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000
ACPN50 PHFO 281150
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST FRI NOV 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES






000
ACPN50 PHFO 281150
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST FRI NOV 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES






000
ACPN50 PHFO 281150
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST FRI NOV 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES






000
ACPN50 PHFO 281150
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST FRI NOV 28 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES






000
AXNT20 KNHC 281132
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N13W...TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N17W TO
7N25W 5N30W AND 5N43W 5N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 35W AND 43W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 23W AND 34W...
FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 16W AND 18W...AND FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 4W AND 10W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N72W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR 24N76W. MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH OF 22N85W BY THE COAST OF
CUBA...TO 23N97W AT THE COAST OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS
MOVING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL
WIND FLOW. THE FIRST COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 25N70W...ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...TO 19N80W IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY AT 19N80W AND IT CONTINUES TO
17N86W...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL HONDURAS. A SECOND COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH 32N69W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR ANDROS ISLAND...THROUGH THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 22N90W...
AND THEN CURVING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE TEXAS GULF COAST NEAR
27N97W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ARE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N62W 27N66W 24N70W 21N76W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE
THAT RUNS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 79W AND 86W. OTHER RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE FROM THE WINDWARD
CHANNEL TO NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 28N96W 25N93W
24N90W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KMZG...KGBK...
KATP...KIKT...AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

THE VISIBILITIES AT BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...WESLACO...AND
MCALLEN...AND AT FALFURRIAS AND KINGSVILLE HAVE BEEN 1 MILE OR
LESS WITH FOG DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD CEILING IS AT THE CORPUS CHRISTI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 29N59W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N61W...TO 15N67W...TO 13N70W.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 27N43W 16N45W 9N48W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM SOUTH
AMERICA NORTHWARD...REACHING 13N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA. BROAD
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN THE 27N43W 9N48W RIDGE AND THE 29N59W-TO-
13N70W TROUGH. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N57W 24N59W 22N61W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG FROM 20N BEYOND 32N BETWEEN
47W AND 58W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALSO FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 45W AND 60W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 20N60W
18N65W 16N70W...AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA BEYOND 7N86W INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 11N SOUTHWARD FROM 80W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WEST-TO-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS
MOVING ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN BARAHONA...SANTO
DOMINGO...AND LA ROMANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA
CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N9W TO 30N19W AND TO 33N32W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 28N NORTHWARD FROM
30W EASTWARD.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 33N41W...TO 24N35W 15N27W 10N24W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 10N NORTHWARD BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 281132
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N13W...TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N17W TO
7N25W 5N30W AND 5N43W 5N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 35W AND 43W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 23W AND 34W...
FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 16W AND 18W...AND FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 4W AND 10W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N72W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR 24N76W. MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH OF 22N85W BY THE COAST OF
CUBA...TO 23N97W AT THE COAST OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS
MOVING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL
WIND FLOW. THE FIRST COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 25N70W...ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...TO 19N80W IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY AT 19N80W AND IT CONTINUES TO
17N86W...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL HONDURAS. A SECOND COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH 32N69W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR ANDROS ISLAND...THROUGH THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 22N90W...
AND THEN CURVING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE TEXAS GULF COAST NEAR
27N97W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ARE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N62W 27N66W 24N70W 21N76W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE
THAT RUNS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 79W AND 86W. OTHER RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE FROM THE WINDWARD
CHANNEL TO NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 28N96W 25N93W
24N90W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KMZG...KGBK...
KATP...KIKT...AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

THE VISIBILITIES AT BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...WESLACO...AND
MCALLEN...AND AT FALFURRIAS AND KINGSVILLE HAVE BEEN 1 MILE OR
LESS WITH FOG DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD CEILING IS AT THE CORPUS CHRISTI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 29N59W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N61W...TO 15N67W...TO 13N70W.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 27N43W 16N45W 9N48W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM SOUTH
AMERICA NORTHWARD...REACHING 13N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA. BROAD
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN THE 27N43W 9N48W RIDGE AND THE 29N59W-TO-
13N70W TROUGH. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N57W 24N59W 22N61W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG FROM 20N BEYOND 32N BETWEEN
47W AND 58W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALSO FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 45W AND 60W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 20N60W
18N65W 16N70W...AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA BEYOND 7N86W INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 11N SOUTHWARD FROM 80W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WEST-TO-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS
MOVING ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN BARAHONA...SANTO
DOMINGO...AND LA ROMANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA
CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N9W TO 30N19W AND TO 33N32W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 28N NORTHWARD FROM
30W EASTWARD.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 33N41W...TO 24N35W 15N27W 10N24W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 10N NORTHWARD BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 281132
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N13W...TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N17W TO
7N25W 5N30W AND 5N43W 5N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 35W AND 43W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 23W AND 34W...
FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 16W AND 18W...AND FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 4W AND 10W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N72W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR 24N76W. MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH OF 22N85W BY THE COAST OF
CUBA...TO 23N97W AT THE COAST OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS
MOVING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL
WIND FLOW. THE FIRST COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 25N70W...ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...TO 19N80W IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY AT 19N80W AND IT CONTINUES TO
17N86W...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL HONDURAS. A SECOND COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH 32N69W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR ANDROS ISLAND...THROUGH THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 22N90W...
AND THEN CURVING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE TEXAS GULF COAST NEAR
27N97W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ARE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N62W 27N66W 24N70W 21N76W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE
THAT RUNS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 79W AND 86W. OTHER RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE FROM THE WINDWARD
CHANNEL TO NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 28N96W 25N93W
24N90W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KMZG...KGBK...
KATP...KIKT...AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

THE VISIBILITIES AT BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...WESLACO...AND
MCALLEN...AND AT FALFURRIAS AND KINGSVILLE HAVE BEEN 1 MILE OR
LESS WITH FOG DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD CEILING IS AT THE CORPUS CHRISTI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 29N59W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N61W...TO 15N67W...TO 13N70W.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 27N43W 16N45W 9N48W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM SOUTH
AMERICA NORTHWARD...REACHING 13N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA. BROAD
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN THE 27N43W 9N48W RIDGE AND THE 29N59W-TO-
13N70W TROUGH. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N57W 24N59W 22N61W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG FROM 20N BEYOND 32N BETWEEN
47W AND 58W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALSO FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 45W AND 60W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 20N60W
18N65W 16N70W...AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA BEYOND 7N86W INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 11N SOUTHWARD FROM 80W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WEST-TO-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS
MOVING ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN BARAHONA...SANTO
DOMINGO...AND LA ROMANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA
CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N9W TO 30N19W AND TO 33N32W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 28N NORTHWARD FROM
30W EASTWARD.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 33N41W...TO 24N35W 15N27W 10N24W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 10N NORTHWARD BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 281132
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N13W...TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N17W TO
7N25W 5N30W AND 5N43W 5N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 35W AND 43W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 23W AND 34W...
FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 16W AND 18W...AND FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN
44W AND 48W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 4W AND 10W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N72W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR 24N76W. MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH OF 22N85W BY THE COAST OF
CUBA...TO 23N97W AT THE COAST OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS
MOVING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL
WIND FLOW. THE FIRST COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 25N70W...ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...TO 19N80W IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY AT 19N80W AND IT CONTINUES TO
17N86W...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL HONDURAS. A SECOND COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH 32N69W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS NEAR ANDROS ISLAND...THROUGH THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 22N90W...
AND THEN CURVING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE TEXAS GULF COAST NEAR
27N97W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ARE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N62W 27N66W 24N70W 21N76W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE
THAT RUNS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 79W AND 86W. OTHER RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE FROM THE WINDWARD
CHANNEL TO NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 28N96W 25N93W
24N90W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KMZG...KGBK...
KATP...KIKT...AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

THE VISIBILITIES AT BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...WESLACO...AND
MCALLEN...AND AT FALFURRIAS AND KINGSVILLE HAVE BEEN 1 MILE OR
LESS WITH FOG DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD CEILING IS AT THE CORPUS CHRISTI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 29N59W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N61W...TO 15N67W...TO 13N70W.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 27N43W 16N45W 9N48W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM SOUTH
AMERICA NORTHWARD...REACHING 13N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA. BROAD
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN THE 27N43W 9N48W RIDGE AND THE 29N59W-TO-
13N70W TROUGH. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N57W 24N59W 22N61W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG FROM 20N BEYOND 32N BETWEEN
47W AND 58W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALSO FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 45W AND 60W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 20N60W
18N65W 16N70W...AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA BEYOND 7N86W INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 11N SOUTHWARD FROM 80W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WEST-TO-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS
MOVING ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN BARAHONA...SANTO
DOMINGO...AND LA ROMANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA
CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N9W TO 30N19W AND TO 33N32W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 28N NORTHWARD FROM
30W EASTWARD.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 33N41W...TO 24N35W 15N27W 10N24W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 10N NORTHWARD BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281130
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST VIERNES 28 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 281130
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST VIERNES 28 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 281129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 281129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 281129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 281129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280945
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO
SUPPORT STRONG STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45-60 KT ACROSS...AND JUST
DOWNSTREAM...OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH SEAS TO ABOUT 25
FT. NE-E WINDS OF 25-30 KT EXTEND AS FAR S AS 07N BETWEEN 94-
101W...AND EXTEND AS FAR W AS 11N109W. THESE NORTHERLY DRAINAGE
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO BELOW GALE FORCE BY EARLY SAT
AFTERNOON. THE N WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT BY EARLY SUN
AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASE TO 20-25 KT AGAIN LATE SUN NIGHT...
THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH MON TO A GALE AGAIN MON NIGHT
WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WED.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS WSW FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AT 07N78W
TO 06N97W WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE A TRANSITION TO AN ITCZ
WHICH CONTINUES WNW TO 09N116W...THEN TURNS SW TO BEYOND 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 60
NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N101W TO 14N112W...AND WITHIN 150 NM
OF 11N115W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...CARIBBEAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN 20-30
KT NE WINDS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO DURING THE
THE LATE NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGH SAT...THEN
THE NOCTURNAL MAX WILL REACH 25 KT ONLY SAT THROUGH TUE NIGHTS.

GULF OF FONSECA...EXPECT NE 20-25 KT CONDITIONS TO PERSIST INTO
THE MORNING HOURS TODAY...THEN DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT TONIGHT AND
FURTHER DIMINISH TO 10-15 KT ON SAT.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N135W TO 26N140W AND A COLD FRONT
IS APPROACHING FROM 32N138W TO 29N140W. THE COLD FRONT WILL OVERTAKE
THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WITH THE MERGED FRONT BECOMING STATIONARY
FROM 31N130W TO 25N133W EARLY SUN AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATING BY
MON. LONG PERIOD NW SWELL IS MIXING WITH E SWELL RESULTING IN
COMBINED SEAS OF 7-10 FT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS W OF A
LINE FROM 32N125W TO 15N123W TO 09N140W. THE AFFECTED AREA WILL
SHRINK TO NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 22N140W ON SUN. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW WATERS SUN AFTERNOON
ACCOMPANIED BY A 20-30 KT SW-W-NW WIND SHIFT AND SEAS 8-12 FT. A
NEW BATCH OF LONG PERIOD NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COMBINED SEAS TO 18 KT
REACHING NEAR 30N140W LATE MON.

$$
NELSON


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 280937
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST VIERNES 28 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 280937
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST VIERNES 28 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
AXNT20 KNHC 280604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N78W TO 19N81W THEN
STATIONARY TO 16N86W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS
AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9 TO 14 FEET...IN THE AREA OF THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 18N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT
TO 87W. THE GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST FOR THE NEXT 06
HOURS OR LESS. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/
FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
SIERRA LEONE AND GUINEA NEAR 9N13W...TO 8N19W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 8N19W TO 7N25W 7N31W AND 6N40W 5N47W...TO
NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR 3N51W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO
7N BETWEEN 25W AND 49W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 4N TO 7N FROM 23W
EASTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N
BETWEEN 1W AND 7W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N74W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA
STRAITS. MIDDLE LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS
THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND
FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR
IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH
OF 23N80W 22N90W 23N98W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS MOVING FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KIKT
AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

BROWNSVILLE TEXAS WAS REPORTING VISIBILITIES OF 1 MILE OR LESS
AND FOG AT 28/0411 UTC. THE VISIBILITY IS 7 MILES NOW.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 28N61W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N62W...TO 15N67W...TO 9N74W
NEAR THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W
EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N62W TO 25N47W TO 28N42W
BEYOND 32N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N TO 32N
BETWEEN 51W AND 59W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 43W AND 60W...AND FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 44W AND
51W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 19N60W 16N70W...
AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N
TO 18N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. A STATIONARY FRONT IS ALONG 19N81W
17N85W...INTO HONDURAS.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
12N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 78W AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. LOW
LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS...WITH SOME CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...WERE IN
SANTO DOMINGO FROM 27/2100 UTC UNTIL 28/0400 UTC. FEW LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 23N NORTHWARD
FROM 32W EASTWARD.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 33N43W...TO 27N36W 23N30W 20N22W...AND INTO
MAURITANIA NEAR 21N8W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 15N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 57W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N78W TO 19N81W THEN
STATIONARY TO 16N86W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS
AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9 TO 14 FEET...IN THE AREA OF THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 18N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT
TO 87W. THE GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST FOR THE NEXT 06
HOURS OR LESS. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/
FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
SIERRA LEONE AND GUINEA NEAR 9N13W...TO 8N19W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 8N19W TO 7N25W 7N31W AND 6N40W 5N47W...TO
NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR 3N51W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO
7N BETWEEN 25W AND 49W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 4N TO 7N FROM 23W
EASTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N
BETWEEN 1W AND 7W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N74W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA
STRAITS. MIDDLE LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS
THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND
FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR
IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH
OF 23N80W 22N90W 23N98W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS MOVING FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KIKT
AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

BROWNSVILLE TEXAS WAS REPORTING VISIBILITIES OF 1 MILE OR LESS
AND FOG AT 28/0411 UTC. THE VISIBILITY IS 7 MILES NOW.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 28N61W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N62W...TO 15N67W...TO 9N74W
NEAR THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W
EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N62W TO 25N47W TO 28N42W
BEYOND 32N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N TO 32N
BETWEEN 51W AND 59W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 43W AND 60W...AND FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 44W AND
51W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 19N60W 16N70W...
AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N
TO 18N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. A STATIONARY FRONT IS ALONG 19N81W
17N85W...INTO HONDURAS.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
12N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 78W AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. LOW
LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS...WITH SOME CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...WERE IN
SANTO DOMINGO FROM 27/2100 UTC UNTIL 28/0400 UTC. FEW LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 23N NORTHWARD
FROM 32W EASTWARD.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 33N43W...TO 27N36W 23N30W 20N22W...AND INTO
MAURITANIA NEAR 21N8W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 15N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 57W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N78W TO 19N81W THEN
STATIONARY TO 16N86W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS
AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9 TO 14 FEET...IN THE AREA OF THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 18N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT
TO 87W. THE GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST FOR THE NEXT 06
HOURS OR LESS. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/
FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
SIERRA LEONE AND GUINEA NEAR 9N13W...TO 8N19W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 8N19W TO 7N25W 7N31W AND 6N40W 5N47W...TO
NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR 3N51W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO
7N BETWEEN 25W AND 49W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 4N TO 7N FROM 23W
EASTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N
BETWEEN 1W AND 7W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N74W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA
STRAITS. MIDDLE LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS
THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND
FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR
IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH
OF 23N80W 22N90W 23N98W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS MOVING FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KIKT
AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

BROWNSVILLE TEXAS WAS REPORTING VISIBILITIES OF 1 MILE OR LESS
AND FOG AT 28/0411 UTC. THE VISIBILITY IS 7 MILES NOW.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 28N61W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N62W...TO 15N67W...TO 9N74W
NEAR THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W
EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N62W TO 25N47W TO 28N42W
BEYOND 32N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N TO 32N
BETWEEN 51W AND 59W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 43W AND 60W...AND FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 44W AND
51W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 19N60W 16N70W...
AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N
TO 18N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. A STATIONARY FRONT IS ALONG 19N81W
17N85W...INTO HONDURAS.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
12N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 78W AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. LOW
LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS...WITH SOME CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...WERE IN
SANTO DOMINGO FROM 27/2100 UTC UNTIL 28/0400 UTC. FEW LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 23N NORTHWARD
FROM 32W EASTWARD.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 33N43W...TO 27N36W 23N30W 20N22W...AND INTO
MAURITANIA NEAR 21N8W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 15N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 57W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N78W TO 19N81W THEN
STATIONARY TO 16N86W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS
AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9 TO 14 FEET...IN THE AREA OF THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 18N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT
TO 87W. THE GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST FOR THE NEXT 06
HOURS OR LESS. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/
FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
SIERRA LEONE AND GUINEA NEAR 9N13W...TO 8N19W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 8N19W TO 7N25W 7N31W AND 6N40W 5N47W...TO
NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR 3N51W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO
7N BETWEEN 25W AND 49W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 4N TO 7N FROM 23W
EASTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N
BETWEEN 1W AND 7W.

