Home > Products > National Data >
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300856
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM OVER MEXICO INTO THE REGION NEAR
15N98W TO 12N99W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO
TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND
ENERGY HAS SHIFTED W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N99W ALONG 11N109W TO
10N117W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 8N128W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
21N106W TO 19N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 18N E OF 109W TO INLAND OVER
MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 87W-98W AND FROM 7N-
10N BETWEEN 93W-111W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANTS OF MARIE IS A 1004 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 31N135W. A
SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS STILL SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY
TONIGHT WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ANY CONVECTION IS
WELL N OF THE REGION. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT JUST ALONG THE N BORDER MAINLY WEST OF THE
LOW CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT W-NW THEN W
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS HOVERING ALONG 31N BEFORE DISSIPATING
LATE TUE. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR
LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY SUN AFTERNOON.

A 1026 MB HIGH HAS REFORMED TO THE NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
EXTENDING A NARROW RIDGE E TO NEAR 38N135W AND THEN DRAPES TO
THE E OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE AND A SECOND NARROW RIDGE FROM
NEAR 34N145W TO THE W OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO IS GIVING A MODEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EASTERN RIDGE AND TROUGH WHICH
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS 6
TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE WINDS HAVE
DIMINISH AND THE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE W-NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WITH MIXED SW SWELL.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300856
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM OVER MEXICO INTO THE REGION NEAR
15N98W TO 12N99W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO
TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND
ENERGY HAS SHIFTED W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N99W ALONG 11N109W TO
10N117W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 8N128W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
21N106W TO 19N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 18N E OF 109W TO INLAND OVER
MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 87W-98W AND FROM 7N-
10N BETWEEN 93W-111W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANTS OF MARIE IS A 1004 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 31N135W. A
SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS STILL SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY
TONIGHT WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ANY CONVECTION IS
WELL N OF THE REGION. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT JUST ALONG THE N BORDER MAINLY WEST OF THE
LOW CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT W-NW THEN W
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS HOVERING ALONG 31N BEFORE DISSIPATING
LATE TUE. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR
LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY SUN AFTERNOON.

A 1026 MB HIGH HAS REFORMED TO THE NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
EXTENDING A NARROW RIDGE E TO NEAR 38N135W AND THEN DRAPES TO
THE E OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE AND A SECOND NARROW RIDGE FROM
NEAR 34N145W TO THE W OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO IS GIVING A MODEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EASTERN RIDGE AND TROUGH WHICH
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS 6
TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE WINDS HAVE
DIMINISH AND THE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE W-NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WITH MIXED SW SWELL.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300856
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM OVER MEXICO INTO THE REGION NEAR
15N98W TO 12N99W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO
TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND
ENERGY HAS SHIFTED W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N99W ALONG 11N109W TO
10N117W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 8N128W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
21N106W TO 19N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 18N E OF 109W TO INLAND OVER
MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 87W-98W AND FROM 7N-
10N BETWEEN 93W-111W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANTS OF MARIE IS A 1004 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 31N135W. A
SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS STILL SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY
TONIGHT WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ANY CONVECTION IS
WELL N OF THE REGION. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT JUST ALONG THE N BORDER MAINLY WEST OF THE
LOW CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT W-NW THEN W
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS HOVERING ALONG 31N BEFORE DISSIPATING
LATE TUE. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR
LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY SUN AFTERNOON.

A 1026 MB HIGH HAS REFORMED TO THE NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
EXTENDING A NARROW RIDGE E TO NEAR 38N135W AND THEN DRAPES TO
THE E OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE AND A SECOND NARROW RIDGE FROM
NEAR 34N145W TO THE W OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO IS GIVING A MODEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EASTERN RIDGE AND TROUGH WHICH
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS 6
TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE WINDS HAVE
DIMINISH AND THE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE W-NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WITH MIXED SW SWELL.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300856
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM OVER MEXICO INTO THE REGION NEAR
15N98W TO 12N99W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO
TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND
ENERGY HAS SHIFTED W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N99W ALONG 11N109W TO
10N117W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 8N128W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
21N106W TO 19N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 18N E OF 109W TO INLAND OVER
MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 87W-98W AND FROM 7N-
10N BETWEEN 93W-111W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANTS OF MARIE IS A 1004 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 31N135W. A
SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS STILL SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY
TONIGHT WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ANY CONVECTION IS
WELL N OF THE REGION. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT JUST ALONG THE N BORDER MAINLY WEST OF THE
LOW CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT W-NW THEN W
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS HOVERING ALONG 31N BEFORE DISSIPATING
LATE TUE. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR
LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY SUN AFTERNOON.

A 1026 MB HIGH HAS REFORMED TO THE NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
EXTENDING A NARROW RIDGE E TO NEAR 38N135W AND THEN DRAPES TO
THE E OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE AND A SECOND NARROW RIDGE FROM
NEAR 34N145W TO THE W OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO IS GIVING A MODEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EASTERN RIDGE AND TROUGH WHICH
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS 6
TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE WINDS HAVE
DIMINISH AND THE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE W-NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WITH MIXED SW SWELL.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 300602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21N19W 15N21W 9N22W.
THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 19N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 12N
BETWEEN 37W AND 40W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
6N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND 45W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W FROM 19N SOUTHWARD.
THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF
12N27W 8N31W 6N32W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 49W AND 62W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23N80W IN CUBA...TO
18N82W...AND 13N82W...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N TO 19N
BETWEEN 75W AND 80W AROUND JAMAICA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W... TO
THE EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 19N NORTHWARD IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W/97W FROM 23N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS ACROSS MEXICO. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG IN MEXICO
TO THE SOUTH OF 20N BETWEEN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND 100W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 9N13W TO 8N24W 9N39W AND 9N49W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
9N49W TO 12N58W AND 11N61W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 12N27W 8N31W 6N32W...AND
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 49W AND 62W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 12N BETWEEN 25W AND 36W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS PASSING THROUGH CENTRAL
TEXAS INTO EAST TEXAS. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 27N NORTHWARD BETWEEN
86W AND 92W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ALSO COVER
THE GULF OF MEXICO. A WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 30N75W
IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 30N81W IN FLORIDA...TO 29N90W IN THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...TO 28N95W IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

A GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W/97W FROM 23N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS ACROSS MEXICO. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG IN MEXICO
TO THE SOUTH OF 20N BETWEEN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND 100W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
SITES...KXIH...KGHB...KSPR...KMDJ...AND KVOA.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

MOSTLY MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE DEEP
SOUTH OF TEXAS. RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN
WESLACO. A LOW CLOUD CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN GALVESTON.
MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA.
MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS AND RAIN COVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF LOUISIANA. MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS SURROUND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. RAIN IS BEING REPORTED
IN SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT4/FZNT24 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT..THE 6 HOUR FORECAST OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN
88W AND 92W.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23N80W IN CUBA...TO 18N82W...AND
13N82W...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 75W AND
80W AROUND JAMAICA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW IS FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W... TO THE EAST OF
THE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 19N NORTHWARD IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.

BROAD...ILL-DEFINED...AND DISORGANIZED MIDDLE LEVEL AND UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W
WESTWARD. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
30/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.36 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

NO MONSOON TROUGH IS PRESENT AT THIS TIME. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS ALONG 23N80W IN CUBA...TO
18N82W...AND 13N82W...MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. FROM 15N TO 18N
BETWEEN 71W AND 77W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WINDS AND
SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN FROM 14N TO 18N
BETWEEN 74W AND 81W.

...HISPANIOLA...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...THROUGH THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROUGH EXTENDS FROM TO A 25N68W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER...TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO 15N77W...
TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...MOVING AROUND THE 25N68W CYCLONIC CENTER...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 31N BETWEEN 60W AND 80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS COVER THE
AREA FROM 15N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO 25N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
BETWEEN 60W AND 74W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN AROUND THE 25N68W CYCLONIC CENTER...ISOLATED MODERATE IN
THE AREAS OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED-TO-BROKEN MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
BEING REPORTED AT THE OBSERVATION SITES THAT ARE ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN
SANTIAGO. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND A MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROUGH
WILL BE TO THE NORTHWEST OF HISPANIOLA. A RIDGE WILL BE TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF
THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. A RIDGE WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT
36 TO 42 HOURS. A RIDGE EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN ACROSS HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM HAITI TO COLOMBIA ALONG 72W...
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. EXPECT ALSO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 72W AND
75W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS WELL TO THE NORTH
OF THE AREA SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT IS ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF 32N BETWEEN 60W AND THE U.S.A. EAST COAST. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
ISOLATED MODERATE TO THE NORTH OF 32N66W BEYOND 33N56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 33N37W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 27N38W AND 22N40W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
30N TO 33N BETWEEN 35W AND 39W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 34N16W TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N27W...TO 29N36W...TO A 1021 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N46W...TO 27N72W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS
TO 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 300602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21N19W 15N21W 9N22W.
THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 19N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 12N
BETWEEN 37W AND 40W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
6N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND 45W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W FROM 19N SOUTHWARD.
THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF
12N27W 8N31W 6N32W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 49W AND 62W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23N80W IN CUBA...TO
18N82W...AND 13N82W...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N TO 19N
BETWEEN 75W AND 80W AROUND JAMAICA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W... TO
THE EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 19N NORTHWARD IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W/97W FROM 23N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS ACROSS MEXICO. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG IN MEXICO
TO THE SOUTH OF 20N BETWEEN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND 100W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 9N13W TO 8N24W 9N39W AND 9N49W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
9N49W TO 12N58W AND 11N61W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 12N27W 8N31W 6N32W...AND
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 49W AND 62W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 12N BETWEEN 25W AND 36W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS PASSING THROUGH CENTRAL
TEXAS INTO EAST TEXAS. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 27N NORTHWARD BETWEEN
86W AND 92W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ALSO COVER
THE GULF OF MEXICO. A WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 30N75W
IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 30N81W IN FLORIDA...TO 29N90W IN THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...TO 28N95W IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

A GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W/97W FROM 23N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS ACROSS MEXICO. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG IN MEXICO
TO THE SOUTH OF 20N BETWEEN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND 100W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
SITES...KXIH...KGHB...KSPR...KMDJ...AND KVOA.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

MOSTLY MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE DEEP
SOUTH OF TEXAS. RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN
WESLACO. A LOW CLOUD CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN GALVESTON.
MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA.
MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS AND RAIN COVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF LOUISIANA. MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS SURROUND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. RAIN IS BEING REPORTED
IN SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT4/FZNT24 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT..THE 6 HOUR FORECAST OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN
88W AND 92W.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23N80W IN CUBA...TO 18N82W...AND
13N82W...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 75W AND
80W AROUND JAMAICA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW IS FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W... TO THE EAST OF
THE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 19N NORTHWARD IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.

BROAD...ILL-DEFINED...AND DISORGANIZED MIDDLE LEVEL AND UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W
WESTWARD. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
30/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.36 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

NO MONSOON TROUGH IS PRESENT AT THIS TIME. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS ALONG 23N80W IN CUBA...TO
18N82W...AND 13N82W...MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. FROM 15N TO 18N
BETWEEN 71W AND 77W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WINDS AND
SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN FROM 14N TO 18N
BETWEEN 74W AND 81W.

...HISPANIOLA...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...THROUGH THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROUGH EXTENDS FROM TO A 25N68W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER...TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO 15N77W...
TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...MOVING AROUND THE 25N68W CYCLONIC CENTER...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 31N BETWEEN 60W AND 80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS COVER THE
AREA FROM 15N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO 25N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
BETWEEN 60W AND 74W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN AROUND THE 25N68W CYCLONIC CENTER...ISOLATED MODERATE IN
THE AREAS OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED-TO-BROKEN MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
BEING REPORTED AT THE OBSERVATION SITES THAT ARE ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN
SANTIAGO. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND A MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROUGH
WILL BE TO THE NORTHWEST OF HISPANIOLA. A RIDGE WILL BE TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF
THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. A RIDGE WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT
36 TO 42 HOURS. A RIDGE EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN ACROSS HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM HAITI TO COLOMBIA ALONG 72W...
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. EXPECT ALSO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 72W AND
75W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS WELL TO THE NORTH
OF THE AREA SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT IS ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF 32N BETWEEN 60W AND THE U.S.A. EAST COAST. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
ISOLATED MODERATE TO THE NORTH OF 32N66W BEYOND 33N56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 33N37W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 27N38W AND 22N40W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
30N TO 33N BETWEEN 35W AND 39W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 34N16W TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N27W...TO 29N36W...TO A 1021 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N46W...TO 27N72W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS
TO 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACPN50 PHFO 300555
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

POWELL












000
ACCA62 TJSJ 300505
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT SABADO 30 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA ASOCIADA A
UNA ONDA TROPICAL MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SE
ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MAS FAVORABLES
DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA...PERO LA INTERACCION CON TIERRA LIMITARA
EL DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO A MEDIDA QUE EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN EL DOMINGO. SE ESPERA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES ESTEN CONDUCENTES PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO
GRADUAL UNA VEZ EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO EL LUNES.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 300505
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT SABADO 30 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CONTINUA ASOCIADA A
UNA ONDA TROPICAL MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SE
ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MAS FAVORABLES
DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA...PERO LA INTERACCION CON TIERRA LIMITARA
EL DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO A MEDIDA QUE EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN EL DOMINGO. SE ESPERA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES ESTEN CONDUCENTES PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO
GRADUAL UNA VEZ EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO EL LUNES.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300501
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 300501
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive over
the weekend, but land interaction will likely limit significant
development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula
on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 300501
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive over
the weekend, but land interaction will likely limit significant
development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula
on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 300501
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive over
the weekend, but land interaction will likely limit significant
development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula
on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 300501
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive over
the weekend, but land interaction will likely limit significant
development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula
on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300232
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR
30N133.5W AT 1003 MB. A SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS STILL
SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING WITHIN 500 NM OF THE SE
SEMICIRCLE AND MULTILAYERED MAINLY STRATOFORM CLOUDS ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE AREA WATERS WITHIN 500 NM OF THE CENTER. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS FROM 150 TO 270 NM N OF THE CENTER
AND WELL N OF THE LOCAL WATERS. MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS
CONTINUE ACROSS WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE N SIDE OF THE
CENTER...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 06 UTC
SAT...WHEN THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT N AND OUT OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO
THE NW REACHING 32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS ACROSS
THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
EXTENDING FROM A WEAK LOW CENTER NEAR 12N97W N-NE ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE FAR W BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE WAVE HAD
BEEN MOVING W-NW ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AT 20-25 KT THE PAST 24
HOURS...BUT THE S PORTION OF THE WAVE IN THE EPAC IS NOW MOVING
W AT 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 92W AND 102W. THE
TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK
DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND ENERGY
HAS SHIFTED W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NEW LOW PRES NEAR 12N97W
1008 MB TO 10N120W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING
ON TO 12N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION NOTED N OF 08N TO COASTS BETWEEN 80W AND 95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N
AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 97W AND 110.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRES PERSISTING N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W LAST NIGHT HAS
COLLAPSED AS A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NE PACIFIC...WITH A
NEW HIGH NOW TO THE W AND WELL N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EXTENDS
A NARROW RIDGE E TO NEAR 37N140W AND THEN DRAPES ACROSS AND TO
THE N OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE...THEN S-SE TO NEAR 20N122W.
MEANWHILE TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. A
MODEST PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS 6 TO 8 FT JUST W
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE THESE
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO SHIFT SLOWLY NW.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WITH MIXED SW SWELL.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300232
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SAT AUG 30 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR
30N133.5W AT 1003 MB. A SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS STILL
SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING WITHIN 500 NM OF THE SE
SEMICIRCLE AND MULTILAYERED MAINLY STRATOFORM CLOUDS ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE AREA WATERS WITHIN 500 NM OF THE CENTER. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS FROM 150 TO 270 NM N OF THE CENTER
AND WELL N OF THE LOCAL WATERS. MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS
CONTINUE ACROSS WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE N SIDE OF THE
CENTER...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 06 UTC
SAT...WHEN THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT N AND OUT OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO
THE NW REACHING 32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS ACROSS
THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
EXTENDING FROM A WEAK LOW CENTER NEAR 12N97W N-NE ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE FAR W BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE WAVE HAD
BEEN MOVING W-NW ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AT 20-25 KT THE PAST 24
HOURS...BUT THE S PORTION OF THE WAVE IN THE EPAC IS NOW MOVING
W AT 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 92W AND 102W. THE
TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK
DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND ENERGY
HAS SHIFTED W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NEW LOW PRES NEAR 12N97W
1008 MB TO 10N120W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING
ON TO 12N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION NOTED N OF 08N TO COASTS BETWEEN 80W AND 95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N
AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 97W AND 110.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRES PERSISTING N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W LAST NIGHT HAS
COLLAPSED AS A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NE PACIFIC...WITH A
NEW HIGH NOW TO THE W AND WELL N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EXTENDS
A NARROW RIDGE E TO NEAR 37N140W AND THEN DRAPES ACROSS AND TO
THE N OF THE REMNANTS OF MARIE...THEN S-SE TO NEAR 20N122W.
MEANWHILE TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. A
MODEST PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS 6 TO 8 FT JUST W
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE THESE
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO SHIFT SLOWLY NW.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WITH MIXED SW SWELL.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 300045
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN EXTENSA AREA DESORGANIZADA DE NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON
UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA EN EL CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. MIENTRAS
LA ONDA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS DE LA ATMOSFERA SE VAN A TORNAR UN
POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA SU DESARROLLO EL SABADO. SIN EMBARGO...
MIENTRAS EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN
EL DOMINGO LAS INTERACCIONES CON LA TIERRA LIMITARAN
SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE SU DESARROLLO. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE
ESPERAN ESTEN MAS CONDUCENTES PARA QUE OCURRA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL
UNA VEZ EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 300045
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN EXTENSA AREA DESORGANIZADA DE NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON
UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA EN EL CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. MIENTRAS
LA ONDA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS DE LA ATMOSFERA SE VAN A TORNAR UN
POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA SU DESARROLLO EL SABADO. SIN EMBARGO...
MIENTRAS EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN
EL DOMINGO LAS INTERACCIONES CON LA TIERRA LIMITARAN
SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE SU DESARROLLO. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE
ESPERAN ESTEN MAS CONDUCENTES PARA QUE OCURRA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL
UNA VEZ EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 300045
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN EXTENSA AREA DESORGANIZADA DE NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON
UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA EN EL CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. MIENTRAS
LA ONDA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS DE LA ATMOSFERA SE VAN A TORNAR UN
POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA SU DESARROLLO EL SABADO. SIN EMBARGO...
MIENTRAS EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN
EL DOMINGO LAS INTERACCIONES CON LA TIERRA LIMITARAN
SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE SU DESARROLLO. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE
ESPERAN ESTEN MAS CONDUCENTES PARA QUE OCURRA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL
UNA VEZ EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 300045
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN EXTENSA AREA DESORGANIZADA DE NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON
UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA EN EL CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. MIENTRAS
LA ONDA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS DE LA ATMOSFERA SE VAN A TORNAR UN
POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA SU DESARROLLO EL SABADO. SIN EMBARGO...
MIENTRAS EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN
EL DOMINGO LAS INTERACCIONES CON LA TIERRA LIMITARAN
SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE SU DESARROLLO. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE
ESPERAN ESTEN MAS CONDUCENTES PARA QUE OCURRA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL
UNA VEZ EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
AXNT20 KNHC 292345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N17W TO 13N17W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 19N18W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THIS WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 20N-21N MAINLY E OF 17W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N39W TO 10N42W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE CONVECTION IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS WAVE IS MAINLY INDUCED BY THE MONSOON
TROUGH...WHICH IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N51W TO 10N53W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NEAR THIS WAVE ALSO ASIDE FROM THE ONE ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N77W TO 10N81W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. A 1008
MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N81W. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF EASTERN CUBA FROM 13N-20N
BETWEEN 75W-83W. THE STRONGEST AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REMAINS W OF THE AXIS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 75W-79W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
08N22W TO 10N46W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N46W TO THE COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 10N60W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 24W-43W ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-13N
BETWEEN 47W-55W WHILE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN
W OF 53W BETWEEN 10N-13N.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS E FROM THE LOW TO 27N97W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 87W-96W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS LATER THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF...ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRESENT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WATERS NEAR 23N96W. AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF NEAR 30N86W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF
28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE CARIBBEAN S OF EASTERN CUBA
IS DOMINATING THE WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE
ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ELONGATED LOW IS LOCATED ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC NEAR 24N69W AND EXTENDING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 15N78W WHILE
ANOTHER ONE IS LOCATED ACROSS SE PUERTO RICO NEAR 16N75W. THE
INTERACTION OF THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE ENHANCING THE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
THE TROPICAL WAVE TO CONTINUE MOVING W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC.

