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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300229 CCA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...corrected
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN MAY 29 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2145 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave axis is analyzed along 84W north of 05N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Clusters of scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection are noted from 07N to 09N within 120 nm of the
axis.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N86W to low pressure near
10N93W 1011 mb to 09N100W to 09N105W to 13N115W to low pressure
near 11N121W 1011 mb to 09N127W. The ITCZ axis extends from
09N127W to 09N131W to beyond 07N140W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is found from 06N to 13N between 100W
and 108W. Scattered moderate convection is located from 04N to
07N between 138W and 140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is within 180 nm south of the axis between 84W and
86W, and within 60 nm north of the axis between 123W and 124W.
Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the axis
between 95W-98W...and also between 107W and 108.5W.

...DISCUSSION...corrected

High pressure covers the area to the north of 15N west of 112W
with a ridge axis roughly along 32N133W to 26N127W to near
24N116W. The very tight pressure gradient from the past few days
that was just north of the northeastern portion of the area has
weakened. N swell that has been ushered into the north-central
waters from this gradient are gradually subsiding north of 27N
between 122W-128W with resultant seas of 8 feet. The swell
energy is expected to dissipate by Monday afternoon, with seas
subsiding to 6-7 feet there.

Ascat data from this afternoon depicted generally gentle to
moderate northeast to east winds north of the convergence zone
west of 114W, and light to variable winds east of 114W. Light to
moderate southerly winds were indicated south of the monsoon and
ITCZ zones.

A 1011 mb low pressure center is analyzed near 12N121W. Latest
satellite imagery shows enhanced convection over and near the
low. The convection is characterized as scattered moderate to
isolated strong type within 60 nm of the low in the northwest
quadrant, and scattered moderate type within 60 nm of the low in
the northeast quadrant. The low is forecast to move northeast
through Monday morning, then southeast thereafter while
weakening. The low will be within a large area of southern
hemispheric south to southwest swell.

$$
Aguirre



000
AXNT20 KNHC 291806
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Bonnie was centered
near 33.2N 79.6W at 29/1500 UTC, and is now inland over coastal
South Carolina moving N at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with
gusts to 35 kt. Isolated moderate convection is from 31N to 33N
between 79W and 82W. See latest NHC forecast/advisory under
AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
Tropical wave extends from 10N36W to 03N40W moving W at around
20 kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 34W and
44W, and is near the leading edge of a surge of deep tropical
moisture. Scattered moderate convection is from 01N to 09N
between 33W and 40W.

Tropical wave extends from 14N67W to 05N67W moving W at around
15 kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 64W and
70W and is embedded in moderate to high moisture. Scattered
moderate convection is from 03N to 14N between 61W and 69W.

Tropical wave extends from 15N81W to 06N82W moving W at around
15 kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 79W and
86W north of 09N. Isolated moderate convection is south of 12N
and west of 77W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
The Monsoon Trough extends from the African coast near 10N14W to
06N19W, where the ITCZ axis begins and extends to 04N30W to
04N40W to 02N51W. Isolated moderate convection is north of 03N
east of 10W, from 03N to 08N between 25W and 33W, and within 120
nm of the South America coast between 50W and 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A weak 1020 mb high is centered near 29N89W
supporting light to gentle anticyclonic winds over the Gulf east
of 91W. Mainly moderate easterly winds are W of 91W except
moderate to fresh within 90 nm of a diurnal surface trough that
as of 1200 UTC extended from 22N92W to 18N94W. Subtropical jet
stream energy moving sw to ne over Mexico and Texas supports
isolated showers and thunderstorms north of 22N and west of 90W
over the Gulf basin. Over the next 24 hours the center of the
high will reposition over the northwestern Gulf. Generally fair
weather will continue over the basin through Mon night with
mainly gentle to moderate winds, except moderate to fresh near
the thermal trough that develops over the Yucatan in the evening
and moves westward through the morning toward Vera Cruz.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad middle to upper level trough remains over the central
Caribbean today. Dry air and subsidence resides north of 12N and
west of 81W. Isolated moderate convection is under the trough
axis north of 14N between 72W and 81W. On the east side of the
trough where shear is high, clusters of showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring mainly east of 64W including the
Lesser Antilles. Diurnally enhanced afternoon and evening shower
and thunderstorm activity is occurring over the Greater
Antilles. A 1012 mb low is centered over the coast of Colombia
and is supporting isolated moderate convection within 90 nm of
the low center. Other convection over the southern Caribbean is
primarily associated with two tropical waves. Please refer to
the tropical waves section for further details. Mainly moderate
to locally fresh trade winds cover the Caribbean today. Over the
next 24 hours the middle to upper level trough is forecast to
remain nearly stationary with ongoing convection over the
central Caribbean.

...HISPANIOLA...
Middle to upper level trough over the region supports scattered
showers and thunderstorms over the island today. Overall
activity will diminish overnight due to the loss of daytime
heating. However, isolated showers and thunderstorms will remain
over the area due to the proximity of the trough. This trough
will continue to support enhanced shower and thunderstorm
activity into the early part of the week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Tropical Depression Bonnie has moved onshore South Carolina as
of late this morning. Please refer to the special features
section for further details. A broad middle to upper level
trough from the Bahamas to central Caribbean supports isolated
moderate convection over the southwest north Atlc between 68W
and 79W. Latest scatterometer data indicates a surface trough
has developed near 23N63W and is supporting showers and
scattered thunderstorms from 20N to 26N between 68W and 65W.
Farther east, A ridge axis covers the central and eastern Atlc
anchored by a 1024 mb high near 27N49W, and another 1025 mb high
near 28N49W. A pair of weak lows are causing weaknesses in the
ridge. The westernmost low of 1022 mb is centered near 27N35W
with a surface trough extending from 29N35W through the low
center to 25N38W. The easternmost low of 1022 mb is centered near
28N24W with a surface trough extending from 30N23W through the
low center to near 25N27W. No deep convection is noted with
these lows and troughs. A tropical wave is over the central
Atlc. Please refer to the tropical waves section for further
details.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
LATTO