...DISCUSSION...

...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...INCLUDING THE REST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 32N74W...TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA
STRAITS. MIDDLE LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS
THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WIND
FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR
IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO THE NORTH
OF 23N80W 22N90W 23N98W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS MOVING FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...ACROSS MEXICO...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...VIA THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
PASSES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...INTO NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...IN THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KIKT
AND KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

BROWNSVILLE TEXAS WAS REPORTING VISIBILITIES OF 1 MILE OR LESS
AND FOG AT 28/0411 UTC. THE VISIBILITY IS 7 MILES NOW.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 28N61W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 22N62W...TO 15N67W...TO 9N74W
NEAR THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 80W
EASTWARD...AWAY FROM THE 17N85W ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N62W TO 25N47W TO 28N42W
BEYOND 32N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N TO 32N
BETWEEN 51W AND 59W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 43W AND 60W...AND FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 44W AND
51W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 19N60W 16N70W...
AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N85W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM HONDURAS TO CUBA
BETWEEN JAMAICA AND BELIZE/THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N
TO 18N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. A STATIONARY FRONT IS ALONG 19N81W
17N85W...INTO HONDURAS.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
28/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.09 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
12N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 78W AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
ACROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. LOW
LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS...WITH SOME CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...WERE IN
SANTO DOMINGO FROM 27/2100 UTC UNTIL 28/0400 UTC. FEW LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA
FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS. WESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA FOR
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS. HISPANIOLA
WILL END UP IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 36
HOURS. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A RIDGE TO THE WEST
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE EAST. THE INVERTED TROUGH
EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE WESTWARD AT THE 30 TO 36 HOUR TIME DURING
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO
THE WESTERN SAHARA NEAR 26N14W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 23N NORTHWARD
FROM 32W EASTWARD.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 33N43W...TO 27N36W 23N30W 20N22W...AND INTO
MAURITANIA NEAR 21N8W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 15N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 57W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACPN50 PHFO 280545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280501
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280501
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 280500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABNT20 KNHC 280500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280324
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. HOLLAND AMERICA CRUISE SHIP STATENDAM
CALL SIGN PHSG MAKING TRANSIT THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
HAS REPORTED MAX WINDS OF 64 KT AT BRIDGE LEVEL THIS EVENING.
BASED ON THESE DATA CURRENT MAX SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
50-60 KT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO STRONG
GALE FORCE WINDS FRI AFTERNOON...AND BELOW GALE FORCE WINDS SAT
AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER LONG DURATION...
EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL TO REACH NEAR
113W FROM 01N-14N BETWEEN 94W-113W BY SAT MORNING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 08N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N95W TO 10N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM
09N TO 12N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE INTO THE THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...LATEST ASCAT PASS SHOWS 20-25 KT WINDS. EXPECT
SEAS TO 8 FT. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NEXT 12-18 HOURS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N136W TO 27N140W.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT THEN BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT NOW APPROACHING 30N140W FRI. THE NEW FRONT WILL
BECOME STATIONARY IN THE NW PORTION AS WELL SAT FROM 30N132W TO
24N139W. NW SWELL TO 10-11 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

1023 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SUPPORTING A SMALL
AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE ITCZ AND AN AREA OF COMBINED
SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N
TO 17N W OF 126W. THIS AREA OF COMBINED SEAS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280324
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI NOV 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. HOLLAND AMERICA CRUISE SHIP STATENDAM
CALL SIGN PHSG MAKING TRANSIT THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
HAS REPORTED MAX WINDS OF 64 KT AT BRIDGE LEVEL THIS EVENING.
BASED ON THESE DATA CURRENT MAX SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
50-60 KT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO STRONG
GALE FORCE WINDS FRI AFTERNOON...AND BELOW GALE FORCE WINDS SAT
AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER LONG DURATION...
EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL TO REACH NEAR
113W FROM 01N-14N BETWEEN 94W-113W BY SAT MORNING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 08N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N95W TO 10N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM
09N TO 12N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE INTO THE THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...LATEST ASCAT PASS SHOWS 20-25 KT WINDS. EXPECT
SEAS TO 8 FT. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NEXT 12-18 HOURS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N136W TO 27N140W.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT THEN BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT NOW APPROACHING 30N140W FRI. THE NEW FRONT WILL
BECOME STATIONARY IN THE NW PORTION AS WELL SAT FROM 30N132W TO
24N139W. NW SWELL TO 10-11 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

1023 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SUPPORTING A SMALL
AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE ITCZ AND AN AREA OF COMBINED
SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N
TO 17N W OF 126W. THIS AREA OF COMBINED SEAS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 272352
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
EXPECT GALE FORCE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS
REACHING 14 FEET SOUTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 87W TO INCLUDE THE
GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GALE FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST
THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...
MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 9N13W TO 8N19W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N47W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 4N52W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 26W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO EXTENDING FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT 27N80W TO THE SE
GULF AT 25N88W TO S OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AT 27N97W. NO
SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. 20-25 NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE N OF THE FRONT WITH FAIR WEATHER. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 21N97W. 10-15 KT ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE HIGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE BASE
OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTH GULF STATES WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE N OF 24N. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT
TO MOVE SE WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION. SHOWERS MAY FORM OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NW OF THE FRONT. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE N OF HONDURAS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 82W-
88W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N W OF
82W...TO INCLUDE W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. 15-25 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA E OF FRONT WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA
... HISPANIOLA...AND JAMAICA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE
ATLANTIC E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT
THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM E CUBA TO NORTHERN
NICARAGUA WITH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. PRESENTLY STRONG
SUBSIDENCE IS ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL PREFRONTAL ACTIVITY ADVECTS IN FROM E CUBA FRIDAY EVENING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N67W
TO E CUBA AT 21N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30
NM OF THE FRONT TO INCLUDE THE S BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW OF THE FRONT. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT
27N80W. NO SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. A LARGE
1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N44W.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR
27N62W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 48W-60W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONTS TO MOVE E OVER
THE W ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE E
AND WEAKEN TO AN UPPER TROUGH WITH SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 272352
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
EXPECT GALE FORCE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS
REACHING 14 FEET SOUTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 87W TO INCLUDE THE
GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GALE FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST
THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...
MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 9N13W TO 8N19W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N47W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 4N52W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 26W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO EXTENDING FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT 27N80W TO THE SE
GULF AT 25N88W TO S OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AT 27N97W. NO
SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. 20-25 NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE N OF THE FRONT WITH FAIR WEATHER. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 21N97W. 10-15 KT ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE HIGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE BASE
OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTH GULF STATES WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE N OF 24N. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT
TO MOVE SE WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION. SHOWERS MAY FORM OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NW OF THE FRONT. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE N OF HONDURAS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 82W-
88W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N W OF
82W...TO INCLUDE W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. 15-25 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA E OF FRONT WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA
... HISPANIOLA...AND JAMAICA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE
ATLANTIC E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT
THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM E CUBA TO NORTHERN
NICARAGUA WITH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. PRESENTLY STRONG
SUBSIDENCE IS ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL PREFRONTAL ACTIVITY ADVECTS IN FROM E CUBA FRIDAY EVENING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N67W
TO E CUBA AT 21N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30
NM OF THE FRONT TO INCLUDE THE S BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW OF THE FRONT. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT
27N80W. NO SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. A LARGE
1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N44W.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR
27N62W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 48W-60W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONTS TO MOVE E OVER
THE W ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE E
AND WEAKEN TO AN UPPER TROUGH WITH SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 272352
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
EXPECT GALE FORCE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS
REACHING 14 FEET SOUTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 87W TO INCLUDE THE
GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GALE FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST
THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...
MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 9N13W TO 8N19W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N47W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 4N52W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 26W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO EXTENDING FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT 27N80W TO THE SE
GULF AT 25N88W TO S OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AT 27N97W. NO
SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. 20-25 NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE N OF THE FRONT WITH FAIR WEATHER. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 21N97W. 10-15 KT ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE HIGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE BASE
OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTH GULF STATES WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE N OF 24N. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT
TO MOVE SE WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION. SHOWERS MAY FORM OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NW OF THE FRONT. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE N OF HONDURAS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 82W-
88W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N W OF
82W...TO INCLUDE W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. 15-25 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA E OF FRONT WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA
... HISPANIOLA...AND JAMAICA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE
ATLANTIC E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT
THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM E CUBA TO NORTHERN
NICARAGUA WITH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. PRESENTLY STRONG
SUBSIDENCE IS ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL PREFRONTAL ACTIVITY ADVECTS IN FROM E CUBA FRIDAY EVENING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N67W
TO E CUBA AT 21N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30
NM OF THE FRONT TO INCLUDE THE S BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW OF THE FRONT. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT
27N80W. NO SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. A LARGE
1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N44W.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR
27N62W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 48W-60W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONTS TO MOVE E OVER
THE W ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE E
AND WEAKEN TO AN UPPER TROUGH WITH SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 272352
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
EXPECT GALE FORCE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS
REACHING 14 FEET SOUTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 87W TO INCLUDE THE
GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GALE FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST
THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...
MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 9N13W TO 8N19W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N47W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 4N52W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 26W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO EXTENDING FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT 27N80W TO THE SE
GULF AT 25N88W TO S OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AT 27N97W. NO
SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. 20-25 NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE N OF THE FRONT WITH FAIR WEATHER. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 21N97W. 10-15 KT ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE HIGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE BASE
OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTH GULF STATES WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE N OF 24N. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT
TO MOVE SE WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION. SHOWERS MAY FORM OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 21N79W TO 16N87W.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NW OF THE FRONT. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE N OF HONDURAS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 82W-
88W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N W OF
82W...TO INCLUDE W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. 15-25 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA E OF FRONT WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA
... HISPANIOLA...AND JAMAICA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE
ATLANTIC E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT
THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM E CUBA TO NORTHERN
NICARAGUA WITH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. PRESENTLY STRONG
SUBSIDENCE IS ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL PREFRONTAL ACTIVITY ADVECTS IN FROM E CUBA FRIDAY EVENING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N67W
TO E CUBA AT 21N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30
NM OF THE FRONT TO INCLUDE THE S BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW OF THE FRONT. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT
IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO FORT PIERCE FLORIDA AT
27N80W. NO SHOWERS OR CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE FRONT. A LARGE
1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N44W.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR
27N62W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 48W-60W.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONTS TO MOVE E OVER
THE W ATLANTIC. ALSO EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE E
AND WEAKEN TO AN UPPER TROUGH WITH SHOWERS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
ACPN50 PHFO 272346
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

BURKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272320
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 PM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272320
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 PM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ABNT20 KNHC 272317
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272317
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272317
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 272317
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272317
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272317
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 272317
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272317
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272317
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 272317
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272146
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITH INDUCED SEAS OF 14-22 FT ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GULF WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W. SHIP REPORTS
WERE USED TO HELP DEFINE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS LACKING ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA TODAY. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS FRI AFTERNOON...AND BELOW
GALE FORCE WINDS SAT AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER
LONG DURATION...EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL
TO REACH NEAR 113W FROM 01N-14N BETWEEN 94W-113W BY SAT MORNING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 08N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N95W TO 10N121W TO 10N136W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 120W...AND
WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS W OF 134W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE INTO THE THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT THEN BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT FRI. THE NEW FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY IN THE NE
PORTION AS WELL SAT FROM 30N132W TO 24N139W. NW SWELL TO 10-11
FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

1023 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SUPPORTING A SMALL
AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE ITCZ AND AN AREA OF COMBINED
SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N
TO 17N W OF 126W. THIS AREA OF COMBINED SEAS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272146
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITH INDUCED SEAS OF 14-22 FT ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GULF WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W. SHIP REPORTS
WERE USED TO HELP DEFINE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS LACKING ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA TODAY. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS FRI AFTERNOON...AND BELOW
GALE FORCE WINDS SAT AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER
LONG DURATION...EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL
TO REACH NEAR 113W FROM 01N-14N BETWEEN 94W-113W BY SAT MORNING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 08N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N95W TO 10N121W TO 10N136W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 120W...AND
WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS W OF 134W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE INTO THE THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT THEN BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT FRI. THE NEW FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY IN THE NE
PORTION AS WELL SAT FROM 30N132W TO 24N139W. NW SWELL TO 10-11
FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

1023 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SUPPORTING A SMALL
AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE ITCZ AND AN AREA OF COMBINED
SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N
TO 17N W OF 126W. THIS AREA OF COMBINED SEAS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272146
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITH INDUCED SEAS OF 14-22 FT ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GULF WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W. SHIP REPORTS
WERE USED TO HELP DEFINE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS LACKING ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA TODAY. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS FRI AFTERNOON...AND BELOW
GALE FORCE WINDS SAT AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER
LONG DURATION...EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL
TO REACH NEAR 113W FROM 01N-14N BETWEEN 94W-113W BY SAT MORNING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 08N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N95W TO 10N121W TO 10N136W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 120W...AND
WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS W OF 134W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE INTO THE THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT THEN BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT FRI. THE NEW FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY IN THE NE
PORTION AS WELL SAT FROM 30N132W TO 24N139W. NW SWELL TO 10-11
FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

1023 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SUPPORTING A SMALL
AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE ITCZ AND AN AREA OF COMBINED
SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N
TO 17N W OF 126W. THIS AREA OF COMBINED SEAS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272146
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITH INDUCED SEAS OF 14-22 FT ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GULF WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W. SHIP REPORTS
WERE USED TO HELP DEFINE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS LACKING ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA TODAY. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS FRI AFTERNOON...AND BELOW
GALE FORCE WINDS SAT AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS EVENT WILL BE RATHER
LONG DURATION...EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL
TO REACH NEAR 113W FROM 01N-14N BETWEEN 94W-113W BY SAT MORNING.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 08N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N95W TO 10N121W TO 10N136W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 120W...AND
WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS W OF 134W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE INTO THE THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT THEN BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT FRI. THE NEW FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY IN THE NE
PORTION AS WELL SAT FROM 30N132W TO 24N139W. NW SWELL TO 10-11
FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

1023 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SUPPORTING A SMALL
AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE ITCZ AND AN AREA OF COMBINED
SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N
TO 17N W OF 126W. THIS AREA OF COMBINED SEAS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD
AND SUBSIDE THROUGH SAT.

