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000
FXUS64 KLZK 020820
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
320 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
LOW PRESSURE DOWN IN LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY
FROM THE REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WRAPAROUND MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL KEEP THE THICKEST CLOUD COVER OVER
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...AND THUS TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
OVER THAT AREA. A FEW MORE WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL DROP DOWN IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND INTERACT WITH THE DEPARTING SYSTEM AND KEEP
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TO START THE NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM GRADUALLY...BUT READINGS WILL STILL BE NEAR
TO A LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. NORTHEAST AND EASTERLY SURFACE
FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY LEVELS FAIRLY LOW...AND OVER ALL...
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.
&&

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES TO BEGIN THE LONG
TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN U.S. THE RIDGE
FLATTENS SOMEWHAT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES TO THE
EAST COAST. THE RIDGE SPREADS FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY INTO THE MID
SOUTH AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY.

A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI
WEDNESDAY. MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS FRONT WILL SINK SLOWLY SOUTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AND STALL IN SOUTH MISSOURI FRIDAY. A SHORT
WAVE MOVES THROUGH ARKANSAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WILL INCLUDE SMALL
POPS WITH THIS FEATURE AT THIS TIME. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     87  63  89  66 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         82  66  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       85  61  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  67  87  65 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  87  68  89  66 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     82  68  88  65 /  20  10  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      85  63  87  61 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  87  60  88  64 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        89  63  89  64 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     84  67  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   90  64  89  65 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         88  64  87  63 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      85  67  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 020820
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
320 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
LOW PRESSURE DOWN IN LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY
FROM THE REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WRAPAROUND MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL KEEP THE THICKEST CLOUD COVER OVER
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...AND THUS TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
OVER THAT AREA. A FEW MORE WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL DROP DOWN IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND INTERACT WITH THE DEPARTING SYSTEM AND KEEP
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TO START THE NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM GRADUALLY...BUT READINGS WILL STILL BE NEAR
TO A LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. NORTHEAST AND EASTERLY SURFACE
FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY LEVELS FAIRLY LOW...AND OVER ALL...
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.
&&

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES TO BEGIN THE LONG
TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN U.S. THE RIDGE
FLATTENS SOMEWHAT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES TO THE
EAST COAST. THE RIDGE SPREADS FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY INTO THE MID
SOUTH AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY.

A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI
WEDNESDAY. MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS FRONT WILL SINK SLOWLY SOUTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AND STALL IN SOUTH MISSOURI FRIDAY. A SHORT
WAVE MOVES THROUGH ARKANSAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WILL INCLUDE SMALL
POPS WITH THIS FEATURE AT THIS TIME. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     87  63  89  66 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         82  66  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       85  61  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  67  87  65 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  87  68  89  66 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     82  68  88  65 /  20  10  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      85  63  87  61 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  87  60  88  64 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        89  63  89  64 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     84  67  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   90  64  89  65 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         88  64  87  63 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      85  67  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51





