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000
FXZS60 NSTU 240049
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
149 PM SST THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW A LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. RAOB FROM THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A STABLE PROFILE. MODELS ARE NOW BRINGING
REMNANTS OF DEVELOPING TROUGH TO THE SOUTH OVER THE ISLANDS ON
FRIDAY NIGHT AND HOLD IT THROUGH SATURDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH MOVES
FARTHER EAST. THEREFORE...WILL AMEND THE PREVIOUS FCST TO REFLECT
THE CURRENT PREDICTIONS.

.LONG TERM...
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN
ELEVATE WINDS TO GENTLE EAST WINDS. A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP THE PREVIOUS
FCST WHILE WAITING FOR A FEW MORE MODEL RUNS.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT WILL PERSIST BEFORE SUBSIDING 4 TO 6 FT ON
SATURDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT COASTAL
WATERS AND SHORELINES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE

&&

$$

MALALA







000
FXZS60 NSTU 230107
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
207 PM SST WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW A
STATIONARY TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST. ANOTHER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS ON THURSDAY AND THUS
DIMINISHING GENTLE WINDS TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE. THE SECOND TROUGH
WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH WHILE MOVING EASTWARD. DRY SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE ISLANDS DURING THE REST OF THE SHORT
TERM. THEREFORE EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DIMINISHING EAST WINDS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE HINTING OF A STATIONARY
MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ISLANDS. WITH THIS IN PLACE...DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL ENHANCE DURING THE LONG TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT COASTAL WATERS AND
SHORELINES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE

&&

$$

MALALA







000
FXZS60 NSTU 230107
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
207 PM SST WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW A
STATIONARY TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST. ANOTHER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS ON THURSDAY AND THUS
DIMINISHING GENTLE WINDS TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE. THE SECOND TROUGH
WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH WHILE MOVING EASTWARD. DRY SUBSIDENCE
ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE ISLANDS DURING THE REST OF THE SHORT
TERM. THEREFORE EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DIMINISHING EAST WINDS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE HINTING OF A STATIONARY
MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ISLANDS. WITH THIS IN PLACE...DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL ENHANCE DURING THE LONG TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT COASTAL WATERS AND
SHORELINES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE

&&

$$

MALALA







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