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACPN50 PHFO 271745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

BURKE






000
AXNT20 KNHC 271729
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 22N78W TO 18N85W.
EXPECT GALE FORCE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS
REACHING 13 FEET SOUTH OF 18N...WEST OF 85W...AND W OF THE FRONT
INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GALE FORCE WIND CONDITIONS
WILL LAST THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/ FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE
FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 11N15W TO 6N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 6N30W TO 7N47W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N TO
7N BETWEEN 11W AND 27W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N
TO 9N BETWEEN 27W AND 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS...EXTREME W
ATLANTIC...AND NE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND NEAR 30N84W ACROSS THE N CENTRAL
GULF NEAR 28N88W TO THE S TX COAST NEAR 26N97W. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT DUE TO DRY AIR ACROSS THE BASIN. A
1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE SW GULF NEAR 23N97W.
EXCEPT FOR THE AREA WITHIN 100NM OF THE HIGH CENTER...NORTHERLY
FLOW OF 15 TO 20 KT DOMINATES THE BASIN...WITH WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT ACROSS THE SE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE AND OVER THE
GULF WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND W ATLANTIC SUPPORTS
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC...CENTRAL CUBA AND OVER THE
NW CARIBBEAN FROM 22N79W TO 16N85W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE W OF
THE FRONT S OF 18N. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE.
NORTH TO NE WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35 KT ARE
ELSEWHERE W OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
15N TO 19N BETWEEN 80W AND 87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50
NM OF THE FRONT N OF 19N. AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE
ATLANTIC NEAR 21N62W IS PROVIDING CYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER
THE E CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE OCCURRING UNDER THIS CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E
OF 64W INCLUDING THE LESSER ANTILLES. EAST TO NE SURFACE FLOW OF
15 TO 20 KT COVERS THE BASIN E OF THE COLD FRONT. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME
STATIONARY...WHILE THE NORTHERN PORTION MOVES E TOWARD THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE WHILE WEAKENING. CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THESE FRONTS THROUGH FRIDAY.

HISPANIOLA...
MAINLY FAIR WEATHER IS OCCURRING OVER THE
ISLAND BETWEEN A COLD FRONT TO THE WEST...AND UPPER LOW TO THE
NE OVER THE ATLANTIC. OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS THE COLD FRONT WILL
WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE ISLAND. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVER THE ISLAND LATE FRIDAY AND OVER
SATURDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEARS THE AREA.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC
SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT FROM 31N69W ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND
TO THE CUBA COAST NEAR 22N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50 NM OF THE FRONT. NW WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT
ARE NW OF THE FRONT. AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE W
ATLANTIC NEAR 21N62W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 35N40W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW AND THE AXIS OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS
PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 29N
BETWEEN 43W AND 62W. A LARGE 1031 MB AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
CENTERED NEAR 34N43W AND COVERS THE BASIN S OF 31N E OF THE COLD
FRONT WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE E TO NEAR 31N62W TO W CUBA INCLUDING THE E
BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS WITH CONVECTION. NE WINDS OF 15 TO
25KT CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NW OF THE FRONT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271729
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 22N78W TO 18N85W.
EXPECT GALE FORCE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS
REACHING 13 FEET SOUTH OF 18N...WEST OF 85W...AND W OF THE FRONT
INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE GALE FORCE WIND CONDITIONS
WILL LAST THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/ FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE
FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 11N15W TO 6N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 6N30W TO 7N47W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N TO
7N BETWEEN 11W AND 27W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N
TO 9N BETWEEN 27W AND 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS...EXTREME W
ATLANTIC...AND NE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND NEAR 30N84W ACROSS THE N CENTRAL
GULF NEAR 28N88W TO THE S TX COAST NEAR 26N97W. NO CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT DUE TO DRY AIR ACROSS THE BASIN. A
1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE SW GULF NEAR 23N97W.
EXCEPT FOR THE AREA WITHIN 100NM OF THE HIGH CENTER...NORTHERLY
FLOW OF 15 TO 20 KT DOMINATES THE BASIN...WITH WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT ACROSS THE SE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE AND OVER THE
GULF WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND W ATLANTIC SUPPORTS
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC...CENTRAL CUBA AND OVER THE
NW CARIBBEAN FROM 22N79W TO 16N85W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE W OF
THE FRONT S OF 18N. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE.
NORTH TO NE WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35 KT ARE
ELSEWHERE W OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
15N TO 19N BETWEEN 80W AND 87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50
NM OF THE FRONT N OF 19N. AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE
ATLANTIC NEAR 21N62W IS PROVIDING CYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER
THE E CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE OCCURRING UNDER THIS CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E
OF 64W INCLUDING THE LESSER ANTILLES. EAST TO NE SURFACE FLOW OF
15 TO 20 KT COVERS THE BASIN E OF THE COLD FRONT. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME
STATIONARY...WHILE THE NORTHERN PORTION MOVES E TOWARD THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE WHILE WEAKENING. CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THESE FRONTS THROUGH FRIDAY.

HISPANIOLA...
MAINLY FAIR WEATHER IS OCCURRING OVER THE
ISLAND BETWEEN A COLD FRONT TO THE WEST...AND UPPER LOW TO THE
NE OVER THE ATLANTIC. OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS THE COLD FRONT WILL
WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE ISLAND. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVER THE ISLAND LATE FRIDAY AND OVER
SATURDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEARS THE AREA.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC
SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT FROM 31N69W ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND
TO THE CUBA COAST NEAR 22N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50 NM OF THE FRONT. NW WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT
ARE NW OF THE FRONT. AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE W
ATLANTIC NEAR 21N62W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 35N40W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW AND THE AXIS OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS
PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 29N
BETWEEN 43W AND 62W. A LARGE 1031 MB AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
CENTERED NEAR 34N43W AND COVERS THE BASIN S OF 31N E OF THE COLD
FRONT WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE E TO NEAR 31N62W TO W CUBA INCLUDING THE E
BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS WITH CONVECTION. NE WINDS OF 15 TO
25KT CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NW OF THE FRONT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271720
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 PM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271720
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 PM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 271719
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271718
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271718
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITH INDUCED SEAS OF 14-22 FT ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GULF WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W.
ASCAT DATA FROM LATE LAST NIGHT SHOWED GALE FORCE WINDS
EXTENDING DOWNWIND AND SW OF THE GULF TO ABOUT 12N98W. MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS BY EARLY FRI AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON...AND
TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS BY EARLY ON SAT. A LARGE SWATH OF N-
NE 20-30 KT WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM
16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N98W TO 11N101W FRI...AND WITHIN WITHIN 75
NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N97W TO 11N100W ON SAT
WITH SEAS OF 10-16 FT...SUBSIDING TO 9-12 FT ON SAT. SINCE THIS
EVENT WILL ENDURE A RATHER LONG DURATION...EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12
FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL TO REACH NEAR 112W FROM 02N-14N
BETWEEN 92W-112W BY EARLY SAT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 08N93W. ITCZ FROM 08N93W
TO 08N105W TO 09.5N116W TO 11N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
89W...AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF 138W.

...DISCUSSION...

ALOFT...
GENERALLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAIL EXCEPT S OF
19N WHERE TROPICAL MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF BROKEN CIRRUS CLOUDS
STREAMING EASTWARD ARE NOTED.

SURFACE...
A STATIONARY FRONT IS ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS ALONG A POSITION
FROM 32N129W TO 18N140W. A SECOND COLD FRONT...SUPPORTED BY
BROAD UPPER TROUGHING...JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MERGE WITH THIS
FRONT LATER TODAY. THE MERGED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW
WATERS REACHING A POSITION FROM 32N135W TO 26N140W TONIGHT...AND
AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT 32N133W TO 25N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS
ARE ARE FORECAST BE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS 8-10 FT IN NW SWELL.

A STATIONARY 1022 MB HIGH PRES JUST N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 33N125W WITH A RIDGE SW TO 24N140W. MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES ARE NOTED PER SCATTEROMETER DATA ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
14N128W TO 10N130W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE
TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL MIXED NE AND
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 9 FT FROM 10N TO 18N W OF TROUGH
TO 130W. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE
ASSOCIATED MARINE CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

OTHER GAP WINDS...
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES MAINLY BETWEEN 27N TO 29N WITH SEAS TO 6-7 FT. THE
PRES GRADIENT HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION AND WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 20 KT OR LESS LATE TODAY.

GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS
THE NW CARIBBEAN AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA IS PRODUCING FRESH
TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THESE GAP WIND REGIONS. LATEST ASCAT
PASS PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS OF 20-30 KT ACROSS BOTH GULFS. EXPECT
SEAS TO 8-10 FT WITH THESE EVENTS. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA AND
THROUGH 48 HOURS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE SE
MEXICO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITH INDUCED SEAS OF 14-22 FT ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GULF WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W.
ASCAT DATA FROM LATE LAST NIGHT SHOWED GALE FORCE WINDS
EXTENDING DOWNWIND AND SW OF THE GULF TO ABOUT 12N98W. MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS BY EARLY FRI AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON...AND
TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS BY EARLY ON SAT. A LARGE SWATH OF N-
NE 20-30 KT WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM
16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N98W TO 11N101W FRI...AND WITHIN WITHIN 75
NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N97W TO 11N100W ON SAT
WITH SEAS OF 10-16 FT...SUBSIDING TO 9-12 FT ON SAT. SINCE THIS
EVENT WILL ENDURE A RATHER LONG DURATION...EXPECT SEAS OF 8-12
FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL TO REACH NEAR 112W FROM 02N-14N
BETWEEN 92W-112W BY EARLY SAT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 08N93W. ITCZ FROM 08N93W
TO 08N105W TO 09.5N116W TO 11N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W-
89W...AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF 138W.

...DISCUSSION...

ALOFT...
GENERALLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAIL EXCEPT S OF
19N WHERE TROPICAL MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF BROKEN CIRRUS CLOUDS
STREAMING EASTWARD ARE NOTED.

SURFACE...
A STATIONARY FRONT IS ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS ALONG A POSITION
FROM 32N129W TO 18N140W. A SECOND COLD FRONT...SUPPORTED BY
BROAD UPPER TROUGHING...JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MERGE WITH THIS
FRONT LATER TODAY. THE MERGED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW
WATERS REACHING A POSITION FROM 32N135W TO 26N140W TONIGHT...AND
AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT 32N133W TO 25N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS
ARE ARE FORECAST BE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS 8-10 FT IN NW SWELL.

A STATIONARY 1022 MB HIGH PRES JUST N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 33N125W WITH A RIDGE SW TO 24N140W. MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES ARE NOTED PER SCATTEROMETER DATA ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
14N128W TO 10N130W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE
TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL MIXED NE AND
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 9 FT FROM 10N TO 18N W OF TROUGH
TO 130W. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE
ASSOCIATED MARINE CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

OTHER GAP WINDS...
GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES MAINLY BETWEEN 27N TO 29N WITH SEAS TO 6-7 FT. THE
PRES GRADIENT HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION AND WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 20 KT OR LESS LATE TODAY.

GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS
THE NW CARIBBEAN AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA IS PRODUCING FRESH
TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THESE GAP WIND REGIONS. LATEST ASCAT
PASS PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS OF 20-30 KT ACROSS BOTH GULFS. EXPECT
SEAS TO 8-10 FT WITH THESE EVENTS. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA AND
THROUGH 48 HOURS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 22N79W TO 18.5N84W TO
16N85.5W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS AND SEA
HEIGHTS REACHING 11 FEET...IN THE AREA OF THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 17.5N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT TO
88W. THE GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/
FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N13W...TO 8N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 8N17W TO
6N23W 5N33W AND 5N40W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 29W AND 38W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 2N TO 5N
BETWEEN 10W AND 22W...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 23W
AND 41W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 7N SOUTHWARD FROM 12W
EASTWARD...AND FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 41W AND 48W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S.A....BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GEORGIA AND ALABAMA...INTO THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE
COAST OF EAST CENTRAL MEXICO...ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE TROUGH. IT
CROSSES FLORIDA...JUST TO THE NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MOVING
INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N71W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...INTO THE BAHAMAS
NEAR 25N77W...ACROSS CUBA NEAR 22N79W...INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA
NEAR 18N84W...CURVING THROUGH EASTERN SECTIONS OF HONDURAS...
CURVING THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF
GUATEMALA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...EVERYWHERE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...WIDELY
SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N83W 16N86W. IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 60 NM TO 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N71W 27N75W 22N81W...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE 22N81W 16N84W.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM A 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS ALONG THE
MEXICO COAST NEAR 23N98W...ALONG THE MEXICO COAST...INTO THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03
KNHC...AND THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER
DISCUSSION...MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KGHB...KGBK...
KGRY...KATP...KIPN...AND KDLP. ICAO STATION KGUL HAS REPORTED
SOME LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