...HISPANIOLA...

TWO CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. THE
STRONGEST ONE IS LOCATED OVER NW HAITI FROM 19N-20N BETWEEN 72W-
74W. THE OTHER ONE IS OVER S DOMINICAN REPUBLIC W OF 70W...
BETWEEN 17N-19N. ASIDE FROM THAT...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N67W TO 29N78W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-29N BETWEEN 75W-79W.
A 1021 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N54W. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N69W WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N36W GENERATING ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 292345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N17W TO 13N17W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 19N18W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THIS WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 20N-21N MAINLY E OF 17W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N39W TO 10N42W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE CONVECTION IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS WAVE IS MAINLY INDUCED BY THE MONSOON
TROUGH...WHICH IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N51W TO 10N53W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NEAR THIS WAVE ALSO ASIDE FROM THE ONE ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N77W TO 10N81W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. A 1008
MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N81W. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF EASTERN CUBA FROM 13N-20N
BETWEEN 75W-83W. THE STRONGEST AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REMAINS W OF THE AXIS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 75W-79W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
08N22W TO 10N46W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N46W TO THE COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 10N60W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 24W-43W ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-13N
BETWEEN 47W-55W WHILE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN
W OF 53W BETWEEN 10N-13N.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS E FROM THE LOW TO 27N97W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 87W-96W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS LATER THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF...ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRESENT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WATERS NEAR 23N96W. AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF NEAR 30N86W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF
28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE CARIBBEAN S OF EASTERN CUBA
IS DOMINATING THE WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE
ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ELONGATED LOW IS LOCATED ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC NEAR 24N69W AND EXTENDING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 15N78W WHILE
ANOTHER ONE IS LOCATED ACROSS SE PUERTO RICO NEAR 16N75W. THE
INTERACTION OF THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE ENHANCING THE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
THE TROPICAL WAVE TO CONTINUE MOVING W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC.

...HISPANIOLA...

TWO CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. THE
STRONGEST ONE IS LOCATED OVER NW HAITI FROM 19N-20N BETWEEN 72W-
74W. THE OTHER ONE IS OVER S DOMINICAN REPUBLIC W OF 70W...
BETWEEN 17N-19N. ASIDE FROM THAT...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N67W TO 29N78W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-29N BETWEEN 75W-79W.
A 1021 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N54W. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N69W WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N36W GENERATING ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 292345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N17W TO 13N17W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 19N18W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THIS WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 20N-21N MAINLY E OF 17W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N39W TO 10N42W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE CONVECTION IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS WAVE IS MAINLY INDUCED BY THE MONSOON
TROUGH...WHICH IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N51W TO 10N53W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NEAR THIS WAVE ALSO ASIDE FROM THE ONE ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N77W TO 10N81W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. A 1008
MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N81W. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF EASTERN CUBA FROM 13N-20N
BETWEEN 75W-83W. THE STRONGEST AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REMAINS W OF THE AXIS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 75W-79W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
08N22W TO 10N46W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N46W TO THE COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 10N60W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 24W-43W ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-13N
BETWEEN 47W-55W WHILE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN
W OF 53W BETWEEN 10N-13N.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS E FROM THE LOW TO 27N97W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 87W-96W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS LATER THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF...ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRESENT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WATERS NEAR 23N96W. AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF NEAR 30N86W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF
28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE CARIBBEAN S OF EASTERN CUBA
IS DOMINATING THE WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE
ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ELONGATED LOW IS LOCATED ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC NEAR 24N69W AND EXTENDING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 15N78W WHILE
ANOTHER ONE IS LOCATED ACROSS SE PUERTO RICO NEAR 16N75W. THE
INTERACTION OF THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE ENHANCING THE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
THE TROPICAL WAVE TO CONTINUE MOVING W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC.

...HISPANIOLA...

TWO CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. THE
STRONGEST ONE IS LOCATED OVER NW HAITI FROM 19N-20N BETWEEN 72W-
74W. THE OTHER ONE IS OVER S DOMINICAN REPUBLIC W OF 70W...
BETWEEN 17N-19N. ASIDE FROM THAT...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N67W TO 29N78W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-29N BETWEEN 75W-79W.
A 1021 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N54W. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N69W WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N36W GENERATING ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 292345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N17W TO 13N17W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 19N18W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THIS WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 20N-21N MAINLY E OF 17W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N39W TO 10N42W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE CONVECTION IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS WAVE IS MAINLY INDUCED BY THE MONSOON
TROUGH...WHICH IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N51W TO 10N53W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NEAR THIS WAVE ALSO ASIDE FROM THE ONE ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N77W TO 10N81W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. A 1008
MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N81W. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF EASTERN CUBA FROM 13N-20N
BETWEEN 75W-83W. THE STRONGEST AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REMAINS W OF THE AXIS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 75W-79W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
08N22W TO 10N46W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N46W TO THE COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 10N60W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 24W-43W ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-13N
BETWEEN 47W-55W WHILE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN
W OF 53W BETWEEN 10N-13N.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS E FROM THE LOW TO 27N97W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 87W-96W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS LATER THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF...ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRESENT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WATERS NEAR 23N96W. AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF NEAR 30N86W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF
28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE CARIBBEAN S OF EASTERN CUBA
IS DOMINATING THE WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE
ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ELONGATED LOW IS LOCATED ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC NEAR 24N69W AND EXTENDING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 15N78W WHILE
ANOTHER ONE IS LOCATED ACROSS SE PUERTO RICO NEAR 16N75W. THE
INTERACTION OF THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE ENHANCING THE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
THE TROPICAL WAVE TO CONTINUE MOVING W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC.

...HISPANIOLA...

TWO CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. THE
STRONGEST ONE IS LOCATED OVER NW HAITI FROM 19N-20N BETWEEN 72W-
74W. THE OTHER ONE IS OVER S DOMINICAN REPUBLIC W OF 70W...
BETWEEN 17N-19N. ASIDE FROM THAT...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N67W TO 29N78W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-29N BETWEEN 75W-79W.
A 1021 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N54W. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N69W WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N36W GENERATING ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
ACPN50 PHFO 292345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

LAU









000
ACPN50 PHFO 292345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

LAU









000
ACPN50 PHFO 292345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

LAU









000
ACPN50 PHFO 292345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

LAU









000
ABNT20 KNHC 292321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms is
associated with a tropical wave located in the central Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more
favorable for development on Saturday while the wave moves into the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. However, land interaction will likely
limit significant development as the disturbance moves across the
Yucatan peninsula on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for some gradual development once the system moves
into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 292321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms is
associated with a tropical wave located in the central Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more
favorable for development on Saturday while the wave moves into the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. However, land interaction will likely
limit significant development as the disturbance moves across the
Yucatan peninsula on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for some gradual development once the system moves
into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292312
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292312
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 292201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR
29N133.5W AT 1002 MB. A SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS SEEN IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY WITHIN 500 NM OF THE SE SEMICIRCLE AND
MULTILAYERED MAINLY STRATOFORM CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA
WATERS WITHIN 500 NM OF THE CENTER. SOME MODERATE CONVECTION HAS
RECENTLY DEVELOPED 90 TO 270 NM N OF THE CENTER AND WELL N OF
THE LOCAL WATERS. MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS
WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE N SIDE OF THE CENTER...AND A GALE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 00 UTC SAT...WHEN THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT N AND OUT OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NW REACHING
32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF
THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...EXTENDING FROM NEAR 11N95.5W N-NE ACROSS SOUTHERN
MEXICO AND INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO. THE WAVE HAD BEEN MOVING
W-NW ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AT 20-25 KT THE PAST 24 HOURS...BUT
THE S PORTION OF THE WAVE IN THE EPAC IS NOW MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. THE TROPICAL WAVE
WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK DURING THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND ENERGY HAS SHIFTED
W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES IN SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 12N81W 1010 MB TO 12.5N95W TO 11N109W TO 08N119W...WHERE IT
TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 12N135W TO BEYOND
11.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...AND WITHIN 180 NM N AND
270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 109W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W OVERNIGHT HAS COLLAPSED AS
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NE PACIFIC...WITH A NEW HIGH TO
THE W AND WELL N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EXTENDING A NARROW
RIDGE E TO NEAR 37N140W AND THEN SADDLES ACROSS AND TO THE N OF
THE REMNANTS OF MARIE...THEN SE TO NEAR 30N122W. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. A MODEST
PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO
STRONG NW-N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE THESE CONDITIONS
BEGIN TO SHIFT SLOWLY NW.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 292201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR
29N133.5W AT 1002 MB. A SHALLOW STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IS SEEN IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY WITHIN 500 NM OF THE SE SEMICIRCLE AND
MULTILAYERED MAINLY STRATOFORM CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA
WATERS WITHIN 500 NM OF THE CENTER. SOME MODERATE CONVECTION HAS
RECENTLY DEVELOPED 90 TO 270 NM N OF THE CENTER AND WELL N OF
THE LOCAL WATERS. MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS
WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE N SIDE OF THE CENTER...AND A GALE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 00 UTC SAT...WHEN THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT N AND OUT OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NW REACHING
32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF
THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...EXTENDING FROM NEAR 11N95.5W N-NE ACROSS SOUTHERN
MEXICO AND INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO. THE WAVE HAD BEEN MOVING
W-NW ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AT 20-25 KT THE PAST 24 HOURS...BUT
THE S PORTION OF THE WAVE IN THE EPAC IS NOW MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. THE TROPICAL WAVE
WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK DURING THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND ENERGY HAS SHIFTED
W-NW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES IN SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 12N81W 1010 MB TO 12.5N95W TO 11N109W TO 08N119W...WHERE IT
TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 12N135W TO BEYOND
11.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...AND WITHIN 180 NM N AND
270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 109W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W OVERNIGHT HAS COLLAPSED AS
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NE PACIFIC...WITH A NEW HIGH TO
THE W AND WELL N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EXTENDING A NARROW
RIDGE E TO NEAR 37N140W AND THEN SADDLES ACROSS AND TO THE N OF
THE REMNANTS OF MARIE...THEN SE TO NEAR 30N122W. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. A MODEST
PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO
STRONG NW-N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE THESE CONDITIONS
BEGIN TO SHIFT SLOWLY NW.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING


000
ACPN50 PHFO 291755
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

KINEL




000
ACPN50 PHFO 291755
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

KINEL





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 291743
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE CRISTOBAL...EL CUAL AHORA ES UN CICLON POST TROPICAL
LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN AREA GRANDE DE NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL
CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE ESTA ASOCIADA A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA
QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO EL SABADO MIENTRAS LA ONDA SE MUEVE SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN EL DOMINGO Y HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL
GOLFO DE MEXICO EL LUNES...DONDE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE
ESPERAN QUE SEAN FAVORABLES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.


PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 291743
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE CRISTOBAL...EL CUAL AHORA ES UN CICLON POST TROPICAL
LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN AREA GRANDE DE NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL
CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE ESTA ASOCIADA A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA
QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SEAN UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO EL SABADO MIENTRAS LA ONDA SE MUEVE SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EL DISTURBIO SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN EL DOMINGO Y HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL
GOLFO DE MEXICO EL LUNES...DONDE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE
ESPERAN QUE SEAN FAVORABLES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.


PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 291734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is forecast to move
across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
AXNT20 KNHC 291732
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL AT 29/1500 UTC IS
NEAR 45.5N 47.1W...OR ABOUT 261 NM TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
RACE IN NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS. THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. THE
LAST MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 46N-50N BETWEEN 40W-
47W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N16W TO 13N16W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 18N16W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THE COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 18W-22W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N37W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM
12N-17N BETWEEN 34W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SE OF
THE AXIS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 33W-39W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N49W TO 10N50W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A GOOD AMOUNT OF
SAHARAN DUST AND DRY AIR IS N OF 12N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 45W-53W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N74W TO 9N76W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 18N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF HISPANIOLA FROM 14N-19N
BETWEEN 69W-72W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 76W-
83W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
9N22W TO 9N50W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 9N50W TO TO THE COAST OF
SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 8N60W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 23W-25W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1008 MB LOW
OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS E FROM THE
LOW TO 29N90W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN
83W-98W. ELSEWHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 25N98W. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 27N89W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF
W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF 28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT
OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24
HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER S HISPANIOLA S
OF 19N BETWEEN 69W-72W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N66W TO 29N79W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 67W-80W.
A 1022MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. A 1021
MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W. ANOTHER 1023
MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N26W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N67W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N35W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 291732
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL AT 29/1500 UTC IS
NEAR 45.5N 47.1W...OR ABOUT 261 NM TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
RACE IN NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS. THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. THE
LAST MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 46N-50N BETWEEN 40W-
47W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N16W TO 13N16W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 18N16W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THE COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 18W-22W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N37W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM
12N-17N BETWEEN 34W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SE OF
THE AXIS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 33W-39W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N49W TO 10N50W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A GOOD AMOUNT OF
SAHARAN DUST AND DRY AIR IS N OF 12N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 45W-53W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N74W TO 9N76W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 18N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF HISPANIOLA FROM 14N-19N
BETWEEN 69W-72W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 76W-
83W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
9N22W TO 9N50W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 9N50W TO TO THE COAST OF
SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 8N60W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 23W-25W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1008 MB LOW
OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS E FROM THE
LOW TO 29N90W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN
83W-98W. ELSEWHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 25N98W. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 27N89W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF
W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF 28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT
OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24
HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER S HISPANIOLA S
OF 19N BETWEEN 69W-72W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N66W TO 29N79W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 67W-80W.
A 1022MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. A 1021
MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W. ANOTHER 1023
MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N26W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N67W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N35W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 291732
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL AT 29/1500 UTC IS
NEAR 45.5N 47.1W...OR ABOUT 261 NM TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
RACE IN NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS. THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. THE
LAST MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 46N-50N BETWEEN 40W-
47W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N16W TO 13N16W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 18N16W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THE COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 18W-22W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N37W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM
12N-17N BETWEEN 34W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SE OF
THE AXIS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 33W-39W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N49W TO 10N50W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A GOOD AMOUNT OF
SAHARAN DUST AND DRY AIR IS N OF 12N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 45W-53W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N74W TO 9N76W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 18N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF HISPANIOLA FROM 14N-19N
BETWEEN 69W-72W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 76W-
83W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
9N22W TO 9N50W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 9N50W TO TO THE COAST OF
SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 8N60W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 23W-25W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1008 MB LOW
OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS E FROM THE
LOW TO 29N90W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN
83W-98W. ELSEWHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 25N98W. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 27N89W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF
W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF 28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT
OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24
HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER S HISPANIOLA S
OF 19N BETWEEN 69W-72W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N66W TO 29N79W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 67W-80W.
A 1022MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. A 1021
MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W. ANOTHER 1023
MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N26W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N67W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N35W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 291732
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL AT 29/1500 UTC IS
NEAR 45.5N 47.1W...OR ABOUT 261 NM TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
RACE IN NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS. THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. THE
LAST MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY ON CRISTOBAL WAS ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 46N-50N BETWEEN 40W-
47W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA EXTENDING FROM
22N16W TO 13N16W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON
THE WAVE AXIS AT 18N16W. SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A MOIST AREA ALONG THE COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 18W-22W.
EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N37W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM
12N-17N BETWEEN 34W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SE OF
THE AXIS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 33W-39W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N49W TO 10N50W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A GOOD AMOUNT OF
SAHARAN DUST AND DRY AIR IS N OF 12N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 45W-53W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N74W TO 9N76W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 18N SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF HISPANIOLA FROM 14N-19N
BETWEEN 69W-72W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 76W-
83W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
9N22W TO 9N50W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 9N50W TO TO THE COAST OF
SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 8N60W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 23W-25W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1008 MB LOW
OVER S TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS E FROM THE
LOW TO 29N90W TO N FLORIDA AT 30N84W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN
83W-98W. ELSEWHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS OVER S TEXAS NEAR 25N98W. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 27N89W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE W GULF
W OF 90W...AND THE NE GULF N OF 28N TO INCLUDE THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT
OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24
HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER S HISPANIOLA S
OF 19N BETWEEN 69W-72W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO TRAVERSE THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 30N66W TO 29N79W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 67W-80W.
A 1022MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. A 1021
MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W. ANOTHER 1023
MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N26W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N67W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N35W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 291516
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR
28.5N133.5W 1002 MB. NO DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS. OVERNIGHT ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA STILL SHOWED AN AREA OF MINIMAL GALE FORCE
WINDS ON THE N SIDE OF THE CENTER SO A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 00 UTC SAT ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY DIMINISH BELOW GALE
FORCE BY 18 UTC LATER TODAY. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE TO THE NW REACHING 32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND
SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS
ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N95W TO THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75-150 NM OF
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 95W AND 102W. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL
LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-
48 HOURS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N104W TO
09N117W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N117W TO 12N128W TO
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND
95W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 16W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRES AT 1023 MB IS N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W WITH A RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING TO THE SE THROUGH 32N123W TO 20N121W. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. BETWEEN
THE TWO...A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-
N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 291516
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR
28.5N133.5W 1002 MB. NO DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS. OVERNIGHT ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA STILL SHOWED AN AREA OF MINIMAL GALE FORCE
WINDS ON THE N SIDE OF THE CENTER SO A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 00 UTC SAT ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY DIMINISH BELOW GALE
FORCE BY 18 UTC LATER TODAY. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE TO THE NW REACHING 32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND
SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS
ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N95W TO THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75-150 NM OF
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 95W AND 102W. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL
LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-
48 HOURS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N104W TO
09N117W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N117W TO 12N128W TO
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND
95W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 16W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRES AT 1023 MB IS N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W WITH A RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING TO THE SE THROUGH 32N123W TO 20N121W. MEANWHILE
TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. BETWEEN
THE TWO...A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-
N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT.

