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000
WTNT34 KNHC 230007
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

CORRECTED DAY OF WEEK IN HEADLINE AND HAZARD SECTION

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 230007
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

CORRECTED DAY OF WEEK IN HEADLINE AND HAZARD SECTION

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 230007
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

CORRECTED DAY OF WEEK IN HEADLINE AND HAZARD SECTION

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 230007
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

CORRECTED DAY OF WEEK IN HEADLINE AND HAZARD SECTION

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 230000 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED OCT 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 555 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
ACPN50 PHFO 222359
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED OCT 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 555
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
WTPA35 PHFO 222358
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  37A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA PASSING BY FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND MOVING SLOWLY TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST TOWARD GARDNER PINNACLES...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 167.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL CONTINUE TO PASS
WEST OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR
GARDNER PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS INTO THE AFTERNOON AND OVER GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 222358
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  37A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA PASSING BY FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND MOVING SLOWLY TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST TOWARD GARDNER PINNACLES...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 167.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL CONTINUE TO PASS
WEST OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR
GARDNER PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS INTO THE AFTERNOON AND OVER GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
AXNT20 KNHC 222357
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE AT 22/2100 UTC IS IN THE
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.2N 91.7W.
THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 78 NM TO THE WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING ESE AT 4 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 82W-90W.


...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS 185 NM S OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH AXIS
THAT EXTENDS FROM 12N23W TO 05N24W MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE
IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE MAINLY IN THE
SOUTHERN PORTION S OF 09N AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-08N
BETWEEN 24W-26W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 13N37W TO 04N39W MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. THIS WAVE IS ENTERING AN AREA
OF WEAK DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR WHICH IS ALLOWING FOR CONVECTION
TO DEVELOP. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM
08N-12N BETWEEN 36W-41W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS 130 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AXIS
THAT EXTENDS FROM 17N57W TO 07N60W MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE
IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. DESPITE THIS...ONLY
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS VISIBLE ALONG 13N FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN
57W-60W AS A STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THIS WAVE.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 11N16W AND CONTINUES TO 10N19W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS
BETWEEN TROPICAL WAVES FROM 08N27W TO 08N36W...AND STARTS AGAIN
FROM 07N41W TO 05N48W TO 09N57W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED LIGHT TO
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 02N-14N BETWEEN 26W-36W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

T.D. NINE CONTINUES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. FOR MORE
INFORMATION PLEASE SEE ABOVE. A COLD FRONT IS FROM 30N93W TO THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N81W AND CONNECTION TO A 1002 MB LOW
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC NEAR 39N70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
PRESENT ALONG THIS FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER
S FLORIDA...THE SE GULF...AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL S OF 26N
BETWEEN 82W-88W. 10-15 KT NE WINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE GULF N OF 25N WHILE 15-20 KT NE FLOW WITH
HIGHER GUSTS NEAR CONVECTION ARE PREVAILING S OF 25N. EXPECT
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NW CARIBBEAN SEA AND FOR THE COLD
FRONT TO MOVE SE EXTENDING FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH
CENTRAL GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH
STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE CONVECTION AFFECTING THE NW PORTION OF
THE BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF 81W
BETWEEN 18N-23N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG 17N
BETWEEN 72W-81W AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF E CUBA...JAMAICA
AND S HISPANIOLA. FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS E OF 71W. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 70W.  ABUNDANT UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER
THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA. TO THE E...AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR CONVECTION TO MOVE OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN DUE TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON
TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED ENTER THE BASIN MOVING
ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES.

HISPANIOLA...

FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE ISLAND WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE NE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ENTERING THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 28N80W
AND CONNECTION TO A 1002 MB LOW NEAR 39N70W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM W OF 58W BETWEEN 27N-45N. TO THE E...A 1012
MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N55W TO 24N56W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE TROUGH FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 49W-54W. TO
THE NE OF THIS FEATURE...A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 35N31W. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS PRESENT E
OF 29W BETWEEN 30N-44N. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS S OF THE LOW
FROM 30N29W TO 23N32W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 34N29W ENHANCING CONVECTION. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH
CONVECTION. CONVECTION IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 222354
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 222354
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE...
...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE
DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT
TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 222339
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.

Shower activity associated with a large non-tropical low located
over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles south of
the western Azores has diminished.  Environmental conditions are
becoming less conducive, and the low is expected to weaken over the
next few days while it meanders.  Additional information on this
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a
non-tropical low pressure area is developing over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico.  The low is expected to move east-northeastward,
and development into a subtropical or tropical cyclone is
unlikely due to unfavorable upper-level winds. Regardless of
development, this system is likely to cause heavy rainfall and
locally gusty winds over western Cuba, the southern portion of the
Florida Peninsula, and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.


&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222339
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or early next
week. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development
of this system after that time while the low drifts generally
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222159
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM PANAMA NEAR 08N78W THEN MOSTLY
OVERLAND ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA TO GUATEMALA NEAR 14N90W THEN TO
10N100W TO 10N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 150 NM N OF TROUGH AND 120 NM BETWEEN 120W AND
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

RICH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED WITH CONVERGENT SW FLOW INTO
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC N OF 06N
AND EAST OF 100W.

FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD TONIGHT AND
THU OVER NE MEXICO AND THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION CURRENTLY IN THE SW GULF HEADING TOWARD
THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS WILL ESTABLISH A
TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND LEAD
TO STRONG GAP WINDS PUSHING INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU
NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. A SECOND REINFORCING GAP WIND EVENT WILL
OCCUR FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. THE PERSIST GAP FLOW WILL
ALLOW SHORT PERIOD N AND NE SEAS WITH HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 12 FT TO
REACH AS FAR TO THE S AND SW AS 500 NM SSW OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC BY SAT MORNING...MIXING WITH LONGER PERIOD NW SWELL.
THIS GAP WIND EVENT WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW GALE
FORCE...IT WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH SUN.

FARTHER WEST...1022 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 30N135W IS
MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WIND FLOW W OF 110W. THE
MAIN MARINE ISSUE IS LONG PERIOD NW SWELL REACHING 8 TO 10 FT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA N OF 08N W OF 120W. THIS WILL CONTINUE
TO PROPAGATE TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST...EVENTUALLY MIXING WITH
SW SWELL MOVING ACROSS THE EQUATOR IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS
IT GRADUALLY DECAYS BELOW 8 FT. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER SET OF NW
SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE N CENTRAL PACIFIC
ACCOMPANYING A COLD FRONT REACHING AS FAR AS 30N130W TO 27N140W
BY LATE FRI. AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER 20N145W IS SUPPORTING
PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 120W.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA25 PHFO 222041
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 167.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 167.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.2N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.1N 169.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.1N 166.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 153.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 141.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 222041
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM W OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS JUST WEST OF
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND TODAY...NEAR GARDNER
PINNACLES TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EAST OF MARO REEF ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTH FACING REEFS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTNT24 KNHC 222031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  91.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 222031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  91.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT24 KNHC 222031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  91.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT34 KNHC 222031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAILED TO STRENGTHEN SO FAR...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 91.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT
AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE DEPRESSION
MOVES INLAND. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION WEAKENS TO
A REMNANT LOW AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA BY THIS EVENING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 222031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAILED TO STRENGTHEN SO FAR...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 91.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT
AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE DEPRESSION
MOVES INLAND. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION WEAKENS TO
A REMNANT LOW AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA BY THIS EVENING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT34 KNHC 222031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAILED TO STRENGTHEN SO FAR...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 91.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT
AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE DEPRESSION
MOVES INLAND. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION WEAKENS TO
A REMNANT LOW AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA BY THIS EVENING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT34 KNHC 222031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAILED TO STRENGTHEN SO FAR...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 91.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT
AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE DEPRESSION
MOVES INLAND. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION WEAKENS TO
A REMNANT LOW AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA BY THIS EVENING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 222010
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE...LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DE BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL...LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE
DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DEL OESTE DE
LAS AZORES...CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE TORNEN MENOS
FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO EL JUEVES MIENTRAS CONTINUA MOVIENDOSE.
PUEDE ENCONTRAR MAS INFORMACION SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA EN LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE ALTA MAR EMITIDOS POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN





000
ACPN50 PHFO 221757
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 530 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
ACPN50 PHFO 221757
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 530 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
AXNT20 KNHC 221756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE AT 22/1800 UTC IS IN THE
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.3N 92.1W.
THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 96 NM TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAMPECHE
MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING E AT 3 KT. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS. PRESENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM 18N-24N
BETWEEN 89W-93W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N22W TO 6N23W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS A LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE S OF 13N. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 3N-11N BETWEEN 20W-30W.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N36W TO 4N37W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS ANOTHER LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE S OF 14N. THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 30W-40W.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N55W TO 7N60W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 55W-59W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 11N16W AND CONTINUES TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS BETWEEN
TROPICAL WAVES FROM 9N25W TO 7N30W TO 9N35...AND FROM 7N40W TO
5N48W TO 10N56W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE
TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

T.D. NINE IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. SEE ABOVE. A DISSIPATING
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA AT 28N81W TO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W TO S TEXAS AT 26N97W. A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT ENTERS N FLORIDA FROM 30N81W TO 30N88W.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ALONG THESE FRONTS. THE WARM SECTOR
OVER THE SE GULF ON THE OTHER HAND HAS SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER S FLORIDA...THE
SE GULF...AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 80W-89W.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER TEXAS AND
THE NW GULF W N OF 90W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS OVER THE E GULF WITH SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE.
OF NOTE AN EMBEDDED MIDLEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL IS NOTED OVER THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 23N86W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND NW CARIBBEAN SEA. ALSO EXPECT THE REINFORCING
COLD FRONT TO MOVE SE AND EXTEND FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH
CENTRAL GULF AND THEN STALL.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 18N BETWEEN 76W-87W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF JAMAICA FROM 15N-18N
BETWEEN 76W-81W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CARIBBEAN HAS FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 70W.
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W
WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN DUE TO
THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION WILL BE E OF THE
ISLAND HOWEVER...OVER CUBA AND SURROUNDING WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM
31N75W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 28N81W. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS FURTHER N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 26N BETWEEN
63W-74W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N55W
MOVING N AT 5-10 KT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N54W TO THE
LOW CENTER TO 23N57W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E
OF THE TROUGH FROM 23N-32N BETWEEN 43W-54W. A 1007 MB LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 34N30W NEARLY
STATIONARY. A SURFACE TROUGH  EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW CENTER TO
28N30W TO 23N34W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY LARGE
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 29N31W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC REINFORCING
COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE AT 22/1800 UTC IS IN THE
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.3N 92.1W.
THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 96 NM TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAMPECHE
MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING E AT 3 KT. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS. PRESENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM 18N-24N
BETWEEN 89W-93W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N22W TO 6N23W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS A LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE S OF 13N. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 3N-11N BETWEEN 20W-30W.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N36W TO 4N37W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS ANOTHER LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE S OF 14N. THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 30W-40W.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N55W TO 7N60W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 55W-59W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 11N16W AND CONTINUES TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS BETWEEN
TROPICAL WAVES FROM 9N25W TO 7N30W TO 9N35...AND FROM 7N40W TO
5N48W TO 10N56W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE
TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

T.D. NINE IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. SEE ABOVE. A DISSIPATING
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA AT 28N81W TO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W TO S TEXAS AT 26N97W. A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT ENTERS N FLORIDA FROM 30N81W TO 30N88W.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ALONG THESE FRONTS. THE WARM SECTOR
OVER THE SE GULF ON THE OTHER HAND HAS SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER S FLORIDA...THE
SE GULF...AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 80W-89W.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER TEXAS AND
THE NW GULF W N OF 90W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS OVER THE E GULF WITH SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE.
OF NOTE AN EMBEDDED MIDLEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL IS NOTED OVER THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 23N86W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONVECTION TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND NW CARIBBEAN SEA. ALSO EXPECT THE REINFORCING
COLD FRONT TO MOVE SE AND EXTEND FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH
CENTRAL GULF AND THEN STALL.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 18N BETWEEN 76W-87W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF JAMAICA FROM 15N-18N
BETWEEN 76W-81W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CARIBBEAN HAS FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 70W.
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W
WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR
CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN DUE TO
THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION WILL BE E OF THE
ISLAND HOWEVER...OVER CUBA AND SURROUNDING WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM
31N75W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 28N81W. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS FURTHER N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 26N BETWEEN
63W-74W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N55W
MOVING N AT 5-10 KT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N54W TO THE
LOW CENTER TO 23N57W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E
OF THE TROUGH FROM 23N-32N BETWEEN 43W-54W. A 1007 MB LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 34N30W NEARLY
STATIONARY. A SURFACE TROUGH  EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW CENTER TO
28N30W TO 23N34W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY LARGE
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 29N31W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC REINFORCING
COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 221755
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or early next
week. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development
of this system after that time while the low drifts generally
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or early next
week. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development
of this system after that time while the low drifts generally
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or early next
week. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development
of this system after that time while the low drifts generally
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221734
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or early next
week. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development
of this system after that time while the low drifts generally
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 221732
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low, located over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the western Azores, continues to
produce disorganized showers. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less conducive for development by Thursday while the low
meanders. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221732 AAA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1732 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

UPDATED CONVECTION COVERAGE UNDER DISCUSSION SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 12N90W TO 10N105W TO
10N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN
126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W-95W...S OF TROUGH WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N91W TO 08N96W TO 08N104W...AND ALSO WITHIN
120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 130W-133W.

...DISCUSSION...UPDATED

THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY STRETCHING FROM THE SW U.S. AND FAR NW MEXICO SW
25N121W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND
STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF THE TROUGH...AND ELSEWHERE S OF THE
TROUGH. JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA IS VOID OF MOISTURE...EXCEPT
FOR THE FAR EASTERN PORTION N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W-104W...AND FARTHER W BETWEEN 126W-133W WHERE CONVECTION
PRESENT THERE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AS DESCRIBED
ABOVE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N98W TO 17N101W...WITHIN 45 NM
OF 15N94W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 11N87W. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL
SUGGEST THAT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SAME
GENERAL AREA OF WHERE THE AFOREMENTIONED DESCRIBED CONVECTION IS
LOCATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT MORE TO THE SE OF
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS WINDS OF 20-30 KT BEGIN TO FUNNEL
THROUGH GULF ALLOWING FOR SEAS THERE TO BUILD TO AROUND 8-9 FT.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN ISSUE IS LARGE NW
SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 10-12 FT N OF ABOUT 24N AND E OF 125W
AND SEAS TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 23N112W TO 12N121W
TO 07N140W. HOWEVER...WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THESE
SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS
ALLOWING FOR SEAS TO LOWER TO 9 FT TO THE N OF 03N BETWEEN 107W-
119W...BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AND ALSO N OF 27N W OF 128W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. THIS WILL BE SHORT-
LIVED AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE FAR NW CORNER OF
THE AREA BY EARLY FRI USHERING THE NEXT SET OF LARGE NW SWELLS.
THIS SET OF SWELLS IS FORECAST TO BUILD SEAS UP TO 10 FT NW OF A
LINE FROM 32N129W TO 28N140W BEGINNING EARLY ON FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
ABNT20 KNHC 221732
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low, located over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the western Azores, continues to
produce disorganized showers. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less conducive for development by Thursday while the low
meanders. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221732 AAA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1732 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

UPDATED CONVECTION COVERAGE UNDER DISCUSSION SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 12N90W TO 10N105W TO
10N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN
126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W-95W...S OF TROUGH WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N91W TO 08N96W TO 08N104W...AND ALSO WITHIN
120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 130W-133W.

...DISCUSSION...UPDATED

THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY STRETCHING FROM THE SW U.S. AND FAR NW MEXICO SW
25N121W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND
STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF THE TROUGH...AND ELSEWHERE S OF THE
TROUGH. JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA IS VOID OF MOISTURE...EXCEPT
FOR THE FAR EASTERN PORTION N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W-104W...AND FARTHER W BETWEEN 126W-133W WHERE CONVECTION
PRESENT THERE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AS DESCRIBED
ABOVE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N98W TO 17N101W...WITHIN 45 NM
OF 15N94W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 11N87W. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL
SUGGEST THAT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SAME
GENERAL AREA OF WHERE THE AFOREMENTIONED DESCRIBED CONVECTION IS
LOCATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT MORE TO THE SE OF
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS WINDS OF 20-30 KT BEGIN TO FUNNEL
THROUGH GULF ALLOWING FOR SEAS THERE TO BUILD TO AROUND 8-9 FT.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN ISSUE IS LARGE NW
SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 10-12 FT N OF ABOUT 24N AND E OF 125W
AND SEAS TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 23N112W TO 12N121W
TO 07N140W. HOWEVER...WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THESE
SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS
ALLOWING FOR SEAS TO LOWER TO 9 FT TO THE N OF 03N BETWEEN 107W-
119W...BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AND ALSO N OF 27N W OF 128W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. THIS WILL BE SHORT-
LIVED AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE FAR NW CORNER OF
THE AREA BY EARLY FRI USHERING THE NEXT SET OF LARGE NW SWELLS.
THIS SET OF SWELLS IS FORECAST TO BUILD SEAS UP TO 10 FT NW OF A
LINE FROM 32N129W TO 28N140W BEGINNING EARLY ON FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
ABNT20 KNHC 221732
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low, located over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the western Azores, continues to
produce disorganized showers. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less conducive for development by Thursday while the low
meanders. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221732 AAA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1732 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

UPDATED CONVECTION COVERAGE UNDER DISCUSSION SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 12N90W TO 10N105W TO
10N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN
126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W-95W...S OF TROUGH WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N91W TO 08N96W TO 08N104W...AND ALSO WITHIN
120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 130W-133W.

...DISCUSSION...UPDATED

THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY STRETCHING FROM THE SW U.S. AND FAR NW MEXICO SW
25N121W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND
STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF THE TROUGH...AND ELSEWHERE S OF THE
TROUGH. JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA IS VOID OF MOISTURE...EXCEPT
FOR THE FAR EASTERN PORTION N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W-104W...AND FARTHER W BETWEEN 126W-133W WHERE CONVECTION
PRESENT THERE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AS DESCRIBED
ABOVE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N98W TO 17N101W...WITHIN 45 NM
OF 15N94W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 11N87W. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL
SUGGEST THAT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SAME
GENERAL AREA OF WHERE THE AFOREMENTIONED DESCRIBED CONVECTION IS
LOCATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT MORE TO THE SE OF
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS WINDS OF 20-30 KT BEGIN TO FUNNEL
THROUGH GULF ALLOWING FOR SEAS THERE TO BUILD TO AROUND 8-9 FT.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN ISSUE IS LARGE NW
SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 10-12 FT N OF ABOUT 24N AND E OF 125W
AND SEAS TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 23N112W TO 12N121W
TO 07N140W. HOWEVER...WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THESE
SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS
ALLOWING FOR SEAS TO LOWER TO 9 FT TO THE N OF 03N BETWEEN 107W-
119W...BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AND ALSO N OF 27N W OF 128W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. THIS WILL BE SHORT-
LIVED AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE FAR NW CORNER OF
THE AREA BY EARLY FRI USHERING THE NEXT SET OF LARGE NW SWELLS.
THIS SET OF SWELLS IS FORECAST TO BUILD SEAS UP TO 10 FT NW OF A
LINE FROM 32N129W TO 28N140W BEGINNING EARLY ON FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221731
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING EASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 92.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING EASTWARD ABOUT 4 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR EARLY
THURSDAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT
MOVES INLAND...BUT SOME WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT34 KNHC 221731
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING EASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 92.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING EASTWARD ABOUT 4 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR EARLY
THURSDAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT
MOVES INLAND...BUT SOME WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221731
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING EASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 92.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING EASTWARD ABOUT 4 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR EARLY
THURSDAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT
MOVES INLAND...BUT SOME WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221731
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING EASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 92.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING EASTWARD ABOUT 4 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR EARLY
THURSDAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT
MOVES INLAND...BUT SOME WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 12N90W TO 10N105W TO
10N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN
126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W-95W...S OF TROUGH WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N91W TO 08N96W TO 08N104W...AND ALSO WITHIN
120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 130W-133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY STRETCHING FROM THE SW U.S. AND FAR NW MEXICO SW
25N121W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND
STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF THE TROUGH...AND ELSEWHERE S OF THE
TROUGH. JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA IS VOID OF MOISTURE...EXCEPT
FOR THE FAR EASTERN PORTION N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W-104W WHERE CONVECTION PRESENT THERE IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. IN ADDITION...CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM
OF LINE FROM 15N98W TO 17N101W...WITHIN 45 NM OF 15N94W AND
WITHIN 30 NM OF 11N87W. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SAME GENERAL AREA
OF WHERE THE AFOREMENTIONED DESCRIBED CONVECTION IS LOCATED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT MORE TO THE SE OF THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC AS WINDS OF 20-25 KT BEGIN TO FUNNEL THROUGH GULF
ALLOWING FOR SEAS THERE TO BUILD TO AROUND 8-9 FT.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN ISSUE IS LARGE NW
SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 10-12 FT N OF ABOUT 24N AND E OF 125W
AND SEAS TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 23N112W TO 12N121W
TO 07N140W. HOWEVER...WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THESE
SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS
ALLOWING FOR SEAS TO LOWER TO 9 FT TO THE N OF 03N BETWEEN 107W-
119W...BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AND ALSO N OF 27N W OF 128W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. THIS WILL BE SHORT-
LIVED AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE FAR NW CORNER OF
THE AREA BY EARLY FRI USHERING THE NEXT SET OF LARGE NW SWELLS.
THIS SET OF SWELLS IS FORECAST TO BUILD SEAS UP TO 10 FT NW OF A
LINE FROM 32N129W TO 28N140W BEGINNING EARLY ON FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 12N90W TO 10N105W TO
10N110W TO 10N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN
126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W-95W...S OF TROUGH WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N91W TO 08N96W TO 08N104W...AND ALSO WITHIN
120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 130W-133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY STRETCHING FROM THE SW U.S. AND FAR NW MEXICO SW
25N121W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND
STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF THE TROUGH...AND ELSEWHERE S OF THE
TROUGH. JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA IS VOID OF MOISTURE...EXCEPT
FOR THE FAR EASTERN PORTION N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W-104W WHERE CONVECTION PRESENT THERE IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. IN ADDITION...CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM
OF LINE FROM 15N98W TO 17N101W...WITHIN 45 NM OF 15N94W AND
WITHIN 30 NM OF 11N87W. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SAME GENERAL AREA
OF WHERE THE AFOREMENTIONED DESCRIBED CONVECTION IS LOCATED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT MORE TO THE SE OF THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC AS WINDS OF 20-25 KT BEGIN TO FUNNEL THROUGH GULF
ALLOWING FOR SEAS THERE TO BUILD TO AROUND 8-9 FT.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN ISSUE IS LARGE NW
SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 10-12 FT N OF ABOUT 24N AND E OF 125W
AND SEAS TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 23N112W TO 12N121W
TO 07N140W. HOWEVER...WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THESE
SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS
ALLOWING FOR SEAS TO LOWER TO 9 FT TO THE N OF 03N BETWEEN 107W-
119W...BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AND ALSO N OF 27N W OF 128W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. THIS WILL BE SHORT-
LIVED AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE FAR NW CORNER OF
THE AREA BY EARLY FRI USHERING THE NEXT SET OF LARGE NW SWELLS.
THIS SET OF SWELLS IS FORECAST TO BUILD SEAS UP TO 10 FT NW OF A
LINE FROM 32N129W TO 28N140W BEGINNING EARLY ON FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221452
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1000 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.4W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW EASTWARD MOTION SHOULD
BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT
MOVES INLAND...BUT SOME WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT34 KNHC 221452
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1000 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.4W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW EASTWARD MOTION SHOULD
BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
STATE OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT
MOVES INLAND...BUT SOME WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ONCE THE SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT24 KNHC 221452
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1500 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.3N  91.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.8N  89.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTPA25 PHFO 221440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.8N 168.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.3N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.0N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 167.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.9N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.2N 152.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 48.7N 139.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 221440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 221440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.8N 168.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.3N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.0N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 167.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.9N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.2N 152.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 48.7N 139.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 221440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 221440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.8N 168.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.3N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.0N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 167.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.9N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.2N 152.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 48.7N 139.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL









000
WTPA35 PHFO 221440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 221440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 167.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.8N 168.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.3N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.0N 168.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 167.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.9N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.2N 152.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 48.7N 139.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 167.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL









000
WTPA35 PHFO 221440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 167.4W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTCA44 TJSJ 221219
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   2A
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL092014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM CDT MIERCOLES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

...DEPRESION PERMANECE POCO ORGANIZADA...
...AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA INVESTIGA EL CICLON...


RESUMEN DE LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.4 NORTE 92.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 120 MI...195 KM AL OESTE SUROESTE DE CAMPECHE MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH....55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ESTACIONARIO
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1002 MILIBARES...29.59 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO...

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA...
* CELESTUN HASTA FRONTERA.

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE ESPERAN EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO...EN ESTE CASO DENTRO DE
LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS.

PARA INFORMACION SOBRE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...
FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
NUEVE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
92.4 OESTE. LA DEPRESION HA PERMANECIDO ESTACIONARIA DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS...PERO DEBE COMENZAR A MOVERSE HACIA EL ESTE A CERCA
DE 6 MPH...9 KM/H...MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE
MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DEL CICLON
TROPICAL SE ACERQUE A LA COSTA DEL ESTADO MEJICANO DE CAMPECHE MAS
TARDE HOY O ESTA NOCHE.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H... CON
RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA FORTALECIMIENTO LEVE Y LA DEPRESION
PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE TOQUE TIERRA.
UN AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO LA DEPRESION.

PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
LLUVIA...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES
DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DE
MEXICO...CON MAXIMOS TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS
CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA PODRIAN PRODUCIR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS
REPRESENTANDO PELIGRO A LA VIDA.

VIENTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO AVISO ESTA TARDE O NOCHE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1000 AM CDT.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA









000
WTCA44 TJSJ 221219
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   2A
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL092014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM CDT MIERCOLES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

...DEPRESION PERMANECE POCO ORGANIZADA...
...AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA INVESTIGA EL CICLON...


RESUMEN DE LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.4 NORTE 92.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 120 MI...195 KM AL OESTE SUROESTE DE CAMPECHE MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH....55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ESTACIONARIO
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1002 MILIBARES...29.59 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO...

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA...
* CELESTUN HASTA FRONTERA.

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE ESPERAN EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO...EN ESTE CASO DENTRO DE
LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS.

PARA INFORMACION SOBRE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...
FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
NUEVE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
92.4 OESTE. LA DEPRESION HA PERMANECIDO ESTACIONARIA DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS...PERO DEBE COMENZAR A MOVERSE HACIA EL ESTE A CERCA
DE 6 MPH...9 KM/H...MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE
MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DEL CICLON
TROPICAL SE ACERQUE A LA COSTA DEL ESTADO MEJICANO DE CAMPECHE MAS
TARDE HOY O ESTA NOCHE.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H... CON
RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA FORTALECIMIENTO LEVE Y LA DEPRESION
PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE TOQUE TIERRA.
UN AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO LA DEPRESION.

PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
LLUVIA...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES
DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DE
MEXICO...CON MAXIMOS TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS
CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA PODRIAN PRODUCIR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS
REPRESENTANDO PELIGRO A LA VIDA.

VIENTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO AVISO ESTA TARDE O NOCHE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1000 AM CDT.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA









000
WTCA44 TJSJ 221219
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   2A
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL092014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM CDT MIERCOLES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

...DEPRESION PERMANECE POCO ORGANIZADA...
...AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA INVESTIGA EL CICLON...


RESUMEN DE LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.4 NORTE 92.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 120 MI...195 KM AL OESTE SUROESTE DE CAMPECHE MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH....55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ESTACIONARIO
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1002 MILIBARES...29.59 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO...

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA...
* CELESTUN HASTA FRONTERA.

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE ESPERAN EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO...EN ESTE CASO DENTRO DE
LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS.

PARA INFORMACION SOBRE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...
FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
NUEVE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
92.4 OESTE. LA DEPRESION HA PERMANECIDO ESTACIONARIA DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS...PERO DEBE COMENZAR A MOVERSE HACIA EL ESTE A CERCA
DE 6 MPH...9 KM/H...MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE
MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DEL CICLON
TROPICAL SE ACERQUE A LA COSTA DEL ESTADO MEJICANO DE CAMPECHE MAS
TARDE HOY O ESTA NOCHE.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H... CON
RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA FORTALECIMIENTO LEVE Y LA DEPRESION
PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE TOQUE TIERRA.
UN AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO LA DEPRESION.

PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
LLUVIA...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES
DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DE
MEXICO...CON MAXIMOS TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS
CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA PODRIAN PRODUCIR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS
REPRESENTANDO PELIGRO A LA VIDA.

VIENTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO AVISO ESTA TARDE O NOCHE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1000 AM CDT.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA









000
WTCA44 TJSJ 221219
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   2A
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL092014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM CDT MIERCOLES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

...DEPRESION PERMANECE POCO ORGANIZADA...
...AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA INVESTIGA EL CICLON...


RESUMEN DE LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.4 NORTE 92.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 120 MI...195 KM AL OESTE SUROESTE DE CAMPECHE MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH....55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ESTACIONARIO
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1002 MILIBARES...29.59 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO...

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA...
* CELESTUN HASTA FRONTERA.

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE ESPERAN EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO...EN ESTE CASO DENTRO DE
LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS.

PARA INFORMACION SOBRE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...
FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 7:00 AM CDT...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
NUEVE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
92.4 OESTE. LA DEPRESION HA PERMANECIDO ESTACIONARIA DURANTE LAS
PASADAS HORAS...PERO DEBE COMENZAR A MOVERSE HACIA EL ESTE A CERCA
DE 6 MPH...9 KM/H...MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE
MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DEL CICLON
TROPICAL SE ACERQUE A LA COSTA DEL ESTADO MEJICANO DE CAMPECHE MAS
TARDE HOY O ESTA NOCHE.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H... CON
RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA FORTALECIMIENTO LEVE Y LA DEPRESION
PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ANTES DE QUE TOQUE TIERRA.
UN AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA INVESTIGANDO LA DEPRESION.

PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
LLUVIA...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES
DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DE
MEXICO...CON MAXIMOS TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS
CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA PODRIAN PRODUCIR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS
REPRESENTANDO PELIGRO A LA VIDA.

VIENTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO AVISO ESTA TARDE O NOCHE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1000 AM CDT.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA









000
ACCA62 TJSJ 221210
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE...LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE DE BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL...LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL NORESTE
DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DEL OESTE DE
LAS AZORES...CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y VIENTOS HASTA CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA. AUNQUE ESTE SISTEMA SE HA TORNADO UN POCO MEJOR
ORGANIZADO RECIENTEMENTE...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES
AMBIENTALES SE TORNEN MENOS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO EL JUEVES.
PUEDE ENCONTRAR MAS INFORMACION SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA EN LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE ALTA MAR EMITIDOS POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPA35 PHFO 221155
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 167.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
MORE NORTHERLY MOTION THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 221155
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 167.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
MORE NORTHERLY MOTION THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221153
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 221152
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low, located over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the western Azores, continues to
produce showers and winds to gale force. While this system has
recently become slightly better organized, environmental conditions
are forecast to become less conducive for development by Thursday
while it meanders. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE AT 22/1200 UTC IS IN THE
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.4N 92.4W.
THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 104 NM TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAMPECHE
MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN THE WESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
THE MEXICO GULF COAST ALONG 97W/98W. NUMEROUS STRONG IS IN THE
NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SPILLING INTO
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA FROM 20N TO CUBA. NUMEROUS STRONG ALSO IS IN NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHERN BELIZE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 13N33W 8N35W 3N36W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N
BETWEEN 30W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 10N BETWEEN 30W AND 40W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 6N TO
9N BETWEEN 40W AND 44W. THIS WAVE WAS INTRODUCED INTO THE
SURFACE ANALYSIS BASED ON SATELLITE HOVMOLLER ANALYSIS AND
UNIVERSITY OF ALBANY EASTERLY WAVE DIAGNOSTICS.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N54W 12N57W 7N58W...
MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...MUCH
OF THE PRECIPITATION FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE STILL FROM 4N TO 20N
BETWEEN 47W AND 60W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 40W AND 60W. UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 4N TO
12N BETWEEN 46W AND 60W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 9N13W TO 8N15W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 8N15W TO 5N22W AND
6N34W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG
FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 17W AND 22W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 20W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND COVERING PARTS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO NORTHWESTERN CUBA TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...
TO 28N67W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE WITHIN
240 NM TO 360 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N67W 26N78W...TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
EVERYWHERE UNDER THE MULTILAYERED CLOUDS IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS COVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
SOUTH OF 29N80W 27N90W 26N97W...FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...INTO
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE
DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS/THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF MEXICO.

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A. A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N74W TO 31N76W. A STATIONARY FRONT
PASSES THROUGH 31N76W IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 28N82W
IN FLORIDA...INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE COASTAL
AREAS OF THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS/THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF
MEXICO.

COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE IMAGERY...IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF 32N71W...
29N81W...BEYOND 22N98W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KBBF...KEMK...
AND AT KGBK.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

BROWNSVILLE TEXAS IS REPORTING LIGHT RAIN. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING REPORTED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN KEY WEST
FLORIDA.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW CROSSES HISPANIOLA AND IT
CONTINUES HEADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM COLOMBIA AND
VENEZUELA NORTHEASTWARD...THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...EVENTUALLY INTO THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN.

CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N FROM 74W WESTWARD.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
22/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.11 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N74W IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA...TO
9N80W IN PANAMA...THROUGH NORTHEASTERN COSTA RICA...THROUGH THE
WESTERN HALF OF NICARAGUA INTO NORTHWESTERN HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN LAKE MARACAIBO OF
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA. SCATTERED STRONG IN COLOMBIA FROM 6N TO
8N BETWEEN 75W AND 78W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N
SOUTHWARD FROM 74W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING ON TOP
OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS ON THE EASTERN/
SOUTHEASTERN SIDE OF THE GULF OF HONDURAS-TO-ATLANTIC OCEAN
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS DESCRIBED IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO SECTION. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE COVERS
HISPANIOLA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MONA PASSAGE BETWEEN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PUERTO RICO.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED
AT OBSERVING SITES THAT ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH THE CURRENT
RIDGE REMAINING IN PLACE. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA RIDGE WILL COVER
HISPANIOLA. MOSTLY SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL BE CROSSING
HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT EAST-TO-
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 28N53W. A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 27N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 27N55W LOW CENTER TO 33N54W TO
THE NORTH...AND TO 23N55W TO THE SOUTH. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH
IS ALONG 29N51W 23N46W 18N38W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM TO 60 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF 19N41W 25N49W 28N50W...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO
30N BETWEEN 48W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N29W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 17N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 45W. A 1004 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER IS NEAR 34N29W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 34N29W
LOW CENTER TO 30N29W 28N30W AND 24N34W. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE TO
THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE 1004 MB LOW CENTER. PLEASE READ
THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS HSFAT1/FZNT01
KWBC FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 27N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 22W AND
33W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221147
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
...AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS...BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH... 9
KM/H...LATER THIS MORNING. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND. AN AIR FORCE
PLANE IN CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT34 KNHC 221147
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
...AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS...BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH... 9
KM/H...LATER THIS MORNING. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND. AN AIR FORCE
PLANE IN CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
ACPN50 PHFO 221145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED OCT 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 495 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$






000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220909
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N100W TO 10N 1119WITCZ FROM 10N119W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 9N BETWEEN
91W-99W AND WITHIN 180 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS FROM 128W-135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1270W TO 30N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO 26N127W. A 75
TO 90 KT JETSTREAM ON THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 25N118W TO
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO NW MEXICO. MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 18N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO CENTRAL MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 27N114W TO 9N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 8-12 FT.
SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE.

$$
DGS



000
WTPA25 PHFO 220840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 166.8W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.4N 167.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 168.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.5N 169.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.1N 169.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.4N 165.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 39.7N 156.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 47.2N 142.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 167.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 220840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 167.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A
MORE NORTHERLY MOTION THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 220840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 166.8W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.4N 167.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 168.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.5N 169.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.1N 169.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.4N 165.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 39.7N 156.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 47.2N 142.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 167.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 220840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 167.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A
MORE NORTHERLY MOTION THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 220840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 166.8W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.4N 167.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.9N 168.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.5N 169.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.1N 169.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.4N 165.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 39.7N 156.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 47.2N 142.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 167.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 220840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 167.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A
MORE NORTHERLY MOTION THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTNT34 KNHC 220832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION HEADED FOR THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION HEADED FOR THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION HEADED FOR THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION HEADED FOR THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT24 KNHC 220831
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.4N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.3N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N  89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.9N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT24 KNHC 220831
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.4N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.3N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N  89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.9N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
AXNT20 KNHC 220615 AAA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

AMENDED IN ORDER TO UPDATE THE 22/0600 UTC POSITION FOR TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE...AND FOR THE FORECAST FOR HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO...AT 22/0600 UTC...NEAR 19.4N 92.6W. THIS
POSITION IS ABOUT 120 NM TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAMPECHE IN
MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING EAST OR 90 DEGREES 5 KNOTS. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE MEXICO
COAST TO 21N BETWEEN THE MEXICO COAST AND 93W...IN THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM 20N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD...AND FROM 19N TO
22N BETWEEN 80W AND 89W IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL/THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA... INCLUDING TO THE SOUTH OF CUBA.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 13N32W 9N34W 4N35W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IN THE ITCZ FROM 3N TO 13N BETWEEN 30W AND 44W. THIS WAVE
WAS INTRODUCED INTO THE SURFACE ANALYSIS BASED ON SATELLITE
HOVMOLLER ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF ALBANY EASTERLY WAVE
DIAGNOSTICS.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N54W 11N56W 7N57W...
MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 48W AND 52W...AND FROM
16N TO 18N BETWEEN 53W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA-
BISSAU NEAR 12N16W TO 11N18W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 11N18W TO
7N28W 10N33W 7N45W AND 12N54W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 3N TO 11N BETWEEN 15W AND 21W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 21W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND COVERING PARTS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO NORTHWESTERN CUBA TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...
TO 28N67W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE WITHIN
240 NM TO 360 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N68W 26N78W...TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W... IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 76W AND 82W. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS COVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
SOUTH OF 29N80W 28N90W 26N97W...FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...INTO
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE
DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS/THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF MEXICO.

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A. A STATIONARY
FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N77W IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... TO
28N82W IN FLORIDA...INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE
COASTAL AREAS OF THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS/THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER
OF MEXICO.

COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE IMAGERY...IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF 32N73W...
28N85W...BEYOND 32N95W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT KATP.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW CROSSES HISPANIOLA AND IT
CONTINUES HEADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM COLOMBIA AND
VENEZUELA NORTHEASTWARD...THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...EVENTUALLY INTO THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
22/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.11 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 11N74W ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA...TO 11N80W...ACROSS NICARAGUA INTO NORTHWESTERN
HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 13N SOUTHWARD FROM 74W WESTWARD. NUMEROUS
STRONG IN CENTRAL SECTIONS OF NICARAGUA.

...HISPANIOLA...

UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING ON TOP
OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS ON THE EASTERN/
SOUTHEASTERN SIDE OF THE GULF OF HONDURAS-TO-ATLANTIC OCEAN
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS DESCRIBED IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO SECTION. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE COVERS
HISPANIOLA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MONA PASSAGE BETWEEN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PUERTO RICO.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT ARE AROUND
THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH THE CURRENT
RIDGE REMAINING IN PLACE. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA RIDGE WILL COVER
HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT EAST-TO-
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 28N53W. A 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 27N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 27N55W LOW CENTER TO 33N54W.  A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 29N51W 23N46W 18N38W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30
NM TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N38W 23N46W 27N49W...AND
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 48W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N29W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 17N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 45W. A 1004 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER IS NEAR 33N28W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 33N28W
LOW CENTER TO 28N30W AND 24N33W. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE TO THE
EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE 1000 MB LOW CENTER. PLEASE READ THE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS HSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC
FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 22W AND 31W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 220605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO...AT 22/0300 UTC...NEAR 19.4N 92.9W. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING EAST OR 90 DEGREES 5 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE MEXICO COAST TO 21N BETWEEN THE MEXICO
COAST AND 93W...IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM 20N SOUTHWARD FROM
90W EASTWARD...AND FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 80W AND 89W IN THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL/THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
INCLUDING TO THE SOUTH OF CUBA.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 13N32W 9N34W 4N35W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IN THE ITCZ FROM 3N TO 13N BETWEEN 30W AND 44W. THIS WAVE
WAS INTRODUCED INTO THE SURFACE ANALYSIS BASED ON SATELLITE
HOVMOLLER ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF ALBANY EASTERLY WAVE
DIAGNOSTICS.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N54W 11N56W 7N57W...
MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 48W AND 52W...AND FROM
16N TO 18N BETWEEN 53W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA-
BISSAU NEAR 12N16W TO 11N18W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 11N18W TO
7N28W 10N33W 7N45W AND 12N54W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 3N TO 11N BETWEEN 15W AND 21W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 21W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND COVERING PARTS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO NORTHWESTERN CUBA TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...
TO 28N67W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE WITHIN
240 NM TO 360 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N68W 26N78W...TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W... IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 76W AND 82W. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS COVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
SOUTH OF 29N80W 28N90W 26N97W...FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...INTO
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE
DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS/THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF MEXICO.

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A. A STATIONARY
FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N77W IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... TO
28N82W IN FLORIDA...INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE
COASTAL AREAS OF THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS/THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER
OF MEXICO.

COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE IMAGERY...IS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF 32N73W...
28N85W...BEYOND 32N95W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT KATP.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW CROSSES HISPANIOLA AND IT
CONTINUES HEADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM COLOMBIA AND
VENEZUELA NORTHEASTWARD...THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...EVENTUALLY INTO THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
22/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.11 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 11N74W ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA...TO 11N80W...ACROSS NICARAGUA INTO NORTHWESTERN
HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 13N SOUTHWARD FROM 74W WESTWARD. NUMEROUS
STRONG IN CENTRAL SECTIONS OF NICARAGUA.

...HISPANIOLA...

UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING ON TOP
OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS ON THE EASTERN/
SOUTHEASTERN SIDE OF THE GULF OF HONDURAS-TO-ATLANTIC OCEAN
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS DESCRIBED IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO SECTION. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE COVERS
HISPANIOLA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MONA PASSAGE BETWEEN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PUERTO RICO.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT ARE AROUND
THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 28N53W. A 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 27N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 27N55W LOW CENTER TO 33N54W.  A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 29N51W 23N46W 18N38W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30
NM TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N38W 23N46W 27N49W...AND
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 48W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N29W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 17N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 45W. A 1004 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER IS NEAR 33N28W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 33N28W
LOW CENTER TO 28N30W AND 24N33W. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE TO THE
EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE 1000 MB LOW CENTER. PLEASE READ THE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS HSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC
FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 22W AND 31W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
WTPA35 PHFO 220552
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 166.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 220552
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 166.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 220552
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 166.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 220552
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 166.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 220552
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 166.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY
WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTNT34 KNHC 220548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT34 KNHC 220548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
100 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
ACPN50 PHFO 220545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 450 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.

$$






000
ACPN50 PHFO 220545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 450 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.

$$






000
ABNT20 KNHC 220529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Nine, located over the Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean, a few hundred miles south of the Azores, is producing
disorganized thunderstorms and winds to gale force.  This system
could still acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next
day or so while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 10 to 15
mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by tonight, and
development after that time is not likely.  Additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo
France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
ABNT20 KNHC 220529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Nine, located over the Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean, a few hundred miles south of the Azores, is producing
disorganized thunderstorms and winds to gale force.  This system
could still acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next
day or so while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 10 to 15
mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by tonight, and
development after that time is not likely.  Additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo
France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 220520
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 220520
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTCA44 TJSJ 220311
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL NUEVE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   1
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL092014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1000 PM CDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

...DEPRESION TROPICAL SE FORMA SOBRE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE...
...AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EMITIDO...


RESUMEN DE LAS 10:00 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.4 NORTE 92.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE SUROESTE DE CAMPECHE MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH....55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ESTE O 90 GRADOS A 6 MPH...9 KM/H.
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1000 MILIBARES...29.53 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA

EL GOBIERNO DE MEXICO HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE
CELESTUN HASTA FRONTERA.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO...

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA...
* DESDE CELESTUN HASTA FRONTERA.

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE ESPERAN EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO...EN ESTE CASO DENTRO DE
LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS.

PARA INFORMACION SOBRE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...
FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 10:00 PM CDT...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
NUEVE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
92.9 OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL ESTE CERCA DE 6
MPH...9 KM/H...Y ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL SE ESPERA CONTINUE DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...LA DEPRESION SE
ESPERA SE ACERQUE A LA COSTA DEL ESTADO MEJICANO DE CAMPECHE TARDE
EL MIERCOLES O MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H... CON
RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA FORTALECIMIENTO Y LA DEPRESION SE
PRONOSTICA SE CONVIERTA EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA NOCHE O EL
MIERCOLES.

PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA DE 1000 MB...29.53 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
LLUVIA...LA DEPRESION SE ESPERA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE
LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DE
MEXICO...CON MAXIMOS TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS
CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA PODRIAN PRODUCIR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS
REPRESENTANDO PELIGRO A LA VIDA.

VIENTO...CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE ESPERA COMIENZEN EN
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EL MIERCOLES EN LA TARDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA...100 AM CDT.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...400 AM CDT.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN






000
WTNT34 KNHC 220255
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.9W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 220255
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.9W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 220255
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.9W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT34 KNHC 220255
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.9W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE LATE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO... WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 220237
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
950 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL PARA ACTUALIZAR LA DISCUSION SOBRE LA BAJA
PRESION SOBRE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE

ACTUALIZACION: DATOS DE SATELITE Y RADAR INDICAN QUE LOS AGUACEROS Y
TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UNA BAJA PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN EL SUR DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE HAN AUMENTADO Y SE HAN ORGANIZADO MEJOR DURANTE
LA PASADA HORA O DOS. SI LA TENDENCIA ACTUAL CONTINUA...ADVERTENCIAS
DE CICLON TROPICAL SERAN INICIADOS MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE O DURANTE
LA MADRUGADA. LOS INTERESADOS EN EL ESTADO MEJICANO DE CAMPECHE Y EL
RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A QUE AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER
EMITIDOS CON POCA ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...ALTA...70 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...70 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES...ESTA PRODUCIENDO TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS Y
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA. ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA PODRIA ADQUIRIR
ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA MAS O
MENOS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE SUROESTE DE 10 A 15
MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN
MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O
TROPICAL PARA EL MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE Y DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS
PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
WTPA35 PHFO 220235
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA CLOSING IN ON THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 166.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD
SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER
PINNACLES...MARO REEF...AND NEARBY WATERS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 220235
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA CLOSING IN ON THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 166.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD
SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER
PINNACLES...MARO REEF...AND NEARBY WATERS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING
REEFS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 220232
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 166.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.9N 167.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.2N 168.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N 167.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.0N 159.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 166.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 220232
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 166.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.9N 167.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.2N 168.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N 167.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.0N 159.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 166.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 220232
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 166.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.9N 167.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.2N 168.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N 167.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.0N 159.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 166.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 220232
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 166.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.9N 167.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.2N 168.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N 167.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.0N 159.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 166.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 220232
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 166.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.9N 167.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.2N 168.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N 167.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.0N 159.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 166.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA25 PHFO 220232
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO LISIANSKI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 166.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 166.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.9N 167.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.2N 168.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  10SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N 167.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.0N 159.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.5N 146.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 166.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220221
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0245 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N81W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 08N87W 1008 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N95W 1006 MB TO 16N100W
TO 11N110W TO 10N135W THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S OF OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

LIGHT TO MODERATE SW FLOW IS NOTED ACROSS THE TROPICAL EASTERN
PACIFIC INTO THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS NOT ANALYZED OVER ITS USUAL AREA IN THE
TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC...BUT INSTEAD EXTENDS FROM THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF COLOMBIA...ACROSS THE FAR SW
CARIBBEAN...THROUGH NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AND INTO LOW PRES
OVER EASTERN GUATEMALA. THE CONVERGENT SW WINDS ALONG WITH RICH
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ARE MAINTAINING POCKETS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION N OF 05N AND W OF 100W.

FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT OUTSIDE
OF ANY GUSTS RELATED TO THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...DUE
LARGE TO THE VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT IN PLACE BETWEEN ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE ISTHMUS. THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE THU...AS THE LOW
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DEEPENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD AND HIGH PRES
BUILDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT STRONG GAP
WINDS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU INTO FRI MORNING AS A
RESULT.

FARTHER WEST...AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 13N140W IS
SUPPORTING SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM ROUGHLY 07N
TO 15N W OF 130W. THIS AREA MAY PERSIST THROUGH THU...THEN
DIMINISH AS THE LOW PRES LIFTS NORTH.

ELSEWHERE...A 1024 MB RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 31N140W IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N W OF 120W. OTHERWISE
THE MAIN ISSUE IS NW SWELL OF 8 TO 13 FT NW OF A LINE FROM
29N115W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. THE SWELL WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA W OF 110W OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT DECAY
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH 48 HOURS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A SECOND
AREA OF NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH OF
30N BY LATE THU.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220221
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0245 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N81W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 08N87W 1008 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N95W 1006 MB TO 16N100W
TO 11N110W TO 10N135W THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S OF OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

LIGHT TO MODERATE SW FLOW IS NOTED ACROSS THE TROPICAL EASTERN
PACIFIC INTO THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS NOT ANALYZED OVER ITS USUAL AREA IN THE
TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC...BUT INSTEAD EXTENDS FROM THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF COLOMBIA...ACROSS THE FAR SW
CARIBBEAN...THROUGH NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AND INTO LOW PRES
OVER EASTERN GUATEMALA. THE CONVERGENT SW WINDS ALONG WITH RICH
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ARE MAINTAINING POCKETS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION N OF 05N AND W OF 100W.

FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT OUTSIDE
OF ANY GUSTS RELATED TO THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...DUE
LARGE TO THE VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT IN PLACE BETWEEN ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE ISTHMUS. THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE THU...AS THE LOW
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DEEPENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD AND HIGH PRES
BUILDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT STRONG GAP
WINDS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU INTO FRI MORNING AS A
RESULT.

FARTHER WEST...AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 13N140W IS
SUPPORTING SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM ROUGHLY 07N
TO 15N W OF 130W. THIS AREA MAY PERSIST THROUGH THU...THEN
DIMINISH AS THE LOW PRES LIFTS NORTH.

ELSEWHERE...A 1024 MB RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 31N140W IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N W OF 120W. OTHERWISE
THE MAIN ISSUE IS NW SWELL OF 8 TO 13 FT NW OF A LINE FROM
29N115W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. THE SWELL WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA W OF 110W OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT DECAY
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH 48 HOURS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A SECOND
AREA OF NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH OF
30N BY LATE THU.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
ABNT20 KNHC 220150
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
950 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook to update discussion on low pressure area over the
Bay of Campeche

Updated:  Satellite and radar data indicate that showers and
thunderstorms associated with the well-defined low in the southern
Bay of Campeche have increased and become better organized during
the past hour or two.  If the current development trend continues,
tropical cyclone advisories will be initiated later this evening
or overnight.  Interests in Mexican state of Campeche and elsewhere
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system
as tropical storm warnings could need to be issued on short notice.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A large non-tropical low located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean, a few hundred miles south of the Azores, is producing
disorganized thunderstorms and winds to gale force.  This system
could still acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next
day or so while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 10 to 15
mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Wednesday night
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTPA35 PHFO 220007
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 166.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD SPEED GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 220007
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 166.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD SPEED GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 220007
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 166.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD SPEED GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 220007
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 166.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD SPEED GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
ACPN50 PHFO 220007
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 440 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
AXNT20 KNHC 220000
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1001 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CENTERED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 19N93W DRIFTING E. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THIS LOW REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND IS
CONFINED TO THE E SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM AND EXTENDS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE
SYSTEM IS SITUATED BETWEEN AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER MEXICO AND
A RIDGE OVER THE GULF E OF 90W. THE UPPER CONDITIONS COULD
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ON WED AND
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

A 1001 MB GALE CENTER WAS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 33N28W
DRIFTING W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE
NOTED WITHIN 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE GALE
CENTER. THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE INDICATED
WINDS FOR THE IRVING AND ACORES ZONES HAVE DROPPED BELOW GALE
FORCE. SEE TEXT FORECASTS UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT52 LFPW FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC EXTENDS FROM 12N32W TO
5N35W WAS INTRODUCED INTO THE SURFACE ANALYSIS BASED ON
SATELLITE HOVMOLLER ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF ALBANY EASTERLY
WAVE DIAGNOSTICS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 8N-10N.

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 18N52W
TO 6N54W MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS AND ELSEWHERE
WITHIN AN AREA FROM 7N-16N BETWEEN 49W-58W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE COAST OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 8N13W AND CONTINUES TO 7N16W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 7
7N16W TO 8N33W TO 7N42W TO 10N51W TO 8N58W. BESIDES THE
CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 12W-18W...AND FROM 4N-
9N BETWEEN 22W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1001 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CENTERED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 19N93W DRIFTING E...REFER TO SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 24N85W TO NEAR THE LOW CENTER AT 21N93W. ANOTHER
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER NNW TO NEAR 24N96W. A
STATIONARY FRONT WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA THROUGH 26N90W TO 25N97W. FRESH NE WINDS
WERE NOTED N OF THE FRONT WITH SOME DRIER AIR FILTERING
SOUTHWARD OVER THE GULF COAST AND NORTHERN GULF. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM IN THE E
SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW AND SURFACE TROUGH AND EXTENDED OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND YUCATAN CHANNEL. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY WAS
OVER CUBA AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND S-CENTRAL FLORIDA. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF E OF
90W WITH AXIS ALONG 82W. AN UPPER TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER MEXICO
ALONG 97W. THE BASE OF A SHARP MID-TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WAS
GRAZING THE NE GULF WITH STRONG DEEP LAYERED SUBSIDENCE. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE E GULF
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN AREAS OF TRAINING CONVECTION.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

SURFACE AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED LIGHTER THAN NORMAL
TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS GENERALLY 10-15
KT...EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED AREAS OF 20 KT WINDS OVER THE NE GULF
AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM COVERED THE NW THIRD OF THE CARIBBEAN EXTENDING
OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA...JAMAICA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
CHANNEL. FAIR CONDITIONS PREVAILED OVER THE CARIBBEAN E OF 75W
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE
W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W WITH MAJOR AXIS
EXTENDING NE ACROSS CUBA...THE BAHAMAS INTO THE SW N ATLANTIC
NEAR 25N68W. DOWNSTREAM TROUGH AXIS EXTENDED FROM A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION NEAR 22N58W SW ACROSS PUERTO RICO INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TO A BASE NEAR 12N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SURFACE LOW IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
MOVES EASTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER
YUCATAN AND CUBA.

HISPANIOLA...

FAIRLY DEEP LAYERED SUBSIDENCE WAS NOTED OVER HISPANIOLA PER
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. AS A RESULT DIURNAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
TODAY WAS VERY ISOLATED AND SHORT LIVED. THIS SAME GENERAL
SCENARIO SHOULD PREVAIL OVER THE ISLANDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
THE AREA REMAINS SITUATED IN THE SUBSIDENT REGION OF THE
MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE COLD FRONT OVER THE NW ATLANTIC FROM 31N77W TO NEAR DAYTONA
BEACH FLORIDA HAS BECOME STATIONARY. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH
EXTENDED FROM 31N76W TO NEAR FREEPORT BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOTED BETWEEN THE PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH AND THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. FURTHER EAST...A 1012 MB LOW IS
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N54W DRIFTING TO THE N. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N53W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 23N57W.
ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...POSSIBLY REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM 29N51W SE THROUGH 23N47W TO 19N40W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOTED WITHIN 90-=120 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N-30N. A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 33N26W DRIFTING W. THIS
GALE LOW WAS NEARLY STACKED WITH A VERY LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 34N28W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW
CENTER THROUGH 30N27W TO 24N31W. ELSEWHERE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...THE OVERALL FLOW WAS AMPLIFIED WITH A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH DOMINATING THE ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND E OF
40W...ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE CYCLONE NEAR THE AZORES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
COBB



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212350
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON UNA BAJA PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN
EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE NO SE HA TORNADO MEJOR ORGANIZADA
DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. SIN EMBARGO...VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES A DESARROLLO MAS TARDE ESTA
NOCHE Y EL MIERCOLES...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SE MUEVA HACIA TIERRA
SOBRE EL ESTADO MEXICANO DE CAMPECHE TARDE EL MIERCOLES O TEMPRANO
EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
LUCE NO FAVORABLE DEBIDO A LA INTERACCION CON UN FRENTE DE FRIO
MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA ESTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.  LOS
INTERESADOS EN CAMPECHE Y EL RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN
ESTAR MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A QUE AVISOS DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER EMITIDOS CON POCA ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...  50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES...ESTA PRODUCIENDO TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS Y
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA. ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA PODRIA ADQUIRIR
ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA MAS O
MENOS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE SUROESTE DE 10 A 15
MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN
MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O
TROPICAL PARA EL MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE Y DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS
PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 212339
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the well-defined low in
the southern Bay of Campeche have not become any better organized
during the past few hours.  However, upper-level winds could become
more conducive for development later tonight and Wednesday, and this
system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone before it
moves inland over the Mexican state of Campeche late Wednesday or
early Thursday.  Later in the week, tropical cyclone formation
appears unlikely due to interaction with a cold front while the
system is over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Interests in Campeche
and elsewhere in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress
of this system as tropical storm warnings could need to be issued
with short notice.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean, a few hundred miles south of the Azores, is producing
disorganized thunderstorms and winds to gale force.  This system
could still acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next
day or so while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 10 to 15
mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Wednesday night
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212302
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212302
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 212141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N81W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 08N87W 1008 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N95W 1006 MB TO 16N100W
TO 11N110W TO 10N135W THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S OF OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SMALL LOW PRES AREA IS EVIDENT JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...RELATED TO BETTER ORGANIZED LOW PRES TO THE NORTH
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO. THE PACIFIC LOW PRES IS ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH...AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS AND ADJACENT WATERS OF
GUATEMALA AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF CHIAPAS. WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT OUTSIDE OF ANY GUSTS RELATED TO THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...DUE LARGE TO THE VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT IN
PLACE BETWEEN THE TWO LOW PRES SYSTEMS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE THU...AS THE
LOW IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DEEPENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD AND HIGH
PRES BUILDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT STRONG
GAP WINDS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU INTO FRI MORNING AS A
RESULT.

CONVERGENCE OF 15 TO 20 KT SW FLOW INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS
BEEN MAINTAINING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN AREA FROM
05N TO 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W...ALTHOUGH THIS APPEARS TO BE
WEAKENING. AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 13N140W IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM ROUGHLY 07N TO 15N W OF
130W. THIS AREA MAY PERSIST THROUGH THU...THEN DIMINISH AS THE
LOW PRES LIFTS NORTH.

ELSEWHERE...A 1024 MB RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 31N140W IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N W OF 120W. OTHERWISE
THE MAIN ISSUE IS NW SWELL OF 8 TO 13 FT NW OF A LINE FROM
29N115W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. THE SWELL WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA W OF 110W OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT DECAY
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH 48 HOURS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A SECOND
AREA OF NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH OF
30N BY LATE THU.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 212141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N81W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 08N87W 1008 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N95W 1006 MB TO 16N100W
TO 11N110W TO 10N135W THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S OF OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SMALL LOW PRES AREA IS EVIDENT JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...RELATED TO BETTER ORGANIZED LOW PRES TO THE NORTH
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO. THE PACIFIC LOW PRES IS ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH...AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS AND ADJACENT WATERS OF
GUATEMALA AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF CHIAPAS. WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT OUTSIDE OF ANY GUSTS RELATED TO THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...DUE LARGE TO THE VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT IN
PLACE BETWEEN THE TWO LOW PRES SYSTEMS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE THU...AS THE
LOW IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DEEPENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD AND HIGH
PRES BUILDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT STRONG
GAP WINDS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU INTO FRI MORNING AS A
RESULT.

CONVERGENCE OF 15 TO 20 KT SW FLOW INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS
BEEN MAINTAINING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN AREA FROM
05N TO 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W...ALTHOUGH THIS APPEARS TO BE
WEAKENING. AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 13N140W IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM ROUGHLY 07N TO 15N W OF
130W. THIS AREA MAY PERSIST THROUGH THU...THEN DIMINISH AS THE
LOW PRES LIFTS NORTH.

ELSEWHERE...A 1024 MB RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 31N140W IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N W OF 120W. OTHERWISE
THE MAIN ISSUE IS NW SWELL OF 8 TO 13 FT NW OF A LINE FROM
29N115W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. THE SWELL WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA W OF 110W OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT DECAY
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH 48 HOURS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A SECOND
AREA OF NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH OF
30N BY LATE THU.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212122 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
425 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL PARA ACTUALIZAR PRIMER SISTEMA

UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ENCONTRO UNA BAJA
PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. SIN
EMBARGO...TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON LA BAJA PRESION TODAVIA NO ESTAN
ORGANIZADAS LO SUFICIENTE PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE CONSIDERE UN
CICLON TROPICAL. VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS
CONDUCENTES A DESARROLLO PARA MANANA...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SE MUEVA
HACIA TIERRA SOBRE EL ESTADO MEXICANDO DE CAMPECHE TARDE EL
MIERCOLES O TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...FORMACION
DE CICLON TROPICAL LUCE NO FAVORABLE DEBIDO A LA INTERACCION CON UN
FRENTE DE FRIO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA ESTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE.  LOS INTERESADOS EN CAMPECHE Y EL RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE
YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A
QUE AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER EMITIDOS CON POCA
ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...  50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA
FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA EL JUEVES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212121
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
425 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL PARA ACTUALIZAR PRIMER SISTEMA

UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ENCONTRO UNA BAJA
PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. SIN
EMBARGO...TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON LA BAJA PRESION TODAVIA NO ESTAN
ORGANIZADAS LO SUFICIENTE PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE CONSIDERE UN
CICLON TROPICAL. VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS
CONDUCENTES A DESARROLLO PARA MANANA...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SE MUEVA
HACIA TIERRA SOBRE EL ESTADO MEXICANDO DE CAMPECHE TARDE EL
MIERCOLES O TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...FORMACION
DE CICLON TROPICAL LUCE NO FAVORABLE DEBIDO A LA INTERACCION CON UN
FRENTE DE FRIO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA ESTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE.  LOS INTERESADOS EN CAMPECHE Y EL RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE
YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A
QUE AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER EMITIDOS CON POCA ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...
  50 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA
FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA EL JUEVES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
WTPA35 PHFO 212038
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA DRIFTING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 165.7W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD MOTION GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 212038
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA DRIFTING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 165.7W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD MOTION GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 212033
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 165.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 165.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.9N 166.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.6N 168.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.6N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.0N 168.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  20SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 36.0N 160.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 42.5N 150.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 165.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
ABNT20 KNHC 212025
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
425 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook to update first system

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft did find a small well-
defined low in the southern Bay of Campeche.  However, the
thunderstorms associated with the low are still not organized enough
for this system to be considered a tropical cyclone.  Upper-level
winds could become more conducive for further development by
tomorrow, and this system has the potential to become a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland over the Mexican state of Campeche
late Wednesday or early Thursday.  Later in the week, tropical
cyclone formation appears unlikely due to interaction with
a cold front while the system is over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea. Interests in Campeche and elsewhere in the Yucatan Peninsula
should monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm
warnings could need to be issued with short notice.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the Azores. This system is
producing winds of gale-force and could acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next day or so while it moves west-
southwestward at about 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to
become less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation
by Thursday and development after that time is not likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211928
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS.
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES A
DESARROLLO PARA MANANA...Y ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA TIENE EL POTENCIAL
DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA TIERRA
SOBRE EL OESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN TARDE EL MIERCOLES O
TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...LA BAJA PRESION TIENE
ALGO DE POTENCIAL PARA DESARROLLO SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE
SI PERMANECE SEPARADO DE UN FRENTE DE FRIO. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGANDO EL
DISTURBIO. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR
ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...
  40 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA
FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA EL JUEVES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
ACPN50 PHFO 211754
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 420 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
AXNT20 KNHC 211744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CENTERED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W MOVING SLOWLY E. A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-24N
BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR
33N27W DRIFTING W. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST THAT IS LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST
BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE
IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 18N50W
TO 4N54W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 48W-57W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 8N12W AND CONTINUES TO 6N15W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 6N15W
TO 5N22W TO 8N28W TO 6N40W TO 8N50W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 10W-16W...AND FROM 4N-11N
BETWEEN 28W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N90W TO
THE LOW CENTER TO 17N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W TO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE FRONT. FURTHER S...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...THE SE GULF OF MEXICO TO INCLUDE THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...W CUBA...AND S FLORIDA...FROM 21N-27N
BETWEEN 80W-86W. FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE NW GULF. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF EXCEPT
OVER THE NW GULF. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALSO EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E TO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 17N BETWEEN 79W-88W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN
75W-84W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN HAS
FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W. A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 23N66W. UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE IS OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN DUE TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS TO BE OVER THE ISLAND WED...WITH CONVECTION E OF
THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO NEAR
28N70W TO NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO INCLUDE THE
N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-31N BETWEEN 70W-80W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N55W MOVING NNE AT 10 KT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N54W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 23N57W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE E OF THE TROUGH FROM 25N-
31N BETWEEN 47W-54W. A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 33N27W DRIFTING W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 29N28W TO 24N32W. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N56W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 34N28W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO
EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CENTERED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W MOVING SLOWLY E. A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-24N
BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR
33N27W DRIFTING W. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST THAT IS LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST
BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE
IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 18N50W
TO 4N54W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 48W-57W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 8N12W AND CONTINUES TO 6N15W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 6N15W
TO 5N22W TO 8N28W TO 6N40W TO 8N50W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 10W-16W...AND FROM 4N-11N
BETWEEN 28W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N90W TO
THE LOW CENTER TO 17N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W TO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE FRONT. FURTHER S...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...THE SE GULF OF MEXICO TO INCLUDE THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...W CUBA...AND S FLORIDA...FROM 21N-27N
BETWEEN 80W-86W. FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE NW GULF. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF EXCEPT
OVER THE NW GULF. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALSO EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E TO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 17N BETWEEN 79W-88W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN
75W-84W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN HAS
FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W. A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 23N66W. UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE IS OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN DUE TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS TO BE OVER THE ISLAND WED...WITH CONVECTION E OF
THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO NEAR
28N70W TO NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO INCLUDE THE
N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-31N BETWEEN 70W-80W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N55W MOVING NNE AT 10 KT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N54W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 23N57W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE E OF THE TROUGH FROM 25N-
31N BETWEEN 47W-54W. A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 33N27W DRIFTING W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 29N28W TO 24N32W. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N56W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 34N28W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO
EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211741
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area in the far southern Bay of Campeche continues to
produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level
winds could become a little more conducive for development by
tomorrow, and this system still has the potential to become a
tropical cyclone before it moves inland over the west coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula late Wednesday or early Thursday.  Later in the
week, the low also has some potential for development over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea if it remains separate from a cold front.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating the disturbance. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the Azores. This system is
producing winds of gale-force and could acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next day or so while it moves west-
southwestward at about 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to
become less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation
by Thursday and development after that time is not likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211740
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 211440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 165.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 165.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 165.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
ACPN50 PHFO 211211
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 350 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

MORRISON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 211211
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 350 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

MORRISON





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXNT20 KNHC 211148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO TOWARD FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 22N IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 26N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 80W AND
94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W 25N97W. NUMEROUS
STRONG IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF GUATEMALA.THE CHANCE OF THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 21/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO
16N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
GUINEA AND GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W TO 10N20W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 10N20W TO 8N30W 7N40W AND 10N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 25W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 25W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KBBF...
KGRY...AND KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A LOW CLOUD CEILING HAS FORMED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG
HAS BEEN REPORTED AT PERRY FLORIDA. FORT MYERS FLORIDA IS
REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N74W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS SOUTHERN
PANAMA NEAR 7N81W...AND BEYOND 8N84W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MARACAIBO...
AND NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N58W TO 29N69W 29N78W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 28N NORTHWARD
BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N
BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N56W...TO 29N55W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...ARE
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N43W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 43W AND
44W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
6N TO 13N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES 31N11W AT ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 29N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO TOWARD FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 22N IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 26N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 80W AND
94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W 25N97W. NUMEROUS
STRONG IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF GUATEMALA.THE CHANCE OF THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 21/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO
16N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
GUINEA AND GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W TO 10N20W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 10N20W TO 8N30W 7N40W AND 10N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 25W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 25W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KBBF...
KGRY...AND KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A LOW CLOUD CEILING HAS FORMED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG
HAS BEEN REPORTED AT PERRY FLORIDA. FORT MYERS FLORIDA IS
REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N74W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS SOUTHERN
PANAMA NEAR 7N81W...AND BEYOND 8N84W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MARACAIBO...
AND NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N58W TO 29N69W 29N78W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 28N NORTHWARD
BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N
BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N56W...TO 29N55W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...ARE
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N43W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 43W AND
44W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
6N TO 13N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES 31N11W AT ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 29N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 211148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO TOWARD FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 22N IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 26N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 80W AND
94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W 25N97W. NUMEROUS
STRONG IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF GUATEMALA.THE CHANCE OF THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 21/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO
16N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
GUINEA AND GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W TO 10N20W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 10N20W TO 8N30W 7N40W AND 10N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 25W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 25W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KBBF...
KGRY...AND KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A LOW CLOUD CEILING HAS FORMED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG
HAS BEEN REPORTED AT PERRY FLORIDA. FORT MYERS FLORIDA IS
REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N74W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS SOUTHERN
PANAMA NEAR 7N81W...AND BEYOND 8N84W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MARACAIBO...
AND NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N58W TO 29N69W 29N78W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 28N NORTHWARD
BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N
BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N56W...TO 29N55W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...ARE
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N43W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 43W AND
44W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
6N TO 13N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES 31N11W AT ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 29N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better
defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently not well organized, this system has the potential to
become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves
slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula.  Later in the
week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a
frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern
Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Azores. This system
is producing winds of gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while it moves
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better
defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently not well organized, this system has the potential to
become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves
slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula.  Later in the
week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a
frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern
Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Azores. This system
is producing winds of gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while it moves
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better
defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently not well organized, this system has the potential to
become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves
slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula.  Later in the
week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a
frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern
Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Azores. This system
is producing winds of gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while it moves
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE LIMITADOS. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS
SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA PRESION
INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL SOBRE EL
SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE.
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL
PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE LIMITADOS. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS
SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA PRESION
INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL SOBRE EL
SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE.
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL
PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
WTPA35 PHFO 210840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 164.7W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA25 PHFO 210840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 164.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 167.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.9N 166.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N 163.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 37.2N 156.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 164.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 164.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 167.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.9N 166.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N 163.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 37.2N 156.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 164.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 210840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 164.7W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXNT20 KNHC 210635 AAA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

AMENDED THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N61W TO 30N65W 28N72W 29N79W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN
66W AND 68W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
TO THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N55W...TO A 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...
ARE IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N42W TO 28N43W AND TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N12W TO 31N12W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT
CONTINUES FROM 31N12W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 29N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210635 AAA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

AMENDED THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N61W TO 30N65W 28N72W 29N79W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN
66W AND 68W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
TO THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N55W...TO A 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...
ARE IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N42W TO 28N43W AND TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N12W TO 31N12W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT
CONTINUES FROM 31N12W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 29N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 210604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW WILL PUSH NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS
MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL
COVER HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...FROM 40W EASTWARD. TO 24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH
AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND
20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO
21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG
FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW WILL PUSH NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS
MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL
COVER HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...FROM 40W EASTWARD. TO 24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH
AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND
20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO
21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG
FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
WTPA35 PHFO 210556
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE
NORTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.3W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H...AND A GENERAL
NORTHWEST TO NORTH MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 210556
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE
NORTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.3W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H...AND A GENERAL
NORTHWEST TO NORTH MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
ACPN50 PHFO 210550
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 335 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.


$$

MORRISON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 210550
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 335 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.


$$

MORRISON






000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210317
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE SW PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH CENTER NEAR 20N95W AS OF 2100 UTC. THIS
SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE ENE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 89W-96W WHILE WEAKER
CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF 29N...E OF 89W. INTERESTS IN THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
THE CHANCE OF FORMATION THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE SECTIONS THAT ARE
TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS
FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N46W TO 04N50W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS STILL PREVAILING IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS
WAVE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-
15N BETWEEN 42W-50W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 07N13W AND CONTINUES TO 07N17W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
07N17W TO 08N24W TO 05N33W TO 08N43W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE AT 08N51W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
06N54W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE
SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N-09N BETWEEN
24W-39W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
50W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N95W IS
AFFECTING THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION
ABOUT THIS SYSTEM PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. FAIR
WEATHER IS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS ALONG 87W IS OVER THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE BASIN WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH PAIRED WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AFFECTING CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS S OF 12N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT OVER
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL RELATED TO THE 1008 MB LOW OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GREATER
ANTILLES WEAKENING QUICKLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER THE S CARIBBEAN WATERS AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE ISLAND DUE TO DIURNAL
HEATING. EXPECT SIMILAR AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN
TO BE OVER THE ISLAND IN 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 29N81W TO 28N70W.
A COLD FRONT IS DEPICTED FROM THE END OF THE STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDING N INTO THE NW ATLANTIC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS E OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 36N-45N BETWEEN 48W-52W. A SURFACE
TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 26N67W TO 25N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION ALONG THIS FEATURE. TO THE E...A 1013 MB LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 25N55W WITH A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N55W TO
22N57W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-33N BETWEEN 43W-
54W. OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...A 996 MB LOW N OF THE CANARY
ISLANDS GENERATING GALE FORCE WINDS. THIS LOW IS PAIRED AT UPPER
LEVELS WITH A LOW CENTERED NEAR 33N24W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THIS LOW INTO THE ADJACENT WATERS
OF THE COAST OF AFRICA FROM 31N12W TO 21N20W. FOR MORE
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE E
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210317
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE SW PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH CENTER NEAR 20N95W AS OF 2100 UTC. THIS
SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE ENE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 89W-96W WHILE WEAKER
CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF 29N...E OF 89W. INTERESTS IN THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
THE CHANCE OF FORMATION THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE SECTIONS THAT ARE
TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS
FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N46W TO 04N50W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS STILL PREVAILING IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS
WAVE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-
15N BETWEEN 42W-50W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 07N13W AND CONTINUES TO 07N17W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
07N17W TO 08N24W TO 05N33W TO 08N43W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE AT 08N51W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
06N54W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE
SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N-09N BETWEEN
24W-39W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
50W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N95W IS
AFFECTING THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION
ABOUT THIS SYSTEM PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. FAIR
WEATHER IS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS ALONG 87W IS OVER THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE BASIN WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH PAIRED WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AFFECTING CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS S OF 12N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT OVER
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL RELATED TO THE 1008 MB LOW OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GREATER
ANTILLES WEAKENING QUICKLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER THE S CARIBBEAN WATERS AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE ISLAND DUE TO DIURNAL
HEATING. EXPECT SIMILAR AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN
TO BE OVER THE ISLAND IN 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 29N81W TO 28N70W.
A COLD FRONT IS DEPICTED FROM THE END OF THE STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDING N INTO THE NW ATLANTIC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS E OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 36N-45N BETWEEN 48W-52W. A SURFACE
TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 26N67W TO 25N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION ALONG THIS FEATURE. TO THE E...A 1013 MB LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 25N55W WITH A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N55W TO
22N57W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-33N BETWEEN 43W-
54W. OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...A 996 MB LOW N OF THE CANARY
ISLANDS GENERATING GALE FORCE WINDS. THIS LOW IS PAIRED AT UPPER
LEVELS WITH A LOW CENTERED NEAR 33N24W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THIS LOW INTO THE ADJACENT WATERS
OF THE COAST OF AFRICA FROM 31N12W TO 21N20W. FOR MORE
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE E
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
WTPA35 PHFO 210239
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 164.4W
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS
CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 210239
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 164.4W
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS
CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210010
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE HA CAMBIADO
POCO EN ORGANIZACION DESDE ESTA TARDE. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA
BAJA PRESION INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
ESTA PROGRAMADO A INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE
SER NECESARIO. INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN
MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TRONEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE
UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO DE ESTE TIEMPO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210010
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE HA CAMBIADO
POCO EN ORGANIZACION DESDE ESTA TARDE. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA
BAJA PRESION INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
ESTA PROGRAMADO A INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE
SER NECESARIO. INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN
MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TRONEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE
UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO DE ESTE TIEMPO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
WTPA35 PHFO 210001
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 164.0W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES...177 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 210001
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 164.0W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES...177 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ABNT20 KNHC 202332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche have changed little
in organization since this afternoon.  This system has the potential
to become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days while it
moves slowly eastward across the southern Bay of Campeche. Later
in the week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge
with a frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow
afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is becoming less likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 202332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche have changed little
in organization since this afternoon.  This system has the potential
to become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days while it
moves slowly eastward across the southern Bay of Campeche. Later
in the week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge
with a frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow
afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is becoming less likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202331
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202331
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202120
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1009
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1008 MB TO 11N109W TO 10N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 10N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-88W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF
AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N126W TO
22N131W TO 20N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH MAX SEAS TO 15-16 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.
SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT THROUGH WED AS SWELL
MOVES FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF A
LINE FROM 20N110W TO 09N124W TO 10N140W BY WED AFTERNOON WITH
MAX SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THEN PUSH S INTO NORTHERN
WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202120
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1009
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1008 MB TO 11N109W TO 10N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 10N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-88W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF
AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N126W TO
22N131W TO 20N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH MAX SEAS TO 15-16 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.
SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT THROUGH WED AS SWELL
MOVES FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF A
LINE FROM 20N110W TO 09N124W TO 10N140W BY WED AFTERNOON WITH
MAX SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THEN PUSH S INTO NORTHERN
WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
WTPA35 PHFO 201801
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.1W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT
OR TUESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR
TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 201801
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.1W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT
OR TUESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR
TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201749
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201749
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ACPN50 PHFO 201745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 237 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

