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000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201151
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 20 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ESTA ASOCIADA CON UN
AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO SUR. DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE
SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE NOROESTE ENTRE 10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
Y HACIA EL MAR CARIBE. LOS INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y EL
NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE
SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A CERCA DE 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS. DE OCURRIR ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA...DEBE
SER LENTO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL
OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH. LUEGO...DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
NO SE ANTICIPA A MEDIDA QUE COMIENCE A INTERACTUAR CON EL DISTURBIO
LOCALIZADO AL OESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201151
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 20 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ESTA ASOCIADA CON UN
AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO SUR. DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE
SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE NOROESTE ENTRE 10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
Y HACIA EL MAR CARIBE. LOS INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y EL
NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE
SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A CERCA DE 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS. DE OCURRIR ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA...DEBE
SER LENTO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL
OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH. LUEGO...DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
NO SE ANTICIPA A MEDIDA QUE COMIENCE A INTERACTUAR CON EL DISTURBIO
LOCALIZADO AL OESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 201143
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is associated with
an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east
of the southern Windward Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
into the Caribbean Sea. Interests in the Lesser Antilles and
the northeastern Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow
to occur during the next day or two while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph. After that time, development of
this system is not anticipated as it begins to interact with the
disturbance located to its west.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201143
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is associated with
an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east
of the southern Windward Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
into the Caribbean Sea. Interests in the Lesser Antilles and
the northeastern Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow
to occur during the next day or two while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph. After that time, development of
this system is not anticipated as it begins to interact with the
disturbance located to its west.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201143
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is associated with
an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east
of the southern Windward Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
into the Caribbean Sea. Interests in the Lesser Antilles and
the northeastern Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow
to occur during the next day or two while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph. After that time, development of
this system is not anticipated as it begins to interact with the
disturbance located to its west.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201143
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is associated with
an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east
of the southern Windward Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
into the Caribbean Sea. Interests in the Lesser Antilles and
the northeastern Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow
to occur during the next day or two while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph. After that time, development of
this system is not anticipated as it begins to interact with the
disturbance located to its west.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ACPN50 PHFO 201130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED AUG 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 850 MILES
SOUTH OF HONOLULU. IRREGULAR...PULSING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ACPN50 PHFO 201130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED AUG 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 850 MILES
SOUTH OF HONOLULU. IRREGULAR...PULSING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for this system to develop into a tropical depression by the end of
the week while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for this system to develop into a tropical depression by the end of
the week while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 200559
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MIERCOLES 20 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD ASOCIADA A LA BAJA PRESION ALARGADA TIENE ACTUALMENTE
UNA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS LIMITADA. UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE
SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SOBRE EL MAR CARIBE. INTERESADOS EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
DEBEN MONITOREAR DE CERCA EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A CERCA DE 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS. DE OCURRIR ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA...DEBE
SER LENTO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL
OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 200559
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MIERCOLES 20 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD ASOCIADA A LA BAJA PRESION ALARGADA TIENE ACTUALMENTE
UNA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS LIMITADA. UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE
SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SOBRE EL MAR CARIBE. INTERESADOS EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
DEBEN MONITOREAR DE CERCA EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A CERCA DE 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS. DE OCURRIR ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA...DEBE
SER LENTO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL
OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200531
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for this
system to develop into a tropical depression by the end of the week
while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABNT20 KNHC 200531
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity is currently limited in association with an
elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of
the southern Windward Islands.  Gradual development of this system
is possible during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
into the Caribbean Sea.  Interests in the Lesser Antilles should
closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Development of this system, if any, should be slow
to occur during the next several days while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ACPN50 PHFO 200530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH OF HONOLULU. IRREGULAR...PULSING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

RYSHKO




000
ACPN50 PHFO 200530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH OF HONOLULU. IRREGULAR...PULSING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 200003
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

TANABE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 200003
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

