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000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212350
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON UNA BAJA PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN
EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE NO SE HA TORNADO MEJOR ORGANIZADA
DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. SIN EMBARGO...VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES
ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES A DESARROLLO MAS TARDE ESTA
NOCHE Y EL MIERCOLES...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SE MUEVA HACIA TIERRA
SOBRE EL ESTADO MEXICANO DE CAMPECHE TARDE EL MIERCOLES O TEMPRANO
EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
LUCE NO FAVORABLE DEBIDO A LA INTERACCION CON UN FRENTE DE FRIO
MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA ESTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE.  LOS
INTERESADOS EN CAMPECHE Y EL RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN
ESTAR MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A QUE AVISOS DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER EMITIDOS CON POCA ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...  50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES...ESTA PRODUCIENDO TRONADAS DESORGANIZADAS Y
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA. ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA PODRIA ADQUIRIR
ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA MAS O
MENOS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE U OESTE SUROESTE DE 10 A 15
MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN
MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O
TROPICAL PARA EL MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE Y DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS
PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ABNT20 KNHC 212339
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the well-defined low in
the southern Bay of Campeche have not become any better organized
during the past few hours.  However, upper-level winds could become
more conducive for development later tonight and Wednesday, and this
system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone before it
moves inland over the Mexican state of Campeche late Wednesday or
early Thursday.  Later in the week, tropical cyclone formation
appears unlikely due to interaction with a cold front while the
system is over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Interests in Campeche
and elsewhere in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress
of this system as tropical storm warnings could need to be issued
with short notice.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean, a few hundred miles south of the Azores, is producing
disorganized thunderstorms and winds to gale force.  This system
could still acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next
day or so while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 10 to 15
mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Wednesday night
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212302
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212302
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 212141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N81W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 08N87W 1008 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N95W 1006 MB TO 16N100W
TO 11N110W TO 10N135W THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S OF OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SMALL LOW PRES AREA IS EVIDENT JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...RELATED TO BETTER ORGANIZED LOW PRES TO THE NORTH
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO. THE PACIFIC LOW PRES IS ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH...AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS AND ADJACENT WATERS OF
GUATEMALA AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF CHIAPAS. WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT OUTSIDE OF ANY GUSTS RELATED TO THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...DUE LARGE TO THE VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT IN
PLACE BETWEEN THE TWO LOW PRES SYSTEMS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE THU...AS THE
LOW IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DEEPENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD AND HIGH
PRES BUILDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT STRONG
GAP WINDS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU INTO FRI MORNING AS A
RESULT.

CONVERGENCE OF 15 TO 20 KT SW FLOW INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS
BEEN MAINTAINING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN AREA FROM
05N TO 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W...ALTHOUGH THIS APPEARS TO BE
WEAKENING. AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 13N140W IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM ROUGHLY 07N TO 15N W OF
130W. THIS AREA MAY PERSIST THROUGH THU...THEN DIMINISH AS THE
LOW PRES LIFTS NORTH.

ELSEWHERE...A 1024 MB RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 31N140W IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N W OF 120W. OTHERWISE
THE MAIN ISSUE IS NW SWELL OF 8 TO 13 FT NW OF A LINE FROM
29N115W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. THE SWELL WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA W OF 110W OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT DECAY
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH 48 HOURS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A SECOND
AREA OF NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH OF
30N BY LATE THU.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 212141
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N81W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 08N87W 1008 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N95W 1006 MB TO 16N100W
TO 11N110W TO 10N135W THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S OF OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A SMALL LOW PRES AREA IS EVIDENT JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...RELATED TO BETTER ORGANIZED LOW PRES TO THE NORTH
OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO. THE PACIFIC LOW PRES IS ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH...AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS AND ADJACENT WATERS OF
GUATEMALA AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF CHIAPAS. WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT OUTSIDE OF ANY GUSTS RELATED TO THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...DUE LARGE TO THE VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT IN
PLACE BETWEEN THE TWO LOW PRES SYSTEMS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS WILL CHANGE BY LATE THU...AS THE
LOW IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DEEPENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD AND HIGH
PRES BUILDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT STRONG
GAP WINDS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU INTO FRI MORNING AS A
RESULT.

CONVERGENCE OF 15 TO 20 KT SW FLOW INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS
BEEN MAINTAINING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN AREA FROM
05N TO 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W...ALTHOUGH THIS APPEARS TO BE
WEAKENING. AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 13N140W IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM ROUGHLY 07N TO 15N W OF
130W. THIS AREA MAY PERSIST THROUGH THU...THEN DIMINISH AS THE
LOW PRES LIFTS NORTH.

ELSEWHERE...A 1024 MB RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 31N140W IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N W OF 120W. OTHERWISE
THE MAIN ISSUE IS NW SWELL OF 8 TO 13 FT NW OF A LINE FROM
29N115W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. THE SWELL WILL EXPAND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA W OF 110W OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT DECAY
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH 48 HOURS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A SECOND
AREA OF NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH OF
30N BY LATE THU.

$$
CHRISTENSEN



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212122 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
425 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL PARA ACTUALIZAR PRIMER SISTEMA

UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ENCONTRO UNA BAJA
PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. SIN
EMBARGO...TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON LA BAJA PRESION TODAVIA NO ESTAN
ORGANIZADAS LO SUFICIENTE PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE CONSIDERE UN
CICLON TROPICAL. VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS
CONDUCENTES A DESARROLLO PARA MANANA...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SE MUEVA
HACIA TIERRA SOBRE EL ESTADO MEXICANDO DE CAMPECHE TARDE EL
MIERCOLES O TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...FORMACION
DE CICLON TROPICAL LUCE NO FAVORABLE DEBIDO A LA INTERACCION CON UN
FRENTE DE FRIO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA ESTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE.  LOS INTERESADOS EN CAMPECHE Y EL RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE
YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A
QUE AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER EMITIDOS CON POCA
ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...  50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA
FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA EL JUEVES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 212121
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
425 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL PARA ACTUALIZAR PRIMER SISTEMA

UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ENCONTRO UNA BAJA
PRESION BIEN DEFINIDA EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. SIN
EMBARGO...TRONADAS ASOCIADAS CON LA BAJA PRESION TODAVIA NO ESTAN
ORGANIZADAS LO SUFICIENTE PARA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE CONSIDERE UN
CICLON TROPICAL. VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS
CONDUCENTES A DESARROLLO PARA MANANA...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SE MUEVA
HACIA TIERRA SOBRE EL ESTADO MEXICANDO DE CAMPECHE TARDE EL
MIERCOLES O TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...FORMACION
DE CICLON TROPICAL LUCE NO FAVORABLE DEBIDO A LA INTERACCION CON UN
FRENTE DE FRIO MIENTRAS EL SISTEMA ESTE SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE.  LOS INTERESADOS EN CAMPECHE Y EL RESTO DE LA PENINSULA DE
YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DEBIDO A
QUE AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PODRIAN SER EMITIDOS CON POCA ANTELACION.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...
  50 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA
FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA EL JUEVES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
WTPA35 PHFO 212038
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA DRIFTING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 165.7W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD MOTION GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 212038
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA DRIFTING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 165.7W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. ANA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...AND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...
WITH FORWARD MOTION GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...NECKER ISLAND AND GARDNER PINNACLES...AND
NEARBY WATERS...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 212033
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 165.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 165.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.9N 166.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.6N 168.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.6N 168.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.0N 168.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  20SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 36.0N 160.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 42.5N 150.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 165.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
ABNT20 KNHC 212025
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
425 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook to update first system

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft did find a small well-
defined low in the southern Bay of Campeche.  However, the
thunderstorms associated with the low are still not organized enough
for this system to be considered a tropical cyclone.  Upper-level
winds could become more conducive for further development by
tomorrow, and this system has the potential to become a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland over the Mexican state of Campeche
late Wednesday or early Thursday.  Later in the week, tropical
cyclone formation appears unlikely due to interaction with
a cold front while the system is over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea. Interests in Campeche and elsewhere in the Yucatan Peninsula
should monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm
warnings could need to be issued with short notice.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the Azores. This system is
producing winds of gale-force and could acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next day or so while it moves west-
southwestward at about 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to
become less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation
by Thursday and development after that time is not likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211928
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MARTES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE CONTINUA
PRODUCIENDO ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS DESORGANIZADOS.
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE MAS CONDUCENTES A
DESARROLLO PARA MANANA...Y ESTE SISTEMA TODAVIA TIENE EL POTENCIAL
DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA TIERRA
SOBRE EL OESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN TARDE EL MIERCOLES O
TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...LA BAJA PRESION TIENE
ALGO DE POTENCIAL PARA DESARROLLO SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE
SI PERMANECE SEPARADO DE UN FRENTE DE FRIO. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA ACTUALMENTE INVESTIGANDO EL
DISTURBIO. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR
ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...
  40 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. SE PRONOSTICA QUE
LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA LA
FORMACION DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA EL JUEVES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 211800
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 165.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.8 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TODAY...WITH ANA MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE NORTH ON THURSDAY...WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
ACPN50 PHFO 211754
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 420 MILES WEST OF
LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

$$

BRAVENDER





000
AXNT20 KNHC 211744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CENTERED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W MOVING SLOWLY E. A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-24N
BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR
33N27W DRIFTING W. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST THAT IS LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST
BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE
IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 18N50W
TO 4N54W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 48W-57W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 8N12W AND CONTINUES TO 6N15W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 6N15W
TO 5N22W TO 8N28W TO 6N40W TO 8N50W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 10W-16W...AND FROM 4N-11N
BETWEEN 28W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N90W TO
THE LOW CENTER TO 17N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W TO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE FRONT. FURTHER S...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...THE SE GULF OF MEXICO TO INCLUDE THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...W CUBA...AND S FLORIDA...FROM 21N-27N
BETWEEN 80W-86W. FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE NW GULF. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF EXCEPT
OVER THE NW GULF. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALSO EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E TO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 17N BETWEEN 79W-88W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN
75W-84W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN HAS
FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W. A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 23N66W. UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE IS OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN DUE TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS TO BE OVER THE ISLAND WED...WITH CONVECTION E OF
THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO NEAR
28N70W TO NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO INCLUDE THE
N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-31N BETWEEN 70W-80W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N55W MOVING NNE AT 10 KT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N54W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 23N57W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE E OF THE TROUGH FROM 25N-
31N BETWEEN 47W-54W. A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 33N27W DRIFTING W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 29N28W TO 24N32W. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N56W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 34N28W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO
EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211744
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CENTERED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W MOVING SLOWLY E. A MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-24N
BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR
33N27W DRIFTING W. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST THAT IS LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST
BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE
IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 18N50W
TO 4N54W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 48W-57W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 8N12W AND CONTINUES TO 6N15W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 6N15W
TO 5N22W TO 8N28W TO 6N40W TO 8N50W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 10W-16W...AND FROM 4N-11N
BETWEEN 28W-34W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N90W TO
THE LOW CENTER TO 17N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 86W-94W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W TO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE FRONT. FURTHER S...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...THE SE GULF OF MEXICO TO INCLUDE THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...W CUBA...AND S FLORIDA...FROM 21N-27N
BETWEEN 80W-86W. FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE NW GULF. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
80W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF EXCEPT
OVER THE NW GULF. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND NW
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALSO EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E TO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 17N BETWEEN 79W-88W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN
75W-84W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN HAS
FAIR WEATHER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W. A SMALL UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 23N66W. UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE IS OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS FOR CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN DUE TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE LOW AND THE MONSOON TROUGH.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS TO BE OVER THE ISLAND WED...WITH CONVECTION E OF
THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N78W TO NEAR
28N70W TO NEAR DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AT 29N81W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO INCLUDE THE
N BAHAMAS FROM 24N-31N BETWEEN 70W-80W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N55W MOVING NNE AT 10 KT. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N54W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 23N57W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE E OF THE TROUGH FROM 25N-
31N BETWEEN 47W-54W. A 1001 MB GALE LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 33N27W DRIFTING W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 29N28W TO 24N32W. OF NOTE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N56W
ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 34N28W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO
EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211741
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area in the far southern Bay of Campeche continues to
produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level
winds could become a little more conducive for development by
tomorrow, and this system still has the potential to become a
tropical cyclone before it moves inland over the west coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula late Wednesday or early Thursday.  Later in the
week, the low also has some potential for development over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea if it remains separate from a cold front.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating the disturbance. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the Azores. This system is
producing winds of gale-force and could acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next day or so while it moves west-
southwestward at about 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to
become less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation
by Thursday and development after that time is not likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211740
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211605
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1007 MB NW TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N94W 1006 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR
16N102W 1006 MB TO 10N112W TO 10N129W TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W-92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH W OF
135W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STRETCHING
FROM THE SW U.S. TO 28N122W TO NEAR 20N129W. TO ITS E...MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 19N AND EASTWARD TO CENTRAL MEXICO.
MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR
IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 13N E OF 120W. A SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER RIDGING IS NEAR 12N119W. A SMALL
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA NEAR 13N143W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT E OF
THE AREA ON WED. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PRESENT OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS DECREASED IN
COVERAGE. CONVECTION NOTED OVER THIS PORTION OF THE AREA IS
RELATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...AND WITH THE
1006 MB LOW JUST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF
A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 16N95W. THIS ACTIVITY IS UNDER  AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS FORECAST TO LINGER THERE OVER THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS
MOISTURE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THU AS THE LOW NEAR 16N94W
MOVES LITTLE.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE MAIN STORY IS NW SWELLS
THAT HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO
16N128W TO 12N140W PRODUCING SEAS OF 8-13 FT. THE HIGHEST OF
THESE SEAS IS N OF 24N E OF 134W. BY 48 HOURS...THE NW SWELL
ENERGY IS FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BECOME DIFFUSED WITH SEAS OF 8
FT IS CONFINED TO N OF 04N BETWEEN 109W-130W. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE


000
WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 211440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 165.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 165.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 165.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER TERN ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...GARDNER PINNACLES...AND NEARBY WATERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
ACPN50 PHFO 211211
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 350 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

MORRISON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 211211
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 350 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

MORRISON





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 211206
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

IMAGENES DEL SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
AREA DE BAJA PRESION EN EL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE SE HA TORNADO
MEJOR DEFINIDA. AUNQUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADA
NO ESTA ACTUALMENTE BIEN ORGANIZADA...ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O
MAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION INTERACTUARA Y SE COMBINARA POSIBLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O EL NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTARA
INVESTIGANDO EL DISTURBIO ESTA TARDE. LOS INTERESADOS EN LA
PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA EL JUEVES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE





000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 211152
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 165.4W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHERLY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXNT20 KNHC 211148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO TOWARD FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 22N IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 26N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 80W AND
94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W 25N97W. NUMEROUS
STRONG IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF GUATEMALA.THE CHANCE OF THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 21/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO
16N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
GUINEA AND GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W TO 10N20W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 10N20W TO 8N30W 7N40W AND 10N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 25W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 25W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KBBF...
KGRY...AND KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A LOW CLOUD CEILING HAS FORMED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG
HAS BEEN REPORTED AT PERRY FLORIDA. FORT MYERS FLORIDA IS
REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N74W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS SOUTHERN
PANAMA NEAR 7N81W...AND BEYOND 8N84W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MARACAIBO...
AND NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N58W TO 29N69W 29N78W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 28N NORTHWARD
BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N
BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N56W...TO 29N55W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...ARE
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N43W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 43W AND
44W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
6N TO 13N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES 31N11W AT ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 29N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 211148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO TOWARD FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 22N IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 26N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 80W AND
94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W 25N97W. NUMEROUS
STRONG IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF GUATEMALA.THE CHANCE OF THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 21/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO
16N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
GUINEA AND GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W TO 10N20W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 10N20W TO 8N30W 7N40W AND 10N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 25W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 25W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KBBF...
KGRY...AND KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A LOW CLOUD CEILING HAS FORMED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG
HAS BEEN REPORTED AT PERRY FLORIDA. FORT MYERS FLORIDA IS
REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N74W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS SOUTHERN
PANAMA NEAR 7N81W...AND BEYOND 8N84W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MARACAIBO...
AND NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N58W TO 29N69W 29N78W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 28N NORTHWARD
BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N
BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N56W...TO 29N55W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...ARE
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N43W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 43W AND
44W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
6N TO 13N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES 31N11W AT ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 29N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 211148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO TOWARD FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 22N IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 26N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 80W AND
94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W 25N97W. NUMEROUS
STRONG IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF GUATEMALA.THE CHANCE OF THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 21/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO
16N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDER SECTIONS OF
GUINEA AND GUINEA-BISSAU NEAR 11N15W TO 10N20W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 10N20W TO 8N30W 7N40W AND 10N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N
SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 25W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 25W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE U.S.A.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KBBF...
KGRY...AND KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A LOW CLOUD CEILING HAS FORMED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. A VISIBILITY OF 2 MILES OR LESS AND FOG
HAS BEEN REPORTED AT PERRY FLORIDA. FORT MYERS FLORIDA IS
REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N74W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS SOUTHERN
PANAMA NEAR 7N81W...AND BEYOND 8N84W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM
NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MARACAIBO...
AND NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N58W TO 29N69W 29N78W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 28N NORTHWARD
BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N
BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N56W...TO 29N55W...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...ARE
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N43W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 43W AND
44W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
6N TO 13N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
THAT REACHES 31N11W AT ITS SOUTHERNMOST POINT. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 29N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better
defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently not well organized, this system has the potential to
become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves
slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula.  Later in the
week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a
frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern
Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Azores. This system
is producing winds of gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while it moves
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABNT20 KNHC 211147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better
defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently not well organized, this system has the potential to
become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves
slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula.  Later in the
week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a
frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern
Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Azores. This system
is producing winds of gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while it moves
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211147
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better
defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are
currently not well organized, this system has the potential to
become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves
slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula.  Later in the
week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a
frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern
Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests
in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Azores. This system
is producing winds of gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while it moves
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday
and development after that time is not likely. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Blake



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211122
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE LIMITADOS. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS
SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA PRESION
INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL SOBRE EL
SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE.
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL
PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210940
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTAN
ACTUALMENTE LIMITADOS. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS
SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA BAJA PRESION
INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL SOBRE EL
SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...40 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...50 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR
GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE
PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MENOS
CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL
PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL DESARROLLO LUEGO ES MENOS PROBABLE.
INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL
PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 8N87W 1007 MB TO LOW
PRES NEAR 16N102W 1006 MB TO 11N110W TO 11N133W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA WITH AXIS FROM 32N1330W TO 28N140W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 25N135W. A 75-90 KT JETSTREAM ON
THE SE SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 24N128W TO 29N119W. SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE JETSTREAM...OTHERWISE MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
LEVELS IS N OF 19N W OF 105W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N121W WITH RIDGE TO NW MEXICO.

LARGE NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 30N118W TO 14N140W IS SWEEPING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS 9-15 FT. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES
FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF
110W WED EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 9 FT.

$$
DGS



000
WTPA35 PHFO 210840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 164.7W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA25 PHFO 210840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 164.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 167.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.9N 166.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N 163.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 37.2N 156.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 164.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210840
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 164.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 164.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 167.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.9N 166.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N 163.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 37.2N 156.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 164.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 210840
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 164.7W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NORTHERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXNT20 KNHC 210635 AAA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

AMENDED THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N61W TO 30N65W 28N72W 29N79W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN
66W AND 68W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
TO THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N55W...TO A 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...
ARE IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N42W TO 28N43W AND TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N12W TO 31N12W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT
CONTINUES FROM 31N12W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 29N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210635 AAA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

AMENDED THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT A RIDGE WILL PUSH
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR
500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA.
THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

THE TROUGH THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 24 HOURS AGO
HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE AREA. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N56W TO
24N65W...TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS WITHIN 250 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W 21N74W. A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N61W TO 30N65W 28N72W 29N79W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 28N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 58W AND THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN
66W AND 68W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
TO THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N52W...TO
A WEAKENING 29N52W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 23N55W. A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N55W...TO A 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N55W...TO 25N55W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 25N
TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N TO 24N
BETWEEN 43W AND 44W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N48W...
ARE IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N42W TO 28N43W AND TO 20N43W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 56W AND 68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED
MODERATE IN THE AREA OF CYCLONIC WIND FLOW.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER AND AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N12W TO 31N12W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT
CONTINUES FROM 31N12W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 29N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 17W AND 27W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 42W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
AXNT20 KNHC 210604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW WILL PUSH NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS
MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL
COVER HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...FROM 40W EASTWARD. TO 24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH
AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND
20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO
21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG
FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95W. THE LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EASTWARD SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 25N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF 30N84W 28N90W
24N98W. THE CHANCE OF THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND IN MADEIRA TO THE WEST
OF MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE
WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE
WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 8N TO
16N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF GAMBIA
AND SENEGAL NEAR 13N17W TO 11N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
11N19W TO 10N30W 7N40W AND 10N47W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
30W AND 40W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM
10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 10W AND 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW MOVES FROM CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KEMK...
KATP...AND AT KIPN.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

A VISIBILITY OF 3 MILES OR LESS AND FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED AT
PERRY FLORIDA. NAPLES FLORIDA IS REPORTING A LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILING. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM MARATHON TO THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM JAMAICA WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 81W AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS CROSSING
HISPANIOLA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST/COASTAL WATERS OF
HISPANIOLA SOUTHWARD FROM 77W EASTWARD. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW.

UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING FROM THE EXTREME
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
21/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.12 IN
CURACAO.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 7N75W IN COLOMBIA...ACROSS WESTERN
PANAMA...AND BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD FROM 70W WESTWARD.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PASSING
ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA AT THIS TIME. THIS WIND FLOW IS TO THE WEST
OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 22N63W MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND
FLOW IS RELATED TO A 68W/69W RIDGE. EARLIER CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION THAT WAS OCCURRING IN HISPANIOLA HAS WEAKENED AND
DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF HISPANIOLA.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...AND SCATTERED
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OBSERVING SITES THAT
ARE AROUND THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW WILL PUSH NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS
MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL
COVER HISPANIOLA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 33N24W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N
NORTHWARD...FROM 40W EASTWARD. TO 24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH
AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND
20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO
21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG
FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE
THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
WTPA35 PHFO 210556
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE
NORTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.3W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H...AND A GENERAL
NORTHWEST TO NORTH MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 210556
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE
NORTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.3W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H...AND A GENERAL
NORTHWEST TO NORTH MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
ACPN50 PHFO 210550
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 335 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.


$$

MORRISON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 210550
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 335 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.


$$

MORRISON






000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 210500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche are currently limited.
This system still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward across
the southern Bay of Campeche. Later in the week, the low is forecast
to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the
Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is not likely.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 210500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210317
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE SW PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH CENTER NEAR 20N95W AS OF 2100 UTC. THIS
SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE ENE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 89W-96W WHILE WEAKER
CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF 29N...E OF 89W. INTERESTS IN THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
THE CHANCE OF FORMATION THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE SECTIONS THAT ARE
TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS
FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N46W TO 04N50W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS STILL PREVAILING IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS
WAVE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-
15N BETWEEN 42W-50W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 07N13W AND CONTINUES TO 07N17W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
07N17W TO 08N24W TO 05N33W TO 08N43W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE AT 08N51W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
06N54W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE
SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N-09N BETWEEN
24W-39W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
50W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N95W IS
AFFECTING THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION
ABOUT THIS SYSTEM PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. FAIR
WEATHER IS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS ALONG 87W IS OVER THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE BASIN WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH PAIRED WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AFFECTING CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS S OF 12N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT OVER
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL RELATED TO THE 1008 MB LOW OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GREATER
ANTILLES WEAKENING QUICKLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER THE S CARIBBEAN WATERS AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE ISLAND DUE TO DIURNAL
HEATING. EXPECT SIMILAR AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN
TO BE OVER THE ISLAND IN 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 29N81W TO 28N70W.
A COLD FRONT IS DEPICTED FROM THE END OF THE STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDING N INTO THE NW ATLANTIC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS E OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 36N-45N BETWEEN 48W-52W. A SURFACE
TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 26N67W TO 25N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION ALONG THIS FEATURE. TO THE E...A 1013 MB LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 25N55W WITH A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N55W TO
22N57W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-33N BETWEEN 43W-
54W. OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...A 996 MB LOW N OF THE CANARY
ISLANDS GENERATING GALE FORCE WINDS. THIS LOW IS PAIRED AT UPPER
LEVELS WITH A LOW CENTERED NEAR 33N24W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THIS LOW INTO THE ADJACENT WATERS
OF THE COAST OF AFRICA FROM 31N12W TO 21N20W. FOR MORE
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE E
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 210317
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE SW PORTION OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH CENTER NEAR 20N95W AS OF 2100 UTC. THIS
SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE ENE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 89W-96W WHILE WEAKER
CONVECTION PREVAILS S OF 29N...E OF 89W. INTERESTS IN THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
THE CHANCE OF FORMATION THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE SECTIONS THAT ARE
TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS
FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N46W TO 04N50W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS STILL PREVAILING IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS
WAVE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N-
15N BETWEEN 42W-50W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 07N13W AND CONTINUES TO 07N17W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
07N17W TO 08N24W TO 05N33W TO 08N43W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A
TROPICAL WAVE AT 08N51W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
06N54W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE
SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N-09N BETWEEN
24W-39W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N-10N BETWEEN
50W-52W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N95W IS
AFFECTING THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE BASIN. FOR MORE INFORMATION
ABOUT THIS SYSTEM PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. FAIR
WEATHER IS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS ALONG 87W IS OVER THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT CONVECTION
TO PERSIST AND SPREAD E OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE BASIN WITH STRONGEST
WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH PAIRED WITH
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AFFECTING CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE ADJACENT CARIBBEAN
WATERS S OF 12N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT OVER
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL RELATED TO THE 1008 MB LOW OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GREATER
ANTILLES WEAKENING QUICKLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER THE S CARIBBEAN WATERS AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE ISLAND DUE TO DIURNAL
HEATING. EXPECT SIMILAR AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN
TO BE OVER THE ISLAND IN 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 29N81W TO 28N70W.
A COLD FRONT IS DEPICTED FROM THE END OF THE STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDING N INTO THE NW ATLANTIC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS E OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 36N-45N BETWEEN 48W-52W. A SURFACE
TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 26N67W TO 25N66W WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION ALONG THIS FEATURE. TO THE E...A 1013 MB LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 25N55W WITH A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N55W TO
22N57W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-33N BETWEEN 43W-
54W. OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...A 996 MB LOW N OF THE CANARY
ISLANDS GENERATING GALE FORCE WINDS. THIS LOW IS PAIRED AT UPPER
LEVELS WITH A LOW CENTERED NEAR 33N24W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THIS LOW INTO THE ADJACENT WATERS
OF THE COAST OF AFRICA FROM 31N12W TO 21N20W. FOR MORE
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE E
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
ERA



000
WTPA35 PHFO 210239
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 164.4W
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS
CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 210239
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 164.4W
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS
CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.4 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
WILL BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS
OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
WTPA25 PHFO 210238
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM NIHOA TO MARO REEF IS CANCELED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 164.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 164.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 165.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.0N 166.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 167.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 167.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 164.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.9N 157.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 164.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1007
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1007 MB TO 11N109W TO 11N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N130W TO
26N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MAX SEAS TO 14-15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. SEA HEIGHTS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED AS THE SWELL MOVES FURTHER SE
AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W WED
EVENING WITH MAX SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 28N BETWEEN
117W AND 122W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THU...THEN PUSH S INTO
NORTHERN WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210010
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE HA CAMBIADO
POCO EN ORGANIZACION DESDE ESTA TARDE. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA
BAJA PRESION INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
ESTA PROGRAMADO A INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE
SER NECESARIO. INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN
MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TRONEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE
UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO DE ESTE TIEMPO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 210010
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION
LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE HA CAMBIADO
POCO EN ORGANIZACION DESDE ESTA TARDE. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL
POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE A TRAVES DEL SUR DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. MAS TARDE EN LA SEMANA...SE PRONOSTICA QUE LA
BAJA PRESION INTERACTUE Y POSIBLEMENTE SE COMBINE CON UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL SOBRE EL SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO O NOROESTE DEL MAR
CARIBE. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA
ESTA PROGRAMADO A INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE
SER NECESARIO. INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN
MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE. SE PRONOSTICA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN
LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TRONEN MENOS CONDUCENTES PARA EL DESARROLLO DE
UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL PARA TARDE EL MIERCOLES Y EL
DESARROLLO LUEGO DE ESTE TIEMPO ES MENOS PROBABLE. INFORMACION
ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE
ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...10 POR CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
WTPA35 PHFO 210001
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 164.0W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES...177 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 210001
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA SLOWLY WEAKENING WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 164.0W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES...177 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ACPN50 PHFO 202352
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 270 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$





000
ABNT20 KNHC 202332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche have changed little
in organization since this afternoon.  This system has the potential
to become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days while it
moves slowly eastward across the southern Bay of Campeche. Later
in the week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge
with a frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow
afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is becoming less likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 202332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche have changed little
in organization since this afternoon.  This system has the potential
to become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days while it
moves slowly eastward across the southern Bay of Campeche. Later
in the week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge
with a frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow
afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing winds to gale-force and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next day or so while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by late
Wednesday and development after that time is becoming less likely.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202331
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202331
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202120
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1009
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1008 MB TO 11N109W TO 10N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 10N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-88W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF
AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N126W TO
22N131W TO 20N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH MAX SEAS TO 15-16 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.
SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT THROUGH WED AS SWELL
MOVES FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF A
LINE FROM 20N110W TO 09N124W TO 10N140W BY WED AFTERNOON WITH
MAX SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THEN PUSH S INTO NORTHERN
WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202120
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1009
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1008 MB TO 11N109W TO 10N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 10N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-88W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF
AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N126W TO
22N131W TO 20N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH MAX SEAS TO 15-16 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.
SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT THROUGH WED AS SWELL
MOVES FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF A
LINE FROM 20N110W TO 09N124W TO 10N140W BY WED AFTERNOON WITH
MAX SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THEN PUSH S INTO NORTHERN
WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 202051
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 163.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.4N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 167.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  65SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 168.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.1N 166.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 161.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 164.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BURKE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 202051
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 164.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.0 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOLLOWED BY SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.42 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND
NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201845
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DE GLOBO METEOROLOGICO INDICAN QUE EL
SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE ESTA GRADUALMENTE TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS
PROXIMOS DOS A TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y PROBABLEMENTE COMBINARSE CON
UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HACIA FINALES DE LA SEMANA. UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO A
INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA MANANA EN LA TARDE...DE SER NECESARIO.
INTERESES EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DEBERAN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO
DE ESTE SISTEMA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS... MEDIANA...50 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...ALTA...60 POR CIENTO.

