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000
SRUS46 KMFR 060615
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.79 FT /      77 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.84 FT /      62 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.38 FT /    1618 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.61 FT /    1757 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.48 FT /     319 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.38 FT /     386 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.51 FT /    3042 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.14 FT /     477 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.10 FT /     367 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 3.99 FT /     822 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.37 FT /    1170 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /      60 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.76 FT /    1213 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.14 FT /    2114 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.41 FT /      62 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 4.88 FT /    3688 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 7.07 FT AT 09:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.11 FT /    1081 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.14 FT /     384 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 5.44 FT /    2723 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 2.97 FT /     133 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.




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000
SRUS46 KMFR 060049
RRMMFR

:SOUTHWESTERN OREGON & NORTHERN CALIFORNIA PRECIPITATION FOR JANUARY
.BR MFR 0231 A DH24/PPM : MM IS MONTH DD IS ALWAYS LAST DAY OF MONTH
: EG 0630 IS MMDD FOR JUN PRECIP
: M INDICATES MISSING DATA
:
: SOUTHWESTERN OREGON
:
ADEO3       0.58    : ADEL
ALKO3          M    : ALKALI LAKE
ASHO3       6.02    : ASHLAND
BDNO3       9.95    : BANDON 2NNE
BROO3       9.62    : BROOKINGS
BUNO3          M    : BUNCOM 1NNE
CYVO3       7.53    : CANYONVILLE
CVJO3      11.00    : CAVE JUNCTION
CHEO3       4.63    : CHEMULT
CHQO3          M    : CHILOQUIN 12NW
COQO3       8.45    : COQUILLE CITY
CRLO3       9.78    : CRATER LAKE NP
DRNO3       6.82    : DRAIN
ELTO3       8.82    : ELKTON
FVWO3      10.39    : FAIRVIEW 4NE
GDNO3          M    : GARDINER
GLYO3       4.31    : GLIDE
GLBO3       7.93    : GOLD BEACH RS
GPSO3       5.82    : GRANTS PASS KAJO
GSPO3       7.27    : GREEN SPRINGS PP
HMRO3       1.00    : HART MTN REF
HOWO3       5.77    : HOWARD PRAIRIE
KENO3       3.25    : KENO
KLFO3       2.32    : KLAMATH FALLS 1NW
LMT         1.77    : KLAMATH FALLS APT
LNGO3          M    : LANGLOIS
LEMO3       6.32    : LEMOLO LAKE
LOOO3       5.99    : LOOKINGGLASS
LOSO3       4.40    : LOST CREEK DAM
MFR         3.20    : MEDFORD APT
MYCO3       4.74    : MYRTLE CREEK
OTH         8.32    : NORTH BEND APT
OKDO3          M    : OAKLAND
OLEO3       4.97    : ODELL LAKE-EAST
PASO3          M    : PAISLEY
ORFO3          M    : PORT ORFORD #2
PTOO3      14.42    : PORT ORFORD 5E
PRWO3       7.29    : POWERS
PRSO3          M    : PROSPECT 2SW
RIDO3       6.83    : RIDDLE
ROGO3       4.77    : ROSEBURG KQEN
RBG         4.80    : ROSEBURG APT
RUCO3       5.65    : RUCH
SXT         8.98    : SEXTON SUMMIT ASOS
SVLO3       0.88    : SILVER LAKE
RBGO3          M    : SOUTH DEER CREEK
SMMO3       1.09    : SUMMER LAKE 1S
SRLO3       4.96    : SUTHERLIN 2W
POPO3       0.44    : THE POPLARS
TKFO3       5.97    : TOKETEE FALLS
UPPO3       4.25    : UPPER OLLALA 1N
WLMO3          M    : WILLIAMS 1NW
WINO3       4.93    : WINCHESTER DAM
:
: NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
:
ADNC1       1.58    : ADIN
ALTC1          M    : ALTURAS
AAT         1.02    : ALTURAS APT
CHNC1          M    : CALLAHAN
COPC1       3.56    : COPCO #1 DAM
CEC         7.93    : CRESCENT CITY
DUNC1          M    : DUNSMUIR
FOJC1       5.68    : FORT JONES
HPYC1      10.01    : HAPPY CAMP
JESC1       1.67    : JESS VALLEY
STGC1       1.56    : LAVA BEDS NM
MCLC1       9.91    : MCCLOUD
MTHC1       0.45    : MT. HEBRON RS
OACC1       6.58    : OAK KNOLL
TULC1       1.34    : TULELAKE
YKAC1       4.68    : YREKA

