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000
WTPA34 PHFO 051156
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 AM HST WED AUG 05 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.6W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.6 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 175 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND LATE TONIGHT...AND 115 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY LATER TODAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA34 PHFO 051156
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 AM HST WED AUG 05 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.6W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.6 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 175 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND LATE TONIGHT...AND 115 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY LATER TODAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 051135
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MIERCOLES 5 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
5 DIAS.

&&


$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 051135
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MIERCOLES 5 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
5 DIAS.

&&


$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 051135
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MIERCOLES 5 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
5 DIAS.

&&


$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 051135
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MIERCOLES 5 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
5 DIAS.

&&


$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 051135
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MIERCOLES 5 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
5 DIAS.

&&


$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051133
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have not changed appreciably in organization
since yesterday.  Nevertheless, environmental conditions are
generally conducive for development, and this low is still likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051133
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have not changed appreciably in organization
since yesterday.  Nevertheless, environmental conditions are
generally conducive for development, and this low is still likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 051133
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 051133
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ACPN50 PHFO 051130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED AUG 5 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH WAS LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES
EAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MILES AN
HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 051130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED AUG 5 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH WAS LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES
EAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MILES AN
HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$




000
AXNT20 KNHC 051025
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N30W TO 10N28W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 27W AND 33W.
SSMI TPW IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE OVER THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N40W TO 10N40W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SUBTLE 700
MB TROUGH BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N
AND DRY AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N59W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 51W AND 65W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXITING THE W CARIBBEAN AND MOVING ACROSS
ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N88W TO
09N88W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
INTERACTION OF THIS WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND
89W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 11N20W TO 11N27W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N29W TO 09N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N41W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N48W TO
10N57W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF THIS LOW TO 17N47W.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE 1010 MB
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 23W AND 36W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 41W AND 57W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE SE
GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM TX E TO THE FL PANHANDLE. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS RIDGE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N
TO 31N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N83W
IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO
CENTRAL FL TO THE TX COAST. MODERATE E TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF
THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF.
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE SE GULF TODAY...AND
SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED NEAR 28N57W SUPPORTS A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC FROM 26N61W TO 21N63W...AND FROM 28N51W TO 21N51W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF BOTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
UPPER LOW. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N50W EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL
ATLC. THREE TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND A SURFACE TROUGH ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY...AS WELL AS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 051025
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N30W TO 10N28W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 27W AND 33W.
SSMI TPW IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE OVER THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N40W TO 10N40W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SUBTLE 700
MB TROUGH BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N
AND DRY AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N59W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 51W AND 65W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXITING THE W CARIBBEAN AND MOVING ACROSS
ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N88W TO
09N88W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
INTERACTION OF THIS WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND
89W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 11N20W TO 11N27W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N29W TO 09N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N41W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N48W TO
10N57W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF THIS LOW TO 17N47W.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE 1010 MB
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 23W AND 36W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 41W AND 57W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE SE
GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM TX E TO THE FL PANHANDLE. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS RIDGE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N
TO 31N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N83W
IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO
CENTRAL FL TO THE TX COAST. MODERATE E TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF
THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF.
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE SE GULF TODAY...AND
SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED NEAR 28N57W SUPPORTS A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC FROM 26N61W TO 21N63W...AND FROM 28N51W TO 21N51W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF BOTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
UPPER LOW. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N50W EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL
ATLC. THREE TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND A SURFACE TROUGH ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY...AS WELL AS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 051025
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N30W TO 10N28W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 27W AND 33W.
SSMI TPW IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE OVER THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N40W TO 10N40W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SUBTLE 700
MB TROUGH BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N
AND DRY AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N59W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 51W AND 65W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXITING THE W CARIBBEAN AND MOVING ACROSS
ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N88W TO
09N88W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
INTERACTION OF THIS WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND
89W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 11N20W TO 11N27W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N29W TO 09N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N41W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N48W TO
10N57W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF THIS LOW TO 17N47W.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE 1010 MB
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 23W AND 36W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 41W AND 57W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE SE
GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM TX E TO THE FL PANHANDLE. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS RIDGE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N
TO 31N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N83W
IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO
CENTRAL FL TO THE TX COAST. MODERATE E TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF
THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF.
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE SE GULF TODAY...AND
SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED NEAR 28N57W SUPPORTS A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC FROM 26N61W TO 21N63W...AND FROM 28N51W TO 21N51W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF BOTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
UPPER LOW. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N50W EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL
ATLC. THREE TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND A SURFACE TROUGH ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY...AS WELL AS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO



000
AXNT20 KNHC 051025
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N30W TO 10N28W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 27W AND 33W.
SSMI TPW IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE OVER THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N40W TO 10N40W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SUBTLE 700
MB TROUGH BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N
AND DRY AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N59W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 51W AND 65W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXITING THE W CARIBBEAN AND MOVING ACROSS
ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N88W TO
09N88W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
INTERACTION OF THIS WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND
89W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 11N20W TO 11N27W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N29W TO 09N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N41W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N48W TO
10N57W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF THIS LOW TO 17N47W.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE 1010 MB
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 23W AND 36W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 41W AND 57W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE SE
GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM TX E TO THE FL PANHANDLE. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS RIDGE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N
TO 31N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N83W
IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO
CENTRAL FL TO THE TX COAST. MODERATE E TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF
THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF.
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE SE GULF TODAY...AND
SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED NEAR 28N57W SUPPORTS A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC FROM 26N61W TO 21N63W...AND FROM 28N51W TO 21N51W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF BOTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
UPPER LOW. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N50W EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL
ATLC. THREE TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND A SURFACE TROUGH ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY...AS WELL AS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 051015
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST MIERCOLES 5 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE CONTINUA TRONADOSE
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LA NOCHE. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS ASOCIADA
PERMANECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y NO SE ANTICIPA EL DESARROLLO DE
ESTE SISTEMA. SIN EMBARGO...ESTE SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE DISTURBIO
HABRA DE PRODUCIR VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA SOBRE PORCIONES DEL
ATLANTICO OCCIDENTAL DUANTE LA NCOHE ANTES DE QUE SE COMBINE CON UN
SISTEMA FRONTAL MAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY. PARA INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE
ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTHW80 PHFO 051006 CCA
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1205 AM HST WED AUG 5 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051715-
/O.COR.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1205 AM HST WED AUG 5 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$








000
WTHW80 PHFO 051006 CCA
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1205 AM HST WED AUG 5 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051715-
/O.COR.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1205 AM HST WED AUG 5 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$









000
AXNT20 KNHC 050950
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0915 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N30W TO 10N28W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 27W AND 33W.
SSMI TPW IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE OVER THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N40W TO 10N40W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SUBTLE 700
MB TROUGH BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N
AND DRY AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N59W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 51W AND 65W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXITING THE W CARIBBEAN AND MOVING ACROSS
ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N88W TO
09N88W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
INTERACTION OF THIS WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND
89W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 11N20W TO 11N27W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N29W TO 09N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N41W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N48W TO
10N57W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF THIS LOW TO 17N47W.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE 1010 MB
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 23W AND 36W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 41W AND 57W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE SE
GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM TX E TO THE FL PANHANDLE. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS RIDGE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N
TO 31N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N83W
IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO
CENTRAL FL TO THE TX COAST. MODERATE E TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF
THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF.
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE SE GULF TODAY...AND
SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED NEAR 28N57W SUPPORTS A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC FROM 26N61W TO 21N63W...AND FROM 28N51W TO 21N51W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF BOTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
UPPER LOW. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N50W EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL
ATLC. THREE TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND A SURFACE TROUGH ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY...AS WELL AS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 050950
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0915 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N30W TO 10N28W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 27W AND 33W.
SSMI TPW IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE OVER THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N40W TO 10N40W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SUBTLE 700
MB TROUGH BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N
AND DRY AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N59W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 51W AND 65W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXITING THE W CARIBBEAN AND MOVING ACROSS
ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N88W TO
09N88W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
INTERACTION OF THIS WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND
89W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 11N20W TO 11N27W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N29W TO 09N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N41W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N48W TO
10N57W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF THIS LOW TO 17N47W.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE 1010 MB
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 23W AND 36W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 41W AND 57W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE SE
GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF
FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM TX E TO THE FL PANHANDLE. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS RIDGE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N
TO 31N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N83W
IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO
CENTRAL FL TO THE TX COAST. MODERATE E TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF
THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF.
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE SE GULF TODAY...AND
SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH
AXIS...INCLUDING THE N BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED NEAR 28N57W SUPPORTS A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC FROM 26N61W TO 21N63W...AND FROM 28N51W TO 21N51W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF BOTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
UPPER LOW. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N50W EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL
ATLC. THREE TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. TWO LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND A SURFACE TROUGH ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY...AS WELL AS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050945
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N126W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION
INTERMITTENTLY FLARING. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER...ALSO
W OF THE CENTER WITHIN 30 NM OF 12.5N128.5W. THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE IN A GENERAL W-NW MOTION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED N OF 09N ALONG 88W BUT CURRENTLY LACKS
CONVECTION.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 07-17N ALONG 110W AND HAS BEEN
PROGRESSING W AT ABOUT 15 KT. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED TO THE S OF 12N WITHIN 300 NM
E AND WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS W OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF PANAMA AT
08N81W TO 07N99W...THEN TURNS SLIGHTLY NW THROUGH THE BASE OF A
TROPICAL WAVE AT 08N111W TO 09N116W WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS
INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ. THE ITCZ CONTINUES NW FROM
09N116W TO THE EMBEDDED LOW PRES AT 12N126W...THEN TURNS SW TO
BEYOND 10N140W.

EXCEPT AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED NEAR THE TROPICAL LOW AND THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS NOTED
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM OF 06.5N77.5W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WITHIN 180
NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 07N86W TO 08N105W...N OF THE ITCZ
WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N115W TO 15N123W TO
09N140W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N140W TO 16N104W. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL
TROUGH WILL SUPPORT NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW TO THE N OF 28N
WITHIN ABOUT 300 NM OF BAJA THROUGH EARLY THU WITH SEAS OF 4-7
FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 7-
9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW AND MIXING WITH THE LONG PERIOD CROSS
EQUATORIAL SWELL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING BRIEFLY
BELOW 8 FT EARLY TONIGHT. SIMILAR NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS
EXPECTED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A BRIEF SURGE OF N WINDS AT 20-25 KT IS
EXPECTED AT SUNRISE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN ON THU MORNING WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO ABOUT 7 FT.

$$
NELSON



000
WTHW80 PHFO 050938
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051630-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$






000
WTHW80 PHFO 050938
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051630-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$






000
WTHW80 PHFO 050938
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051630-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$






000
WTHW80 PHFO 050938
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051630-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$






000
WTHW80 PHFO 050938
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051630-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$






000
WTHW80 PHFO 050938
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI...THE BIG ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 150.3W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 490 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED. THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST
ESTIMATES THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 175
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND
APPROXIMATELY 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE WORST WEATHER AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD
BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND OR
MAUI. THUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>028-051630-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.2009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
KOHALA-BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
1138 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 6 PERCENT AT HILO
AND 12 PERCENT AT KAHULUI WHICH HAS TRENDED DOWN SLIGHTLY.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF GUILLERMO COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LARGE SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES REST OF
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. REFER
TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$







000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050934
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR WEAKENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 133.1E

THIS IS ABOUT
560 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA
820 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI
885 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA
825 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
895 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
890 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.1 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL TAKE SOUDELOR TOWARD
TAIWAN ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN NEAR THIS INTENSITY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050934
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR WEAKENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 133.1E

THIS IS ABOUT
560 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA
820 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI
885 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA
825 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
895 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
890 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.1 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL TAKE SOUDELOR TOWARD
TAIWAN ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN NEAR THIS INTENSITY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN



000
WTPA34 PHFO 050852
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 150.3W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.3 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 175 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 115 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA34 PHFO 050852
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF STRONG SHEAR...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 150.3W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.3 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 175 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 115 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA24 PHFO 050834
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  20SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......160NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 150.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N 151.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.9N 153.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 155.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 158.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 24.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 26.0N 167.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 150.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA24 PHFO 050834
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  20SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......160NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 150.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N 151.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.9N 153.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 155.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 158.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 24.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 26.0N 167.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 150.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA34 PHFO 050550
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.0W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA34 PHFO 050550
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.0W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA34 PHFO 050550
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.0W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY FROM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
AXNT20 KNHC 050541
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED AUG 05 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 11N TO
14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST UNTIL 1800 UTC TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N28W TO 10N25W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES
WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 24W AND 32W. SSMI TPW IMAGERY
INDICATES A BROAD POLEWARD SURGE OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY NOTED.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N39W TO 09N39W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 38W AND 41W. HIGH MOISTURE IS LOCATED S OF 13N AND DRY
AIR IS N OF 13N IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N58W TO 11N58W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 52W AND 65W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED AT THIS TIME AS SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND ENTERING CENTRAL
AMERICA WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N86W TO 10N87W...MOVING W AT
20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH
700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 82W AND 90W. THE INTERACTION OF THIS
WAVE WITH AN UPPER LOW IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N17W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW
NEAR 10N20W TO 11N25W...THEN RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N27W TO 11N38W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
11N40W AND CONTINUES THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N47W TO
11N58W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN
200NM OF THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLC. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 41W
AND 55W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL AMERICA HAS A TROUGH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS OVER THE SW GULF. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W.
A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 27N84W IS PART OF A BROAD SURFACE
RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC TO CENTRAL FL TO THE TX
COAST. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SW GULF FROM 21N90W TO
18N91W. SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. MODERATE E
TO SE WINDS COVER MOST OF THE GULF S OF 28N...WITH MODERATE S TO
SW WINDS N OF 28. LIGHTER WINDS ARE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE
EAST CENTRAL GULF. CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE
SE GULF TODAY...AND SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE SW GULF THIS
AFTERNOON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 80W AND 88W. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC
SURFACE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER N COLOMBIA SUPPORTS GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER A PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM
THE ATLC.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TRADE WIND FLOW ARE
MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE ISLAND. THIS
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N77W TO 24N78W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 78W AND
80W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND
THE FL KEYS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING
FROM 26N55W TO 21N57W. THIS TROUGH IS A SURFACE REFLECTION OF A
BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING N FROM A TROPICAL WAVE TO 31N.
AN UPPER LOW IS ALSO IN THE AREA...CENTERED NEAR 28N56W.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE UPPER LOW.
SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 35N48W
EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SUBTROPICAL ATLC. THREE
TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE W ATLC SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
ACPN50 PHFO 050530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST
OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR.
GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 050530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST
OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR.
GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$




000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over
eastern North Carolina has continued to become less defined
overnight.  The associated thunderstorm activity is poorly organized
and development of this system is not expected.  However, this
disturbance is forecast to produce winds to gale-force over portions
of the western Atlantic overnight before it merges with a frontal
system later today.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over
eastern North Carolina has continued to become less defined
overnight.  The associated thunderstorm activity is poorly organized
and development of this system is not expected.  However, this
disturbance is forecast to produce winds to gale-force over portions
of the western Atlantic overnight before it merges with a frontal
system later today.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over
eastern North Carolina has continued to become less defined
overnight.  The associated thunderstorm activity is poorly organized
and development of this system is not expected.  However, this
disturbance is forecast to produce winds to gale-force over portions
of the western Atlantic overnight before it merges with a frontal
system later today.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over
eastern North Carolina has continued to become less defined
overnight.  The associated thunderstorm activity is poorly organized
and development of this system is not expected.  However, this
disturbance is forecast to produce winds to gale-force over portions
of the western Atlantic overnight before it merges with a frontal
system later today.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over
eastern North Carolina has continued to become less defined
overnight.  The associated thunderstorm activity is poorly organized
and development of this system is not expected.  However, this
disturbance is forecast to produce winds to gale-force over portions
of the western Atlantic overnight before it merges with a frontal
system later today.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed
little in organization today.  However, environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for development, and this low is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over
eastern North Carolina has continued to become less defined
overnight.  The associated thunderstorm activity is poorly organized
and development of this system is not expected.  However, this
disturbance is forecast to produce winds to gale-force over portions
of the western Atlantic overnight before it merges with a frontal
system later today.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050305
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050305
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050305
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050305
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050302
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN
WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050302
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN
WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050302
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN
WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 050302
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SOUDELOR NO LONGER A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 134.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
745 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
815 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
810 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR IS
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.3 DEGREES EAST.
SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN
WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPA34 PHFO 050243
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 149.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA34 PHFO 050243
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 149.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 050243
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 149.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 050243
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 149.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 050241
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 85NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 149.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 156.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 149.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 050241
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 85NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 149.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 156.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 149.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 050241
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 85NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 149.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 156.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 149.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 050241
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 85NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 149.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 156.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 149.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 050241
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 85NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 149.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 156.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 149.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 050241
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 85NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 149.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.7N 150.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 156.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.3N 160.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 149.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050234
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED AUG 5 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N125W WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION
WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE CENTER. VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS POOR
ORGANIZATION TO THE LOW CLOUD ELEMENTS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE
CENTRAL CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS...AND
THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES W AT 10-
15 KT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W FROM 08N-17N IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. IT
IS ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM EITHER
SIDE OF ITS AXIS ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE BOUNDARY.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 09N86W TO 06N97W TO
08N108W TO 09N116W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N116W TO LOW PRES NEAR
12N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 104W AND
113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM N OF BOUNDARY
BETWEEN 121W AND 133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS FROM 30N136W TO
20N112W. THE RIDGE N OF THE LOW MENTIONED ABOVE NEAR 12N125W IS
ENHANCING EASTERLY WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW.
SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 1800 UTC SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF 20 KT NE
WINDS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 130W-136W. ALTIMETER DATA INDICATES
SEAS TO 7-8 FT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A
THERMAL TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO IS SUPPORTING 20 KT NW WINDS N OF
27N WITHIN 300 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG EASTERLY WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN
CONTINUE TO FUNNEL THROUGH SOUTHERN NICARAGUA INTO THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. DIURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 20-25 KT
IN THE MORNING...PRODUCING 8-9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON. WEAKER FLOW IS EXPECTED BY 24 HRS WED NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050234
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED AUG 5 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N125W WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION
WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE CENTER. VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS POOR
ORGANIZATION TO THE LOW CLOUD ELEMENTS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE
CENTRAL CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS...AND
THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES W AT 10-
15 KT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W FROM 08N-17N IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. IT
IS ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM EITHER
SIDE OF ITS AXIS ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE BOUNDARY.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 09N86W TO 06N97W TO
08N108W TO 09N116W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N116W TO LOW PRES NEAR
12N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 104W AND
113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM N OF BOUNDARY
BETWEEN 121W AND 133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS FROM 30N136W TO
20N112W. THE RIDGE N OF THE LOW MENTIONED ABOVE NEAR 12N125W IS
ENHANCING EASTERLY WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW.
SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 1800 UTC SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF 20 KT NE
WINDS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 130W-136W. ALTIMETER DATA INDICATES
SEAS TO 7-8 FT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A
THERMAL TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO IS SUPPORTING 20 KT NW WINDS N OF
27N WITHIN 300 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG EASTERLY WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN
CONTINUE TO FUNNEL THROUGH SOUTHERN NICARAGUA INTO THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. DIURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 20-25 KT
IN THE MORNING...PRODUCING 8-9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON. WEAKER FLOW IS EXPECTED BY 24 HRS WED NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042355
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE SE HA TRONADO
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LAS HORAS PREVIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS
ASOCIADA TAMBIEN PREVALECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y EL POTENCIAL
PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO...SE ANTICIPA QUE
ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
SOBRE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA NOCHE ANTES DE QUE SE
COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO
EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042355
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE SE HA TRONADO
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LAS HORAS PREVIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS
ASOCIADA TAMBIEN PREVALECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y EL POTENCIAL
PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO...SE ANTICIPA QUE
ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
SOBRE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA NOCHE ANTES DE QUE SE
COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO
EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042355
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE SE HA TRONADO
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LAS HORAS PREVIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS
ASOCIADA TAMBIEN PREVALECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y EL POTENCIAL
PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO...SE ANTICIPA QUE
ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
SOBRE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA NOCHE ANTES DE QUE SE
COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO
EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042355
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE SE HA TRONADO
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LAS HORAS PREVIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS
ASOCIADA TAMBIEN PREVALECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y EL POTENCIAL
PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO...SE ANTICIPA QUE
ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
SOBRE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA NOCHE ANTES DE QUE SE
COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO
EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042355
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