UNA GRAN BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL EXTREMO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO A VARIOS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS
CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE ALGUNAS
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. INFORMACION ADICIONAL SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
WTPA35 PHFO 201801
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.1W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT
OR TUESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR
TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 201801
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 164.1W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.1 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS LATE TONIGHT
OR TUESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR
TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BURKE







000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201749
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201749
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ACPN50 PHFO 201745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 237 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

M BALLARD





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201745
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED 237 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

M BALLARD






000
ABNT20 KNHC 201731
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface and upper-air observations indicate that the low pressure
system located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche is gradually
becoming better defined. This system has the potential to become a
tropical cyclone during the next two to three days while it moves
slowly eastward to east-northeastward, before it interacts and
possibly merges with a frontal system towards the end of the week.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201731
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Surface and upper-air observations indicate that the low pressure
system located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche is gradually
becoming better defined. This system has the potential to become a
tropical cyclone during the next two to three days while it moves
slowly eastward to east-northeastward, before it interacts and
possibly merges with a frontal system towards the end of the week.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
AXNT20 KNHC 201726
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...FOR THE SECTIONS THAT ARE
TITLED...IRVING AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS
FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N45W
TO 5N48W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 43W-52W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 8N12W AND CONTINUES TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 7N17W
TO 7N23W TO 5N37W TO 9N45W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 9N50W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 6N54W. BESIDES
THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 22W-32W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 32W-38W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 89W-97W. FURTHER E...ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SE GULF OF MEXICO
TO INCLUDE THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 80W-89W.
FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS
ALONG 87W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO PERSIST AND
SPREAD E OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SE
GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RELATIVELY LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. 5-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE NOTED WITH
STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH
IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 76W-84W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NW VENEZUELA FROM 10N-
15N BETWEEN 68W-74W. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE S OF CUBA
FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 80W-85W...AND OVER JAMAICA... AND
HISPANIOLA. SIMILAR SHOWERS ARE ALSO ALONG THE NE COAST OF
VENEZUELA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 61W-67W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W
OF 80W. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 21N63W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN.
EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT SHOWERS AND CONVECTION OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY VERY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AGAIN TO BE OVER THE ISLAND TUE
...WITH CONVECTION N OF THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N63W TO 28N70W TO
NEAR COCOA BEACH FLORIDA AT 28N80W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN
60 NM OF THE FRONT. A 1013 MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
NEAR 25N55W MOVING N AT 10 KT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
31N56W TO THE LOW CENTER TO 21N59W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS E OF THE TROUGH FROM 23N-30N BETWEEN 49W-54W. A
996 MB GALE LOW IS N OF THE CANARY ISLANDS NEAR 33N22W. A COLD
FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE CANARY ISLANDS AT 30N14W TO 21N20W TO
18N30W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE LOW CENTER
FROM 30N-32N BETWEEN 20W-25W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE
CANARY ISLANDS. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N52W ENHANCING CONVECTION. A VERY
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR
34N23W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD
FRONT TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201600
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W
1009 MB NW TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N101W 1007 MB TO 12N112W
TO 10N126W TO 09N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 126W-132W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 93W-
95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N-09N BETWEEN 81W-
88W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY N OF 26N W
OF 125W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM 32N132W TO 22N140W. TO
ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N OF 20N AND EASTWARD TO
FAR WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SW U.S. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
AND ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM A RECENTLY
DEPARTED UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TO THE N OF 19N BETWEEN 118W
AND THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH...AND ALSO N OF 14N E OF 118W. BROAD
UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE AREA FROM 04N
TO 20N WITH AN ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER ANTICYCLONE AT 12N121W. A
SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST W OF THE FAR
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR 10N144W. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
PRESENT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA THE PAST FEW
DAYS HAS DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AS OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW)
ANIMATION HAS DECREASED SOME...HOWEVER SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE NOTED FROM 05N-13N BETWEEN 79W-94W...AND ALSO FROM
09N N TO ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-106W. TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER GUIDANCE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE
FROM THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH TUE...THEN DIMINISH ON WED. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 16N102W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH
TUE...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E OR ESE WED. SW 20 KT OR LESS
MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
20-25 KT BY EARLY ON TUE...AND EXPAND SOME TO THE E THEREAFTER
WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO
20 KT OR LESS ON WED WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

WITH RESPECT TO MARINE INTERESTS...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS DISSIPATING ALONG A
POSITION FROM 32N127W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 20N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 9-13 FT IN NW
SWELL...EXCEPT FOR MUCH LARGE SWELLS PRODUCING SEAS OF 12-16 FT
NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W. BY EARLY TUE...SEAS OF
8-12 FT ARE FORECAST TO THE NW OF LINE FROM 32N115W TO 16N128W
TO  12N140W...WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 10-14 FT N OF 21N BETWEEN 122W-
135W. BY EARLY WED...SWELL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO BE DIFFUSING
WITH SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE NW OF A LINE FROM 22N111W TO
07N140W. THE HIGHEST OF THESE SEAS IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FAR NE PART AT THAT TIME. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TO S OF THE
EQUATOR AND W OF ABOUT 110W THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTPA25 PHFO 201440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...WITHIN 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 163.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 163.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 162.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.9N 164.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 165.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.3N 168.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.7N 167.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 35.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 163.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 201440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 163.3W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN
ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 201440
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 163.3W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
SOME INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN
ISLAND...AND NEARBY WATERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201202
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS.
ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS O TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE
HACIA EL ESTE Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y COMBINARSE
PROBABLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HASTA FINALES DE LA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR CIENTO.

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS
AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE
AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201202
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS.
ESTE SISTEMA TIENE EL POTENCIAL DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DOS O TRES DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE
HACIA EL ESTE Y ESTE NORESTE...ANTES DE INTERACTUAR Y COMBINARSE
PROBABLEMENTE CON UN SISTEMA FRONTAL HASTA FINALES DE LA SEMANA.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...MEDIANA...30 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...40 POR CIENTO.

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES ESTA
LOCALIZADA A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS
AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA
Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE
LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE
AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE
SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR
METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
WTPA35 PHFO 201158
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 162.6W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY FOLLOWED BY EXPECTED
INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...
AND NEARBY WATERS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG
AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 201158
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 162.6W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY FOLLOWED BY EXPECTED
INTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...TERN ISLAND...
AND NEARBY WATERS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG
AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 201151
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 20/1015 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS
FORECAST BY METEO-FRANCE IS FQNT50 LFPW. THE WEB ADDRESS FOR
METEO-FRANCE IS WWW.METEO.FR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W FROM 16N
SOUTHWARD...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N
BETWEEN 43W AND 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W...FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 43W AND 46W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N43W. SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...AND
SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 14N17W TO 12N22W AND 8N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N25W TO 6N30W AND 9N43W TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 1N
TO 9N BETWEEN 24W AND 34W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND 40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD.

A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 19.5N 95.5W. THE LOW CENTER IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO TO 23N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE
FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 23N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN
WESTERN CUBA AND 92W.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...KMZG...
KEMK...KGBK...KVQT...KGHB...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KIKT...AND
KVOA.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

ROCKPORT TEXAS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST. VISIBILITIES
OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS. A LOW CLOUD
CEILING IS BEING OBSERVED IN PERRY FLORIDA. A VISIBILITY OF 2
MILES OR LESS AND FOG ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE TAMPA EXECUTIVE
AIRPORT. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILING IS BEING REPORTED IN FORT
MYERS. HEAVY RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT MARATHON KEY. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS REPORTING A LOW CLOUD
CEILING.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N72W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W. NUMEROUS STRONG ON TOP OF
LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...AND IN THE COLOMBIA
COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W. ISOLATED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING AROUND THE CENTER COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS
AROUND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SIX HOURS AGO NOW IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS/COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI...NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER ARE BEING REPORTED AT PUERTO
PLATA. FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS...SOME ARE
CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS...ARE BEING REPORTED AT OTHER OBSERVING
SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N64W TO 29N70W TO 28N77W. THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR 28N77W AND IT CONTINUES TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 30 NM TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N63W 29N70W 29N81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST
MULTILAYERED CLOUDS.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 22N65W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM HISPANIOLA TO 27N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTHERN SIDE.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 23N
TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N44W...
AND FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 49W AND 54W. ISOLATED MODERATE
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N42W 20N38W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N22W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 24N20W AND 20N28W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 20N28W TO 21N34W AND 30N48W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 30N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 20W
AND 25W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
This system has some potential to become a tropical cyclone during
the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a
frontal system towards the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 201149
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 20 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
02900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 9N89W 1008 MB TO
15N95W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N99W 1008 MB TO 10N170W. ITCZ FROM
10N127W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 123W-135W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 138W N OF 26N SUPPORTS A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM
30N133W TO 25N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT IN FAR
NW PART TODAY. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THE DYING FRONT WILL LIFT
NE. FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY TUE MORNING. AREA OF HIGH SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY
FROM ITS SOURCE.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH. LITTLE
CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE RIDGE THROUGH
TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
DGS



000
WTPA25 PHFO 200835
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS
OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU...IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR THE MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.2W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.2W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 161.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.9N 163.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.6N 165.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.7N 166.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.6N 166.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.8N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.0N 166.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 162.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 200834
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND
HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 162.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS
OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU...IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.2 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY FOLLOWED BY
EXPECTED REINTENSIFICATION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS WILL
BE DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FACING REEFS OF THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LINGER OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200657
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY
WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. FOR
THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY...
MAINLY NIIHAU...THIS EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
OAHU TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200657
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY
WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. FOR
THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY...
MAINLY NIIHAU...THIS EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
OAHU TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 200610
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ES POSIBLE ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE-NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA AMPLIA BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO UNAS CUANTAS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 200610
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT LUNES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

UN AREA AMPLIA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE
DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ES POSIBLE ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE-NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA AMPLIA BAJA PRESION SIN CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES LOCALIZADA
SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO UNAS CUANTAS CIENTOS DE
MILLAS AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR GRADUALMENTE
CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE
MUEVA LENTAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS
CALIENTES. MAS INFORMACION RESPECTO A ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE
ENCONTRAR EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO POR METEO FRANCE ESTA BAJO EL
TITULO EN WMO DE FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BRENNAN




000
AXNT20 KNHC 200605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 19/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N42W 12N43W
7N44W...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 39W AND 47W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 15N BETWEEN 38W
AND 52W. SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE...AND SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 16N16W TO 13N20W AND 11N23W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 11N23W TO 8N30W 10N38W...TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE...TO
9N46W AND 5N53W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 9W AND
40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...CLOSE TO THE COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 19N TO 21N
BETWEEN 93W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 92W AND THE COAST.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...
KBBF...KVAF...KVQT...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KVOA...AND KDLP.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

EDINBURG TEXAS IN THE LOWER VALLEY AND ALICE TEXAS ARE REPORTING
LOW CLOUD CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG ARE
BEING REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILINGS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA
DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N74W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N
TO 12N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 76W AND
77W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N81W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 72W AND 74W IN COLOMBIA AND NEARBY VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER WERE BEING REPORTED AT SANTO
DOMINGO AND PUNTA CANA AND SANTIAGO. RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER
WERE BEING REPORTED IN PUERTO PLATA DURING THE LAST FEW
OBSERVATIONS. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT
OTHER OBSERVING SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N67W TO 29N74W TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N66W 23N68W TO
20N75W IN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS THAT ARE WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH BERMUDA...TO 29N70W AND
28N80W ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 49W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N21W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W AND 23N24W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 23N24W TO 20N31W 23N40W AND 31N48W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 30N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 19W AND 25W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W. RAINSHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF
THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT


000
AXNT20 KNHC 200605
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS
LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II...AT 19/2215 UTC...FOR THE
SECTIONS THAT ARE TITLED...IRVING...AND MADEIRA. GALE-FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THOSE AREAS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N42W 12N43W
7N44W...MOVING WESTWARD 10 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 39W AND 47W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 15N BETWEEN 38W
AND 52W. SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED ONLY TO THE
TROPICAL WAVE...AND SOME IS IN THE ITCZ.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS
OF SENEGAL NEAR 16N16W TO 13N20W AND 11N23W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 11N23W TO 8N30W 10N38W...TOWARD THE TROPICAL WAVE...TO
9N46W AND 5N53W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 9W AND
40W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 90W WESTWARD. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE WEST CENTRAL
GULF...BEYOND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA INTO TEXAS.
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 25N NORTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS FROM
25N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA RIDGE. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE GULF
OF MEXICO FROM 87W EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...CLOSE TO THE COAST.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 19N TO 21N
BETWEEN 93W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 92W AND THE COAST.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W...LOW CLOUD CEILING REPORTS...

LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS ARE BEING REPORTED AT...KOPM...
KBBF...KVAF...KVQT...KSPR...KGRY...KIPN...KVOA...AND KDLP.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE
U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA...

EDINBURG TEXAS IN THE LOWER VALLEY AND ALICE TEXAS ARE REPORTING
LOW CLOUD CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES OF 3 MILES OR LESS WITH FOG ARE
BEING REPORTED AT PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. LOW LEVEL CLOUD
CEILINGS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE KEY WEST METROPOLITAN AREA
DURING THE LAST FEW OBSERVATIONS.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 32N70W TO 25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA. SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...IN SURFACE-
TO-LOW LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW.

THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.22 IN
TEGUCIGALPA IN HONDURAS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 6N74W IN COLOMBIA...AND THEN
NORTHWESTWARD TO PANAMA...WESTWARD ACROSS PANAMA...AND BEYOND
THE SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N
TO 12N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 76W AND
77W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N81W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N
BETWEEN 72W AND 74W IN COLOMBIA AND NEARBY VENEZUELA.

...HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

CLOUD CONDITIONS/PREVAILING WEATHER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER WERE BEING REPORTED AT SANTO
DOMINGO AND PUNTA CANA AND SANTIAGO. RAINSHOWERS WITH THUNDER
WERE BEING REPORTED IN PUERTO PLATA DURING THE LAST FEW
OBSERVATIONS. FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT
OTHER OBSERVING SITES ACROSS THE ISLAND.

THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. THE TROUGH THAT WILL COVER HISPANIOLA WILL MOVE EASTWARD.
A RIDGE WILL END UP ACROSS THE AREA BY 48 HOURS. THE GFS MODEL
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT WEAK CYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST 30 TO
36 HOURS. AN EAST-TO-WEST RIDGE WILL COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE
REST OF THE TIME PERIOD. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS
THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN EAST-TO-WEST
ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE.

