Home > Products > National Data >
000
WTCA41 TJSJ 031504
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   19
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST JUEVES 3 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED AUN SE MANTIENE PERO SE PRONOSTICA QUE SE DEBILITARA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.5 NORTE 34.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 760 MI...1225 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 9 MPH...15 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 21.5 NORTE...LONGITUD
34.1 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9
MPH...15 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y SE PRONOSTICA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITARA SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA ESTA
NOCHE O EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 031504
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   19
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST JUEVES 3 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED AUN SE MANTIENE PERO SE PRONOSTICA QUE SE DEBILITARA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.5 NORTE 34.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 760 MI...1225 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 9 MPH...15 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 21.5 NORTE...LONGITUD
34.1 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9
MPH...15 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y SE PRONOSTICA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITARA SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA ESTA
NOCHE O EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031503
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 1500 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NE OF CENTER
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER
MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
08N112W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 10N121W TO 09N130W TO 10N136W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 07N
BETWEEN 77W AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N
TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W...AND
FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS JUST W OF THE FORECAST AREA ALONG
19N144W MOVING NW AT 03 KT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF
THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A
PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL
CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 44N150W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE
FROM 00N135W TO 10N120W TO 03.4S100W. BY SAT SEAS GREATER THAN 8
FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE FROM 00N123W TO 17N121W TO 17N115W TO
03.4S105W.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031503
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 1500 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NE OF CENTER
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER
MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
08N112W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 10N121W TO 09N130W TO 10N136W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 07N
BETWEEN 77W AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N
TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W...AND
FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS JUST W OF THE FORECAST AREA ALONG
19N144W MOVING NW AT 03 KT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF
THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A
PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL
CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 44N150W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE
FROM 00N135W TO 10N120W TO 03.4S100W. BY SAT SEAS GREATER THAN 8
FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE FROM 00N123W TO 17N121W TO 17N115W TO
03.4S105W.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031503
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 1500 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NE OF CENTER
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER
MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
08N112W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 10N121W TO 09N130W TO 10N136W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 07N
BETWEEN 77W AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N
TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W...AND
FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS JUST W OF THE FORECAST AREA ALONG
19N144W MOVING NW AT 03 KT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF
THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A
PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL
CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 44N150W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE
FROM 00N135W TO 10N120W TO 03.4S100W. BY SAT SEAS GREATER THAN 8
FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE FROM 00N123W TO 17N121W TO 17N115W TO
03.4S105W.

$$
FORMOSA


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 031459
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST FRI SEP 4 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 177.8E

ABOUT  800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1495 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2280 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.8 EAST. KILO
IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...THEN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLOW
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 90 MPH. KILO IS STILL EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.

$$

MCELROY


000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 AM HST THU SEP 03 2015

...POWERFUL HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD FAR EAST
OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 144.1W
ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM LATER TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY POWERFUL HURRICANE JIMENA WILL CAUSE
HAZARDOUS SURF MAINLY ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. SURF GENERATED BY THESE SWELLS WILL BUILD TODAY...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 031445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 AM HST THU SEP 03 2015

...POWERFUL HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD FAR EAST
OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 144.1W
ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM LATER TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY POWERFUL HURRICANE JIMENA WILL CAUSE
HAZARDOUS SURF MAINLY ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. SURF GENERATED BY THESE SWELLS WILL BUILD TODAY...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA23 PHFO 031440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 161.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 161.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 161.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.9N 163.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N 164.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.6N 165.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.2N 165.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 42.5N 164.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 47.3N 158.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 53.0N 143.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 161.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 031440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST THU SEP 03 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 161.7W
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM NNW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY. AFTER TODAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 031440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 161.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 161.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 161.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.9N 163.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N 164.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.6N 165.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.2N 165.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 42.5N 164.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 47.3N 158.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 53.0N 143.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 161.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 031440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST THU SEP 03 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 161.7W
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM NNW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY. AFTER TODAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 031440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST THU SEP 03 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 161.7W
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM NNW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY. AFTER TODAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPZ34 KNHC 031433
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
800 AM PDT THU SEP 03 2015

...KEVIN STRENGTHENS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 115.6W
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 115.6 West.  Kevin is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a turn toward the
northwest if expected over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some slight additional strengthening is possible
today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 031433
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
800 AM PDT THU SEP 03 2015

...KEVIN STRENGTHENS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 115.6W
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 115.6 West.  Kevin is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a turn toward the
northwest if expected over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some slight additional strengthening is possible
today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT21 KNHC 031433
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  33.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N  35.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT21 KNHC 031433
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  33.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N  35.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT31 KNHC 031433
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED HANGING IN THERE BUT FORECAST TO WEAKEN....


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 34.1W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 34.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so weakening is
forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a post-tropical low by
tonight or Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTNT31 KNHC 031433
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED HANGING IN THERE BUT FORECAST TO WEAKEN....


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 34.1W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 34.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so weakening is
forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a post-tropical low by
tonight or Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTNT21 KNHC 031433
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  33.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N  35.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 031433
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED HANGING IN THERE BUT FORECAST TO WEAKEN....


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 34.1W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 34.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so weakening is
forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a post-tropical low by
tonight or Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 031433
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED HANGING IN THERE BUT FORECAST TO WEAKEN....


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 34.1W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 34.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so weakening is
forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a post-tropical low by
tonight or Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT21 KNHC 031433
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  33.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N  35.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 115.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT21 KNHC 031433
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  34.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  33.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N  35.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  34.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  85SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 250SE 360SW 550NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 143.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 144.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.7N 144.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 145.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.2N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  85SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.6N 146.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.7N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.7N 150.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  85SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 250SE 360SW 550NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 143.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 144.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.7N 144.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 145.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.2N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  85SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.6N 146.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.7N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.7N 150.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  85SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 250SE 360SW 550NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 143.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 144.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.7N 144.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 145.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.2N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  85SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.6N 146.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.7N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.7N 150.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 031430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  85SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 250SE 360SW 550NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 143.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 144.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.7N 144.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 145.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.2N 145.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  85SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.6N 146.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.7N 148.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.7N 150.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 144.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
ACPN50 PHFO 031158
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU SEP 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 505 MILES
NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 950 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT.


$$

REYNES




000
ACPN50 PHFO 031158
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU SEP 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 505 MILES
NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 950 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031158
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU SEP 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 505 MILES
NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 950 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 031158
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU SEP 3 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 505 MILES
NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 950 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT.


$$

REYNES




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 3 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICAMAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY. EL SISTEMA TIEN ALGUN
POTENCIAL PARA SU DESARROLLO LENTO A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...40
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 3 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICAMAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY. EL SISTEMA TIEN ALGUN
POTENCIAL PARA SU DESARROLLO LENTO A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...40
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 3 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICAMAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY. EL SISTEMA TIEN ALGUN
POTENCIAL PARA SU DESARROLLO LENTO A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...40
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 031136
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 3 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICAMAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY. EL SISTEMA TIEN ALGUN
POTENCIAL PARA SU DESARROLLO LENTO A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA A
TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...40
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031135
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Kevin, located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located several
hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Strong upper-level
winds over this system are expected to diminish over the weekend,
which could allow for some development of the disturbance early
next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well off
of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031135
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Kevin, located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located several
hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Strong upper-level
winds over this system are expected to diminish over the weekend,
which could allow for some development of the disturbance early
next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well off
of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031135
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Kevin, located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located several
hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Strong upper-level
winds over this system are expected to diminish over the weekend,
which could allow for some development of the disturbance early
next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well off
of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
AXNT20 KNHC 031129
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 031129
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 031129
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 031129
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 031129
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 031129
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
ABNT20 KNHC 031127
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa
later today.  This system has some potential for slow development as
it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
AXNT20 KNHC 031047
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 031047
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 031047
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 031047
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 33.2W AT 03/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 600 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 7
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 30W-33W.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS INTRODUCED AT 03/0600 UTC ASSOCIATED WITH
THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N24W ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS THROUGH THE 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23.5W TO 10N23W MOVING W
NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 23W-26W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 48W FROM 7N-14N
MOVING W NEAR 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATED
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE SURGE OF
MODERATE MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 17N80W TO 10N82W
MOVING W-SW 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N W OF THE
WAVE TO JUST INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 12N15W ALONG 11N18W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR
12N23.5W CONTINUING ALONG 13N30W 10N41W TO 7N49W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 30W-41W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N E
OF 17W TO INLAND OVER W AFRICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-9N E OF 17W TO JUST INLAND OVER AFRICA.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NARROW UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE GULF NEAR LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
25N95W TO 22N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SURFACE TROUGH AT 03/0900 UTC EXTENDS
FROM 24N94W TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18N95W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF LINE FROM PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA ALONG 23N89W TO 19N91W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N87W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE SE GULF S OF 27N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A WEAK
SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE E GULF ANCHORED BY A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR
28N85W. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALIGN NW TO SE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE SE CENTRAL GULF SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W-86W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W ALONG 10N81W THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR
10N84W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N82W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E PANAMA. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE SW
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA FRI MORNING.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. AN UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO TO
17N74W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N84W. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED TONIGHT GIVING THE ISLAND N
FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN SAT MORNING
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 70W WITH A SHORTWAVE MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVING JUST
OFF THE SE COAST GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N BETWEEN 77W-80W. A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N65W. A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 25N BETWEEN 45W-
65W SUPPORTING A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS THROUGH
32N47W ALONG 26N54W TO 24N60W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N TO THE SURFACE TROUGH BETWEEN 46W-50W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM SE OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 59W-69W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
DRIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SAT AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE
NW BAHAMAS TO THE NE BY SUN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030955
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE FORTALECE UN POCO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.8 NORTE 33.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 690 MI...1105 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8
MPH...13 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75
KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y ES POSIBLE QUE TENGA FLUCTUACIONES
EN SU INTENSIDAD DURANTE HOY. NO OBSTANTE...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA
PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA MANANA DEL VIERNES Y SE CONVIERTA EN
UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA NOCHE DEL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030955
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE FORTALECE UN POCO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.8 NORTE 33.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 690 MI...1105 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8
MPH...13 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75
KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y ES POSIBLE QUE TENGA FLUCTUACIONES
EN SU INTENSIDAD DURANTE HOY. NO OBSTANTE...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA
PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA MANANA DEL VIERNES Y SE CONVIERTA EN
UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA NOCHE DEL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030955
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE FORTALECE UN POCO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.8 NORTE 33.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 690 MI...1105 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8
MPH...13 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75
KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y ES POSIBLE QUE TENGA FLUCTUACIONES
EN SU INTENSIDAD DURANTE HOY. NO OBSTANTE...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA
PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA MANANA DEL VIERNES Y SE CONVIERTA EN
UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA NOCHE DEL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030955
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE FORTALECE UN POCO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.8 NORTE 33.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 690 MI...1105 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8
MPH...13 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75
KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y ES POSIBLE QUE TENGA FLUCTUACIONES
EN SU INTENSIDAD DURANTE HOY. NO OBSTANTE...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA
PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA MANANA DEL VIERNES Y SE CONVIERTA EN
UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA NOCHE DEL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030955
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE FORTALECE UN POCO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.8 NORTE 33.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 690 MI...1105 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8
MPH...13 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75
KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS
FUERTES EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y ES POSIBLE QUE TENGA FLUCTUACIONES
EN SU INTENSIDAD DURANTE HOY. NO OBSTANTE...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE
DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA
PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA MANANA DEL VIERNES Y SE CONVIERTA EN
UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL PARA LA NOCHE DEL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030926
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARLY STATIONARY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 177.9E

ABOUT  810 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1505 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...QUASI-STATIONARY

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.9 EAST.
KILO IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TURN
MORE TO THE WEST WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 90 MPH. KILO IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030926
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARLY STATIONARY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 177.9E

ABOUT  810 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1505 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...QUASI-STATIONARY

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.9 EAST.
KILO IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TURN
MORE TO THE WEST WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 90 MPH. KILO IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030926
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARLY STATIONARY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 177.9E

ABOUT  810 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1505 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...QUASI-STATIONARY

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.9 EAST.
KILO IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TURN
MORE TO THE WEST WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 90 MPH. KILO IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030926
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARLY STATIONARY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 177.9E

ABOUT  810 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1505 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...QUASI-STATIONARY

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 177.9 EAST.
KILO IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TURN
MORE TO THE WEST WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 90 MPH. KILO IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030851
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU SEP 3 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 0900 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT
0520 UTC SHOWED 35 KT WINDS NNW OF THE CENTER AND WAS USED TO
DEFINE THE AREA OF 20-30 KT WINDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION UP TO 210 NM NE OF THE CENTER. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY A LITTLE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE LATE FRI WITH DIMINISHING SST AND
DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
10N106W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N121W TO 08N133W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST
WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W
OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF
THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE
SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST
OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW
SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 02N131W TO
05N126W TO 05N105W TO 03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
WILL BE FOUND S OF A LINE FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030851
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU SEP 3 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 0900 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT
0520 UTC SHOWED 35 KT WINDS NNW OF THE CENTER AND WAS USED TO
DEFINE THE AREA OF 20-30 KT WINDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION UP TO 210 NM NE OF THE CENTER. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY A LITTLE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE LATE FRI WITH DIMINISHING SST AND
DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
10N106W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N121W TO 08N133W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST
WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W
OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF
THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE
SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST
OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW
SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 02N131W TO
05N126W TO 05N105W TO 03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
WILL BE FOUND S OF A LINE FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030851
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU SEP 3 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 0900 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT
0520 UTC SHOWED 35 KT WINDS NNW OF THE CENTER AND WAS USED TO
DEFINE THE AREA OF 20-30 KT WINDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION UP TO 210 NM NE OF THE CENTER. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY A LITTLE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE LATE FRI WITH DIMINISHING SST AND
DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
10N106W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N121W TO 08N133W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST
WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W
OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF
THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE
SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST
OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW
SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 02N131W TO
05N126W TO 05N105W TO 03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
WILL BE FOUND S OF A LINE FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030851
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU SEP 3 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 0900 UTC MOVING N OR
350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT
0520 UTC SHOWED 35 KT WINDS NNW OF THE CENTER AND WAS USED TO
DEFINE THE AREA OF 20-30 KT WINDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION UP TO 210 NM NE OF THE CENTER. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY A LITTLE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE LATE FRI WITH DIMINISHING SST AND
DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N101W TO
10N106W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N121W TO 08N133W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST
WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY FROM 12N TO 28N W
OF 136W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER MUCH OF
THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE
SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST
OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW
SWELL PREVAILS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 02N131W TO
05N126W TO 05N105W TO 03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT
WILL BE FOUND S OF A LINE FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTNT31 KNHC 030846
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED RESTRENGTHENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 33.2W
ABOUT 690 MI...1105 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 33.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so
some fluctuations in strength will be possible today. Afterwards,
however, Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
Friday morning and become a post-tropical low by Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 030846
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT THU SEP 03 2015