VISIBILITIES OF 1 TO 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING OBSERVED
IN THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS IN HARLINGEN...BROWNSVILLE...AND PORT
ISABEL. THE VISIBILITY WAS AS LOW AS 1 MILE OR LESS AND FOG AT
27/0915 UTC AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE AIRPORT. THE VISIBILITY
CURRENTLY IS ABOUT 7 MILES.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N49W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG
29N60W 21N61W 20N64W...INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 16N64W...TO
THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N68W...AND INTO COLOMBIA NEAR
6N71W. AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM
VENEZUELA...TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN. PART OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW BECOMES
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGE-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 22N49W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. ANOTHER PART OF
THE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CAUGHT UP IN LARGE-SCALE
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 60W. THE POINT OF DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW FOR THE BAND OF
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IS NEAR 20N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 43W AND
50W...AROUND THE 22N49W CYCLONIC CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 31N BETWEEN 42W AND 64W...AND FROM 5N TO
19N BETWEEN 40W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND 65W IN THE EASTERN
PART OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N71W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...INTO
THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W...ACROSS CUBA NEAR 22N79W...INTO THE
CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 18N84W...CURVING THROUGH EASTERN SECTIONS OF
HONDURAS...CURVING THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS
OF GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N83W 16N86W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE 22N81W
16N84W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 19N79W...BETWEEN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA.
COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY IN A LARGE PART OF THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA-TO-THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA NEAR 11N...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN
SEA...BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. IT IS MOVING ON TOP OF MIDDLE LEVEL
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW THAT IS NEAR 15N74W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.15 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.15 IN HAVANA IN CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IS IN SOUTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA FROM
10N NORTHWARD. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND
PANAMA FROM 10N SOUTHWARD FROM 80W EASTWARD. MULTILAYERED CLOUDS
ARE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 11N75W.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA THAT IS BETWEEN 70W AND SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA...ACROSS HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO AND IN LA
ROMANA. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA
CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WITH A TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE
TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...RESULTING IN WESTERLY WIND FLOW
FLOW UNTIL THE END OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL REACH
HISPANIOLA. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH TO THE
EAST AND A RIDGE TO THE WEST. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 36N7W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...JUST OFF THE COASTS OF PORTUGAL
AND SPAIN...THROUGH MOROCCO...THE WESTERN SAHARA...AND
MAURITANIA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 25N33W 23N25W 22N17W.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 34N44W...TO 29N29W 25N22W...AND INTO SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN SAHARA. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SAME 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER...TO 34N50W 32N60W...TOWARD
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA/THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 22N79W TO 18.5N84W TO
16N85.5W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS AND SEA
HEIGHTS REACHING 11 FEET...IN THE AREA OF THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...TO THE SOUTH OF 17.5N TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT TO
88W. THE GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL LAST FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/
FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N13W...TO 8N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 8N17W TO
6N23W 5N33W AND 5N40W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 29W AND 38W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 2N TO 5N
BETWEEN 10W AND 22W...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 23W
AND 41W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 7N SOUTHWARD FROM 12W
EASTWARD...AND FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 41W AND 48W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S.A....BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GEORGIA AND ALABAMA...INTO THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE
COAST OF EAST CENTRAL MEXICO...ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE TROUGH. IT
CROSSES FLORIDA...JUST TO THE NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MOVING
INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N71W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...INTO THE BAHAMAS
NEAR 25N77W...ACROSS CUBA NEAR 22N79W...INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA
NEAR 18N84W...CURVING THROUGH EASTERN SECTIONS OF HONDURAS...
CURVING THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF
GUATEMALA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...EVERYWHERE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...WIDELY
SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N83W 16N86W. IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 60 NM TO 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N71W 27N75W 22N81W...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE 22N81W 16N84W.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM A 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS ALONG THE
MEXICO COAST NEAR 23N98W...ALONG THE MEXICO COAST...INTO THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03
KNHC...AND THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER
DISCUSSION...MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KGHB...KGBK...
KGRY...KATP...KIPN...AND KDLP. ICAO STATION KGUL HAS REPORTED
SOME LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

VISIBILITIES OF 1 TO 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING OBSERVED
IN THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS IN HARLINGEN...BROWNSVILLE...AND PORT
ISABEL. THE VISIBILITY WAS AS LOW AS 1 MILE OR LESS AND FOG AT
27/0915 UTC AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE AIRPORT. THE VISIBILITY
CURRENTLY IS ABOUT 7 MILES.

...FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N49W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG
29N60W 21N61W 20N64W...INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 16N64W...TO
THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N68W...AND INTO COLOMBIA NEAR
6N71W. AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM
VENEZUELA...TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN. PART OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW BECOMES
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGE-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 22N49W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. ANOTHER PART OF
THE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CAUGHT UP IN LARGE-SCALE
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 60W. THE POINT OF DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW FOR THE BAND OF
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IS NEAR 20N42W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 43W AND
50W...AROUND THE 22N49W CYCLONIC CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 31N BETWEEN 42W AND 64W...AND FROM 5N TO
19N BETWEEN 40W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND 65W IN THE EASTERN
PART OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N71W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...INTO
THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N77W...ACROSS CUBA NEAR 22N79W...INTO THE
CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 18N84W...CURVING THROUGH EASTERN SECTIONS OF
HONDURAS...CURVING THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS
OF GUATEMALA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N83W 16N86W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE 22N81W
16N84W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 19N79W...BETWEEN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA.
COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY IN A LARGE PART OF THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA-TO-THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA NEAR 11N...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN
SEA...BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. IT IS MOVING ON TOP OF MIDDLE LEVEL
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW THAT IS NEAR 15N74W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
27/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.15 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.15 IN HAVANA IN CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IS IN SOUTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA FROM
10N NORTHWARD. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND
PANAMA FROM 10N SOUTHWARD FROM 80W EASTWARD. MULTILAYERED CLOUDS
ARE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 11N75W.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA THAT IS BETWEEN 70W AND SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA...ACROSS HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO AND IN LA
ROMANA. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA
CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WITH A TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE
TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...RESULTING IN WESTERLY WIND FLOW
FLOW UNTIL THE END OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL REACH
HISPANIOLA. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH TO THE
EAST AND A RIDGE TO THE WEST. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA.

...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 36N7W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...JUST OFF THE COASTS OF PORTUGAL
AND SPAIN...THROUGH MOROCCO...THE WESTERN SAHARA...AND
MAURITANIA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 25N33W 23N25W 22N17W.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 34N44W...TO 29N29W 25N22W...AND INTO SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN SAHARA. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SAME 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER...TO 34N50W 32N60W...TOWARD
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
ACPN50 PHFO 271146
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 271146
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 271146
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 271146
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU NOV 27 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271133
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271133
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271133
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271133
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271126
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271126
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST THU NOV 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271125
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 271125
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST JUEVES 27 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270924
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY BLOWING ACROSS THE AREA. THE MOST
RECENT ASCAT PASS INDICATED GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING DOWNWIND
AND SW OF THE GULF TO ABOUT 12N98W. IN ADDITION...AN ALTIMETER
PASS SHOWED SEAS TO 16 FT DOWNSTREAM AND SW OF THE GULF TO NEAR
13N96W...AND A SHIP REPORTED NE WINDS OF 33 KT AND SEAS TO 18 FT
NEAR 11.5N98W. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
45-50 KT WINDS TO PERSIST INTO FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON
THROUGH SAT MORNING...THEN TO 25 KT BY LATE SAT AND TO 20 KT OR
LESS BY LATE SUN MORNING. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO
22-23 FT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS. SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE AS
NORTHERLY SWELL WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND APPROACH
THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N90W. ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 09N90W TO 10N108W TO 08N120W TO 10N125W TO 08N140W. A
CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 9.5N109W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N
TO 09N W OF 133W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES MAINLY BETWEEN 27N TO 29N WITH SEAS TO 6-7 FT. THE
PRES GRADIENT HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION AND WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 20 KT OR LESS LATE TODAY.

GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA IS
PRODUCING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THESE GAP WIND
REGIONS. LATEST ASCAT PASS PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS OF 20-30 KT
ACROSS BOTH GULFS. EXPECT BUILDING SEAS TO 8-10 FT WITH THESE
EVENTS. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 24 HOURS IN
THE GULF OF FONSECA AND THROUGH 48 HOURS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS AND EXTENDS 30N138W TO
28N140W. A SECOND COLD FRONT W OF AREA WILL MERGE WITH THIS
FRONT LATE TODAY. THE MERGED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW
WATERS REACHING A POSITION FROM 30N136W TO 26N140W TONIGHT AND
FROM 30N132W TO 25N140W AS A WEAKENING FRONT BY FRI NIGHT. NW
SWELL TO 12-13 FT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL PROPAGATE SE
ACROSS NW WATERS TODAY.

1024 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
ARE NOTED PER SCATTEROMETER DATA ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE RIDGE. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N127W TO
10N130W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN
AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES
TO 8-10 FT FROM 10N TO 15N W OF TROUGH TO 131W. THE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE ASSOCIATED MARINE CONDITIONS
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
GR


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270924
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS A RESULT...MINIMAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY BLOWING ACROSS THE AREA. THE MOST
RECENT ASCAT PASS INDICATED GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING DOWNWIND
AND SW OF THE GULF TO ABOUT 12N98W. IN ADDITION...AN ALTIMETER
PASS SHOWED SEAS TO 16 FT DOWNSTREAM AND SW OF THE GULF TO NEAR
13N96W...AND A SHIP REPORTED NE WINDS OF 33 KT AND SEAS TO 18 FT
NEAR 11.5N98W. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
45-50 KT WINDS TO PERSIST INTO FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON
THROUGH SAT MORNING...THEN TO 25 KT BY LATE SAT AND TO 20 KT OR
LESS BY LATE SUN MORNING. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO
22-23 FT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS. SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE AS
NORTHERLY SWELL WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND APPROACH
THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N90W. ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 09N90W TO 10N108W TO 08N120W TO 10N125W TO 08N140W. A
CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 9.5N109W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N
TO 09N W OF 133W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES MAINLY BETWEEN 27N TO 29N WITH SEAS TO 6-7 FT. THE
PRES GRADIENT HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION AND WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 20 KT OR LESS LATE TODAY.

GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA IS
PRODUCING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THESE GAP WIND
REGIONS. LATEST ASCAT PASS PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS OF 20-30 KT
ACROSS BOTH GULFS. EXPECT BUILDING SEAS TO 8-10 FT WITH THESE
EVENTS. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 24 HOURS IN
THE GULF OF FONSECA AND THROUGH 48 HOURS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS AND EXTENDS 30N138W TO
28N140W. A SECOND COLD FRONT W OF AREA WILL MERGE WITH THIS
FRONT LATE TODAY. THE MERGED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW
WATERS REACHING A POSITION FROM 30N136W TO 26N140W TONIGHT AND
FROM 30N132W TO 25N140W AS A WEAKENING FRONT BY FRI NIGHT. NW
SWELL TO 12-13 FT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL PROPAGATE SE
ACROSS NW WATERS TODAY.

1024 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
ARE NOTED PER SCATTEROMETER DATA ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE RIDGE. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N127W TO
10N130W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN
AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES
TO 8-10 FT FROM 10N TO 15N W OF TROUGH TO 131W. THE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE ASSOCIATED MARINE CONDITIONS
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
GR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 11N15W...TO 7N20W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N20W TO 6N26W
7N40W 7N48W...TO THE COAST OF SURINAME NEAR 6N56W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N TO
10N BETWEEN 32W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 4N9W
4N14W 5N18W 6N21W AND 7N31W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 5N
TO 12N BETWEEN 40W AND 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S.A....BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GEORGIA AND ALABAMA...INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N73W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS ANDROS ISLAND IN
THE BAHAMAS...THROUGH CUBA NEAR 22N80W...INTO EASTERN SECTIONS
OF HONDURAS...CURVING THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...VERYWHERE EXCEPT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 14N NORTHWARD FROM THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE WESTWARD...IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM TO THE WEST OF
THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N70W IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...27N74W... 22N78W AT THE COAST OF CUBA. STRATIFORM CLOUDS
ARE FROM 24N SOUTHWARD.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
25N93W...TO COASTAL MEXICO NEAR 19N96W...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF CUBA AND JAMAICA.
COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY IN A LARGE PART OF THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE COVER THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA-TO-THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA NEAR 10N...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A COLD FRONT CUTS ACROSS ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...THROUGH
CUBA NEAR 22N80W...INTO EASTERN SECTIONS OF HONDURAS...CURVING
THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 14N NORTHWARD
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WESTWARD.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. IT IS MOVING ON TOP
OF MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY WIND FLOW THAT IS NEAR 15N74W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
26/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.15 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.15 IN HAVANA IN CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 5N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N81W IN
COASTAL PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE SOUTHWEST
OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM 12N83W TO 12N80W TO 11N76W.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS
MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE PAST HAITI. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW IS REACHING HISPANIOLA
FROM THE NORTHEAST.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO LA
ROMANA TO PUNTA CANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WITH A TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE
TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...RESULTING IN WESTERLY WIND FLOW
FLOW UNTIL THE END OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL REACH
HISPANIOLA. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH TO THE
EAST AND A RIDGE TO THE WEST. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FROM CUBA AND HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD AND
IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W
WESTWARD.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N48W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 40W AND
60W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N TO 22N.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM TO 360 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE 17N45W 19N45W
21N46W 22N48W 21N50W 23N53W.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 35N44W...THROUGH 33N55W TO 29N62W 27N70W...TO
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SAME 1032 MB
HIGH PRESSURE CENTER...TO 30N30W 26N21W...AND TO THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN SAHARA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF GUINEA
NEAR 11N15W...TO 7N20W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N20W TO 6N26W
7N40W 7N48W...TO THE COAST OF SURINAME NEAR 6N56W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N TO
10N BETWEEN 32W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 4N9W
4N14W 5N18W 6N21W AND 7N31W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 5N
TO 12N BETWEEN 40W AND 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S.A....BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GEORGIA AND ALABAMA...INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N73W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS ANDROS ISLAND IN
THE BAHAMAS...THROUGH CUBA NEAR 22N80W...INTO EASTERN SECTIONS
OF HONDURAS...CURVING THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...VERYWHERE EXCEPT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 14N NORTHWARD FROM THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE WESTWARD...IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM TO THE WEST OF
THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N70W IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...27N74W... 22N78W AT THE COAST OF CUBA. STRATIFORM CLOUDS
ARE FROM 24N SOUTHWARD.

STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
25N93W...TO COASTAL MEXICO NEAR 19N96W...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

NO LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF CUBA AND JAMAICA.
COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY IN A LARGE PART OF THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE COVER THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA-TO-THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA NEAR 10N...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A COLD FRONT CUTS ACROSS ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...THROUGH
CUBA NEAR 22N80W...INTO EASTERN SECTIONS OF HONDURAS...CURVING
THROUGH EL SALVADOR...INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF GUATEMALA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 14N NORTHWARD
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WESTWARD.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. IT IS MOVING ON TOP
OF MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY WIND FLOW THAT IS NEAR 15N74W.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
26/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.15 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.15 IN HAVANA IN CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 5N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N81W IN
COASTAL PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE SOUTHWEST
OF THE LINE THAT RUNS FROM 12N83W TO 12N80W TO 11N76W.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS
MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE PAST HAITI. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW IS REACHING HISPANIOLA
FROM THE NORTHEAST.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO LA
ROMANA TO PUNTA CANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
WITH A TROUGH WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE
TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...RESULTING IN WESTERLY WIND FLOW
FLOW UNTIL THE END OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL REACH
HISPANIOLA. HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A TROUGH TO THE
EAST AND A RIDGE TO THE WEST. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FROM CUBA AND HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD AND
IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W
WESTWARD.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N48W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 40W AND
60W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N TO 22N.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM TO 360 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE 17N45W 19N45W
21N46W 22N48W 21N50W 23N53W.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 35N44W...THROUGH 33N55W TO 29N62W 27N70W...TO
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SAME 1032 MB
HIGH PRESSURE CENTER...TO 30N30W 26N21W...AND TO THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN SAHARA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.


$$

REYNES






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270539
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270539
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 270538
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 270538
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270320
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE
AT PRESENT AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
45-50 KT WINDS TO PERSIST INTO FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...
THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS
TO 22-23 FT...AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS
IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE
REGION AND APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 07N96W. ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N137W TO 27N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12-13 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS TODAY.