.END




000
SRUS46 KMFR 060049
RRMMFR

:SOUTHWESTERN OREGON & NORTHERN CALIFORNIA PRECIPITATION FOR JANUARY
.BR MFR 0231 A DH24/PPM : MM IS MONTH DD IS ALWAYS LAST DAY OF MONTH
: EG 0630 IS MMDD FOR JUN PRECIP
: M INDICATES MISSING DATA
:
: SOUTHWESTERN OREGON
:
ADEO3       0.58    : ADEL
ALKO3          M    : ALKALI LAKE
ASHO3       6.02    : ASHLAND
BDNO3       9.95    : BANDON 2NNE
BROO3       9.62    : BROOKINGS
BUNO3          M    : BUNCOM 1NNE
CYVO3       7.53    : CANYONVILLE
CVJO3      11.00    : CAVE JUNCTION
CHEO3       4.63    : CHEMULT
CHQO3          M    : CHILOQUIN 12NW
COQO3       8.45    : COQUILLE CITY
CRLO3       9.78    : CRATER LAKE NP
DRNO3       6.82    : DRAIN
ELTO3       8.82    : ELKTON
FVWO3      10.39    : FAIRVIEW 4NE
GDNO3          M    : GARDINER
GLYO3       4.31    : GLIDE
GLBO3       7.93    : GOLD BEACH RS
GPSO3       5.82    : GRANTS PASS KAJO
GSPO3       7.27    : GREEN SPRINGS PP
HMRO3       1.00    : HART MTN REF
HOWO3       5.77    : HOWARD PRAIRIE
KENO3       3.25    : KENO
KLFO3       2.32    : KLAMATH FALLS 1NW
LMT         1.77    : KLAMATH FALLS APT
LNGO3          M    : LANGLOIS
LEMO3       6.32    : LEMOLO LAKE
LOOO3       5.99    : LOOKINGGLASS
LOSO3       4.40    : LOST CREEK DAM
MFR         3.20    : MEDFORD APT
MYCO3       4.74    : MYRTLE CREEK
OTH         8.32    : NORTH BEND APT
OKDO3          M    : OAKLAND
OLEO3       4.97    : ODELL LAKE-EAST
PASO3          M    : PAISLEY
ORFO3          M    : PORT ORFORD #2
PTOO3      14.42    : PORT ORFORD 5E
PRWO3       7.29    : POWERS
PRSO3          M    : PROSPECT 2SW
RIDO3       6.83    : RIDDLE
ROGO3       4.77    : ROSEBURG KQEN
RBG         4.80    : ROSEBURG APT
RUCO3       5.65    : RUCH
SXT         8.98    : SEXTON SUMMIT ASOS
SVLO3       0.88    : SILVER LAKE
RBGO3          M    : SOUTH DEER CREEK
SMMO3       1.09    : SUMMER LAKE 1S
SRLO3       4.96    : SUTHERLIN 2W
POPO3       0.44    : THE POPLARS
TKFO3       5.97    : TOKETEE FALLS
UPPO3       4.25    : UPPER OLLALA 1N
WLMO3          M    : WILLIAMS 1NW
WINO3       4.93    : WINCHESTER DAM
:
: NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
:
ADNC1       1.58    : ADIN
ALTC1          M    : ALTURAS
AAT         1.02    : ALTURAS APT
CHNC1          M    : CALLAHAN
COPC1       3.56    : COPCO #1 DAM
CEC         7.93    : CRESCENT CITY
DUNC1          M    : DUNSMUIR
FOJC1       5.68    : FORT JONES
HPYC1      10.01    : HAPPY CAMP
JESC1       1.67    : JESS VALLEY
STGC1       1.56    : LAVA BEDS NM
MCLC1       9.91    : MCCLOUD
MTHC1       0.45    : MT. HEBRON RS
OACC1       6.58    : OAK KNOLL
TULC1       1.34    : TULELAKE
YKAC1       4.68    : YREKA