TANABE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192345
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA EN
ASOCIACION CON UN AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION QUE SE EXTIENDE
DESDE LA COSTA NORESTE DE AMERICA DEL SUR HACIA EL ATLANTICO
TROPICAL CENTRAL. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
ESTEN MAS CONDUCNETES PARA DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SE MUEVA HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A MITAD DE CAMINO ENTRE LA COSTA OESTE
DE AFRICA Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y LIMITADOS. ALGO DE DESARROLLO LENTO DE
ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192345
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA EN
ASOCIACION CON UN AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION QUE SE EXTIENDE
DESDE LA COSTA NORESTE DE AMERICA DEL SUR HACIA EL ATLANTICO
TROPICAL CENTRAL. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
ESTEN MAS CONDUCNETES PARA DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SE MUEVA HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A MITAD DE CAMINO ENTRE LA COSTA OESTE
DE AFRICA Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y LIMITADOS. ALGO DE DESARROLLO LENTO DE
ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192345
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA EN
ASOCIACION CON UN AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION QUE SE EXTIENDE
DESDE LA COSTA NORESTE DE AMERICA DEL SUR HACIA EL ATLANTICO
TROPICAL CENTRAL. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
ESTEN MAS CONDUCNETES PARA DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SE MUEVA HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A MITAD DE CAMINO ENTRE LA COSTA OESTE
DE AFRICA Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y LIMITADOS. ALGO DE DESARROLLO LENTO DE
ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192345
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA EN
ASOCIACION CON UN AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION QUE SE EXTIENDE
DESDE LA COSTA NORESTE DE AMERICA DEL SUR HACIA EL ATLANTICO
TROPICAL CENTRAL. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
ESTEN MAS CONDUCNETES PARA DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SE MUEVA HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A MITAD DE CAMINO ENTRE LA COSTA OESTE
DE AFRICA Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y LIMITADOS. ALGO DE DESARROLLO LENTO DE
ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192345
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

Satellite data along with ship and buoy observations indicate that
a broad low pressure system has developed several hundred miles
south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Shower and thunderstorm
activity is currently disorganized, but environmental conditions are
expected to be favorable for this system to develop into a tropical
depression by the end of this week while it moves toward the
west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192345
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

Satellite data along with ship and buoy observations indicate that
a broad low pressure system has developed several hundred miles
south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Shower and thunderstorm
activity is currently disorganized, but environmental conditions are
expected to be favorable for this system to develop into a tropical
depression by the end of this week while it moves toward the
west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 192334
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing limited and disorganized
shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible
over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 192334
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing limited and disorganized
shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible
over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 192334
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing limited and disorganized
shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible
over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 192334
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing limited and disorganized
shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible
over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ACPN50 PHFO 191802 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 775 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PULSE IN THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

TANABE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191802 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 775 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PULSE IN THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

TANABE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 191800
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 775 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE PULSE IN THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

TANABE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191800
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 775 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE PULSE IN THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

TANABE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191800
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 775 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE PULSE IN THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

TANABE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191800
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 775 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE PULSE IN THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