000
FXUS64 KLZK 020551
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1251 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW SOME CLEARING FROM THE NORTH...IN CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. IT APPEARS THE REST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS WILL
BE VERY SLOW TO CLEAR. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED. A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON RADAR SO INCLUDED SHOWERS AT ADF. NORTH AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL SEE SUNSHINE SATURDAY BUT CLOUDS WILL BE
SLOW TO DISSIPATE IN THE SOUTH WITH A 700 MB LOW NEARLY
STATIONARY. EXPECT CLEARING IN THE SOUTH TO BE 00Z OR AFTER. VFR
TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     87  64  88  65 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         86  67  88  67 /  20  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       86  62  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  68  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  86  69  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     86  68  87  67 /  20  10  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      84  63  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  86  63  87  63 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        88  65  87  65 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     86  67  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   87  65  89  65 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         87  65  87  66 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      87  68  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 020551
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1251 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW SOME CLEARING FROM THE NORTH...IN CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. IT APPEARS THE REST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS WILL
BE VERY SLOW TO CLEAR. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED. A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON RADAR SO INCLUDED SHOWERS AT ADF. NORTH AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL SEE SUNSHINE SATURDAY BUT CLOUDS WILL BE
SLOW TO DISSIPATE IN THE SOUTH WITH A 700 MB LOW NEARLY
STATIONARY. EXPECT CLEARING IN THE SOUTH TO BE 00Z OR AFTER. VFR
TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     87  64  88  65 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         86  67  88  67 /  20  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       86  62  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  68  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  86  69  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     86  68  87  67 /  20  10  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      84  63  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  86  63  87  63 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        88  65  87  65 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     86  67  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   87  65  89  65 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         87  65  87  66 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      87  68  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 020551
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1251 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW SOME CLEARING FROM THE NORTH...IN CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. IT APPEARS THE REST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS WILL
BE VERY SLOW TO CLEAR. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED. A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON RADAR SO INCLUDED SHOWERS AT ADF. NORTH AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL SEE SUNSHINE SATURDAY BUT CLOUDS WILL BE
SLOW TO DISSIPATE IN THE SOUTH WITH A 700 MB LOW NEARLY
STATIONARY. EXPECT CLEARING IN THE SOUTH TO BE 00Z OR AFTER. VFR
TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     87  64  88  65 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         86  67  88  67 /  20  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       86  62  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  68  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  86  69  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     86  68  87  67 /  20  10  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      84  63  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  86  63  87  63 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        88  65  87  65 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     86  67  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   87  65  89  65 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         87  65  87  66 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      87  68  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 020551
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1251 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW SOME CLEARING FROM THE NORTH...IN CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. IT APPEARS THE REST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS WILL
BE VERY SLOW TO CLEAR. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED. A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON RADAR SO INCLUDED SHOWERS AT ADF. NORTH AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL SEE SUNSHINE SATURDAY BUT CLOUDS WILL BE
SLOW TO DISSIPATE IN THE SOUTH WITH A 700 MB LOW NEARLY
STATIONARY. EXPECT CLEARING IN THE SOUTH TO BE 00Z OR AFTER. VFR
TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     87  64  88  65 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         86  67  88  67 /  20  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       86  62  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  68  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  86  69  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     86  68  87  67 /  20  10  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      84  63  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  86  63  87  63 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        88  65  87  65 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     86  67  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   87  65  89  65 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         87  65  87  66 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      87  68  87  67 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 012358
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225





000
FXUS64 KLZK 012358
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225





000
FXUS64 KLZK 012358
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225





000
FXUS64 KLZK 012358
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
658 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

ONGOING SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
FINALLY TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRY AIR
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH CLEAR SKIES BEING REPORTED AT
KHRO AND KBPK. OVERNIGHT DID MENTION AT LEAST SOME FOG AT ALL TAF
SITES WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE STATE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KHOT AND
KADF. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY EXCEPT AT KLLQ WHERE
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225





000
FXUS64 KLZK 011945
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...55





000
FXUS64 KLZK 011945
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...55





000
FXUS64 KLZK 011945
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...55





000
FXUS64 KLZK 011945
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
WASHING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN PLACE...
AND WITH A WEAK SYSTEM OR TWO FROM THE PLAINS INTERACTING WITH
THE FRONT...LEFT SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SOUTH/EAST OF LITTLE
ROCK SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUDS IN THE COMING DAYS...
AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM UP. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...READINGS WILL BE A LOT CLOSER TO NORMAL THAN IN RECENT
DAYS. EVEN SO...READINGS WILL END UP A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
OVERALL.

AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMB...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BECOME
NEGLIGIBLE. IT WILL BE DRY IN MOST AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A RIDGE
ALONG THE ROCKIES...AND A TROUGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.  THE
OVERALL FLOW WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WEAKENING
INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL ALLOW A
COLD FRONT TO APPROACH LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  87  64  88 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  86  67  88 /  20  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       62  86  62  85 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  85  68  88 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  86  69  88 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  86  68  87 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      64  84  63  88 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  86  63  87 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        64  88  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  86  67  87 /  20  20  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         64  87  65  87 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      65  87  68  87 /  10  20  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...55





000
FXUS64 KLZK 011719
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1219 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
EXPECT AREAS OF MVRF CONDITIONS TO AGAIN DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY DUE TO FOG. A LIGHT NELY SFC FLOW WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS ALL SITES THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD.

55

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING WITH DENSE
FOG IN PLACE. LIGHT TO MODERAT RAIN HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND IS SPREADING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE RAIN WILL
END AROUND 00Z AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         76  65  87  67 /  30  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       80  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  20  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  81  67  88  69 /  20  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  30  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      78  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  81  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        82  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  30  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   81  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         81  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...99





000
FXUS64 KLZK 011719
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1219 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
EXPECT AREAS OF MVRF CONDITIONS TO AGAIN DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY DUE TO FOG. A LIGHT NELY SFC FLOW WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS ALL SITES THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD.