.END




000
SRUS46 KMFR 060015
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.81 FT /      79 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.85 FT /      64 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.40 FT /    1639 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 9.04 FT /   17443 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.49 FT /     323 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.38 FT /     386 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.53 FT /    3074 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.16 FT /     486 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.10 FT /     367 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.00 FT /     827 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.40 FT /    1194 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /      60 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.73 FT /    1180 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.18 FT /    2169 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.42 FT /      63 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 4.92 FT /    3751 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 10.39 FT AT 03:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.31 FT /    1137 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.25 FT /     402 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.89 FT /    3389 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 060015
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.81 FT /      79 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.85 FT /      64 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.40 FT /    1639 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 9.04 FT /   17443 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.49 FT /     323 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.38 FT /     386 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.53 FT /    3074 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.16 FT /     486 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.10 FT /     367 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.00 FT /     827 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.40 FT /    1194 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /      60 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.73 FT /    1180 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.18 FT /    2169 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.42 FT /      63 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 4.92 FT /    3751 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 10.39 FT AT 03:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.31 FT /    1137 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.25 FT /     402 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.89 FT /    3389 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.




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000
FGUS75 KREV 052332
ESFREV

ESFREV
NVZ001>041-CAZ070>073-CAZ519>527-120000-

WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
330 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 5 2015...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW AVERAGE
THIS SPRING...

...WELL BELOW AVERAGE STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS SPRING AND
SUMMER...

ISSUED JOINTLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE...

1/SUMMARY...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN ALL BASINS IN NEVADA AND THE
WATERSHEDS EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST IN EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW
AVERAGE.

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THESE INCLUDE
SNOWPACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND RESERVOIR STORAGE...ALONG WITH AIR
TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL DURING THE SNOW MELT PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA SINCE OCTOBER 2014. THE ONLY AREAS THAT HAVE
SEEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THAT TIME ARE LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA...SOUTHERN INYO COUNTY
AND NORTHERN AND FAR EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN EASTERN
CALIFORNIA.

RAINS IN DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY BOOSTED SOIL MOISTURE AND INCREASED
RESERVOIR STORAGE SLIGHTLY ACROSS EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA...BUT THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT THESE RAINS WERE VERY WARM AND
ADDED LITTLE TO THE OVERALL SNOWPACK...WHICH REMAINS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

THE BEST SNOWPACK IS LOCATED IN FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA IN THE UPPER
HUMBOLDT...SNAKE RIVER AND CLOVER VALLEY BASINS. EVEN THOUGH
RESERVOIR STORAGE INCREASED IN EARLY FEBRUARY...MOST REMAIN WELL
BELOW AVERAGE.

SO...UNLESS THERE IS A DRASTIC CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR. AS THE WET SEASON CAN
EXTEND INTO MID APRIL...AND EVEN LATER IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...
CHANGE IS STILL POSSIBLE...THOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

2/SUMMARY...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...
THROUGH EARLY MARCH...NORTHWEST NEVADA HAD REAPED THE BENEFITS OF
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE START OF
OCTOBER. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE EASTERN SIERRA NEVADA IN
CALIFORNIA...FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
NEVADA WERE MISSED BY THE PRECIPITATION THAT BOOSTED THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. EVEN WITH INCREASED PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS
OF THE REGION...THE PRECEDING THREE AND A HALF YEARS HAVE LEFT
RAINFALL DEFICITS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IN SOME PARTS OF WESTERN
NEVADA AND THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OVER A YEAR OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN MISSED IN THE LAST THREE AND A HALF YEARS.

A STORM IN MID DECEMBER DID BRING AN INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS DID LITTLE TO BOOST THE
MIDDLE AND LOW ELEVATION SNOW PACK.

THEN THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION AND HAD LONG STRETCHES OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION OF NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD
TEMPERATURES WORKED TO DRASTICALLY DECREASE THE SNOW PACK IN WESTERN
NEVADA WHILE EASTERN NEVADA SAW DECREASES AS WELL...JUST NOT AS
SEVERE. THE DECREASED PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES ALSO
HELPED TO INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA.

A SERIES OF WET...WARM STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA IN THE FIRST HALF OF FEBRUARY. THESE STORMS BOOSTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS ONCE AGAIN
LIMITED INCREASES TO THE SNOWPACK. THE WARM...WET NATURE OF THESE
STORMS DID PRODUCE RUN OFF AND INCREASED STORAGE ON AREA RESERVOIRS.
A COLDER STORM IN LATE FEBRUARY BROUGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEVADA AND
THE SIERRA ALONG WITH SNOW AND RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEVADA...TEMPORARILY
INCREASING THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE BENEFITS OF THIS STORM
LARGELY BYPASSED EASTERN NEVADA.

