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000
FXZS60 NSTU 010108
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
208 PM SST SAT APR 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW
CONVECTIONS MATERIALIZING OVER THE ISLANDS AND HAS PRODUCED HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. RAOB FROM THIS AFTERNOON
DEPICTS AN UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE FORECAST
AREA. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE TERRITORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG SOUTH
EAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO BREEZY AND GENTLE CONDITIONS ON MONDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL MOVE
SOUTH ON TUESDAY AND DIMINISH WINDS TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE ON
TUESDAY MORNING. CONVECTIONS WILL ALSO DESCEND SOUTH ON TUESDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE MOVING FARTHER SOUTH WILL AGAIN
GENERATE BREEZY TRADES ON SATURDAY. WILL WAIT FOR A FEW MORE RUNS
BEFORE INCLUDING THIS MOVEMENT IN THE LONG TERM. THEREFORE EXPECT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND VARIABLE WINDS DURING THE LONG TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
AUNUU BUOY DEPICTED SEAS OF 10 TO 13 FT IN THE LAST 6 HOURS.
MODELS SUGGEST THAT SEAS WILL PERSIST IN THESE HAZARDOUS HEIGHTS
BEFORE SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 9 FT ON SUNDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT

&&

$$

MALALA







000
FXZS60 NSTU 010108
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
208 PM SST SAT APR 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW
CONVECTIONS MATERIALIZING OVER THE ISLANDS AND HAS PRODUCED HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. RAOB FROM THIS AFTERNOON
DEPICTS AN UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE FORECAST
AREA. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE TERRITORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG SOUTH
EAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO BREEZY AND GENTLE CONDITIONS ON MONDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL MOVE
SOUTH ON TUESDAY AND DIMINISH WINDS TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE ON
TUESDAY MORNING. CONVECTIONS WILL ALSO DESCEND SOUTH ON TUESDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE MOVING FARTHER SOUTH WILL AGAIN
GENERATE BREEZY TRADES ON SATURDAY. WILL WAIT FOR A FEW MORE RUNS
BEFORE INCLUDING THIS MOVEMENT IN THE LONG TERM. THEREFORE EXPECT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND VARIABLE WINDS DURING THE LONG TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
AUNUU BUOY DEPICTED SEAS OF 10 TO 13 FT IN THE LAST 6 HOURS.
MODELS SUGGEST THAT SEAS WILL PERSIST IN THESE HAZARDOUS HEIGHTS
BEFORE SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 9 FT ON SUNDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT

&&

$$

MALALA







000
FXZS60 NSTU 300126
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
226 PM SST FRI APR 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE MANUA AND TO THE NORTH OF TUTUILA. RAOB FROM THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A STABLE PROFILE OVER THE ISLANDS. MODELS
SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE TROUGH TO THE NORTH WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE TERRITORY TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING ON
SATURDAY MORNING. A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL DEVELOP TO THE
SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE OVER THE
ISLANDS ON SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE FAR SOUTH
WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE EASTWARD SLOWLY. THEREFORE EXPECT BREEZY
EAST WINDS ACROSS THE TERRITORY TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING TO
STRONG CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
MATERIALIZE TO NUMEROUS CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BOMBARD
THE TERRITORY UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY AND DIMINISHES WINDS TO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS SUGGEST THAT MOST OF THE
CONVECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL BE DISPLAYED
TO THE SOUTH. THEREFORE EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO SUBSIDE TO
ISOLATED ON TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG TO BREEZY EAST WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT WILL BUILD 9 TO 12 FT ON SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS
SUGGEST THAT HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ON
THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY.

&&

$$

MALALA








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