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000
AXNT20 KNHC 282359
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Bonnie is centered near 31.1N 79.4W at 28/2100
UTC or about 108 NM south-southeast of Charleston South Carolina
moving northwest at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45
kt. Bonnie is a sheared storm thus convection is mostly nw of
the center along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina.
Scattered moderate convection is from 31N-34N between 79W-82W.
See latest NHC intermediate public advisory under AWIPS/WMO
headers MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC and the full forecast/advisory
under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends along
28W/29W from 03N-13N moving west near 15 kt. Wave is embedded
within a low amplitude 700 mb trough. Scattered moderate
convection is from 5N-8N between 27W-31W.

Tropical wave in the west Tropical Atlantic extends along
59W/60W south of 9N to inland over Guyana South America moving
west 10-15 kt. Wave is embedded within a low amplitude 700 mb
trough. Scattered moderate convection is within 90 nm of the
wave axis.

Tropical wave in the southwest Caribbean extends along 77W south
of 14N to inland over Colombia moving west near 25 kt. Wave is
embedded within a 700 mb trough south of 11N. Scattered moderate
convection is within 90 nm of the wave axis.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The Monsoon Trough extends across Africa into the east Tropical
Atlantic near 09N13W to 07N16W to 06N28W. The ITCZ resumes west
of a tropical wave near 05N30W to 04N40W to South America near
04N51W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is along the
coast of west Africa from 08N-12N between 05W-15W due to the
monsoon trough.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf of Mexico near
29N85W. A 1002 mb low is centered over central Mexico near
25N103W. The surface pressure gradient tightens over the western
Gulf, thus 15-20 kt SE winds are over the W Gulf west of 90W.
The remainder of the Gulf has 10 kt SE winds. Scattered moderate
convection is over southern Louisiana from 29N-31N between 88W-
94W. Further south, clusters of scattered moderate to convection
are inland over Mexico between 96W-101W. Radar imagery shows
scattered showers over central and south Florida, and over west
Cuba. Fair weather is over the remainder of the Gulf. In the
upper levels, a ridge is over Texas and the W Gulf. Elsewhere,
an upper level trough is over the E Gulf and Florida. Expect
over the next 24 hours for the surface high to dissipate and
another high to form over N Louisiana.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is over the SW Caribbean along 77W.  See above.
The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-15 kt tradewinds.
Presently scattered moderate convection is inland over Panama,
Costa Rica, and N Colombia. Scattered showers are over Cuba,
Jamaica, and Hispaniola. Elsewhere, scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is are over the eastern Caribbean
east of 68W. In the upper levels the base of an upper level
trough is along 75W. Upper level diffluence east of the axis is
enhancing the convection over the eastern Caribbean. Expect over
the next 24 hours for the tropical wave to move west to the
Eastern Pacific. Also expect an upper level low to be over the N
Bahamas with continued diffluence and convection over the
eastern Caribbean.

...HISPANIOLA...

Presently scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms are
over the island.  Expect more convection over the next 24 hours
due to upper level diffluence.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on Tropical Storm
Bonnie. Over the central Atlantic a 1025 mb high is centered
near 29N48W. Another 1025 mb high is centered over the eastern
Atlantic near 28N31W. A weak 1022 low is centered near 27N36W.
Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the center. Another weak
1022 mb low is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 28N25W.
Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the center.  Of note in
the upper levels, upper level diffluence southeast of the
Florida upper level low is producing isolated moderate
convection north of Hispaniola from 20N-28N between 65W-76W.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa



000
WTUS82 KCHS 282358
HLSCHS
GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>052-290800-

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  AL022016
758 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

**BONNIE SLOWS TO A CRAWL**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      BERKELEY...INLAND JASPER...BEAUFORT...COASTAL
      COLLETON...CHARLESTON...COASTAL JASPER AND TIDAL BERKELEY

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC OR ABOUT 120
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GA
    - 30.9N 79.4W
    - STORM INTENSITY 40 MPH
    - MOVEMENT STATIONARY

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
CHARLESTON HAS AT LEAST TEMPORARILY STALLLED...BUT SHOULD
RESUME A SLOW MOTION TOWARDS THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS EVENING.
THIS STORM WILL LIKELY REMAIN NEAR OR AROUND THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY OVER
THE COASTAL REGIONS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OF UP TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY WITHIN RAINBANDS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF SUNDAY. THESE WINDS MAY
BRING DOWN SOME TREE BRANCHES OR SMALL LIMBS...PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS OVER BRIDGES...AND CAUSE SOME SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES.

THE RAIN COULD BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST. THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR MINOR FLOODING...MAINLY IN
LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST CLOSE
TO THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
EXACT TRACK...INTENSITY AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM.

AT THE COAST AND BEACHES...THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK FOR LIFE
THREATENING RIP CURRENTS...WITH SOME BEACH EROSION ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES COULD QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES COULD
      BECOME SWOLLEN AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN NORMALLY
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER COULD OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
      UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
      SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE DUE TO DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED LOCATIONS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
      BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
      PROFILE VEHICLES.
    - ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
THERE WILL BE STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS AS WELL AS
BEACH EROSION ALONG THE BEACHES OF BOTH SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION OF SALTWATER MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE
      SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS FARTHER INLAND NEAR RIVERS
      AND CREEKS.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
      WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS IN PLACES WHERE
      SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF POSSIBLY BREACHING
      DUNES, MAINLY IN NORMALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP
      CURRENTS.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA,
LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS.
    - ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH
      POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS, TORNADOES COULD DAMAGE TREES, VEHICLES,
      BOATS AND BUILDINGS, ESPECIALLY MOBILE HOMES AND AND OTHER
      POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA,
LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON SC AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$



000
WTNT32 KNHC 282342
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
800 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

CORRECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE IN SUMMARY SECTION

...BONNIE HESITATES WHILE RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 79.4W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 30.9 North, longitude 79.4 West. Bonnie has moved little
during the past few hours, but a northwest motion near 9 mph (15
km/h) is expected to resume this evening. A decrease in forward
speed and a turn toward the north-northwest are expected on Sunday
as the system nears the coast within the warning area. A slow
northward to northeastward motion of the center across coastal
South Carolina is expected Sunday night and Monday.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are
near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. A little strengthening is
possible tonight, with gradual weakening forecast on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the northwest of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated by the aircraft is
1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches with maximum totals of 5 inches from eastern South
Carolina through southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area during the
next high tide on Sunday morning.