ONE BRIGHT SPOT...THESE STORMS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN SOIL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE TRUCKEE RIVER
BASIN RECORDED ITS HIGHEST MARCH 1ST SOIL MOISTURE BASED ON TEN
YEARS OF DATA. SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT EASTERN NEVADA.

AS OF EARLY MARCH...STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
BELOW AVERAGE FOR EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA THIS SPRING AND SUMMER UNLESS SNOWPACK CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. IN NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.

THE NEXT FOUR TO SIX WEEKS WILL BE CRITICAL FOR SNOWPACK INTO THE
EARLY SPRING...AND WHAT THE SPRING AND SUMMER STREAMFLOWS WILL
BE. JUST A FEW WET STORMS WITH LOW SNOW LEVELS WOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS.

3/SNOWPACK...
SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE SIERRA NEVADA REMAINED WELL BELOW
AVERAGE. LAKE TAHOE`S SNOWPACK SAT AT 23 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SNOWPACK
IN THE SIERRA IS VYING WITH 1991 AS THE LOWEST ON RECORD SINCE
SNOTEL SITES WERE INSTALLED IN THE EARLY 1980S. TWENTY-TWO MEASURING
SITES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST OR SECOND LOWEST READINGS FOR THEIR PERIOD
OF RECORD. THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA IS ALSO
BELOW NORMAL. THE CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REPORTED
THE BEST SNOWPACK AT 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

BASINS IN THE NORTHEAST AND FAR EASTERN PART OF THE NEVADA RECORDED
THE STEEPEST DECLINES WITH RESPECT TO AVERAGE THROUGH THE MONTH. THE
OWYHEE BASIN HAD THE STEEPEST DECLINE AT 36 PERCENT. EASTERN NEVADA
SAW A DECREASE OF 28 PERCENT WHILE THE UPPER HUMBOLDT FELL 24
PERCENT AND THE SNAKE BASIN FELL 23 PERCENT.

                                 MAR 1 2015
BASIN               PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................  23
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  28
CARSON RIVER ......................  36
WALKER RIVER ......................  39
NORTHERN GREAT ....................  34
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  24
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  29
CLOVER VALLEY & FRANKLIN RIVER ....  77
SNAKE RIVER .......................  74
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  47
EASTERN NEVADA ....................  40
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  NA

4/PRECIPITATION...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EARLY FEBRUARY BOOSTED AVERAGES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA OF CALIFORNIA...BUT
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA MISSED THE BULK OF THIS
PRECIPITATION AND THEIR BASIN AVERAGES FELL THROUGH THE MONTH.

THE WET FEBRUARY HAS PUSHED THE WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION...SINCE THE
START OF OCTOBER...IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA TO ABOVE
50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...BUT THE TOTALS STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FELL DURING THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY ALONG WITH ALL OF THE BASINS IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF NEVADA. THE CLOVER VALLEY
AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REMAINS THE HIGHEST AT 90 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE WHILE THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...SNAKE BASIN AND OWYHEE
BASIN ALL REMAINED GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

                                                  WATER YEAR 2015
                                    FEB 2015    /THROUGH 3/1/2015/
BASIN                              PCT OF AVE        PCT OF AVE
LAKE TAHOE .........................  105  ...........   60
TRUCKEE RIVER ......................   89  ...........   61
CARSON RIVER .......................   93  ...........   53
WALKER RIVER .......................   89  ...........   52
NORTHERN GREAT .....................   56  ...........   87
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   43  ...........   74
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   47  ...........   79
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ...   71  ...........   90
SNAKE RIVER ........................   54  ...........   83
OWYHEE RIVER .......................   49  ...........   86
EASTERN NEVADA .....................   27  ...........   57
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ...............   NA  ...........   NA