There has been little change with a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for development, and this low is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042355
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE SE HA TRONADO
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LAS HORAS PREVIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS
ASOCIADA TAMBIEN PREVALECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y EL POTENCIAL
PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO...SE ANTICIPA QUE
ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
SOBRE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA NOCHE ANTES DE QUE SE
COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO
EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042355
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

There has been little change with a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for development, and this low is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042355
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

There has been little change with a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for development, and this low is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042355
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

There has been little change with a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for development, and this low is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042355
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

DATOS DE LA SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE SE HA TRONADO
MENOS DEFINIDA DURANTE LAS HORAS PREVIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS
ASOCIADA TAMBIEN PREVALECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...Y EL POTENCIAL
PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO...SE ANTICIPA QUE
ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
SOBRE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA NOCHE ANTES DE QUE SE
COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO
EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPA34 PHFO 042347
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 149.3W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED BY US AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.3 WEST. GUILLERMO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
ABOUT 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND 200
MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
ACPN50 PHFO 042347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST
OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR.
GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

DWROE





000
WTPA34 PHFO 042347
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 149.3W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED BY US AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.3 WEST. GUILLERMO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
ABOUT 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND 200
MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
ACPN50 PHFO 042347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST
OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR.
GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

DWROE





000
WTPA34 PHFO 042347
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 PM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 149.3W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED BY US AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.3 WEST. GUILLERMO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
ABOUT 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND 200
MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
ACPN50 PHFO 042347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST
OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR.
GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

DWROE






000
ABNT20 KNHC 042345
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface data indicate that the area of low pressure located over
southeastern North Carolina has become less defined during the past
several hours.  The associated thunderstorm activity also remains
poorly organized, and the potential for this system to become a
tropical cyclone is decreasing.  Regardless of development, this
system is expected to continue to produce gale-force winds over
portions of the western Atlantic tonight before merging with a
frontal system tomorrow.  Additional information on this system
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 042345
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface data indicate that the area of low pressure located over
southeastern North Carolina has become less defined during the past
several hours.  The associated thunderstorm activity also remains
poorly organized, and the potential for this system to become a
tropical cyclone is decreasing.  Regardless of development, this
system is expected to continue to produce gale-force winds over
portions of the western Atlantic tonight before merging with a
frontal system tomorrow.  Additional information on this system
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXNT20 KNHC 042343
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN THIS EVENING
BETWEEN THE SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED ACROSS THE SW ATLANTIC AND
LOWER PRESSURES ANALYZED ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN
PANAMA. WITH THESE...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
05/00 UTC FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-76W. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH
SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N24W TO 10N20W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH
700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 13W-26W... FOCUSED ON A MID-LEVEL
MONSOONAL GYRE CENTERED ON A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N17W.
THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROPAGATING WESTWARD AND COME
INTO PHASE WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700 MB TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR 28W-
32W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 15W-
29W.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 18N39W TO 12N39W...MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 36W-42W. GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATED AN AREA OF MAXIMUM 850 MB RELATIVE
VORTICITY ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME AS AN AREA OF
SAHARAN DUST SURROUNDS THIS WAVE INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT
ACTIVITY.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 17N51W TO 10N54W...MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 50W-60W. NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME AS SAHARAN DUST
IS ALSO IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND ENTERING CENTRAL
AMERICA WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N84W TO 10N84W...MOVING W AT
15 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH WEAK AND SUBTLE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 80W-88W. THE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CURRENTLY
SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS MOSTLY RELATED TO AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
ANCHORED OVER NICARAGUA AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N16W TO
13N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
THAT POINT TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N45W TO 09N60W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOW ALONG 17W...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 42W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH ANCHORED OVER E TEXAS EXTENDS ACROSS WHOLE
THE BASIN. AT THE SURFACE...THE ATLANTIC RIDGE EXTENDS W
REACHING THE GULF WATERS AND ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 27N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE COAST OF
LOUISIANA SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 29N
BETWEEN 89W-91W.ANOTHER CLUSTER OF CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AFFECTING THE NE GULF E OF 87W. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN AND FAR SOUTH GULF SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION S OF 24N AND E OF 91W. SCATTEROMETER DATA
DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS
THE BASIN. EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITION TO PREVAIL OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION ACROSS CUBA AND THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MAINLY W OF 77W.
TO THE E...AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR GUADELOUPE
EXTENDS ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING SUBSIDENCE. WITH
THIS...FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA. SCATTEROMETER
DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS BETWEEN 68W-78W. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
...THE PRIMARILY MARINE IMPACT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WITH THE EMBEDDED AREA OF GALE FORCE
WINDS N OF COLOMBIA. PLEASE REFER TOT HE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
ISLAND FROM THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER GUADELOUPE AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE E
CARIBBEAN. SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 34N79W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC AND
INTO NE FLORIDA NEAR 30N81W. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC BETWEEN 71W-80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION MAINLY W OF 73W. A SURFACE TROUGH
WAS ANALYZED ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS FROM 25N79W TO 28N76W.
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY BETWEEN 76W-
78W. TO THE E...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CENTERED NEAR 36N50W. FAIR WEATHER
PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA. A PORTION OF THE ENERGY OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 53W FRACTURED N AND WAS ANALYZED
AS A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM 19N49W TO 23N44W. NO
CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY RELATED TO THIS FEATURE. EXPECT SIMILAR
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 042343
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN THIS EVENING
BETWEEN THE SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED ACROSS THE SW ATLANTIC AND
LOWER PRESSURES ANALYZED ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN
PANAMA. WITH THESE...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
05/00 UTC FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-76W. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH
SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N24W TO 10N20W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH
700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 13W-26W... FOCUSED ON A MID-LEVEL
MONSOONAL GYRE CENTERED ON A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N17W.
THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROPAGATING WESTWARD AND COME
INTO PHASE WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700 MB TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR 28W-
32W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 15W-
29W.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 18N39W TO 12N39W...MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 36W-42W. GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATED AN AREA OF MAXIMUM 850 MB RELATIVE
VORTICITY ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME AS AN AREA OF
SAHARAN DUST SURROUNDS THIS WAVE INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT
ACTIVITY.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 17N51W TO 10N54W...MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 50W-60W. NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME AS SAHARAN DUST
IS ALSO IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND ENTERING CENTRAL
AMERICA WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N84W TO 10N84W...MOVING W AT
15 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH WEAK AND SUBTLE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 80W-88W. THE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CURRENTLY
SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS MOSTLY RELATED TO AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
ANCHORED OVER NICARAGUA AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N16W TO
13N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
THAT POINT TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N45W TO 09N60W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOW ALONG 17W...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 42W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH ANCHORED OVER E TEXAS EXTENDS ACROSS WHOLE
THE BASIN. AT THE SURFACE...THE ATLANTIC RIDGE EXTENDS W
REACHING THE GULF WATERS AND ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 27N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE COAST OF
LOUISIANA SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 29N
BETWEEN 89W-91W.ANOTHER CLUSTER OF CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AFFECTING THE NE GULF E OF 87W. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN AND FAR SOUTH GULF SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION S OF 24N AND E OF 91W. SCATTEROMETER DATA
DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS
THE BASIN. EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITION TO PREVAIL OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION ACROSS CUBA AND THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MAINLY W OF 77W.
TO THE E...AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR GUADELOUPE
EXTENDS ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING SUBSIDENCE. WITH
THIS...FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA. SCATTEROMETER
DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS BETWEEN 68W-78W. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
...THE PRIMARILY MARINE IMPACT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WITH THE EMBEDDED AREA OF GALE FORCE
WINDS N OF COLOMBIA. PLEASE REFER TOT HE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
ISLAND FROM THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER GUADELOUPE AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE E
CARIBBEAN. SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 34N79W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC AND
INTO NE FLORIDA NEAR 30N81W. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC BETWEEN 71W-80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION MAINLY W OF 73W. A SURFACE TROUGH
WAS ANALYZED ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS FROM 25N79W TO 28N76W.
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY BETWEEN 76W-
78W. TO THE E...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CENTERED NEAR 36N50W. FAIR WEATHER
PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA. A PORTION OF THE ENERGY OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 53W FRACTURED N AND WAS ANALYZED
AS A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM 19N49W TO 23N44W. NO
CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY RELATED TO THIS FEATURE. EXPECT SIMILAR
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 042343
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN THIS EVENING
BETWEEN THE SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED ACROSS THE SW ATLANTIC AND
LOWER PRESSURES ANALYZED ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN
PANAMA. WITH THESE...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
05/00 UTC FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-76W. SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH
SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N24W TO 10N20W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH
700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 13W-26W... FOCUSED ON A MID-LEVEL
MONSOONAL GYRE CENTERED ON A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N17W.
THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROPAGATING WESTWARD AND COME
INTO PHASE WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700 MB TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR 28W-
32W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 15W-
29W.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 18N39W TO 12N39W...MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 36W-42W. GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATED AN AREA OF MAXIMUM 850 MB RELATIVE
VORTICITY ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME AS AN AREA OF
SAHARAN DUST SURROUNDS THIS WAVE INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT
ACTIVITY.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 17N51W TO 10N54W...MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 50W-60W. NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME AS SAHARAN DUST
IS ALSO IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND ENTERING CENTRAL
AMERICA WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N84W TO 10N84W...MOVING W AT
15 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH WEAK AND SUBTLE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 80W-88W. THE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CURRENTLY
SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS MOSTLY RELATED TO AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
ANCHORED OVER NICARAGUA AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N16W TO
13N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
THAT POINT TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N45W TO 09N60W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOW ALONG 17W...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 06N-13N BETWEEN 42W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH ANCHORED OVER E TEXAS EXTENDS ACROSS WHOLE
THE BASIN. AT THE SURFACE...THE ATLANTIC RIDGE EXTENDS W
REACHING THE GULF WATERS AND ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 27N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE COAST OF
LOUISIANA SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 29N
BETWEEN 89W-91W.ANOTHER CLUSTER OF CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AFFECTING THE NE GULF E OF 87W. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN AND FAR SOUTH GULF SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION S OF 24N AND E OF 91W. SCATTEROMETER DATA
DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS
THE BASIN. EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITION TO PREVAIL OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION ACROSS CUBA AND THE CARIBBEAN WATERS MAINLY W OF 77W.
TO THE E...AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR GUADELOUPE
EXTENDS ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING SUBSIDENCE. WITH
THIS...FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA. SCATTEROMETER
DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS BETWEEN 68W-78W. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
...THE PRIMARILY MARINE IMPACT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WITH THE EMBEDDED AREA OF GALE FORCE
WINDS N OF COLOMBIA. PLEASE REFER TOT HE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
ISLAND FROM THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER GUADELOUPE AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE E
CARIBBEAN. SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 34N79W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC AND
INTO NE FLORIDA NEAR 30N81W. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC BETWEEN 71W-80W SUPPORTING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION MAINLY W OF 73W. A SURFACE TROUGH
WAS ANALYZED ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS FROM 25N79W TO 28N76W.
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY BETWEEN 76W-
78W. TO THE E...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CENTERED NEAR 36N50W. FAIR WEATHER
PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA. A PORTION OF THE ENERGY OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 53W FRACTURED N AND WAS ANALYZED
AS A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM 19N49W TO 23N44W. NO
CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY RELATED TO THIS FEATURE. EXPECT SIMILAR
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 042130
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE AUG 4 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1005 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N124W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. VIS SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION TO THE LOW CLOUD LINES ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT 2-5 DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
AS IT MOVES W WESTWARD AT 10-15 KT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF
TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W FROM 07N-14N IS MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
IT IS ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF
ITS AXIS ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE BOUNDARY.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N91W TO 07N108W TO
11N117W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N117W TO THE LOW PRES NEAR 12N124W
TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 102W
AND 114W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS FROM 30N136W TO
21N114W. THE RIDGE N OF THE LOW MENTIONED ABOVE NEAR 12N124W IS
ENHANCING EASTERLY WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW.
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF 20 KT NE WINDS FROM 16N-
20N BETWEEN 130W-136W. NO CURRENT ALTIMETER DATA IS AVAILABLE.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A THERMAL TROUGH
OVER NW MEXICO IS SUPPORTING NW WINDS TO 20 KT N OF 27N WITHIN
ABOUT 300 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG EASTERLY WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN
CONTINUE TO FUNNEL THROUGH SOUTHERN NICARAGUA INTO THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. DIURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 20-25 KT
IN THE MORNING...PRODUCING 8-9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW THROUGH
THE EVENING. WEAKER FLOW IS EXPECTED BY WED NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 042130
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE AUG 4 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1005 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N124W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. VIS SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION TO THE LOW CLOUD LINES ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT 2-5 DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
AS IT MOVES W WESTWARD AT 10-15 KT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF
TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W FROM 07N-14N IS MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
IT IS ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF
ITS AXIS ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE BOUNDARY.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N91W TO 07N108W TO
11N117W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N117W TO THE LOW PRES NEAR 12N124W
TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 102W
AND 114W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS FROM 30N136W TO
21N114W. THE RIDGE N OF THE LOW MENTIONED ABOVE NEAR 12N124W IS
ENHANCING EASTERLY WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW.
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF 20 KT NE WINDS FROM 16N-
20N BETWEEN 130W-136W. NO CURRENT ALTIMETER DATA IS AVAILABLE.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A THERMAL TROUGH
OVER NW MEXICO IS SUPPORTING NW WINDS TO 20 KT N OF 27N WITHIN
ABOUT 300 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG EASTERLY WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN
CONTINUE TO FUNNEL THROUGH SOUTHERN NICARAGUA INTO THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. DIURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 20-25 KT
IN THE MORNING...PRODUCING 8-9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW THROUGH
THE EVENING. WEAKER FLOW IS EXPECTED BY WED NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042117
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
435 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
PARA ACTUALIZAR LA DISCUSION SOBRE AREA DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA DEL NORTE.

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y DATOS DEL RADAR INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA CERCA DE
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA MAL ORGANIZADA. SIN
EMBARGO...EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ENCONTRO UN AREA DE VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA SOBRE EL
OCEANO ATLANTICO AL ESTE Y SURESTE DE SU CENTRO.  AUN EXISTE UN
PEQUENO POTENCIAL PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON
TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL EL MIERCOLES
O MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU
DESARROLLO...LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS
CONTINUARAN ESPARCIENDOSE A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE
CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO Y LOS
PRONOSTICOS LOCALES EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...30 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042117
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
435 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
PARA ACTUALIZAR LA DISCUSION SOBRE AREA DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA DEL NORTE.

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y DATOS DEL RADAR INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA CERCA DE
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA MAL ORGANIZADA. SIN
EMBARGO...EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ENCONTRO UN AREA DE VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA SOBRE EL
OCEANO ATLANTICO AL ESTE Y SURESTE DE SU CENTRO.  AUN EXISTE UN
PEQUENO POTENCIAL PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON
TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL EL MIERCOLES
O MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU
DESARROLLO...LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS
CONTINUARAN ESPARCIENDOSE A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE
CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO Y LOS
PRONOSTICOS LOCALES EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...30 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 042117
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
435 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
PARA ACTUALIZAR LA DISCUSION SOBRE AREA DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA DEL NORTE.

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y DATOS DEL RADAR INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA CERCA DE
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA MAL ORGANIZADA. SIN
EMBARGO...EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ENCONTRO UN AREA DE VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA SOBRE EL
OCEANO ATLANTICO AL ESTE Y SURESTE DE SU CENTRO.  AUN EXISTE UN
PEQUENO POTENCIAL PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE TORNE EN UN CICLON
TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL EL MIERCOLES
O MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU
DESARROLLO...LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS
CONTINUARAN ESPARCIENDOSE A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE
CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO Y LOS
PRONOSTICOS LOCALES EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...30 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
WTPA34 PHFO 042040
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STEADILY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 149.0W
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 230 MILES NORTHEAST
OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 042040
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO STEADILY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 149.0W
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 230 MILES NORTHEAST
OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA24 PHFO 042039
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
2100 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 149.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 149.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 148.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N 150.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 152.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 155.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.6N 159.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 27.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 28.5N 167.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 149.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPA24 PHFO 042039
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
2100 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 149.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 149.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 148.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N 150.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 152.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 155.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.6N 159.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 27.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 28.5N 167.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 149.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
ABNT20 KNHC 042033
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
435 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Wilmington, North Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity
associated with the low pressure area near Wilmington, North
Carolina is poorly organized.  However, an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft found an area of gale-force winds over the
Atlantic Ocean well to the east and southeast of the center.  There
is still a short window of opportunity for this system to become a
tropical cyclone before it merges with a frontal system Wednesday or
Wednesday night.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds will continue to spread along the coastal areas of North
Carolina through tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 042033
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
435 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Wilmington, North Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity
associated with the low pressure area near Wilmington, North
Carolina is poorly organized.  However, an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft found an area of gale-force winds over the
Atlantic Ocean well to the east and southeast of the center.  There
is still a short window of opportunity for this system to become a
tropical cyclone before it merges with a frontal system Wednesday or
Wednesday night.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds will continue to spread along the coastal areas of North
Carolina through tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABNT20 KNHC 042033
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
435 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Wilmington, North Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity
associated with the low pressure area near Wilmington, North
Carolina is poorly organized.  However, an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft found an area of gale-force winds over the
Atlantic Ocean well to the east and southeast of the center.  There
is still a short window of opportunity for this system to become a
tropical cyclone before it merges with a frontal system Wednesday or
Wednesday night.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds will continue to spread along the coastal areas of North
Carolina through tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 042025
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 135.5E

THIS IS ABOUT
665 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
740 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
740 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
685 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES
EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DOWN TO 150 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 042025
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 135.5E

THIS IS ABOUT
665 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
740 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
740 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
685 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES
EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DOWN TO 150 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 042025
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 135.5E

THIS IS ABOUT
665 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
740 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
740 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
685 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES
EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DOWN TO 150 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 042025
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 135.5E

THIS IS ABOUT
665 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
740 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
740 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
685 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES
EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DOWN TO 150 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 042025
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 135.5E

THIS IS ABOUT
665 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
740 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
740 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
685 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES
EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DOWN TO 150 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 042025
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 135.5E

THIS IS ABOUT
665 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
740 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
740 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
685 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES
EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DOWN TO 150 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041914
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y DATOS DEL RADAR INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LACALIZADA CERCA DE
LITTLE RIVER INLET CAROLINA DEL NORTE NO SE HA TORNADO MAS
ORGANIZADA DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. MIENTRAS QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SON SOLO MARGINALMENTE CONDUCENTES...EXISTE EL
POTENCIAL PARA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL ESTA TARDE O ESTA
NOCHE MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE A LO LARGO
DE LA COSTA DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE. LUEGO DE ESTA NOCHE...SE ANTICIPA
QUE LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVA SOBRE AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL OCEANO
ATLANTICO Y SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL. IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE
SU DESARROLLO...LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS
CONTINUARAN ESPARCIENDOSE A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE
CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE
ALTO Y LOS PRONOSTICOS LOCALES EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...40 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...40 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 041820 AAA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

AMENDED FOR ADDITION OF SPECIAL FEATURE

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS BETWEEN SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC AND LOWER PRESSURE ANALYZED
ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN PANAMA. NEAR GALE TO GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH 05/1800 UTC FROM
11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR
33N80W CONTINUES TO GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OFFSHORE OF THE SE CONUS STRETCHING FROM OFFSHORE OF
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA NE TO OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER
BANKS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED AT THIS TIME WITH MOST OF THE
CONVECTION OUT ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS OF THE SW NORTH ATLC.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE FOR THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO BECOME
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS BEFORE IT LIKELY
MERGES WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N18W TO 18N21W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 13W-26W...
FOCUSED ON A MID-LEVEL MONSOONAL GYRE CENTERED ON A 1014 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 09N15W. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PROPAGATING WESTWARD AND COME INTO PHASE WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700
MB TROUGH BY WEDNESDAY IN THE VICINITY OF 28W-32W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 12W-22W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N38W TO 18N37W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH LOW-AMPLITUDE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 34W-40W. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATED AN AREA OF
MAXIMUM 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE WAVE AT THIS
TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N52W TO 17N50W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 48W-
55W...WITH A PORTION OF ENERGY N-NE OF THE WAVE AXIS AS A
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 18N49W TO 23N44W. THIS NORTHEASTERN AREA OF
ENERGY COINCIDE PRIMARILY WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700 MB TROUGH
NEARLY IN PHASE WITH THE TROPICAL 700 MB TROUGHING TO THE SOUTH.
NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N80W TO 19N80W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH WEAK AND SUBTLE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 78W-84W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 09N16W TO 13N28W TO 12N33W.
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N33W TO
12N43W TO 09N51W TO 08N59W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION OCCURRING WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 20W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 26W-31W...AND FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 40W-49W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE GULF THIS
AFTERNOON ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. THE RIDGING ALOFT IS
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR WEAK RIDGING AT THE SURFACE WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-SW TO THE EAST-
CENTRAL MEXICO COAST. BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND WEAK RIDGING ACROSS
THE SE CONUS...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN
GEORGIA TO COASTAL LOUISIANA. THE WEAK BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 26N BETWEEN 82W-93W.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO
GENTLE BREEZE CONDITIONS AROUND THE RIDGE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
STAY FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
WHILE NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
REMAINS RELATIVELY TRANQUIL THIS AFTERNOON. AN ELONGATED UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN NICARAGUA NEAR 14N84W AND IS
PROVIDING INCREASED CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN...HOWEVER
ONLY GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TSTMS W
OF 80W AND IN THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF EASTERN CUBA. WHILE
PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...THE PRESENCE OF
A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W IS ADDING ENERGY AND LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO THE OCCURRING CONVECTION. FARTHER
EAST...THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED
NEAR 17N58W IS PROVIDING VERY DRY AND STABLE AIR ALOFT TO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR WITH FAIR
CONDITIONS. DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THE PRIMARILY MARINE
IMPACT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES
WITH THE EMBEDDED AREA OF NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE. THE AREA IS
FORECAST TO SHRINK LATE ON THURSDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES SOMEWHAT DUE TO A WEAKER RIDGE ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC
REGION.