1024 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N120W TO 11N124W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 08N TO 17N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270320
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE
AT PRESENT AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
45-50 KT WINDS TO PERSIST INTO FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...
THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS
TO 22-23 FT...AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS
IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE
REGION AND APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 07N96W. ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N137W TO 27N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12-13 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS TODAY.

1024 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N120W TO 11N124W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 08N TO 17N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270320
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE
AT PRESENT AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
45-50 KT WINDS TO PERSIST INTO FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...
THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS
TO 22-23 FT...AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS
IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE
REGION AND APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 07N96W. ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N137W TO 27N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12-13 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS TODAY.

1024 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N120W TO 11N124W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 08N TO 17N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270320
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU NOV 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE
AT PRESENT AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
45-50 KT WINDS TO PERSIST INTO FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...
THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS
TO 22-23 FT...AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS
IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE
REGION AND APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 07N96W. ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N137W TO 27N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12-13 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS TODAY.

1024 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N125W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N120W TO 11N124W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 08N TO 17N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACPN50 PHFO 270003
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 8N13W TO 7N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N30W TO 8N48W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N56W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N8N BETWEEN 27W-41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 25N94W. 10-15 KT ANTICYCLONIC WINDS ARE
NOTED AROUND THE HIGH WITH FAIR WEATHER. ELSEWHERE RESIDUAL
SHOWERS ARE OVER S FLORIDA BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXITING
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE BASE OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS FROM S FLORIDA TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT S FLORIDA TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT. ALSO
EXPECT THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF TO HAVE FAIR WEATHER WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM W CUBA AT 23N80W TO CENTRAL HONDURAS
AT 16N86W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF
FRONT WITH 20-25 KT NORTHERLY WINDS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 13N W OF 80W. 15-25 KT
TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA
... HISPANIOLA...AND JAMAICA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ENHANCING CONVECTION. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM
E CUBA TO NORTHERN NICARAGUA WITH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS
ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT MORE
PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N75W
TO W CUBA AT 23N80W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30
NM OF THE FRONT TO INCLUDE THE N BAHAMAS NEAR NASSAU. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW OF THE FRONT REACHING S
FLORIDA. A LARGE 1032 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 36N44W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FROM 22N44W TO 17N46W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120
NM OF THE THROUGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 22N48W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-
26N BETWEEN 40W-52W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD
FRONT TO MOVE E OVER THE W ATLANTIC WITH CONVECTION. ALSO EXPECT
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE NW WITH CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 8N13W TO 7N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N30W TO 8N48W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N56W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N8N BETWEEN 27W-41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 25N94W. 10-15 KT ANTICYCLONIC WINDS ARE
NOTED AROUND THE HIGH WITH FAIR WEATHER. ELSEWHERE RESIDUAL
SHOWERS ARE OVER S FLORIDA BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXITING
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE BASE OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS FROM S FLORIDA TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT S FLORIDA TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT. ALSO
EXPECT THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF TO HAVE FAIR WEATHER WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM W CUBA AT 23N80W TO CENTRAL HONDURAS
AT 16N86W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF
FRONT WITH 20-25 KT NORTHERLY WINDS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 13N W OF 80W. 15-25 KT
TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA
... HISPANIOLA...AND JAMAICA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ENHANCING CONVECTION. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM
E CUBA TO NORTHERN NICARAGUA WITH SHOWERS AND CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS
ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT MORE
PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N75W
TO W CUBA AT 23N80W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30
NM OF THE FRONT TO INCLUDE THE N BAHAMAS NEAR NASSAU. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW OF THE FRONT REACHING S
FLORIDA. A LARGE 1032 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 36N44W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FROM 22N44W TO 17N46W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120
NM OF THE THROUGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 22N48W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-
26N BETWEEN 40W-52W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD
FRONT TO MOVE E OVER THE W ATLANTIC WITH CONVECTION. ALSO EXPECT
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE NW WITH CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 262319
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 PM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 262319
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 PM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262319
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262319
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 262318
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 262318
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262150
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED
TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE
NOW INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL 45-50 KT WINDS TO
PERSIST THROUGH FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...THEN TO
20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO 24-
25 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE
WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N124W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS
W OF 119W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT AND EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH THU.

1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N124W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N119W TO 11N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262150
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED
TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE
NOW INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL 45-50 KT WINDS TO
PERSIST THROUGH FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...THEN TO
20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO 24-
25 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE
WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N124W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS
W OF 119W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT AND EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH THU.

1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N124W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N119W TO 11N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262150
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED
TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE
NOW INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL 45-50 KT WINDS TO
PERSIST THROUGH FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...THEN TO
20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO 24-
25 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE
WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N124W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS
W OF 119W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT AND EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH THU.

1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N124W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N119W TO 11N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262150
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED
TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE
NOW INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL 45-50 KT WINDS TO
PERSIST THROUGH FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...THEN TO
20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO 24-
25 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE
WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N124W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS
W OF 119W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT AND EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH THU.

1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N124W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N119W TO 11N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262150
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED
TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE
NOW INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL 45-50 KT WINDS TO
PERSIST THROUGH FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...THEN TO
20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO 24-
25 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE
WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N124W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS
W OF 119W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT AND EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH THU.

1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N124W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N119W TO 11N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262150
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE SW GULF OF MEXICO IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED
TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE
NOW INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL 45-50 KT WINDS TO
PERSIST THROUGH FRI MORNING...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE FRI AFTERNOON...THEN TO
20 KT OR LESS BY SAT. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS TO 24-
25 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE
WIND EVENT WILL PROPAGATE WELL AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE REGION AND
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 07N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N96W TO 10N108W TO 11N124W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS
W OF 119W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
CONTINUES N OF 27N WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT SUPPORTED BY A WEAKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE INTO THE
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
IN AND DOWNSTREAM FROM PAPAGAYO WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO
11-12 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT AND EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS IN FAR NW WATERS FROM 30N138W TO 28N140W.
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE THU THROUGH FRI. NW
SWELL TO 12 FT WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH THU.

1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA CENTERED NEAR 33N124W
EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 15N119W TO 11N123W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A SMALL AREA OF FRESH NE
WINDS W OF THE TROUGH AND AN AREA OF COMBINED SEAS FROM RESIDUAL
NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES TO 8-9 FT FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 120W.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXNT20 KNHC 261803
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR W ATLC AT 26/1200 UTC THROUGH 18
UTC. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N79W TO A 1013
MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 29N81W AND ACROSS S FL. STRONG S TO SW WINDS
UP TO 35 KT ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF
29N WITH SEAS OF 9 TO 11 FT. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 7N12W TO 6N17W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 5N30W TO 7N43W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO
10N BETWEEN 21W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND OVER THE GULF
ALONG 90W. THIS TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS
ACROSS S FL AND INTO THE SE GULF NEAR 26N82W TO W CUBA NEAR
23N84W. SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT.
THE REMINDER OF THE BASIN IS CLOUD FREE WITH DRY AIR AND
SUBSIDENCE IN PLACE. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO NEAR 25N101W. THIS HIGH IS PROVIDING COLD ADVECTION OVER
ALL QUADRANTS OF THE GULF EXCEPT THE NW BASIN. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 100 NM OF THE FRONT. THE NW BASIN NEARER TO
THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER HAS SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE BASIN.  A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE NE BASIN THURSDAY WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE BASIN ON THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF EXTENDS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS THE COLD FRONT ACROSS FL AND SE
GULF...CROSSING OVER W CUBA NEAR 22N84W AND OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TO 17N87W AND THEN THE COAST OF BELIZE NEAR 16N89W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 80 NM OF THE
FRONT. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS EAST OF THE FRONT BETWEEN THE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN...AND AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE E CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 16N TO 22N
BETWEEN 75W AND 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS S OF 13N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W. THIS CONVECTION IS
BEING ENHANCED BY THE INTERACTION OF THE NEARBY MONSOON TROUGH
WITH THE AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A WEAK MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE E CARIBBEAN WITHIN 70 NM OF 15N68W. TRADE WINDS OF 15 TO 20
KT ARE OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SE WINDS OF 10 TO
15 KT ARE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN THE NW CARIBBEAN AND NW AT
10 TO 20 KT BEHIND THE FRONT. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD
FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SE WITH CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC AND OVER
HISPANIOLA. THIS WILL LIMIT CONVECTION ACROSS THE ISLAND TODAY
AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE ISLAND FROM THE NW
WILL INCREASE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST AND GULF SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT FROM 31N79W TO A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 29N81W AND
ACROSS S FL. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE AHEAD OF PORTIONS OF THIS
FRONT. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION. SHOWERS ARE WITHIN
100 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM E OF THE FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 22N48W IS SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED FROM 22N44W
TO 17N47W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 26N
BETWEEN 41W AND 54W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50 M OF EITHER
SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. THE REST OF THE BASIN FROM 15N TO 31N
IS DOMINATED BY ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND FAIR WEATHER WITH A LARGE
1034 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 36N42W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO



000
AXNT20 KNHC 261803
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR W ATLC AT 26/1200 UTC THROUGH 18
UTC. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N79W TO A 1013
MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 29N81W AND ACROSS S FL. STRONG S TO SW WINDS
UP TO 35 KT ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF
29N WITH SEAS OF 9 TO 11 FT. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 7N12W TO 6N17W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 5N30W TO 7N43W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO
10N BETWEEN 21W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND OVER THE GULF
ALONG 90W. THIS TROUGH IS SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS
ACROSS S FL AND INTO THE SE GULF NEAR 26N82W TO W CUBA NEAR
23N84W. SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT.
THE REMINDER OF THE BASIN IS CLOUD FREE WITH DRY AIR AND
SUBSIDENCE IN PLACE. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO NEAR 25N101W. THIS HIGH IS PROVIDING COLD ADVECTION OVER
ALL QUADRANTS OF THE GULF EXCEPT THE NW BASIN. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 100 NM OF THE FRONT. THE NW BASIN NEARER TO
THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER HAS SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE BASIN.  A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE NE BASIN THURSDAY WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE BASIN ON THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF EXTENDS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS THE COLD FRONT ACROSS FL AND SE
GULF...CROSSING OVER W CUBA NEAR 22N84W AND OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TO 17N87W AND THEN THE COAST OF BELIZE NEAR 16N89W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 80 NM OF THE
FRONT. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS EAST OF THE FRONT BETWEEN THE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN...AND AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE E CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 16N TO 22N
BETWEEN 75W AND 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS S OF 13N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W. THIS CONVECTION IS
BEING ENHANCED BY THE INTERACTION OF THE NEARBY MONSOON TROUGH
WITH THE AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A WEAK MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE E CARIBBEAN WITHIN 70 NM OF 15N68W. TRADE WINDS OF 15 TO 20
KT ARE OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SE WINDS OF 10 TO
15 KT ARE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN THE NW CARIBBEAN AND NW AT
10 TO 20 KT BEHIND THE FRONT. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD
FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SE WITH CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC AND OVER
HISPANIOLA. THIS WILL LIMIT CONVECTION ACROSS THE ISLAND TODAY
AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE ISLAND FROM THE NW
WILL INCREASE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST AND GULF SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT FROM 31N79W TO A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 29N81W AND
ACROSS S FL. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE AHEAD OF PORTIONS OF THIS
FRONT. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION. SHOWERS ARE WITHIN
100 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM E OF THE FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 22N48W IS SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED FROM 22N44W
TO 17N47W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 26N
BETWEEN 41W AND 54W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 50 M OF EITHER
SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. THE REST OF THE BASIN FROM 15N TO 31N
IS DOMINATED BY ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND FAIR WEATHER WITH A LARGE
1034 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 36N42W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
ACPN50 PHFO 261745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 261745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

BRAVENDER






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261741
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261740
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABNT20 KNHC 261740
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261521
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT NOW SE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED TO
MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE NOW
INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR THE STORM WARNING TO PERSIST THROUGH
48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY VERY BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO JUST
LESS THAN STORM FORCE DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND TOMORROW.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH AND REMAIN BELOW STORM FORCE BY FRI
AFTERNOON...THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS SAT. THE LATEST TAFB-NWPS
INDICATES SEAS OF UP TO 27 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL MANAGE TO PROPAGATE
WELL AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF AREA APPROACHING THE EQUATOR
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 08N98W. THE ITCZ
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...
WITHIN 120 NM SE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 124W...WITHIN 90
NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W...AND FROM 06N
TO 09N W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A SLIVER OF FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF S OF 30N WITH SEAS TO 8 FT SUPPORTED
BY A STILL RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 24 HOURS WITH SEAS
SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY THEN AS WELL.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS IN AND
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS BREACHING THE FAR NW WATERS CURRENTLY NEAR
30N140W. THIS FRONT WILL STALL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN
WILL BARELY SHIFT EASTWARD BETWEEN 24-48 HOURS. ASSOCIATED WINDS
HAVE DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS...HOWEVER NW SWELL UP TO 12 FT
WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 35N124W EXTENDS A RIDGE TO THE SW NEAR 28N128W AND TO THE
SE TO NEAR 22N112W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N118W
TO 09N125W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING
A SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS JUST W OF THE TROUGH
WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH 24 HOURS...DIMINISHING BY 48 HOURS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SLIGHTLY.

OTHERWISE...MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 120W...AND ALSO
FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 128W. THIS MIXED SWELL WILL
DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE
ONLY REMAINING AREA OF 8-9 FT SEAS BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W
CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY FRI MORNING.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261521
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT NOW SE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED TO
MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE NOW
INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR THE STORM WARNING TO PERSIST THROUGH
48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY VERY BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO JUST
LESS THAN STORM FORCE DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND TOMORROW.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH AND REMAIN BELOW STORM FORCE BY FRI
AFTERNOON...THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS SAT. THE LATEST TAFB-NWPS
INDICATES SEAS OF UP TO 27 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL MANAGE TO PROPAGATE
WELL AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF AREA APPROACHING THE EQUATOR
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 08N98W. THE ITCZ
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...
WITHIN 120 NM SE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 124W...WITHIN 90
NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W...AND FROM 06N
TO 09N W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A SLIVER OF FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF S OF 30N WITH SEAS TO 8 FT SUPPORTED
BY A STILL RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 24 HOURS WITH SEAS
SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY THEN AS WELL.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS IN AND
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS BREACHING THE FAR NW WATERS CURRENTLY NEAR
30N140W. THIS FRONT WILL STALL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN
WILL BARELY SHIFT EASTWARD BETWEEN 24-48 HOURS. ASSOCIATED WINDS
HAVE DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS...HOWEVER NW SWELL UP TO 12 FT
WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 35N124W EXTENDS A RIDGE TO THE SW NEAR 28N128W AND TO THE
SE TO NEAR 22N112W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N118W
TO 09N125W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING
A SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS JUST W OF THE TROUGH
WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH 24 HOURS...DIMINISHING BY 48 HOURS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SLIGHTLY.