5/RESERVOIRS...
WHILE RUN OFF FROM EARLY FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN INCREASES
IN STORAGE THROUGHOUT MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA...STORAGE IN MOST RESERVOIRS REMAINED WELL BELOW AVERAGE.
IN EARLY MARCH RESERVOIR STORAGE IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA VARIED FROM A HIGH OF 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON THE
TRUCKEE RIVER BASIN TO A LOW OF 0 PERCENT OF AVERAGE IN THE LAKE
TAHOE BASIN. THIS 0 PERCENT AT LAKE TAHOE IS DUE TO THE LAKE`S
FALLING BELOW ITS NATURAL RIM IN LATE FALL. THE LEVEL OF LAKE TAHOE
ON MARCH 1ST WAS 6222.85 FEET...WHICH EQUATES TO A STORAGE DEFICIT
OF 18,190 ACRE-FEET AS NO WATER CAN FLOW OUT OF THE LAKE BELOW ITS
NATURAL RIM OF 6223.0 FEET. IN SOUTHERN NEVADA THE LOWER COLORADO
BASIN HAD A STORAGE OF 56 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BASIN                        PERCENT OF CAPACITY   PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................   0 ................   0
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  29 ................  49
CARSON RIVER ......................  14 ................  25
WALKER RIVER ......................  16 ................  31
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............   5 ................  13
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  19 ................  39
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  44 ................  56

6/STREAMFLOW...
APRIL THROUGH JULY STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 1ST ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH BELOW
AVERAGE. FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IF A TYPICAL PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
EXPERIENCED THROUGH EARLY SPRING. FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA STREAMFLOWS ON
THE VIRGIN RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. ALL
LOCATIONS SAW DROPS IN STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO
MARCH 1ST.

MARCH 1ST STREAMFLOW FORECASTS WERE HIGHEST ON THE SNAKE RIVER AT 66
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND LOWEST IN EASTERN NEVADA AT 15 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE ON STEPTOE CREEK NEAR ELY. THE CARSON RIVER AT CARSON CITY
AND HUMBOLDT RIVER AT IMLAY ARE BOTH FORECAST TO BE 16 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE VIRGIN RIVER AT LITTLEFIELD IN THE LOWER COLORADO BASIN
IS FORECAST TO BE 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BELOW ARE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED RIVER POINTS ACROSS NEVADA AND
EASTERN CALIFORNIA. SOME CONTAIN BOTH THE NRCS FORECAST AND NWS
FORECAST PROVIDED BY THE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION SYSTEM AT
THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THE FORECASTS MAY
DIFFER SLIGHTLY BASED ON FORECAST METHODOLOGY.

                      PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL TO JULY STREAMFLOW
                        MOST PROBABLE FORECAST AS OF MAR 1 2015
                          (50 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDANCE)
BASIN                                 NRCS    NWS
LAKE TAHOE RISE ...................... 31 ...  5  .. 0.4 FOOT RISE (NRCS)
TRUCKEE RIVER ........................ 37 ... 40  .. FARAD
CARSON RIVER ......................... 16 ... 19  .. CARSON CITY
WEST WALKER RIVER .................... 38 ... 44
EAST WALKER RIVER .................... 27 ... 25
NORTHERN GREAT ....................... 26 ... NA  .. MCDERMITT
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 36 ... 46  .. PALISADE
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 16 ... 24  .. IMLAY
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ..... 38 ... NA
SNAKE RIVER .......................... 66 ... 61@
OWYHEE RIVER ......................... 27 ... 33@
EASTERN NEVADA ....................... 15 ... NA  .. ELY
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ................. 34 ... 29* .. LITTLEFIELD
SUSAN RIVER........................... NA ... 21  .. SUSANVILLE
MIDDLE FORK FEATHER RIVER............. NA ...  1  .. PORTOLA

NA - FORECAST EITHER NOT PROVIDED OR NOT PRODUCED FOR THIS LOCATION
*  - VIRGIN RIVER NWS FORECAST PROVIDED BY CBRFC IN SALT LAKE CITY
@  - SNAKE AND OWYHEE RIVER NWS FORECASTS PRODUCED BY NWRFC IN
     PORTLAND

7/ DROUGHT STATUS...
AS OF MARCH 3 2015...THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIED
MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA...INCLUDING CHURCHILL...PERSHING...STOREY...
CARSON CITY...DOUGLAS...MINERAL...WESTERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN WASHOE
COUNTIES IN NEVADA AS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT /LEVEL 4 OF 4 LEVELS OF
DROUGHT/. IN CALIFORNIA...MUCH OF LASSEN...PARTS OF PLUMAS...
SIERRA...NEVADA...PLACER...EL DORADO COUNTIES...ALL OF ALPINE AND
MONO COUNTIES AND A SMALL PART OF NORTHERN INYO COUNTY WERE
CLASSIFIED IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA WAS CLASSIFIED AS IN EXTREME DROUGHT
/LEVEL 3 OF 4 LEVELS OF DROUGHT/. IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...
PARTS OF ELKO...EUREKA AND NYE COUNTIES WERE CLASSIFIED AS HAVING
EXTREME DROUGHT WHILE THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
WAS CLASSIFIED AS HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT. FAR SOUTHEAST
INYO COUNTY AND MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WERE ALSO NOTED AS
HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT AREAS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER WHICH WERE CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY.

POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA
INCLUDE...

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS COMING SUMMER...AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND FUELS
DRY.

POSSIBLE WATER SUPPLY DEFICITS...RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS LOW AND
WATER SUPPLY COULD BECOME AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS SPRING
AND SUMMER IF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLY CONCERNS WOULD BE HIGHEST ON BASINS WITHOUT
RESERVOIR STORAGE.

8/ LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION HAS EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS FORECAST TO
HAVE EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR...ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION.

9/ FOR MORE DETAILED WATER SUPPLY AND STREAMFLOW FORECAST
INFORMATION FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA...PLEASE REFER TO THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITES /NOTE...ALL LETTERS IN WEB SITE ADDRESSES ARE
LOWER CASE/...

NWS CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_SUPPLY.PHP

NEVADA NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NV.NRCS.USDA.GOV/SNOW/

CALIFORNIA DEPT. OF WATER RESOURCES...
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/

NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG RANGE OUTLOOK MAPS...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...INCLUDING U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://DROUGHT.GOV/








000
FGUS75 KREV 052332
ESFREV

ESFREV
NVZ001>041-CAZ070>073-CAZ519>527-120000-

WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
330 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 5 2015...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW AVERAGE
THIS SPRING...

...WELL BELOW AVERAGE STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS SPRING AND
SUMMER...

ISSUED JOINTLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE...

1/SUMMARY...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN ALL BASINS IN NEVADA AND THE
WATERSHEDS EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST IN EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW
AVERAGE.

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THESE INCLUDE
SNOWPACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND RESERVOIR STORAGE...ALONG WITH AIR
TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL DURING THE SNOW MELT PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA SINCE OCTOBER 2014. THE ONLY AREAS THAT HAVE
SEEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THAT TIME ARE LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA...SOUTHERN INYO COUNTY
AND NORTHERN AND FAR EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN EASTERN
CALIFORNIA.

RAINS IN DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY BOOSTED SOIL MOISTURE AND INCREASED
RESERVOIR STORAGE SLIGHTLY ACROSS EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA...BUT THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT THESE RAINS WERE VERY WARM AND
ADDED LITTLE TO THE OVERALL SNOWPACK...WHICH REMAINS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

THE BEST SNOWPACK IS LOCATED IN FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA IN THE UPPER
HUMBOLDT...SNAKE RIVER AND CLOVER VALLEY BASINS. EVEN THOUGH
RESERVOIR STORAGE INCREASED IN EARLY FEBRUARY...MOST REMAIN WELL
BELOW AVERAGE.

SO...UNLESS THERE IS A DRASTIC CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR. AS THE WET SEASON CAN
EXTEND INTO MID APRIL...AND EVEN LATER IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...
CHANGE IS STILL POSSIBLE...THOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

2/SUMMARY...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...
THROUGH EARLY MARCH...NORTHWEST NEVADA HAD REAPED THE BENEFITS OF
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE START OF
OCTOBER. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE EASTERN SIERRA NEVADA IN
CALIFORNIA...FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
NEVADA WERE MISSED BY THE PRECIPITATION THAT BOOSTED THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. EVEN WITH INCREASED PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS
OF THE REGION...THE PRECEDING THREE AND A HALF YEARS HAVE LEFT
RAINFALL DEFICITS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IN SOME PARTS OF WESTERN
NEVADA AND THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OVER A YEAR OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN MISSED IN THE LAST THREE AND A HALF YEARS.

A STORM IN MID DECEMBER DID BRING AN INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS DID LITTLE TO BOOST THE
MIDDLE AND LOW ELEVATION SNOW PACK.