...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N70W TO
25N73W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 23N76W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N67W TO 29N74W TO THE EASTERN
FLORIDA COAST NEAR 28N80W. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN
SUBSIDENCE...APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES...THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND PARTS OF CUBA...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W 27N65W
23N70W 22N76W...ACROSS CUBA TO 23N85W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO 29N89W IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N66W 23N68W TO
20N75W IN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN BROKEN
TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS THAT ARE WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH BERMUDA...TO 29N70W AND
28N80W ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 20N66W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE CENTER
COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 60W AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 27N54W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM
10N TO 32N BETWEEN 42W AND 60W. SOME OF THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW
THAT IS EVIDENT FROM 10N TO 20N IS THE RESULT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THAT IS CROSSING 60W FROM THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...CONTINUING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND BEING
CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING
AROUND THE 27N54W CYCLONIC CENTER. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
30N52W...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N54W...
TO 23N56W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 49W AND 56W.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 34N21W TO
24N23W AND 9N29W. THE TROUGH AND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W...ACROSS THE
CANARY ISLANDS...TO 25N20W AND 23N24W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 23N24W TO 20N31W 23N40W AND 31N48W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 30N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 19W AND 25W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W. RAINSHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST OF
THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W 24N16W 19N28W 20N40W 32N49W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT



000
ACPN50 PHFO 200519
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ACPN50 PHFO 200519
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ABNT20 KNHC 200515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves eastward to east-northeastward at 5 to
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
WTPA35 PHFO 200515 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
THROUGH THE EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO OAHU. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA35 PHFO 200515 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
THROUGH THE EVENING...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS...AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS COULD
POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO OAHU. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
ABNT20 KNHC 200515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves eastward to east-northeastward at 5 to
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is
producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200502
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200502
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



000
WTPA35 PHFO 200501
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200501
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.7 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES OF KAUAI.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 200240
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 161.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST OS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200240
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...TROPICAL STORM ANA SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 161.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.3 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST OS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH ANA EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 200240
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 161.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N 164.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.8N 166.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.1N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 167.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 161.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N82W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N88W 1008
MB TO 14N91W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1007 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N120W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 11N131W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 12N
BETWEEN 126W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90
NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 117W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 138W N OF 26N SUPPORTS A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM
30N133W TO 25N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT
IN FAR NW PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
FOR THE DYING FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT. FRONT WILL TRANSITION
TO A FRONTAL TROUGH BY MON AFTERNOON AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY
TUE MORNING. AREA OF HIGH SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND
TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200236
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N82W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N88W 1008
MB TO 14N91W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1007 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N120W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N120W TO 11N131W TO 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 12N
BETWEEN 126W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90
NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 117W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 138W N OF 26N SUPPORTS A WEAKENING
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM
30N133W TO 25N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT
IN FAR NW PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
FOR THE DYING FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT. FRONT WILL TRANSITION
TO A FRONTAL TROUGH BY MON AFTERNOON AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY
TUE MORNING. AREA OF HIGH SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND
TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTPA35 PHFO 200102
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 210 MI...325 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. FOR THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 200102
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 210 MI...325 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ANA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. FOR THE MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST. ANA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG TROPICAL STORM.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192356
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE EL EL CICLON POST TROPICAL GONZALO...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL NORESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS
SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192356
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE EL EL CICLON POST TROPICAL GONZALO...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL NORESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS
SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192356
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE EL EL CICLON POST TROPICAL GONZALO...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL NORESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS
SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192356
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE EL EL CICLON POST TROPICAL GONZALO...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL NORESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS
SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192356
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE EL EL CICLON POST TROPICAL GONZALO...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL NORESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS
SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 192356
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA EMITIDO LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA
SOBRE EL EL CICLON POST TROPICAL GONZALO...LOCALIZADO A VARIOS
CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL NORESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DE
LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADOS. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE DE
5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
AL SURESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO
VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS
SUBTROPICALES DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
  CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN




000
ACPN50 PHFO 192343
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 192343
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 192343
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 192343
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 192343
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS






000
ACPN50 PHFO 192343
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE...LOCATED 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EVANS





000
ABNT20 KNHC 192338
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo, that is located several hundred
miles northeast of Newfoundland.

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores.  This system is
producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually acquire
subtropical characteristics during the next several days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 192338
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo, that is located several hundred
miles northeast of Newfoundland.

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores.  This system is
producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually acquire
subtropical characteristics during the next several days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABNT20 KNHC 192338
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo, that is located several hundred
miles northeast of Newfoundland.

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores.  This system is
producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually acquire
subtropical characteristics during the next several days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
ABNT20 KNHC 192338
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo, that is located several hundred
miles northeast of Newfoundland.

A broad area of low pressure located over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores.  This system is
producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually acquire
subtropical characteristics during the next several days while it
moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192334
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


000
AXNT20 KNHC 192331
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GONZALO HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTERED AT 19/2100
UTC NEAR 51.6N 41.8W OR ABOUT 485 NM NE OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUST TO 85 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 52N-58N BETWEEN 33W-
43W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N41W TO 05N44W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS WAVE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A DECREASE ON
THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES
MOVING W SUPPORTING CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 06N-16N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 15N18W AND CONTINUES TO 08N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N25W TO 09N27W TO 11N39W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 06N44W TO 05N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-08N BETWEEN 44W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 KT ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 23N98W
TO 19N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 24N W OF 93W.
FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
93W. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE STRONG SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST N OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES
CAUSED BY DAYTIME HEATING/OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PERSISTS S OF 14N CAUSED BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SUPPORTED BY UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 80W. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N66W. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR ACTIVITY TO FORM ONCE AGAIN IN 24 HOURS.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N80W TO A 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 40N66W. NO CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS BOUNDARY.
A SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 25N67W TO 23N69W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT AROUND 75 NM SE OF THIS
BOUNDARY. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N56W WITH AN EMBEDDED
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N55W TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 50W-55W. A 997 MB LOW IS N OF
THE CANARY ISLANDS CENTERED NEAR 33N20W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THIS LOW TO 20N30W AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM
20N30W TO 32N55W. CLUSTERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42W-51W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 19N66W KEEPING A DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE ESE
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 192331
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GONZALO HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTERED AT 19/2100
UTC NEAR 51.6N 41.8W OR ABOUT 485 NM NE OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUST TO 85 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 52N-58N BETWEEN 33W-
43W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N41W TO 05N44W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS WAVE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A DECREASE ON
THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES
MOVING W SUPPORTING CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 06N-16N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 15N18W AND CONTINUES TO 08N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N25W TO 09N27W TO 11N39W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 06N44W TO 05N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-08N BETWEEN 44W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 KT ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 23N98W
TO 19N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 24N W OF 93W.
FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
93W. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE STRONG SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST N OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES
CAUSED BY DAYTIME HEATING/OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PERSISTS S OF 14N CAUSED BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SUPPORTED BY UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 80W. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N66W. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR ACTIVITY TO FORM ONCE AGAIN IN 24 HOURS.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N80W TO A 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 40N66W. NO CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS BOUNDARY.
A SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 25N67W TO 23N69W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT AROUND 75 NM SE OF THIS
BOUNDARY. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N56W WITH AN EMBEDDED
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N55W TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 50W-55W. A 997 MB LOW IS N OF
THE CANARY ISLANDS CENTERED NEAR 33N20W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THIS LOW TO 20N30W AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM
20N30W TO 32N55W. CLUSTERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42W-51W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 19N66W KEEPING A DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE ESE
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 192331
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GONZALO HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTERED AT 19/2100
UTC NEAR 51.6N 41.8W OR ABOUT 485 NM NE OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUST TO 85 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 52N-58N BETWEEN 33W-
43W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N41W TO 05N44W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS WAVE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A DECREASE ON
THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES
MOVING W SUPPORTING CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 06N-16N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 15N18W AND CONTINUES TO 08N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N25W TO 09N27W TO 11N39W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 06N44W TO 05N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-08N BETWEEN 44W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 KT ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 23N98W
TO 19N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 24N W OF 93W.
FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
93W. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE STRONG SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST N OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES
CAUSED BY DAYTIME HEATING/OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PERSISTS S OF 14N CAUSED BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SUPPORTED BY UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 80W. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N66W. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR ACTIVITY TO FORM ONCE AGAIN IN 24 HOURS.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N80W TO A 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 40N66W. NO CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS BOUNDARY.
A SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 25N67W TO 23N69W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT AROUND 75 NM SE OF THIS
BOUNDARY. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N56W WITH AN EMBEDDED
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N55W TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 50W-55W. A 997 MB LOW IS N OF
THE CANARY ISLANDS CENTERED NEAR 33N20W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THIS LOW TO 20N30W AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM
20N30W TO 32N55W. CLUSTERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42W-51W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 19N66W KEEPING A DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE ESE
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 192331
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GONZALO HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTERED AT 19/2100
UTC NEAR 51.6N 41.8W OR ABOUT 485 NM NE OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUST TO 85 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 52N-58N BETWEEN 33W-
43W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N41W TO 05N44W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS WAVE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A DECREASE ON
THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES
MOVING W SUPPORTING CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 06N-16N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 15N18W AND CONTINUES TO 08N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N25W TO 09N27W TO 11N39W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 06N44W TO 05N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-08N BETWEEN 44W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 KT ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 23N98W
TO 19N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 24N W OF 93W.
FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
93W. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE STRONG SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST N OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES
CAUSED BY DAYTIME HEATING/OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PERSISTS S OF 14N CAUSED BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SUPPORTED BY UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 80W. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N66W. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR ACTIVITY TO FORM ONCE AGAIN IN 24 HOURS.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N80W TO A 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 40N66W. NO CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS BOUNDARY.
A SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 25N67W TO 23N69W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT AROUND 75 NM SE OF THIS
BOUNDARY. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N56W WITH AN EMBEDDED
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N55W TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 50W-55W. A 997 MB LOW IS N OF
THE CANARY ISLANDS CENTERED NEAR 33N20W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THIS LOW TO 20N30W AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM
20N30W TO 32N55W. CLUSTERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42W-51W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 19N66W KEEPING A DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE ESE
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA


000
AXNT20 KNHC 192331
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GONZALO HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTERED AT 19/2100
UTC NEAR 51.6N 41.8W OR ABOUT 485 NM NE OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUST TO 85 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 52N-58N BETWEEN 33W-
43W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N41W TO 05N44W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS WAVE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A DECREASE ON
THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES
MOVING W SUPPORTING CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 06N-16N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 15N18W AND CONTINUES TO 08N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N25W TO 09N27W TO 11N39W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 06N44W TO 05N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-08N BETWEEN 44W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 KT ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 23N98W
TO 19N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 24N W OF 93W.
FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
93W. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE STRONG SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST N OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES
CAUSED BY DAYTIME HEATING/OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PERSISTS S OF 14N CAUSED BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SUPPORTED BY UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 80W. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N66W. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR ACTIVITY TO FORM ONCE AGAIN IN 24 HOURS.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N80W TO A 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 40N66W. NO CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS BOUNDARY.
A SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 25N67W TO 23N69W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT AROUND 75 NM SE OF THIS
BOUNDARY. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N56W WITH AN EMBEDDED
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N55W TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 50W-55W. A 997 MB LOW IS N OF
THE CANARY ISLANDS CENTERED NEAR 33N20W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THIS LOW TO 20N30W AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM
20N30W TO 32N55W. CLUSTERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42W-51W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 19N66W KEEPING A DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE ESE
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 192331
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GONZALO HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTERED AT 19/2100
UTC NEAR 51.6N 41.8W OR ABOUT 485 NM NE OF ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUST TO 85 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 52N-58N BETWEEN 33W-
43W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM 16N41W TO 05N44W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES IN THE ENVIRONMENT OF THIS WAVE AS
DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A DECREASE ON
THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES
MOVING W SUPPORTING CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS FROM 06N-16N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 15N18W AND CONTINUES TO 08N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
08N25W TO 09N27W TO 11N39W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICAL
WAVE AT 06N44W TO 05N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN
THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N-08N BETWEEN 44W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 KT ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN. A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 23N98W
TO 19N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 24N W OF 93W.
FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. AT UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG
93W. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SUPPORTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE STRONG SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

05-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE BASIN WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST N OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES
CAUSED BY DAYTIME HEATING/OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PERSISTS S OF 14N CAUSED BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND SUPPORTED BY UPPER-
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER
THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 80W. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N66W. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR ACTIVITY TO FORM ONCE AGAIN IN 24 HOURS.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 28N80W TO A 1004 MB LOW
CENTERED NEAR 40N66W. NO CONVECTION IS RELATED TO THIS BOUNDARY.
A SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED FROM 25N67W TO 23N69W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT AROUND 75 NM SE OF THIS
BOUNDARY. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N56W WITH AN EMBEDDED
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N55W TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 50W-55W. A 997 MB LOW IS N OF
THE CANARY ISLANDS CENTERED NEAR 33N20W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THIS LOW TO 20N30W AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM
20N30W TO 32N55W. CLUSTERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42W-51W. AT UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N53W ENHANCING CONVECTION
ACROSS THE AREA. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 19N66W KEEPING A DIFFLUENT FLOW E OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE ESE
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
RIVERA


000
WTPA35 PHFO 192259
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
100 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 192259
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
100 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 192259
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
100 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 192259
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
100 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXPZ20 KNHC 192125
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N88W 1010
MB TO 14N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1009 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N129W TO 08N137W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N137W TO 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N AND
30 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 140W N OF 27N SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
ENTERING THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 30N134W TO
27N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SWEEP
INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT IN FAR NW
PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
THE FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT AND FRONT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN W
OF 125W THROUGH MON...BECOMING A FRONTAL TROUGH MON AFTERNOON
AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATING BY TUE MORNING. THE AREA OF HIGH SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE
FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 192125
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N88W 1010
MB TO 14N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1009 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N129W TO 08N137W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N137W TO 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N AND
30 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 140W N OF 27N SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
ENTERING THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 30N134W TO
27N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SWEEP
INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT IN FAR NW
PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
THE FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT AND FRONT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN W
OF 125W THROUGH MON...BECOMING A FRONTAL TROUGH MON AFTERNOON
AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATING BY TUE MORNING. THE AREA OF HIGH SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE
FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 192125
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N88W 1010
MB TO 14N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1009 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N129W TO 08N137W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N137W TO 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N AND
30 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 140W N OF 27N SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
ENTERING THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 30N134W TO
27N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SWEEP
INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT IN FAR NW
PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
THE FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT AND FRONT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN W
OF 125W THROUGH MON...BECOMING A FRONTAL TROUGH MON AFTERNOON
AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATING BY TUE MORNING. THE AREA OF HIGH SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE
FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 192125
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N88W 1010
MB TO 14N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N99W 1009 MB TO 11N111W TO
11N129W TO 08N137W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N137W TO 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N AND
30 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

A DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 140W N OF 27N SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT
ENTERING THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 30N134W TO
27N140W. LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SWEEP
INTO THE AREA THROUGH MON WITH SEAS REACHING 15-16 FT IN FAR NW
PART TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
THE FRONT WILL LIFT NE TONIGHT AND FRONT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN W
OF 125W THROUGH MON...BECOMING A FRONTAL TROUGH MON AFTERNOON
AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATING BY TUE MORNING. THE AREA OF HIGH SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON AND TUE AS THE SWELL PROPAGATES SE
FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS TONIGHT AND MON...ALLOWING COMBINED
SEAS TO APPROACH 8 FT BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W...PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N AND
W OF 113W. A RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH
MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED S OF THE
RIDGE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
WTPA35 PHFO 192046
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NOW MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 PM HST AND 300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 192046
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NOW MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 PM HST AND 300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 192046
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NOW MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 PM HST AND 300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA35 PHFO 192046
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NOW MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.6 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 PM HST AND 300 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTPA25 PHFO 192045
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 160.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.9N 161.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.4N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.2N 165.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.2N 166.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.8N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 168.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA25 PHFO 192045
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 160.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 160.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.9N 161.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.4N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.2N 165.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.2N 166.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.8N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 168.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 160.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL








000
WTNT33 KNHC 192038
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...51.6N 41.8W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM NE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 51.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR
52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A STEADY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT23 KNHC 192038
TCMAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 420SW 380NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 360SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.6N  41.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT23 KNHC 192038
TCMAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 420SW 380NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 360SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.6N  41.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT33 KNHC 192038
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...51.6N 41.8W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM NE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 51.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR
52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A STEADY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT23 KNHC 192038
TCMAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 420SW 380NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 360SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.6N  41.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT23 KNHC 192038
TCMAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 420SW 380NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 360SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.6N  41.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT33 KNHC 192038
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...51.6N 41.8W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM NE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 51.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR
52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A STEADY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT23 KNHC 192038
TCMAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 420SW 380NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 360SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.6N  41.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT23 KNHC 192038
TCMAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.6N  41.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 420SW 380NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 360SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.6N  41.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT33 KNHC 192038
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...51.6N 41.8W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM NE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 51.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR
52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A STEADY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTPA35 PHFO 191902
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND NOW MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM HST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.1W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 AM HST...1900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.1 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED AND A SWING TO THE NORTH AFTER MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...25 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL






000
WTPA35 PHFO 191902
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND NOW MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM HST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 160.1W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 AM HST...1900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.1 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED AND A SWING TO THE NORTH AFTER MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...25 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191902
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191902
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191902
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191902
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
AXNT20 KNHC 191750
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 49.0N 47.3W AT 19/1500 UTC OR
ABOUT 230 NM ENE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUST TO 90 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 49N-54N BETWEEN 43W-47W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC
AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N39W
TO 4N43W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE FROM 5N-16N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 12N16W AND CONTINUES TO 5N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 5N25W
TO 6N40W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICA WAVE AT 6N45W TO THE
COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 3N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION... WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 10W-32W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM COCOA
BEACH FLORIDA AT 28N81W TO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AT 27N90W
TO CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AT 28N97W. 15 KT NE WINDS ARE N OF THE
FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 22N98W
TO 18N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-25N
BETWEEN 92W-98W. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 84W-86W. FAIR
WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS
ALONG 93W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS TO PERSIST AND SPREAD
OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RELATIVELY LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. 5-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE NOTED WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. THE MONSOON
TROUGH IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 71W-84W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO EL
SALVADOR. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE S OF CUBA FROM 19N-
22N BETWEEN 78W-84W. SIMILAR SHOWERS ARE ALONGTHE COAST OF
VENEZUELA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 61W-71W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W
OF 80W. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 20N65W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN EXCEPT
OVER CUBA. EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY VERY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AGAIN TO BE OVER THE ISLAND MON
WITH CONVECTION N OF THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N75W TO COCOA BEACH
FLORIDA AT 28N81W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
FRONT. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 23N56W
MOVING N AT 10 KT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 29N54W TO THE
LOW CENTER TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-
29N BETWEEN 51W-58W. A 1003 MB LOW IS N OF THE CANARY ISLANDS
NEAR 33N19W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE
CANARY ISLANDS AT 28N16W TO 21N26W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER
THE CANARY ISLANDS. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N52W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E
WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA



000
AXNT20 KNHC 191750
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 49.0N 47.3W AT 19/1500 UTC OR
ABOUT 230 NM ENE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUST TO 90 KT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 49N-54N BETWEEN 43W-47W. PLEASE SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC
AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N39W
TO 4N43W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE FROM 5N-16N BETWEEN 36W-46W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA TO THE E TROPICAL ATLC
NEAR 12N16W AND CONTINUES TO 5N25W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 5N25W
TO 6N40W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF A TROPICA WAVE AT 6N45W TO THE
COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 3N51W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION
MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION... WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 10W-32W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

AS OF 1500 UTC...A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM COCOA
BEACH FLORIDA AT 28N81W TO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AT 27N90W
TO CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AT 28N97W. 15 KT NE WINDS ARE N OF THE
FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 22N98W
TO 18N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-25N
BETWEEN 92W-98W. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 84W-86W. FAIR
WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS
ALONG 93W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF.
EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS TO PERSIST AND SPREAD
OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A RELATIVELY LAX SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. 5-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE NOTED WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. THE MONSOON
TROUGH IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 71W-84W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO EL
SALVADOR. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE S OF CUBA FROM 19N-
22N BETWEEN 78W-84W. SIMILAR SHOWERS ARE ALONGTHE COAST OF
VENEZUELA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 61W-71W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W
OF 80W. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF PUERTO RICO
NEAR 20N65W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN EXCEPT
OVER CUBA. EXPECT THE MONSOON TROUGH TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HISPANIOLA...

PRESENTLY VERY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AGAIN TO BE OVER THE ISLAND MON
WITH CONVECTION N OF THE ISLAND.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N75W TO COCOA BEACH
FLORIDA AT 28N81W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
FRONT. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 23N56W
MOVING N AT 10 KT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 29N54W TO THE
LOW CENTER TO 19N59W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-
29N BETWEEN 51W-58W. A 1003 MB LOW IS N OF THE CANARY ISLANDS
NEAR 33N19W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE
CANARY ISLANDS AT 28N16W TO 21N26W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER
THE CANARY ISLANDS. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N52W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE E
WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC SURFACE LOW AND
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA


000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191733
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191733
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191733
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191733
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE HA DESARROLLADO SOBRE EL EXTREMO
SUROESTE DE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE JUSTO AL SURESTE DE
VERACRUZ..MEXICO. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES
POSIBLE DURNATE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE A 5 A 10 MPH.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA NO TROPICAL ESTA LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL LEJANO
ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS
DE LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA PRODUCIENDO VIENTOS CON
FUERZA DE GALERNA Y PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES
PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE
NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 10 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ABNT20 KNHC 191730
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located several hundred miles east of Newfoundland.

A low pressure system has developed over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche just to the southeast of Vera Cruz, Mexico. Some
gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a couple of hundred miles west of the Canary Islands.  This
system is producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually
acquire subtropical characteristics during the next several days
while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 191730
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located several hundred miles east of Newfoundland.

A low pressure system has developed over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche just to the southeast of Vera Cruz, Mexico. Some
gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a couple of hundred miles west of the Canary Islands.  This
system is producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually
acquire subtropical characteristics during the next several days
while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 191730
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located several hundred miles east of Newfoundland.

A low pressure system has developed over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche just to the southeast of Vera Cruz, Mexico. Some
gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a couple of hundred miles west of the Canary Islands.  This
system is producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually
acquire subtropical characteristics during the next several days
while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 191730
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located several hundred miles east of Newfoundland.

A low pressure system has developed over the extreme southwestern
Bay of Campeche just to the southeast of Vera Cruz, Mexico. Some
gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next
several days while it moves east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean a couple of hundred miles west of the Canary Islands.  This
system is producing gale-force winds, and the low could gradually
acquire subtropical characteristics during the next several days
while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ACPN50 PHFO 191728
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA...LOCATED 90 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

EVANS





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191728
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA...LOCATED 90 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO
HEADER WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

EVANS






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191713
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191713
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191713
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191713
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
WTPA35 PHFO 191658
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 159.9W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191658
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 159.9W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191658
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 159.9W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191658
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 159.9W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







000
AXPZ20 KNHC 191604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N87W
1010 MB NW TO 14N93W WHERE IT ENDS. IT RESUMES AT 16N101W TO
11N113W TO 10N130W TO 08N135W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
N OF 12N BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 123W-128W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN
78W-80W...N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-91W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W-123W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 131W-138W.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY N OF 26N W OF 120W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM
32N138W TO 27N140W. TO ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N
OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-120W WITH AXIS ALONG 121W. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER
THE SW U.S. AND ACROSS NW MEXICO. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND
ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF 18N AND TO THE E
OF 127W. BROAD UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE
AREA E OF 138W FROM 04N TO 20N. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS JUST OF THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR
12N141W...AND IS MOVING WNW. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS NOTED
OVER THE FAR EASTERN SECTION FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 93W-105W AS
SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE FORM OF WIDESPREAD MOSTLY
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY LIES
UNDERNEATH THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGING...AND IN ADDITION THE SOUTHERN TIER OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS FURTHER AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS CONVECTION. THE
ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS ALSO OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW) ANIMATION. THIS AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE IS FORECAST BY THE GFS TOTAL  WATER GUIDANCE AND ALSO
ITS MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED NEAR 16N100W IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH MON...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E
OR ESE. SW 20 KT OR LESS MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BY EARLY ON MON...AND EXPAND
NORTHWARD THEREAFTER WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS MAY
POSSIBLY BE HIGHER AT TIMES IN AND NEAR THE DESCRIBED CONVECTION.

ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT 12 UTC TO
EXTEND FROM 32N135W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 29N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN NW SWELL.
THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND
REACH FROM NEAR 32N127W SW TO 26N131W AND DISSIPATING AS A
FRONTAL TROUGH TO 23N140W. THE NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
BUILD SEAS TO 11-16 FT NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W AND
8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF THE FRONT. BY EARLY TUE...THE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO HAVE DISSIPATED...HOWEVER LARGE SEAS IN THE 8-12
FT ARE FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 32N114W TO 20N125W TO 13N140W
UNDER 20 KT OR LESS WINDS WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 11-14 FT IN NW
SWELL N OF AN AREA FROM N OF 22N AND BETWEEN 121W-135W.
WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE SE
TO S OF THE EQUATOR BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUE.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 191604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N87W
1010 MB NW TO 14N93W WHERE IT ENDS. IT RESUMES AT 16N101W TO
11N113W TO 10N130W TO 08N135W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
N OF 12N BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 123W-128W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN
78W-80W...N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-91W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W-123W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 131W-138W.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY N OF 26N W OF 120W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM
32N138W TO 27N140W. TO ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N
OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-120W WITH AXIS ALONG 121W. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER
THE SW U.S. AND ACROSS NW MEXICO. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND
ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF 18N AND TO THE E
OF 127W. BROAD UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE
AREA E OF 138W FROM 04N TO 20N. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS JUST OF THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR
12N141W...AND IS MOVING WNW. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS NOTED
OVER THE FAR EASTERN SECTION FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 93W-105W AS
SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE FORM OF WIDESPREAD MOSTLY
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY LIES
UNDERNEATH THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGING...AND IN ADDITION THE SOUTHERN TIER OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS FURTHER AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS CONVECTION. THE
ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS ALSO OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW) ANIMATION. THIS AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE IS FORECAST BY THE GFS TOTAL  WATER GUIDANCE AND ALSO
ITS MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED NEAR 16N100W IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH MON...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E
OR ESE. SW 20 KT OR LESS MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BY EARLY ON MON...AND EXPAND
NORTHWARD THEREAFTER WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS MAY
POSSIBLY BE HIGHER AT TIMES IN AND NEAR THE DESCRIBED CONVECTION.

ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT 12 UTC TO
EXTEND FROM 32N135W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 29N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN NW SWELL.
THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND
REACH FROM NEAR 32N127W SW TO 26N131W AND DISSIPATING AS A
FRONTAL TROUGH TO 23N140W. THE NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
BUILD SEAS TO 11-16 FT NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W AND
8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF THE FRONT. BY EARLY TUE...THE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO HAVE DISSIPATED...HOWEVER LARGE SEAS IN THE 8-12
FT ARE FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 32N114W TO 20N125W TO 13N140W
UNDER 20 KT OR LESS WINDS WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 11-14 FT IN NW
SWELL N OF AN AREA FROM N OF 22N AND BETWEEN 121W-135W.
WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE SE
TO S OF THE EQUATOR BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUE.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 191604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N87W
1010 MB NW TO 14N93W WHERE IT ENDS. IT RESUMES AT 16N101W TO
11N113W TO 10N130W TO 08N135W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
N OF 12N BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 123W-128W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN
78W-80W...N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-91W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W-123W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 131W-138W.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY N OF 26N W OF 120W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM
32N138W TO 27N140W. TO ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N
OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-120W WITH AXIS ALONG 121W. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER
THE SW U.S. AND ACROSS NW MEXICO. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND
ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF 18N AND TO THE E
OF 127W. BROAD UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE
AREA E OF 138W FROM 04N TO 20N. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS JUST OF THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR
12N141W...AND IS MOVING WNW. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS NOTED
OVER THE FAR EASTERN SECTION FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 93W-105W AS
SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE FORM OF WIDESPREAD MOSTLY
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY LIES
UNDERNEATH THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGING...AND IN ADDITION THE SOUTHERN TIER OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS FURTHER AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS CONVECTION. THE
ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS ALSO OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW) ANIMATION. THIS AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE IS FORECAST BY THE GFS TOTAL  WATER GUIDANCE AND ALSO
ITS MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED NEAR 16N100W IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH MON...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E
OR ESE. SW 20 KT OR LESS MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BY EARLY ON MON...AND EXPAND
NORTHWARD THEREAFTER WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS MAY
POSSIBLY BE HIGHER AT TIMES IN AND NEAR THE DESCRIBED CONVECTION.

ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT 12 UTC TO
EXTEND FROM 32N135W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 29N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN NW SWELL.
THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND
REACH FROM NEAR 32N127W SW TO 26N131W AND DISSIPATING AS A
FRONTAL TROUGH TO 23N140W. THE NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
BUILD SEAS TO 11-16 FT NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W AND
8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF THE FRONT. BY EARLY TUE...THE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO HAVE DISSIPATED...HOWEVER LARGE SEAS IN THE 8-12
FT ARE FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 32N114W TO 20N125W TO 13N140W
UNDER 20 KT OR LESS WINDS WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 11-14 FT IN NW
SWELL N OF AN AREA FROM N OF 22N AND BETWEEN 121W-135W.
WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE SE
TO S OF THE EQUATOR BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUE.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 191604
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N87W
1010 MB NW TO 14N93W WHERE IT ENDS. IT RESUMES AT 16N101W TO
11N113W TO 10N130W TO 08N135W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
N OF 12N BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 123W-128W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN
78W-80W...N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 87W-91W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W-123W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 131W-138W.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...A DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY N OF 26N W OF 120W WITH ITS MEAN AXIS ROUGHLY FROM
32N138W TO 27N140W. TO ITS E...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS N
OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-120W WITH AXIS ALONG 121W. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER
THE SW U.S. AND ACROSS NW MEXICO. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND
ASSOCIATED DRY AND STABLE AIR IS PRESENT N OF 18N AND TO THE E
OF 127W. BROAD UPPER RIDGING IS OVER THE TROPICAL REGION OF THE
AREA E OF 138W FROM 04N TO 20N. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS JUST OF THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE AREA NEAR
12N141W...AND IS MOVING WNW. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS NOTED
OVER THE FAR EASTERN SECTION FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 93W-105W AS
SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE FORM OF WIDESPREAD MOSTLY
OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY LIES
UNDERNEATH THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGING...AND IN ADDITION THE SOUTHERN TIER OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS FURTHER AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS CONVECTION. THE
ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS ALSO OBSERVED IN THE COMPOSITE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW) ANIMATION. THIS AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE IS FORECAST BY THE GFS TOTAL  WATER GUIDANCE AND ALSO
ITS MOISTURE CONVERGENCE GUIDANCE TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. A WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED NEAR 16N100W IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOUT STATIOANRY THROUGH MON...THEN SHIFT SOME TO THE E
OR ESE. SW 20 KT OR LESS MONSOON FLOW TO THE SW OF THIS LOW IS
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT BY EARLY ON MON...AND EXPAND
NORTHWARD THEREAFTER WITH SEAS OF 8 OR 9 FT. THESE WINDS MAY
POSSIBLY BE HIGHER AT TIMES IN AND NEAR THE DESCRIBED CONVECTION.

ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ABOVE MENTIONED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT 12 UTC TO
EXTEND FROM 32N135W SW TO W OF THE AREA AT 29N140W. NW OF THE
FRONT WINDS ARE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS OF 8-12 FT IN NW SWELL.
THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND
REACH FROM NEAR 32N127W SW TO 26N131W AND DISSIPATING AS A
FRONTAL TROUGH TO 23N140W. THE NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
BUILD SEAS TO 11-16 FT NW OF A LINE FROM 32N130W TO 24N140W AND
8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE NW OF THE FRONT. BY EARLY TUE...THE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO HAVE DISSIPATED...HOWEVER LARGE SEAS IN THE 8-12
FT ARE FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 32N114W TO 20N125W TO 13N140W
UNDER 20 KT OR LESS WINDS WITH HIGHER SEAS OF 11-14 FT IN NW
SWELL N OF AN AREA FROM N OF 22N AND BETWEEN 121W-135W.
WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE SE
TO S OF THE EQUATOR BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MON...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUE.

$$
AGUIRRE



000
WTPA35 PHFO 191523 CCB
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  24...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND CRAWLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI THIS MORNING...65
MILES SOUTHWEST OF NIIHAU THIS MORNING...120 MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA
TONIGHT...90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT...AND
NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM HST AND 900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191523 CCB
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  24...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND CRAWLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI THIS MORNING...65
MILES SOUTHWEST OF NIIHAU THIS MORNING...120 MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA
TONIGHT...90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT...AND
NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM HST AND 900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA35 PHFO 191508
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND CRAWLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU THIS MORNING...120
MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA TONIGHT...90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT...AND NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM HST AND 900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191508
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND CRAWLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU THIS MORNING...120
MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA TONIGHT...90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT...AND NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM HST AND 900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191508
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND CRAWLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU THIS MORNING...120
MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA TONIGHT...90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT...AND NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM HST AND 900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191508
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...ANA SOUTH OF KAUAI AND CRAWLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU THIS MORNING...120
MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA TONIGHT...90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT...AND NEAR FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TODAY...AND OVER NIHOA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER NECKER ISLAND...FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...AND TERN
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS AND TERN ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY...AND WILL REACH THE NORTHWEST
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE SMALLER
ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER IN THE DAY OVER OAHU AND MAUI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF
ANA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM HST AND 900 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA25 PHFO 191437
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 159.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 159.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 159.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.1N 161.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.4N 162.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.8N 164.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.9N 166.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.6N 168.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 169.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 30.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 159.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 191437
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR KAUAI COUNTY...
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR THE
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 159.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 159.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 159.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.1N 161.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.4N 162.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.8N 164.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.9N 166.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.6N 168.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 169.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 30.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 159.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTNT33 KNHC 191432
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO REMAINS A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE FAR NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...49.0N 47.3W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ENE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 49.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM
NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.  THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE AND
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND
SOME OIL RIGS HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS
WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF GONZALO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...WITH CONDITIONS SUBSIDING THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT33 KNHC 191432
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO REMAINS A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE FAR NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...49.0N 47.3W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ENE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 49.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM
NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.  THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE AND
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND
SOME OIL RIGS HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS
WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF GONZALO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...WITH CONDITIONS SUBSIDING THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT23 KNHC 191431
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.8N  50.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 360SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.5N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N   6.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 160SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 360SE 480SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 62.1N   2.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.0N  47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT23 KNHC 191431
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.8N  50.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 360SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.5N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N   6.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 160SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 360SE 480SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 62.1N   2.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.0N  47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT23 KNHC 191431
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.8N  50.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 360SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.5N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N   6.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 160SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 360SE 480SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 62.1N   2.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.0N  47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT23 KNHC 191431
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N  47.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.8N  50.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 360SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.5N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N   6.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE 160SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 360SE 480SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 62.1N   2.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE 320SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.0N  47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTPA35 PHFO 191352 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23B...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA SLOWLY OVERSPREADING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER
THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA35 PHFO 191352 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23B...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA SLOWLY OVERSPREADING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER
THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA35 PHFO 191352 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23B...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA SLOWLY OVERSPREADING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER
THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA35 PHFO 191352 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23B...CORRECTED
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA SLOWLY OVERSPREADING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER
THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
WTPA35 PHFO 191309
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA SLOWLY OVERSPREADING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.65N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER
THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191309
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
300 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA SLOWLY OVERSPREADING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.65N 159.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM HST...1300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO BRING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES...OVER KAUAI AND
NIIHAU. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE OVER
THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM NIIHAU TO MAUI TODAY. RAINFALL WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
AXNT20 KNHC 191146
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 47.6N 50.1W AT 19/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 104 NM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 46N BETWEEN 48W-56W. PLEASE SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 40W
FROM 6N-16N MOVING W 5-10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS BENEATH THE WESTERN
PORTION OF AN UPPER RIDGE. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 11N34W TO 14N39W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 16N16W AND CONTINUES ALONG 14N18W 9N19W 6N23W 6N31W TO
E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 8N36W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 6N42W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 3N51W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF LINE
FROM THE COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 7N11W ALONG 4N23W TO 00N37W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE E CONUS INTO THE W ATLC TO JUST
S OF THE N GULF COAST SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
ACROSS FLORIDA JUST S OF CEDAR KEY ALONG 28N87W TO OVER TEXAS
NEAR GALVESTON. THERE IS STILL NO SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FRONT AS THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY/STABLE AIR
ALOFT COVERS THE GULF E OF 90W WITH MODERATE SUBSIDENCE OVER THE
NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE W
GULF NEAR TUXPAN TO THE CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR VERACRUZ TO
JUST S OF MATAMORES GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS ALONG 22N94W TO
THE YUCATAN NEAR 20N91W. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AGAIN THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL BECOME
DIFFUSE FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST LATE
TONIGHT. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE N GULF TUE. AN
AREA OF LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SW GULF EARLY
THIS WEEK AND DRIFT E.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND OVER THE W
CARIBBEAN TO 80W. THIS UPPER FLOW IS ADVECTING MOISTURE ACROSS
THE YUCATAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 19N-22N W OF 78W TO THE YUCATAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS S OF
19N W OF 84W. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH A
WEAK UPPER LOW JUST N OF THE MONA PASSAGE TO OVER THE ABC
ISLANDS. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 17N BETWEEN 70W-75W AND OVER THE S
CARIBBEAN S OF THE ABC ISLANDS TO OVER VENEZUELA BETWEEN 66W-
69W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W ALONG
12N80W TO ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR 11N84W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 14N W OF 70W TO INLAND OVER
COLOMBIA AND TO THE COAST FROM PANAMA TO NICARAGUA. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE ISLAND THIS MORNING WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING OFFSHORE. THE
WEAK UPPER LOW N OF THE MONA PASSAGE IS GENERATING THE ABOVE
ACTIVITY. THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
TODAY THEN WEAKEN GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN AND HISPANIOLA W FLOW
ALOFT STARTING EARLY MON. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH
EARLY TUE AND COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING COULD PRODUCE
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MON. AFTERNOON
SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH SOMEWHAT STARTING TUE AS THE LINGERING
MOISTURE SHIFTS NORTHWARD.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
HURRICANE GONZALO HAS MOVING PAST NEWFOUNDLAND. SEE SPECIAL
FEATURE ABOVE. AN UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC W OF 63W THEN
NARROWS AS IT CONTINUES THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW JUST N OF THE
MONA PASSAGE INTO THE CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT
ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N76W TO ACROSS FLORIDA NEAR FLAGLER
BEACH TO JUST N OF CEDAR KEY CONTINUING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THE UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 21N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN 70W-
74W AND INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 28N67W TO 24N74W AND SECOND SURFACE TROUGH TO THE S
EXTENDS FROM 25N66W TO 21N74W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. A BROAD UPPER LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC CENTERED
NEAR 25N52W SUPPORTING SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 28N49W
ALONG 25N52W THROUGH A WEAK 1011 MB LOW NEAR 23N56W TO 20N59W.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
75 NM OF LINE FROM 29N48W 29N53W TO 26N56W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE SURFACE TROUGH N OF THE LOW. A NARROW UPPER
RIDGE IS BETWEEN THE BROAD W ATLC UPPER TROUGH AND THE BROAD
CENTRAL ATLC UPPER LOW GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 26N62W TO 33N59W. AN
UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE E ATLC N OF 20N SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT
THAT EXTENDS INTO THE REGION FROM A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 32N19W
ALONG 25N23W TO 23N30W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 26N BETWEEN 14W-19W INCLUDING THE CANARY
ISLANDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF THE FRONT TO 24W. W ATLC COLD FRONT
WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EARLY MON AND
WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT LIFTS N OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW


000
AXNT20 KNHC 191146
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 47.6N 50.1W AT 19/1200 UTC OR
ABOUT 104 NM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 45 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS N OF 46N BETWEEN 48W-56W. PLEASE SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 40W
FROM 6N-16N MOVING W 5-10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS BENEATH THE WESTERN
PORTION OF AN UPPER RIDGE. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 11N34W TO 14N39W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 38W-42W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 16N16W AND CONTINUES ALONG 14N18W 9N19W 6N23W 6N31W TO
E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 8N36W. THE ITCZ BEGINS W OF THE
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 6N42W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 3N51W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF LINE
FROM THE COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 7N11W ALONG 4N23W TO 00N37W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE E CONUS INTO THE W ATLC TO JUST
S OF THE N GULF COAST SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM
ACROSS FLORIDA JUST S OF CEDAR KEY ALONG 28N87W TO OVER TEXAS
NEAR GALVESTON. THERE IS STILL NO SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FRONT AS THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY/STABLE AIR
ALOFT COVERS THE GULF E OF 90W WITH MODERATE SUBSIDENCE OVER THE
NW GULF. AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE W
GULF NEAR TUXPAN TO THE CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR VERACRUZ TO
JUST S OF MATAMORES GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS ALONG 22N94W TO
THE YUCATAN NEAR 20N91W. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AGAIN THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL BECOME
DIFFUSE FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST LATE
TONIGHT. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE N GULF TUE. AN
AREA OF LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SW GULF EARLY
THIS WEEK AND DRIFT E.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND OVER THE W
CARIBBEAN TO 80W. THIS UPPER FLOW IS ADVECTING MOISTURE ACROSS
THE YUCATAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM 19N-22N W OF 78W TO THE YUCATAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS S OF
19N W OF 84W. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS THROUGH A
WEAK UPPER LOW JUST N OF THE MONA PASSAGE TO OVER THE ABC
ISLANDS. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 17N BETWEEN 70W-75W AND OVER THE S
CARIBBEAN S OF THE ABC ISLANDS TO OVER VENEZUELA BETWEEN 66W-
69W. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W ALONG
12N80W TO ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR 11N84W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 14N W OF 70W TO INLAND OVER
COLOMBIA AND TO THE COAST FROM PANAMA TO NICARAGUA. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE ISLAND THIS MORNING WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING OFFSHORE. THE
WEAK UPPER LOW N OF THE MONA PASSAGE IS GENERATING THE ABOVE
ACTIVITY. THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
TODAY THEN WEAKEN GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN AND HISPANIOLA W FLOW
ALOFT STARTING EARLY MON. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH
EARLY TUE AND COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING COULD PRODUCE
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MON. AFTERNOON
SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH SOMEWHAT STARTING TUE AS THE LINGERING
MOISTURE SHIFTS NORTHWARD.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
HURRICANE GONZALO HAS MOVING PAST NEWFOUNDLAND. SEE SPECIAL
FEATURE ABOVE. AN UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC W OF 63W THEN
NARROWS AS IT CONTINUES THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW JUST N OF THE
MONA PASSAGE INTO THE CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT
ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N76W TO ACROSS FLORIDA NEAR FLAGLER
BEACH TO JUST N OF CEDAR KEY CONTINUING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THE UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 21N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN 70W-
74W AND INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 28N67W TO 24N74W AND SECOND SURFACE TROUGH TO THE S
EXTENDS FROM 25N66W TO 21N74W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. A BROAD UPPER LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC CENTERED
NEAR 25N52W SUPPORTING SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 28N49W
ALONG 25N52W THROUGH A WEAK 1011 MB LOW NEAR 23N56W TO 20N59W.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
75 NM OF LINE FROM 29N48W 29N53W TO 26N56W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE SURFACE TROUGH N OF THE LOW. A NARROW UPPER
RIDGE IS BETWEEN THE BROAD W ATLC UPPER TROUGH AND THE BROAD
CENTRAL ATLC UPPER LOW GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 26N62W TO 33N59W. AN
UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE E ATLC N OF 20N SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT
THAT EXTENDS INTO THE REGION FROM A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 32N19W
ALONG 25N23W TO 23N30W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 26N BETWEEN 14W-19W INCLUDING THE CANARY
ISLANDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF THE FRONT TO 24W. W ATLC COLD FRONT
WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EARLY MON AND
WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT LIFTS N OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191145
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS.
ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE LUEGO MIENTRAS
SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA
ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS
RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 191145
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL ESTE DE NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS.
ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE LUEGO MIENTRAS
SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...MEDIANA...30 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION AMPLIA SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA
ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE SOBRE AGUAS
RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH
OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 191145
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH
OF LIHUE...HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35
PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ABNT20 KNHC 191142
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located east of Newfoundland.