TANABE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191752
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA EN
ASOCIACION CON UN AREA ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION QUE SE EXTIENDE
DESDE LA COSTA NORESTE DE AMERICA DEL SUR HACIA EL ATLANTICO
TROPICAL CENTRAL. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
ESTEN MAS CONDUCNETES PARA DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SE MUEVA HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ENTRE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA Y LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y
TRONADAS. SE ESPERA DESARROLLO LENTO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE
10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191743
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated
with a tropical wave. A low pressure system is expected to form
well south of the coast of Mexico during the next day or two, and
environmental conditions are conducive for the low to become a
tropical depression by the weekend while it moves toward the
west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191743
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a little
more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated
with a tropical wave. A low pressure system is expected to form
well south of the coast of Mexico during the next day or two, and
environmental conditions are conducive for the low to become a
tropical depression by the weekend while it moves toward the
west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
ABNT20 KNHC 191742
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing some disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next several days while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ABNT20 KNHC 191742
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing some disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next several days while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ABNT20 KNHC 191742
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing some disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next several days while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ABNT20 KNHC 191742
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with an elongated area of low pressure that extends from
the northeastern coast of South America into the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing some disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next several days while it moves toward the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191155
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA COMO A 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS. ALGUN DESARROLLO LENTO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE MAS TARDE ESTA SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES Y SE MUEVA HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ENTRE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA Y LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y
TRONADAS. SE ESPERA DESARROLLO LENTO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE
10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 191147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Some slow development of this system is possible later
this week as it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible
over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 191147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Some slow development of this system is possible later
this week as it approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible
over the next several days while it moves toward the west-northwest
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 700
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located
over the far eastern Pacific is associated with a tropical wave.
A low pressure system is expected to form south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec during the next day or two, and environmental conditions
are conducive for the low to become a tropical depression by the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 700
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located
over the far eastern Pacific is associated with a tropical wave.
A low pressure system is expected to form south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec during the next day or two, and environmental conditions
are conducive for the low to become a tropical depression by the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ACPN50 PHFO 191136
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
MOVED WEST SLOWLY. PULSING THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AROUND THIS LOW
SHOWED INCREASED ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS...ESPECIALLY
WHERE IT INTERACTED WITH THE CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM
KARINA. SIGNIFICANT EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL
TEND TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS...HOWEVER.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU MOVED
WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTED NEAR THIS LOW. SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191136
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO
MOVED WEST SLOWLY. PULSING THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AROUND THIS LOW
SHOWED INCREASED ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS...ESPECIALLY
WHERE IT INTERACTED WITH THE CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM
KARINA. SIGNIFICANT EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL
TEND TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS...HOWEVER.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU MOVED
WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTED NEAR THIS LOW. SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191001
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA LIMITADA. AUNQUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
NO SE ESPERA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...ALGUN DESARROLLO LENTO ES
POSIBLE PARA FINALES DE LA SEMANA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE APROXIMA A
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y SE MUEVE HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ENTRE MEDIO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA
Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y
TRONADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CUALQUIER DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA SERA
LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191001
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA LIMITADA. AUNQUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
NO SE ESPERA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...ALGUN DESARROLLO LENTO ES
POSIBLE PARA FINALES DE LA SEMANA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE APROXIMA A
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y SE MUEVE HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ENTRE MEDIO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA
Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y
TRONADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CUALQUIER DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA SERA
LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191001
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA LIMITADA. AUNQUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
NO SE ESPERA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...ALGUN DESARROLLO LENTO ES
POSIBLE PARA FINALES DE LA SEMANA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE APROXIMA A
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y SE MUEVE HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ENTRE MEDIO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA
Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y
TRONADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CUALQUIER DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA SERA
LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191001
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MARTES 19 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA LIMITADA. AUNQUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
NO SE ESPERA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...ALGUN DESARROLLO LENTO ES
POSIBLE PARA FINALES DE LA SEMANA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE APROXIMA A
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y SE MUEVE HACIA EL MAR CARIBE.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ENTRE MEDIO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA
Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS Y
TRONADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CUALQUIER DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA SERA
LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is limited.  Although development of this system is not expected
during the next couple of days, some slow development is possible by
the end of the week when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles
and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Any development of this system is expected to be
slow to occur during the next several days while it moves to the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is limited.  Although development of this system is not expected
during the next couple of days, some slow development is possible by
the end of the week when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles
and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Any development of this system is expected to be
slow to occur during the next several days while it moves to the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is limited.  Although development of this system is not expected
during the next couple of days, some slow development is possible by
the end of the week when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles
and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Any development of this system is expected to be
slow to occur during the next several days while it moves to the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is limited.  Although development of this system is not expected
during the next couple of days, some slow development is possible by
the end of the week when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles
and moves into the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Any development of this system is expected to be
slow to occur during the next several days while it moves to the
west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190534
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Lowell,
located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the far eastern
Pacific are associated with a tropical wave moving off the coast of
Central America.  Low pressure is expected to form south of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late Wednesday, and environmental conditions
appear conducive for the low to become a tropical depression by the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190534
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Lowell,
located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the far eastern
Pacific are associated with a tropical wave moving off the coast of
Central America.  Low pressure is expected to form south of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late Wednesday, and environmental conditions
appear conducive for the low to become a tropical depression by the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190534
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Lowell,
located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the far eastern
Pacific are associated with a tropical wave moving off the coast of
Central America.  Low pressure is expected to form south of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late Wednesday, and environmental conditions
appear conducive for the low to become a tropical depression by the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190534
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Lowell,
located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the far eastern
Pacific are associated with a tropical wave moving off the coast of
Central America.  Low pressure is expected to form south of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late Wednesday, and environmental conditions
appear conducive for the low to become a tropical depression by the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ACPN50 PHFO 190530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 850 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO. IRREGULAR...PULSING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED
TO DEVELOP AROUND THIS LOW...ESPECIALLY WHERE IT INTERACTED WITH THE
CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM KARINA. SIGNIFICANT EASTERLY SHEAR
OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU MOVED
WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTED AROUND THIS LOW. SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ACPN50 PHFO 190530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 850 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO. IRREGULAR...PULSING THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED
TO DEVELOP AROUND THIS LOW...ESPECIALLY WHERE IT INTERACTED WITH THE
CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM KARINA. SIGNIFICANT EASTERLY SHEAR
OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU MOVED
WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTED AROUND THIS LOW. SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA IN QUESTION WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 190002
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE HAVE BEEN NO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE EAST AND NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM WHERE THE OUTER CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH THE
CIRCULATION OF KARINA. INFRARED AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA FOR OVER 12 HOURS. EASTERLY WIND SHEAR
AT THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