THEN THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION AND HAD LONG STRETCHES OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION OF NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD
TEMPERATURES WORKED TO DRASTICALLY DECREASE THE SNOW PACK IN WESTERN
NEVADA WHILE EASTERN NEVADA SAW DECREASES AS WELL...JUST NOT AS
SEVERE. THE DECREASED PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES ALSO
HELPED TO INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA.

A SERIES OF WET...WARM STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA IN THE FIRST HALF OF FEBRUARY. THESE STORMS BOOSTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS ONCE AGAIN
LIMITED INCREASES TO THE SNOWPACK. THE WARM...WET NATURE OF THESE
STORMS DID PRODUCE RUN OFF AND INCREASED STORAGE ON AREA RESERVOIRS.
A COLDER STORM IN LATE FEBRUARY BROUGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEVADA AND
THE SIERRA ALONG WITH SNOW AND RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEVADA...TEMPORARILY
INCREASING THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE BENEFITS OF THIS STORM
LARGELY BYPASSED EASTERN NEVADA.

ONE BRIGHT SPOT...THESE STORMS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN SOIL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE TRUCKEE RIVER
BASIN RECORDED ITS HIGHEST MARCH 1ST SOIL MOISTURE BASED ON TEN
YEARS OF DATA. SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT EASTERN NEVADA.

AS OF EARLY MARCH...STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
BELOW AVERAGE FOR EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA THIS SPRING AND SUMMER UNLESS SNOWPACK CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. IN NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.

THE NEXT FOUR TO SIX WEEKS WILL BE CRITICAL FOR SNOWPACK INTO THE
EARLY SPRING...AND WHAT THE SPRING AND SUMMER STREAMFLOWS WILL
BE. JUST A FEW WET STORMS WITH LOW SNOW LEVELS WOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS.

3/SNOWPACK...
SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE SIERRA NEVADA REMAINED WELL BELOW
AVERAGE. LAKE TAHOE`S SNOWPACK SAT AT 23 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SNOWPACK
IN THE SIERRA IS VYING WITH 1991 AS THE LOWEST ON RECORD SINCE
SNOTEL SITES WERE INSTALLED IN THE EARLY 1980S. TWENTY-TWO MEASURING
SITES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST OR SECOND LOWEST READINGS FOR THEIR PERIOD
OF RECORD. THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA IS ALSO
BELOW NORMAL. THE CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REPORTED
THE BEST SNOWPACK AT 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

BASINS IN THE NORTHEAST AND FAR EASTERN PART OF THE NEVADA RECORDED
THE STEEPEST DECLINES WITH RESPECT TO AVERAGE THROUGH THE MONTH. THE
OWYHEE BASIN HAD THE STEEPEST DECLINE AT 36 PERCENT. EASTERN NEVADA
SAW A DECREASE OF 28 PERCENT WHILE THE UPPER HUMBOLDT FELL 24
PERCENT AND THE SNAKE BASIN FELL 23 PERCENT.

                                 MAR 1 2015
BASIN               PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................  23
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  28
CARSON RIVER ......................  36
WALKER RIVER ......................  39
NORTHERN GREAT ....................  34
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  24
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  29
CLOVER VALLEY & FRANKLIN RIVER ....  77
SNAKE RIVER .......................  74
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  47
EASTERN NEVADA ....................  40
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  NA

4/PRECIPITATION...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EARLY FEBRUARY BOOSTED AVERAGES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA OF CALIFORNIA...BUT
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA MISSED THE BULK OF THIS
PRECIPITATION AND THEIR BASIN AVERAGES FELL THROUGH THE MONTH.

THE WET FEBRUARY HAS PUSHED THE WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION...SINCE THE
START OF OCTOBER...IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA TO ABOVE
50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...BUT THE TOTALS STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FELL DURING THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY ALONG WITH ALL OF THE BASINS IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF NEVADA. THE CLOVER VALLEY
AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REMAINS THE HIGHEST AT 90 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE WHILE THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...SNAKE BASIN AND OWYHEE
BASIN ALL REMAINED GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

                                                  WATER YEAR 2015
                                    FEB 2015    /THROUGH 3/1/2015/
BASIN                              PCT OF AVE        PCT OF AVE
LAKE TAHOE .........................  105  ...........   60
TRUCKEE RIVER ......................   89  ...........   61
CARSON RIVER .......................   93  ...........   53
WALKER RIVER .......................   89  ...........   52
NORTHERN GREAT .....................   56  ...........   87
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   43  ...........   74
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   47  ...........   79
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ...   71  ...........   90
SNAKE RIVER ........................   54  ...........   83
OWYHEE RIVER .......................   49  ...........   86
EASTERN NEVADA .....................   27  ...........   57
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ...............   NA  ...........   NA