SURF: Bonnie is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States
coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible late tonight
and early Sunday over the immediate coastal region from central
South Carolina through southern North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282303
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT MAY 28 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282212 CCA
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...corrected
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016

Corrected Discussion section

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N84W to 11N96W to 13N110W
to low pressure near 10N122W 1009 mb to 07N126W. ITCZ axis
extends from 07N126W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 120 nm s of the axis
between 93W and 97W, and south of the axis within 30 nm of a
line from 09.5N106W to 09N111W. Scattered moderate convection is
within 60 nm of the axis west of 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

High pressure centered N of the area extends a ridge
southeastward to 32N133W to 25N127W to near 20N120W. High
pressure covers the area north of 15N and west of 115W. A weak
low of 1009 mb is analyzed near 10N122W. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted mainly within 120
nm east semicircle of low. Global model guidance continues to
keep the low in the same general area through Sunday morning
with some development before it begins to lift in a north to
northeasterly direction through Monday. Strong south to
southwest winds are expected to to the southeast of the low from
10N to 12N between 117W and 120W on Sunday with seas building to
10 feet. A tight pressure gradient between the low and the ridge
over the northern and central waters should allow for strong
northeast winds to develop in the northwest quadrant of the low
on Sunday with seas of 8 to 9 ft. The low is forecast to weaken
Sunday night and Monday with associated winds decreasing to 20
kt and seas of 8 ft in south to southwest swell mixed with a
secondary swell component from the north over an area roughly
south of 16N between 114W and 127W. The aforementioned high
pressure north of the area is forecast to weaken as it slides
eastward during the 48 hours.

East of 125W...satellite water vapor imagery shows plentiful
deep atmospheric moisture present underneath a mid-level ridge
roughly along 14N. The southern portion of an upper level trough
that stretches from central Baja California to near 12N126W is
providing lift for the deep moisture. This has resulted in the
development of clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection near and south of the monsoon trough segment between
105W and 111W. The trough is forecast to shift east of the area
Sunday. Ascat data from this afternoon depicted an area of fresh
northeast winds west of 136W between 09N-12N, and moderate
trades N of the convergence zone west of 125W. Mainly gentle
winds prevail elsewhere across the basin. Elsewhere, near gale
force N-NW winds along the California coast have produced an
area of 7-8 ft N swell in north/central waters between 123W and
129W. Cross-equatorial S-SW swell will affect the area south of
the equator between 104W and 120W. The swell is forecast to
merge with the area of elevated sea heights associated with the
low near 10N122W to produce a fairly large area of 6-8 ft seas
in south-central waters by late Sunday  Mostly benign marine
conditions are expected to prevail across the remainder of the
forecast area through Tuesday.

$$
Aguirre



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282205
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N84W to 11N96W to 13N110W
to low pressure near 10N122W 1009 mb to 07N126W. ITCZ extends
from 07N126W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm s of the axis between 93W
and 97W, and south of the axis within 30 nm of a line from
09.5N106W to 09N111W. Scattered moderate convection is within
60 nm of the axis west of 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

High pressure centered N of the area extends a ridge
southeastward to 32N133W to 25N127W to near 20N120W. High
pressure covers the area north of 15N and west of 115W. A weak
low of 1009 mb is analyzed near 10N122W. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted mainly within 120
nm east semicircle of low. Global model guidance continues to
keep the low in the same general area through Sunday morning
with some development before it begins to lift in a north to
northeasterly direction through Monday. Strong south to
southwest winds are expected to to the southeast of the low from
10N to 12N between 117W and 120W on Sunday with seas building to
10 feet. A tight pressure gradient between the low and the ridge
over the northern and central waters should allow for strong
northeast winds to develop in the northwest quadrant of the low
on Sunday with seas of 8 to 9 ft. The low is forecast to weaken
Sunday night and Monday with associated winds decreasing to 20
kt and seas of 8 ft in south to southwest mixed with a secondary
swell component from the north over an area roughly south of 16N
between 114W and 127W.

East of 125W...satellite water vapor imagery shows plentiful
deep atmospheric moisture present underneath a mid-level ridge
roughly along 14N. The southern portion of an upper level trough
that stretches from central Baja California to near 12N126W is
providing lift for the deep moisture. This has resulted in the
development of clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection near and south of the monsoon trough segment between
105W and 111W. The trough is forecast to shift east of the area
Sunday. Ascat data from this afternoon depicted an area of fresh
northeast winds west of 136W between 09N-12N, and moderate
trades N of the convergence zone west of 125W. Mainly gentle
winds prevail elsewhere across the basin. Elsewhere, near gale
force N-NW winds along the California coast have produced an
area of 7-8 ft N swell in north-central waters between 123W and
129W. Cross-equatorial S-SW swell will affect the area south of
the equator between 104W-120W. The swell is forecast to merge
with the area of elevated sea heights associated with the low
near 10N122W to produce a fairly large area of 6-8 ft seas in
south-central waters by late Sunday  Mostly benign marine
conditions are expected to prevail across the remainder of the
forecast area through Tuesday.

$$
Aguirre



000
WTUS82 KILM 281837
HLSILM
NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-290245-

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO LOCAL STATEMENT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  AL022016
237 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA

**TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL SOUTH
 CAROLINA COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND MAY BRIEFLY
 STRENGTHEN TO A WEAK TROPICAL STORM BEFORE LANDFALL ON SUNDAY
 MORNING**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      HORRY...COASTAL HORRY...INLAND GEORGETOWN AND COASTAL GEORGETOWN

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NC OR ABOUT 210
      MILES SOUTH OF MYRTLE BEACH SC
    - 30.7N 79.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 35 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO, LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE
BEACH, IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A WEAK TROPICAL STORM AS IT
APPROACHES THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. LANDFALL IS PREDICTED NEAR
CHARLESTON ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST LATER SUNDAY WHILE WEAKENING AND THEN SLOWLY MOVE
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTLINES MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS SHOULD AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FEW
LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE AS MUCH AS 4 INCHES.