55

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING WITH DENSE
FOG IN PLACE. LIGHT TO MODERAT RAIN HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND IS SPREADING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE RAIN WILL
END AROUND 00Z AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         76  65  87  67 /  30  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       80  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  20  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  81  67  88  69 /  20  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  30  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      78  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  81  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        82  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  30  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   81  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         81  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...99






000
FXUS64 KLZK 011146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
646 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING WITH DENSE
FOG IN PLACE. LIGHT TO MODERAT RAIN HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND IS SPREADING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE RAIN WILL
END AROUND 00Z AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         79  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  80  67  88  69 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  40  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      79  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        81  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  40  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   82  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         79  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 011146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
646 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING WITH DENSE
FOG IN PLACE. LIGHT TO MODERAT RAIN HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND IS SPREADING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE RAIN WILL
END AROUND 00Z AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         79  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  80  67  88  69 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  40  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      79  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        81  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  40  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   82  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         79  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 011146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
646 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING WITH DENSE
FOG IN PLACE. LIGHT TO MODERAT RAIN HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND IS SPREADING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE RAIN WILL
END AROUND 00Z AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         79  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  80  67  88  69 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  40  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      79  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        81  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  40  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   82  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         79  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 011146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
646 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING WITH DENSE
FOG IN PLACE. LIGHT TO MODERAT RAIN HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND IS SPREADING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE RAIN WILL
END AROUND 00Z AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         79  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  80  67  88  69 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  40  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      79  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        81  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  40  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   82  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         79  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 010837
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         79  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  80  67  88  69 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  40  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      79  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        81  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  40  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   82  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         79  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51




000
FXUS64 KLZK 010837
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
337 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
SYSTEM IN LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WITH SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/
ISOLATED STORMS...MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. THOUGH THIS IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...I
DOUBT ANYBODY WILL COMPLAIN.

ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
KEEPING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DOWN
IN NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM...BUT
NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP HUMIDITY DOWN AND CONDITIONS
FAIRLY TOLERABLE FOR EARLY AUGUST.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THE HIGH
MOVES A BIT WESTWARD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY...AND MUCH OF THE STATE THURSDAY. BEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE IN THE NORTH. A COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY APPROACH
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     80  61  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         79  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  85  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    79  64  85  68 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  80  67  88  69 /  30  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  66  86  68 /  40  20  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      79  61  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        81  62  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  65  86  67 /  40  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   82  63  88  65 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         79  63  87  65 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      81  66  86  68 /  30  10  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51





000
FXUS64 KLZK 010549
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1249 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE NIGHT. CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WILL LOWER THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. IFR AND
LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE EARLY MORNING THEN VFR THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OVERCAST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITH SOME BREAKING UP LATE IN THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

AVIATION...

THE UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND BRING MVFR
CEILINGS AND PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN. OTHERWISE VFR CEILINGS WILL
BE SEEN THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE AREAS OF MVFR. LATE
TONIGHT TO AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY...WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER
AR...AREAS OF IFR FOG AND CEILINGS WILL BE SEEN AND AFFECT TAF
SITES. AFTER SUNRISE...THE LOWER CEILINGS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY
THIN AND DISSIPATE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NE TO E...AND THEN
ON FRIDAY BECOME 5 TO 10 MPH.
(59)

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AS SYSTEM
OVER TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE STATE...RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE...BUT WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCES...OR AT LEAST
DRIZZLE...IN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NORTH AND LIGHT WINDS...HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING.

HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES GOING FRIDAY...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE SOUTH. DO
EXPECT SOME MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN TODAY.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS BROAD UPPER
TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EAST. SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING NEAR THE GULF. BY LATE IN
THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BE IN PROGRESS AS UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST
SLOWLY EXPANDS EWD OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE LOW...BUT TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE INCREASING BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WARMING TREND WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE DROPPING SE ACROSS THE
PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS AR. HAVE PRECIP CHANCES RETURNING BY THU MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCES SO FAR DURING THU AND THU NIGHT OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT OF
THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP BACK BELOW
NORMAL. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     82  62  86  64 /  20  10  20  10
CAMDEN AR         80  66  88  67 /  30  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       83  61  83  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    81  66  86  66 /  20  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  83  67  87  68 /  20  10  20  10
MONTICELLO AR     79  66  85  68 /  30  20  30  10
MOUNT IDA AR      81  62  87  62 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  84  62  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        83  64  85  64 /  20  10  20  10
PINE BLUFF AR     80  66  84  66 /  30  20  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   85  63  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         82  65  88  66 /  20  10  20  10
STUTTGART AR      83  67  85  67 /  30  20  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 010549
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1249 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE NIGHT. CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WILL LOWER THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. IFR AND
LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE EARLY MORNING THEN VFR THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OVERCAST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITH SOME BREAKING UP LATE IN THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