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 115.3W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 115.3 West.  Kevin is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Friday.  A turn toward the
north-northwest is forecast Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so,
and Kevin is expected to remain a tropical storm through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.  A sustained wind of 34 mph (55 km/h) and a gust
as high as 47 mph (76 km/h) were reported by an automated Mexican
navy station on Clarion Island during the past several hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTNT31 KNHC 030846
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED RESTRENGTHENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 33.2W
ABOUT 690 MI...1105 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 33.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so
some fluctuations in strength will be possible today. Afterwards,
however, Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
Friday morning and become a post-tropical low by Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 030846
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT THU SEP 03 2015

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 115.3W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 115.3 West.  Kevin is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Friday.  A turn toward the
north-northwest is forecast Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so,
and Kevin is expected to remain a tropical storm through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.  A sustained wind of 34 mph (55 km/h) and a gust
as high as 47 mph (76 km/h) were reported by an automated Mexican
navy station on Clarion Island during the past several hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 030846
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT THU SEP 03 2015

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 115.3W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 115.3 West.  Kevin is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Friday.  A turn toward the
north-northwest is forecast Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so,
and Kevin is expected to remain a tropical storm through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.  A sustained wind of 34 mph (55 km/h) and a gust
as high as 47 mph (76 km/h) were reported by an automated Mexican
navy station on Clarion Island during the past several hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTNT31 KNHC 030846
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED RESTRENGTHENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 33.2W
ABOUT 690 MI...1105 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 33.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so
some fluctuations in strength will be possible today. Afterwards,
however, Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
Friday morning and become a post-tropical low by Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 030846
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT THU SEP 03 2015

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 115.3W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 115.3 West.  Kevin is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Friday.  A turn toward the
north-northwest is forecast Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so,
and Kevin is expected to remain a tropical storm through Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.  A sustained wind of 34 mph (55 km/h) and a gust
as high as 47 mph (76 km/h) were reported by an automated Mexican
navy station on Clarion Island during the past several hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTNT31 KNHC 030846
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST THU SEP 03 2015

...FRED RESTRENGTHENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 33.2W
ABOUT 690 MI...1105 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 33.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, so
some fluctuations in strength will be possible today. Afterwards,
however, Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
Friday morning and become a post-tropical low by Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT21 KNHC 030845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  32.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.2N  37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.6N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.0N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.5N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.8N  40.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  33.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030845
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 115.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.6N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 117.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.1N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTNT21 KNHC 030845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  32.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.2N  37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.6N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.0N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.5N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.8N  40.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  33.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030845
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 115.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.6N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 117.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.1N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030845
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 115.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.6N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 117.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.1N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPA34 PHFO 030845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA INTENSIFIES SLIGHTLY FAR EAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 143.6W
ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 950 MI...1525 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.6 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SURF
PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTNT21 KNHC 030845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  32.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.2N  37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.6N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.0N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.5N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.8N  40.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  33.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPA33 PHFO 030840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 160.6W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM N OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. AFTER THURSDAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 030840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 160.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.2N 162.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 164.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.3N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.6N 163.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 46.8N 160.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 030840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 160.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.2N 162.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 164.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.3N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.6N 163.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 46.8N 160.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 030840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 160.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.2N 162.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 164.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.3N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.6N 163.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 46.8N 160.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 030840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 160.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.2N 162.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 164.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.3N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.6N 163.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 46.8N 160.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 030840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 160.6W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM N OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. AFTER THURSDAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 030840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 160.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.2N 162.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 164.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.3N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.6N 163.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 46.8N 160.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA23 PHFO 030840
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 160.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 160.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.2N 162.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 164.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.3N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.6N 163.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 46.8N 160.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 51.7N 146.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 030840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 160.6W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM N OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. AFTER THURSDAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 030840
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 160.6W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM N OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. AFTER THURSDAY...IGNACIO SWELL WILL FADE BUT SWELL FROM
HURRICANE JIMENA...EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WILL
BECOME THE DOMINANT SURF PRODUCER.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA24 PHFO 030830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 143.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 240SE 420SW 580NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 143.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 144.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 105SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 100SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.9N 144.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  65NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  95SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.8N 145.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  85SW  95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 25.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 143.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
ACPN50 PHFO 030558
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 435 MILES
NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 960 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

REYNES






000
ACPN50 PHFO 030558
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 435 MILES
NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 960 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

REYNES






000
ACPN50 PHFO 030558
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 435 MILES
NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 960 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 030558
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 435 MILES
NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 960 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 030558
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 435 MILES
NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 960 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

REYNES





000
ACPN50 PHFO 030558
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 435 MILES
NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 960 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

REYNES





000
AXNT20 KNHC 030547
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 32.7W AT 03/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 570 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. THE STRONG
WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ACROSS FRED TONIGHT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 30W-
32.5W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 47W FROM 9N-16N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT SHOW
ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM SE CUBA NEAR
19N77W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N82W MOVING W 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LOW
AMPLITUDE SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE S OF 14N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 19N15W TO A WEAK 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23W
CONTINUING ALONG 12N28W TO 8N49W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N55W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 28W-34W AND FROM 9N-
12N BETWEEN 36W-39W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 23W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER TROUGH HAS NARROWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND NOW ENTERS THE GULF ACROSS THE LOUISIANA/TEXAS BORDER
TO 24N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM E
BAY OF CAMPECHE. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FROM 20N-28N BETWEEN 90W-94W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N86W. AN UPPER TROUGH IN
THE NW CARIBBEAN IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
DOTTING THE SE GULF S OF 26N E OF 90W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
COVERS THE GULF ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS
AT 03/0300 UTC ALONG THE NW GULF COAST FROM 29N92W TO INLAND
OVER TEXAS NEAR GALVESTON. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE
INTO FRI. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE
E/CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N TO OVER
HISPANIOLA AND CUBA W OF 72W TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INCLUDING
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA
ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W
12N80W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE
IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE W
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THU NIGHT. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E
CARIBBEAN SAT.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N TO OVER S HAITI W OF 72W. THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE
CENTRAL ATLC WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED THU NIGHT
GIVING THE ISLAND N FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH EARLY THU THEN INCREASE AGAIN SAT WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. THIS WILL GIVE THE ISLAND A CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FOR THU WITH AN INCREASE AGAIN
ON SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 67W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A
1018 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W...A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 19N60W...AND A
SECOND 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 30N78W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W-67W SUPPORTING A BROAD
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N50W ALONG 26N54W TO 25N62W
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
22N-26N BETWEEN 54W-61W. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 28N BETWEEN 60W-70W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY A T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SETTLES ALONG 28N/29N SAT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 030547
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 32.7W AT 03/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 570 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. THE STRONG
WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ACROSS FRED TONIGHT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 30W-
32.5W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 47W FROM 9N-16N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT SHOW
ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM SE CUBA NEAR
19N77W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N82W MOVING W 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LOW
AMPLITUDE SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE S OF 14N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 19N15W TO A WEAK 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23W
CONTINUING ALONG 12N28W TO 8N49W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N55W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 28W-34W AND FROM 9N-
12N BETWEEN 36W-39W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 23W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER TROUGH HAS NARROWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND NOW ENTERS THE GULF ACROSS THE LOUISIANA/TEXAS BORDER
TO 24N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM E
BAY OF CAMPECHE. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FROM 20N-28N BETWEEN 90W-94W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N86W. AN UPPER TROUGH IN
THE NW CARIBBEAN IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
DOTTING THE SE GULF S OF 26N E OF 90W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
COVERS THE GULF ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS
AT 03/0300 UTC ALONG THE NW GULF COAST FROM 29N92W TO INLAND
OVER TEXAS NEAR GALVESTON. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE
INTO FRI. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE
E/CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N TO OVER
HISPANIOLA AND CUBA W OF 72W TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INCLUDING
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA
ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W
12N80W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE
IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE W
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THU NIGHT. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E
CARIBBEAN SAT.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N TO OVER S HAITI W OF 72W. THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE
CENTRAL ATLC WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED THU NIGHT
GIVING THE ISLAND N FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH EARLY THU THEN INCREASE AGAIN SAT WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. THIS WILL GIVE THE ISLAND A CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FOR THU WITH AN INCREASE AGAIN
ON SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 67W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A
1018 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W...A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 19N60W...AND A
SECOND 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 30N78W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W-67W SUPPORTING A BROAD
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N50W ALONG 26N54W TO 25N62W
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
22N-26N BETWEEN 54W-61W. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 28N BETWEEN 60W-70W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY A T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SETTLES ALONG 28N/29N SAT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 030547
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 32.7W AT 03/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 570 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. THE STRONG
WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ACROSS FRED TONIGHT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 30W-
32.5W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 47W FROM 9N-16N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT SHOW
ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM SE CUBA NEAR
19N77W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N82W MOVING W 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LOW
AMPLITUDE SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE S OF 14N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 19N15W TO A WEAK 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23W
CONTINUING ALONG 12N28W TO 8N49W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N55W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 28W-34W AND FROM 9N-
12N BETWEEN 36W-39W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 23W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER TROUGH HAS NARROWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND NOW ENTERS THE GULF ACROSS THE LOUISIANA/TEXAS BORDER
TO 24N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM E
BAY OF CAMPECHE. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FROM 20N-28N BETWEEN 90W-94W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N86W. AN UPPER TROUGH IN
THE NW CARIBBEAN IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
DOTTING THE SE GULF S OF 26N E OF 90W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
COVERS THE GULF ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS
AT 03/0300 UTC ALONG THE NW GULF COAST FROM 29N92W TO INLAND
OVER TEXAS NEAR GALVESTON. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE
INTO FRI. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE
E/CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N TO OVER
HISPANIOLA AND CUBA W OF 72W TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INCLUDING
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA
ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W
12N80W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE
IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE W
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THU NIGHT. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E
CARIBBEAN SAT.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N TO OVER S HAITI W OF 72W. THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE
CENTRAL ATLC WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED THU NIGHT
GIVING THE ISLAND N FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH EARLY THU THEN INCREASE AGAIN SAT WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. THIS WILL GIVE THE ISLAND A CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FOR THU WITH AN INCREASE AGAIN
ON SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 67W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A
1018 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W...A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 19N60W...AND A
SECOND 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 30N78W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W-67W SUPPORTING A BROAD
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N50W ALONG 26N54W TO 25N62W
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
22N-26N BETWEEN 54W-61W. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 28N BETWEEN 60W-70W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY A T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SETTLES ALONG 28N/29N SAT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 030547
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 32.7W AT 03/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 570 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. THE STRONG
WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ACROSS FRED TONIGHT.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 30W-
32.5W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 47W FROM 9N-16N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT SHOW
ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM SE CUBA NEAR
19N77W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N82W MOVING W 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LOW
AMPLITUDE SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE S OF 14N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER AFRICA INTO THE E
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 19N15W TO A WEAK 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N23W
CONTINUING ALONG 12N28W TO 8N49W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES INTO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N55W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 28W-34W AND FROM 9N-
12N BETWEEN 36W-39W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 23W-25W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER TROUGH HAS NARROWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND NOW ENTERS THE GULF ACROSS THE LOUISIANA/TEXAS BORDER
TO 24N94W WHERE IT MEETS AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM E
BAY OF CAMPECHE. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FROM 20N-28N BETWEEN 90W-94W. AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED NEAR 27N86W. AN UPPER TROUGH IN
THE NW CARIBBEAN IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
DOTTING THE SE GULF S OF 26N E OF 90W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
COVERS THE GULF ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS
AT 03/0300 UTC ALONG THE NW GULF COAST FROM 29N92W TO INLAND
OVER TEXAS NEAR GALVESTON. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE
INTO FRI. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO THE
E/CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W CONTINUING TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N TO OVER
HISPANIOLA AND CUBA W OF 72W TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INCLUDING
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA
ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W
12N80W TO PANAMA NEAR 9N78W. THIS IS LEAVING THE E CARIBBEAN
WITH CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE
IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE SAT AS THE WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE W ATLC SHIFTS SLOWLY SE AND WEAKENS. THE W
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THU NIGHT. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE E
CARIBBEAN SAT.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ACROSS PUERTO RICO
TO 17N75W THEN THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 18N83W AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 18N TO OVER S HAITI W OF 72W. THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE
CENTRAL ATLC WILL GRADUALLY BECOME N/S ORIENTATED THU NIGHT
GIVING THE ISLAND N FLOW ALOFT FRI AND SAT. MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH EARLY THU THEN INCREASE AGAIN SAT WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. THIS WILL GIVE THE ISLAND A CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FOR THU WITH AN INCREASE AGAIN
ON SAT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS OVER
THE W ATLC TO 67W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE W ATLC WITH A
1018 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W...A 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 19N60W...AND A
SECOND 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 30N78W. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLC N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W-67W SUPPORTING A BROAD
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N50W ALONG 26N54W TO 25N62W
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
22N-26N BETWEEN 54W-61W. A FRONT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 28N BETWEEN 60W-70W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IN THE E ATLC IS
BEING INTRUDED BY A T.S. FRED AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH
BETWEEN THE MADEIRA AND THE AZORES. W ATLC SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI THEN SETTLES ALONG 28N/29N SAT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
ABNT20 KNHC 030539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

A well-organized tropical wave will move off of the west coast of
Africa several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands
later today.  Conditions appear conducive for gradual development
over the weekend and into early next week as the system moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 030531
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located several
hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Strong upper-level
winds over this system are expected to diminish over the weekend,
which could allow for some development of the disturbance early
next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well off
of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 030531
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located several
hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Strong upper-level
winds over this system are expected to diminish over the weekend,
which could allow for some development of the disturbance early
next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well off
of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 030311
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 54
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 PM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY WESTWARD...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 178.2E

