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000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280115
HLSSPN

WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 150 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SURESTE PONCE PUERTO RICO O CERCA DE 70 MILLAS AL SUR
DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 12 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON
AUN LA MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS: AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
  NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
  MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

SI VA A RELOCALIZAR HACIA UN ALBERGUE. DEBE IRSE LO ANTES POSIBLE.
DE NO REUBICARSE A UN ALBERGUE ADECUADO CUANDO HA SIDO INDICADO POR
LAS AUTORIDADES PODRIA PONER EN PELIGRO SU VIDA O DE SUS FAMILIARES.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y
MEDIDAS PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE
VERIFIQUE DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS
CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 11:30 PM AST...O ANTES
DE SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280115
HLSSPN

WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 150 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SURESTE PONCE PUERTO RICO O CERCA DE 70 MILLAS AL SUR
DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 12 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON
AUN LA MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS: AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
  NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
  MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

SI VA A RELOCALIZAR HACIA UN ALBERGUE. DEBE IRSE LO ANTES POSIBLE.
DE NO REUBICARSE A UN ALBERGUE ADECUADO CUANDO HA SIDO INDICADO POR
LAS AUTORIDADES PODRIA PONER EN PELIGRO SU VIDA O DE SUS FAMILIARES.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y
MEDIDAS PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE
VERIFIQUE DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS
CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 11:30 PM AST...O ANTES
DE SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280115
HLSSPN

WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 150 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SURESTE PONCE PUERTO RICO O CERCA DE 70 MILLAS AL SUR
DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 12 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON
AUN LA MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS: AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
  NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
  MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

SI VA A RELOCALIZAR HACIA UN ALBERGUE. DEBE IRSE LO ANTES POSIBLE.
DE NO REUBICARSE A UN ALBERGUE ADECUADO CUANDO HA SIDO INDICADO POR
LAS AUTORIDADES PODRIA PONER EN PELIGRO SU VIDA O DE SUS FAMILIARES.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y
MEDIDAS PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE
VERIFIQUE DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS
CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 11:30 PM AST...O ANTES
DE SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280115
HLSSPN

WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 150 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SURESTE PONCE PUERTO RICO O CERCA DE 70 MILLAS AL SUR
DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 12 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON
AUN LA MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS: AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
  NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
  MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

SI VA A RELOCALIZAR HACIA UN ALBERGUE. DEBE IRSE LO ANTES POSIBLE.
DE NO REUBICARSE A UN ALBERGUE ADECUADO CUANDO HA SIDO INDICADO POR
LAS AUTORIDADES PODRIA PONER EN PELIGRO SU VIDA O DE SUS FAMILIARES.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y
MEDIDAS PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE
VERIFIQUE DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS
CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 11:30 PM AST...O ANTES
DE SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA APPROACHING U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.7N 64.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE THIS
EVENING AT SAINT CROIX...AND THEN VIEQUES AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR
CONCERNS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK
FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN
TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS
SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 1130 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA APPROACHING U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.7N 64.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE THIS
EVENING AT SAINT CROIX...AND THEN VIEQUES AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR
CONCERNS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK
FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN
TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS
SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 1130 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA APPROACHING U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.7N 64.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE THIS
EVENING AT SAINT CROIX...AND THEN VIEQUES AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR
CONCERNS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK
FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN
TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS
SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 1130 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA APPROACHING U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.7N 64.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE THIS
EVENING AT SAINT CROIX...AND THEN VIEQUES AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR
CONCERNS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK
FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN
TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS
SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 1130 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA APPROACHING U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.7N 64.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE THIS
EVENING AT SAINT CROIX...AND THEN VIEQUES AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR
CONCERNS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK
FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN
TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS
SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 1130 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 280104
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280915-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
904 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA APPROACHING U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.7N 64.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE THIS
EVENING AT SAINT CROIX...AND THEN VIEQUES AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR
CONCERNS. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES. LOOK
FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND LISTEN
TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS. DRIVERS
SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 1130 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 280030
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCIENDO LLUVIAS FUERTES SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 145 MI...280 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MILIBARES...29.77 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE LAS BAHAMAS HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y
UNA VIGILANCIA PARA LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL CENTRO.

EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE
AL OESTE DE ISLA SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ANTIGUA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANGUILLA...ST KITTS...NEVIS...Y MONSERRAT.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE CURACAO HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SABA Y ST. EUSTATIUS.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ST MAARTEN HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ST MAARTEN.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA

* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE LA FRONTERA NORTE CON HAITI AL ESTE
  Y HACIA EL SUR HASTA ISLA SAONA
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL SURESTE
* LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS
* ST MARTIN
* ST BARTHELEMY


 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
  EFECTO PARA
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE ISLAS SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS CENTRALES

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 64.7
OESTE. ERIKA HA DISMINUIDO UN POCO SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION Y
AHORA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA.
ERIKA DEBERA RETORNAR HACIA UNA DIRECCION DEL OESTE NOROESTE CON UN
LEVE AUMENTO EN VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS.
EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA
DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS DURANTE EL ANOCHECER...CERCA O
SOBRE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO CERCA O SOBRE LA REPUBLICA
DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO EN LA
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MILIBARES...29.77
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE.
ESTAS CONDICIONES DEBERAN ESTAR ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...Y AL
SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11:00 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 280030
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCIENDO LLUVIAS FUERTES SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 145 MI...280 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MILIBARES...29.77 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE LAS BAHAMAS HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y
UNA VIGILANCIA PARA LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL CENTRO.

EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE
AL OESTE DE ISLA SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ANTIGUA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANGUILLA...ST KITTS...NEVIS...Y MONSERRAT.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE CURACAO HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SABA Y ST. EUSTATIUS.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ST MAARTEN HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ST MAARTEN.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA

* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE LA FRONTERA NORTE CON HAITI AL ESTE
  Y HACIA EL SUR HASTA ISLA SAONA
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL SURESTE
* LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS
* ST MARTIN
* ST BARTHELEMY


 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
  EFECTO PARA
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE ISLAS SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS CENTRALES

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 64.7
OESTE. ERIKA HA DISMINUIDO UN POCO SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION Y
AHORA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA.
ERIKA DEBERA RETORNAR HACIA UNA DIRECCION DEL OESTE NOROESTE CON UN
LEVE AUMENTO EN VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS.
EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA
DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS DURANTE EL ANOCHECER...CERCA O
SOBRE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO CERCA O SOBRE LA REPUBLICA
DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO EN LA
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MILIBARES...29.77
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE.
ESTAS CONDICIONES DEBERAN ESTAR ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...Y AL
SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11:00 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 280030
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCIENDO LLUVIAS FUERTES SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 145 MI...280 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MILIBARES...29.77 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE LAS BAHAMAS HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y
UNA VIGILANCIA PARA LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL CENTRO.

EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE
AL OESTE DE ISLA SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ANTIGUA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANGUILLA...ST KITTS...NEVIS...Y MONSERRAT.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE CURACAO HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SABA Y ST. EUSTATIUS.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ST MAARTEN HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ST MAARTEN.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA

* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE LA FRONTERA NORTE CON HAITI AL ESTE
  Y HACIA EL SUR HASTA ISLA SAONA
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL SURESTE
* LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS
* ST MARTIN
* ST BARTHELEMY


 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
  EFECTO PARA
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE ISLAS SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS CENTRALES

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 64.7
OESTE. ERIKA HA DISMINUIDO UN POCO SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION Y
AHORA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA.
ERIKA DEBERA RETORNAR HACIA UNA DIRECCION DEL OESTE NOROESTE CON UN
LEVE AUMENTO EN VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS.
EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA
DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS DURANTE EL ANOCHECER...CERCA O
SOBRE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO CERCA O SOBRE LA REPUBLICA
DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO EN LA
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MILIBARES...29.77
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE.
ESTAS CONDICIONES DEBERAN ESTAR ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...Y AL
SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11:00 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 280030
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCIENDO LLUVIAS FUERTES SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 64.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 145 MI...280 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MILIBARES...29.77 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE LAS BAHAMAS HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y
UNA VIGILANCIA PARA LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL CENTRO.

EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE
AL OESTE DE ISLA SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ANTIGUA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANGUILLA...ST KITTS...NEVIS...Y MONSERRAT.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE CURACAO HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SABA Y ST. EUSTATIUS.

EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE ST MAARTEN HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ST MAARTEN.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA

* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE LA FRONTERA NORTE CON HAITI AL ESTE
  Y HACIA EL SUR HASTA ISLA SAONA
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS DEL SURESTE
* LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS
* ST MARTIN
* ST BARTHELEMY


 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN
  EFECTO PARA
* LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE ISLAS SAONA HASTA PUNTA PALENQUE
* LAS ISLAS BAHAMAS CENTRALES

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 64.7
OESTE. ERIKA HA DISMINUIDO UN POCO SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION Y
AHORA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM POR HORA.
ERIKA DEBERA RETORNAR HACIA UNA DIRECCION DEL OESTE NOROESTE CON UN
LEVE AUMENTO EN VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS.
EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA
DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS DURANTE EL ANOCHECER...CERCA O
SOBRE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO CERCA O SOBRE LA REPUBLICA
DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO EN LA
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MILIBARES...29.77
PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE.
ESTAS CONDICIONES DEBERAN ESTAR ESPARCIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE A
TRAVES DE PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...Y AL
SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11:00 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 64.0W AT 27/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 151 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W-NW AT 13 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 61W AND 65W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 19N
BETWEEN 60W AND 65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS APPROXIMATELY
ALONG 27W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE SURFACE
TO 850 MB AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
HOWEVER...THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT SUPPRESS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION. AHEAD OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE...A 1012 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH
NEAR 10N32W. MODERATE TO HIGH MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO NEAR
700 MB AND MIDDLE LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 34W AND 38W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS NEAR 46W
...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODERATE
MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO NEARLY 700 MB IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
HOWEVER...THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT SUPPRESS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
14N17W TO 13N28W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W TO 07N36W. THE
ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 07N36W AND CONTINUES TO 08N45W. A 1012 MB LOW
IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N32W. MODERATE TO HIGH
MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO NEAR 700 MB AND MIDDLE LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 13N
BETWEEN 34W AND 38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE GULF OF CAMPECHE.
THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 28N85W TO 23N88W TO
24N95W. THE UPPER TROUGH ALSO SUPPORT A SURFACE TROUGH S OF THE
FRONT TAIL FROM 23N96W TO 19N94W. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
CARIBBEAN IS CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GENERATING INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT
ALOFT SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS OVER THE
SW GULF S OF 24N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE SE GULF WATERS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...S OF 27N E OF 87W. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE AND
ADVECTION FROM SOUTHERN U.S. SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER N AND W OF THE
FRONT. NORTHERLY WIND FLOW OF OF LESS THAN 15 KT COVERS THE
BASIN. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY
FRIDAY MORNING...THE STATIONARY FRONT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY
SATURDAY MORNING LEAVING A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST IN THE BASIN IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. A COMBINATION OF UPPER
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THE TROUGH IN THE GULF AND AN UPPER HIGH
S OF CUBA AND AN UPPER LOW FARTHER E OVER CENTRAL CUBA IS
CAUSING AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT ALONG WITH MODERATE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ACROSS CUBA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OVER THE NW
BASIN W OF JAMAICA. THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE NEAR THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING...MORE NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON FRIDAY.
ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND
SOUTHERN BAHAMAS THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF ERIKA.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. EASTERLIES OF 10-15 KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE BASIN.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
EASTERN HISPANIOLA AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUE TO MOVE W-NW
OVER EASTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON FRIDAY. ERIKA IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ISLAND THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO ALONG WITH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER THE FAR SW N ATLC SUPPORT
SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 22N W OF 70W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...DISCUSSED IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURES...IS S OF 19N BETWEEN 60W AND 65W. THERE ARE
TWO TROPICAL WAVES...ONE OVER THE CENTRAL BASIN AND OTHER W OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NONE GENERATING CONVECTION AT THE TIME. SEE
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS BETWEEN THE
WAVES GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 13N
BETWEEN 34W AND 38W. OTHERWISE...SURFACE RIDGING AND FAIR
WEATHER DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 280004
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 64.0W AT 27/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 151 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W-NW AT 13 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 61W AND 65W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 19N
BETWEEN 60W AND 65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS APPROXIMATELY
ALONG 27W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 20 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE SURFACE
TO 850 MB AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
HOWEVER...THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT SUPPRESS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION. AHEAD OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE...A 1012 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH
NEAR 10N32W. MODERATE TO HIGH MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO NEAR
700 MB AND MIDDLE LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 34W AND 38W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS NEAR 46W
...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODERATE
MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO NEARLY 700 MB IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
HOWEVER...THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE WAVE
ENVIRONMENT SUPPRESS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
14N17W TO 13N28W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W TO 07N36W. THE
ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 07N36W AND CONTINUES TO 08N45W. A 1012 MB LOW
IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 10N32W. MODERATE TO HIGH
MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO NEAR 700 MB AND MIDDLE LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 13N
BETWEEN 34W AND 38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE GULF OF CAMPECHE.
THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 28N85W TO 23N88W TO
24N95W. THE UPPER TROUGH ALSO SUPPORT A SURFACE TROUGH S OF THE
FRONT TAIL FROM 23N96W TO 19N94W. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
CARIBBEAN IS CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GENERATING INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT
ALOFT SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS OVER THE
SW GULF S OF 24N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE SE GULF WATERS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...S OF 27N E OF 87W. DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE AND
ADVECTION FROM SOUTHERN U.S. SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER N AND W OF THE
FRONT. NORTHERLY WIND FLOW OF OF LESS THAN 15 KT COVERS THE
BASIN. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY
FRIDAY MORNING...THE STATIONARY FRONT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY
SATURDAY MORNING LEAVING A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST IN THE BASIN IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. A COMBINATION OF UPPER
DIFFLUENCE GENERATED BY THE TROUGH IN THE GULF AND AN UPPER HIGH
S OF CUBA AND AN UPPER LOW FARTHER E OVER CENTRAL CUBA IS
CAUSING AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT ALONG WITH MODERATE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND
TSTMS ACROSS CUBA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OVER THE NW
BASIN W OF JAMAICA. THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE NEAR THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING...MORE NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON FRIDAY.
ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND
SOUTHERN BAHAMAS THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF ERIKA.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. EASTERLIES OF 10-15 KT DOMINATE ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE BASIN.