RTANABE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 190002
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE HAVE BEEN NO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE EAST AND NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM WHERE THE OUTER CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH THE
CIRCULATION OF KARINA. INFRARED AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA FOR OVER 12 HOURS. EASTERLY WIND SHEAR
AT THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

RTANABE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 190002
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE HAVE BEEN NO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE EAST AND NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM WHERE THE OUTER CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH THE
CIRCULATION OF KARINA. INFRARED AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA FOR OVER 12 HOURS. EASTERLY WIND SHEAR
AT THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

RTANABE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 190002
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE HAVE BEEN NO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE EAST AND NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM WHERE THE OUTER CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH THE
CIRCULATION OF KARINA. INFRARED AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA FOR OVER 12 HOURS. EASTERLY WIND SHEAR
AT THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

RTANABE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 182349
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. NO SE ANTICIPA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN FAVORABLES PARA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE
HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UN AREA DE TIEMPO PERTURBADO SOBRE EL CENTRO DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO
TROPICAL ENTRE AFRICA Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA ASOCIADA CON UNA
ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE CUALQUIER DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE
HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE




000
ABNT20 KNHC 182342
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are not expected to
be favorable for significant development over the next few days
while the system moves to the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean about midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles is
associated with a tropical wave.  Any development of this system is
expected to be slow to occur over the next several days while it
moves to the west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182330
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A tropical wave over Central America is expected to move westward
and cause the formation of a low pressure area south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec by Thursday.  Additional development of this system is
likely later this week while the low moves west-northwestward well
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182330
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A tropical wave over Central America is expected to move westward
and cause the formation of a low pressure area south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec by Thursday.  Additional development of this system is
likely later this week while the low moves west-northwestward well
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ACPN50 PHFO 181802
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 875 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE ARE NO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHEAST
AND EAST PERIPHERY WHERE THE CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH THE
CIRCULATION OF KARINA. INFRARED AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
AT THE LOWER LEVELS...ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WIND SHEAR AT THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.


$$

RTANABE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 181802
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 875 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE ARE NO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHEAST
AND EAST PERIPHERY WHERE THE CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH THE
CIRCULATION OF KARINA. INFRARED AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW SIGNIFICANT
EASTERLY SHEAR IN THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
AT THE LOWER LEVELS...ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WIND SHEAR AT THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.