000
AXNT20 KNHC 291201
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Bonnie is centered
near 32.7N 79.6W at 29/1200 UTC or about 22 nm ESE of Charleston
South Carolina and about 70 nm SSW of Myrtle Beach South
Carolina moving N at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 35
kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 31N to 33N between 79W
and 82W. See latest NHC intermediate public advisory under
AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC and the full
forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
Tropical wave extends from 04N33W to 10N31W moving W at 20 kt.
The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 30W and 36W and
a maximum in 700 mb relative vorticity in the vicinity of the
wave axis near 07N32W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N
to 08N between 30W and 35W.

Tropical wave extends from 04N63W to 12N64W moving W at 15 kt.
The wave coincides with subtle 700 mb troughing between 62W and
66W on the southern periphery of a weakening mid-level ridge
anchored east of the Lesser Antilles near 15N60W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 03N to 14N between 61W and 66W.

Tropical wave extends from 06N81W to 12N81W moving W at 15 kt.
Isolated moderate convection is from 06N to 11N between 79W and
85W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
The Monsoon Trough extends from the African coast near 11N15W to
06N18W. The ITCZ axis extends from 06N18W to 04N33W to 02N51W.
Isolated moderate convection is from 02N to 05N between the
Prime Meridian and 06W...from 04N to 08N between 23Wand
30W...and from 04N to 09N between 50W and 56W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A middle to upper level trough axis extends from over the
Florida panhandle near 31N86W SE to over the central Bahamas
near 23N74W with primarily NW flow prevailing over much of the
Gulf basin this morning. Water vapor imagery indicates fairly
dry and stable conditions aloft which is further supported by a
1019 mb high centered in the NE Gulf waters near 30N88W. Mostly
clear skies are noted on satellite imagery with a few
scattered convective debris clouds across the western waters.
Gentle to moderate E-SE winds are expected Sunday and this
synoptic pattern is expected through much of next week.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle to upper level trough is noted on water vapor imagery
over the central Caribbean with primarily dry and stable W-NW
flow influencing much of the basin W of 70W. Conditions W of 70W
remain fairly tranquil with only a few isolated showers and
tstms occurring S of Jamaica from 16N to 18N between 75W and 81W.
The presence of a tropical wave along 81W is also enhancing
scattered showers and tstms S of 12N W of 75W...including inland
portions of Central America. E of 70W...maximum middle to upper
level diffluence is providing for scattered showers and tstms E
of 66W. The upper level trough will gradually lift N of 20N by
Monday...however upper level troughing will persist across the
SW North Atlc off the coast of Florida with a relatively weak
diffluent environment remaining E of 75W across Hispaniola...
Puerto Rico...and the US/UK Virgin Islands through Tuesday. This
will result in increased probabilities of precipitation through
the middle of next week across the north-central and NE
Caribbean.

...HISPANIOLA...
Isolated showers and tstms are occurring across the island and
adjacent coastal waters this morning due to a middle to upper
level diffluent environment over the island on the southern
periphery of an upper level trough anchored from over Florida to
the central Bahamas. The upper level trough will weaken slightly
however remain across the SW North Atlc through early next week
providing higher probability for precipitation and convection
through the weekend into the first half of next week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Tropical Depression Bonnie continues to provide focus for the SW
North Atlc waters this morning as it tracks towards the South
Carolina coast. Otherwise...the remainder of the SW North Atlc
is under the influence of a relatively diffluent environment
aloft due to a middle to upper level trough axis extending from
over the Florida panhandle to the central Bahamas. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms are occurring from 19N to 28N between
67W and 76W. The upper level troughing is expected to persist
off the coast of Florida through Tuesday. Farther east...a trio
of high centers influence the central and eastern Atlc...a 1025
mb high centered near 31N21W...a 1025 mb high centered near
28N30W and a 1024 mb high centered near 27N48W. Overall...fair
weather conditions prevail E of 55W.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
HUFFMAN



000
WTNT22 KNHC 290846
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
0900 UTC SUN MAY 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF EDISTO BEACH TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  79.4W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  79.4W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  79.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 32.6N  79.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.3N  79.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.5N  78.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.9N  78.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.5N  76.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 35.2N  75.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.8N  74.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  79.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT32 KNHC 290550
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
200 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...BONNIE TURNS NORTHWARD...
...RAINBANDS AFFECTING MOST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AND EXTREME
EASTERN GEORGIA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 79.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
estimated to be near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 79.4 West.
Bonnie is now moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast
track, the center of Bonnie is expected to move near the coast in
the warning area later today. A slow northeastward motion near the
central and northern coast of South Carolina is expected by tonight
and on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is expected to begin later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central
and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern
North Carolina.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area later this morning.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide this morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible through early this
morning over the immediate South Carolina coastal region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart/Berg