AVIATION...

THE UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND BRING MVFR
CEILINGS AND PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN. OTHERWISE VFR CEILINGS WILL
BE SEEN THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE AREAS OF MVFR. LATE
TONIGHT TO AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY...WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER
AR...AREAS OF IFR FOG AND CEILINGS WILL BE SEEN AND AFFECT TAF
SITES. AFTER SUNRISE...THE LOWER CEILINGS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY
THIN AND DISSIPATE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NE TO E...AND THEN
ON FRIDAY BECOME 5 TO 10 MPH.
(59)

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AS SYSTEM
OVER TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE STATE...RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE...BUT WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCES...OR AT LEAST
DRIZZLE...IN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NORTH AND LIGHT WINDS...HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING.

HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES GOING FRIDAY...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE SOUTH. DO
EXPECT SOME MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN TODAY.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS BROAD UPPER
TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EAST. SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING NEAR THE GULF. BY LATE IN
THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BE IN PROGRESS AS UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST
SLOWLY EXPANDS EWD OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE LOW...BUT TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE INCREASING BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WARMING TREND WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE DROPPING SE ACROSS THE
PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS AR. HAVE PRECIP CHANCES RETURNING BY THU MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCES SO FAR DURING THU AND THU NIGHT OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT OF
THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP BACK BELOW
NORMAL. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     82  62  86  64 /  20  10  20  10
CAMDEN AR         80  66  88  67 /  30  10  20  10
HARRISON AR       83  61  83  62 /  20  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    81  66  86  66 /  20  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  83  67  87  68 /  20  10  20  10
MONTICELLO AR     79  66  85  68 /  30  20  30  10
MOUNT IDA AR      81  62  87  62 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  84  62  84  63 /  20  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        83  64  85  64 /  20  10  20  10
PINE BLUFF AR     80  66  84  66 /  30  20  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   85  63  88  64 /  20  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         82  65  88  66 /  20  10  20  10
STUTTGART AR      83  67  85  67 /  30  20  20  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51





000
FXUS64 KLZK 312344 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
645 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.AVIATION...

THE UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND BRING MVFR
CEILINGS AND PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN. OTHERWISE VFR CEILINGS WILL
BE SEEN THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE AREAS OF MVFR. LATE
TONIGHT TO AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY...WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER
AR...AREAS OF IFR FOG AND CEILINGS WILL BE SEEN AND AFFECT TAF
SITES. AFTER SUNRISE...THE LOWER CEILINGS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY
THIN AND DISSIPATE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NE TO E...AND THEN
ON FRIDAY BECOME 5 TO 10 MPH.
(59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AS SYSTEM
OVER TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE STATE...RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE...BUT WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCES...OR AT LEAST
DRIZZLE...IN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NORTH AND LIGHT WINDS...HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING.

HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES GOING FRIDAY...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE SOUTH. DO
EXPECT SOME MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN TODAY.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS BROAD UPPER
TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EAST. SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING NEAR THE GULF. BY LATE IN
THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BE IN PROGRESS AS UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST
SLOWLY EXPANDS EWD OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE LOW...BUT TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE INCREASING BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WARMING TREND WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE DROPPING SE ACROSS THE
PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS AR. HAVE PRECIP CHANCES RETURNING BY THU MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCES SO FAR DURING THU AND THU NIGHT OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT OF
THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP BACK BELOW
NORMAL. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58 / LONG TERM...62








000
FXUS64 KLZK 312344 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
645 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.AVIATION...