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS.

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 291449
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 291449
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
ACPN50 PHFO 291155
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

POWELL







000
ACPN50 PHFO 291155
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST FRI AUG 29 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

POWELL








000
ACCA62 TJSJ 291144
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE CAPE RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA
DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS. SIN EMBARGO...LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA ALGUN
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y HACIA EL
SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO EL DOMINGO EN LA NOCHE O LUNES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL CERCA DE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
ACTIVIDAD MINIMA DE AGUACEROS. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO ESTE Y CENTRAL
TROPICAL.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 291144
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE CAPE RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA
DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS. SIN EMBARGO...LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA ALGUN
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y HACIA EL
SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO EL DOMINGO EN LA NOCHE O LUNES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL CERCA DE LA COSTA OESTE DE AFRICA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
ACTIVIDAD MINIMA DE AGUACEROS. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA
EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO ESTE Y CENTRAL
TROPICAL.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 291138
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located a few hundred miles southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean
Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level winds are
exepected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or so. However, environmental conditions could become
more conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico Sunday night or Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing minimal
shower activity.  Environmental conditions are expected to remain
unfavorable for development of this system during the next several
days while it moves westward near 15 mph across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 291138
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located a few hundred miles southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean
Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level winds are
exepected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or so. However, environmental conditions could become
more conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico Sunday night or Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing minimal
shower activity.  Environmental conditions are expected to remain
unfavorable for development of this system during the next several
days while it moves westward near 15 mph across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
post-tropical cyclone Marie, located almost a thousand miles
west-southwest of San Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
post-tropical cyclone Marie, located almost a thousand miles
west-southwest of San Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
AXNT20 KNHC 291103
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL AT 29/0900 UTC IS NEAR 42.1N
51.7W...OR ABOUT 285 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE IN
NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...OR 55
DEGREES...43 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
973 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED
UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 42N TO 44N
BETWEEN 48W AND 50W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 38W FROM 22N SOUTHWARD.
THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 32W AND
36W...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 33W AND 35W...AND FROM 14N TO 15N
BETWEEN 37W AND 38W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 47W/48W FROM 22N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 47W AND
48W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N49W. ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...ALONG 72W...THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE
PENINSULA DE LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE
IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 72W...AND
REMAINING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN
74W AND 76W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
CLOUDS COVER THE REST OF THE AREA THAT IS BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.
THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC ARE COVERED BY MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W/90W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO EASTERN
GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...REMNANT SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING
THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 11N15W TO 9N31W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 9N31W TO 8N44W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 13N
BETWEEN 17W AND 20W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 20W AND 26W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH LOUISIANA
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...OFF THE COAST OF TEXAS...TO
THE MEXICO GULF COAST NEAR 21N. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AWAY FROM THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS RELATED TO THE
LOUISIANA-TO-GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH. A SURFACE TROUGH CURVES
ALONG 21N92W 26N90W...TO THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NEAR 29N83W...
ACROSS FLORIDA AND INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 29N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG THE TEXAS GULF
COAST WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 27N97.5W...FROM 26N TO 28N
BETWEEN 90W AND 94W...SCATTERED STRONG FROM THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 93W AND
94W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 26N TO 28N
BETWEEN 83W AND 89W IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN WITHIN 30 TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 30N68W 28N74W 28N79W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W/90W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO EASTERN
GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...REMNANT SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING
THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
SITES...KOPM...KCRH...KEMK...KGUL IS SHOWING 2 TO 3 MILES OF
VISIBILITY WITH HAZE...KVQT...KGHB...KATP...KMDJ...KAXO...AND
AT K9F2.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS AND RAIN...AND RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDER...ARE IN THE LOWER VALLEY OF TEXAS...FROM ROCKPORT TO
THE CORPUS CHRISTI METROPOLITAN AREA AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF
COAST...LOW CLOUD CEILINGS IN PORT LAVACA TEXAS...A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA METROPOLITAN AREA...AND IN SARASOTA FLORIDA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W/90W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO EASTERN
GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...REMNANT SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING
THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N78W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 23N66W. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CENTER IS
REACHING THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF HISPANIOLA. CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE 14N78W CARIBBEAN SEA CENTER
REACHES THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
29/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN
CURACAO...AND 0.09 IN TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N/10N BETWEEN 74W IN COLOMBIA
BEYOND 85W/86W IN COSTA RICA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 14N78W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF
PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA
TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM HAITI TO COLOMBIA ALONG 72W...
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. EXPECT ALSO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 72W AND
75W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...ALONG 72W...THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE
PENINSULA DE LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE
IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 72W...AND
REMAINING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN
74W AND 76W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
CLOUDS COVER THE REST OF THE AREA THAT IS BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.
THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC ARE COVERED BY MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N78W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 23N66W. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CENTER IS
REACHING THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF HISPANIOLA. CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE 14N78W CARIBBEAN SEA CENTER
REACHES THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...FEW CUMULONIMBUS
CLOUDS...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
ARE IN PUNTA CANA. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVERS SANTIAGO.
FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE
IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH THAT WILL BE JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST...AND AN EAST-TO-WEST ORIENTED RIDGE THAT WILL RUN
FROM THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS TOWARD HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT FIRST EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL START FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
WILL BE ON TOP OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...EXTENDING A RIDGE TOWARD
HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 36 TO 42
HOURS. A RIDGE EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ACROSS
HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM HAITI TO COLOMBIA ALONG 72W...
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. EXPECT ALSO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 72W AND
75W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO 30N72W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 31N79W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 23N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 55W AND 75W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 21N TO 28N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
29N38W AND 26N42W. A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH
32N40W TO 31N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N38W 29N45W 28N53W.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N24W...TO 28N33W...TO A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 28N55W...TO 27N70W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS
TO 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 291103
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL AT 29/0900 UTC IS NEAR 42.1N
51.7W...OR ABOUT 285 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE IN
NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...OR 55
DEGREES...43 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
973 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED
UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 42N TO 44N
BETWEEN 48W AND 50W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 38W FROM 22N SOUTHWARD.
THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 32W AND
36W...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 33W AND 35W...AND FROM 14N TO 15N
BETWEEN 37W AND 38W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 47W/48W FROM 22N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 47W AND
48W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N49W. ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...ALONG 72W...THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE
PENINSULA DE LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE
IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 72W...AND
REMAINING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN
74W AND 76W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
CLOUDS COVER THE REST OF THE AREA THAT IS BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.
THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC ARE COVERED BY MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W/90W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO EASTERN
GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...REMNANT SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING
THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 11N15W TO 9N31W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 9N31W TO 8N44W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 13N
BETWEEN 17W AND 20W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 20W AND 26W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH LOUISIANA
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...OFF THE COAST OF TEXAS...TO
THE MEXICO GULF COAST NEAR 21N. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AWAY FROM THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS RELATED TO THE
LOUISIANA-TO-GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH. A SURFACE TROUGH CURVES
ALONG 21N92W 26N90W...TO THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NEAR 29N83W...
ACROSS FLORIDA AND INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 29N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG THE TEXAS GULF
COAST WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 27N97.5W...FROM 26N TO 28N
BETWEEN 90W AND 94W...SCATTERED STRONG FROM THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 93W AND
94W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 26N TO 28N
BETWEEN 83W AND 89W IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN WITHIN 30 TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 30N68W 28N74W 28N79W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W/90W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO EASTERN
GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...REMNANT SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING
THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
SITES...KOPM...KCRH...KEMK...KGUL IS SHOWING 2 TO 3 MILES OF
VISIBILITY WITH HAZE...KVQT...KGHB...KATP...KMDJ...KAXO...AND
AT K9F2.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS AND RAIN...AND RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDER...ARE IN THE LOWER VALLEY OF TEXAS...FROM ROCKPORT TO
THE CORPUS CHRISTI METROPOLITAN AREA AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF
COAST...LOW CLOUD CEILINGS IN PORT LAVACA TEXAS...A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA METROPOLITAN AREA...AND IN SARASOTA FLORIDA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W/90W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO EASTERN
GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...REMNANT SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING
THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N78W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 23N66W. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CENTER IS
REACHING THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF HISPANIOLA. CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE 14N78W CARIBBEAN SEA CENTER
REACHES THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
29/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN
CURACAO...AND 0.09 IN TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N/10N BETWEEN 74W IN COLOMBIA
BEYOND 85W/86W IN COSTA RICA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 14N78W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA THAT IS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE AREAS OF
PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING THE 72W HAITI-TO-COLOMBIA
TROPICAL WAVE...FROM 18N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 75W AND 85W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM HAITI TO COLOMBIA ALONG 72W...
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. EXPECT ALSO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 72W AND
75W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...ALONG 72W...THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE
PENINSULA DE LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE
IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 72W...AND
REMAINING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN
74W AND 76W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
CLOUDS COVER THE REST OF THE AREA THAT IS BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.
THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC ARE COVERED BY MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N78W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 23N66W. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CENTER IS
REACHING THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF HISPANIOLA. CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE 14N78W CARIBBEAN SEA CENTER
REACHES THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...FEW CUMULONIMBUS
CLOUDS...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
ARE IN PUNTA CANA. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVERS SANTIAGO.
FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE
IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH THAT WILL BE JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST...AND AN EAST-TO-WEST ORIENTED RIDGE THAT WILL RUN
FROM THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS TOWARD HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT FIRST EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL START FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
WILL BE ON TOP OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...EXTENDING A RIDGE TOWARD
HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 36 TO 42
HOURS. A RIDGE EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ACROSS
HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM HAITI TO COLOMBIA ALONG 72W...
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. EXPECT ALSO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 72W AND
75W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO 30N72W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 31N79W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 23N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 55W AND 75W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 21N TO 28N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
29N38W AND 26N42W. A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH
32N40W TO 31N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N38W 29N45W 28N53W.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N24W...TO 28N33W...TO A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 28N55W...TO 27N70W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS
TO 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 290903
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE
TERRANOVA...CANADA.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA EL
DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS MIENTRAS QUE EL SISTEMA
SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES
PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL CERCA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
ACTIVIDAD MINIMA DE AGUACEROS. SE ESPERA QUE DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA...SI ALGUNO...OCURRA LENTAMENTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL
ATLANTICO ESTE Y CENTRAL TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 290903
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE
TERRANOVA...CANADA.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA EL
DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS MIENTRAS QUE EL SISTEMA
SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES
PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL CERCA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
ACTIVIDAD MINIMA DE AGUACEROS. SE ESPERA QUE DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA...SI ALGUNO...OCURRA LENTAMENTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL
ATLANTICO ESTE Y CENTRAL TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290850
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900
UTC OR ABOUT 855 NM W-SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MOVING NW AT 12
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB. THE BROAD LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD OF
MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY TONIGHT...WITH NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 11N92W 9N100W TO
9N118W THEN RESUMES NEAR 12N131W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF MEXICO
BETWEEN 94W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 81W-93W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-108W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME. THESE SWELLS HAVE BEEN EFFECTING
THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
CALIFORNIA AND ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS COULD STILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS.

A 1023 MB HIGH REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDING A
RIDGE AXIS THROUGH 32N125W SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA/W MEXICO
OVERNIGHT WHICH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290850
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900
UTC OR ABOUT 855 NM W-SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MOVING NW AT 12
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB. THE BROAD LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD OF
MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY TONIGHT...WITH NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 11N92W 9N100W TO
9N118W THEN RESUMES NEAR 12N131W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF MEXICO
BETWEEN 94W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 81W-93W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-108W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME. THESE SWELLS HAVE BEEN EFFECTING
THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
CALIFORNIA AND ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS COULD STILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS.

A 1023 MB HIGH REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDING A
RIDGE AXIS THROUGH 32N125W SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA/W MEXICO
OVERNIGHT WHICH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290850
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900
UTC OR ABOUT 855 NM W-SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MOVING NW AT 12
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB. THE BROAD LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD OF
MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY TONIGHT...WITH NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 11N92W 9N100W TO
9N118W THEN RESUMES NEAR 12N131W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF MEXICO
BETWEEN 94W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 81W-93W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-108W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME. THESE SWELLS HAVE BEEN EFFECTING
THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
CALIFORNIA AND ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS COULD STILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS.

A 1023 MB HIGH REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDING A
RIDGE AXIS THROUGH 32N125W SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA/W MEXICO
OVERNIGHT WHICH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290850
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900
UTC OR ABOUT 855 NM W-SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MOVING NW AT 12
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB. THE BROAD LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD OF
MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY TONIGHT...WITH NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 11N92W 9N100W TO
9N118W THEN RESUMES NEAR 12N131W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF MEXICO
BETWEEN 94W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 81W-93W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-108W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME. THESE SWELLS HAVE BEEN EFFECTING
THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
CALIFORNIA AND ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS COULD STILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS.

A 1023 MB HIGH REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDING A
RIDGE AXIS THROUGH 32N125W SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA/W MEXICO
OVERNIGHT WHICH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
PAW


000
WTNT34 KNHC 290836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.1N 51.7W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 49 MPH...80 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.7 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 49 MPH...80 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265
MILES...425 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT34 KNHC 290836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.1N 51.7W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 49 MPH...80 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.7 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 49 MPH...80 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265
MILES...425 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT34 KNHC 290836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.1N 51.7W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 49 MPH...80 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.7 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 49 MPH...80 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265
MILES...425 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT34 KNHC 290836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014

...CRISTOBAL RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.1N 51.7W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 49 MPH...80 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.7 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 49 MPH...80 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265
MILES...425 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT24 KNHC 290835
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  43 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......190NE 230SE 220SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 260SE 660SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  53.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.4N  45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  39.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 52.9N  32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 160SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 280SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.1N  51.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTNT24 KNHC 290835
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  43 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......190NE 230SE 220SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 260SE 660SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  53.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.4N  45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  39.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 52.9N  32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 160SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 280SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.1N  51.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTNT24 KNHC 290835
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  43 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......190NE 230SE 220SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 260SE 660SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  53.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.4N  45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  39.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 52.9N  32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 160SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 280SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.1N  51.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTNT24 KNHC 290835
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  43 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......190NE 230SE 220SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 260SE 660SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N  51.7W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  53.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.4N  45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  39.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 52.9N  32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 160SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 280SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.1N  51.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290833
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...MARIE BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...
...SWELLS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
SUBSIDE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 132.5W
ABOUT 985 MI...1585 KM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.5 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...
22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS.  FOR MORE
INFORMATION PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290832
TCMEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 132.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.7N 134.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.4N 135.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 30.7N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.3N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 29.5N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 132.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-
TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290832
TCMEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 132.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.7N 134.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.4N 135.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 30.7N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.3N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 29.5N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 132.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-
TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290832
TCMEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 132.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.7N 134.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.4N 135.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 30.7N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.3N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 29.5N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 132.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-
TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290832
TCMEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 132.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 132.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.7N 134.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.4N 135.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 30.7N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.3N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 29.5N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 132.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-
TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
AXNT20 KNHC 290604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL AT 29/0300 UTC IS NEAR 40.2N
56.6W...OR ABOUT 420 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE IN
NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD 40 KNOTS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 40N TO 42N BETWEEN 53W AND
55W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 37W/38W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 30W AND
36W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N
BETWEEN 33W AND 38W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W/46W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 46W AND
50W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 44W AND 50W.

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...TO 17N71W IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE PENINSULA DE
LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE IS MOVING
WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 69W AND 71W TO THE SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA...AND FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W...FROM
NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...NORTHWARD
TO 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N
BETWEEN 64W AND 67W...IN THE SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS OF
PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE WEST OF THE AREAS
OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING THE 17N71W-TO-PENINSULA
DE LA GUAJIRA TROPICAL WAVE.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N13W 8N18W 11N35W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 11N35W TO 12N49W AND 9N56W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 5N TO 7N
BETWEEN 20W AND 23W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 50W
AND 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 23N98W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT
IS MOVING AROUND THE 23N98W CENTER COVERS THE AREA THAT GOES
FROM 19N IN MEXICO TO 28N ALONG THE TEXAS COAST BETWEEN 93W AND
103W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W WESTWARD.

A WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS TO EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 33N76W TO 27N81W
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA THAT GOES FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...AND SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SIDE TO THE
GULF OF MEXICO SIDE...FROM 90W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE
WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...AND FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN FLORIDA AND 88W. ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE WEST OF THE AREAS
OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING THE 17N71W-TO-PENINSULA
DE LA GUAJIRA TROPICAL WAVE.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
29/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN
CURACAO...AND 0.09 IN TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH DOES NOT EXIST AT THIS MOMENT IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N69W TO 12N71W...MOVING WEST 20
TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET BETWEEN THE TROPICAL WAVE AND 71W. THE
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS WILL BE HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH OF 14N TO THE EAST OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO 65W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...TO 17N71W IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE PENINSULA DE
LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE IS MOVING
WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 69W AND 71W TO THE SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA...AND FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W...FROM
NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...NORTHWARD
TO 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N
BETWEEN 64W AND 67W...IN THE SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS OF
PUERTO RICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N78W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 22N64W. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CENTER IS
REACHING THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF HISPANIOLA. CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE 14N78W CARIBBEAN SEA CENTER
REACHES THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD CEILING IS IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...AND A
LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVER SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND OTHER SCATTERED LOW LEVEL AND
MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS OVER BARAHONA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
COVER SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE
IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH THAT WILL BE JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST...AND AN EAST-TO-WEST ORIENTED RIDGE THAT WILL RUN
FROM THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS TOWARD HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT FIRST EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL START FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
WILL BE ON TOP OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...EXTENDING A RIDGE TOWARD
HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 36 TO 42
HOURS. A RIDGE EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ACROSS
HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N69W TO 12N71W...MOVING WEST 20
TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET BETWEEN THE TROPICAL WAVE AND 71W. THE
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS WILL BE HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH OF 14N TO THE EAST OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO 65W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 23N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 55W AND 75W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N23W...TO 29N34W...TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 29N53W...TO 28N74W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...THE 6 HOUR FORECAST OF EAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 70W
AND 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 290604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL AT 29/0300 UTC IS NEAR 40.2N
56.6W...OR ABOUT 420 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE IN
NEWFOUNDLAND. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD 40 KNOTS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 40N TO 42N BETWEEN 53W AND
55W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 37W/38W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 30W AND
36W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N
BETWEEN 33W AND 38W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W/46W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 46W AND
50W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 44W AND 50W.

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...TO 17N71W IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE PENINSULA DE
LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE IS MOVING
WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 69W AND 71W TO THE SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA...AND FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W...FROM
NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...NORTHWARD
TO 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N
BETWEEN 64W AND 67W...IN THE SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS OF
PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE WEST OF THE AREAS
OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING THE 17N71W-TO-PENINSULA
DE LA GUAJIRA TROPICAL WAVE.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N13W 8N18W 11N35W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 11N35W TO 12N49W AND 9N56W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 5N TO 7N
BETWEEN 20W AND 23W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 50W
AND 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 23N98W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT
IS MOVING AROUND THE 23N98W CENTER COVERS THE AREA THAT GOES
FROM 19N IN MEXICO TO 28N ALONG THE TEXAS COAST BETWEEN 93W AND
103W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W WESTWARD.

A WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS TO EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 33N76W TO 27N81W
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA THAT GOES FROM THE BAHAMAS TO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...AND SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SIDE TO THE
GULF OF MEXICO SIDE...FROM 90W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE
WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...AND FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN FLORIDA AND 88W. ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W FROM 23N SOUTHWARD. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE WEST OF THE AREAS
OF PRECIPITATION THAT ARE ACCOMPANYING THE 17N71W-TO-PENINSULA
DE LA GUAJIRA TROPICAL WAVE.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
29/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN
CURACAO...AND 0.09 IN TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH DOES NOT EXIST AT THIS MOMENT IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N69W TO 12N71W...MOVING WEST 20
TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET BETWEEN THE TROPICAL WAVE AND 71W. THE
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS WILL BE HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH OF 14N TO THE EAST OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO 65W.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE CUTS ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...TO 17N71W IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE PENINSULA DE
LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. THE WAVE IS MOVING
WESTWARD 20 TO 25 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 69W AND 71W TO THE SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA...AND FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W...FROM
NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...NORTHWARD
TO 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N
BETWEEN 64W AND 67W...IN THE SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS OF
PUERTO RICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N78W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 22N64W. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CENTER IS
REACHING THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF HISPANIOLA. CYCLONIC WIND
FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE 14N78W CARIBBEAN SEA CENTER
REACHES THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD CEILING IS IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...AND A
LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING COVER SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND OTHER SCATTERED LOW LEVEL AND
MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS OVER BARAHONA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
COVER SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE
IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH THAT WILL BE JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST...AND AN EAST-TO-WEST ORIENTED RIDGE THAT WILL RUN
FROM THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS TOWARD HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT FIRST EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL START FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
WILL BE ON TOP OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...EXTENDING A RIDGE TOWARD
HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 36 TO 42
HOURS. A RIDGE EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ACROSS
HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N69W TO 12N71W...MOVING WEST 20
TO 25 KNOTS. EXPECT NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET BETWEEN THE TROPICAL WAVE AND 71W. THE
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS WILL BE HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH OF 14N TO THE EAST OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE TO 65W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 23N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 55W AND 75W
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N23W...TO 29N34W...TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 29N53W...TO 28N74W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...THE 6 HOUR FORECAST OF EAST WINDS 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 70W
AND 75W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
ACPN50 PHFO 290555
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

POWELL






000
ACPN50 PHFO 290555
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

POWELL







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 290534
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT VIERNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE
TERRANOVA...CANADA.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA EL
DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS MIENTRAS QUE EL SISTEMA
SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES
PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL CERCA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
ACTIVIDAD MINIMA DE AGUACEROS. SE ESPERA QUE DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA...SI ALGUNO...OCURRA LENTAMENTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL
ATLANTICO ESTE Y CENTRAL TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ABNT20 KNHC 290528
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland,
Canada.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing minimal
shower activity.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 290528
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland,
Canada.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing minimal
shower activity.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 290528
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland,
Canada.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing minimal
shower activity.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 290528
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland,
Canada.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing minimal
shower activity.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290502
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of San
Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290502
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of San
Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTNT34 KNHC 290253
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 56.6W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 46 MPH...74 KM/H...AND A
RAPID NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL
SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON FRIDAY...BUT REMAIN A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT34 KNHC 290253
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 56.6W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 46 MPH...74 KM/H...AND A
RAPID NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL
SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON FRIDAY...BUT REMAIN A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT34 KNHC 290253
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 56.6W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 46 MPH...74 KM/H...AND A
RAPID NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL
SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON FRIDAY...BUT REMAIN A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT34 KNHC 290253
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 56.6W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 46 MPH...74 KM/H...AND A
RAPID NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL
SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON FRIDAY...BUT REMAIN A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC THROUGH SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT24 KNHC 290253
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  56.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  40 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 100SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 220SE 220SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 280SE 360SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  56.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  58.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.1N  49.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 220SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 220SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 220SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.5N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N  56.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290252
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.8N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.5N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 131.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290252
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE ALMOST POST-TROPICAL...
...SWELLS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 131.5W
ABOUT 945 MI...1525 KM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.5 WEST.  MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERNIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL
AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290252
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.8N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.5N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 131.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290252
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE ALMOST POST-TROPICAL...
...SWELLS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 131.5W
ABOUT 945 MI...1525 KM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.5 WEST.  MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERNIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL
AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290252
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.8N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.5N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 131.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290252
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE ALMOST POST-TROPICAL...
...SWELLS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 131.5W
ABOUT 945 MI...1525 KM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.5 WEST.  MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERNIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL
AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290252
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 131.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.8N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.5N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 131.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290252
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE ALMOST POST-TROPICAL...
...SWELLS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 131.5W
ABOUT 945 MI...1525 KM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.5 WEST.  MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERNIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL
AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290250
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W AT 0300 UTC
AUG 29...OR 875 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY
THIS EVENING...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE QUADRANT. THE
WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-
TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL  SLOWING OF
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS MARIE IS
FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE THE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING HIGH SURF...VERY STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15.5N92W TO 09N101W TO
12N116W... THEN RESUMES FROM 16N123W TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W
AND 83W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 91W...AND FROM 06N TO
11N BETWEEN 96.5W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO SE OF TROUGH W OF 125W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1023 MB HIGH PRES REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR
40N135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 24N117W. PRONOUNCED
TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WHICH IS FORECAST TO
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WIND WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT
WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N. THESE WINDS WILL
SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290250
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W AT 0300 UTC
AUG 29...OR 875 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY
THIS EVENING...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE QUADRANT. THE
WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-
TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL  SLOWING OF
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS MARIE IS
FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE THE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING HIGH SURF...VERY STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15.5N92W TO 09N101W TO
12N116W... THEN RESUMES FROM 16N123W TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W
AND 83W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 91W...AND FROM 06N TO
11N BETWEEN 96.5W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO SE OF TROUGH W OF 125W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1023 MB HIGH PRES REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR
40N135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 24N117W. PRONOUNCED
TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WHICH IS FORECAST TO
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WIND WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT
WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N. THESE WINDS WILL
SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290250
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W AT 0300 UTC
AUG 29...OR 875 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY
THIS EVENING...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE QUADRANT. THE
WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-
TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL  SLOWING OF
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS MARIE IS
FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE THE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING HIGH SURF...VERY STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15.5N92W TO 09N101W TO
12N116W... THEN RESUMES FROM 16N123W TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W
AND 83W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 91W...AND FROM 06N TO
11N BETWEEN 96.5W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO SE OF TROUGH W OF 125W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1023 MB HIGH PRES REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR
40N135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 24N117W. PRONOUNCED
TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WHICH IS FORECAST TO
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WIND WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT
WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N. THESE WINDS WILL
SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290250
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.6N 131.0W AT 0300 UTC
AUG 29...OR 875 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE REMAINS WELL DEFINED SATELLITE IMAGERY
THIS EVENING...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE QUADRANT. THE
WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-
TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL  SLOWING OF
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS MARIE IS
FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE THE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING HIGH SURF...VERY STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15.5N92W TO 09N101W TO
12N116W... THEN RESUMES FROM 16N123W TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W
AND 83W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 91W...AND FROM 06N TO
11N BETWEEN 96.5W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO SE OF TROUGH W OF 125W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1023 MB HIGH PRES REMAINS WELL N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR
40N135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 24N117W. PRONOUNCED
TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WHICH IS FORECAST TO
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WIND WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT
WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N. THESE WINDS WILL
SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING


000
ACPN50 PHFO 282347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MORRISON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 282347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MORRISON





000
AXNT20 KNHC 282347
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 28/2100 UTC...HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 38.5N
61.5W MOVING NE AT 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
973 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 36N-41N BETWEEN
57W-60W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS N OF 37N BETWEEN
60W-64W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N31W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
PRESENT WITHIN AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N43W TO 11N45W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THIS WAVE HAS NO
CONVECTION ALSO AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N67W TO 10N70W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N85W TO 10N85W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. ISOLATED CONVECTION REMAINS
OVER THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN WATERS NEAR THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA IN
CENTRAL AMERICA AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS AFFECTING THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC WATERS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 86W-92W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N17W TO
09N22W TO 10N41W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N
BETWEEN 29W-33W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N41W TO 11N51W TO
09N60W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 10N42W TO
12N48W WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 08N-13N BETWEEN 49W-59W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1009 MB LOW IS OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 27N97W DRIFTING W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-30N
BETWEEN 93W-97W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N91W TO 20N92W
OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE SE GULF FROM 25N81W TO 25N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 88W-93W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PREVAILS OVER N MEXICO WITH CENTER NEAR
24N103W. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR
26N86W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE NW
GULF NEAR 28N96W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF THE
GULF WATERS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE...PLEASE SEE ABOVE. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 14N72W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 74W-82W. NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAIL FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
74W RELATED TO THE TROPICAL WAVE DESCRIBED ABOVE. GUSTY WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS ACTIVITY. A
LINE OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM
19N-23N BETWEEN 76W-82W IS MOVING SW TO THE CARIBBEAN WATERS S
OF CUBA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO
MOVE W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO MOVE
W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION S OF THE ISLAND DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF A TROPICAL WAVE...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
ISLAND. EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE ISLAND AND A MOISTURE SURGE
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE E.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 29N BETWEEN 45W-73W.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N78W TO 26N80W.
A SURFACE 1020MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N52W.
AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N63W. A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR
30N78W. WITH THESE FEATURES IN PLACE...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE S ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 282347
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 28/2100 UTC...HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 38.5N
61.5W MOVING NE AT 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
973 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 36N-41N BETWEEN
57W-60W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS N OF 37N BETWEEN
60W-64W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N31W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
PRESENT WITHIN AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N43W TO 11N45W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THIS WAVE HAS NO
CONVECTION ALSO AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N67W TO 10N70W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N85W TO 10N85W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. ISOLATED CONVECTION REMAINS
OVER THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN WATERS NEAR THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA IN
CENTRAL AMERICA AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS AFFECTING THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC WATERS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 86W-92W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N17W TO
09N22W TO 10N41W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N
BETWEEN 29W-33W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N41W TO 11N51W TO
09N60W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 10N42W TO
12N48W WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 08N-13N BETWEEN 49W-59W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1009 MB LOW IS OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 27N97W DRIFTING W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-30N
BETWEEN 93W-97W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N91W TO 20N92W
OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE SE GULF FROM 25N81W TO 25N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 88W-93W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PREVAILS OVER N MEXICO WITH CENTER NEAR
24N103W. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR
26N86W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE NW
GULF NEAR 28N96W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF THE
GULF WATERS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE...PLEASE SEE ABOVE. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 14N72W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 74W-82W. NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAIL FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
74W RELATED TO THE TROPICAL WAVE DESCRIBED ABOVE. GUSTY WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS ACTIVITY. A
LINE OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM
19N-23N BETWEEN 76W-82W IS MOVING SW TO THE CARIBBEAN WATERS S
OF CUBA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO
MOVE W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO MOVE
W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION S OF THE ISLAND DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF A TROPICAL WAVE...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
ISLAND. EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE ISLAND AND A MOISTURE SURGE
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE E.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 29N BETWEEN 45W-73W.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N78W TO 26N80W.
A SURFACE 1020MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N52W.
AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N63W. A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR
30N78W. WITH THESE FEATURES IN PLACE...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE S ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 282347
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 28/2100 UTC...HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 38.5N
61.5W MOVING NE AT 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
973 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 36N-41N BETWEEN
57W-60W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS N OF 37N BETWEEN
60W-64W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N31W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
PRESENT WITHIN AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N43W TO 11N45W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THIS WAVE HAS NO
CONVECTION ALSO AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N67W TO 10N70W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N85W TO 10N85W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. ISOLATED CONVECTION REMAINS
OVER THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN WATERS NEAR THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA IN
CENTRAL AMERICA AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS AFFECTING THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC WATERS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 86W-92W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N17W TO
09N22W TO 10N41W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N
BETWEEN 29W-33W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N41W TO 11N51W TO
09N60W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 10N42W TO
12N48W WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 08N-13N BETWEEN 49W-59W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1009 MB LOW IS OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 27N97W DRIFTING W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-30N
BETWEEN 93W-97W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N91W TO 20N92W
OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE SE GULF FROM 25N81W TO 25N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 88W-93W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PREVAILS OVER N MEXICO WITH CENTER NEAR
24N103W. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR
26N86W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE NW
GULF NEAR 28N96W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF THE
GULF WATERS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE...PLEASE SEE ABOVE. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 14N72W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 74W-82W. NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAIL FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
74W RELATED TO THE TROPICAL WAVE DESCRIBED ABOVE. GUSTY WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS ACTIVITY. A
LINE OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM
19N-23N BETWEEN 76W-82W IS MOVING SW TO THE CARIBBEAN WATERS S
OF CUBA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO
MOVE W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO MOVE
W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION S OF THE ISLAND DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF A TROPICAL WAVE...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
ISLAND. EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE ISLAND AND A MOISTURE SURGE
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE E.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 29N BETWEEN 45W-73W.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N78W TO 26N80W.
A SURFACE 1020MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N52W.
AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N63W. A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR
30N78W. WITH THESE FEATURES IN PLACE...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE S ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 282347
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 28/2100 UTC...HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 38.5N
61.5W MOVING NE AT 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
973 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 36N-41N BETWEEN
57W-60W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS N OF 37N BETWEEN
60W-64W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N31W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
PRESENT WITHIN AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N43W TO 11N45W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THIS WAVE HAS NO
CONVECTION ALSO AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN THE
ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N67W TO 10N70W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 20N SUPPORTING
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N85W TO 10N85W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. ISOLATED CONVECTION REMAINS
OVER THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN WATERS NEAR THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA IN
CENTRAL AMERICA AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS AFFECTING THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC WATERS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 86W-92W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N17W TO
09N22W TO 10N41W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N
BETWEEN 29W-33W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N41W TO 11N51W TO
09N60W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 10N42W TO
12N48W WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 08N-13N BETWEEN 49W-59W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1009 MB LOW IS OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 27N97W DRIFTING W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-30N
BETWEEN 93W-97W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N91W TO 20N92W
OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER
THE SE GULF FROM 25N81W TO 25N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 88W-93W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PREVAILS OVER N MEXICO WITH CENTER NEAR
24N103W. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR
26N86W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE NW
GULF NEAR 28N96W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF THE
GULF WATERS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE...PLEASE SEE ABOVE. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 14N72W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 74W-82W. NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAIL FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 64W-
74W RELATED TO THE TROPICAL WAVE DESCRIBED ABOVE. GUSTY WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS ACTIVITY. A
LINE OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM
19N-23N BETWEEN 76W-82W IS MOVING SW TO THE CARIBBEAN WATERS S
OF CUBA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO
MOVE W AND FOR MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO MOVE
W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION S OF THE ISLAND DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF A TROPICAL WAVE...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE
ISLAND. EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE ISLAND AND A MOISTURE SURGE
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE E.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 29N BETWEEN 45W-73W.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N78W TO 26N80W.
A SURFACE 1020MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N52W.
AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N63W. A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS LOCATED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR
30N78W. WITH THESE FEATURES IN PLACE...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE S ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 282331
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
SUR-SURESTE DE HALIFAX...NUEVA ESCOCIA.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ASOCIADAS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS SE ESPERAN CONTINUEN DESFAVORABLES PARA EL DESARROLLO DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS MIENTRAS QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL
CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS CONDUSCENTES PARA QUE ALGUN
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE
EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y EN EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO LA PROXIMA SEMANA
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE PRONOSTICA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL OESTE DE LAS
COSTAS DE AFRICA MANANA. EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS DE OCURRIR ALGUN
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA...SE ESPERA QUE SEA LENTO MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO
DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PACH





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 282331
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
SUR-SURESTE DE HALIFAX...NUEVA ESCOCIA.

NUBOSIDAD Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL MAR
CARIBE ASOCIADAS A UNA ONDA TROPICAL. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS SE ESPERAN CONTINUEN DESFAVORABLES PARA EL DESARROLLO DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DOS DIAS MIENTRAS QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL
CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS CONDUSCENTES PARA QUE ALGUN
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE
EL SABADO EN LA NOCHE O EL DOMINGO...Y EN EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO LA PROXIMA SEMANA
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE PRONOSTICA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL OESTE DE LAS
COSTAS DE AFRICA MANANA. EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS DE OCURRIR ALGUN
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA...SE ESPERA QUE SEA LENTO MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO
DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PACH




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282320
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of San
Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282320
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of San
Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282320
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of San
Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282320
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located almost a thousand miles west-southwest of San
Diego, California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 282319
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Halifax,
Nova Scotia.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
tomorrow.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
ABNT20 KNHC 282319
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Halifax,
Nova Scotia.

