrated area of disorganized thunderstorms well away from
the low`s circulation center. Satellite data indicate that the
circulation has become less defined since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are expected to continue to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
a concentrated area of disorganized thunderstorms well away from
the low`s circulation center. Satellite data indicate that the
circulation has become less defined since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are expected to continue to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
a concentrated area of disorganized thunderstorms well away from
the low`s circulation center. Satellite data indicate that the
circulation has become less defined since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are expected to continue to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
a concentrated area of disorganized thunderstorms well away from
the low`s circulation center. Satellite data indicate that the
circulation has become less defined since yesterday, and
environmental conditions are expected to continue to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form after mid-week
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251144
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
continue to become less conducive for development while the system
moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system after mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251144
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
continue to become less conducive for development while the system
moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system after mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251144
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
continue to become less conducive for development while the system
moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system after mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251144
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON MAY 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
continue to become less conducive for development while the system
moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system after mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 250534
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
continue to become less conducive for development while the system
moves slowly westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system after mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 250534
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the
northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to
continue to become less conducive for development while the system
moves slowly westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system after mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 242333
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of Baja California continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the northeast of
the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to become less
conducive for development in a day or so, and the potential for
this system to become a tropical depression appears to be
decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system by mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 242333
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of Baja California continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the northeast of
the center.  Environmental conditions are expected to become less
conducive for development in a day or so, and the potential for
this system to become a tropical depression appears to be
decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the
system by mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has degenerated into a trough.  The associated
shower activity remains limited, and development of this system is
not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1550 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is moving
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Although showers and
thunderstorms have increased this morning, the activity remains
disorganized.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become less
favorable for development during the next day or so, and the chance
of this system becoming a tropical cyclone is decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system by mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has degenerated into a trough.  The associated
shower activity remains limited, and development of this system is
not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1550 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is moving
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Although showers and
thunderstorms have increased this morning, the activity remains
disorganized.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become less
favorable for development during the next day or so, and the chance
of this system becoming a tropical cyclone is decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system by mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241153
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

Corrected probability category for first disturbance

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241153
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

Corrected probability category for first disturbance

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241153
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

Corrected probability category for first disturbance

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241149
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241149
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241149
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241149
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to become less
defined. The associated shower activity also remains limited,
and the chance for this system to become a tropical cyclone
development is decreasing. The disturbance is moving slowly
westward and could cross into the Central Pacific basin later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system after mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240552
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1450 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has remained poorly defined
over the past several hours. Shower activity is currently limited,
and development of this system is becoming less likely. The
disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward to
westward, and it could cross 140W longitude and into the Central
Pacific basin on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Another broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1500
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is
moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower activity
remains disorganized, some slow development of this system could
occur during the next day or so.  After that time, however, the
disturbance is expected to move over cooler water and into a region
of less favorable upper-level winds, which should inhibit
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232327
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the
circulation of the low pressure system located about 1600 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is currently not well
defined.  Some development of this system is possible during the
next day or two, and it has the potential to become a tropical
depression while it moves slowly northward.  Thereafter, development
is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity remains limited in association with a broad area of
low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California.  Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, the low is
expected to move over cooler water and into an area of less
favorable upper-level winds which should inhibit development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232327
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the
circulation of the low pressure system located about 1600 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is currently not well
defined.  Some development of this system is possible during the
next day or two, and it has the potential to become a tropical
depression while it moves slowly northward.  Thereafter, development
is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity remains limited in association with a broad area of
low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California.  Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, the low is
expected to move over cooler water and into an area of less
favorable upper-level winds which should inhibit development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231743
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has decreased during the past 24 hours.  However,
environmental conditions still appear conducive for gradual
development during the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Thereafter, the system should move
over cooler water and into an area of less favorable upper-level
winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1650 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
become better organized over the past 24 hours.  Some additional
development is possible during the next day or two, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.  After that time,
development is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231743
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has decreased during the past 24 hours.  However,
environmental conditions still appear conducive for gradual
development during the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Thereafter, the system should move
over cooler water and into an area of less favorable upper-level
winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1650 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
become better organized over the past 24 hours.  Some additional
development is possible during the next day or two, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.  After that time,
development is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231743
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has decreased during the past 24 hours.  However,
environmental conditions still appear conducive for gradual
development during the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Thereafter, the system should move
over cooler water and into an area of less favorable upper-level
winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1650 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
become better organized over the past 24 hours.  Some additional
development is possible during the next day or two, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.  After that time,
development is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231743
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has decreased during the past 24 hours.  However,
environmental conditions still appear conducive for gradual
development during the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Thereafter, the system should move
over cooler water and into an area of less favorable upper-level
winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1650 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
become better organized over the past 24 hours.  Some additional
development is possible during the next day or two, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.  After that time,
development is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231143
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  While this system has
changed little in organization during the past several hours,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
also changed little in organization during the past several hours.
Some development of this system is possible during the next day or
so while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development
is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231143
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  While this system has
changed little in organization during the past several hours,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
also changed little in organization during the past several hours.
Some development of this system is possible during the next day or
so while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development
is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231143
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  While this system has
changed little in organization during the past several hours,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
also changed little in organization during the past several hours.
Some development of this system is possible during the next day or
so while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development
is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



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