000
WTNT32 KNHC 290233
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
1100 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...BONNIE A BIT STRONGER BUT THE MAIN THREAT IS HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 79.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 31.0 North, longitude 79.5 West. Bonnie is currently
stationary. A motion toward the north-northwest is expected to begin
overnight, followed by a turn toward the north as the center of
Bonnie moves near the coast in the warning area on Sunday. A slow
northeastward motion near the central and northern coast of South
Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change
in strength is expected overnight. Some weakening is expected to
begin by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The latest estimated minimum central pressure based on data from
the aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts around 6 inches from central
and eastern South Carolina to the Georgia border. Rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected across southeastern
North Carolina.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area overnight or early Sunday.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide on Sunday morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible late tonight and
early Sunday over the immediate South Carolina coastal region.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
WTNT22 KNHC 290231
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
0300 UTC SUN MAY 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  79.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  79.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  79.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 31.8N  80.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.7N  80.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.1N  79.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.5N  78.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.3N  77.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 35.0N  76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 35.5N  75.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  79.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
AXNT20 KNHC 282359
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Bonnie is centered near 31.1N 79.4W at 28/2100
UTC or about 108 NM south-southeast of Charleston South Carolina
moving northwest at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45
kt. Bonnie is a sheared storm thus convection is mostly nw of
the center along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina.
Scattered moderate convection is from 31N-34N between 79W-82W.
See latest NHC intermediate public advisory under AWIPS/WMO
headers MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC and the full forecast/advisory
under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends along
28W/29W from 03N-13N moving west near 15 kt. Wave is embedded
within a low amplitude 700 mb trough. Scattered moderate
convection is from 5N-8N between 27W-31W.

Tropical wave in the west Tropical Atlantic extends along
59W/60W south of 9N to inland over Guyana South America moving
west 10-15 kt. Wave is embedded within a low amplitude 700 mb
trough. Scattered moderate convection is within 90 nm of the
wave axis.

Tropical wave in the southwest Caribbean extends along 77W south
of 14N to inland over Colombia moving west near 25 kt. Wave is
embedded within a 700 mb trough south of 11N. Scattered moderate
convection is within 90 nm of the wave axis.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The Monsoon Trough extends across Africa into the east Tropical
Atlantic near 09N13W to 07N16W to 06N28W. The ITCZ resumes west
of a tropical wave near 05N30W to 04N40W to South America near
04N51W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is along the
coast of west Africa from 08N-12N between 05W-15W due to the
monsoon trough.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf of Mexico near
29N85W. A 1002 mb low is centered over central Mexico near
25N103W. The surface pressure gradient tightens over the western
Gulf, thus 15-20 kt SE winds are over the W Gulf west of 90W.
The remainder of the Gulf has 10 kt SE winds. Scattered moderate
convection is over southern Louisiana from 29N-31N between 88W-
94W. Further south, clusters of scattered moderate to convection
are inland over Mexico between 96W-101W. Radar imagery shows
scattered showers over central and south Florida, and over west
Cuba. Fair weather is over the remainder of the Gulf. In the
upper levels, a ridge is over Texas and the W Gulf. Elsewhere,
an upper level trough is over the E Gulf and Florida. Expect
over the next 24 hours for the surface high to dissipate and
another high to form over N Louisiana.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is over the SW Caribbean along 77W.  See above.
The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-15 kt tradewinds.
Presently scattered moderate convection is inland over Panama,
Costa Rica, and N Colombia. Scattered showers are over Cuba,
Jamaica, and Hispaniola. Elsewhere, scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is are over the eastern Caribbean
east of 68W. In the upper levels the base of an upper level
trough is along 75W. Upper level diffluence east of the axis is
enhancing the convection over the eastern Caribbean. Expect over
the next 24 hours for the tropical wave to move west to the
Eastern Pacific. Also expect an upper level low to be over the N
Bahamas with continued diffluence and convection over the
eastern Caribbean.

...HISPANIOLA...

Presently scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms are
over the island.  Expect more convection over the next 24 hours
due to upper level diffluence.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on Tropical Storm
Bonnie. Over the central Atlantic a 1025 mb high is centered
near 29N48W. Another 1025 mb high is centered over the eastern
Atlantic near 28N31W. A weak 1022 low is centered near 27N36W.
Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the center. Another weak
1022 mb low is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 28N25W.
Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the center.  Of note in
the upper levels, upper level diffluence southeast of the
Florida upper level low is producing isolated moderate
convection north of Hispaniola from 20N-28N between 65W-76W.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa



000
WTNT32 KNHC 282342
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
800 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

CORRECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE IN SUMMARY SECTION

...BONNIE HESITATES WHILE RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 79.4W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 30.9 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie has moved little
during the past few hours, but a northwest motion near 9 mph (15
km/h) is expected to resume this evening. A decrease in forward
speed and a turn toward the north-northwest are expected on Sunday
as the system nears the coast within the warning area. A slow
northward to northeastward motion of the center across coastal
South Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are
near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. A little strengthening is
possible tonight, with gradual weakening forecast on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated by the aircraft is
1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches with maximum totals of 5 inches from eastern South
Carolina through southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide on Sunday morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible late tonight
and early Sunday over the immediate coastal region from central
South Carolina through southern North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT MAY 28 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282212 CCA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...corrected
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016

Corrected Discussion section

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N84W to 11N96W to 13N110W
to low pressure near 10N122W 1009 mb to 07N126W. ITCZ axis
extends from 07N126W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 120 nm s of the axis
between 93W and 97W, and south of the axis within 30 nm of a
line from 09.5N106W to 09N111W. Scattered moderate convection is
within 60 nm of the axis west of 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

High pressure centered N of the area extends a ridge
southeastward to 32N133W to 25N127W to near 20N120W. High
pressure covers the area north of 15N and west of 115W. A weak
low of 1009 mb is analyzed near 10N122W. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted mainly within 120
nm east semicircle of low. Global model guidance continues to
keep the low in the same general area through Sunday morning
with some development before it begins to lift in a north to
northeasterly direction through Monday. Strong south to
southwest winds are expected to to the southeast of the low from
10N to 12N between 117W and 120W on Sunday with seas building to
10 feet. A tight pressure gradient between the low and the ridge
over the northern and central waters should allow for strong
northeast winds to develop in the northwest quadrant of the low
on Sunday with seas of 8 to 9 ft. The low is forecast to weaken
Sunday night and Monday with associated winds decreasing to 20
kt and seas of 8 ft in south to southwest swell mixed with a
secondary swell component from the north over an area roughly
south of 16N between 114W and 127W. The aforementioned high
pressure north of the area is forecast to weaken as it slides
eastward during the 48 hours.

