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000
AXNT20 KNHC 241204
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING MINIMAL GALE FORCE NE TO E WINDS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN
73W-77W. WINDS ARE EXPECTED DROP BELOW GALE FORCE BY LATER THIS
MORNING. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 3N45W TO 12N44W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX ALONG A BROADER
700 MB TROUGH AXIS. THE WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF LOW LEVEL EASTERLY
JET N OF 9N LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION REMAINS SUPPRESSED N
OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 45W-49W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N62W TO 19N59W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE ALSO THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
INCORPORATES THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX OF A 700 MB
TROUGH. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N
BETWEEN 58W-67W...INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. A
LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS E OF THE WAVE WITH LEADING
EDGE NOTED E OF 57W.

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH S MEXICO EXTENDS S OF 20N ALONG
96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 93W-96W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE AFRICAN COAST
NEAR 20N16W TO 10N24W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N24W TO 09N39W TO 02N51W. EXCEPT FOR CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES...THERE IS MINIMAL CONVECTION
ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
NEAR 30N92W. STATIONARY FRONT AND AN EMBEDDED SURFACE LOW ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ANALYZED EARLIER IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. A
BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA W-SW TO 25N90W
TO EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 22N98W. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
TO ANCHOR ROUGHLY ALONG 27N THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...                                               A
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER NW CUBA NEAR 21N84W. MOST
OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED NEAR 18N71W. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS NE CARIBBEAN
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ON
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 60W-70W. MOST OF
THIS IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO NOW CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 60W. THE WAVE WILL
MOVE WEST AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES IN THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING FROM MODERATELY DRY
AIR ALOFT RELATED TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE ISLAND
NEAR 18N71W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS
WELL. A TROPICAL WAVE THE REMNANTS OF T.D. TWO IS EXPECTED TO
BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N75W. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM PAIR OF 1024 MB HIGHS
NEAR 30N33W AND 29N47W ALONG 28N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 27N80W.
MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS
NEARLY ALL OF THE OCEANIC AREA EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF
THE TROPICAL WAVES NOTED ABOVE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES AND IN
CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 44W. A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING
MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND EAST OF 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXNT20 KNHC 241204
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING MINIMAL GALE FORCE NE TO E WINDS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN
73W-77W. WINDS ARE EXPECTED DROP BELOW GALE FORCE BY LATER THIS
MORNING. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 3N45W TO 12N44W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX ALONG A BROADER
700 MB TROUGH AXIS. THE WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF LOW LEVEL EASTERLY
JET N OF 9N LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION REMAINS SUPPRESSED N
OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 45W-49W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N62W TO 19N59W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE ALSO THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
INCORPORATES THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX OF A 700 MB
TROUGH. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N
BETWEEN 58W-67W...INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. A
LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS E OF THE WAVE WITH LEADING
EDGE NOTED E OF 57W.

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH S MEXICO EXTENDS S OF 20N ALONG
96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 93W-96W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE AFRICAN COAST
NEAR 20N16W TO 10N24W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N24W TO 09N39W TO 02N51W. EXCEPT FOR CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES...THERE IS MINIMAL CONVECTION
ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
NEAR 30N92W. STATIONARY FRONT AND AN EMBEDDED SURFACE LOW ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ANALYZED EARLIER IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. A
BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA W-SW TO 25N90W
TO EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 22N98W. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
TO ANCHOR ROUGHLY ALONG 27N THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...                                               A
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER NW CUBA NEAR 21N84W. MOST
OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED NEAR 18N71W. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS NE CARIBBEAN
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ON
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 60W-70W. MOST OF
THIS IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO NOW CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 60W. THE WAVE WILL
MOVE WEST AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES IN THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING FROM MODERATELY DRY
AIR ALOFT RELATED TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE ISLAND
NEAR 18N71W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS
WELL. A TROPICAL WAVE THE REMNANTS OF T.D. TWO IS EXPECTED TO
BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N75W. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM PAIR OF 1024 MB HIGHS
NEAR 30N33W AND 29N47W ALONG 28N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 27N80W.
MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS
NEARLY ALL OF THE OCEANIC AREA EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF
THE TROPICAL WAVES NOTED ABOVE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES AND IN
CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 44W. A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING
MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND EAST OF 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241152
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A surface trough located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has moved into the central Pacific basin.
Please see the Tropical Weather Outlook from the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center for more details.

A low pressure system located about 1550 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little
overnight.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and this system is expected to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms has formed
well south of the coast of southeastern Mexico.  Upper-level winds
are expected to become more favorable for development of this system
over the next few days while its moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of
days roughly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

The central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook can be found under
AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241152
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A surface trough located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has moved into the central Pacific basin.
Please see the Tropical Weather Outlook from the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center for more details.

A low pressure system located about 1550 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little
overnight.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and this system is expected to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms has formed
well south of the coast of southeastern Mexico.  Upper-level winds
are expected to become more favorable for development of this system
over the next few days while its moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of
days roughly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

The central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook can be found under
AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241152
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A surface trough located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has moved into the central Pacific basin.
Please see the Tropical Weather Outlook from the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center for more details.

A low pressure system located about 1550 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little
overnight.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and this system is expected to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms has formed
well south of the coast of southeastern Mexico.  Upper-level winds
are expected to become more favorable for development of this system
over the next few days while its moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of
days roughly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

The central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook can be found under
AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241152
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A surface trough located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has moved into the central Pacific basin.
Please see the Tropical Weather Outlook from the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center for more details.

A low pressure system located about 1550 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little
overnight.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and this system is expected to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms has formed
well south of the coast of southeastern Mexico.  Upper-level winds
are expected to become more favorable for development of this system
over the next few days while its moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of
days roughly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

The central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook can be found under
AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ACPN50 PHFO 241132
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU JUL 24 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII PRODUCED THUNDERSTORMS SHOWING
A LIMITED...ASYMMETRICAL ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO




000
AXNT20 KNHC 241130
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING MINIMAL GALE FORCE NE TO E WINDS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN
73W-77W. WINDS ARE EXPECTED DROP BELOW GALE FORCE BY LATER THIS
MORNING. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 3N45W TO 12N44W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX ALONG A BROADER
700 MB TROUGH AXIS. THE WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF LOW LEVEL EASTERLY
JET N OF 9N LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION REMAINS SUPPRESSED N
OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 45W-49W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N62W TO 19N59W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE ALSO THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
INCORPORATES THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX OF A 700 MB
TROUGH. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N
BETWEEN 58W-67W...INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. A
LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS E OF THE WAVE WITH LEADING
EDGE NOTED E OF 57W.

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH S MEXICO EXTENDS S OF 20N ALONG
96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 93W-96W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE AFRICAN COAST
NEAR 20N16W TO 10N24W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N24W TO 09N39W TO 02N51W. EXCEPT FOR CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES...THERE IS MINIMAL CONVECTION
ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
NEAR 30N92W. STATIONARY FRONT AND AN EMBEDDED SURFACE LOW ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ANALYZED EARLIER IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. A
BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA W-SW TO 25N90W
TO EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 22N98W. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
TO ANCHOR ROUGHLY ALONG 27N THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...                                               A
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER NW CUBA NEAR 21N84W. MOST
OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED NEAR 18N71W. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS NE CARIBBEAN
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ON
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 60W-70W. MOST OF
THIS IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO NOW CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 60W. THE WAVE WILL
MOVE WEST AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES IN THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING FROM MODERATELY DRY
AIR ALOFT RELATED TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE ISLAND
NEAR 18N71W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS
WELL. A TROPICAL WAVE THE REMNANTS OF T.D. TWO IS EXPECTED TO
BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N75W. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM PAIR OF 1024 MB HIGHS
NEAR 30N33W AND 29N47W ALONG 28N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 27N80W.
MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS
NEARLY ALL OF THE OCEANIC AREA EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF
THE TROPICAL WAVES NOTED ABOVE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES AND IN
CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 44W. A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING
MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND EAST OF 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 241130
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING MINIMAL GALE FORCE NE TO E WINDS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN
73W-77W. WINDS ARE EXPECTED DROP BELOW GALE FORCE BY LATER THIS
MORNING. SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 3N45W TO 12N44W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX ALONG A BROADER
700 MB TROUGH AXIS. THE WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF LOW LEVEL EASTERLY
JET N OF 9N LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION REMAINS SUPPRESSED N
OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 45W-49W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N62W TO 19N59W MOVING W AT 20-25
KT. THE WAVE ALSO THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
INCORPORATES THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX OF A 700 MB
TROUGH. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N
BETWEEN 58W-67W...INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. A
LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS E OF THE WAVE WITH LEADING
EDGE NOTED E OF 57W.

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH S MEXICO EXTENDS S OF 20N ALONG
96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 93W-96W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE AFRICAN COAST
NEAR 20N16W TO 10N24W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N24W TO 09N39W TO 02N51W. EXCEPT FOR CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES...THERE IS MINIMAL CONVECTION
ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
NEAR 30N92W. STATIONARY FRONT AND AN EMBEDDED SURFACE LOW ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ANALYZED EARLIER IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. A
BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA W-SW TO 25N90W
TO EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 22N98W. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
TO ANCHOR ROUGHLY ALONG 27N THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...                                               A
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER NW CUBA NEAR 21N84W. MOST
OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED NEAR 18N71W. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS NE CARIBBEAN
INCLUDING HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ON
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 60W-70W. MOST OF
THIS IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO NOW CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 60W. THE WAVE WILL
MOVE WEST AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES IN THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS
MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING FROM MODERATELY DRY
AIR ALOFT RELATED TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE ISLAND
NEAR 18N71W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS
WELL. A TROPICAL WAVE THE REMNANTS OF T.D. TWO IS EXPECTED TO
BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR
30N75W. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM PAIR OF 1024 MB HIGHS
NEAR 30N33W AND 29N47W ALONG 28N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 27N80W.
MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS
NEARLY ALL OF THE OCEANIC AREA EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF
THE TROPICAL WAVES NOTED ABOVE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES AND IN
CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 44W. A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING
MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND EAST OF 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 241117
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 24 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ABNT20 KNHC 241115
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ABNT20 KNHC 241115
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240945
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N130W WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
EXTENDING N TO 18N131W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 126W TO 132W. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES W OR WNW
AT 10 TO 15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM MEXICO INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION NEAR
16N956 TO 9N95W MOVING W 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 14N
BETWEEN 96W AND 99W. WAVE IS ALSO ENHANCING THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N105W TO 9N107W MOVING W 15 TO 20
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS BENEATH AN UPPER LOW DESCRIBED
BELOW.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 19N119W TO 11N122W MOVING W 20 TO 25
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS BENEATH AN UPPER INVERTED
TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N131W TO THE 1007 B LOW IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURES NEAR 12N130W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA AND IS DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 7N95W 9N102W 8N109W TO
10N115W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES ALONG 13N120W THEN
RESUMES 14N123W THROUGH THE 1007 MB LOW 12N130W TO 1009 MB LOW
NEAR 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
45 NM OF 7N E OF 81W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND FROM 7N TO 11N
BETWEEN 94W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 9N BETWEEN 89W TO 95W AND WITHIN 180 NM
S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 107W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 116W AND 124W AND
BETWEEN 133W TO 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W WITH A CUTOFF UPPER
LOW NEAR 27N134W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT
THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS COVERS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF
130W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SE ARIZONA
NEAR 33N110W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE E
PACIFIC 22N E OF 125W. AN INVERTED TROUGH IS S OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND UPPER TROUGH S OF 20N ALONG 121W. A SMALL UPPER LOW IS
S OF MEXICO CENTERED NEAR 17N103W AND GENERATING SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN
101W AND 108W INCLUDING THE COAST OF SW MEXICO.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THIS
MORNING. A 0330 UTC ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS
IN THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-25 KT TONIGHT
INTO FRI WITH SEAS TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT FRI MONRING.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 20N W OF 120W.

$$
PAW



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240945
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N130W WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
EXTENDING N TO 18N131W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 126W TO 132W. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES W OR WNW
AT 10 TO 15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM MEXICO INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION NEAR
16N956 TO 9N95W MOVING W 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 14N
BETWEEN 96W AND 99W. WAVE IS ALSO ENHANCING THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N105W TO 9N107W MOVING W 15 TO 20
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS BENEATH AN UPPER LOW DESCRIBED
BELOW.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 19N119W TO 11N122W MOVING W 20 TO 25
KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS BENEATH AN UPPER INVERTED
TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N131W TO THE 1007 B LOW IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURES NEAR 12N130W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA AND IS DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N84W ALONG 7N95W 9N102W 8N109W TO
10N115W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES ALONG 13N120W THEN
RESUMES 14N123W THROUGH THE 1007 MB LOW 12N130W TO 1009 MB LOW
NEAR 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
45 NM OF 7N E OF 81W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND FROM 7N TO 11N
BETWEEN 94W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 9N BETWEEN 89W TO 95W AND WITHIN 180 NM
S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 107W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 116W AND 124W AND
BETWEEN 133W TO 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W WITH A CUTOFF UPPER
LOW NEAR 27N134W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT
THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS COVERS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF
130W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SE ARIZONA
NEAR 33N110W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE E
PACIFIC 22N E OF 125W. AN INVERTED TROUGH IS S OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND UPPER TROUGH S OF 20N ALONG 121W. A SMALL UPPER LOW IS
S OF MEXICO CENTERED NEAR 17N103W AND GENERATING SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN
101W AND 108W INCLUDING THE COAST OF SW MEXICO.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THIS
MORNING. A 0330 UTC ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS
IN THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-25 KT TONIGHT
INTO FRI WITH SEAS TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT FRI MONRING.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 20N W OF 120W.

$$
PAW


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 240554
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 24 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE
PARTES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTAN ASOCIADOS CON LOS REMANENTES DE
LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS. NO HAY INDICIOS DE CIRCULACION EN LA
SUPERFICIE Y LAS CONDICIONES EN EL AMBIENTE NO SON FAVORABLES PARA
REDESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE
NOROESTE ALREDEDOR DE 25 MPH. AGUACEROS Y VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON
POSIBLES DURANTE GRAN PARTE DEL DIA ESPECIALMENTE EN LA ISLA DE
GUADALUPE...DOMINICA...MARTINICA Y SANTA LUCIA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 240554
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 24 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE
PARTES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTAN ASOCIADOS CON LOS REMANENTES DE
LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS. NO HAY INDICIOS DE CIRCULACION EN LA
SUPERFICIE Y LAS CONDICIONES EN EL AMBIENTE NO SON FAVORABLES PARA
REDESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE
NOROESTE ALREDEDOR DE 25 MPH. AGUACEROS Y VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON
POSIBLES DURANTE GRAN PARTE DEL DIA ESPECIALMENTE EN LA ISLA DE
GUADALUPE...DOMINICA...MARTINICA Y SANTA LUCIA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG




000
AXNT20 KNHC 240548
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA
WATERS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY RESULTING IN
MINIMAL GALE FORCE NE TO E WINDS FROM 11N-13.5N BETWEEN 73-77W.
SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 03N44W TO 12N43W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A SOUTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM ALONG A BROADER 700 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 18N54W
TO THE NW OF THE WAVE AXIS SE TO THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 04N44W. THE WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF A LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL
EASTERLY JET N OF 09N THAT IS LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT OF THE
SAL...CONVECTION REMAINS SUPPRESSED S OF 10N WITH ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 40W-47W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N59W TO 19N56W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTAINS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
HAS INCORPORATED THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OF A
700 MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 18N54W TO 04N44W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 58W-63W...INCLUDING
A PORTION OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST
FOLLOWS IN WAKE OF THE WAVE WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOTED E OF 55W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N93W TO 20N94W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 90W-95W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 19N17W TO
11N23W TO 10N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N26W TO 09N35W TO 02N50W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-14N BETWEEN 15W-21W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER TENNESSEE
S-SW TO OVER THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 25N97W AND INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N103W. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IS FOCUSED
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA REGION AND COASTAL LOUISIANA
THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N92W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE LOW CENTER WEST
TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR GALVESTON BAY. WEAK LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LIFTING
DYNAMICS IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 89W-
92W. FARTHER SOUTH...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL
FLORIDA PENINSULA W-SW TO 25N90W TO THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO
COAST NEAR 22N98W. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING JUST NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 28N82W TO 25N94W. LOOKING AHEAD...THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL RETAIN THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TO
THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD AND ANCHOR
ALONG 27N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 21N84W
THAT CONTINUES TO GENERATE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS CUBA
AND ACTIVITY IN THE VICINITY OF 19N84W. WHILE MOST OF THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR
18N71W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE
REMAINS VERY DRY AND SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING...A
STREAM OF LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTING WESTWARD
WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM
12N-16N BETWEEN 58W-68W. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE IS A WESTWARD
EXTENSION OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WHICH IS
NOTED AS A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 58W THIS EVENING. THE WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST AND BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES TO THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS. FINALLY...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY OVERALL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING DUE TO
MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT AS AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS
CENTERED OVER THE ISLAND NEAR 18N71W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS LIE
TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS WELL WITH A WEAK RIDGE PRECEDING A
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO IMPACT HISPANIOLA WITH PRECIPITATION
BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 30N76W THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 28N57W TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
NEAR 27N80W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS
EVENING S OF 28N. MOST MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS REMAINS N OF 28N
ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND AMPLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 63W-77W. FARTHER
EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...THE
SURFACE RIDGE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE SW NORTH ATLC ALONG
28N IS ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N31W AND A
1024 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N57W. FINALLY...A LARGE AREA OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING REMAINING MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND EAST
OF 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 240548
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA
WATERS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY RESULTING IN
MINIMAL GALE FORCE NE TO E WINDS FROM 11N-13.5N BETWEEN 73-77W.
SEE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 03N44W TO 12N43W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A SOUTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM ALONG A BROADER 700 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 18N54W
TO THE NW OF THE WAVE AXIS SE TO THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 04N44W. THE WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF A LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL
EASTERLY JET N OF 09N THAT IS LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT OF THE
SAL...CONVECTION REMAINS SUPPRESSED S OF 10N WITH ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM 06N-10N BETWEEN 40W-47W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N59W TO 19N56W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTAINS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
HAS INCORPORATED THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OF A
700 MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 18N54W TO 04N44W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 58W-63W...INCLUDING
A PORTION OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST
FOLLOWS IN WAKE OF THE WAVE WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOTED E OF 55W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N93W TO 20N94W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 90W-95W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 19N17W TO
11N23W TO 10N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N26W TO 09N35W TO 02N50W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-14N BETWEEN 15W-21W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER TENNESSEE
S-SW TO OVER THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 25N97W AND INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N103W. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IS FOCUSED
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA REGION AND COASTAL LOUISIANA
THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1014 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N92W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE LOW CENTER WEST
TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR GALVESTON BAY. WEAK LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LIFTING
DYNAMICS IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 89W-
92W. FARTHER SOUTH...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL
FLORIDA PENINSULA W-SW TO 25N90W TO THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO
COAST NEAR 22N98W. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING JUST NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 28N82W TO 25N94W. LOOKING AHEAD...THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL RETAIN THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TO
THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD AND ANCHOR
ALONG 27N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 21N84W
THAT CONTINUES TO GENERATE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS CUBA
AND ACTIVITY IN THE VICINITY OF 19N84W. WHILE MOST OF THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR
18N71W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE
REMAINS VERY DRY AND SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING...A
STREAM OF LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTING WESTWARD
WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM
12N-16N BETWEEN 58W-68W. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE IS A WESTWARD
EXTENSION OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WHICH IS
NOTED AS A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 58W THIS EVENING. THE WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST AND BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES TO THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS. FINALLY...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY OVERALL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING DUE TO
MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT AS AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS
CENTERED OVER THE ISLAND NEAR 18N71W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS LIE
TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS WELL WITH A WEAK RIDGE PRECEDING A
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO IMPACT HISPANIOLA WITH PRECIPITATION
BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 30N76W THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 28N57W TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
NEAR 27N80W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS
EVENING S OF 28N. MOST MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS REMAINS N OF 28N
ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND AMPLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 63W-77W. FARTHER
EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...THE
SURFACE RIDGE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE SW NORTH ATLC ALONG
28N IS ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N31W AND A
1024 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N57W. FINALLY...A LARGE AREA OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING REMAINING MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND EAST
OF 55W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
ABNT20 KNHC 240548
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms moving westward over
portions of the Lesser Antilles are associated with the remnants
of Tropical Depression Two.  There are no signs of a surface
circulation, and environmental conditions are not conducive for
re-development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at
about 25 mph.  Showers and gusty winds are possible through much of
the day, especially on the islands of Guadeloupe, Dominica,
Martinique, and St. Lucia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABNT20 KNHC 240548
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms moving westward over
portions of the Lesser Antilles are associated with the remnants
of Tropical Depression Two.  There are no signs of a surface
circulation, and environmental conditions are not conducive for
re-development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at
about 25 mph.  Showers and gusty winds are possible through much of
the day, especially on the islands of Guadeloupe, Dominica,
Martinique, and St. Lucia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240531
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located about 1450 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
gradually show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development, and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure located about 1250 miles east-
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized
shower activity.  Development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south-southwest of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some
development of this system is expected over the weekend while it
moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of
days about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240531
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located about 1450 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
gradually show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development, and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure located about 1250 miles east-
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized
shower activity.  Development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south-southwest of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some
development of this system is expected over the weekend while it
moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple of
days about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ACPN50 PHFO 240523
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII PRODUCED DISORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ACPN50 PHFO 240523
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII PRODUCED DISORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240302
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N128W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
LATE DAY VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WAS BECOMING MORE FOCUSED WITHIN 90
NM OF THE LOW IN THE E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LOW IN
THE NW QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS
IS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES W OR WNW AT 10 TO 15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 10N92W MOVING
W 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION
DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N
TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N105W TO 16N103W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N117W TO 11N119W MOVING W 15-20 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS
FROM 11N TO 15N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N131W TO 11N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS LOCATED AT
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA AND IS
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N90W TO 09N100W. ITCZ FROM
09N100W TO 13N110W TO 1007 MB LOW 11N128W TO 1009 MB LOW
09N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE
OF AXIS BETWEEN 9W AND 100W...BETWEEN 106W AND 110W...AND WITHIN
180 NM N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 105W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. THE MEAN AXIS
EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 29N133W TO 18N135W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY
THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH
ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E
PACIFIC TO A COL NEAR 22N120W. A SMALL UPPER CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N112W
WAS BECOMING STATIONARY.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
THIS EVENING. AN EARLIER 1544 UTC ASCAT PASS CAPTURED AN AREA OF
20-25 KT WINDS IN THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-
25 KT TONIGHT INTO THU AND AGAIN THU NIGHT AND FRI. SEAS BUILD
TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240302
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N128W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
LATE DAY VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WAS BECOMING MORE FOCUSED WITHIN 90
NM OF THE LOW IN THE E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LOW IN
THE NW QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS
IS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES W OR WNW AT 10 TO 15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 10N92W MOVING
W 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION
DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N
TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N105W TO 16N103W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N117W TO 11N119W MOVING W 15-20 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS
FROM 11N TO 15N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N131W TO 11N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS LOCATED AT
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA AND IS
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N90W TO 09N100W. ITCZ FROM
09N100W TO 13N110W TO 1007 MB LOW 11N128W TO 1009 MB LOW
09N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE
OF AXIS BETWEEN 9W AND 100W...BETWEEN 106W AND 110W...AND WITHIN
180 NM N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 105W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. THE MEAN AXIS
EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 29N133W TO 18N135W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY
THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH
ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E
PACIFIC TO A COL NEAR 22N120W. A SMALL UPPER CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N112W
WAS BECOMING STATIONARY.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
THIS EVENING. AN EARLIER 1544 UTC ASCAT PASS CAPTURED AN AREA OF
20-25 KT WINDS IN THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-
25 KT TONIGHT INTO THU AND AGAIN THU NIGHT AND FRI. SEAS BUILD
TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240302
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N128W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
LATE DAY VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WAS BECOMING MORE FOCUSED WITHIN 90
NM OF THE LOW IN THE E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LOW IN
THE NW QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS
IS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES W OR WNW AT 10 TO 15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 10N92W MOVING
W 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION
DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N
TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N105W TO 16N103W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N117W TO 11N119W MOVING W 15-20 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS
FROM 11N TO 15N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N131W TO 11N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS LOCATED AT
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA AND IS
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N90W TO 09N100W. ITCZ FROM
09N100W TO 13N110W TO 1007 MB LOW 11N128W TO 1009 MB LOW
09N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE
OF AXIS BETWEEN 9W AND 100W...BETWEEN 106W AND 110W...AND WITHIN
180 NM N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 105W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. THE MEAN AXIS
EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 29N133W TO 18N135W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY
THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH
ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E
PACIFIC TO A COL NEAR 22N120W. A SMALL UPPER CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N112W
WAS BECOMING STATIONARY.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
THIS EVENING. AN EARLIER 1544 UTC ASCAT PASS CAPTURED AN AREA OF
20-25 KT WINDS IN THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-
25 KT TONIGHT INTO THU AND AGAIN THU NIGHT AND FRI. SEAS BUILD
TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240302
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU JUL 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N128W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
LATE DAY VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WAS BECOMING MORE FOCUSED WITHIN 90
NM OF THE LOW IN THE E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LOW IN
THE NW QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS
IS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES W OR WNW AT 10 TO 15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 10N92W MOVING
W 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION
DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N
TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N105W TO 16N103W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N117W TO 11N119W MOVING W 15-20 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS
FROM 11N TO 15N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N131W TO 11N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS LOCATED AT
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA AND IS
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N90W TO 09N100W. ITCZ FROM
09N100W TO 13N110W TO 1007 MB LOW 11N128W TO 1009 MB LOW
09N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE
OF AXIS BETWEEN 9W AND 100W...BETWEEN 106W AND 110W...AND WITHIN
180 NM N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 105W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. THE MEAN AXIS
EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 29N133W TO 18N135W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY
THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH
ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E
PACIFIC TO A COL NEAR 22N120W. A SMALL UPPER CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N112W
WAS BECOMING STATIONARY.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
THIS EVENING. AN EARLIER 1544 UTC ASCAT PASS CAPTURED AN AREA OF
20-25 KT WINDS IN THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-
25 KT TONIGHT INTO THU AND AGAIN THU NIGHT AND FRI. SEAS BUILD
TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

$$
COBB


000
ACPN50 PHFO 240030 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
230 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES
TO BE MONITORED. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE







000
ACPN50 PHFO 240030 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
230 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES
TO BE MONITORED. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 232348
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES
TO BE MONITORED. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANGE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 232348
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES
TO BE MONITORED. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANGE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 232348
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES
TO BE MONITORED. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANGE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 232348
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES
TO BE MONITORED. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANGE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 232346
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADOS ALREDEDOR
DE 140 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES...ESTA PRODUCIENDO
NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. NO INDICIOS DE CIRCULACION EN
LA SUPERFICIE Y SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA REDESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA MIENTRAS
SE MUEVE RAPIDAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A 25 MPH. SIN IMPORTAR EL
DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE EL SISTEMA GENERE VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS Y
AGUACEROS SOBRE PARTES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA NOCHE Y EL
JUEVES EN LA MANANA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR ROBERTS



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 232346
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADOS ALREDEDOR
DE 140 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES...ESTA PRODUCIENDO
NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADOS. NO INDICIOS DE CIRCULACION EN
LA SUPERFICIE Y SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES
PERMANEZCAN DESFAVORABLES PARA REDESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA MIENTRAS
SE MUEVE RAPIDAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE A 25 MPH. SIN IMPORTAR EL
DESARROLLO...SE ESPERA QUE EL SISTEMA GENERE VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS Y
AGUACEROS SOBRE PARTES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA NOCHE Y EL
JUEVES EN LA MANANA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR ROBERTS




000
AXNT20 KNHC 232345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 04N42W TO 10N41W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A SOUTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM ALONG A BROADER 700 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NW
NEAR 18N51W SE TO THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 04N42W. THE
WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF A LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY JET N OF
10N THAT IS LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT OF THE SAL...CONVECTION REMAINS
SUPPRESSED S OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N58W TO 18N56W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE CONTAINS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
HAS INCORPORATED THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OF A
700 MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 18N51W TO 04N42W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 55W-62W...INCLUDING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS IN
WAKE OF THE WAVE WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOTED E OF 53W THIS
EVENING.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N91W TO 20N93W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-96W THIS EVENING.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 20N16W TO
13N20W TO 10N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N26W TO 09N35W TO 03N46W TO 03N51W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 15W-18W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER TENNESSEE
S-SW TO OVER THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 24N98W AND INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N102W. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IS FOCUSED
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA REGION AND COASTAL LOUISIANA
THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N91W. A
STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO THE
LOW CENTER AND WEST TO THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER NEAR 30N94W.
AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL LIFTING DYNAMICS IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NW GULF THIS EVENING N OF 25N
BETWEEN 88W-95W. FARTHER SE...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS IN A
120 NM WIDE LINE FROM THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 30N82W
S-SW TO WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22N84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO
OCCURRING FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 84W-88W. LOOKING AHEAD...THE
OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
INTO THURSDAY...THAT GRADUALLY SHIFTS NORTHWARD AND ANCHORS
ALONG 27N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 20N83W
THAT CONTINUES TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
CUBA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS ACTIVITY IN THE
VICINITY OF 19N85W. WHILE MOST OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...FARTHER EAST...AN
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS VERY DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NE
CARIBBEAN...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING...A STREAM OF LOW TO
MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTING WESTWARD WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 57W-
72W. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WHICH IS NOTED AS A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 57W THIS EVENING. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST
AND BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES TO THE LESSER
ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FINALLY...FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
ISLAND...HOWEVER OVERALL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING DUE
TO MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS
LIE TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS A WEAK RIDGE PRECEDES A
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO IMPACT HISPANIOLA WITH PRECIPITATION
BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 30N75W THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N68W TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
NEAR 27N80W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS
EVENING S OF 30N WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS. MOST MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS REMAINS N OF 30N ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND AMPLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATING
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 30N W OF 67W. FARTHER EAST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...THE
SURFACE RIDGE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE SW NORTH ATLC ALONG
30N IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N33W
AND 30N39W. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SLIDE WESTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL ATLC DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND FAIR CONDITIONS. FINAL ITEM OF NOTE IS A LARGE AREA OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
THE SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING REMAINING MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND
EAST OF 53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 232345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 04N42W TO 10N41W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A SOUTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM ALONG A BROADER 700 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NW
NEAR 18N51W SE TO THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 04N42W. THE
WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF A LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY JET N OF
10N THAT IS LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT OF THE SAL...CONVECTION REMAINS
SUPPRESSED S OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N58W TO 18N56W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE CONTAINS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
HAS INCORPORATED THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OF A
700 MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 18N51W TO 04N42W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 55W-62W...INCLUDING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS IN
WAKE OF THE WAVE WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOTED E OF 53W THIS
EVENING.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N91W TO 20N93W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-96W THIS EVENING.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 20N16W TO
13N20W TO 10N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N26W TO 09N35W TO 03N46W TO 03N51W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 15W-18W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER TENNESSEE
S-SW TO OVER THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 24N98W AND INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N102W. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IS FOCUSED
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA REGION AND COASTAL LOUISIANA
THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N91W. A
STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO THE
LOW CENTER AND WEST TO THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER NEAR 30N94W.
AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL LIFTING DYNAMICS IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NW GULF THIS EVENING N OF 25N
BETWEEN 88W-95W. FARTHER SE...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS IN A
120 NM WIDE LINE FROM THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 30N82W
S-SW TO WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22N84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO
OCCURRING FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 84W-88W. LOOKING AHEAD...THE
OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
INTO THURSDAY...THAT GRADUALLY SHIFTS NORTHWARD AND ANCHORS
ALONG 27N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 20N83W
THAT CONTINUES TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
CUBA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS ACTIVITY IN THE
VICINITY OF 19N85W. WHILE MOST OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...FARTHER EAST...AN
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS VERY DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NE
CARIBBEAN...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING...A STREAM OF LOW TO
MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTING WESTWARD WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 57W-
72W. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WHICH IS NOTED AS A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 57W THIS EVENING. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST
AND BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES TO THE LESSER
ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FINALLY...FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
ISLAND...HOWEVER OVERALL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING DUE
TO MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS
LIE TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS A WEAK RIDGE PRECEDES A
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO IMPACT HISPANIOLA WITH PRECIPITATION
BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 30N75W THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N68W TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
NEAR 27N80W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS
EVENING S OF 30N WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS. MOST MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS REMAINS N OF 30N ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND AMPLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATING
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 30N W OF 67W. FARTHER EAST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...THE
SURFACE RIDGE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE SW NORTH ATLC ALONG
30N IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N33W
AND 30N39W. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SLIDE WESTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL ATLC DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND FAIR CONDITIONS. FINAL ITEM OF NOTE IS A LARGE AREA OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
THE SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING REMAINING MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND
EAST OF 53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 232345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 04N42W TO 10N41W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A SOUTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM ALONG A BROADER 700 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NW
NEAR 18N51W SE TO THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 04N42W. THE
WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF A LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY JET N OF
10N THAT IS LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT OF THE SAL...CONVECTION REMAINS
SUPPRESSED S OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N58W TO 18N56W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE CONTAINS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
HAS INCORPORATED THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OF A
700 MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 18N51W TO 04N42W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 55W-62W...INCLUDING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS IN
WAKE OF THE WAVE WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOTED E OF 53W THIS
EVENING.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N91W TO 20N93W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-96W THIS EVENING.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 20N16W TO
13N20W TO 10N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N26W TO 09N35W TO 03N46W TO 03N51W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 15W-18W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER TENNESSEE
S-SW TO OVER THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 24N98W AND INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N102W. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IS FOCUSED
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA REGION AND COASTAL LOUISIANA
THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N91W. A
STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO THE
LOW CENTER AND WEST TO THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER NEAR 30N94W.
AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL LIFTING DYNAMICS IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NW GULF THIS EVENING N OF 25N
BETWEEN 88W-95W. FARTHER SE...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS IN A
120 NM WIDE LINE FROM THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 30N82W
S-SW TO WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22N84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO
OCCURRING FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 84W-88W. LOOKING AHEAD...THE
OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
INTO THURSDAY...THAT GRADUALLY SHIFTS NORTHWARD AND ANCHORS
ALONG 27N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 20N83W
THAT CONTINUES TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
CUBA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS ACTIVITY IN THE
VICINITY OF 19N85W. WHILE MOST OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...FARTHER EAST...AN
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS VERY DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NE
CARIBBEAN...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING...A STREAM OF LOW TO
MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTING WESTWARD WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 57W-
72W. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WHICH IS NOTED AS A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 57W THIS EVENING. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST
AND BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES TO THE LESSER
ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FINALLY...FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
ISLAND...HOWEVER OVERALL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING DUE
TO MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS
LIE TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS A WEAK RIDGE PRECEDES A
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO IMPACT HISPANIOLA WITH PRECIPITATION
BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 30N75W THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N68W TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
NEAR 27N80W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS
EVENING S OF 30N WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS. MOST MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS REMAINS N OF 30N ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND AMPLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATING
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 30N W OF 67W. FARTHER EAST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...THE
SURFACE RIDGE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE SW NORTH ATLC ALONG
30N IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N33W
AND 30N39W. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SLIDE WESTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL ATLC DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND FAIR CONDITIONS. FINAL ITEM OF NOTE IS A LARGE AREA OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
THE SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING REMAINING MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND
EAST OF 53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 232345
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 04N42W TO 10N41W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE A SOUTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM ALONG A BROADER 700 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NW
NEAR 18N51W SE TO THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 04N42W. THE
WAVE REMAINS SOUTH OF A LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY JET N OF
10N THAT IS LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER ACROSS
THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT OF THE SAL...CONVECTION REMAINS
SUPPRESSED S OF 10N WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OCCURRING
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N58W TO 18N56W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE CONTAINS REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO AND
HAS INCORPORATED THE NORTHERN POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OF A
700 MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 18N51W TO 04N42W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 55W-62W...INCLUDING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST FOLLOWS IN
WAKE OF THE WAVE WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOTED E OF 53W THIS
EVENING.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N91W TO 20N93W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-96W THIS EVENING.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 20N16W TO
13N20W TO 10N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 10N26W TO 09N35W TO 03N46W TO 03N51W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 15W-18W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER TENNESSEE
S-SW TO OVER THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 24N98W AND INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N102W. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IS FOCUSED
OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA REGION AND COASTAL LOUISIANA
THAT SUPPORTS A WEAK 1017 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N91W. A
STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO THE
LOW CENTER AND WEST TO THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER NEAR 30N94W.
AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL LIFTING DYNAMICS IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NW GULF THIS EVENING N OF 25N
BETWEEN 88W-95W. FARTHER SE...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS IN A
120 NM WIDE LINE FROM THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 30N82W
S-SW TO WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22N84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO
OCCURRING FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 84W-88W. LOOKING AHEAD...THE
OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO THE EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO COAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
INTO THURSDAY...THAT GRADUALLY SHIFTS NORTHWARD AND ANCHORS
ALONG 27N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 20N83W
THAT CONTINUES TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
CUBA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS ACTIVITY IN THE
VICINITY OF 19N85W. WHILE MOST OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...FARTHER EAST...AN
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS VERY DRY AND
SUBSIDENT PROVIDING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NE
CARIBBEAN...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGING...A STREAM OF LOW TO
MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTING WESTWARD WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 57W-
72W. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE IS A WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WHICH IS NOTED AS A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 57W THIS EVENING. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST
AND BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES TO THE LESSER
ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FINALLY...FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN S OF 17N THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
ISLAND...HOWEVER OVERALL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR THIS EVENING DUE
TO MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 17N68W. MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS
LIE TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND AS A WEAK RIDGE PRECEDES A
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO IMPACT HISPANIOLA WITH PRECIPITATION
BY LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 30N75W THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N68W TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
NEAR 27N80W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES AND CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS
EVENING S OF 30N WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS. MOST MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS REMAINS N OF 30N ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND AMPLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE GENERATING
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 30N W OF 67W. FARTHER EAST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...THE
SURFACE RIDGE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THE SW NORTH ATLC ALONG
30N IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N33W
AND 30N39W. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SLIDE WESTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL ATLC DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND FAIR CONDITIONS. FINAL ITEM OF NOTE IS A LARGE AREA OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
THE SAHARAN DUST STRETCHING REMAINING MOSTLY NORTH OF 10N AND
EAST OF 53W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232337
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a broad low located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
gradually becoming better organized.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure located about 1300 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized
shower activity.  Development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232337
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a broad low located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
gradually becoming better organized.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure located about 1300 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized
shower activity.  Development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232337
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a broad low located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
gradually becoming better organized.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure located about 1300 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized
shower activity.  Development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232337
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a broad low located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
gradually becoming better organized.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A surface trough of low pressure located about 1300 miles
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized
shower activity.  Development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
ABNT20 KNHC 232335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The remnants of Tropical Depression Two, located about 140 miles
east of the Lesser Antilles, are producing cloudiness and
disorganized showers.  There are no signs of a surface circulation,
and environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for
re-development of this system as it moves rapidly westward at 25
mph. Regardless of development, the system is expected to bring
gusty winds and showers to portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight
and Thursday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABNT20 KNHC 232335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The remnants of Tropical Depression Two, located about 140 miles
east of the Lesser Antilles, are producing cloudiness and
disorganized showers.  There are no signs of a surface circulation,
and environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for
re-development of this system as it moves rapidly westward at 25
mph. Regardless of development, the system is expected to bring
gusty winds and showers to portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight
and Thursday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 232130
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N127W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SCATTERED
STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LOW IN THE SE AND
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LOW IN THE NW QUADRANTS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THERE
IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THIS  IS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES W OR WNW AT 10 TO
15 KT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO 10N90W
MOVING W 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THIS WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS N OF 8N ALONG 102W MOVING W 15 KT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ GENERALLY FROM 06N TO 13N
BETWEEN 104W AND 109W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N114W TO 09N117W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 09N TO 15N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N127W TO 18N129W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS LOCATED AT
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 08N95W. ITCZ FROM 08N95W TO 09N110W
TO 1008 MB LOW 11N127W TO 1009 MB LOW 09N138W. SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 137W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W
AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE AXIS
W OF 100W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. THE MEAN AXIS
EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 29N133W TO 18N135W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY
THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH
ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E
PACIFIC TO A COL NEAR 22N120W. A SMALL UPPER CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N112W
WAS BECOMING STATIONARY.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN HAVE PULSED THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TODAY.
A 1544 UTC ASCAT PASS CAPTURED AN AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS IN THE
REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN TO 20-25 KT TONIGHT INTO
THU AND AGAIN THU NIGHT AND FRI. SEAS BUILD TO 9 FT DURING EACH
PULSE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