...HISPANIOLA...
DRY AIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
ISLAND FROM THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 17N58W. WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH AND STRONG STABILITY IN THE REGION...NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ISLAND DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
OVER THE NE CONUS WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE CENTERED IN THE
VICINITY OF 36N71W. THE TROUGHING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE
EXTENDS S-SW OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND SUPPORTS A 1011 MB
LOW CENTERED AT THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR 33N79W. A SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA TO
COASTAL LOUISIANA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING N
OF 29N W OF A LINE FROM 29N79W TO 34N73W. THE SOUTH ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA SW TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
HOWEVER...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE RIDGING IS ENERGY...LIKELY
FRACTURED AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W...ANALYZED AS A
SURFACE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N79W TO 27N75W. THIS
BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
24N-29N BETWEEN 74W-78W. FINALLY...THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 35N53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 041758
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS BETWEEN SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC AND LOWER PRESSURE ANALYZED
ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN PANAMA. NEAR GALE TO GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH 05/1800 UTC FROM
11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N18W TO 18N21W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 13W-26W...
FOCUSED ON A MID-LEVEL MONSOONAL GYRE CENTERED ON A 1014 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 09N15W. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PROPAGATING WESTWARD AND COME INTO PHASE WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700
MB TROUGH BY WEDNESDAY IN THE VICINITY OF 28W-32W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 12W-22W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N38W TO 18N37W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH LOW-AMPLITUDE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 34W-40W. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATED AN AREA OF
MAXIMUM 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE WAVE AT THIS
TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N52W TO 17N50W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 48W-
55W...WITH A PORTION OF ENERGY N-NE OF THE WAVE AXIS AS A
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 18N49W TO 23N44W. THIS NORTHEASTERN AREA OF
ENERGY COINCIDE PRIMARILY WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700 MB TROUGH
NEARLY IN PHASE WITH THE TROPICAL 700 MB TROUGHING TO THE SOUTH.
NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N80W TO 19N80W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH WEAK AND SUBTLE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 78W-84W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 09N16W TO 13N28W TO 12N33W.
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N33W TO
12N43W TO 09N51W TO 08N59W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION OCCURRING WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 20W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 26W-31W...AND FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 40W-49W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE GULF THIS
AFTERNOON ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. THE RIDGING ALOFT IS
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR WEAK RIDGING AT THE SURFACE WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-SW TO THE EAST-
CENTRAL MEXICO COAST. BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND WEAK RIDGING ACROSS
THE SE CONUS...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN
GEORGIA TO COASTAL LOUISIANA. THE WEAK BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 26N BETWEEN 82W-93W.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO
GENTLE BREEZE CONDITIONS AROUND THE RIDGE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
STAY FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
WHILE NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
REMAINS RELATIVELY TRANQUIL THIS AFTERNOON. AN ELONGATED UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN NICARAGUA NEAR 14N84W AND IS
PROVIDING INCREASED CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN...HOWEVER
ONLY GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TSTMS W
OF 80W AND IN THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF EASTERN CUBA. WHILE
PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...THE PRESENCE OF
A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W IS ADDING ENERGY AND LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO THE OCCURRING CONVECTION. FARTHER
EAST...THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED
NEAR 17N58W IS PROVIDING VERY DRY AND STABLE AIR ALOFT TO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR WITH FAIR
CONDITIONS. DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THE PRIMARILY MARINE
IMPACT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES
WITH THE EMBEDDED AREA OF NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE. THE AREA IS
FORECAST TO SHRINK LATE ON THURSDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES SOMEWHAT DUE TO A WEAKER RIDGE ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC
REGION.

...HISPANIOLA...
DRY AIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
ISLAND FROM THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 17N58W. WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH AND STRONG STABILITY IN THE REGION...NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ISLAND DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
OVER THE NE CONUS WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE CENTERED IN THE
VICINITY OF 36N71W. THE TROUGHING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE
EXTENDS S-SW OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND SUPPORTS A 1011 MB
LOW CENTERED AT THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR 33N79W. A SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA TO
COASTAL LOUISIANA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING N
OF 29N W OF A LINE FROM 29N79W TO 34N73W. THE SOUTH ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA SW TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
HOWEVER...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE RIDGING IS ENERGY...LIKELY
FRACTURED AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W...ANALYZED AS A
SURFACE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N79W TO 27N75W. THIS
BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
24N-29N BETWEEN 74W-78W. FINALLY...THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 35N53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 041758
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS BETWEEN SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC AND LOWER PRESSURE ANALYZED
ACROSS NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN PANAMA. NEAR GALE TO GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH 05/1800 UTC FROM
11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N18W TO 18N21W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 13W-26W...
FOCUSED ON A MID-LEVEL MONSOONAL GYRE CENTERED ON A 1014 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 09N15W. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PROPAGATING WESTWARD AND COME INTO PHASE WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700
MB TROUGH BY WEDNESDAY IN THE VICINITY OF 28W-32W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 12W-22W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N38W TO 18N37W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH LOW-AMPLITUDE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 34W-40W. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATED AN AREA OF
MAXIMUM 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE WAVE AT THIS
TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N52W TO 17N50W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 48W-
55W...WITH A PORTION OF ENERGY N-NE OF THE WAVE AXIS AS A
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 18N49W TO 23N44W. THIS NORTHEASTERN AREA OF
ENERGY COINCIDE PRIMARILY WITH A MID-LATITUDE 700 MB TROUGH
NEARLY IN PHASE WITH THE TROPICAL 700 MB TROUGHING TO THE SOUTH.
NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N80W TO 19N80W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH WEAK AND SUBTLE 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 78W-84W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 09N16W TO 13N28W TO 12N33W.
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N33W TO
12N43W TO 09N51W TO 08N59W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION OCCURRING WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 20W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 26W-31W...AND FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 40W-49W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE GULF THIS
AFTERNOON ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. THE RIDGING ALOFT IS
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR WEAK RIDGING AT THE SURFACE WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-SW TO THE EAST-
CENTRAL MEXICO COAST. BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND WEAK RIDGING ACROSS
THE SE CONUS...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN
GEORGIA TO COASTAL LOUISIANA. THE WEAK BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 26N BETWEEN 82W-93W.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO
GENTLE BREEZE CONDITIONS AROUND THE RIDGE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
STAY FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
WHILE NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
REMAINS RELATIVELY TRANQUIL THIS AFTERNOON. AN ELONGATED UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN NICARAGUA NEAR 14N84W AND IS
PROVIDING INCREASED CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN...HOWEVER
ONLY GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TSTMS W
OF 80W AND IN THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF EASTERN CUBA. WHILE
PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...THE PRESENCE OF
A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W IS ADDING ENERGY AND LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO THE OCCURRING CONVECTION. FARTHER
EAST...THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED
NEAR 17N58W IS PROVIDING VERY DRY AND STABLE AIR ALOFT TO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR WITH FAIR
CONDITIONS. DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THE PRIMARILY MARINE
IMPACT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES
WITH THE EMBEDDED AREA OF NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE. THE AREA IS
FORECAST TO SHRINK LATE ON THURSDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES SOMEWHAT DUE TO A WEAKER RIDGE ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC
REGION.

...HISPANIOLA...
DRY AIR AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
ISLAND FROM THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 17N58W. WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH AND STRONG STABILITY IN THE REGION...NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ISLAND DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
OVER THE NE CONUS WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE CENTERED IN THE
VICINITY OF 36N71W. THE TROUGHING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE
EXTENDS S-SW OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND SUPPORTS A 1011 MB
LOW CENTERED AT THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR 33N79W. A SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA TO
COASTAL LOUISIANA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING N
OF 29N W OF A LINE FROM 29N79W TO 34N73W. THE SOUTH ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA SW TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
HOWEVER...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE RIDGING IS ENERGY...LIKELY
FRACTURED AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W...ANALYZED AS A
SURFACE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N79W TO 27N75W. THIS
BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
24N-29N BETWEEN 74W-78W. FINALLY...THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 35N53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
WTPA34 PHFO 041756
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 148.6W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.6 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA34 PHFO 041756
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 148.6W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.6 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 041756
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 148.6W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.6 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 041756
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 148.6W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.6 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
ACPN50 PHFO 041754
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES
EAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST AT 15 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

DWROE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 041754
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES
EAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST AT 15 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.


$$

DWROE






000
ABNT20 KNHC 041747
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity associated with the low pressure area near Little River
Inlet, North Carolina has not become better organized during the
past few hours.  While upper-level winds are at best marginally
conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form
this afternoon or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the
coast of North Carolina.  After tonight, the low is expected to move
into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will
continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina this
afternoon and tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is currently investigating this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABNT20 KNHC 041747
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity associated with the low pressure area near Little River
Inlet, North Carolina has not become better organized during the
past few hours.  While upper-level winds are at best marginally
conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form
this afternoon or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the
coast of North Carolina.  After tonight, the low is expected to move
into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will
continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina this
afternoon and tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is currently investigating this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABNT20 KNHC 041747
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity associated with the low pressure area near Little River
Inlet, North Carolina has not become better organized during the
past few hours.  While upper-level winds are at best marginally
conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form
this afternoon or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the
coast of North Carolina.  After tonight, the low is expected to move
into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will
continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina this
afternoon and tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is currently investigating this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABNT20 KNHC 041747
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity associated with the low pressure area near Little River
Inlet, North Carolina has not become better organized during the
past few hours.  While upper-level winds are at best marginally
conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form
this afternoon or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the
coast of North Carolina.  After tonight, the low is expected to move
into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will
continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina this
afternoon and tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is currently investigating this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041744
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure system located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continue to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
additional slow development, and this low is likely to become a
tropical depression later this week while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041744
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure system located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continue to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
additional slow development, and this low is likely to become a
tropical depression later this week while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041526
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 12.5N122.5W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION
INTERMITTENTLY FLARING MAINLY OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE WHERE
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OVER SW
QUADRANT IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS WEEK AS IT MOVES W-
NW. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 17N105W TO 08N106W MOVING W-SW
20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 12N100W TO
14N105W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH BEGINS AT THE COSTA RICA COAST NEAR 9N85W ALONG
6N95W 7N109W TO 10N116W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE 1006 MB LOW NEAR 12.5N122.5W ALONG 9N130W TO 5N140W.
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH
BETWEEN 106W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 106W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W-
95W AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 131W-136W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W-105W.

...DISCUSSION...

A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED NEAR 17N138W WITH AN UPPER RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING NE TO 24N125W. A CUTOFF UPPER LOW IS TO THE SE
CENTERED NEAR 15N107W COVERING THE AREA FROM 10N-22N BETWEEN
100W AND 115W. THIS UPPER LOW IS ENHANCING THE ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE.

A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 6N78.5W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N136W TO 22N119W. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SURFACE RIDGE AND THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH IS SUPPORTING NW WINDS TO 20 KT N OF
27N WITHIN ABOUT 300 NM W OF BAJA THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 8
TO 9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING BEFORE
SUBSIDING BELOW 8 FT. SIMILAR NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS
EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT WITH WEAKER FLOW ON WED NIGHT.

$$
PAW


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041512
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1055 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
PARA ACTUALIZAR LA DISCUSION SOBRE AREA DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE
MYRTLE BEACH, CAROLINA DEL SUR.

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y DATOS DEL RADAR INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE TRONADAS HA AUMENTADO DESD AYER EN ASOCIACION CON UN AREA DE BAJA
PRESION CENTRALIZAO CERCA DE MYRTLE BEACH CAROLINA DEL SUR. EN
ADICION, LAS OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN LA CIRCULACION SE
HA  TORNADO MEJOR DEFINIDO, CON VIENTOS CERCA DE 35 MPH SOBRE LAS
AGUAS AL ESE Y SUR DEL CENTRO. MIENTRAS QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SON SOLO MARGINALMENTE CONDUCENTES, EXISTE POTENCIAL
PARA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL MAS TARDE DURANTE HOY O ESTA
NOCHE MIENTRAS ESTA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVA A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS
DE CAROLINA DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE. LUEGO DE ESTA NOCHE SE
ANTICIPA QUE ESTA BAJA PRESION SE MOVERA SOBRE AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL
OCEANO ATLANTICO Y SE COMBINARA CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL.
IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO, LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y
RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS SE MOVERAN A TRAVES DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE
CAROLINA DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ESTA PAUTADO PARA INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA TARDE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...40 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...40 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041512
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1055 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
PARA ACTUALIZAR LA DISCUSION SOBRE AREA DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE
MYRTLE BEACH, CAROLINA DEL SUR.

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y DATOS DEL RADAR INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE TRONADAS HA AUMENTADO DESD AYER EN ASOCIACION CON UN AREA DE BAJA
PRESION CENTRALIZAO CERCA DE MYRTLE BEACH CAROLINA DEL SUR. EN
ADICION, LAS OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN LA CIRCULACION SE
HA  TORNADO MEJOR DEFINIDO, CON VIENTOS CERCA DE 35 MPH SOBRE LAS
AGUAS AL ESE Y SUR DEL CENTRO. MIENTRAS QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SON SOLO MARGINALMENTE CONDUCENTES, EXISTE POTENCIAL
PARA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL MAS TARDE DURANTE HOY O ESTA
NOCHE MIENTRAS ESTA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVA A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS
DE CAROLINA DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE. LUEGO DE ESTA NOCHE SE
ANTICIPA QUE ESTA BAJA PRESION SE MOVERA SOBRE AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL
OCEANO ATLANTICO Y SE COMBINARA CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL.
IDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE SU DESARROLLO, LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y
RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS SE MOVERAN A TRAVES DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE
CAROLINA DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA
AEREA ESTA PAUTADO PARA INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA TARDE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...40 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...40 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 041509
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 136.8E

THIS IS ABOUT
580 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
650 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
650 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
765 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
136.8 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE MAINLY TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 160 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY TODAY...THEN BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND BY
THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 041509
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 136.8E

THIS IS ABOUT
580 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
650 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
650 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
765 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
136.8 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE MAINLY TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 160 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY TODAY...THEN BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND BY
THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 041509
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST WED AUG 5 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING WESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 136.8E

THIS IS ABOUT
580 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
650 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
650 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
765 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
136.8 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 MPH...AND IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE MAINLY TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 160 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY TODAY...THEN BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND BY
THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON



000
ABNT20 KNHC 041455
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1055 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity has increased since yesterday in association with the low
pressure area centered near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.  In
addition, surface observations indicate that the circulation has
become better defined, with winds near 35 mph over water to the
east and south of the center.  While upper-level winds are at best
marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical
cyclone to form later today or tonight as the low moves
northeastward along the coasts of South and North Carolina.  After
tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean
and merge with a frontal system.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and gusty winds will spread along the coastal areas of
South and North Carolina today and tonight.  For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local
forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 041455
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1055 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity has increased since yesterday in association with the low
pressure area centered near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.  In
addition, surface observations indicate that the circulation has
become better defined, with winds near 35 mph over water to the
east and south of the center.  While upper-level winds are at best
marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical
cyclone to form later today or tonight as the low moves
northeastward along the coasts of South and North Carolina.  After
tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean
and merge with a frontal system.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and gusty winds will spread along the coastal areas of
South and North Carolina today and tonight.  For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local
forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 041455
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1055 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity has increased since yesterday in association with the low
pressure area centered near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.  In
addition, surface observations indicate that the circulation has
become better defined, with winds near 35 mph over water to the
east and south of the center.  While upper-level winds are at best
marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical
cyclone to form later today or tonight as the low moves
northeastward along the coasts of South and North Carolina.  After
tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean
and merge with a frontal system.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and gusty winds will spread along the coastal areas of
South and North Carolina today and tonight.  For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local
forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 041455
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1055 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity has increased since yesterday in association with the low
pressure area centered near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.  In
addition, surface observations indicate that the circulation has
become better defined, with winds near 35 mph over water to the
east and south of the center.  While upper-level winds are at best
marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical
cyclone to form later today or tonight as the low moves
northeastward along the coasts of South and North Carolina.  After
tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean
and merge with a frontal system.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and gusty winds will spread along the coastal areas of
South and North Carolina today and tonight.  For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local
forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTPA24 PHFO 041435
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 148.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 65NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 148.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 148.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 149.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.4N 151.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.4N 153.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 155.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.5N 163.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 28.0N 167.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 148.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA24 PHFO 041435
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 148.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 65NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 148.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 148.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 149.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.4N 151.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.4N 153.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 155.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.5N 163.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 28.0N 167.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 148.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD








000
WTPA34 PHFO 041430
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 148.5W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA34 PHFO 041430
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 148.5W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA34 PHFO 041430
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 148.5W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA34 PHFO 041430
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 148.5W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA34 PHFO 041430
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 148.5W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA34 PHFO 041430
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 148.5W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A SHIFT
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 215 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND AROUND 165 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041211
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
CAROLINA DEL SUR ENTRE MYRTLE BEACH Y CHARLESTON CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. NO SE ESPERA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO
MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION ACELERE HACIA EL NORESTE CERCA DE CAROLINA
DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. EN ADICION...ESTE SISTEMA PUDIERA ESTAR PRODUCIENDO
LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL
SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVAN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041211
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
CAROLINA DEL SUR ENTRE MYRTLE BEACH Y CHARLESTON CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. NO SE ESPERA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO
MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION ACELERE HACIA EL NORESTE CERCA DE CAROLINA
DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. EN ADICION...ESTE SISTEMA PUDIERA ESTAR PRODUCIENDO
LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL
SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041211
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
CAROLINA DEL SUR ENTRE MYRTLE BEACH Y CHARLESTON CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. NO SE ESPERA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO
MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION ACELERE HACIA EL NORESTE CERCA DE CAROLINA
DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. EN ADICION...ESTE SISTEMA PUDIERA ESTAR PRODUCIENDO
LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL
SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041211
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
CAROLINA DEL SUR ENTRE MYRTLE BEACH Y CHARLESTON CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. NO SE ESPERA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO
MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION ACELERE HACIA EL NORESTE CERCA DE CAROLINA
DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. EN ADICION...ESTE SISTEMA PUDIERA ESTAR PRODUCIENDO
LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL
SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVAN


000
ABNT20 KNHC 041157
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

CORRETCED FOR TYPOS

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the South Carolina
coast between Myrtle Beach and Charleston continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds
are not expected to be conducive for development while this low
accelerates northeastward near the South and North Carolina
coasts during the day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.  In addition, this system could produce locally heavy
rains over the coastal area of South and North Carolina.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
WTPA34 PHFO 041148
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 148.0W
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 130 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA34 PHFO 041148
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
200 AM HST TUE AUG 04 2015

...GUILLERMO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 148.0W
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.0 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 130 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SLOW AND
STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD







000
ACPN50 PHFO 041146
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 470 MILES
EAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL




000
ACPN50 PHFO 041146
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE AUG 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 470 MILES
EAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041136
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure system located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula are limited, and the overall organization has
changed little since yesterday.  Nevertheless, environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and
this low is likely to become a tropical depression later this week
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041136
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure system located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula are limited, and the overall organization has
changed little since yesterday.  Nevertheless, environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and
this low is likely to become a tropical depression later this week
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041136
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure system located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula are limited, and the overall organization has
changed little since yesterday.  Nevertheless, environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and
this low is likely to become a tropical depression later this week
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041136
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure system located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula are limited, and the overall organization has
changed little since yesterday.  Nevertheless, environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and
this low is likely to become a tropical depression later this week
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 041135
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure system located along the South Carolina
coast between Myrtle Beach and Charleston continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds
are not expected to be conducive for development while this low
accelerates northeastward near the the South and North Carolina
coasts during the day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.  In addition, this system could produce locally heavy
rains over the coastal area of South and North Carolina.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 041135
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure system located along the South Carolina
coast between Myrtle Beach and Charleston continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds
are not expected to be conducive for development while this low
accelerates northeastward near the the South and North Carolina
coasts during the day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.  In addition, this system could produce locally heavy
rains over the coastal area of South and North Carolina.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
AXNT20 KNHC 041024
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING
UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W. THESE WINDS
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W
ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED OVER N
COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N36W TO 09N37W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 34W TO 39W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
A POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N48W TO 10N48W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN
45W AND 53W. SSMI TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT
SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF 13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST INDICATED
BY METEOSAT IMAGERY. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S OF 13N.
NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N78W TO 10N79W MOVING W
AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 76W AND 81W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 75W AND 82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 11N15W TO 11N35W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 11N39W TO 10N46W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N49W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND 21W...WHICH MAY
ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO EMERGE OFF THE
AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN
200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN 86W AND
93W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL
CUBA AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT
THE SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS
ACROSS S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER
THE S GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL NEAR THE NE GULF COAST
TODAY...ENHANCING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF
THE GULF BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE NEAR THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORT ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N
TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS LOCATED UNDER THE TROUGHING
ALOFT AND EXTENDS FROM 26N76W TO 22N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W. ANOTHER
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLC FROM 31N68W TO 28N70W
SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N53W DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC.
TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 72W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 041024
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING
UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W. THESE WINDS
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W
ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED OVER N
COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N36W TO 09N37W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 34W TO 39W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
A POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N48W TO 10N48W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN
45W AND 53W. SSMI TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT
SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF 13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST INDICATED
BY METEOSAT IMAGERY. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S OF 13N.
NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N78W TO 10N79W MOVING W
AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 76W AND 81W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 75W AND 82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 11N15W TO 11N35W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 11N39W TO 10N46W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N49W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND 21W...WHICH MAY
ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO EMERGE OFF THE
AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN
200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN 86W AND
93W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL
CUBA AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT
THE SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS
ACROSS S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER
THE S GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL NEAR THE NE GULF COAST
TODAY...ENHANCING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF
THE GULF BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE NEAR THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORT ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N
TO 21N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS LOCATED UNDER THE TROUGHING
ALOFT AND EXTENDS FROM 26N76W TO 22N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W. ANOTHER
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLC FROM 31N68W TO 28N70W
SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 35N53W DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC.
TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 72W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041007
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
GEORGIA ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. NO SE
ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL
DESARROLLO MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 041007
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST MARTES 4 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
GEORGIA ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. NO SE
ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL
DESARROLLO MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

&&

LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO SON EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL
DE METEOROLOGIA Y PUEDE ENCONTRARSE BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS DE
NFDHSFAT1 Y BAJO EL TITULO WMO DE FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041000
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 11N121W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION
INTERMITTENTLY FLARING MAINLY OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE WHERE
ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE IN A GENERAL W-NW MOTION OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 09-17N ALONG 104W AND HAS BEEN
PROGRESSING W AT ABOUT 15 KT. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM
12N100W TO 12N108W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE AN ITCZ DEVELOPS NEAR 07N87W AND
CONTINUES WNW TO THE LOW PRES AT 12N121W...THEN CONTINUES SW TO
BEYOND 08N140W.

EXCEPT AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED NEAR THE TROPICAL LOW AND THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED ALONG THE E SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 09N91W TO 12N100W...ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 05-16N
BETWEEN 105-120W...ALONG THE W SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 60 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N128W TO 09N140W...AND WITHIN 30 NM
OF 04.5N140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER
WITHIN 30 NM OF PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AT 15N96W
AND FROM 23-26N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1018 MB SURFACE HIGH IS MEANDERING NEAR 28N129W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 16N105W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW TO THE N OF 28N WITHIN ABOUT 300 NM
OF BAJA THROUGH LATE WED WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 7-
9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW AND MIXING WITH THE LONG PERIOD CROSS
EQUATORIAL SWELL THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE SUBSIDING BELOW 8
FT. SIMILAR NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT
AND WED NIGHT.

$$
NELSON


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041000
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 11N121W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION
INTERMITTENTLY FLARING MAINLY OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE WHERE
ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE IN A GENERAL W-NW MOTION OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 09-17N ALONG 104W AND HAS BEEN
PROGRESSING W AT ABOUT 15 KT. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM
12N100W TO 12N108W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE AN ITCZ DEVELOPS NEAR 07N87W AND
CONTINUES WNW TO THE LOW PRES AT 12N121W...THEN CONTINUES SW TO
BEYOND 08N140W.

EXCEPT AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED NEAR THE TROPICAL LOW AND THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED ALONG THE E SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 09N91W TO 12N100W...ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 05-16N
BETWEEN 105-120W...ALONG THE W SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 60 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N128W TO 09N140W...AND WITHIN 30 NM
OF 04.5N140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER
WITHIN 30 NM OF PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AT 15N96W
AND FROM 23-26N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1018 MB SURFACE HIGH IS MEANDERING NEAR 28N129W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 16N105W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW TO THE N OF 28N WITHIN ABOUT 300 NM
OF BAJA THROUGH LATE WED WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 7-
9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW AND MIXING WITH THE LONG PERIOD CROSS
EQUATORIAL SWELL THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE SUBSIDING BELOW 8
FT. SIMILAR NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT
AND WED NIGHT.

$$
NELSON



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041000
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 11N121W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION
INTERMITTENTLY FLARING MAINLY OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE WHERE
ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE IN A GENERAL W-NW MOTION OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 09-17N ALONG 104W AND HAS BEEN
PROGRESSING W AT ABOUT 15 KT. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM
12N100W TO 12N108W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE AN ITCZ DEVELOPS NEAR 07N87W AND
CONTINUES WNW TO THE LOW PRES AT 12N121W...THEN CONTINUES SW TO
BEYOND 08N140W.

EXCEPT AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED NEAR THE TROPICAL LOW AND THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED ALONG THE E SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 09N91W TO 12N100W...ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 05-16N
BETWEEN 105-120W...ALONG THE W SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 60 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N128W TO 09N140W...AND WITHIN 30 NM
OF 04.5N140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER
WITHIN 30 NM OF PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AT 15N96W
AND FROM 23-26N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1018 MB SURFACE HIGH IS MEANDERING NEAR 28N129W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 16N105W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW TO THE N OF 28N WITHIN ABOUT 300 NM
OF BAJA THROUGH LATE WED WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 7-
9 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW AND MIXING WITH THE LONG PERIOD CROSS
EQUATORIAL SWELL THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE SUBSIDING BELOW 8
FT. SIMILAR NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT
AND WED NIGHT.

$$
NELSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 040930
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 137.8E

THIS IS ABOUT
515 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
525 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
535 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
580 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
590 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
137.8 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 160 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 175 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 040930
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 137.8E

THIS IS ABOUT
515 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
525 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
535 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
580 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
590 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
137.8 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 160 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 175 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 040930
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 137.8E

THIS IS ABOUT
515 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
525 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
535 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
580 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
590 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
137.8 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 160 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 215 MILES IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND 175 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE



000
WTPA24 PHFO 040842
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 147.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 150.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 152.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.2N 154.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.2N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 147.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD




000
WTPA24 PHFO 040842
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 147.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 150.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 152.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.2N 154.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.2N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 147.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD





000
WTPA24 PHFO 040842
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 147.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 150.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 152.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.2N 154.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.2N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 147.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD




000
WTPA24 PHFO 040842
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 147.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 147.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 150.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 152.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.2N 154.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.2N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 147.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040834
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 147.7W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 130 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH SLOW BUT STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040834
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 147.7W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 130 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH SLOW BUT STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040834
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 147.7W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 130 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH SLOW BUT STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040834
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 147.7W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.7 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH A SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 130 MILES NORTH OF MAUI WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH SLOW BUT STEADY WEAKENING ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER JELSEMA/BIRCHARD





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040557
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 147.5W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY...
AND ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD/JELSEMA





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040557
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 147.5W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY...
AND ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD/JELSEMA




000
WTPA34 PHFO 040557
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 147.5W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY...
AND ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD/JELSEMA





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040557
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
800 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 147.5W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.5 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY...
AND ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUI ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD/JELSEMA




000
AXNT20 KNHC 040556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST STARTING AT 0600 UTC THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUING UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND
77W. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N34W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 31W TO 38W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE A THE LEADING EDGE OF A
POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N46W TO 10N45W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W AND 48W. SSMI
TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF
13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N75W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N76W MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 11N34W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N38W TO 10N44W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N48W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND
20W...WHICH MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO
EMERGE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL CUBA
AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT THE
SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS ACROSS
S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE S
GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TODAY...ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF THE GULF
BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N
TO 23N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS N FL AND OVER THE W ATLC TO
77W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS COMBINED WITH
CONVERGENCE FROM A LOW OVER THE ATLC COAST OF GA SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29 TO 31N BETWEEN 79W AND 81.
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO CONFIRM THE
PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM 73W TO 80W. THESE
FEATURES ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CUBA TO 26N BETWEEN 72W AND
80W...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE W ATLC FROM 30N69W TO 27N68W SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 34N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 040556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST STARTING AT 0600 UTC THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUING UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND
77W. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N34W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 31W TO 38W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE A THE LEADING EDGE OF A
POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N46W TO 10N45W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W AND 48W. SSMI
TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF
13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N75W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N76W MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 11N34W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N38W TO 10N44W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N48W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND
20W...WHICH MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO
EMERGE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL CUBA
AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT THE
SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS ACROSS
S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE S
GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TODAY...ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF THE GULF
BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N
TO 23N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS N FL AND OVER THE W ATLC TO
77W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS COMBINED WITH
CONVERGENCE FROM A LOW OVER THE ATLC COAST OF GA SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29 TO 31N BETWEEN 79W AND 81.
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO CONFIRM THE
PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM 73W TO 80W. THESE
FEATURES ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CUBA TO 26N BETWEEN 72W AND
80W...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE W ATLC FROM 30N69W TO 27N68W SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 34N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 040556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST STARTING AT 0600 UTC THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUING UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND
77W. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N34W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 31W TO 38W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE A THE LEADING EDGE OF A
POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N46W TO 10N45W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W AND 48W. SSMI
TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF
13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N75W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N76W MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 11N34W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N38W TO 10N44W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N48W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND
20W...WHICH MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO
EMERGE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL CUBA
AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT THE
SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS ACROSS
S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE S
GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TODAY...ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF THE GULF
BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N
TO 23N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS N FL AND OVER THE W ATLC TO
77W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS COMBINED WITH
CONVERGENCE FROM A LOW OVER THE ATLC COAST OF GA SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29 TO 31N BETWEEN 79W AND 81.
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO CONFIRM THE
PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM 73W TO 80W. THESE
FEATURES ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CUBA TO 26N BETWEEN 72W AND
80W...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE W ATLC FROM 30N69W TO 27N68W SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 34N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 040556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST STARTING AT 0600 UTC THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUING UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND
77W. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N34W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 31W TO 38W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE A THE LEADING EDGE OF A
POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N46W TO 10N45W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W AND 48W. SSMI
TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF
13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N75W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N76W MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 11N34W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N38W TO 10N44W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N48W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND
20W...WHICH MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO
EMERGE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL CUBA
AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT THE
SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS ACROSS
S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE S
GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TODAY...ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF THE GULF
BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N
TO 23N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS N FL AND OVER THE W ATLC TO
77W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS COMBINED WITH
CONVERGENCE FROM A LOW OVER THE ATLC COAST OF GA SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29 TO 31N BETWEEN 79W AND 81.
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO CONFIRM THE
PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM 73W TO 80W. THESE
FEATURES ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CUBA TO 26N BETWEEN 72W AND
80W...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE W ATLC FROM 30N69W TO 27N68W SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 34N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 040556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST STARTING AT 0600 UTC THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUING UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND
77W. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N34W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 31W TO 38W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE A THE LEADING EDGE OF A
POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N46W TO 10N45W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W AND 48W. SSMI
TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF
13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N75W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N76W MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 11N34W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N38W TO 10N44W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N48W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND
20W...WHICH MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO
EMERGE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL CUBA
AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT THE
SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS ACROSS
S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE S
GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TODAY...ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF THE GULF
BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N
TO 23N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS N FL AND OVER THE W ATLC TO
77W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS COMBINED WITH
CONVERGENCE FROM A LOW OVER THE ATLC COAST OF GA SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29 TO 31N BETWEEN 79W AND 81.
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO CONFIRM THE
PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM 73W TO 80W. THESE
FEATURES ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CUBA TO 26N BETWEEN 72W AND
80W...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE W ATLC FROM 30N69W TO 27N68W SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 34N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 040556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST STARTING AT 0600 UTC THIS MORNING
AND CONTINUING UNTIL 1800 UTC FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND
77W. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N34W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
FROM 31W TO 38W. SSMI TPW SHOWS THE WAVE A THE LEADING EDGE OF A
POLEWARD SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N46W TO 10N45W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W AND 48W. SSMI
TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE N OF
13N ALONG WITH SAHARAN DUST. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED S
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N75W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N76W MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. NO DEEP
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 11N34W AND RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N38W TO 10N44W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 10N48W TO S AMERICA NEAR 10N62W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 13W AND
20W...WHICH MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT TO
EMERGE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TX TO THE NW GULF WITH AN AXIS THAT
EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO CENTRAL CUBA
AND SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FL STRAITS. AT THE
SURFACE...A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS AN AXIS ACROSS
S FL AND THE CENTRAL GULF. SE WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE S
GULF. S TO SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT COVER THE N GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN US WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TODAY...ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THAT PORTION OF THE GULF
BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG TRADE
WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE SEE THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATELY
MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N
TO 23N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS
FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS MORNING. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

DRY AIR AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS MORNING AS A TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER TROUGH W OF THE
AREA CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER FROM HISPANIOLA. PRECIPITATION
TODAY WILL BE FROM WEAK SHOWERS IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ISLAND DUE TO TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS N FL AND OVER THE W ATLC TO
77W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS COMBINED WITH
CONVERGENCE FROM A LOW OVER THE ATLC COAST OF GA SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29 TO 31N BETWEEN 79W AND 81.
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO CONFIRM THE
PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM 73W TO 80W. THESE
FEATURES ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CUBA TO 26N BETWEEN 72W AND
80W...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE W ATLC FROM 30N69W TO 27N68W SUPPORTING ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SURFACE RIDGING
ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 34N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE
OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NORTHWARD TO 31N W OF 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO



000
ACPN50 PHFO 040541
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 040541
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 040541
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL




000
ACPN50 PHFO 040541
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040501
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
system located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for continued gradual development, and this system is likely to
become a tropical depression later this week while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040501
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
system located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for continued gradual development, and this system is likely to
become a tropical depression later this week while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 040500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the Georgia coast is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-
level winds are not expected to be conducive for development while
this low moves northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern
United States coast during the next day or so. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 040500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the Georgia coast is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-
level winds are not expected to be conducive for development while
this low moves northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern
United States coast during the next day or so. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N120W MOVING W NW AT 10 KT. LAST VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN AROUND
THE LOW IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH MORE CURVATURE NOTED
IN THE CLOUDS AS THEY COIL INTO THE CENTER. IR IMAGERY SHOWS
DEEP CONVECTION IN THE FORM OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LOW IN THE NW QUADRANT...AND SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PRESENT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180
NM OF THE CENTER IN THE W SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR CONVECTION DEPICTS
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 08N116W TO 10N117W.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE IN GENERAL W-NW MOTION OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. IT HAS A MEDIUM
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES AND LOWS...

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 102W FROM 09N-17N MOVING
W 16 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM E OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-11N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE
WAVE FROM 09N-12N. ASSOCIATED DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ON THE SE
QUADRANT OF AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW AT 16N107W IS HELPING TO
MAINTAIN THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION ACTIVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

ITCZ AXIS BEGINS NEAR 07N92W AND EXTENDS TO 10N100W WHERE IT
BRIEFLY ENDS E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. IT BEGINS AGAIN W OF THE
WAVE NEAR 09N104W...AND CONTINUES TO 10N115W AND FROM 09N123W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-135W AND W OF 138W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N129W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING
SEWD TO NEAR 21N118W. THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 23N110W NWD TO A 1005 MB LOW AT 34N114W. THE PRES GRADIENT
BETWEEN BOTH OF THESE FEATURES IS ALLOWING FOR NW 15-20 KT WINDS
TO EXIST N OF 26N E OF 117W WITH SEAS THERE OF 5-7 FT. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE PRESENT PRES PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND WITH RESPECT TO THE CURRENT SEA STATE.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW SUBSIDED WITH WINDS DOWN TO
15-20 KT MON MORNING. RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND S
SWELL REMAIN FROM 10.5N-11N BETWEEN 88W-90W. GFS MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THE GRADEINT WILL TIGHTEN UP AGAIN BETWEEN ATLC
HIGH PRES RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND BROAD LOW PRES
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA TO INDUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF NE TO E 20-25 KT
GAP WIND FLOW EVENT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT WITH SEAS OF 8-9 FT.
THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT DURING
LATE MORNING OF TUE AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS PULSE
AGAIN TO 20-25 KT LATE TUE NIGHT...AND DIMINISH EARLY WED
AFTERNOON. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL ARE EXPECTED FROM
09N-11N BETWEEN 88W-91W AT THAT TIME.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N120W MOVING W NW AT 10 KT. LAST VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN AROUND
THE LOW IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH MORE CURVATURE NOTED
IN THE CLOUDS AS THEY COIL INTO THE CENTER. IR IMAGERY SHOWS
DEEP CONVECTION IN THE FORM OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LOW IN THE NW QUADRANT...AND SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PRESENT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180
NM OF THE CENTER IN THE W SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR CONVECTION DEPICTS
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 08N116W TO 10N117W.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE IN GENERAL W-NW MOTION OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. IT HAS A MEDIUM
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES AND LOWS...