East of 125W...satellite water vapor imagery shows plentiful
deep atmospheric moisture present underneath a mid-level ridge
roughly along 14N. The southern portion of an upper level trough
that stretches from central Baja California to near 12N126W is
providing lift for the deep moisture. This has resulted in the
development of clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection near and south of the monsoon trough segment between
105W and 111W. The trough is forecast to shift east of the area
Sunday. Ascat data from this afternoon depicted an area of fresh
northeast winds west of 136W between 09N-12N, and moderate
trades N of the convergence zone west of 125W. Mainly gentle
winds prevail elsewhere across the basin. Elsewhere, near gale
force N-NW winds along the California coast have produced an
area of 7-8 ft N swell in north/central waters between 123W and
129W. Cross-equatorial S-SW swell will affect the area south of
the equator between 104W and 120W. The swell is forecast to
merge with the area of elevated sea heights associated with the
low near 10N122W to produce a fairly large area of 6-8 ft seas
in south-central waters by late Sunday  Mostly benign marine
conditions are expected to prevail across the remainder of the
forecast area through Tuesday.

$$
Aguirre



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282205
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N84W to 11N96W to 13N110W
to low pressure near 10N122W 1009 mb to 07N126W. ITCZ extends
from 07N126W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm s of the axis between 93W
and 97W, and south of the axis within 30 nm of a line from
09.5N106W to 09N111W. Scattered moderate convection is within
60 nm of the axis west of 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

High pressure centered N of the area extends a ridge
southeastward to 32N133W to 25N127W to near 20N120W. High
pressure covers the area north of 15N and west of 115W. A weak
low of 1009 mb is analyzed near 10N122W. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted mainly within 120
nm east semicircle of low. Global model guidance continues to
keep the low in the same general area through Sunday morning
with some development before it begins to lift in a north to
northeasterly direction through Monday. Strong south to
southwest winds are expected to to the southeast of the low from
10N to 12N between 117W and 120W on Sunday with seas building to
10 feet. A tight pressure gradient between the low and the ridge
over the northern and central waters should allow for strong
northeast winds to develop in the northwest quadrant of the low
on Sunday with seas of 8 to 9 ft. The low is forecast to weaken
Sunday night and Monday with associated winds decreasing to 20
kt and seas of 8 ft in south to southwest mixed with a secondary
swell component from the north over an area roughly south of 16N
between 114W and 127W.

East of 125W...satellite water vapor imagery shows plentiful
deep atmospheric moisture present underneath a mid-level ridge
roughly along 14N. The southern portion of an upper level trough
that stretches from central Baja California to near 12N126W is
providing lift for the deep moisture. This has resulted in the
development of clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection near and south of the monsoon trough segment between
105W and 111W. The trough is forecast to shift east of the area
Sunday. Ascat data from this afternoon depicted an area of fresh
northeast winds west of 136W between 09N-12N, and moderate
trades N of the convergence zone west of 125W. Mainly gentle
winds prevail elsewhere across the basin. Elsewhere, near gale
force N-NW winds along the California coast have produced an
area of 7-8 ft N swell in north-central waters between 123W and
129W. Cross-equatorial S-SW swell will affect the area south of
the equator between 104W-120W. The swell is forecast to merge
with the area of elevated sea heights associated with the low
near 10N122W to produce a fairly large area of 6-8 ft seas in
south-central waters by late Sunday  Mostly benign marine
conditions are expected to prevail across the remainder of the
forecast area through Tuesday.

$$
Aguirre



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 281753
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  3A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022016
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT SABADO 28 DE MAYO DE 2016

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE CONVIERTA EN TORMENTA TROPICAL TARDE HOY...
...BANDAS DE LLUVIA EXTERNAS SE MUEVEN SOBRE LAS COSTAS DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...


RESUMEN DE LAS 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.7 NORTE 79.0 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 150 MI...240 KM AL SUR-SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR
ALREDEDOR DE 225 MI...360 KM AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE FEAR CAROLINA DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MB...29.80 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Savannah River hasta Little River Inlet Carolina del Sur

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de Tormenta
Tropical se esperan en algun lugar dentro del area de
aviso...en este caso dentro de las proximas 24 horas.

Para informacion especifica a su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos sobre tierra...favor de consultar los productos
emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 2:00 PM EDT (1800 UTC)...el centro de la Depresion Tropical Dos
se estima que esta cerca de la latitud 30.7 Norte...longitud 79.0
Oeste. La depresion se esta moviento hacia el Noroeste cerca de las
13 mph (20 km/h). Se espera que este movimiento general...acompanado
por una disminucion en la velocidad de translacion...continue tarde
hoy y el Domingo a medida que el sistema se acerque a la costa
dentro del area de aviso.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 35 mph (55 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. La depresion esta pronosticada a convertirse en
tormenta tropical tarde hoy mientras se continue moviendose sobre
aguas mas calidas de las corrientes del Golfo.

La presion central minima estimada es de 1009 milibares...29.80
pulgadas.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta Tropical se esperan que alcancen
primero la costa dentro de la area de aviso tarde esta noche o
temprano el Domingo.