OTHERWISE...MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 120W...AND ALSO
FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 128W. THIS MIXED SWELL WILL
DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE
ONLY REMAINING AREA OF 8-9 FT SEAS BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W
CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY FRI MORNING.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261521
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT NOW SE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED TO
MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE NOW
INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR THE STORM WARNING TO PERSIST THROUGH
48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY VERY BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO JUST
LESS THAN STORM FORCE DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND TOMORROW.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH AND REMAIN BELOW STORM FORCE BY FRI
AFTERNOON...THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS SAT. THE LATEST TAFB-NWPS
INDICATES SEAS OF UP TO 27 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL MANAGE TO PROPAGATE
WELL AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF AREA APPROACHING THE EQUATOR
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 08N98W. THE ITCZ
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...
WITHIN 120 NM SE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 124W...WITHIN 90
NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W...AND FROM 06N
TO 09N W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A SLIVER OF FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF S OF 30N WITH SEAS TO 8 FT SUPPORTED
BY A STILL RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 24 HOURS WITH SEAS
SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY THEN AS WELL.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS IN AND
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS BREACHING THE FAR NW WATERS CURRENTLY NEAR
30N140W. THIS FRONT WILL STALL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN
WILL BARELY SHIFT EASTWARD BETWEEN 24-48 HOURS. ASSOCIATED WINDS
HAVE DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS...HOWEVER NW SWELL UP TO 12 FT
WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 35N124W EXTENDS A RIDGE TO THE SW NEAR 28N128W AND TO THE
SE TO NEAR 22N112W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N118W
TO 09N125W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING
A SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS JUST W OF THE TROUGH
WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH 24 HOURS...DIMINISHING BY 48 HOURS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SLIGHTLY.

OTHERWISE...MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 120W...AND ALSO
FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 128W. THIS MIXED SWELL WILL
DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE
ONLY REMAINING AREA OF 8-9 FT SEAS BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W
CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY FRI MORNING.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261521
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT NOW SE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA IS SUPPORTING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS HAVE LIKELY INCREASED TO
MINIMAL STORM FORCE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MODEL GUIDANCE NOW
INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR THE STORM WARNING TO PERSIST THROUGH
48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY VERY BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO JUST
LESS THAN STORM FORCE DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND TOMORROW.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH AND REMAIN BELOW STORM FORCE BY FRI
AFTERNOON...THEN TO 20 KT OR LESS SAT. THE LATEST TAFB-NWPS
INDICATES SEAS OF UP TO 27 FT AND SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY THIS IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT WILL MANAGE TO PROPAGATE
WELL AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF AREA APPROACHING THE EQUATOR
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 08N98W. THE ITCZ
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...
WITHIN 120 NM SE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 124W...WITHIN 90
NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W...AND FROM 06N
TO 09N W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A SLIVER OF FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF S OF 30N WITH SEAS TO 8 FT SUPPORTED
BY A STILL RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 24 HOURS WITH SEAS
SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY THEN AS WELL.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FAR NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS IN AND
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF WITH RESULTANT SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

GULF OF FONSECA...THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU...
THEN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG THE FOLLOWING NIGHT AND
MORNING BUILDING SEAS UP TO 8 FT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS BREACHING THE FAR NW WATERS CURRENTLY NEAR
30N140W. THIS FRONT WILL STALL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN
WILL BARELY SHIFT EASTWARD BETWEEN 24-48 HOURS. ASSOCIATED WINDS
HAVE DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS...HOWEVER NW SWELL UP TO 12 FT
WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 35N124W EXTENDS A RIDGE TO THE SW NEAR 28N128W AND TO THE
SE TO NEAR 22N112W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N118W
TO 09N125W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND TROUGH IS SUPPORTING
A SMALL AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS JUST W OF THE TROUGH
WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH 24 HOURS...DIMINISHING BY 48 HOURS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SLIGHTLY.

OTHERWISE...MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 120W...AND ALSO
FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 128W. THIS MIXED SWELL WILL
DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE
ONLY REMAINING AREA OF 8-9 FT SEAS BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W
CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY FRI MORNING.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXNT20 KNHC 261204
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS
NEAR 28.5N82W TO 18N90W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 15 FEET...WITHIN 180 NM TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT BETWEEN 87W AND 90W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF
21N TO THE WEST OF 90W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE 6-HOUR FORECAST CONSISTS OF A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
31N80W TO 29.5N81W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND SEA HEIGHTS REACHING 11 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 29.5N WITHIN 90
NM TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N11W...CURVING TO 8N16W AND 6N19W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 6N19W TO 4N25W 6N36W AND 5N46W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO
4N BETWEEN 13W AND 14W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 12N FROM 38W EASTWARD.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD AS IT CONTINUES MOVING
FROM THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A...INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL
AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS
THE CURRENT STATIONARY FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL
FLORIDA...TO A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR TAMPA
FLORIDA. A COLD FRONT CONTINUES FROM THE 101 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER...THROUGH THE EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...TO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF GUATEMALA...INTO THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A PRE-
FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...
THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF CENTRAL
BELIZE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N79W...ACROSS FLORIDA TO 26N83W...THROUGH THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL...TO SOUTHERN BELIZE AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS.
CLEAR SKIES ARE TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
30N86W 22N90W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF 21N/22N FROM 90W WESTWARD.

GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...TO A 1028 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS IN MEXICO NEAR 25N99W...INTO THE ISTHMUS
OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS AND RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER COVER
FLORIDA FROM TALLAHASSEE...TO THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...AND THEN
SOUTHWARD TO NAPLES. RAIN IS NOT BEING REPORTED IN THE FLORIDA
KEYS YET.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE
SPAN THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA. LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W WESTWARD. AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER IS ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. COMPARATIVELY
DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO
THE EAST OF THE LINE FROM 22N83W TO 16N83W 12N73W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY-TO-EASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
REST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM 70W EASTWARD.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
26/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.14 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.06 IN CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N73W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
COASTAL PANAMA...BEYOND 10N85W IN NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF COSTA
RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG TO THE SOUTH OF THE LINE THAT
RUNS FROM 12N AT THE COAST OF NICARAGUA TO 11N76W OFF THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW IS
PASSING ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA. LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W WESTWARD. AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER IS ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM SANTO
DOMINGO TO PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND
IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH A RIDGE FOR MOST OF THE 48 HOURS WILL BE REPLACED BY
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH A TROUGH. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA...
WITH A RIDGE. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT EAST-
TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH A RIDGE WILL LAST FOR THE FIRST 24
HOURS. NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH AN APPROACHING INVERTED TROUGH
WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FROM CUBA AND HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD AND
IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W
WESTWARD.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N48W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 40W AND
60W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N TO 22N.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM TO 360 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE 17N45W 19N45W
21N46W 22N48W 21N50W 23N53W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 34N59W TO 32N64W...28N71W...
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N75W...ACROSS CUBA...INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 18N83W.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N29W TO THE CANARY ISLANDS. A
SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N29W TO 26N26W...AND TO
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 261204
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS
NEAR 28.5N82W TO 18N90W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 15 FEET...WITHIN 180 NM TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT BETWEEN 87W AND 90W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF
21N TO THE WEST OF 90W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE 6-HOUR FORECAST CONSISTS OF A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
31N80W TO 29.5N81W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND SEA HEIGHTS REACHING 11 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 29.5N WITHIN 90
NM TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA
LEONE NEAR 9N11W...CURVING TO 8N16W AND 6N19W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 6N19W TO 4N25W 6N36W AND 5N46W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO
4N BETWEEN 13W AND 14W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 12N FROM 38W EASTWARD.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD AS IT CONTINUES MOVING
FROM THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A...INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL
AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS
THE CURRENT STATIONARY FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL
FLORIDA...TO A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR TAMPA
FLORIDA. A COLD FRONT CONTINUES FROM THE 101 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER...THROUGH THE EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...TO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF GUATEMALA...INTO THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A PRE-
FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...
THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF CENTRAL
BELIZE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N79W...ACROSS FLORIDA TO 26N83W...THROUGH THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL...TO SOUTHERN BELIZE AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS.
CLEAR SKIES ARE TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
30N86W 22N90W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF 21N/22N FROM 90W WESTWARD.

GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS...TO A 1028 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS IN MEXICO NEAR 25N99W...INTO THE ISTHMUS
OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT KIPN.

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS AND RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER COVER
FLORIDA FROM TALLAHASSEE...TO THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...AND THEN
SOUTHWARD TO NAPLES. RAIN IS NOT BEING REPORTED IN THE FLORIDA
KEYS YET.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE
SPAN THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA. LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W WESTWARD. AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER IS ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. COMPARATIVELY
DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TO
THE EAST OF THE LINE FROM 22N83W TO 16N83W 12N73W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY-TO-EASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
REST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM 70W EASTWARD.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
26/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.14 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.06 IN CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N73W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
COASTAL PANAMA...BEYOND 10N85W IN NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF COSTA
RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG TO THE SOUTH OF THE LINE THAT
RUNS FROM 12N AT THE COAST OF NICARAGUA TO 11N76W OFF THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW IS
PASSING ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA. LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W WESTWARD. AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER IS ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM SANTO
DOMINGO TO PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND
IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH A RIDGE FOR MOST OF THE 48 HOURS WILL BE REPLACED BY
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH A TROUGH. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA...
WITH A RIDGE. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT EAST-
TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH A RIDGE WILL LAST FOR THE FIRST 24
HOURS. NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH AN APPROACHING INVERTED TROUGH
WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FROM CUBA AND HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD AND
IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W
WESTWARD.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N48W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 40W AND
60W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N TO 22N.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM TO 360 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE 17N45W 19N45W
21N46W 22N48W 21N50W 23N53W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 34N59W TO 32N64W...28N71W...
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N75W...ACROSS CUBA...INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 18N83W.

ONE SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N29W TO THE CANARY ISLANDS. A
SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N29W TO 26N26W...AND TO
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261149
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261149
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST WED NOV 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261148
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261148
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261148
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261148
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 261148
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR LANDSEA





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 261148
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 AM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR LANDSEA




000
ACPN50 PHFO 261145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING
OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2015.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 261145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED NOV 26 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING
OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2015.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 260939
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 260939
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 260939
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 260939
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 AM EST MIERCOLES 26 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260930
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG HIGH PRES IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE EDGE OF AN 0352 UTC ASCAT PASS
CAPTURED SEVERAL WIND BARBS OF 30-35 KT NLY WINDS ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WHILE A SHIP CALL SIGN A8EH5 LOCATED NEAR
13.5N95W REPORTED SEAS TO 10 FT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY
INCREASE TO STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE TODAY. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE
THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE CONDITIONS SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 20-23 FT WITH NE SWELL
GREATER THAN 8 FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N95W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 09N110W TO 11N116W THEN RESUMES FROM 10N121W TO
08N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
NOTED N OF 07N BETWEEN 81W AND 84.5W TO THE COAST OF WESTERN
PANAMA AND SE COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM S
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 86W AND 87W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 116W
AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED
20-25 KT NW-N WINDS FROM 23N-29N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITH
THESE WINDS EXTENDING FARTHER SOUTH TO 21N BETWEEN 108W AND
110W. AN ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS TO 9 FT IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THESE WINDS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A
TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING
DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS BY LATE THU MORNING. SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY LATE TODAY. AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS PERSISTS JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
PARTICULARLY FROM 24N TO 28N E OF 122W WITH SEAS OF 8-12 FT
ACCORDING TO AN ALTIMETER PASS. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS BY THIS MORNING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLACKENS
WITH SEAS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO AROUND 9 FT.

A 1026 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR
34N125W EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTH WATERS. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
WATERS W OF 120W. SCATTEROMETER DATA CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF
THESE WINDS.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE
FRONT WEAKENS AND MOVES SLOWLY INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A
LINE FROM 30N132W TO 20N138W BY EARLY THU MORNING.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
15N116W TO 10N119W. NE WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE WITH SEAS TO
9 FT ARE NOTED W OF THE TROUGH AXIS TO ABOUT 125W. THE TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE ASSOCIATED MARINE
CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS N OF 10N W OF 115W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS
THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING
AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N
OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT. SEAS GREATER THAT 8
FT GENERATING BY THE GAP WIND EVENTS ACROSS THE GULFS OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND PAPAGAYO ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE BY LATE THU
COVERING ROUGHLY THE WATERS FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 87W AND 108W.

$$
GR


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260930
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG HIGH PRES IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE EDGE OF AN 0352 UTC ASCAT PASS
CAPTURED SEVERAL WIND BARBS OF 30-35 KT NLY WINDS ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WHILE A SHIP CALL SIGN A8EH5 LOCATED NEAR
13.5N95W REPORTED SEAS TO 10 FT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY
INCREASE TO STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE TODAY. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE
THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE CONDITIONS SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 20-23 FT WITH NE SWELL
GREATER THAN 8 FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N95W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 09N110W TO 11N116W THEN RESUMES FROM 10N121W TO
08N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
NOTED N OF 07N BETWEEN 81W AND 84.5W TO THE COAST OF WESTERN
PANAMA AND SE COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM S
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 86W AND 87W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 116W
AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED
20-25 KT NW-N WINDS FROM 23N-29N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITH
THESE WINDS EXTENDING FARTHER SOUTH TO 21N BETWEEN 108W AND
110W. AN ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS TO 9 FT IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THESE WINDS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A
TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING
DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS BY LATE THU MORNING. SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY LATE TODAY. AN AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS PERSISTS JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
PARTICULARLY FROM 24N TO 28N E OF 122W WITH SEAS OF 8-12 FT
ACCORDING TO AN ALTIMETER PASS. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20
KT OR LESS BY THIS MORNING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLACKENS
WITH SEAS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO AROUND 9 FT.