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS GEORGETOWN AND SOUTHERN HORRY COUNTIES.
ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
ALONG THE COAST. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OUTSIDE OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

ROUGH SURF AND AN INCREASED DANGER OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST FROM GEORGETOWN
COUNTY NORTHWARD TO PENDER COUNTY.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM RAINFALL MAY OCCUR, ESPECIALLY IN
      LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME RIVERS AND CREEKS MAY
      RISE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, AND
      DITCHES MAY OVERFLOW IN SOME LOCATIONS.
    - SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS MAY BECOME FULL AND
      BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES IS POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS MAY BE
      BLOWN ABOUT.
    - SOME LARGE LIMBS MAY BREAK FROM TREES. A FEW SHALLOW ROOTED OR
      WEAK TREES MAY SNAP OR BE KNOCKED DOWN. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY
      SIGNS DAMAGED.
    - A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY
      WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED LOCATIONS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
      CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
      ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION AND MINOR OVER-WASH IS POSSIBLE, MAINLY
      ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND OTHER VULNERABLE LOW-LYING AREAS
      ALONG THE COAST. LOW SPOTS ALONG WATERWAYS AND TIDAL CREEKS MAY
      ALSO BE IMPACTED.
    - SOME PORTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME
      COVERED BY SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS
      IN PLACES WHERE THE SURGE COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN VULNERABLE
      LOCATIONS ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT.
    - MINOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS
      POSSIBLE. A FEW SMALL CRAFT MAY BREAK AWAY FROM MOORINGS IF NOT
      PROPERLY SECURED.
    - NAVIGATION MAY BE DIFFICULT NEAR INLETS AND WATERWAYS, AS
      NAVIGATIONAL AIDS MAY BE OFF STATION OR MISSING.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL GEORGETOWN AND HORRY COUNTIES. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - TORNADOES CAN CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES, VEHICLES, BOATS, AND
      BUILDINGS. UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES AND POORLY CONSTRUCTED
      STRUCTURES ARE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DETERIORATE.

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

KREITNER



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 281753
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  3A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022016
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT SABADO 28 DE MAYO DE 2016

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE CONVIERTA EN TORMENTA TROPICAL TARDE HOY...
...BANDAS DE LLUVIA EXTERNAS SE MUEVEN SOBRE LAS COSTAS DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...


RESUMEN DE LAS 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.7 NORTE 79.0 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 150 MI...240 KM AL SUR-SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR
ALREDEDOR DE 225 MI...360 KM AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE FEAR CAROLINA DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 310 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MB...29.80 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Savannah River hasta Little River Inlet Carolina del Sur

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de Tormenta
Tropical se esperan en algun lugar dentro del area de
aviso...en este caso dentro de las proximas 24 horas.

Para informacion especifica a su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos sobre tierra...favor de consultar los productos
emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 2:00 PM EDT (1800 UTC)...el centro de la Depresion Tropical Dos
se estima que esta cerca de la latitud 30.7 Norte...longitud 79.0
Oeste. La depresion se esta moviento hacia el Noroeste cerca de las
13 mph (20 km/h). Se espera que este movimiento general...acompanado
por una disminucion en la velocidad de translacion...continue tarde
hoy y el Domingo a medida que el sistema se acerque a la costa
dentro del area de aviso.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 35 mph (55 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. La depresion esta pronosticada a convertirse en
tormenta tropical tarde hoy mientras se continue moviendose sobre
aguas mas calidas de las corrientes del Golfo.

La presion central minima estimada es de 1009 milibares...29.80
pulgadas.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta Tropical se esperan que alcancen
primero la costa dentro de la area de aviso tarde esta noche o
temprano el Domingo.

LLUVIAS: Se espera que la depresion produzca acumulaciones totales
de lluvia de 1 a 3 pulgadas desde el Este de Carolina del Sur hasta
el Sureste de Carolina del Norte.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: Inundaciones de la marejada ciclonica de 1 a 2
pies sobre el nivel de tierra es posible dentro del area de aviso de
tormenta tropical.

RESACAS: Se espera que este produzca resacas y condiciones de
corrientes submarinas que podran amenazar la vida a lo largo de
porciones de la costa del sureste de los Estados Unidos durante el
fin de semana. Favor de consultar los productos emitidos por su
oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.


LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 PM EDT.

$$

Pronosticador Stewart
Traductor Colon-Pagan



000
WTNT32 KNHC 281747
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
200 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...
...OUTER RAINBANDS MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.7N 79.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
estimated to be near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 79.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
This general motion, accompanied by a decrease in forward speed, is
expected later today and on Sunday as the system nears the coast
within the warning area.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today as
it continues to move over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area later tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from eastern South Carolina through
southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area.

SURF: This system is expected to produce life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United
States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281731
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 28 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 281208
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  3A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022016
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT SABADO 28 DE MAYO DE 2016

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION SE CONVIERTA EN TORMENTA TROPICAL TARDE HOY...


RESUMEN DE LAS 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.0 NORTE 78.0 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 225 MI...365 KM AL SUR-SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR
ALREDEDOR DE 270 MI...435 KM AL SUR DE CAPE FEAR CAROLINA DEL NORTE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 305 GRADOS A 14 MPH...22 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MB...29.80 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Savannah River hasta Little River Inlet Carolina del Sur

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de Tormenta
Tropical se esperan en algun lugar dentro del area de
aviso...en este caso dentro de las proximas 24 horas.

Para informacion especifica a su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos sobre tierra, favor de consultar los productos
emitidos por su oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), el centro de la Depresion Tropical Dos
fue estimado por un avion de reconocimiento de las Fuerzas Aereas
cerca de la latitud 30.0 norte...longitud 78.0 oeste. La depresion
se mueve hacia el noroeste cerca de 14 mph (22 km/h). Se espera una
reduccion en la velocidad de traslacion hoy y el Domingo a medida
que el sistema se acerque a la costa dentro del area de aviso.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos permanecen cerca de 35 mph (55 km/h)
con rafagas mas altas. Reportes del avion de reconocimiento indican
que el ciclon tropical esta justo por debajo de fuerza de tormenta
tropical. La depresion esta pronosticada a convertirse en tormenta
tropical tarde hoy mientras se mueva sobre aguas mas calidas de las
corrientes del Golfo.

La presion central minima estimada es de 1009 milibares...29.80
pulgadas.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta Tropical se esperan que alcancen
primero la costa dentro de la area de aviso tarde esta noche o
temprano el Domingo.