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 102W FROM 09N-17N MOVING
W 16 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM E OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-11N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE
WAVE FROM 09N-12N. ASSOCIATED DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ON THE SE
QUADRANT OF AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW AT 16N107W IS HELPING TO
MAINTAIN THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION ACTIVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

ITCZ AXIS BEGINS NEAR 07N92W AND EXTENDS TO 10N100W WHERE IT
BRIEFLY ENDS E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. IT BEGINS AGAIN W OF THE
WAVE NEAR 09N104W...AND CONTINUES TO 10N115W AND FROM 09N123W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-135W AND W OF 138W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N129W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING
SEWD TO NEAR 21N118W. THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 23N110W NWD TO A 1005 MB LOW AT 34N114W. THE PRES GRADIENT
BETWEEN BOTH OF THESE FEATURES IS ALLOWING FOR NW 15-20 KT WINDS
TO EXIST N OF 26N E OF 117W WITH SEAS THERE OF 5-7 FT. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE PRESENT PRES PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND WITH RESPECT TO THE CURRENT SEA STATE.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW SUBSIDED WITH WINDS DOWN TO
15-20 KT MON MORNING. RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND S
SWELL REMAIN FROM 10.5N-11N BETWEEN 88W-90W. GFS MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THE GRADEINT WILL TIGHTEN UP AGAIN BETWEEN ATLC
HIGH PRES RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND BROAD LOW PRES
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA TO INDUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF NE TO E 20-25 KT
GAP WIND FLOW EVENT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT WITH SEAS OF 8-9 FT.
THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT DURING
LATE MORNING OF TUE AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS PULSE
AGAIN TO 20-25 KT LATE TUE NIGHT...AND DIMINISH EARLY WED
AFTERNOON. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL ARE EXPECTED FROM
09N-11N BETWEEN 88W-91W AT THAT TIME.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 040259
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:


1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
WTPA34 PHFO 040244
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 147.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND MAUI
COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.4 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH GUILLERMO IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 040244
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 147.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND MAUI
COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.4 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH GUILLERMO IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 040244
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 147.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND MAUI
COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.4 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH GUILLERMO IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA34 PHFO 040244
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO MOVING NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 147.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND MAUI
COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC FOR YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.4 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AND THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE IN
MAUI COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 7 INCHES MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE
POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH GUILLERMO IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA24 PHFO 040243
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC TUE AUG 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HAWAII COUNTY AND MAUI
COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND
  KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUILLERMO. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL
ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 147.4W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE  85SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 147.4W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 147.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.8N 148.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.8N 150.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.6N 152.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.5N 162.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.5N 166.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 147.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPQ31 PGUM 040125
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR MAINTAINING INTENSITY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 139.0E

THIS IS ABOUT
440 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
445 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
455 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
500 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
510 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL
BE LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 139.0 DEGREES EAST. SOUDELOR IS MOVING TO THE WEST-
NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 180 MPH. SOUDELOR IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN FURTHER THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN
WEDNESDAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM
THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145
MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

WILLIAMS



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 032351
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
GEORGIA ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL SURESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL NORTE DE FLORIDA. NO
SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL
DESARROLLO MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 032351
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
GEORGIA ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL SURESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL NORTE DE FLORIDA. NO
SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL
DESARROLLO MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 032351
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
GEORGIA ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL SURESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL NORTE DE FLORIDA. NO
SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL
DESARROLLO MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 032351
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
GEORGIA ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL SURESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL NORTE DE FLORIDA. NO
SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL
DESARROLLO MIENTRAS LA BAJA PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRONOSTICOS DE OLEAJE ALTO EMITIDOS POR EL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 032338
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W FROM 04/0600 UTC TO 04/1800 UTC. THESE
WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1006 MB LOW CENTERED OVER N
COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N33W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT 10 KT. CURRENT MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS A 700 MB TROUGHING ALONG 35W. DESPITE THE FACT
THAT THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN HIGH MOISTURE MAINLY S OF 13N...
LITTLE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WAVE DUE TO A BROAD SAHARAN DUST
AIRMASS THAT PREVAILS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC INHIBITING
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
HOWEVER FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 44W-46W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N44W TO 10N44W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 35W AND 45W. TPW IMAGERY
SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE WITH SAHARAN DUST
ALSO PREVAILING. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N74W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N75W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INVERTED
V CLOUD PATTERN S OF HISPANIOLA. NO CONVECTION IS NOTED AT THIS
TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 12N320W TO 14N27W TO 13N33W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N47W TO 10N60W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W
AFRICA FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 10W-17W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER SE GEORGIA NEAR
31N81.5W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW TO THE NE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 27N86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER N FLORIDA AND THE NE GULF FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 80W-86W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE NW GULF FROM 29N91W TO 28N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-30N
BETWEEN 90W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED OVER S
FLORIDA, W CUBA, AND THE WESTERN HALF OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE SW GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 30N93W.
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS OVER N FLORIDA ENHANCING CONVECTION.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. SEE ABOVE.
FRESH TO STRONG TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE
ABOVE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CUBA...AND OVER WESTERN JAMAICA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED W OF JAMAICA NEAR
18N79W ENHANCING CONVECTION. SOUTHERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES MOVING W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE ISLAND WITH AXIS CURRENTLY ALONG
75W. A SAHARAN AIRMASS PREVAILS BEHIND THIS WAVE THEREFORE...
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1010 MB SURFACE LOW WILL SOON EXIT SE GEORGIA AND MOVE NE INTO
THE ATLANTIC WITH CONVECTION. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W
ATLANTIC FROM 29N65W TO 26N71W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 65W-70W. A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 34N55W PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER. A BROAD
AREA OF SAHARAN DUST CONTINUES TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
ACROSS MOST OF THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE N FL COAST.
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH AS
IT MOVES NW OVER THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 032338
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W FROM 04/0600 UTC TO 04/1800 UTC. THESE
WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE 1006 MB LOW CENTERED OVER N
COLOMBIA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N33W TO 10N35W MOVING W AT 10 KT. CURRENT MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS A 700 MB TROUGHING ALONG 35W. DESPITE THE FACT
THAT THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN HIGH MOISTURE MAINLY S OF 13N...
LITTLE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WAVE DUE TO A BROAD SAHARAN DUST
AIRMASS THAT PREVAILS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC INHIBITING
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
HOWEVER FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 44W-46W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N44W TO 10N44W...MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 35W AND 45W. TPW IMAGERY
SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE WITH SAHARAN DUST
ALSO PREVAILING. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT 20N74W TO N COLOMBIA AT
10N75W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INVERTED
V CLOUD PATTERN S OF HISPANIOLA. NO CONVECTION IS NOTED AT THIS
TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 12N16W TO 12N320W TO 14N27W TO 13N33W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N47W TO 10N60W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W
AFRICA FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 10W-17W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER SE GEORGIA NEAR
31N81.5W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW TO THE NE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 27N86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER N FLORIDA AND THE NE GULF FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 80W-86W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE NW GULF FROM 29N91W TO 28N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-30N
BETWEEN 90W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED OVER S
FLORIDA, W CUBA, AND THE WESTERN HALF OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE SW GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 30N93W.
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS OVER N FLORIDA ENHANCING CONVECTION.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A DEVELOPING GALE IS OVER THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. SEE ABOVE.
FRESH TO STRONG TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE
ABOVE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CUBA...AND OVER WESTERN JAMAICA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED W OF JAMAICA NEAR
18N79W ENHANCING CONVECTION. SOUTHERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES MOVING W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE ISLAND WITH AXIS CURRENTLY ALONG
75W. A SAHARAN AIRMASS PREVAILS BEHIND THIS WAVE THEREFORE...
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1010 MB SURFACE LOW WILL SOON EXIT SE GEORGIA AND MOVE NE INTO
THE ATLANTIC WITH CONVECTION. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W
ATLANTIC FROM 29N65W TO 26N71W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 65W-70W. A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 34N55W PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER. A BROAD
AREA OF SAHARAN DUST CONTINUES TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
ACROSS MOST OF THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE N FL COAST.
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH AS
IT MOVES NW OVER THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 032334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure
system located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for continued
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
depression later this week while it moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 032334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure
system located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for continued
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
depression later this week while it moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 032334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure
system located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for continued
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
depression later this week while it moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeastern Georgia and northern Florida. Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves
northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern United States
coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeastern Georgia and northern Florida. Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves
northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern United States
coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeastern Georgia and northern Florida. Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves
northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern United States
coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeastern Georgia and northern Florida. Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves
northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern United States
coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeastern Georgia and northern Florida. Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves
northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern United States
coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeastern Georgia and northern Florida. Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for development while this low moves
northeastward at about 10 mph near the southeastern United States
coast during the next day or so. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 032205
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES AND LOWS...

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 101W FROM 09N-17N MOVING
W 16 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM E OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-15N. THE WAVE IS LOCATED TO
THE E OF AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW SITUATED NEAR 16N106W.
ASSOCIATED DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ON THE SE QUADRANT OF THE LOW IS
HELPING TO MAINTAIN THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION ACTIVE.

THE TROPICAL WAVE OF THE PREVIOUS DAYS THAT WAS TO THE W OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED ONE HAS DEVELOPED INTO A 1006 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM
ANALYZED NEAR 11N119W MOVING W ABOUT 12 KT. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS CURVED LOW CLOUD LINES CURLING INTO THE LOW
CENTER. IN ADDITION...VERY DEEP CONVECTION CONSISTING OF THE
SCATTERED STRONG TYPE INTENSITY IS INCREASING OVER AND WITHIN
120 NM OF THE LOW CENTER WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NUMEROUS TYPE
CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW
QUADRANT. MODEL GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF...SUGGEST THAT
THE LOW WILL MOVE IN A GENERAL W-NW DIRECTION THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOUR WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
IT TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

ITCZ AXIS BEGINS NEAR 07N92W AND EXTENDS TO 09N99W WHERE IT
BRIEFLY ENDS E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. IT BEGINS AGAIN W OF THE
WAVE NEAR 10N103W...AND CONTINUES TO 09N111W TO THE ABOVE
MENTIONED LOW PRES NEAR 11N119W...THEN TO 07N130W TO 08N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-109W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM 22N-25N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING
SEWD TO NEAR 21N118W. THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 23N110W NWD TO A 1005 MB LOW AT 34N114W. THE PRES GRADIENT
BETWEEN BOTH OF THESE FEATURES IS ALLOWING FOR NW 15-20 KT WINDS
TO EXIST N OF 26N E OF 117W WITH SEAS THERE OF 5-7 FT. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE PRESENT PRES PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND WITH RESPECT TO THE CURRENT SEA STATE.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW SUBSIDED WITH WINDS DOWN TO
15-20 KT EARLIER TODAY. RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND S
SWELL REMAIN FROM 10.5N-11N BETWEEN 88W-90W. GFS MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THE GRADEINT WILL TIGHTEN UP AGAIN BETWEEN ATLC
HIGH PRES RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND BROAD LOW PRES
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA TO INDUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF NE TO E 20-25 KT
GAP WIND FLOW EVENT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT WITH SEAS OF 8-9 FT.
THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT DURING
LATE MORNING OF TUE AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS PULSE
AGAIN TO 20-25 KT LATE TUE NIGHT...AND DIMINISH EARLY WED
AFTERNOON. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL ARE EXPECTED FROM
09N-11N BETWEEN 88W-91W AT THAT TIME.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 032205
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES AND LOWS...

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 101W FROM 09N-17N MOVING
W 16 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM E OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-15N. THE WAVE IS LOCATED TO
THE E OF AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW SITUATED NEAR 16N106W.
ASSOCIATED DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ON THE SE QUADRANT OF THE LOW IS
HELPING TO MAINTAIN THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION ACTIVE.

THE TROPICAL WAVE OF THE PREVIOUS DAYS THAT WAS TO THE W OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED ONE HAS DEVELOPED INTO A 1006 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM
ANALYZED NEAR 11N119W MOVING W ABOUT 12 KT. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS CURVED LOW CLOUD LINES CURLING INTO THE LOW
CENTER. IN ADDITION...VERY DEEP CONVECTION CONSISTING OF THE
SCATTERED STRONG TYPE INTENSITY IS INCREASING OVER AND WITHIN
120 NM OF THE LOW CENTER WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NUMEROUS TYPE
CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW
QUADRANT. MODEL GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF...SUGGEST THAT
THE LOW WILL MOVE IN A GENERAL W-NW DIRECTION THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOUR WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
IT TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

ITCZ AXIS BEGINS NEAR 07N92W AND EXTENDS TO 09N99W WHERE IT
BRIEFLY ENDS E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. IT BEGINS AGAIN W OF THE
WAVE NEAR 10N103W...AND CONTINUES TO 09N111W TO THE ABOVE
MENTIONED LOW PRES NEAR 11N119W...THEN TO 07N130W TO 08N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-109W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM 22N-25N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING
SEWD TO NEAR 21N118W. THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 23N110W NWD TO A 1005 MB LOW AT 34N114W. THE PRES GRADIENT
BETWEEN BOTH OF THESE FEATURES IS ALLOWING FOR NW 15-20 KT WINDS
TO EXIST N OF 26N E OF 117W WITH SEAS THERE OF 5-7 FT. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE PRESENT PRES PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND WITH RESPECT TO THE CURRENT SEA STATE.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW SUBSIDED WITH WINDS DOWN TO
15-20 KT EARLIER TODAY. RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND S
SWELL REMAIN FROM 10.5N-11N BETWEEN 88W-90W. GFS MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THE GRADEINT WILL TIGHTEN UP AGAIN BETWEEN ATLC
HIGH PRES RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND BROAD LOW PRES
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA TO INDUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF NE TO E 20-25 KT
GAP WIND FLOW EVENT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT WITH SEAS OF 8-9 FT.
THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT DURING
LATE MORNING OF TUE AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS PULSE
AGAIN TO 20-25 KT LATE TUE NIGHT...AND DIMINISH EARLY WED
AFTERNOON. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL ARE EXPECTED FROM
09N-11N BETWEEN 88W-91W AT THAT TIME.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 032142
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR INTENSIFIES FURTHER TO 180 MPH...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 140.1E

THIS IS ABOUT
370 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
375 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
380 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
425 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
440 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
140.1 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED FURTHER TO 180 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER TODAY THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN
WEDNESDAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM
THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 032142
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR INTENSIFIES FURTHER TO 180 MPH...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 140.1E

THIS IS ABOUT
370 MILES WEST OF AGRIHAN
375 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
380 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
425 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
440 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
140.1 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED FURTHER TO 180 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER TODAY THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN
WEDNESDAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM
THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPA34 PHFO 032044
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 146.8W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.8 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 150 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA24 PHFO 032044
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
2100 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 146.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE  85SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 190SE 220SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 146.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 146.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.2N 148.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.1N 149.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 151.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.9N 153.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.9N 157.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 25.0N 161.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.0N 165.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 146.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPA34 PHFO 032044
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 146.8W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.8 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 150 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031931
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO UN AREA GRANDE DE ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y
EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA
COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA
PRODUZCA LLUVIAS FUERTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL
NORESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA
LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS
POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031931
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO UN AREA GRANDE DE ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y
EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA
COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA
PRODUZCA LLUVIAS FUERTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL
NORESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA
LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS
POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031931
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO UN AREA GRANDE DE ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y
EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA
COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA
PRODUZCA LLUVIAS FUERTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL
NORESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA
LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS
POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031931
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO UN AREA GRANDE DE ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y
EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA
COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA
PRODUZCA LLUVIAS FUERTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL
NORESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA
LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS
POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031931
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO UN AREA GRANDE DE ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y
EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA
COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA
PRODUZCA LLUVIAS FUERTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL
NORESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA
LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS
POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031931
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO UN AREA GRANDE DE ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y
EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO A MEDIDA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH CERCA DE LA
COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA
PRODUZCA LLUVIAS FUERTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL
NORESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA
LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS
POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 031800
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON T.S. GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES
AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 665 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$
DONALDSON





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that the circulation associated with the
low pressure system located about 1000 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is slowly becoming
better defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for continued gradual development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression later this week while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that the circulation associated with the
low pressure system located about 1000 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is slowly becoming
better defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for continued gradual development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression later this week while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 031736
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over northeastern Florida
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms across portions of central Florida and the eastern
Gulf of Mexico.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development as this low moves northeastward at about 10 mph near
the southeastern United States coast during the next day or so.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to continue to
produce heavy rainfall and flooding across portions of central and
northeastern Florida through tonight. For additional information on
rainfall associated with this system, refer to products from your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 031736
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over northeastern Florida
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms across portions of central Florida and the eastern
Gulf of Mexico.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development as this low moves northeastward at about 10 mph near
the southeastern United States coast during the next day or so.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to continue to
produce heavy rainfall and flooding across portions of central and
northeastern Florida through tonight. For additional information on
rainfall associated with this system, refer to products from your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
AXNT20 KNHC 031725
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL 1800 UTC THIS AFTERNOON. THESE
WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH
AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N35W TO 10N35W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A 700 MB
TROUGHING ALONG 35W. DESPITE THE FACT THAT THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
IN HIGH MOISTURE MAINLY S OF 13N...NO CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED
TO THIS FEATURE DUE TO A BROAD SAHARAN DUST AIRMASS THAT
PREVAILS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N45W TO 10N46W...MOVING W AT AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE
COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 35W AND 45W. TPW IMAGERY
SHOWS A DRY ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING THIS WAVE AND WITH SAHARAN
DUST ALSO PREVAILING...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING
AT THIS TIME ACROSS THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING ACROSS HISPANIOLA FROM 20N71W TO 13N72W...MOVING W AT
15 TO 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700
MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W AND 80W AND VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS
FAIRLY CLEAR THE CHARACTERISTIC INVERTED V S OF HISPANIOLA. NO
CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 18N16W TO 14N31W...THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 12N37W TO 12N45W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N48W TO 11N60W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 07N-14N
AND W OF 23W AND FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER NW MEXICO AND EXTENDS E
ACROSS THE BASIN. WITH THIS...UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE PREVAILS
ALONG THE GULF STATES COAST SUPPORTING CONVECTION N OF 28N. AT
THE SURFACE...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
30N83W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO NEAR
26N87W. THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE...AND THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
SUPPORTS NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE BASIN MAINLY E OF 87W. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
CONTINUES CONVECTION FREE WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT PREVAILS
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC EXTENDING W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. A
GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS OBSERVED IN
SCATTEROMETER DATA ACROSS THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH AND
EAST GULF AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES IN THE VICINITY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 21N76W WITH
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT COVERING THE WHOLE BASIN. TPW IMAGERY
DEPICTS A MOIST ENVIRONMENT PREVAILING OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN THAT COMBINED WITH THIS UPPER LOW...ARE ENHANCING
CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE W CARIBBEAN MAINLY N OF 18N AND W OF 75W. TO THE E...A
TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING OVER HISPANIOLA AHEAD OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS THAT CONTINUES INHIBITING CONVECTION ACROSS THE E
CARIBBEAN MAINLY E OF 72W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN WITH HIGHER SPEEDS S OF 14N
BETWEEN 74W-77W. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUES MOVING W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE ISLAND WITH AXIS CURRENTLY
ALONG 71W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE
CONTINUES MOVING W. A SAHARAN AIRMASS PREVAILS BEHIND THIS WAVE
THEREFORE...DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AFTER THE WAVE
MOVES THROUGH.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS MOVING NE ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA. A
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE NW ATLANTIC
SUPPORTING CONVECTION N OF 32N. TO THE E...A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 24N71W TO 29N66W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 67W-72W. A SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB SURFACE
HIGH NEAR 33N55W AND A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N18W. A
BROAD AREA OF SAHARAN DUST CONTINUES TO INHIBIT ANY SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE N FL COAST AS THE
SURFACE LOW CONTINUES IN THE VICINITY. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS
ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES NW OVER THE W
ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031512
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SOUDELOR NOW A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 141.2E

THIS IS ABOUT
305 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
305 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
310 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
350 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
375 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
141.2 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 155 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
FORECAST TO FURTHER INTENSIFY TODAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031512
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SOUDELOR NOW A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 141.2E

THIS IS ABOUT
305 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
305 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
310 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
350 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
375 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
141.2 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 155 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
FORECAST TO FURTHER INTENSIFY TODAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031512
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SOUDELOR NOW A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 141.2E

THIS IS ABOUT
305 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
305 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
310 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
350 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
375 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
141.2 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 155 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
FORECAST TO FURTHER INTENSIFY TODAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031512
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST TUE AUG 4 2015

...SOUDELOR NOW A SUPER TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 141.2E

THIS IS ABOUT
305 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
305 MILES WEST OF PAGAN
310 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
350 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
375 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
141.2 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 155 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
FORECAST TO FURTHER INTENSIFY TODAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031449
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.

