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000
WTNT31 KNHC 160237
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...EDOUARD TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 56.9W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
NORTHEASTWARD TURN WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED BY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
TUESDAY. WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 160237
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...EDOUARD TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 56.9W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
NORTHEASTWARD TURN WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED BY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
TUESDAY. WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



000
WTNT21 KNHC 160237
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  56.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N  54.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 170SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.1N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.9N  41.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 160SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N  32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 160237
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  56.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N  54.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 170SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.1N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.9N  41.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 160SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N  32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 160235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 112.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
AXNT20 KNHC 152358
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 56.5W AT 15/2100 UTC OR
ABOUT 500 NM ESE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE S
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
26N-31N BETWEEN 55W-59W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER HE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS FROM 18N24W TO 7N25W
MOVING W AT 20 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS AT
11N25W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-12N
BETWEEN 26W-33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N46W TO 9N48W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A
1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N47W. THIS
SYSTEM COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND
A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 44W-50W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER S MEXICO S OF 18N94W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
WAVE AXIS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER S MEXICO AND THE E PACIFIC OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
11N25W TO 10N39W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N39W TO 9N47W TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 6N58W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 34W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOUISIANA NEAR
31N90W TO THE TIP OF S TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W GULF NEAR 27N95W TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ARE
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NE GULF AND THE NE GULF STATES N
OF 28N AND E OF 90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W CUBA
...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS.. AN UPPER LOW
IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N94W ENHANCING THE
CONVECTION OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE N GULF N OF
27N...AND THE W GULF W OF 92W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RATHER LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA
PRODUCING 10-20 KT TRADEWINDS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN W OF 80W PRIMARILY DUE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA IS ALSO PRODUCING
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N W OF 77W.
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING HAS ALSO PRODUCED SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION OVER E CUBA...JAMAICA...HISPANIOLA... AND
PUERTO RICO. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR
25N68W HAS ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THIS CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE IN THE
UPPER LEVELS... MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS E OF 80W. EXPECT LITTLE
CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

EVENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER HISPANIOLA.
EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION AGAIN ON TUE...SINCE THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF THE ISLAND NEAR 25N68W WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE S BAHAMAS. A
1020 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 29N77W. THE TAIL END OF
A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC FROM 32N18W TO 28N22W MOVING
E. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N68W IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 65W-72W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$ FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 152358
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 56.5W AT 15/2100 UTC OR
ABOUT 500 NM ESE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE S
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
26N-31N BETWEEN 55W-59W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER HE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS FROM 18N24W TO 7N25W
MOVING W AT 20 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS AT
11N25W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-12N
BETWEEN 26W-33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N46W TO 9N48W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A
1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N47W. THIS
SYSTEM COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND
A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 44W-50W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER S MEXICO S OF 18N94W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
WAVE AXIS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER S MEXICO AND THE E PACIFIC OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
11N25W TO 10N39W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N39W TO 9N47W TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 6N58W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 34W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOUISIANA NEAR
31N90W TO THE TIP OF S TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W GULF NEAR 27N95W TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ARE
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NE GULF AND THE NE GULF STATES N
OF 28N AND E OF 90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W CUBA
...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS.. AN UPPER LOW
IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N94W ENHANCING THE
CONVECTION OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE N GULF N OF
27N...AND THE W GULF W OF 92W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RATHER LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA
PRODUCING 10-20 KT TRADEWINDS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN W OF 80W PRIMARILY DUE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA IS ALSO PRODUCING
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N W OF 77W.
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING HAS ALSO PRODUCED SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION OVER E CUBA...JAMAICA...HISPANIOLA... AND
PUERTO RICO. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR
25N68W HAS ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THIS CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE IN THE
UPPER LEVELS... MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS E OF 80W. EXPECT LITTLE
CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

EVENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER HISPANIOLA.
EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION AGAIN ON TUE...SINCE THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF THE ISLAND NEAR 25N68W WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE S BAHAMAS. A
1020 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 29N77W. THE TAIL END OF
A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC FROM 32N18W TO 28N22W MOVING
E. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N68W IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 65W-72W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$ FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 152358
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 56.5W AT 15/2100 UTC OR
ABOUT 500 NM ESE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE S
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
26N-31N BETWEEN 55W-59W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER HE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS FROM 18N24W TO 7N25W
MOVING W AT 20 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS AT
11N25W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-12N
BETWEEN 26W-33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N46W TO 9N48W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A
1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N47W. THIS
SYSTEM COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND
A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 44W-50W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER S MEXICO S OF 18N94W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
WAVE AXIS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER S MEXICO AND THE E PACIFIC OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
11N25W TO 10N39W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N39W TO 9N47W TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 6N58W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 34W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOUISIANA NEAR
31N90W TO THE TIP OF S TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W GULF NEAR 27N95W TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ARE
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NE GULF AND THE NE GULF STATES N
OF 28N AND E OF 90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W CUBA
...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS.. AN UPPER LOW
IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N94W ENHANCING THE
CONVECTION OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE N GULF N OF
27N...AND THE W GULF W OF 92W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RATHER LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA
PRODUCING 10-20 KT TRADEWINDS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN W OF 80W PRIMARILY DUE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA IS ALSO PRODUCING
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N W OF 77W.
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING HAS ALSO PRODUCED SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION OVER E CUBA...JAMAICA...HISPANIOLA... AND
PUERTO RICO. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR
25N68W HAS ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THIS CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE IN THE
UPPER LEVELS... MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS E OF 80W. EXPECT LITTLE
CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

EVENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER HISPANIOLA.
EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION AGAIN ON TUE...SINCE THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF THE ISLAND NEAR 25N68W WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE S BAHAMAS. A
1020 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 29N77W. THE TAIL END OF
A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC FROM 32N18W TO 28N22W MOVING
E. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N68W IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 65W-72W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$ FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 152358
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 56.5W AT 15/2100 UTC OR
ABOUT 500 NM ESE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE S
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM
26N-31N BETWEEN 55W-59W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER HE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS FROM 18N24W TO 7N25W
MOVING W AT 20 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS AT
11N25W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-12N
BETWEEN 26W-33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 21N46W TO 9N48W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A
1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N47W. THIS
SYSTEM COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND
A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 44W-50W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER S MEXICO S OF 18N94W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT.
THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
WAVE AXIS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER S MEXICO AND THE E PACIFIC OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
11N25W TO 10N39W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N39W TO 9N47W TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 6N58W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 34W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOUISIANA NEAR
31N90W TO THE TIP OF S TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W GULF NEAR 27N95W TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N96W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ARE
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NE GULF AND THE NE GULF STATES N
OF 28N AND E OF 90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W CUBA
...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS.. AN UPPER LOW
IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N94W ENHANCING THE
CONVECTION OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE N GULF N OF
27N...AND THE W GULF W OF 92W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RATHER LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA
PRODUCING 10-20 KT TRADEWINDS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN W OF 80W PRIMARILY DUE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA IS ALSO PRODUCING
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N W OF 77W.
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING HAS ALSO PRODUCED SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION OVER E CUBA...JAMAICA...HISPANIOLA... AND
PUERTO RICO. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR
25N68W HAS ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THIS CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE IN THE
UPPER LEVELS... MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS E OF 80W. EXPECT LITTLE
CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...HISPANIOLA...

EVENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER HISPANIOLA.
EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION AGAIN ON TUE...SINCE THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED N OF THE ISLAND NEAR 25N68W WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE S BAHAMAS. A
1020 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 29N77W. THE TAIL END OF
A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC FROM 32N18W TO 28N22W MOVING
E. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N68W IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 65W-72W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$ FORMOSA



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152357
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM SOON...
...FLOODING THREAT FROM HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 111.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WNW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF SAN
EVARISTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT...AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREAS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152357
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM SOON...
...FLOODING THREAT FROM HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 111.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WNW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF SAN
EVARISTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT...AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREAS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152357
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM SOON...
...FLOODING THREAT FROM HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 111.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WNW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF SAN
EVARISTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT...AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREAS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152357
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM SOON...
...FLOODING THREAT FROM HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 111.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WNW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SOUTH OF SAN
EVARISTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT...AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREAS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152347
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located inland over the south-central portion of the Baja
California peninsula.

An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and this disturbance is likely become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves slowly toward
the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low
pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island
of Hawaii have become slightly better organized.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while the low moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152347
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located inland over the south-central portion of the Baja
California peninsula.

An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and this disturbance is likely become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves slowly toward
the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low
pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island
of Hawaii have become slightly better organized.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while the low moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152347
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located inland over the south-central portion of the Baja
California peninsula.

An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and this disturbance is likely become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves slowly toward
the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low
pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island
of Hawaii have become slightly better organized.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while the low moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152347
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located inland over the south-central portion of the Baja
California peninsula.

An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and this disturbance is likely become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves slowly toward
the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low
pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Big Island
of Hawaii have become slightly better organized.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while the low moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ACPN50 PHFO 152345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON SEP 15 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST SLOWLY.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 152345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON SEP 15 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST SLOWLY.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 152333
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE
DE BERMUDA.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL ESTA PRONOSTICADA A SALIR DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL MIERCOLES...Y QUE GENERE UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION SOBRE EL
LEJANO ATLANTICO ESTE. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES
PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA TARDE ESTA SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVE AL OESTE NOROESTE.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
PORCIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 152333
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE
DE BERMUDA.

UNA ONDA TROPICAL ESTA PRONOSTICADA A SALIR DE LA COSTA OESTE DE
AFRICA EL MIERCOLES...Y QUE GENERE UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION SOBRE EL
LEJANO ATLANTICO ESTE. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN ESTAR FAVORABLES
PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA TARDE ESTA SEMANA MIENTRAS SE
MUEVE AL OESTE NOROESTE.

* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
PORCIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH




000
ABNT20 KNHC 152321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located a little less than 600 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Wednesday, and produce an area of low pressure over the far
eastern Atlantic.  Conditions appear conducive for some development
of this system by late this week while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
ABNT20 KNHC 152321
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located a little less than 600 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Wednesday, and produce an area of low pressure over the far
eastern Atlantic.  Conditions appear conducive for some development
of this system by late this week while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152223
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

CORRECTED BREAK POINT FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152223
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

CORRECTED BREAK POINT FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152223
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

CORRECTED BREAK POINT FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152223
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

CORRECTED BREAK POINT FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152221
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CORRECTED BREAK POINT FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 111.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 113.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152221
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CORRECTED BREAK POINT FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 111.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 113.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 152148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 25.5N 111.8W 975 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/ WTPZ35 KNHC AND
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 19N110W ARE MOVING NE 15
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT. THE LOW IS SLOWLY BECOMING
ABSORBED IN THE BROAD MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF ODILE. IT WILL
ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE
IS HIGH POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SURFACE LOW PRES CENTER WAS
ANALYZED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH HERE NEAR 10N97W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM S QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED NEAR 94W N OF 11N. THE WAVE HAS
BEEN MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 330 NM E AND 120 NM W OF THE WAVE
N OF 11N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 13N91W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N97W 1007 MB TO 16N107W TO 11N126W TO 12N132W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N137W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS N OF THE AXIS TO 13N W OF 133W AND S OF THE AXIS
TO 07N W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE NORTHEASTWARD TO 32N126W AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO 17N123W. THE
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS BEEN WEAKENED BY
A DEEP LAYER TROUGH TO ITS NW. THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS
TROUGH INCLUDES A LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NW OF THE AREA THAT
EXTENDS A COLD FRONT ACROSS NW WATERS FROM 32N139W THROUGH
30N140W TO JUST N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PUSHING THE COLD
FRONT EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS AND SHOVING THE
SUBTROPICAL HIGH SOUTHWARD. THE 1844 UTC ASCAT-B PASS SHOWED
FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS WITHIN 120 NM AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH TUE...BUT
SEAS IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE WITH THE
FRONT THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WED AFTERNOON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAS REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SEAS OVER 8 FT HAVE MERGED WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS
GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS. SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH WED AS ODILE WEAKENS
AND THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL DAMPENS.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 152148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 25.5N 111.8W 975 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/ WTPZ35 KNHC AND
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 19N110W ARE MOVING NE 15
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT. THE LOW IS SLOWLY BECOMING
ABSORBED IN THE BROAD MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF ODILE. IT WILL
ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE
IS HIGH POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SURFACE LOW PRES CENTER WAS
ANALYZED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH HERE NEAR 10N97W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM S QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED NEAR 94W N OF 11N. THE WAVE HAS
BEEN MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 330 NM E AND 120 NM W OF THE WAVE
N OF 11N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 13N91W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N97W 1007 MB TO 16N107W TO 11N126W TO 12N132W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N137W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS N OF THE AXIS TO 13N W OF 133W AND S OF THE AXIS
TO 07N W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE NORTHEASTWARD TO 32N126W AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO 17N123W. THE
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS BEEN WEAKENED BY
A DEEP LAYER TROUGH TO ITS NW. THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS
TROUGH INCLUDES A LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NW OF THE AREA THAT
EXTENDS A COLD FRONT ACROSS NW WATERS FROM 32N139W THROUGH
30N140W TO JUST N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PUSHING THE COLD
FRONT EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS AND SHOVING THE
SUBTROPICAL HIGH SOUTHWARD. THE 1844 UTC ASCAT-B PASS SHOWED
FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS WITHIN 120 NM AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH TUE...BUT
SEAS IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE WITH THE
FRONT THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WED AFTERNOON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAS REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SEAS OVER 8 FT HAVE MERGED WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS
GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS. SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH WED AS ODILE WEAKENS
AND THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL DAMPENS.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 152148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 25.5N 111.8W 975 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/ WTPZ35 KNHC AND
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 19N110W ARE MOVING NE 15
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT. THE LOW IS SLOWLY BECOMING
ABSORBED IN THE BROAD MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF ODILE. IT WILL
ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE
IS HIGH POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SURFACE LOW PRES CENTER WAS
ANALYZED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH HERE NEAR 10N97W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM S QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED NEAR 94W N OF 11N. THE WAVE HAS
BEEN MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 330 NM E AND 120 NM W OF THE WAVE
N OF 11N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 13N91W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N97W 1007 MB TO 16N107W TO 11N126W TO 12N132W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N137W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS N OF THE AXIS TO 13N W OF 133W AND S OF THE AXIS
TO 07N W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE NORTHEASTWARD TO 32N126W AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO 17N123W. THE
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS BEEN WEAKENED BY
A DEEP LAYER TROUGH TO ITS NW. THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS
TROUGH INCLUDES A LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NW OF THE AREA THAT
EXTENDS A COLD FRONT ACROSS NW WATERS FROM 32N139W THROUGH
30N140W TO JUST N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PUSHING THE COLD
FRONT EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS AND SHOVING THE
SUBTROPICAL HIGH SOUTHWARD. THE 1844 UTC ASCAT-B PASS SHOWED
FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS WITHIN 120 NM AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH TUE...BUT
SEAS IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE WITH THE
FRONT THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WED AFTERNOON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAS REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SEAS OVER 8 FT HAVE MERGED WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS
GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS. SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH WED AS ODILE WEAKENS
AND THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL DAMPENS.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 152148
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 25.5N 111.8W 975 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/ WTPZ35 KNHC AND
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 19N110W ARE MOVING NE 15
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT. THE LOW IS SLOWLY BECOMING
ABSORBED IN THE BROAD MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF ODILE. IT WILL
ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE
IS HIGH POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SURFACE LOW PRES CENTER WAS
ANALYZED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH HERE NEAR 10N97W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM S QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED NEAR 94W N OF 11N. THE WAVE HAS
BEEN MOVING W AT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 330 NM E AND 120 NM W OF THE WAVE
N OF 11N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 13N91W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N97W 1007 MB TO 16N107W TO 11N126W TO 12N132W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N137W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS N OF THE AXIS TO 13N W OF 133W AND S OF THE AXIS
TO 07N W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W AND EXTENDS A
RIDGE NORTHEASTWARD TO 32N126W AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO 17N123W. THE
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS BEEN WEAKENED BY
A DEEP LAYER TROUGH TO ITS NW. THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS
TROUGH INCLUDES A LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NW OF THE AREA THAT
EXTENDS A COLD FRONT ACROSS NW WATERS FROM 32N139W THROUGH
30N140W TO JUST N OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PUSHING THE COLD
FRONT EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS AND SHOVING THE
SUBTROPICAL HIGH SOUTHWARD. THE 1844 UTC ASCAT-B PASS SHOWED
FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS WITHIN 120 NM AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH TUE...BUT
SEAS IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE WITH THE
FRONT THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WED AFTERNOON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAS REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SEAS OVER 8 FT HAVE MERGED WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS
GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS. SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH WED AS ODILE WEAKENS
AND THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL DAMPENS.