LLUVIAS: Se espera que la depresion produzca acumulaciones totales
de lluvia de 1 a 3 pulgadas desde el Este de Carolina del Sur hasta
el Sureste de Carolina del Norte.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: Inundaciones de la marejada ciclonica de 1 a 2
pies sobre el nivel de tierra es posible dentro del area de aviso de
tormenta tropical.

RESACAS: Se espera que este produzca resacas y condiciones de
corrientes submarinas que podran amenazar la vida a lo largo de
porciones de la costa del sureste de los Estados Unidos durante el
fin de semana. Favor de consultar los productos emitidos por su
oficina local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.


LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM EDT.

$$

Pronosticador Stewart
Traductor Colon-Pagan



000
WTNT32 KNHC 281150
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
800 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 78.0W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
estimated by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft to be near
latitude 30.0 North, longitude 78.0 West. The depression is moving
toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A decrease in forward
speed is expected later today and on Sunday as the system nears the
coast within the warning area.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the tropical
cyclone is just below tropical storm strength. The depression is
forecast to become a tropical storm later today as it moves over the
warm waters of the Gulfstream.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area later tonight or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from eastern South Carolina through
southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is possible within the tropical storm warning area.

SURF: This system is expected to produce life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United
States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280512
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
WTNT22 KNHC 280230
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
0300 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  75.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  75.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  75.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N  77.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.3N  78.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.2N  79.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.7N  79.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.5N  78.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N  77.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.5N  76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  75.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
AXNT20 KNHC 280120
TWDAT

AXNT20 KNHC DDHHMM
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Tropical Depression Two is centered near 28.5N 74.7W at 27/2100
UTC, or about 378 NM SE of Charleston South Carolina moving WNW
at 11 KT.  Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 MB.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 KT with gusts to 40 KT.  Some
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight
or on Saturday.  A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect
for...Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina.
Presently scattered moderate convection is from 28N-31N between
73W-76W.  Please see the latest intermediate public advisory
under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC, and the full
forecast advisory under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
extending from 15N19W to 05N20W moving west at 15 kt. The wave
has a well-defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS
analysis, and rawindsondes over West Africa.  The wave is
embedded in a moderate moist environment from the surface to 850
mb, according to CIRA layer precipitable water.  EnhancedAn
upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection over Haiti.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produced scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over Hispaniola during the
next two days.
Meteosat imagery shows dust in the northern wave environment,
thus limiting the convection to scattered moderate from 5N-8N
between 19W-22W.

A tropical wave is over the west tropical Atlantic extending
from 13N55W to 05N54W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  This wave has become difficult to track and is weakly
apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave diagnostics at 700 mb.
No deep convection is present currently associated with the wave.

A tropical wave is located in the eastern Caribbean extending
from 16N68W to 08N68W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  The wave is embedded in a moderate moist environment
from the surface to 850 mb.  Scattered showers are within 120
nm of the axis.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The Monsoon Trough extends across the tropical Atlantic starting
near 09N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ begins near 06N21W and continues
to 05N43W.  An area of scattered moderate to strong convection
is inland over western Africa due to the monsoon trough from 09N-
14N between 04W-16W. Elsewhere, scattered moderate convection is
along the coast of South America from 2N-7N between 48W-53W due
to the ITCZ.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

An outflow boundary is over western Louisiana and eastern Texas.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 29N-34N between
92W-97W.   Further south, clusters of scattered moderate to
strong convection is along the coast of Mexico from 18N-26N
between 96W-100W.  Surface ridging is over the NE Gulf of
Mexico, while a 1000 mb low is centered over central Mexico near
25N123W.  The surface pressure gradient tightens over the
western Gulf, thus 20-25 kt southerly winds are over the NW
Gulf.  The remainder of the Gulf has 10-15 kt SE winds.  Radar
imagery shows scattered showers over central and south Florida.
Fair weather is over the remainder of the Gulf.  In the upper
levels, the base of a trough is over Texas and the far NW Gulf.
Elsewhere, an upper level low is centered over the N Bahamas
near 26N78W. Expect over the next 24 hours for an increase of
convection over South Florida.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 68W.  See
above.  The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-15 kt tradewinds.
Presently scattered moderate convection is inland over Panama
and Costa Rica. Elsewhere, scattered showers are over the
eastern Caribbean east of 74W. In the upper levels the base of
an upper level trough is along 75W. Upper level diffluence east
of the axis is enhancing the showers over the eastern Caribbean.
Expect little change over the next 24 hours.

HISPANIOLA...

Presently scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are over
the island.  Expect more convection over the next 24 hours due
to the tropical wave and the upper level trough.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on Tropical
Depression Two.  Over the central Atlantic a 1023 mb high is
centered near 28N49W.  A weak 1019 low is centered near 27N26W.
Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the center. Another weak
1017 mb low is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 27N28W.
Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the center.  Of note in
the upper levels, upper level diffluence southeast of the N
Bahamas upper level low is producing scattered moderate
convection north of Hispaniola from 20N-27N between 64W-72W.


For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa



000
AXNT20 KNHC 280022 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Tropical Depression Two is centered near 28.5N 74.7W at 27/2100
UTC, or about 378 NM SE of Charleston South Carolina moving WNW
at 11 KT.  Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 MB.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 KT with gusts to 40 KT.  Some
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight
or on Saturday.  A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect
for...Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina.
Presently scattered moderate convection is from 28N-31N between
73W-76W.  Please see the latest intermediate public advisory
under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC, and the full
forecast advisory under AWIPS/WMO header MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
extending from 15N19W to 05N20W moving west at 15 kt. The wave
has a well-defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS
analysis, and rawindsondes over West Africa.  The wave is
embedded in a moderate moist environment from the surface to 850
mb, according to CIRA layer precipitable water.  Enhanced
Meteosat imagery shows dust in the northern wave environment,
thus limiting the convection to scattered moderate from 5N-8N
between 19W-22W.

A tropical wave is over the west tropical Atlantic extending
from 13N55W to 05N54W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  This wave has become difficult to track and is weakly
apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave diagnostics at 700 mb.
No deep convection is present currently associated with the wave.