ABOUT  830 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1295 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1520 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2310 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...270 DEGREES AT 1 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 178.2 EAST...
MOVING WESTWARD AT 1 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT WESTWARD TODAY
THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 85 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
IN INTENSITY TODAY...BUT KILO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING
AGAIN TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPA23 PHFO 030300
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 159.5W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 159.5W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 159.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 161.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.7N 162.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.7N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.3N 164.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 45.0N 162.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 49.3N 155.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 159.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPA23 PHFO 030300
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 159.5W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 159.5W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 159.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 161.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.7N 162.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.7N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.3N 164.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 45.0N 162.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 49.3N 155.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 159.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 030300
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN 350 MILES NORTH OF KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 159.5W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO...FOLLOWED BY SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA33 PHFO 030300
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN 350 MILES NORTH OF KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 159.5W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM NNW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO...FOLLOWED BY SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240
MILES...390 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT
0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO
15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO
10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY
FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO
03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE
FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
AL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT
0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO
15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO
10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY
FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO
03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE
FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
AL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT
0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO
15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO
10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY
FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO
03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE
FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
AL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT
0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO
15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO
10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY
FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO
03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE
FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
AL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT
0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO
15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO
10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY
FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO
03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE
FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
AL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030255
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT
0300 UTC SEP 3 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N123W TO
15N115W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N90W TO 11N100W TO
10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 3.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE W OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF THE
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY
FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE 02N131W TO 05N126W TO 05N105W TO
03.4S101W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF LINE
FROM 05N135W TO 06N100W TO 03.4S91W.

$$
AL


000
WTPA34 PHFO 030249
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
FAR EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 143.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 960 MI...1550 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 030249
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
FAR EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 143.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 960 MI...1550 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA24 PHFO 030248
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 240SE 450SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.4W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 143.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 105SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 144.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 100SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.8N 144.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  65NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 144.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  95SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 27.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 143.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030240
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   17
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SOBREVIVIENDO COMO UN CICLON TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.6 NORTE 32.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 655 MI...1050 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.6 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10
MPH...17 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS FUERTE
EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y SE ESPERA SE DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL
EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL EL JUEVES EN
LA NOCHE.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 030240
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   17
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SOBREVIVIENDO COMO UN CICLON TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC
--------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.6 NORTE 32.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 655 MI...1050 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.6 NORTE...LONGITUD
37.2 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10
MPH...17 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. FRED SE ENCUENTRA CON VIENTOS FUERTE
EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS...Y SE ESPERA SE DEBILITE A DEPRESION TROPICAL
EL JUEVES Y SE TORNE EN UNA BAJA PRESION POST TROPICAL EL JUEVES EN
LA NOCHE.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
WTNT31 KNHC 030235
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED SURVIVING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 32.7W
ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 32.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, and it is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression on Thursday and become a
post-tropical low by Thursday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTNT31 KNHC 030235
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED SURVIVING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 32.7W
ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 32.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, and it is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression on Thursday and become a
post-tropical low by Thursday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTNT31 KNHC 030235
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED SURVIVING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 32.7W
ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 32.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, and it is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression on Thursday and become a
post-tropical low by Thursday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTNT31 KNHC 030235
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED SURVIVING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 32.7W
ABOUT 655 MI...1050 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 32.7 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Fred is encountering strong upper-level winds, and it is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression on Thursday and become a
post-tropical low by Thursday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTNT21 KNHC 030234
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  32.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  32.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  32.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.2N  33.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.8N  35.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.2N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 26.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.5N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  32.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 030233
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
800 PM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 115.0W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 115.0
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday followed
by a turn toward the north-northeast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm on Thursday
before Gradual weakening is forecast on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030233
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 115.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.3N 114.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 030233
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
800 PM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 115.0W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 115.0
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday followed
by a turn toward the north-northeast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm on Thursday
before Gradual weakening is forecast on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ACPN50 PHFO 022347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 375 MILES
NORTH OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 990 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 022347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 375 MILES
NORTH OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 990 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS




000
ACPN50 PHFO 022347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 375 MILES
NORTH OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 990 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 022347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 375 MILES
NORTH OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 990 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 022347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 375 MILES
NORTH OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 990 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 022347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 375 MILES
NORTH OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 990 MILES EAST OF
HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 022343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE EL JUEVES O VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR
CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO LENTO DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA A
MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A
20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 022343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE EL JUEVES O VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR
CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO LENTO DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA A
MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A
20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 022343
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE ESPERA SE DESPLAZE DE LA COSTA DEL OESTE DE
AFRICA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE EL JUEVES O VIERNES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR
CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO LENTO DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA A
MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A
20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 022336
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 31.8W AT 02/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 512 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 28W-32W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
17N45W TO 08N46W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10-15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH S OF 10N BETWEEN 44W-48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N76W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W-
80W. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTED BY
UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE S OF 15N AND W OF 79W AND THE PROXIMITY
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH S OF 10N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
13N17W TO 06N51W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM THAT POINT TO 10N72W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 22W-44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
27N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY W OF 93W. TO THE SE...AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N83W. THE UPPER-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THESE 2 FEATURES IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...MAINLY N OF 24N.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM 26N98W TO
29N89W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE ATLANTIC W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THEREFORE
A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME IS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N81W AND EXTENDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS S OF 15N IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES
MOSTLY DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT S OF 14N BETWEEN 71W-76W
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE REPORTED. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. BOTH THE
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED NW FLORIDA
AND EXTENDING E ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC THROUGH 65W. AT THE
SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1019 MB AND 1018 MB SURFACE HIGHS PREVAIL
NEAR 27N77W AND 27N66W. TO THE E...A 1011 MB SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED NEAR 29N52W AND EXTENDING A SURFACE TROUGH FROM ITS
CENTER TO 25N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS T.S. FRED ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THESE FEATURES...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 022336
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 31.8W AT 02/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 512 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 28W-32W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
17N45W TO 08N46W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10-15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH S OF 10N BETWEEN 44W-48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N76W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W-
80W. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTED BY
UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE S OF 15N AND W OF 79W AND THE PROXIMITY
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH S OF 10N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
13N17W TO 06N51W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM THAT POINT TO 10N72W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 22W-44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
27N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY W OF 93W. TO THE SE...AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N83W. THE UPPER-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THESE 2 FEATURES IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...MAINLY N OF 24N.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM 26N98W TO
29N89W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE ATLANTIC W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THEREFORE
A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME IS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N81W AND EXTENDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS S OF 15N IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES
MOSTLY DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT S OF 14N BETWEEN 71W-76W
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE REPORTED. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. BOTH THE
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED NW FLORIDA
AND EXTENDING E ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC THROUGH 65W. AT THE
SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1019 MB AND 1018 MB SURFACE HIGHS PREVAIL
NEAR 27N77W AND 27N66W. TO THE E...A 1011 MB SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED NEAR 29N52W AND EXTENDING A SURFACE TROUGH FROM ITS
CENTER TO 25N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS T.S. FRED ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THESE FEATURES...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 022336
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 31.8W AT 02/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 512 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 28W-32W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
17N45W TO 08N46W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10-15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH S OF 10N BETWEEN 44W-48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N76W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W-
80W. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTED BY
UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE S OF 15N AND W OF 79W AND THE PROXIMITY
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH S OF 10N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
13N17W TO 06N51W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM THAT POINT TO 10N72W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 22W-44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
27N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY W OF 93W. TO THE SE...AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N83W. THE UPPER-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THESE 2 FEATURES IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...MAINLY N OF 24N.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM 26N98W TO
29N89W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE ATLANTIC W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THEREFORE
A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME IS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N81W AND EXTENDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS S OF 15N IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES
MOSTLY DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT S OF 14N BETWEEN 71W-76W
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE REPORTED. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. BOTH THE
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED NW FLORIDA
AND EXTENDING E ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC THROUGH 65W. AT THE
SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1019 MB AND 1018 MB SURFACE HIGHS PREVAIL
NEAR 27N77W AND 27N66W. TO THE E...A 1011 MB SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED NEAR 29N52W AND EXTENDING A SURFACE TROUGH FROM ITS
CENTER TO 25N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS T.S. FRED ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THESE FEATURES...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 022336
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 31.8W AT 02/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 512 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 28W-32W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
17N45W TO 08N46W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10-15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH S OF 10N BETWEEN 44W-48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N76W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W-
80W. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTED BY
UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE S OF 15N AND W OF 79W AND THE PROXIMITY
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH S OF 10N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
13N17W TO 06N51W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM THAT POINT TO 10N72W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 22W-44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
27N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY W OF 93W. TO THE SE...AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N83W. THE UPPER-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THESE 2 FEATURES IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...MAINLY N OF 24N.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM 26N98W TO
29N89W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE ATLANTIC W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THEREFORE
A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME IS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N81W AND EXTENDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS S OF 15N IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES
MOSTLY DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT S OF 14N BETWEEN 71W-76W
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE REPORTED. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. BOTH THE
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED NW FLORIDA
AND EXTENDING E ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC THROUGH 65W. AT THE
SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1019 MB AND 1018 MB SURFACE HIGHS PREVAIL
NEAR 27N77W AND 27N66W. TO THE E...A 1011 MB SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED NEAR 29N52W AND EXTENDING A SURFACE TROUGH FROM ITS
CENTER TO 25N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS T.S. FRED ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THESE FEATURES...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 022336
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 31.8W AT 02/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 512 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 28W-32W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
17N45W TO 08N46W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10-15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH S OF 10N BETWEEN 44W-48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N76W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W-
80W. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTED BY
UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE S OF 15N AND W OF 79W AND THE PROXIMITY
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH S OF 10N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
13N17W TO 06N51W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM THAT POINT TO 10N72W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 22W-44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
27N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY W OF 93W. TO THE SE...AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N83W. THE UPPER-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THESE 2 FEATURES IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...MAINLY N OF 24N.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM 26N98W TO
29N89W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE ATLANTIC W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THEREFORE
A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME IS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N81W AND EXTENDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS S OF 15N IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES
MOSTLY DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT S OF 14N BETWEEN 71W-76W
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE REPORTED. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. BOTH THE
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED NW FLORIDA
AND EXTENDING E ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC THROUGH 65W. AT THE
SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1019 MB AND 1018 MB SURFACE HIGHS PREVAIL
NEAR 27N77W AND 27N66W. TO THE E...A 1011 MB SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED NEAR 29N52W AND EXTENDING A SURFACE TROUGH FROM ITS
CENTER TO 25N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS T.S. FRED ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THESE FEATURES...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 022336
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 31.8W AT 02/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 512 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 28W-32W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
17N45W TO 08N46W...MOVING W AT AROUND 10-15 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH S OF 10N BETWEEN 44W-48W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 18N76W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 70W-
80W. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SURROUNDING THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTED BY
UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE S OF 15N AND W OF 79W AND THE PROXIMITY
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH S OF 10N.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
13N17W TO 06N51W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM THAT POINT TO 10N72W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 22W-44W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
27N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY W OF 93W. TO THE SE...AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 28N83W. THE UPPER-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THESE 2 FEATURES IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...MAINLY N OF 24N.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM 26N98W TO
29N89W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM THE ATLANTIC W REACHING THE GULF WATERS. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THEREFORE
A SIMILAR WEATHER REGIME IS EXPECTED.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N81W AND EXTENDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
PREVAILS S OF 15N IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES
MOSTLY DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN EXCEPT S OF 14N BETWEEN 71W-76W
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE REPORTED. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. BOTH THE
TROPICAL WAVE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING W
SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
HIGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED NW FLORIDA
AND EXTENDING E ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC THROUGH 65W. AT THE
SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1019 MB AND 1018 MB SURFACE HIGHS PREVAIL
NEAR 27N77W AND 27N66W. TO THE E...A 1011 MB SURFACE LOW IS
LOCATED NEAR 29N52W AND EXTENDING A SURFACE TROUGH FROM ITS
CENTER TO 25N61W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS TROUGH. A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS T.S. FRED ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THESE FEATURES...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa
several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands Thursday
or Friday.  Conditions appear conducive for slow development over
the weekend as the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa
several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands Thursday
or Friday.  Conditions appear conducive for slow development over
the weekend as the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa
several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands Thursday
or Friday.  Conditions appear conducive for slow development over
the weekend as the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

A tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa
several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands Thursday
or Friday.  Conditions appear conducive for slow development over
the weekend as the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022326
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A large area of cloudiness and showers has formed several hundred
miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Upper-level winds could become
favorable for some development of this system over the weekend
while it drifts slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022326
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A large area of cloudiness and showers has formed several hundred
miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Upper-level winds could become
favorable for some development of this system over the weekend
while it drifts slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022326
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A large area of cloudiness and showers has formed several hundred
miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Upper-level winds could become
favorable for some development of this system over the weekend
while it drifts slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022326
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A large area of cloudiness and showers has formed several hundred
miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Upper-level winds could become
favorable for some development of this system over the weekend
while it drifts slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 022133
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 AM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 178.5E

ABOUT  850 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1305 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1540 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2325 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...320 DEGREES AT 1 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 178.5 EAST...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 1 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO CURVE TO THE WEST
LATER TODAY AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 85 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
IN INTENSITY TODAY...BUT KILO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING
AGAIN TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 150 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

STANKO


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 022118
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT
2100 UTC MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE
DEPRESSION REMAINS A SHEARED SYSTEM WITH CONVECTION E OF THE
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N119W TO
12N114W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 11N97W TO 10N108W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N
TO 14N EAST OF 106W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 143.1W AT 2100 UTC SEP 2.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NOW W OF THE
FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION
OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS W SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT FROM 08N TO
28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER
MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF 05N W OF 100W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8
FT WILL BE FOUND S OF A LINE FROM 00N133W TO 14N125W TO 14N110W
TO 03.4S90W.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 022118
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT
2100 UTC MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE
DEPRESSION REMAINS A SHEARED SYSTEM WITH CONVECTION E OF THE
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N119W TO
12N114W. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THU BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST AND DRIER MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 11N97W TO 10N108W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 05N
TO 14N EAST OF 106W.

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER W OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 143.1W AT 2100 UTC SEP 2.
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NOW W OF THE
FORECAST AREA. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION
OF WESTERN FORECAST WATERS W SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT FROM 08N TO
28N W OF 135W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO COVER
MUCH OF THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N152W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N115W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF 05N W OF 100W. BY FRI SEAS GREATER THAN 8
FT WILL BE FOUND S OF A LINE FROM 00N133W TO 14N125W TO 14N110W
TO 03.4S90W.

$$
AL



000
WTPA34 PHFO 022053
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
FAR EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 143.1W
ABOUT 795 MI...1275 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.1 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO
CURVE TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 022053
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
FAR EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 143.1W
ABOUT 795 MI...1275 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.1 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO
CURVE TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 022052
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 143.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 240SE 450SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 143.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 143.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 105SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 144.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...115NE 100SE  85SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 26.5N 148.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 143.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 022052
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 143.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 240SE 450SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 143.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 143.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 115SE 105SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 144.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...115NE 100SE  85SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 26.5N 148.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 143.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTCA41 TJSJ 022041
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   16
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED PREVALECE UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.3 NORTE 31.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 590 MI...950 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 290 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.3 NORTE...LONGITUD
31.8 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10
MPH...17 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
GRADUAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE FRED SE
CONVIERTA EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL EL JUEVES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 022041
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   16
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED PREVALECE UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...20.3 NORTE 31.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 590 MI...950 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 290 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.3 NORTE...LONGITUD
31.8 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10
MPH...17 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
GRADUAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE FRED SE
CONVIERTA EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL EL JUEVES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS...110 KM...DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPA33 PHFO 022033
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 158.2W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST. IGNACIO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWED BY
VERY SLOW WEAKENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
TODAY. ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING
SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE
PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 022033
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 158.2W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST. IGNACIO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWED BY
VERY SLOW WEAKENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
TODAY. ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING
SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE
PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 022033
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 158.2W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST. IGNACIO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWED BY
VERY SLOW WEAKENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
TODAY. ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING
SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE
PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 022033
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 158.2W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST. IGNACIO
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWED BY
VERY SLOW WEAKENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED FROM IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE
TODAY. ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING
SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE
PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTNT31 KNHC 022033
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 31.8W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 31.8 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT21 KNHC 022033
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  31.8W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  31.8W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  31.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.7N  32.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N  37.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N  40.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.3N  41.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  31.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 022033
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  31.8W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  31.8W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  31.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.7N  32.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N  37.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N  40.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.3N  41.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  31.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT31 KNHC 022033
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 31.8W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 31.8 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT21 KNHC 022033
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  31.8W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  31.8W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  31.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.7N  32.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N  37.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N  40.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.3N  41.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  31.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT31 KNHC 022033
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 31.8W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 31.8 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPA23 PHFO 022031
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 157.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.7N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.0N 161.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.8N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 32.9N 163.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.2N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 43.4N 162.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 48.0N 160.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 158.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPZ24 KNHC 022031
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.9N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N 115.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 022031
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.9N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N 115.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 022031
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.9N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N 115.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 022031
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 114.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.9N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N 115.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 022031
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 114.9W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 114.9
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday followed
by a turn toward the north-northeast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday
morning.  Gradual weakening is forecast to commence on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 022031
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 114.9W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 114.9
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday followed
by a turn toward the north-northeast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday
morning.  Gradual weakening is forecast to commence on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPA23 PHFO 022031
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 157.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.7N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.0N 161.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.8N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 32.9N 163.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.2N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 43.4N 162.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 48.0N 160.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 158.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPA23 PHFO 022031
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 157.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.7N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.0N 161.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.8N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 32.9N 163.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.2N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 43.4N 162.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 48.0N 160.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 158.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 022031
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 158.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 157.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.7N 159.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.0N 161.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.8N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 32.9N 163.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.2N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 43.4N 162.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 48.0N 160.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 158.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021912
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTEOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

NO SE ANTICIPA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021912
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTEOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

NO SE ANTICIPA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 021756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 30.9W AT 02/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 455 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 28W-31W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N43W TO 17N44W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W AND
REMAINS LARGELY LOW-AMPLITUDE AND EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN
40W-46W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N76W TO 18N73W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 70W-78W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N88W TO 17N90W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
28N76W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
12N16W TO 14N26W THEN RESUMES NEAR 13N32W TO 07N51W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N51W TO
06N54W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 44W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 04N10W TO 14N22W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 32W-38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
28N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE MAXIMUM AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF FROM 24N-
30N BETWEEN 89W-96W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHERN GEORGIA THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
30N84W. SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDS W-SW TO NEAR 27N89W WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ACROSS SE GEORGIA...AND THE
BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 84W-90W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS PERSIST AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
THE SE CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
CENTERED NEAR 17N80W THAT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE BASIN W OF 74W.
ISOLATED ELEVATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW S OF 15N BETWEEN 79W-86W IN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 75W IS HAVING LITTLE EFFECT ON THE CONVECTION WHICH
IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA AND
SOUTHERN COSTA RICA INTO THE EAST PACIFIC REGION. FINALLY...
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED GENERALLY
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST
BETWEEN 66W-76W.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE
TAMPA BAY REGION NEAR 28N83W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO
NEAR 25N61W. MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM 31N67W TO THE GEORGIA COAST NEAR 32N81W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 29N-33N
BETWEEN 60W-67W...AND FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 73W-82W. TO THE SOUTH
OF THIS ACTIVITY...A PAIR OF HIGHS...ONE A 1020 MB HIGH NEAR
28N76W...AND ANOTHER 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W ARE PROVIDING
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH
ATLC. ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 27N BETWEEN 38W-52W. THE
TROUGHING SUPPORTS A WEAK 1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N53W WITH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 26N61W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
27N52W TO 34N40W. OTHERWISE...WEAK SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM
A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N21W TO A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 20N51W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS WNW ACROSS
THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 30.9W AT 02/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 455 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 28W-31W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N43W TO 17N44W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W AND
REMAINS LARGELY LOW-AMPLITUDE AND EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN
40W-46W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N76W TO 18N73W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 70W-78W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N88W TO 17N90W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
28N76W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
12N16W TO 14N26W THEN RESUMES NEAR 13N32W TO 07N51W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N51W TO
06N54W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 44W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 04N10W TO 14N22W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 32W-38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
28N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE MAXIMUM AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF FROM 24N-
30N BETWEEN 89W-96W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHERN GEORGIA THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
30N84W. SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDS W-SW TO NEAR 27N89W WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ACROSS SE GEORGIA...AND THE
BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 84W-90W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS PERSIST AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
THE SE CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
CENTERED NEAR 17N80W THAT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE BASIN W OF 74W.
ISOLATED ELEVATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW S OF 15N BETWEEN 79W-86W IN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 75W IS HAVING LITTLE EFFECT ON THE CONVECTION WHICH
IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA AND
SOUTHERN COSTA RICA INTO THE EAST PACIFIC REGION. FINALLY...
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED GENERALLY
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST
BETWEEN 66W-76W.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE
TAMPA BAY REGION NEAR 28N83W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO
NEAR 25N61W. MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM 31N67W TO THE GEORGIA COAST NEAR 32N81W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 29N-33N
BETWEEN 60W-67W...AND FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 73W-82W. TO THE SOUTH
OF THIS ACTIVITY...A PAIR OF HIGHS...ONE A 1020 MB HIGH NEAR
28N76W...AND ANOTHER 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W ARE PROVIDING
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH
ATLC. ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 27N BETWEEN 38W-52W. THE
TROUGHING SUPPORTS A WEAK 1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N53W WITH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 26N61W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
27N52W TO 34N40W. OTHERWISE...WEAK SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM
A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N21W TO A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 20N51W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS WNW ACROSS
THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 30.9W AT 02/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 455 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 28W-31W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N43W TO 17N44W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W AND
REMAINS LARGELY LOW-AMPLITUDE AND EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN
40W-46W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N76W TO 18N73W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 70W-78W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N88W TO 17N90W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
28N76W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
12N16W TO 14N26W THEN RESUMES NEAR 13N32W TO 07N51W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N51W TO
06N54W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 44W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 04N10W TO 14N22W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 32W-38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
28N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE MAXIMUM AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF FROM 24N-
30N BETWEEN 89W-96W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHERN GEORGIA THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
30N84W. SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDS W-SW TO NEAR 27N89W WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ACROSS SE GEORGIA...AND THE
BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 84W-90W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS PERSIST AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
THE SE CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
CENTERED NEAR 17N80W THAT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE BASIN W OF 74W.
ISOLATED ELEVATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW S OF 15N BETWEEN 79W-86W IN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 75W IS HAVING LITTLE EFFECT ON THE CONVECTION WHICH
IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA AND
SOUTHERN COSTA RICA INTO THE EAST PACIFIC REGION. FINALLY...
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED GENERALLY
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST
BETWEEN 66W-76W.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE
TAMPA BAY REGION NEAR 28N83W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO
NEAR 25N61W. MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM 31N67W TO THE GEORGIA COAST NEAR 32N81W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 29N-33N
BETWEEN 60W-67W...AND FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 73W-82W. TO THE SOUTH
OF THIS ACTIVITY...A PAIR OF HIGHS...ONE A 1020 MB HIGH NEAR
28N76W...AND ANOTHER 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W ARE PROVIDING
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH
ATLC. ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 27N BETWEEN 38W-52W. THE
TROUGHING SUPPORTS A WEAK 1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N53W WITH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 26N61W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
27N52W TO 34N40W. OTHERWISE...WEAK SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM
A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N21W TO A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 20N51W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS WNW ACROSS
THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 30.9W AT 02/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 455 NM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 28W-31W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N43W TO 17N44W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 40W-50W AND
REMAINS LARGELY LOW-AMPLITUDE AND EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN
40W-46W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N76W TO 18N73W MOVING W AT 25 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 70W-78W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N88W TO 17N90W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
28N76W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITH THE
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR
12N16W TO 14N26W THEN RESUMES NEAR 13N32W TO 07N51W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N51W TO
06N54W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 44W...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 04N10W TO 14N22W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 32W-38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR
28N95W. THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE MAXIMUM AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF FROM 24N-
30N BETWEEN 89W-96W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHERN GEORGIA THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
30N84W. SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDS W-SW TO NEAR 27N89W WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ACROSS SE GEORGIA...AND THE
BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 84W-90W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS PERSIST AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
THE SE CONUS THROUGH THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
CENTERED NEAR 17N80W THAT INFLUENCES MUCH OF THE BASIN W OF 74W.
ISOLATED ELEVATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW S OF 15N BETWEEN 79W-86W IN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 75W IS HAVING LITTLE EFFECT ON THE CONVECTION WHICH
IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA AND
SOUTHERN COSTA RICA INTO THE EAST PACIFIC REGION. FINALLY...
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED GENERALLY
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST
BETWEEN 66W-76W.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE
TAMPA BAY REGION NEAR 28N83W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO
NEAR 25N61W. MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM 31N67W TO THE GEORGIA COAST NEAR 32N81W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 29N-33N
BETWEEN 60W-67W...AND FROM 30N-33N BETWEEN 73W-82W. TO THE SOUTH
OF THIS ACTIVITY...A PAIR OF HIGHS...ONE A 1020 MB HIGH NEAR
28N76W...AND ANOTHER 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N67W ARE PROVIDING
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH
ATLC. ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 27N BETWEEN 38W-52W. THE
TROUGHING SUPPORTS A WEAK 1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N53W WITH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 26N61W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
27N52W TO 34N40W. OTHERWISE...WEAK SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM
A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N21W TO A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 20N51W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR
THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS WNW ACROSS
THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 021736
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 335
MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1015 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


000
ACPN50 PHFO 021736
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 335
MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1015 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021721
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021721
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021721
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021721
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021720
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 021720
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 021720
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021720
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021559
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO SLIGHTLY WEAKER AND DRIFTING NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 179.0E

ABOUT  875 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1315 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1570 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2355 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.0 EAST...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO CURVE TO THE WEST
LATER TODAY AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 85 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS
EXPECTED IN INTENSITY TODAY...BUT KILO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
INTENSIFYING AGAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM LATER THIS MORNING.

$$

W. AYDLETT


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 021559
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST THU SEP 3 2015

...TYPHOON KILO SLIGHTLY WEAKER AND DRIFTING NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 179.0E

ABOUT  875 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1315 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 1570 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA
ABOUT 2355 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.0 EAST...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO CURVE TO THE WEST
LATER TODAY AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 85 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS
EXPECTED IN INTENSITY TODAY...BUT KILO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
INTENSIFYING AGAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM LATER THIS MORNING.

$$

W. AYDLETT



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.6N
142.5W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 21N134W TO 10N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 20 FT NEAR 18N140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT
1500 UTC MOVING N 350 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SHEARED WITH CONVECTION E OF CENTER. A LARGE AREA
OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 19N
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS
FURTHER S FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE DEPRESSION
HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME
UNFAVORABLE WITH WEAKENING W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 12N95W TO 09N102W TO
10N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 78W AND 86W... AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 96W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N120W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN
WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 06N120W TO 03.3S104W. BY FRI
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 11N BETWEEN 115W AND
133W.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.6N
142.5W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 21N134W TO 10N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 20 FT NEAR 18N140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT
1500 UTC MOVING N 350 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SHEARED WITH CONVECTION E OF CENTER. A LARGE AREA
OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 19N
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS
FURTHER S FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE DEPRESSION
HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME
UNFAVORABLE WITH WEAKENING W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 12N95W TO 09N102W TO
10N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 78W AND 86W... AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 96W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N120W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN
WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 06N120W TO 03.3S104W. BY FRI
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 11N BETWEEN 115W AND
133W.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.6N
142.5W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 21N134W TO 10N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 20 FT NEAR 18N140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT
1500 UTC MOVING N 350 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SHEARED WITH CONVECTION E OF CENTER. A LARGE AREA
OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 19N
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS
FURTHER S FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE DEPRESSION
HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME
UNFAVORABLE WITH WEAKENING W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 12N95W TO 09N102W TO
10N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 78W AND 86W... AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 96W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N120W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN
WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 06N120W TO 03.3S104W. BY FRI
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 11N BETWEEN 115W AND
133W.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.6N
142.5W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 21N134W TO 10N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 20 FT NEAR 18N140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT
1500 UTC MOVING N 350 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SHEARED WITH CONVECTION E OF CENTER. A LARGE AREA
OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 19N
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS
FURTHER S FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE DEPRESSION
HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME
UNFAVORABLE WITH WEAKENING W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 12N95W TO 09N102W TO
10N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 78W AND 86W... AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 96W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N120W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN
WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 06N120W TO 03.3S104W. BY FRI
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 11N BETWEEN 115W AND
133W.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021507
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.6N
142.5W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 21N134W TO 10N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 20 FT NEAR 18N140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT
1500 UTC MOVING N 350 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SHEARED WITH CONVECTION E OF CENTER. A LARGE AREA
OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 19N
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS
FURTHER S FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE DEPRESSION
HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME
UNFAVORABLE WITH WEAKENING W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 12N95W TO 09N102W TO
10N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 78W AND 86W... AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 96W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 43N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 25N120W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF JIMENA AND DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN
WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 06N120W TO 03.3S104W. BY FRI
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 11N BETWEEN 115W AND
133W.

$$
FORMOSA


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 021446
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   15
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE CONVERTIRA EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL MAS
TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.8 NORTE 30.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 525 MI...845 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 290 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1004 MILIBARES...29.65 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
30.9 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10
MPH...17 KM/H... Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS DATOS OBTENIDOS DEL SATELITE INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS
SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS
FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE CONVIERTA EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL
MAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS (110 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1004 MILIBARES...29.65
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 021446
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   15
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE FRED SE CONVERTIRA EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL MAS
TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.8 NORTE 30.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 525 MI...845 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 290 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1004 MILIBARES...29.65 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
FRED ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.8 NORTE...LONGITUD
30.9 OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10
MPH...17 KM/H... Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS DATOS OBTENIDOS DEL SATELITE INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS
SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS
FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE CONVIERTA EN UN CICLON POST TROPICAL
MAS TARDE DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 70
MILLAS (110 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1004 MILIBARES...29.65
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPA34 PHFO 021445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA WEAKENING SLIGHTLY FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.8W
ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 021445
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA WEAKENING SLIGHTLY FAR EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.8W
ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. JIMENA IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTNT31 KNHC 021436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 30.9W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 30.9 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 021436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 30.9W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 30.9 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 021436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 30.9W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 30.9 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 021436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 30.9W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 30.9 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 021436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 30.9W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 30.9 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT21 KNHC 021436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  30.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  30.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  30.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.9N  33.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.5N  35.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.9N  36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.7N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.2N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.5N  42.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  30.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTPA33 PHFO 021436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 157.1W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.1 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THURSDAY
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
SLOW WEAKENING STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...
MAINLY ALONG EAST AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF IN
SOME AREAS WILL CAUSE OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVE DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY IN SOME
AREAS AS IGNACIO MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE
TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA
AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON






000
WTNT21 KNHC 021436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  30.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  30.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  30.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.9N  33.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.5N  35.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.9N  36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.7N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.2N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.5N  42.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  30.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPA33 PHFO 021436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 157.1W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.1 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THURSDAY
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
SLOW WEAKENING STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...
MAINLY ALONG EAST AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF IN
SOME AREAS WILL CAUSE OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVE DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY IN SOME
AREAS AS IGNACIO MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE
TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA
AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTNT21 KNHC 021436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  30.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  30.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  30.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.9N  33.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.5N  35.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.9N  36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.7N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.2N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.5N  42.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  30.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPA33 PHFO 021436
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST WED SEP 02 2015

...IGNACIO PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 157.1W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM NNE OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.1 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THURSDAY
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
SLOW WEAKENING STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...
MAINLY ALONG EAST AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF IN
SOME AREAS WILL CAUSE OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVE DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY IN SOME
AREAS AS IGNACIO MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE
TO HURRICANE JIMENA. SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA
AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA23 PHFO 021435
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 156.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.1N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 160.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.5N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.6N 164.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 41.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 46.5N 161.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 157.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON








000
WTPA23 PHFO 021435
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 156.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.1N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 160.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.5N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.6N 164.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 41.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 46.5N 161.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 157.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON








000
WTPA23 PHFO 021435
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 156.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.1N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 160.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.5N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.6N 164.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 41.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 46.5N 161.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 157.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON








000
WTPA23 PHFO 021435
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 156.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.1N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 160.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.5N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.6N 164.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 41.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 46.5N 161.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 157.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON








000
WTPZ34 KNHC 021435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
800 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOW MOVING NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 115.0W
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 115.0
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue through the next
couple of days.  A turn toward the north-northeast with a reduced
forward speed is forecast Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression still could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 021435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
800 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOW MOVING NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 115.0W
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 115.0
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue through the next
couple of days.  A turn toward the north-northeast with a reduced
forward speed is forecast Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression still could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPA23 PHFO 021435
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 156.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.1N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 160.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.5N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.6N 164.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 41.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 46.5N 161.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 157.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA23 PHFO 021435
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 350SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 157.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 156.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.1N 158.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.4N 160.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.5N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 31.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.6N 164.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 41.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 46.5N 161.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 157.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON








000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021434
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021434
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021434
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021434
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 114.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.1N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTPA24 PHFO 021430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 240SE 450SW 510NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 142.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 105SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.6N 143.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  95SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 144.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  85SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.6N 144.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 142.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 021430
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 240SE 450SW 510NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 142.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  65SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 105SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.6N 143.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  95SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 144.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  85SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.6N 144.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 142.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
ACPN50 PHFO 021137
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 290
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 855 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 021137
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 290
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 855 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 021137
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 290
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 855 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 021137
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 290
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 855 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 021137
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 290
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 855 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 021137
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 290
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 855 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN60 PHFO 021130
TWSCP

TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFC
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
130 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

FIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES OCCURRED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER /CPHC/ AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST
2015.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL TROPICAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT
THE WEB SITE OF CPHC...USE LOWER-CASE LETTERS...
WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/CPHC/SUMMARIES/

NOTE...THE SUMMARY TABLE BELOW ONLY INCLUDES TROPICAL CYCLONES IN
THE CPHC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...AND THE DATES ARE BASED ON
COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME...UTC.

SUMMARY TABLE FOR THE 2015 CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON

NAME                DATES         MAX WIND /MPH/
--------------------------------------------------
TS ELA              8-10 JUL           45
TS IUNE            10-13 JUL           40
TS HALOLA          10-12 JUL           55
H GUILLERMO         2- 7 AUG          105
MH HILDA            8-13 AUG          140
MH KILO*        20 AUG -              140
H LOKE             21-26 AUG           75
MH IGNACIO*     27 AUG -              145
---------------------------------------------------
*ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AS OF 31
AUGUST.

$$

HURRICANE SPECIALIST UNIT







000
ACPN60 PHFO 021130
TWSCP

TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFC
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
130 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

FIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES OCCURRED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER /CPHC/ AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST
2015.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL TROPICAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT
THE WEB SITE OF CPHC...USE LOWER-CASE LETTERS...
WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/CPHC/SUMMARIES/

NOTE...THE SUMMARY TABLE BELOW ONLY INCLUDES TROPICAL CYCLONES IN
THE CPHC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...AND THE DATES ARE BASED ON
COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME...UTC.

SUMMARY TABLE FOR THE 2015 CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON

NAME                DATES         MAX WIND /MPH/
--------------------------------------------------
TS ELA              8-10 JUL           45
TS IUNE            10-13 JUL           40
TS HALOLA          10-12 JUL           55
H GUILLERMO         2- 7 AUG          105
MH HILDA            8-13 AUG          140
MH KILO*        20 AUG -              140
H LOKE             21-26 AUG           75
MH IGNACIO*     27 AUG -              145
---------------------------------------------------
*ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AS OF 31
AUGUST.

$$

HURRICANE SPECIALIST UNIT








000
ACPN60 PHFO 021130
TWSCP

TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFC
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
130 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

FIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES OCCURRED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER /CPHC/ AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST
2015.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL TROPICAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT
THE WEB SITE OF CPHC...USE LOWER-CASE LETTERS...
WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/CPHC/SUMMARIES/

NOTE...THE SUMMARY TABLE BELOW ONLY INCLUDES TROPICAL CYCLONES IN
THE CPHC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...AND THE DATES ARE BASED ON
COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME...UTC.

SUMMARY TABLE FOR THE 2015 CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON

NAME                DATES         MAX WIND /MPH/
--------------------------------------------------
TS ELA              8-10 JUL           45
TS IUNE            10-13 JUL           40
TS HALOLA          10-12 JUL           55
H GUILLERMO         2- 7 AUG          105
MH HILDA            8-13 AUG          140
MH KILO*        20 AUG -              140
H LOKE             21-26 AUG           75
MH IGNACIO*     27 AUG -              145
---------------------------------------------------
*ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AS OF 31
AUGUST.

$$

HURRICANE SPECIALIST UNIT








000
ACPN60 PHFO 021130
TWSCP

TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFC
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
130 AM HST WED SEP 2 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

FIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES OCCURRED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER /CPHC/ AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST
2015.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL TROPICAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT
THE WEB SITE OF CPHC...USE LOWER-CASE LETTERS...
WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/CPHC/SUMMARIES/

NOTE...THE SUMMARY TABLE BELOW ONLY INCLUDES TROPICAL CYCLONES IN
THE CPHC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...AND THE DATES ARE BASED ON
COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME...UTC.

SUMMARY TABLE FOR THE 2015 CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON

NAME                DATES         MAX WIND /MPH/
--------------------------------------------------
TS ELA              8-10 JUL           45
TS IUNE            10-13 JUL           40
TS HALOLA          10-12 JUL           55
H GUILLERMO         2- 7 AUG          105
MH HILDA            8-13 AUG          140
MH KILO*        20 AUG -              140
H LOKE             21-26 AUG           75
MH IGNACIO*     27 AUG -              145
---------------------------------------------------
*ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AS OF 31
AUGUST.

$$

HURRICANE SPECIALIST UNIT







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021124
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTEOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

NO SE ANTICIPA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021124
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTEOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

NO SE ANTICIPA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 021124
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTEOS DE MILLAS AL
OESTE NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.

NO SE ANTICIPA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS 5 DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ABNT20 KNHC 021122
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 021122
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021122
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021122
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021122
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 021122
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the
Cape Verde Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021121
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXNT20 KNHC 021047
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.5N 30.1W AT 02/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 410 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. THE LOW LEVEL
CENTER IS CURRENTLY EXPOSED DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS TO THE EAST FROM 17N-21N
BETWEEN 25W-28W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 6N-
14N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES
NOT SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM HISPANIOLA
NEAR 18N71W TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N72W MOVING W 20-25 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE N PORTION OF THIS WAVE HAS SPLIT AND
IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 22N65W TO THE MONA PASSAGE. SSMI
TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 87W/88W S OF 19N TO
INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 18N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 19N16W TO 15N22W THEN RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED
NEAR 12N30W ALONG 9N39W TO 7N50W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM S OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 31N-45W AND WITHIN 150/180 NM N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 39W-49W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA S OF 10N W OF 10W AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 17W-22W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FAR W GULF W OF 94W AND N OF 24N FROM 90W-
94W. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER TAMPA FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE
AXIS SW TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF ERIKA EXTENDS FROM S GEORGIA INTO THE GULF
NEAR 30N84W TO A WEAK 1016 MB LOW NEAR 29N84W THEN SW TO 27N87W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 28N E OF 85W AND WITHIN
60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 25N83W TO 23N91W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS
BUILDING S OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
OVER TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DRIFT NE AND GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE TODAY. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO
THE E/CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED S OF THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS NEAR 18N81W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 72W-83W AND N OF 20N
BETWEEN 80W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC
TO OVER HISPANIOLA AND IS SUPPORTING THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT WAS
PREVIOUSLY THE N PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING FROM
22N65W TO THE MONA PASSAGE AND IS GENERATING ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 60W-69W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH IS S OF PANAMA AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W TO
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN
THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA TODAY. THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH
THU NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS TO OVER
HISPANIOLA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER HAITI AND THE GULF OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER
OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING SE EARLY THU.
MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU
BRINGING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND
TODAY AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER TAMPA FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N73W TO 26N53W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA SUPPORTING A
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N55W TO 29N57W AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 45W-56W. A NARROW UPPER TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE
E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N35W ALONG 25N42W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
22N56W THEN TO OVER HISPANIOLA SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS FROM 32N37W ALONG 30N38W TO 28N40W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 45 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 52W-71W.
THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 29N69W. SURFACE
RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA TONIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 021047
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.5N 30.1W AT 02/0900 UTC
OR ABOUT 410 NM W-NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 9
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. THE LOW LEVEL
CENTER IS CURRENTLY EXPOSED DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS TO THE EAST FROM 17N-21N
BETWEEN 25W-28W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 6N-
14N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES
NOT SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM HISPANIOLA
NEAR 18N71W TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N72W MOVING W 20-25 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE N PORTION OF THIS WAVE HAS SPLIT AND
IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 22N65W TO THE MONA PASSAGE. SSMI
TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 87W/88W S OF 19N TO
INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 18N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 19N16W TO 15N22W THEN RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED
NEAR 12N30W ALONG 9N39W TO 7N50W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM S OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 31N-45W AND WITHIN 150/180 NM N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 39W-49W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA S OF 10N W OF 10W AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 17W-22W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FAR W GULF W OF 94W AND N OF 24N FROM 90W-
94W. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER TAMPA FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE
AXIS SW TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF ERIKA EXTENDS FROM S GEORGIA INTO THE GULF
NEAR 30N84W TO A WEAK 1016 MB LOW NEAR 29N84W THEN SW TO 27N87W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 28N E OF 85W AND WITHIN
60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 25N83W TO 23N91W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS
BUILDING S OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
OVER TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DRIFT NE AND GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE TODAY. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SE INTO
THE E/CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED S OF THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS NEAR 18N81W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 72W-83W AND N OF 20N
BETWEEN 80W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC
TO OVER HISPANIOLA AND IS SUPPORTING THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT WAS
PREVIOUSLY THE N PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING FROM
22N65W TO THE MONA PASSAGE AND IS GENERATING ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 60W-69W. THE MONSOON
TROUGH IS S OF PANAMA AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W TO
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN
THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA TODAY. THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE W CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH
THU NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS TO OVER
HISPANIOLA GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER HAITI AND THE GULF OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER
OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING SE EARLY THU.
MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU
BRINGING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND
TODAY AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER TAMPA FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N73W TO 26N53W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA SUPPORTING A
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N55W TO 29N57W AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
N OF 27N BETWEEN 45W-56W. A NARROW UPPER TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE
E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N35W ALONG 25N42W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR
22N56W THEN TO OVER HISPANIOLA SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS FROM 32N37W ALONG 30N38W TO 28N40W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 45 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 52W-71W.
THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 29N69W. SURFACE
RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK TROUGH SINKS
SLOWLY SE INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA TONIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 021012
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   14
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILITA SOBRE EL LEJANO ATLANTICO TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.5 NORTE 30.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 470 MI...755 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 30.1
OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17
KM/H... Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE CON ALGUNA
DISMINUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA ESTA TARDE O ESTA NOCHE...Y
DEGENERE EN UN REMANENTE DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 021012
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   14
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 2 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILITA SOBRE EL LEJANO ATLANTICO TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...19.5 NORTE 30.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 470 MI...755 KM AL OESTE NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 30.1
OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17
KM/H... Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE CON ALGUNA
DISMINUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA ESTA TARDE O ESTA NOCHE...Y
DEGENERE EN UN REMANENTE DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.68
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020936
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO TURNING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 179.2E

ABOUT  880 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1305 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2365 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.2 EAST...
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWEST DRIFT TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...THEN TURN SLOWLY WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 100 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THEN KILO IS FORECAST
TO START INTENSIFYING AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020936
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO TURNING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 179.2E

ABOUT  880 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1305 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2365 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.2 EAST...
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWEST DRIFT TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...THEN TURN SLOWLY WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 100 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THEN KILO IS FORECAST
TO START INTENSIFYING AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020936
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO TURNING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 179.2E

ABOUT  880 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1305 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2365 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.2 EAST...
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWEST DRIFT TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...THEN TURN SLOWLY WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 100 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THEN KILO IS FORECAST
TO START INTENSIFYING AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020936
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO TURNING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 179.2E

ABOUT  880 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1305 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2365 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.2 EAST...
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWEST DRIFT TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...THEN TURN SLOWLY WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 100 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THEN KILO IS FORECAST
TO START INTENSIFYING AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020925
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED SEP 2 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.7N
142.2W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N136W TO 19N133W TO 08N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 24 FT NEAR 18M140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W 1005
MB AT 0900 UTC MOVING NNW 335 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB.
THE SYSTEM APPEARS POORLY ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM NE OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY
TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE AND WEAKENING OCCURS
W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24
KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N82W TO 10N94W TO
09N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 84W-93W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 03N122W TO 00N115W.
BY THU NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04.5N
BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020925
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED SEP 2 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.7N
142.2W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N136W TO 19N133W TO 08N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 24 FT NEAR 18M140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W 1005
MB AT 0900 UTC MOVING NNW 335 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB.
THE SYSTEM APPEARS POORLY ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM NE OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY
TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE AND WEAKENING OCCURS
W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24
KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N82W TO 10N94W TO
09N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 84W-93W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 03N122W TO 00N115W.
BY THU NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04.5N
BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020925
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED SEP 2 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA IS W OF THE FORECAST AREA LOCATED NEAR 17.7N
142.2W. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION
OF THE FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 139W. LARGE SEAS
GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A LARGE PORTION OF FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N136W TO 19N133W TO 08N140W...WITH
HIGHEST SEAS ESTIMATED AT 24 FT NEAR 18M140W. MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALSO W OF THE FORECAST AREA. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS SHIFTING W OF 140W LATER TODAY. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W 1005
MB AT 0900 UTC MOVING NNW 335 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1005 MB.
THE SYSTEM APPEARS POORLY ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM NE OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL OPPORTUNITY
TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE AND WEAKENING OCCURS
W-SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24
KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N82W TO 10N94W TO
09N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 84W-93W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N154W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 00N130W TO 03N122W TO 00N115W.
BY THU NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04.5N
BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTPA34 PHFO 020845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE
OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.2W
ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD
SPEED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 020845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE
OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.2W
ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD
SPEED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 020845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE
OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.2W
ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD
SPEED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 020845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE
OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.2W
ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD
SPEED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 020845
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE
OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 142.2W
ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD
SPEED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020837
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING SURF TO
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 156.2W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF KAUAI AND OAHU OVERNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SLOW WEAKENING POSSIBLE STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 18 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON






000
WTPA33 PHFO 020837
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING SURF TO
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 156.2W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF KAUAI AND OAHU OVERNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SLOW WEAKENING POSSIBLE STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 18 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020837
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING SURF TO
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 156.2W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF KAUAI AND OAHU OVERNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SLOW WEAKENING POSSIBLE STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 18 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020837
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING SURF TO
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 156.2W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF KAUAI AND OAHU OVERNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SLOW WEAKENING POSSIBLE STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 18 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020837
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING SURF TO
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 156.2W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF KAUAI AND OAHU OVERNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SLOW WEAKENING POSSIBLE STARTING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 18 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA23 PHFO 020836
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 156.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 350SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 156.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 155.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.9N 157.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 159.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 161.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.7N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.6N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE  70SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.5N 165.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 44.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 156.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON







000
WTPA23 PHFO 020836
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 156.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 350SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 156.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 155.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.9N 157.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 159.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 161.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.7N 163.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.6N 164.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE  70SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.5N 165.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 44.0N 163.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 156.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON








000
WTNT21 KNHC 020835
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  30.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  15SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  30.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.7N  32.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N  34.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N  35.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.3N  39.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 25.6N  43.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  30.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 020835
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 30.1W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 30.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
this afternoon or tonight, and degenerate into a remnant low on
Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT21 KNHC 020835
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  30.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  15SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  30.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.7N  32.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N  34.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N  35.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.3N  39.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 25.6N  43.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  30.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT31 KNHC 020835
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 30.1W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 30.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
this afternoon or tonight, and degenerate into a remnant low on
Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 020835
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015

...FRED WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 30.1W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 30.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by
this afternoon or tonight, and degenerate into a remnant low on
Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.6N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020833
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 115.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 115.1
West.  The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10
mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through tonight.  A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a
slower forward speed is expected Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.6N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020833
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 115.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 115.1
West.  The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10
mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through tonight.  A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a
slower forward speed is expected Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020833
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 115.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 115.1
West.  The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10
mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through tonight.  A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a
slower forward speed is expected Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.6N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.6N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020833
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 115.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 115.1
West.  The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10
mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through tonight.  A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a
slower forward speed is expected Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.6N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020833
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 115.1W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 115.1
West.  The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10
mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through tonight.  A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a
slower forward speed is expected Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
the depression could become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPA24 PHFO 020830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 215SE 425SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 141.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.1N 142.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  95SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.6N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N 143.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 144.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N 144.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  85SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 142.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 020830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 215SE 425SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 141.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.1N 142.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  95SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.6N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N 143.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 144.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N 144.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  85SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 142.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 020830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 215SE 425SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 141.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.1N 142.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  95SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.6N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N 143.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 144.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N 144.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  85SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 142.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 020830
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 215SE 425SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 142.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 141.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.1N 142.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  95SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.6N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N 143.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 144.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N 144.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  85SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 142.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON








000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 020552
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 29.1W AT 02/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 356 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 42W/43W FROM 6N-
20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SSMI TPW DOES NOT
SHOW ANY SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 20N66W ACROSS
PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE TO OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 11N71W
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 18N TO INLAND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOVING W-SW 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN. NO ASSOCIATED
DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N W
OF 84W TO THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 13N29W TO 7N49W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 37W-41W AND
FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-47W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 28N-35W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER ARKANSAS INTO THE
GULF NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE COVERING THE
W GULF AND IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 22N95W 26N92W TO
OVER LOUISIANA NEAR VERMILION BAY. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SW TO THE E YUCATAN
PENINSULA COVERING THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF
ERIKA EXTENDS FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA INTO THE GULF JUST N OF
CEDAR KEY TO A WEAK 1015 MB LOW NEAR 29N85W THEN S-SW TO 26N87W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH E OF THE SURFACE LOW. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S
OVER THE NW GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1018 MB HIGH OVER
TENNESSEE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE
DISSIPATING WED NIGHT. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LOW DOMINATES THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED W OF JAMAICA
NEAR 18N80W GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED N
OF 20N TO THE COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN 79W-84W. THE UPPER TROUGH
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W
TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W. THIS IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN
62W-76W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS PANAMA
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE
FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W TO COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. FRESH TO
STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THU. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA WED.
THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND WED THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT
THROUGH FRI.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH AN UPPER
LOW NEAR 20N66W TO OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HAITI AND THE GULF
OF GONAVE. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND THROUGH
WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFT SE EARLY THU. MOISTURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH EARLY THU BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ISLAND WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE AXIS E ALONG 27N72W TO 26N52W. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS
OVER THE N/CENTRAL ATLC N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS
GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N BETWEEN 45-56W. A NARROW UPPER
TROUGH DIPS S INTO THE E/CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH 32N37W ALONG
25N42W 22N55W TO AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W THEN TO OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM 33N37W ALONG 30N39W TO 27N42W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WITH A 1019 MB HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AS A WEAK FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S INTO THE W ATLC OFF NE FLORIDA
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
ACPN50 PHFO 020545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 910 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

GIBBS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 020545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 910 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 020545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 910 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

GIBBS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 020545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPCP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 910 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.


$$

GIBBS






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020520
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 670 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020520
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 670 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020520
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 670 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 020517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cape
Verde Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, has moved inland
over the eastern portions of the Florida panhandle.  Although
redevelopment into a tropical cyclone is not expected, this system
could still produce brief periods of locally heavy rainfall over
portions of northern Florida and southern Georgia during the next
day or so while it drifts northward and northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020304
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING VERY SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1300 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 2 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MAKE A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 100 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER BEFORE RESUMING AN INTENSIFICATION TREND BY FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 135 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020304
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING VERY SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1300 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 2 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MAKE A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 100 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER BEFORE RESUMING AN INTENSIFICATION TREND BY FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 135 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020304
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING VERY SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1300 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 2 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MAKE A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 100 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER BEFORE RESUMING AN INTENSIFICATION TREND BY FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 135 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 020304
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 PM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING VERY SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1300 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 2 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MAKE A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 100 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER BEFORE RESUMING AN INTENSIFICATION TREND BY FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 135 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA33 PHFO 020248
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO BRINGING VERY LARGE AND LOCALLY DAMAGING SURF TO
SOME AREAS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT PASSES BY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.9 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO 300 MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE AND POWERFUL SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY ALONG EAST AND
NORTHEAST FACING SHORES. VERY LARGE SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET IN
SOME AREAS IS CAUSING OCEAN OVERWASH AND LEAVING DEBRIS ON SOME
COASTAL ROADS. SURF WILL SLOWLY DECLINE IN SOME AREAS AS IGNACIO
MOVES AWAY...BUT ADDITIONAL LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON
EAST FACING SHORES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO HURRICANE JIMENA.
SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE JIMENA AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020247
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 02.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 160 NM NE AND 130 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS
GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM
NE AND 200 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 20N
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM
THE AREA AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY
WED. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT
0300 UTC SEP 02...MOVING NW 325 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS
1005 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND
116W. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REACH TROPICAL STORM
INTENSITY EARLY WED. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING NORTHWARD. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 98W AND 102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 44N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 126W.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF
04.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020247
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 02.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 160 NM NE AND 130 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS
GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM
NE AND 200 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 20N
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM
THE AREA AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY
WED. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT
0300 UTC SEP 02...MOVING NW 325 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS
1005 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND
116W. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REACH TROPICAL STORM
INTENSITY EARLY WED. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING NORTHWARD. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 98W AND 102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 44N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 126W.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF
04.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
AL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020247
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 0300 UTC SEP 02.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING A PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 160 NM NE AND 130 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS
GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM
NE AND 200 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 20N
BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. JIMENA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM
THE AREA AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY
WED. REFER TO THE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS TCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT
0300 UTC SEP 02...MOVING NW 325 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS
1005 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND
116W. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REACH TROPICAL STORM
INTENSITY EARLY WED. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING NORTHWARD. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 98W AND 102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 44N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 23N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 126W.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF
04.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 132W.

$$
AL


000
WTPA23 PHFO 020242
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 155.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 290SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 155.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 155.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.4N 157.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.6N 159.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.8N 161.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.1N 163.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 33.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 37.0N 166.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 41.2N 167.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 155.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 020242
TCMCP3

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 155.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 290SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 155.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 155.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.4N 157.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.6N 159.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.8N 161.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.1N 163.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 33.0N 165.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 37.0N 166.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 41.2N 167.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 155.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTNT31 KNHC 020241
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 29.1W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 29.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression by Wednesday night or Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTNT21 KNHC 020241
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  28.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.4N  31.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  33.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N  34.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 020241
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 29.1W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 29.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression by Wednesday night or Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
WTNT21 KNHC 020241
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  28.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.4N  31.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  33.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N  34.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTNT31 KNHC 020241
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 29.1W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 29.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression by Wednesday night or Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTNT21 KNHC 020241
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  28.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.4N  31.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  33.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N  34.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 020241
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 29.1W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 29.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected
to weaken to a tropical depression by Wednesday night or Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
WTNT21 KNHC 020241
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  28.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.4N  31.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  33.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N  34.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020240
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STILL DISORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 114.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 114.6
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Wednesday,
followed by a turn toward the north and then then north-northeast
with decreasing forward speed on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020240
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STILL DISORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 114.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 114.6
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Wednesday,
followed by a turn toward the north and then then north-northeast
with decreasing forward speed on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020240
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.8N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020240
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.8N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020240
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STILL DISORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 114.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 114.6
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Wednesday,
followed by a turn toward the north and then then north-northeast
with decreasing forward speed on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 020240
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STILL DISORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 114.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 114.6
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Wednesday,
followed by a turn toward the north and then then north-northeast
with decreasing forward speed on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020240
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.8N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020240
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.8N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPA24 PHFO 020232
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  85NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 200SE 480SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 141.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.7N 142.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.7N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 143.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  95SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N 144.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 141.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA34 PHFO 020232
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 141.4W
ABOUT 910 MI...1470 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE FORWARD
MOTION IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND THE TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 020232
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 141.4W
ABOUT 910 MI...1470 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE FORWARD
MOTION IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND THE TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 020232
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 141.4W
ABOUT 910 MI...1470 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE FORWARD
MOTION IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND THE TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 020232
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 141.4W
ABOUT 910 MI...1470 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE FORWARD
MOTION IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND THE TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA34 PHFO 020232
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 141.4W
ABOUT 910 MI...1470 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE FORWARD
MOTION IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND THE TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 020232
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
500 PM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 141.4W
ABOUT 910 MI...1470 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE FORWARD
MOTION IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND THE TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE JIMENA WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF
ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE SURF
WILL BUILD THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 020232
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  85NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 200SE 480SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 141.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.7N 142.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.7N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 143.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  95SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N 144.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 141.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 020232
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  85NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 200SE 480SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 141.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.7N 142.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.7N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 143.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  95SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N 144.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 141.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 020232
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  85NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE  95SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 200SE 480SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 141.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.7N 142.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.7N 143.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  95SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 143.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 115SE  95SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N 144.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 141.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020027 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

CORRECTED FOR THE SECTION ABOUT HISPANIOLA

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS...IN PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI...RAINSHOWERS WITH
THUNDER. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
IN BARAHONA. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA
ROMANA. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED IN PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA STARTS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CURRENT 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
AND A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH THAT REACHES
HISPANIOLA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH IS CONNECTED TO
THE 20N63W ATLANTIC OCEAN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS
SITUATION CONTINUES FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. NORTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FOR DAY TWO OF THE 48-
HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB STARTS
WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND EVERYWHERE. THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...FOLLOWED
BY INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TIME. THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY WILL
COVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF DAY TWO...AS AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TO EASTERN PUERTO RICO.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 020004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.



THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HAITI AT THE START OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...
AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IN HAITI EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE TOWARD
SOUTHERN JAMAICA...AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 HOURS. A NORTHEAST-TO-
SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 24
HOURS...AND IT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE
GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB AND FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 29N67W. LARGE-SCALE EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SLOWLY...CAUSING SOME SLIGHT WIND SHIFTS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 020004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED AT 01/2100 UTC IS NEAR 18.8N
28.1W. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...OR 300
DEGREES...10 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE BEING
ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER  WTNT31 KNHC...AND UNDER THE AWIPS
HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ABOUT TROPICAL STORM FRED
ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC...AND UNDER
THE AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM TO 75 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS SENDING MIDDLE LEVEL AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM FRED...
COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN
AFRICA AND 32W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 20N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE
FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS/COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 10N TO THE COAST BETWEEN
THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER AND 75W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N84W...THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS AND
EASTERN NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N83W. THIS
WAVE ALSO IS MOVING THROUGH THE SAME AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT HAS BEEN GENERATED BY THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 08N/09N BETWEEN 77W AND
BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND
81W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
IN CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 12N31W 09N41W 07N50W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 07N50W INTO NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PART OF SURINAME...THROUGH CENTRAL GUYANA...ACROSS
A BIT OF BRAZIL...INTO VENEZUELA NEAR 05N62W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 36W AND
37W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE LINE FROM 14N25W TO 10N34W TO 08N46W AND 07N59W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
92W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW...THAT IS CONNECTED WITH AN EAST TEXAS
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N96W. A TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM THE 32N96W EAST TEXAS CENTER...TO 23N94W AND TO
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 19N92W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM 23N97W ALONG THE MEXICO GULF COAST...BEYOND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 24N
NORTHWARD...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR 30N84W TO A 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
28N85W...TO 26N87W. THIS TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE CENTER
COMBINATION REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 18N78W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE AREA FROM 72W WESTWARD. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND
THE 18N78W CYCLONIC CENTER. PLEASE READ THE SECTION ABOUT
TROPICAL WAVES FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W....INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN
VENEZUELA. TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
01/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...ARE 1.06 IN
BERMUDA...0.66 IN GUADELOUPE...0.53 IN MERIDA MEXICO...AND 0.10
IN ST. THOMAS.

...HISPANIOLA...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE CURVES FROM 20N65W TO 16N68W AND
TO 12N70W. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. THIS WAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW...
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF A CARIBBEAN SEA 18N78W MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE TROPICAL WAVE
SHOULD BE REACHING HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR LESS.



THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
WILL CROSS HAITI AT THE START OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD...
AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IN HAITI EVENTUALLY WILL MOVE TOWARD
SOUTHERN JAMAICA...AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 HOURS. A NORTHEAST-TO-
SOUTHWEST ORIENTED TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 24
HOURS...AND IT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE
GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB AND FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEAR 29N67W. LARGE-SCALE EAST-TO-NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SLOWLY...CAUSING SOME SLIGHT WIND SHIFTS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THE TROUGH EVENTUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TO PANAMA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS
THE INVERTED TROUGH AT THIS MOMENT.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO
28N42W 24N45W 22N50W...CONTINUING TO 21N56W...AND TO A MIDDLE
LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
20N63W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TRINIDAD AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 32N38W 29N40W
25N43W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 17N NEAR PUERTO RICO TO
23N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 56W AND 66W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH
32N33W TO 25N40W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
LINE FROM 25N40W TO 22N53W.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N50W 30N50W 28N51W. A SECOND
SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N56W 29N59W 28N63W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREAS OF THE TWO SURFACE
TROUGHS...TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N44W 27N49W 25N61W 26N75W 26N80W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 32N44W 26N80W LINE. A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
30N68W...TO 23N57W AND 21N44W. A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE PASSES
THROUGH 32N23W TO 28N31W AND 22N38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACPN50 PHFO 012351
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 925 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 012351
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 925 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

BURKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 012342
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE.

UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...ESTA
PRODUCIENDO UN AREA DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL
NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LAS PRESIONES EN LA SUPERFICIE SOBRE EL
AREA ESTAN ELEVADAS Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE DESFAVORABLES PARA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS FUERTES LOCALMENTE
SOBRE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA
O MAS MIENTRAS SE DESPLAZA HACIA EL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRICA EL JUEVES A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL
OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 012342
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED...LOCALIZADA AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE.

UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...ESTA
PRODUCIENDO UN AREA DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE EL
NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LAS PRESIONES EN LA SUPERFICIE SOBRE EL
AREA ESTAN ELEVADAS Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE DESFAVORABLES PARA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS FUERTES LOCALMENTE
SOBRE SECTORES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA
O MAS MIENTRAS SE DESPLAZA HACIA EL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRICA EL JUEVES A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE
LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL
OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 012336
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 700 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 012335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area are high, and upper-level
winds are currently not conducive for redevelopment.  This system
could produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and
northern Florida during the next day or so while it drifts
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABNT20 KNHC 012335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A weak surface trough, the remnants of Erika, is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area are high, and upper-level
winds are currently not conducive for redevelopment.  This system
could produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and
northern Florida during the next day or so while it drifts
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012126
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 2100 UTC SEP 01.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT OF JIMENA WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 140
NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 260 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO JIMENA WAS NOTED OVER
THE FORECAST AREA FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. JIMENA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM THE AREA AND ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W WITH THE SYSTEM. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY SHIFT W OF 140W THIS EVENING WHILE TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY WED. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCPCP4/WTPA34 KNHC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT
2100 UTC...MOVING NW 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
FURTHER TO 40 KT WED. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED N OF 03N E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 96W AND
102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 22N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.
BY THU SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04N BETWEEN
100W AND 132W.

$$
AL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012126
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA HAS SHIFTED W OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 2100 UTC SEP 01.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT OF JIMENA WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 140
NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE FOUND OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 260 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO JIMENA WAS NOTED OVER
THE FORECAST AREA FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. JIMENA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER FROM THE AREA AND ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W WITH THE SYSTEM. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY SHIFT W OF 140W THIS EVENING WHILE TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT W OF 140W BY WED. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCPCP4/WTPA34 KNHC FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT
2100 UTC...MOVING NW 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS
NOTED WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
FURTHER TO 40 KT WED. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE
MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO
09N100W TO 11N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED N OF 03N E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 96W AND
102W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1029 MB CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 42N155W
EXTENDS RIDGE SE TO NEAR 22N114W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
FOUND OVER THE AREA OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF JIMENA AND TD
FOURTEEN-E. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN WATERS CURRENTLY FOUND S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.
BY THU SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL BE FOUND S OF 04N BETWEEN
100W AND 132W.

$$
AL



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 012110
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED MANTIENE SU INTENSIDAD...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.8 NORTE 28.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 330 MI...535 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 28.1
OESTE. FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H... Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPA33 PHFO 012051
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A HURRICANE...PASSING 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MAUI AND MOLOKAI AS IT CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 154.5W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND IGNACIO MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA33 PHFO 012051
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...IGNACIO STILL A HURRICANE...PASSING 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MAUI AND MOLOKAI AS IT CONTINUES HEADING NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 154.5W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS 200 TO
300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF OAHU AND KAUAI TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND IGNACIO MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 012050
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 290SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 154.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.8N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 160.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 161.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.7N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.3N 165.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 39.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 154.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA23 PHFO 012050
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..380NE 290SE 230SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 154.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 154.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 155.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.8N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 160.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 161.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.7N 164.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.3N 165.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 39.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 154.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPQ31 PGUM 012047
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1295 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND
MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 105 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE RESUMING AN
INTENSIFICATION TREND FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 012047
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 179.6E

ABOUT  895 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1295 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO AND
ABOUT 2385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.6...MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND
MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 105 MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN FURTHER THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE RESUMING AN
INTENSIFICATION TREND FRIDAY.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

WILLIAMS



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012039
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 114.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 114.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012039
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 114.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 114.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012039
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.1N 114.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 114.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 012038
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 PM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 114.2W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 114.2
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated
Wednesday morning followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.  The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or
Wednesday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON






000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA34 PHFO 012036
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON MOVING WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. JIMENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THE FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TO SLOW AND CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON







000
WTPA24 PHFO 012036
TCMCP4

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 140.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE  90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 142.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 115SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON








000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 012035
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 28.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 28.1 West.  Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast
to become a tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT21 KNHC 012034
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  27.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N  29.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N  32.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N  34.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 012034
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  27.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N  29.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N  31.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N  32.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N  34.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011759
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

1 UNA DEBIL VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE...LOS REMANENTES DE ERIKA...
ESTA PRODUCIENDO UN AMPLIO AREA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA PRESION A
NIVEL DE LA SUPERFICIE PERMANECEN ALTOS Y LOS VIENTOS NO SE ESPERA
QUE SEAN CONDUCIVOS PARA QUE SE DESARROLLE NUEVAMENTE. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA
PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE AL NORTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...0
  POR CIENTO

2. SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA
COSTA OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE EL DESARROLLO DE ESTE
SISTEMA SERA LENTO EN OCURRIR DURANTE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...10
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011759
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 27.0W AT 01/1500 UTC
OR ABOUT 220 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 25W-29W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N65W TO 21N62W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH RELATIVELY BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING
BETWEEN 60W-70W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N
BETWEEN 58W-63W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N82W TO 19N82W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE LIES WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
29N69W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
79W-83W...AND FROM 08N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N30W TO 06N49W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N49W TO
06N57W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
FRED...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N
BETWEEN 12W-23W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N24W TO 07N45W TO
08N52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND
THE ARKLATEX REGION THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING TO A BASE OVER THE
WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N95W. THE TROUGHING IS PROVIDING MUCH OF THE
BASIN WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE MAXIMUM AREA OF 500 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE NW GULF N OF 23N BETWEEN
89W-97W. FARTHER EAST...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ENERGY IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF STRETCHING FROM OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION S-SW TO
22N87W. AS OF 01/1500 UTC  THE SHORTWAVE SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N85W...THE ENERGY ALOFT SUPPORTS A 1017 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N85W WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING NE TO
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION NEAR 30N83W...AND SW FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 26N88W. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
AND MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
SURFACE TROUGHING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND S OF 23N BETWEEN 86W-88W.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
PERSISTS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLC COAST AND SE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL REGION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N77W PROVIDING
MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STRETCHING FROM CUBA TO CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE PROVIDING A
MARGINALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 82W IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MORE INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE SOUTHERN
CONVECTION AREA IS LIKELY ENHANCED DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 09N/10N FROM NORTHERN
COLOMBIA TO WESTERN COSTA RICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS INFLUENCED BY A
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS IS NOTED GENERALLY
E OF 70W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS HOWEVER. FINALLY...MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES PREVAIL AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
WITH THE USUAL HIGHER WINDS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NORTHERN
COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA COAST.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY DUE LARGELY TO RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT AND
OVERALL STABILITY PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC REGION. LITTLE CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 64W WILL APPROACH AND INCREASE PROBABILITY
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS ANCHORED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 29N78W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 50W.
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS RIDGING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING ALONG 30N-32N. THE FIRST IS NOTED OFF THE COAST OF
GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 31N W OF
78W. THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N59W TO 30N64W AND
IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE THIRD BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 32N52W TO
29N53W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 28N-33N
BETWEEN 48W-51W. THE LAST SURFACE TROUGH IS WEAK AND EXHIBITS NO
ACTIVE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 30N41W. OTHERWISE...WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING PREVAILS ROUGHLY IN THE ZONE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 30W-80W. FINALLY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE EASTERN ATLC IS TROPICAL STORM FRED AS IT TRACKS NW AWAY
FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INTO THE OPEN TROPICAL EASTERN ATLC
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011738
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

1. A weak surface trough, the remnant of Erika, is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Surface pressures in the area
remain high and upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive
for redevelopment.  This system could produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and northern Florida during the
next day or so while it drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2.  A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of
Africa over the next couple days several hundred miles southeast of
the Cape Verde Islands.  Development, if any, of this system should
be slow to occur through the weekend while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph.
*Formation chance though 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Brown



000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 011734
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA HAS ISSUED
IS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 975 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 725 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The
National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane
Jimena.  Future advisories on Jimena will be issued by the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 725 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The
National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane
Jimena.  Future advisories on Jimena will be issued by the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011728
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fourteen-E, located about 725 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The
National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane
Jimena.  Future advisories on Jimena will be issued by the Central
Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 011529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 1500 UTC...MOVING
WNW 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KT GUSTS TO
130 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 955 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NM EYE. CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE IN BANDS WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 43 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT
1500 UTC...MOVING NNW 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY TO 40 KT WED.
IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FRI AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER WATERS WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER
TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N90W TO 09N97W TO
12N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF
03N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W. AN
ASCAT PASS TODAY INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN THE U.S.
DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS
EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP TO 8 FT
N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY SWELL IS
REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL EXPECTED
TO BE S OF 06N BETWEEN 103W AND 133W BY THU.

$$
FORMOSA



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 011453
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO RIGHT ON THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 180.0

ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2405 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 180.0...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM.

$$

STANKO


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 011453
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO RIGHT ON THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 180.0

ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2405 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 180.0...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM.

$$

STANKO


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011453
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE DEBILTA MIENTRAS SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.3 NORTE 27.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 255 MI...410 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS EN EFECTO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 27.0 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUA DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL
CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ANTICIPA QUE SE
CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA TARDE EN EL MIERCOLES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 80
MILLAS (130 KM) DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTPQ31 PGUM 011453
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
200 AM CHST WED SEP 2 2015

...TYPHOON KILO RIGHT ON THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 180.0

ABOUT 910 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1285 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2405 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 180.0...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM.

$$

STANKO



000
ABPZ30 KNHC 011442
TWSEP

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Three named storms and two tropical depressions formed in the
eastern North Pacific basin in August.  All three named storms
became hurricanes, and one, Jimena, became a major hurricane in
the eastern Pacific basin.  Both Hilda and Ignacio became major
hurricanes in the central Pacific basin.  Based on a 30-year
(1981-2010) climatology, three or four named storms typically form
in the basin in August, with two becoming hurricanes and one
reaching major hurricane strength.