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the east-central
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next day or two while the system moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea.  However, environmental conditions could
become conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday, and into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
tomorrow.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to
be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves
westward near 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 2100 UTC
AUG 28...OR 825 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1000 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE IS WELL DEFINED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE SE
QUADRANT. THE WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO
BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL
SLOWING OF FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
MARIE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74.5W TO 10N86W TO 12N96W TO
11N114W...THEN RESUMES FROM 16N125W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 03N TO 10N
BETWEEN 79W AND 88W...AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 101W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO
SE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 123W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 41N134W
WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 26N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS
EVENING WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 2100 UTC
AUG 28...OR 825 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1000 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE IS WELL DEFINED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE SE
QUADRANT. THE WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO
BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL
SLOWING OF FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
MARIE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74.5W TO 10N86W TO 12N96W TO
11N114W...THEN RESUMES FROM 16N125W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 03N TO 10N
BETWEEN 79W AND 88W...AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 101W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO
SE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 123W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 41N134W
WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 26N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS
EVENING WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 2100 UTC
AUG 28...OR 825 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1000 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE IS WELL DEFINED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE SE
QUADRANT. THE WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO
BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL
SLOWING OF FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
MARIE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74.5W TO 10N86W TO 12N96W TO
11N114W...THEN RESUMES FROM 16N125W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 03N TO 10N
BETWEEN 79W AND 88W...AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 101W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO
SE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 123W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 41N134W
WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 26N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS
EVENING WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 2100 UTC
AUG 28...OR 825 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO...MOVING NW OR 310
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1000 MB. THE BROAD LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELD OF MARIE IS WELL DEFINED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 210 NM ACROSS THE SE
QUADRANT. THE WEAKENING TREND OF MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS IT MOVES TO THE NW...AND IS FORECAST TO
BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT. A CONTINUED NW MOTION AND GRADUAL
SLOWING OF FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
MARIE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE AREA WATERS LATE SAT MORNING. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74.5W TO 10N86W TO 12N96W TO
11N114W...THEN RESUMES FROM 16N125W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 03N TO 10N
BETWEEN 79W AND 88W...AND FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 101W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S TO
SE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 123W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...FADING REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL
HAVE MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE...AND DOMINATE THESE
AREA WATERS. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER SHIFTING TO
THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 41N134W
WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 26N117W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS
EVENING WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AND DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
STRIPLING



000
WTNT34 KNHC 282032
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...
AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 282032
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...
AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 282032
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...
AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 282032
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE WHILE IT RACES TOWARD
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...
AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...405 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND.  LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 282032
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.5W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 220SE 110SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 320SE 300SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.5W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  63.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  54.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.2N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  38.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 54.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 62.0N  23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 282032
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.5W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 220SE 110SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 320SE 300SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  61.5W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  63.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  54.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.2N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 49.3N  38.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 54.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 62.0N  23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 282031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  60SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 129.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.4N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.8N 133.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.8N 135.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.6N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 30.9N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 30.6N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 130.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 282031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  60SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 130.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 129.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.4N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.8N 133.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.8N 135.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.6N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 30.9N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 30.6N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 130.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 282031
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT...
...SWELLS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SUBSIDING TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 130.4W
ABOUT 920 MI...1480 KM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.4 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT. LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL
AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
ACPN50 PHFO 281755
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MORRISON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 281755
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MORRISON






000
AXNT20 KNHC 281748
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N29W TO 11N31W MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH A MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ENHANCE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 30W-35W. NO CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE MOSTLY N OF THE
WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N41W TO 11N43W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N66W TO 10N69W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 17N SUPPORTING WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 63W-73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N82W TO 10N84W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 81W-86W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
10N20W TO 9N30W TO 10N40W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
9N-13N BETWEEN 12W-20W...FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 27W-33W...AND FROM
8N-14N BETWEEN 40W-60W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1009 MB LOW
OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 26N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 91W-97W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 24N89W TO
18N92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SE GULF FROM
25N81W TO 25N88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
23N-26N BETWEEN 80W-88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N MEXICO NEAR 23N99W TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
NEAR 30N85W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE
NW GULF NEAR 27N97W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF
THE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 73W-80W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO MOVE W
...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE ISLAND WITH CONVECTION
S OF THE ISLAND ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE ISLAND WITH
STRONGEST CONVECTION OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
75W-80W. FURTHER E...A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC
FROM 31N68W TO 29N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 68W-74W. A 1022MB HIGH IS
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. ANOTHER 1021 MB HIGH IS
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N23W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N64W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 35N45W WITH UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE S OF THE CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 281748
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N29W TO 11N31W MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH A MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ENHANCE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 30W-35W. NO CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE MOSTLY N OF THE
WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N41W TO 11N43W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N66W TO 10N69W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 17N SUPPORTING WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 63W-73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N82W TO 10N84W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 81W-86W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
10N20W TO 9N30W TO 10N40W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
9N-13N BETWEEN 12W-20W...FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 27W-33W...AND FROM
8N-14N BETWEEN 40W-60W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1009 MB LOW
OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 26N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 91W-97W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 24N89W TO
18N92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SE GULF FROM
25N81W TO 25N88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
23N-26N BETWEEN 80W-88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N MEXICO NEAR 23N99W TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
NEAR 30N85W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE
NW GULF NEAR 27N97W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF
THE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 73W-80W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO MOVE W
...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE ISLAND WITH CONVECTION
S OF THE ISLAND ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE ISLAND WITH
STRONGEST CONVECTION OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
75W-80W. FURTHER E...A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC
FROM 31N68W TO 29N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 68W-74W. A 1022MB HIGH IS
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. ANOTHER 1021 MB HIGH IS
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N23W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N64W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 35N45W WITH UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE S OF THE CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 281748
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N29W TO 11N31W MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH A MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ENHANCE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 30W-35W. NO CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE MOSTLY N OF THE
WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N41W TO 11N43W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N66W TO 10N69W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 17N SUPPORTING WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 63W-73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N82W TO 10N84W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 81W-86W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
10N20W TO 9N30W TO 10N40W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
9N-13N BETWEEN 12W-20W...FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 27W-33W...AND FROM
8N-14N BETWEEN 40W-60W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1009 MB LOW
OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 26N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 91W-97W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 24N89W TO
18N92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SE GULF FROM
25N81W TO 25N88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
23N-26N BETWEEN 80W-88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N MEXICO NEAR 23N99W TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
NEAR 30N85W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE
NW GULF NEAR 27N97W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF
THE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 73W-80W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO MOVE W
...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE ISLAND WITH CONVECTION
S OF THE ISLAND ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE ISLAND WITH
STRONGEST CONVECTION OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
75W-80W. FURTHER E...A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC
FROM 31N68W TO 29N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 68W-74W. A 1022MB HIGH IS
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. ANOTHER 1021 MB HIGH IS
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N23W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N64W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 35N45W WITH UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE S OF THE CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 281748
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N29W TO 11N31W MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH A MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ENHANCE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 30W-35W. NO CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE MOSTLY N OF THE
WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N41W TO 11N43W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N66W TO 10N69W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 17N SUPPORTING WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 63W-73W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N82W TO 10N84W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. A 700 MB TROUGH
AXIS IS JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 81W-86W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
10N20W TO 9N30W TO 10N40W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
9N-13N BETWEEN 12W-20W...FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 27W-33W...AND FROM
8N-14N BETWEEN 40W-60W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 1009 MB LOW
OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 26N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 91W-97W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 24N89W TO
18N92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 88W-92W. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SE GULF FROM
25N81W TO 25N88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
23N-26N BETWEEN 80W-88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N MEXICO NEAR 23N99W TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
NEAR 30N85W. A SMALL EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ALSO OVER THE
NW GULF NEAR 27N97W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF
THE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. SEE ABOVE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA NEAR 15N77W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 73W-80W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO MOVE W
...AND MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN FROM THE ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
ALSO MOVE W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IN 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE ISLAND WITH CONVECTION
S OF THE ISLAND ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE ISLAND WITH
STRONGEST CONVECTION OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
75W-80W. FURTHER E...A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC
FROM 31N68W TO 29N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 68W-74W. A 1022MB HIGH IS
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N54W. ANOTHER 1021 MB HIGH IS
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N23W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N64W WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER OVER THE N BAHAMAS. ANOTHER
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 35N45W WITH UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE S OF THE CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281738
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE HALIFAX...NUEVA ESCOCIA.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTAN
ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y NORTE DE
MEXICO TARDE HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS
CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
DOS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR
CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE
MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. DESARROLLO...SI ALGUNO...DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBE SER
LENTO DE OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL
ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281738
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE HALIFAX...NUEVA ESCOCIA.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTAN
ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y NORTE DE
MEXICO TARDE HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS
CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
DOS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR
CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE
MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. DESARROLLO...SI ALGUNO...DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBE SER
LENTO DE OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL
ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281738
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE HALIFAX...NUEVA ESCOCIA.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTAN
ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y NORTE DE
MEXICO TARDE HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS
CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
DOS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR
CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE
MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. DESARROLLO...SI ALGUNO...DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBE SER
LENTO DE OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL
ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281738
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE HALIFAX...NUEVA ESCOCIA.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTAN
ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y NORTE DE
MEXICO TARDE HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...0 POR
CIENTO.

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE ESTAN ASOCIADOS
CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
DOS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR
CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE
MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL
NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. DESARROLLO...SI ALGUNO...DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBE SER
LENTO DE OCURRIR DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DEL
ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...20 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 281726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova
Scotia.

Showers and thunderstorms along the coast of South Texas are
associated with a weak area of low pressure.  This system is
forecast to move inland over southern Texas and northern
Mexico later today and development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Cloudiness and thunderstorms over the eastern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected
to remain unfavorable for development during the next day or two
while the system moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.
However, environmental conditions could become conducive for some
development when the system moves over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea on Sunday and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Friday.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow
to occur during the next several days while it moves westward at 10
to 15 mph across the eastern and central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 281726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova
Scotia.

Showers and thunderstorms along the coast of South Texas are
associated with a weak area of low pressure.  This system is
forecast to move inland over southern Texas and northern
Mexico later today and development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Cloudiness and thunderstorms over the eastern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected
to remain unfavorable for development during the next day or two
while the system moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.
However, environmental conditions could become conducive for some
development when the system moves over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea on Sunday and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Friday.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow
to occur during the next several days while it moves westward at 10
to 15 mph across the eastern and central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281712
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located nearly a thousand miles west of Punta Eugenia,
Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281712
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located nearly a thousand miles west of Punta Eugenia,
Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281712
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located nearly a thousand miles west of Punta Eugenia,
Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281712
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located nearly a thousand miles west of Punta Eugenia,
Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 281507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500 UTC
OR 752 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM IN THE E AND S QUADRANTS.
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NW WHILE SLOWING ITS
FORWARD MOVEMENT. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL
TONIGHT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 14N94W TO 12N109W
THEN RESUMES FROM 14N129W TO 11N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS PRESENT E
OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 60-120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 07N78W TO 05N81W TO 06N85W...
WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 08N90W TO 08N98W...WITHIN 120 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND FROM 10N TO
13N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL HAVE
MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT
OR GREATER SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS NEAR
41N133W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 20N114W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY LATER
TODAY WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 18N140W TO 15N137W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT SURFACE FEATURES ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 281507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500 UTC
OR 752 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM IN THE E AND S QUADRANTS.
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NW WHILE SLOWING ITS
FORWARD MOVEMENT. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL
TONIGHT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 14N94W TO 12N109W
THEN RESUMES FROM 14N129W TO 11N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS PRESENT E
OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 60-120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 07N78W TO 05N81W TO 06N85W...
WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 08N90W TO 08N98W...WITHIN 120 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND FROM 10N TO
13N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL HAVE
MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT
OR GREATER SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS NEAR
41N133W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 20N114W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY LATER
TODAY WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 18N140W TO 15N137W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT SURFACE FEATURES ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 281507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500 UTC
OR 752 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM IN THE E AND S QUADRANTS.
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NW WHILE SLOWING ITS
FORWARD MOVEMENT. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL
TONIGHT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 14N94W TO 12N109W
THEN RESUMES FROM 14N129W TO 11N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS PRESENT E
OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 60-120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 07N78W TO 05N81W TO 06N85W...
WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 08N90W TO 08N98W...WITHIN 120 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND FROM 10N TO
13N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL HAVE
MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT
OR GREATER SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS NEAR
41N133W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 20N114W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY LATER
TODAY WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 18N140W TO 15N137W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT SURFACE FEATURES ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 281507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500 UTC
OR 752 NM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM IN THE E AND S QUADRANTS.
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NW WHILE SLOWING ITS
FORWARD MOVEMENT. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL
TONIGHT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS...AND THE LOCAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE...INCLUDING THE
CONTINUED THREATS OF LIFE THREATENING SURF...VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 14N94W TO 12N109W
THEN RESUMES FROM 14N129W TO 11N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS PRESENT E
OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 60-120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 07N78W TO 05N81W TO 06N85W...
WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 08N90W TO 08N98W...WITHIN 120 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND FROM 10N TO
13N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...REMNANT SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA AND LOWELL HAVE
MIXED WITH THOSE GENERATED BY MARIE. THESE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8 FT
OR GREATER SHIFTING TO THE NW WITH TIME.

1024 MB HIGH PRES IS WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS NEAR
41N133W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 20N114W. PRONOUNCED TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP E OF THE PENINSULA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY LATER
TODAY WHICH IS FORECAST TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-NW WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT WITHIN 150 NM W OF THE PENINSULA N OF 24N.
THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY 48 HOURS WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR 18N140W TO 15N137W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT SURFACE FEATURES ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS.

MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
WTNT34 KNHC 281445
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL HEADING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...
...LARGE SWELLS AFFECTING THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.9N 65.9W
ABOUT 545 MI...875 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL
RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA
SCOTIA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TODAY....AND CRISTOBAL IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.
LARGE SWELLS ARE ALSO BEGINNING TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 281444
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  67.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.8N  51.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 61.1N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N  65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 281444
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  67.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.8N  51.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 61.1N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N  65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 281444
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  67.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.8N  51.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 61.1N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N  65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 281444
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  67.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.8N  51.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 61.1N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N  65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 281439
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 128.9W
ABOUT 865 MI...1395 KM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.9 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...AND WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRIDAY. LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE
SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 281439
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 128.9W
ABOUT 865 MI...1395 KM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.9 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...AND WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRIDAY. LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE
SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281438
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 128.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.8N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 128.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281438
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 128.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.8N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 128.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281438
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 128.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.8N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 128.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281438
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 128.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 128.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.8N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 128.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281213
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE EN
TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO HOY.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL
ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES APARENTAN ESTAR
FAVORABLES PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL
ATLANTICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281213
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE EN
TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO HOY.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL
ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES APARENTAN ESTAR
FAVORABLES PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL
ATLANTICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281213
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE EN
TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO HOY.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL
ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES APARENTAN ESTAR
FAVORABLES PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL
ATLANTICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281213
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE LA COSTA SUR DE TEXAS ESTA
PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS. DESARROLLO
SIGNIFICATIVO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE EN
TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO HOY.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DEL MAR CARIBE CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO SEAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DEL
ESTE Y CENTRO DEL MAR CARIBE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO CUANDO EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE EL DOMINGO Y HACIA
EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES APARENTAN ESTAR
FAVORABLES PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL
ATLANTICO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 281150
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...SWELLS FROM CRISTOBAL AFFECTING THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST
FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW ENGLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 67.0W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC WELL NORTHWEST OF
BERMUDA THIS MORNING AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 281150
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...SWELLS FROM CRISTOBAL AFFECTING THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST
FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW ENGLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 67.0W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC WELL NORTHWEST OF
BERMUDA THIS MORNING AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281131
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located nearly a thousand miles west Punta Eugenia,
Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281131
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located nearly a thousand miles west Punta Eugenia,
Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ACPN50 PHFO 281130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 281130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU AUG 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ABNT20 KNHC 281129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located a few hundred miles northwest of Bermuda.

A weak area of low pressure near the coast of South Texas is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant
development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over
South Texas and northern Mexico today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Upper-level winds are
expected to remain unfavorable for development during the next
couple of days while the system moves across the eastern and central
Caribbean Sea. However, environmental conditions could become
conducive for some development when the system moves over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea on Sunday and into the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Friday. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual
development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph
across the eastern Atlantic early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280945
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N28W TO 10N29W MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH A MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ENHANCE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 13N-15N WITHIN 130 NM WEST OF THE WAVE
AXIS. NO CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST
CONTINUE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N40W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N63W TO 10N66W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH
UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 14N-17N EAST OF 68W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N79W TO 9N81W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. AN UPPER LEVEL
INVERTED TROUGH SUPPORTS THIS WAVE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ARE N OF 19N BETWEEN 78W-83W AND S OF 17N BETWEEN 75W-85W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 75W-85W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 10N27W TO 9N37W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 24W-28W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF BEING SUPPORTED
BY A MIDDLE LEVEL ELONGATED INVERTED TROUGH. THIS TROUGHINESS
ALOFT SUPPORT A 1009 MB LOW BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR
26N96W AND A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 24N89W...ACROSS THE EASTERN
BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 17N91W. MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BEING
GENERATED BY AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ANCHORED ON THE SW N
ATLC ALONG WITH HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SUPPORT SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ON THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
TROUGH FROM 21N-25N BETWEEN 85W-91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS
ANALYZED NEAR THE LOW CENTER N OF 25N W OF 94W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW TO 24N81W TO
20N85W...ENHANCING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. E-SE WIND FLOW OF 10-15 KT
DOMINATES THE EASTERN AND NW GULF WHILE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF
SIMILAR MAGNITUDE IS PRESENT ON THE SW BASIN. THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO
LATER TODAY. THE TROUGH OVER THE YUCATAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
WESTWARD TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT DISSIPATES THU
NIGHT. RAINSHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE WEST CARIBBEAN
SUPPORTING A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE SW
BASIN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN BASIN GENERATING
SHOWERS. SEE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ALONG A REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
GENERATED BY WEAK RIDGE ON THE EASTERN BASIN SUPPORT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE SOUTHERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC COASTLINE. THE PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORT TRADES
OF 20-25 KT IN THIS REGION OF THE BASIN...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO
ADJACENT WATERS. TRADES OF 15 KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. RAINSHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS GREAT
PORTIONS OF THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...

A LOW-LEVEL DRY ENVIRONMENT PREVAILS ACROSS GREAT PORTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT S-SE OF THE ISLAND
ALONG WITH MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
WITHIN 150 NM OF THE SOUTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC COASTLINE. A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ENHANCING SHOWERS MAINLY IN SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL
WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COL OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE SW N ATLC
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 26N BETWEEN
70W-75W. NEARBY TO THE SW...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THAT REGION. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS NOTED FARTHER EAST FROM 25N-27N BETWEEN 58W-61W.
OTHERWISE...BESIDES THE TROPICAL WAVES ALREADY DISCUSSED...THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE
RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 280945
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N28W TO 10N29W MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH A MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ENHANCE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 13N-15N WITHIN 130 NM WEST OF THE WAVE
AXIS. NO CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST
CONTINUE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N40W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N63W TO 10N66W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE MAINLY S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH
UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 14N-17N EAST OF 68W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N79W TO 9N81W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. AN UPPER LEVEL
INVERTED TROUGH SUPPORTS THIS WAVE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ARE N OF 19N BETWEEN 78W-83W AND S OF 17N BETWEEN 75W-85W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 75W-85W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 10N27W TO 9N37W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 24W-28W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF BEING SUPPORTED
BY A MIDDLE LEVEL ELONGATED INVERTED TROUGH. THIS TROUGHINESS
ALOFT SUPPORT A 1009 MB LOW BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR
26N96W AND A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 24N89W...ACROSS THE EASTERN
BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 17N91W. MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BEING
GENERATED BY AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ANCHORED ON THE SW N
ATLC ALONG WITH HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SUPPORT SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ON THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
TROUGH FROM 21N-25N BETWEEN 85W-91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS
ANALYZED NEAR THE LOW CENTER N OF 25N W OF 94W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW TO 24N81W TO
20N85W...ENHANCING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. E-SE WIND FLOW OF 10-15 KT
DOMINATES THE EASTERN AND NW GULF WHILE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF
SIMILAR MAGNITUDE IS PRESENT ON THE SW BASIN. THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO
LATER TODAY. THE TROUGH OVER THE YUCATAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
WESTWARD TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT DISSIPATES THU
NIGHT. RAINSHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE WEST CARIBBEAN
SUPPORTING A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE SW
BASIN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN BASIN GENERATING
SHOWERS. SEE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ALONG A REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
GENERATED BY WEAK RIDGE ON THE EASTERN BASIN SUPPORT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE SOUTHERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC COASTLINE. THE PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORT TRADES
OF 20-25 KT IN THIS REGION OF THE BASIN...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO
ADJACENT WATERS. TRADES OF 15 KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. RAINSHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS GREAT
PORTIONS OF THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...

A LOW-LEVEL DRY ENVIRONMENT PREVAILS ACROSS GREAT PORTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT S-SE OF THE ISLAND
ALONG WITH MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
WITHIN 150 NM OF THE SOUTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC COASTLINE. A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ENHANCING SHOWERS MAINLY IN SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL
WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COL OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE SW N ATLC
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 26N BETWEEN
70W-75W. NEARBY TO THE SW...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THAT REGION. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS NOTED FARTHER EAST FROM 25N-27N BETWEEN 58W-61W.
OTHERWISE...BESIDES THE TROPICAL WAVES ALREADY DISCUSSED...THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE
RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280917
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS NEAR 24.4N 127.8W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC
AUG 28 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM
ACROSS THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 27
FT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. MARIE IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE MOVING NW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND OVER COOLER
WATERS AND INTO MUCH MORE STABLE AIR. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE
CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST
TROPICAL STORM BY LATER TODAY. LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELL
GENERATED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WATERS...AND IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW
MEXICO W OF 100W SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THE STRONG SWELL FROM MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTS WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION THROUGH THU.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM
SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 14N85W TO 10N105W TO
12N109W. RESUMES 13N131W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS FROM 94W-98W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL HAS MOVED NW OF THE ARE. HOWEVER 8-10
FT SWELL IS N OF 16N W OF 135W ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
LOWELL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL MERGE WITH MARIE TONIGHT.