...TROPICAL LOWS AND WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED ALONG 99W/100W N OF 10N TO INLAND OVER
MEXICO MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 98W-
106W. THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LOW TO THE W
OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 11N118W AT 1007
MB. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM
5N-16N BETWEEN 115W-126W. THE CONVECTION IS SLIGHTLY BETTER
ORGANIZED TODAY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT TRACKS W-NW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 7N91W ALONG 8N103W TO THE 1007 MB LOW NEAR
11N118W THEN ALONG 8N128W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N E OF 86W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA...
FROM ITCZ TO 11N BETWEEN 100W-107W...FROM ITCZ TO 14N BETWEEN
107W-112W...AND FROM 4N-12N W OF 130W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM
OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM 22N-25N.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS SUBSIDED WITH WINDS 20
KT OR LESS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER SEAS TO 8 FT ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO SHIFT W THROUGH TONIGHT WHEN THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AGAIN TO 20-25 KT THROUGH LATE MORNING ON TUE. SEAS
WILL BUILD TO 9 FT THEN AGAIN SHIFT W TUE. THIS EVENT WILL
REPEAT AGAIN ON TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS THROUGH 32N140W TO 23N118W. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA TROUGH WILL
SUPPORT NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF BAJA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
PAW



000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 146.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 146.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 146.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 146.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 146.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST MON AUG 03 2015

...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 146.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST.
GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON






000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 190SE 220SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 145.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.2N 147.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N 148.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.7N 150.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.6N 152.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.4N 155.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.1N 159.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 164.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 146.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 190SE 220SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 145.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.2N 147.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N 148.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.7N 150.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.6N 152.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.4N 155.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.1N 159.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 164.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 146.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 190SE 220SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 146.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 145.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.2N 147.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N 148.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.7N 150.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.6N 152.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.4N 155.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.1N 159.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 164.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 146.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/HOUSTON








000
ACPN50 PHFO 031151
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031151
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031151
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031151
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031151
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031151
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

KINEL




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORTE CENTRAL DE
FLORIDA CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y
TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y EL NORESTE
DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO YA QUE LA BAJA PRESION SE
MOVERA HACIA EL NORESTE ENTRE 5 Y 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. INDEPENDIENTEMENTE
DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE A
TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA HOY. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL
DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN/BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORTE CENTRAL DE
FLORIDA CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y
TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y EL NORESTE
DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO YA QUE LA BAJA PRESION SE
MOVERA HACIA EL NORESTE ENTRE 5 Y 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. INDEPENDIENTEMENTE
DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE A
TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA HOY. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL
DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN/BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORTE CENTRAL DE
FLORIDA CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y
TRONADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE FLORIDA Y EL NORESTE
DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO YA QUE LA BAJA PRESION SE
MOVERA HACIA EL NORESTE ENTRE 5 Y 10 MPH CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. INDEPENDIENTEMENTE
DEL DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE A
TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y EL NORESTE DE FLORIDA HOY. PARA
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE LA LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE
SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL
DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN/BROWN


000
ABNT20 KNHC 031130
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over north-central Florida
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms across
portions of central Florida and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development
as this low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph near the
southeastern United States coast during the next couple of days.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce
heavy rainfall across portions of central and northeastern Florida
today. For additional information on rainfall associated with this
system, refer to products from your local National Weather Service
forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain/Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 031130
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over north-central Florida
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms across
portions of central Florida and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development
as this low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph near the
southeastern United States coast during the next couple of days.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce
heavy rainfall across portions of central and northeastern Florida
today. For additional information on rainfall associated with this
system, refer to products from your local National Weather Service
forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain/Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 031130
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over north-central Florida
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms across
portions of central Florida and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development
as this low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph near the
southeastern United States coast during the next couple of days.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce
heavy rainfall across portions of central and northeastern Florida
today. For additional information on rainfall associated with this
system, refer to products from your local National Weather Service
forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain/Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031130
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have increased some in organization since
yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
continued gradual development of this system over the next few days
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031130
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and showers associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have increased some in organization since
yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
continued gradual development of this system over the next few days
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
AXNT20 KNHC 031014
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W UNTIL 1800 UTC THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER
SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N33W TO 09N33W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN HIGH MOISTURE S OF 13N.
ENHANCED METEOSAT IMAGERY INDICATES SAHARAN DUST INTRUSION N OF
13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 30W
AND 36W.

A TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN INTRODUCED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC IN THE
VICINITY OF A LOW THAT HAD BEEN ANALYZED IN PREVIOUS DAYS...AND
EXTENDS FROM 20N42W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 39W AND
46W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N71W TO 12N71W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A RELATIVELY DRY
ENVIRONMENT WITH A SMALL AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE N OF 16N
ALONG THE WAVE. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB
TROUGH BETWEEN 68W AND 73W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
17N TO 19N BETWEEN 67W AND 76W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 16N16W TO 12N31W...THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N35W TO 11N50W...WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES TO 10N59W. OTHER THAN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO
12N BETWEEN 36W AND 39W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 28N94W
WITH AN AXIS THAT EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THIS IS PROVIDING A
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N83W ALONG THE BIG BEND
OF FL WITH A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO NEAR
26N88W. THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...CONVERGENCE WITH THE
LOW AND TROUGH...AND THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS
ALOFT SUPPORTS CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM
26N TO 30N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. A MOIST AIRMASS EXTENDS WEST
FROM THE LOW TO THE TX COAST...AND ALSO S ACROSS MUCH OF THE SE
GULF. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACROSS
THE N GULF N OF 27N W OF 85W...AND E OF 89W S OF 26N. A WEAK
1015 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N83W SUPPORTING GENTLE
ANTICYCLONIC WINDS OVER THE S GULF. GENTLE TO MODERATE MAINLY SW
TO W WINDS COVER THE N GULF. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TODAY AND THE NE GULF THROUGH TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 22N77W WITH CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT COVERING MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN. THE INTERACTION OF A
MOIST AIRMASS WITH THE UPPER LOW SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 81W AND 86W. A TROPICAL WAVE
IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN PRODUCING CONVECTION N OF 17N.
PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
PRESSURE OVER S AMERICA WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER A
PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL BECOME ENHANCED
ON TUESDAY OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY
OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTERACTS WITH A MOIST AIRMASS.

...HISPANIOLA...
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER
HAITI AS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES W ACROSS
THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. A MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 22N77W AND IS
INTERACTING WITH A MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORT ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 24N TO 27N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W. A SURFACE TROUGH
IS OVER THE W ATLC FROM 26N67W TO 22N70W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
FARTHER EAST...A 1024 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N55W DOMINATES THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC WITH FAIR WEATHER. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
EXPECT CONVECTION FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO THE N FL COAST
INCLUDING NEARBY OFFSHORE WATERS...AND ALSO NEAR THE SURFACE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES NW OVER THE W ATLC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031006 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031006 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031006 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031006 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031006 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031006 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030955
TCPPQ1

ZCZC WRKTCPPQ1 ALL
TTAA00 KWRK 030940

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN
!--NOT SENT--!


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030955
TCPPQ1

ZCZC WRKTCPPQ1 ALL
TTAA00 KWRK 030940

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 142.3E

THIS IS ABOUT
240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
240 MILES WEST OF ALAMAGAN
250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
300 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3
DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR
IS FORECAST TO RESUME A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY MORNING.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM LATE TONIGHT.

$$

CHAN
!--NOT SENT--!



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030947
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL LOWS AND WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 10-18N ALONG 97-98W AND HAS
BEEN PROGRESSING W AT ABOUT 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED TO THE S OF 13N WITHIN 150 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS FORMED NEAR 11.5N118W ALONG A TROPICAL
WAVE AND IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N115.5W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 06-15N
BETWEEN 111-122W. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED BUT OCEANIC AND
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME FAVORABLE IN ABOUT
3 DAYS FOR THIS LOW TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT
TRACKS WNW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE AN ITCZ DEVELOPS NEAR 07N87W AND
CONTINUES WNW TO A NEWLY FORMED LOW PRESSURE AT 11.5N118W...
THEN THE ITCZ TURNS SW TO 08N129W...THEN W TO BEYOND 09N140W.
EXCEPT AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED NEAR THE TROPICAL WAVE AND
TROPICAL LOW...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 08-14N BETWEEN 101-111W...AND ALONG THE
W SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
05N130W TO 13N140W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER
WITHIN 120 NM OF PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM 20-25N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1018 MB SURFACE HIGH IS MEANDERING NEAR 29N129W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 19N111W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF BAJA THROUGH
LATE TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 5-
7 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW AND MIXING WITH THE LONG PERIOD CROSS
EQUATORIAL SWELL. THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS THE WATERS FROM 10-12N BETWEEN 86-
89W WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. THE EVENT WILL REPEAT AGAIN ON
TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING.

$$
NELSON



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030947
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL LOWS AND WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 10-18N ALONG 97-98W AND HAS
BEEN PROGRESSING W AT ABOUT 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED TO THE S OF 13N WITHIN 150 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS FORMED NEAR 11.5N118W ALONG A TROPICAL
WAVE AND IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N115.5W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 06-15N
BETWEEN 111-122W. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED BUT OCEANIC AND
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME FAVORABLE IN ABOUT
3 DAYS FOR THIS LOW TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT
TRACKS WNW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE AN ITCZ DEVELOPS NEAR 07N87W AND
CONTINUES WNW TO A NEWLY FORMED LOW PRESSURE AT 11.5N118W...
THEN THE ITCZ TURNS SW TO 08N129W...THEN W TO BEYOND 09N140W.
EXCEPT AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED NEAR THE TROPICAL WAVE AND
TROPICAL LOW...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 08-14N BETWEEN 101-111W...AND ALONG THE
W SEGMENT OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
05N130W TO 13N140W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER
WITHIN 120 NM OF PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM 20-25N.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1018 MB SURFACE HIGH IS MEANDERING NEAR 29N129W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 19N111W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF BAJA THROUGH
LATE TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
20-25 KT THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 5-
7 FT SEAS PROPAGATING W-SW AND MIXING WITH THE LONG PERIOD CROSS
EQUATORIAL SWELL. THE DRAINAGE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS THE WATERS FROM 10-12N BETWEEN 86-
89W WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. THE EVENT WILL REPEAT AGAIN ON
TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING.

$$
NELSON


000
WTPA34 PHFO 030845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 145.4W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.4 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A
SLIGHT SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130
MILES...215 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 030845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 145.4W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.4 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A
SLIGHT SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130
MILES...215 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 030845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 145.4W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.4 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A
SLIGHT SHIFT TOWARD THE WEST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130
MILES...215 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 030830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......115NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 270SW 310NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 145.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 149.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N 151.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.6N 158.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.5N 163.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 145.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON










000
WTPA24 PHFO 030830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......115NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 270SW 310NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 145.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 149.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N 151.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.6N 158.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.5N 163.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 145.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON









000
WTPA24 PHFO 030830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......115NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 270SW 310NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 145.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 149.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N 151.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.6N 158.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.5N 163.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 145.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON









000
WTPA24 PHFO 030830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0900 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......115NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 270SW 310NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 145.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 145.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 149.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N 151.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.6N 158.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.5N 163.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 145.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON










000
AXNT20 KNHC 030558
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEGINNING AT 0600 UTC ALONG THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...LASTING
UNTIL 1800 UTC THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE
AND THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH
SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 16N31W TO 09N32W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN HIGH MOISTURE S OF 13N.
ENHANCED METEOSAT IMAGERY INDICATES SAHARAN DUST INTRUSION N OF
13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 30W
AND 36W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N69W TO 09N69W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A RELATIVELY DRY
ENVIRONMENT WITH A SMALL AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE N OF 16N
ALONG THE WAVE. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB
TROUGH BETWEEN 67W AND 71W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
17N TO 19N BETWEEN 65W AND 74W.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE MEXICO GULF COAST NEAR 19N95W
TO THE E PACIFIC...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. MODERATE MOISTURE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 92W AND
97W.


...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 16N16W TO 12N30W...THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N34W TO 11N50W...WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES TO 10N59W. OTHER THAN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 36W AND 42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 28N94W
WITH AN AXIS THAT EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THIS IS PROVIDING A
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N83W ALONG THE BIG BEND
OF FL WITH A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO NEAR
28N87W. THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...CONVERGENCE WITH THE
LOW AND TROUGH...AND THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS
ALOFT SUPPORTS CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM
26N TO 30N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. A MOIST AIRMASS EXTENDS WEST
FROM THE LOW TO THE TX COAST...AND ALSO S ACROSS THE FL STRAITS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACROSS THE N
GULF N OF 27N W OF 87W...AND ACROSS THE FL STRAITS. A WEAK 1015
MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N84W SUPPORTING GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS OVER THE S GULF. GENTLE TO MODERATE SW TO W WINDS COVER
THE N GULF. THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE
SW GULF. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH TODAY AND THE NE GULF THROUGH TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 22N77W WITH CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT COVERING MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN. THE INTERACTION OF A
MOIST AIRMASS WITH THE UPPER LOW SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 75W AND 86W...INCLUDING
CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
PRESSURE OVER S AMERICA WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER A
PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN STARTING THIS MORNING. PLEASE
REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. MODERATE
TO FRESH TRADE WINDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL BECOME ENHANCED ON TUESDAY OVER THE W
CARIBBEAN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN INTERACTS WITH A MOIST AIRMASS.

...HISPANIOLA...
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER
HAITI AS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES W ACROSS
THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. A MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 22N77W AND IS
INTERACTING WITH A MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W. A PAIR OF
SURFACE TROUGHS ARE OVER THE W ATLC FROM 29N68W TO 25N71W...AND
FROM 26N66W TO 22N67W...RESPECTIVELY. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 65W AND 71W. FARTHER
EAST...A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N56W DOMINATES THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC WITH FAIR WEATHER. A TROPICAL WAVE
IS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO THE N FL COAST INCLUDING
NEARBY OFFSHORE WATERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 030558
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEGINNING AT 0600 UTC ALONG THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...LASTING
UNTIL 1800 UTC THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE
AND THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH
SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 16N31W TO 09N32W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10 KT OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN HIGH MOISTURE S OF 13N.
ENHANCED METEOSAT IMAGERY INDICATES SAHARAN DUST INTRUSION N OF
13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 30W
AND 36W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AN AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 19N69W TO 09N69W...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A RELATIVELY DRY
ENVIRONMENT WITH A SMALL AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE N OF 16N
ALONG THE WAVE. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH AN INVERTED 700 MB
TROUGH BETWEEN 67W AND 71W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
17N TO 19N BETWEEN 65W AND 74W.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE MEXICO GULF COAST NEAR 19N95W
TO THE E PACIFIC...MOVING W AT 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. MODERATE MOISTURE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 92W AND
97W.


...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 16N16W TO 12N30W...THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N34W TO 11N50W...WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES TO 10N59W. OTHER THAN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 36W AND 42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 28N94W
WITH AN AXIS THAT EXTENDS E ACROSS N FL. THIS IS PROVIDING A
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N83W ALONG THE BIG BEND
OF FL WITH A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO NEAR
28N87W. THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...CONVERGENCE WITH THE
LOW AND TROUGH...AND THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS
ALOFT SUPPORTS CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM
26N TO 30N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. A MOIST AIRMASS EXTENDS WEST
FROM THE LOW TO THE TX COAST...AND ALSO S ACROSS THE FL STRAITS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACROSS THE N
GULF N OF 27N W OF 87W...AND ACROSS THE FL STRAITS. A WEAK 1015
MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N84W SUPPORTING GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS OVER THE S GULF. GENTLE TO MODERATE SW TO W WINDS COVER
THE N GULF. THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE
SW GULF. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH TODAY AND THE NE GULF THROUGH TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 22N77W WITH CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT COVERING MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN. THE INTERACTION OF A
MOIST AIRMASS WITH THE UPPER LOW SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 75W AND 86W...INCLUDING
CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN W ATLC HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
PRESSURE OVER S AMERICA WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER A
PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN STARTING THIS MORNING. PLEASE
REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. MODERATE
TO FRESH TRADE WINDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL BECOME ENHANCED ON TUESDAY OVER THE W
CARIBBEAN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN INTERACTS WITH A MOIST AIRMASS.

...HISPANIOLA...
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER
HAITI AS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES W ACROSS
THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. A MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 22N77W AND IS
INTERACTING WITH A MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W. A PAIR OF
SURFACE TROUGHS ARE OVER THE W ATLC FROM 29N68W TO 25N71W...AND
FROM 26N66W TO 22N67W...RESPECTIVELY. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 65W AND 71W. FARTHER
EAST...A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N56W DOMINATES THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN SUBTROPICAL ATLC WITH FAIR WEATHER. A TROPICAL WAVE
IS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO THE N FL COAST INCLUDING
NEARBY OFFSHORE WATERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO



000
ACPN50 PHFO 030532
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1245 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL




000
ACPN50 PHFO 030532
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1245 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL




000
ACPN50 PHFO 030532
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANT OF POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15
MILES AN HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1245 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN
HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

KINEL





000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030504
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030504
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030504
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030504
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
ABNT20 KNHC 030501
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of the Florida
Big Bend continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity across portions of northern Florida and the extreme
northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to
be conducive for development as this low begins to move
northeastward at 5 to 10 mph across north Florida and near the
southeastern United States coast during the next few days.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of northern Florida today. For additional
information on rainfall associated with this system, refer to
products from your local National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 030501
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of the Florida
Big Bend continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity across portions of northern Florida and the extreme
northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to
be conducive for development as this low begins to move
northeastward at 5 to 10 mph across north Florida and near the
southeastern United States coast during the next few days.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of northern Florida today. For additional
information on rainfall associated with this system, refer to
products from your local National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 030500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with
an area of low pressure located about 1000 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for continued gradual
development of this system over the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030410
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W)ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030410
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W)ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030410
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W)ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030410
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W)ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 PM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 143.5E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
200 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.5 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 130 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030258
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W S OF 18N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 96W AND
99W.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W S OF 15N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 114W
AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 11N
BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 118W AND
121W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ IS ALONG 07N86W TO 07N98W TO 11N114W TO 10N120W TO
08N130W TO 09N138W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND
106W...FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 126W AND 133W...AND FROM 07N TO
16N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
21N140W TO 21N130W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 39N136W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO A 31N144W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 10N122W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 16N119W. THIS TROUGH IS JUST TO
THE WEST OF THE 16N116W/117W TROPICAL WAVE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER
AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS WITHIN 400 NM TO 500 NM TO THE WEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 09N122W TO 13N123W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 16N101W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN AND PARTS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N135W TO A 1018 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N129W TO 20N116W.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO IS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA
NEAR 15N145W...ESTIMATED BAROMETRIC PRESSURE 981 MB. EXPECT EAST-
TO-SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9
TO 10 FEET OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 139W AND
140W AS THE STARTING CONDITION FOR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST. THE
REST OF THE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST CONSIST OF
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 137W AND
140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. THE
WIND SPEEDS DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS...AND
THE SEA HEIGHTS STILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 9 FEET FROM 14N TO 22N
BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. IT IS GOING TO TAKE ABOUT ANOTHER 18
HOURS OR SO FOR THE REMAINING CONDITIONS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO
TO MOVE TO THE WEST OF 140W.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...EXPECT EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET DURING THE LATE NIGHT/
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TONIGHT/MONDAY MORNING...WITH THOSE
CONDITIONS LETTING UP AROUND SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING. THE SAME
CONDITIONS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 8 FOOT
SEA HEIGHTS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE ON MONDAY/DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
LATE ON TUESDAY.