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the basin so far in 2015 has been above normal.  The ACE
through the end of August is about one third higher than the
1981-2010 median value to date.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the website of the National Hurricane Center at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=epac

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
MH  Andres*      28 May-4 Jun          145
MH  Blanca       31 May-9 Jun          140
H   Carlos          10-17 Jun           90
TS  Ela**            8-10 Jul           40***
MH  Dolores         11-18 Jul          130
TS  Enrique         12-18 Jul           50
TS  Felicia         23-24 Jul           40
TD  Eight-E         27-30 Jul           35
H   Guillermo    30 Jul-7 Aug          105
MH  Hilda            6-14 Aug          140***
TD  Eleven-E        16-18 Aug           35
MH  Ignacio      25 Aug-               145***
MH  Jimena       26 Aug-               150
TD  Fourteen-E   31 Aug-                35
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
** Tropical Storm Ela began in the eastern North Pacific basin as
Tropical Depression Four-E and reached tropical storm status after
moving into the central North Pacific basin.
*** Peak intensity reached in the central North Pacific basin.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit



000
ABPZ30 KNHC 011442
TWSEP

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Three named storms and two tropical depressions formed in the
eastern North Pacific basin in August.  All three named storms
became hurricanes, and one, Jimena, became a major hurricane in
the eastern Pacific basin.  Both Hilda and Ignacio became major
hurricanes in the central Pacific basin.  Based on a 30-year
(1981-2010) climatology, three or four named storms typically form
in the basin in August, with two becoming hurricanes and one
reaching major hurricane strength.

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the basin so far in 2015 has been above normal.  The ACE
through the end of August is about one third higher than the
1981-2010 median value to date.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the website of the National Hurricane Center at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=epac

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
MH  Andres*      28 May-4 Jun          145
MH  Blanca       31 May-9 Jun          140
H   Carlos          10-17 Jun           90
TS  Ela**            8-10 Jul           40***
MH  Dolores         11-18 Jul          130
TS  Enrique         12-18 Jul           50
TS  Felicia         23-24 Jul           40
TD  Eight-E         27-30 Jul           35
H   Guillermo    30 Jul-7 Aug          105
MH  Hilda            6-14 Aug          140***
TD  Eleven-E        16-18 Aug           35
MH  Ignacio      25 Aug-               145***
MH  Jimena       26 Aug-               150
TD  Fourteen-E   31 Aug-                35
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
** Tropical Storm Ela began in the eastern North Pacific basin as
Tropical Depression Four-E and reached tropical storm status after
moving into the central North Pacific basin.
*** Peak intensity reached in the central North Pacific basin.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




000
WTPA33 PHFO 011440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 153.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA23 PHFO 011440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.4N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 159.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.6N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 011440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 153.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 011440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.4N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 159.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.6N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA33 PHFO 011440
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
500 AM HST TUE SEP 01 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 153.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA23 PHFO 011440
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 153.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.4N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.5N 156.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 157.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 159.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.6N 162.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 34.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 011437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA WEAKENS SOME...
...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 140.1W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 140.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Jimena is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Jimena.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header
TCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Roberts




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 011437
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 140.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 141.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 143.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 144.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 146.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 140.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON JIMENA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4...WMO HEADER
WTPA24 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





000
WTNT31 KNHC 011437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED WEAKENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 27.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 27.0 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the
next 48 hours, and Fred is forecast to become a tropical depression
by late Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme
northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues
to move away from the area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT21 KNHC 011436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  26.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N  28.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.1N  33.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N  36.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N  38.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 011436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  26.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N  28.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.1N  33.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N  36.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N  38.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011435
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 113.6
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual turn to the north
is anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011435
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011435
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 113.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011203
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011203
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011203
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA41 TJSJ 011202
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL FRED ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   9A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST LUNES 31 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...FRED SE ALEJA DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE...

RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 PM AST...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.2 NORTE 26.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 225 MI...360 KM AL NOROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MILIBARES...29.44 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DESCONTUADO
TODO AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

NINGUNO

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 8:00 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE HURACAN FRED ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 26.5 OESTE.
FRED SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O
NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA
PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO DE FRED SE ALEJE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARES...29.44
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE LAS LLUVIAS DISMINUIRAN A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE DEL NOROESTE ESTA MANANA AL CONTINUAR ALEJANDOSE FRED
DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 011152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.2N 26.5W AT 01/1200 UTC
OR ABOUT 195 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING N-NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 25W-
27W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 21N61W ACROSS THE
N LEEWARD ISLANDS TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 57W-64W ENHANCED
BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 80W FROM 10N-19N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. ACTIVITY TO
THE W IS GENERATED BY THE UPPER LOW JUST S OF JAMAICA AND
ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE. SEE CARIBBEAN SEA BELOW.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 11N29W THROUGH A WEAK
1013 MB LOW NEAR 87N42W ALONG 5N47W TO 7N52W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 17W-19W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 25W-31W AND FROM 5N-
9N BETWEEN 31W-54W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER E TEXAS AND ALONG THE
COAST OF NE MEXICO COVERING THE W GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N-28N W OF
94W TO THE COASTAL PLAINS OF TEXAS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 23N-25N W OF 89W TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE REMAINDER
OF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF 95W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 28N
W OF 92W TO THE COAST OF LOUISIANA AND NE TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC COVERS THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM FLORIDA NEAR 30N83W INTO THE GULF NEAR CEDAR KEY
ALONG 27N84W TO 24N87W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
SURFACE TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S OVER THE N
GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH OVER SW NORTH CAROLINA.
THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WED
BEFORE DISSIPATING. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH AN UPPER LOW JUST S OF
JAMAICA TO CENTRAL PANAMA AND COMBINED THE TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 79W-83W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 16N-22N W
OF 75W TO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS COSTA RICA ALONG 9N/10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 11N E OF 83W TO
OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY WED THEN
WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND
WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TODAY AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
AND WED ENTERING THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. MOISTURE WILL
AGAIN MOVE IN TONIGHT PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS
THE ISLAND. THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 29N79W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 29N50W. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 30N W OF
78W TO THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N-32N BETWEEN 59W-63W. THE
ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB
HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC WED
NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 011152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM FRED IS CENTERED NEAR 18.2N 26.5W AT 01/1200 UTC
OR ABOUT 195 NM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING N-NW AT 10
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 25W-
27W. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 21N61W ACROSS THE
N LEEWARD ISLANDS TO 11N63W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 57W-64W ENHANCED
BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 80W FROM 10N-19N
MOVING W 15-20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES THE
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. ACTIVITY TO
THE W IS GENERATED BY THE UPPER LOW JUST S OF JAMAICA AND
ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE. SEE CARIBBEAN SEA BELOW.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS OVER AFRICA TO THE COAST THEN
RESUMES S-SW OF TROPICAL STORM FRED NEAR 11N29W THROUGH A WEAK
1013 MB LOW NEAR 87N42W ALONG 5N47W TO 7N52W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W
AFRICA FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 17W-19W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 25W-31W AND FROM 5N-
9N BETWEEN 31W-54W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO OVER E TEXAS AND ALONG THE
COAST OF NE MEXICO COVERING THE W GULF AND GENERATING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N-28N W OF
94W TO THE COASTAL PLAINS OF TEXAS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 23N-25N W OF 89W TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE REMAINDER
OF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF 95W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 28N
W OF 92W TO THE COAST OF LOUISIANA AND NE TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC COVERS THE E GULF. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM FLORIDA NEAR 30N83W INTO THE GULF NEAR CEDAR KEY
ALONG 27N84W TO 24N87W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
SURFACE TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING S OVER THE N
GULF AND IS ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH OVER SW NORTH CAROLINA.
THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WED
BEFORE DISSIPATING. WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH AN UPPER LOW JUST S OF
JAMAICA TO CENTRAL PANAMA AND COMBINED THE TROPICAL WAVE IS
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 79W-83W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 16N-22N W
OF 75W TO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS COSTA RICA ALONG 9N/10N GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 11N E OF 83W TO
OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY WED THEN
WILL DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC SHIFTS SE AND
WEAKENS. THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE W
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TODAY AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT
AND WED ENTERING THE W CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT.

...HISPANIOLA...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE ISLAND THIS MORNING. MOISTURE WILL
AGAIN MOVE IN TONIGHT PRECEDING THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO CROSS
THE ISLAND. THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR WED AND EARLY THU.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC NEAR 29N79W WITH THE
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
A SECOND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 29N50W. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 30N W OF
78W TO THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N-32N BETWEEN 59W-63W. THE
ATLC BASIN IS DOMINATED BY A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WITH A 1021 MB
HIGH IN THE W ATLC NEAR 30N69W. SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH WED THEN WILL SHIFT SE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SINKS SLOWLY S ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC WED
NIGHT AND THU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
WTNT31 KNHC 011150
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 26.5W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has
discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 26.5 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT31 KNHC 011150
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
800 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 26.5W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has
discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 26.5 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Three tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin during August,
with one, Danny, strengthening into a major hurricane.  Based on a
30-year (1981-2010) climatology, one named storm typically forms in
the Atlantic basin in August, with a hurricane occurring about once
every other year.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storm and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2015 has been below normal.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl.

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Ana              8-11 May            60
TS Bill            16-20 Jun            60
TS Claudette*      13-14 Jul            50
MH Danny           18-24 Aug           115
TS Erika           25-29 Aug            50
H  Fred            30-                  85
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Three tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin during August,
with one, Danny, strengthening into a major hurricane.  Based on a
30-year (1981-2010) climatology, one named storm typically forms in
the Atlantic basin in August, with a hurricane occurring about once
every other year.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storm and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2015 has been below normal.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl.

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Ana              8-11 May            60
TS Bill            16-20 Jun            60
TS Claudette*      13-14 Jul            50
MH Danny           18-24 Aug           115
TS Erika           25-29 Aug            50
H  Fred            30-                  85
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit



000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Three tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic basin during August,
with one, Danny, strengthening into a major hurricane.  Based on a
30-year (1981-2010) climatology, one named storm typically forms in
the Atlantic basin in August, with a hurricane occurring about once
every other year.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storm and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2015 has been below normal.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the
National Hurricane Center website at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl.

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Ana              8-11 May            60
TS Bill            16-20 Jun            60
TS Claudette*      13-14 Jul            50
MH Danny           18-24 Aug           115
TS Erika           25-29 Aug            50
H  Fred            30-                  85
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 011146
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN FRED...LOCALIZADO AL NOROESTE DEL LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
DEL NOROESTE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE DESPLAZARA FUERA DE LA COSTA
OESTE DE AFRIDA EL JUEVES VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SEAN
UN TANTO CONDUCENTES PARA UN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANE EL FIN DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA AL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...
  BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20
  POR CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fred, located northwest of the northwestern Cape Verde
Islands.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat
conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011134
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jimena, located about 1070 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii,
and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located about 740 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 011133
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE SEP 1 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED 1075 MILES EAST OF
HILO...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33
KNHC. JIMENA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


$$

GIBBS






000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010930
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE SEP 1 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 0900 UTC...MOVING
W 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 KT GUSTS TO
140 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 948 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED 20 NM EYE SURROUNDED BY A
100 NM CIRCULAR RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. NUMEROUS MODERATE
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN BANDS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 210 NM OF THE CENTER. JIMENA WILL MOVE W OF 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC LATER TODAY...BUT OUTER EFFECTS OF THE HURRICANE
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT W OF THE AREA AND PERSIST UNTIL THU OR FRI.
JIMENA HAS A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 500
NM OF THE CENTER...WITH MAX SEAS TO 45 FT. REFER TO THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23
KNHC AND HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFEPI/FZPN02 KWBC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT
0900 UTC...MOVING WNW 295 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE
NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN
75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N111W TO 08N116.5W. THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY
AND INTENSIFY TO AROUND 45 KT WED THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS
AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WHILE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N88W TO 08N95W TO 10N103W. MOST
OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS MINIMAL AT THE PRESENT TIME.

...DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE NOSES INTO NORTHERN WATERS N OF 21N W OF 120W.
AN ASCAT PASS THIS MORNING INDICATED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20
KT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N ASSOCIATED WITH A
THERMAL TROUGH NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE GILA AND COLORADO IN
THE U.S. DESERT SOOUTHWEST. SOME NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG
WINDS EARLIER ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS BUMPING SEAS UP
TO 8 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W-123W. ANOTHER AREA OF SOUTHERLY
SWELL IS REACHING SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL
EXPECTED TO BE S OF 03N-05N W OF 107W BY WED NIGHT.

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010849
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 113.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph
(13 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today,
followed by a turn toward the north by Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT21 KNHC 010848
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  25.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N  27.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.3N  30.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N  32.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.3N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  40.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  26.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 010848
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  25.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N  27.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.3N  30.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N  32.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.3N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  40.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  26.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT31 KNHC 010848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015

...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this
afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will
continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the
northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next
few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon
as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands.

STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually
subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde
Islands.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape
Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the
Cape Verde Islands.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 113.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 113.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 010846
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2015

...JIMENA STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 139.1W
ABOUT 1075 MI...1730 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 139.1 West.  Jimena is moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected later today, accompanied by a decrease
in forward speed through Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010845
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 140.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.4N 141.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.9N 142.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 143.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.7N 145.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.5N 146.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 139.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 179.7W

ABOUT 925 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND
ABOUT 1270 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAJURO
ABOUT 2420 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH...355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KILO WILL BE NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST...MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8
MPH. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN KILO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 145 MILES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TYPHOON KILO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

MCELROY



000
WTPQ31 PGUM 010840
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON KILO (03C) ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU CP032015
800 PM CHST TUE SEP 1 2015

...TYPHOON KILO NEARING THE DATE LINE...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
-