LLUVIAS: Se espera que la depresion produzca acumulaciones totales
de lluvia de 1 a 3 pulgadas desde el Este de Carolina del Sur hasta
el Sureste de Carolina del Norte.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: Inundaciones de la marejada ciclonica de 1 a 2
pies sobre el nivel de tierra es posible dentro del area de aviso de
tormenta tropical.

RESACAS: Se espera que este produzca resacas y condiciones de
corrientes submarinas que podran amenazar la vida a lo largo de
porciones de la costa del sureste de los Estados Unidos durante el
fin de semana. Favor de consultar los productos emitidos por su
oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.


LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 PM EDT.

$$

Pronosticador Stewart
Traductor Colon-Pagan



000
WTNT32 KNHC 281747
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
200 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...
...OUTER RAINBANDS MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.7N 79.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
estimated to be near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 79.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
This general motion, accompanied by a decrease in forward speed, is
expected later today and on Sunday as the system nears the coast
within the warning area.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today as
it continues to move over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area later tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from eastern South Carolina through
southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area.

SURF: This system is expected to produce life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United
States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281731
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 28 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 281208
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  3A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022016
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT SABADO 28 DE MAYO DE 2016

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE CONVIERTA EN TORMENTA TROPICAL TARDE HOY...


RESUMEN DE LAS 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.0 NORTE 78.0 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 225 MI...365 KM AL SUR-SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR
ALREDEDOR DE 270 MI...435 KM AL SUR DE CAPE FEAR CAROLINA DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MB...29.80 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Savannah River hasta Little River Inlet Carolina del Sur

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de Tormenta
Tropical se esperan en algun lugar dentro del area de
aviso...en este caso dentro de las proximas 24 horas.

Para informacion especifica a su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos sobre tierra, favor de consultar los productos
emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), el centro de la Depresion Tropical Dos
fue estimado por un avion de reconocimiento de las Fuerzas Aereas
cerca de la latitud 30.0 norte...longitud 78.0 oeste. La depresion
se mueve hacia el noroeste cerca de 14 mph (22 km/h). Se espera una
reduccion en la velocidad de traslacion hoy y el Domingo a medida
que el sistema se acerque a la costa dentro del area de aviso.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos permanecen cerca de 35 mph (55 km/h)
con rafagas mas altas. Reportes del avion de reconocimiento indican
que el ciclon tropical esta justo por debajo de fuerza de tormenta
tropical. La depresion esta pronosticada a convertirse en tormenta
tropical tarde hoy mientras se mueva sobre aguas mas calidas de las
corrientes del Golfo.

La presion central minima estimada es de 1009 milibares...29.80
pulgadas.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta Tropical se esperan que alcancen
primero la costa dentro de la area de aviso tarde esta noche o
temprano el Domingo.

LLUVIAS: Se espera que la depresion produzca acumulaciones totales
de lluvia de 1 a 3 pulgadas desde el Este de Carolina del Sur hasta
el Sureste de Carolina del Norte.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: Inundaciones de la marejada ciclonica de 1 a 2
pies sobre el nivel de tierra es posible dentro del area de aviso de
tormenta tropical.

RESACAS: Se espera que este produzca resacas y condiciones de
corrientes submarinas que podran amenazar la vida a lo largo de
porciones de la costa del sureste de los Estados Unidos durante el
fin de semana. Favor de consultar los productos emitidos por su
oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.


LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM EDT.

$$

Pronosticador Stewart
Traductor Colon-Pagan



000
WTNT32 KNHC 281150
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
800 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 78.0W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
estimated by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft to be near
latitude 30.0 North, longitude 78.0 West. The depression is moving
toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A decrease in forward
speed is expected later today and on Sunday as the system nears the
coast within the warning area.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the tropical
cyclone is just below tropical storm strength. The depression is
forecast to become a tropical storm later today as it moves over the
warm waters of the Gulfstream.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area later tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from eastern South Carolina through
southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area.

SURF: This system is expected to produce life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United
States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280512
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTNT22 KNHC 280230
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
0300 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  75.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  75.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  75.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N  77.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.3N  78.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.2N  79.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.7N  79.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.5N  78.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N  77.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.5N  76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  75.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
AXNT20 KNHC 280120
TWDAT

AXNT20 KNHC DDHHMM
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Tropical Depression Two is centered near 28.5N 74.7W at 27/2100
UTC, or about 378 NM SE of Charleston South Carolina moving WNW
at 11 KT.  Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 MB.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 KT with gusts to 40 KT.  Some
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight
or on Saturday.  A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect
for...Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina.
Presently scattered moderate convection is from 28N-31N between
73W-76W.  Please see the latest intermediate public advisory
under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC, and the full
forecast advisory under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
extending from 15N19W to 05N20W moving west at 15 kt. The wave
has a well-defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS
analysis, and rawindsondes over West Africa.  The wave is
embedded in a moderate moist environment from the surface to 850
mb, according to CIRA layer precipitable water.  EnhancedAn
upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection over Haiti.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produced scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over Hispaniola during the
next two days.
Meteosat imagery shows dust in the northern wave environment,
thus limiting the convection to scattered moderate from 5N-8N
between 19W-22W.

A tropical wave is over the west tropical Atlantic extending
from 13N55W to 05N54W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  This wave has become difficult to track and is weakly
apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave diagnostics at 700 mb.
No deep convection is present currently associated with the wave.

A tropical wave is located in the eastern Caribbean extending
from 16N68W to 08N68W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  The wave is embedded in a moderate moist environment
from the surface to 850 mb.  Scattered showers are within 120
nm of the axis.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The Monsoon Trough extends across the tropical Atlantic starting
near 09N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ begins near 06N21W and continues
to 05N43W.  An area of scattered moderate to strong convection
is inland over western Africa due to the monsoon trough from 09N-
14N between 04W-16W. Elsewhere, scattered moderate convection is
along the coast of South America from 2N-7N between 48W-53W due
to the ITCZ.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

An outflow boundary is over western Louisiana and eastern Texas.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 29N-34N between
92W-97W.   Further south, clusters of scattered moderate to
strong convection is along the coast of Mexico from 18N-26N
between 96W-100W.  Surface ridging is over the NE Gulf of
Mexico, while a 1000 mb low is centered over central Mexico near
25N123W.  The surface pressure gradient tightens over the
western Gulf, thus 20-25 kt southerly winds are over the NW
Gulf.  The remainder of the Gulf has 10-15 kt SE winds.  Radar
imagery shows scattered showers over central and south Florida.
Fair weather is over the remainder of the Gulf.  In the upper
levels, the base of a trough is over Texas and the far NW Gulf.
Elsewhere, an upper level low is centered over the N Bahamas
near 26N78W. Expect over the next 24 hours for an increase of
convection over South Florida.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 68W.  See
above.  The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-15 kt tradewinds.
Presently scattered moderate convection is inland over Panama
and Costa Rica. Elsewhere, scattered showers are over the
eastern Caribbean east of 74W. In the upper levels the base of
an upper level trough is along 75W. Upper level diffluence east
of the axis is enhancing the showers over the eastern Caribbean.
Expect little change over the next 24 hours.

HISPANIOLA...

Presently scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are over
the island.  Expect more convection over the next 24 hours due
to the tropical wave and the upper level trough.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on Tropical
Depression Two.  Over the central Atlantic a 1023 mb high is
centered near 28N49W.  A weak 1019 low is centered near 27N26W.
Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the center. Another weak
1017 mb low is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 27N28W.
Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the center.  Of note in
the upper levels, upper level diffluence southeast of the N
Bahamas upper level low is producing scattered moderate
convection north of Hispaniola from 20N-27N between 64W-72W.


For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa



000
AXNT20 KNHC 280022 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Tropical Depression Two is centered near 28.5N 74.7W at 27/2100
UTC, or about 378 NM SE of Charleston South Carolina moving WNW
at 11 KT.  Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 MB.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 KT with gusts to 40 KT.  Some
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight
or on Saturday.  A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect
for...Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina.
Presently scattered moderate convection is from 28N-31N between
73W-76W.  Please see the latest intermediate public advisory
under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC, and the full
forecast advisory under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
extending from 15N19W to 05N20W moving west at 15 kt. The wave
has a well-defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS
analysis, and rawindsondes over West Africa.  The wave is
embedded in a moderate moist environment from the surface to 850
mb, according to CIRA layer precipitable water.  Enhanced
Meteosat imagery shows dust in the northern wave environment,
thus limiting the convection to scattered moderate from 5N-8N
between 19W-22W.

A tropical wave is over the west tropical Atlantic extending
from 13N55W to 05N54W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  This wave has become difficult to track and is weakly
apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave diagnostics at 700 mb.
No deep convection is present currently associated with the wave.

A tropical wave is located in the eastern Caribbean extending
from 16N68W to 08N68W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  The wave is embedded in a moderate moist environment
from the surface to 850 mb.  Scattered showers are within 120
nm of the axis.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The Monsoon Trough extends across the tropical Atlantic starting
near 09N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ begins near 06N21W and continues
to 05N43W.  An area of scattered moderate to strong convection
is inland over western Africa due to the monsoon trough from 09N-
14N between 04W-16W. Elsewhere, scattered moderate convection is
along the coast of South America from 2N-7N between 48W-53W due
to the ITCZ.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

An outflow boundary is over western Louisiana and eastern Texas.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 29N-34N between
92W-97W.   Further south, clusters of scattered moderate to
strong convection is along the coast of Mexico from 18N-26N
between 96W-100W.  Surface ridging is over the NE Gulf of
Mexico, while a 1000 mb low is centered over central Mexico near
25N123W.  The surface pressure gradient tightens over the
western Gulf, thus 20-25 kt southerly winds are over the NW
Gulf.  The remainder of the Gulf has 10-15 kt SE winds.  Radar
imagery shows scattered showers over central and south Florida.
Fair weather is over the remainder of the Gulf.  In the upper
levels, the base of a trough is over Texas and the far NW Gulf.
Elsewhere, an upper level low is centered over the N Bahamas
near 26N78W. Expect over the next 24 hours for an increase of
convection over South Florida.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 68W.  See
above.  The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-15 kt tradewinds.
Presently scattered moderate convection is inland over Panama
and Costa Rica. Elsewhere, scattered showers are over the
eastern Caribbean east of 74W. In the upper levels the base of
an upper level trough is along 75W. Upper level diffluence east
of the axis is enhancing the showers over the eastern Caribbean.
Expect little change over the next 24 hours.

HISPANIOLA...

Presently scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are over
the island.  Expect more convection over the next 24 hours due
to the tropical wave and the upper level trough.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on Tropical
Depression Two.  Over the central Atlantic a 1023 mb high is
centered near 28N49W.  A weak 1019 low is centered near 27N26W.
Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the center. Another weak
1017 mb low is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 27N28W.
Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the center.  Of note in
the upper levels, upper level difluence se of the N Bahamas
upper level low is producing scattered moderate convection n of
Hispaniola from 20N-27N between 64W-72W.