$$
SCHAUER



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152042
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152042
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152042
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152042
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUE TO POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 111.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY TUESDAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 111.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 113.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ...AND DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA ON THE
EAST COAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 111.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 111.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 113.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.8N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT31 KNHC 152033
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...EDOUARD ALMOST A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 56.5W
ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A FASTER
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT31 KNHC 152033
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...EDOUARD ALMOST A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 56.5W
ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A FASTER
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 152032
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  56.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  56.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  56.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.6N  57.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.0N  55.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 36.8N  52.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.6N  43.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 40.5N  37.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N  33.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N  56.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 152032
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  56.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  56.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  56.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.6N  57.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.0N  55.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 36.8N  52.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.6N  43.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 40.5N  37.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N  33.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N  56.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
AXNT20 KNHC 151801
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 27.3N 55.5W AT 15/1500 UTC OR
ABOUT 560 NM E-SE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
LATER TONIGHT. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF
THE CENTER FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 53W AND 58W. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NORTH OF EDOUARD FROM 30N-32N
BETWEEN 50W AND 58W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N24W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N24W TO 8N24W...MOVING WEST AT 15
KT. SSMI TPW INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF ENHANCED MOISTURE S OF
16N FROM 19W TO 28W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
IN THE AREA OF DEEPEST MOISTURE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 24W AND 29W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N44W TO A 1015 MB LOW NEAR 17N45W TO 9N46W...MOVING WEST AT 15-
20 KT. SSMI TPW INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE S OF
21N BETWEEN 36W AND 48W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING NEAR THE SURFACE LOW FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 43W AND 48W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS S MEXICO AND E PAC WATERS WITH
AXIS ALONG 93W AND MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG THE
NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 18N16W TO
A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N24W TO 8N47W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM
8N47W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 7N58W. BESIDES THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 30W-40W...AND FROM 6N-10N
BETWEEN 42W-54W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LA COAST
NEAR 24N91W INTO THE NW GULF THROUGH 28N94W TO THE N MEXICO
COAST NEAR 25N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
WITHIN 100NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THIS BOUNDARY. A SURFACE TROUGH
IS OVER THE W GULF FROM 27N94W TO 19N95W. A TROPICAL WAVE
DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION IS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 27N W OF 93W. A
REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IN TH NE GULF FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 83W-77W.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE WEST OF THE BASIN BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND OVER TX/MEXICO ON
TUESDAY WHILE THE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT NORTH AND INLAND
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MODERATE MOISTURE IS COMBINING WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE OVER THE W AND SW CARIBBEAN TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-22N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W. THE
CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY A 1011 MB
SURFACE LOW NEAR 11N81W ALONG THE EASTERN END OF THE E PACIFIC
MONSOON TROUGH. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT COVERS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND E CARIBBEAN AROUND AN UPPER LOW IN THE W ATLANTIC CENTERED
NEAR 24N66W. THIS CYCLONIC FLOW IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W. FAIR WEATHER
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN. THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
TUESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN ON
WEDNESDAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

MODERATE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND AN UPPER
LOW CENTERED NEAR 24N66W IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. WITH LITTLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
IN PLACE AND ONLY MODERATE MOISTURE PRESENT...NO DEEP CONVECTION
OTHER THAN DAYTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TUESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 24N66W COMBINED WITH
MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING SOUTH OF A WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM
29N-31N BETWEEN 73W AND 79W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION
ABOVE...HURRICANE EDOUARD AND THE TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE
MAIN FEATURES IN THE ATLANTIC. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND
TROPICAL WAVES SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO



000
AXNT20 KNHC 151801
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 27.3N 55.5W AT 15/1500 UTC OR
ABOUT 560 NM E-SE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
LATER TONIGHT. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF
THE CENTER FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 53W AND 58W. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NORTH OF EDOUARD FROM 30N-32N
BETWEEN 50W AND 58W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N24W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N24W TO 8N24W...MOVING WEST AT 15
KT. SSMI TPW INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF ENHANCED MOISTURE S OF
16N FROM 19W TO 28W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
IN THE AREA OF DEEPEST MOISTURE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 24W AND 29W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N44W TO A 1015 MB LOW NEAR 17N45W TO 9N46W...MOVING WEST AT 15-
20 KT. SSMI TPW INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE S OF
21N BETWEEN 36W AND 48W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING NEAR THE SURFACE LOW FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 43W AND 48W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS S MEXICO AND E PAC WATERS WITH
AXIS ALONG 93W AND MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG THE
NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 18N16W TO
A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N24W TO 8N47W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM
8N47W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 7N58W. BESIDES THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 30W-40W...AND FROM 6N-10N
BETWEEN 42W-54W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LA COAST
NEAR 24N91W INTO THE NW GULF THROUGH 28N94W TO THE N MEXICO
COAST NEAR 25N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
WITHIN 100NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THIS BOUNDARY. A SURFACE TROUGH
IS OVER THE W GULF FROM 27N94W TO 19N95W. A TROPICAL WAVE
DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION IS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 27N W OF 93W. A
REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IN TH NE GULF FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 83W-77W.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE WEST OF THE BASIN BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND OVER TX/MEXICO ON
TUESDAY WHILE THE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT NORTH AND INLAND
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MODERATE MOISTURE IS COMBINING WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE OVER THE W AND SW CARIBBEAN TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-22N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W. THE
CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY A 1011 MB
SURFACE LOW NEAR 11N81W ALONG THE EASTERN END OF THE E PACIFIC
MONSOON TROUGH. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT COVERS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND E CARIBBEAN AROUND AN UPPER LOW IN THE W ATLANTIC CENTERED
NEAR 24N66W. THIS CYCLONIC FLOW IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W. FAIR WEATHER
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN. THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
TUESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN ON
WEDNESDAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

MODERATE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND AN UPPER
LOW CENTERED NEAR 24N66W IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. WITH LITTLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
IN PLACE AND ONLY MODERATE MOISTURE PRESENT...NO DEEP CONVECTION
OTHER THAN DAYTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TUESDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 24N66W COMBINED WITH
MODERATE MOISTURE SUPPORTS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 68W AND 72W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING SOUTH OF A WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM
29N-31N BETWEEN 73W AND 79W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION
ABOVE...HURRICANE EDOUARD AND THE TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE
MAIN FEATURES IN THE ATLANTIC. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND
TROPICAL WAVES SECTIONS ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151749
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 111.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA. A 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 5.72 INCHES...146 MM...HAS BEEN REPORTED AT LA PAZ
MEXICO SO FAR.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151749
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 111.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA. A 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 5.72 INCHES...146 MM...HAS BEEN REPORTED AT LA PAZ
MEXICO SO FAR.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151749
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 111.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA. A 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 5.72 INCHES...146 MM...HAS BEEN REPORTED AT LA PAZ
MEXICO SO FAR.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151749
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSE SERIOUS THREATS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 111.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA. A 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 5.72 INCHES...146 MM...HAS BEEN REPORTED AT LA PAZ
MEXICO SO FAR.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
ACPN50 PHFO 151746
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON SEP 15 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 151746
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON SEP 15 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 151730
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE
DE LA ISLA DE BERMUDA.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STWEART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 151730
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 600 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE
DE LA ISLA DE BERMUDA.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STWEART




000
ABNT20 KNHC 151726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located more than 600 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 151726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located more than 600 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 151726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located more than 600 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 151726
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located more than 600 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151725
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located inland over the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula.

An elongated low pressure system located about 500 miles
south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for development, and this disturbance will likely
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
moves slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible
while the low moves generally northwestward during the next several
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151725
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located inland over the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula.

An elongated low pressure system located about 500 miles
south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for development, and this disturbance will likely
become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
moves slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 1400 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible
while the low moves generally northwestward during the next several
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151546
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 24.7N 111.3W 955 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240
NM NE AND 150 SW SEMICIRCLES. ODILE IS MOVING ALMOST DIRECTLY UP
THE BAJA PENINSULA...ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL WEAKEN
MAX WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND LANDSLIDES. THE LARGE WIND CIRCULATION OF ODILE
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA E OF THE CENTER AND
DRIVE LARGE WAVES AND SWELL NORTHWARD...PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS IN THE ENTIRE GULF. ADDITIONALLY...LARGE
SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE VERY
LARGE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/
WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 18N110W ARE MOVING NE 15
KT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE INCREASED ONCE
AGAIN THIS MORNING AS THE LOW IS BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE BROAD
MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF ODILE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. THE LOW
WILL ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE
IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM OF THE ELONGATED CENTER...
EXCEPT 45 NM SE QUADRANT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 12N91W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11N96W...THEN RESUMES FROM REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E NEAR
18N110W TO 12N120W TO 12N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH
BETWEEN 88W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1014 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 23N131W TO W OF
ODILE NEAR 24N115W. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE
TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH TO STRONG S-SW BREEZE OVER NW
WATERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS
EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
CENTRAL AMERICA. SEAS ARE MERGING WITH THE SWELL GENERATED BY
ODILE...YIELDING A LARGE AREA OF MIXED SWELL OVER MOST OF THE
REGION W OF 125W.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151546
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 24.7N 111.3W 955 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240
NM NE AND 150 SW SEMICIRCLES. ODILE IS MOVING ALMOST DIRECTLY UP
THE BAJA PENINSULA...ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL WEAKEN
MAX WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND LANDSLIDES. THE LARGE WIND CIRCULATION OF ODILE
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA E OF THE CENTER AND
DRIVE LARGE WAVES AND SWELL NORTHWARD...PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS IN THE ENTIRE GULF. ADDITIONALLY...LARGE
SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE VERY
LARGE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/
WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 18N110W ARE MOVING NE 15
KT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE INCREASED ONCE
AGAIN THIS MORNING AS THE LOW IS BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE BROAD
MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF ODILE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. THE LOW
WILL ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE
IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM OF THE ELONGATED CENTER...
EXCEPT 45 NM SE QUADRANT.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 12N91W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11N96W...THEN RESUMES FROM REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E NEAR
18N110W TO 12N120W TO 12N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH
BETWEEN 88W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1014 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 23N131W TO W OF
ODILE NEAR 24N115W. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE
TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH TO STRONG S-SW BREEZE OVER NW
WATERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS
EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
CENTRAL AMERICA. SEAS ARE MERGING WITH THE SWELL GENERATED BY
ODILE...YIELDING A LARGE AREA OF MIXED SWELL OVER MOST OF THE
REGION W OF 125W.

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 151450
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 111.3W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 320SE 120SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 111.3W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 111.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.0N 112.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.5N 113.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.6N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.6N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.5N 113.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 31.0N 112.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 111.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 151450
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 111.3W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 320SE 120SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 111.3W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 111.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.0N 112.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.5N 113.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.6N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.6N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.5N 113.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 31.0N 112.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 111.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151443
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING REMAIN A SERIOUS THREAT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 111.3W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM E OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND A NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151443
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING REMAIN A SERIOUS THREAT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 111.3W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM E OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND A NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES
OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT21 KNHC 151436
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  55.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  55.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  55.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.4N  54.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N  45.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.5N  38.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT31 KNHC 151436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...CATEGORY 2 EDOUARD MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 55.5W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT21 KNHC 151436
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  55.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  55.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  55.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.4N  54.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N  45.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.5N  38.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTNT31 KNHC 151436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...CATEGORY 2 EDOUARD MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 55.5W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 151436
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  55.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  55.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  55.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.4N  54.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N  45.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.5N  38.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTNT31 KNHC 151436
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...CATEGORY 2 EDOUARD MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 55.5W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151152
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO SLAM THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 110.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. DURING THE PAST
HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H AND A GUST TO 89
MPH...143 KM/H...WERE REPORTED AT LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151152
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO SLAM THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 110.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. DURING THE PAST
HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H AND A GUST TO 89
MPH...143 KM/H...WERE REPORTED AT LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151152
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO SLAM THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 110.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. DURING THE PAST
HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H AND A GUST TO 89
MPH...143 KM/H...WERE REPORTED AT LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 151152
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE CONTINUES TO SLAM THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 110.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. DURING THE PAST
HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H AND A GUST TO 89
MPH...143 KM/H...WERE REPORTED AT LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN
MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
ACPN50 PHFO 151131
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON SEP 15 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO




000
ACPN50 PHFO 151131
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON SEP 15 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151126
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development,
and this disturbance could become a tropical depression during the
next couple of days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest
or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while the low moves generally northwestward during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151126
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development,
and this disturbance could become a tropical depression during the
next couple of days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest
or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while the low moves generally northwestward during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151126
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development,
and this disturbance could become a tropical depression during the
next couple of days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest
or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while the low moves generally northwestward during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151126
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development,
and this disturbance could become a tropical depression during the
next couple of days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest
or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast
of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while the low moves generally northwestward during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 151124
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 700 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE
DE LA ISLA DE BERMUDA.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STWEART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 151124
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 700 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE
DE LA ISLA DE BERMUDA.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STWEART




000
ABNT20 KNHC 151118
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 700 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 151118
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 700 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
AXNT20 KNHC 151041
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 26.9N 54.5W AT 15/0900 UTC OR
ABOUT 626 NM E-SE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MAINLY NW OF THE CENTER FROM 25N-30N BETWEEN 52W-57W. SCATTERED
TSTMS ARE NE OF EDOUARD FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 46W-51W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N22W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 8N22W...MOVING WEST AT 15
KT. THE WAVE IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND IS ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. METEOSAT SAL TRACKING IMAGERY DEPICT SOME DRY AIR IN
THE WAY ENVIRONMENT...WHICH IS LIMITING THE CONVECTION TO
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 22W-27W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
18N42W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 16N42W TO 8N43W...MOVING WEST AT 20
KT. THE WAVE IS ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. SAHARAN DRY AIR IS IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS
LIMITING THE CONVECTION TO ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 16N-18N WITHIN
100 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS S MEXICO...GUATEMALA AND E PAC
WATERS WITH AXIS ALONG 92W AND MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE THAT IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ON THE NW CARIBBEAN S
OF 21N WEST OF 81W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N16W TO
A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 10N35W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM
10N36W TO THE COAST OF GUYANA NEAR 7N59W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 30W-41W...AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 48W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE SE CONUS...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...ACROSS SE LOUISIANA INTO THE NW GULF
ALONG 29N91W SW TO SOUTHERN TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS ACROSS THE BASIN AS
AN INVERTED TROUGH DOMINATES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS AND
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE ADVECTED FROM THE NW
CARIBBEAN. TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG
27N92W TO 18N94W AND A TROPICAL WAVE ALREADY DISCUSSED IN THE
WAVES SECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE S OF 26N WEST OF
85W. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SW BASIN MONDAY
WHILE THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A WARM FRONT THAT
WILL STALL INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF MON NIGHT. SURFACE
RIDGING STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS THE BASIN TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MAINLY MODERATE MOISTURE IS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN AS WELL AS THE NW CARIBBEAN. THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH A
NARROW REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ENHANCES SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ON SW HAITI AND COASTAL WATERS. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ON
THE NW CARIBBEAN S OF 21N W OF 81W. ON THE SW CARIBBEAN...A 1011
MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED NEAR 10N79W...WHICH IS
ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 15N
BETWEEN 72W-84W. A TONGUE OF DRY AIR ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP
LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR DOMINATE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
BASIN...THUS SUPPORTING FAIR WEATHER. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUE NIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON
WEDNESDAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH A
REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN CUBA AND THE ISLAND
ENHANCE SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS SW HAITI AND ADJACENT WATERS.
BESIDES THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS INDUCED BY DAYTIME
HEATING...NO DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE MAIN FEATURES
ACROSS THE BASIN. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND TROPICAL WAVES
SECTIONS ABOVE. OTHERWISE...A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL LOW ON THE SW N
ATLC CENTERED NEAR 24N68W ALONG WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE IN THE REGION SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
23N-27N BETWEEN 68W-70W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 151041
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 26.9N 54.5W AT 15/0900 UTC OR
ABOUT 626 NM E-SE OF BERMUDA MOVING NW AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MAINLY NW OF THE CENTER FROM 25N-30N BETWEEN 52W-57W. SCATTERED
TSTMS ARE NE OF EDOUARD FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 46W-51W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N22W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 8N22W...MOVING WEST AT 15
KT. THE WAVE IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND IS ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. METEOSAT SAL TRACKING IMAGERY DEPICT SOME DRY AIR IN
THE WAY ENVIRONMENT...WHICH IS LIMITING THE CONVECTION TO
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 22W-27W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
18N42W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 16N42W TO 8N43W...MOVING WEST AT 20
KT. THE WAVE IS ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. SAHARAN DRY AIR IS IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS
LIMITING THE CONVECTION TO ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 16N-18N WITHIN
100 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS S MEXICO...GUATEMALA AND E PAC
WATERS WITH AXIS ALONG 92W AND MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE THAT IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ON THE NW CARIBBEAN S
OF 21N WEST OF 81W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N16W TO
A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N22W TO 10N35W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM
10N36W TO THE COAST OF GUYANA NEAR 7N59W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 30W-41W...AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 48W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE SE CONUS...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...ACROSS SE LOUISIANA INTO THE NW GULF
ALONG 29N91W SW TO SOUTHERN TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS ACROSS THE BASIN AS
AN INVERTED TROUGH DOMINATES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS AND
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE ADVECTED FROM THE NW
CARIBBEAN. TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG
27N92W TO 18N94W AND A TROPICAL WAVE ALREADY DISCUSSED IN THE
WAVES SECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE S OF 26N WEST OF
85W. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SW BASIN MONDAY
WHILE THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A WARM FRONT THAT
WILL STALL INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF MON NIGHT. SURFACE
RIDGING STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS THE BASIN TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MAINLY MODERATE MOISTURE IS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN AS WELL AS THE NW CARIBBEAN. THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH A
NARROW REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ENHANCES SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ON SW HAITI AND COASTAL WATERS. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ON
THE NW CARIBBEAN S OF 21N W OF 81W. ON THE SW CARIBBEAN...A 1011
MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED NEAR 10N79W...WHICH IS
ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS S OF 15N
BETWEEN 72W-84W. A TONGUE OF DRY AIR ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP
LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR DOMINATE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
BASIN...THUS SUPPORTING FAIR WEATHER. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUE NIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON
WEDNESDAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH A
REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN CUBA AND THE ISLAND
ENHANCE SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS SW HAITI AND ADJACENT WATERS.
BESIDES THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS INDUCED BY DAYTIME
HEATING...NO DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE MAIN FEATURES
ACROSS THE BASIN. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND TROPICAL WAVES
SECTIONS ABOVE. OTHERWISE...A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL LOW ON THE SW N
ATLC CENTERED NEAR 24N68W ALONG WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE IN THE REGION SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
23N-27N BETWEEN 68W-70W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151006
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W 942 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 15 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 SW
SEMICIRCLES. ODILE HAS MOVED ASHORE ACROSS THE S PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT...WITH DEVASTATING EFFECTS...AND IS THE
STRONGEST HURRICANE SINCE OLIVIA IN 1967 TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE
STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. ODILE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWEST AND ALMOST DIRECTLY UP THE PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FORCE
WEAKENING...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE SYSTEM
AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE LARGE WIND CIRCULATION OF ODILE WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA E OF THE CENTER AND DRIVE LARGE WAVES AND
SWELL NORTHWARD WITHIN THE GULF...PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE GULF.
ADDITIONALLY...LARGE SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE VERY LARGE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E WERE LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.5W MOVING
NE 15 KT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME
VERY ISOLATED...AS THE LOW IS BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE BROAD
CIRCULATION OF ODILE. THIS LOW WILL ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULFS OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND FONSECA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING
THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TWO
LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE CURRENTLY ANALYZED ON EACH END OF THE
ELONGATED CIRCULATION...WHERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 270 NM NW OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR
11.5N91.5W 1009 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N96W 1008 MB TO
10N104W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM THE
REMNANT LOW OF SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N111.5W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES
NEAR 09.5N136W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 102W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
270 NM NW OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF
AXIS W OF 134.5W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 104 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 26N136W TO
28.5N116W...AND SW TO 21N149W. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W
WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
CENTRAL AMERICA OVERNIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE BEGINNING TO MERGE
WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH
AND CONFUSED SEAS.

GAP WINDS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH A STRONG BREEZE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON MORNING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC UNDER A STRENGTHENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGHER PRES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRES TO THE S ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT BY TONIGHT AS THE ELONGATED LOW SHIFTS W-
NW.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151006
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W 942 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 15 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 SW
SEMICIRCLES. ODILE HAS MOVED ASHORE ACROSS THE S PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT...WITH DEVASTATING EFFECTS...AND IS THE
STRONGEST HURRICANE SINCE OLIVIA IN 1967 TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE
STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. ODILE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWEST AND ALMOST DIRECTLY UP THE PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FORCE
WEAKENING...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE SYSTEM
AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE LARGE WIND CIRCULATION OF ODILE WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA E OF THE CENTER AND DRIVE LARGE WAVES AND
SWELL NORTHWARD WITHIN THE GULF...PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE GULF.
ADDITIONALLY...LARGE SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE VERY LARGE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E WERE LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.5W MOVING
NE 15 KT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME
VERY ISOLATED...AS THE LOW IS BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE BROAD
CIRCULATION OF ODILE. THIS LOW WILL ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULFS OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND FONSECA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING
THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TWO
LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE CURRENTLY ANALYZED ON EACH END OF THE
ELONGATED CIRCULATION...WHERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 270 NM NW OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR
11.5N91.5W 1009 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N96W 1008 MB TO
10N104W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM THE
REMNANT LOW OF SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N111.5W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES
NEAR 09.5N136W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 102W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
270 NM NW OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF
AXIS W OF 134.5W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 104 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 26N136W TO
28.5N116W...AND SW TO 21N149W. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W
WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
CENTRAL AMERICA OVERNIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE BEGINNING TO MERGE
WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH
AND CONFUSED SEAS.

GAP WINDS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH A STRONG BREEZE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON MORNING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC UNDER A STRENGTHENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGHER PRES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRES TO THE S ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT BY TONIGHT AS THE ELONGATED LOW SHIFTS W-
NW.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151006
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W 942 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 15 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 SW
SEMICIRCLES. ODILE HAS MOVED ASHORE ACROSS THE S PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT...WITH DEVASTATING EFFECTS...AND IS THE
STRONGEST HURRICANE SINCE OLIVIA IN 1967 TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE
STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. ODILE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWEST AND ALMOST DIRECTLY UP THE PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FORCE
WEAKENING...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE SYSTEM
AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE LARGE WIND CIRCULATION OF ODILE WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA E OF THE CENTER AND DRIVE LARGE WAVES AND
SWELL NORTHWARD WITHIN THE GULF...PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE GULF.
ADDITIONALLY...LARGE SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE VERY LARGE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E WERE LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.5W MOVING
NE 15 KT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME
VERY ISOLATED...AS THE LOW IS BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE BROAD
CIRCULATION OF ODILE. THIS LOW WILL ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULFS OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND FONSECA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING
THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TWO
LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE CURRENTLY ANALYZED ON EACH END OF THE
ELONGATED CIRCULATION...WHERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 270 NM NW OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR
11.5N91.5W 1009 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N96W 1008 MB TO
10N104W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM THE
REMNANT LOW OF SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N111.5W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES
NEAR 09.5N136W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 102W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
270 NM NW OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF
AXIS W OF 134.5W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 104 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 26N136W TO
28.5N116W...AND SW TO 21N149W. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W
WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
CENTRAL AMERICA OVERNIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE BEGINNING TO MERGE
WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH
AND CONFUSED SEAS.

GAP WINDS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH A STRONG BREEZE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON MORNING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC UNDER A STRENGTHENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGHER PRES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRES TO THE S ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT BY TONIGHT AS THE ELONGATED LOW SHIFTS W-
NW.

$$
STRIPLING



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 151006
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W 942 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 15 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WAS NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 SW
SEMICIRCLES. ODILE HAS MOVED ASHORE ACROSS THE S PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT...WITH DEVASTATING EFFECTS...AND IS THE
STRONGEST HURRICANE SINCE OLIVIA IN 1967 TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE
STATE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. ODILE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWEST AND ALMOST DIRECTLY UP THE PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FORCE
WEAKENING...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE SYSTEM
AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE LARGE WIND CIRCULATION OF ODILE WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA E OF THE CENTER AND DRIVE LARGE WAVES AND
SWELL NORTHWARD WITHIN THE GULF...PRODUCING VERY DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE GULF.
ADDITIONALLY...LARGE SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE VERY LARGE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E WERE LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.5W MOVING
NE 15 KT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME
VERY ISOLATED...AS THE LOW IS BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE BROAD
CIRCULATION OF ODILE. THIS LOW WILL ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHERE IT WILL APPROACH THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULFS OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND FONSECA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING
THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TWO
LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE CURRENTLY ANALYZED ON EACH END OF THE
ELONGATED CIRCULATION...WHERE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 270 NM NW OF THE
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR
11.5N91.5W 1009 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N96W 1008 MB TO
10N104W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM THE
REMNANT LOW OF SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N111.5W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES
NEAR 09.5N136W 1009 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 102W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
270 NM NW OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF
AXIS W OF 134.5W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 104 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 26N136W TO
28.5N116W...AND SW TO 21N149W. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W
WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST OF MEXICO AND
CENTRAL AMERICA OVERNIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE BEGINNING TO MERGE
WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE...YIELDING HIGH
AND CONFUSED SEAS.

GAP WINDS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH A STRONG BREEZE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON MORNING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC UNDER A STRENGTHENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGHER PRES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRES TO THE S ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. THESE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT BY TONIGHT AS THE ELONGATED LOW SHIFTS W-
NW.

$$
STRIPLING



000
WTNT31 KNHC 150854
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 AM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...EDOUARD NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 54.5W
ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST.  EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150853
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE BATTERING THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 110.4W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
IN MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150853
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE BATTERING THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 110.4W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
IN MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150853
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE BATTERING THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 110.4W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
IN MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150853
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

...ODILE BATTERING THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 110.4W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
IN MAINLAND MEXICO THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SINALOA AND SONORA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
WTNT21 KNHC 150853
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  54.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  54.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  54.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.9N  55.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.6N  57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.6N  57.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.1N  55.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.1N  48.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 41.0N  40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.5N  35.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  54.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150852
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENCIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 360SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 114.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.0N 113.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.7N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 110.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150852
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENCIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 360SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 114.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.0N 113.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.7N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 110.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150852
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENCIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 360SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 114.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.0N 113.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.7N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 110.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150852
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA EUGENCIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO
SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO
TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 360SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 114.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.0N 113.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.7N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 110.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
AXNT20 KNHC 150602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0545 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 26.2N 53.3W AT 15/0300 UTC OR
ABOUT 726 NM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MAINLY NW OF THE CENTER FROM 25N-29N BETWEEN 51W-57W. SCATTERED
TSTMS ARE NE OF EDOUARD FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 47W-52W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE FAR EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N16W TO 10N21W...MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. THE WAVE IS BEING
SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND IS ASSOCIATED
MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. METEOSAT SAL TRACKING
IMAGERY DEPICT DRY AIR IN THE NORTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE WHERE
NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL IS STILL
EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE.
NO CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THE TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N39W TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 16N40W TO 9N40W...MOVING WEST AT 20
KT. THE WAVE IS ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. SAHARAN DRY AIR IS IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS
LIMITING THE CONVECTION TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-18N
WITHIN 170 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS IN THE
SOUTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 38W-43W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN
CENTRAL AMERICA TO THE E PAC WATERS WITH AXIS ALONG 90W AND
MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS WAVE THAT IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION AND TSTMS ON THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN
HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 14N17W TO
9N25W TO 10N37W TO 8N45W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N45W TO
THE COAST OF GUYANA NEAR 7N58W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 22W-37W...AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 47W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE SE CONUS...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...ACROSS SE LOUISIANA INTO THE NW GULF
ALONG 29N90W SW TO THE NE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 25N98W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 80 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS ACROSS THE BASIN AS
AN INVERTED TROUGH DOMINATES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS ALONG
WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED FROM THE CARIBBEAN.
TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 27N90W TO 17N93W
AND A TROPICAL WAVE ALREADY DISCUSSED IN THE WAVES SECTION.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE S OF 27N WEST OF 85W. THE TROPICAL
WAVE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SW BASIN MONDAY WHILE THE
STATIONARY FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A WARM FRONT THAT WILL STALL
INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF MON NIGHT. SURFACE RIDGING
STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS THE BASIN TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MAINLY MODERATE MOISTURE IS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN AS WELL AS THE NW CARIBBEAN. THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH A
NARROW REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ENHANCES SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ON SW HAITI...THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND SE CUBA COASTAL
WATERS. UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ALSO SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS S OF 21N W OF 80W AND S OF 15N BETWEEN 73W-83W. A TONGUE
OF DRY AIR ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR
DOMINATE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE BASIN...THUS SUPPORTING FAIR
WEATHER. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA MON EVENING THAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON WEDNESDAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH A
REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN CUBA AND THE ISLAND
ENHANCE SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS SW HAITI AND THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE TONIGHT. BESIDES THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS INDUCED
BY DAYTIME HEATING...NO DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE MAIN FEATURES
ACROSS THE BASIN. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND TROPICAL WAVES
SECTIONS ABOVE. OTHERWISE...A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL LOW ON THE SW N
ATCL CENTERED NEAR 24N68W ALONG WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE IN THE REGION SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
23N-28N BETWEEN 64W-70W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 150602
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0545 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 26.2N 53.3W AT 15/0300 UTC OR
ABOUT 726 NM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING NW AT 13
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MAINLY NW OF THE CENTER FROM 25N-29N BETWEEN 51W-57W. SCATTERED
TSTMS ARE NE OF EDOUARD FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 47W-52W. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE FAR EASTERN ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N16W TO 10N21W...MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. THE WAVE IS BEING
SUPPORTED BY A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND IS ASSOCIATED
MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. METEOSAT SAL TRACKING
IMAGERY DEPICT DRY AIR IN THE NORTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE WHERE
NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL IS STILL
EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE SOUTHERN REGION OF THE WAVE.
NO CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THE TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N39W TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 16N40W TO 9N40W...MOVING WEST AT 20
KT. THE WAVE IS ASSOCIATED MAINLY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. SAHARAN DRY AIR IS IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS
LIMITING THE CONVECTION TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-18N
WITHIN 170 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS IN THE
SOUTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 38W-43W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN
CENTRAL AMERICA TO THE E PAC WATERS WITH AXIS ALONG 90W AND
MOVING W AT 20 KT. MODERATE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS WAVE THAT IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION AND TSTMS ON THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN
HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 14N17W TO
9N25W TO 10N37W TO 8N45W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N45W TO
THE COAST OF GUYANA NEAR 7N58W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 22W-37W...AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 47W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE SE CONUS...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...ACROSS SE LOUISIANA INTO THE NW GULF
ALONG 29N90W SW TO THE NE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 25N98W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 80 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS ACROSS THE BASIN AS
AN INVERTED TROUGH DOMINATES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS ALONG
WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED FROM THE CARIBBEAN.
TROUGHINESS ALOFT SUPPORT A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 27N90W TO 17N93W
AND A TROPICAL WAVE ALREADY DISCUSSED IN THE WAVES SECTION.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE S OF 27N WEST OF 85W. THE TROPICAL
WAVE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SW BASIN MONDAY WHILE THE
STATIONARY FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A WARM FRONT THAT WILL STALL
INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF MON NIGHT. SURFACE RIDGING
STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS THE BASIN TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MAINLY MODERATE MOISTURE IS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
BASIN AS WELL AS THE NW CARIBBEAN. THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH A
NARROW REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ENHANCES SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ON SW HAITI...THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND SE CUBA COASTAL
WATERS. UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ALSO SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS S OF 21N W OF 80W AND S OF 15N BETWEEN 73W-83W. A TONGUE
OF DRY AIR ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR
DOMINATE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE BASIN...THUS SUPPORTING FAIR
WEATHER. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA MON EVENING THAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON WEDNESDAY.

...HISPANIOLA...

MODERATE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH A
REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN CUBA AND THE ISLAND
ENHANCE SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS SW HAITI AND THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE TONIGHT. BESIDES THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS INDUCED
BY DAYTIME HEATING...NO DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE MAIN FEATURES
ACROSS THE BASIN. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES AND TROPICAL WAVES
SECTIONS ABOVE. OTHERWISE...A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL LOW ON THE SW N
ATCL CENTERED NEAR 24N68W ALONG WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE IN THE REGION SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
23N-28N BETWEEN 64W-70W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150557
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING NORTHWARD AS EYE OF ODILE MOVES
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 110.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.  A WIND GUST TO 114
MPH...183 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR SANTA ROSA MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 943 MB WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR CABO SAN
LUCAS.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/LANDSEA



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150557
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING NORTHWARD AS EYE OF ODILE MOVES
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 110.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.  A WIND GUST TO 114
MPH...183 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR SANTA ROSA MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 943 MB WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR CABO SAN
LUCAS.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/LANDSEA



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150557
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING NORTHWARD AS EYE OF ODILE MOVES
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 110.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.  A WIND GUST TO 114
MPH...183 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR SANTA ROSA MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 943 MB WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR CABO SAN
LUCAS.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/LANDSEA



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150557
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING NORTHWARD AS EYE OF ODILE MOVES
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 110.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.  A WIND GUST TO 114
MPH...183 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR SANTA ROSA MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 943 MB WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR CABO SAN
LUCAS.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH
MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/LANDSEA



000
ACPN50 PHFO 150530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 150530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 150530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACPN50 PHFO 150530
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

RYSHKO





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 150525
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 850 MILLAS AL NORESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 150525
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 15 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 850 MILLAS AL NORESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG





000
ABNT20 KNHC 150522
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 850 miles northeast of the northern Leeward
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABNT20 KNHC 150522
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 850 miles northeast of the northern Leeward
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150521
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located over the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest or
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150521
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located over the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest or
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150307
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 22.6N 109.6W 930 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM S
SEMICIRCLE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS...AND
MOVE NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH TUESDAY. SWELLS
FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC
AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

THE RECENTLY DOWN GRADED REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E WERE NEAR 16.3N
112.3W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15 MOVING ENE OR 060 DEG AT 11
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM W QUADRANT. SEAS FROM 12
TO 15 FT LIE WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SW SWELL. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO
UNTIL THEY BECOME FULLY ABSORBED INTO THE CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE ODILE. SEE THE FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULFS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND
FONSECA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM
THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED FROM A 1007 MB LOW PRES CENTER NEAR
10N90W THROUGH WESTERN EL SALVADOR TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IT
HAS BEEN MOVING W-NW AROUND 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR THE WAVE WITHIN
75 NM OF THE COAST FROM 10N TO 15N AND INLAND WITHIN 240 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N80W TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N90W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N98W 1007 MB TO 13N103W...THEN
CONTINUES FROM 14N116W TO 11N124W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N136W 1008
MB TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 99W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR 10N136W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1018 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 52N135W TO THE 1015 MB SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTER NEAR 24N138W
TO 20N115W....BOOKENDED N OF THE AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE
DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...INCREASING THE PRES GRADIENT TO ITS S BETWEEN IT AND THE
WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH
TO STRONG SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW MON...WITH A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE
BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS.

GAP WINDS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH A STRONG BREEZE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON MORNING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC UNDER A STRENGTHENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGHER PRES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRES TO THE S ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150307
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 22.6N 109.6W 930 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM S
SEMICIRCLE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.
THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS...AND
MOVE NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH TUESDAY. SWELLS
FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC
AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

THE RECENTLY DOWN GRADED REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E WERE NEAR 16.3N
112.3W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15 MOVING ENE OR 060 DEG AT 11
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM W QUADRANT. SEAS FROM 12
TO 15 FT LIE WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SW SWELL. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO
UNTIL THEY BECOME FULLY ABSORBED INTO THE CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE ODILE. SEE THE FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE S OF THE GULFS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND
FONSECA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP FROM
THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED FROM A 1007 MB LOW PRES CENTER NEAR
10N90W THROUGH WESTERN EL SALVADOR TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IT
HAS BEEN MOVING W-NW AROUND 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR THE WAVE WITHIN
75 NM OF THE COAST FROM 10N TO 15N AND INLAND WITHIN 240 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N80W TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N90W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N98W 1007 MB TO 13N103W...THEN
CONTINUES FROM 14N116W TO 11N124W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N136W 1008
MB TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 99W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR 10N136W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1018 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 52N135W TO THE 1015 MB SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTER NEAR 24N138W
TO 20N115W....BOOKENDED N OF THE AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE
DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...INCREASING THE PRES GRADIENT TO ITS S BETWEEN IT AND THE
WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH
TO STRONG SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW MON...WITH A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NW WATERS EARLY TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE
BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS.

GAP WINDS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH A STRONG BREEZE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON MORNING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC UNDER A STRENGTHENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGHER PRES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRES TO THE S ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.

$$
SCHAUER


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150259
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTHWARD TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  930 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N 110.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.4N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.7N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.7N 113.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 28.7N 114.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.8N 113.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 30.5N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 109.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150259
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE JUST A FEW HOURS FROM CABO
SAN LUCAS...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 109.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTHWARD TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND  A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE CENTER REACHES LAND IN A FEW HOURS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
LIKELY THEREAFTER THROUGH TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...AND WILL BE SPREADING NORTHWARD IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150259
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE JUST A FEW HOURS FROM CABO
SAN LUCAS...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 109.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTHWARD TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND  A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE CENTER REACHES LAND IN A FEW HOURS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
LIKELY THEREAFTER THROUGH TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...AND WILL BE SPREADING NORTHWARD IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150259
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE JUST A FEW HOURS FROM CABO
SAN LUCAS...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 109.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTHWARD TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND  A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE CENTER REACHES LAND IN A FEW HOURS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
LIKELY THEREAFTER THROUGH TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...AND WILL BE SPREADING NORTHWARD IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 150259
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE JUST A FEW HOURS FROM CABO
SAN LUCAS...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 109.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTHWARD TO
LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA
KINO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND  A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH DECREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE CENTER REACHES LAND IN A FEW HOURS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
LIKELY THEREAFTER THROUGH TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...AND WILL BE SPREADING NORTHWARD IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS...AND OVER THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT31 KNHC 150255
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD HEADING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...ONLY A THREAT TO MARINE INTERESTS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 53.3W
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH IS EXPECTED AFTER THAT WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 150254
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  53.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  53.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  52.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.2N  54.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N  56.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.2N  57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.4N  56.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 37.4N  51.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE 130SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 41.2N  42.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.2N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  53.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 150231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DISSIPATES...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 112.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION NO LONGER
HAS A WELL-DEFINED CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WERE ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST.  THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO
UNTIL THEY BECOME FULLY ABSORBED INTO THE CIRCULATION OF HURRICANE
ODILE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED AS THE REMNANTS OF THE
DEPRESSION BECOME ABSORBED.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS
OF THIS SYSTEM PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER
FZPN01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN



000
WTPZ31 KNHC 150231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DISSIPATES...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 112.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION NO LONGER
HAS A WELL-DEFINED CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WERE ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST.  THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO
UNTIL THEY BECOME FULLY ABSORBED INTO THE CIRCULATION OF HURRICANE
ODILE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED AS THE REMNANTS OF THE
DEPRESSION BECOME ABSORBED.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS
OF THIS SYSTEM PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER
FZPN01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150230
TCMEP1

REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 112.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 112.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 112.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 112.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS
OF THE DEPRESSION PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER
FZPN01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN





000
AXNT20 KNHC 142359
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 52.1W AT 14/2100 UTC OR
ABOUT 747 NM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 12
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ELSEWHERE... SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 24N-29N BETWEEN 51W-56W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 21N16W TO
9N19W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. LONG LOOP SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING NEAR 10N19W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N38W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 15 KT. A
1014 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N39W. THIS
SYSTEM COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND
A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 39W-42W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 23N87W TO 12N88W
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
10N22W TO 9N40W TO 8N44W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N44W TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 8N60W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 22W-43W...AND FROM 6N-
10N BETWEEN 47W-51W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N95W TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO NEAR 29N90W TO THE TIP OF S TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR
26N90W TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE TROUGH.
ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
INLAND OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...A SMALL UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER LOUISIANA
NEAR 30N93W. A SMALL UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN
YUCATAN NEAR 21N89W. BETWEEN THESE FEATURES...NE UPPER LEVEL
FLOW COVERS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF. OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS...THE
STATIONARY FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY RETREAT
NORTHWARD...WHILE THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
GULF SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE W GULF AND MERGE. AS A
RESULT...CONVECTION ACROSS THE E GULF SHOULD LESSEN WHILE THE W
GULF BECOMES MORE ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE MONSOON TROUGH
OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA ARE THE DOMINATE FEATURES OVER THE
CARIBBEAN. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W CARIBBEAN W OF
75W. FURTHER E...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. IN ADDITION...CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS... MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS E OF 80W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND LITTLE CHANGE
ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

EVENING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
RECENTLY DISSIPATED OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT AFTERNOON AND
EVENING CONVECTION AGAIN ON MONDAY ESPECIALLY SINCE AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF THE ISLAND NEAR 25N69W MOVING SLOWLY
W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE BAHAMAS. A
1022 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 30N68W MOVING W. THE
BASE OF A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 33N34W TO
BEYOND 32N42W MOVING E. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF
THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N69W IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
FROM 22N-28N BETWEEN 63W-71W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 142359
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 52.1W AT 14/2100 UTC OR
ABOUT 747 NM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WNW AT 12
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ELSEWHERE... SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 24N-29N BETWEEN 51W-56W. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 21N16W TO
9N19W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. LONG LOOP SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING NEAR 10N19W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N38W TO 10N39W MOVING W AT 15 KT. A
1014 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N39W. THIS
SYSTEM COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND
A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 39W-42W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 23N87W TO 12N88W
MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 13N16W TO
10N22W TO 9N40W TO 8N44W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 8N44W TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 8N60W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 22W-43W...AND FROM 6N-
10N BETWEEN 47W-51W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N95W TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO NEAR 29N90W TO THE TIP OF S TEXAS NEAR 26N97W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR
26N90W TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE TROUGH.
ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
INLAND OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...A SMALL UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER LOUISIANA
NEAR 30N93W. A SMALL UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN
YUCATAN NEAR 21N89W. BETWEEN THESE FEATURES...NE UPPER LEVEL
FLOW COVERS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF. OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS...THE
STATIONARY FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY RETREAT
NORTHWARD...WHILE THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
GULF SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE W GULF AND MERGE. AS A
RESULT...CONVECTION ACROSS THE E GULF SHOULD LESSEN WHILE THE W
GULF BECOMES MORE ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE MONSOON TROUGH
OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA ARE THE DOMINATE FEATURES OVER THE
CARIBBEAN. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W CARIBBEAN W OF
75W. FURTHER E...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. IN ADDITION...CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS... MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS E OF 80W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND LITTLE CHANGE
ELSEWHERE.

...HISPANIOLA...

EVENING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
RECENTLY DISSIPATED OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT AFTERNOON AND
EVENING CONVECTION AGAIN ON MONDAY ESPECIALLY SINCE AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF THE ISLAND NEAR 25N69W MOVING SLOWLY
W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

HURRICANE EDOUARD AND TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE BAHAMAS. A
1022 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 30N68W MOVING W. THE
BASE OF A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 33N34W TO
BEYOND 32N42W MOVING E. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF
THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N69W IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
FROM 22N-28N BETWEEN 63W-71W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ABNT20 KNHC 142348
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 142348
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ACPN50 PHFO 142345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 142345
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

BURKE





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142340
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located to the southeast of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest or
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142340
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located to the southeast of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the west-northwest or
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
WTPZ35 KNHC 142330
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 109.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SAN EVARISTO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY AND NEAR OR OVER
THE REMAINDER OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB...27.31 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY STILL OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO
DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL
BANDS WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...WESTERN
JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 142330
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 109.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SAN EVARISTO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY AND NEAR OR OVER
THE REMAINDER OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB...27.31 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY STILL OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO
DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL
BANDS WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...WESTERN
JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 142312 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
RECIEN ACTUALIZADO HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 142311
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
Hurricane Edouard, located several hundred miles east-northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 142311
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
Hurricane Edouard, located several hundred miles east-northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142127
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 21.1N 108.9W 922 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 14
MOVING N-NW OR 330 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 330 NM S QUADRANT. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15
INCHES IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL BANDS WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE
MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...WESTERN JALISCO...AND WESTERN
MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY MONDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.6N 113.4W 1006 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 14 MOVING E-NE OR 065 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS WITHIN 45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SW AND W
QUADRANTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY
WHEN IT MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. SEE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 10N94W 1007 MB IS EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE IS MEDIUM
POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED NEAR 88W N OF 12N. IT HAS BEEN
MOVING W-NW AROUND 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR THE WAVE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST
FROM 10N TO 15N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 14N99W...THEN
CONTINUES FROM 14N 116W TO 11N123W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 360 NM SW OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 87W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM NW AND 180 NM SE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 138W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1019 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 49N136W THROUGH 32N138W AND A 1014 MB HIGH PRES CENTER NEAR
25N135W TO 20N118W....BOOKENDED N OF THE AREA BY LOW PRES OFF
THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW AROUND 1000 NM NE OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE
DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...INCREASING THE PRES GRADIENT TO ITS S BETWEEN IT AND THE
WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH
TO STRONG SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW MON INTO TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE
BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS.

$$
SCHAUER


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142127
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 21.1N 108.9W 922 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 14
MOVING N-NW OR 330 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 330 NM S QUADRANT. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15
INCHES IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL BANDS WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE
MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...WESTERN JALISCO...AND WESTERN
MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY MONDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.6N 113.4W 1006 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 14 MOVING E-NE OR 065 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS WITHIN 45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SW AND W
QUADRANTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY
WHEN IT MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. SEE
LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 10N94W 1007 MB IS EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THERE IS MEDIUM
POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS ANALYZED NEAR 88W N OF 12N. IT HAS BEEN
MOVING W-NW AROUND 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR THE WAVE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST
FROM 10N TO 15N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 14N99W...THEN
CONTINUES FROM 14N 116W TO 11N123W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 360 NM SW OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 87W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM NW AND 180 NM SE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 138W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1019 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 49N136W THROUGH 32N138W AND A 1014 MB HIGH PRES CENTER NEAR
25N135W TO 20N118W....BOOKENDED N OF THE AREA BY LOW PRES OFF
THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW AROUND 1000 NM NE OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE
DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...INCREASING THE PRES GRADIENT TO ITS S BETWEEN IT AND THE
WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO A FRESH
TO STRONG SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW MON INTO TUE.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT. SEAS OVER 8 FT ARE
BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE...YIELDING HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS.

$$
SCHAUER



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142054
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED 12-HOUR FORECAST INTENSITY TO 115 KT

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  922 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.2N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 27.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 28.5N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142054
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED 12-HOUR FORECAST INTENSITY TO 115 KT

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  922 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.2N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 27.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 28.5N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 142051
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...MAJOR HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 108.9W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF MAJOR HURRICANE
ODILE WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

REPORTS FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ODILE IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AGAIN
BEFORE IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 922 MB...27.23 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY STILL OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST
OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATER TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL BANDS
WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...WESTERN
JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 142051
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...MAJOR HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 108.9W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF MAJOR HURRICANE
ODILE WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

REPORTS FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ODILE IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AGAIN
BEFORE IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 922 MB...27.23 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY STILL OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST
OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATER TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL BANDS
WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...WESTERN
JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142038
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  922 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.2N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 27.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 28.5N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142038
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  922 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.2N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 27.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 28.5N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 142031
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 52.1W
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.1 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 142031
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...
...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 113.4W
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4
WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY WHEN IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT31 KNHC 142031
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 52.1W
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.1 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT31 KNHC 142031
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 52.1W
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.1 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 142031
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...
...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 113.4W
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4
WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY WHEN IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 142031
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...
...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 113.4W
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4
WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY WHEN IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 142031
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...
...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 113.4W
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4
WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY WHEN IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTNT21 KNHC 142031
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  51.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 41.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 142031
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...
...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 113.4W
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4
WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY WHEN IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141755
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...MAJOR HURRICANE EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS ENTERING THE EYE OF ODILE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 108.5W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY MORNING.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST. ODILE
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
WHEN IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 141751 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
RECIEN ACTUALIZADO HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
AXNT20 KNHC 141750
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
AS OF 14/1500 UTC...TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE. AT THAT TIME...EDOUARD WAS CENTERED NEAR 24.7N 50.7W
OR ABOUT 915 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING NW AT
14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. NUMEROUS
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.
ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-28N BETWEEN
46W AND 56W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N38W TO 21N36W MOVING W AT 15 KT. A
1014 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N AND
COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND A
LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. SCATTERED MODERATE
AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 37W-40W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 15N88W TO 26N86W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THIS WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 22N TO THE COAST OF
HONDURAS BETWEEN 81W AND 88W.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 22N BETWEEN 81W AND 90W. THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ASSOCIATED
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL GULF.
GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL
LIKELY MERGE WITH THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AS BOTH FEATURES
MOVE TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
10N23W TO 9N40W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N40W TO 09N55W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-14N BETWEEN 19W-25W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 25W-50W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FROM TX NEAR
26N97W TO THE FL PANHANDLE NEAR 30N86W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 100NM OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A SURFACE
LOW HAS OPENED INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF THAT NOW EXTENDS FROM NEAR 23N89W TO 29N87W. THIS TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 86W AND 91W. SOME OF THIS
ACTIVITY MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MENTIONED IN THE
TROPICAL WAVES SECTION. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED OVER THE TX GULF COAST AND A SMALL UPPER
LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN. BETWEEN THESE
FEATURES...NE UPPER LEVEL FLOW COVERS MUCH OF THE GULF. OVER THE
NEXT 2 DAYS...THE STATIONARY FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO
SLOWLY RETREAT NORTHWARD...WHILE THE TROPICAL WAVE AND SURFACE
TROUGH MOVE INTO THE W GULF AND MERGE. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION
ACROSS THE E GULF SHOULD LESSEN WHILE THE W GULF BECOMES MORE
ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS OVER MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN. A
WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...AND UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THAT PART OF THE
BASIN. IN THE SW CARIBBEAN...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND THE
CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 75W AND 84W.
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AN AREA OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS IS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 67W AND 73W WHERE A SMALL
REGION OF ENHANCED LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS INTERACTING WITH
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM AN UPPER LOW
IN THE ATLANTIC NEAR 24N65W. OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE WEST OF THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THE ONLY NOTABLE AREA OF ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR THE
MONSOON TROUGH.

...HISPANIOLA...
ISOLATED DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING IN UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDING FROM AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE
ATLANTIC NEAR 24N65W. CYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WITH THE LACK
OF ANY SURFACE FEATURES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...EXPECT MAINLY
ISOLATED DAYTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS HISPANIOLA
THROUGH MONDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N65W DRIFTING WESTWARD.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 22N-28N
BETWEEN 61W AND 68W. AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS
OCCURRING OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS CENTERED ACROSS
THE TX COAST. THIS DIFFLUENCE IS INTERACTING WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE OVER THE BAHAMAS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W. THE
REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A PAIR
OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERS NEAR 30N69W AND 30N34W. BETWEEN
THESE AREAS OF HIGH PRESSURE IS HURRICANE EDOUARD. EDOUARD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT TRACKS NW OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
LATTO


000
ABNT20 KNHC 141750
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Edouard, located several hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABNT20 KNHC 141750
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Edouard, located several hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ACPN50 PHFO 141745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS
IT MOVES WEST SLOWLY.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 141745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU
HAWAII. THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS
IT MOVES WEST SLOWLY.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

BURKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 141734
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
RECIEN ACTUALIZADO HURACAN EDOUARD...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI




000
ABNT20 KNHC 141731
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Edouard, located several hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABNT20 KNHC 141731
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Edouard, located several hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141730
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141730
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141730
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141730
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves slowly toward the northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 20.0N 108.2W 941 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150
NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER. ODILE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY
OVERNIGHT. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SW WINDS EXTENDS OUT TO
400 NM S AND SW OF ODILE...DRAWING ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ODILE...REACHING COASTAL PORTIONS OF
MEXICO FROM GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN...PRODUCING LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SW COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE BATTERING
WAVES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...
PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS
EXPECTED TO STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC
AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 113.9W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 14 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. AN EASTWARD
THEN NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS THE DEPRESSION IS ENTRAINED INTO THE LARGER CIRCULATION
OF HURRICANE ODILE...AND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN
TROUGH BY MONDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 10N93W IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS THEN BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED BY TUE OR WED. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW
TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY NE S OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N93W 1008
MB TO 11N98W...THEN RESUMES FROM T.D. SIXTEEN-E TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N134W 1010 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 26N136W TO 24N118W SUPPORTS GENTLE
TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. A
DEEP LAYER LOW NEAR 28N142W WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E THE NEXT TWO
DAYS... WITH A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH DEVELOPING OVER N CENTRAL
FORECAST WATERS. S WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER NW WATERS
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY. SEAS OVER 8 FT
WILL PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE BY LATE SUN TO YIELD HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS/

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 20.0N 108.2W 941 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150
NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER. ODILE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY
OVERNIGHT. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SW WINDS EXTENDS OUT TO
400 NM S AND SW OF ODILE...DRAWING ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ODILE...REACHING COASTAL PORTIONS OF
MEXICO FROM GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN...PRODUCING LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SW COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE BATTERING
WAVES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...
PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS
EXPECTED TO STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC
AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 113.9W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 14 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. AN EASTWARD
THEN NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS THE DEPRESSION IS ENTRAINED INTO THE LARGER CIRCULATION
OF HURRICANE ODILE...AND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN
TROUGH BY MONDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 10N93W IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS THEN BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED BY TUE OR WED. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW
TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY NE S OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N93W 1008
MB TO 11N98W...THEN RESUMES FROM T.D. SIXTEEN-E TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N134W 1010 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 26N136W TO 24N118W SUPPORTS GENTLE
TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. A
DEEP LAYER LOW NEAR 28N142W WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E THE NEXT TWO
DAYS... WITH A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH DEVELOPING OVER N CENTRAL
FORECAST WATERS. S WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER NW WATERS
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY. SEAS OVER 8 FT
WILL PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE BY LATE SUN TO YIELD HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS/

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 20.0N 108.2W 941 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150
NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER. ODILE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY
OVERNIGHT. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SW WINDS EXTENDS OUT TO
400 NM S AND SW OF ODILE...DRAWING ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ODILE...REACHING COASTAL PORTIONS OF
MEXICO FROM GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN...PRODUCING LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SW COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE BATTERING
WAVES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...
PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS
EXPECTED TO STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC
AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 113.9W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 14 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. AN EASTWARD
THEN NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS THE DEPRESSION IS ENTRAINED INTO THE LARGER CIRCULATION
OF HURRICANE ODILE...AND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN
TROUGH BY MONDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 10N93W IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS THEN BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED BY TUE OR WED. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW
TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY NE S OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N93W 1008
MB TO 11N98W...THEN RESUMES FROM T.D. SIXTEEN-E TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N134W 1010 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 26N136W TO 24N118W SUPPORTS GENTLE
TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. A
DEEP LAYER LOW NEAR 28N142W WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E THE NEXT TWO
DAYS... WITH A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH DEVELOPING OVER N CENTRAL
FORECAST WATERS. S WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER NW WATERS
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY. SEAS OVER 8 FT
WILL PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE BY LATE SUN TO YIELD HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS/

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 20.0N 108.2W 941 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150
NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER. ODILE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY
OVERNIGHT. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SW WINDS EXTENDS OUT TO
400 NM S AND SW OF ODILE...DRAWING ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ODILE...REACHING COASTAL PORTIONS OF
MEXICO FROM GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN...PRODUCING LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SW COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE BATTERING
WAVES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY...
PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS
EXPECTED TO STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC
AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR
MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 113.9W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 14 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. AN EASTWARD
THEN NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS THE DEPRESSION IS ENTRAINED INTO THE LARGER CIRCULATION
OF HURRICANE ODILE...AND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN
TROUGH BY MONDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 10N93W IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS THEN BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED BY TUE OR WED. THERE IS MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW
TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY NE S OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N93W 1008
MB TO 11N98W...THEN RESUMES FROM T.D. SIXTEEN-E TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N134W 1010 MB TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS W OF 137W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 26N136W TO 24N118W SUPPORTS GENTLE
TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. A
DEEP LAYER LOW NEAR 28N142W WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E THE NEXT TWO
DAYS... WITH A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH DEVELOPING OVER N CENTRAL
FORECAST WATERS. S WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER NW WATERS
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY. SEAS OVER 8 FT
WILL PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE BY LATE SUN TO YIELD HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS/

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 141601
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL WATCH
NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.5N 111.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 141601
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL WATCH
NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.5N 111.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141559
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST LATER TODAY...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 108.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
WHEN IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141559
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST LATER TODAY...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 108.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS
TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
WHEN IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141558
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST LATER TODAY...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 108.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA SAN
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
WHEN IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141558
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA ABREOJOS IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST LATER TODAY...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 108.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA SAN
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
WHEN IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 141501
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
HURACAN EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   13
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...EDOUARD SE CONVIERTE EN EL CUARTO HURACAN DE LA TEMPORADA 2014
DEL ATLANTICO...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...24.7 NORTE 50.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 915 MILLAS...1470 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...984 MILIBARES...29.06 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN EDOUARD FUE
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 50.7 OESTE.
EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH... 26 KM/H...Y
ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE HOY. UN GIRO HACIA EL
NORTE NOROESTE A UNA VELOCIDAD MAS LENTA SE ESPERA EL LUNES.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 80 MPH...130
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN UN HURACAN MAYOR EL LUNES EN LA NOCHE O MARTES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZAS DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO. VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 140 MILLAS...220 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 984 MB...29.06 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADORES STEWART





000
WTCA41 TJSJ 141501
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
HURACAN EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   13
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...EDOUARD SE CONVIERTE EN EL CUARTO HURACAN DE LA TEMPORADA 2014
DEL ATLANTICO...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...24.7 NORTE 50.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 915 MILLAS...1470 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...984 MILIBARES...29.06 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN EDOUARD FUE
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 50.7 OESTE.
EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH... 26 KM/H...Y
ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE HOY. UN GIRO HACIA EL
NORTE NOROESTE A UNA VELOCIDAD MAS LENTA SE ESPERA EL LUNES.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 80 MPH...130
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN UN HURACAN MAYOR EL LUNES EN LA NOCHE O MARTES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZAS DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS...30
KM...DEL CENTRO. VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE
EXTIENDEN HASTA 140 MILLAS...220 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 984 MB...29.06 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA...500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADORES STEWART




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141453
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE ODILE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST LATER TODAY...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 108.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
WHEN IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ARE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 141452
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL WATCH
NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.5N 111.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 141452
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL WATCH
NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA
ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.5N 111.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 108.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141449
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT31 KNHC 141449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2014
ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 50.7W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE MONDAY
NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT21 KNHC 141449
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  50.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.8N  52.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N  54.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.5N  56.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.1N  56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N  54.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.4N  47.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 41.7N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  50.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 141449
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  50.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.8N  52.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N  54.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.5N  56.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.1N  56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N  54.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.4N  47.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 41.7N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  50.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 141449
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  50.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.8N  52.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N  54.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.5N  56.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.1N  56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N  54.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.4N  47.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 41.7N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  50.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 141449
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  50.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  50.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.8N  52.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N  54.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.5N  56.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.1N  56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N  54.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.4N  47.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 41.7N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  50.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 141449
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 113.9W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 13 MPH. AN
ACCELERATION TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY AS IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 141449
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 113.9W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 13 MPH. AN
ACCELERATION TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY AS IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 141449
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 113.9W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 13 MPH. AN
ACCELERATION TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY AS IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 141449
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 113.9W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 13 MPH. AN
ACCELERATION TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY AS IT
MOVES INTO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141147
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Hurricane Odile, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of the coast of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while it moves slowly toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141147
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Hurricane Odile, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of the coast of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while it moves slowly toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141147
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Hurricane Odile, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of the coast of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while it moves slowly toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141147
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Hurricane Odile, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Sixteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of the coast of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while it moves slowly toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
ACPN50 PHFO 141141
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

FOSTER






000
ACPN50 PHFO 141141
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST SUN SEP 14 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

FOSTER





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141135
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...CATEGORY 4 ODILE APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 107.7W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 141135
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...CATEGORY 4 ODILE APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 107.7W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING BY TONIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE
CONDITIONS LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 141132
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A MILES DE MILLAS AL
ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

UN AMPLIA AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL CENTRO DEL GOLFO
DE MEXICO ESTA PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS DESORGANIZADAS.
EN ESTOS MOMENTOS LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO SON
CONDUCENTES PARA SU DESARROLLO...Y LA BAJA PRESION PUEDE PASAR A SER
UNA VAGUADA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ABNT20 KNHC 141123
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about a thousand miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

A broad low pressure system located over the central Gulf of Mexico
is producing disorganized showers activity. Upper-level winds are
not conducive for development at this time, and the low could
degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it moves westward
across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 141123
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about a thousand miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