A low pressure system is expected to form over the Bay of Campeche
or the southern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two.  Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time while
it moves slowly east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is developing over the far eastern
Atlantic Ocean about midway between the Azores Islands and the
Canary Islands.  This system could possibly acquire subtropical
characteristics by the middle of the week while it moves westward
to west-northwestward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


000
ABNT20 KNHC 191142
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located east of Newfoundland.

A low pressure system is expected to form over the Bay of Campeche
or the southern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two.  Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time while
it moves slowly east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A large non-tropical low is developing over the far eastern
Atlantic Ocean about midway between the Azores Islands and the
Canary Islands.  This system could possibly acquire subtropical
characteristics by the middle of the week while it moves westward
to west-northwestward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



000
WTNT33 KNHC 191140
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.6N 50.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE
PAST HOUR...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
41 MPH...67 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 55 MPH...89 KM/H.  ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT33 KNHC 191140
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.6N 50.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE
PAST HOUR...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
41 MPH...67 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 55 MPH...89 KM/H.  ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT33 KNHC 191140
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.6N 50.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE
PAST HOUR...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
41 MPH...67 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 55 MPH...89 KM/H.  ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT33 KNHC 191140
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.6N 50.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE
PAST HOUR...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
41 MPH...67 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 55 MPH...89 KM/H.  ST. JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191118
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191118
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



000
WTPA35 PHFO 191105
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA APPROACHING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM HST...1100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 159.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM HST...1100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.5 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES
SOUTH OF NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE
OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 191105
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
100 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2014

...RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE ANA APPROACHING KAUAI...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM HST...1100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 159.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM HST...1100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.5 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...75 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES
SOUTH OF NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER
ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL MOVE
OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190942 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190942 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190942 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190942 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 8N90W...RESUMES FROM 15N103W TO
11N125W TO 11N127W TO 8N137W. ITCZ FROM 8N137W TO 8N140W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 12N
BETWEEN 98W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS FROM 120W-125W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N133W TO A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION JUST W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 12N141W. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE E OF THE TROUGH WITH AXIS FROM 32N124W TO 19N120W.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS N OF 11N W OF 110W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 17N109W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SW
OF THE ANTICYCLONE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST OF
MEXICO FROM WHAT WAS ONCE TRUDY FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 100W-103W.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA AND
GUERRERO STATES TONIGHT AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EXTEND
FROM 30N136W TO 28N140W. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 8-11 FT IN
NW SWELL IN FAR NW PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...AND
BUILD TO 9 TO 16 FT ON MON.

$$
DGS



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190911
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 8N90W...RESUMES FROM 15N103W TO
11N125W TO 11N127W TO 8N137W. ITCZ FROM 8N137W TO 8N140W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 12N
BETWEEN 98W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS FROM 120W-125W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N133W TO A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION JUST W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 12N141W. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE E OF THE TROUGH WITH AXIS FROM 32N124W TO 19N120W.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS N OF 11N W OF 110W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 17N109W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SW
OF THE ANTICYCLONE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST OF
MEXICO FROM WHAT WAS ONCE TRUDY FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 100W-103W.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA AND
GUERRERO STATES TONIGHT AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EXTEND
FROM 30N136W TO 28N140W. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 8-11 FT IN
NW SWELL IN FAR NW PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...AND
BUILD TO 9 TO 16 FT ON MON.

$$
DGS


000
WTPA35 PHFO 190851
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1100 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...HURRICANE
WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 159.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.5 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL
PASS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...75
MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF
NIHOA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NECKER ISLAND
MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ANA MAY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NIHOA LATER SUNDAY...AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER NECKER ISLAND...TERN
ISLAND...AND FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ON MONDAY.


SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 AM HST AND 300 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/BIRCHARD







000
WTPA25 PHFO 190833
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
  FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 159.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 159.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 159.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.7N 160.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.0N 161.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.5N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.3N 165.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.5N 169.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 159.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTPA25 PHFO 190833
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0900 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM NIHOA TO
  FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 159.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 159.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 159.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.7N 160.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.0N 161.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.5N 163.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.3N 165.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 29.5N 169.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 159.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTNT23 KNHC 190830
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0900 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N  52.9W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 420SE 420SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N  52.9W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.5N  54.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 50.1N  44.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 150SE  90SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 200SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.4N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.2N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   2.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 420SE 600SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.3N  52.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT23 KNHC 190830
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0900 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N  52.9W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 420SE 420SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N  52.9W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.5N  54.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 50.1N  44.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 150SE  90SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 200SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.4N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 270SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 56.2N  15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.5N   2.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 420SE 600SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.3N  52.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





000
WTNT33 KNHC 190830
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO RACING PAST CAPE RACE...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...46.3N 52.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 38 MPH...61
KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH...82 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000
WTNT33 KNHC 190830
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO RACING PAST CAPE RACE...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...46.3N 52.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS
MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 38 MPH...61
KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH...82 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTPA35 PHFO 190703
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...HURRICANE ANA MARCHING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND WILL PASS CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 159.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.3 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KAUAI TONIGHT...95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...
AND ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA SUNDAY EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
BE WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/R BALLARD







000
WTPA35 PHFO 190703
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...HURRICANE ANA MARCHING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND WILL PASS CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 159.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.3 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KAUAI TONIGHT...95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...
AND ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA SUNDAY EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
BE WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/R BALLARD






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190600 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190600 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190600 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190600 CCA
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE SEMANA. ALGUN
DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN






000
ACCA62 TJSJ 190558
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT DOMINGO 19 DE OCTUBRE DE 2014

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO:

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL
HURACAN GONZALO...LOCALIZADO AL SUR-SUROESTE DE CAPE
RACE...NEWFOUNDLAND.

SE ESPERA QUE UN SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION SE FORME SOBRE LA BAHIA DE
CAMPECHE O AL SUR DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA MEDIADOS DE LA SEMANA
ESTA SEMANA. ALGUN DESARROLLO GRADUAL DE ESTE SISTEMA ES POSIBLE
DESPUES DE ESE TIEMPO MIENTRAS SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL ESTE
NORESTE.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME UNA BAJA PRESION GRANDE SIN CARACTERISITICAS
TROPICALES SOBRE EL LEJANO ESTE DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO APROXIMADAMENTE
ENTRE LAS ISLAS AZORES Y LAS ISLAS CANARIAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS. ESTE SISTEMA PODRIA ADQUIRIR CARATERISTICAS SUBTROPICALES PARA
MEDIADOS DE SEMANA MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE A OESTE NOROESTE
SOBRE AGUAS RELATIVAMENTE MAS CALIENTES.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 48 HORAS...BAJA...CERCA DE 0 POR
CIENTO.
* PROBABILIDAD DE DESARROLLO HASTA 5 DIAS...BAJA...20 POR CIENTO.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN




000
WTPA35 PHFO 190552 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN...CORRECTED
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

CORRECTED PRESENT MOVEMENT

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 159.1W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.1 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD






000
WTPA35 PHFO 190552 CCA
TCPCP5

BULLETIN...CORRECTED
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

CORRECTED PRESENT MOVEMENT

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 159.1W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.1 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
AXNT20 KNHC 190546
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 44.2N 55.0W AT 19/0300 UTC OR
ABOUT 170 NM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 41 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 41N-47N BETWEEN 54W-60W. PLEASE SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N38W
TO 5N40W MOVING W 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS BENEATH THE WESTERN
PORTION OF AN UPPER RIDGE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 35W-40W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 12N16W AND CONTINUES ALONG 6N24W TO 8N30W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 7N42W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
3N51W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-
8N BETWEEN 27W-31W AND FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 43W-47W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE E CONUS INTO THE W ATLC TO ALONG
THE N GULF COAST SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED INTO THE
GULF WATERS AT 19/0300 UTC JUST N OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO
INLAND OVER LOUISIANA NEAR NEW ORLEANS. THERE IS NO SHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT AS THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRY/STABLE AIR ALOFT COVERS MOST OF GULF E OF 90W. AN UPPER
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE W GULF ALONG 96W TO
OVER NE TEXAS GIVING THE GULF WATERS NW FLOW ALOFT. CONVERGENCE
OF THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND THE EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N W
OF 90W AND FROM 22N-27N W OF 92W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED BY A 1024 MB HIGH
OVER MISSOURI...BRIDGING THE FRONT...THEN INTO THE GULF NEAR SW
LOUISIANA TO 25N85W. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AGAIN TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE AND BECOME
DIFFUSE FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST SUN
NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SW
GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN TO 80W AND IS ADVECTING MOISTURE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-22N W OF 77W
TO OVER THE YUCATAN. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO TO
OVER THE ABC ISLANDS. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N BETWEEN 70W-76W. THE
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 11N73W ALONG 10N80W TO
ACROSS PANAMA/COSTA RICA NEAR 9N83W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM 15N83W TO COLOMBIA
NEAR 12N72W. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF HAITI...IN THE GULF OF GONAVE...AND ALONG THE N
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A WEAK UPPER LOW HAS FORMED
OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO WHICH IS GENERATING THE
ABOVE ACTIVITY. THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH TODAY THEN WEAKEN GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN AND HISPANIOLA
W FLOW ALOFT. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH EARLY TUE
AND COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING COULD PRODUCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MON. AFTERNOON SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT STARTING TUE AS THE LINGERING MOISTURE SHIFTS
NORTHWARD.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS A PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES OF NEWFOUNDLAND. SEE SPECIAL FEATURE ABOVE. AN UPPER
TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC W OF 63W THEN NARROWS AS IT CONTINUES
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO
INTO THE CARIBBEAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN 69W-
75W AND INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 31N65W TO 27N68W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS TO THE S
EXTENDING FROM 25N64W TO 23N71W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. AN UPPER LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS CENTERED
NEAR 24N52W SUPPORTING A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 24N50W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 20N55W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 48W-55W AND
WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE 1010 MB LOW. A NARROW UPPER RIDGE IS
BETWEEN THE BROAD W ATLC UPPER TROUGH AND THE CENTRAL ATLC UPPER
LOW GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
45 NM OF LINE FROM 25N62W TO 32N59W. AN UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
NE ATLC TO 23N SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS INTO THE
REGION NEAR 32N20W ALONG 26N24W TO 24N30W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N E OF THE FRONT TO 16W
INCLUDING THE CANARY ISLANDS AND N OF 29N W OF THE FRONT TO 25W.
GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE AWAY FROM THE US PASSING CLOSE
TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY SUN AND
WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EARLY MON WHERE
IT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT LIFTS N OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 190546
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 44.2N 55.0W AT 19/0300 UTC OR
ABOUT 170 NM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 41 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 41N-47N BETWEEN 54W-60W. PLEASE SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N38W
TO 5N40W MOVING W 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS BENEATH THE WESTERN
PORTION OF AN UPPER RIDGE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 35W-40W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 12N16W AND CONTINUES ALONG 6N24W TO 8N30W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 7N42W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
3N51W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-
8N BETWEEN 27W-31W AND FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 43W-47W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE E CONUS INTO THE W ATLC TO ALONG
THE N GULF COAST SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED INTO THE
GULF WATERS AT 19/0300 UTC JUST N OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO
INLAND OVER LOUISIANA NEAR NEW ORLEANS. THERE IS NO SHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT AS THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRY/STABLE AIR ALOFT COVERS MOST OF GULF E OF 90W. AN UPPER
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE W GULF ALONG 96W TO
OVER NE TEXAS GIVING THE GULF WATERS NW FLOW ALOFT. CONVERGENCE
OF THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND THE EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N W
OF 90W AND FROM 22N-27N W OF 92W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED BY A 1024 MB HIGH
OVER MISSOURI...BRIDGING THE FRONT...THEN INTO THE GULF NEAR SW
LOUISIANA TO 25N85W. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AGAIN TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE AND BECOME
DIFFUSE FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST SUN
NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SW
GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN TO 80W AND IS ADVECTING MOISTURE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-22N W OF 77W
TO OVER THE YUCATAN. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO TO
OVER THE ABC ISLANDS. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N BETWEEN 70W-76W. THE
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 11N73W ALONG 10N80W TO
ACROSS PANAMA/COSTA RICA NEAR 9N83W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM 15N83W TO COLOMBIA
NEAR 12N72W. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF HAITI...IN THE GULF OF GONAVE...AND ALONG THE N
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A WEAK UPPER LOW HAS FORMED
OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO WHICH IS GENERATING THE
ABOVE ACTIVITY. THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH TODAY THEN WEAKEN GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN AND HISPANIOLA
W FLOW ALOFT. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH EARLY TUE
AND COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING COULD PRODUCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MON. AFTERNOON SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT STARTING TUE AS THE LINGERING MOISTURE SHIFTS
NORTHWARD.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS A PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES OF NEWFOUNDLAND. SEE SPECIAL FEATURE ABOVE. AN UPPER
TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC W OF 63W THEN NARROWS AS IT CONTINUES
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO
INTO THE CARIBBEAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN 69W-
75W AND INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 31N65W TO 27N68W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS TO THE S
EXTENDING FROM 25N64W TO 23N71W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. AN UPPER LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS CENTERED
NEAR 24N52W SUPPORTING A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 24N50W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 20N55W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 48W-55W AND
WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE 1010 MB LOW. A NARROW UPPER RIDGE IS
BETWEEN THE BROAD W ATLC UPPER TROUGH AND THE CENTRAL ATLC UPPER
LOW GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
45 NM OF LINE FROM 25N62W TO 32N59W. AN UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
NE ATLC TO 23N SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS INTO THE
REGION NEAR 32N20W ALONG 26N24W TO 24N30W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N E OF THE FRONT TO 16W
INCLUDING THE CANARY ISLANDS AND N OF 29N W OF THE FRONT TO 25W.
GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE AWAY FROM THE US PASSING CLOSE
TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY SUN AND
WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EARLY MON WHERE
IT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT LIFTS N OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 190546
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 44.2N 55.0W AT 19/0300 UTC OR
ABOUT 170 NM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 41 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 41N-47N BETWEEN 54W-60W. PLEASE SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N38W
TO 5N40W MOVING W 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS BENEATH THE WESTERN
PORTION OF AN UPPER RIDGE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 35W-40W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 12N16W AND CONTINUES ALONG 6N24W TO 8N30W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 7N42W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
3N51W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-
8N BETWEEN 27W-31W AND FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 43W-47W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE E CONUS INTO THE W ATLC TO ALONG
THE N GULF COAST SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED INTO THE
GULF WATERS AT 19/0300 UTC JUST N OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO
INLAND OVER LOUISIANA NEAR NEW ORLEANS. THERE IS NO SHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT AS THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRY/STABLE AIR ALOFT COVERS MOST OF GULF E OF 90W. AN UPPER
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE W GULF ALONG 96W TO
OVER NE TEXAS GIVING THE GULF WATERS NW FLOW ALOFT. CONVERGENCE
OF THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND THE EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N W
OF 90W AND FROM 22N-27N W OF 92W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED BY A 1024 MB HIGH
OVER MISSOURI...BRIDGING THE FRONT...THEN INTO THE GULF NEAR SW
LOUISIANA TO 25N85W. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AGAIN TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE AND BECOME
DIFFUSE FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST SUN
NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SW
GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN TO 80W AND IS ADVECTING MOISTURE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-22N W OF 77W
TO OVER THE YUCATAN. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO TO
OVER THE ABC ISLANDS. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N BETWEEN 70W-76W. THE
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 11N73W ALONG 10N80W TO
ACROSS PANAMA/COSTA RICA NEAR 9N83W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM 15N83W TO COLOMBIA
NEAR 12N72W. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF HAITI...IN THE GULF OF GONAVE...AND ALONG THE N
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A WEAK UPPER LOW HAS FORMED
OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO WHICH IS GENERATING THE
ABOVE ACTIVITY. THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH TODAY THEN WEAKEN GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN AND HISPANIOLA
W FLOW ALOFT. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH EARLY TUE
AND COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING COULD PRODUCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MON. AFTERNOON SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT STARTING TUE AS THE LINGERING MOISTURE SHIFTS
NORTHWARD.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS A PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES OF NEWFOUNDLAND. SEE SPECIAL FEATURE ABOVE. AN UPPER
TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC W OF 63W THEN NARROWS AS IT CONTINUES
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO
INTO THE CARIBBEAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN 69W-
75W AND INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 31N65W TO 27N68W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS TO THE S
EXTENDING FROM 25N64W TO 23N71W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. AN UPPER LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS CENTERED
NEAR 24N52W SUPPORTING A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 24N50W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 20N55W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 48W-55W AND
WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE 1010 MB LOW. A NARROW UPPER RIDGE IS
BETWEEN THE BROAD W ATLC UPPER TROUGH AND THE CENTRAL ATLC UPPER
LOW GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
45 NM OF LINE FROM 25N62W TO 32N59W. AN UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
NE ATLC TO 23N SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS INTO THE
REGION NEAR 32N20W ALONG 26N24W TO 24N30W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N E OF THE FRONT TO 16W
INCLUDING THE CANARY ISLANDS AND N OF 29N W OF THE FRONT TO 25W.
GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE AWAY FROM THE US PASSING CLOSE
TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY SUN AND
WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EARLY MON WHERE
IT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT LIFTS N OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
AXNT20 KNHC 190546
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS CENTERED NEAR 44.2N 55.0W AT 19/0300 UTC OR
ABOUT 170 NM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NE AT 41 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 41N-47N BETWEEN 54W-60W. PLEASE SEE LATEST
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 16N38W
TO 5N40W MOVING W 10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WAVE IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND REMAINS BENEATH THE WESTERN
PORTION OF AN UPPER RIDGE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 35W-40W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL
ATLC NEAR 12N16W AND CONTINUES ALONG 6N24W TO 8N30W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 7N42W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
3N51W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-
8N BETWEEN 27W-31W AND FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 43W-47W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE E CONUS INTO THE W ATLC TO ALONG
THE N GULF COAST SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED INTO THE
GULF WATERS AT 19/0300 UTC JUST N OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO
INLAND OVER LOUISIANA NEAR NEW ORLEANS. THERE IS NO SHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT AS THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND
DRY/STABLE AIR ALOFT COVERS MOST OF GULF E OF 90W. AN UPPER
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE W GULF ALONG 96W TO
OVER NE TEXAS GIVING THE GULF WATERS NW FLOW ALOFT. CONVERGENCE
OF THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND THE EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N W
OF 90W AND FROM 22N-27N W OF 92W. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF ANCHORED BY A 1024 MB HIGH
OVER MISSOURI...BRIDGING THE FRONT...THEN INTO THE GULF NEAR SW
LOUISIANA TO 25N85W. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AGAIN TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE AND BECOME
DIFFUSE FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST SUN
NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SW
GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W
CARIBBEAN TO 80W AND IS ADVECTING MOISTURE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N-22N W OF 77W
TO OVER THE YUCATAN. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO TO
OVER THE ABC ISLANDS. THIS UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N BETWEEN 70W-76W. THE
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 11N73W ALONG 10N80W TO
ACROSS PANAMA/COSTA RICA NEAR 9N83W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF LINE FROM 15N83W TO COLOMBIA
NEAR 12N72W. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF HAITI...IN THE GULF OF GONAVE...AND ALONG THE N
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A WEAK UPPER LOW HAS FORMED
OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO WHICH IS GENERATING THE
ABOVE ACTIVITY. THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH TODAY THEN WEAKEN GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN AND HISPANIOLA
W FLOW ALOFT. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH EARLY TUE
AND COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING COULD PRODUCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MON. AFTERNOON SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT STARTING TUE AS THE LINGERING MOISTURE SHIFTS
NORTHWARD.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
HURRICANE GONZALO IS A PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES OF NEWFOUNDLAND. SEE SPECIAL FEATURE ABOVE. AN UPPER
TROUGH COVERS THE W ATLC W OF 63W THEN NARROWS AS IT CONTINUES
THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE MONA PASSAGE/W PUERTO RICO
INTO THE CARIBBEAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 22N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN 69W-
75W AND INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 31N65W TO 27N68W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS TO THE S
EXTENDING FROM 25N64W TO 23N71W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE
TROUGH AXIS. AN UPPER LOW IS IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS CENTERED
NEAR 24N52W SUPPORTING A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 24N50W WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 20N55W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 48W-55W AND
WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE 1010 MB LOW. A NARROW UPPER RIDGE IS
BETWEEN THE BROAD W ATLC UPPER TROUGH AND THE CENTRAL ATLC UPPER
LOW GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
45 NM OF LINE FROM 25N62W TO 32N59W. AN UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
NE ATLC TO 23N SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS INTO THE
REGION NEAR 32N20W ALONG 26N24W TO 24N30W GENERATING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 27N E OF THE FRONT TO 16W
INCLUDING THE CANARY ISLANDS AND N OF 29N W OF THE FRONT TO 25W.
GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE AWAY FROM THE US PASSING CLOSE
TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY SUN AND
WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EARLY MON WHERE
IT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT LIFTS N OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
PAW