THE SWELL THAT COVERS THE AREA FROM 02S SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 111W
AND 120W EVENTUALLY DECAYS...AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS GO AWAY
AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO.

$$
MT


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030258
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W S OF 18N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 96W AND
99W.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W S OF 15N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 114W
AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 11N
BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 118W AND
121W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ IS ALONG 07N86W TO 07N98W TO 11N114W TO 10N120W TO
08N130W TO 09N138W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND
106W...FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 126W AND 133W...AND FROM 07N TO
16N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
21N140W TO 21N130W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 39N136W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO A 31N144W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 10N122W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 16N119W. THIS TROUGH IS JUST TO
THE WEST OF THE 16N116W/117W TROPICAL WAVE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER
AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS WITHIN 400 NM TO 500 NM TO THE WEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 09N122W TO 13N123W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 16N101W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN AND PARTS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N135W TO A 1018 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N129W TO 20N116W.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO IS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA
NEAR 15N145W...ESTIMATED BAROMETRIC PRESSURE 981 MB. EXPECT EAST-
TO-SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9
TO 10 FEET OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 139W AND
140W AS THE STARTING CONDITION FOR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST. THE
REST OF THE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST CONSIST OF
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 137W AND
140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. THE
WIND SPEEDS DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS...AND
THE SEA HEIGHTS STILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 9 FEET FROM 14N TO 22N
BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. IT IS GOING TO TAKE ABOUT ANOTHER 18
HOURS OR SO FOR THE REMAINING CONDITIONS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO
TO MOVE TO THE WEST OF 140W.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...EXPECT EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET DURING THE LATE NIGHT/
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TONIGHT/MONDAY MORNING...WITH THOSE
CONDITIONS LETTING UP AROUND SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING. THE SAME
CONDITIONS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 8 FOOT
SEA HEIGHTS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE ON MONDAY/DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
LATE ON TUESDAY.

THE SWELL THAT COVERS THE AREA FROM 02S SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 111W
AND 120W EVENTUALLY DECAYS...AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS GO AWAY
AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO.

$$
MT


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030258
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W S OF 18N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 96W AND
99W.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W S OF 15N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 114W
AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 11N
BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 118W AND
121W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ IS ALONG 07N86W TO 07N98W TO 11N114W TO 10N120W TO
08N130W TO 09N138W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND
106W...FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 126W AND 133W...AND FROM 07N TO
16N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
21N140W TO 21N130W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 39N136W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO A 31N144W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 10N122W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 16N119W. THIS TROUGH IS JUST TO
THE WEST OF THE 16N116W/117W TROPICAL WAVE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER
AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS WITHIN 400 NM TO 500 NM TO THE WEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 09N122W TO 13N123W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 16N101W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN AND PARTS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N135W TO A 1018 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N129W TO 20N116W.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO IS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA
NEAR 15N145W...ESTIMATED BAROMETRIC PRESSURE 981 MB. EXPECT EAST-
TO-SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9
TO 10 FEET OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 139W AND
140W AS THE STARTING CONDITION FOR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST. THE
REST OF THE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST CONSIST OF
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 137W AND
140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. THE
WIND SPEEDS DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS...AND
THE SEA HEIGHTS STILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 9 FEET FROM 14N TO 22N
BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. IT IS GOING TO TAKE ABOUT ANOTHER 18
HOURS OR SO FOR THE REMAINING CONDITIONS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO
TO MOVE TO THE WEST OF 140W.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...EXPECT EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET DURING THE LATE NIGHT/
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TONIGHT/MONDAY MORNING...WITH THOSE
CONDITIONS LETTING UP AROUND SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING. THE SAME
CONDITIONS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 8 FOOT
SEA HEIGHTS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE ON MONDAY/DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
LATE ON TUESDAY.

THE SWELL THAT COVERS THE AREA FROM 02S SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 111W
AND 120W EVENTUALLY DECAYS...AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS GO AWAY
AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO.

$$
MT



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030258
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W S OF 18N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 96W AND
99W.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W S OF 15N. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 114W
AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 11N
BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 118W AND
121W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ IS ALONG 07N86W TO 07N98W TO 11N114W TO 10N120W TO
08N130W TO 09N138W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND
106W...FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 126W AND 133W...AND FROM 07N TO
16N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
21N140W TO 21N130W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 39N136W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO A 31N144W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 10N122W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 16N119W. THIS TROUGH IS JUST TO
THE WEST OF THE 16N116W/117W TROPICAL WAVE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER
AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS WITHIN 400 NM TO 500 NM TO THE WEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 09N122W TO 13N123W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 16N101W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN AND PARTS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N135W TO A 1018 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N129W TO 20N116W.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO IS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA
NEAR 15N145W...ESTIMATED BAROMETRIC PRESSURE 981 MB. EXPECT EAST-
TO-SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9
TO 10 FEET OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 139W AND
140W AS THE STARTING CONDITION FOR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST. THE
REST OF THE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST CONSIST OF
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 137W AND
140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. THE
WIND SPEEDS DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS...AND
THE SEA HEIGHTS STILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 9 FEET FROM 14N TO 22N
BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. IT IS GOING TO TAKE ABOUT ANOTHER 18
HOURS OR SO FOR THE REMAINING CONDITIONS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO
TO MOVE TO THE WEST OF 140W.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...EXPECT EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET DURING THE LATE NIGHT/
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TONIGHT/MONDAY MORNING...WITH THOSE
CONDITIONS LETTING UP AROUND SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING. THE SAME
CONDITIONS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 8 FOOT
SEA HEIGHTS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE ON MONDAY/DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
LATE ON TUESDAY.

THE SWELL THAT COVERS THE AREA FROM 02S SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 111W
AND 120W EVENTUALLY DECAYS...AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS GO AWAY
AFTER ABOUT THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO.

$$
MT



000
WTPA34 PHFO 030240
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE TOWARD THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 145.0W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.0 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA34 PHFO 030240
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 PM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE TOWARD THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 145.0W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.0 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA24 PHFO 030240
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 145.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 250SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 145.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 144.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.1N 146.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.9N 147.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.2N 151.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 154.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.9N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.1N 163.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 145.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA24 PHFO 030240
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
0300 UTC MON AUG 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WATCHES MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 145.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 250SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 145.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 144.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.1N 146.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.9N 147.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.2N 151.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 154.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.9N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.1N 163.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 145.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030107
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
1100 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

THE TYPHOON WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN
THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CHST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...16.3N 143.8E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

150 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
150 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
180 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
205 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM CHST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.8 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030107
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
1100 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

THE TYPHOON WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN
THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CHST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...16.3N 143.8E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

150 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
150 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
180 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
215 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
205 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM CHST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.8 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 022353
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BY 03/06Z
ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL
1800 UTC MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND
THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A LOW-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N31W TO 10N31W...MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A 700 MB TROUGH ALONG
THIS AREA AND THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A
HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT PREVAILING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE WAVE MAINLY S OF 13N SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION BETWEEN 30W-36W. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND
THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE IS BETWEEN PLUMBS SAHARAN DUST THEREFORE NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N66W TO 12N65W...MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND E PUERTO RICO. THE
NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A SAHARAN
DUST AIRMASS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO THIS WAVE AT THIS TIME.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N94W INTO THE EPAC NEAR 13N95W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION DESPITE THAT TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE PREVAILING ACROSS THIS AREA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 14N18W TO 12N30W THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 12N32W TO 11N42W. THE ITCZ BEGINS FROM THIS
POINT TO 11N62W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION RELATED TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 31W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-13N BETWEEN 15W-24W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN TEXAS EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS FROM NE
TEXAS...THEN ACROSS THE NE GULF WATERS TO NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS.
AT THE SURFACE...A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 30N84W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM
THE LOW TO 29N91W TO 26N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW AND FRONT FROM 23N-29N AND E
OF 89W WHILE ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE
STATIONARY FRONT W OF 90W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT OVER THE E PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 90W-94W WHERE LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE SURFACE LOW
WILL MOVE NE AND GRADUALLY CARRYING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD W
ACROSS THE BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR W
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF
THE CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA AND A SECOND
UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 17N66W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE BASIN MAINLY W
OF 71W AFFECTING HAITI...CUBA AND THEIR ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CONTINUES CONVECTION FREE AS
A SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST IS ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN BEHIND A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 66W. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR GALE FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS HAITI SUPPORTED
BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER E PUERTO RICO WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ISLAND INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLANTIC WITH AN UPPER
LOW CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 22N76W AND
A SECOND UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING
ISOLATED CONVECTION MAINLY S OF 26N AND W OF 75W. TO THE E...A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 25N63W TO 21N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A BROAD
SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 SURFACE HIGH LOCATED NEAR
30N57W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SAHARAN
AIRMASS EXTENDS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE SURFACE RIDGE TO PERSIST
WITH FAIR WEATHER.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 022353
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BY 03/06Z
ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL
1800 UTC MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND
THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A LOW-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N31W TO 10N31W...MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A 700 MB TROUGH ALONG
THIS AREA AND THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A
HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT PREVAILING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE WAVE MAINLY S OF 13N SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION BETWEEN 30W-36W. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND
THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE IS BETWEEN PLUMBS SAHARAN DUST THEREFORE NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N66W TO 12N65W...MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND E PUERTO RICO. THE
NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A SAHARAN
DUST AIRMASS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO THIS WAVE AT THIS TIME.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N94W INTO THE EPAC NEAR 13N95W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION DESPITE THAT TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE PREVAILING ACROSS THIS AREA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 14N18W TO 12N30W THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 12N32W TO 11N42W. THE ITCZ BEGINS FROM THIS
POINT TO 11N62W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION RELATED TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 31W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-13N BETWEEN 15W-24W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN TEXAS EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS FROM NE
TEXAS...THEN ACROSS THE NE GULF WATERS TO NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS.
AT THE SURFACE...A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 30N84W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM
THE LOW TO 29N91W TO 26N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW AND FRONT FROM 23N-29N AND E
OF 89W WHILE ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE
STATIONARY FRONT W OF 90W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT OVER THE E PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 90W-94W WHERE LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE SURFACE LOW
WILL MOVE NE AND GRADUALLY CARRYING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD W
ACROSS THE BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR W
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF
THE CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA AND A SECOND
UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 17N66W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE BASIN MAINLY W
OF 71W AFFECTING HAITI...CUBA AND THEIR ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CONTINUES CONVECTION FREE AS
A SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST IS ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN BEHIND A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 66W. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR GALE FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS HAITI SUPPORTED
BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER E PUERTO RICO WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ISLAND INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLANTIC WITH AN UPPER
LOW CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 22N76W AND
A SECOND UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING
ISOLATED CONVECTION MAINLY S OF 26N AND W OF 75W. TO THE E...A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 25N63W TO 21N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A BROAD
SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 SURFACE HIGH LOCATED NEAR
30N57W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SAHARAN
AIRMASS EXTENDS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE SURFACE RIDGE TO PERSIST
WITH FAIR WEATHER.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 022353
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BY 03/06Z
ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL
1800 UTC MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND
THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A LOW-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N31W TO 10N31W...MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A 700 MB TROUGH ALONG
THIS AREA AND THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A
HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT PREVAILING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE WAVE MAINLY S OF 13N SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION BETWEEN 30W-36W. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND
THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE IS BETWEEN PLUMBS SAHARAN DUST THEREFORE NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N66W TO 12N65W...MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND E PUERTO RICO. THE
NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A SAHARAN
DUST AIRMASS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO THIS WAVE AT THIS TIME.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N94W INTO THE EPAC NEAR 13N95W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION DESPITE THAT TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE PREVAILING ACROSS THIS AREA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 14N18W TO 12N30W THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 12N32W TO 11N42W. THE ITCZ BEGINS FROM THIS
POINT TO 11N62W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION RELATED TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 31W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-13N BETWEEN 15W-24W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN TEXAS EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS FROM NE
TEXAS...THEN ACROSS THE NE GULF WATERS TO NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS.
AT THE SURFACE...A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 30N84W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM
THE LOW TO 29N91W TO 26N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW AND FRONT FROM 23N-29N AND E
OF 89W WHILE ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE
STATIONARY FRONT W OF 90W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT OVER THE E PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 90W-94W WHERE LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE SURFACE LOW
WILL MOVE NE AND GRADUALLY CARRYING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD W
ACROSS THE BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR W
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF
THE CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA AND A SECOND
UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 17N66W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE BASIN MAINLY W
OF 71W AFFECTING HAITI...CUBA AND THEIR ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CONTINUES CONVECTION FREE AS
A SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST IS ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN BEHIND A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 66W. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR GALE FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS HAITI SUPPORTED
BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER E PUERTO RICO WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ISLAND INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLANTIC WITH AN UPPER
LOW CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 22N76W AND
A SECOND UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING
ISOLATED CONVECTION MAINLY S OF 26N AND W OF 75W. TO THE E...A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 25N63W TO 21N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A BROAD
SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 SURFACE HIGH LOCATED NEAR
30N57W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SAHARAN
AIRMASS EXTENDS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE SURFACE RIDGE TO PERSIST
WITH FAIR WEATHER.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 022353
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BY 03/06Z
ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL
1800 UTC MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE AND
THE LOWER PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A LOW-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 16N31W TO 10N31W...MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A 700 MB TROUGH ALONG
THIS AREA AND THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A
HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT PREVAILING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE WAVE MAINLY S OF 13N SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION BETWEEN 30W-36W. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND
THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE IS BETWEEN PLUMBS SAHARAN DUST THEREFORE NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED OVER THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N66W TO 12N65W...MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND E PUERTO RICO. THE
NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A SAHARAN
DUST AIRMASS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO THIS WAVE AT THIS TIME.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N94W INTO THE EPAC NEAR 13N95W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION DESPITE THAT TPW IMAGERY SHOWS A SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE PREVAILING ACROSS THIS AREA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 14N18W TO 12N30W THEN RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 12N32W TO 11N42W. THE ITCZ BEGINS FROM THIS
POINT TO 11N62W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION RELATED TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 31W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-13N BETWEEN 15W-24W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN TEXAS EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS FROM NE
TEXAS...THEN ACROSS THE NE GULF WATERS TO NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS.
AT THE SURFACE...A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 30N84W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM
THE LOW TO 29N91W TO 26N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW AND FRONT FROM 23N-29N AND E
OF 89W WHILE ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE
STATIONARY FRONT W OF 90W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT OVER THE E PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 90W-94W WHERE LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE SURFACE LOW
WILL MOVE NE AND GRADUALLY CARRYING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD W
ACROSS THE BASIN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR W
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF
THE CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA AND A SECOND
UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 17N66W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE BASIN MAINLY W
OF 71W AFFECTING HAITI...CUBA AND THEIR ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CONTINUES CONVECTION FREE AS
A SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST IS ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN BEHIND A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 66W. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR GALE FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS HAITI SUPPORTED
BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF CUBA. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER E PUERTO RICO WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ISLAND INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLANTIC WITH AN UPPER
LOW CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 22N76W AND
A SECOND UPPER LOW SW OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING
ISOLATED CONVECTION MAINLY S OF 26N AND W OF 75W. TO THE E...A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 25N63W TO 21N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A BROAD
SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 SURFACE HIGH LOCATED NEAR
30N57W. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SAHARAN
AIRMASS EXTENDS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE SURFACE RIDGE TO PERSIST
WITH FAIR WEATHER.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 022339
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST DOMINGO 2 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
BIG BEND EN FLORIDA ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA Y EL
EXTREMO NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO YA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MOVERA HACIA EL NORESTE ENTRE 5 Y 10 MPH A TRAVES DEL
NORTE DE FLORIDA Y CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE A TRAVES DE SECTORES
DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y LUNES. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE LA LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS
EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 022339
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST DOMINGO 2 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE
BIG BEND EN FLORIDA ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA Y EL
EXTREMO NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. NO SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN CONDUCENTES AL DESARROLLO YA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE MOVERA HACIA EL NORESTE ENTRE 5 Y 10 MPH A TRAVES DEL
NORTE DE FLORIDA Y CERCA DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DEL DESARROLLO...SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE A TRAVES DE SECTORES
DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y LUNES. PARA INFORMACION ADICIONAL
SOBRE LA LLUVIA ASOCIADA A ESTE SISTEMA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS
EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 022334
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 770 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTH
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1220 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII
HAD DIMINISHED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10
MILES AN HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

FUJII






000
ACPN50 PHFO 022334
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 770 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTH
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1220 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII
HAD DIMINISHED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10
MILES AN HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

FUJII






000
ACPN50 PHFO 022334
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 770 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTH
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1220 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII
HAD DIMINISHED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10
MILES AN HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

FUJII






000
ACPN50 PHFO 022334
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 770 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTH
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN
HOUR. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1220 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII
HAD DIMINISHED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10
MILES AN HOUR. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

FUJII






000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of the Florida
Big Bend is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
across portions of northern Florida and the extreme northeastern
Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development while the low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph
across north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast
during the next few days. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of northern
Florida tonight and Monday. For additional information on rainfall
associated with this system, refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of the Florida
Big Bend is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
across portions of northern Florida and the extreme northeastern
Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development while the low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph
across north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast
during the next few days. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of northern
Florida tonight and Monday. For additional information on rainfall
associated with this system, refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of the Florida
Big Bend is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
across portions of northern Florida and the extreme northeastern
Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development while the low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph
across north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast
during the next few days. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of northern
Florida tonight and Monday. For additional information on rainfall
associated with this system, refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located along the coast of the Florida
Big Bend is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
across portions of northern Florida and the extreme northeastern
Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for development while the low moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph
across north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast
during the next few days. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of northern
Florida tonight and Monday. For additional information on rainfall
associated with this system, refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022327
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave located
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, especially by
mid-week, as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022327
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave located
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, especially by
mid-week, as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022327
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave located
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, especially by
mid-week, as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022327
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave located
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, especially by
mid-week, as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022226
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022226
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022226
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022226
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022216
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022216
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022216
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022216
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022214
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022214
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022214
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 022205
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W/95W FROM 20N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N115W 11N115W 07N113W...MOVING
WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD SHOWS AN INVERTED V-
SHAPE PATTERN...AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL
WAVES. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL
FORM ALONG THE WAVE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE TRACK
FOR THIS FEATURE WILL BE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION TO
INCREASE ALONG THE WAVE/POSSIBLE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W
AND 116W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ IS ALONG 09N87W TO 08N94W TO 11N112W TO 11N117W TO
07N130W TO 08N139W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND
110W...AND FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 116W AND 132W.