THE UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND BRING MVFR
CEILINGS AND PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN. OTHERWISE VFR CEILINGS WILL
BE SEEN THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE AREAS OF MVFR. LATE
TONIGHT TO AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY...WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER
AR...AREAS OF IFR FOG AND CEILINGS WILL BE SEEN AND AFFECT TAF
SITES. AFTER SUNRISE...THE LOWER CEILINGS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY
THIN AND DISSIPATE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NE TO E...AND THEN
ON FRIDAY BECOME 5 TO 10 MPH.
(59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AS SYSTEM
OVER TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE STATE...RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE...BUT WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCES...OR AT LEAST
DRIZZLE...IN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NORTH AND LIGHT WINDS...HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING.

HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES GOING FRIDAY...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE SOUTH. DO
EXPECT SOME MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN TODAY.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS BROAD UPPER
TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EAST. SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING NEAR THE GULF. BY LATE IN
THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BE IN PROGRESS AS UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST
SLOWLY EXPANDS EWD OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE LOW...BUT TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE INCREASING BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WARMING TREND WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE DROPPING SE ACROSS THE
PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS AR. HAVE PRECIP CHANCES RETURNING BY THU MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCES SO FAR DURING THU AND THU NIGHT OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT OF
THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP BACK BELOW
NORMAL. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58 / LONG TERM...62







000
FXUS64 KLZK 311952
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
252 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AS SYSTEM
OVER TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE STATE...RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE...BUT WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCES...OR AT LEAST
DRIZZLE...IN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NORTH AND LIGHT WINDS...HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING.

HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES GOING FRIDAY...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE SOUTH. DO
EXPECT SOME MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN TODAY.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS BROAD UPPER
TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EAST. SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING NEAR THE GULF. BY LATE IN
THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BE IN PROGRESS AS UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST
SLOWLY EXPANDS EWD OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE LOW...BUT TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE INCREASING BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WARMING TREND WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE DROPPING SE ACROSS THE
PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS AR. HAVE PRECIP CHANCES RETURNING BY THU MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCES SO FAR DURING THU AND THU NIGHT OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT OF
THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP BACK BELOW
NORMAL. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58 / LONG TERM...62





000
FXUS64 KLZK 311952
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
252 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AS SYSTEM
OVER TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE STATE...RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE...BUT WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCES...OR AT LEAST
DRIZZLE...IN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NORTH AND LIGHT WINDS...HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING.

HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES GOING FRIDAY...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING
ACROSS THE REGION AND THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE SOUTH. DO
EXPECT SOME MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN TODAY.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS BROAD UPPER
TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EAST. SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH MOISTURE REMAINING NEAR THE GULF. BY LATE IN
THE SHORT TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BE IN PROGRESS AS UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST
SLOWLY EXPANDS EWD OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE LOW...BUT TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE INCREASING BACK TO AROUND
NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WARMING TREND WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL BE DROPPING SE ACROSS THE
PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS AR. HAVE PRECIP CHANCES RETURNING BY THU MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCES SO FAR DURING THU AND THU NIGHT OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT OF
THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP BACK BELOW
NORMAL. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58 / LONG TERM...62




000
FXUS64 KLZK 311718 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1218 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

SOME RAIN...PATCHY FOG AND MAINLY OVERCAST SKY WILL CONTINUE FOR
SEVERAL SITES...WITH MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS SEEN. WHILE NOT
EVERY SITE WILL SEE CONTINUOUS RAIN...HAVE AT LEAST MENTIONED VCSH
IN ALL SITES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. UNDER ANY RAINFALL...EXPECT
THE POTENTIAL TO DROP TO MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS. CHANCES FOR
RAIN ACROSS THE NORTH WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRI
MORNING...BUT SOME SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHRA COULD STILL BE SEEN
ACROSS THE FAR SRN SITES INTO FRI. EVEN IN AREAS WITH NO
PERSISTENT RAIN OVERNIGHT...WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FOG DEVELOP.
WIDESPREAD IMPROVING CONDITIONS LIKELY TO HOLD OFF UNTIL SOMETIME
LATE ON FRI.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
TODAY...ENHANCING UPLIFT INTO THE REGION AND CONTINUING RAIN
CHANCES. THOUGH A FEW PLACES COULD SEE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...
THE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...SO HAVE CANCELLED
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

LATER TODAY...DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE SYSTEM...
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES GRADUALLY WINDING DOWN IN THE
NORTHWEST. AS THE SURFACE SYSTEM MOVES JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MODELS ARE SHOWING ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION FIRING UP...AND AS SUCH HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITY IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY UPPER
FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. RAIN CHANCES
WILL GRADUALLY WANE BY SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE GOING TO BE LARGELY DEPENDENT ON CLOUD
COVER AND RAINFALL. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS TO BE SAFE TO SAY THAT MOST
LOCATIONS WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE 70S...AND EVEN SOME AREAS IN THE
SOUTHWEST MAY STAY IN THE 60S. IF THIS IS INDEED THE CASE...THERE
COULD BE SOME RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURES SET...POSSIBLY TYING
OR EXCEEDING MONTHLY RECORDS SET EARLIER IN JULY.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEST AT THE BEGINNING OF
THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST. THE HIGH
WILL EXPAND EASTWARD MONDAY AND TUESDAY THEN RETROGRADE TO THE
WEST WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LOW DROPS INTO THE NORTHERN U.S.
WEDNESDAY.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH THE RIDGE OVER
THE STATE. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES TO MAINLY
NORTH ARKANSAS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     75  61  84  66 /  50  30  20  10
CAMDEN AR         71  63  81  66 /  90  50  30  10
HARRISON AR       74  59  83  63 /  50  20  20  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    71  61  80  67 /  70  30  20  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  74  62  82  67 /  70  30  20  10
MONTICELLO AR     73  62  80  66 /  80  50  30  20
MOUNT IDA AR      69  59  79  63 /  70  30  20  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  77  61  84  64 /  50  20  20  10
NEWPORT AR        75  62  86  64 /  50  30  20  10
PINE BLUFF AR     72  63  81  66 /  70  50  30  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   74  61  83  65 /  60  30  20  10
SEARCY AR         74  60  83  65 /  60  30  20  10
STUTTGART AR      72  63  80  66 /  60  40  30  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...62





000
FXUS64 KLZK 311146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
646 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.AVIATION...
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH IN THE
NORTH AND CENTRAL SECTIONS IN THE AFTERNOON. FOG WILL BE PRESENT
THIS MORNING AND FRIDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE RAIN WILL BE LIGHT
THOUGH IT WILL BE MODERATE AT TIMES. AFTER SOME IFR CONDITIONS
THIS MORNING...VFR AND MVFR WILL DOMINATE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
TODAY...ENHANCING UPLIFT INTO THE REGION AND CONTINUING RAIN
CHANCES. THOUGH A FEW PLACES COULD SEE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...
THE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...SO HAVE CANCELLED
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

LATER TODAY...DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE SYSTEM...
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES GRADUALLY WINDING DOWN IN THE
NORTHWEST. AS THE SURFACE SYSTEM MOVES JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MODELS ARE SHOWING ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION FIRING UP...AND AS SUCH HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITY IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY UPPER
FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. RAIN CHANCES
WILL GRADUALLY WANE BY SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE GOING TO BE LARGELY DEPENDENT ON CLOUD
COVER AND RAINFALL. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS TO BE SAFE TO SAY THAT MOST
LOCATIONS WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE 70S...AND EVEN SOME AREAS IN THE
SOUTHWEST MAY STAY IN THE 60S. IF THIS IS INDEED THE CASE...THERE
COULD BE SOME RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURES SET...POSSIBLY TYING
OR EXCEEDING MONTHLY RECORDS SET EARLIER IN JULY.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEST AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST. THE HIGH WILL
EXPAND EASTWARD MONDAY AND TUESDAY THEN RETROGRADE TO THE WEST
WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LOW DROPS INTO THE NORTHERN U.S. WEDNESDAY.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH THE RIDGE OVER
THE STATE. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES TO MAINLY
NORTH ARKANSAS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     75  61  84  66 /  70  30  20  10
CAMDEN AR         71  63  81  66 /  70  50  30  10
HARRISON AR       74  59  83  63 /  50  20  20  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    71  61  80  67 /  90  30  20  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  74  62  82  67 /  90  30  20  10
MONTICELLO AR     73  62  80  66 /  70  50  30  20
MOUNT IDA AR      69  59  79  63 /  90  30  20  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  77  61  84  64 /  60  20  20  10
NEWPORT AR        75  62  86  64 /  70  30  20  10
PINE BLUFF AR     72  63  81  66 /  80  50  30  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   74  61  83  65 /  80  30  20  10
SEARCY AR         74  60  83  65 /  90  30  20  10
STUTTGART AR      72  63  80  66 /  90  40  30  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






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