$$
COBB


000
AXNT20 KNHC 231801
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N
56.0W OR ABOUT 270 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE DEPRESSION WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY
OVERNIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A WAVE OR TROUGH BY
TONIGHT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN
52W-56W. SEE THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN FOR TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 73W-
77W WITH SEAS 10-14 FT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW GALE
THIS AFTERNOON. SEE THE LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 39W WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 4N-13N MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. WAVE POSITION WAS RELOCATED E
OF PREVIOUS ANALYSIS BASED ON DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE AS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION E OF WAVE
AXIS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 37W-40W. DRY SAHARA AIR LAYER HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION N OF 10N.

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO CENTRAL AMERICA ALONG 89W WITH AXIS
EXTENDING S OF 21N MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT
DEEP CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL AMERICA NOT DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 20N16W TO
8N31W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
8N31W TO 4N51W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 30 NM N AND 45 NM S OF THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 40W-48W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N90W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR NEW ORLEANS AT 30N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT WELL SOUTH OF THE LOW FROM
27N-30N BETWEEN 89W-96W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE
NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST-
SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IS
NOTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED
NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION TODAY BUT ACTIVE
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM STRONG
DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
OVER JAMAICA AND CUBA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
FURTHER W THROUGH WED. EXPECT NORMAL AMOUNT OF CONVECTION OVER
HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM TODAY
AND THU WITH FEW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN A NEUTRAL MID/UPPER LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

IMPRESSIVE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED E OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH CAROLINA ALONG GULF STREAM.
SURFACE OBS INDICATE WEAK SURFACE WIND CONVERGENCE IS ENHANCING
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OVER GULF STREAM. NUMEROUS
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF
LINE FROM 27N80W TO 32N78W. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED
BY 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W
PRODUCING MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 78W
WITH NOTABLE EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREAS OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO  AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 39W INTERACTING WITH THE ITCZ
IN THE DEEP TROPICS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 26N63W IS
SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM 31N36W TO 29N48W TO 17N58W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 231801
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N
56.0W OR ABOUT 270 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE DEPRESSION WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY
OVERNIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A WAVE OR TROUGH BY
TONIGHT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN
52W-56W. SEE THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN FOR TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 73W-
77W WITH SEAS 10-14 FT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW GALE
THIS AFTERNOON. SEE THE LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 39W WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 4N-13N MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. WAVE POSITION WAS RELOCATED E
OF PREVIOUS ANALYSIS BASED ON DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE AS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION E OF WAVE
AXIS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 37W-40W. DRY SAHARA AIR LAYER HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION N OF 10N.

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO CENTRAL AMERICA ALONG 89W WITH AXIS
EXTENDING S OF 21N MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT
DEEP CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL AMERICA NOT DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 20N16W TO
8N31W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
8N31W TO 4N51W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 30 NM N AND 45 NM S OF THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 40W-48W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N90W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR NEW ORLEANS AT 30N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT WELL SOUTH OF THE LOW FROM
27N-30N BETWEEN 89W-96W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE
NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST-
SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IS
NOTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED
NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION TODAY BUT ACTIVE
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM STRONG
DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
OVER JAMAICA AND CUBA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
FURTHER W THROUGH WED. EXPECT NORMAL AMOUNT OF CONVECTION OVER
HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM TODAY
AND THU WITH FEW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN A NEUTRAL MID/UPPER LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

IMPRESSIVE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED E OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH CAROLINA ALONG GULF STREAM.
SURFACE OBS INDICATE WEAK SURFACE WIND CONVERGENCE IS ENHANCING
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OVER GULF STREAM. NUMEROUS
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF
LINE FROM 27N80W TO 32N78W. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED
BY 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W
PRODUCING MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 78W
WITH NOTABLE EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREAS OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO  AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 39W INTERACTING WITH THE ITCZ
IN THE DEEP TROPICS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 26N63W IS
SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM 31N36W TO 29N48W TO 17N58W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL


000
ACPN50 PHFO 231752
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED NEAR A SURFACE TROUGH
LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII.  FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...30 PERCENT.

2. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANGE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231748
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad low located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for additional development and this system is expected to
become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a surface trough
located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of
Hawaii.  Further development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 231724
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...CUYO REMANENTE SE ENCUENTRA
LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES...Y HABRA DE CONTINUAR RUTA HACIA EL OESTE. SE ESPERA QUE
TRAIGA ALGUNAS TURBONADAS A ESTAS ISLAS HOY Y MANANA.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 231724
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...CUYO REMANENTE SE ENCUENTRA
LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES...Y HABRA DE CONTINUAR RUTA HACIA EL OESTE. SE ESPERA QUE
TRAIGA ALGUNAS TURBONADAS A ESTAS ISLAS HOY Y MANANA.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA





000
ABNT20 KNHC 231721
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Tropical Depression Two, located a few hundred miles east of
the Lesser Antilles. The remnants of the depression will continue
westward, bringing a few squalls to these islands today and
tomorrow.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231721
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Tropical Depression Two, located a few hundred miles east of
the Lesser Antilles. The remnants of the depression will continue
westward, bringing a few squalls to these islands today and
tomorrow.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 231529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N125W MOVING W 15 KT. NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW OVER NE QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO 13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N88W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT. ALTHOUGH THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND N OF 8N ALONG 100W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE S PORTION OF
THE WAVE IS MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N-17N ALONG 113W MOVING W 10-15 KT.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE...IT
WELL DEFINED IN THE LOW CLOUDS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N127W TO 18N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS APPROACHING
THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO 8N95W. ITCZ FROM 8N95W TO 1008 MB
LOW 11N125W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N125W TO 1009 MB LOW 9N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
FROM 80W-82W AND FROM 5N-14N BETWEEN 93W-110W AND WITHIN 180 NM
S OF AXIS FROM 110W-120W AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 120W-140W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION 30N130W TO 20N135W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND
STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF
20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW
NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E PACIFIC TO 23N120W. A SMALL
UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE
NEAR 19N115W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL CONTINUE STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE
WINDS WILL BE 20-25 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT...HOWEVER AREA OF
STRONG WINDS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE WINDS IN THE
CARIBBEAN DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 15 KT OR LESS.

$$
DGS


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 231529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N125W MOVING W 15 KT. NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW OVER NE QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO 13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N88W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT. ALTHOUGH THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND N OF 8N ALONG 100W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE S PORTION OF
THE WAVE IS MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N-17N ALONG 113W MOVING W 10-15 KT.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE...IT
WELL DEFINED IN THE LOW CLOUDS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N127W TO 18N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS APPROACHING
THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO 8N95W. ITCZ FROM 8N95W TO 1008 MB
LOW 11N125W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N125W TO 1009 MB LOW 9N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
FROM 80W-82W AND FROM 5N-14N BETWEEN 93W-110W AND WITHIN 180 NM
S OF AXIS FROM 110W-120W AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 120W-140W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION 30N130W TO 20N135W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND
STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF
20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW
NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E PACIFIC TO 23N120W. A SMALL
UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE
NEAR 19N115W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL CONTINUE STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE
WINDS WILL BE 20-25 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT...HOWEVER AREA OF
STRONG WINDS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE WINDS IN THE
CARIBBEAN DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 15 KT OR LESS.

$$
DGS


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 231529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N125W MOVING W 15 KT. NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW OVER NE QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO 13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N88W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT. ALTHOUGH THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND N OF 8N ALONG 100W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE S PORTION OF
THE WAVE IS MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N-17N ALONG 113W MOVING W 10-15 KT.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE...IT
WELL DEFINED IN THE LOW CLOUDS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N127W TO 18N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS APPROACHING
THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO 8N95W. ITCZ FROM 8N95W TO 1008 MB
LOW 11N125W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N125W TO 1009 MB LOW 9N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
FROM 80W-82W AND FROM 5N-14N BETWEEN 93W-110W AND WITHIN 180 NM
S OF AXIS FROM 110W-120W AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 120W-140W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION 30N130W TO 20N135W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND
STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF
20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW
NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E PACIFIC TO 23N120W. A SMALL
UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE
NEAR 19N115W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL CONTINUE STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE
WINDS WILL BE 20-25 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT...HOWEVER AREA OF
STRONG WINDS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE WINDS IN THE
CARIBBEAN DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 15 KT OR LESS.

$$
DGS


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 231529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N125W MOVING W 15 KT. NUMEROUS
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW OVER NE QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO 13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N88W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT. ALTHOUGH THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND N OF 8N ALONG 100W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE S PORTION OF
THE WAVE IS MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N-17N ALONG 113W MOVING W 10-15 KT.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE...IT
WELL DEFINED IN THE LOW CLOUDS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N127W TO 18N128W MOVING W 15 KT.
THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS APPROACHING
THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO 8N95W. ITCZ FROM 8N95W TO 1008 MB
LOW 11N125W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N125W TO 1009 MB LOW 9N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
FROM 80W-82W AND FROM 5N-14N BETWEEN 93W-110W AND WITHIN 180 NM
S OF AXIS FROM 110W-120W AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 120W-140W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION 30N130W TO 20N135W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND
STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS OVER THE AREA N OF
20N W OF 120W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG NEARLY THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
ITCZ. A LARGE UPPER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SW
NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM THE ANTICYCLONE INTO THE E PACIFIC TO 23N120W. A SMALL
UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE
NEAR 19N115W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL CONTINUE STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. THE
WINDS WILL BE 20-25 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT...HOWEVER AREA OF
STRONG WINDS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE WINDS IN THE
CARIBBEAN DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ACROSS
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH NLY WINDS 20-25 KT BLOWING THROUGH THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT LESS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THU AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W WITH WINDS 15 KT OR LESS.

$$
DGS


000
WTCA42 TJSJ 231508
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022514
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2514

...DEPRESION DEGENERA SE CONVIERTE EN ONDA TROPICAL...
...ESTA SERA LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...14.0 NORTE 56.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 365 MI...590 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 275 GRADOS A 25 MPH...41 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 56.0
OESTE. LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE
HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 25 MPH...41 KM/H. ESTE SISTEMA DEBERA
MOVERSE A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DURANTE EL ANOCHECER DE HOY.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE
DEBILITANDOSE DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O MAS.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE ESTA NOCHE Y TEMPRANO EN
EL JUEVES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
ESTE SERA EL ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA. INFORMACION ADICIONAL PUEDE
ENCONTRARSE EN LOS PRONOSTICOS DE ALTO MAR EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO
NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA...BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS NFDHSFAT1 Y EN
WMO BAJO EL TITULO FZNT01 KWBC.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE







000
WTCA42 TJSJ 231508
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022514
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2514

...DEPRESION DEGENERA SE CONVIERTE EN ONDA TROPICAL...
...ESTA SERA LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...14.0 NORTE 56.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 365 MI...590 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 275 GRADOS A 25 MPH...41 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 56.0
OESTE. LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE
HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 25 MPH...41 KM/H. ESTE SISTEMA DEBERA
MOVERSE A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DURANTE EL ANOCHECER DE HOY.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE
DEBILITANDOSE DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O MAS.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE ESTA NOCHE Y TEMPRANO EN
EL JUEVES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
ESTE SERA EL ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA. INFORMACION ADICIONAL PUEDE
ENCONTRARSE EN LOS PRONOSTICOS DE ALTO MAR EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO
NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA...BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS NFDHSFAT1 Y EN
WMO BAJO EL TITULO FZNT01 KWBC.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE







000
WTCA42 TJSJ 231508
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022514
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2514

...DEPRESION DEGENERA SE CONVIERTE EN ONDA TROPICAL...
...ESTA SERA LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...14.0 NORTE 56.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 365 MI...590 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 275 GRADOS A 25 MPH...41 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 56.0
OESTE. LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE
HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 25 MPH...41 KM/H. ESTE SISTEMA DEBERA
MOVERSE A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DURANTE EL ANOCHECER DE HOY.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE
DEBILITANDOSE DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O MAS.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE ESTA NOCHE Y TEMPRANO EN
EL JUEVES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
ESTE SERA EL ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA. INFORMACION ADICIONAL PUEDE
ENCONTRARSE EN LOS PRONOSTICOS DE ALTO MAR EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO
NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA...BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS NFDHSFAT1 Y EN
WMO BAJO EL TITULO FZNT01 KWBC.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE







000
WTCA42 TJSJ 231508
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   8
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022514
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2514

...DEPRESION DEGENERA SE CONVIERTE EN ONDA TROPICAL...
...ESTA SERA LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...14.0 NORTE 56.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 365 MI...590 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 275 GRADOS A 25 MPH...41 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 56.0
OESTE. LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE
HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 25 MPH...41 KM/H. ESTE SISTEMA DEBERA
MOVERSE A TRAVES DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DURANTE EL ANOCHECER DE HOY.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE SISTEMA CONTINUE
DEBILITANDOSE DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O MAS.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE ESTA NOCHE Y TEMPRANO EN
EL JUEVES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
ESTE SERA EL ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA. INFORMACION ADICIONAL PUEDE
ENCONTRARSE EN LOS PRONOSTICOS DE ALTO MAR EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO
NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA...BAJO EL TITULO EN AWIPS NFDHSFAT1 Y EN
WMO BAJO EL TITULO FZNT01 KWBC.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE







000
WTNT22 KNHC 231454
TCMAT2

REMNANTS OF TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1500 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  56.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  56.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  55.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  56.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT22 KNHC 231454
TCMAT2

REMNANTS OF TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1500 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  56.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  56.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  55.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  56.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTNT32 KNHC 231454
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 56.0W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0
WEST.  THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THIS SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT32 KNHC 231454
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 56.0W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0
WEST.  THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THIS SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
ACPN50 PHFO 231149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG
ISLAND IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$

M BALLARD






000
ACPN50 PHFO 231149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST WED JUL 23 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG
ISLAND IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$

M BALLARD





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 231139
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continue to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continue to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during
the next few days while it moves westward into the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
AXNT20 KNHC 231135
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...AT 23/0900 UTC...WAS
NEAR 13.9N 53.2W...ABOUT 480 NM TO THE EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 52W AND 55W.

A GALE WARNING EXISTS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR NORTHEAST TO EAST
GALE-FORCE WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 14 FEET FROM 11N TO
13N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W. EXPECT EAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO 11 FEET ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W
AND 80W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST... MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 13N43W TO 3N43W...
MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 40W AND 45W.

A WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W...TO THE
SOUTH OF 21N...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS
PASSING THROUGH HONDURAS AND WESTERN NICARAGUA...AND MOVING
THROUGH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTERED NEAR 17N80W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF MAURITANIA
NEAR 19N16W TO 8N27W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 5N29W TO 3N37W TO
4N41W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N TO
7N BETWEEN 32W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI/SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE
TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CENTER SUPPORT A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
MEANDERS FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG RAINSHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 88W AND 96W IN
EASTERN TEXAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N34W...TO 29N45W 29N61W...TO 30N78W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AND INTO THE CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
ICAO STATIONS...KGVX...KXIH...KVQT...AT KEIR WITH A VISIBILITY
OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG...KSPR...KMIS... KMDJ...AND KIPN. A
CLOUD CEILING IS AT 6500 FEET AT KDLP.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS COVER SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS COASTAL
PLAINS AND NEARBY AREAS THAT ARE SLIGHTLY MORE INLAND IN TEXAS.
A FEW SITES ARE REPORTING HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS SUCH AS IN
THE CORPUS CHRISTI AREA AND IN PARTS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN
AREA. A CEILING AT 6500 FEET IS BEING OBSERVED AT ANGLETON/LAKE
JACKSON. NO LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED ELSEWHERE
IN THE GULF COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND HISPANIOLA...

CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 13N TO 25N
BETWEEN 70W AND 85W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR
17N80W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N TO
20N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO PANAMA NEAR
7N/8N ALONG 81W...AND BEYOND 7N86W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG EXTENDS FROM
THE COAST OF PANAMA ALONG 80W INTO NORTHEASTERN COSTA RICA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN PUERTO PLATA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
LA ROMANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA CANA. SCATTERED LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT 17N80W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD...ENDING UP
IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY 48 HOURS. ANY AMOUNT OF HIGH
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL MOVE AWAY FROM HISPANIOLA AS THE
CYCLONIC CENTER MOVES MORE AND MORE AWAY FROM THE AREA. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL COVER THE AREA...FROM A 28N74W ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER TO HAITI BY THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ABOUT 150 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THE GFS
MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
AREA WITH AN ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA...IN
AREAS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN SURFACE TRADE
WIND FLOW...FROM 73W EASTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE
PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/
SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN GUADELOUPE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N64W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
35N46W TO 30N45W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH 32N21W TO 25N33W AND 23N38W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
CLUSTERS OF LOW LEVEL TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS...FROM 20N TO 30N
FROM 30W WESTWARD. NUMEROUS STRONG 30N TO 33N BETWEEN 78W AND
80W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING
AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/ SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.99 IN
BERMUDA.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N34W...TO 29N45W 29N61W...TO 30N78W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AND INTO THE CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8
FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN 70W AND 73W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 231135
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...AT 23/0900 UTC...WAS
NEAR 13.9N 53.2W...ABOUT 480 NM TO THE EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 52W AND 55W.

A GALE WARNING EXISTS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR NORTHEAST TO EAST
GALE-FORCE WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 14 FEET FROM 11N TO
13N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W. EXPECT EAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO 11 FEET ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W
AND 80W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST... MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02
KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 13N43W TO 3N43W...
MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 40W AND 45W.

A WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W...TO THE
SOUTH OF 21N...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS
PASSING THROUGH HONDURAS AND WESTERN NICARAGUA...AND MOVING
THROUGH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTERED NEAR 17N80W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF MAURITANIA
NEAR 19N16W TO 8N27W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 5N29W TO 3N37W TO
4N41W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N TO
7N BETWEEN 32W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI/SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE
TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CENTER SUPPORT A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
MEANDERS FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG RAINSHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 88W AND 96W IN
EASTERN TEXAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N34W...TO 29N45W 29N61W...TO 30N78W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AND INTO THE CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
ICAO STATIONS...KGVX...KXIH...KVQT...AT KEIR WITH A VISIBILITY
OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG...KSPR...KMIS... KMDJ...AND KIPN. A
CLOUD CEILING IS AT 6500 FEET AT KDLP.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS COVER SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS COASTAL
PLAINS AND NEARBY AREAS THAT ARE SLIGHTLY MORE INLAND IN TEXAS.
A FEW SITES ARE REPORTING HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS SUCH AS IN
THE CORPUS CHRISTI AREA AND IN PARTS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN
AREA. A CEILING AT 6500 FEET IS BEING OBSERVED AT ANGLETON/LAKE
JACKSON. NO LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED ELSEWHERE
IN THE GULF COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND HISPANIOLA...

CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 13N TO 25N
BETWEEN 70W AND 85W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR
17N80W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N TO
20N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF AND ALONG THE
COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N74W IN COLOMBIA...TO PANAMA NEAR
7N/8N ALONG 81W...AND BEYOND 7N86W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG EXTENDS FROM
THE COAST OF PANAMA ALONG 80W INTO NORTHEASTERN COSTA RICA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN PUERTO PLATA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO DOMINGO. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN
LA ROMANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA CANA. SCATTERED LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT 17N80W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD...ENDING UP
IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY 48 HOURS. ANY AMOUNT OF HIGH
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL MOVE AWAY FROM HISPANIOLA AS THE
CYCLONIC CENTER MOVES MORE AND MORE AWAY FROM THE AREA. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL COVER THE AREA...FROM A 28N74W ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER TO HAITI BY THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ABOUT 150 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THE GFS
MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
AREA WITH AN ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA...IN
AREAS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN SURFACE TRADE
WIND FLOW...FROM 73W EASTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE
PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/
SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN GUADELOUPE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N64W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
35N46W TO 30N45W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH 32N21W TO 25N33W AND 23N38W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
CLUSTERS OF LOW LEVEL TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS...FROM 20N TO 30N
FROM 30W WESTWARD. NUMEROUS STRONG 30N TO 33N BETWEEN 78W AND
80W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING
AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/ SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.99 IN
BERMUDA.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 32N34W...TO 29N45W 29N61W...TO 30N78W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AND INTO THE CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8
FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN 70W AND 73W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230915
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N124W MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM
OF LINE FROM 9N119W TO 11N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO
13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N86W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS
NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE E PACIFIC BASIN.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N98W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR
16N98W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE N
PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER TROUGH N
OF THE E PACIFIC BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N TO 17N ALONG 127W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES IS ENCROACHING INTO THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 7N78W ALONG 7N76W TO 8N93W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND EXTENDS TO 9N96W THEN RESUMES 10N100W TO 11N111W THEN
RESUMES 12N113W TO 11N120W THEN RESUMES 9N128W TO 9N14W THEN
RESUMES 10N137W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 97W AND 108W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN
102W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 89W AND 93W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO
17N137W. WEAK SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF
127W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH
THE SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND A SURFACE TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS FROM 7N136W TO 13N135W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W AND FROM
5N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS ANCHORED
OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDING OVER THE E PACIFIC REGION N OF 22N E OF 120W. A SMALL
UPPER LOW IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N113W
SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ALONG 112W FROM 8N TO
15N WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1021 MB
HIGH NEAR 28N124W TO 20N119W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL PULSE INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH
STRONG BREEZE TO NEAR GALE AND SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT BY LATE
MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THU MORNING AS
THE 8 FT SEAS SHIFT WESTWARD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
THU NIGHT INTO FRI...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG OR AS LONG DURATION AS
THE EVENT CURRENTLY UNDER WAY.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO
TIGHTEN ACROSS SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO PULSING NORTHERLY WINDS
TO STRONG BREEZE AND POSSIBLY TO NEAR GALE BRIEFLY THROUGH THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO
EARLY THU MORNING WITH WINDS TO STRONG BREEZE.

$$
PAW



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230915
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N124W MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM
OF LINE FROM 9N119W TO 11N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO
13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N86W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS
NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE E PACIFIC BASIN.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N98W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR
16N98W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE N
PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER TROUGH N
OF THE E PACIFIC BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N TO 17N ALONG 127W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES IS ENCROACHING INTO THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 7N78W ALONG 7N76W TO 8N93W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND EXTENDS TO 9N96W THEN RESUMES 10N100W TO 11N111W THEN
RESUMES 12N113W TO 11N120W THEN RESUMES 9N128W TO 9N14W THEN
RESUMES 10N137W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 97W AND 108W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN
102W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 89W AND 93W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO
17N137W. WEAK SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF
127W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH
THE SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND A SURFACE TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS FROM 7N136W TO 13N135W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W AND FROM
5N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS ANCHORED
OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDING OVER THE E PACIFIC REGION N OF 22N E OF 120W. A SMALL
UPPER LOW IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N113W
SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ALONG 112W FROM 8N TO
15N WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1021 MB
HIGH NEAR 28N124W TO 20N119W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL PULSE INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH
STRONG BREEZE TO NEAR GALE AND SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT BY LATE
MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THU MORNING AS
THE 8 FT SEAS SHIFT WESTWARD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
THU NIGHT INTO FRI...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG OR AS LONG DURATION AS
THE EVENT CURRENTLY UNDER WAY.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO
TIGHTEN ACROSS SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO PULSING NORTHERLY WINDS
TO STRONG BREEZE AND POSSIBLY TO NEAR GALE BRIEFLY THROUGH THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO
EARLY THU MORNING WITH WINDS TO STRONG BREEZE.

$$
PAW



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230915
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N124W MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM
OF LINE FROM 9N119W TO 11N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO
13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N86W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS
NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE E PACIFIC BASIN.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N98W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR
16N98W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE N
PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER TROUGH N
OF THE E PACIFIC BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N TO 17N ALONG 127W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES IS ENCROACHING INTO THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 7N78W ALONG 7N76W TO 8N93W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND EXTENDS TO 9N96W THEN RESUMES 10N100W TO 11N111W THEN
RESUMES 12N113W TO 11N120W THEN RESUMES 9N128W TO 9N14W THEN
RESUMES 10N137W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 97W AND 108W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN
102W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 89W AND 93W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO
17N137W. WEAK SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF
127W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH
THE SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND A SURFACE TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS FROM 7N136W TO 13N135W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W AND FROM
5N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS ANCHORED
OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDING OVER THE E PACIFIC REGION N OF 22N E OF 120W. A SMALL
UPPER LOW IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N113W
SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ALONG 112W FROM 8N TO
15N WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1021 MB
HIGH NEAR 28N124W TO 20N119W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL PULSE INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH
STRONG BREEZE TO NEAR GALE AND SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT BY LATE
MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THU MORNING AS
THE 8 FT SEAS SHIFT WESTWARD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
THU NIGHT INTO FRI...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG OR AS LONG DURATION AS
THE EVENT CURRENTLY UNDER WAY.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO
TIGHTEN ACROSS SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO PULSING NORTHERLY WINDS
TO STRONG BREEZE AND POSSIBLY TO NEAR GALE BRIEFLY THROUGH THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO
EARLY THU MORNING WITH WINDS TO STRONG BREEZE.

$$
PAW



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230915
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N124W MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM
OF LINE FROM 9N119W TO 11N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES W OR W-NW 9 TO
13 KT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N86W N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE...THERE IS
NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE E PACIFIC BASIN.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 9N98W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR
16N98W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE N
PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER TROUGH N
OF THE E PACIFIC BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N TO 17N ALONG 127W MOVING W 15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES IS ENCROACHING INTO THE AREA OF THIS WAVE. NO
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 7N78W ALONG 7N76W TO 8N93W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND EXTENDS TO 9N96W THEN RESUMES 10N100W TO 11N111W THEN
RESUMES 12N113W TO 11N120W THEN RESUMES 9N128W TO 9N14W THEN
RESUMES 10N137W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 97W AND 108W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN
102W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 89W AND 93W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA WITH THE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO
17N137W. WEAK SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED OVER THE AREA N OF 20N W OF
127W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH
THE SURFACE LOW IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND A SURFACE TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS FROM 7N136W TO 13N135W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W AND FROM
5N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS ANCHORED
OVER SW NEW MEXICO NEAR 32N107W WITH ASSOCIATED UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDING OVER THE E PACIFIC REGION N OF 22N E OF 120W. A SMALL
UPPER LOW IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE UPPER RIDGE NEAR 19N113W
SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ALONG 112W FROM 8N TO
15N WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1021 MB
HIGH NEAR 28N124W TO 20N119W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL PULSE INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH
STRONG BREEZE TO NEAR GALE AND SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT BY LATE
MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THU MORNING AS
THE 8 FT SEAS SHIFT WESTWARD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
THU NIGHT INTO FRI...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG OR AS LONG DURATION AS
THE EVENT CURRENTLY UNDER WAY.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO
TIGHTEN ACROSS SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO PULSING NORTHERLY WINDS
TO STRONG BREEZE AND POSSIBLY TO NEAR GALE BRIEFLY THROUGH THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO
EARLY THU MORNING WITH WINDS TO STRONG BREEZE.

$$
PAW



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 230849
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   7
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA
NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...13.9 NORTE 53.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 550 MI...885 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 20 MPH...31 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 53.2
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA
DE 20 MPH...31 KM/H. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO MAS RAPIDO HACIA EL
OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO HOY...PERO SE ESPERA
QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE HASTA CONVERTIRSE EN UNA VAGUADA DE
BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE ESTA NOCHE Y JUEVES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
WTCA42 TJSJ 230849
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   7
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS MENORES ESTA
NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...13.9 NORTE 53.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 550 MI...885 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 20 MPH...31 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 53.2
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA
DE 20 MPH...31 KM/H. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO MAS RAPIDO HACIA EL
OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO HOY...PERO SE ESPERA
QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE HASTA CONVERTIRSE EN UNA VAGUADA DE
BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE ESTA NOCHE Y JUEVES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
WTNT32 KNHC 230834
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014

...FAST-MOVING DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES
TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 53.2W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...
31 KM/H.  A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT32 KNHC 230834
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014

...FAST-MOVING DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES
TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 53.2W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...
31 KM/H.  A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 230833
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0900 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  53.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  53.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  52.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.3N  56.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.9N  59.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  53.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT22 KNHC 230833
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0900 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  53.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  53.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  52.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.3N  56.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.9N  59.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  53.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
AXNT20 KNHC 230605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...AT 23/0300 UTC...WAS
NEAR 13.4N 51.4W...ABOUT 590 NM TO THE EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 16 KNOTS. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 13N TO 14N
BETWEEN 51W AND 53W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FROM 9N
TO 16N BETWEEN 50W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND 64W IN VENEZUELA
AND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A GALE WARNING EXISTS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR NORTHEAST TO EAST
GALE-FORCE WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 14 FEET FROM 11N TO
13N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W. EXPECT EAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO 12 FEET ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W
AND 80W. EXPECT ALSO WINDS 20 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO
10 FEET IN THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 10N TO 17N
BETWEEN 73W AND 83W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21N43W 17N42W 13N40W...
MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 40W
AND 43W.

A WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W...TO THE
SOUTH OF 21N...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS
PASSING THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS...CENTRAL NICARAGUA...AND
WESTERN COSTA RICA. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN EDGE
OF THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE
17N80W CARIBBEAN SEA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NEARBY NUMEROUS STRONG COVERS EL SALVADOR AND
ITS EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM
18N TO 19N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. EARLIER NUMEROUS STRONG WAS IN
MEXICO BETWEEN THE GUATEMALA BORDER AND 94W FROM 16N TO 17N. THE
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMING IN THAT AREA DURING THE
LAST FEW HOURS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF MAURITANIA
NEAR 19N16W TO 13N20W 9N24W AND 7N32W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
7N32W TO 5N37W AND 6N41W...AND ALONG 10N50W 9N61W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 32W AND
35W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN
32W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI/SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE
TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CENTER SUPPORT A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
MEANDERS FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG RAINSHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 88W AND 96W IN
EASTERN TEXAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N30W TO A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N38W...TO 29N56W...TO 32N77W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
ICAO STATIONS...KXIH...KMDJ...AND KIPN. A CLOUD CEILING IS AT
6500 FEET AT KDLP.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS COVER SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS COASTAL
PLAINS AND NEARBY AREAS THAT ARE SLIGHTLY MORE INLAND IN TEXAS.
A FEW SITES ARE REPORTING HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS SUCH AS IN
THE CORPUS CHRISTI AREA AND IN PARTS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN
AREA. A CEILING AT 6500 FEET IS BEING OBSERVED AT ANGLETON/LAKE
JACKSON. NO LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED ELSEWHERE
IN THE GULF COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND HISPANIOLA...

CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 13N TO 25N
BETWEEN 70W AND 85W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR
17N80W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN A 30
NM RADIUS OF 19N75W BETWEEN CUBA AND HAITI...AND ALONG 80W FROM
20N TO 21N OFF THE COAST OF CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N76W AT THE COAST OF COLOMBIA... TO
PANAMA NEAR 8N81W...AND BEYOND 8N86W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO
11N BETWEEN 81W AND 84W...FROM THE COASTAL WATERS THAT ARE TO
THE NORTH OF PANAMA TO NORTHEASTERN COSTA RICA AND SOUTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO
DOMINGO. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA ROMANA. LIGHT RAIN
IS BEING REPORTED IN PUNTA CANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT 17N80W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD...ENDING UP
IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY 48 HOURS. ANY AMOUNT OF HIGH
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL MOVE AWAY FROM HISPANIOLA AS THE
CYCLONIC CENTER MOVES MORE AND MORE AWAY FROM THE AREA. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL COVER THE AREA...FROM A 28N74W ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER TO HAITI BY THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ABOUT 150 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THE GFS
MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
AREA WITH AN ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA...IN
AREAS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN SURFACE TRADE
WIND FLOW...FROM 73W EASTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE
PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/
SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN GUADELOUPE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N64W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
35N46W TO 30N45W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH 34N25W TO 26N34W AND 25N42W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
CLUSTERS OF LOW LEVEL TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS...FROM 20N
NORTHWARD FROM 30W WESTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE
PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/
SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.99 IN BERMUDA.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N30W TO A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N38W...TO 29N56W...TO 32N77W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA
HEIGHTS 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 230605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...AT 23/0300 UTC...WAS
NEAR 13.4N 51.4W...ABOUT 590 NM TO THE EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 16 KNOTS. THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 13N TO 14N
BETWEEN 51W AND 53W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FROM 9N
TO 16N BETWEEN 50W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND 64W IN VENEZUELA
AND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

A GALE WARNING EXISTS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR NORTHEAST TO EAST
GALE-FORCE WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10 TO 14 FEET FROM 11N TO
13N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W. EXPECT EAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND
SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO 12 FEET ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W
AND 80W. EXPECT ALSO WINDS 20 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO
10 FEET IN THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 10N TO 17N
BETWEEN 73W AND 83W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 21N43W 17N42W 13N40W...
MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 40W
AND 43W.

A WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W...TO THE
SOUTH OF 21N...MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS
PASSING THROUGH EASTERN HONDURAS...CENTRAL NICARAGUA...AND
WESTERN COSTA RICA. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN EDGE
OF THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE
17N80W CARIBBEAN SEA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NEARBY NUMEROUS STRONG COVERS EL SALVADOR AND
ITS EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM
18N TO 19N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. EARLIER NUMEROUS STRONG WAS IN
MEXICO BETWEEN THE GUATEMALA BORDER AND 94W FROM 16N TO 17N. THE
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMING IN THAT AREA DURING THE
LAST FEW HOURS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF MAURITANIA
NEAR 19N16W TO 13N20W 9N24W AND 7N32W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
7N32W TO 5N37W AND 6N41W...AND ALONG 10N50W 9N61W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 32W AND
35W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN
32W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI/SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE
TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CENTER SUPPORT A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
MEANDERS FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG RAINSHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 88W AND 96W IN
EASTERN TEXAS.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N30W TO A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N38W...TO 29N56W...TO 32N77W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE FOLLOWING
ICAO STATIONS...KXIH...KMDJ...AND KIPN. A CLOUD CEILING IS AT
6500 FEET AT KDLP.

FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF
TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS COVER SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS COASTAL
PLAINS AND NEARBY AREAS THAT ARE SLIGHTLY MORE INLAND IN TEXAS.
A FEW SITES ARE REPORTING HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS SUCH AS IN
THE CORPUS CHRISTI AREA AND IN PARTS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN
AREA. A CEILING AT 6500 FEET IS BEING OBSERVED AT ANGLETON/LAKE
JACKSON. NO LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED ELSEWHERE
IN THE GULF COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND HISPANIOLA...

CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 13N TO 25N
BETWEEN 70W AND 85W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR
17N80W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN A 30
NM RADIUS OF 19N75W BETWEEN CUBA AND HAITI...AND ALONG 80W FROM
20N TO 21N OFF THE COAST OF CUBA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 9N76W AT THE COAST OF COLOMBIA... TO
PANAMA NEAR 8N81W...AND BEYOND 8N86W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO
11N BETWEEN 81W AND 84W...FROM THE COASTAL WATERS THAT ARE TO
THE NORTH OF PANAMA TO NORTHEASTERN COSTA RICA AND SOUTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS...FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SCATTERED LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTO
DOMINGO. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN LA ROMANA. LIGHT RAIN
IS BEING REPORTED IN PUNTA CANA. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUERTO PLATA.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT 17N80W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD...ENDING UP
IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY 48 HOURS. ANY AMOUNT OF HIGH
LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL MOVE AWAY FROM HISPANIOLA AS THE
CYCLONIC CENTER MOVES MORE AND MORE AWAY FROM THE AREA. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL COVER THE AREA...FROM A 28N74W ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER TO HAITI BY THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
ABOUT 150 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THE GFS
MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL COVER THE
AREA WITH AN ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA...IN
AREAS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS IN SURFACE TRADE
WIND FLOW...FROM 73W EASTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE
PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/
SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.11 IN GUADELOUPE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N64W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
35N46W TO 30N45W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH 34N25W TO 26N34W AND 25N42W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
CLUSTERS OF LOW LEVEL TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS...FROM 20N
NORTHWARD FROM 30W WESTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN
INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 23/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE
PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/
SXCA01 KNHC...WAS 0.99 IN BERMUDA.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N30W TO A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N38W...TO 29N56W...TO 32N77W...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA
HEIGHTS 8 FEET TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ACPN50 PHFO 230544
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG
ISLAND IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

M BALLARD





000
ACPN50 PHFO 230544
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG
ISLAND IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

M BALLARD






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230526
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have become better organized this evening.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward into the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Yet another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230526
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have become better organized this evening.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward into the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Yet another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230526
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have become better organized this evening.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward into the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Yet another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230526
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have become better organized this evening.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward into the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Yet another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 230516
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 230516
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MIERCOLES 23 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
ABNT20 KNHC 230515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 230515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 230515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 230515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230259
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES... A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR
11N123W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM
IS MAINTAINING SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN
120 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER. SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH
A MEDIUM CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N95W TO 08N97W MOVING W AT 10 KT
PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N
TO 12N WITHIN 240 NM W OF WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM FROM 10N TO 17N ALONG 126W MOVING W
AT 10-15 KT PAST 24 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N93W. ITCZ FROM 08N93W TO
10N105W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES 11N123W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED  STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE ITCZ BETWEEN 108W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 18N135W. SUBSIDENCE
WAS NOTED OVER THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W AND IN THE VICINITY
OF THE TROUGH. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED A 90-95 KT
SUBTROPICAL JET E OF THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 22N130W
THROUGH 32N125W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION WITH THE SURFACE LOW NEAR 11N123W AND THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W/98W MENTIONED ABOVE.

A LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO NEAR
33N106W WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO 20N120W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 19N113W WAS
MOVING WNW 15 KT ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE WITH STRONGLY
CONFLUENT FLOW BETWEEN THE LOW AND ANTICYCLONE. SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS INDICATED AN EASTERLY JET OF 60-70 KT EMERGING OFF
THE W COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL PULSE THROUGH INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO LATER TONIGHT/EARLY
WED WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM
DRAINAGE ON WED. SEAS WILL BUILD 8 TO 10 FT BY LATE WED MORNING.
THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN WED NIGHT AND THU...THOUGH
NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHTS EVENT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
COBB



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230259
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES... A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR
11N123W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM
IS MAINTAINING SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN
120 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER. SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH
A MEDIUM CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N95W TO 08N97W MOVING W AT 10 KT
PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N
TO 12N WITHIN 240 NM W OF WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM FROM 10N TO 17N ALONG 126W MOVING W
AT 10-15 KT PAST 24 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N93W. ITCZ FROM 08N93W TO
10N105W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES 11N123W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED  STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE ITCZ BETWEEN 108W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 18N135W. SUBSIDENCE
WAS NOTED OVER THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W AND IN THE VICINITY
OF THE TROUGH. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED A 90-95 KT
SUBTROPICAL JET E OF THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 22N130W
THROUGH 32N125W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION WITH THE SURFACE LOW NEAR 11N123W AND THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W/98W MENTIONED ABOVE.

A LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO NEAR
33N106W WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO 20N120W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 19N113W WAS
MOVING WNW 15 KT ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE WITH STRONGLY
CONFLUENT FLOW BETWEEN THE LOW AND ANTICYCLONE. SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS INDICATED AN EASTERLY JET OF 60-70 KT EMERGING OFF
THE W COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL PULSE THROUGH INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO LATER TONIGHT/EARLY
WED WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM
DRAINAGE ON WED. SEAS WILL BUILD 8 TO 10 FT BY LATE WED MORNING.
THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN WED NIGHT AND THU...THOUGH
NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHTS EVENT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
COBB


000
WTCA42 TJSJ 230244
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   6
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION SE MUEVE RAPIDAMENTE HACIA LAS ANTILLAS MENORES...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...13.4 NORTE 51.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 675 MI...1090 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 18 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 51.4
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 18
MPH...30 KM/H. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO MAS RAPIDO HACIA EL OESTE A
OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HASTA
MANANA...PERO SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE HASTA
CONVERTIRSE EN UNA VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y JUEVES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...500 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI










000
WTCA42 TJSJ 230244
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   6
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION SE MUEVE RAPIDAMENTE HACIA LAS ANTILLAS MENORES...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...13.4 NORTE 51.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 675 MI...1090 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 18 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 51.4
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 18
MPH...30 KM/H. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO MAS RAPIDO HACIA EL OESTE A
OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HASTA
MANANA...PERO SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE HASTA
CONVERTIRSE EN UNA VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y SOTAVENTO TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y JUEVES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...500 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI











000
WTNT32 KNHC 230235
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 51.4W
ABOUT 675 MI...1090 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30
KM/H.  A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT22 KNHC 230235
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  51.4W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  51.4W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  50.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.7N  53.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.4N  57.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.1N  61.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N  65.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  51.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTNT22 KNHC 230235
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  51.4W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  51.4W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  50.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.7N  53.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.4N  57.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.1N  61.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N  65.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  51.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
AXNT20 KNHC 230004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 2100 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N
49.6W OR ABOUT 800 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS
LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WED...WITH
WEAKENING TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OR TROUGH EXPECTED SOON
AFTERWARDS DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS VERY LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NW QUADRANT. ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE DEPRESSION IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 73W-77W WITH SEAS 10-15 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING TONIGHT AND INTO WED. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH
TO LESS THAN GALE FORCE BY EARLY WED AFTERNOON. SEE THE LATEST
ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER FAR WESTERN AFRICA MOVING W AT 15-20 KT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE COAST TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC HAS AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N42W TO 14N40W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
EARLIER NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THIS WAVE HAS DECREASED OVER
THE PAST FEW HOURS. DUST IMAGERY SHOWS MORE EVIDENCE OF DRY
SAHARAN AIR   IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE WAVE HINDERING DEEP
CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N83W TO 10N84W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 18 KT AS
ESTIMATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED
OVER THE WATER WITH THIS WAVE WITH ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS NOTED ALONG THE AXIS N OF 16N...AND 180 W OF
THE WAVE AS WELL ALSO N OF 16N. S OF 16N...OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
DEEP CONVECTION IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N94W S
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC AT 9N96W
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO
SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. SEE LATEST TWDEP
FOR DETAILS REGARDING DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC.

 TROPICAL WAVE MAY SOON BE MOVING OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N33W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N50W TO THE S AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
BETWEEN 30W-31W...AND ALSO WITHIN N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 22W-
24W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
TROUGH SW TO 26N92W...AND SHEAR AXIS SW TO INLAND MEXICO AT
TAMPICO. AN ASSOCIATED 1016 MB SURFACE LOW IS AT 30N89W. UPPER
DIVERGENCE E OF THE LOW/TROUGH IN COMBINATION WITH VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR IS ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS TO
EXIST FROM 26N TO 28N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
GULF SE OF A LINE FROM 30N83W TO 25N87W TO THE NE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS ALSO OVER THE FAR SE GULF AND
STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS ARE OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED
ELSEWHERE. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS THE
BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION MOVING
WESTWARD IS CONFINED TO THE FAR SE AND SW PORTIONS OF THE SEA.
ELSEWHERE...MOSTLY DRY AIR ALOFT IS KEEPING CONDITIONS GENERALLY
FAIR WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING NORTHWARD TO THE N OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-75W E OF AN UPPER
LOW MOVING WESTWARD SSW OF JAMAICA AT 17N79W. 15-25 KT TRADE
WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE THE AREA OF
STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AS DESCRIBED
ABOVE UNDER SPECIAL FEATURES. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
MOST SECTIONS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SSW OF JAMAICA MENTIONED ABOVE IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TO THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
THROUGH WED. ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE E OF THE LOW SHOULD ALLOW
FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS TO OCCUR OVER
MOST OF HISPANIOLA...BUT PRIMARILY HAITI AND THE WESTERN PART OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THOUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N38W WITH A RIDGE WESTWARD TO NE
FLORIDA IS THE MAIN FEATURE ACROSS THE BASIN. DEEP ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE IS CONFINED TO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA. THIS
MOISTURE IS ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS TO
PERSIST THERE WHILE MOVING NORTHWARD UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW. ELSEWHERE...THE COMBINATION OF A LARGE UPPER LOW
NEAR 27N65W AND A LARGE UPPER ANTICYCLONE NEAR IS MAINTAINING
MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS UNDER RELATIVELY DRY ALOFT WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE AREA W OF T.D TWO WHERE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 53W-60W.
LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXNT20 KNHC 230004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 2100 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N
49.6W OR ABOUT 800 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS
LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WED...WITH
WEAKENING TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OR TROUGH EXPECTED SOON
AFTERWARDS DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS VERY LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NW QUADRANT. ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE DEPRESSION IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 73W-77W WITH SEAS 10-15 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING TONIGHT AND INTO WED. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH
TO LESS THAN GALE FORCE BY EARLY WED AFTERNOON. SEE THE LATEST
ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER FAR WESTERN AFRICA MOVING W AT 15-20 KT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE COAST TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC HAS AXIS EXTENDING FROM
21N42W TO 14N40W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
EARLIER NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THIS WAVE HAS DECREASED OVER
THE PAST FEW HOURS. DUST IMAGERY SHOWS MORE EVIDENCE OF DRY
SAHARAN AIR   IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE WAVE HINDERING DEEP
CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N83W TO 10N84W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 18 KT AS
ESTIMATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED
OVER THE WATER WITH THIS WAVE WITH ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS NOTED ALONG THE AXIS N OF 16N...AND 180 W OF
THE WAVE AS WELL ALSO N OF 16N. S OF 16N...OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
DEEP CONVECTION IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N94W S
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC AT 9N96W
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO
SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. SEE LATEST TWDEP
FOR DETAILS REGARDING DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC.

 TROPICAL WAVE MAY SOON BE MOVING OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N33W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N50W TO THE S AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
BETWEEN 30W-31W...AND ALSO WITHIN N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 22W-
24W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
TROUGH SW TO 26N92W...AND SHEAR AXIS SW TO INLAND MEXICO AT
TAMPICO. AN ASSOCIATED 1016 MB SURFACE LOW IS AT 30N89W. UPPER
DIVERGENCE E OF THE LOW/TROUGH IN COMBINATION WITH VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR IS ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS TO
EXIST FROM 26N TO 28N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
GULF SE OF A LINE FROM 30N83W TO 25N87W TO THE NE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS ALSO OVER THE FAR SE GULF AND
STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS ARE OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED
ELSEWHERE. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS THE
BASIN. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION MOVING
WESTWARD IS CONFINED TO THE FAR SE AND SW PORTIONS OF THE SEA.
ELSEWHERE...MOSTLY DRY AIR ALOFT IS KEEPING CONDITIONS GENERALLY
FAIR WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING NORTHWARD TO THE N OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-75W E OF AN UPPER
LOW MOVING WESTWARD SSW OF JAMAICA AT 17N79W. 15-25 KT TRADE
WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE THE AREA OF
STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AS DESCRIBED
ABOVE UNDER SPECIAL FEATURES. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
MOST SECTIONS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SSW OF JAMAICA MENTIONED ABOVE IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TO THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
THROUGH WED. ENOUGH MOISTURE TO THE E OF THE LOW SHOULD ALLOW
FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS TO OCCUR OVER
MOST OF HISPANIOLA...BUT PRIMARILY HAITI AND THE WESTERN PART OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THOUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N38W WITH A RIDGE WESTWARD TO NE
FLORIDA IS THE MAIN FEATURE ACROSS THE BASIN. DEEP ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE IS CONFINED TO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA. THIS
MOISTURE IS ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS TO
PERSIST THERE WHILE MOVING NORTHWARD UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW. ELSEWHERE...THE COMBINATION OF A LARGE UPPER LOW
NEAR 27N65W AND A LARGE UPPER ANTICYCLONE NEAR IS MAINTAINING
MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS UNDER RELATIVELY DRY ALOFT WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE AREA W OF T.D TWO WHERE ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 53W-60W.
LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
AGUIRRE



000
ACPN50 PHFO 222352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 222352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 222332
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 222332
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222331
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a small area of
low pressure located about 1125 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in organization
during the past several hours.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for further development of this system during the next few
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is expected by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Yet another area of low pressure could form in a few days several
hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
Peninsula.  Some development of this system is possible by the
weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
ABNT20 KNHC 222331
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 222331
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10N121W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A MEDIUM
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 7N95W TO OVER MEXICO 21N93W MOVING W
15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N
BETWEEN 92W-96W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N-18N ALONG 123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 120W-123W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N92W. ITCZ FROM 09N92W TO 1008
MB LOW PRES 10N121W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN
107W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 18N135W. A 90-95 KT
JETSTREAM E OF THE LOW EXTENDS FROM 22N130W THROUGH 32N124W.
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH THE
SURFACE LOW NEAR 10N121W AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W MENTIONED
ABOVE. A LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
NEAR 33N106W WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
TO 20N118W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL
BEGIN TO PULSE THROUGH INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT/EARLY WED
WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM DRAINAGE ON WED.
SEAS WILL BUILD 8 TO 10 FT BY WED. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
WED NIGHT AND THU...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHT`S EVENT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10N121W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A MEDIUM
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 7N95W TO OVER MEXICO 21N93W MOVING W
15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N
BETWEEN 92W-96W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N-18N ALONG 123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 120W-123W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N92W. ITCZ FROM 09N92W TO 1008
MB LOW PRES 10N121W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN
107W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 18N135W. A 90-95 KT
JETSTREAM E OF THE LOW EXTENDS FROM 22N130W THROUGH 32N124W.
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH THE
SURFACE LOW NEAR 10N121W AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W MENTIONED
ABOVE. A LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
NEAR 33N106W WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
TO 20N118W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL
BEGIN TO PULSE THROUGH INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT/EARLY WED
WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM DRAINAGE ON WED.
SEAS WILL BUILD 8 TO 10 FT BY WED. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
WED NIGHT AND THU...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHT`S EVENT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10N121W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A MEDIUM
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 7N95W TO OVER MEXICO 21N93W MOVING W
15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N
BETWEEN 92W-96W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N-18N ALONG 123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 120W-123W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N92W. ITCZ FROM 09N92W TO 1008
MB LOW PRES 10N121W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN
107W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 18N135W. A 90-95 KT
JETSTREAM E OF THE LOW EXTENDS FROM 22N130W THROUGH 32N124W.
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH THE
SURFACE LOW NEAR 10N121W AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W MENTIONED
ABOVE. A LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
NEAR 33N106W WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
TO 20N118W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL
BEGIN TO PULSE THROUGH INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT/EARLY WED
WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM DRAINAGE ON WED.
SEAS WILL BUILD 8 TO 10 FT BY WED. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
WED NIGHT AND THU...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHT`S EVENT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 222148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10N121W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN
120 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A MEDIUM
CHANCE OF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 7N95W TO OVER MEXICO 21N93W MOVING W
15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N
BETWEEN 92W-96W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N-18N ALONG 123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 120W-123W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N92W. ITCZ FROM 09N92W TO 1008
MB LOW PRES 10N121W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN
107W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 18N135W. A 90-95 KT
JETSTREAM E OF THE LOW EXTENDS FROM 22N130W THROUGH 32N124W.
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH THE
SURFACE LOW NEAR 10N121W AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W MENTIONED
ABOVE. A LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
NEAR 33N106W WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
TO 20N118W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL
BEGIN TO PULSE THROUGH INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT/EARLY WED
WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT DURING THE TIME OF MAXIMUM DRAINAGE ON WED.
SEAS WILL BUILD 8 TO 10 FT BY WED. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE AGAIN
WED NIGHT AND THU...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHT`S EVENT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
COBB


000
WTCA42 TJSJ 222037
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   5
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE A MEDIDA QUE SE
ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS MENORES...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...12.9 NORTE 49.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 800 MI...1290 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 18 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 49.6
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 18
MPH...30 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HASTA MANANA...PERO
SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE HASTA CONVERTIRSE EN UNA
VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 PM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN








000
WTCA42 TJSJ 222037
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   5
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE A MEDIDA QUE SE
ACERQUE A LAS ANTILLAS MENORES...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...12.9 NORTE 49.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 800 MI...1290 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 18 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 49.6
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 18
MPH...30 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HASTA MANANA...PERO
SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE HASTA CONVERTIRSE EN UNA
VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 PM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN







000
WTNT22 KNHC 222033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
2100 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  48.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.2N  52.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N  55.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N  58.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N  62.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  49.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 222033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 49.6W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 222033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
2100 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  48.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.2N  52.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N  55.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N  58.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N  62.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  49.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 222033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 49.6W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 222033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
2100 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  48.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.2N  52.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N  55.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N  58.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N  62.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  49.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTNT32 KNHC 222033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 49.6W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT22 KNHC 222033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
2100 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  49.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  48.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.2N  52.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N  55.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N  58.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N  62.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  49.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTNT32 KNHC 222033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 49.6W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221802
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221802
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221802
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221802
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACPN50 PHFO 221746
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 221746
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near a small area of
low pressure located about 1125 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for further development of this system during the next few
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is expected by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near a small area of
low pressure located about 1125 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for further development of this system during the next few
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is expected by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near a small area of
low pressure located about 1125 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for further development of this system during the next few
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is expected by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near a small area of
low pressure located about 1125 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for further development of this system during the next few
days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is expected by the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend while it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
AXNT20 KNHC 221725
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 221725
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AT 1500 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 221722
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE
DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 221711
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 221711
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 221711
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABNT20 KNHC 221711
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

....SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1008 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10N119W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N
BETWEEN 116W-119W. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A MEDIUM CHANCE OF
DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 7N95W TO OVER MEXICO 21N93W MOVING W
15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N
BETWEEN 92W-96W.


TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N-18N ALONG 123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 120W-123W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N83W TO 9N92W. ITCZ FROM 9N92W TO 1008 MB
LOW PRES 10N119W TO 1009 MB LOW 9N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 91W-97W AND FROM 10N-15N
BETWEEN 103W-107W AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS FROM 127W-140W.

...DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WITH AXIS FROM 32N130W TO 20N135W. A 90-95 KT
JETSTREAM E OF THE LOW FROM 28N125W TO 32N123W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION WITH THE SURFACE LOW NEAR
10N119W AND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W MENTIONED ABOVE. A LARGE
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO NEAR 31N107W WITH
RIDGE SW ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 21N117W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL
CONTINUE TO ALLOW ELY 20-25 KT WINDS INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SEAS TO 8 FT TODAY THEN SPREADING W ON
WED WITH SEAS SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT THU.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...THE PRES GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND NLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WED THEN DECREASE ON THU.

$$
DGS



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 221442
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   4
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION MOVIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE AL OESTE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...12.6 NORTE 48.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 910 MI...1465 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 48.0
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17
MPH...28 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HASTA MANANA...PERO
SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE HABRA DE DEBILITAR HASTA CONVERTIRSE
EN UN REMANENTE DE UNA BAJA PRESION PARA EL MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE Y
DEGENERARSE A UNA VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...500 PM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 221433
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 AM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 48.0W
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT32 KNHC 221433
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 AM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 48.0W
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 221431
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1500 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  48.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  48.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  47.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.9N  50.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.3N  53.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.9N  56.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.8N  60.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  48.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 221431
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1500 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  48.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  48.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  47.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.9N  50.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.3N  53.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.9N  56.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.8N  60.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  48.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221150
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with an
area of low pressure located about 1050 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221150
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with an
area of low pressure located about 1050 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221150
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with an
area of low pressure located about 1050 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221150
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with an
area of low pressure located about 1050 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days. Some development of this
system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure could form in a few days about 1200 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Some development of
this system is possible by the weekend as it moves generally
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ACPN50 PHFO 221145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 221145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 221145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 221145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 221123
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA BIEN AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 221123
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA BIEN AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 221121
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located well to east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 221121
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located well to east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
AXNT20 KNHC 221043
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 0900 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N
45.4W OR ABOUT 770 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE IN TWO TO THREE DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-48W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. A SHIP REPORTED 35
KT WINDS AT 0600 UTC NEAR 12N74W. A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN GALE CONDITIONS UNTIL 23/1200
UTC. SEE THE LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N37W TO 11N37W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE IS WELL DEPICTED ON
THE SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. A DRY SAHARAN AIR
LAYER IS N OF 15N HINDERING DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N80W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20 KT. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT TOGETHER WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN ARE INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 20N91W TO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC AT 8N93W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 19N-20N BETWEEN 91W-93W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
9N20W TO 6N31W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM 6N31W TO 11N43W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO FROM
11N48W TO 9N52W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 8N60W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 14W-
20W...AND FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 0900 UTC...A 1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER S ALABAMA NEAR
31N88W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS W TO E TEXAS NEAR 30N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
FROM 27N-29N BETWEEN 89W-94W. A WEAK 1017 MB HIGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 27N86W. 5 -10 KT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE HIGH. 10 KT SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE NOTED OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...AND W CUBA.
ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SE BAY OF CAMPECHE
DUE TO A TROPICAL WAVE. SEE ABOVE. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED S ALABAMA NEAR 31N88W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTION OVER S
FLORIDA AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. A GALE
IS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. SEE ABOVE. 10-25 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH STRONGEST WINDS
OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS
BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 73W-76W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER E GUATEMALA AND W HONDURAS
FROM 15N-16N BETWEEN 88W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER COSTA RICA...AND PANAMA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED OVER JAMAICA. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE
CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SHOWERS OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS
AND CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAIN OVER HISPANIOLA. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IN 24
HOURS. EXPECT CONVECTION OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HEATING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE
CENTRAL AND N BAHAMAS W OF 76W DUE TO SURFACE CONFLUENCE AND
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A 1025 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 31N38W PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N64 WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR
25N51W ALSO WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 221043
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 0900 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N
45.4W OR ABOUT 770 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE IN TWO TO THREE DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-48W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. A SHIP REPORTED 35
KT WINDS AT 0600 UTC NEAR 12N74W. A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN GALE CONDITIONS UNTIL 23/1200
UTC. SEE THE LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N37W TO 11N37W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE IS WELL DEPICTED ON
THE SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. A DRY SAHARAN AIR
LAYER IS N OF 15N HINDERING DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 20N80W TO 10N80W MOVING W AT 20 KT. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT TOGETHER WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN ARE INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 20N91W TO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC AT 8N93W MOVING W AT 20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 19N-20N BETWEEN 91W-93W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
9N20W TO 6N31W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM 6N31W TO 11N43W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO FROM
11N48W TO 9N52W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 8N60W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 14W-
20W...AND FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 23W-30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 0900 UTC...A 1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER S ALABAMA NEAR
31N88W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS W TO E TEXAS NEAR 30N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
FROM 27N-29N BETWEEN 89W-94W. A WEAK 1017 MB HIGH IS CENTERED
OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 27N86W. 5 -10 KT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE HIGH. 10 KT SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE NOTED OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA...THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...AND W CUBA.
ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SE BAY OF CAMPECHE
DUE TO A TROPICAL WAVE. SEE ABOVE. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED S ALABAMA NEAR 31N88W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTION OVER S
FLORIDA AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. A GALE
IS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. SEE ABOVE. 10-25 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH STRONGEST WINDS
OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS
BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 73W-76W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER E GUATEMALA AND W HONDURAS
FROM 15N-16N BETWEEN 88W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER COSTA RICA...AND PANAMA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED OVER JAMAICA. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE
CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SHOWERS OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS
AND CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAIN OVER HISPANIOLA. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IN 24
HOURS. EXPECT CONVECTION OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HEATING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE
CENTRAL AND N BAHAMAS W OF 76W DUE TO SURFACE CONFLUENCE AND
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A 1025 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 31N38W PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N64 WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR
25N51W ALSO WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220918
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM MEXICO NEAR 15N93W TO 7N93W MOVING W
NEAR 20 KT OVER PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITH AN AREA OF
DEEP MOISTURE AND COUPLED WITH DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT IS
GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM
7N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 17N120W TO 11N121W MOVING W 5 TO 10 KT OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS IS A WEAK WAVE AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN
WEAK UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THIS IS ONLY GENERATING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W.

TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 139W IS NOW W OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA.

A 1008 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 10N118W
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO
11N BETWEEN 117W AND 119W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W TO 119W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 7N78W ALONG 8N87W TO 7N95W WHERE THE ITCZ
BEGINS AND CONTINUES ALONG 10N103W TO 10N116W THEN RESUMES NEAR
10N121W 8N133W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 101W AND 110W AND
FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 137W AND 141W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN
114W AND 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ALONG
COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA S OF 10N W OF 80W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW IS S OF MEXICO NEAR 16N108W ENHANCING THE
CONVECTION N OF THE MONSOON ITCZ MAINLY BETWEEN 101W AND 110W. A
NARROW UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE N PORTION OF THE AREA EXTENDING
THROUGH 32N127W TO 23N124W SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 26N136W. THIS CONTINUES TO DISRUPT THE
SUBTROPICAL SURFACE RIDGE BUT IS BEGINNING TO BREAK DOWN WITH A
1019 MB HIGH E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH NEAR 30N123W AND A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDING S-SW TO 22N117W. AN E/W UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED W
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA S OF
20N W OF 127W. THIS SCENARIO IS GIVING AREA S OF THE SURFACE
RIDGE FRESH TRADE WINDS AND SEAS TO 8 FT. AS THE SURFACE TROUGH
GRADUALLY WEAKENS LATER TODAY THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REBUILD AND
GENERATE FRESH BREEZES ALONG THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 28N TODAY
AND STRONG BREEZES BY EARLY WED.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STRONG TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW PULSES OF FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS INTO
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO OVER THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS WITH SEAS TO 8
FT TODAY THEN EXPANDING W ON WED WITH SEAS TO 10 FT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NORTH WINDS IN THE SW GULF OF MEXICO
COUPLED WITH THE PRESENT TROPICAL WAVE WILL GIVE THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC STRONG BREEZE FOR A SHORT PERIOD THIS MORNING AND
AGAIN WED MORNING.

$$
PAW



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 220837
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   3
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION TROPICAL CONTINUA MOVIENDOSE AL OESTE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...12.2 NORTE 46.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 1025 MI...1645 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 46.4
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16
MPH...26 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HOY Y ESTA
NOCHE...PERO ALGO DE DEBILITAMIENTO SE PRONOSTICA PARA EL MIERCOLES
EN LA NOCHE. LA DEPRESION ESTA PRONOSTICADA A DEGENERARSE A UNA
VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EN DOS A TRES DIAS.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
WTCA42 TJSJ 220837
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   3
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION TROPICAL CONTINUA MOVIENDOSE AL OESTE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...12.2 NORTE 46.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 1025 MI...1645 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 46.4
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16
MPH...26 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICAN POCOS CAMBIOS HOY Y ESTA
NOCHE...PERO ALGO DE DEBILITAMIENTO SE PRONOSTICA PARA EL MIERCOLES
EN LA NOCHE. LA DEPRESION ESTA PRONOSTICADA A DEGENERARSE A UNA
VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION EN DOS A TRES DIAS.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN






000
WTNT32 KNHC 220832
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 AM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 46.4W
ABOUT 1025 MI...1645 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN TWO TO
THREE DAYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT32 KNHC 220832
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 AM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 46.4W
ABOUT 1025 MI...1645 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN TWO TO
THREE DAYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 220831
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0900 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  46.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  46.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  45.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N  48.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.5N  54.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N  58.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  46.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT22 KNHC 220831
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0900 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  46.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  46.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  45.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N  48.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.5N  54.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N  58.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  46.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
ACPN50 PHFO 220557
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$






000
ACPN50 PHFO 220557
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$






000
ACPN50 PHFO 220557
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$






000
ACPN50 PHFO 220557
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$






000
AXNT20 KNHC 220548
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 0300 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N
45.1W OR ABOUT 850 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 45W-47W. SEE THE LATEST NHC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
18N36W TO 11N36W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE DEPICTED WELL ON
THE SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. A DRY SAHARAN AIR
LAYER IS N OF 15N HINDERING DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO. THE WAVE EXTENDS
FROM 19N47W TO 13N47W MOVING W AT 20 KT. AN ASCAT PASS SHOWS
THIS WAVE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DROPPED ON THE NEXT
BULLETIN. NO DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N77W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT DURING THE LAST 24
HOURS. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS STRONG DEEP LAYER
ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN ARE
INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
8N23W TO 11N34W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM 11N34W TO 11N43W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO FROM
10N47W TO 10N55W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 8N60W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 14W-
19W...AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 23W-29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1017 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR
27N86W. 5 -10 KT ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE
HIGH. 10 KT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER FLORIDA...THE STRAITS
OF FLORIDA...AND CUBA. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER THE SE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND S MEXICO FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
91W-93W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
W GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED S
ALABAMA NEAR 32N88W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE CENTER IS
ENHANCING THE CONVECTION OVER FLORIDA AND THE SE GULF. EXPECT
LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. 10-25
KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION REMAINS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 19N BETWEEN 77W-
86W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER EL SALVADOR
AND W HONDURAS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 87W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER COSTA RICA...PANAMA...AND N COLOMBIA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED OVER JAMAICA. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE
CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SHOWERS OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS
AND CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAIN OVER HISPANIOLA. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IN 24
HOURS. EXPECT CONVECTION OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HEATING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE
CENTRAL AND N BAHAMAS W OF 76W DUE TO SURFACE CONFLUENCE AND
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A 1026 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 32N40W. PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N64 WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR
25N51W ALSO WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 220548
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 0300 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N
45.1W OR ABOUT 850 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 45W-47W. SEE THE LATEST NHC
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
18N36W TO 11N36W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE DEPICTED WELL ON
THE SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. A DRY SAHARAN AIR
LAYER IS N OF 15N HINDERING DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO. THE WAVE EXTENDS
FROM 19N47W TO 13N47W MOVING W AT 20 KT. AN ASCAT PASS SHOWS
THIS WAVE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DROPPED ON THE NEXT
BULLETIN. NO DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 19N77W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT DURING THE LAST 24
HOURS. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS STRONG DEEP LAYER
ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN ARE
INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
8N23W TO 11N34W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS
FROM 11N34W TO 11N43W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO FROM
10N47W TO 10N55W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 8N60W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 14W-
19W...AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 23W-29W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1017 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR
27N86W. 5 -10 KT ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED AROUND THE
HIGH. 10 KT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER FLORIDA...THE STRAITS
OF FLORIDA...AND CUBA. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER THE SE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND S MEXICO FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN
91W-93W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
W GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED S
ALABAMA NEAR 32N88W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE CENTER IS
ENHANCING THE CONVECTION OVER FLORIDA AND THE SE GULF. EXPECT
LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. 10-25
KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION REMAINS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 19N BETWEEN 77W-
86W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER EL SALVADOR
AND W HONDURAS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 87W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER COSTA RICA...PANAMA...AND N COLOMBIA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED OVER JAMAICA. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE OF THE
CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SHOWERS OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS
AND CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER THE THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM THE
ATLANTIC. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAIN OVER HISPANIOLA. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS IN 24
HOURS. EXPECT CONVECTION OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HEATING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE
CENTRAL AND N BAHAMAS W OF 76W DUE TO SURFACE CONFLUENCE AND
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A 1026 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEAR 32N40W. PRODUCING FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N64 WITH
STRONG SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR
25N51W ALSO WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 220514
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1050 miles south-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula have become more concentrated
since this afternoon.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the
coast of Mexico later this week. Some development of this system
is possible during the weekend as it moves westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 220513
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA BIEN AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 220513
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MARTES 22 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA BIEN AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL
TITULO MIATCPAT2.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO WTNT22 KNHC Y EN AWIPS BAJO EL TITULO
MIATCMAT2.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 220508
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located well to east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 220508
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located well to east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220308
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM GUATEMALA TO 06N91W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT OVER PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N118W TO 11N118W MOVING W 10 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 11N TO 17N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS 16N139W TO 08N139W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
FROM 08N TO 13N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 07N90W TO
11N105W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 10N116W TO 11N125W TO 11N137W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ BETWEEN 83W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 180-240 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 32N126W TO 24N135W TO
25N140W. AXIS OF SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM SE OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 22N132W THROUGH 27N125W 30N124W TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED CORE SPEEDS OF 70-
80 KT. THE TROUGH WAS PROVIDING LIMITED SUPPORT FOR A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH 30N131W TO 25N137W. NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

AN EXTENSIVE ANTICYCLONE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DOMINATES THE
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC E OF 120W WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A COL NEAR
17N124W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
15N105W WAS MOVING W AT 15 KT S OF THE RIDGE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-15N W
OF 132W WILL BRIEFLY SHRINK TO AN AREA W OF 135W OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THEN EXPAND EASTWARD TO 125W AS THE SURFACE RIDGE N OF
THE AREA BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED.