For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 280000
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  1A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022016
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT VIERNES 27 DE MAYO DE 2016

...DEPRESION MOVIENDOSE OESTE-NOROESTE HACIA LA COSTA SURESTE DE
LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM EST...0000 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...28.8 NORTE 75.1 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 400 MI...645 KM AL SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR
ALREDEDOR DE 405 MI...655 KM AL SURESTE DE HILTON HEAD ISLAND CAROLINA DEL SUR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MB...29.80 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Savannah River hasta Little River Inlet Carolina del Sur

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de Tormenta
Tropical se esperan en algun lado dentro de la area de aviso dentro
de 36 horas.

Para informacion especifica a su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos tierra adentro, favor de monitorear productos
emitidos por su Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia local.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 800 pm est...0000 utc...el centro de la Depresion Tropical
Dos estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 28.8 norte...longitud
75.1 oeste. La depresion se mueve hacia el oeste noroeste a cerca de
13mph...20 km/h y este movimiento general se espera que
continue durante las proximas 24 horas. Una reduccion en la velocidad
de traslacion se espera para el Sabado en la noche a medida que
este sistema se acerque a la costa.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 35 mph...55
km/h...con rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica algun fortalecimiento
durante las proximas 48 horas, y se espera que la depresion se
convierta en tormenta tropical mas tarde esta noche o el Sabado.

La presion central minima estimada es de 1009 milibares...29.80
pulgadas.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta tropical se esperan que primero llegue
a la costa dentro de la area de aviso el Sabado en la noche, creando
dificultades en los preparativos en el exterior.

LLUVIAS: Se espera que la depresion produzca acumulaciones totales de
lluvia de 2 a 4 pulgadas desde la costa alta de Georgia hasta el este
de Carolina del Sur y hasta el sureste de Carolina del Norte.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: Inundaciones de la marejada ciclonica de 1 a 2 pies
sobre el nivel de tierra se espera dentro de la area del aviso de tormenta
tropical.

RESACAS: Este sistema se espera que produzca resacas que amanece con
la vida y condiciones de corrientes submarinas a lo largo de
porciones de la costa del sureste de los Estados Unidos durante el
fin de semana. Favor de consultar productos desde su oficina local
del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.


LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Pronosticador Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272326
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
WTNT32 KNHC 272049
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
500 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...SECOND TROPICAL CYCLONE OF THE SEASON FORMS OFF OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.5N 74.7W
ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SE OF HILTON HEAD ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of South
Carolina from the Savannah River northeastward to Little River
Inlet.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 74.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours.  A reduction of the forward speed is expected by Saturday
night as the system nears the coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight or
on Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach
the coast within the warning area by Saturday night, making outside
preparations difficult.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches from the upper coast of Georgia
through eastern South Carolina and into southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is expected within the tropical storm warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT22 KNHC 272048
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
2100 UTC FRI MAY 27 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHEASTWARD TO LITTLE RIVER
INLET.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  74.7W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  74.7W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  74.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.5N  76.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.7N  78.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N  79.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 32.8N  80.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.6N  78.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 34.0N  77.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 34.7N  75.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  74.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
AXNT20 KNHC 271148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1012 mb low pressure is centered near 27N72W and is currently
interacting with a broad upper-level trough, supporting
scattered moderate convection within 180 nm of the northern
semicircle of the low. A surface trough extends from 29N70w, to
the low, to 24N73W. Environmental conditions are generally
conducive for a tropical or subtropical cyclone to form later
today or Saturday while this system moves west-northwestward
toward the southeastern United States coast. There is a high
chance for this system to develop into a tropical or subtropical
cyclone over the next 48 hours. For more information on this
system, please refer to the Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
under AWIPS/WMO headers TWOAT/ABNT20.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is emerging off of the coast of West Africa with
the axis extending from 17N17W to 05N18W.  The wave has a well-
defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS analysis and the
couple of West African rawindsondes.  The wave also has a
prominent maximum of moisture along its axis, as depicted by the
total precipitable water imagery.  Scattered moderate convection
is present within 60 nm of the wave axis south of 08N.

A tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic with an axis
that extends from 14N50W to 03N50W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt
over the past 24 hours. This wave has become difficult to track
and only is weakly apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave
diagnostics at 700 mb. No significant deep convection is present
currently associated with the wave.

A third tropical wave is located near the Windward Islands,
extending from 16N62W to 07N62W.  The wave is associated with a
maximum of moisture and surface to 850 mb cyclonic curvature of
the winds, though it is not apparent at 700 mb.  Scattered
moderate convection may be associated with the wave over
northern Colombia.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ begins near 05N19W and continues to 02N33W then to
05N47W. An area of scattered moderate convection prevails within
60 nm of the ITCZ east of 26W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge axis extends along the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico from the Florida peninsula to Texas.  Winds are generally
northeast to easterly 10-15 kt in the eastern Gulf and southeast
to southerly 15-20 kt in the western Gulf, peaking at 20-25 kt
along the Texas coast. Only widely scattered showers are
occurring within 120 nm of the Texas and southwest Florida
coasts.  Winds will further diminish over the next two days
across the Gulf.  Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible over the northwestern Gulf today, but less likely
on Saturday.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection near Jamaica,
the southern Bahamas, eastern Cuba, and Haiti.  A 1009 mb low
that anchors the Northeast Pacific`s Monsoon Trough is located
near 11N75W in the southwestern Caribbean.  Scattered moderate
convection is within 120 nm of the low. The usual robust north-
to-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is substantially
reduced, and the resulting tradewinds are only 10-15 kt across
the Caribbean, except 20 kt near the coast of Colombia.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produce scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over the central Caribbean
including the Greater Antilles during the next two days.  The
tradewinds will remain relatively weak through Saturday.