THE SMALL REMNANT LOW OF KARINA CAN STILL BE SEEN IN SATELLITE
NEAR 16N123W. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CONVECTION NEAR
KARINA THIS EVENING BUT SMALL ISOLATED CLUSTERS CONTINUE TO
PULSE NEAR THE CENTER. WINDS ASSOCIATED THE REMNANT LOW HAVE
DECREASED TO LESS THAN 20 KT. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE TODAY.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
FADING SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280917
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS NEAR 24.4N 127.8W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC
AUG 28 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM
ACROSS THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 27
FT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. MARIE IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE MOVING NW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND OVER COOLER
WATERS AND INTO MUCH MORE STABLE AIR. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE
CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST
TROPICAL STORM BY LATER TODAY. LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELL
GENERATED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WATERS...AND IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW
MEXICO W OF 100W SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THE STRONG SWELL FROM MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTS WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION THROUGH THU.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM
SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 14N85W TO 10N105W TO
12N109W. RESUMES 13N131W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS FROM 94W-98W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL HAS MOVED NW OF THE ARE. HOWEVER 8-10
FT SWELL IS N OF 16N W OF 135W ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
LOWELL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL MERGE WITH MARIE TONIGHT.

THE SMALL REMNANT LOW OF KARINA CAN STILL BE SEEN IN SATELLITE
NEAR 16N123W. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CONVECTION NEAR
KARINA THIS EVENING BUT SMALL ISOLATED CLUSTERS CONTINUE TO
PULSE NEAR THE CENTER. WINDS ASSOCIATED THE REMNANT LOW HAVE
DECREASED TO LESS THAN 20 KT. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE TODAY.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
FADING SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 110W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
DGS


000
WTNT34 KNHC 280832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC
BETWEEN BERMUDA AND NOVA SCOTIA TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 67.8W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM NW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC WELL AWAY FROM BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY
NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 280832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC
BETWEEN BERMUDA AND NOVA SCOTIA TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 67.8W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM NW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC WELL AWAY FROM BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY
NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 280831
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 190SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  69.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.8N  63.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 46.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 50.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.5N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...250NE 320SE 280SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 63.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 280831
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 190SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  69.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.8N  63.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 46.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 50.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.5N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...250NE 320SE 280SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 63.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 280831
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 190SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  69.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.8N  63.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 46.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 50.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.5N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...250NE 320SE 280SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 63.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 280831
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 190SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  67.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  69.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.8N  63.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 46.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 50.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.5N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...250NE 320SE 280SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 63.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280830
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 127.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 240SE 180SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 127.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 127.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.6N 129.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.4N 132.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.9N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 30.7N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.5N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 127.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280830
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 127.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 240SE 180SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 127.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 127.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.6N 129.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.4N 132.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.9N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 30.7N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 30.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.5N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 127.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 280830
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 127.8W
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...AND THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH FRIDAY.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 280830
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 127.8W
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...AND THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH FRIDAY.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 280830
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 127.8W
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...AND THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH FRIDAY.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 280830
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

...MARIE LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 127.8W
ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...AND THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH FRIDAY.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
AXNT20 KNHC 280603
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 10N26W AND MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST CONTINUE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N39W TO 10N37W AND MOVES W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N60W TO 10N64W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED
TSTMS FROM 9N-16N EAST OF 68W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N77W TO 9N81W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. AN UPPER LEVEL
INVERTED TROUGH SUPPORTS THIS WAVE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ARE N OF 17N BETWEEN 76W-83W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE S
OF 17N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 8N23W TO 9N33W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 19W-22W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BEING
SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE LEVEL ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
ACROSS THIS REGION OF THE BASIN. THIS TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT
A 1011 MB LOW BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 26N95W AND A
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 23N88W...ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO
NORTHERN GUATEMALA. MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BEING GENERATED BY
AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ANCHORED ON THE SW N ATLC ALONG WITH
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE N-NW GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 140 NM N-NE OF THE
LOW CENTER. ISOLATED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FORMER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE N OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LINGER FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 85W-91W. FARTHER EAST...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW TO 23N82W TO 21N84W...ENHANCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS. EASTERLY FLOW OF 10-15 KT DOMINATES N OF 24N AND
ON THE SE GULF WHILE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF SIMILAR MAGNITUDE IS
PRESENT ON THE SW BASIN. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING. THE TROUGH
OVER THE YUCATAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD TO CENTRAL BAY
OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT DISSIPATES THU NIGHT. RAINSHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE WEST-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS FROM CENTRAL-
EASTERN CUBA TO THE SW BASIN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE MOVED ACROSS
THE EASTERN BASIN EARLIER TONIGHT. SEE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG A REGION OF UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY WEAK RIDGE ON THE EASTERN BASIN
SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 15N BETWEEN 70W-77W
AND HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA. THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORT TRADES OF 20-25 KT IN THIS REGION OF
THE BASIN...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO ADJACENT WATERS. TRADES OF 15
KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. RAINSHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...

A LOW-LEVEL DRY ENVIRONMENT PREVAILS ACROSS GREAT PORTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT S-SE OF THE ISLAND
ALONG WITH MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OVER EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ADJACENT WATERS. A TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND THU THROUGH FRIDAY ENHANCING
SHOWERS MAINLY IN SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COL OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE SW N ATLC
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 70W-
74W. NEARBY TO THE SW...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING SHOWERS IN THAT REGION. OTHERWISE...BESIDES
THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 29N56W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280603
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 10N26W AND MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST CONTINUE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N39W TO 10N37W AND MOVES W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N60W TO 10N64W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED
TSTMS FROM 9N-16N EAST OF 68W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N77W TO 9N81W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. AN UPPER LEVEL
INVERTED TROUGH SUPPORTS THIS WAVE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ARE N OF 17N BETWEEN 76W-83W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE S
OF 17N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 8N23W TO 9N33W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 19W-22W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BEING
SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE LEVEL ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
ACROSS THIS REGION OF THE BASIN. THIS TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT
A 1011 MB LOW BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 26N95W AND A
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 23N88W...ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO
NORTHERN GUATEMALA. MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BEING GENERATED BY
AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ANCHORED ON THE SW N ATLC ALONG WITH
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE N-NW GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 140 NM N-NE OF THE
LOW CENTER. ISOLATED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FORMER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE N OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LINGER FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 85W-91W. FARTHER EAST...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW TO 23N82W TO 21N84W...ENHANCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS. EASTERLY FLOW OF 10-15 KT DOMINATES N OF 24N AND
ON THE SE GULF WHILE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF SIMILAR MAGNITUDE IS
PRESENT ON THE SW BASIN. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING. THE TROUGH
OVER THE YUCATAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD TO CENTRAL BAY
OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT DISSIPATES THU NIGHT. RAINSHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE WEST-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS FROM CENTRAL-
EASTERN CUBA TO THE SW BASIN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE MOVED ACROSS
THE EASTERN BASIN EARLIER TONIGHT. SEE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG A REGION OF UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY WEAK RIDGE ON THE EASTERN BASIN
SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 15N BETWEEN 70W-77W
AND HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA. THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORT TRADES OF 20-25 KT IN THIS REGION OF
THE BASIN...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO ADJACENT WATERS. TRADES OF 15
KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. RAINSHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...

A LOW-LEVEL DRY ENVIRONMENT PREVAILS ACROSS GREAT PORTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT S-SE OF THE ISLAND
ALONG WITH MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OVER EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ADJACENT WATERS. A TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND THU THROUGH FRIDAY ENHANCING
SHOWERS MAINLY IN SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COL OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE SW N ATLC
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 70W-
74W. NEARBY TO THE SW...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING SHOWERS IN THAT REGION. OTHERWISE...BESIDES
THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 29N56W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280603
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 10N26W AND MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST CONTINUE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N39W TO 10N37W AND MOVES W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N60W TO 10N64W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED
TSTMS FROM 9N-16N EAST OF 68W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N77W TO 9N81W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. AN UPPER LEVEL
INVERTED TROUGH SUPPORTS THIS WAVE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ARE N OF 17N BETWEEN 76W-83W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE S
OF 17N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 8N23W TO 9N33W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 19W-22W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BEING
SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE LEVEL ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
ACROSS THIS REGION OF THE BASIN. THIS TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT
A 1011 MB LOW BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 26N95W AND A
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 23N88W...ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO
NORTHERN GUATEMALA. MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BEING GENERATED BY
AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ANCHORED ON THE SW N ATLC ALONG WITH
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE N-NW GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 140 NM N-NE OF THE
LOW CENTER. ISOLATED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FORMER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE N OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LINGER FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 85W-91W. FARTHER EAST...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW TO 23N82W TO 21N84W...ENHANCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS. EASTERLY FLOW OF 10-15 KT DOMINATES N OF 24N AND
ON THE SE GULF WHILE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF SIMILAR MAGNITUDE IS
PRESENT ON THE SW BASIN. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING. THE TROUGH
OVER THE YUCATAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD TO CENTRAL BAY
OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT DISSIPATES THU NIGHT. RAINSHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE WEST-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS FROM CENTRAL-
EASTERN CUBA TO THE SW BASIN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE MOVED ACROSS
THE EASTERN BASIN EARLIER TONIGHT. SEE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG A REGION OF UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY WEAK RIDGE ON THE EASTERN BASIN
SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 15N BETWEEN 70W-77W
AND HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA. THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORT TRADES OF 20-25 KT IN THIS REGION OF
THE BASIN...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO ADJACENT WATERS. TRADES OF 15
KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. RAINSHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...

A LOW-LEVEL DRY ENVIRONMENT PREVAILS ACROSS GREAT PORTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT S-SE OF THE ISLAND
ALONG WITH MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OVER EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ADJACENT WATERS. A TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND THU THROUGH FRIDAY ENHANCING
SHOWERS MAINLY IN SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COL OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE SW N ATLC
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 70W-
74W. NEARBY TO THE SW...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING SHOWERS IN THAT REGION. OTHERWISE...BESIDES
THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 29N56W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280603
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 10N26W AND MOVING W AT 20 KT. NO
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST CONTINUE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N39W TO 10N37W AND MOVES W AT 20 KT. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST CONTINUE IN
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N60W TO 10N64W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED
TSTMS FROM 9N-16N EAST OF 68W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N77W TO 9N81W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. AN UPPER LEVEL
INVERTED TROUGH SUPPORTS THIS WAVE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ARE N OF 17N BETWEEN 76W-83W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE S
OF 17N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 8N23W TO 9N33W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 19W-22W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BEING
SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE LEVEL ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
ACROSS THIS REGION OF THE BASIN. THIS TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT
A 1011 MB LOW BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 26N95W AND A
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 23N88W...ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO
NORTHERN GUATEMALA. MIDDLE-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BEING GENERATED BY
AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION ANCHORED ON THE SW N ATLC ALONG WITH
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE N-NW GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 140 NM N-NE OF THE
LOW CENTER. ISOLATED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FORMER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE N OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LINGER FROM 21N-24N
BETWEEN 85W-91W. FARTHER EAST...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW TO 23N82W TO 21N84W...ENHANCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS. EASTERLY FLOW OF 10-15 KT DOMINATES N OF 24N AND
ON THE SE GULF WHILE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF SIMILAR MAGNITUDE IS
PRESENT ON THE SW BASIN. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING. THE TROUGH
OVER THE YUCATAN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD TO CENTRAL BAY
OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT DISSIPATES THU NIGHT. RAINSHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE WEST-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS FROM CENTRAL-
EASTERN CUBA TO THE SW BASIN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE MOVED ACROSS
THE EASTERN BASIN EARLIER TONIGHT. SEE THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG A REGION OF UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY WEAK RIDGE ON THE EASTERN BASIN
SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 15N BETWEEN 70W-77W
AND HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA. THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORT TRADES OF 20-25 KT IN THIS REGION OF
THE BASIN...INCLUDING PUERTO RICO ADJACENT WATERS. TRADES OF 15
KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. RAINSHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...

A LOW-LEVEL DRY ENVIRONMENT PREVAILS ACROSS GREAT PORTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT S-SE OF THE ISLAND
ALONG WITH MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OVER EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ADJACENT WATERS. A TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND THU THROUGH FRIDAY ENHANCING
SHOWERS MAINLY IN SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COL OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE SW N ATLC
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 70W-
74W. NEARBY TO THE SW...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS SW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING SHOWERS IN THAT REGION. OTHERWISE...BESIDES
THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 29N56W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 280557
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE-NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA
PRESION DEBIL SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PERMANECE
LIMITADA. DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE
EN TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO MAS TARDE HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL OESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA
QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL
MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 280557
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE-NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA
PRESION DEBIL SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PERMANECE
LIMITADA. DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE
EN TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO MAS TARDE HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL OESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA
QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL
MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 280557
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE-NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA
PRESION DEBIL SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PERMANECE
LIMITADA. DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE
EN TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO MAS TARDE HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL OESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA
QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL
MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 280557
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE-NOROESTE DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DEBIL DE BAJA
PRESION DEBIL SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PERMANECE
LIMITADA. DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA ES IMPROBABLE ANTES DE MOVERSE
EN TIERRA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO MAS TARDE HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL OESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA
QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL
MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. SIN
EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ABNT20 KNHC 280551
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west-northwest of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak area of low
pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remains limited.
Development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over
south Texas and northern Mexico later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave located just west of the Lesser Antilles continues
to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers.  This system is
expected to move generally westward across the Caribbean Sea with
little development during the next few days.  However, environmental
conditions could become favorable for some development by early next
week in the western Caribbean Sea or the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABNT20 KNHC 280551
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west-northwest of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak area of low
pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remains limited.
Development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over
south Texas and northern Mexico later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave located just west of the Lesser Antilles continues
to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers.  This system is
expected to move generally westward across the Caribbean Sea with
little development during the next few days.  However, environmental
conditions could become favorable for some development by early next
week in the western Caribbean Sea or the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTNT34 KNHC 280533
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
200 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.6N 69.0W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST.  CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO
THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER THIS MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 280533
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
200 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014

...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.6N 69.0W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST.  CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO
THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER THIS MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
ACPN50 PHFO 280530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 280530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280507
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located about a thousand miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280507
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Marie, located about a thousand miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280248
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS NEAR 23.8N 126.4W 992 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 28 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
PERSISTS WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 29 FT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT
OF MARIE. MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NW OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...AND OVER GRADUALLY COOLER SST`S AND INTO MUCH MORE
STABLE AIR. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST TROPICAL STORM BY LATE THU.
LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELL GENERATED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WATERS...AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE COAST INCLUDING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE STRONG SWELL FROM MARIE WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTS WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION
THROUGH THU. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS ON MARIE...AND
THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N72W TO 12.5N87W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 09N103W 1010 MB TO 11N112W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED E
OF MARIE. TROUGH RESUMES S OF MARIE FROM LOW PRES NEAR 16N123W
TO 14N130W TO BEYOND 10.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND
86W...FROM 05N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 108W...AND FROM 07N TO
12N BETWEEN 117W AND 133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 30.5N140W WITH
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1009 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA
OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE FURTHER NW OF THE AREA
TONIGHT AND THU.

THE SMALL REMNANT LOW OF KARINA CAN STILL BE SEEN IN SATELLITE
PHOTOS THIS EVENING NEAR 16N123W MOVING NE AT 15 KT WITH A
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION NEAR KARINA THIS EVENING BUT SMALL ISOLATED CLUSTERS
CONTINUE TO PULSE NEAR THE CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NE AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TONIGHT INTO THU AS THE
CIRCULATION BECOMES ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND
MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
FADING SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 100W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
STRIPLING


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280248
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS NEAR 23.8N 126.4W 992 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 28 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
PERSISTS WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 29 FT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT
OF MARIE. MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NW OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...AND OVER GRADUALLY COOLER SST`S AND INTO MUCH MORE
STABLE AIR. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST TROPICAL STORM BY LATE THU.
LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELL GENERATED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WATERS...AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE COAST INCLUDING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE STRONG SWELL FROM MARIE WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTS WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION
THROUGH THU. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS ON MARIE...AND
THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON
IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N72W TO 12.5N87W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 09N103W 1010 MB TO 11N112W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED E
OF MARIE. TROUGH RESUMES S OF MARIE FROM LOW PRES NEAR 16N123W
TO 14N130W TO BEYOND 10.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND
86W...FROM 05N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 108W...AND FROM 07N TO
12N BETWEEN 117W AND 133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 30.5N140W WITH
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1009 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA
OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE FURTHER NW OF THE AREA
TONIGHT AND THU.