$$

RTANABE






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A tropical wave over Panama and Costa Rica is expected to move
westward and develop into a low pressure area south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec by Thursday.  Additional development of this system is
likely later this week while the low moves west-northwestward well
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181727
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A tropical wave over Panama and Costa Rica is expected to move
westward and develop into a low pressure area south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec by Thursday.  Additional development of this system is
likely later this week while the low moves west-northwestward well
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181721
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES SE HAN TORNADO MENOS FAVORABLES PARA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181721
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES SE HAN TORNADO MENOS FAVORABLES PARA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181721
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES SE HAN TORNADO MENOS FAVORABLES PARA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181721
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A 1000 MILLAS APROXIMADAMENTE AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES SE HAN TORNADO MENOS FAVORABLES PARA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ABNT20 KNHC 181717
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
remains limited and disorganized. Environmental conditions have
become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation during the next
few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 181717
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low
pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
remains limited and disorganized. Environmental conditions have
become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation during the next
few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ACPN50 PHFO 181145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 860 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII...HAD BEEN HEADING SLOWLY WEST...THOUGH IT APPEARS TO HAVE
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THIS SYSTEM REMAIN SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY AT THE LOWER LEVELS...ARE BECOMING LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WIND SHEAR AT THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 181145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 860 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII...HAD BEEN HEADING SLOWLY WEST...THOUGH IT APPEARS TO HAVE
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THIS SYSTEM REMAIN SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY AT THE LOWER LEVELS...ARE BECOMING LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WIND SHEAR AT THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181113
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE...PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...PERO LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
PUDIERAN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES LUEGO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL
CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181113
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE...PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...PERO LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
PUDIERAN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES LUEGO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL
CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181113
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE...PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...PERO LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
PUDIERAN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES LUEGO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL
CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 181113
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS CON UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE...PERMANECE DESORGANIZADA. NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...PERO LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
PUDIERAN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES LUEGO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL
CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ABNT20 KNHC 181110
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity with a weak and elongated area of low pressure
located about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands remains disorganized. Development of this system is
not expected during the next couple of days, but beyond that time,
environmental conditions could become a little more favorable for
development when the system moves slowly westward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ABNT20 KNHC 181110
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity with a weak and elongated area of low pressure
located about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands remains disorganized. Development of this system is
not expected during the next couple of days, but beyond that time,
environmental conditions could become a little more favorable for
development when the system moves slowly westward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181109
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181109
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181109
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181109
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ACPN50 PHFO 180552
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ABOUT 920 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN HEADING SLOWLY NORTH OR NORTHWEST. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THIS SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY AT THE LOWER LEVELS...ARE BECOMING LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 770 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. WIND SHEAR AT THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 180552
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ABOUT 920 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN HEADING SLOWLY NORTH OR NORTHWEST. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THIS SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY AT THE LOWER LEVELS...ARE BECOMING LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 770 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. WIND SHEAR AT THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 180536
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION ESTA ACTUALMENTE LOCALIZADA
ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. LA ACTIVIDAD
DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ESTA LIMITADA...Y NO SE ESPERA NINGUN
DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
DESPUES DE VARIOS DIAS...LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA
LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 180536
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 18 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL Y ALARGADA DE BAJA PRESION ESTA ACTUALMENTE LOCALIZADA
ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. LA ACTIVIDAD
DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ESTA LIMITADA...Y NO SE ESPERA NINGUN
DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
DESPUES DE VARIOS DIAS...LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA
LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180533
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twelve-E,
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180533
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twelve-E,
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180533
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twelve-E,
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180533
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twelve-E,
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Slow development of this system
is possible later this week while the low moves roughly parallel to
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 180531
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak and elongated area of low pressure is currently located
about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands.  The associated shower activity is limited, and significant
development of this system is not expected during the next couple of
days.  Beyond a couple of days, environmental conditions could
become a little more favorable for development when the system moves
slowly westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABNT20 KNHC 180531
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak and elongated area of low pressure is currently located
about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands.  The associated shower activity is limited, and significant
development of this system is not expected during the next couple of
days.  Beyond a couple of days, environmental conditions could
become a little more favorable for development when the system moves
slowly westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABNT20 KNHC 180531
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak and elongated area of low pressure is currently located
about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands.  The associated shower activity is limited, and significant
development of this system is not expected during the next couple of
days.  Beyond a couple of days, environmental conditions could
become a little more favorable for development when the system moves
slowly westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABNT20 KNHC 180531
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak and elongated area of low pressure is currently located
about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands.  The associated shower activity is limited, and significant
development of this system is not expected during the next couple of
days.  Beyond a couple of days, environmental conditions could
become a little more favorable for development when the system moves
slowly westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 172334
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
ACTUALMENTE ES MINIMO. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO
DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO LAS CONDICIONES
PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA A
MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES
DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIO...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 172334
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
ACTUALMENTE ES MINIMO. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO
DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO LAS CONDICIONES
PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA A
MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES
DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIO...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH





000
ABNT20 KNHC 172332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands is currently minimal.  No significant development is
expected during the next two days, but conditions could become a
little more favorable by later in the week as the system moves
slowly westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172332
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 620 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to become better organized.  This system is
expected to become a tropical depression later this evening or
early tomorrow while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in several days a few hundred
miles south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some
development of this system is expected by later this week while the
low moves roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172332
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 620 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to become better organized.  This system is
expected to become a tropical depression later this evening or
early tomorrow while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in several days a few hundred
miles south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some
development of this system is expected by later this week while the
low moves roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172332
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 620 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to become better organized.  This system is
expected to become a tropical depression later this evening or
early tomorrow while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in several days a few hundred
miles south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some
development of this system is expected by later this week while the
low moves roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172332
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 620 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to become better organized.  This system is
expected to become a tropical depression later this evening or
early tomorrow while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in several days a few hundred
miles south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some
development of this system is expected by later this week while the
low moves roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABNT20 KNHC 172332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands is currently minimal.  No significant development is
expected during the next two days, but conditions could become a
little more favorable by later in the week as the system moves
slowly westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ACPN50 PHFO 172331
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 172331
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 172331
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 172331
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 171901
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

CORRECTION: PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS A MEDIO

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
CENTRALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE NO
SE HA ORGANIZADO MEJOR DESDE AYER. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO
LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MEDIADOS
DE SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIO...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 171901
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

CORRECTION: PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS A MEDIO

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
CENTRALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE NO
SE HA ORGANIZADO MEJOR DESDE AYER. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO
LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MEDIADOS
DE SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIO...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ABNT20 KNHC 171858
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

Corrected five-day category to medium.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 171858
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

Corrected five-day category to medium.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 171858
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

Corrected five-day category to medium.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 171858
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

Corrected five-day category to medium.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 171742
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
CENTRALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE NO
SE HA ORGANIZADO MEJOR DESDE AYER. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO
LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MEDIADOS
DE SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 171742
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
CENTRALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE NO
SE HA ORGANIZADO MEJOR DESDE AYER. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO
LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MEDIADOS
DE SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 171742
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
CENTRALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE NO
SE HA ORGANIZADO MEJOR DESDE AYER. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO
LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MEDIADOS
DE SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 171742
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA A UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION
CENTRALIZADA ENTRE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES Y LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE NO
SE HA ORGANIZADO MEJOR DESDE AYER. NO SE ESPERA NINGUN DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS...PERO
LAS CONDICIONES PUEDEN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA MEDIADOS
DE SEMANA A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL CENTRAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACPN50 PHFO 171730
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 930 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...60 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 171730
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 930 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...60 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 171730
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 930 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...60 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 171730
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN AUG 17 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 930 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST HILO...
HAWAII...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...60 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located a little more than a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 600 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Only a
slight increase in thunderstorm activity would result in the
formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight while the
low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located a little more than a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 600 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Only a
slight increase in thunderstorm activity would result in the
formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight while the
low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located a little more than a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 600 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Only a
slight increase in thunderstorm activity would result in the
formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight while the
low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located a little more than a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the large low pressure system located
about 600 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Only a
slight increase in thunderstorm activity would result in the
formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight while the
low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 171720
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ABNT20 KNHC 171720
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



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