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000
FXZS60 NSTU 280054
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
154 PM SST MON JUL 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RAOB FROM THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A STABLE PROFILE. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
SURFACE TROUGH TO THE NORTH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY. HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST. STRONG TRADES WILL PERSIST TONIGHT BEFORE SLIGHTLY
DROPPING TO BREEZY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS WILL
REMAIN AT A MINIMUM AMOUNT OR ISOLATED DURING THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST.

.LONG TERM...
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WILL ONCE AGAIN ELEVATE TRADES TO STRONG AND GUSTY
CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY NIGHT. THESE STRONG TRADES WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE NEW WEEK. MODELS
ARE NOW DELAYING THE ARRIVAL OF THE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE
ISLANDS TO SUNDAY. WILL KEEP SHOWERS AT A MINIMUM AMOUNT UNTIL A
FEW MORE MODEL RUNS AND INCREASE TRADES TO STRONG CONDITIONS
COMMENCING ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS OF 10 TO 13 FT WILL PERSIST TONIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING 7 TO 9
FT ON TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN
SEAS AT ROUGH LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE...HIGH SURFS
AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT

&&

$$

MALALA









000
FXZS60 NSTU 270114 AAA
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
214 PM SST SUN JUL 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW SCATTERED
LOW LEVEL CONVECTIONS MOVING ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RAOB FROM THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A CONDITIONAL UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH STRONG
WESTERLIES ALOFT. MODELS SUGGEST THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND TONIGHT BEFORE DECREASING TO ISOLATED ON
MONDAY MORNING. TRADES HAVE INCREASE 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS SINCE THE LAST 8 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE FAR SOUTHEAST
CONTINUES TO MIGRATE FARTHER EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE SHORT TERM.
THEREFORE EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT BECOMING ISOLATED BY
MONDAY MORNING AND STRONG TRADES DIMINISHING TO BREEZY CONDITIONS
ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SOME MODELS ARE BRINGING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHILE OTHERS ARE
STILL KEEPING ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM. HOWEVER
TOWARDS THE WEEKEND...MODELS TENDS TO AGREE ON DESCENDING AN
ACTIVE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON SATURDAY MORNING.
WILL KEEP THE PREVIOUS FCST WHILE WAITING FOR A FEW MORE MODEL
RUNS.

&&

.MARINE...
MODELS ARE NOT CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVED SEA HEIGHTS ACROSS THE
TERRITORY. STRONG TRADES HAVE ELEVATED ROUGH SEAS 12 TO 14 FT
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. WILL KEEP SEAS AT 12 TO 14 FT TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDE 9 TO 12 FT ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL FALL
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SET OF
SOUTHERN SWELLS WILL AGAIN BUILD SEAS TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT

&&

$$

MALALA








000
FXZS60 NSTU 270114 AAA
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
214 PM SST SUN JUL 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW SCATTERED
LOW LEVEL CONVECTIONS MOVING ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RAOB FROM THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A CONDITIONAL UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH STRONG
WESTERLIES ALOFT. MODELS SUGGEST THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND TONIGHT BEFORE DECREASING TO ISOLATED ON
MONDAY MORNING. TRADES HAVE INCREASE 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS SINCE THE LAST 8 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE FAR SOUTHEAST
CONTINUES TO MIGRATE FARTHER EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE SHORT TERM.
THEREFORE EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT BECOMING ISOLATED BY
MONDAY MORNING AND STRONG TRADES DIMINISHING TO BREEZY CONDITIONS
ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SOME MODELS ARE BRINGING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHILE OTHERS ARE
STILL KEEPING ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM. HOWEVER
TOWARDS THE WEEKEND...MODELS TENDS TO AGREE ON DESCENDING AN
ACTIVE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON SATURDAY MORNING.
WILL KEEP THE PREVIOUS FCST WHILE WAITING FOR A FEW MORE MODEL
RUNS.

&&

.MARINE...
MODELS ARE NOT CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVED SEA HEIGHTS ACROSS THE
TERRITORY. STRONG TRADES HAVE ELEVATED ROUGH SEAS 12 TO 14 FT
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. WILL KEEP SEAS AT 12 TO 14 FT TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDE 9 TO 12 FT ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL FALL
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SET OF
SOUTHERN SWELLS WILL AGAIN BUILD SEAS TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT

&&

$$

MALALA








000
FXZS60 NSTU 270058
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
158 PM SST SUN JUL 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW SCATTERED
LOW LEVEL CONVECTIONS MOVING ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RAOB FROM THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A CONDITIONAL UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH STRONG
WESTERLIES ALOFT. MODELS SUGGEST THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE ISLAND TONIGHT BEFORE DECREASING TO ISOLATED ON
MONDAY MORNING. TRADES HAVE INCREASE 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS SINCE THE LAST 8 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE FAR SOUTHEAST
CONTINUES TO MIGRATE FARTHER EASTWARD. A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE SHORT TERM.
THEREFORE EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT BECOMING ISOLATED BY
TUESDAY MORNING AND STRONG TRADES DIMINISHING TO BREEZY CONDITIONS
ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SOME MODELS ARE BRINGING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHILE OTHERS ARE
STILL KEEPING ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM. HOWEVER
TOWARDS THE WEEKEND...MODELS TENDS TO AGREE ON DESCENDING AN
ACTIVE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON SATURDAY MORNING.
WILL KEEP THE PREVIOUS FCST WHILE WAITING FOR A FEW MORE MODEL
RUNS.

&&

.MARINE...
MODELS ARE NOT CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVED SEA HEIGHTS ACROSS THE
TERRITORY. STRONG TRADES HAVE ELEVATED ROUGH SEAS 12 TO 14 FT
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. WILL KEEP SEAS AT 12 TO 14 FT TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDE 9 TO 12 FT ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL FALL
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SET OF
SOUTHERN SWELLS WILL AGAIN BUILD SEAS TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT

&&

$$

MALALA








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