THE SMALL REMNANT LOW OF KARINA CAN STILL BE SEEN IN SATELLITE
PHOTOS THIS EVENING NEAR 16N123W MOVING NE AT 15 KT WITH A
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION NEAR KARINA THIS EVENING BUT SMALL ISOLATED CLUSTERS
CONTINUE TO PULSE NEAR THE CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NE AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TONIGHT INTO THU AS THE
CIRCULATION BECOMES ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND
MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
FADING SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 100W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
STRIPLING



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 280234
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE WEAKENING AND LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 126.4W
ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.4 WEST.  MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED EARLY THURSDAY...WITH A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE HAS MOVED OVER COLD WATER...AND
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  MARIE
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY...AND THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH FRIDAY.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 280234
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE WEAKENING AND LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 126.4W
ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.4 WEST.  MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED EARLY THURSDAY...WITH A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE HAS MOVED OVER COLD WATER...AND
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  MARIE
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY...AND THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH FRIDAY.  LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280233
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 330SE 240SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE   0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N 133.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 30.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280233
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 330SE 240SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE   0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N 133.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 30.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280233
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 330SE 240SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE   0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N 133.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 30.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280233
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 330SE 240SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE   0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N 133.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 30.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTNT34 KNHC 280232
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 PM AST WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
TOMORROW MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 69.9W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST.  CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO
THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TOMORROW.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT24 KNHC 280231
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  70.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 62.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT24 KNHC 280231
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  70.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 62.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT24 KNHC 280231
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  70.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 62.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT24 KNHC 280231
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  70.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 62.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
AXNT20 KNHC 280003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 28/0000 UTC...HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 33.3N
70.7W OR ABOUT 305 NM WNW OF BERMUDA...MOVING NE AT 15 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 68W-74W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION REMAINS N OF 31N BETWEEN 60W-73W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS WEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDING FROM 21N25W TO 10N26W...ENDING ON A
1011 MB SURFACE LOW LOCATED AT 10N26W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W AT
15 KT. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS MINIMAL WITHIN THIS WAVE AS
SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ARE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N37W TO 11N32W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST ARE ALSO PRESENT IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE...THEREFORE
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS PRESENT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ABOUT 140 NM EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N56W TO 10N57W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH
UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 52W-60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N72W TO 12N71W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE
SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION REMAINS S OF 16N AND E OF 72W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N17W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 11N25W TO 11N40W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO
STRONG SHOWERS AND TSTMS JUST MOVED OFFSHORE FROM THE WEST
AFRICAN COAST NEAR 10N-16N BETWEEN 16W-19W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 20W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF BEING SUPPORTED
BY A MIDDLE LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS THE BASIN. A 1011 MB
LOW IS BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N95W FROM WHICH A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SE TO END IN ANOTHER LOW NEAR THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL NEAR 23N87W. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
TROUGH IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS MAINLY NORTH OF
THIS AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH AND EAST
OF THE LOW IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N-30N BETWEEN 91W-96W AFFECTING
COASTAL SW LOUISIANA...S TEXAS...AND ADJACENT WATERS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO PRESENT N OF THE LOW
ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...MAINLY FROM 22N-24N BETWEEN 86W-
90W. AT UPPER-LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION PERSISTS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITH CENTER NEAR 24N97W.  WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THIS AREA AND FAIR
WEATHER ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF EXCEPT NEAR THE LOWS PREVIOUSLY
DISCUSSED. E-NE WINDS OF 15-20 KT DOMINATE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH WHILE N-NW WINDS OF 5-10 KT PREVAIL ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING WHILE THE LOW IN THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
RAINSHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA...SUPPORTING AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW LOCATED ACROSS THE COLOMBIAN COAST NEAR 10N73W. A
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH CONNECT TO THIS LOW AND
ENHANCE A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 12N
BETWEEN 68W-72W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
PREVAILS ACROSS AREAS OF JAMAICA AND CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
ADJACENT WATERS. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ON
THE EASTERN BASIN GENERATING A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE
E CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS ALONG 72W. THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THIS
AREA SUPPORT TRADES OF 20 KT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BASIN. SOUTHERLY-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OF 5-15 KT DOMINATES
ELSEWHERE. A NEW TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
WATERS OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING SUPPORTING RAINSHOWERS IN
THE E-SE PORTION OF THE BASIN.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING TO HAITI. THE PRESENCE OF THIS WAVE IS SLIGHTLY
ENHANCING THE ENVIRONMENT TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS AND TSTMS. A
SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND BY THU MORNING.
THIS WAVE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE WHICH IS
FORECAST TO PRODUCE RAINSHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
ISLAND THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE THIS...ITS
RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SW N ATLC WATERS WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION N OF 25N BETWEEN 68W-73W. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CRISTOBAL. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS WHILE
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS CUBA
AFFECTING THEIR NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS. ELSEWHERE...BESIDES THE
TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 30N54W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 28/0000 UTC...HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 33.3N
70.7W OR ABOUT 305 NM WNW OF BERMUDA...MOVING NE AT 15 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 68W-74W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION REMAINS N OF 31N BETWEEN 60W-73W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS WEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDING FROM 21N25W TO 10N26W...ENDING ON A
1011 MB SURFACE LOW LOCATED AT 10N26W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W AT
15 KT. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS MINIMAL WITHIN THIS WAVE AS
SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ARE IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 22N37W TO 11N32W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST ARE ALSO PRESENT IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE WAVE...THEREFORE
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS PRESENT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ABOUT 140 NM EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N56W TO 10N57W...MOVING W AT 20 KT. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE S OF 17N WHICH ALONG WITH
UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 52W-60W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N72W TO 12N71W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE
SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION REMAINS S OF 16N AND E OF 72W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N17W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 11N25W TO 11N40W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO
STRONG SHOWERS AND TSTMS JUST MOVED OFFSHORE FROM THE WEST
AFRICAN COAST NEAR 10N-16N BETWEEN 16W-19W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 20W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF BEING SUPPORTED
BY A MIDDLE LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS THE BASIN. A 1011 MB
LOW IS BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N95W FROM WHICH A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SE TO END IN ANOTHER LOW NEAR THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL NEAR 23N87W. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
TROUGH IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS MAINLY NORTH OF
THIS AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH AND EAST
OF THE LOW IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N-30N BETWEEN 91W-96W AFFECTING
COASTAL SW LOUISIANA...S TEXAS...AND ADJACENT WATERS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO PRESENT N OF THE LOW
ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...MAINLY FROM 22N-24N BETWEEN 86W-
90W. AT UPPER-LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION PERSISTS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITH CENTER NEAR 24N97W.  WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THIS AREA AND FAIR
WEATHER ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF EXCEPT NEAR THE LOWS PREVIOUSLY
DISCUSSED. E-NE WINDS OF 15-20 KT DOMINATE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH WHILE N-NW WINDS OF 5-10 KT PREVAIL ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW GULF IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING WHILE THE LOW IN THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
RAINSHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA...SUPPORTING AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW LOCATED ACROSS THE COLOMBIAN COAST NEAR 10N73W. A
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH CONNECT TO THIS LOW AND
ENHANCE A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 12N
BETWEEN 68W-72W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
PREVAILS ACROSS AREAS OF JAMAICA AND CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
ADJACENT WATERS. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ON
THE EASTERN BASIN GENERATING A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE
E CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS ALONG 72W. THE PASSAGE
OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THIS
AREA SUPPORT TRADES OF 20 KT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BASIN. SOUTHERLY-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OF 5-15 KT DOMINATES
ELSEWHERE. A NEW TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
WATERS OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING SUPPORTING RAINSHOWERS IN
THE E-SE PORTION OF THE BASIN.

...HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING TO HAITI. THE PRESENCE OF THIS WAVE IS SLIGHTLY
ENHANCING THE ENVIRONMENT TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS AND TSTMS. A
SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE NEAR THE ISLAND BY THU MORNING.
THIS WAVE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE WHICH IS
FORECAST TO PRODUCE RAINSHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
ISLAND THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE THIS...ITS
RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SW N ATLC WATERS WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION N OF 25N BETWEEN 68W-73W. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CRISTOBAL. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS WHILE
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS CUBA
AFFECTING THEIR NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS. ELSEWHERE...BESIDES THE
TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 30N54W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 272355
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.3N 70.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.7 WEST.  CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  A CONTINUED
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51
MPH...83 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT34 KNHC 272355
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.3N 70.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.7 WEST.  CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  A CONTINUED
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51
MPH...83 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
ACPN50 PHFO 272347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272326
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA
PRESION DEBIL SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA LIMITADA.
SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA ES POSIBLE
ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO EL
JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE
SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE
CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. SIN EMBARGO...LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA
DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE O
EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272326
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA
PRESION DEBIL SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA LIMITADA.
SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA ES POSIBLE
ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO EL
JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE
SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE
CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. SIN EMBARGO...LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES PUEDEN TORNARSE MAS FAVORABLES PARA
DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE O
EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272322
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Marie, located about 1000 miles west of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272322
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Marie, located about 1000 miles west of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABNT20 KNHC 272321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak area of low
pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico is currently limited.
However, some development of this system is still possible before it
moves inland over south Texas and northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and showers.  This system is
expected to move generally westward across the Caribbean Sea with
little development during the next few days.  However, environmental
conditions could become favorable for some development by early next
week in the western Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272155
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS NEAR 23.1N 125.0W
989 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES
TO WEAKEN AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW
LIMITED TO WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 29 FT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT
OF MARIE. MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NW OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...AND OVER GRADUALLY COOLER SST`S AND INTO MUCH MORE
STABLE AIR. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST TROPICAL STORM BY LATE THU.
LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELL GENERATED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WATERS...AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE COAST INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE STRONG
SWELL FROM MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COASTAL WATERS WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS SURF...MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION THROUGH THU. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH
MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N72W TO 11N96W TO 10N111W...
WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED SE OF MARIE. TROUGH RESUMES S OF
MARIE FROM LOW PRES NEAR 15N124W TO 12N128W TO BEYOND 10.5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05.5N TO
12.5N BETWEEN 80W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 124W AND
133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 29N139W WITH MINIMUM
PRESSURE OF 1010 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA OF FRESH
TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE W OF THE AREA THU.

THE REMNANT LOW OF KARINA WAS SEEN IN SATELLITE PHOTOS THIS
AFTERNOON NEAR 15N124W WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE
IS A LIMITED AND DECREASING AMOUNT OF CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM SW
OF KARINA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE AND
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TONIGHT INTO THU AS THE CIRCULATION BECOMES
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 100W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
STRIPLING


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272155
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS NEAR 23.1N 125.0W
989 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES
TO WEAKEN AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW
LIMITED TO WITHIN 180 NM ACROSS THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 29 FT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT
OF MARIE. MARIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NW OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...AND OVER GRADUALLY COOLER SST`S AND INTO MUCH MORE
STABLE AIR. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...AND
MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST TROPICAL STORM BY LATE THU.
LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELL GENERATED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WATERS...AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE COAST INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE STRONG
SWELL FROM MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COASTAL WATERS WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS SURF...MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION THROUGH THU. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH
MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N72W TO 11N96W TO 10N111W...
WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED SE OF MARIE. TROUGH RESUMES S OF
MARIE FROM LOW PRES NEAR 15N124W TO 12N128W TO BEYOND 10.5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05.5N TO
12.5N BETWEEN 80W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 124W AND
133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 29N139W WITH MINIMUM
PRESSURE OF 1010 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA OF FRESH
TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE W OF THE AREA THU.

THE REMNANT LOW OF KARINA WAS SEEN IN SATELLITE PHOTOS THIS
AFTERNOON NEAR 15N124W WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE
IS A LIMITED AND DECREASING AMOUNT OF CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM SW
OF KARINA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE AND
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TONIGHT INTO THU AS THE CIRCULATION BECOMES
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 100W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
STRIPLING



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 272033
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 125.0W
ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.0 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 272033
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 125.0W
ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.0 WEST. MARIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 272033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 124.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.1N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.8N 129.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.6N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.0N 133.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 30.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 125.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 272033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 124.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.1N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.8N 129.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.6N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.0N 133.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 30.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 125.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 272033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 124.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.1N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.8N 129.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.6N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.0N 133.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 30.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 125.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 272033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 125.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 124.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.1N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.8N 129.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.6N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.0N 133.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.0N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 30.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 125.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 272031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.7N 71.4W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS
WELL WEST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT.

DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40
MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 272031
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N  63.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  55.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N  47.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 272031
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N  63.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  55.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N  47.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 272031
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N  63.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  55.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N  47.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 272031
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N  63.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  55.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N  47.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 272031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
500 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.7N 71.4W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS
WELL WEST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT.

DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40
MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271807
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

DATA DE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
INVESTIGANDO LA DEBIL BAJA PRESION SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO INDICA QUE EL SISTEMA NO TIENE UN CENTRO DE CIRCULACION BIEN
DEFINIDO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS TAMBIEN HA DISMINUIDO DESDE ESTA
MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN DESARROLLO LIMITADO DE ESTE SISTEMA
TODAVIA ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL
NORTE DE MEXICO EL JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271807
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

DATA DE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
INVESTIGANDO LA DEBIL BAJA PRESION SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO INDICA QUE EL SISTEMA NO TIENE UN CENTRO DE CIRCULACION BIEN
DEFINIDO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS TAMBIEN HA DISMINUIDO DESDE ESTA
MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN DESARROLLO LIMITADO DE ESTE SISTEMA
TODAVIA ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL
NORTE DE MEXICO EL JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271807
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

DATA DE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
INVESTIGANDO LA DEBIL BAJA PRESION SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO INDICA QUE EL SISTEMA NO TIENE UN CENTRO DE CIRCULACION BIEN
DEFINIDO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS TAMBIEN HA DISMINUIDO DESDE ESTA
MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN DESARROLLO LIMITADO DE ESTE SISTEMA
TODAVIA ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL
NORTE DE MEXICO EL JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271807
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

DATA DE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
INVESTIGANDO LA DEBIL BAJA PRESION SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO INDICA QUE EL SISTEMA NO TIENE UN CENTRO DE CIRCULACION BIEN
DEFINIDO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE TRONADAS TAMBIEN HA DISMINUIDO DESDE ESTA
MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN DESARROLLO LIMITADO DE ESTE SISTEMA
TODAVIA ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL
NORTE DE MEXICO EL JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE
LAS ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271800
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1745 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 31.8N 72.2W AT 27/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 380 NM WEST OF BERMUDA...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 23N BETWEEN 67W-75W. LIGHTING DATA INDICATE
TSTMS FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 70W-74W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS JUST WEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDING FROM 20N24W TO 10N26W...MOVING
W AT 20 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ARE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION AT THE TIME.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N34W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST ARE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...THUS INHIBITING CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ABOUT 200 NM EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N56W TO 10N57W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE SOUTH OF 17N WHICH
ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 11N-16N WEST OF 52W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N68W TO 10N68W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE
SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 15N EAST OF 71W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 8N25W TO 11N40W. THE INTERTROPICAL
CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS BEGINS NEAR 11N40W AND CONTINUES TO
12N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 12W-
19W AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 21W-28W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF BEING SUPPORTED
BY A MIDDLE LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS THE BASIN. A 1010 MB
LOW IS BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N94W FROM WHICH A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SE ALONG 25N90W TO COASTAL NORTHERN CUBA
NEAR 23N81W. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE TROUGH IS
ENHANCING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM E-NE OF THE
AXIS. STRONG DEEP LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL WIND SHEAR ON THE NW GULF
IS KEEPING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NE OF THE LOW CENTER.
THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF 27N BETWEEN 91W-94W...AFFECTING
COASTAL SW LOUISIANA AND ADJACENT WATERS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE ON THE NW QUADRANT OF THE LOW WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
TEXAS COASTLINE. IN THE UPPER-LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUPPORTING DRY AIR
SUBSIDENCE AND FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH IS ON THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 22N90W TO 17N91W
WITH NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. E-NE WIND FLOW OF 15-20
KT DOMINATE E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH WHILE N-NW WIND OF 5 KT IS
ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF IT. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW
GULF WILL MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING. RAINSHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH IS ON THE CENTRAL BASIN
SUPPORTING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE SW CARIBBEAN
ASSOCIATED WITH A 1011 MB LOW NEAR 12N76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH
CONNECTS TO THIS LOW AND ENHANCE A CLUSTER OF MODERATE
CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 16N BETWEEN 75W-82W. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED N OF 16N BETWEEN 76W-81W...INCLUDING JAMAICA
AND CENTRAL CUBA. AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ON THE EASTERN
BASIN IN THE UPPER LEVELS CREATING A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ON
THE SE CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS ALONG 69W. THE PASSAGE OF
THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT SUPPORT
TRADES OF 20 KT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BASIN. SOUTHERLY-
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OF 5-15 KT DOMINATES ELSEWHERE. A NEW
TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS BY
THURSDAY MORNING SUPPORTING MORE RAINSHOWERS IN THE E-SE BASIN.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE TO LOWER LEVEL DRY AIR DOMINATE ACROSS THE ISLAND
SUPPORTING MAINLY FAIR WEATHER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL
WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...HOWEVER THE
NORTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT IS DEVOID OF ABUNDANT MOISTURE. THE
PASSAGE OF THIS WAVE TODAY MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS
EVENING BEING ENHANCED BY DAYTIME HEATING. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU MORNING. THIS WAVE IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE FORECAST TO PRODUCE
RAINSHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ISLAND THU THROUGH FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA OF DISCUSSION
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ITS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE SW N ATLC WATERS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND TSTMS N OF 24N BETWEEN 68W-76W. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
ABOVE. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
BAHAMAS AS WELL AS CUBA AND HISPANIOLA NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS.
OTHERWISE...BESIDES THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD
SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N48W
AND A PAIR OF HIGHS N OF 30N E OF 34W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271800
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1745 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS CENTERED NEAR 31.8N 72.2W AT 27/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 380 NM WEST OF BERMUDA...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 23N BETWEEN 67W-75W. LIGHTING DATA INDICATE
TSTMS FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 70W-74W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS JUST WEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDING FROM 20N24W TO 10N26W...MOVING
W AT 20 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ARE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION AT THE TIME.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N34W TO 11N34W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST ARE IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...THUS INHIBITING CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ABOUT 200 NM EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N56W TO 10N57W...MOVING W AT 20-25 KT.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE SOUTH OF 17N WHICH
ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 11N-16N WEST OF 52W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N68W TO 10N68W...MOVING WEST AT 20-25 KT. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE
SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 15N EAST OF 71W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W
AND CONTINUES ALONG 8N25W TO 11N40W. THE INTERTROPICAL
CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS BEGINS NEAR 11N40W AND CONTINUES TO
12N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 12W-
19W AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 21W-28W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF BEING SUPPORTED
BY A MIDDLE LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS THE BASIN. A 1010 MB
LOW IS BEING ANALYZED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N94W FROM WHICH A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SE ALONG 25N90W TO COASTAL NORTHERN CUBA
NEAR 23N81W. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE TROUGH IS
ENHANCING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM E-NE OF THE
AXIS. STRONG DEEP LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL WIND SHEAR ON THE NW GULF
IS KEEPING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NE OF THE LOW CENTER.
THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF 27N BETWEEN 91W-94W...AFFECTING
COASTAL SW LOUISIANA AND ADJACENT WATERS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE ON THE NW QUADRANT OF THE LOW WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
TEXAS COASTLINE. IN THE UPPER-LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUPPORTING DRY AIR
SUBSIDENCE AND FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH IS ON THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 22N90W TO 17N91W
WITH NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. E-NE WIND FLOW OF 15-20
KT DOMINATE E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH WHILE N-NW WIND OF 5 KT IS
ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF IT. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE NW
GULF WILL MOVE SW INTO NE MEXICO BY THU MORNING. RAINSHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH IS ON THE CENTRAL BASIN
SUPPORTING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON THE SW CARIBBEAN
ASSOCIATED WITH A 1011 MB LOW NEAR 12N76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH
CONNECTS TO THIS LOW AND ENHANCE A CLUSTER OF MODERATE
CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 16N BETWEEN 75W-82W. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED N OF 16N BETWEEN 76W-81W...INCLUDING JAMAICA
AND CENTRAL CUBA. AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ON THE EASTERN
BASIN IN THE UPPER LEVELS CREATING A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ON
THE SE CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS ALONG 69W. THE PASSAGE OF
THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG WITH A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT SUPPORT
TRADES OF 20 KT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BASIN. SOUTHERLY-
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OF 5-15 KT DOMINATES ELSEWHERE. A NEW
TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS BY
THURSDAY MORNING SUPPORTING MORE RAINSHOWERS IN THE E-SE BASIN.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE TO LOWER LEVEL DRY AIR DOMINATE ACROSS THE ISLAND
SUPPORTING MAINLY FAIR WEATHER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL
WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...HOWEVER THE
NORTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT IS DEVOID OF ABUNDANT MOISTURE. THE
PASSAGE OF THIS WAVE TODAY MAY ENHANCE ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS
EVENING BEING ENHANCED BY DAYTIME HEATING. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU MORNING. THIS WAVE IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE FORECAST TO PRODUCE
RAINSHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ISLAND THU THROUGH FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA OF DISCUSSION
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ITS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE SW N ATLC WATERS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND TSTMS N OF 24N BETWEEN 68W-76W. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
ABOVE. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
BAHAMAS AS WELL AS CUBA AND HISPANIOLA NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS.
OTHERWISE...BESIDES THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD
SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N48W
AND A PAIR OF HIGHS N OF 30N E OF 34W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271751
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
investigating the weak area of low pressure over the northwestern
Gulf of Mexico indicate that the system does not have a
well-defined circulation.  The associated thunderstorm activity has
also diminished some since this morning.  However, some limited
development of this system is still possible before it moves inland
over south Texas and northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers.
This system is forecast to move generally westward across the
Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 271751
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
investigating the weak area of low pressure over the northwestern
Gulf of Mexico indicate that the system does not have a
well-defined circulation.  The associated thunderstorm activity has
also diminished some since this morning.  However, some limited
development of this system is still possible before it moves inland
over south Texas and northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers.
This system is forecast to move generally westward across the
Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan



000
ACPN50 PHFO 271745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 271745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
WTNT34 KNHC 271735
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA..