...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
21N140W TO 21N130W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 40N135W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO A 32N144W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 09N121W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 13N120W TO 16N119W. THIS TROUGH
IS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE 16N115W 07N113W TROPICAL WAVE.
COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS WITHIN 400 NM TO 500 NM
TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM 09N122W TO 13N123W TO
21N116W BEYOND 25N112W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 16N101W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN AND PARTS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N133W TO A 1019 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N129W TO 22N119W TO 16N104W.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE 12-HOUR FORECAST INDICATES EAST-TO-
NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8
FEET. THE 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WEAKEN/DISSIPATE AFTER 6 HOURS. 8
FOOT SEA HEIGHTS RETURN TO THE AREA AT THE 24-HOUR TIME PERIOD.
NORTHEAST-TO-EAST 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS
DEVELOP AT THE 36-HOUR TIME PERIOD...FROM 10N TO 12N FROM 88W
EASTWARD...AND CONTINUE INTO 42 HOURS FROM 10N TO 12N FROM 90W
EASTWARD. EXPECT ONLY 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS IN THE AREA AT THE 48-
HOUR TIME PERIOD.

$$
MT



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 022205
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W/95W FROM 20N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N115W 11N115W 07N113W...MOVING
WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD SHOWS AN INVERTED V-
SHAPE PATTERN...AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL
WAVES. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL
FORM ALONG THE WAVE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE TRACK
FOR THIS FEATURE WILL BE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION TO
INCREASE ALONG THE WAVE/POSSIBLE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W
AND 116W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ IS ALONG 09N87W TO 08N94W TO 11N112W TO 11N117W TO
07N130W TO 08N139W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND
110W...AND FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 116W AND 132W.

...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
21N140W TO 21N130W TO 21N116W BEYOND 25N112W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 40N135W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER TO A 32N144W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 09N121W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 13N120W TO 16N119W. THIS TROUGH
IS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE 16N115W 07N113W TROPICAL WAVE.
COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS WITHIN 400 NM TO 500 NM
TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM 09N122W TO 13N123W TO
21N116W BEYOND 25N112W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 16N101W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN AND PARTS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N133W TO A 1019 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N129W TO 22N119W TO 16N104W.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE 12-HOUR FORECAST INDICATES EAST-TO-
NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8
FEET. THE 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WEAKEN/DISSIPATE AFTER 6 HOURS. 8
FOOT SEA HEIGHTS RETURN TO THE AREA AT THE 24-HOUR TIME PERIOD.
NORTHEAST-TO-EAST 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS
DEVELOP AT THE 36-HOUR TIME PERIOD...FROM 10N TO 12N FROM 88W
EASTWARD...AND CONTINUE INTO 42 HOURS FROM 10N TO 12N FROM 90W
EASTWARD. EXPECT ONLY 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS IN THE AREA AT THE 48-
HOUR TIME PERIOD.

$$
MT


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022205
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W)ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022205
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W)ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
800 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 144.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
105 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
180 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM CHST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 120 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ZIOBRO


000
WTPA34 PHFO 022042
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND BEGINS TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 144.1W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 995 MI...1605 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A CONTINUED MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA34 PHFO 022042
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND BEGINS TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 144.1W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 995 MI...1605 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A CONTINUED MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA34 PHFO 022042
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND BEGINS TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 144.1W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 995 MI...1605 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A CONTINUED MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA34 PHFO 022042
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1100 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND BEGINS TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 144.1W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 995 MI...1605 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A CONTINUED MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH MONDAY.
SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA24 PHFO 022042
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
2100 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 200SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 143.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.8N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.6N 147.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.3N 148.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.9N 150.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.4N 157.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.6N 162.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA24 PHFO 022042
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
2100 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 200SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 143.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.8N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.6N 147.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.3N 148.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.9N 150.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.4N 157.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.6N 162.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA24 PHFO 022042
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
2100 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 200SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 143.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.8N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.6N 147.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.3N 148.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.9N 150.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.4N 157.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.6N 162.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021845
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
500 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 144.9E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 65 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
105 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
150 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 115 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 1100 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021845
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
500 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 144.9E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 65 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
105 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
150 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 115 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 1100 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021845
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
500 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 144.9E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 65 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
105 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
150 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 115 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 1100 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021845
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
500 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
OVER THE NORTHERN ROTA WATERS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 144.9E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 65 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
105 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN
160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
150 MILES NORTH OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
144.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUDELOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE CNMI.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 115 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 1100 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021841 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 145.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 25 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
240 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
195 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
135 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED AT 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021841 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST MON AUG 3 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 145.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 25 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
240 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
195 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
135 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED AT 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021748
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST DOMINGO 2 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN SISTEMA BIEN DEFINIDO DE BAJA PRESION SE HA FORMADO SOBRE
APALACHEE BAY EN LA PARTE NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO Y PRODUCE
ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS LIMITADOS CERCA DE SU CENTRO. NO SE ESPERA
QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LA ALTA ATMOSFERA SEAN FAVORABLES O CONDUCENTES
HACIA SU DESARROLLO MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL NORESTE A TRAVES DE LA
PARTE NORTE DE FLORIDA Y CERCA DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021748
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST DOMINGO 2 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN SISTEMA BIEN DEFINIDO DE BAJA PRESION SE HA FORMADO SOBRE
APALACHEE BAY EN LA PARTE NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO Y PRODUCE
ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS LIMITADOS CERCA DE SU CENTRO. NO SE ESPERA
QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LA ALTA ATMOSFERA SEAN FAVORABLES O CONDUCENTES
HACIA SU DESARROLLO MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL NORESTE A TRAVES DE LA
PARTE NORTE DE FLORIDA Y CERCA DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
  HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS
  BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 021744
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 845 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
THE TROUGH WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN
THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

FUJII







000
ACPN50 PHFO 021744
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN AUG 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO LOCATED ABOUT 845 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE EIGHT-E...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII. THIS FEATURE WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

3. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
THE TROUGH WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN
THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

FUJII






000
AXNT20 KNHC 021744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-
13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL 1800 UTC THEN WILL OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER
PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 29W/30W FROM
9N-15N MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE
GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS THE WAVE ALONG 700 MB TROUGH...THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE DOES NOT HAVE THE
ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT
AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS
BETWEEN PLUMBS OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 22N64W THROUGH THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS TO 12N62W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE N OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 29N58W TO 23N64W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM 21N92W ACROSS
MEXICO NEAR 18N93W MOVING W-NW 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL
PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN
DUST LIMITING DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 18N16W ALONG 14N20W TO E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N28W THEN RESUMES W OF THE WAVE NEAR 12N31W THEN TO A
1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N41W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 12N53W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE MONSOON TROF TO THE COAST
OF AFRICA BETWEEN 14N-16N...FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 30W-39W AND
FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 41W-43W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FAR
SE CONUS ANCHORED OVER THE W TEXAS/MEXICO EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS
FROM NE TEXAS TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE NE CONUS INTO THE NW ATLC
SUPPORTING A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1009 LOW
CENTERED OVER THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA ALONG 28N88W 28N93W
TO 26N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N-
29N E OF 88W TO OVER FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT.
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL MOVE NE OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY CARRYING
THE WEAKENING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OUT OF THE AREA BY
MON NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD W ACROSS THE GULF REGION
ALONG 26N THROUGH TUE WITH A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPING
ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE E/CENTRAL GULF BY MON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED S OF PUERTO RICO NEAR
17N65W AND A SECOND UPPER LOW BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA
ISLANDS. THE AREA OF DIFFLUNCE BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N
BETWEEN 78W-86W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER THE S/CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS REACHING NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AGAIN TONIGHT. E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
NIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS HAITI WITH SOME CLOUDS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE NOAA/NESDIS
AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
THE E CARIBBEAN IS UNDER A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST
WHICH IS LIMITING ANY DEEP SHOWERS. HOWEVER WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING...AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE ISLAND TONIGHT AND MON INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC WITH AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 23N76W AND A
SECOND UPPER LOW S OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 29N72W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W TO THE COAST OF CUBA NEAR 22N78W.
A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 29N36W AND A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 30N54W WITH A RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING W TO THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS. THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT N REACHING TO S FLORIDA
ON SUN. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH
TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-
13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL 1800 UTC THEN WILL OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER
PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 29W/30W FROM
9N-15N MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE
GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS THE WAVE ALONG 700 MB TROUGH...THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE DOES NOT HAVE THE
ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT
AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS
BETWEEN PLUMBS OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 22N64W THROUGH THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS TO 12N62W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE N OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 29N58W TO 23N64W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM 21N92W ACROSS
MEXICO NEAR 18N93W MOVING W-NW 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL
PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN
DUST LIMITING DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 18N16W ALONG 14N20W TO E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N28W THEN RESUMES W OF THE WAVE NEAR 12N31W THEN TO A
1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N41W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 12N53W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE MONSOON TROF TO THE COAST
OF AFRICA BETWEEN 14N-16N...FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 30W-39W AND
FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 41W-43W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FAR
SE CONUS ANCHORED OVER THE W TEXAS/MEXICO EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS
FROM NE TEXAS TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE NE CONUS INTO THE NW ATLC
SUPPORTING A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1009 LOW
CENTERED OVER THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA ALONG 28N88W 28N93W
TO 26N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N-
29N E OF 88W TO OVER FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT.
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL MOVE NE OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY CARRYING
THE WEAKENING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OUT OF THE AREA BY
MON NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD W ACROSS THE GULF REGION
ALONG 26N THROUGH TUE WITH A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPING
ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE E/CENTRAL GULF BY MON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED S OF PUERTO RICO NEAR
17N65W AND A SECOND UPPER LOW BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA
ISLANDS. THE AREA OF DIFFLUNCE BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N
BETWEEN 78W-86W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER THE S/CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS REACHING NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AGAIN TONIGHT. E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
NIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS HAITI WITH SOME CLOUDS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE NOAA/NESDIS
AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
THE E CARIBBEAN IS UNDER A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST
WHICH IS LIMITING ANY DEEP SHOWERS. HOWEVER WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING...AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE ISLAND TONIGHT AND MON INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC WITH AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 23N76W AND A
SECOND UPPER LOW S OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 29N72W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W TO THE COAST OF CUBA NEAR 22N78W.
A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 29N36W AND A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 30N54W WITH A RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING W TO THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS. THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT N REACHING TO S FLORIDA
ON SUN. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH
TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-
13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL 1800 UTC THEN WILL OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER
PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 29W/30W FROM
9N-15N MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE
GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS THE WAVE ALONG 700 MB TROUGH...THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE DOES NOT HAVE THE
ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT
AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS
BETWEEN PLUMBS OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 22N64W THROUGH THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS TO 12N62W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE N OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 29N58W TO 23N64W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM 21N92W ACROSS
MEXICO NEAR 18N93W MOVING W-NW 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL
PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN
DUST LIMITING DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 18N16W ALONG 14N20W TO E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N28W THEN RESUMES W OF THE WAVE NEAR 12N31W THEN TO A
1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N41W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 12N53W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE MONSOON TROF TO THE COAST
OF AFRICA BETWEEN 14N-16N...FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 30W-39W AND
FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 41W-43W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FAR
SE CONUS ANCHORED OVER THE W TEXAS/MEXICO EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS
FROM NE TEXAS TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE NE CONUS INTO THE NW ATLC
SUPPORTING A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1009 LOW
CENTERED OVER THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA ALONG 28N88W 28N93W
TO 26N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N-
29N E OF 88W TO OVER FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT.
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL MOVE NE OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY CARRYING
THE WEAKENING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OUT OF THE AREA BY
MON NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD W ACROSS THE GULF REGION
ALONG 26N THROUGH TUE WITH A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPING
ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE E/CENTRAL GULF BY MON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED S OF PUERTO RICO NEAR
17N65W AND A SECOND UPPER LOW BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA
ISLANDS. THE AREA OF DIFFLUNCE BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N
BETWEEN 78W-86W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER THE S/CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS REACHING NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AGAIN TONIGHT. E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
NIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS HAITI WITH SOME CLOUDS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE NOAA/NESDIS
AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
THE E CARIBBEAN IS UNDER A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST
WHICH IS LIMITING ANY DEEP SHOWERS. HOWEVER WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING...AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE ISLAND TONIGHT AND MON INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC WITH AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 23N76W AND A
SECOND UPPER LOW S OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 29N72W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W TO THE COAST OF CUBA NEAR 22N78W.
A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 29N36W AND A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 30N54W WITH A RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING W TO THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS. THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT N REACHING TO S FLORIDA
ON SUN. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH
TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-
13N BETWEEN 74W-77W UNTIL 1800 UTC THEN WILL OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER
PRESSURE OVER SOUTH AMERICA. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 29W/30W FROM
9N-15N MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE
GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS THE WAVE ALONG 700 MB TROUGH...THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE DOES NOT HAVE THE
ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT
AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS
BETWEEN PLUMBS OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 22N64W THROUGH THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS TO 12N62W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE N OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 29N58W TO 23N64W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM 21N92W ACROSS
MEXICO NEAR 18N93W MOVING W-NW 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE. THE NOAA/NESDIS AEROSOL
PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN
DUST LIMITING DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 18N16W ALONG 14N20W TO E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
NEAR 12N28W THEN RESUMES W OF THE WAVE NEAR 12N31W THEN TO A
1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N41W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 12N53W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE MONSOON TROF TO THE COAST
OF AFRICA BETWEEN 14N-16N...FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 30W-39W AND
FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 41W-43W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FAR
SE CONUS ANCHORED OVER THE W TEXAS/MEXICO EXTENDING A RIDGE AXIS
FROM NE TEXAS TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE NE CONUS INTO THE NW ATLC
SUPPORTING A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1009 LOW
CENTERED OVER THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA ALONG 28N88W 28N93W
TO 26N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N-
29N E OF 88W TO OVER FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT.
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL MOVE NE OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY CARRYING
THE WEAKENING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OUT OF THE AREA BY
MON NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD W ACROSS THE GULF REGION
ALONG 26N THROUGH TUE WITH A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPING
ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE E/CENTRAL GULF BY MON.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED S OF PUERTO RICO NEAR
17N65W AND A SECOND UPPER LOW BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA
ISLANDS. THE AREA OF DIFFLUNCE BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N
BETWEEN 78W-86W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER THE S/CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS REACHING NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AGAIN TONIGHT. E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
NIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS HAITI WITH SOME CLOUDS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE NOAA/NESDIS
AEROSOL PRODUCT AND THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
THE E CARIBBEAN IS UNDER A PLUMB OF AEROSOLS OR SAHARAN DUST
WHICH IS LIMITING ANY DEEP SHOWERS. HOWEVER WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING...AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE ISLAND TONIGHT AND MON INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC WITH AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR 23N76W AND A
SECOND UPPER LOW S OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 29N72W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W TO THE COAST OF CUBA NEAR 22N78W.
A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 29N36W AND A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 30N54W WITH A RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING W TO THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS. THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT N REACHING TO S FLORIDA
ON SUN. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH
TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021736
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located about 950 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this
system later this week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021736
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A well-defined low pressure system has formed over Apalachee Bay in
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and is producing limited shower
activity near the center.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for development while the low moves northeastward across
north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast during
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021736
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A well-defined low pressure system has formed over Apalachee Bay in
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and is producing limited shower
activity near the center.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for development while the low moves northeastward across
north Florida and near the southeastern United States coast during
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021602
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING A DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENT IS OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021602
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING A DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENT IS OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021602
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA
ALONG 94W AND N OF 14N...MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY WEAK ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS AFTER 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 113W FROM 06N-16N
16N...MOVING W NEAR 16 KT. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RATHER BROAD NE TO SE FLOW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN AN
INVERTED V-SHAPE PATTERN FROM ABOUT 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND
118W AS TYPICALLY SEEN WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVES. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE
WAVE FROM 10.5N TO 13N...AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM
12.5N TO 15N. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED LOW CENTER
WILL FORM ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N TODAY...AND TRACK IN A GENERAL
WNW MOTION THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE ALONG
THE WAVE AND NEAR FUTURE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A RATHER SHORT MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COSTA RICA AT 09.5N85W AND CONTINUES TO NEAR 08N90W
WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ AXIS
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N100W TO JUST E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 113W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N115W AND DIPS TO THE SW TO
07N126W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-
106W AND BETWEEN 109W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W... AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN TO THE SE
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER AN AREA FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W
TO JUST INLAND THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
SW MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
JUST W OF THE NW PART OF THE AREA ARE ADVECTING OVERCAST CIRRUS
CLOUDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR
14N144W...INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA TO THE N OF 13N
AND W OF 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN JUST ALONG 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS VERY MOIST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR A SUBSIDENT
AREA SUPPORTING A DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENT IS OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 21N118W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWESTERLY 15-20 KT FLOW...AS INDICATED IN A RECENT WINDSAT
PASS...WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH TUE WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS 15-20 KT WINDS CURRENTLY THROUGH
THE GULF ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MON MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY TIGHTENS.
THIS COMBINED WITH THE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
THESE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. GFS
MODEL INDICATES THAT THE WINDS DIMINISH AGAIN TO 15-20 KT MON
AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE AGAIN LATE MON NIGHT INTO EARLY ON TUE
WITH THE AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS EXPANDING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE AS THE 20-25 KT DEVELOP...HOWEVER SEAS OF
7-8 FT WILL PROPAGATE WSW FROM THE GULF TO NEAR 92W BY TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021525
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 145.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 25 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
240 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
195 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
135 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED AT 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021525
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 145.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 25 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
240 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
195 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
135 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED AT 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021525
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 145.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 25 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
240 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
195 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
135 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED AT 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021525
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
200 AM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 145.4E THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 25 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
240 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
195 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN AND
135 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.4 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED AT 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND 50 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED
ADVISORY AT 800 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
WTPA34 PHFO 021442
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 143.5W
ABOUT 845 MI...1360 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1055 MI...1700 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.5 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. GUILLERMO
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION EXPECTED
STARTING LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MONDAY. SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND
WILL LIKELY BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING
ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 021442
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 143.5W
ABOUT 845 MI...1360 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1055 MI...1700 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.5 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. GUILLERMO
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION EXPECTED
STARTING LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MONDAY. SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND
WILL LIKELY BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING
ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 021442
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
500 AM HST SUN AUG 02 2015

...HURRICANE GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 143.5W
ABOUT 845 MI...1360 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1055 MI...1700 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.5 WEST. GUILLERMO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. GUILLERMO
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION EXPECTED
STARTING LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS TRAVELING AHEAD OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WILL
SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
MONDAY. SURF WILL STEADILY BUILD ALONG EAST FACING SHORES...AND
WILL LIKELY BECOME LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING STARTING
ON MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 021430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 143.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 200SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 143.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 142.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N 144.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.7N 146.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 147.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.3N 149.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.9N 152.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 156.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.8N 160.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 143.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 021430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 143.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 200SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 143.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 142.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N 144.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.7N 146.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 147.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.3N 149.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.9N 152.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 156.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.8N 160.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 143.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 021430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 143.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 200SE 280SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 143.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 142.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N 144.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.7N 146.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 147.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  55SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.3N 149.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.9N 152.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 156.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.8N 160.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 143.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021245
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
1100 PM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR STRENGTHENS AS IT AFFECTS TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 145.9E
THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 10 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
 20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA
255 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
205 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
180 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN
135 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL MOVE OVER SAIPAN WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY MONDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021245
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
1100 PM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR STRENGTHENS AS IT AFFECTS TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 145.9E
THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 10 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
 20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA
255 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
205 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
180 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN
135 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL MOVE OVER SAIPAN WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY MONDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021245
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
1100 PM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR STRENGTHENS AS IT AFFECTS TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 145.9E
THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 10 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
 20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA
255 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
205 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
180 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN
135 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL MOVE OVER SAIPAN WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY MONDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021245
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON SOUDELOR (13W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP132015
1100 PM CHST SUN AUG 2 2015

...TYPHOON SOUDELOR STRENGTHENS AS IT AFFECTS TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN IN THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA IN THE MARIANA
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 145.9E
THIS IS LOCATED ABOUT

 10 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
 20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN
 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA
255 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN
205 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN
180 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN
135 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.9 DEGREES EAST. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH.
SOUDELOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE EYE WILL MOVE OVER SAIPAN WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. SOUDELOR IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY MONDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.

$$

KLEESCHULTE



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021242
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST DOMINGO 2 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021242
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST DOMINGO 2 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




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