A tropical wave is located in the eastern Caribbean extending
from 16N68W to 08N68W, moving west at 20-25 kt over the past 24
hours.  The wave is embedded in a moderate moist environment
from the surface to 850 mb.  Scattered showers are within 120
nm of the axis.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The Monsoon Trough extends across the tropical Atlantic starting
near 09N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ begins near 06N21W and continues
to 05N43W.  An area of scattered moderate to strong convection
is inland over western Africa due to the monsoon trough from 09N-
14N between 04W-16W. Elsewhere, scattered moderate convection is
along the coast of South America from 2N-7N between 48W-53W due
to the ITCZ.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

An outflow boundary is over western Louisiana and eastern Texas.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 29N-34N between
92W-97W.   Further south, clusters of scattered moderate to
strong convection is along the coast of Mexico from 18N-26N
between 96W-100W.  Surface ridging is over the NE Gulf of
Mexico, while a 1000 mb low is centered over central Mexico near
25N123W.  The surface pressure gradient tightens over the
western Gulf, thus 20-25 kt southerly winds are over the NW
Gulf.  The remainder of the Gulf has 10-15 kt SE winds.  Radar
imagery shows scattered showers over central and south Florida.
Fair weather is over the remainder of the Gulf.  In the upper
levels, the base of a trough is over Texas and the far NW Gulf.
Elsewhere, an upper level low is centered over the N Bahamas
near 26N78W. Expect over the next 24 hours for an increase of
convection over South Florida.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 68W.  See
above.  The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-15 kt tradewinds.
Presently scattered moderate convection is inland over Panama
and Costa Rica. Elsewhere, scattered showers are over the
eastern Caribbean east of 74W. In the upper levels the base of
an upper level trough is along 75W. Upper level diffluence east
of the axis is enhancing the showers over the eastern Caribbean.
Expect little change over the next 24 hours.

HISPANIOLA...

Presently scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are over
the island.  Expect more convection over the next 24 hours due
to the tropical wave and the upper level trough.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on Tropical
Depression Two.  Over the central Atlantic a 1023 mb high is
centered near 28N49W.  A weak 1019 low is centered near 27N26W.
Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the center. Another weak
1017 mb low is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 27N28W.
Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the center.  Of note in
the upper levels, upper level difluence se of the N Bahamas
upper level low is producing scattered moderate convection n of
Hispaniola from 20N-27N between 64W-72W.


For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa



000
WTCA42 TJSJ 280000
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  1A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL       AL022016
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT VIERNES 27 DE MAYO DE 2016

...DEPRESION MOVIENDOSE OESTE-NOROESTE HACIA LA COSTA SURESTE DE
LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 800 PM EST...0000 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...28.8 NORTE 75.1 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 400 MI...645 KM AL SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR
ALREDEDOR DE 405 MI...655 KM AL SURESTE DE HILTON HEAD ISLAND CAROLINA DEL SUR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 13 MPH...20 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MB...29.80 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Savannah River hasta Little River Inlet Carolina del Sur

Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de Tormenta
Tropical se esperan en algun lado dentro de la area de aviso dentro
de 36 horas.

Para informacion especifica a su area, incluyendo posibles
vigilancias y avisos tierra adentro, favor de monitorear productos
emitidos por su Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia local.

DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 800 pm est...0000 utc...el centro de la Depresion Tropical
Dos estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 28.8 norte...longitud
75.1 oeste. La depresion se mueve hacia el oeste noroeste a cerca de
13mph...20 km/h y este movimiento general se espera que
continue durante las proximas 24 horas. Una reduccion en la velocidad
de traslacion se espera para el Sabado en la noche a medida que
este sistema se acerque a la costa.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 35 mph...55
km/h...con rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica algun fortalecimiento
durante las proximas 48 horas, y se espera que la depresion se
convierta en tormenta tropical mas tarde esta noche o el Sabado.

La presion central minima estimada es de 1009 milibares...29.80
pulgadas.

PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
VIENTO: Condiciones de Tormenta tropical se esperan que primero llegue
a la costa dentro de la area de aviso el Sabado en la noche, creando
dificultades en los preparativos en el exterior.

LLUVIAS: Se espera que la depresion produzca acumulaciones totales de
lluvia de 2 a 4 pulgadas desde la costa alta de Georgia hasta el este
de Carolina del Sur y hasta el sureste de Carolina del Norte.

MAREJADA CICLONICA: Inundaciones de la marejada ciclonica de 1 a 2 pies
sobre el nivel de tierra se espera dentro de la area del aviso de tormenta
tropical.

RESACAS: Este sistema se espera que produzca resacas que amanece con
la vida y condiciones de corrientes submarinas a lo largo de
porciones de la costa del sureste de los Estados Unidos durante el
fin de semana. Favor de consultar productos desde su oficina local
del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.


LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
----------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Pronosticador Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272326
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
WTNT32 KNHC 272049
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
500 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...SECOND TROPICAL CYCLONE OF THE SEASON FORMS OFF OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.5N 74.7W
ABOUT 435 MI...695 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SE OF HILTON HEAD ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of South
Carolina from the Savannah River northeastward to Little River
Inlet.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 74.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours.  A reduction of the forward speed is expected by Saturday
night as the system nears the coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight or
on Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach
the coast within the warning area by Saturday night, making outside
preparations difficult.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches from the upper coast of Georgia
through eastern South Carolina and into southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is expected within the tropical storm warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




000
WTNT22 KNHC 272048
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
2100 UTC FRI MAY 27 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHEASTWARD TO LITTLE RIVER
INLET.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  74.7W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  74.7W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  74.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.5N  76.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.7N  78.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N  79.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 32.8N  80.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.6N  78.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 34.0N  77.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 34.7N  75.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  74.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
AXNT20 KNHC 271148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1012 mb low pressure is centered near 27N72W and is currently
interacting with a broad upper-level trough, supporting
scattered moderate convection within 180 nm of the northern
semicircle of the low. A surface trough extends from 29N70w, to
the low, to 24N73W. Environmental conditions are generally
conducive for a tropical or subtropical cyclone to form later
today or Saturday while this system moves west-northwestward
toward the southeastern United States coast. There is a high
chance for this system to develop into a tropical or subtropical
cyclone over the next 48 hours. For more information on this
system, please refer to the Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
under AWIPS/WMO headers TWOAT/ABNT20.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is emerging off of the coast of West Africa with
the axis extending from 17N17W to 05N18W.  The wave has a well-
defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS analysis and the
couple of West African rawindsondes.  The wave also has a
prominent maximum of moisture along its axis, as depicted by the
total precipitable water imagery.  Scattered moderate convection
is present within 60 nm of the wave axis south of 08N.

A tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic with an axis
that extends from 14N50W to 03N50W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt
over the past 24 hours. This wave has become difficult to track
and only is weakly apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave
diagnostics at 700 mb. No significant deep convection is present
currently associated with the wave.

A third tropical wave is located near the Windward Islands,
extending from 16N62W to 07N62W.  The wave is associated with a
maximum of moisture and surface to 850 mb cyclonic curvature of
the winds, though it is not apparent at 700 mb.  Scattered
moderate convection may be associated with the wave over
northern Colombia.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ begins near 05N19W and continues to 02N33W then to
05N47W. An area of scattered moderate convection prevails within
60 nm of the ITCZ east of 26W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge axis extends along the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico from the Florida peninsula to Texas.  Winds are generally
northeast to easterly 10-15 kt in the eastern Gulf and southeast
to southerly 15-20 kt in the western Gulf, peaking at 20-25 kt
along the Texas coast. Only widely scattered showers are
occurring within 120 nm of the Texas and southwest Florida
coasts.  Winds will further diminish over the next two days
across the Gulf.  Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible over the northwestern Gulf today, but less likely
on Saturday.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection near Jamaica,
the southern Bahamas, eastern Cuba, and Haiti.  A 1009 mb low
that anchors the Northeast Pacific`s Monsoon Trough is located
near 11N75W in the southwestern Caribbean.  Scattered moderate
convection is within 120 nm of the low. The usual robust north-
to-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is substantially
reduced, and the resulting tradewinds are only 10-15 kt across
the Caribbean, except 20 kt near the coast of Colombia.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produce scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over the central Caribbean
including the Greater Antilles during the next two days.  The
tradewinds will remain relatively weak through Saturday.

HISPANIOLA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection over Haiti.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produced scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over Hispaniola during the
next two days.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on a low near
27N72W.  Elsewhere, surface ridging extends across the North
Atlantic from near the coast of North Carolina to a 1023 mb high
centered near 35N69W to 32N49W. The resulting modest pressure
gradient equatorward of the ridge is generally producing 10-20
kt tradewind easterlies.  Numerous cold, high clouds are
observed between 10N-20N east of 45W.  However, it is likely
that few showers are occurring below this primarily cirrus
cloudiness.  A weak 1014 mb low is centered at 28N30W with a
cold front extending west from the low to 31N41W.  Scattered
showers are located within 120 nm of the low.  Continued
relatively weak tradewinds and a lack of large-scale convection
are expected during the next couple of days.  The frontal low
should dissipate within a day or so.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
LANDSEA/RAMOS



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 271147
TWOSPN

Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones en el Tropico
Emitido por el Centro Nacional de Huracanes en Miami, Florida
Traduccion por la Oficina del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
745 PM EDT viernes 27 de mayo de 2016

Para el Atlantico Norte...Mar Caribe y Golfo de Mexico:

La actividad de aguaceros asociada con el area de baja presion
localizada entre Bermuda y las Bahamas continua mostrando senales de
organizacion, y la circulacion de la baja presion se ha gradualmente
vuelto mejor definida. Se espera que las condiciones ambientales
sean generalmente conducentes para el desarrollo de un ciclon
tropical o subtropical mas tarde hoy o el sabado mientras el sistema
se mueve al oeste noroeste o noroeste hacia la costa sureste de los
Estados Unidos. Todos los intereses a lo largo de la costa sureste
desde Georgia hasta Carolina del Norte deben monitorear el progreso
de esta baja presion. Un avion de reconocimiento de la Fuerza Aerea
estara investigando esta baja presion hoy en la tarde. La proxima
Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones en el Tropico en relacion
con este disturbio sera emitida a las 3 pm EDT hoy. Para informacion
adicional sobre este sistema, favor referirse a los Pronosticos de
Alto Oleaje emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 48 horas...alta...90 por ciento.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 5 dias...alta...90 por ciento.

&&

El Pronostico de Alto Oleaje emitido por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia se puede encontrar bajo el encabezado en AWIPS de
NFDHSFAT1 y el encabezado en WMO de FZNT01 KWBC.

$$

Pronosticador Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271120
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



000
AXNT20 KNHC 271115
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1145 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1012 mb low pressure is centered near 27N72W and is currently
interacting with a broad upper-level trough, supporting
scattered moderate convection within 180 nm of the northern
semicircle of the low. A surface trough extends from 29N70w, to
the low, to 24N73W. Environmental conditions are expected to be
marginally conducive for a tropical or subtropical cyclone to
form later today or Saturday while this system moves west-
northwestward or northwestward toward the southeastern United
States coast. There is a high chance for this system to develop
into a tropical or subtropical cyclone over the next 48 hours.
For more information on this system, please refer to the
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook under AWIPS/WMO headers
TWOAT/ABNT20.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is emerging off of the coast of West Africa with
the axis extending from 17N17W to 05N18W.  The wave has a well-
defined 700 mb trough axis as seen in the GFS analysis and the
couple of West African rawindsondes.  The wave also has a
prominent maximum of moisture along its axis, as depicted by the
total precipitable water imagery.  Scattered moderate convection
is present within 60 nm of the wave axis south of 08N.

A tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic with an axis
that extends from 14N50W to 03N50W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt
over the past 24 hours. This wave has become difficult to track
and only is weakly apparent in the SUNY-Albany tropical wave
diagnostics at 700 mb. No significant deep convection is present
currently associated with the wave.

A third tropical wave is located near the Windward Islands,
extending from 16N62W to 07N62W.  The wave is associated with a
maximum of moisture and surface to 850 mb cyclonic curvature of
the winds, though it is not apparent at 700 mb.  Scattered
moderate convection may be associated with the wave over
northern Colombia.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ begins near 05N19W and continues to 02N33W then to
05N47W. An area of scattered moderate convection prevails within
60 nm of the ITCZ east of 26W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge axis extends along the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico from the Florida peninsula to Texas.  Winds are generally
northeast to easterly 10-15 kt in the eastern Gulf and southeast
to southerly 15-20 kt in the western Gulf, peaking at 20-25 kt
along the Texas coast. Only widely scattered showers are
occurring within 120 nm of the Texas and southwest Florida
coasts.  Winds will further diminish over the next two days
across the Gulf.  Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible over the northwestern Gulf today, but less likely
on Saturday.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection near Jamaica,
the southern Bahamas, eastern Cuba, and Haiti.  A 1009 mb low
that anchors the Northeast Pacific`s Monsoon Trough is located
near 11N75W in the southwestern Caribbean.  Scattered moderate
convection is within 120 nm of the low. The usual robust north-
to-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is substantially
reduced, and the resulting tradewinds are only 10-15 kt across
the Caribbean, except 20 kt near the coast of Colombia.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produce scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over the central Caribbean
including the Greater Antilles during the next two days.  The
tradewinds will remain relatively weak through Saturday.