...HISPANIOLA...

CURRENTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
EASTERN HISPANIOLA AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUE TO MOVE W-NW
OVER EASTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON FRIDAY. ERIKA IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ISLAND THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO ALONG WITH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER THE FAR SW N ATLC SUPPORT
SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 22N W OF 70W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...DISCUSSED IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURES...IS S OF 19N BETWEEN 60W AND 65W. THERE ARE
TWO TROPICAL WAVES...ONE OVER THE CENTRAL BASIN AND OTHER W OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NONE GENERATING CONVECTION AT THE TIME. SEE
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS BETWEEN THE
WAVES GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 13N
BETWEEN 34W AND 38W. OTHERWISE...SURFACE RIDGING AND FAIR
WEATHER DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
WTPA31 PHFO 272353
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 168.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.7 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ON FRIDAY...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE









000
WTPA31 PHFO 272353
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 168.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.7 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ON FRIDAY...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTNT35 KNHC 272352
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA SOAKING PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 64.7W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, and
a Tropical Storm Watch for the Central Bahamas.

The Government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from west
of Isla Saona to Punta Palenque.

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat.

The Meteorological Service of Curacao has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius.

The Meteorological Service of St. Maarten has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Warning for St. Maarten.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
and southward to Isla Saona
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic from Isla Saona to Punta Palenque
* Central Bahamas

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic and in Haiti should
monitor the progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 64.7 West. Erika has
slowed down a little and is now moving westward near 12 mph (19
km/h). Erika should resume a west-northwest track with a slight
increase in forward speed later tonight. This general motion is
expected to continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track,
the center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands this evening,
move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and move near or over the
Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
primarily to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions should reach the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico tonight, and these conditions should spread westward
across portions of the Dominican Republic on Friday, and the
southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands late Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTNT35 KNHC 272352
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA SOAKING PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 64.7W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, and
a Tropical Storm Watch for the Central Bahamas.

The Government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the south coast of the Dominican Republic from west
of Isla Saona to Punta Palenque.

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat.

The Meteorological Service of Curacao has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius.

The Meteorological Service of St. Maarten has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Warning for St. Maarten.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
and southward to Isla Saona
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic from Isla Saona to Punta Palenque
* Central Bahamas

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic and in Haiti should
monitor the progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 64.7 West. Erika has
slowed down a little and is now moving westward near 12 mph (19
km/h). Erika should resume a west-northwest track with a slight
increase in forward speed later tonight. This general motion is
expected to continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track,
the center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands this evening,
move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and move near or over the
Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
primarily to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions should reach the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico tonight, and these conditions should spread westward
across portions of the Dominican Republic on Friday, and the
southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands late Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272337
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE MOVERA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA
EL SABADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE. ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO LENTO DE ESTE DISTURBIO SERA
POSIBLE HASTA MEDIADOS DE LA SEMANA PROXIMA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 TY 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA
  DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
  CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272337
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE MOVERA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA
EL SABADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE. ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO LENTO DE ESTE DISTURBIO SERA
POSIBLE HASTA MEDIADOS DE LA SEMANA PROXIMA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 TY 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA
  DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
  CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272337
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE MOVERA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA
EL SABADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE. ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO LENTO DE ESTE DISTURBIO SERA
POSIBLE HASTA MEDIADOS DE LA SEMANA PROXIMA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 TY 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA
  DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
  CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 272337
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

SE PRONOSTICA QUE UNA ONDA TROPICAL SE MOVERA DE LA COSTA DE AFRICA
EL SABADO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
CABO VERDE. ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO LENTO DE ESTE DISTURBIO SERA
POSIBLE HASTA MEDIADOS DE LA SEMANA PROXIMA MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA SE
MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE ENTRE 10 TY 15 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA
  DE 0 POR CIENTO
* PROBABILIDAD DE FORMACION EN LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR
  CIENTO

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART



000
ABNT20 KNHC 272333
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the coast of Africa on
Saturday a few hundred miles east-southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Some slow development of the disturbance will be possible
through the middle of next week while the system moves westward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 272333
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the coast of Africa on
Saturday a few hundred miles east-southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Some slow development of the disturbance will be possible
through the middle of next week while the system moves westward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 272333
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the coast of Africa on
Saturday a few hundred miles east-southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Some slow development of the disturbance will be possible
through the middle of next week while the system moves westward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 272333
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the coast of Africa on
Saturday a few hundred miles east-southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.  Some slow development of the disturbance will be possible
through the middle of next week while the system moves westward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ACPN50 PHFO 272332
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 1055 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 665 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO
HAWAII. LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272332
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 1055 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 665 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO
HAWAII. LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272332
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 1055 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 665 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO
HAWAII. LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272332
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 1055 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 665 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO
HAWAII. LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 272332
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 1055 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 665 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO
HAWAII. LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER




000
ACPN50 PHFO 272332
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 1055 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA33 PHFO.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 665 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO
HAWAII. LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272318
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located more than 900 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272318
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located more than 900 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272318
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located more than 900 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272204
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO
60 KT. JIMENA CONTINUES TO QUICKLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS
NOTED IN THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY. NUMEROUS BANDING FEATURES
ARE SEEN COILING AROUND THE CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION
CONSISTING OF THE NUMEROUS TYPE INTENSITY WITHIN 45 NM OF THE
CENTER. THE BANDING FEATURES CONSIST OF NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 13N120W TO 15N117W...AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN BANDS WITHIN 45 NM OF
A LINE 11N117W TO 10N119W TO 11N121.5W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W
AND 180 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF JIMENA. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO REACH
HURRICANE STRENGTH LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.5N 120.6W PER LATEST NHC
ADVISORY....AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD
UNDER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS N. PLEASE
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

HURRICANE IGNACIO IS JUST W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 12.9N
140.8W AT 27/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS
80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL
FORCE WINDS ARE IMPACTING THE AREA FROM 12N-14.5N W OF 139W WITH
SEAS OF 13-19 FT. IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO PULL
FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA THROUGH FRI...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROPICAL FORCE WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO 30 KT EARLY ON
FRI...AND TO 20 KT OR LESS FRI AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SEAS OF 8-10
FT IN MIXED SWELLS WILL LINGER FROM 12N-119N W OF 137W DURING
FRI MORNING...AND SUBSIDE TO 8 FT BY FRI AFTERNOON WITH THESE
CONDITIONS SHIFTING W OF 140W BY EARLY ON FRI EVENING. PLEASE
SEE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
HFOTCMCP3/WTPA23 PHFO FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 06N85W TO 05N83W
TO 09N92W TO 09N100W TO 09N108W. THE ITCZ AXIS IS NOT PRESENTLY
IDENTIFIABLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 240
NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 102W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-89W
...BETWEEN 91W-93W AND 96W-98W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N110W. OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO
AND TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE
NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LOCATED NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI
WHILE DISSIPATING.

LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN THE 17-18
SECOND RANGE HAS REACHED THE MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THESE
COASTS. ADDITIONAL PULSES OF SW SWELL WILL NEAR AND ACROSS THE
EQUATOR WILL PROPAGATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL
WATERS ON FRI.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT WILL AGAIN FUNNEL
THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT UNTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND AGAIN
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING WITH SEAS OF ABOUT 8-9 FT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY
EVENINGS.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272204
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO
60 KT. JIMENA CONTINUES TO QUICKLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS
NOTED IN THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY. NUMEROUS BANDING FEATURES
ARE SEEN COILING AROUND THE CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION
CONSISTING OF THE NUMEROUS TYPE INTENSITY WITHIN 45 NM OF THE
CENTER. THE BANDING FEATURES CONSIST OF NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 13N120W TO 15N117W...AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN BANDS WITHIN 45 NM OF
A LINE 11N117W TO 10N119W TO 11N121.5W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W
AND 180 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF JIMENA. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO REACH
HURRICANE STRENGTH LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.5N 120.6W PER LATEST NHC
ADVISORY....AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD
UNDER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS N. PLEASE
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

HURRICANE IGNACIO IS JUST W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 12.9N
140.8W AT 27/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS
80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL
FORCE WINDS ARE IMPACTING THE AREA FROM 12N-14.5N W OF 139W WITH
SEAS OF 13-19 FT. IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO PULL
FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA THROUGH FRI...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROPICAL FORCE WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO 30 KT EARLY ON
FRI...AND TO 20 KT OR LESS FRI AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SEAS OF 8-10
FT IN MIXED SWELLS WILL LINGER FROM 12N-119N W OF 137W DURING
FRI MORNING...AND SUBSIDE TO 8 FT BY FRI AFTERNOON WITH THESE
CONDITIONS SHIFTING W OF 140W BY EARLY ON FRI EVENING. PLEASE
SEE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
HFOTCMCP3/WTPA23 PHFO FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 06N85W TO 05N83W
TO 09N92W TO 09N100W TO 09N108W. THE ITCZ AXIS IS NOT PRESENTLY
IDENTIFIABLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 240
NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 102W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-89W
...BETWEEN 91W-93W AND 96W-98W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N110W. OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO
AND TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE
NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LOCATED NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI
WHILE DISSIPATING.

LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN THE 17-18
SECOND RANGE HAS REACHED THE MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THESE
COASTS. ADDITIONAL PULSES OF SW SWELL WILL NEAR AND ACROSS THE
EQUATOR WILL PROPAGATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL
WATERS ON FRI.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT WILL AGAIN FUNNEL
THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT UNTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND AGAIN
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING WITH SEAS OF ABOUT 8-9 FT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY
EVENINGS.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272204
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO
60 KT. JIMENA CONTINUES TO QUICKLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS
NOTED IN THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY. NUMEROUS BANDING FEATURES
ARE SEEN COILING AROUND THE CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION
CONSISTING OF THE NUMEROUS TYPE INTENSITY WITHIN 45 NM OF THE
CENTER. THE BANDING FEATURES CONSIST OF NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 13N120W TO 15N117W...AND
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN BANDS WITHIN 45 NM OF
A LINE 11N117W TO 10N119W TO 11N121.5W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W
AND 180 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF JIMENA. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO REACH
HURRICANE STRENGTH LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.5N 120.6W PER LATEST NHC
ADVISORY....AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD
UNDER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS N. PLEASE
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

HURRICANE IGNACIO IS JUST W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 12.9N
140.8W AT 27/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS
80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL
FORCE WINDS ARE IMPACTING THE AREA FROM 12N-14.5N W OF 139W WITH
SEAS OF 13-19 FT. IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO PULL
FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA THROUGH FRI...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROPICAL FORCE WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO 30 KT EARLY ON
FRI...AND TO 20 KT OR LESS FRI AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SEAS OF 8-10
FT IN MIXED SWELLS WILL LINGER FROM 12N-119N W OF 137W DURING
FRI MORNING...AND SUBSIDE TO 8 FT BY FRI AFTERNOON WITH THESE
CONDITIONS SHIFTING W OF 140W BY EARLY ON FRI EVENING. PLEASE
SEE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
HFOTCMCP3/WTPA23 PHFO FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 06N85W TO 05N83W
TO 09N92W TO 09N100W TO 09N108W. THE ITCZ AXIS IS NOT PRESENTLY
IDENTIFIABLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 240
NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 102W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-89W
...BETWEEN 91W-93W AND 96W-98W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N110W. OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO
AND TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE
NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LOCATED NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI
WHILE DISSIPATING.

LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN THE 17-18
SECOND RANGE HAS REACHED THE MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THESE
COASTS. ADDITIONAL PULSES OF SW SWELL WILL NEAR AND ACROSS THE
EQUATOR WILL PROPAGATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL
WATERS ON FRI.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT WILL AGAIN FUNNEL
THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT UNTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND AGAIN
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING WITH SEAS OF ABOUT 8-9 FT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY
EVENINGS.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272137
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 180 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
140 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 90
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 285 GRADOS A 15 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 8:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272137
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 180 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
140 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 90
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 285 GRADOS A 15 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 8:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272137
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 180 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
140 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 90
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 285 GRADOS A 15 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 8:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272137
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 180 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
140 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 90
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 285 GRADOS A 15 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 8:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272137
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 180 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
140 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 90
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 285 GRADOS A 15 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 8:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272137
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12                                      SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 180 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
140 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 90
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 285 GRADOS A 15 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LOS VIENTOS
MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA PERMANECEN DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 8:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272132
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA QUICKLY APPROACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 140 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.6N 64.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 830 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272132
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA QUICKLY APPROACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 140 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.6N 64.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 830 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272132
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA QUICKLY APPROACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 140 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.6N 64.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 830 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 272132
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280545-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
532 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA QUICKLY APPROACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 140 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.6N 64.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 830 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 272050
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   12
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCIENDO LLUVIAS FUERTES SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.6 NORTE 64.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 175 MI...280 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 15 MPH...24 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA CAMBIADO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL A UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA REPUBLICA
DOMINICANA DESDE LA FRONTERA NORTE CON HAITI HACIA EL OESTE Y HACIA
EL SUR HASTA ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 64.0
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH...24
KM POR HORA Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE
ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE
HOY...CERCA O SOBRE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO CERCA O SOBRE
LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO EN LA
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE
HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PUDIERAN RESULTAR EN
INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMENDIA A LAS 8:00 PM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 11:00 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTPA31 PHFO 272045
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO SLOWLY STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 168.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.5 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA21 PHFO 272044
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 168.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 168.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 168.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 169.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.3N 170.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.3N 171.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.5N 173.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.8N 175.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 20.9N 177.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 23.3N 178.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 168.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA21 PHFO 272044
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 168.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 168.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 168.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 169.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.3N 170.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.3N 171.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.5N 173.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.8N 175.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 20.9N 177.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 23.3N 178.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 168.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  63.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  78.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  63.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  78.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT35 KNHC 272036
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 64.0W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has changed the Tropical
Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the Dominican Republic
from the northern border with Haiti eastward and southward to Isla
Saona.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
and southward to Isla Saona

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic and in Haiti should
monitor the progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 64.0 West. Erika is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours.  On
the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near the Virgin
Islands this evening, move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and
move near or over the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands for the next
few hours, and reach the Virgin Islands this evening and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands for the next few hours.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks
and Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 272036
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 64.0W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has changed the Tropical
Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the Dominican Republic
from the northern border with Haiti eastward and southward to Isla
Saona.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
and southward to Isla Saona

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic and in Haiti should
monitor the progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 64.0 West. Erika is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours.  On
the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near the Virgin
Islands this evening, move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and
move near or over the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands for the next
few hours, and reach the Virgin Islands this evening and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands for the next few hours.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks
and Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTPA33 PHFO 272036
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO CROSSES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 1055 MI...1700 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1265 MI...2040 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND IGNACIO COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA33 PHFO 272036
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
1100 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO CROSSES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 140.8W
ABOUT 1055 MI...1700 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1265 MI...2040 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND IGNACIO COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






000
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  63.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  78.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTPA23 PHFO 272035
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 140.8W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 140.8W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 140.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.6N 142.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.5N 144.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.3N 145.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.1N 147.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N 149.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 19.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 21.0N 154.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA







000
WTPA23 PHFO 272035
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 140.8W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 140.8W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 140.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.6N 142.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.5N 144.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.3N 145.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.1N 147.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N 149.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 19.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 21.0N 154.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 140.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA








000
WTPZ33 KNHC 272031
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA STRENGTHENING QUICKLY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 118.7W
ABOUT 925 MI...1490 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 118.7 West.  Jimena is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Jimena is expected to become a hurricane
tonight or on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 272031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 120.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.5N 122.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.6N 124.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 13.0N 126.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.3N 130.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 16.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 118.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271923 CCA
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271923 CCA
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271923 CCA
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271923 CCA
HLSSPN
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920 CCA
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920 CCA
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920 CCA
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271920
HLSSPN

COMUNICADO LOCAL TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

ESTE PRODUCTO CUBRE A PUERTO RICO Y A LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS

...ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO...

INFORMACION NUEVA
-----------------

* CAMBIOS A VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS:
  - NINGUNO.

* VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS ACTUALES:
- UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA TODO PUERTO
  RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA:
- COMO A 200 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO O COMO A
150 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE SAN TOMAS ISLAS VIRGENES O COMO A 110
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE SANTA CRUZ ISLAS VIRGENES
- 16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
- INTENSIDAD DE LA TORMENTA A 45 MILLAS POR HORA
- MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE O COMO A 280 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA

RESUMEN DE LA SITUACION
-----------------------

LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUA EN LA TRAYECTORIA HACIA LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y PUERTO RICO... PERO CON LA MAYORIA DE
LOS VIENTOS MAS INTENSOS Y LA LLUVIA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS AFECTANDO
A SANTA CRUZ. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA SEAN MAYORES DE 40 MPH...CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH POSIBLES
ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE. LA LLUVIA Y LAS INUNDACIONES SON AUN LA
MAYOR PREOCUPACION. LOS ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA HAN AUMENTADO DE 4 A 8
PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS POSIBLES. LLUVIAS
SIGNIFCATIVAS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA CONTINUARAN SOBRE PUERTO
RICO DURANTE EL DIA EL VIERNES Y CONTINUARA LA AMENAZA DE
INUNDACIONES.

IMPACTOS POTENCIALES
--------------------

* INUNDACIONES:
PREPARESE PARA INUNDACIONES PELIGROSAS PROVOCADAS
POR LLUVIAS CON POSIBLES IMPACTOS SIGNIFICATIVOS A TRAVES DE
PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.
IMPACTOS POTENCIALES INCLUYEN:
- INUNDACIONES DEBIDO A LLUVIAS MODERADAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
  EVACUACIONES Y RESCATES.
- RIOS Y TRIBUTARIOS PUDIERAN CRECER RAPIDAMENTE Y SALIRSE DE SUS
  CAUCES EN VARIOS LUGARES. RIACHUELOS...QUEBRADAS...CANALES...ARROYOS
  Y BADENES PUDIERAN TORNARSE EN RIOS PELIGROSOS. SISTEMAS DE CONTROL
  DE INUNDACIONES Y BARRERAS PUDIERAN VERSE AFECTADOS.
- AGUAS INUNDADAS PUEDEN AFECTAR ESTRUCTURAS EN VARIAS
  COMUNIDADES...ALGUNAS ESTRUCTURAS PUDIERAN TORNARSE INHABITABLES O
  ARRASTRADAS. VARIOS LUGARES DONDE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES PUDIERAN
  CUBRIR RUTAS DE ESCAPE. LAS CONDICIONES PUDIERAN TORNARSE PELIGROSAS
  PARA CONDUCIR VEHICULOS. ALGUNAS CARRETERAS O PUENTES PODRIAN ESTAR
  CERRADOS AL PASO.

* VIENTO:
  PREPARESE PARA EXPERIMENTAR VIENTOS PELIGROSOS RESULTANDO EN
  IMPACTOS LIMITADOS A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES
  AMERICANAS. EL POTENCIAL DE IMPACTOS INCLUYE:
- ALGUNOS DANOS EN ESTRUCTURAS DE LOS HOGARES Y EDIFICIOS TALES COMO
  EN LOS TECHOS...BALCONES...VENTANAS...PUERTAS...Y PUERTAS DE
  GARAJES. OBJETOS LIVIANOS PODRIAN CONVERTIRSE EN PROYECTILES PELIGROSOS.
- VARIOS ARBOLES PODRIAN CAERSE O SER DESARRAIGADOS. VARIAS CALLES
  PUDIERAN ESTAR INTRANSITABLES DEBIDO A LOS
  ESCOMBROS...PARTICULARMENTE DENTRO DE AREAS URBANAS. CONDICIONES
  PELIGROSAS EN LAS CARRETERAS...PUENTES Y AREAS ELEVADAS.
- INTERRUPCION EN COMUNICACIONES Y DEL SERVICIO ELECTRICO
  OCASIONALMENTE.

* MAREJADA CICLONICA:
  SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS
  A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

* TORNADOS:
  ACTUALMENTE SE ANTICIPA POCO IMPACTO A TRAVES DE PUERTO RICO Y
  LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS.

MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS
----------------------------------

* DESALOJO O REUBICACION:
PARA LOS QUE ESTAN BAJO ORDENES DE DESALOJAR O REUBICAR...FAVOR DE
SALIR LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE CON UN DESTINO PLANIFICADO. LLENAR DE
GASOLINA LOS TANQUES DE LOS CARROS ANTES DE TIEMPO. ASEGURAR DE
LLEVAR CONSIGO LOS MATERIALES ESENCIALES PARA SU EQUIPO DE
EMERGENCIA. NOTIFICAR A OTROS DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO Y CUANDO
LLEGARA A SU DESTINO.

S ES EXCEPCIONALMENTE VULNERABLE A VIENTOS Y PELIGRO DE AGUA
DEBIDO A LOS SISTEMAS TROPICALES...CONSIDERE REUBICARSE
VOLUNTARIAMENTE...ESPECIALMENTE SI ES RECOMENDADO OFICIALMENTE.
FAVOR DE REUBICARSE A UN LUGAR SEGURO.

SI ESTA DESALOJANDO EL AREA O REUBICANDOSE A UN LUGAR CERCA Y
SEGURO...FAVOR DE SALIR TEMPRANO ANTES DE QUE LAS CONDICIONES DEL
TIEMPO SE TORNEN PELIGROSAS.

* OTROS PREPARATIVOS:
AHORA ES EL MOMENTO DE COMPLETAR LAS MEDIDAS
NECESARIAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y ASEGURAR SU HOGAR O NEGOCIO. ES EL
MOMENTO DE VERIFICAR SU PLAN DE EMERGENCIA.

LOS PREPARATIVOS DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS LO MAS PRONTO POSIBLE ANTES DEL
DETERIORO DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO. CUALQUIER DESALOJO O
REUBICACION DEBE SER ACELERADO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DE LOS VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL.

DEJE SABER A SUS FAMILIARES O AMISTADES SOBRE SUS INTENSIONES Y MEDIDAS
PARA ENFRENTAR EL EVENTO. COORDINE CON UNA PERSONA PARA QUE VERIFIQUE
DESPUES DE PASADO EL EVENTO POR SU PERSONA U OTROS CONOCIDOS.

EN SITUACIONES DE EMERGENCIA MANTENGA LA CALMA. MANTENGASE INFORMADO Y
ENFOCADO EN LA SITUACION A MANO. AYUDE A OTROS SI NECESITAN COLABORACION
O QUE NECESITEN CONOCER SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES ATMOSFERICAS.

SI ES UN VISITANTE Y AUN ESTA EN EL AREA FAVOR ESTAR PENDIENTE
DEL NOMBRE DE LA CIUDAD EN DONDE SE ESTARA HOSPEDANDO EN LAS
ACTUALIZACIONES DE LOS COMUNICADOS LOCALES. CONOZCA EL NOMBRE DE SU
AREA O DONDE ESTA UBICADO. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE
LA AUTORIDAD LOCAL.

MANTENGASE ATENTO AL RADIO NOAA U OTROS MEDIOS NOTICIOSOS PARA MAS
INFORMACION. ESTAR LISTOS PARA ADAPTARSE A CAMBIOS POSIBLES EN EL
PRONOSTICO.

* RECURSOS ADICIONALES DE INFORMACION:
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS APROPIADOS REFIERASE A READY.GOV
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE CREAR UN PLAN DE EMERGENCIA REFIERASE A GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- PARA INFORMACION SOBRE PREPARATIVOS DE DESASTRE REFIERASE A REDCROSS.ORG

PROXIMA ACTUALIZACION
---------------------

EL PROXIMO COMUNICADO LOCAL SERA EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PR ALREDEDOR DE LAS 5:30 PM AST...O ANTES DE
SER NECESARIO.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271840
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA MOVING TOWARDS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.5N 63.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 530 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$



000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271840
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA MOVING TOWARDS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.5N 63.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 530 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTCA82 TJSJ 271840
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280245-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
240 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA MOVING TOWARDS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 150 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.5N 63.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CONTINUES ON TRACK TO CROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE WINDS AND RAINFALL WITHIN
A FEW HOURS OF SAINT CROIX. SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL THE MAJOR CONCERNS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE LOCAL ISLANDS STAND AT 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERIKA
WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
ELEVATED STORM SURGE THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 530 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$


000
WTPA31 PHFO 271755
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 168.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.4 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD
SPEED SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA31 PHFO 271755
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 168.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.4 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD
SPEED SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA31 PHFO 271755
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 168.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.4 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD
SPEED SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA31 PHFO 271755
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 168.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.4 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD
SPEED SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW
MOVING TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND
ARE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
AXNT20 KNHC 271752
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA AS OF 27/1500 UTC WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N
63.3W OR ABOUT 110 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N25W TO 09N25W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE S OF 15N IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 21W AND 27W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N43W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE PAST
24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW SSMI IMAGERY. SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO
EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
16N16W TO 12N24W THEN CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N27W
TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR THIS LOW AND
CONTINUES TO 10N43W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 28W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN US SW
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A BASE NEAR 20N. THIS TROUGH
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM N FL NEAR 30N83W
TO 25N86W TO 23N94W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
S FL TO 24N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIO0N IS FROM 25N TO
29N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW GULF FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 88W
AND 97W AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A COMBINATION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AND A DIURNAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
22N96W TO 18N94W. DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE GULF NW OF
THE STATIONARY FRONT. 10 TO 15 KT N TO NE WINDS COVER THE GULF N
OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE SW GULF. SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT COVER
THE SE GULF. THE MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN TACT ACROSS
THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH THAT TIME.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE BASE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF RESIDES
ALONG 20N. THIS SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 83W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND DEEP
MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N E OF 78W
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. ASIDE FROM THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION
AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL SPREAD W TO NW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN.

...HISPANIOLA...
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND TODAY. SHOWERS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND WELL IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA. ERIKA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND GULF OF
MEXICO SUPPORTS A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
21N76W TO THE FL STRAITS NEAR 25N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND
THE FL PENINSULA. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...FORMERLY THE REMNANTS
OF DANNY...EXTENDS FROM 23N75W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 22N WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF SURFACE HIGHS
NEAR 28N61W AND 31N25W. THIS RIDGING SUPPORTS GENERALLY FAIR
WEATHER OVER THE SUBTROPICAL N ATLC E OF 67W. TWO TROPICAL WAVES
ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE W ATLC OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
NEARBY WATERS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271752
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA AS OF 27/1500 UTC WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N
63.3W OR ABOUT 110 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N25W TO 09N25W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE S OF 15N IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 21W AND 27W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N43W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE PAST
24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW SSMI IMAGERY. SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO
EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
16N16W TO 12N24W THEN CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N27W
TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR THIS LOW AND
CONTINUES TO 10N43W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 28W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN US SW
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A BASE NEAR 20N. THIS TROUGH
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM N FL NEAR 30N83W
TO 25N86W TO 23N94W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
S FL TO 24N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIO0N IS FROM 25N TO
29N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW GULF FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 88W
AND 97W AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A COMBINATION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AND A DIURNAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
22N96W TO 18N94W. DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE GULF NW OF
THE STATIONARY FRONT. 10 TO 15 KT N TO NE WINDS COVER THE GULF N
OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE SW GULF. SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT COVER
THE SE GULF. THE MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN TACT ACROSS
THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH THAT TIME.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE BASE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF RESIDES
ALONG 20N. THIS SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 83W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND DEEP
MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N E OF 78W
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. ASIDE FROM THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION
AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL SPREAD W TO NW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN.

...HISPANIOLA...
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND TODAY. SHOWERS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND WELL IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA. ERIKA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND GULF OF
MEXICO SUPPORTS A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
21N76W TO THE FL STRAITS NEAR 25N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND
THE FL PENINSULA. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...FORMERLY THE REMNANTS
OF DANNY...EXTENDS FROM 23N75W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 22N WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF SURFACE HIGHS
NEAR 28N61W AND 31N25W. THIS RIDGING SUPPORTS GENERALLY FAIR
WEATHER OVER THE SUBTROPICAL N ATLC E OF 67W. TWO TROPICAL WAVES
ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE W ATLC OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
NEARBY WATERS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271752
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA AS OF 27/1500 UTC WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N
63.3W OR ABOUT 110 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N25W TO 09N25W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE S OF 15N IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 21W AND 27W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N43W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE PAST
24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW SSMI IMAGERY. SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO
EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
16N16W TO 12N24W THEN CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N27W
TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR THIS LOW AND
CONTINUES TO 10N43W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 28W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN US SW
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A BASE NEAR 20N. THIS TROUGH
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM N FL NEAR 30N83W
TO 25N86W TO 23N94W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
S FL TO 24N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIO0N IS FROM 25N TO
29N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW GULF FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 88W
AND 97W AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A COMBINATION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AND A DIURNAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
22N96W TO 18N94W. DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE GULF NW OF
THE STATIONARY FRONT. 10 TO 15 KT N TO NE WINDS COVER THE GULF N
OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE SW GULF. SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT COVER
THE SE GULF. THE MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN TACT ACROSS
THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH THAT TIME.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE BASE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF RESIDES
ALONG 20N. THIS SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 83W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND DEEP
MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N E OF 78W
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. ASIDE FROM THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION
AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL SPREAD W TO NW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN.

...HISPANIOLA...
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND TODAY. SHOWERS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND WELL IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA. ERIKA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND GULF OF
MEXICO SUPPORTS A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
21N76W TO THE FL STRAITS NEAR 25N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND
THE FL PENINSULA. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...FORMERLY THE REMNANTS
OF DANNY...EXTENDS FROM 23N75W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 22N WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF SURFACE HIGHS
NEAR 28N61W AND 31N25W. THIS RIDGING SUPPORTS GENERALLY FAIR
WEATHER OVER THE SUBTROPICAL N ATLC E OF 67W. TWO TROPICAL WAVES
ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE W ATLC OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
NEARBY WATERS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271752
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA AS OF 27/1500 UTC WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N
63.3W OR ABOUT 110 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N25W TO 09N25W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE S OF 15N IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 21W AND 27W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N43W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE PAST
24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW SSMI IMAGERY. SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO
EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
16N16W TO 12N24W THEN CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N27W
TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR THIS LOW AND
CONTINUES TO 10N43W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 28W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN US SW
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A BASE NEAR 20N. THIS TROUGH
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM N FL NEAR 30N83W
TO 25N86W TO 23N94W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
S FL TO 24N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIO0N IS FROM 25N TO
29N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW GULF FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 88W
AND 97W AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A COMBINATION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AND A DIURNAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
22N96W TO 18N94W. DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE GULF NW OF
THE STATIONARY FRONT. 10 TO 15 KT N TO NE WINDS COVER THE GULF N
OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE SW GULF. SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT COVER
THE SE GULF. THE MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN TACT ACROSS
THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH THAT TIME.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE BASE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF RESIDES
ALONG 20N. THIS SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 83W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND DEEP
MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N E OF 78W
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. ASIDE FROM THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION
AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL SPREAD W TO NW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN.

...HISPANIOLA...
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND TODAY. SHOWERS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND WELL IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA. ERIKA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND GULF OF
MEXICO SUPPORTS A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
21N76W TO THE FL STRAITS NEAR 25N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND
THE FL PENINSULA. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...FORMERLY THE REMNANTS
OF DANNY...EXTENDS FROM 23N75W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 22N WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF SURFACE HIGHS
NEAR 28N61W AND 31N25W. THIS RIDGING SUPPORTS GENERALLY FAIR
WEATHER OVER THE SUBTROPICAL N ATLC E OF 67W. TWO TROPICAL WAVES
ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE W ATLC OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
NEARBY WATERS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271752
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA AS OF 27/1500 UTC WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N
63.3W OR ABOUT 110 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N25W TO 09N25W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE S OF 15N IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 21W AND 27W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N43W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE PAST
24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW SSMI IMAGERY. SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO
EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
16N16W TO 12N24W THEN CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N27W
TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR THIS LOW AND
CONTINUES TO 10N43W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 28W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN US SW
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A BASE NEAR 20N. THIS TROUGH
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM N FL NEAR 30N83W
TO 25N86W TO 23N94W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
S FL TO 24N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIO0N IS FROM 25N TO
29N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW GULF FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 88W
AND 97W AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A COMBINATION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AND A DIURNAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
22N96W TO 18N94W. DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE GULF NW OF
THE STATIONARY FRONT. 10 TO 15 KT N TO NE WINDS COVER THE GULF N
OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE SW GULF. SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT COVER
THE SE GULF. THE MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN TACT ACROSS
THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH THAT TIME.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE BASE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF RESIDES
ALONG 20N. THIS SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 83W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND DEEP
MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N E OF 78W
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. ASIDE FROM THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION
AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL SPREAD W TO NW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN.

...HISPANIOLA...
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND TODAY. SHOWERS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND WELL IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA. ERIKA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND GULF OF
MEXICO SUPPORTS A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
21N76W TO THE FL STRAITS NEAR 25N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND
THE FL PENINSULA. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...FORMERLY THE REMNANTS
OF DANNY...EXTENDS FROM 23N75W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 22N WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF SURFACE HIGHS
NEAR 28N61W AND 31N25W. THIS RIDGING SUPPORTS GENERALLY FAIR
WEATHER OVER THE SUBTROPICAL N ATLC E OF 67W. TWO TROPICAL WAVES
ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE W ATLC OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
NEARBY WATERS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
AXNT20 KNHC 271752
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA AS OF 27/1500 UTC WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N
63.3W OR ABOUT 110 NM W OF GUADELOUPE...MOVING W AT 14 KT.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
17N25W TO 09N25W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS.
SSMI TPW INDICATES MODERATE MOISTURE S OF 15N IN THE ENVIRONMENT
OF THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 21W AND 27W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N43W TO 11N44W...MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT DURING THE PAST
24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW SSMI IMAGERY. SAHARAN DUST IS ALSO
EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
WAVE AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
16N16W TO 12N24W THEN CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 11N27W
TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 10N32W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR THIS LOW AND
CONTINUES TO 10N43W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 28W AND 41W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN US SW
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A BASE NEAR 20N. THIS TROUGH
SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM N FL NEAR 30N83W
TO 25N86W TO 23N94W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS
S FL TO 24N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIO0N IS FROM 25N TO
29N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE FL PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALSO OVER THE SW GULF FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 88W
AND 97W AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A COMBINATION OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AND A DIURNAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
22N96W TO 18N94W. DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE GULF NW OF
THE STATIONARY FRONT. 10 TO 15 KT N TO NE WINDS COVER THE GULF N
OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE SW GULF. SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT COVER
THE SE GULF. THE MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN TACT ACROSS
THE BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GULF THROUGH THAT TIME.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE BASE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF RESIDES
ALONG 20N. THIS SUPPORTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 83W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND DEEP
MOISTURE SUPPORTS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 12N E OF 78W
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS. ASIDE FROM THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION
AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL SPREAD W TO NW OVER THE NE
CARIBBEAN.

...HISPANIOLA...
GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND TODAY. SHOWERS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND WELL IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA. ERIKA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND GULF OF
MEXICO SUPPORTS A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
21N76W TO THE FL STRAITS NEAR 25N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND
THE FL PENINSULA. ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH...FORMERLY THE REMNANTS
OF DANNY...EXTENDS FROM 23N75W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 22N WITHIN 30 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ERIKA OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS ANCHORED BY A PAIR OF SURFACE HIGHS
NEAR 28N61W AND 31N25W. THIS RIDGING SUPPORTS GENERALLY FAIR
WEATHER OVER THE SUBTROPICAL N ATLC E OF 67W. TWO TROPICAL WAVES
ARE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES
SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS EXPECT
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVER THE W ATLC OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
NEARBY WATERS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

LATTO


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271750
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271750
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271750
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271750
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271750
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271750
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271747 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA AUN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271747 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA AUN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271747 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA AUN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271742 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271742 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271742 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271742 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271742 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271742 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   11A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN MAS DEBIL...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 63.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 160 MI...255 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA HA DESCONTINUADO EL AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA.

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL SUR DE ISLA SAONA.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 140
MILLAS...220 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH


000
ACPN50 PHFO 271738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII WILL
BEGIN ISSUING ADVISORIES AT 11 AM HST ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED
1130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3
AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO. PREVIOUS ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2
AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 640 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII.
LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST AT 10
MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER




000
ACPN50 PHFO 271738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII WILL
BEGIN ISSUING ADVISORIES AT 11 AM HST ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED
1130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3
AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO. PREVIOUS ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2
AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 640 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII.
LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST AT 10
MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ACPN50 PHFO 271738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII WILL
BEGIN ISSUING ADVISORIES AT 11 AM HST ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED
1130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3
AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO. PREVIOUS ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2
AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 640 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII.
LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST AT 10
MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER




000
ACPN50 PHFO 271738
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII WILL
BEGIN ISSUING ADVISORIES AT 11 AM HST ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED
1130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP3
AND WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO. PREVIOUS ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2
AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32.

2. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 640 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

3. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII.
LITTLE IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST AT 10
MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
ABNT20 KNHC 271734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
WTNT35 KNHC 271733
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA SLIGHTLY WEAKER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 63.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Antigua and Barbuda.

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the Tropical
Storm Watch southward to Isla Saona.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
  and southward to Isla Saona
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 63.8 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and move near or over the
Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands for the next
few hours, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks
and Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT35 KNHC 271733
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA SLIGHTLY WEAKER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 63.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Antigua and Barbuda.

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the Tropical
Storm Watch southward to Isla Saona.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
  and southward to Isla Saona
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 63.8 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and move near or over the
Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands for the next
few hours, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks
and Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271733
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA SLIGHTLY WEAKER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 63.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Antigua and Barbuda.

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the Tropical
Storm Watch southward to Isla Saona.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominican Republic from the northern border with Haiti eastward
  and southward to Isla Saona
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 63.8 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and move near or over the
Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands for the next
few hours, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks
and Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued its last advisory
on Hurricane Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands.  Future advisories on Ignacio will be issued by
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued its last advisory
on Hurricane Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands.  Future advisories on Ignacio will be issued by
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued its last advisory
on Hurricane Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands.  Future advisories on Ignacio will be issued by
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued its last advisory
on Hurricane Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands.  Future advisories on Ignacio will be issued by
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued its last advisory
on Hurricane Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands.  Future advisories on Ignacio will be issued by
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271733
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jimena, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued its last advisory
on Hurricane Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands.  Future advisories on Ignacio will be issued by
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500 UTC
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 80 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
IGNACIO IS STRENGTHENING A LITTLE MORE. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS
INCREASED AROUND THE CENTER. CURRENTLY...NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. A BAND OF
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF CENTER
WITHIN AROUND 90 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 10N135W TO 07N140W TO
07N145W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALSO E OF CENTER FROM 10N TO 19N
BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO FURTHER
STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA LATER TODAY.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500
UTC MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT. JIMENA IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP
CONVECTION PERSISTING NEAR THE CENTER AND MORE PRONOUNCED
BANDING DEVELOPING AROUND THE CIRCULATION. CURRENTLY SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W. AN AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE SE OF
THE CENTER COVERING FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE
STORM IS FORECAST TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BY FRI MORNING
NEAR 13N122W PER LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 09N94W TO
08N108W. NO ITCZ IS PRESENTLY IDENTIFIED. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION CAN BE FOUND N OF 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 32N129W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N110W. OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO
AND TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE
NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LOCATED NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI
WHILE DISSIPATING.

LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN THE 17-18
SECOND RANGE HAS REACHED THE MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THESE
COASTS. ADDITIONAL PULSES OF SW SWELL WILL REACH THE EQUATOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND PROPAGATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL
WATERS ON FRI.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...PULSING NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT
RANGE ARE FORECAST TO FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND AGAIN FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT
MORNING WITH BUILDING SEAS TO 8-9 FT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS.

$$
GR



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271529
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500 UTC
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 80 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
IGNACIO IS STRENGTHENING A LITTLE MORE. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS
INCREASED AROUND THE CENTER. CURRENTLY...NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. A BAND OF
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF CENTER
WITHIN AROUND 90 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 10N135W TO 07N140W TO
07N145W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALSO E OF CENTER FROM 10N TO 19N
BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO FURTHER
STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA LATER TODAY.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500
UTC MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT. JIMENA IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP
CONVECTION PERSISTING NEAR THE CENTER AND MORE PRONOUNCED
BANDING DEVELOPING AROUND THE CIRCULATION. CURRENTLY SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W. AN AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE SE OF
THE CENTER COVERING FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. THE
STORM IS FORECAST TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BY FRI MORNING
NEAR 13N122W PER LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 09N94W TO
08N108W. NO ITCZ IS PRESENTLY IDENTIFIED. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION CAN BE FOUND N OF 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

...DISCUSSION...

A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 32N129W
EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N110W. OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO
AND TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE
NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LOCATED NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI
WHILE DISSIPATING.

LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN THE 17-18
SECOND RANGE HAS REACHED THE MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THESE
COASTS. ADDITIONAL PULSES OF SW SWELL WILL REACH THE EQUATOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND PROPAGATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL
WATERS ON FRI.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...PULSING NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT
RANGE ARE FORECAST TO FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND AGAIN FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT
MORNING WITH BUILDING SEAS TO 8-9 FT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS.

$$
GR


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271510 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   11
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.4 NORTE 63.3 OESTE
CERCA DE 125 MI...205 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 270 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL HACIA EL OESTE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICA HACIA LA FRONTERA CON HAITI.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA...DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 63.3
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBE CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS
ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY...CERCA O AL NORTE DE PUERTO
RICO ESTA NOCHE...Y PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO DURANTE LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DESDE EL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUEN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO HASTA ESTA
TARDE Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS MAS TARDE HOY Y
PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON
POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO
HASTA ESTA TARDE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR
PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES Y SL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 12 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO. DOMINICA REPORTO CERCA DE 9 PULGADAS DE
LLUVIA DURANTE LA NOCHE CON INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS OCURRIENDO
SOBRE LA ISLA.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 PM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTNT35 KNHC 271457
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 63.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the
Tropical Storm Watch westward along the north coast of the
Dominican Republic to the border of Haiti.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the
  border of Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands through early
this afternoon, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks
and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeast Bahamas through Saturday.  Dominica reported nearly 9
inches of rainfall overnight, with significant flooding occurring
on the island.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271457
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 63.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the
Tropical Storm Watch westward along the north coast of the
Dominican Republic to the border of Haiti.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the
  border of Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands through early
this afternoon, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks
and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeast Bahamas through Saturday.  Dominica reported nearly 9
inches of rainfall overnight, with significant flooding occurring
on the island.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271457
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 63.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the
Tropical Storm Watch westward along the north coast of the
Dominican Republic to the border of Haiti.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the
  border of Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands through early
this afternoon, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks
and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeast Bahamas through Saturday.  Dominica reported nearly 9
inches of rainfall overnight, with significant flooding occurring
on the island.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271457
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 63.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the
Tropical Storm Watch westward along the north coast of the
Dominican Republic to the border of Haiti.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the
  border of Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands through early
this afternoon, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks
and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeast Bahamas through Saturday.  Dominica reported nearly 9
inches of rainfall overnight, with significant flooding occurring
on the island.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271457
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 63.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the
Tropical Storm Watch westward along the north coast of the
Dominican Republic to the border of Haiti.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the
  border of Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands through early
this afternoon, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks
and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeast Bahamas through Saturday.  Dominica reported nearly 9
inches of rainfall overnight, with significant flooding occurring
on the island.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271457
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 63.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has extended the
Tropical Storm Watch westward along the north coast of the
Dominican Republic to the border of Haiti.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the
  border of Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands through early
this afternoon, and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto
Rico tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area in the Leeward Islands through early this afternoon.  Tropical
storm conditions could reach portions of the watch area in the
Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks
and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeast Bahamas through Saturday.  Dominica reported nearly 9
inches of rainfall overnight, with significant flooding occurring
on the island.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271443
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271443
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271443
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271443
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTPZ32 KNHC 271443
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 139.5W
ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 139.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Ignacio could become a major hurricane on
Friday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header TCPPA3,
WMO header WTPA33 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Beven




000
WTPZ32 KNHC 271443
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 139.5W
ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 139.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Ignacio could become a major hurricane on
Friday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 2 PM PDT (11 AM HST), under AWIPS header TCPPA3,
WMO header WTPA33 PHFO, and on the web at
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Beven



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271441
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 117.7W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 117.7 West.  Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph.  A turn toward the
west is expected later today, with a decrease in forward speed
forecast during the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Jimena is forecast to become a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271441
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 117.7W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 117.7 West.  Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph.  A turn toward the
west is expected later today, with a decrease in forward speed
forecast during the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Jimena is forecast to become a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 271441
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 117.7W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 117.7 West.  Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph.  A turn toward the
west is expected later today, with a decrease in forward speed
forecast during the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Jimena is forecast to become a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg




000
WTPA21 PHFO 271430
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 168.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 168.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 168.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N 170.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N 171.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.3N 174.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 20.7N 176.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.5N 177.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA31 PHFO 271430
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...STRENGTHENING KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 168.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD SPEED
SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA21 PHFO 271430
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 168.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 168.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 168.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N 170.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N 171.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.3N 174.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 20.7N 176.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.5N 177.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA31 PHFO 271430
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...STRENGTHENING KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 168.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD SPEED
SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA21 PHFO 271430
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 168.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 168.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 168.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N 170.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N 171.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.3N 174.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 20.7N 176.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.5N 177.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA31 PHFO 271430
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...STRENGTHENING KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 168.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS FORWARD SPEED
SLOWLY INCREASES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271204 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 62.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 85 MI...5140 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 67.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBEA CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y SE MOVERA CERCA O
AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA
NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE ESPERA CONTINUE DENTRO
DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA
NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA
BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES
EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271204 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 62.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 85 MI...5140 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 67.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBEA CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y SE MOVERA CERCA O
AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA
NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE ESPERA CONTINUE DENTRO
DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA
NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA
BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES
EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271204 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 62.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 85 MI...5140 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 67.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBEA CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y SE MOVERA CERCA O
AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA
NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE ESPERA CONTINUE DENTRO
DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA
NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA
BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES
EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 271204 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.5 NORTE 62.7 OESTE
CERCA DE 85 MI...5140 KM AL OESTE DE GUADELOUPE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 67.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBEA CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y SE MOVERA CERCA O
AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA
NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE ESPERA CONTINUE DENTRO
DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA
NOCHE. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA
BAJO VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES
EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH


000
WTNT35 KNHC 271159
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA IS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 62.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
  Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.  For storm information specific to your area
outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your
national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
estimated near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 62.7 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning,
and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the
Leeward Islands this morning.  Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and
the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late
Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT35 KNHC 271159
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA IS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 62.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
  Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.  For storm information specific to your area
outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your
national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
estimated near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 62.7 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning,
and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the
Leeward Islands this morning.  Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and
the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late
Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
WTNT35 KNHC 271159
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA IS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 62.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
  Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.  For storm information specific to your area
outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your
national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
estimated near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 62.7 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning,
and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the
Leeward Islands this morning.  Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and
the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late
Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



000
WTNT35 KNHC 271159
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA IS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 62.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
  Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.  For storm information specific to your area
outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your
national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
estimated near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 62.7 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue over
portions of the warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning,
and reach the Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the
Leeward Islands this morning.  Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and
the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late
Friday and Friday night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271157
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271157
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271157
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA AL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BERG


000
WTPA31 PHFO 271145
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO IS
NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT SOUTHWESTERLY MOTION WILL RESUME
TODAY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY BY EARLY SATURDAY WITH ONLY A SMALL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
ACPN50 PHFO 271145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1205 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY LATER
TODAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.


$$
LAU











000
WTPA31 PHFO 271145
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO IS
NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT SOUTHWESTERLY MOTION WILL RESUME
TODAY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY BY EARLY SATURDAY WITH ONLY A SMALL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
ACPN50 PHFO 271145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1205 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY LATER
TODAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.


$$
LAU










000
WTPA31 PHFO 271145
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

...KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO IS
NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT SOUTHWESTERLY MOTION WILL RESUME
TODAY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY BY EARLY SATURDAY WITH ONLY A SMALL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
ACPN50 PHFO 271145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST THU AUG 27 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1205 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY LATER
TODAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.


$$
LAU










000
ABNT20 KNHC 271138
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located near the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABNT20 KNHC 271138
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located near the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 271138
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located near the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271131
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Storm Jimena, located about 850 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271131
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Storm Jimena, located about 850 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271131
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Storm Jimena, located about 850 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271131
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Storm Jimena, located about 850 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development early next week while the
system moves to the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Jimena are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Jimena are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
STRENGTHENING...CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 61.5W OR ABOUT 26
NM SE OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55
KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 56W-65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N23W TO 09N23W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HRS.
DESPITE THE FACT THAT MODERATE MOISTURE IS DEPICTED WITH THIS
WAVE IN TPW IMAGERY...ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 07N-
10N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N41W TO 11N42W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
19N16W TO 15N21W THEN W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N26W TO A 1012
MB LOW NEAR 10N30W TO 09N42W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BAY
OF CAMPECHE. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED OVER E GEORGIA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 30N84W TO 25N88W TO 24N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE
FRONT...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FROM 19N-22N AND W OF 94W. THE COMBINATION OF THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE GULF MAINLY E OF 92W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND E OF 85W.
SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 77W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
22N73W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 19N. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 64W AFFECTING NOT ONLY
THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN W OF THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS HAITI. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM
THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH
CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
GEORGIA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N80W TO
27N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE TROUGH
AFFECTING THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 75W. TO THE E...A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A
1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N60W AND A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 31N25W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
STRENGTHENING...CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 61.5W OR ABOUT 26
NM SE OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55
KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 56W-65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N23W TO 09N23W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HRS.
DESPITE THE FACT THAT MODERATE MOISTURE IS DEPICTED WITH THIS
WAVE IN TPW IMAGERY...ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 07N-
10N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N41W TO 11N42W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
19N16W TO 15N21W THEN W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N26W TO A 1012
MB LOW NEAR 10N30W TO 09N42W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BAY
OF CAMPECHE. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED OVER E GEORGIA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 30N84W TO 25N88W TO 24N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE
FRONT...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FROM 19N-22N AND W OF 94W. THE COMBINATION OF THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE GULF MAINLY E OF 92W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND E OF 85W.
SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 77W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
22N73W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 19N. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 64W AFFECTING NOT ONLY
THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN W OF THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS HAITI. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM
THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH
CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
GEORGIA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N80W TO
27N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE TROUGH
AFFECTING THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 75W. TO THE E...A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A
1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N60W AND A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 31N25W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
STRENGTHENING...CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 61.5W OR ABOUT 26
NM SE OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55
KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 56W-65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N23W TO 09N23W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HRS.
DESPITE THE FACT THAT MODERATE MOISTURE IS DEPICTED WITH THIS
WAVE IN TPW IMAGERY...ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 07N-
10N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N41W TO 11N42W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
19N16W TO 15N21W THEN W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N26W TO A 1012
MB LOW NEAR 10N30W TO 09N42W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BAY
OF CAMPECHE. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED OVER E GEORGIA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 30N84W TO 25N88W TO 24N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE
FRONT...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FROM 19N-22N AND W OF 94W. THE COMBINATION OF THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE GULF MAINLY E OF 92W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND E OF 85W.
SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 77W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
22N73W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 19N. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 64W AFFECTING NOT ONLY
THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN W OF THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS HAITI. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM
THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH
CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
GEORGIA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N80W TO
27N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE TROUGH
AFFECTING THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 75W. TO THE E...A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A
1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N60W AND A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 31N25W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
STRENGTHENING...CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 61.5W OR ABOUT 26
NM SE OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55
KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 56W-65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N23W TO 09N23W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HRS.
DESPITE THE FACT THAT MODERATE MOISTURE IS DEPICTED WITH THIS
WAVE IN TPW IMAGERY...ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 07N-
10N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N41W TO 11N42W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
19N16W TO 15N21W THEN W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N26W TO A 1012
MB LOW NEAR 10N30W TO 09N42W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BAY
OF CAMPECHE. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED OVER E GEORGIA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 30N84W TO 25N88W TO 24N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE
FRONT...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FROM 19N-22N AND W OF 94W. THE COMBINATION OF THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE GULF MAINLY E OF 92W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND E OF 85W.
SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 77W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
22N73W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 19N. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 64W AFFECTING NOT ONLY
THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN W OF THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS HAITI. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM
THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH
CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
GEORGIA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N80W TO
27N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE TROUGH
AFFECTING THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 75W. TO THE E...A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A
1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N60W AND A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 31N25W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
STRENGTHENING...CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 61.5W OR ABOUT 26
NM SE OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55
KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 56W-65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N23W TO 09N23W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HRS.
DESPITE THE FACT THAT MODERATE MOISTURE IS DEPICTED WITH THIS
WAVE IN TPW IMAGERY...ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 07N-
10N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N41W TO 11N42W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
19N16W TO 15N21W THEN W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N26W TO A 1012
MB LOW NEAR 10N30W TO 09N42W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BAY
OF CAMPECHE. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED OVER E GEORGIA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 30N84W TO 25N88W TO 24N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE
FRONT...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FROM 19N-22N AND W OF 94W. THE COMBINATION OF THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE GULF MAINLY E OF 92W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND E OF 85W.
SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 77W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
22N73W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 19N. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 64W AFFECTING NOT ONLY
THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN W OF THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS HAITI. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM
THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH
CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
GEORGIA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N80W TO
27N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE TROUGH
AFFECTING THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 75W. TO THE E...A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A
1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N60W AND A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 31N25W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
STRENGTHENING...CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 61.5W OR ABOUT 26
NM SE OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55
KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 56W-65W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
16N23W TO 09N23W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HRS.
DESPITE THE FACT THAT MODERATE MOISTURE IS DEPICTED WITH THIS
WAVE IN TPW IMAGERY...ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 07N-
10N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N41W TO 11N42W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR
19N16W TO 15N21W THEN W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N26W TO A 1012
MB LOW NEAR 10N30W TO 09N42W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 33W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BAY
OF CAMPECHE. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED OVER E GEORGIA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 30N84W TO 25N88W TO 24N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE
FRONT...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FROM 19N-22N AND W OF 94W. THE COMBINATION OF THE
PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING
ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE GULF MAINLY E OF 92W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND E OF 85W.
SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW
PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR
THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA
SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 77W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
22N73W TO 19N74W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 19N. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 64W AFFECTING NOT ONLY
THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN W OF THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS HAITI. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM
THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH
CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
GEORGIA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N80W TO
27N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE TROUGH
AFFECTING THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 75W. TO THE E...A SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN ANCHORED BY A
1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N60W AND A 1021 MB HIGH
NEAR 31N25W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER
THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH CONVECTION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270956
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900 UTC
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 985 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 75 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO
IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED CLOUD
PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN
135W AND 141W. A BAND OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF
THE CENTER FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 132W AND 147W. THE CYCLONE IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THIS
EVENING. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W OR ABOUT 725
NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 27/0900 UTC
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO
45 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE STORM HAS BECOME MUCH
BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO
17N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALSO SE OF THE CENTER FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 109W
AND 114W. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TO
HURRICANE STRENGTH FRI NEAR 13N122W PER LATEST NHC ADVISORY.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 09N90W TO 11N112W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO
11N BETWEEN 109W TO 114W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE NOTED
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD JUST NW OF
THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF TODAY INTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND
DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT
8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8 FT
FRI.