A 1026 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR
34N125W EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTH WATERS. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
WATERS W OF 120W. SCATTEROMETER DATA CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF
THESE WINDS.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE
FRONT WEAKENS AND MOVES SLOWLY INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A
LINE FROM 30N132W TO 20N138W BY EARLY THU MORNING.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
15N116W TO 10N119W. NE WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE WITH SEAS TO
9 FT ARE NOTED W OF THE TROUGH AXIS TO ABOUT 125W. THE TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE ASSOCIATED MARINE
CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS N OF 10N W OF 115W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS
THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING
AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N
OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT. SEAS GREATER THAT 8
FT GENERATING BY THE GAP WIND EVENTS ACROSS THE GULFS OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND PAPAGAYO ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE BY LATE THU
COVERING ROUGHLY THE WATERS FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 87W AND 108W.

$$
GR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 260604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 28N82W TO 18.5N92W. GALE-FORCE
NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 14 FEET ARE
TO THE SOUTH OF 20N TO THE WEST OF 95W. GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9 TO 11 FEET ARE WITHIN 60 NM
TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT FROM 23N TO 27N. EXPECT NORTH WINDS 20
TO 30 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 10 FEET ELSEWHERE TO THE WEST OF
THE FRONT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE 12-HOUR FORECAST CONSISTS OF A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
31N79W TO 28N80W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND
SEA HEIGHTS 11 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 30N TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT
TO 77W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W...
CURVING THROUGH 10N18W AND 9N20W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 9N20W
TO 8N30W 8N43W...CURVING TO 5N52W AT THE COAST OF FRENCH GUIANA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N
BETWEEN 10W AND 12W..AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N24W
9N26W 10N29W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 3N TO 12N BETWEEN 30W AND 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD AS IT CONTINUES MOVING
FROM THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND THEN TO THE WEST CENTRAL
COASTAL PLAINS. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT COLD FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA...TO A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER. THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1011
MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM TO 60
NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
31N78W...ACROSS FLORIDA TO 22N86W...TO 16N90W IN GUATEMALA.
CLEAR SKIES ARE TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
29N90W TO 25N93W 23N98W.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE SPAN THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
26/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.14 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.06 IN CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N73W IN COLOMBIA...CURVING TO
EASTERN PANAMA...THROUGH 10N80W...AND BEYOND NORTHWESTERN
SECTIONS OF COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 7N TO 11N
BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 85W ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA
RICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW IS
PASSING ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA. LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA. AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA ROMANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
PUNTA CANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING REPORTED IN SANTIAGO.
SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH A RIDGE FOR MOST OF THE 48 HOURS WILL BE REPLACED BY
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH A TROUGH. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA...
WITH A RIDGE. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT EAST-
TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH A RIDGE WILL LAST FOR THE FIRST 24
HOURS. NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH AN APPROACHING INVERTED TROUGH
WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 32N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 60W AND
90W...INCLUDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N48W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 40W AND
60W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 27N44W 24N46W 20N47W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N
TO 26N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N60W TO 29N70W...TO ANDROS
ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...TO
17N86W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE
NORTH OF COASTAL HONDURAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N30W TO 23N25W...AND TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 260604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 28N82W TO 18.5N92W. GALE-FORCE
NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 14 FEET ARE
TO THE SOUTH OF 20N TO THE WEST OF 95W. GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY
WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 9 TO 11 FEET ARE WITHIN 60 NM
TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT FROM 23N TO 27N. EXPECT NORTH WINDS 20
TO 30 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS TO 10 FEET ELSEWHERE TO THE WEST OF
THE FRONT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE 12-HOUR FORECAST CONSISTS OF A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
31N79W TO 28N80W. EXPECT GALE-FORCE SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND
SEA HEIGHTS 11 FEET TO THE NORTH OF 30N TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT
TO 77W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W...
CURVING THROUGH 10N18W AND 9N20W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 9N20W
TO 8N30W 8N43W...CURVING TO 5N52W AT THE COAST OF FRENCH GUIANA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N
BETWEEN 10W AND 12W..AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N24W
9N26W 10N29W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 3N TO 12N BETWEEN 30W AND 44W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD AS IT CONTINUES MOVING
FROM THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND THEN TO THE WEST CENTRAL
COASTAL PLAINS. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT COLD FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA...TO A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER. THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1011
MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM TO 60
NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
31N78W...ACROSS FLORIDA TO 22N86W...TO 16N90W IN GUATEMALA.
CLEAR SKIES ARE TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
29N90W TO 25N93W 23N98W.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE SPAN THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
26/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.14 IN
GUADELOUPE...AND 0.06 IN CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N73W IN COLOMBIA...CURVING TO
EASTERN PANAMA...THROUGH 10N80W...AND BEYOND NORTHWESTERN
SECTIONS OF COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 7N TO 11N
BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 85W ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA
RICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW IS
PASSING ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA. LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA. AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA ROMANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
PUNTA CANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING REPORTED IN SANTIAGO.
SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WITH A RIDGE FOR MOST OF THE 48 HOURS WILL BE REPLACED BY
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH A TROUGH. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB
SHOWS THAT NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA...
WITH A RIDGE. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT EAST-
TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH A RIDGE WILL LAST FOR THE FIRST 24
HOURS. NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WITH AN APPROACHING INVERTED TROUGH
WILL COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
ON TOP OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 32N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 60W AND
90W...INCLUDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N48W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 40W AND
60W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 27N44W 24N46W 20N47W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N
TO 26N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N60W TO 29N70W...TO ANDROS
ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...TO
17N86W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE
NORTH OF COASTAL HONDURAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N30W TO 23N25W...AND TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260547
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 260546
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ACPN50 PHFO 260545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING
OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2015.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 260545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING
OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2015.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 260545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING
OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2015.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 260545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING
OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2015.

$$

HOUSTON





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260348
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO HAS A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MEXICO PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS THIS EVENING WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU
AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8
FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 09N110W TO 11N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 23N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY WED NIGHT.

A 1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 34N127W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT NEAR 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT
WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST WED. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12
FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N112W TO 13N123W TO 07N140W.
THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260348
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO HAS A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MEXICO PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS THIS EVENING WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU
AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8
FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 09N110W TO 11N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 23N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY WED NIGHT.

A 1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 34N127W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT NEAR 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT
WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST WED. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12
FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N112W TO 13N123W TO 07N140W.
THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260348
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO HAS A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MEXICO PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS THIS EVENING WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU
AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8
FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 09N110W TO 11N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 23N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY WED NIGHT.

A 1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 34N127W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT NEAR 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT
WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST WED. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12
FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N112W TO 13N123W TO 07N140W.
THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260348
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO HAS A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MEXICO PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS THIS EVENING WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU
AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8
FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 09N110W TO 11N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 23N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY WED NIGHT.

A 1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 34N127W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT NEAR 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT
WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST WED. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12
FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N112W TO 13N123W TO 07N140W.
THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260348
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO HAS A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MEXICO PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS THIS EVENING WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU
AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8
FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 09N110W TO 11N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 23N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY WED NIGHT.

A 1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 34N127W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT NEAR 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT
WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST WED. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12
FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N112W TO 13N123W TO 07N140W.
THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260348
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO HAS A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MEXICO PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS THIS EVENING WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU
AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES SEAS BUILDING TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8
FT PROPAGATING WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 09N110W TO 11N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 23N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY WED NIGHT.

A 1026 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 34N127W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT NEAR 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT
WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST WED. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO 12
FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N112W TO 13N123W TO 07N140W.
THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 260005
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE SW GULF OF MEXICO ON
26/0000 UTC. FORECAST COLD FRONT IS FROM 29N83W TO 18.5N93W.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 95W...AND WITHIN 60
NM W OF FRONT BETWEEN 23N TO 27N. WINDS WILL BE BELOW GALE FORCE
BY 26/1200 UTC. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 14 FT DURING THIS GALE
EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE FAR NW ATLC AT 26/1200
UTC. THE GULF OF MEXICO FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE W ATLC WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 30N E OF FRONT TO 77W. THESE WINDS WILL
SHIFT NE RAPIDLY OUT OF THE AREA BY 26/1800 UTC. SEAS WILL BUILD
UP TO 11 FT DURING THIS GALE EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 11N15W TO 8N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N25W TO 8N47W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 5N53W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 13W-19W...FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 23W-34W...AND FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 36W-45W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA FROM 4N-
8N BETWEEN 51W-56W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM DAYTONA FLORIDA AT
29N81W TO A 1010 MB LOW OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N85W TO
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO S MEXICO AT 17N93W. A
PREFRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AT 20N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE NE GULF FROM 26N-31N
BETWEEN 80W-86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
PREFRONTAL TROUGH. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO START
SHORTLY ON 26/0000 UTC NW OF FRONT. SEE ABOVE. FAIR WEATHER IS
WELL BEHIND THE FRONT OVER TEXAS AND AND THE TEXAS COAST. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER TEXAS AND N MEXICO
WITH AXIS ALONG 98W. SW UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF
SUPPORTING THE FRONT. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER SE TEXAS AND THE
NW GULF. MORE SUBSIDENCE IS OVER CUBA. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
HAS UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ESPECIALLY OVER THE FRONT. EXPECT THE
COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO W CUBA ON 26/1200 UTC
WITH CONVECTION. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE SE EXITING THE GULF
SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A PREFRONTAL TROUGH IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH
CONVECTION. IN ADDITION...AIRMASS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY BUILT OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM
PANAMA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 11N W OF 80W. 15-
25 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN E OF 77W. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 20N74W
WITHG STRONG SUBSIDENCE. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA S OF NICARAGUA. EXPECT THE COLD
FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO CENTRAL
HONDURAS WITH CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH
THE TRADEWINDS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND
SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT MORE PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N79W
TO DAYTONA FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
N OF 28N W OF 77W. A LARGE 1034 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 38N46W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 28N45W TO 18N50W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 240 NM E OF THROUGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N48W ENHANCING SHOWERS. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E OVER THE W ATLANTIC
WITH CONVECTION AND A BRIEF GALE PERIOD. SEE ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 260005
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE SW GULF OF MEXICO ON
26/0000 UTC. FORECAST COLD FRONT IS FROM 29N83W TO 18.5N93W.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 95W...AND WITHIN 60
NM W OF FRONT BETWEEN 23N TO 27N. WINDS WILL BE BELOW GALE FORCE
BY 26/1200 UTC. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 14 FT DURING THIS GALE
EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE FAR NW ATLC AT 26/1200
UTC. THE GULF OF MEXICO FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE W ATLC WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 30N E OF FRONT TO 77W. THESE WINDS WILL
SHIFT NE RAPIDLY OUT OF THE AREA BY 26/1800 UTC. SEAS WILL BUILD
UP TO 11 FT DURING THIS GALE EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 11N15W TO 8N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO
6N25W TO 8N47W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 5N53W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 13W-19W...FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 23W-34W...AND FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 36W-45W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA FROM 4N-
8N BETWEEN 51W-56W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM DAYTONA FLORIDA AT
29N81W TO A 1010 MB LOW OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N85W TO
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO S MEXICO AT 17N93W. A
PREFRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AT 20N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE NE GULF FROM 26N-31N
BETWEEN 80W-86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
PREFRONTAL TROUGH. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO START
SHORTLY ON 26/0000 UTC NW OF FRONT. SEE ABOVE. FAIR WEATHER IS
WELL BEHIND THE FRONT OVER TEXAS AND AND THE TEXAS COAST. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER TEXAS AND N MEXICO
WITH AXIS ALONG 98W. SW UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF
SUPPORTING THE FRONT. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER SE TEXAS AND THE
NW GULF. MORE SUBSIDENCE IS OVER CUBA. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
HAS UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ESPECIALLY OVER THE FRONT. EXPECT THE
COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO W CUBA ON 26/1200 UTC
WITH CONVECTION. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE SE EXITING THE GULF
SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A PREFRONTAL TROUGH IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH
CONVECTION. IN ADDITION...AIRMASS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY BUILT OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM
PANAMA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 11N W OF 80W. 15-
25 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN E OF 77W. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER E CUBA NEAR 20N74W
WITHG STRONG SUBSIDENCE. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA S OF NICARAGUA. EXPECT THE COLD
FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO CENTRAL
HONDURAS WITH CONVECTION.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA MOVING W WITH
THE TRADEWINDS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND
SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT MORE PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N79W
TO DAYTONA FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
N OF 28N W OF 77W. A LARGE 1034 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 38N46W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 28N45W TO 18N50W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 240 NM E OF THROUGH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N48W ENHANCING SHOWERS. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E OVER THE W ATLANTIC
WITH CONVECTION AND A BRIEF GALE PERIOD. SEE ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ACPN50 PHFO 252349
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

EATON/EVANS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 252349
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

EATON/EVANS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 252349
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

EATON/EVANS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 252349
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

EATON/EVANS






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 252307
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 PM EST MARTES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 252307
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
700 PM EST MARTES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252305
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 252303
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 252303
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 252303
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 252303
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252145
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
MOVING INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG AND E OF SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
IN EASTERN MEXICO. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS
STARTING THIS EVENING...THEN QUICKLY INCREASING TO STORM FORCE
BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW
GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS BUILDING
TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8 FT PROPAGATING WELL
DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 08N104W TO
11N112W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N112W TO 08N129W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
BETWEEN 97W AND 102W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 22N W OF 108W INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND
ALSO W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH RIDGING NOSING
DOWN IN BETWEEN THE TROUGHS. FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN
THE GULF IS SPILLING OUT SOUTHWARD TO 22N. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING. SEAS TO 10 FT IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY WED NIGHT.

A 1029 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 35N128W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S-SE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS WHILE MOVING JUST SE OF 30N140W ON WED WITH
VERY SLOW MOVEMENT ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO
12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 26N112W TO 13N120W TO 07N135W TO
07N140W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252145
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
MOVING INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG AND E OF SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
IN EASTERN MEXICO. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS
STARTING THIS EVENING...THEN QUICKLY INCREASING TO STORM FORCE
BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW
GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS BUILDING
TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8 FT PROPAGATING WELL
DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 08N104W TO
11N112W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N112W TO 08N129W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
BETWEEN 97W AND 102W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 22N W OF 108W INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND
ALSO W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH RIDGING NOSING
DOWN IN BETWEEN THE TROUGHS. FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN
THE GULF IS SPILLING OUT SOUTHWARD TO 22N. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING. SEAS TO 10 FT IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY WED NIGHT.

A 1029 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 35N128W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S-SE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS WHILE MOVING JUST SE OF 30N140W ON WED WITH
VERY SLOW MOVEMENT ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO
12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 26N112W TO 13N120W TO 07N135W TO
07N140W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252145
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
MOVING INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG AND E OF SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
IN EASTERN MEXICO. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS
STARTING THIS EVENING...THEN QUICKLY INCREASING TO STORM FORCE
BY SUNRISE WED. STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THU MORNING...DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW
GALE SAT AFTERNOON. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS BUILDING
TO 23-25 FT WITH NE SWELL GREATER THAN 8 FT PROPAGATING WELL
DOWNSTREAM FROM ITS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOURCE REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 08N104W TO
11N112W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N112W TO 08N129W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
BETWEEN 97W AND 102W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 1640 UTC SHOWS
20-30 KT N-NW WINDS N OF 22N W OF 108W INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
EXISTS DUE TO A TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND
ALSO W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH RIDGING NOSING
DOWN IN BETWEEN THE TROUGHS. FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN
THE GULF IS SPILLING OUT SOUTHWARD TO 22N. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
TO 20 KT OR LESS BY THU MORNING. SEAS TO 10 FT IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY WED NIGHT.