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 72.0W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...EAST OF THE CENTER
OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...
76 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 986
MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271735
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA..


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 72.0W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...EAST OF THE CENTER
OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...
76 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 986
MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271735
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA..


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 72.0W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...EAST OF THE CENTER
OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...
76 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 986
MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271735
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
200 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA..


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 72.0W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...EAST OF THE CENTER
OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...
76 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 986
MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271723
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271723
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271504
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W 980 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW LIMITED TO WITHIN
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 32 FT
WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. LARGE AND POWERFUL
WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W
SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LARGE SWELL FROM MARIE IS NOW AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION LIKELY. MARIE
WILL CONTINUE ITS WEAKENING TREND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NW OVER
COOLER WATERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST
OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 08N99W TO 12N110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N
TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 210 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS
BETWEEN 87W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND
100W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 29N138W WITH A SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE W OF THE AREA THU.

THE REMNANT LOW OF KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W WITH A
PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT OF KARINA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE TODAY AND THE CIRCULATION WILL BECOME
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 105W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271504
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W 980 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW LIMITED TO WITHIN
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 32 FT
WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. LARGE AND POWERFUL
WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W
SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LARGE SWELL FROM MARIE IS NOW AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION LIKELY. MARIE
WILL CONTINUE ITS WEAKENING TREND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NW OVER
COOLER WATERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST
OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 08N99W TO 12N110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N
TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 210 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS
BETWEEN 87W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND
100W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 29N138W WITH A SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE W OF THE AREA THU.

THE REMNANT LOW OF KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W WITH A
PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT OF KARINA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE TODAY AND THE CIRCULATION WILL BECOME
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 105W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271504
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W 980 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW LIMITED TO WITHIN
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 32 FT
WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. LARGE AND POWERFUL
WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W
SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LARGE SWELL FROM MARIE IS NOW AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION LIKELY. MARIE
WILL CONTINUE ITS WEAKENING TREND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NW OVER
COOLER WATERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST
OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 08N99W TO 12N110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N
TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 210 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS
BETWEEN 87W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND
100W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 29N138W WITH A SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE W OF THE AREA THU.

THE REMNANT LOW OF KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W WITH A
PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT OF KARINA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE TODAY AND THE CIRCULATION WILL BECOME
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 105W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271504
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE MARIE WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W 980 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW LIMITED TO WITHIN
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 32 FT
WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. LARGE AND POWERFUL
WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO W OF 100W
SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LARGE SWELL FROM MARIE IS NOW AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
SURF...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION LIKELY. MARIE
WILL CONTINUE ITS WEAKENING TREND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NW OVER
COOLER WATERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS ON MARIE...AND THE LOCAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST
OFFICES FOR MORE ON IMPACTS FROM SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 08N99W TO 12N110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N
TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 210 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS
BETWEEN 87W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND
100W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANT LOW OF LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 29N138W WITH A SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. LOWELL IS STILL PRODUCING AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOWELL. LOWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AND MOVE W OF THE AREA THU.

THE REMNANT LOW OF KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W WITH A
PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THERE IS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT OF KARINA. THE REMNANT LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE TODAY AND THE CIRCULATION WILL BECOME
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION AROUND MARIE.

MIXED SWELLS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
MAJORITY OF THE WATERS W OF 110W THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A
RESULT OF SWELL PROPAGATING AWAY FROM MARIE INTERACTING WITH
SWELL THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED BY LOWELL AND KARINA.
MEANWHILE...THE WATERS E OF 105W WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MORE
TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS
EXPECTED.

$$
AL


000
WTNT34 KNHC 271440
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 72.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271440
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 72.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271440
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 72.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271440
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 72.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271440
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 72.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 420SE 180SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 123.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 130.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 271440
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 72.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM W OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER
THAT TIME...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY LATE FRIDAY.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
800 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

...MARIE STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 123.7W
ABOUT 880 MI...1415 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON
AND A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A
RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT24 KNHC 271438
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  72.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  72.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  72.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N  70.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N  66.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.6N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 210SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 56.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 271438
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  72.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  72.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  72.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N  70.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N  66.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.6N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 210SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 56.0N  29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
AXNT20 KNHC 271158
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N
72.0W...OR ABOUT 370 NM TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA AT 27/1200 UTC.
PRESENT MOVEMENT OF CRISTOBAL IS NORTHWARD AT 10 KT. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 31N TO 33N
BETWEEN 70W AND 73W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 28N TO
30N BETWEEN 72W AND 74W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 33N TO 36N BETWEEN 63W AND 70W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE 36N64W 32N70W
25N73W 20N74W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE
PERIOD ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN BERMUDA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT THE WIND AND SEAS THAT ARE RELATED TO HURRICANE CRISTOBAL.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21W/22W SOUTH OF 23N
MOVING W AT 10-15KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 19W AND 21W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W/32W FROM 21N
SOUTHWARD MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. DRY SAHARAN AIR IS LOCATED IN THE
VICINITY OF THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WAVE. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 27W AND
34W...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 47W AND 58W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63/64W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NORTH
TO 13N BETWEEN 60W AND 68W. SOME OF THIS SOUTHERN CONVECTION MAY
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 10N14W...TO 8N20W 12N28W AND 12N34W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 12N34W TO 12N44W TO 13N52W TO 11N63W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG AND WITHIN 50 NM OF THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM 4N TO 12N BETWEEN 11W AND 17W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 21W AND 27W. OTHER CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS
THE ENTIRE AREA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO THE WEST OF 88W.

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
...NORTHWESTWARD...TO THE UPPER TEXAS GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM
OF THE COAST OF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER.

EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW MAINLY BETWEEN 10-20 KT IS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
UNDER 10KT DOMINATES THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KGHB AND KEMK.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL AREAS OF HAITI TO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE EAST OF THE INVERTED
TROUGH.

BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE WEST OF THE INVERTED TROUGH. SOME
OF THE WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO THE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT
IS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE CRISTOBAL. SOME OF THE
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW ALSO IS RELATED TO THE BROAD
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW REGIME THAT COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED STRONG ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND PANAMA NORTHWARD TO 14N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W. THIS
CONVECTION IS BEING AIDED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE
INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THIS PART OF THE BASIN. OTHER CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.10 IN GUADELOUPE AND 1.79 IN TEGUCIGALPA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS LESS THAN 8 FT
FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W.

...HISPANIOLA...

INVERTED MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING WEST ACROSS THE
AREA. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY AND
WILL REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. UPPER
LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH OUTFLOW FROM HURRICANE
CRISTOBAL IS SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA. ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA AS A TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.

A TROPICAL WAVE DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION WILL
PASS ACROSS THE AREA IN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS. SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THE WAVE PASSES.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE EAST OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N24W...TO
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 25N34W...TO 22N40W TO
22N49W...TO 18N59W.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE 32N24W
18N59W TROUGH.

BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC EAST OF 60W. A
SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
32N47W.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FROM BERMUDA SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
BAHAMAS.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NO CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OTHER THAN
THAT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
CRISTOBAL AND THE STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NORTHEAST OF
CRISTOBAL.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 54W FROM 11N TO 20N WITH
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 9 FT FROM 15N TO 18N
BETWEEN 53W AND 60W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ASL/MT/NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271158
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N
72.0W...OR ABOUT 370 NM TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA AT 27/1200 UTC.
PRESENT MOVEMENT OF CRISTOBAL IS NORTHWARD AT 10 KT. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 31N TO 33N
BETWEEN 70W AND 73W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 28N TO
30N BETWEEN 72W AND 74W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 33N TO 36N BETWEEN 63W AND 70W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE 36N64W 32N70W
25N73W 20N74W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE
PERIOD ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN BERMUDA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT THE WIND AND SEAS THAT ARE RELATED TO HURRICANE CRISTOBAL.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21W/22W SOUTH OF 23N
MOVING W AT 10-15KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 19W AND 21W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W/32W FROM 21N
SOUTHWARD MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. DRY SAHARAN AIR IS LOCATED IN THE
VICINITY OF THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WAVE. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 27W AND
34W...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 47W AND 58W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63/64W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NORTH
TO 13N BETWEEN 60W AND 68W. SOME OF THIS SOUTHERN CONVECTION MAY
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 10N14W...TO 8N20W 12N28W AND 12N34W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 12N34W TO 12N44W TO 13N52W TO 11N63W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG AND WITHIN 50 NM OF THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM 4N TO 12N BETWEEN 11W AND 17W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 21W AND 27W. OTHER CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS
THE ENTIRE AREA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO THE WEST OF 88W.

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
...NORTHWESTWARD...TO THE UPPER TEXAS GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM
OF THE COAST OF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER.

EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW MAINLY BETWEEN 10-20 KT IS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
UNDER 10KT DOMINATES THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KGHB AND KEMK.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL AREAS OF HAITI TO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE EAST OF THE INVERTED
TROUGH.

BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE WEST OF THE INVERTED TROUGH. SOME
OF THE WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO THE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT
IS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE CRISTOBAL. SOME OF THE
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW ALSO IS RELATED TO THE BROAD
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW REGIME THAT COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED STRONG ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND PANAMA NORTHWARD TO 14N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W. THIS
CONVECTION IS BEING AIDED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE
INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THIS PART OF THE BASIN. OTHER CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.10 IN GUADELOUPE AND 1.79 IN TEGUCIGALPA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS LESS THAN 8 FT
FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W.

...HISPANIOLA...

INVERTED MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING WEST ACROSS THE
AREA. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY AND
WILL REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. UPPER
LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH OUTFLOW FROM HURRICANE
CRISTOBAL IS SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA. ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA AS A TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.

A TROPICAL WAVE DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION WILL
PASS ACROSS THE AREA IN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS. SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THE WAVE PASSES.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE EAST OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N24W...TO
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 25N34W...TO 22N40W TO
22N49W...TO 18N59W.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE 32N24W
18N59W TROUGH.

BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC EAST OF 60W. A
SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
32N47W.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FROM BERMUDA SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
BAHAMAS.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NO CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OTHER THAN
THAT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
CRISTOBAL AND THE STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NORTHEAST OF
CRISTOBAL.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 54W FROM 11N TO 20N WITH
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 9 FT FROM 15N TO 18N
BETWEEN 53W AND 60W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ASL/MT/NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271158
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N
72.0W...OR ABOUT 370 NM TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA AT 27/1200 UTC.
PRESENT MOVEMENT OF CRISTOBAL IS NORTHWARD AT 10 KT. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 31N TO 33N
BETWEEN 70W AND 73W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 28N TO
30N BETWEEN 72W AND 74W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 33N TO 36N BETWEEN 63W AND 70W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE 36N64W 32N70W
25N73W 20N74W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE
PERIOD ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN BERMUDA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT THE WIND AND SEAS THAT ARE RELATED TO HURRICANE CRISTOBAL.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21W/22W SOUTH OF 23N
MOVING W AT 10-15KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 19W AND 21W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W/32W FROM 21N
SOUTHWARD MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. DRY SAHARAN AIR IS LOCATED IN THE
VICINITY OF THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WAVE. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 27W AND
34W...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 47W AND 58W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63/64W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NORTH
TO 13N BETWEEN 60W AND 68W. SOME OF THIS SOUTHERN CONVECTION MAY
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 10N14W...TO 8N20W 12N28W AND 12N34W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 12N34W TO 12N44W TO 13N52W TO 11N63W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG AND WITHIN 50 NM OF THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM 4N TO 12N BETWEEN 11W AND 17W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 21W AND 27W. OTHER CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS
THE ENTIRE AREA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO THE WEST OF 88W.

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
...NORTHWESTWARD...TO THE UPPER TEXAS GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM
OF THE COAST OF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER.

EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW MAINLY BETWEEN 10-20 KT IS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
UNDER 10KT DOMINATES THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KGHB AND KEMK.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL AREAS OF HAITI TO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE EAST OF THE INVERTED
TROUGH.

BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE WEST OF THE INVERTED TROUGH. SOME
OF THE WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO THE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT
IS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE CRISTOBAL. SOME OF THE
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW ALSO IS RELATED TO THE BROAD
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW REGIME THAT COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED STRONG ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND PANAMA NORTHWARD TO 14N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W. THIS
CONVECTION IS BEING AIDED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE
INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THIS PART OF THE BASIN. OTHER CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.10 IN GUADELOUPE AND 1.79 IN TEGUCIGALPA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS LESS THAN 8 FT
FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W.

...HISPANIOLA...

INVERTED MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING WEST ACROSS THE
AREA. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY AND
WILL REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. UPPER
LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH OUTFLOW FROM HURRICANE
CRISTOBAL IS SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA. ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA AS A TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.

A TROPICAL WAVE DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION WILL
PASS ACROSS THE AREA IN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS. SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THE WAVE PASSES.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE EAST OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N24W...TO
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 25N34W...TO 22N40W TO
22N49W...TO 18N59W.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE 32N24W
18N59W TROUGH.

BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC EAST OF 60W. A
SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
32N47W.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FROM BERMUDA SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
BAHAMAS.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NO CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OTHER THAN
THAT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
CRISTOBAL AND THE STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NORTHEAST OF
CRISTOBAL.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 54W FROM 11N TO 20N WITH
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 9 FT FROM 15N TO 18N
BETWEEN 53W AND 60W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ASL/MT/NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271158
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL IS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N
72.0W...OR ABOUT 370 NM TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA AT 27/1200 UTC.
PRESENT MOVEMENT OF CRISTOBAL IS NORTHWARD AT 10 KT. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 31N TO 33N
BETWEEN 70W AND 73W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 28N TO
30N BETWEEN 72W AND 74W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 33N TO 36N BETWEEN 63W AND 70W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE 36N64W 32N70W
25N73W 20N74W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE
PERIOD ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN BERMUDA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT THE WIND AND SEAS THAT ARE RELATED TO HURRICANE CRISTOBAL.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21W/22W SOUTH OF 23N
MOVING W AT 10-15KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 19W AND 21W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W/32W FROM 21N
SOUTHWARD MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. DRY SAHARAN AIR IS LOCATED IN THE
VICINITY OF THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WAVE. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 27W AND
34W...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 47W AND 58W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63/64W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NORTH
TO 13N BETWEEN 60W AND 68W. SOME OF THIS SOUTHERN CONVECTION MAY
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 10N14W...TO 8N20W 12N28W AND 12N34W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 12N34W TO 12N44W TO 13N52W TO 11N63W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG AND WITHIN 50 NM OF THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM 4N TO 12N BETWEEN 11W AND 17W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 21W AND 27W. OTHER CONVECTION IS
RELATED TO TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS
THE ENTIRE AREA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO THE WEST OF 88W.

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
...NORTHWESTWARD...TO THE UPPER TEXAS GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM
OF THE COAST OF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER.

EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW MAINLY BETWEEN 10-20 KT IS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
UNDER 10KT DOMINATES THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KGHB AND KEMK.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL AREAS OF HAITI TO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE EAST OF THE INVERTED
TROUGH.

BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE WEST OF THE INVERTED TROUGH. SOME
OF THE WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO THE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT
IS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE CRISTOBAL. SOME OF THE
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW ALSO IS RELATED TO THE BROAD
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW REGIME THAT COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED STRONG ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND PANAMA NORTHWARD TO 14N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W. THIS
CONVECTION IS BEING AIDED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE
INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THIS PART OF THE BASIN. OTHER CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01
KNHC...WAS 0.10 IN GUADELOUPE AND 1.79 IN TEGUCIGALPA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS LESS THAN 8 FT
FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W.

...HISPANIOLA...

INVERTED MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING WEST ACROSS THE
AREA. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY AND
WILL REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. UPPER
LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH OUTFLOW FROM HURRICANE
CRISTOBAL IS SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA. ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA AS A TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.

A TROPICAL WAVE DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION WILL
PASS ACROSS THE AREA IN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS. SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THE WAVE PASSES.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE EAST OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N24W...TO
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 25N34W...TO 22N40W TO
22N49W...TO 18N59W.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE 32N24W
18N59W TROUGH.

BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC EAST OF 60W. A
SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
32N47W.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FROM BERMUDA SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
BAHAMAS.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NO CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OTHER THAN
THAT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
CRISTOBAL AND THE STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NORTHEAST OF
CRISTOBAL.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 54W FROM 11N TO 20N WITH
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 9 FT FROM 15N TO 18N
BETWEEN 53W AND 60W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ASL/MT/NR


000
WTNT34 KNHC 271151
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL MOVING NORTHWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 72.0W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 271151
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL MOVING NORTHWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 72.0W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 271151
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL MOVING NORTHWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 72.0W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 271151
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...CRISTOBAL MOVING NORTHWARD WELL WEST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 72.0W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 271147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

Corrected to include mention of possible aircraft reconnaissance
mission for system in the Gulf of Mexico.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. This
system is now expected to move generally westward across the
Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 271147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

Corrected to include mention of possible aircraft reconnaissance
mission for system in the Gulf of Mexico.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. This
system is now expected to move generally westward across the
Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271139 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA A UNA DEBIL BAJA PRESION
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO HA AUMENTADO DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS. ALGUN DESARROLLO ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO EL
JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ALREDEDOR DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271139 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA A UNA DEBIL BAJA PRESION
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO HA AUMENTADO DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS. ALGUN DESARROLLO ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO EL
JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ALREDEDOR DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CARIBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271138
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA A UNA DEBIL BAJA PRESION
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO HA AUMENTADO DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS. ALGUN DESARROLLO ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO EL
JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ALREDEDOR DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CAIRBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271138
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE
HURACAN CRISTOBAL...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE
DE BERMUDA.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA A UNA DEBIL BAJA PRESION
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO HA AUMENTADO DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS. ALGUN DESARROLLO ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVA SOBRE EL SUR DE TEXAS Y EL NORTE DE MEXICO EL
JUEVES.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ALREDEDOR DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS
DESORGANIZADOS. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DEL MAR CAIRBE CON POCO DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
SIN EMBARGO...LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES DEBEN TORNARSE MAS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO TEMPRANO LA PROXIMA SEMANA EN EL OESTE
DEL MAR CARIBE O EL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ALEJE DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES PARA
ALGUN DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE
10 Y 15 MPH A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL ATLANTICO.

* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN/BRENNAN




000
ACPN50 PHFO 271130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ACPN50 PHFO 271130
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED AUG 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ABNT20 KNHC 271125
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. This
system is now expected to move generally westward across the
Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271125
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. This
system is now expected to move generally westward across the
Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some
development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271124
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271124
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown




    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities