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000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.



THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HAITI AT THE START OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...
AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IN HAITI EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE TOWARD
SOUTHERN JAMAICA...AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 HOURS. A NORTHEAST-TO-
SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 24
HOURS...AND IT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE
GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB AND FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 29N67W. LARGE-SCALE EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SLOWLY...CAUSING SOME SLIGHT WIND SHIFTS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 020004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.



THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HAITI AT THE START OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...
AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IN HAITI EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE TOWARD
SOUTHERN JAMAICA...AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 HOURS. A NORTHEAST-TO-
SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 24
HOURS...AND IT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE
GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB AND FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 29N67W. LARGE-SCALE EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SLOWLY...CAUSING SOME SLIGHT WIND SHIFTS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACPN50 PHFO 012351
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 925 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 012351
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 925 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

BURKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 012342
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE.

UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...ESTA
PRODUCIENDO UN AREA DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL
NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LAS PRESIONES EN LA SUPERFICIE SOBRE EL
AREA ESTAN ELEVADAS Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE DESFAVORABLES PARA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS FUERTES LOCALMENTE
SOBRE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA
O MAS MIENTRAS SE DESPLAZA HACIA EL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRICA EL JUEVES A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL
OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 012342
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE.

UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...ESTA
PRODUCIENDO UN AREA DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL
NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LAS PRESIONES EN LA SUPERFICIE SOBRE EL
AREA ESTAN ELEVADAS Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE DESFAVORABLES PARA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS FUERTES LOCALMENTE
SOBRE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA
O MAS MIENTRAS SE DESPLAZA HACIA EL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRICA EL JUEVES A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL
OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 012336
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 700 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 012335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area are high, and upper-level
winds are currently not conducive for redevelopment.  This system
could produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and
northern Florida during the next day or so while it drifts
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABNT20 KNHC 012335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area are high, and upper-level
winds are currently not conducive for redevelopment.  This system
could produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and
northern Florida during the next day or so while it drifts
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012126
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 2100 UTC SEP 01.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT OF JIMENA WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 140
NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 260 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO JIMENA WAS NOTED OVER
THE FORECAST AREA FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. JIMENA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM THE AREA AND ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W WITH THE SYSTEM. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY SHIFT W OF 140W THIS EVENING WHILE TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY WED. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCPCP4/WTPA34 KNHC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT
2100 UTC...MOVING NW 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
FURTHER TO 40 KT WED. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED N OF 03N E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 96W AND
102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 22N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.
BY THU SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04N BETWEEN
100W AND 132W.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012126
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 2100 UTC SEP 01.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT OF JIMENA WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 140
NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 260 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO JIMENA WAS NOTED OVER
THE FORECAST AREA FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. JIMENA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM THE AREA AND ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W WITH THE SYSTEM. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY SHIFT W OF 140W THIS EVENING WHILE TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY WED. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCPCP4/WTPA34 KNHC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT
2100 UTC...MOVING NW 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
FURTHER TO 40 KT WED. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED N OF 03N E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 96W AND
102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 22N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.
BY THU SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04N BETWEEN
100W AND 132W.

$$
AL



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 012110
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED MANTIENE SU INTENSIDAD...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.8 NORTE 28.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 330 MI...535 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 28.1
OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H... Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPA33 PHFO 012051
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A HURRICANE...PASSING 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MAUI AND MOLOKAI AS IT CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 154.5W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND IGNACIO MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA33 PHFO 012051
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A HURRICANE...PASSING 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MAUI AND MOLOKAI AS IT CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 154.5W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND IGNACIO MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 012050
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 290SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 154.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.8N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 160.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 161.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.7N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.3N 165.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 39.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 154.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 012050
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 290SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 154.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.8N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 160.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 161.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.7N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.3N 165.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 39.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 154.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPQ31 PGUM 012047
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1295 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND
MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 105 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE RESUMING AN
INTENSIFICATION TREND FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 012047
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1295 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND
MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 105 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE RESUMING AN
INTENSIFICATION TREND FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012039
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 114.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 114.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012039
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 114.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 114.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012039
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 114.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 114.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT21 KNHC 012034
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  27.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N  29.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N  32.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N  34.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 012034
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  27.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N  29.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N  32.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N  34.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown



000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 725 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The
National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane
Jimena.  Future advisories on Jimena will be issued by the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 725 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The
National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane
Jimena.  Future advisories on Jimena will be issued by the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 725 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The
National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane
Jimena.  Future advisories on Jimena will be issued by the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 011453
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO RIGHT ON THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 180.0

ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2405 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 180.0...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM.

$$

STANKO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 011453
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO RIGHT ON THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 180.0

ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2405 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 180.0...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM.

$$

STANKO


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 011453
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO RIGHT ON THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 180.0

ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2405 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 180.0...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM.

$$

STANKO



000
ABPZ30 KNHC 011442
TWSEP

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Three named storms and two tropical depressions formed in the
eastern North Pacific basin in August.  All three named storms
became hurricanes, and one, Jimena, became a major hurricane in
the eastern Pacific basin.  Both Hilda and Ignacio became major
hurricanes in the central Pacific basin.  Based on a 30-year
(1981-2010) climatology, three or four named storms typically form
in the basin in August, with two becoming hurricanes and one
reaching major hurricane strength.

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the basin so far in 2015 has been above normal.  The ACE
through the end of August is about one third higher than the
1981-2010 median value to date.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the website of the National Hurricane Center at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=epac

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
MH  Andres*      28 May-4 Jun          145
MH  Blanca       31 May-9 Jun          140
H   Carlos          10-17 Jun           90
TS  Ela**            8-10 Jul           40***
MH  Dolores         11-18 Jul          130
TS  Enrique         12-18 Jul           50
TS  Felicia         23-24 Jul           40
TD  Eight-E         27-30 Jul           35
H   Guillermo    30 Jul-7 Aug          105
MH  Hilda            6-14 Aug          140***
TD  Eleven-E        16-18 Aug           35
MH  Ignacio      25 Aug-               145***
MH  Jimena       26 Aug-               150
TD  Fourteen-E   31 Aug-                35
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
** Tropical Storm Ela began in the eastern North Pacific basin as
Tropical Depression Four-E and reached tropical storm status after
moving into the central North Pacific basin.
*** Peak intensity reached in the central North Pacific basin.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit



000
ABPZ30 KNHC 011442
TWSEP

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Three named storms and two tropical depressions formed in the
eastern North Pacific basin in August.  All three named storms
became hurricanes, and one, Jimena, became a major hurricane in
the eastern Pacific basin.  Both Hilda and Ignacio became major
hurricanes in the central Pacific basin.  Based on a 30-year
(1981-2010) climatology, three or four named storms typically form
in the basin in August, with two becoming hurricanes and one
reaching major hurricane strength.

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the basin so far in 2015 has been above normal.  The ACE
through the end of August is about one third higher than the
1981-2010 median value to date.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the website of the National Hurricane Center at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=epac

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
MH  Andres*      28 May-4 Jun          145
MH  Blanca       31 May-9 Jun          140
H   Carlos          10-17 Jun           90
TS  Ela**            8-10 Jul           40***
MH  Dolores         11-18 Jul          130
TS  Enrique         12-18 Jul           50
TS  Felicia         23-24 Jul           40
TD  Eight-E         27-30 Jul           35
H   Guillermo    30 Jul-7 Aug          105
MH  Hilda            6-14 Aug          140***
TD  Eleven-E        16-18 Aug           35
MH  Ignacio      25 Aug-               145***
MH  Jimena       26 Aug-               150
TD  Fourteen-E   31 Aug-                35
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
** Tropical Storm Ela began in the eastern North Pacific basin as
Tropical Depression Four-E and reached tropical storm status after
moving into the central North Pacific basin.
*** Peak intensity reached in the central North Pacific basin.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




000
WTPA33 PHFO 011440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 153.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 011440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.4N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 159.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.6N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 011440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 153.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 011440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.4N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 159.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.6N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 011440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 153.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 011440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.4N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 159.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.6N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT21 KNHC 011436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  26.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N  28.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.1N  33.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N  36.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N  38.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 011436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  26.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N  28.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.1N  33.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N  36.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N  38.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011435
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011435
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011203
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011203
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011203
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.2N 26.5W AT 01/1200 UTC
OR ABOUT 195 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING N-NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 25W-
27W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 21N61W ACROSS THE
N LEEWARD ISLANDS TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 57W-64W ENHANCED
BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 80W FROM 10N-19N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. ACTIVITY TO
THE W IS GENERATED BY THE UPPER LOW JUST S OF JAMAICA AND
ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE. SEE CARIBBEAN SEA BELOW.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 11N29W THROUGH A WEAK
1013 MB LOW NEAR 87N42W ALONG 5N47W TO 7N52W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 17W-19W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 25W-31W AND FROM 5N-
9N BETWEEN 31W-54W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER E TEXAS AND ALONG THE
COAST OF NE MEXICO COVERING THE W GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N-28N W OF
94W TO THE COASTAL PLAINS OF TEXAS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 23N-25N W OF 89W TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE REMAINDER
OF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF 95W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 28N
W OF 92W TO THE COAST OF LOUISIANA AND NE TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC COVERS THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM FLORIDA NEAR 30N83W INTO THE GULF NEAR CEDAR KEY
ALONG 27N84W TO 24N87W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
SURFACE TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S OVER THE N
GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH OVER SW NORTH CAROLINA.
THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WED
BEFORE DISSIPATING. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH AN UPPER LOW JUST S OF
JAMAICA TO CENTRAL PANAMA AND COMBINED THE TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 79W-83W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 16N-22N W
OF 75W TO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS COSTA RICA ALONG 9N/10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 11N E OF 83W TO
OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY WED THEN
WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND
WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TODAY AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
AND WED ENTERING THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. MOISTURE WILL
AGAIN MOVE IN TONIGHT PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS
THE ISLAND. THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 29N79W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 29N50W. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 30N W OF
78W TO THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N-32N BETWEEN 59W-63W. THE
ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB
HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC WED
NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 011152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.2N 26.5W AT 01/1200 UTC
OR ABOUT 195 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING N-NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 25W-
27W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 21N61W ACROSS THE
N LEEWARD ISLANDS TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 57W-64W ENHANCED
BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 80W FROM 10N-19N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. ACTIVITY TO
THE W IS GENERATED BY THE UPPER LOW JUST S OF JAMAICA AND
ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE. SEE CARIBBEAN SEA BELOW.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 11N29W THROUGH A WEAK
1013 MB LOW NEAR 87N42W ALONG 5N47W TO 7N52W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 17W-19W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 25W-31W AND FROM 5N-
9N BETWEEN 31W-54W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER E TEXAS AND ALONG THE
COAST OF NE MEXICO COVERING THE W GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N-28N W OF
94W TO THE COASTAL PLAINS OF TEXAS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 23N-25N W OF 89W TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE REMAINDER
OF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF 95W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 28N
W OF 92W TO THE COAST OF LOUISIANA AND NE TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC COVERS THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM FLORIDA NEAR 30N83W INTO THE GULF NEAR CEDAR KEY
ALONG 27N84W TO 24N87W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
SURFACE TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S OVER THE N
GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH OVER SW NORTH CAROLINA.
THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WED
BEFORE DISSIPATING. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH AN UPPER LOW JUST S OF
JAMAICA TO CENTRAL PANAMA AND COMBINED THE TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 79W-83W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 16N-22N W
OF 75W TO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS COSTA RICA ALONG 9N/10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 11N E OF 83W TO
OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY WED THEN
WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND
WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TODAY AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
AND WED ENTERING THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. MOISTURE WILL
AGAIN MOVE IN TONIGHT PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS
THE ISLAND. THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 29N79W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 29N50W. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 30N W OF
78W TO THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N-32N BETWEEN 59W-63W. THE
ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB
HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC WED
NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
WTNT31 KNHC 011150
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 26.5W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has
discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 26.5 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 011150
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 26.5W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has
discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 26.5 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Three tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin during August,
with one, Danny, strengthening into a major hurricane.  Based on a
30-year (1981-2010) climatology, one named storm typically forms in
the Atlantic basin in August, with a hurricane occurring about once
every other year.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storm and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2015 has been below normal.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl.

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Ana              8-11 May            60
TS Bill            16-20 Jun            60
TS Claudette*      13-14 Jul            50
MH Danny           18-24 Aug           115
TS Erika           25-29 Aug            50
H  Fred            30-                  85
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Three tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin during August,
with one, Danny, strengthening into a major hurricane.  Based on a
30-year (1981-2010) climatology, one named storm typically forms in
the Atlantic basin in August, with a hurricane occurring about once
every other year.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storm and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2015 has been below normal.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl.

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Ana              8-11 May            60
TS Bill            16-20 Jun            60
TS Claudette*      13-14 Jul            50
MH Danny           18-24 Aug           115
TS Erika           25-29 Aug            50
H  Fred            30-                  85
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit



000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Three tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin during August,
with one, Danny, strengthening into a major hurricane.  Based on a
30-year (1981-2010) climatology, one named storm typically forms in
the Atlantic basin in August, with a hurricane occurring about once
every other year.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storm and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2015 has been below normal.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl.

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Ana              8-11 May            60
TS Bill            16-20 Jun            60
TS Claudette*      13-14 Jul            50
MH Danny           18-24 Aug           115
TS Erika           25-29 Aug            50
H  Fred            30-                  85
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010930
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE SEP 1 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 0900 UTC...MOVING
W 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 KT GUSTS TO
140 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 948 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 20 NM EYE SURROUNDED BY A
100 NM CIRCULAR RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. NUMEROUS MODERATE
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN BANDS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 210 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 45 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT
0900 UTC...MOVING WNW 295 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN
75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N111W TO 08N116.5W. THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY
AND INTENSIFY TO AROUND 45 KT WED THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS
AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N88W TO 08N95W TO 10N103W. MOST
OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS MINIMAL AT THE PRESENT TIME.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE NOSES INTO NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W.
AN ASCAT PASS THIS MORNING INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20
KT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A
THERMAL TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN
THE U.S. DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG
WINDS EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP
TO 8 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W-123W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY
SWELL IS REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL
EXPECTED TO BE S OF 03N-05N W OF 107W BY WED NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT21 KNHC 010848
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  25.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N  27.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.3N  30.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N  32.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.3N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  40.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  26.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 010848
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  25.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N  27.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.3N  30.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N  32.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.3N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  40.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  26.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 010846
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 139.1W
ABOUT 1075 MI...1730 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 139.1 West.  Jimena is moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected later today, accompanied by a decrease
in forward speed through Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010845
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 140.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.4N 141.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.9N 142.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.7N 145.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.5N 146.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 139.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPA23 PHFO 010840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 152.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.2N 153.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.4N 154.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.5N 156.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.8N 158.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.6N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 34.6N 163.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.8N 164.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 010840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 152.3W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 010840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 152.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.2N 153.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.4N 154.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.5N 156.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.8N 158.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.6N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 34.6N 163.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.8N 164.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 010840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 152.3W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 010840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 152.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.2N 153.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.4N 154.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.5N 156.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.8N 158.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.6N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 34.6N 163.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.8N 164.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA33 PHFO 010840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 152.3W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 010840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 152.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 152.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.2N 153.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.4N 154.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.5N 156.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.8N 158.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.6N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 34.6N 163.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.8N 164.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA33 PHFO 010840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 152.3W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXNT20 KNHC 010602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 01/0600 UTC.
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 25.7W AT 01/0600 UTC
OR ABOUT 52 NM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 24W-
26W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N60W ACROSS
GUADELOUPE TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 56W-60W AND
FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 60W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 78W/79W FROM 11N-20N
MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N27W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW
NEAR 7N41W TO 7N48W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 45W-52W. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 27W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER LOUISIANA...
TEXAS...AND MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND
EXTENDS OVER S FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE E GULF AND PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SE GEORGIA ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO THE GULF NEAR 30N84W TO NEAR 25N85W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH TO OVER FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE
GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT NW ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED REACHING TO ALONG
88W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
78W-86W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO
PANAMA AND COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER THE AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF HISPANIOLA W OF 70W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY WED THEN WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER
THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WED. THE E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
THROUGH TUE AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THE NIGHT AND WED ENTERING
THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO PANAMA IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF SW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SW HAITI W OF 70W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF GONAVE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN TUE NIGHT
PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS THE ISLAND. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 28N77W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-NE TO 32N52W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM
ALONG THE COAST OF FLORIDA BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND
JACKSONVILLE. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N44W
ALONG 25N52W 22N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE REMAINDER OF
THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021
MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 31N71W AND A 1020 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL
ATLC NEAR 26N53W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN
WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS
SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 010602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 01/0600 UTC.
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 25.7W AT 01/0600 UTC
OR ABOUT 52 NM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 24W-
26W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N60W ACROSS
GUADELOUPE TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 56W-60W AND
FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 60W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 78W/79W FROM 11N-20N
MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N27W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW
NEAR 7N41W TO 7N48W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 45W-52W. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 27W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER LOUISIANA...
TEXAS...AND MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND
EXTENDS OVER S FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE E GULF AND PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SE GEORGIA ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO THE GULF NEAR 30N84W TO NEAR 25N85W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH TO OVER FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE
GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT NW ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED REACHING TO ALONG
88W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
78W-86W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO
PANAMA AND COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER THE AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF HISPANIOLA W OF 70W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY WED THEN WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER
THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WED. THE E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
THROUGH TUE AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THE NIGHT AND WED ENTERING
THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO PANAMA IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF SW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SW HAITI W OF 70W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF GONAVE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN TUE NIGHT
PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS THE ISLAND. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 28N77W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-NE TO 32N52W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM
ALONG THE COAST OF FLORIDA BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND
JACKSONVILLE. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N44W
ALONG 25N52W 22N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE REMAINDER OF
THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021
MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 31N71W AND A 1020 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL
ATLC NEAR 26N53W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN
WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS
SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 010602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 01/0600 UTC.
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 25.7W AT 01/0600 UTC
OR ABOUT 52 NM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 24W-
26W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N60W ACROSS
GUADELOUPE TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 56W-60W AND
FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 60W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 78W/79W FROM 11N-20N
MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N27W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW
NEAR 7N41W TO 7N48W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 45W-52W. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 27W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER LOUISIANA...
TEXAS...AND MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND
EXTENDS OVER S FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE E GULF AND PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SE GEORGIA ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO THE GULF NEAR 30N84W TO NEAR 25N85W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH TO OVER FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE
GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT NW ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED REACHING TO ALONG
88W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
78W-86W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO
PANAMA AND COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER THE AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF HISPANIOLA W OF 70W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY WED THEN WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER
THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WED. THE E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
THROUGH TUE AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THE NIGHT AND WED ENTERING
THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO PANAMA IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF SW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SW HAITI W OF 70W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF GONAVE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN TUE NIGHT
PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS THE ISLAND. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 28N77W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-NE TO 32N52W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM
ALONG THE COAST OF FLORIDA BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND
JACKSONVILLE. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N44W
ALONG 25N52W 22N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE REMAINDER OF
THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021
MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 31N71W AND A 1020 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL
ATLC NEAR 26N53W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN
WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS
SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 010602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 01/0600 UTC.
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 25.7W AT 01/0600 UTC
OR ABOUT 52 NM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 24W-
26W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N60W ACROSS
GUADELOUPE TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 56W-60W AND
FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 60W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 78W/79W FROM 11N-20N
MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N27W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW
NEAR 7N41W TO 7N48W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 45W-52W. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 27W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER LOUISIANA...
TEXAS...AND MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND
EXTENDS OVER S FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE E GULF AND PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SE GEORGIA ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO THE GULF NEAR 30N84W TO NEAR 25N85W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH TO OVER FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE
GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT NW ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED REACHING TO ALONG
88W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
78W-86W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO
PANAMA AND COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER THE AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF HISPANIOLA W OF 70W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY WED THEN WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER
THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WED. THE E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
THROUGH TUE AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THE NIGHT AND WED ENTERING
THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO PANAMA IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF SW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SW HAITI W OF 70W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF GONAVE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN TUE NIGHT
PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS THE ISLAND. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 28N77W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-NE TO 32N52W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM
ALONG THE COAST OF FLORIDA BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND
JACKSONVILLE. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N44W
ALONG 25N52W 22N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE REMAINDER OF
THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021
MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 31N71W AND A 1020 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL
ATLC NEAR 26N53W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN
WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS
SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 010602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 01/0600 UTC.
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 25.7W AT 01/0600 UTC
OR ABOUT 52 NM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 24W-
26W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N60W ACROSS
GUADELOUPE TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 56W-60W AND
FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 60W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 78W/79W FROM 11N-20N
MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N27W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW
NEAR 7N41W TO 7N48W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 45W-52W. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 27W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER LOUISIANA...
TEXAS...AND MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND
EXTENDS OVER S FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE E GULF AND PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SE GEORGIA ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO THE GULF NEAR 30N84W TO NEAR 25N85W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH TO OVER FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE
GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT NW ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED REACHING TO ALONG
88W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
78W-86W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO
PANAMA AND COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER THE AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF HISPANIOLA W OF 70W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY WED THEN WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER
THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WED. THE E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
THROUGH TUE AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THE NIGHT AND WED ENTERING
THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO PANAMA IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF SW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SW HAITI W OF 70W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF GONAVE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN TUE NIGHT
PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS THE ISLAND. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 28N77W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-NE TO 32N52W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM
ALONG THE COAST OF FLORIDA BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND
JACKSONVILLE. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N44W
ALONG 25N52W 22N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE REMAINDER OF
THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021
MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 31N71W AND A 1020 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL
ATLC NEAR 26N53W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN
WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS
SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 010602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 01/0600 UTC.
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 25.7W AT 01/0600 UTC
OR ABOUT 52 NM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 24W-
26W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N60W ACROSS
GUADELOUPE TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 56W-60W AND
FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 60W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 78W/79W FROM 11N-20N
MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N27W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW
NEAR 7N41W TO 7N48W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 45W-52W. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 27W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 92W TO INLAND OVER LOUISIANA...
TEXAS...AND MEXICO. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND
EXTENDS OVER S FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE E GULF AND PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SE GEORGIA ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO THE GULF NEAR 30N84W TO NEAR 25N85W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH TO OVER FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE
GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT NW ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED REACHING TO ALONG
88W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
78W-86W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO
PANAMA AND COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER THE AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF HISPANIOLA W OF 70W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY WED THEN WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER
THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WED. THE E
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
THROUGH TUE AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THE NIGHT AND WED ENTERING
THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO PANAMA IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF SW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SW HAITI W OF 70W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF GONAVE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN TUE NIGHT
PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS THE ISLAND. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 28N77W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-NE TO 32N52W. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM
ALONG THE COAST OF FLORIDA BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND
JACKSONVILLE. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N44W
ALONG 25N52W 22N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE REMAINDER OF
THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021
MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 31N71W AND A 1020 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL
ATLC NEAR 26N53W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN
WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SINKS
SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 25.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
ACPN50 PHFO 010540
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 365 MILES
EAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED 415 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

GIBBS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 010540
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 365 MILES
EAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED 415 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

GIBBS






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 010530
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1100 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 750 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABNT20 KNHC 010521
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Fred, located just north of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
favorable for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 010521
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Fred, located just north of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
favorable for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 010521
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Fred, located just north of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
favorable for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010319
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE SEP 1 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AS OF 01/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 1230 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT
13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS DECREASED TO 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140
KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF
WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 15 NM DIAMETER EYE
WITHIN 90 NM ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT 60 NM E QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM
S OF THE CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS
NEARLY CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. BY
00 UTC SEP 03...JIMENA IS FORECAST TO BE W OF THE AREA NEAR
18.3N 142.8W...WITH SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20-33 KT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 13N-
25N W OF 136W. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
112.8W AS OF 01/0300 UTC OR ABOUT 735 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM YESTERDAY HAD
SINCE ACQUIRED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING MON. IN
ADDITION...DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
INTENSITY IS OBSERVED WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM
NEAR 13.2N 113.6W EARLY TUE MORNING...AND ONLY INTENSIFY A
LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.6N 114.7W BY TUE EVENING AND NEAR 18.1N
115.9W BY WED EVENING. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO 12N106W
WHERE IT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN THE AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 08N-10N
BETWEEN 115W-116.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 96W-99W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-122W
...AND ALSO SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N139W
TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010319
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE SEP 1 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AS OF 01/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 1230 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT
13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS DECREASED TO 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140
KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF
WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 15 NM DIAMETER EYE
WITHIN 90 NM ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT 60 NM E QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM
S OF THE CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS
NEARLY CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. BY
00 UTC SEP 03...JIMENA IS FORECAST TO BE W OF THE AREA NEAR
18.3N 142.8W...WITH SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20-33 KT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 13N-
25N W OF 136W. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
112.8W AS OF 01/0300 UTC OR ABOUT 735 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM YESTERDAY HAD
SINCE ACQUIRED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING MON. IN
ADDITION...DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
INTENSITY IS OBSERVED WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM
NEAR 13.2N 113.6W EARLY TUE MORNING...AND ONLY INTENSIFY A
LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.6N 114.7W BY TUE EVENING AND NEAR 18.1N
115.9W BY WED EVENING. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO 12N106W
WHERE IT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN THE AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 08N-10N
BETWEEN 115W-116.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 96W-99W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-122W
...AND ALSO SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N139W
TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010319
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE SEP 1 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AS OF 01/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 1230 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT
13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS DECREASED TO 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140
KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF
WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 15 NM DIAMETER EYE
WITHIN 90 NM ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT 60 NM E QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM
S OF THE CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS
NEARLY CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. BY
00 UTC SEP 03...JIMENA IS FORECAST TO BE W OF THE AREA NEAR
18.3N 142.8W...WITH SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20-33 KT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 13N-
25N W OF 136W. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
112.8W AS OF 01/0300 UTC OR ABOUT 735 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM YESTERDAY HAD
SINCE ACQUIRED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING MON. IN
ADDITION...DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
INTENSITY IS OBSERVED WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM
NEAR 13.2N 113.6W EARLY TUE MORNING...AND ONLY INTENSIFY A
LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.6N 114.7W BY TUE EVENING AND NEAR 18.1N
115.9W BY WED EVENING. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO 12N106W
WHERE IT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN THE AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 08N-10N
BETWEEN 115W-116.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 96W-99W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-122W
...AND ALSO SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N139W
TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010319
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE SEP 1 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AS OF 01/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 1230 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT
13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS DECREASED TO 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140
KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF
WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 15 NM DIAMETER EYE
WITHIN 90 NM ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT 60 NM E QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM
S OF THE CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS
NEARLY CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. BY
00 UTC SEP 03...JIMENA IS FORECAST TO BE W OF THE AREA NEAR
18.3N 142.8W...WITH SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20-33 KT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 13N-
25N W OF 136W. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
112.8W AS OF 01/0300 UTC OR ABOUT 735 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM YESTERDAY HAD
SINCE ACQUIRED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING MON. IN
ADDITION...DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
INTENSITY IS OBSERVED WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM
NEAR 13.2N 113.6W EARLY TUE MORNING...AND ONLY INTENSIFY A
LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.6N 114.7W BY TUE EVENING AND NEAR 18.1N
115.9W BY WED EVENING. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO 12N106W
WHERE IT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN THE AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 08N-10N
BETWEEN 115W-116.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 96W-99W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-122W
...AND ALSO SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N139W
TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTPA33 PHFO 010302
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 152.3W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 010302
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 152.3W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA33 PHFO 010302
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 152.3W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 010256
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 152.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 152.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 151.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N 153.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.2N 154.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.1N 156.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.2N 158.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.8N 161.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.3N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 37.3N 164.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPA23 PHFO 010256
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 152.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 152.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 151.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N 153.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.2N 154.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.1N 156.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.2N 158.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.8N 161.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.3N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 37.3N 164.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA31 PHFO 010250
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...KILO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 179.8W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.8 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KILO IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SLOW STRENGTHENING THROUGH 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTPA31 PHFO 010250
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...KILO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 179.8W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.8 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KILO IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SLOW STRENGTHENING THROUGH 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA31 PHFO 010250
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...KILO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 179.8W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.8 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KILO IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SLOW STRENGTHENING THROUGH 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA21 PHFO 010248
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 179.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 179.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 179.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.4N 179.7E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.8N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.0N 178.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.5N 176.7E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 174.5E
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 171.5E
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 179.8W

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA21 PHFO 010248
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 179.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 179.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 179.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.4N 179.7E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.8N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.0N 178.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.5N 176.7E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 174.5E
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 171.5E
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 179.8W

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTCA41 TJSJ 010246
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILITA Y SE CONVIERTE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.9 NORTE 25.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL NORTE DE SANTO ANTAO EN
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MILIBARES...29.39 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA CAMBIADO EL
AVISO DE HURACAN A AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SAO VICENTE, SAO
NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA Y DESCONTINUO TODOS LOS AVISOS
PARA EL RESTO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
*SAO VICENTE, SAO NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA EN LAS ISLAS
  DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 25.2 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MILIBARES...29.39
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AFECTARAN
AREAS DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DENTRO DEL AREA BAJ OAVISO DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE
LOS VIENTOS EN COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO
MAYOR QUE LO INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS
ELEVADAS AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 2:00 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 010246
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILITA Y SE CONVIERTE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.9 NORTE 25.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL NORTE DE SANTO ANTAO EN
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MILIBARES...29.39 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA CAMBIADO EL
AVISO DE HURACAN A AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SAO VICENTE, SAO
NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA Y DESCONTINUO TODOS LOS AVISOS
PARA EL RESTO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
*SAO VICENTE, SAO NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA EN LAS ISLAS
  DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 25.2 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MILIBARES...29.39
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AFECTARAN
AREAS DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DENTRO DEL AREA BAJ OAVISO DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE
LOS VIENTOS EN COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO
MAYOR QUE LO INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS
ELEVADAS AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 2:00 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 010246
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILITA Y SE CONVIERTE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.9 NORTE 25.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL NORTE DE SANTO ANTAO EN
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MILIBARES...29.39 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA CAMBIADO EL
AVISO DE HURACAN A AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SAO VICENTE, SAO
NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA Y DESCONTINUO TODOS LOS AVISOS
PARA EL RESTO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
*SAO VICENTE, SAO NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA EN LAS ISLAS
  DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 25.2 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MILIBARES...29.39
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AFECTARAN
AREAS DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DENTRO DEL AREA BAJ OAVISO DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE
LOS VIENTOS EN COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO
MAYOR QUE LO INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS
ELEVADAS AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 2:00 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 010246
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILITA Y SE CONVIERTE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.9 NORTE 25.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL NORTE DE SANTO ANTAO EN
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MILIBARES...29.39 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA CAMBIADO EL
AVISO DE HURACAN A AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SAO VICENTE, SAO
NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA Y DESCONTINUO TODOS LOS AVISOS
PARA EL RESTO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
*SAO VICENTE, SAO NICOLAU, SANTO ANTAO, Y SANTA LUZIA EN LAS ISLAS
  DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 25.2 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MILIBARES...29.39
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AFECTARAN
AREAS DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DENTRO DEL AREA BAJ OAVISO DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE
LOS VIENTOS EN COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO
MAYOR QUE LO INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS
ELEVADAS AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 2:00 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010241
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 139.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 143.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 144.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 138.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010241
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 139.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 143.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 144.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 138.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010241
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 139.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 143.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 144.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 138.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 010241
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA BEGINS TO WEAKEN...
...EXPECTED TO REACH THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 138.1W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1835 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 138.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A significant
decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days, with a turn toward the northwest by late Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 130 mph (215 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Additional slow weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Jimena is a large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up
to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds
extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 010241
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA BEGINS TO WEAKEN...
...EXPECTED TO REACH THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 138.1W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1835 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 138.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A significant
decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days, with a turn toward the northwest by late Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 130 mph (215 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Additional slow weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Jimena is a large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up
to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds
extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010241
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 139.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 143.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 144.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 138.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT21 KNHC 010237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAO VICENTE,
SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA...AND DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
  CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  25.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.1N  31.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.2N  34.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT21 KNHC 010237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAO VICENTE,
SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA...AND DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
  CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  25.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.1N  31.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.2N  34.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT21 KNHC 010237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAO VICENTE,
SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA...AND DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
  CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  25.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.1N  31.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.2N  34.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT21 KNHC 010237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAO VICENTE,
SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA...AND DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
  CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  25.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.1N  31.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.2N  34.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
AXNT20 KNHC 010005
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED AT 01/0000 UTC IS NEAR 17.4N
25.0W... OR ABOUT 22 NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SANTO ANTAO IN
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. WIND...STORM SURGE...AND RAINFALL ARE
THE MAIN THREATS TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. FRED IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...OR 310 DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT
TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER
WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/
ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE
WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N
TO 19N BETWEEN 24W AND 25.5W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM
20N59W TO 16N61W AND 11N61W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15
KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-
TO-CARIBBEAN SEA MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT REACHES
18N64W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N TO
16N BETWEEN 55W AND 62W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 77W/78W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...ACROSS JAMAICA. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 20 KNOTS
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS...THROUGH THE AREA OF AN INVERTED
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 11N29W 09N36W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 07N40W...TO 07N47W. THE ITCZ IS NOT
PRESENT AT THIS TIME. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 11N25W TO 09N32W TO 07N39W 06N45W 08N49W 08N52W 11N56W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH A SOUTH TEXAS CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 29N98W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR 25N TO 31N BETWEEN
92W AND 100W. SIMILAR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS UNDER UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT COVERS THE EASTERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS...TO THE EAST OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM
29N83W TO 24N89W TO 19N93W...INCLUDING IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...TO A 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
26N84W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
THIS SURFACE TROUGH REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA TO THE EASTERN HALF OF PANAMA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ALONG THE
NORTHERN BORDER OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...IN CENTRAL
CUBA ALONG THE CARIBBEAN SEA COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REACHES THE NORTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 18N64W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 60W
AND 65W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N BETWEEN 74W IN COLOMBIA AND 86W
IN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG IN
PANAMA BETWEEN 80W AND 82W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
31/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 0.20 IN
NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS...0.11 IN FREEPORT IN THE BAHAMAS...0.08
IN GUADELOUPE...0.07 IN TRINIDAD...AND 0.03 IN MONTEGO BAY IN
JAMAICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...TOWARD TRINIDAD. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS WAVE MAY
REACH HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA TO THE EASTERN HALF OF PANAMA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ALONG THE
NORTHERN BORDER OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

OBSERVATIONS...IN HAITI...FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PORT-AU-PRINCE. FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN BARAHONA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
IN LA ROMANA. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS IN PUNTA CANA. FEW
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
SANTIAGO. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HAITI AT THE START OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...
AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IN HAITI EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE TOWARD
SOUTHERN JAMAICA...AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 HOURS. A NORTHEAST-TO-
SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 24
HOURS...AND IT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE
GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB AND FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 29N67W. LARGE-SCALE EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SLOWLY...CAUSING SOME SLIGHT WIND SHIFTS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N45W TO
27N47W 24N55W 22N60W...INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR
18N64W. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A 1018 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 33N56W...AND A TROUGH THAT TRAILS THE LOW CENTER TO
29N60W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...BROKEN MULTILAYERED DEBRIS
CLOUDS AND ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 26N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 50W AND
60W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W.
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 24N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 30W AND 50W.

LARGE-SCALE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE 32N45W 18N64W
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 22N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 60W AND 77W. BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS AND WARMING CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES FROM AREAS OF DISSIPATING PRECIPITATION ARE FROM
30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 58W AND 66W.

A SURFACE RIDGE IS ALONG 31N14W 26N30W...TO A 1020 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 25N52W...TO A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N69W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312351
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

CORRECTED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN DISCUSSION SECTION

...CENTER OF FRED NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 25.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 25.0 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center will be
moving away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm or hurricane conditions will continue over
portions of the Cape Verde Islands for the next few hours.  Wind
speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are
often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and
in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT31 KNHC 312351
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

CORRECTED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN DISCUSSION SECTION

...CENTER OF FRED NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 25.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 25.0 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center will be
moving away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm or hurricane conditions will continue over
portions of the Cape Verde Islands for the next few hours.  Wind
speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are
often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and
in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ACPN50 PHFO 312350
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 265 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED 1290 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1230 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON TUESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312344
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on newly
formed Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located well south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312344
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on newly
formed Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located well south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 312343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 312343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 312343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 312343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 312342
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...CENTRO DE FRED CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...0000 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.4 NORTE 25.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 25 MI...40 KM AL NOR NORESTE DE SANTO ANTAO EN
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...992 MILIBARES...29.29 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 25.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 992MILIBARES...29.29
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL O DE
HURACAN CONTINUEN SOBRE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS.
LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELEVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 312342
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...CENTRO DE FRED CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...0000 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.4 NORTE 25.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 25 MI...40 KM AL NOR NORESTE DE SANTO ANTAO EN
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...992 MILIBARES...29.29 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 25.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 992MILIBARES...29.29
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL O DE
HURACAN CONTINUEN SOBRE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS.
LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELEVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
ABNT20 KNHC 312340
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fred, located near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 312340
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fred, located near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312336
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...CENTER OF FRED NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 25.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 25.0 West.  Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-
northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center
will be moving away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm or hurricane conditions will continue over
portions of the Cape Verde Islands for the next few hours.  Wind
speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are
often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and
in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312336
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...CENTER OF FRED NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 25.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 25.0 West.  Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-
northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center
will be moving away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm or hurricane conditions will continue over
portions of the Cape Verde Islands for the next few hours.  Wind
speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are
often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and
in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312206
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 136.7W AS OF 31/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 1069 NM E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO
SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12
FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE
CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY
CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
111.8W AS OF 31/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 639 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ACQUIRED A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...
DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG INTENSITY HAS FORMED
PARTIALLY OVER THE CENTER...AS WELL AS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
SW QUADRANT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 113.0W LATE TONIGHT...AND ONLY
INTENSIFY A LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.7N 114.2W BY TUE AFTERNOON AND
NEAR 18.3N 115.6W BY WED AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N107W...THEN CONTINUES SW THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-
E AND TO 10N118W TO 12N126W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY IN THE AREA
OF E BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JIMENA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-
122W...AND TO THE SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM
07N139W TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312206
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 136.7W AS OF 31/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 1069 NM E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO
SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12
FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE
CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY
CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
111.8W AS OF 31/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 639 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ACQUIRED A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...
DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG INTENSITY HAS FORMED
PARTIALLY OVER THE CENTER...AS WELL AS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
SW QUADRANT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 113.0W LATE TONIGHT...AND ONLY
INTENSIFY A LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.7N 114.2W BY TUE AFTERNOON AND
NEAR 18.3N 115.6W BY WED AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N107W...THEN CONTINUES SW THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-
E AND TO 10N118W TO 12N126W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY IN THE AREA
OF E BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JIMENA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-
122W...AND TO THE SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM
07N139W TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312206
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 136.7W AS OF 31/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 1069 NM E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO
SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12
FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE
CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY
CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
111.8W AS OF 31/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 639 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ACQUIRED A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...
DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG INTENSITY HAS FORMED
PARTIALLY OVER THE CENTER...AS WELL AS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
SW QUADRANT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 113.0W LATE TONIGHT...AND ONLY
INTENSIFY A LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.7N 114.2W BY TUE AFTERNOON AND
NEAR 18.3N 115.6W BY WED AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N107W...THEN CONTINUES SW THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-
E AND TO 10N118W TO 12N126W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY IN THE AREA
OF E BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JIMENA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-
122W...AND TO THE SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM
07N139W TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312206
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 136.7W AS OF 31/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 1069 NM E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO
SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12
FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE
CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY
CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
111.8W AS OF 31/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 639 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ACQUIRED A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...
DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG INTENSITY HAS FORMED
PARTIALLY OVER THE CENTER...AS WELL AS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
SW QUADRANT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 113.0W LATE TONIGHT...AND ONLY
INTENSIFY A LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.7N 114.2W BY TUE AFTERNOON AND
NEAR 18.3N 115.6W BY WED AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N107W...THEN CONTINUES SW THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-
E AND TO 10N118W TO 12N126W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY IN THE AREA
OF E BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JIMENA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-
122W...AND TO THE SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM
07N139W TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312206 RRA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 136.7W AS OF 31/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 1069 NM E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO
SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12
FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE
CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY
CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
111.8W AS OF 31/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 639 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ACQUIRED A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...
DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG INTENSITY HAS FORMED
PARTIALLY OVER THE CENTER...AS WELL AS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
SW QUADRANT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 113.0W LATE TONIGHT...AND ONLY
INTENSIFY A LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.7N 114.2W BY TUE AFTERNOON AND
NEAR 18.3N 115.6W BY WED AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N107W...THEN CONTINUES SW THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-
E AND TO 10N118W TO 12N126W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY IN THE AREA
OF E BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JIMENA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-
122W...AND TO THE SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM
07N139W TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312206 RRA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 136.7W AS OF 31/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 1069 NM E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO
SLOW SOME AND TURN TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF WEAKENING A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION SURROUNDING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE IN BANDS
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12
FT OR GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE
CENTER. THE SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY
CONCENTRIC WITH THE RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED 12.4N
111.8W AS OF 31/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 639 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS WHAT WAS FORMERLY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS ACQUIRED A
WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...
DEEP CONVECTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG INTENSITY HAS FORMED
PARTIALLY OVER THE CENTER...AS WELL AS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
SW QUADRANT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MINIMAL
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 113.0W LATE TONIGHT...AND ONLY
INTENSIFY A LITTLE AS IT NEARS 14.7N 114.2W BY TUE AFTERNOON AND
NEAR 18.3N 115.6W BY WED AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N89W WITH THE
TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N107W...THEN CONTINUES SW THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-
E AND TO 10N118W TO 12N126W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY IN THE AREA
OF E BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
JIMENA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 119W-
122W...AND TO THE SW OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM
07N139W TO 09N135W TO 10N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE EXTENDS SEWD INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32W136W TO NEAR
28N129W TO NEAR 23N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N
W OF 119W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING 15-20
KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE TO ALONG 23N WHERE
THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONE
JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN THESE
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON TUE
AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT
WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN NW SWELL
PROPAGATING S TO 23N. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THROUGH EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED. THE 1010 MB LOW
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N89W IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS. A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS FORECAST
TO FORM TO THE SW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR OR
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE PROXIMITY OF 10N120W BY WED.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGHING N OF JIMENA EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE FAR NE PART
OF THE AREA. TO ITS S...AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS NEAR 20N118W
WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN IT AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS ALLOWING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FOURTEEN-E TO MOVE IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
WTPA33 PHFO 312054
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 151.5W
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA33 PHFO 312054
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 151.5W
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 312054
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 151.5W
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA33 PHFO 312054
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 151.5W
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 312053
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 151.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  70SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 151.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 151.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.4N 152.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 154.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.6N 157.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.8N 160.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 31.3N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 36.1N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 151.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 312053
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 151.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  70SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 151.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 151.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.4N 152.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 154.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.6N 157.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.8N 160.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 31.3N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 36.1N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 151.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPA23 PHFO 312053
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 151.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  70SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 151.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 151.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.4N 152.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 154.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.6N 157.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.8N 160.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 31.3N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 36.1N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 151.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTCA41 TJSJ 312049
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...LLUVIAS Y VIENTOS FUERTES SE EXTIENDEN SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.2 NORTE 24.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 165 MI...270 KM AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
MAS AL SUR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...989 MILIBARES...29.21 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 24.6 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASE CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE FRED
PERMANEZCA COMO HURACAN MIENTRAS PASA CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 989 MILIBARES...29.21
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURACAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.
LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELEVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 312049
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...LLUVIAS Y VIENTOS FUERTES SE EXTIENDEN SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.2 NORTE 24.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 165 MI...270 KM AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
MAS AL SUR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...989 MILIBARES...29.21 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 24.6 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASE CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE FRED
PERMANEZCA COMO HURACAN MIENTRAS PASA CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 989 MILIBARES...29.21
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURACAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.
LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELEVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 312049
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...LLUVIAS Y VIENTOS FUERTES SE EXTIENDEN SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.2 NORTE 24.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 165 MI...270 KM AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
MAS AL SUR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...989 MILIBARES...29.21 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 24.6 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASE CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE FRED
PERMANEZCA COMO HURACAN MIENTRAS PASA CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 989 MILIBARES...29.21
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURACAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.
LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELEVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 312049
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...LLUVIAS Y VIENTOS FUERTES SE EXTIENDEN SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...17.2 NORTE 24.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 165 MI...270 KM AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
MAS AL SUR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...989 MILIBARES...29.21 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 24.6 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H...Y SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASE CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE FRED
PERMANEZCA COMO HURACAN MIENTRAS PASA CERCA DEL NOROESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 989 MILIBARES...29.21
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURACAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE.
LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELEVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANADA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTNT21 KNHC 312040
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  24.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N  25.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.2N  27.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N  29.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.8N  31.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.2N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312040
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 24.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM N OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 24.6 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
through early tonight, and then move away from the Cape Verde
Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
however, Fred is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes
near the northwestern Cape Verde Island early tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early
tonight.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312040
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 24.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM N OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 24.6 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
through early tonight, and then move away from the Cape Verde
Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
however, Fred is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes
near the northwestern Cape Verde Island early tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early
tonight.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT21 KNHC 312040
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  24.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N  25.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.2N  27.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N  29.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.8N  31.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.2N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 312040
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  24.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N  25.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.2N  27.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N  29.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.8N  31.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.2N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312040
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 24.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM N OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 24.6 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
through early tonight, and then move away from the Cape Verde
Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
however, Fred is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes
near the northwestern Cape Verde Island early tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early
tonight.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT21 KNHC 312040
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  24.6W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  24.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N  25.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.2N  27.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N  29.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.8N  31.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.2N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312040
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 24.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM N OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 24.6 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
through early tonight, and then move away from the Cape Verde
Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
however, Fred is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes
near the northwestern Cape Verde Island early tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early
tonight.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 312040
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 24.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM N OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 24.6 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
through early tonight, and then move away from the Cape Verde
Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
however, Fred is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes
near the northwestern Cape Verde Island early tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early
tonight.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPA31 PHFO 312039
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...KILO STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 179.5W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.5 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPZ34 KNHC 312038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 111.8W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 111.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h), and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected by
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm tomorrow.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Pasch



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 312038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 111.8W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 111.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h), and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected by
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm tomorrow.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Pasch




000
WTPA21 PHFO 312038
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 179.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.0N 179.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 179.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.6N 178.9E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.8N 178.3E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.5N 176.9E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.0N 175.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 172.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 179.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPA21 PHFO 312038
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 179.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.0N 179.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 179.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.6N 178.9E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.8N 178.3E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.5N 176.9E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.0N 175.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 172.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 179.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPA21 PHFO 312038
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 179.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.0N 179.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 179.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.6N 178.9E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.8N 178.3E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.5N 176.9E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.0N 175.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 172.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 179.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPA21 PHFO 312038
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 179.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 179.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.0N 179.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 179.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.6N 178.9E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.8N 178.3E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.5N 176.9E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.0N 175.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 172.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 179.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPZ24 KNHC 312037
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 111.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.7N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N 115.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.6N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 312037
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 111.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.7N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N 115.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.6N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 312034
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.4N 138.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 140.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 141.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 142.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.6N 144.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 312034
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA CONTINUES WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...
...STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 136.8W
ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 136.8 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the west-
northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 145 mph (230 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is
expected during the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 312034
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.4N 138.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 140.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 141.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 142.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.6N 144.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 312034
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.4N 138.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 140.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 141.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 142.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.6N 144.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 312034
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.4N 138.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 140.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 141.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 142.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.6N 144.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 312034
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.4N 138.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 140.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 141.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 142.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.6N 144.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 312034
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA CONTINUES WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...
...STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 136.8W
ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 136.8 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the west-
northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 145 mph (230 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is
expected during the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 312034
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA CONTINUES WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...
...STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 136.8W
ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 136.8 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the west-
northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 145 mph (230 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is
expected during the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
AXNT20 KNHC 311756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W AT 31/1800 UTC OR
ABOUT 20 NM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 50 NM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-
18N BETWEEN 22W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-
21N BETWEEN 15W-20W...AND FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 22W-28W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N60W TO 19N57W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 55W-63W...WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 54W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 19N75W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N69W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 75W-
78W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW
NEAR 07N38W TO 08N45W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FRED...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-08N
BETWEEN 40W-43W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY SW TO OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION TO A BROAD BASE OVER
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY NEAR 26N100W. THE TROUGHING IS
PROVIDING MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON. NEAREST TO THE MID-LEVEL 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
MAXIMUM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO...MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF N OF 22N W OF 93W. FARTHER EAST...A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF WATERS NEAR 27N83W.
THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W
WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING N-NE TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO NEAR THE NW CORNER
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
82W-84W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 83W-87W...INCLUDING THE
APPROACHES TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC AND SE
CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION AND
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE OCCURRING N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W-88W...INCLUDING FAR WESTERN
CUBA...AND THE FAR EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE
OTHER MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IMPACTING THE BASIN IS A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE REGION NEAR
18N75W. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 76W IS GENERATING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
VICINITY OF JAMAICA AND ACROSS AN AREA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA IN
THE VICINITY OF 16N72W. FINALLY...THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ALONG 59W...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WAVE AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N71W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 29N77W
THEN SW OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGING IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 30N BETWEEN 78W-80W. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE
INFLUENCING THE SW NORTH ATLC IS A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A
1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N69W. FARTHER EAST...THE CENTRAL
ATLC IS GENERALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKER SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N45W...HOWEVER TO THE
NW A WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N56W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 29N61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-56W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS HURRICANE FRED AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 311756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W AT 31/1800 UTC OR
ABOUT 20 NM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 50 NM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-
18N BETWEEN 22W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-
21N BETWEEN 15W-20W...AND FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 22W-28W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N60W TO 19N57W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 55W-63W...WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 54W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 19N75W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N69W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 75W-
78W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW
NEAR 07N38W TO 08N45W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FRED...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-08N
BETWEEN 40W-43W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY SW TO OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION TO A BROAD BASE OVER
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY NEAR 26N100W. THE TROUGHING IS
PROVIDING MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON. NEAREST TO THE MID-LEVEL 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
MAXIMUM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO...MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF N OF 22N W OF 93W. FARTHER EAST...A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF WATERS NEAR 27N83W.
THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W
WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING N-NE TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO NEAR THE NW CORNER
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
82W-84W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 83W-87W...INCLUDING THE
APPROACHES TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC AND SE
CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION AND
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE OCCURRING N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W-88W...INCLUDING FAR WESTERN
CUBA...AND THE FAR EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE
OTHER MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IMPACTING THE BASIN IS A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE REGION NEAR
18N75W. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 76W IS GENERATING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
VICINITY OF JAMAICA AND ACROSS AN AREA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA IN
THE VICINITY OF 16N72W. FINALLY...THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ALONG 59W...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WAVE AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N71W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 29N77W
THEN SW OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGING IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 30N BETWEEN 78W-80W. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE
INFLUENCING THE SW NORTH ATLC IS A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A
1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N69W. FARTHER EAST...THE CENTRAL
ATLC IS GENERALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKER SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N45W...HOWEVER TO THE
NW A WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N56W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 29N61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-56W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS HURRICANE FRED AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 311756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W AT 31/1800 UTC OR
ABOUT 20 NM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 50 NM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-
18N BETWEEN 22W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-
21N BETWEEN 15W-20W...AND FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 22W-28W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N60W TO 19N57W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 55W-63W...WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 54W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 19N75W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N69W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 75W-
78W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW
NEAR 07N38W TO 08N45W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FRED...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-08N
BETWEEN 40W-43W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY SW TO OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION TO A BROAD BASE OVER
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY NEAR 26N100W. THE TROUGHING IS
PROVIDING MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON. NEAREST TO THE MID-LEVEL 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
MAXIMUM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO...MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF N OF 22N W OF 93W. FARTHER EAST...A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF WATERS NEAR 27N83W.
THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W
WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING N-NE TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO NEAR THE NW CORNER
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
82W-84W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 83W-87W...INCLUDING THE
APPROACHES TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC AND SE
CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION AND
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE OCCURRING N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W-88W...INCLUDING FAR WESTERN
CUBA...AND THE FAR EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE
OTHER MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IMPACTING THE BASIN IS A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE REGION NEAR
18N75W. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 76W IS GENERATING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
VICINITY OF JAMAICA AND ACROSS AN AREA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA IN
THE VICINITY OF 16N72W. FINALLY...THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ALONG 59W...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WAVE AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N71W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 29N77W
THEN SW OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGING IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 30N BETWEEN 78W-80W. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE
INFLUENCING THE SW NORTH ATLC IS A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A
1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N69W. FARTHER EAST...THE CENTRAL
ATLC IS GENERALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKER SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N45W...HOWEVER TO THE
NW A WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N56W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 29N61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-56W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS HURRICANE FRED AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 311756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W AT 31/1800 UTC OR
ABOUT 20 NM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 50 NM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-
18N BETWEEN 22W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-
21N BETWEEN 15W-20W...AND FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 22W-28W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N60W TO 19N57W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 55W-63W...WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 54W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 19N75W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N69W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 75W-
78W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW
NEAR 07N38W TO 08N45W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FRED...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-08N
BETWEEN 40W-43W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY SW TO OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION TO A BROAD BASE OVER
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY NEAR 26N100W. THE TROUGHING IS
PROVIDING MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON. NEAREST TO THE MID-LEVEL 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
MAXIMUM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO...MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF N OF 22N W OF 93W. FARTHER EAST...A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF WATERS NEAR 27N83W.
THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W
WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING N-NE TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO NEAR THE NW CORNER
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
82W-84W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 83W-87W...INCLUDING THE
APPROACHES TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC AND SE
CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION AND
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE OCCURRING N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W-88W...INCLUDING FAR WESTERN
CUBA...AND THE FAR EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE
OTHER MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IMPACTING THE BASIN IS A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE REGION NEAR
18N75W. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 76W IS GENERATING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
VICINITY OF JAMAICA AND ACROSS AN AREA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA IN
THE VICINITY OF 16N72W. FINALLY...THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ALONG 59W...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WAVE AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N71W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 29N77W
THEN SW OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGING IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 30N BETWEEN 78W-80W. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE
INFLUENCING THE SW NORTH ATLC IS A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A
1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N69W. FARTHER EAST...THE CENTRAL
ATLC IS GENERALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKER SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N45W...HOWEVER TO THE
NW A WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N56W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 29N61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-56W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS HURRICANE FRED AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 311756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W AT 31/1800 UTC OR
ABOUT 20 NM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 50 NM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-
18N BETWEEN 22W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-
21N BETWEEN 15W-20W...AND FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 22W-28W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N60W TO 19N57W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 55W-63W...WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 54W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 19N75W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N69W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 75W-
78W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW
NEAR 07N38W TO 08N45W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FRED...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-08N
BETWEEN 40W-43W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY SW TO OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION TO A BROAD BASE OVER
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY NEAR 26N100W. THE TROUGHING IS
PROVIDING MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON. NEAREST TO THE MID-LEVEL 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
MAXIMUM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO...MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF N OF 22N W OF 93W. FARTHER EAST...A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF WATERS NEAR 27N83W.
THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W
WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING N-NE TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO NEAR THE NW CORNER
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
82W-84W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 83W-87W...INCLUDING THE
APPROACHES TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC AND SE
CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION AND
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE OCCURRING N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W-88W...INCLUDING FAR WESTERN
CUBA...AND THE FAR EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE
OTHER MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IMPACTING THE BASIN IS A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE REGION NEAR
18N75W. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 76W IS GENERATING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
VICINITY OF JAMAICA AND ACROSS AN AREA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA IN
THE VICINITY OF 16N72W. FINALLY...THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ALONG 59W...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WAVE AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N71W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 29N77W
THEN SW OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGING IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 30N BETWEEN 78W-80W. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE
INFLUENCING THE SW NORTH ATLC IS A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A
1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N69W. FARTHER EAST...THE CENTRAL
ATLC IS GENERALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKER SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N45W...HOWEVER TO THE
NW A WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N56W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 29N61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-56W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS HURRICANE FRED AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 311756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W AT 31/1800 UTC OR
ABOUT 20 NM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 50 NM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-
18N BETWEEN 22W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-
21N BETWEEN 15W-20W...AND FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 22W-28W. SEE
LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N60W TO 19N57W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 55W-63W...WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 54W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 19N75W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N69W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 75W-
78W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N28W TO A 1013 MB LOW
NEAR 07N38W TO 08N45W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE FRED...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-08N
BETWEEN 40W-43W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY SW TO OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION TO A BROAD BASE OVER
THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VALLEY NEAR 26N100W. THE TROUGHING IS
PROVIDING MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON. NEAREST TO THE MID-LEVEL 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY
MAXIMUM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NE MEXICO...MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF N OF 22N W OF 93W. FARTHER EAST...A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF WATERS NEAR 27N83W.
THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W
WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING N-NE TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO NEAR THE NW CORNER
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN
82W-84W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 83W-87W...INCLUDING THE
APPROACHES TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC AND SE
CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION AND
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ARE OCCURRING N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W-88W...INCLUDING FAR WESTERN
CUBA...AND THE FAR EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE
OTHER MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IMPACTING THE BASIN IS A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE REGION NEAR
18N75W. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 76W IS GENERATING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
VICINITY OF JAMAICA AND ACROSS AN AREA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA IN
THE VICINITY OF 16N72W. FINALLY...THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY ALONG 59W...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE WAVE AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N71W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 29N77W
THEN SW OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGING IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 30N BETWEEN 78W-80W. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE
INFLUENCING THE SW NORTH ATLC IS A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A
1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N69W. FARTHER EAST...THE CENTRAL
ATLC IS GENERALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKER SURFACE RIDGE
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N45W...HOWEVER TO THE
NW A WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N56W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 29N61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 52W-56W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS HURRICANE FRED AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
WTNT31 KNHC 311749
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...
...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 24.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 24.2 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands through early tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred passes near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands. Gradual
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through this
evening and continue into the overnight hours.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT31 KNHC 311749
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...
...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 24.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 24.2 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands through early tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred passes near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands. Gradual
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through this
evening and continue into the overnight hours.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 311749
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...
...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 24.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 24.2 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands through early tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred passes near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands. Gradual
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through this
evening and continue into the overnight hours.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT31 KNHC 311749
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...
...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 24.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 24.2 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands through early tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred passes near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands. Gradual
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through this
evening and continue into the overnight hours.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 311737
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fred, located near the northern Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311736
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

An area of low pressure located about 750 miles south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better
defined today.  The associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently located well southeast of the center, but any increase in
the organization of the this activity could result in the formation
of a tropical depression later today or on Tuesday while the system
moves northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311736
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

An area of low pressure located about 750 miles south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better
defined today.  The associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently located well southeast of the center, but any increase in
the organization of the this activity could result in the formation
of a tropical depression later today or on Tuesday while the system
moves northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ACPN50 PHFO 311726
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 285 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED 1275 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1335 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
ACPN50 PHFO 311726
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 285 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED 1275 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1335 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 311726
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 285 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED 1275 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1335 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
AXPZ20 KNHC 311553
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W OR ABOUT 1330
MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 1500 UTC. JIMENA IS MOVING W OR 280
DEG AT 14 KT AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW SOME OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE CENTER REACHES THE W PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 936 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN.

CURRENTLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS A 20
NM DIAMETER EYE...WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM
OVER THE SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NE AND 210 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA 12 FT OR
GREATER SEAS OUTWARD TO 480 NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE CENTER. THE
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS IS NEARLY CONCENTRIC WITH THE
RADIUS OF 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A 1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
10.5N109W AND IS MOVING SLIGHTLY N OF DUE W AT ABOUT 5 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN
180 NM OF THE CENTER WITH INTERMITTENT BANDING. THE GRADIENT IS
THE TIGHTEST E OF THE LOW ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL
FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN ABOUT 180 NM OVER THE E SEMICIRCLE WITH
COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
FORMATION AS THIS LOW BEGINS TO MOVE NW REACHING NEAR 13N111W ON
TUE AND NEAR 16N113W ON WED.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS W OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA RICA
AT 10N86W TO AN EMBEDDED 1009 MB SURFACE LOW PRES AT 10N89W WITH
THE TROUGH THEN CONTINUING SW TO 09N96W...THEN TURNS NW TO
12N105W...THEN SW THROUGH A 1007 MB SURFACE LOW AT 10.5N109W...
WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH THEN CONTINUING W TO 11N124W WHERE IT
LOSES IDENTITY IS THE BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL CYCLONE JIMENA.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN
270 NM OVER THE NW SEMICIRCLE OF THE EMBEDDED LOW AT 10N89W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED OVER AND
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
05N78W TO 07N99W...AND WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
09N113W TO 07N126W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OBSERVED S OF JIMENA
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N128W TO 06N140W AND
ALSO WITHIN 75 NM OF 13.5N98W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N132W TO 19N110W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
TO ALONG 23N WHERE THE TRADES GRADUALLY INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH CYCLONE JIMENA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE
THEN THESE CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W
ON TUE EVENING. THE GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-
20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE SUBTROPICS N OF 27N E OF 123W TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION AREA. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUE
WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT BY MIDDAY WED.

$$
NELSON



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 311510
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   7
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE A LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.4 NORTE 23.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 45 MI...70 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE RIBIERA BRAVA ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE RABIL ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH...140 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...986 MILIBARES...29.12 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 23.7 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SE
ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUARA ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA AUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASARA CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 85 MPH...140 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EB SU
INTENSIDAD HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE MIENTRAS FRE SE MUEVA SOBRE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL
COMENZARA DURANTE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDE HASTA 15 MILLAS (30
KM) DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 986 MILIBARES...29.12
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

 VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURCAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
A TRAVES DE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HOY. CONDICIONES DE
HURACAN ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NORESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MUEVAN AL NOROESTE SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE HASTA ESTA NOCHE.

LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANDA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 311510
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   7
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE A LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.4 NORTE 23.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 45 MI...70 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE RIBIERA BRAVA ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE RABIL ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH...140 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...986 MILIBARES...29.12 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 23.7 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SE
ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUARA ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA AUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASARA CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 85 MPH...140 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EB SU
INTENSIDAD HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE MIENTRAS FRE SE MUEVA SOBRE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL
COMENZARA DURANTE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDE HASTA 15 MILLAS (30
KM) DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 986 MILIBARES...29.12
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

 VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURCAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
A TRAVES DE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HOY. CONDICIONES DE
HURACAN ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NORESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MUEVAN AL NOROESTE SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE HASTA ESTA NOCHE.

LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANDA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 311510
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   7
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE A LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.4 NORTE 23.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 45 MI...70 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE RIBIERA BRAVA ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE RABIL ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH...140 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...986 MILIBARES...29.12 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 23.7 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SE
ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUARA ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA AUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASARA CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 85 MPH...140 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EB SU
INTENSIDAD HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE MIENTRAS FRE SE MUEVA SOBRE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL
COMENZARA DURANTE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDE HASTA 15 MILLAS (30
KM) DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 986 MILIBARES...29.12
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

 VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURCAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
A TRAVES DE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HOY. CONDICIONES DE
HURACAN ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NORESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MUEVAN AL NOROESTE SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE HASTA ESTA NOCHE.

LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANDA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 311510
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   7
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE A LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.4 NORTE 23.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 45 MI...70 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE RIBIERA BRAVA ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE RABIL ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH...140 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...986 MILIBARES...29.12 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 23.7 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SE
ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUARA ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN
GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL MARTES. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA AUE EL CENTRO DE FRED PASARA CERCA O SOBRE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 85 MPH...140 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EB SU
INTENSIDAD HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE MIENTRAS FRE SE MUEVA SOBRE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL
COMENZARA DURANTE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDE HASTA 15 MILLAS (30
KM) DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 986 MILIBARES...29.12
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

 VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURCAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
A TRAVES DE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HOY. CONDICIONES DE
HURACAN ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NORESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MUEVAN AL NOROESTE SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE HASTA ESTA NOCHE.

LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELVADAS
AUN MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANDA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 PM AST
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTNT31 KNHC 311458
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 23.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 23.7 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.   Little change in strength is expected through
early tonight while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the northern Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions
are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands
and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the
northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 311458
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 23.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 23.7 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.   Little change in strength is expected through
early tonight while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the northern Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions
are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands
and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the
northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT21 KNHC 311450
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  23.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  23.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  23.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.3N  25.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.3N  30.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.4N  33.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  23.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 311450
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  23.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  23.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  23.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.3N  25.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.3N  30.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.4N  33.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  23.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT31 KNHC 311450
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 23.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 23.7 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have incresed to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.   Little change in strength is expected through
early tonight while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the northern Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions
are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands
and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the
northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 311450
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 23.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 23.7 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have incresed to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.   Little change in strength is expected through
early tonight while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the northern Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions
are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands
and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the
northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPA31 PHFO 311445
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE KILO APPROACHING THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 179.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.3 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A
SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD EXPECTED STARTING LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. NOTE THAT ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...KILO MAY CROSS THE
INTERNATIONAL DATELINE INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA31 PHFO 311445
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE KILO APPROACHING THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 179.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.3 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A
SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD EXPECTED STARTING LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. NOTE THAT ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...KILO MAY CROSS THE
INTERNATIONAL DATELINE INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPZ33 KNHC 311443
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 135.3W
ABOUT 1330 MI...2145 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 135.3 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest
with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected during
the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 311443
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 135.3W
ABOUT 1330 MI...2145 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 135.3 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest
with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected during
the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 311443
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 135.3W
ABOUT 1330 MI...2145 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 135.3 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest
with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected during
the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 311443
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 135.3W
ABOUT 1330 MI...2145 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 135.3 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest
with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected during
the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA33 PHFO 311436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...IGNACIO STEADILY WEAKENING WHILE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THE RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA23 PHFO 311434
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  70SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.9N 151.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.9N 153.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.9N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.9N 156.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.1N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 29.5N 162.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 33.5N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 150.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA23 PHFO 311434
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  70SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.9N 151.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.9N 153.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.9N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.9N 156.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.1N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 29.5N 162.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 33.5N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 150.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA23 PHFO 311434
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  70SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 150.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.9N 151.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.9N 153.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.9N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.9N 156.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.1N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 29.5N 162.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 33.5N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 150.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA21 PHFO 311430
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 179.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 179.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.7N 179.8E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.7N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.8N 177.4E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N 175.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 173.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 179.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA21 PHFO 311430
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 179.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 179.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.7N 179.8E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.7N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.8N 177.4E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N 175.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 173.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 179.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTPA21 PHFO 311430
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 179.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 179.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.7N 179.8E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.7N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.8N 177.4E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N 175.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 173.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 179.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA21 PHFO 311430
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 179.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 179.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.7N 179.8E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.7N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.8N 177.4E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  95SE  65SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N 175.5E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 173.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 179.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTCA41 TJSJ 311204
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   6A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...HURACAN FRED TRAYENDO FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS A LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.1 NORTE 23.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 40 MI...65 KM AL OESTE DE RABIL ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
CERCA DE 65 MI...100 KM AL OESTE DE RIBEIRA ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...989 MILIBARES...29.38 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 23.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SE
ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUARA HASTA EL MARTES. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO PASARA CERCA O SOBRE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EB SU
INTENSIDAD HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE MIENTRAS FRE SE MUEVA SOBRE
LASISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL
COMENZARA DURANTE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDE HASTA 15 MILLAS (30
KM) DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 989 MILIBARES...29.21
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

 VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURCAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
A TRAVES DE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HOY. CONDICIONES DE
HURACAN ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL ESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MUEVAN AL NOROESTE SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY.

LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELVADAS AUN
MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANDA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 311204
TCPSP1

BOLETIN

HURACAN FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   6A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...HURACAN FRED TRAYENDO FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS A LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.1 NORTE 23.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 40 MI...65 KM AL OESTE DE RABIL ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
CERCA DE 65 MI...100 KM AL OESTE DE RIBEIRA ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...989 MILIBARES...29.38 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA
* LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...FAVOR ESTAR ATENTOS A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 23.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SE
ESPERA ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUARA HASTA EL MARTES. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO PASARA CERCA O SOBRE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EB SU
INTENSIDAD HASTA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE MIENTRAS FRE SE MUEVA SOBRE
LASISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL
COMENZARA DURANTE EL MARTES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDE HASTA 15 MILLAS (30
KM) DEL CENTRO Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KM DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 989 MILIBARES...29.21
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

 VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONDICIONES DE HURCAN CONTINUEN ESPARCIENDOSE
A TRAVES DE SECTORES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HOY. CONDICIONES DE
HURACAN ESTAN OCURRIENDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL ESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MUEVAN AL NOROESTE SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NORTE Y NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY.

LA VELOCIDAD DE LOS VIENTOS EN EL LADO QUE AZOTE LOS VIENTOS EN
COLINAS Y MONTANAS SUELE SER HASTA 30 POR CIENTO MAYOR QUE LO
INDICADO EN LA ADVERTENCIA Y EN ALGUNAS LOCALIDADES MAS ELVADAS AUN
MAYOR.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: SE ESPERAN MAREJADAS CICLONICAS PRODUCIENDO
INUNDACIONES COSTERAS EN AREAS DEL AZOTE DE LOS VIENTOS EN LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. CERCA DE LA COSTA...LA MAREJADA ESTARA ACOMPANDA DE
OLAS GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE FRED PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...CON CANTIDADES
MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 311159
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 23.5W AT 31/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 35 NM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 55 NM
SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM
14N25W TO 17N22W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 13N23W TO 16N21W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE
FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N55W ALONG
16N57W TO 10N57W MOVING W-NW NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 180 NM W AND 210 NM E OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 73W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 16N TO OVER HISPANIOLA
BETWEEN 70W-75W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N28W ALONG 8N36W TO 9N44W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N
BETWEEN 38W-42W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 11N23W TO 7N30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER S/CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND EXTENDS OVER
SE FLORIDA ACROSS W CUBA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE
GULF. THIS IS CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE ALONG 27N84W TO NEAR 25N84W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF LINE FROM
TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN NEAR 21N87W INCLUDING THE W
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED
REACHING TO ALONG 86W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS SE FLORIDA AND W
CUBA NEAR HAVANA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W ALONG THE COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO INLAND NEAR N BELIZE AND COUPLED WITH
THE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT FROM THE UPPER RIDGE IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA
AND IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W AND THE SURFACE TROUGH.
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER PUERTO RICO INTO
THE NE CARIBBEAN AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N67W TO 16N71W. THE
TRADE WINDS ARE GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 74W-84W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SW OF LINE FROM
NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THE ACTIVITY OVER
HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY WED. THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL
WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THEN INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-75W. THIS MOISTURE
AND ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N75W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW OVER SE FLORIDA AND W CUBA INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF 75W TO OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE W/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING
FROM 32N58W TO 29N61W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 31N BETWEEN 55W-58W. AN ELONGATED UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 26N54W 21N60W TO OVER PUERTO
RICO AND THE NE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT
THE W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N45W 26N60W
25N70W TO 30N77W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
31N68W...A SECOND 1021 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 28N56W...
AND A 1018 MB HIGH IN THE E ATLC NEAR 28N25W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TUE THEN SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 311159
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 23.5W AT 31/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 35 NM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 55 NM
SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM
14N25W TO 17N22W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 13N23W TO 16N21W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE
FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N55W ALONG
16N57W TO 10N57W MOVING W-NW NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 180 NM W AND 210 NM E OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 73W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 16N TO OVER HISPANIOLA
BETWEEN 70W-75W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N28W ALONG 8N36W TO 9N44W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N
BETWEEN 38W-42W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 11N23W TO 7N30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER S/CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND EXTENDS OVER
SE FLORIDA ACROSS W CUBA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE
GULF. THIS IS CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE ALONG 27N84W TO NEAR 25N84W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF LINE FROM
TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN NEAR 21N87W INCLUDING THE W
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED
REACHING TO ALONG 86W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS SE FLORIDA AND W
CUBA NEAR HAVANA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W ALONG THE COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO INLAND NEAR N BELIZE AND COUPLED WITH
THE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT FROM THE UPPER RIDGE IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA
AND IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W AND THE SURFACE TROUGH.
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER PUERTO RICO INTO
THE NE CARIBBEAN AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N67W TO 16N71W. THE
TRADE WINDS ARE GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 74W-84W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SW OF LINE FROM
NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THE ACTIVITY OVER
HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY WED. THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL
WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THEN INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-75W. THIS MOISTURE
AND ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N75W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW OVER SE FLORIDA AND W CUBA INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF 75W TO OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE W/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING
FROM 32N58W TO 29N61W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 31N BETWEEN 55W-58W. AN ELONGATED UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 26N54W 21N60W TO OVER PUERTO
RICO AND THE NE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT
THE W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N45W 26N60W
25N70W TO 30N77W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
31N68W...A SECOND 1021 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 28N56W...
AND A 1018 MB HIGH IN THE E ATLC NEAR 28N25W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TUE THEN SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 311159
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 23.5W AT 31/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 35 NM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 55 NM
SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM
14N25W TO 17N22W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 13N23W TO 16N21W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE
FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N55W ALONG
16N57W TO 10N57W MOVING W-NW NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 180 NM W AND 210 NM E OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 73W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 16N TO OVER HISPANIOLA
BETWEEN 70W-75W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N28W ALONG 8N36W TO 9N44W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N
BETWEEN 38W-42W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 11N23W TO 7N30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER S/CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND EXTENDS OVER
SE FLORIDA ACROSS W CUBA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE
GULF. THIS IS CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE ALONG 27N84W TO NEAR 25N84W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF LINE FROM
TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN NEAR 21N87W INCLUDING THE W
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED
REACHING TO ALONG 86W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS SE FLORIDA AND W
CUBA NEAR HAVANA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W ALONG THE COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO INLAND NEAR N BELIZE AND COUPLED WITH
THE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT FROM THE UPPER RIDGE IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA
AND IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W AND THE SURFACE TROUGH.
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER PUERTO RICO INTO
THE NE CARIBBEAN AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N67W TO 16N71W. THE
TRADE WINDS ARE GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 74W-84W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SW OF LINE FROM
NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THE ACTIVITY OVER
HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY WED. THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL
WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THEN INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-75W. THIS MOISTURE
AND ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N75W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW OVER SE FLORIDA AND W CUBA INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF 75W TO OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE W/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING
FROM 32N58W TO 29N61W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 31N BETWEEN 55W-58W. AN ELONGATED UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 26N54W 21N60W TO OVER PUERTO
RICO AND THE NE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT
THE W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N45W 26N60W
25N70W TO 30N77W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
31N68W...A SECOND 1021 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 28N56W...
AND A 1018 MB HIGH IN THE E ATLC NEAR 28N25W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TUE THEN SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 311159
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 23.5W AT 31/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 35 NM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 55 NM
SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM
14N25W TO 17N22W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 13N23W TO 16N21W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE
FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N55W ALONG
16N57W TO 10N57W MOVING W-NW NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 180 NM W AND 210 NM E OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 73W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 16N TO OVER HISPANIOLA
BETWEEN 70W-75W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N28W ALONG 8N36W TO 9N44W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N
BETWEEN 38W-42W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 11N23W TO 7N30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER S/CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND EXTENDS OVER
SE FLORIDA ACROSS W CUBA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE
GULF. THIS IS CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE ALONG 27N84W TO NEAR 25N84W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF LINE FROM
TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN NEAR 21N87W INCLUDING THE W
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED
REACHING TO ALONG 86W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS SE FLORIDA AND W
CUBA NEAR HAVANA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W ALONG THE COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO INLAND NEAR N BELIZE AND COUPLED WITH
THE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT FROM THE UPPER RIDGE IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA
AND IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W AND THE SURFACE TROUGH.
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER PUERTO RICO INTO
THE NE CARIBBEAN AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N67W TO 16N71W. THE
TRADE WINDS ARE GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 74W-84W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SW OF LINE FROM
NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THE ACTIVITY OVER
HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY WED. THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL
WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THEN INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-75W. THIS MOISTURE
AND ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N75W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW OVER SE FLORIDA AND W CUBA INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF 75W TO OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE W/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING
FROM 32N58W TO 29N61W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 31N BETWEEN 55W-58W. AN ELONGATED UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 26N54W 21N60W TO OVER PUERTO
RICO AND THE NE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT
THE W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N45W 26N60W
25N70W TO 30N77W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
31N68W...A SECOND 1021 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 28N56W...
AND A 1018 MB HIGH IN THE E ATLC NEAR 28N25W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TUE THEN SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 311159
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 23.5W AT 31/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 35 NM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 55 NM
SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM
14N25W TO 17N22W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 13N23W TO 16N21W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE
FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N55W ALONG
16N57W TO 10N57W MOVING W-NW NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 180 NM W AND 210 NM E OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 73W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W 25-30 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 16N TO OVER HISPANIOLA
BETWEEN 70W-75W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 12N28W ALONG 8N36W TO 9N44W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N
BETWEEN 38W-42W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 11N23W TO 7N30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER S/CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 23N W OF 94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC AND EXTENDS OVER
SE FLORIDA ACROSS W CUBA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE
GULF. THIS IS CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR TALLAHASSEE ALONG 27N84W TO NEAR 25N84W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF LINE FROM
TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN NEAR 21N87W INCLUDING THE W
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH WED
REACHING TO ALONG 86W BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS SE FLORIDA AND W
CUBA NEAR HAVANA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W ALONG THE COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO INLAND NEAR N BELIZE AND COUPLED WITH
THE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT FROM THE UPPER RIDGE IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA
AND IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W AND THE SURFACE TROUGH.
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER PUERTO RICO INTO
THE NE CARIBBEAN AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 15N67W TO 16N71W. THE
TRADE WINDS ARE GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 74W-84W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SW OF LINE FROM
NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THE ACTIVITY OVER
HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY WED. THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL
WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THEN INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-75W. THIS MOISTURE
AND ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N75W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW OVER SE FLORIDA AND W CUBA INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF 75W TO OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE W/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING
FROM 32N58W TO 29N61W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 31N BETWEEN 55W-58W. AN ELONGATED UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 26N54W 21N60W TO OVER PUERTO
RICO AND THE NE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT
THE W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N45W 26N60W
25N70W TO 30N77W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
31N68W...A SECOND 1021 HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 28N56W...
AND A 1018 MB HIGH IN THE E ATLC NEAR 28N25W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TUE THEN SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY INTO N WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
ACPN50 PHFO 311145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1220 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1425 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER...HERE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP RESPONSIBILITY OF JIMENA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$
LAU








000
ACPN50 PHFO 311145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1220 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1425 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER...HERE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP RESPONSIBILITY OF JIMENA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$
LAU







000
ACPN50 PHFO 311145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1220 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1425 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER...HERE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP RESPONSIBILITY OF JIMENA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$
LAU







000
ACPN50 PHFO 311145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1220 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1425 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER...HERE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP RESPONSIBILITY OF JIMENA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$
LAU








000
WTNT31 KNHC 311144
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE FRED BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 23.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 23.5 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion
is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.  Gradually
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions are
occurring over portions of the easternmost Cape Verde Islands and
are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the northern
and northwestern Cape Verde Islands later today.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 311144
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE FRED BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 23.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 23.5 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion
is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.  Gradually
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions are
occurring over portions of the easternmost Cape Verde Islands and
are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the northern
and northwestern Cape Verde Islands later today.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT31 KNHC 311144
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE FRED BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 23.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 23.5 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion
is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.  Gradually
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions are
occurring over portions of the easternmost Cape Verde Islands and
are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the northern
and northwestern Cape Verde Islands later today.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT31 KNHC 311144
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE FRED BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 23.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 23.5 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion
is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.  Gradually
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions are
occurring over portions of the easternmost Cape Verde Islands and
are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the northern
and northwestern Cape Verde Islands later today.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 311130
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
RECIEN NOMBRADO HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE ORIENTALES.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN

&&


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 311130
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
RECIEN NOMBRADO HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE ORIENTALES.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN

&&



000
ABNT20 KNHC 311127
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Fred, located near the easternmost Cape Verde
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 311127
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Fred, located near the easternmost Cape Verde
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 311127
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Fred, located near the easternmost Cape Verde
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 311127
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Fred, located near the easternmost Cape Verde
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311125
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have changed little in organization overnight.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If
development has not occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level
winds could make tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311125
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have changed little in organization overnight.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If
development has not occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level
winds could make tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311125
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have changed little in organization overnight.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If
development has not occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level
winds could make tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311125
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have changed little in organization overnight.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If
development has not occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level
winds could make tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310910
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT
0300 UTC...MOVING WNW 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS
936 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED
EYE SURROUNDED BY INTENSE DEEP CONVECTION. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S OF THE EYE.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE
THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST IN CONVECTIVE BANDS WITHIN 270 NM NE
AND 180 NM SW OF THE CENTER. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE W-NW S OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHILE IN FORECAST WATERS THROUGH 48 HOURS.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 390
NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 48 FT. IT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE W OF 140W TUE NIGHT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
10N109W IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE LOW CENTER. ENHANCED SW MONSOONAL FLOW TO 25 KT WITHIN THE
SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW IS SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8 FT. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE N-NW THROUGH TUE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS JIMENA MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 12N89W TO 10N95W TO
12N103W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N109W TO 10N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 09N
BETWEEN 112W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS FROM 32N136W TO
17N104W. THE GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES S OF THE
RIDGE TO 15N WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-7 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS
EQUATORIAL S SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUE BUT
THE AREA OF HIGHER SEAS GENERATED BY JIMENA WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AS IT CROSSED 140W AND MOVES W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA WED. THE
GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS E OF
122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8
FT IN NE WATERS BETWEEN 118W-122W. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX LATE
TONIGHT WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE EVENING. SW SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 105W-120W IN ABOUT 36
HOURS ON TUE THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN WATERS.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310910
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT
0300 UTC...MOVING WNW 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS
936 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED
EYE SURROUNDED BY INTENSE DEEP CONVECTION. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S OF THE EYE.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE
THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST IN CONVECTIVE BANDS WITHIN 270 NM NE
AND 180 NM SW OF THE CENTER. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE W-NW S OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHILE IN FORECAST WATERS THROUGH 48 HOURS.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 390
NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 48 FT. IT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE W OF 140W TUE NIGHT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02
KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
10N109W IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE LOW CENTER. ENHANCED SW MONSOONAL FLOW TO 25 KT WITHIN THE
SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW IS SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8 FT. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE N-NW THROUGH TUE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS JIMENA MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 12N89W TO 10N95W TO
12N103W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N109W TO 10N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 09N
BETWEEN 112W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS FROM 32N136W TO
17N104W. THE GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES S OF THE
RIDGE TO 15N WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-7 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS
EQUATORIAL S SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUE BUT
THE AREA OF HIGHER SEAS GENERATED BY JIMENA WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AS IT CROSSED 140W AND MOVES W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA WED. THE
GRADIENT E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS E OF
122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8
FT IN NE WATERS BETWEEN 118W-122W. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX LATE
TONIGHT WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE EVENING. SW SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 105W-120W IN ABOUT 36
HOURS ON TUE THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN WATERS.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 133.3W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.7N 135.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 133.3W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.7N 135.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 133.3W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.7N 135.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 133.3W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.7N 135.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 310850
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA QUICKLY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE OPEN NORTHEAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 133.9W
ABOUT 1430 MI...2295 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 133.9 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h).  The hurricane is
expected to continue in the same direction at a slower rate of
forward speed during the next two days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Only some slow weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Landsea




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 310850
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA QUICKLY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE OPEN NORTHEAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 133.9W
ABOUT 1430 MI...2295 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 133.9 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h).  The hurricane is
expected to continue in the same direction at a slower rate of
forward speed during the next two days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Only some slow weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
WTPA31 PHFO 310845
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...KILO INTENSIFIES SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN OCEAN NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 178.6W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM S OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.6 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD EXPECTED STARTING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOTE
THAT ON THIS FORECAST TRACK....KILO MAY CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA31 PHFO 310845
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...KILO INTENSIFIES SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN OCEAN NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 178.6W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM S OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.6 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD EXPECTED STARTING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOTE
THAT ON THIS FORECAST TRACK....KILO MAY CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA31 PHFO 310845
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...KILO INTENSIFIES SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN OCEAN NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 178.6W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM S OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.6 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD EXPECTED STARTING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOTE
THAT ON THIS FORECAST TRACK....KILO MAY CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA31 PHFO 310845
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...KILO INTENSIFIES SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN OCEAN NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 178.6W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM S OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.6 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD EXPECTED STARTING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOTE
THAT ON THIS FORECAST TRACK....KILO MAY CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE INTO THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA23 PHFO 310838
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 205SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N 151.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N 152.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.7N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 33.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 150.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA23 PHFO 310838
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 205SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N 151.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N 152.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.7N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 33.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 150.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA23 PHFO 310838
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 205SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N 151.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N 152.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.7N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 33.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 150.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA23 PHFO 310838
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 205SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 150.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 149.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N 151.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N 152.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.7N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 33.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 150.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 310836
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.2W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED
BY U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 150.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9
MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND
NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS STILL A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A SLOWER WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST
FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING AND
LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 310836
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.2W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED
BY U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 150.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9
MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND
NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS STILL A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A SLOWER WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST
FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING AND
LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA33 PHFO 310836
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 150.2W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED
BY U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 150.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9
MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS EAST AND
NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS STILL A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A SLOWER WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST
FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING AND
LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTNT31 KNHC 310835
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 22.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM NE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6
to 12 hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 22.9 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue today as Fred moves through the Cape Verde
Islands. A northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed
is expected on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today
as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands this morning, with hurricane conditions by
this afternoon.  Conditions will rapidly deteriorate on the island
of Boa Vista during the next couple of hours.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 310835
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 22.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM NE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6
to 12 hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 22.9 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue today as Fred moves through the Cape Verde
Islands. A northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed
is expected on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today
as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands this morning, with hurricane conditions by
this afternoon.  Conditions will rapidly deteriorate on the island
of Boa Vista during the next couple of hours.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT21 KNHC 310834
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  22.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N  24.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  26.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.8N  33.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N  36.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  22.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 310834
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  22.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N  24.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  26.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.8N  33.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N  36.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  22.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT21 KNHC 310834
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  22.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N  24.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  26.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.8N  33.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N  36.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  22.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 310834
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  22.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N  24.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  26.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.8N  33.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N  36.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  22.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPA21 PHFO 310830
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 178.6W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 160SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 178.6W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 178.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.7N 179.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.9N 179.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 179.9E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 179.2E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 24.6N 177.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  70SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.5N 176.0E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N 174.0E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 178.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA21 PHFO 310830
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 178.6W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 160SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 178.6W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 178.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.7N 179.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.9N 179.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.9N 179.9E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 179.2E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 24.6N 177.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  70SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.5N 176.0E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N 174.0E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 178.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 310600
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE FRED AT
31/0600 UTC. HURRICANE FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 22.5W AT
31/0600 UTC OR ABOUT 52 NM KM S-SE OF RABIL AND ABOUT 60 NM E-NE
OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 20W-24W. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/
WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 21N51W ALONG
15N55W TO 9N55W MOVING W-NW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 68W S OF 20N TO INLAND
OVER SOUTH AMERICA MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS TRAILING AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 66W-
70W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF HURRICANE FRED NEAR 11N23W ALONG 8N30W TO 7N41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 36W-39W AND FROM 10N-
12N BETWEEN 43W-45W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
COVERING THE NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC
AND EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN COVERING THE SE GULF. THIS IS
CREATING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SE GULF AND FLORIDA. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS UNDER THIS AREA FROM OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR 30N83W ALONG 26N84W TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NEAR 21N87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF
LINE FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ALONG 26N84W TO THE THE YUCATAN NEAR
21N90W INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS IS LEAVING THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT W ACROSS THE E GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING WED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA NEAR 23N81W
TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COUPLED WITH THE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N TO OVER CUBA BETWEEN 80W-86W. AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER CENTRAL ATLC DIPS SW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND
COMBINED WITH THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE TRADE WINDS ARE
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 76W-84W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 10N GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-12N W OF 82W. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N
TO OVER HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 70W-75W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. THE
TROPICAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT
THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 16N TO OVER THE ISLAND BETWEEN 70W-
75W. THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGS MORE MOISTURE TUE NIGHT AND THE WAVE ON
WED. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR WED.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N76W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO OVER CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE AREA OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS DIFFLUENT FLOW AND IS GENERATING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF
25N W OF 77W TO OVER FLORIDA. AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
THROUGH 32N48W ALONG 27N52W 24N58W TO OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
NE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
20N-21N BETWEEN 60W-64W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
W AND CENTRAL ATLC WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 28N48W 26N58W
25N66W TO 26N75W. THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED
BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1022 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR
32N68W AND A 1020 HIGH NEAR 24N47W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO N
WATERS WED NIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
WTNT31 KNHC 310554
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE EASTERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 22.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...110 KM SSE OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 22.5 West.  Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, Fred will move through the Cape
Verde Islands this afternoon and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible today
as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from the
center.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands in a few hours, with hurricane conditions
by this afternoon.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT31 KNHC 310554
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE EASTERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 22.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...110 KM SSE OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 22.5 West.  Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, Fred will move through the Cape
Verde Islands this afternoon and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible today
as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from the
center.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands in a few hours, with hurricane conditions
by this afternoon.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 310554
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE EASTERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 22.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...110 KM SSE OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 22.5 West.  Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, Fred will move through the Cape
Verde Islands this afternoon and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible today
as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from the
center.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands in a few hours, with hurricane conditions
by this afternoon.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 310554
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE EASTERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 22.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...110 KM SSE OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 22.5 West.  Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, Fred will move through the Cape
Verde Islands this afternoon and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible today
as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from the
center.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands in a few hours, with hurricane conditions
by this afternoon.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310552
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have become better organized since yesterday.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for development, and this system is likely
to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If development has not
occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level winds could make
tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310552
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have become better organized since yesterday.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for development, and this system is likely
to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If development has not
occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level winds could make
tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310552
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have become better organized since yesterday.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for development, and this system is likely
to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If development has not
occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level winds could make
tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ACPN50 PHFO 310545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1330 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.


$$
LAU






000
ACPN50 PHFO 310545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1330 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.


$$
LAU







000
ACPN50 PHFO 310545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KILO...LOCATED ABOUT 1330 MILES
WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA31 PHFO.

3. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES
EAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ33 KNHC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.


$$
LAU







000
ABNT20 KNHC 310516
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, which is nearing the easternmost Cape Verde Islands.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 310516
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, which is nearing the easternmost Cape Verde Islands.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 310516
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, which is nearing the easternmost Cape Verde Islands.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 310516
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, which is nearing the easternmost Cape Verde Islands.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 310516
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, which is nearing the easternmost Cape Verde Islands.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fred are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

MAJOR STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR
15.0N 132.5W OR ABOUT 1524 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 0300
UTC...MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM
PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 936 MB. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT JIMENA HAS A DISTINCT 20 NM WIDE EYE. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WITH JIMENA HAS BECOME VERY SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE 10 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM IN
THE NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM IN
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF THE THE CENTER...AND ALSO SSW OF JIMENA WITHIN 60
NM OF A LINE FROM 04N140W TO 07N132W TO 09N128W. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING NEAR 17N139W BY TUE
AFTERNOON. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS OUTWARD TO 290 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE CENTER WITH
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO ABOUT 300 SE AND 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
THE CENTER BY TUE. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
11N108W...AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER...
AND WITHIN 240 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN
BANDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N105W TO 10N102W. LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTED INCREASING BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE
CENTER OF THE LOW. THE PRES GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED E OF THE LOW
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN 90
NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER...WINDS ARE 10-20 KT WITH SEAS OF  5-
7 FT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 12N112W BY EARLY MON
EVENING...AND TO NEAR 15N115W BY EARLY TUE EVENING. EXPECT THE
20-25 KT WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS AS THE LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG WITH SEAS
POSSIBLY BUILDING RATHER QUICKLY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE LOW OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS JIMENA PULLS FURTHER TO THE W AND AWAY FROM
IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS WSW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COSTA RICA AT 09N85W...AND GRADUALLY CONTINUES NW TO 11N94W TO
13N102W...THEN TURNS SW TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 10N114W TO
11N118W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
90W AND BETWEEN 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 07N113W TO 08N118W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN PANAMA
BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N136W TO 17N104W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS EQUATORIAL S
SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE THEN THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON WED. THE GRADIENT
E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE
SUBTROPICS E OF 122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH
COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION. THE GRADIENT WILL
RELAX ON MON INTO TUE WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE
EVENING.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

MAJOR STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR
15.0N 132.5W OR ABOUT 1524 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 0300
UTC...MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM
PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 936 MB. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT JIMENA HAS A DISTINCT 20 NM WIDE EYE. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WITH JIMENA HAS BECOME VERY SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE 10 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM IN
THE NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM IN
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF THE THE CENTER...AND ALSO SSW OF JIMENA WITHIN 60
NM OF A LINE FROM 04N140W TO 07N132W TO 09N128W. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING NEAR 17N139W BY TUE
AFTERNOON. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS OUTWARD TO 290 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE CENTER WITH
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO ABOUT 300 SE AND 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
THE CENTER BY TUE. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
11N108W...AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER...
AND WITHIN 240 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN
BANDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N105W TO 10N102W. LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTED INCREASING BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE
CENTER OF THE LOW. THE PRES GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED E OF THE LOW
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN 90
NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER...WINDS ARE 10-20 KT WITH SEAS OF  5-
7 FT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 12N112W BY EARLY MON
EVENING...AND TO NEAR 15N115W BY EARLY TUE EVENING. EXPECT THE
20-25 KT WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS AS THE LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG WITH SEAS
POSSIBLY BUILDING RATHER QUICKLY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE LOW OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS JIMENA PULLS FURTHER TO THE W AND AWAY FROM
IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS WSW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COSTA RICA AT 09N85W...AND GRADUALLY CONTINUES NW TO 11N94W TO
13N102W...THEN TURNS SW TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 10N114W TO
11N118W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
90W AND BETWEEN 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 07N113W TO 08N118W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN PANAMA
BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N136W TO 17N104W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS EQUATORIAL S
SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE THEN THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON WED. THE GRADIENT
E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE
SUBTROPICS E OF 122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH
COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION. THE GRADIENT WILL
RELAX ON MON INTO TUE WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE
EVENING.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

MAJOR STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR
15.0N 132.5W OR ABOUT 1524 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 0300
UTC...MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM
PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 936 MB. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT JIMENA HAS A DISTINCT 20 NM WIDE EYE. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WITH JIMENA HAS BECOME VERY SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE 10 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM IN
THE NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM IN
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF THE THE CENTER...AND ALSO SSW OF JIMENA WITHIN 60
NM OF A LINE FROM 04N140W TO 07N132W TO 09N128W. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING NEAR 17N139W BY TUE
AFTERNOON. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS OUTWARD TO 290 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE CENTER WITH
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO ABOUT 300 SE AND 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
THE CENTER BY TUE. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
11N108W...AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER...
AND WITHIN 240 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN
BANDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N105W TO 10N102W. LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTED INCREASING BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE
CENTER OF THE LOW. THE PRES GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED E OF THE LOW
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN 90
NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER...WINDS ARE 10-20 KT WITH SEAS OF  5-
7 FT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 12N112W BY EARLY MON
EVENING...AND TO NEAR 15N115W BY EARLY TUE EVENING. EXPECT THE
20-25 KT WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS AS THE LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG WITH SEAS
POSSIBLY BUILDING RATHER QUICKLY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE LOW OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS JIMENA PULLS FURTHER TO THE W AND AWAY FROM
IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS WSW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COSTA RICA AT 09N85W...AND GRADUALLY CONTINUES NW TO 11N94W TO
13N102W...THEN TURNS SW TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 10N114W TO
11N118W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
90W AND BETWEEN 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 07N113W TO 08N118W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN PANAMA
BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N136W TO 17N104W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS EQUATORIAL S
SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE THEN THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON WED. THE GRADIENT
E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE
SUBTROPICS E OF 122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH
COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION. THE GRADIENT WILL
RELAX ON MON INTO TUE WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE
EVENING.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

MAJOR STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR
15.0N 132.5W OR ABOUT 1524 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 0300
UTC...MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM
PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 936 MB. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT JIMENA HAS A DISTINCT 20 NM WIDE EYE. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WITH JIMENA HAS BECOME VERY SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE 10 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM IN
THE NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM IN
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF THE THE CENTER...AND ALSO SSW OF JIMENA WITHIN 60
NM OF A LINE FROM 04N140W TO 07N132W TO 09N128W. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING NEAR 17N139W BY TUE
AFTERNOON. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS OUTWARD TO 290 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE CENTER WITH
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO ABOUT 300 SE AND 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
THE CENTER BY TUE. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
11N108W...AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER...
AND WITHIN 240 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN
BANDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N105W TO 10N102W. LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTED INCREASING BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE
CENTER OF THE LOW. THE PRES GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED E OF THE LOW
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN 90
NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER...WINDS ARE 10-20 KT WITH SEAS OF  5-
7 FT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 12N112W BY EARLY MON
EVENING...AND TO NEAR 15N115W BY EARLY TUE EVENING. EXPECT THE
20-25 KT WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS AS THE LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG WITH SEAS
POSSIBLY BUILDING RATHER QUICKLY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE LOW OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS JIMENA PULLS FURTHER TO THE W AND AWAY FROM
IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS WSW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COSTA RICA AT 09N85W...AND GRADUALLY CONTINUES NW TO 11N94W TO
13N102W...THEN TURNS SW TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 10N114W TO
11N118W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
90W AND BETWEEN 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 07N113W TO 08N118W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN PANAMA
BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N136W TO 17N104W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS EQUATORIAL S
SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE THEN THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON WED. THE GRADIENT
E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE
SUBTROPICS E OF 122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH
COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION. THE GRADIENT WILL
RELAX ON MON INTO TUE WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE
EVENING.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

MAJOR STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR
15.0N 132.5W OR ABOUT 1524 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 0300
UTC...MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM
PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 936 MB. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT JIMENA HAS A DISTINCT 20 NM WIDE EYE. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WITH JIMENA HAS BECOME VERY SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE 10 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM IN
THE NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM IN
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF THE THE CENTER...AND ALSO SSW OF JIMENA WITHIN 60
NM OF A LINE FROM 04N140W TO 07N132W TO 09N128W. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING NEAR 17N139W BY TUE
AFTERNOON. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS OUTWARD TO 290 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE CENTER WITH
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO ABOUT 300 SE AND 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
THE CENTER BY TUE. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
11N108W...AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER...
AND WITHIN 240 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN
BANDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N105W TO 10N102W. LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTED INCREASING BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE
CENTER OF THE LOW. THE PRES GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED E OF THE LOW
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN 90
NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER...WINDS ARE 10-20 KT WITH SEAS OF  5-
7 FT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 12N112W BY EARLY MON
EVENING...AND TO NEAR 15N115W BY EARLY TUE EVENING. EXPECT THE
20-25 KT WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS AS THE LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG WITH SEAS
POSSIBLY BUILDING RATHER QUICKLY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE LOW OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS JIMENA PULLS FURTHER TO THE W AND AWAY FROM
IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS WSW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COSTA RICA AT 09N85W...AND GRADUALLY CONTINUES NW TO 11N94W TO
13N102W...THEN TURNS SW TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 10N114W TO
11N118W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
90W AND BETWEEN 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 07N113W TO 08N118W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN PANAMA
BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N136W TO 17N104W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS EQUATORIAL S
SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE THEN THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON WED. THE GRADIENT
E OF THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING NW 15-20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE
SUBTROPICS E OF 122W TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH
COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION. THE GRADIENT WILL
RELAX ON MON INTO TUE WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-7 FT BY TUE
EVENING.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 310311
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

MAJOR STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR
15.0N 132.5W OR ABOUT 1524 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII AT 0300
UTC...MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM
PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 936 MB. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT JIMENA HAS A DISTINCT 20 NM WIDE EYE. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WITH JIMENA HAS BECOME VERY SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE 10 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM IN
THE NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM IN
NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF THE THE CENTER...AND ALSO SSW OF JIMENA WITHIN 60
NM OF A LINE FROM 04N140W TO 07N132W TO 09N128W. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK REACHING NEAR 17N139W BY TUE
AFTERNOON. JIMENA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS OUTWARD TO 290 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE CENTER WITH
SURROUNDING AREA TO 20-33 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND TO ABOUT 300 SE AND 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
THE CENTER BY TUE. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC AND HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS

A 1008 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR
11N108W...AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER...
AND WITHIN 240 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN
BANDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N105W TO 10N102W. LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTED INCREASING BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE
CENTER OF THE LOW. THE PRES GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED E OF THE LOW
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW TO 20-25 KT WITHIN 90
NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER...WINDS ARE 10-20 KT WITH SEAS OF  5-
7 FT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 12N112W BY EARLY MON
EVENING...AND TO NEAR 15N115W BY EARLY TUE EVENING. EXPECT THE
20-25 KT WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25-30 KT OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS AS THE LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG WITH SEAS
POSSIBLY BUILDING RATHER QUICKLY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE LOW OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS JIMENA PULLS FURTHER TO THE W AND AWAY FROM
IT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS WSW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
COSTA RICA AT 09N85W...AND GRADUALLY CONTINUES NW TO 11N94W TO
13N102W...THEN TURNS SW TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 10N114W TO
11N118W WHERE IT LOSES IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
90W AND BETWEEN 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 07N113W TO 08N118W.

SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN PANAMA
BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N136W TO 17N104W. THE GRADIENT
IS SUPPORTING 15-20 KT TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE RIDGE
WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT IN MIXED NW AND CROSS EQUATORIAL S
SWELL. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE THEN THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AS JIMENA CROSSES 140W ON WED. THE GRADIENT