000
WTNT33 KNHC 190540
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
200 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...HURRICANE GONZALO RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR CAPE RACE THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.2N 55.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 48 MPH...78 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST BY
EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GONZALO IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

GONZALO HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. THE LARGEST
EXTENT OF THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT33 KNHC 190540
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
200 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...HURRICANE GONZALO RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR CAPE RACE THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.2N 55.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 48 MPH...78 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST BY
EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GONZALO IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

GONZALO HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. THE LARGEST
EXTENT OF THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT33 KNHC 190540
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
200 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...HURRICANE GONZALO RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR CAPE RACE THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.2N 55.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 48 MPH...78 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST BY
EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GONZALO IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

GONZALO HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. THE LARGEST
EXTENT OF THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
WTNT33 KNHC 190540
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
200 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...HURRICANE GONZALO RACING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR CAPE RACE THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.2N 55.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 48 MPH...78 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST BY
EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS
NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GONZALO IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

GONZALO HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. THE LARGEST
EXTENT OF THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190539
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
the remnants of Trudy, located inland over southern Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A low pressure system is expected to form over the Bay of Campeche
or the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of this week. Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time while
it moves slowly east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A large non-tropical low is expected to form over the far eastern
Atlantic Ocean about midway between the Azores Islands and the
Canary Islands during the next couple of days. This system could
possibly acquire subtropical characteristics by the middle of the
week while it moves westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190539
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
the remnants of Trudy, located inland over southern Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A low pressure system is expected to form over the Bay of Campeche
or the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of this week. Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time while
it moves slowly east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A large non-tropical low is expected to form over the far eastern
Atlantic Ocean about midway between the Azores Islands and the
Canary Islands during the next couple of days. This system could
possibly acquire subtropical characteristics by the middle of the
week while it moves westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190539
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
the remnants of Trudy, located inland over southern Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ABNT20 KNHC 190539
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A low pressure system is expected to form over the Bay of Campeche
or the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of this week. Some
gradual development of this system is possible after that time while
it moves slowly east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A large non-tropical low is expected to form over the far eastern
Atlantic Ocean about midway between the Azores Islands and the
Canary Islands during the next couple of days. This system could
possibly acquire subtropical characteristics by the middle of the
week while it moves westward to west-northwestward over relatively
warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



000
ACPN50 PHFO 190535
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON





000
ACPN50 PHFO 190535
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ANA...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA35 PHFO.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON






000
WTPA35 PHFO 190500
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 159.1W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.1 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD




000
WTPA35 PHFO 190500
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
700 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 159.1W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.1 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





000
WTNT33 KNHC 190249
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1100 PM AST SAT OCT 18 2014

...HURRICANE GONZALO GROWS LARGER WHILE RACING NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.3N 57.0W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 39 MPH...63 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 39 MPH...63 KM/H. THE HURRICANE IS
EXPECTED MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION TONIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY AN
ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES
CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY
LATE SUNDAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC.

THE WIND FIELD OF GONZALO HAS EXPANDED. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS NOW
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND BY EARLY SUNDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT33 KNHC 190249
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1100 PM AST SAT OCT 18 2014

...HURRICANE GONZALO GROWS LARGER WHILE RACING NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.3N 57.0W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 39 MPH...63 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 39 MPH...63 KM/H. THE HURRICANE IS
EXPECTED MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION TONIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY AN
ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES
CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY
LATE SUNDAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC.

THE WIND FIELD OF GONZALO HAS EXPANDED. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS NOW
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND BY EARLY SUNDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT23 KNHC 190244
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  57.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  34 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 250SE 170SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 400SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  57.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  58.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 47.0N  50.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 140SE  70SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 260SE 190SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 160SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 270SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 320SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N   8.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 420SE 420SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.3N  57.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT23 KNHC 190244
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  57.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  34 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 160SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 250SE 170SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 400SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  57.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N  58.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 47.0N  50.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 140SE  70SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 260SE 190SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 160SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 270SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 320SE 320SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N   8.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 420SE 420SW 480NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.3N  57.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190237
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N87W TO 15N96W...THEN
RESUMES FROM 15N102W TO 11N115W TO 11N127W TO 08N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION N OF 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 45
NM OF 15N95.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF
AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 113W.

...DISCUSSION...

TRUDY HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND INTO A REMNANT LOW CENTERED NEAR
17.4N 98.2W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 18. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
OCCUR ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO STATES TONIGHT AND
PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES.

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA SUN AND EXTEND FROM
30N138W TO 28N140W SUN MORNING. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 15-16
FT IN NW SWELL IN FAR NW PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH SUN
EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE SUN NIGHT AND MON AS THE SWELL
PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS
INTO A TROUGH.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS SUN NIGHT AND MON BETWEEN 95W AND 105W...ALLOWING
COMBINED SEAS TO BUILD TO 8-9 FT.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W... PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N
AND W OF 113W. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SUN AS THE COLD FRONT
SWEEPS INTO NW WATERS. A WEAK NARROW RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF
THE FRONT THROUGH MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED S OF THE RIDGE THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190237
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N87W TO 15N96W...THEN
RESUMES FROM 15N102W TO 11N115W TO 11N127W TO 08N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION N OF 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 45
NM OF 15N95.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF
AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 113W.

...DISCUSSION...

TRUDY HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND INTO A REMNANT LOW CENTERED NEAR
17.4N 98.2W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 18. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
OCCUR ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO STATES TONIGHT AND
PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES.

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA SUN AND EXTEND FROM
30N138W TO 28N140W SUN MORNING. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 15-16
FT IN NW SWELL IN FAR NW PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH SUN
EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE SUN NIGHT AND MON AS THE SWELL
PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS
INTO A TROUGH.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS SUN NIGHT AND MON BETWEEN 95W AND 105W...ALLOWING
COMBINED SEAS TO BUILD TO 8-9 FT.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W... PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N
AND W OF 113W. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SUN AS THE COLD FRONT
SWEEPS INTO NW WATERS. A WEAK NARROW RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF
THE FRONT THROUGH MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED S OF THE RIDGE THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190237
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N87W TO 15N96W...THEN
RESUMES FROM 15N102W TO 11N115W TO 11N127W TO 08N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION N OF 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 45
NM OF 15N95.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF
AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 113W.

...DISCUSSION...

TRUDY HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND INTO A REMNANT LOW CENTERED NEAR
17.4N 98.2W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 18. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
OCCUR ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO STATES TONIGHT AND
PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES.

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA SUN AND EXTEND FROM
30N138W TO 28N140W SUN MORNING. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 15-16
FT IN NW SWELL IN FAR NW PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH SUN
EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE SUN NIGHT AND MON AS THE SWELL
PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS
INTO A TROUGH.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS SUN NIGHT AND MON BETWEEN 95W AND 105W...ALLOWING
COMBINED SEAS TO BUILD TO 8-9 FT.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W... PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N
AND W OF 113W. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SUN AS THE COLD FRONT
SWEEPS INTO NW WATERS. A WEAK NARROW RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF
THE FRONT THROUGH MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED S OF THE RIDGE THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190237
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N87W TO 15N96W...THEN
RESUMES FROM 15N102W TO 11N115W TO 11N127W TO 08N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION N OF 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 45
NM OF 15N95.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF
AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 113W.

...DISCUSSION...

TRUDY HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND INTO A REMNANT LOW CENTERED NEAR
17.4N 98.2W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 18. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
OCCUR ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO STATES TONIGHT AND
PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES.

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA SUN AND EXTEND FROM
30N138W TO 28N140W SUN MORNING. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 15-16
FT IN NW SWELL IN FAR NW PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH SUN
EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE SUN NIGHT AND MON AS THE SWELL
PROPAGATES SE FURTHER AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE AND THE FRONT WEAKENS
INTO A TROUGH.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SW WINDS WILL INCREASE S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS SUN NIGHT AND MON BETWEEN 95W AND 105W...ALLOWING
COMBINED SEAS TO BUILD TO 8-9 FT.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS
W OF 115W... PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS S OF 20N
AND W OF 113W. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SUN AS THE COLD FRONT
SWEEPS INTO NW WATERS. A WEAK NARROW RIDGE WILL PERSIST SE OF
THE FRONT THROUGH MON. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED S OF THE RIDGE THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190236
TCMEP5

REMNANTS OF TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  98.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  98.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014

...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



000
WTPA25 PHFO 190230
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 159.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 159.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 159.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.3N 160.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.7N 161.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.0N 162.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.7N 164.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.7N 166.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.8N 167.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 159.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE








000
WTPA25 PHFO 190230
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 159.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 159.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 159.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.3N 160.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.7N 161.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.0N 162.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.7N 164.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.7N 166.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.8N 167.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 159.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 190230
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 159.2W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.2 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 190230
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 159.2W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.2 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 190230
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 159.2W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.2 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 190230
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
500 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 159.2W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.2 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF NIIHAU
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...
AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM HST AND 900 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 182359
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 158.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A CONTINUED DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT. A FURTHER TURN TOWARD THE WEST
IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS AFTERNOON...
ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...AND 105 MILES SOUTH OF
NIIHAU TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU AND KAUAI
COUNTY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES THROUGH SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







000
WTPA35 PHFO 182359
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
200 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...ANA CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WILL PASS DANGEROUSLY CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 158.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A CONTINUED DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT. A FURTHER TURN TOWARD THE WEST
IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA
WILL PASS ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OAHU THIS AFTERNOON...
ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI TONIGHT...AND 105 MILES SOUTH OF
NIIHAU TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU AND KAUAI
COUNTY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE
SWELLS COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES THROUGH SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TODAY AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE







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