A broad low pressure system located over the central Gulf of Mexico
is producing disorganized showers activity. Upper-level winds are
not conducive for development at this time, and the low could
degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it moves westward
across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXNT20 KNHC 141053
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 24.0N 49.7W AT 14/0900
UTC OR ABOUT 825 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
ELSEWHERE FROM 22N-28N BETWEEN 45W-53W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N36W TO 21N34W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1014 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N AND
COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND BROAD
700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 30W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 34W-37W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N84W TO 27N82W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTHWARD
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 81W-87W. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH A 1014 MB
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
11N20W TO 12N30W TO 08N41W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N41W TO 07N47W TO 08N53W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-14N BETWEEN 16W-24W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 41W-48W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF
WATERS NEAR 29N95W THAT IS PROVIDING THE NORTHERN GULF N OF 23N
WITH NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NE FLOW
HOWEVER...A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND INTO THE GULF WATERS AS A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 30N88W TO
27N95W TO 25N100W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. TO THE SE OF THE FRONT
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF...A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM 31N86W TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 26N87W TO THE
NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N88W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
EASTERN GULF THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW AND
TROUGHING...ALONG WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 84W IN THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THESE TWO
FEATURES WILL MERGE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF WITH WEAK CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF WITHIN A BROAD ENVELOPE OF CYCLONIC WINDS RANGING FROM 5 TO
15 KT ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS THE WEST-CENTRAL AND SW GULF AS MAXIMUM LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS NOTED ALONG THE EASTERN MEXICO
COAST. THE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
LARGELY W OF A LINE FROM THE STATIONARY FRONT NEAR 26N97W TO
20N91W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS INFLUENCING THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING THAT IS PROVIDING AN OVERALL DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT. GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING
ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING W OF 79W IN THE VICINITY OF THE TROPICAL WAVE.
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF
12N BETWEEN NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND COSTA RICA DUE TO THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 09N/10N. FARTHER EAST...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR 23N65W
THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH A BROAD
BASE LOCATED NEAR 13N71W. RELATIVELY DRY AIR IS NOTED ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY E OF 75W WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING SHALLOW ISOLATED
SHOWERS OCCURRING THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...
AND LESSER ANTILLES.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY CONDITIONS REMAIN TRANQUIL AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
MAINTAINING FAIR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. A FEW PASSING ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE MONA
PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS E OF 73W. AS THE
ENVIRONMENT REACHES PEAK DAYTIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED FROM WESTERN
CUBA SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N BETWEEN 74W-79W THIS
MORNING. ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TO THE EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
NEAR 23N65W THAT IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 22N-28N BETWEEN 61W-67W IN AN AREA OF
MAXIMUM MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. ASIDE FROM THIS AREA
OF CONCENTRATED CONVECTION...THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC
IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB
HIGH CENTERED SW OF BERMUDA NEAR 30N69W. THE EASTERN ATLC IS
ALSO UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1021
MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 29N34W. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SURFACE
HIGHS...TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD CONTINUES TO SPIN IN A FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT. EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
NW DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 141053
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 24.0N 49.7W AT 14/0900
UTC OR ABOUT 825 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
ELSEWHERE FROM 22N-28N BETWEEN 45W-53W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N36W TO 21N34W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1014 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N AND
COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND BROAD
700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 30W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 34W-37W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 13N84W TO 27N82W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTHWARD
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 81W-87W. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH A 1014 MB
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO
11N20W TO 12N30W TO 08N41W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N41W TO 07N47W TO 08N53W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-14N BETWEEN 16W-24W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 41W-48W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF
WATERS NEAR 29N95W THAT IS PROVIDING THE NORTHERN GULF N OF 23N
WITH NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NE FLOW
HOWEVER...A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND INTO THE GULF WATERS AS A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 30N88W TO
27N95W TO 25N100W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. TO THE SE OF THE FRONT
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF...A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS
ANALYZED FROM 31N86W TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 26N87W TO THE
NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N88W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
EASTERN GULF THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW AND
TROUGHING...ALONG WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 84W IN THE
NW CARIBBEAN SEA. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THESE TWO
FEATURES WILL MERGE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF WITH WEAK CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF WITHIN A BROAD ENVELOPE OF CYCLONIC WINDS RANGING FROM 5 TO
15 KT ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS THE WEST-CENTRAL AND SW GULF AS MAXIMUM LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS NOTED ALONG THE EASTERN MEXICO
COAST. THE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING
LARGELY W OF A LINE FROM THE STATIONARY FRONT NEAR 26N97W TO
20N91W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS INFLUENCING THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING THAT IS PROVIDING AN OVERALL DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT. GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING
ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
OCCURRING W OF 79W IN THE VICINITY OF THE TROPICAL WAVE.
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF
12N BETWEEN NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND COSTA RICA DUE TO THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 09N/10N. FARTHER EAST...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR 23N65W
THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WITH A BROAD
BASE LOCATED NEAR 13N71W. RELATIVELY DRY AIR IS NOTED ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY E OF 75W WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING SHALLOW ISOLATED
SHOWERS OCCURRING THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...
AND LESSER ANTILLES.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY CONDITIONS REMAIN TRANQUIL AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
MAINTAINING FAIR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. A FEW PASSING ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE MONA
PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS E OF 73W. AS THE
ENVIRONMENT REACHES PEAK DAYTIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED FROM WESTERN
CUBA SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N BETWEEN 74W-79W THIS
MORNING. ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TO THE EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
NEAR 23N65W THAT IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 22N-28N BETWEEN 61W-67W IN AN AREA OF
MAXIMUM MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. ASIDE FROM THIS AREA
OF CONCENTRATED CONVECTION...THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC
IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB
HIGH CENTERED SW OF BERMUDA NEAR 30N69W. THE EASTERN ATLC IS
ALSO UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1021
MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 29N34W. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SURFACE
HIGHS...TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD CONTINUES TO SPIN IN A FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT. EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
NW DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141004
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR  19.1N 107.3W 941 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS
OCCURRING WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM. ODILE HAS CONTINUED
TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT AND IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
EXTENDS OUT TO 400 NM TO THE S AND SW OF ODILE AND IS DRAWING
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICS AROUND AND INTO THE
CIRCULATION OF ODILE...AND ALONG COASTAL PORTIONS OF MEXICO FROM
GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE
MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND
WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE
BATTERING WAVES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES
NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 115.3W 1007 MB AT 0900
UTC SEP 14 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.
AN EASTWARD AND NORTHWESTWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE
INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY AS IT BECOME ENTRAINED INTO
THE BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF ODILE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N94W 1008 MB TO
12N98W..WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED FROM ODILE...THEN RESUMES
FROM 17N113W TO T.D. THIRTEEN-E TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N133W 1010 MB
TO 08.5N138W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1019 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 49N137W THROUGH 30N137W TO 25N115W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 800 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL
HIGH OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS REACHES FROM THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS...AND IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT
WILL PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE BY LATE SUN TO YIELD HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS/

$$
STRIPLING


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141004
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR  19.1N 107.3W 941 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS
OCCURRING WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM. ODILE HAS CONTINUED
TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT AND IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
EXTENDS OUT TO 400 NM TO THE S AND SW OF ODILE AND IS DRAWING
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICS AROUND AND INTO THE
CIRCULATION OF ODILE...AND ALONG COASTAL PORTIONS OF MEXICO FROM
GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE
MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND
WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE
BATTERING WAVES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN
TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES
NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 115.3W 1007 MB AT 0900
UTC SEP 14 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.
AN EASTWARD AND NORTHWESTWARD ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE
INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY AS IT BECOME ENTRAINED INTO
THE BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF ODILE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N94W 1008 MB TO
12N98W..WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED FROM ODILE...THEN RESUMES
FROM 17N113W TO T.D. THIRTEEN-E TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N133W 1010 MB
TO 08.5N138W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1019 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 49N137W THROUGH 30N137W TO 25N115W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 800 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL
HIGH OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS REACHES FROM THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS...AND IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG MUCH OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT
WILL PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY
ODILE BY LATE SUN TO YIELD HIGH AND CONFUSED SEAS/

$$
STRIPLING



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 140910
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   12
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...EDOUARD CERCA DE SER HURACAN SOBRE EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL...

RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...24.0 NORTE 49.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 950 MILLAS...1530 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...992 MILIBARES...29.30 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.0 NORTE...LONGITUD
49.7 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...
22 KM/H. EDOUARD DEBE CONTINUAR HACIA EL NOROESTE A UNA VELOCIDAD
RELATIVAMENTE MAS LENTA HASTA EL LUNES.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN A CERCA DE 70 MPH...110
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN HURACAN MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN DESDE SU CENTRO
HASTA UNAS 140 MILLAS...220 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 992 MB...29.30 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADORES LANDSEA










000
WTCA41 TJSJ 140910
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   12
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...EDOUARD CERCA DE SER HURACAN SOBRE EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL...

RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...24.0 NORTE 49.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 950 MILLAS...1530 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...992 MILIBARES...29.30 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.0 NORTE...LONGITUD
49.7 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...
22 KM/H. EDOUARD DEBE CONTINUAR HACIA EL NOROESTE A UNA VELOCIDAD
RELATIVAMENTE MAS LENTA HASTA EL LUNES.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN A CERCA DE 70 MPH...110
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN HURACAN MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN DESDE SU CENTRO
HASTA UNAS 140 MILLAS...220 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 992 MB...29.30 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADORES LANDSEA











000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140858
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140858
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...ODILE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREJOS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
MULEGE.
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO
SANTA ROSALIA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA
BY MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING
ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 140854
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD NEARLY A HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 49.7W
ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.  EDOUARD SHOULD
CONTINUE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED
BY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA



000
WTNT31 KNHC 140854
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 AM AST SUN SEP 14 2014

...EDOUARD NEARLY A HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 49.7W
ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.  EDOUARD SHOULD
CONTINUE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED
BY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 140851
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  49.7W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  49.7W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  49.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  51.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.2N  54.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.5N  55.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 28.9N  57.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 33.0N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 38.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 42.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  49.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA





000
WTNT21 KNHC 140851
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  49.7W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  49.7W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  49.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  51.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.2N  54.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.5N  55.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 28.9N  57.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 33.0N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 38.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 42.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  49.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 140846
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MAINTAINING STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 115.3W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H.  AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE EAST AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY MONDAY MORNING.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 140846
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...DEPRESSION MAINTAINING STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 115.3W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H.  AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE EAST AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY MONDAY MORNING.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140845
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 111.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140845
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 111.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140845
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 111.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140845
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 111.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140555
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE BECOMES A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT MOVES
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 106.9W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...
195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING
AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE
NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING SUNDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY
MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140555
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE BECOMES A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT MOVES
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 106.9W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...
195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS A CATEGORY THREE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ODILE IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING
AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE
NEARS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING SUNDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY
MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 140551
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 23.4N 48.5W AT 14/0300
UTC OR ABOUT 880 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-27N BETWEEN 43W-53W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N34W TO 19N33W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND COINCIDES
WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 30W-40W. ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 33W-35W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N82W TO 23N82W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTHWARD
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 19N-27N BETWEEN 77W-86W. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH A 1012 MB
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N16W TO
14N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
08N38W TO 07N41W TO 09N47W TO 09N60W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-14N BETWEEN 14W-19W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF
WATERS NEAR 29N93W THAT IS PROVIDING THE NORTHERN GULF N OF 25N
WITH NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NE FLOW
HOWEVER...A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
NEAR 31N87W SW TO 28N92W. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY TO THE W-
SW INTERSECTING THE TEXAS GULF COAST NEAR 26N97W. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
FRONT E OF 93W. TO THE SE OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF...A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 31N86W TO A
1013 MB LOW NEAR 26N87W TO THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA NEAR 22N87W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
EASTERN GULF IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW AND TROUGHING...ALONG
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 82W IN THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA.
GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THESE TWO FEATURES WILL MERGE
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF WITH WEAK
CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITHIN A BROAD
ENVELOPE OF CYCLONIC WINDS RANGING FROM 5 TO 15 KT ON MONDAY.
OTHERWISE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
WEST-CENTRAL AND SW GULF THIS EVENING AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
REMAINS DRAPED ALONG INLAND EASTERN MEXICO FROM 20N98W TO
25N99W. THE CONVECTION IS LARGELY W OF A LINE FROM THE
STATIONARY FRONT NEAR 27N96W TO THE NW TIP OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR 19N79W THAT PROVIDES AN OVERALL DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT THIS EVENING W OF 73W. GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT
AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING N OF 17N BETWEEN 77W-
86W NEAR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AND FROM 11N-
15N BETWEEN 79W-83W NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL
WAVE. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA FROM SOUTHERN BELIZE TO COASTAL WESTERN COSTA
RICA. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 23N66W THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN WITH A BROAD BASE LOCATED NEAR 13N71W. RELATIVELY DRY
AIR IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY E OF 73W WITH ONLY A FEW
PASSING SHALLOW ISOLATED SHOWERS OCCURRING THIS EVENING.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY CONDITIONS REMAIN TRANQUIL AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
MAINTAINING FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD INTO
SUNDAY. A FEW PASSING ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS E OF 71W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED FROM WESTERN
CUBA SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 77W THIS EVENING.
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RE-
ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TO THE EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N66W
THAT IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
FROM 22N-27N BETWEEN 60W-66W IN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. ASIDE FROM THIS AREA OF CONCENTRATED
CONVECTION...THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED
W OF BERMUDA NEAR 32N71W. THE EASTERN ATLC IS ALSO UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 29N32W. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SURFACE HIGHS...TROPICAL STORM
EDOUARD CONTINUES TO SPIN IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT. EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NW DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN


000
AXNT20 KNHC 140551
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 23.4N 48.5W AT 14/0300
UTC OR ABOUT 880 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-27N BETWEEN 43W-53W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N34W TO 19N33W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND COINCIDES
WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY AND BROAD 700 MB
TROUGHING BETWEEN 30W-40W. ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 33W-35W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 12N82W TO 23N82W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTHWARD
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 19N-27N BETWEEN 77W-86W. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH A 1012 MB
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N16W TO
14N26W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
08N38W TO 07N41W TO 09N47W TO 09N60W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 08N-14N BETWEEN 14W-19W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N-11N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF
WATERS NEAR 29N93W THAT IS PROVIDING THE NORTHERN GULF N OF 25N
WITH NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NE FLOW
HOWEVER...A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
NEAR 31N87W SW TO 28N92W. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY TO THE W-
SW INTERSECTING THE TEXAS GULF COAST NEAR 26N97W. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
FRONT E OF 93W. TO THE SE OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF...A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 31N86W TO A
1013 MB LOW NEAR 26N87W TO THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA NEAR 22N87W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
EASTERN GULF IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW AND TROUGHING...ALONG
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 82W IN THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA.
GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THESE TWO FEATURES WILL MERGE
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF WITH WEAK
CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITHIN A BROAD
ENVELOPE OF CYCLONIC WINDS RANGING FROM 5 TO 15 KT ON MONDAY.
OTHERWISE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
WEST-CENTRAL AND SW GULF THIS EVENING AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
REMAINS DRAPED ALONG INLAND EASTERN MEXICO FROM 20N98W TO
25N99W. THE CONVECTION IS LARGELY W OF A LINE FROM THE
STATIONARY FRONT NEAR 27N96W TO THE NW TIP OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA NEAR 21N90W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR 19N79W THAT PROVIDES AN OVERALL DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT THIS EVENING W OF 73W. GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT
AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING N OF 17N BETWEEN 77W-
86W NEAR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AND FROM 11N-
15N BETWEEN 79W-83W NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL
WAVE. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA FROM SOUTHERN BELIZE TO COASTAL WESTERN COSTA
RICA. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SW
NORTH ATLC NEAR 23N66W THAT EXTENDS TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN WITH A BROAD BASE LOCATED NEAR 13N71W. RELATIVELY DRY
AIR IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY E OF 73W WITH ONLY A FEW
PASSING SHALLOW ISOLATED SHOWERS OCCURRING THIS EVENING.

...HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY CONDITIONS REMAIN TRANQUIL AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
MAINTAINING FAIR CONDITIONS FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD INTO
SUNDAY. A FEW PASSING ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS E OF 71W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED FROM WESTERN
CUBA SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 77W THIS EVENING.
ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RE-
ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TO THE EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 23N66W
THAT IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
FROM 22N-27N BETWEEN 60W-66W IN AN AREA OF MAXIMUM MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. ASIDE FROM THIS AREA OF CONCENTRATED
CONVECTION...THE REMAINDER OF THE SW NORTH ATLC IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED
W OF BERMUDA NEAR 32N71W. THE EASTERN ATLC IS ALSO UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 29N32W. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SURFACE HIGHS...TROPICAL STORM
EDOUARD CONTINUES TO SPIN IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT
ENVIRONMENT. EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NW DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN



000
ACPN50 PHFO 140545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

$$

FOSTER






000
ACPN50 PHFO 140545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

$$

FOSTER





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 140541
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 14 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A MILES DE MILLAS AL
ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO
DE MEXICO ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS. LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO SON CONDUCENTES PARA EL
DESARROLLO...Y ES MAS PROBABLE QUE LA BAJA PRESION PASE A SER UNA
VAGUADA MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE A TRAVES DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

LA ACTIVIDAD DESORGANIZADA DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A 600 MILLAS AL
OESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE ESTA ASOCIADA A UNA ONDA TROPICAL.
SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES CONTINUEN DESFAVORABLES
PARA EL DESARROLLO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE DE 15
A 20 MPH A TRAVES DEL ATLANTICO TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.


$$
PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 140529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about one thousand miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands.

A weak low pressure area located over the east-central Gulf of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are not conducive for development, and the low
will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it
moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 600 miles west
of the Cape Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for
development while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across
the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 140529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about one thousand miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands.

A weak low pressure area located over the east-central Gulf of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are not conducive for development, and the low
will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it
moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 600 miles west
of the Cape Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for
development while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across
the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 140529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about one thousand miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands.

A weak low pressure area located over the east-central Gulf of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are not conducive for development, and the low
will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it
moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 600 miles west
of the Cape Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for
development while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across
the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 140529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about one thousand miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands.

A weak low pressure area located over the east-central Gulf of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are not conducive for development, and the low
will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it
moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 600 miles west
of the Cape Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for
development while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across
the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140512
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of
the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days while it drifts toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140512
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of
the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days while it drifts toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140512
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of
the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days while it drifts toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140512
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of
the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days while it drifts toward the
northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140258
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 17.9N 106.5W 962 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15
INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN
MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BE
A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.1N 116.1W 1007 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 14 MOVING ESE OR 120 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT AND
150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. AN EASTWARD AND EAST-NORTHWESTWARD
ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY LATE
SUNDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 08N90W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N92W 1007 MB...THEN CONTINUES AT LOW PRES NEAR
16N117W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N134W 1011 MB TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N
BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1021 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 49N136W THROUGH 30N137W TO 22N113W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL
HIGH OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS LIES FROM NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL PUSH
N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE BY
LATE SUN.

$$
SCHAUER


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140258
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 17.9N 106.5W 962 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 14
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15
INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN
MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BE
A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.1N 116.1W 1007 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 14 MOVING ESE OR 120 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT AND
150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. AN EASTWARD AND EAST-NORTHWESTWARD
ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY LATE
SUNDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 08N90W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N92W 1007 MB...THEN CONTINUES AT LOW PRES NEAR
16N117W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N134W 1011 MB TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N
BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1021 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 49N136W THROUGH 30N137W TO 22N113W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL
HIGH OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS LIES FROM NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL PUSH
N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE BY
LATE SUN.

$$
SCHAUER



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 140248
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE FORTALECE EDOUARD SOBRE EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...23.4 NORTE 48.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 1010 MILLAS...1620 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...994 MILIBARES...29.36 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 23.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
48.5 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14
MPH...22 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN A CERCA DE 65 MPH...100
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN HURACAN EL DOMINGO.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO A UNAS 105 MILLAS...165 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 994 MB...29.36 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADORES ZELINSKY/BEVEN







000
WTCA41 TJSJ 140248
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE FORTALECE EDOUARD SOBRE EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...23.4 NORTE 48.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 1010 MILLAS...1620 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...994 MILIBARES...29.36 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 23.4 NORTE...LONGITUD
48.5 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14
MPH...22 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN A CERCA DE 65 MPH...100
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN HURACAN EL DOMINGO.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO A UNAS 105 MILLAS...165 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 994 MB...29.36 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADORES ZELINSKY/BEVEN








000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140241
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO
PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ
TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 106.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.4N 109.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.6N 112.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 26.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 28.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140241
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO
PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ
TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 106.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.4N 109.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.6N 112.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 26.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 28.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140241
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 106.5W
ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO
PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ
TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. ODILE IS NOW MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A GENERAL MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND IT IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  IT IS
EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

ODILE CONTINUES TO BE A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING SUNDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY
MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140241
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 106.5W
ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO
PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES...
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ
TO LORETO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN
LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. ODILE IS NOW MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A GENERAL MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND IT IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  IT IS
EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

ODILE CONTINUES TO BE A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN ADVANCE
OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING SUNDAY.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY
MONDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 140236
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 48.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI...1620 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 140236
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 48.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI...1620 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 140236
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 48.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI...1620 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 140236
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 48.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI...1620 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 140235
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  48.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  48.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  47.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.5N  50.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.9N  52.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.2N  54.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N  56.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.2N  57.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 38.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 42.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  48.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN




000
WTNT21 KNHC 140235
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  48.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  48.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  47.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.5N  50.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.9N  52.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.2N  54.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N  56.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.2N  57.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 38.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 42.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  48.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140233
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 116.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.2N 114.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 112.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 116.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140233
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 116.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.2N 114.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 112.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 116.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 140233
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 116.1W
ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.1
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/H. AN EASTWARD AND EAST-NORTHWESTWARD ACCELERATION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



000
AXNT20 KNHC 140003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 2100 UTC...EDOUARD IS CLOSE TO BECOME A HURRICANE. ITS
CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 47.5W...AT ABOUT 900 NM ENE OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT
GUSTING TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 995 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 28W-50W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N28W TO A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 15N31W
TO 13N32W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD
700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-36W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 22N79W TO 10N79W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE
IS TRAVELING THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING ALOFT
THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE THE ENERGY NORTHWARD AS
THE WAVE CONTINUES MOVING W. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH THE 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN
AREA OF WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 18N-23N BETWEEN 75W-82W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 76W-83W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N17W TO
14N31W TO 08N38W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N-11N
BETWEEN 37W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N87W TO SE
TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 40 NM OF THE FRONT AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION
REMAINS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SE TEXAS. A 1010 MB
SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR 23N97W MOVING
NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT 25N99W TO THE LOW
CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 20N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED
FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS
OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E...A 1012 MB
LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N85W. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 29N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N85W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS S OF 27N BETWEEN 89W TO
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER SE LOUISIANA NEAR 31N90W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE SE GULF WITH CENTER NEAR 26N82W. THESE SYSTEMS
ARE GENERATING DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS SUPPORTING
CONVECTION. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE
FRONT OVER THE NW GULF TO DIP FURTHER S WHILE THE REMAINDER OF
THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE LOW OVER THE NW GULF
WILL MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WHILE WEAKENING. CONVECTION IS
STILL IN THE FORECAST FOR THE GULF WATERS AS THE LOW OVER THE SE
CONTINUES MOVING W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE ABOVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
NOTICED OVER THE MONA PASSAGE AND THE HISPANIOLA MAINLY
GENERATED BY DIURNAL HEATING. AT THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER
THE NW CARIBBEAN WHILE A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE
W ATLANTIC NEAR 22N66W IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN. SOME DIFFLUENCE IS BEING GENERATED S OF HISPANIOLA BY
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRYING TO DEVELOP FROM THE LOW ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL
WAVE TO CONTINUE MOVING W WITH CONVECTION. THE MONSOON TROUGH
OVER PANAMA WILL CONTINUE ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE AREA
AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...HISPANIOLA...

MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER HAS BEEN PREVAILING OVER THE ISLAND TODAY.
JUST A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTICED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME
HEATING. A STABLE AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ISLAND OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1018 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW ATLANTIC NEAR
32N66W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE 150 NM W OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-28N BETWEEN 59W-66W ENHANCED BY
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 22N66W. T.S. EDOUARD IS
OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION FOR MORE INFORMATION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 140003
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 2100 UTC...EDOUARD IS CLOSE TO BECOME A HURRICANE. ITS
CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 47.5W...AT ABOUT 900 NM ENE OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT
GUSTING TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 995 MB.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 28W-50W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N28W TO A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 15N31W
TO 13N32W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD
700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-36W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 22N79W TO 10N79W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. THE WAVE
IS TRAVELING THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING ALOFT
THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE THE ENERGY NORTHWARD AS
THE WAVE CONTINUES MOVING W. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH THE 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN
AREA OF WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 18N-23N BETWEEN 75W-82W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 76W-83W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N17W TO
14N31W TO 08N38W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N-11N
BETWEEN 37W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N87W TO SE
TEXAS NEAR 26N98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 40 NM OF THE FRONT AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION
REMAINS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SE TEXAS. A 1010 MB
SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR 23N97W MOVING
NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT 25N99W TO THE LOW
CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 20N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED
FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS
OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E...A 1012 MB
LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N85W. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 29N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N85W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS S OF 27N BETWEEN 89W TO
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER SE LOUISIANA NEAR 31N90W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE SE GULF WITH CENTER NEAR 26N82W. THESE SYSTEMS
ARE GENERATING DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS SUPPORTING
CONVECTION. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE
FRONT OVER THE NW GULF TO DIP FURTHER S WHILE THE REMAINDER OF
THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE LOW OVER THE NW GULF
WILL MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WHILE WEAKENING. CONVECTION IS
STILL IN THE FORECAST FOR THE GULF WATERS AS THE LOW OVER THE SE
CONTINUES MOVING W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE ABOVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
NOTICED OVER THE MONA PASSAGE AND THE HISPANIOLA MAINLY
GENERATED BY DIURNAL HEATING. AT THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER
THE NW CARIBBEAN WHILE A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE
W ATLANTIC NEAR 22N66W IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN. SOME DIFFLUENCE IS BEING GENERATED S OF HISPANIOLA BY
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRYING TO DEVELOP FROM THE LOW ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL
WAVE TO CONTINUE MOVING W WITH CONVECTION. THE MONSOON TROUGH
OVER PANAMA WILL CONTINUE ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE AREA
AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...HISPANIOLA...

MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER HAS BEEN PREVAILING OVER THE ISLAND TODAY.
JUST A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTICED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAINLY DUE TO DAYTIME
HEATING. A STABLE AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ISLAND OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1018 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW ATLANTIC NEAR
32N66W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE 150 NM W OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-28N BETWEEN 59W-66W ENHANCED BY
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 22N66W. T.S. EDOUARD IS
OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION FOR MORE INFORMATION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA


000
ACPN50 PHFO 132357
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

DWROE





000
ACPN50 PHFO 132357
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

DWROE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 132341
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1100 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO
DE MEXICO CONTINUA MENOS DEFINIDO ESTA TARDE Y LA ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ES MINIMA. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO
ESTAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO Y LA BAJA PRESION PROBABLEMENTE SE
DEGENERARA A UNA VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION MIENTRAS SE MUEVE AL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A
VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE SE HA DISIPADO HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR DE 10
A 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.


$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132341
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE STRENGTHENING WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 106.3W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR OR
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132341
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE STRENGTHENING WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 106.3W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR OR
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 132341
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1100 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO
DE MEXICO CONTINUA MENOS DEFINIDO ESTA TARDE Y LA ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ES MINIMA. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO
ESTAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO Y LA BAJA PRESION PROBABLEMENTE SE
DEGENERARA A UNA VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION MIENTRAS SE MUEVE AL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A
VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE SE HA DISIPADO HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR DE 10
A 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.


$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132341
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE STRENGTHENING WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 106.3W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR OR
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

ODILE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 132341
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1100 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO
DE MEXICO CONTINUA MENOS DEFINIDO ESTA TARDE Y LA ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ES MINIMA. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO
ESTAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO Y LA BAJA PRESION PROBABLEMENTE SE
DEGENERARA A UNA VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION MIENTRAS SE MUEVE AL OESTE
A TRAVES DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A
VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL OESTE SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO
VERDE SE HA DISIPADO HOY Y NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR DE 10
A 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.


$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ABNT20 KNHC 132335
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about 1100 miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

The area of low pressure located over the east-central Gulf of
Mexico has continued to become less defined this afternoon and the
associated shower activity is minimal. Upper-level winds are not
conducive for development, and the low will most likely degenerate
into a trough of low pressure while it moves westward across the
Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has
diminished today, and development of this system is unlikely to
occur as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located several
hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 250 miles south of the coast
of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this disturbance over the next several days while it
drifts toward the northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located several
hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 250 miles south of the coast
of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this disturbance over the next several days while it
drifts toward the northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 132135
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 17.0N 106.2W 971 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 13
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WHILE SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W
AND 111W. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ODILE COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MON.
SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUN. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. ODILE
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE
LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 116.8W 1007 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 13 MOVING E-SE OR 120 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W. THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUN. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS BEFORE TURNING MORE NE IN THE WAKE OF ODILE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 08N90W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N92W 1007 MB...THEN CONTINUES AT LOW PRES NEAR
16N117W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N134W 1011 MB TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N
BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1023 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 50N136W THROUGH 32N136W TO 20N113W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH
OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS LIES FROM NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL PUSH
N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE BY
LATE SUN.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 132135
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 17.0N 106.2W 971 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 13
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WHILE SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W
AND 111W. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ODILE COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MON.
SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUN. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. ODILE
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE
LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 116.8W 1007 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 13 MOVING E-SE OR 120 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W. THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUN. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS BEFORE TURNING MORE NE IN THE WAKE OF ODILE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 08N90W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N92W 1007 MB...THEN CONTINUES AT LOW PRES NEAR
16N117W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N134W 1011 MB TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N
BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1023 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 50N136W THROUGH 32N136W TO 20N113W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH
OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS LIES FROM NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL PUSH
N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE BY
LATE SUN.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 132135
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 17.0N 106.2W 971 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 13
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WHILE SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W
AND 111W. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ODILE COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MON.
SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUN. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. ODILE
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE
LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 116.8W 1007 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 13 MOVING E-SE OR 120 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W. THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUN. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS BEFORE TURNING MORE NE IN THE WAKE OF ODILE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 08N90W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N92W 1007 MB...THEN CONTINUES AT LOW PRES NEAR
16N117W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N134W 1011 MB TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N
BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1023 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 50N136W THROUGH 32N136W TO 20N113W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH
OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS LIES FROM NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL PUSH
N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE BY
LATE SUN.

$$
SCHAUER



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 132135
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 17.0N 106.2W 971 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 13
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WHILE SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W
AND 111W. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ODILE COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MON.
SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUN. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. ODILE
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SEE
LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 116.8W 1007 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 13 MOVING E-SE OR 120 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WAS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W. THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUN. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS BEFORE TURNING MORE NE IN THE WAKE OF ODILE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 09N83W TO 08N90W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N92W 1007 MB...THEN CONTINUES AT LOW PRES NEAR
16N117W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N134W 1011 MB TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N
BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN
120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1023 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA
NEAR 50N136W THROUGH 32N136W TO 20N113W....BOOKENDED N OF THE
AREA BY LOW PRES OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND A DEEP LAYERED LOW
AROUND 1000 NM NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE RIDGE IS
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THE DEEP LAYER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...PINCHING OFF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL HIGH
OVER N CENTRAL FORECAST WATERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TO A FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
REFLECTION OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW ON MON.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS LIES FROM NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO NW
FORECAST WATERS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA BY LATE SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL PUSH
N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS GENERATED BY ODILE BY
LATE SUN.

$$
SCHAUER



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 132050
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA EN HURACAN EL DOMINGO SOBRE EL
ATLANTICO CENTRAL...

RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...22.5 NORTE 47.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 1050 MILLAS...1695 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...995 MILIBARES...29.39 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 22.5 NORTE...LONGITUD
47.5 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13
MPH...20 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN HURACAN TARDE EL DOMINGO O TEMPRANO EL LUNES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO UNAS 70 MILLAS...110 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MB...29.39 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA





000
WTCA41 TJSJ 132050
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA EN HURACAN EL DOMINGO SOBRE EL
ATLANTICO CENTRAL...

RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...22.5 NORTE 47.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 1050 MILLAS...1695 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...995 MILIBARES...29.39 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 22.5 NORTE...LONGITUD
47.5 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13
MPH...20 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA
EN HURACAN TARDE EL DOMINGO O TEMPRANO EL LUNES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO UNAS 70 MILLAS...110 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MB...29.39 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 132043
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 160SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 108.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.6N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 25.0N 114.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132043
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 106.2W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR
OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 132043
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 160SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 108.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.6N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 25.0N 114.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132043
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 106.2W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR
OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 132043
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 160SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 108.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.6N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 25.0N 114.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132043
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 106.2W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR
OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 132043
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 160SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 108.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.6N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 25.0N 114.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132043
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 106.2W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR
OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ODILE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 132041
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 116.8W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 116.8W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.7N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 111.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE ODILE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 116.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 132041
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 116.8W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H. AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER
TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 132041
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 116.8W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H. AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER
TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 132041
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 116.8W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 116.8W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.7N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 111.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE ODILE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 116.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT31 KNHC 132039
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 47.5W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1695 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATE
SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT31 KNHC 132039
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 47.5W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1695 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATE
SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 132038
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  47.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.7N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  51.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.6N  55.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 36.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 42.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 132038
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  47.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.7N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  51.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.6N  55.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 36.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 42.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 132038
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  47.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.7N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  51.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.6N  55.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 36.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 42.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT21 KNHC 132038
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  47.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  47.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.7N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  51.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.6N  55.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 36.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 42.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 131825
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO ESTA MENOS DEFINIDA Y LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO ESTAN FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO Y LA BAJA PRESION PROBABLEMENTE SE DEGENERARA A UNA
VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION MIENTRAS SE MUEVE AL OESTE A TRAVES DEL
GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA AL
SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DISMINUIDO Y NO SE ESPERA
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE
NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.


$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 131825
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1000 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE
MEXICO ESTA MENOS DEFINIDA Y LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA ESTA
DISMINUYENDO. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS NO ESTAN FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO Y LA BAJA PRESION PROBABLEMENTE SE DEGENERARA A UNA
VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION MIENTRAS SE MUEVE AL OESTE A TRAVES DEL
GOLFO DE MEXICO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA AL
SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE HA DISMINUIDO Y NO SE ESPERA
DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE
NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR
CIENTO.


$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
AXNT20 KNHC 131813
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW ATLANTIC NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE NW ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER THE BAHAMAS FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 73W-78W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 131813
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW ATLANTIC NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE NW ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER THE BAHAMAS FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 73W-78W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 131813
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW ATLANTIC NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE NW ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER THE BAHAMAS FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 73W-78W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 131813
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW ATLANTIC NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE NW ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER THE BAHAMAS FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 73W-78W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 131805
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 131805
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 131805
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 131805
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS CENTERED NEAR 21.7N 46.9W AT 13/1500
UTC OR ABOUT 938 NM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING
NW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 39W-48W.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N27W TO 13N29W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS AND REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 13N29W. THE WAVE
COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING N OF 07N BETWEEN 25W-36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 30W-33W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 22N76W TO 10N77W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO TRAVEL THROUGH AN AREA OF BROAD 700
MB TROUGHING ALOFT THAT WILL LIKELY STRETCH AND FRACTURE ENERGY
NORTHWARD AS THE WAVE CONTINUES WESTWARD. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
ANY REMAINING ENERGY WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH 700 MB TROUGHING
CURRENTLY OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-23N BETWEEN 75W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 75W-82W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 15N16W TO
16N24W TO 13N29W TO 7N36W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
COAST OF WEST AFRICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 13W-18W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 31N86W TO SE
LOUISIANA AT 29N90W TO THE NW GULF AT 29N94W TO THE TEXAS COAST
AT 27N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE FRONT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED N OF TAMPICO MEXICO NEAR
23N97W MOVING NW. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NE MEXICO AT
26N98W TO THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 19N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL
MOUNTAINS. FURTHER E... A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N84W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 30N85W TO THE SURFACE LOW TO 23N84W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 83W-88W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA S OF 25N E OF
88W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER
GEORGIA NEAR 33N84W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE SE
GULF NEAR 25N83W. EXPECT THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW
GULF TO DIP FURTHER S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE FRONT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE
NW GULF TO MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE LOW OVER THE SE GULF TO MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
NEAR 25N90W IN 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER BELIZE...THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
HONDURAS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER THE SE GULF IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 24N66W
IS PRODUCING NW FLOW OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. ALSO
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER PANAMA TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION MAINLY OVER E CUBA. HISPANIOLA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN NW FLOW ALOFT AND AN OVERALL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...HOWEVER DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE NOTED TO THE WEST AND THIS STABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY RESULTING IN MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A WEAK 1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF NEAR 31N65W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THIS
LOW TO DRIFT NE AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. T.S.
EDOUARD IS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SEE ABOVE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
WTPZ35 KNHC 131752
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE GETTING STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 106.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST.  ODILE HAS
RECENTLY MOVED LITTLE, BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...LATER TODAY.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A
FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ODILE WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR
OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
ACPN50 PHFO 131738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

$$

DWROE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 131738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

$$

DWROE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 131738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

$$

DWROE






000
ACPN50 PHFO 131738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SAT SEP 13 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

$$

DWROE






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of
the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next
several days while it drifts toward the northwest toward the Gulf
of Tehuantepec.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of
the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next
several days while it drifts toward the northwest toward the Gulf
of Tehuantepec.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of
the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next
several days while it drifts toward the northwest toward the Gulf
of Tehuantepec.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Odile, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located
several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

An area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of
the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next
several days while it drifts toward the northwest toward the Gulf
of Tehuantepec.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 131733
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about 1000 miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

The area of low pressure over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is
becoming less defined and the associated shower activity is
decreasing. Upper-level winds are not conducive for development and
the low will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure
while it moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located southwest of
the Cape Verde Islands has diminished and development of this system
is not likely to occur as it moves westward or west-northwestward at
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila


000
ABNT20 KNHC 131733
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Edouard, located about 1000 miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.

The area of low pressure over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is
becoming less defined and the associated shower activity is
decreasing. Upper-level winds are not conducive for development and
the low will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure
while it moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located southwest of
the Cape Verde Islands has diminished and development of this system
is not likely to occur as it moves westward or west-northwestward at
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 131510
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W 980 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
13 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM OF THE CENTER WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 108W AND 117W IN STRONG SW
MONSOON FLOW FEEDING INTO ODILE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS
AS ODILE MOVES NW BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATERS AND STARTS TO
WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY TUE. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH ODILE WILL
AFFECT THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
LARGE SWELL WILL AFFECT THE W COAST OF MEXICO THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...INCLUDING BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LARGE
AND DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W 1007 MB
AT 1500 UTC SEP 13 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. A SLOW EASTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WITH THE T.D. EXPECTED
TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SUN THEN DISSIPATE BY TUE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 10N89W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 12N93W 1007 MB TO 14N95W..THEN RESUMES FROM T.D. SIXTEEN-E
TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N132W 1011 MB TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH W OF 131W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 29N136W TO 27N123W TO 20N114W. THE
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CHANGE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS SWEEPING ACROSS FORECAST WATERS W OF
115W. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SWELL WILL STRETCH FROM THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO SW FORECAST WATERS TONIGHT THEN REACH MUCH
OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICAN SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT
ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS
GENERATED BY ODILE BY SUN.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 131510
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE ODILE LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W 980 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
13 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM OF THE CENTER WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 108W AND 117W IN STRONG SW
MONSOON FLOW FEEDING INTO ODILE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS
AS ODILE MOVES NW BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATERS AND STARTS TO
WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY TUE. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH ODILE WILL
AFFECT THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
LARGE SWELL WILL AFFECT THE W COAST OF MEXICO THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...INCLUDING BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LARGE
AND DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W 1007 MB
AT 1500 UTC SEP 13 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. A SLOW EASTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WITH THE T.D. EXPECTED
TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SUN THEN DISSIPATE BY TUE. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 10N89W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 12N93W 1007 MB TO 14N95W..THEN RESUMES FROM T.D. SIXTEEN-E
TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N132W 1011 MB TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N AND 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH W OF 131W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 29N136W TO 27N123W TO 20N114W. THE
RIDGE IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER W WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CHANGE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

THE LEADING EDGE OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN
EXCESS OF 20 SECONDS IS SWEEPING ACROSS FORECAST WATERS W OF
115W. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SWELL WILL STRETCH FROM THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO SW FORECAST WATERS TONIGHT THEN REACH MUCH
OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICAN SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT
ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS
GENERATED BY ODILE BY SUN.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTCA41 TJSJ 131459
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD PERMANEZCA SOBRE LAS AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL
OCEANO ATLANTICO...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.7 NORTE 46.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 1080 MILLAS...1735 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...996 MILIBARES...29.42 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 21.7 NORTE...LONGITUD
46.9 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13
MPH...20 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMOS 48...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA EN
HURACAN TARDE EL DOMINGO O LUNES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO UNAS 70 MILLAS...110 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 996 MB...29.42 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
WTCA41 TJSJ 131459
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD PERMANEZCA SOBRE LAS AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL
OCEANO ATLANTICO...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.7 NORTE 46.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 1080 MILLAS...1735 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...996 MILIBARES...29.42 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 21.7 NORTE...LONGITUD
46.9 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13
MPH...20 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMOS 48...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA EN
HURACAN TARDE EL DOMINGO O LUNES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO UNAS 70 MILLAS...110 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 996 MB...29.42 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
WTCA41 TJSJ 131459
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD PERMANEZCA SOBRE LAS AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL
OCEANO ATLANTICO...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.7 NORTE 46.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 1080 MILLAS...1735 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...996 MILIBARES...29.42 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 21.7 NORTE...LONGITUD
46.9 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13
MPH...20 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMOS 48...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA EN
HURACAN TARDE EL DOMINGO O LUNES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO UNAS 70 MILLAS...110 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 996 MB...29.42 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
WTCA41 TJSJ 131459
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL062014
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

...SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD PERMANEZCA SOBRE LAS AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL
OCEANO ATLANTICO...

RESUMEN DE LAS 11:00 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.7 NORTE 46.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 1080 MILLAS...1735 KM ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...996 MILIBARES...29.42 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS O AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
---------------------------------------------------
A LAS 11:00 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL
EDOUARD FUE LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 21.7 NORTE...LONGITUD
46.9 OESTE. EDOUARD SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13
MPH...20 KM/H Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECEN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85
KM/H...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO
DURANTE LAS PROXIMOS 48...Y SE ESPERA QUE EDOUARD SE CONVIERTA EN
HURACAN TARDE EL DOMINGO O LUNES.

VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA FUERA A
DEL CENTRO UNAS 70 MILLAS...110 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 996 MB...29.42 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA..500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 131455
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 170SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 105.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.3N 106.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.1N 111.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 24.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 26.5N 116.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 27.5N 117.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 106.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ35 KNHC 131455
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 106.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS
NEAR OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 131455
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 170SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 105.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.3N 106.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.1N 111.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 24.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 26.5N 116.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 27.5N 117.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 106.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 131455
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 106.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS
NEAR OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 131455
TCMEP5

HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 170SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 105.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.3N 106.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.1N 111.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 24.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 26.5N 116.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 27.5N 117.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 106.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 131455
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 106.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE SINCE A HURRICANE WATCH OR ADDITIONAL TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS
NEAR OR SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 131438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR
ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 117.2W
ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER
TODAY OR ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 131438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR
ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 117.2W
ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER
TODAY OR ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 131438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR
ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 117.2W
ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER
TODAY OR ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ31 KNHC 131438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR
ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 117.2W
ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER
TODAY OR ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 116.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.5N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 112.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 110.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 116.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.5N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 112.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 110.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 116.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.5N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 112.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 110.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 116.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.5N 114.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 112.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 110.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT21 KNHC 131437
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  46.9W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  46.9W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  46.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 22.7N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.2N  50.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.7N  52.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 35.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  46.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT31 KNHC 131437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT TO SEA OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 46.9W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1735 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATE SUNDAY OR
ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.AT


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT21 KNHC 131437
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  46.9W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  46.9W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  46.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 22.7N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.2N  50.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.7N  52.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 35.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  46.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT31 KNHC 131437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 13 2014

...EDOUARD EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT TO SEA OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 46.9W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1735 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATE SUNDAY OR
ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.AT


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 131201
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1100 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION QUE ESTUVO SOBRE LA FLORIDA AYER ESTA AHORA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS NO SE HA ORGANIZADO...Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS
NO ESTAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO A MEDIDA QUE EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVE GENERALMENTE AL OESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. ES
PROBABLE QUE EL AVION CASA HURACAN DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
QUE ESTUVO PROGRAMADO PARA HOY SE CANCELARA. FUERTES LLUVIAS
LOCALMENTE ASOCIADAS CON LA BAJA PRESION CONTINUARAN SOBRE PORCIONES
DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HASTA HASTA HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA AL
SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE SE HA TORNADO UN POCO MENOS
ORGANIZADA ESTA MANANA. ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA AUN ES
POSIBLE ANTES DE MOVERSE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR
DE 10 MPH HACIA UN AREA DESFAVORABLE PARA LA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION ASOCIADO CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL OESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA
TIERRA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE MEXICO...Y NO SE ANTICIPA DESARROLLO
ADICIONAL. ES PROBABLE QUE LAS LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y VIENTOS
EN RAFAGAS CONTINUEN SOBRE PORCIONES DEL ESTE DE MEXICO Y EL
EXTREMO SUR DE TEXAS HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 131201
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT SABADO 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL EDOUARD...LOCALIZADA A UNAS 1100 MILLAS AL ESTE
NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION QUE ESTUVO SOBRE LA FLORIDA AYER ESTA AHORA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE
AGUACEROS NO SE HA ORGANIZADO...Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS
NO ESTAN FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO A MEDIDA QUE EL
SISTEMA SE MUEVE GENERALMENTE AL OESTE DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. ES
PROBABLE QUE EL AVION CASA HURACAN DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
QUE ESTUVO PROGRAMADO PARA HOY SE CANCELARA. FUERTES LLUVIAS
LOCALMENTE ASOCIADAS CON LA BAJA PRESION CONTINUARAN SOBRE PORCIONES
DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HASTA HASTA HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
CIENTO.

ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA AL
SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE SE HA TORNADO UN POCO MENOS
ORGANIZADA ESTA MANANA. ALGUN DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA AUN ES
POSIBLE ANTES DE MOVERSE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE A ALREDEDOR
DE 10 MPH HACIA UN AREA DESFAVORABLE PARA LA FORMACION DE CICLON
TROPICAL.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
CIENTO.

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION ASOCIADO CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL OESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA
TIERRA SOBRE EL NORESTE DE MEXICO...Y NO SE ANTICIPA DESARROLLO
ADICIONAL. ES PROBABLE QUE LAS LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES Y VIENTOS
EN RAFAGAS CONTINUEN SOBRE PORCIONES DEL ESTE DE MEXICO Y EL
EXTREMO SUR DE TEXAS HOY.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD PARA UN DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0
POR CIENTO.

$$

ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN SIENDO
EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT31 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO MIATCPAT1.
PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ESTAN
SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO WMO TITULO WTNT21 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS TITULO
MIATCMAT1.

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 131144
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...ODILE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 105.8W
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ODILE...SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED
FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST.  ODILE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT
A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PASS
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 M