HISPANIOLA...

An upper-level trough that extends into the western Caribbean is
helping to induce scattered moderate convection over Haiti.  The
combination of the upper trough, abundant moisture, and the
approaching easterly wave currently near the Windward Islands
may produced scattered to numerous moderate convection with
isolated to scattered deep convection over Hispaniola during the
next two days.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for details on a low near
27N72W.  Elsewhere, surface ridging extends across the North
Atlantic from near the coast of North Carolina to a 1023 mb high
centered near 35N69W to 32N49W. The resulting modest pressure
gradient equatorward of the ridge is generally producing 10-20
kt tradewind easterlies.  Numerous cold, high clouds are
observed between 10N-20N east of 45W.  However, it is likely
that few showers are occurring below this primarily cirrus
cloudiness.  A weak 1014 mb low is centered at 28N30W with a
cold front extending west from the low to 31N41W.  Scattered
showers are located within 120 nm of the low.  Continued
relatively weak tradewinds and a lack of large-scale convection
are expected during the next couple of days.  The frontal low
should dissipate within a day or so.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$

CWL



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270515
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



000
ABNT20 KNHC 262340
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
740 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with the low pressure area located
between Bermuda and the Bahamas has become somewhat better organized
since yesterday, and the circulation of the low has become a little
better defined.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
generally conducive for a tropical or subtropical cyclone to form on
Friday or Saturday while this system moves west-northwestward or
northwestward toward the southeastern United States coast.  All
interests along the southeast coast from Georgia through North
Carolina should monitor the progress of this low.  An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
low on Friday afternoon.  The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook
on this disturbance will be issued by 8 AM EDT Friday morning. For
additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 261959
TWOSPN

Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo
Emitido por el Centro Nacional de Huracanes en Miami, Florida
Traduccion por la Oficina del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
255 PM EDT jueves 26 de mayo de 2016

Para el Atlantico Norte...Mar Caribe y Golfo de Mexico:

Un area de baja presion centralizada entre Bermuda y las Bahamas
tiene una circulacion alargada, aunque la actividad de aguaceros ha
aumentado durante las ultimas 24 horas. Se espera que las
condiciones ambientales se tornen mas conducentes para desarrollo de
ciclon tropical o subtropical el viernes o el sabado mientras el
sistema se mueve al oeste noroeste o noroeste hacia la costa sureste
de los Estados Unidos. Con la cercania del fin de semana del Dia de
la Recordacion, todos los intereses a lo largo de la costa sureste
desde Georgia hasta Carolina del Norte deben monitorear el progreso
de esta baja presion. Un avion de reconocimiento de la Fuerza Aerea
estara investigando esta baja presion el viernes por la tarde. La
proxima Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo en
relacion con este disturbio sera emitida a las 8 pm EDT esta tarde.
Para informacion adicional sobre este sistema, favor referirse a los
Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 48 horas...mediana...60 por
  ciento.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 5 dias...alta...70 por ciento.

&&

El Pronostico de Alto Oleaje emitido por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia se puede encontrar bajo el encabezado en AWIPS de
NFDHSFAT1 y el encabezado en WMO de ZFNT01 KWBC.

$$

Pronosticador Avila



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 261233
TWOSPN

Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo
Emitido por el Centro Nacional de Huracanes en Miami, Florida
Traduccion por la Oficina del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
825 AM EDT jueves 26 de mayo de 2016

Para el Atlantico Norte...Mar Caribe y Golfo de Mexico:

Un area de baja presion centralizada entre Bermuda y las Bahamas se
esta definiendo mejor gradualmente mientras aumenta la actividad de
aguaceros. Se espera que las condiciones ambientales se tornen mas
conducentes para desarrollo de ciclon tropical o subtropical el
viernes mientras el sistema se mueve al oeste noroeste o noroeste
hacia la costa sureste de los Estados Unidos. Con la cercania del
fin de semana del Dia de la Recordacion, todos los intereses a lo
largo de la costa sureste desde Georgia hasta Carolina del Norte
deben monitorear el progreso de esta baja presion. Un avion de
reconocimiento de la Fuerza Aerea estara investigando esta baja
presion el viernes. La proxima Perspectiva Especial sobre las
Condiciones del Tiempo en relacion con este disturbio sera emitida a
las 3 pm EDT. Para informacion adicional sobre este sistema, favor
referirse a los Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologia.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 48 horas...mediana...50 por
  ciento.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo hasta 5 dias...alta...70 por ciento.

&&

El Pronostico de Alto Oleaje emitido por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia se puede encontrar bajo el encabezado en AWIPS de
NFDHSFAT1 y el encabezado en WMO de ZFNT01.

$$

Pronosticador Avila



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261226
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
825 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is
gradually becoming better defined while shower activity is
increasing. Environmental conditions are expected to become more
conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation on Friday
while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward toward
the southeastern United States coast. With the Memorial Day weekend
approaching, all interests along the southeast coast from Georgia
through North Carolina should monitor the progress of this low. An
Air Force reconnaissance plane will be scheduled to investigate
this low on Friday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this disturbance will be issued by 3 PM EDT today.  For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
ABNT20 KNHC 261222
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is
gradually becoming better defined while shower activity is
increasing. Environmental conditions are expected to become more
conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation on Friday
while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward toward
the southeastern United States coast. With the Memorial Day weekend
approaching, all interests along the southeast coast from Georgia
through North Carolina should monitor the progress of this low. An
Air Force reconnaissance plane will be scheduled to investigate
this low on Friday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this disturbance will be issued by 3 PM EDT today.  For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Avila



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260902
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU MAY 26 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09.5N85W to 08.5N95W to low pres
near 10.5N111W to 08N123W. The ITCZ extends from 08N123W to
09N135W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection was noted south of the monsoon trough from 05N to 08N
between 87W and 92W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection was noted within 120 nm south of the monsoon trough
between 104W and 108W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection was noted within 210 nm of monsoon trough between
110W and 120W.