M BALLARD





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 237 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

M BALLARD






000
ABNT20 KNHC 201731
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface and upper-air observations indicate that the low pressure
system located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche is gradually
becoming better defined. This system has the potential to become a
tropical cyclone during the next two to three days while it moves
slowly eastward to east-northeastward, before it interacts and
possibly merges with a frontal system towards the end of the week.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201731
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface and upper-air observations indicate that the low pressure
system located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche is gradually
becoming better defined. This system has the potential to become a
tropical cyclone during the next two to three days while it moves
slowly eastward to east-northeastward, before it interacts and
possibly merges with a frontal system towards the end of the week.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXNT20 KNHC 201726
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE SECTIONS THAT ARE
TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS
FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N45W
TO 5N48W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 43W-52W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 8N12W AND CONTINUES TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 7N17W
TO 7N23W TO 5N37W TO 9N45W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 9N50W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N54W. BESIDES
THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 22W-32W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 32W-38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 89W-97W. FURTHER E...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SE GULF OF MEXICO
TO INCLUDE THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 80W-89W.
FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS
ALONG 87W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO PERSIST AND
SPREAD E OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SE
GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RELATIVELY LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. 5-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE NOTED WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH
IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 76W-84W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NW VENEZUELA FROM 10N-
15N BETWEEN 68W-74W. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE S OF CUBA
FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 80W-85W...AND OVER JAMAICA... AND
HISPANIOLA. SIMILAR SHOWERS ARE ALSO ALONG THE NE COAST OF
VENEZUELA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 61W-67W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W
OF 80W. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 21N63W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN.
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT SHOWERS AND CONVECTION OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY VERY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AGAIN TO BE OVER THE ISLAND TUE
...WITH CONVECTION N OF THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N63W TO 28N70W TO
NEAR COCOA BEACH FLORIDA AT 28N80W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN
60 NM OF THE FRONT. A 1013 MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
NEAR 25N55W MOVING N AT 10 KT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
31N56W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 21N59W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE TROUGH FROM 23N-30N BETWEEN 49W-54W. A
996 MB GALE LOW IS N OF THE CANARY ISLANDS NEAR 33N22W. A COLD
FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE CANARY ISLANDS AT 30N14W TO 21N20W TO
18N30W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE LOW CENTER
FROM 30N-32N BETWEEN 20W-25W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE
CANARY ISLANDS. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N52W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR
34N23W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD
FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTPA25 PHFO 201440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...WITHIN 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 163.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 163.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 162.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.9N 164.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 165.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.3N 168.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.7N 167.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 35.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 163.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 201440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 163.3W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN
ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 201440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 163.3W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN
ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201202
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS.
ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS O TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE
HACIA EL ESTE Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y COMBINARSE
PROBABLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HASTA FINALES DE LA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR CIENTO.

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS
AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE
AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201202
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS.
ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS O TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE
HACIA EL ESTE Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y COMBINARSE
PROBABLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HASTA FINALES DE LA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR CIENTO.

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS
AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE
AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
WTPA35 PHFO 201158
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 162.6W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY FOLLOWED BY EXPECTED
INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...
AND NEARBY WATERS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG
AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 201158
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 162.6W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY FOLLOWED BY EXPECTED
INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...
AND NEARBY WATERS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG
AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
02900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 9N89W 1008 MB TO
15N95W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N99W 1008 MB TO 10N170W. ITCZ FROM
10N127W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 123W-135W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 138W N OF 26N SUPPORTS A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM
30N133W TO 25N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT IN FAR
NW PART TODAY. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THE DYING FRONT WILL LIFT
NE. FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY TUE MORNING. AREA OF HIGH SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY
FROM ITS SOURCE.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH. LITTLE
CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE RIDGE THROUGH
TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
DGS



000
WTPA25 PHFO 200835
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS
OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU...IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR THE MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.2W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.2W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 161.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.9N 163.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.6N 165.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.7N 166.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.6N 166.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.8N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.0N 166.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 162.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 200834
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 162.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS
OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU...IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.2 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY FOLLOWED BY
EXPECTED REINTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LINGER OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200657
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY
WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. FOR
THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY...
MAINLY NIIHAU...THIS EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
OAHU TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200657
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY
WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. FOR
THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY...
MAINLY NIIHAU...THIS EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
OAHU TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 200610
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ES POSIBLE ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE-NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA AMPLIA BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO UNAS CUANTAS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 200610
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ES POSIBLE ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE-NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA AMPLIA BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO UNAS CUANTAS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
AXNT20 KNHC 200605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 19/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N42W 12N43W
7N44W...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 39W AND 47W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 15N BETWEEN 38W
AND 52W. SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE...AND SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 16N16W TO 13N20W AND 11N23W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 11N23W TO 8N30W 10N38W...TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE...TO
9N46W AND 5N53W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 9W AND
40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...CLOSE TO THE COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 19N TO 21N
BETWEEN 93W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 92W AND THE COAST.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...
KBBF...KVAF...KVQT...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KVOA...AND KDLP.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

EDINBURG TEXAS IN THE LOWER VALLEY AND ALICE TEXAS ARE REPORTING
LOW CLOUD CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG ARE
BEING REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILINGS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA
DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N74W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N
TO 12N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 76W AND
77W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N81W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 72W AND 74W IN COLOMBIA AND NEARBY VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER WERE BEING REPORTED AT SANTO
DOMINGO AND PUNTA CANA AND SANTIAGO. RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER
WERE BEING REPORTED IN PUERTO PLATA DURING THE LAST FEW
OBSERVATIONS. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT
OTHER OBSERVING SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N67W TO 29N74W TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N66W 23N68W TO
20N75W IN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS THAT ARE WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH BERMUDA...TO 29N70W AND
28N80W ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 49W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N21W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W AND 23N24W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 23N24W TO 20N31W 23N40W AND 31N48W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 30N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 19W AND 25W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W. RAINSHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF
THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 200605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 19/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N42W 12N43W
7N44W...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 39W AND 47W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 15N BETWEEN 38W
AND 52W. SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE...AND SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 16N16W TO 13N20W AND 11N23W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 11N23W TO 8N30W 10N38W...TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE...TO
9N46W AND 5N53W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 9W AND
40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...CLOSE TO THE COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 19N TO 21N
BETWEEN 93W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 92W AND THE COAST.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...
KBBF...KVAF...KVQT...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KVOA...AND KDLP.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

EDINBURG TEXAS IN THE LOWER VALLEY AND ALICE TEXAS ARE REPORTING
LOW CLOUD CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG ARE
BEING REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILINGS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA
DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N74W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N
TO 12N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 76W AND
77W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N81W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 72W AND 74W IN COLOMBIA AND NEARBY VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER WERE BEING REPORTED AT SANTO
DOMINGO AND PUNTA CANA AND SANTIAGO. RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER
WERE BEING REPORTED IN PUERTO PLATA DURING THE LAST FEW
OBSERVATIONS. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT
OTHER OBSERVING SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N67W TO 29N74W TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N66W 23N68W TO
20N75W IN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS THAT ARE WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH BERMUDA...TO 29N70W AND
28N80W ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 49W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N21W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W AND 23N24W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 23N24W TO 20N31W 23N40W AND 31N48W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 30N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 19W AND 25W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W. RAINSHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF
THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
ACPN50 PHFO 200519
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 200519
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ABNT20 KNHC 200515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves eastward to east-northeastward at 5 to
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
WTPA35 PHFO 200515 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
THROUGH THE EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO OAHU. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 200515 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
THROUGH THE EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO OAHU. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
ABNT20 KNHC 200515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves eastward to east-northeastward at 5 to
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200502
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200502
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTPA35 PHFO 200501
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200501
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 200240
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 161.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST OS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200240
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 161.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST OS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N82W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N88W 1008
MB TO 14N91W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1007 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N120W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 11N131W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 12N
BETWEEN 126W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90
NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 117W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 138W N OF 26N SUPPORTS A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM
30N133W TO 25N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT
IN FAR NW PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
FOR THE DYING FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT. FRONT WILL TRANSITION
TO A FRONTAL TROUGH BY MON AFTERNOON AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY
TUE MORNING. AREA OF HIGH SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND
TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N82W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N88W 1008
MB TO 14N91W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1007 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N120W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 11N131W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 12N
BETWEEN 126W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90
NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 117W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 138W N OF 26N SUPPORTS A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM
30N133W TO 25N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT
IN FAR NW PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
FOR THE DYING FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT. FRONT WILL TRANSITION
TO A FRONTAL TROUGH BY MON AFTERNOON AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY
TUE MORNING. AREA OF HIGH SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND
TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTPA35 PHFO 200102
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 210 MI...325 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. FOR THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200102
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 210 MI...325 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. FOR THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








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