HISPANIOLA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection over Haiti.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produced scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over Hispaniola during the
next two days.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on a low near
27N72W.  Elsewhere, surface ridging extends across the North
Atlantic from near the coast of North Carolina to a 1023 mb high
centered near 35N69W to 32N49W. The resulting modest pressure
gradient equatorward of the ridge is generally producing 10-20
kt tradewind easterlies.  Numerous cold, high clouds are
observed between 10N-20N east of 45W.  However, it is likely
that few showers are occurring below this primarily cirrus
cloudiness.  A weak 1014 mb low is centered at 28N30W with a
cold front extending west from the low to 31N41W.  Scattered
showers are located within 120 nm of the low.  Continued
relatively weak tradewinds and a lack of large-scale convection
are expected during the next couple of days.  The frontal low
should dissipate within a day or so.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
LANDSEA/RAMOS



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271147
TWOSPN

Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones en el Tropico
Emitido por el Centro Nacional de Huracanes en Miami, Florida
Traduccion por la Oficina del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
745 PM EDT viernes 27 de mayo de 2016

Para el Atlantico Norte...Mar Caribe y Golfo de Mexico:

La actividad de aguaceros asociada con el area de baja presion
localizada entre Bermuda y las Bahamas continua mostrando senales de
organizacion, y la circulacion de la baja presion se ha gradualmente
vuelto mejor definida. Se espera que las condiciones ambientales
sean generalmente conducentes para el desarrollo de un ciclon
tropical o subtropical mas tarde hoy o el sabado mientras el sistema
se mueve al oeste noroeste o noroeste hacia la costa sureste de los
Estados Unidos. Todos los intereses a lo largo de la costa sureste
desde Georgia hasta Carolina del Norte deben monitorear el progreso
de esta baja presion. Un avion de reconocimiento de la Fuerza Aerea
estara investigando esta baja presion hoy en la tarde. La proxima
Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones en el Tropico en relacion
con este disturbio sera emitida a las 3 pm EDT hoy. Para informacion
adicional sobre este sistema, favor referirse a los Pronosticos de
Alto Oleaje emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 48 horas...alta...90 por ciento.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 5 dias...alta...90 por ciento.

&&

El Pronostico de Alto Oleaje emitido por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia se puede encontrar bajo el encabezado en AWIPS de
NFDHSFAT1 y el encabezado en WMO de FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

Pronosticador Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271120
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271115
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1012 mb low pressure is centered near 27N72W and is currently
interacting with a broad upper-level trough, supporting
scattered moderate convection within 180 nm of the northern
semicircle of the low. A surface trough extends from 29N70w, to
the low, to 24N73W. Environmental conditions are expected to be
marginally conducive for a tropical or subtropical cyclone to
form later today or Saturday while this system moves west-
northwestward or northwestward toward the southeastern United
States coast. There is a high chance for this system to develop
into a tropical or subtropical cyclone over the next 48 hours.
For more information on this system, please refer to the
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook under AWIPS/WMO headers
TWOAT/ABNT20.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is emerging off of the coast of West Africa with
the axis extending from 17N17W to 05N18W.  The wave has a well-
defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS analysis and the
couple of West African rawindsondes.  The wave also has a
prominent maximum of moisture along its axis, as depicted by the
total precipitable water imagery.  Scattered moderate convection
is present within 60 nm of the wave axis south of 08N.

A tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic with an axis
that extends from 14N50W to 03N50W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt
over the past 24 hours. This wave has become difficult to track
and only is weakly apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave
diagnostics at 700 mb. No significant deep convection is present
currently associated with the wave.

A third tropical wave is located near the Windward Islands,
extending from 16N62W to 07N62W.  The wave is associated with a
maximum of moisture and surface to 850 mb cyclonic curvature of
the winds, though it is not apparent at 700 mb.  Scattered
moderate convection may be associated with the wave over
northern Colombia.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ begins near 05N19W and continues to 02N33W then to
05N47W. An area of scattered moderate convection prevails within
60 nm of the ITCZ east of 26W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge axis extends along the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico from the Florida peninsula to Texas.  Winds are generally
northeast to easterly 10-15 kt in the eastern Gulf and southeast
to southerly 15-20 kt in the western Gulf, peaking at 20-25 kt
along the Texas coast. Only widely scattered showers are
occurring within 120 nm of the Texas and southwest Florida
coasts.  Winds will further diminish over the next two days
across the Gulf.  Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible over the northwestern Gulf today, but less likely
on Saturday.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection near Jamaica,
the southern Bahamas, eastern Cuba, and Haiti.  A 1009 mb low
that anchors the Northeast Pacific`s Monsoon Trough is located
near 11N75W in the southwestern Caribbean.  Scattered moderate
convection is within 120 nm of the low. The usual robust north-
to-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is substantially
reduced, and the resulting tradewinds are only 10-15 kt across
the Caribbean, except 20 kt near the coast of Colombia.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produce scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over the central Caribbean
including the Greater Antilles during the next two days.  The
tradewinds will remain relatively weak through Saturday.

HISPANIOLA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection over Haiti.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produced scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over Hispaniola during the
next two days.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on a low near
27N72W.  Elsewhere, surface ridging extends across the North
Atlantic from near the coast of North Carolina to a 1023 mb high
centered near 35N69W to 32N49W. The resulting modest pressure
gradient equatorward of the ridge is generally producing 10-20
kt tradewind easterlies.  Numerous cold, high clouds are
observed between 10N-20N east of 45W.  However, it is likely
that few showers are occurring below this primarily cirrus
cloudiness.  A weak 1014 mb low is centered at 28N30W with a
cold front extending west from the low to 31N41W.  Scattered
showers are located within 120 nm of the low.  Continued
relatively weak tradewinds and a lack of large-scale convection
are expected during the next couple of days.  The frontal low
should dissipate within a day or so.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$

CWL



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270515
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg




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