A WEAKER PULSE OF MODERATE TO FRESH ELY WINDS THROUGH THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL ENTER INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITHIN 12
HOURS...THEN WEAKEN LATER TUE BEFORE A STRONGER PULSE OF 20-30
KT TUE NIGHT/WED WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT BY WED.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220308
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM GUATEMALA TO 06N91W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT OVER PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N118W TO 11N118W MOVING W 10 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 11N TO 17N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS 16N139W TO 08N139W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
FROM 08N TO 13N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 07N90W TO
11N105W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 10N116W TO 11N125W TO 11N137W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ BETWEEN 83W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 180-240 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 32N126W TO 24N135W TO
25N140W. AXIS OF SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM SE OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 22N132W THROUGH 27N125W 30N124W TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED CORE SPEEDS OF 70-
80 KT. THE TROUGH WAS PROVIDING LIMITED SUPPORT FOR A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH 30N131W TO 25N137W. NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

AN EXTENSIVE ANTICYCLONE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DOMINATES THE
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC E OF 120W WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A COL NEAR
17N124W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
15N105W WAS MOVING W AT 15 KT S OF THE RIDGE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-15N W
OF 132W WILL BRIEFLY SHRINK TO AN AREA W OF 135W OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THEN EXPAND EASTWARD TO 125W AS THE SURFACE RIDGE N OF
THE AREA BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED.

A WEAKER PULSE OF MODERATE TO FRESH ELY WINDS THROUGH THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL ENTER INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITHIN 12
HOURS...THEN WEAKEN LATER TUE BEFORE A STRONGER PULSE OF 20-30
KT TUE NIGHT/WED WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT BY WED.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220308
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM GUATEMALA TO 06N91W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT OVER PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N118W TO 11N118W MOVING W 10 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 11N TO 17N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS 16N139W TO 08N139W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
FROM 08N TO 13N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 07N90W TO
11N105W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 10N116W TO 11N125W TO 11N137W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ BETWEEN 83W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 180-240 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 32N126W TO 24N135W TO
25N140W. AXIS OF SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM SE OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 22N132W THROUGH 27N125W 30N124W TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED CORE SPEEDS OF 70-
80 KT. THE TROUGH WAS PROVIDING LIMITED SUPPORT FOR A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH 30N131W TO 25N137W. NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

AN EXTENSIVE ANTICYCLONE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DOMINATES THE
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC E OF 120W WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A COL NEAR
17N124W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
15N105W WAS MOVING W AT 15 KT S OF THE RIDGE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-15N W
OF 132W WILL BRIEFLY SHRINK TO AN AREA W OF 135W OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THEN EXPAND EASTWARD TO 125W AS THE SURFACE RIDGE N OF
THE AREA BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED.

A WEAKER PULSE OF MODERATE TO FRESH ELY WINDS THROUGH THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL ENTER INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITHIN 12
HOURS...THEN WEAKEN LATER TUE BEFORE A STRONGER PULSE OF 20-30
KT TUE NIGHT/WED WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT BY WED.

$$
COBB


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220308
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM GUATEMALA TO 06N91W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT OVER PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N118W TO 11N118W MOVING W 10 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 11N TO 17N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS 16N139W TO 08N139W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
FROM 08N TO 13N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 07N90W TO
11N105W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 10N116W TO 11N125W TO 11N137W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ BETWEEN 83W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 180-240 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 135W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 32N126W TO 24N135W TO
25N140W. AXIS OF SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM SE OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 22N132W THROUGH 27N125W 30N124W TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED CORE SPEEDS OF 70-
80 KT. THE TROUGH WAS PROVIDING LIMITED SUPPORT FOR A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH 30N131W TO 25N137W. NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

AN EXTENSIVE ANTICYCLONE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DOMINATES THE
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC E OF 120W WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A COL NEAR
17N124W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
15N105W WAS MOVING W AT 15 KT S OF THE RIDGE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-15N W
OF 132W WILL BRIEFLY SHRINK TO AN AREA W OF 135W OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THEN EXPAND EASTWARD TO 125W AS THE SURFACE RIDGE N OF
THE AREA BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED.

A WEAKER PULSE OF MODERATE TO FRESH ELY WINDS THROUGH THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL ENTER INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITHIN 12
HOURS...THEN WEAKEN LATER TUE BEFORE A STRONGER PULSE OF 20-30
KT TUE NIGHT/WED WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT BY WED.

$$
COBB


000
WTCA42 TJSJ 220247
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   2
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION TROPICAL MOVIENDOSE AL OESTE SOBRE EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL
TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...12.0 NORTE 45.1 OESTE
CERCA DE 1110 MI...1790 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL
DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 45.1
OESTE. LA DEPRESION ESTA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16
MPH...26 KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE Y SE
CONVIERTA EN REMANENTE DE UNA BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...500 AM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI







000
WTNT32 KNHC 220238
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 45.1W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT32 KNHC 220238
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 45.1W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT32 KNHC 220238
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 45.1W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT32 KNHC 220238
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 45.1W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT22 KNHC 220237
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  45.1W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  45.1W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  44.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.5N  47.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.0N  49.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.5N  52.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.5N  56.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.7N  63.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  45.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT22 KNHC 220237
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  45.1W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  45.1W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  44.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.5N  47.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.0N  49.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.5N  52.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.5N  56.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.7N  63.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  45.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220048
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM BELIZE TO 08N90W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT
OVER PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE INTERSECTION OF
THE WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N117W TO 10N118W MOVING W 10-15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 112W-120W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 16N137W TO 10N137W. LOW PRES ALONG
THE WAVE NOTED EARLIER HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION CONFINED
TO THE ITCZ BETWEEN 132W AND 138W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 07N90W TO LOW
PRES 09N115W TO 11N125W TO 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND
112W...AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W TO 128W...AND
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 138W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 26N135W TO
27N140W. AXIS OF SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM SE OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 23N135W THROUGH 25N130W 30N124W TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED CORE SPEEDS OF 70-
85 KT. THE TROUGH WAS PROVIDING SOME SUPPORT FOR A 1014 MB
SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 30N131W WITH A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT TO A 1015 MB LOW NEAR 28N134W THEN A DISSIPATING COLD
FRONT FROM THE LOW TO 27N139W. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

AN EXTENSIVE ANTICYCLONE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DOMINATES THE
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC E OF 120W WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A COL NEAR
17N124W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
15N105W WAS MOVING W AT 15 KT S OF THE RIDGE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL SHRINK TO AN AREA W OF 135W OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
THEN EXPAND EASTWARD TO 125W AS THE SURFACE RIDGE N OF THE AREA
BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED. MODERATE TO FRESH ELY WINDS
THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS UP TO 20 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF 89W.
WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BY WED WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT BY
WED AFTERNOON.

$$
COBB



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220048
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM BELIZE TO 08N90W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT
OVER PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE INTERSECTION OF
THE WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N117W TO 10N118W MOVING W 10-15 KT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 112W-120W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 16N137W TO 10N137W. LOW PRES ALONG
THE WAVE NOTED EARLIER HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION CONFINED
TO THE ITCZ BETWEEN 132W AND 138W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 07N90W TO LOW
PRES 09N115W TO 11N125W TO 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND
112W...AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W TO 128W...AND
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 138W.

...DISCUSSION...
A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 26N135W TO
27N140W. AXIS OF SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM SE OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 23N135W THROUGH 25N130W 30N124W TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATED CORE SPEEDS OF 70-
85 KT. THE TROUGH WAS PROVIDING SOME SUPPORT FOR A 1014 MB
SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 30N131W WITH A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT TO A 1015 MB LOW NEAR 28N134W THEN A DISSIPATING COLD
FRONT FROM THE LOW TO 27N139W. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

AN EXTENSIVE ANTICYCLONE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DOMINATES THE
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC E OF 120W WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A COL NEAR
17N124W. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
15N105W WAS MOVING W AT 15 KT S OF THE RIDGE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL SHRINK TO AN AREA W OF 135W OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
THEN EXPAND EASTWARD TO 125W AS THE SURFACE RIDGE N OF THE AREA
BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED. MODERATE TO FRESH ELY WINDS
THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS UP TO 20 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF 89W.
WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BY WED WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT BY
WED AFTERNOON.

$$
COBB


000
AXNT20 KNHC 220003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
FORMER LOW PRESSURE CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS INTENSIFIED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NEAR 2000 UTC. AS OF 2100 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W OR ABOUT 1045 NM E OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. A CLUSTER
OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM EXTENDS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN
42W-46W. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N35W TO 12N35W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE  IS SLIGHTLY N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH AND EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE HAS DETACHED FROM THE CURRENT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N44W TO 12N45W AT A SPEED OF 20 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. BESIDES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SE OF THE AXIS...NO OTHER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS IT IS EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN
AIR LAYER.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N76W TO 10N76W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT DURING THE LAST 24
HOURS. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM ALOFT AS WELL AS A STRONG DEEP
LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN
ARE FACTORS INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THE TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W TO
9N21W 12N35W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 11N43W TO 8N45W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N45W TO 8N52W
TO 7N58W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N
BETWEEN W OF 36W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED JUST N OF FLORIDA AND
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N85W SW TO
29N87W TO 27N89W. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THE E-SE
GULF IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 23N E OF 89W
AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA STRAITS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE RIDGING
DOMINATES ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF WHERE VARIABLE WINDS RANGE FROM
5-15 KT. OVER THE WESTERN GULF...DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM THE MID-
UPPER LEVELS SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER. EXCEPT FOR A TROPICAL WAVE
POSSIBLY EXTENDING TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE
MORNING...SURFACE RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
PREVAIL THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N77W. THIS WIND PATTERN ALOFT IS GENERATING DIFFLUENCE
ALONG CUBA WHICH ALONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT
HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS THIS ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA MOVING
ACROSS JAMAICA AND COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS. THERE IS NO
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THE TIME. SEE TROPICAL
WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. ALOFT AND EAST OF THE WAVE
AXIS...THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 24N48W IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE MONA
PASSAGE AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER INLAND AND COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BEING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...FAIR WEATHER
DOMINATES BEING SUPPORTED BY DEEP LAYER DRY AIR. MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES CONTINUE AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK AHEAD... OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30
KT OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND
NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH
WIND FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC GENERATE A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL-EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS. WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TUE MORNING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SW N ATLC AND THE WIND FLOW OF
AN IMMEDIATE MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT IN THIS REGION OF THE ATLC. THIS ALONG WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 23N W OF 75W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG COASTAL
WATERS OF NORTHERN HISPANIOLA. SEE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE
DETAILS. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALSO SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH
ANALYZED FROM 31N58W TO 24N62W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED
BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N39W AND A 1025 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 33N33W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 220003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
FORMER LOW PRESSURE CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS INTENSIFIED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NEAR 2000 UTC. AS OF 2100 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W OR ABOUT 1045 NM E OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. A CLUSTER
OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM EXTENDS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN
42W-46W. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N35W TO 12N35W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE  IS SLIGHTLY N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH AND EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE HAS DETACHED FROM THE CURRENT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N44W TO 12N45W AT A SPEED OF 20 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. BESIDES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SE OF THE AXIS...NO OTHER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS IT IS EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN
AIR LAYER.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N76W TO 10N76W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT DURING THE LAST 24
HOURS. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM ALOFT AS WELL AS A STRONG DEEP
LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN
ARE FACTORS INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THE TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W TO
9N21W 12N35W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 11N43W TO 8N45W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N45W TO 8N52W
TO 7N58W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N
BETWEEN W OF 36W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED JUST N OF FLORIDA AND
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N85W SW TO
29N87W TO 27N89W. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THE E-SE
GULF IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 23N E OF 89W
AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA STRAITS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE RIDGING
DOMINATES ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF WHERE VARIABLE WINDS RANGE FROM
5-15 KT. OVER THE WESTERN GULF...DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM THE MID-
UPPER LEVELS SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER. EXCEPT FOR A TROPICAL WAVE
POSSIBLY EXTENDING TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE
MORNING...SURFACE RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
PREVAIL THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N77W. THIS WIND PATTERN ALOFT IS GENERATING DIFFLUENCE
ALONG CUBA WHICH ALONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT
HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS THIS ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA MOVING
ACROSS JAMAICA AND COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS. THERE IS NO
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THE TIME. SEE TROPICAL
WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. ALOFT AND EAST OF THE WAVE
AXIS...THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 24N48W IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE MONA
PASSAGE AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER INLAND AND COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BEING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...FAIR WEATHER
DOMINATES BEING SUPPORTED BY DEEP LAYER DRY AIR. MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES CONTINUE AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK AHEAD... OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30
KT OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND
NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH
WIND FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC GENERATE A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL-EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS. WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TUE MORNING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SW N ATLC AND THE WIND FLOW OF
AN IMMEDIATE MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT IN THIS REGION OF THE ATLC. THIS ALONG WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 23N W OF 75W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG COASTAL
WATERS OF NORTHERN HISPANIOLA. SEE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE
DETAILS. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALSO SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH
ANALYZED FROM 31N58W TO 24N62W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED
BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N39W AND A 1025 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 33N33W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 220003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
FORMER LOW PRESSURE CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS INTENSIFIED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NEAR 2000 UTC. AS OF 2100 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W OR ABOUT 1045 NM E OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. A CLUSTER
OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM EXTENDS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN
42W-46W. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N35W TO 12N35W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE  IS SLIGHTLY N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH AND EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE HAS DETACHED FROM THE CURRENT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N44W TO 12N45W AT A SPEED OF 20 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. BESIDES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SE OF THE AXIS...NO OTHER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS IT IS EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN
AIR LAYER.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N76W TO 10N76W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT DURING THE LAST 24
HOURS. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM ALOFT AS WELL AS A STRONG DEEP
LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN
ARE FACTORS INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THE TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W TO
9N21W 12N35W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 11N43W TO 8N45W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N45W TO 8N52W
TO 7N58W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N
BETWEEN W OF 36W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED JUST N OF FLORIDA AND
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N85W SW TO
29N87W TO 27N89W. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THE E-SE
GULF IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 23N E OF 89W
AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA STRAITS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE RIDGING
DOMINATES ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF WHERE VARIABLE WINDS RANGE FROM
5-15 KT. OVER THE WESTERN GULF...DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM THE MID-
UPPER LEVELS SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER. EXCEPT FOR A TROPICAL WAVE
POSSIBLY EXTENDING TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE
MORNING...SURFACE RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
PREVAIL THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N77W. THIS WIND PATTERN ALOFT IS GENERATING DIFFLUENCE
ALONG CUBA WHICH ALONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT
HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS THIS ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA MOVING
ACROSS JAMAICA AND COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS. THERE IS NO
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THE TIME. SEE TROPICAL
WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. ALOFT AND EAST OF THE WAVE
AXIS...THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 24N48W IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE MONA
PASSAGE AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER INLAND AND COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BEING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...FAIR WEATHER
DOMINATES BEING SUPPORTED BY DEEP LAYER DRY AIR. MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES CONTINUE AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK AHEAD... OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30
KT OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND
NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH
WIND FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC GENERATE A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL-EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS. WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TUE MORNING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SW N ATLC AND THE WIND FLOW OF
AN IMMEDIATE MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT IN THIS REGION OF THE ATLC. THIS ALONG WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 23N W OF 75W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG COASTAL
WATERS OF NORTHERN HISPANIOLA. SEE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE
DETAILS. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALSO SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH
ANALYZED FROM 31N58W TO 24N62W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED
BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N39W AND A 1025 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 33N33W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 220003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
FORMER LOW PRESSURE CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS INTENSIFIED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NEAR 2000 UTC. AS OF 2100 UTC...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W OR ABOUT 1045 NM E OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. A CLUSTER
OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM EXTENDS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN
42W-46W. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N35W TO 12N35W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE  IS SLIGHTLY N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH AND EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER
WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE HAS DETACHED FROM THE CURRENT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N44W TO 12N45W AT A SPEED OF 20 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. BESIDES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SE OF THE AXIS...NO OTHER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AS IT IS EMBEDDED IN THE DRY SAHARAN
AIR LAYER.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 18N76W TO 10N76W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT DURING THE LAST 24
HOURS. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM ALOFT AS WELL AS A STRONG DEEP
LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN
ARE FACTORS INHIBITING CONVECTION AT THE TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N16W TO
9N21W 12N35W TO A 1013 MB LOW NEAR 11N43W TO 8N45W. THE
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N45W TO 8N52W
TO 7N58W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N
BETWEEN W OF 36W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED JUST N OF FLORIDA AND
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N85W SW TO
29N87W TO 27N89W. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THE E-SE
GULF IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 23N E OF 89W
AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA STRAITS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE RIDGING
DOMINATES ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF WHERE VARIABLE WINDS RANGE FROM
5-15 KT. OVER THE WESTERN GULF...DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE FROM THE MID-
UPPER LEVELS SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER. EXCEPT FOR A TROPICAL WAVE
POSSIBLY EXTENDING TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE
MORNING...SURFACE RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
PREVAIL THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N77W. THIS WIND PATTERN ALOFT IS GENERATING DIFFLUENCE
ALONG CUBA WHICH ALONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORT
HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS THIS ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA MOVING
ACROSS JAMAICA AND COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS. THERE IS NO
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THE TIME. SEE TROPICAL
WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. ALOFT AND EAST OF THE WAVE
AXIS...THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 24N48W IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE MONA
PASSAGE AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OVER INLAND AND COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BEING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...FAIR WEATHER
DOMINATES BEING SUPPORTED BY DEEP LAYER DRY AIR. MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES CONTINUE AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK AHEAD... OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30
KT OCCURRING WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND
NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N75W WITH TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH
WIND FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SW PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC GENERATE A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL-EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND COASTAL WATERS. WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TUE MORNING.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SW N ATLC AND THE WIND FLOW OF
AN IMMEDIATE MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW IS GENERATING A DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT IN THIS REGION OF THE ATLC. THIS ALONG WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS N OF 23N W OF 75W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG COASTAL
WATERS OF NORTHERN HISPANIOLA. SEE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE
DETAILS. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ALSO SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH
ANALYZED FROM 31N58W TO 24N62W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED
BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N39W AND A 1025 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 33N33W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
ACPN50 PHFO 212340
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BFUJII






000
ACPN50 PHFO 212340
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BFUJII





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212322
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
RECIEN FORMADA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212322
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
RECIEN FORMADA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212322
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
RECIEN FORMADA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212322
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
RECIEN FORMADA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS...LOCALIZADA AL ESTE DE LAS
ANTILLAS MENORES.

NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ABNT20 KNHC 212321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Two, located to the east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 212321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Two, located to the east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 212321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Two, located to the east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 212321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Two, located to the east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212320
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Any development of this system should be
slow to occur during the next day or so while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An area of low pressure could form well south of the coast
of Mexico later this week. Some development of this system is
possible by this weekend as it moves westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212320
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Any development of this system should be
slow to occur during the next day or so while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An area of low pressure could form well south of the coast
of Mexico later this week. Some development of this system is
possible by this weekend as it moves westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 212043
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   1
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION TROPICAL SE FORMA EN EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...11.6 NORTE 43.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 1205 MI...1935 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

LOS INTERESADOS EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL
PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 11.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 43.8
OESTE. LA DEPRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE Y SE CONVIERTA EN
REMANENTE DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 PM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN







000
WTCA42 TJSJ 212043
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   1
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

...DEPRESION TROPICAL SE FORMA EN EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL TROPICAL...


RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...11.6 NORTE 43.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 1205 MI...1935 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1012 MILIBARES...29.89 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY AVISOS NI VIGILANCIAS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

LOS INTERESADOS EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL
PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 11.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 43.8
OESTE. LA DEPRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26
KM/H...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/H...CON
RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DEBILITE Y SE CONVIERTA EN
REMANENTE DE BAJA PRESION EL JUEVES.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1012 MB...29.89 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...1100 PM AST.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN








000
WTNT32 KNHC 212032
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 43.8W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 212032
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 43.8W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 212032
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 43.8W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 212032
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
500 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 43.8W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 212031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  43.8W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  43.8W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  43.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.9N  45.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.3N  48.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.8N  51.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.4N  54.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N  61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  43.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
AXNT20 KNHC 211756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 17N40W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED AT THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WAVE
NEAR 11N42W AND CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS AROUND 21/1210
UTC DEPICTING THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD
SURROUNDING THE LOW. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 41W-45W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N32W TO 21N30W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 28W-37W
WITH A 850 MB RELATIVELY VORTICITY MAXIMUM CENTERED ALONG THE
WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-13N
BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N73W TO 17N72W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY BROAD 700 MB TROUGH
PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATING MOST OF THE 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY LIES S OF 13N
BETWEEN 70W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N-17N BETWEEN 69W-75W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N86W TO 18N86W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE BENEATH UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW WHICH IS MAINTAINING A FAIRLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE. HOWEVER...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 09N-13N BETWEEN 83W-86W AND IS LIKELY DUE TO LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 10N14W TO
08N20W TO 12N37W TO 11N42W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 09N44W TO 06N55W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 13W-33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N87W THAT
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SW TO 29N89W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE NE GULF
WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 82W-89W. FARTHER SOUTH...NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS S OF 26N WHICH IS PROVIDING OVERALL
STABILITY TO THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS IN ADDITION TO A SURFACE
RIDGE WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-
SW TO A 1019 MB HIGH CENTERED ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR
20N98W. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND ANCHOR ALONG 27N/28N THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 17N74W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N79W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND
PANAMA...AND A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 18N
BETWEEN 75W-84W. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN IS THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
73W GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 11N-17N
BETWEEN 69W-75W. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE CONTINUE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD...
OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT OCCURRING WITHIN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY THE ISLAND IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES...HOWEVER AS THE
AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY ARE
REACHED...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ISLAND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BE
ENHANCED DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
NEAR 17N74W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SE CONUS CENTERED
OVER ALABAMA NEAR 31N87W SUPPORTING A SURFACE FRONT TO THE NORTH
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 35N. TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC IS PROVIDING
FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 22N-32N BETWEEN 74W-80W. FARTHER EAST...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N64W THAT
SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 25N60W TO 33N58W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 34N33W AND A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N41W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 17N40W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED AT THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WAVE
NEAR 11N42W AND CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS AROUND 21/1210
UTC DEPICTING THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD
SURROUNDING THE LOW. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 41W-45W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N32W TO 21N30W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 28W-37W
WITH A 850 MB RELATIVELY VORTICITY MAXIMUM CENTERED ALONG THE
WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-13N
BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N73W TO 17N72W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY BROAD 700 MB TROUGH
PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATING MOST OF THE 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY LIES S OF 13N
BETWEEN 70W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N-17N BETWEEN 69W-75W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N86W TO 18N86W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE BENEATH UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW WHICH IS MAINTAINING A FAIRLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE. HOWEVER...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 09N-13N BETWEEN 83W-86W AND IS LIKELY DUE TO LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 10N14W TO
08N20W TO 12N37W TO 11N42W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 09N44W TO 06N55W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 13W-33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N87W THAT
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SW TO 29N89W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE NE GULF
WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 82W-89W. FARTHER SOUTH...NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS S OF 26N WHICH IS PROVIDING OVERALL
STABILITY TO THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS IN ADDITION TO A SURFACE
RIDGE WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-
SW TO A 1019 MB HIGH CENTERED ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR
20N98W. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND ANCHOR ALONG 27N/28N THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 17N74W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N79W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND
PANAMA...AND A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 18N
BETWEEN 75W-84W. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN IS THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
73W GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 11N-17N
BETWEEN 69W-75W. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE CONTINUE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD...
OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT OCCURRING WITHIN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY THE ISLAND IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES...HOWEVER AS THE
AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY ARE
REACHED...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ISLAND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BE
ENHANCED DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
NEAR 17N74W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SE CONUS CENTERED
OVER ALABAMA NEAR 31N87W SUPPORTING A SURFACE FRONT TO THE NORTH
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 35N. TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC IS PROVIDING
FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 22N-32N BETWEEN 74W-80W. FARTHER EAST...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N64W THAT
SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 25N60W TO 33N58W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 34N33W AND A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N41W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 17N40W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED AT THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WAVE
NEAR 11N42W AND CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS AROUND 21/1210
UTC DEPICTING THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD
SURROUNDING THE LOW. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 41W-45W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N32W TO 21N30W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 28W-37W
WITH A 850 MB RELATIVELY VORTICITY MAXIMUM CENTERED ALONG THE
WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-13N
BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N73W TO 17N72W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY BROAD 700 MB TROUGH
PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATING MOST OF THE 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY LIES S OF 13N
BETWEEN 70W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N-17N BETWEEN 69W-75W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N86W TO 18N86W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE BENEATH UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW WHICH IS MAINTAINING A FAIRLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE. HOWEVER...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 09N-13N BETWEEN 83W-86W AND IS LIKELY DUE TO LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 10N14W TO
08N20W TO 12N37W TO 11N42W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 09N44W TO 06N55W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 13W-33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N87W THAT
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SW TO 29N89W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE NE GULF
WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 82W-89W. FARTHER SOUTH...NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS S OF 26N WHICH IS PROVIDING OVERALL
STABILITY TO THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS IN ADDITION TO A SURFACE
RIDGE WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-
SW TO A 1019 MB HIGH CENTERED ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR
20N98W. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND ANCHOR ALONG 27N/28N THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 17N74W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N79W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND
PANAMA...AND A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 18N
BETWEEN 75W-84W. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN IS THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
73W GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 11N-17N
BETWEEN 69W-75W. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE CONTINUE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD...
OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT OCCURRING WITHIN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY THE ISLAND IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES...HOWEVER AS THE
AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY ARE
REACHED...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ISLAND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BE
ENHANCED DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
NEAR 17N74W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SE CONUS CENTERED
OVER ALABAMA NEAR 31N87W SUPPORTING A SURFACE FRONT TO THE NORTH
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 35N. TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC IS PROVIDING
FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 22N-32N BETWEEN 74W-80W. FARTHER EAST...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N64W THAT
SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 25N60W TO 33N58W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 34N33W AND A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N41W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211756
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 17N40W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED AT THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WAVE
NEAR 11N42W AND CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS AROUND 21/1210
UTC DEPICTING THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD
SURROUNDING THE LOW. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 09N-14N BETWEEN 41W-45W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N32W TO 21N30W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 28W-37W
WITH A 850 MB RELATIVELY VORTICITY MAXIMUM CENTERED ALONG THE
WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-13N
BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N73W TO 17N72W MOVING W AT 20 KT.
THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY BROAD 700 MB TROUGH
PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATING MOST OF THE 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY LIES S OF 13N
BETWEEN 70W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
11N-17N BETWEEN 69W-75W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N86W TO 18N86W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE BENEATH UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW WHICH IS MAINTAINING A FAIRLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE. HOWEVER...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING FROM 09N-13N BETWEEN 83W-86W AND IS LIKELY DUE TO LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 10N14W TO
08N20W TO 12N37W TO 11N42W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N42W TO 09N44W TO 06N55W. ASIDE FROM
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 13W-33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N87W THAT
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND
ALONG THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SW TO 29N89W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE NE GULF
WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 82W-89W. FARTHER SOUTH...NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS S OF 26N WHICH IS PROVIDING OVERALL
STABILITY TO THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS IN ADDITION TO A SURFACE
RIDGE WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA W-
SW TO A 1019 MB HIGH CENTERED ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR
20N98W. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND ANCHOR ALONG 27N/28N THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN W OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 17N74W WITH
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN
NEAR 11N79W. MOSTLY FAIR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
OCCURRING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND
PANAMA...AND A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING N OF 18N
BETWEEN 75W-84W. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN IS THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
73W GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 11N-17N
BETWEEN 69W-75W. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE CONTINUE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AHEAD...
OCCASIONALLY WITH STRONGER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT OCCURRING WITHIN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY THE ISLAND IS UNDER CLEAR SKIES...HOWEVER AS THE
AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY ARE
REACHED...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ISLAND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BE
ENHANCED DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
NEAR 17N74W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SE CONUS CENTERED
OVER ALABAMA NEAR 31N87W SUPPORTING A SURFACE FRONT TO THE NORTH
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 35N. TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC IS PROVIDING
FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 22N-32N BETWEEN 74W-80W. FARTHER EAST...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N64W THAT
SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 25N60W TO 33N58W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC ARE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 34N33W AND A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N41W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 211740
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON JUL 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

BFUJII






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211737
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADOS CON UN PEQUENO AREA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADO CERCA DE 1250 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES HA CONTINUADO AUMENTANDO Y CONTINUA MOSTRANDO INDICIOS DE
ORGANIZACION DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE
INDICAN QUE UNA CIRCULACION SE TORNADO MEJOR DEFINDA Y EL SISTEMA
PRODUCE UN PEQUENO AREA DE VIENTOS CERCA DE LA FUERZA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL. SOLO UN PEQUENO AUMENTO EN LA ORGANIZACION DE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE AGUACEROS RESUTARA EN LA FORMACION DE UNA DEPRESION TROPICAL
MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE DE 15 A
20 MPH DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LUEGO DE ESTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES NO SEAN TAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO. LOS
INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...70 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...70 POR CIENTO.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211737
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADOS CON UN PEQUENO AREA DE BAJA
PRESION LOCALIZADO CERCA DE 1250 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS
MENORES HA CONTINUADO AUMENTANDO Y CONTINUA MOSTRANDO INDICIOS DE
ORGANIZACION DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE
INDICAN QUE UNA CIRCULACION SE TORNADO MEJOR DEFINDA Y EL SISTEMA
PRODUCE UN PEQUENO AREA DE VIENTOS CERCA DE LA FUERZA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL. SOLO UN PEQUENO AUMENTO EN LA ORGANIZACION DE LA ACTIVIDAD
DE AGUACEROS RESUTARA EN LA FORMACION DE UNA DEPRESION TROPICAL
MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE DE 15 A
20 MPH DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LUEGO DE ESTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES NO SEAN TAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO. LOS
INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...70 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...70 POR CIENTO.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211729
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have decreased this morning
in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred
miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development, if any,
of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so as
it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form well south of the coast
of Mexico later this week. Some development of this system is
possible by this weekend as it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211729
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have decreased this morning
in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred
miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development, if any,
of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so as
it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form well south of the coast
of Mexico later this week. Some development of this system is
possible by this weekend as it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211724
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure located
about 1250 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has continued to
increase and show signs of organization during the past few hours.
Satellite data indicate that the circulation has become better
defined and the system is producing a small area of winds near
tropical storm force. Only a small increase in organization of the
shower activity would result in the formation of a tropical
depression as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph during the next day or two.  After that time, however,
environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for
development or strengthening. Interests in the Lesser Antilles
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211724
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure located
about 1250 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has continued to
increase and show signs of organization during the past few hours.
Satellite data indicate that the circulation has become better
defined and the system is producing a small area of winds near
tropical storm force. Only a small increase in organization of the
shower activity would result in the formation of a tropical
depression as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph during the next day or two.  After that time, however,
environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for
development or strengthening. Interests in the Lesser Antilles
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 114W-118W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W.
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT TO A 1015 MB NEAR 29N134W THEN COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW TO
27N139W. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WITH THIS FEATURE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 114W-118W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W.
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT TO A 1015 MB NEAR 29N134W THEN COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW TO
27N139W. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WITH THIS FEATURE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 114W-118W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W.
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT TO A 1015 MB NEAR 29N134W THEN COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW TO
27N139W. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WITH THIS FEATURE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 114W-118W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W.
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

A 1013 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT TO A 1015 MB NEAR 29N134W THEN COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW TO
27N139W. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WITH THIS FEATURE.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211521
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 114W-118W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W.
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211521
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 114W-118W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W.
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211519
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM EDT LUNES 21 DE JULIO DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL EMITIDO PARA REVISAR DISCUSION SOBRE SISTEMA EN
ATLANTICO CENTRAL TROPICAL.

REVISION: LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADOS CON UN PEQUENO AREA DE
BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO EN UN PUNTO MEDIO ENTRE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE Y LAS ANTILLAS MENORES HA AUMENTADO POCO DURANTE LAS PASADAS
HORAS. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD PERMANECE MUY LIMITADA. CONTINUA
MOSTRANDO INDICIOS DE ORGANIZACION . LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE
INDICAN QUE UNA CIRCULACION CERRADA PUDIERA ESTAR FORMANDOSE Y EL
SISTEMA PRODUCE UN PEQUENO AREA DE VIENTOS CERCA DE LA FUERZA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL. UNA DEPRESION TROPICAL PODRIA FORMARSE DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE U
OESTE NOROESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH. LUEGO DE ESTO...SE ESPERA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES NO SEAN TAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO. LOS
INTERESES EN LAS ANTILLAS MENORES DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE
ESTE SISTEMA.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...50 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...50 POR CIENTO.


$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN/ROBERTS




000
ABNT20 KNHC 211507
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1110 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook issued to update discussion of system in the
central tropical Atlantic.

Updated: Shower activity associated with a small area of low
pressure located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the
Lesser Antilles has increased a little during the past few hours.
Although this activity remains limited, it continues to show signs
of organization. Satellite data also indicate that a closed
circulation could be forming and that the system is producing a
small area of winds near tropical storm force. A tropical depression
could develop during the next couple of days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. After that time
however, environmental conditions are expected to become less
conducive for development. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Roberts



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211507
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1110 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook issued to update discussion of system in the
central tropical Atlantic.

Updated: Shower activity associated with a small area of low
pressure located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the
Lesser Antilles has increased a little during the past few hours.
Although this activity remains limited, it continues to show signs
of organization. Satellite data also indicate that a closed
circulation could be forming and that the system is producing a
small area of winds near tropical storm force. A tropical depression
could develop during the next couple of days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. After that time
however, environmental conditions are expected to become less
conducive for development. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Roberts



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