$$
FORMOSA


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270919 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN POCO MAS FUERTE...SU CENTRO ESTA PASANDO ENTRE GUADELOUPE Y
ANTIGUA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.8 NORTE 61.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 35 MI...55 KM AL NORTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 30 MI...45 KM AL SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 61.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBEA CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE DURANTE HOY Y SE MOVERA CERCA O
AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA
NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA. CONDICIONES DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES
EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270919 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   10
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA UN POCO MAS FUERTE...SU CENTRO ESTA PASANDO ENTRE GUADELOUPE Y
ANTIGUA...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.8 NORTE 61.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 35 MI...55 KM AL NORTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 30 MI...45 KM AL SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM POR HORA
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 61.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTE
MOVIMIENTO DEBEA CONTINUAR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN LA
TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE DURANTE HOY Y SE MOVERA CERCA O
AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE...PASANDO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA
NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS DURANTE
LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DEL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1003 MILIBARES...29.62 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES MAS TARDE HOY Y PUERTO RICO ESTA NOCHE.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA MANANA. CONDICIONES DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PUDIERAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO
VIGILANCIA EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS TARDE EL VIERNES Y VIERNES
EN LA NOCHE.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS...Y EL SURESTE DE
LAS BAHAMAS HASTA EL SABADO.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270857
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO QUICKLY STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 138.5W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 138.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270857
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO QUICKLY STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 138.5W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 138.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake




000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270857
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO QUICKLY STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 138.5W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 138.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270857
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...IGNACIO QUICKLY STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 138.5W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 138.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270856
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 137.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.2N 139.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.2N 141.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N 143.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.9N 145.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.2N 147.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 18.5N 150.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 138.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270856
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 137.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.2N 139.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.2N 141.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N 143.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.9N 145.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.2N 147.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 18.5N 150.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 138.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270856
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 138.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 137.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.2N 139.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.2N 141.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N 143.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.9N 145.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.2N 147.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 18.5N 150.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 138.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTNT35 KNHC 270850
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA A LITTLE STRONGER...CENTER PASSING BETWEEN GUADELOUPE AND
ANTIGUA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 61.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 61.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near or over portions of the Leeward
Islands this morning, move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across the
warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning, and reach the
Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
this morning. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern
Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday
night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTNT35 KNHC 270850
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA A LITTLE STRONGER...CENTER PASSING BETWEEN GUADELOUPE AND
ANTIGUA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 61.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 61.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near or over portions of the Leeward
Islands this morning, move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across the
warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning, and reach the
Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
this morning. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern
Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday
night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
WTNT35 KNHC 270850
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA A LITTLE STRONGER...CENTER PASSING BETWEEN GUADELOUPE AND
ANTIGUA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 61.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 61.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion
should continue for the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will move near or over portions of the Leeward
Islands this morning, move near the Virgin Islands later today,
move near or north of Puerto Rico tonight, and pass north of the
north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across the
warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning, and reach the
Virgin Islands later today and Puerto Rico tonight. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
this morning. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
watch area in the Dominican Republic on Friday and the southeastern
Bahamas, and Turks and the Caicos Islands late Friday and Friday
night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turk and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas
through Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTNT25 KNHC 270846
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVISIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  61.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  61.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  60.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.6N  63.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.0N  66.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.3N  69.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.5N  71.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 26.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 29.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270831
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 115.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270831
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 116.4W
ABOUT 845 MI...1365 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jimena was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 116.4 West. Jimena is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
today, and this general motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Jimena is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
WTPA31 PHFO 270830
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 168.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY FRIDAY WITH ONLY A
SMALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA21 PHFO 270830
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.8N 168.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N 169.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 170.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.5N 171.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 173.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 20.0N 175.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.2N 176.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA31 PHFO 270830
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
1100 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 168.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY FRIDAY WITH ONLY A
SMALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA21 PHFO 270830
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.8N 168.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N 169.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 170.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.5N 171.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 173.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 20.0N 175.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.2N 176.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270603 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ACERCA A LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.8 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...85 KM AL NORESTE DE GUADELOUPE
CERCA DE 70 MI...110 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.8
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS...LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY Y ESTARA
CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
HORAS Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MAS TARDE HOY.
CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA
PARA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN


000
WTNT35 KNHC 270548
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 60.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NE OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 60.8 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a west to west-
northwest motion with the same forward speed is expected over the
next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move
near or over portions of the Leeward Islands during the next few
hours, move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today, and
be near or just north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic
on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. These winds are confined to heavy squalls to the north and
east of the center. No significant change in strength is anticipated
during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands in the next few hours, and reach
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and
Turks and Caicos Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTNT35 KNHC 270548
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 60.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NE OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 60.8 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a west to west-
northwest motion with the same forward speed is expected over the
next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move
near or over portions of the Leeward Islands during the next few
hours, move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today, and
be near or just north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic
on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. These winds are confined to heavy squalls to the north and
east of the center. No significant change in strength is anticipated
during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands in the next few hours, and reach
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and
Turks and Caicos Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
WTNT35 KNHC 270548
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 60.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NE OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 60.8 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a west to west-
northwest motion with the same forward speed is expected over the
next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move
near or over portions of the Leeward Islands during the next few
hours, move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today, and
be near or just north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic
on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. These winds are confined to heavy squalls to the north and
east of the center. No significant change in strength is anticipated
during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands in the next few hours, and reach
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and
Turks and Caicos Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTNT35 KNHC 270548
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
200 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

...ERIKA NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 60.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NE OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 60.8 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a west to west-
northwest motion with the same forward speed is expected over the
next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move
near or over portions of the Leeward Islands during the next few
hours, move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today, and
be near or just north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic
on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. These winds are confined to heavy squalls to the north and
east of the center. No significant change in strength is anticipated
during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands in the next few hours, and reach
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later today. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and
Turks and Caicos Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ACPN50 PHFO 270547 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
LAU







000
ACPN50 PHFO 270547 CCA
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
LAU







000
WTPA31 PHFO 270545
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN MORE TOWARD
THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA31 PHFO 270545
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN MORE TOWARD
THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA31 PHFO 270545
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN MORE TOWARD
THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA31 PHFO 270545
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN MORE TOWARD
THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
DONALDSON





000
WTPA31 PHFO 270545
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN MORE TOWARD
THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
DONALDSON






000
WTPA31 PHFO 270545
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 168.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.0 WEST. KILO HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN MORE TOWARD
THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 270545
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 590 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1275 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270529
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270529
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270529
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270529
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270529
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 270529
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE


000
ABNT20 KNHC 270523
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located just east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABNT20 KNHC 270523
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located just east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 270523
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located just east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABNT20 KNHC 270523
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located just east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270522
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development after that time while the
system moves generally to the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270522
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development after that time while the
system moves generally to the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270522
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development after that time while the
system moves generally to the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270522
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico over the weekend.  Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development after that time while the
system moves generally to the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
AXNT20 KNHC 270517
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 60.2W AT 27/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 17N21W TO 08N21W. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AS INDICATED TPW IMAGERY.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N39W TO 10N37W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-40W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N23W
TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 09N28W TO 08N39W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS
TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB
LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA TO
29N83W TO 24N88W TO 24N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 25N97W TO 20N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA MAINLY S
OF 22N BETWEEN 91W-97W. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SE GULF MAINLY E OF 90W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO
GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 70W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
24N73W TO 17N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY BETWEEN 19N-21N. THE PROXIMITY OF
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE E CARIBBEAN AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN ACROSS THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
HAITI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT
FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CAROLINA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE FRONT AFFECTING
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE
E...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N53W AND A
1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N27W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR
ERIKA TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270517
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 60.2W AT 27/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 17N21W TO 08N21W. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AS INDICATED TPW IMAGERY.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N39W TO 10N37W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-40W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N23W
TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 09N28W TO 08N39W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS
TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB
LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA TO
29N83W TO 24N88W TO 24N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 25N97W TO 20N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA MAINLY S
OF 22N BETWEEN 91W-97W. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SE GULF MAINLY E OF 90W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO
GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 70W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
24N73W TO 17N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY BETWEEN 19N-21N. THE PROXIMITY OF
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE E CARIBBEAN AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN ACROSS THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
HAITI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT
FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CAROLINA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE FRONT AFFECTING
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE
E...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N53W AND A
1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N27W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR
ERIKA TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 270517
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 60.2W AT 27/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 17N21W TO 08N21W. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AS INDICATED TPW IMAGERY.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N39W TO 10N37W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-40W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N23W
TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 09N28W TO 08N39W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS
TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB
LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA TO
29N83W TO 24N88W TO 24N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 25N97W TO 20N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA MAINLY S
OF 22N BETWEEN 91W-97W. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SE GULF MAINLY E OF 90W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO
GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 70W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
24N73W TO 17N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY BETWEEN 19N-21N. THE PROXIMITY OF
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE E CARIBBEAN AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN ACROSS THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
HAITI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT
FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CAROLINA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE FRONT AFFECTING
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE
E...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N53W AND A
1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N27W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR
ERIKA TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270517
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 60.2W AT 27/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 17N21W TO 08N21W. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AS INDICATED TPW IMAGERY.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N39W TO 10N37W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-40W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N23W
TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 09N28W TO 08N39W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS
TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB
LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA TO
29N83W TO 24N88W TO 24N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 25N97W TO 20N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA MAINLY S
OF 22N BETWEEN 91W-97W. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SE GULF MAINLY E OF 90W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO
GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 70W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
24N73W TO 17N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY BETWEEN 19N-21N. THE PROXIMITY OF
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE E CARIBBEAN AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN ACROSS THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
HAITI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT
FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CAROLINA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE FRONT AFFECTING
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE
E...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N53W AND A
1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N27W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR
ERIKA TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270517
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 60.2W AT 27/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 17N21W TO 08N21W. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AS INDICATED TPW IMAGERY.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N39W TO 10N37W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-40W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N23W
TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 09N28W TO 08N39W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS
TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB
LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA TO
29N83W TO 24N88W TO 24N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 25N97W TO 20N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA MAINLY S
OF 22N BETWEEN 91W-97W. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SE GULF MAINLY E OF 90W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO
GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 70W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
24N73W TO 17N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY BETWEEN 19N-21N. THE PROXIMITY OF
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE E CARIBBEAN AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN ACROSS THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
HAITI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT
FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CAROLINA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE FRONT AFFECTING
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE
E...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N53W AND A
1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N27W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR
ERIKA TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270517
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 60.2W AT 27/0300 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 17N21W TO 08N21W. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AS INDICATED TPW IMAGERY.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM
08N-14N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM 21N39W TO 10N37W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE AS INDICATED BY TPW IMAGERY. THE PRESENCE OF A SAHARAN
AIRMASS IS LIMITING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE N OF 19N BETWEEN 38W-40W.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N23W
TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 09N28W TO 08N39W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM N OF THE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-
SW ACROSS THE GULF WITH BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS
TROUGH SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB
LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA TO
29N83W TO 24N88W TO 24N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONT. TO THE W OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 25N97W TO 20N95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ACROSS THIS AREA MAINLY S
OF 22N BETWEEN 91W-97W. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SE GULF MAINLY E OF 90W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A LIGHT TO
GENTLE NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE STATIONARY FRONT TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-
SW ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE ARE SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE W
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MAINLY W OF 70W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANT OF DANNY...PREVAILS ACROSS HAITI EXTENDING FROM
24N73W TO 17N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY BETWEEN 19N-21N. THE PROXIMITY OF
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE E CARIBBEAN AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT ERIKA...PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION
ABOVE. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES ACROSS
THE BASIN EXCEPT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS S OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-
77W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR ERIKA TO ENTER THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH CONVECTION.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY REMAIN ACROSS THE ISLAND IN THE FORM OF A
SURFACE TROUGH SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS
HAITI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT
FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE W AWAY FROM THE ISLAND AS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA APPROACHES FROM THE E WITH CONVECTION.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS TROPICAL STORM
ERIKA. FOR MORE DETAILS PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. TWO
TROPICAL WAVES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS. A BROAD
MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW
ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUPPORTING
A STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CAROLINA...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF THE FRONT AFFECTING
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE
E...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
ANCHORED BY A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N53W AND A
1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N27W. OVER THE NEXT 24 OURS...EXPECT FOR
ERIKA TO ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN. CONVECTION WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE W ATLANTIC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270316
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300
UTC MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65
KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
IGNACIO IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED
CLOUD PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N138W TO 15N138W TO
16N137W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY THU NIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W OR
ABOUT 730 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT
27/0300 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION
HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION JUST DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N116W TO
14N114W TO 13N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-118W...AND IN
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 11N110W FROM 08N110W. THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY EARLY THU MORNING NEAR 12N117W...AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION
REACHING MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS NEAR 13N124W PER
LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 05N85W TO 08N94W
TO 08N102W TO 10N109W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W-
110W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 130W-
134W...AND ALSO FROM 03N-06N W OF 135W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS
WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8
FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT
FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270316
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300
UTC MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65
KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
IGNACIO IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED
CLOUD PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N138W TO 15N138W TO
16N137W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY THU NIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W OR
ABOUT 730 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT
27/0300 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION
HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION JUST DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N116W TO
14N114W TO 13N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-118W...AND IN
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 11N110W FROM 08N110W. THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY EARLY THU MORNING NEAR 12N117W...AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION
REACHING MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS NEAR 13N124W PER
LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 05N85W TO 08N94W
TO 08N102W TO 10N109W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W-
110W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 130W-
134W...AND ALSO FROM 03N-06N W OF 135W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS
WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8
FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT
FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270316
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300
UTC MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65
KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
IGNACIO IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED
CLOUD PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N138W TO 15N138W TO
16N137W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY THU NIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W OR
ABOUT 730 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT
27/0300 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION
HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION JUST DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N116W TO
14N114W TO 13N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-118W...AND IN
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 11N110W FROM 08N110W. THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY EARLY THU MORNING NEAR 12N117W...AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION
REACHING MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS NEAR 13N124W PER
LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 05N85W TO 08N94W
TO 08N102W TO 10N109W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W-
110W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 130W-
134W...AND ALSO FROM 03N-06N W OF 135W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS
WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8
FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT
FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270316
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300
UTC MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65
KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
IGNACIO IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED
CLOUD PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N138W TO 15N138W TO
16N137W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY THU NIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W OR
ABOUT 730 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT
27/0300 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION
HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION JUST DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N116W TO
14N114W TO 13N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-118W...AND IN
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 11N110W FROM 08N110W. THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY EARLY THU MORNING NEAR 12N117W...AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION
REACHING MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS NEAR 13N124W PER
LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 05N85W TO 08N94W
TO 08N102W TO 10N109W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W-
110W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 130W-
134W...AND ALSO FROM 03N-06N W OF 135W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS
WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8
FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT
FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270316
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300
UTC MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65
KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
IGNACIO IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED
CLOUD PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N138W TO 15N138W TO
16N137W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY THU NIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W OR
ABOUT 730 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT
27/0300 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION
HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION JUST DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N116W TO
14N114W TO 13N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-118W...AND IN
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 11N110W FROM 08N110W. THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY EARLY THU MORNING NEAR 12N117W...AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION
REACHING MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS NEAR 13N124W PER
LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 05N85W TO 08N94W
TO 08N102W TO 10N109W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W-
110W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 130W-
134W...AND ALSO FROM 03N-06N W OF 135W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS
WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8
FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT
FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270316
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300
UTC MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRES IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65
KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
IGNACIO IS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS NOTED IN ITS MUCH IMPROVED
CLOUD PATTERN...AND IN THE VERY STRONG AND LARGE DEEP BURST OF
CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N138W TO 15N138W TO
16N137W. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY THU NIGHT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W OR
ABOUT 730 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT
27/0300 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION
HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN DEFINITION JUST DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OBSERVED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N116W TO
14N114W TO 13N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-118W...AND IN
AN OUTER BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE 11N110W FROM 08N110W. THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY EARLY THU MORNING NEAR 12N117W...AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION
REACHING MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS NEAR 13N124W PER
LATEST NHC ADVISORY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 05N85W TO 08N94W
TO 08N102W TO 10N109W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W-
110W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 130W-
134W...AND ALSO FROM 03N-06N W OF 135W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS
WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON. RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8
FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT
FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTPA31 PHFO 270259
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWEST AND APPROACHING JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 168.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. SLOW MOVEMENT
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY
A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF KILO WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA31 PHFO 270259
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
500 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWEST AND APPROACHING JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 168.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. SLOW MOVEMENT
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY
A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF KILO WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON ISLAND
STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270258 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL COMENZANDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 110 MI...175 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MS TARDE EN EL JUEVES
Y ESTARA CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL
JUEVES Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270258 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL COMENZANDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 110 MI...175 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MS TARDE EN EL JUEVES
Y ESTARA CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL
JUEVES Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270258 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL COMENZANDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 110 MI...175 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MS TARDE EN EL JUEVES
Y ESTARA CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL
JUEVES Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270258 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL COMENZANDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 110 MI...175 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MS TARDE EN EL JUEVES
Y ESTARA CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL
JUEVES Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270258 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL COMENZANDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 110 MI...175 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MS TARDE EN EL JUEVES
Y ESTARA CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL
JUEVES Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 270258 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO   9
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL COMENZANDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE
LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 60.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 110 MI...175 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 60.2
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE CON LA
MISMA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES LUEGO
SE MOVERA CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO MS TARDE EN EL JUEVES
Y ESTARA CERCA O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS PERMANECE CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR HORA...
CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE CONTENIDOS EN
TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS CAMBIOS O QUIZAS
UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO TEMPRANO EN EL
JUEVES Y ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...EL SURESTE DE LAS
BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 200 AM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA



000
WTPA21 PHFO 270255
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.7N 168.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 168.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 170.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.2N 171.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N 174.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 19.1N 176.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 21.4N 177.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD







000
WTPA21 PHFO 270255
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 168.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 168.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.7N 168.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 168.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 170.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.2N 171.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N 174.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 19.1N 176.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 21.4N 177.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 168.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD








000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270248
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
900 PM MDT WED AUG 26 2015

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 114.8W
ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Thirteen-E was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 114.8
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph
(28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn
back toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
tomorrow through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected during the next
48 hours. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Thursday and a hurricane on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270248
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
900 PM MDT WED AUG 26 2015

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 114.8W
ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Thirteen-E was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 114.8
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph
(28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn
back toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
tomorrow through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected during the next
48 hours. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Thursday and a hurricane on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTPZ33 KNHC 270248
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
900 PM MDT WED AUG 26 2015

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 114.8W
ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Thirteen-E was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 114.8
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph
(28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn
back toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected
tomorrow through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected during the next
48 hours. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on
Thursday and a hurricane on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270247
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
800 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

...IGNACIO STRENGTHENS INTO THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE 2015
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 137.5W
ABOUT 1275 MI...2055 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.2 North, longitude 137.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270247
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
800 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

...IGNACIO STRENGTHENS INTO THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE 2015
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 137.5W
ABOUT 1275 MI...2055 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ignacio was
located near latitude 12.2 North, longitude 137.5 West. Ignacio is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270245
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 137.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.8N 138.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.8N 140.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 142.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 147.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 18.1N 150.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 137.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270245
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 137.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.8N 138.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.8N 140.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 142.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 147.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 18.1N 150.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 137.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270245
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 137.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.8N 138.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.8N 140.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 142.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 147.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 18.1N 150.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 137.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270245
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 137.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.8N 138.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.8N 140.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 142.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 147.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 18.1N 150.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 137.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT35 KNHC 270244
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1100 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 60.2W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevisis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 60.2 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a west to
west-northwest motion with the same forward speed is expected over
the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will
move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands early Thursday,
and then move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later on
Thursday, and be near or just north of the north coast of the
Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. These winds are confined to heavy squalls to the north and
east of the center. No significant change in strength or perhaps
some slight weakening is anticipated during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands early Thursday, and reach the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later on Thursday. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands
tonight and early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach
portions of the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and
Turks and Caicos Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270244
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 114.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.1N 116.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.5N 119.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.7N 121.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.9N 123.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N 131.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 15.5N 134.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 114.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270244
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 114.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.1N 116.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.5N 119.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.7N 121.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.9N 123.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N 131.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 15.5N 134.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 114.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT25 KNHC 270243
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  59.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N  67.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.2N  70.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N  78.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 28.5N  79.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  60.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT25 KNHC 270243
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  59.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N  67.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.2N  70.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N  78.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 28.5N  79.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  60.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT25 KNHC 270243
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  59.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N  67.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.2N  70.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N  78.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 28.5N  79.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  60.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT25 KNHC 270243
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  60.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  59.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N  67.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.2N  70.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N  78.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 28.5N  79.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  60.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
AXNT20 KNHC 270007
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 58.9W AT 26/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TRPCL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. ITS AXIS IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG 18W AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE W AT 10-15 KT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE SURFACE TO 850 MB
AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 18W AND 25W. FURTHER CONVECTION IS BEING
HINDERED BY THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE
NORTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS NEAR
36W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA
OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE
SURFACE TO NEARLY 700 MB AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. THIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A TONGUE OF DRY AIR
WRAPPING THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE
PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ACCORDING TO ENHACEMENTS OF
METEOSAT IMAGERY. NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N20W
TO 09N32W TO 08N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 08N39W AND CONTINUES
TO 08N50W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 03N TO 11N
BETWEEN 23W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM ANALYZED AS
STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 29N82W TO 24N90W TO 24N94W. THE UPPER TROUGH
ALSO SUPPORT A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS...ONE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND A SECOND TROUGH W OF THE FRONT
TAIL FROM 24N96W TO 18N94W. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
CARIBBEAN IS CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GENERATING INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT
ALOFT SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THE SW GULF S OF 25N
W OF 91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH ALONG
FLORIDA EXTENDS OVER SE GULF WATERS FROM 25N TO 26N E OF 83W.
DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE AND STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR N OF THE
FRONT SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER N OF 26N. NORTHERLY WIND FLOW OF OF
LESS THAN 15 KT COVERS THE BASIN. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE NE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-SW TO
PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...WHICH ALONG WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE IN THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND TSTMS ALONG CUBA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN WATERS...SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN JAMAICA AND SW CARIBBEAN S OF 14N W OF 78W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF DANNY...CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROXIMITY OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA. SEE
SPECIAL FEATURES FOR DETAILS. THE PASSAGE OF ERIKA THROUGH THE
NE CARIBBEAN THU WILL SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS
ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT WATERS.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUE
TO ENHANCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND
WESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CURRENTLY
LOCATED E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE N OF THE ISLAND
FRIDAY. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE ARE EXPECTED TO
START THU AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...HEAVIEST
SHOWERS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM MOVES N OF
THE ISLAND OVER SW N ATLC WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE ATLC IS T.S. ERIKA DISCUSSED IN SPECIAL
FEATURE. SEE ABOVE. A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ANALYZED AS STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA FROM 30N81W TO 28N82W THE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SW N ATLC IS
CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT GENERATING
INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 24N W OF 75W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS OVER HAITI NORTHERN WATERS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
RIDGING AND FAIR WEATHER DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 270007
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 58.9W AT 26/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TRPCL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. ITS AXIS IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG 18W AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE W AT 10-15 KT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE SURFACE TO 850 MB
AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 18W AND 25W. FURTHER CONVECTION IS BEING
HINDERED BY THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE
NORTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS NEAR
36W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA
OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE
SURFACE TO NEARLY 700 MB AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. THIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A TONGUE OF DRY AIR
WRAPPING THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE
PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ACCORDING TO ENHACEMENTS OF
METEOSAT IMAGERY. NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N20W
TO 09N32W TO 08N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 08N39W AND CONTINUES
TO 08N50W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 03N TO 11N
BETWEEN 23W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM ANALYZED AS
STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 29N82W TO 24N90W TO 24N94W. THE UPPER TROUGH
ALSO SUPPORT A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS...ONE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND A SECOND TROUGH W OF THE FRONT
TAIL FROM 24N96W TO 18N94W. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
CARIBBEAN IS CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GENERATING INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT
ALOFT SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THE SW GULF S OF 25N
W OF 91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH ALONG
FLORIDA EXTENDS OVER SE GULF WATERS FROM 25N TO 26N E OF 83W.
DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE AND STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR N OF THE
FRONT SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER N OF 26N. NORTHERLY WIND FLOW OF OF
LESS THAN 15 KT COVERS THE BASIN. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE NE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-SW TO
PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...WHICH ALONG WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE IN THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND TSTMS ALONG CUBA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN WATERS...SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN JAMAICA AND SW CARIBBEAN S OF 14N W OF 78W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF DANNY...CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROXIMITY OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA. SEE
SPECIAL FEATURES FOR DETAILS. THE PASSAGE OF ERIKA THROUGH THE
NE CARIBBEAN THU WILL SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS
ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT WATERS.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUE
TO ENHANCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND
WESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CURRENTLY
LOCATED E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE N OF THE ISLAND
FRIDAY. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE ARE EXPECTED TO
START THU AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...HEAVIEST
SHOWERS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM MOVES N OF
THE ISLAND OVER SW N ATLC WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE ATLC IS T.S. ERIKA DISCUSSED IN SPECIAL
FEATURE. SEE ABOVE. A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ANALYZED AS STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA FROM 30N81W TO 28N82W THE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SW N ATLC IS
CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT GENERATING
INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 24N W OF 75W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS OVER HAITI NORTHERN WATERS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
RIDGING AND FAIR WEATHER DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
AXNT20 KNHC 270007
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 58.9W AT 26/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TRPCL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. ITS AXIS IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG 18W AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE W AT 10-15 KT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE SURFACE TO 850 MB
AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 18W AND 25W. FURTHER CONVECTION IS BEING
HINDERED BY THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE
NORTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS NEAR
36W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA
OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE
SURFACE TO NEARLY 700 MB AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. THIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A TONGUE OF DRY AIR
WRAPPING THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE
PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ACCORDING TO ENHACEMENTS OF
METEOSAT IMAGERY. NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N20W
TO 09N32W TO 08N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 08N39W AND CONTINUES
TO 08N50W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 03N TO 11N
BETWEEN 23W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM ANALYZED AS
STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 29N82W TO 24N90W TO 24N94W. THE UPPER TROUGH
ALSO SUPPORT A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS...ONE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND A SECOND TROUGH W OF THE FRONT
TAIL FROM 24N96W TO 18N94W. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
CARIBBEAN IS CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GENERATING INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT
ALOFT SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THE SW GULF S OF 25N
W OF 91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH ALONG
FLORIDA EXTENDS OVER SE GULF WATERS FROM 25N TO 26N E OF 83W.
DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE AND STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR N OF THE
FRONT SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER N OF 26N. NORTHERLY WIND FLOW OF OF
LESS THAN 15 KT COVERS THE BASIN. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE NE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-SW TO
PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...WHICH ALONG WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE IN THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND TSTMS ALONG CUBA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN WATERS...SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN JAMAICA AND SW CARIBBEAN S OF 14N W OF 78W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF DANNY...CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROXIMITY OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA. SEE
SPECIAL FEATURES FOR DETAILS. THE PASSAGE OF ERIKA THROUGH THE
NE CARIBBEAN THU WILL SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS
ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT WATERS.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUE
TO ENHANCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND
WESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CURRENTLY
LOCATED E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE N OF THE ISLAND
FRIDAY. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE ARE EXPECTED TO
START THU AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...HEAVIEST
SHOWERS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM MOVES N OF
THE ISLAND OVER SW N ATLC WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE ATLC IS T.S. ERIKA DISCUSSED IN SPECIAL
FEATURE. SEE ABOVE. A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ANALYZED AS STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA FROM 30N81W TO 28N82W THE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SW N ATLC IS
CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT GENERATING
INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 24N W OF 75W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS OVER HAITI NORTHERN WATERS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
RIDGING AND FAIR WEATHER DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR


000
AXNT20 KNHC 270007
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 58.9W AT 26/2100 UTC
OR ABOUT 170 NM E OF ANTIGUA...MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40
KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 59W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 54W AND
60W. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TRPCL WAVE CAME OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. ITS AXIS IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG 18W AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE W AT 10-15 KT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MODERATE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE SURFACE TO 850 MB
AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SUPPORTS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 18W AND 25W. FURTHER CONVECTION IS BEING
HINDERED BY THE PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST IN THE
NORTHERN WAVE ENVIRONMENT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS NEAR
36W...MOVING W AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. A BROAD AREA
OF MODERATE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE FROM THE
SURFACE TO NEARLY 700 MB AS INDICATED BY CIRA LAYER PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. THIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A TONGUE OF DRY AIR
WRAPPING THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE
PRESENCE OF SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST ACCORDING TO ENHACEMENTS OF
METEOSAT IMAGERY. NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED AT THIS TIME.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N20W
TO 09N32W TO 08N39W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 08N39W AND CONTINUES
TO 08N50W. ASIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE E OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 03N TO 11N
BETWEEN 23W AND 37W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM ANALYZED AS
STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA TO 29N82W TO 24N90W TO 24N94W. THE UPPER TROUGH
ALSO SUPPORT A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS...ONE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND A SECOND TROUGH W OF THE FRONT
TAIL FROM 24N96W TO 18N94W. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
CARIBBEAN IS CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GENERATING INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT
ALOFT SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THE SW GULF S OF 25N
W OF 91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH ALONG
FLORIDA EXTENDS OVER SE GULF WATERS FROM 25N TO 26N E OF 83W.
DRY AIR SUBSIDENCE AND STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR N OF THE
FRONT SUPPORT FAIR WEATHER N OF 26N. NORTHERLY WIND FLOW OF OF
LESS THAN 15 KT COVERS THE BASIN. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE NE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS S-SW TO
PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...WHICH ALONG WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE IN THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND TSTMS ALONG CUBA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN WATERS...SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN JAMAICA AND SW CARIBBEAN S OF 14N W OF 78W. A SURFACE
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF DANNY...CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROXIMITY OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA. SEE
SPECIAL FEATURES FOR DETAILS. THE PASSAGE OF ERIKA THROUGH THE
NE CARIBBEAN THU WILL SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS
ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT WATERS.

...HISPANIOLA...

THE REMNANTS OF DANNY IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUE
TO ENHANCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG HAITI AND NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER CENTRAL AND
WESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. TROPICAL STORM ERIKA CURRENTLY
LOCATED E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE N OF THE ISLAND
FRIDAY. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE ARE EXPECTED TO
START THU AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...HEAVIEST
SHOWERS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM MOVES N OF
THE ISLAND OVER SW N ATLC WATERS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE ATLC IS T.S. ERIKA DISCUSSED IN SPECIAL
FEATURE. SEE ABOVE. A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY S-SW ACROSS THE GULF TO A BASE OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ANALYZED AS STATIONARY FROM A 1010 MB LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINA
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA FROM 30N81W TO 28N82W THE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SW N ATLC IS
CONVERGING WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT GENERATING
INSTABILITY THAT ALONG WITH A DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT
SUPPORT HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 24N W OF 75W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS OVER HAITI NORTHERN WATERS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
RIDGING AND FAIR WEATHER DOMINATE ELSEWHERE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
NR



000
WTPA31 PHFO 262355
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 167.7W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO WILL PASS NORTH OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON
ISLAND STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW-MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE STILL AFFECTING JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD





000
WTPA31 PHFO 262355
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 167.7W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO WILL PASS NORTH OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON
ISLAND STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW-MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE STILL AFFECTING JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD






000
WTPA31 PHFO 262355
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KILO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

...KILO STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 167.7W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NE OF JOHNSTON ISLAND
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM WSW OF BARKING SANDS HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KILO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST. KILO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KILO WILL PASS NORTH OF
JOHNSTON ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON JOHNSTON
ISLAND STARTING THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SLOW-MOVING
TROPICAL STORM ARE STILL AFFECTING JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND ARE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS KILO APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD...ESPECIALLY ALONG NORTH
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES AND REEFS AS KILO APPROACHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD





000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262353 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 59.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 155 MI...250 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 59.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

TANTO EL AVION DE NOAA Y EL DE LA FUERZA AEREA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGAN
ERIKA Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AUN DEBERAN ESTAR A CERCA DE 45 MPH...
75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE
CONTENIDOS EN  TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS
CAMBIOS O QUIZAS UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...
EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILAS


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262353 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 59.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 155 MI...250 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 59.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

TANTO EL AVION DE NOAA Y EL DE LA FUERZA AEREA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGAN
ERIKA Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AUN DEBERAN ESTAR A CERCA DE 45 MPH...
75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE
CONTENIDOS EN  TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS
CAMBIOS O QUIZAS UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...
EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILAS



000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262353 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 59.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 155 MI...250 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 59.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

TANTO EL AVION DE NOAA Y EL DE LA FUERZA AEREA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGAN
ERIKA Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AUN DEBERAN ESTAR A CERCA DE 45 MPH...
75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE
CONTENIDOS EN  TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS
CAMBIOS O QUIZAS UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...
EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILAS



000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262353 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 59.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 155 MI...250 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 59.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

TANTO EL AVION DE NOAA Y EL DE LA FUERZA AEREA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGAN
ERIKA Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AUN DEBERAN ESTAR A CERCA DE 45 MPH...
75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE
CONTENIDOS EN  TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS
CAMBIOS O QUIZAS UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...
EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILAS



000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262353 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 59.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 155 MI...250 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 59.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

TANTO EL AVION DE NOAA Y EL DE LA FUERZA AEREA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGAN
ERIKA Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AUN DEBERAN ESTAR A CERCA DE 45 MPH...
75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE
CONTENIDOS EN  TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS
CAMBIOS O QUIZAS UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...
EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILAS



000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262353 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE MUEVA A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS
DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.7 NORTE 59.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 155 MI...250 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 59.5
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

TANTO EL AVION DE NOAA Y EL DE LA FUERZA AEREA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGAN
ERIKA Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AUN DEBERAN ESTAR A CERCA DE 45 MPH...
75 KM POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN MAYORMENTE
CONTENIDOS EN  TURBONADAS AL SURESTE DE SU CENTRO. SE ANTICIPAN MUY POCOS
CAMBIOS O QUIZAS UN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.71 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL VIERNES...
EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR AVILAS


000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 262353
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED AUG 26 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KILO...LOCATED 150 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND OR 580 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
KAUAI...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPA31 PHFO.

2. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO
HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY ON
THURSDAY. SEE AWIPS HEADER TCPEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC FOR
DETAILS.

3. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII HAS
ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOKE. THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01
KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$
DONALDSON





000
WTNT35 KNHC 262338
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 59.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 59.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Both NOAA and Air Force planes are currently investigating Erika,
and the maximum sustained winds are still likely to be near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are confined to heavy
squalls to the southeast of the center. Little change in strength or
perhaps some slight weakening could occur during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262338
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 59.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 59.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Both NOAA and Air Force planes are currently investigating Erika,
and the maximum sustained winds are still likely to be near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are confined to heavy
squalls to the southeast of the center. Little change in strength or
perhaps some slight weakening could occur during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila




000
WTNT35 KNHC 262338
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 59.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 59.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Both NOAA and Air Force planes are currently investigating Erika,
and the maximum sustained winds are still likely to be near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are confined to heavy
squalls to the southeast of the center. Little change in strength or
perhaps some slight weakening could occur during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262338
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 59.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 59.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Both NOAA and Air Force planes are currently investigating Erika,
and the maximum sustained winds are still likely to be near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are confined to heavy
squalls to the southeast of the center. Little change in strength or
perhaps some slight weakening could occur during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262338
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 59.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 59.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Both NOAA and Air Force planes are currently investigating Erika,
and the maximum sustained winds are still likely to be near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are confined to heavy
squalls to the southeast of the center. Little change in strength or
perhaps some slight weakening could occur during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262338
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
800 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 59.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 59.5 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Both NOAA and Air Force planes are currently investigating Erika,
and the maximum sustained winds are still likely to be near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are confined to heavy
squalls to the southeast of the center. Little change in strength or
perhaps some slight weakening could occur during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 262330
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA A MAS DE CIEN MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 262330
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA A MAS DE CIEN MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 262330
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA A MAS DE CIEN MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 262330
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA
TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA...LOCALIZADA A MAS DE CIEN MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE.

NO SE ESPERA EL DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5
DIAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART


000
ABNT20 KNHC 262326
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located more than a hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 262326
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located more than a hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 262326
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located more than a hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 262326
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located more than a hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 262326
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located more than a hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 262326
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erika, located more than a hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ignacio, located well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 262201
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 136.2W AT 26/2100
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES
IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO IS BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BANDING FEATURES CLEARLY NOTED
WRAPPING INTO A CENTRAL DENSE TYPE FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN
THE NW SEMICIRCLE. LATEST NHC ADVISORY FORECASTS IGNACIO TO
REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT NEAR 12.3N137.6W. THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES W OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA BY LATE THU AFTERNOON OR THU EVENING. PLEASE SEE
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR
10.8N 113.3W OR ABOUT 752 NM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 17 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN OF THE DEPRESSION APPEARS ELONGATED N TO S WITH
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N115W TO 14N115W TO 15N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ELSEWHERE FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W...AND FROM 08N-11N BETWEEN 113W-116W.
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL
STORM BY THU AFTERNOON NEAR 12N118W...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH
FRI. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 08N93W
TO 08N102W TO 10N108W TO 11N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 240 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 82W-86W.

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N129W EXTENDS A
RIDGE SE TO NEAR 20N112W. OUTSIDE OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ARE NOTED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. A WEAK COLD
JUST NW OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS FRI WHILE
DISSIPATING. LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WITH PERIODS
IN THE 17-18 SECOND RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE S CENTRAL WATERS...AND TOWARDS THE
MEXICAN AND CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTS THROUGH THU WITH THE
POSSIBILITY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS RESULTING ALONG THESE
COASTS. A DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT S OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE
NEAR 20N134W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
129W-133W...AND ALSO FROM 06N-08N BETWEEN 125W-129W.

GAP WINDS...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N-NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT ARE FORECAST TO
AGAIN FUNNEL THROUGH THE GULF LATE TONIGHT...AND DIMINISH TO 15-
20 KT THU AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN FUNNEL ACROSS THE
GULF LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING ON FRI AFTERNOON.
RESULTING SEAS WILL START AT 8 FT...AND BUILD TO 8-10 FT LATE
THU NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE TO 8-9 FT FRI.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262112 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ESPERA SE MUEVA HACIA LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA
NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.6 NORTE 58.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 195 MI...315 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

EL GOBIERNO DE LA BAHAMAS HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y
CAICOS.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 58.9
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UN AUMENTO
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EN
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO ENLAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES...EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 PM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 262112 CCA
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO   8
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
500 PM AST MIERCOLES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2015

...ERIKA SE ESPERA SE MUEVA HACIA LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DURANTE LA
NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.6 NORTE 58.9 OESTE
CERCA DE 195 MI...315 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

EL GOBIERNO DE LA BAHAMAS HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y
CAICOS.

RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:

AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS
* LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS

 UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* GUADALUPE
* LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE CABO ENGANO HASTA
  CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS
* LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS

UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE
DENTRO DE 48 HORAS.

INTERESES EN LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE
ERIKA.

PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA DENTRO DE LOS ESTADOS
UNIDOS...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. PARA MAS INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA AFUERA
DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...FAVOR MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU SERVICIO NACIONAL METEOROLOGICO.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A LAS 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 58.9
OESTE. ERIKA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM POR
HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CON UN AUMENTO
LEVE EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. EN
LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE ERIKA SE MOVERA CERCA O
SOBRE PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES...Y ESTARA CERCA
O JUSTO AL NORTE DE LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN A CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KM POR
HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EN
INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 105
MILLAS...165 KM MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE DE SU CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR EL AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA
NOAA ES DE 1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON ESPERADOS PRIMERO
DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO ENLAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO ESTA NOCHE Y
ALCANZANDO LAS ISLAS VIRGENES Y PUERTO RICO EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES
DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO PARA
ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL JUEVES. CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
PODRIAN ALCANZAR PORCIONES DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA EL
VIERNES...EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LAS ISLAS DE TURKS Y CAICOS
EL VIERNES.

LLUVIA: SE ESPERA QUE ERIKA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A
5 PULGADAS Y CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...LAS ISLAS VIRGENES...PUERTO RICO...Y LA
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HASTA EL VIERNES.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA A LAS 800 PM AST.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA A LAS 1100 PM AST.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BROWN



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262050
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo
Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.9 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from data from a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




000
WTNT35 KNHC 262050
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo
Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.9 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from data from a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262050
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo
Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.9 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from data from a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262050
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo
Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.9 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from data from a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262050
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo
Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.9 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from data from a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT35 KNHC 262050
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
500 PM AST WED AUG 26 2015

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo
Engano to Cabo Frances Viejo.

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Cabo
Frances Viejo
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.9 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next
48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near
or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight, move near the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and be near or just
north of the north coast of the Dominican Republic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from data from a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area in the Leeward Islands tonight and early
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the
Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos
Islands on Friday.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
WTNT25 KNHC 262049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.1N  61.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  58.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT25 KNHC 262049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.1N  61.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  58.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT25 KNHC 262049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.1N  61.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  58.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT25 KNHC 262049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.1N  61.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  58.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT25 KNHC 262049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.1N  61.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  77.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  58.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT25 KNHC 262049
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 1