...DISCUSSION...

High pressure of 1034 mb centered N of the area near 43N137W
extends a ridge SE to near 16N110W. The pressure gradient
between the area of high pressure and lower pressure across
Mexico is producing fresh to strong northwest winds across the
near and offshore waters of the Baja Peninsula. The pressure
gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough and ITCZ is
supporting moderate to locally fresh trade winds generally south
of 22N and west of 120W. Seas across this trade wind zone will
remain in the 5-7 ft range through the end of the week. Weak low
pressure of 1012 mb is embedded within the monsoon trough near
10.5N111W as depicted in the latest ascat pass. Winds over the
NW quadrant of the low are reaching near 20 kt. Active
convection is noted over the western semicircle of the low. The
low is expected to remain weak over the next couple of days as
it drifts WNW.

Over the far eastern portion of the area, light to gentle winds
prevail with seas in the 4 to 6 ft range in SW swell. SW
monsoonal winds will strengthen over the next day as a Kelvin
wave propagates through the area and enhances westerly winds.
Seas will build to near 8 ft in this region of enhanced
monsoonal flow.

Gulf of California...

Weak low pressure has developed over the far northern Gulf of
California near 30N114W. Fresh to strong SW winds prevail over
the far northern Gulf of california over the southern semicircle
of the low. Variable light to gentle winds prevail across the
remainder of the Gulf of California. The weak low pressure will
dissipate this morning with winds diminishing.

$$
AL



000
AXNT20 KNHC 260557
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America,
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological
analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0515 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Tropical wave over Africa extends from 5N12W to 14N8W moving
west-northwest 10 to 15 kt. Wave is in the vicinity of a 700 mb
trough and is embedded within an area of deep moisture.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 75/90
NM of the trough axis north of 6N to inland over west Africa.

Tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic extends from
2N40W to 12N38W moving west-northwest near 15 kt. Wave coincides
with a lowly amplified 700 mb trough and along the leading edge
of a low amplitude area of deep moisture. Any convection in the
vicinity is associated with the ITCZ not the tropical wave.

Tropical wave is inland over South America along 63W/64W south
of 11N moving west near 15 kt. Wave is in the vicinity of a 700
mb trough and is embedded within an area of deep moisture. No
associated deep convection.

Tropical wave in the southwest Caribbean extends along 79W south
of 17N across Panama into the east Pacific region moving west
less than 5 kt. Wave is west of a 700 mb trough and is embedded
within a low amplitude area of deep moisture. Any convection in
the vicinity is associated with the upper trough not the
tropical wave.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of west Africa near
9N13W into the east Tropical Atlantic along 6N17W to 5N21W where
the ITCZ begins and continues along 5N28W to the tropical wave
near 6N36W then resumes west of the wave near 5N41W to South
America near 4N51W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is from 5N-10N between 44W-51W. Clusters of scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection are within 90 nm of the
monsoon trough between 16W-21W. Clusters of scattered moderate
convection are from 2N-10N between 27W-51W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A broad upper ridge anchored in the east Pacific region extends
across Mexico into the Gulf of Mexico near Tampico to over the
southeast CONUS near the central Louisiana while an upper trough
covers the far east Gulf of Mexico across Florida into the west
Atlantic. This is giving the Gulf northwest flow aloft. The
upper ridge is advecting moisture across the far west Gulf
generating numerous showers/scattered thunderstorms inland over
Mexico and south Texas with scattered showers in the Gulf waters
from 23N-28N west of 96W. A seabreeze surface trough has moved
across the Florida peninsula into the far east Gulf generating
isolated showers/thunderstorms within 45 NM of line from the
Lower Florida Keys to 27N84W. Otherwise, a surface ridge extends
from the west Atlantic across northeast Florida to the
Texas/Mexico border. The surface ridge will persist into the
weekend meandering slightly.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A highly amplified upper trough extends from the west Atlantic
across central Cuba over the west Caribbean covering the area
west of 73W while an upper ridge extends from over South America
across the Lesser Antilles into the west-central Atlantic
covering the remainder of the Caribbean basin. The upper trough
is generating scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms north of
18N to over Hispaniola, Cuba, and Jamaica between 68W-77W and
south of 14N to over Colombia between 70W-77W. Isolated showers/
thunderstorms are north of 17N to over Jamaica and Cuba between
77W-84W and south of 13N to the coast of Panama between 77W-82W.
The tropical wave along 79W has become difficult to locate as it
is interacting with the upper trough that covers the west
Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong trade winds will diminish
across the basin late Thursday. Broad surface low will develop
over the southwest Caribbean on Friday and Saturday.

HISPANIOLA...

Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms are across the island
tonight. The upper trough currently over central Cuba and the
western Caribbean will broaden starting Friday night as the low
and surface trough in the west Atlantic shifts westward.
Lingering moisture and daytime heating could still generate
showers and possible thunderstorms through Saturday.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface ridge covers the far west Atlantic anchored by a 1024
mb high near 32N75W and extending a ridge axis across northeast
Florida into the Gulf of Mexico. An upper trough covers the west
Atlantic supporting a surface trough that extends from 29N67W
through a weak 1016 mb low near 26N68W to 23N69W. The upper
trough is generating scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms
from the Bahamas to over Cuba between 73W-79W. An upper ridge is
to the east extending from over South America across the Lesser
Antilles and into the west-central Atlantic along 24N62W to
beyond 32N55W. This is creating a diffluent environment over a
portion of the west Atlantic generating scattered showers and
possible isolated thunderstorms within 150/175 NM of line from
Hispaniola near 20N71W to 31N65W. The remainder of the Atlantic
is dominated by a broad surface ridge anchored by a 1029 mb high
near 36N48W. The west Atlantic surface trough will move
northwest with the low reaching 28N74W Thursday, 28N75W Friday,
then approaching the southeast CONUS Saturday and Sunday while
dragging the surface trough through the Bahamas reaching the
southeast Florida coast Saturday night.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
PAW



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED MAY 25 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain




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