A 1029 MB HIGH N OF THE DISCUSSION ARE CENTERED NEAR 35N128W
EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG S-SE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW CORNER
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING 140W. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS WHILE MOVING JUST SE OF 30N140W ON WED WITH
VERY SLOW MOVEMENT ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS. ASSOCIATED NW SWELL TO
12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY
THU MORNING.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 26N112W TO 13N120W TO 07N135W TO
07N140W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT BECOMING
CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS N OF THE ITCZ BY THU MORNING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EARLY THU MORNING THROUGH
THU EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-11 FT THU.

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACPN50 PHFO 251750
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

EATON/EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 251750
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE NOV 25 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON
NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL
BE ISSUED AT 8 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING OUTLOOKS ON
JUNE 1 2015.

$$

EATON/EVANS






000
AXNT20 KNHC 251741
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE SW GULF OF MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON AT 25/1800 UTC OFF THE COAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. THESE
WINDS WILL EXPAND OFF THE COAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND WITHIN 60
NM ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FRONT BY 26/0000 UTC AND BE BELOW GALE
FORCE BY EARLY WED MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 14 FT DURING
THIS GALE EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE FAR NW ATLC AT 26/1200
UTC. THE GULF OF MEXICO FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE W ATLC WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 31N. THESE
WINDS WILL SHIFT NE RAPIDLY OUT OF THE AREA. SEAS WILL BUILD UP
TO 12 FT DURING THIS GALE EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 9N14W TO 8N17W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 8N26W 9N36W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N55W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH E OF 16W TO INLAND OVER AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION DOT THE AREA WITHIN 200 NM OF THE
ITCZ BETWEEN 19W-48W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH IS SWEEPING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAIN STATES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO TEXAS SUPPORTING A STRONG COLD FRONT
THAT ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS NE FLORIDA NEAR CEDAR KEY
TO A NEWLY DEVELOPED 1012 MB LOW NEAR 27N87W CONTINUING ALONG
22N94W THEN S INTO MEXICO NEAR COATZACOALCOS THEN CONTINUES AS A
STATIONARY FRONT OVER MEXICO. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM SE OF THE FRONT N OF
25N WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM E
OF THE FRONT BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE
FRONT. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE IS
BUILDING SE OVER THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ANCHORED BY A
SERIES OF HIGHS INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL PLAIN STATES. COLD AIR
STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF W OF THE
FRONT LEAVING THE SE GULF UNDER FAIR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE
FRONT WILL CONTINUE SE EXITING THE GULF ON WED AS THE LOW MOVES
RAPIDLY MOVES NE OUT OF THE GULF TONIGHT AND OFF THE COAST OF
NORTH CAROLINA BY EARLY WED. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN FROM THE W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA NEAR
22N76W COVERING THE MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE E/CENTRAL ATLC COVERS THE FAR E CARIBBEAN E OF 65W. STRONG
SUBSIDENCE AND DRY STABLE AIR COVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN
EXCEPT OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN WHERE DIFFLUENT FLOW COULD
GENERATE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY N OF 19N W OF 80W. THE
MONSOON TROUGH IS ANOTHER EXCEPTION. IT EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA
NEAR 10N74W TO ACROSS COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA BORDER INTO THE E
PACIFIC NEAR 11N85W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH W OF 79W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN EARLY WED WITH STRONG N WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS IN ITS WAKE.

HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED BETWEEN BAHAMAS AND CUBA IS GIVING THE
ISLANDS N FLOW ALOFT WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY STABLE AIR
COVERING THE AREA. THIS IS KEEPING SHOWERS TO POSSIBLE ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS USHERED IN ON THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK BEFORE THE FRONT
REACHES THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT THE END OF THE WEEK INCREASING
MOISTURE AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA NEAR
22N76W COVERS THE W ATLC AND IS PROVIDING DIFFLUNCE ALOFT OVER
FLORIDA AND THE FAR W ATLC. A COLD FRONT IS INLAND OVER THE E
CONUS AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
PRECEDING IT EXTENDING FROM OVER NE FLORIDA NE ACROSS
JACKSONVILLE TO BEYOND 32N79W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH ENHANCED BY THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE. AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE
E/CENTRAL ATLC THAT EXTENDS S OVER THE FAR E CARIBBEAN IS
SUPPORTING A LINGERING SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N35W
ALONG 27N45W 20N48W TO 17N52W AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16N-27N BETWEEN 42W-49W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS DOMINATED BY A SURFACE RIDGE WITH A
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA AND A
SECOND SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1029 MB HIGH NEAR 32N27W
TO OVER AFRICA NEAR CENTRAL WESTERN SAHARA. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT E AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL ENTER THE THE W ATLC
TONIGHT WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 32N68W TO CENTRAL CUBA EARLY
THU AND JUST E OF BERMUDA TO E CUBA BY FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 251741
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE SW GULF OF MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON AT 25/1800 UTC OFF THE COAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. THESE
WINDS WILL EXPAND OFF THE COAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND WITHIN 60
NM ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FRONT BY 26/0000 UTC AND BE BELOW GALE
FORCE BY EARLY WED MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 14 FT DURING
THIS GALE EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...A GALE WARNING FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A GALE WARNING GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE FAR NW ATLC AT 26/1200
UTC. THE GULF OF MEXICO FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE W ATLC WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 31N. THESE
WINDS WILL SHIFT NE RAPIDLY OUT OF THE AREA. SEAS WILL BUILD UP
TO 12 FT DURING THIS GALE EVENT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 9N14W TO 8N17W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
ALONG 8N26W 9N36W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N55W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH E OF 16W TO INLAND OVER AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION DOT THE AREA WITHIN 200 NM OF THE
ITCZ BETWEEN 19W-48W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH IS SWEEPING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAIN STATES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO TEXAS SUPPORTING A STRONG COLD FRONT
THAT ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS NE FLORIDA NEAR CEDAR KEY
TO A NEWLY DEVELOPED 1012 MB LOW NEAR 27N87W CONTINUING ALONG
22N94W THEN S INTO MEXICO NEAR COATZACOALCOS THEN CONTINUES AS A
STATIONARY FRONT OVER MEXICO. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM SE OF THE FRONT N OF
25N WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM E
OF THE FRONT BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE
FRONT. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE IS
BUILDING SE OVER THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ANCHORED BY A
SERIES OF HIGHS INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL PLAIN STATES. COLD AIR
STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF W OF THE
FRONT LEAVING THE SE GULF UNDER FAIR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE
FRONT WILL CONTINUE SE EXITING THE GULF ON WED AS THE LOW MOVES
RAPIDLY MOVES NE OUT OF THE GULF TONIGHT AND OFF THE COAST OF
NORTH CAROLINA BY EARLY WED. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN FROM THE W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA NEAR
22N76W COVERING THE MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE E/CENTRAL ATLC COVERS THE FAR E CARIBBEAN E OF 65W. STRONG
SUBSIDENCE AND DRY STABLE AIR COVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN
EXCEPT OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN WHERE DIFFLUENT FLOW COULD
GENERATE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY N OF 19N W OF 80W. THE
MONSOON TROUGH IS ANOTHER EXCEPTION. IT EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA
NEAR 10N74W TO ACROSS COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA BORDER INTO THE E
PACIFIC NEAR 11N85W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH W OF 79W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
UNDER CLEAR SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN EARLY WED WITH STRONG N WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS IN ITS WAKE.

HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED BETWEEN BAHAMAS AND CUBA IS GIVING THE
ISLANDS N FLOW ALOFT WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY STABLE AIR
COVERING THE AREA. THIS IS KEEPING SHOWERS TO POSSIBLE ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS USHERED IN ON THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK BEFORE THE FRONT
REACHES THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT THE END OF THE WEEK INCREASING
MOISTURE AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA NEAR
22N76W COVERS THE W ATLC AND IS PROVIDING DIFFLUNCE ALOFT OVER
FLORIDA AND THE FAR W ATLC. A COLD FRONT IS INLAND OVER THE E
CONUS AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
PRECEDING IT EXTENDING FROM OVER NE FLORIDA NE ACROSS
JACKSONVILLE TO BEYOND 32N79W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM E OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH ENHANCED BY THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE. AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE
E/CENTRAL ATLC THAT EXTENDS S OVER THE FAR E CARIBBEAN IS
SUPPORTING A LINGERING SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N35W
ALONG 27N45W 20N48W TO 17N52W AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16N-27N BETWEEN 42W-49W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC IS DOMINATED BY A SURFACE RIDGE WITH A
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA AND A
SECOND SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1029 MB HIGH NEAR 32N27W
TO OVER AFRICA NEAR CENTRAL WESTERN SAHARA. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT E AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL ENTER THE THE W ATLC
TONIGHT WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 32N68W TO CENTRAL CUBA EARLY
THU AND JUST E OF BERMUDA TO E CUBA BY FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
ABNT20 KNHC 251726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251726
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABNT20 KNHC 251726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251726
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 251726
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 PM EST MARTES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 251726
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 PM EST MARTES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 251726
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 PM EST MARTES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 251726
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
100 PM EST MARTES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 251604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE
GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING IN
ITS WAKE ALONG AND E OF THE EASTERN SLOPES OF HIGH TERRAIN IN
EASTERN MEXICO. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE IN THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE DAY WITH GALE FORCE WINDS COMMENCING
AROUND 00 UTC THIS EVENING...QUICKLY INCREASING TO STORM FORCE
BY 12 UTC WED IF NOT A FEW HOURS SOONER. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
THEN FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 12 UTC THU...
DIMINISHING TO GALE FORCE THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE
FORCE SAT AFTERNOON. THE LATEST RUN OF THE TAFB-NWPS INDICATES
SEAS BUILDING TO UP TO 23-27 FT WITH N-NE SWELLS OF 8 FT OR
GREATER PROPAGATING WELL AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC.

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...OVERNIGHT ASCAT AND ASCAT-B SCATTEROMETER
PASSES CLEARLY INDICATED GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 24N TO 27N W OF
110W IN THE GULF WHERE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS WITH
TROUGHING ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS
WELL AS W OR ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN IN BETWEEN THE TROUGHING.
FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
SPILLING OUT SOUTHWARD TO 21N. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE
FORCE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR
LESS BY 48 HOURS. SEAS CURRENTLY UP TO 12 FT NEAR THE GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL ALSO SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY 48 HOURS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 09N100W TO
11N113W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N118W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 96W AND 100W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION
WATERS NEAR 39N126W EXTENDS A RIDGE SW TO 25N140W AND SE TO
17N111W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N114W TO 08N118W
WITH LIMITED CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH AND ITCZ IN GENERAL IS SUPPORTING MAINLY MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING SW-W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA WHERE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRESENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGING AND TROUGHING SW-W OF THE PENINSULA. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 12 UTC WED AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SLACKENS.

MEANWHILE FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW
CORNER AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROXIMATELY 240-300 NM W OF 140W
WITH GALE FORCE WINDS W OF 140W. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS WHILE MOVING CLOSER TO THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLIP JUST SE OF 30N140W ON WED WITH
VERY SLOW MOVEMENT ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK WITH ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF
IT BY WED. ASSOCIATED SW SWELL OF 8-12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W
OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY 12 UTC THU.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 26N112W TO 13N120W TO  07N135W
TO 07N140W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT
BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS BY 12 UTC THU AIDED
BY FRESH NE WIND WAVES GENERATED BY FRESH TRADES JUST N OF THE
ITCZ.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO...EXPECT ALSO FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS ACROSS
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO COMMENCING 06 UTC THU THROUGH AT LEAST 12
UTC THU. ASSOCIATED SEAS WILL BUILD TO UP TO 11 FT BY 12 UTC
THU.

$$
LEWITSKY



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 251604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE NOV 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE
GULF OF MEXICO WITH A SHARP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING IN
ITS WAKE ALONG AND E OF THE EASTERN SLOPES OF HIGH TERRAIN IN
EASTERN MEXICO. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE IN THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE DAY WITH GALE FORCE WINDS COMMENCING
AROUND 00 UTC THIS EVENING...QUICKLY INCREASING TO STORM FORCE
BY 12 UTC WED IF NOT A FEW HOURS SOONER. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
THEN FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST 12 UTC THU...
DIMINISHING TO GALE FORCE THU AFTERNOON...THEN BELOW GALE
FORCE SAT AFTERNOON. THE LATEST RUN OF THE TAFB-NWPS INDICATES
SEAS BUILDING TO UP TO 23-27 FT WITH N-NE SWELLS OF 8 FT OR
GREATER PROPAGATING WELL AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC.

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...OVERNIGHT ASCAT AND ASCAT-B SCATTEROMETER
PASSES CLEARLY INDICATED GALE FORCE WINDS FROM 24N TO 27N W OF
110W IN THE GULF WHERE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS WITH
TROUGHING ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS
WELL AS W OR ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...AND RIDGING NOSING DOWN IN BETWEEN THE TROUGHING.
FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
SPILLING OUT SOUTHWARD TO 21N. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE
FORCE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR
LESS BY 48 HOURS. SEAS CURRENTLY UP TO 12 FT NEAR THE GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL ALSO SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY 48 HOURS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 09N100W TO
11N113W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N118W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 96W AND 100W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION
WATERS NEAR 39N126W EXTENDS A RIDGE SW TO 25N140W AND SE TO
17N111W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N114W TO 08N118W
WITH LIMITED CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH AND ITCZ IN GENERAL IS SUPPORTING MAINLY MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W.

FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING SW-W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA WHERE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRESENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGING AND TROUGHING SW-W OF THE PENINSULA. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 12 UTC WED AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SLACKENS.

MEANWHILE FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FAR NW
CORNER AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROXIMATELY 240-300 NM W OF 140W
WITH GALE FORCE WINDS W OF 140W. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS WHILE MOVING CLOSER TO THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLIP JUST SE OF 30N140W ON WED WITH
VERY SLOW MOVEMENT ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK WITH ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF
IT BY WED. ASSOCIATED SW SWELL OF 8-12 FT WILL COVER THE AREA W
OF A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 19N140W BY 12 UTC THU.

MIXED SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-10 FT COVERS THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 26N112W TO 13N120W TO  07N135W
TO 07N140W. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT DURING THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH THE ONLY REMAINING AREA OF SEAS 8-9 FT
BECOMING CONFINED TO THE W CENTRAL WATERS BY 12 UTC THU AIDED
BY FRESH NE WIND WAVES GENERATED BY FRESH TRADES JUST N OF THE
ITCZ.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD IN
THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO...EXPECT ALSO FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NE WINDS ACROSS
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO COMMENCING 06 UTC THU THROUGH AT LEAST 12
UTC THU. ASSOCIATED SEAS WILL BUILD TO UP TO 11 FT BY 12 UTC
THU.

$$
LEWITSKY



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