5/RESERVOIRS...
WHILE RUN OFF FROM EARLY FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN INCREASES
IN STORAGE THROUGHOUT MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA...STORAGE IN MOST RESERVOIRS REMAINED WELL BELOW AVERAGE.
IN EARLY MARCH RESERVOIR STORAGE IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA VARIED FROM A HIGH OF 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON THE
TRUCKEE RIVER BASIN TO A LOW OF 0 PERCENT OF AVERAGE IN THE LAKE
TAHOE BASIN. THIS 0 PERCENT AT LAKE TAHOE IS DUE TO THE LAKE`S
FALLING BELOW ITS NATURAL RIM IN LATE FALL. THE LEVEL OF LAKE TAHOE
ON MARCH 1ST WAS 6222.85 FEET...WHICH EQUATES TO A STORAGE DEFICIT
OF 18,190 ACRE-FEET AS NO WATER CAN FLOW OUT OF THE LAKE BELOW ITS
NATURAL RIM OF 6223.0 FEET. IN SOUTHERN NEVADA THE LOWER COLORADO
BASIN HAD A STORAGE OF 56 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BASIN                        PERCENT OF CAPACITY   PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................   0 ................   0
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  29 ................  49
CARSON RIVER ......................  14 ................  25
WALKER RIVER ......................  16 ................  31
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............   5 ................  13
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  19 ................  39
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  44 ................  56

6/STREAMFLOW...
APRIL THROUGH JULY STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 1ST ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH BELOW
AVERAGE. FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IF A TYPICAL PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
EXPERIENCED THROUGH EARLY SPRING. FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA STREAMFLOWS ON
THE VIRGIN RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. ALL
LOCATIONS SAW DROPS IN STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO
MARCH 1ST.

MARCH 1ST STREAMFLOW FORECASTS WERE HIGHEST ON THE SNAKE RIVER AT 66
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND LOWEST IN EASTERN NEVADA AT 15 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE ON STEPTOE CREEK NEAR ELY. THE CARSON RIVER AT CARSON CITY
AND HUMBOLDT RIVER AT IMLAY ARE BOTH FORECAST TO BE 16 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE VIRGIN RIVER AT LITTLEFIELD IN THE LOWER COLORADO BASIN
IS FORECAST TO BE 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BELOW ARE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED RIVER POINTS ACROSS NEVADA AND
EASTERN CALIFORNIA. SOME CONTAIN BOTH THE NRCS FORECAST AND NWS
FORECAST PROVIDED BY THE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION SYSTEM AT
THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THE FORECASTS MAY
DIFFER SLIGHTLY BASED ON FORECAST METHODOLOGY.

                      PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL TO JULY STREAMFLOW
                        MOST PROBABLE FORECAST AS OF MAR 1 2015
                          (50 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDANCE)
BASIN                                 NRCS    NWS
LAKE TAHOE RISE ...................... 31 ...  5  .. 0.4 FOOT RISE (NRCS)
TRUCKEE RIVER ........................ 37 ... 40  .. FARAD
CARSON RIVER ......................... 16 ... 19  .. CARSON CITY
WEST WALKER RIVER .................... 38 ... 44
EAST WALKER RIVER .................... 27 ... 25
NORTHERN GREAT ....................... 26 ... NA  .. MCDERMITT
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 36 ... 46  .. PALISADE
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 16 ... 24  .. IMLAY
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ..... 38 ... NA
SNAKE RIVER .......................... 66 ... 61@
OWYHEE RIVER ......................... 27 ... 33@
EASTERN NEVADA ....................... 15 ... NA  .. ELY
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ................. 34 ... 29* .. LITTLEFIELD
SUSAN RIVER........................... NA ... 21  .. SUSANVILLE
MIDDLE FORK FEATHER RIVER............. NA ...  1  .. PORTOLA

NA - FORECAST EITHER NOT PROVIDED OR NOT PRODUCED FOR THIS LOCATION
*  - VIRGIN RIVER NWS FORECAST PROVIDED BY CBRFC IN SALT LAKE CITY
@  - SNAKE AND OWYHEE RIVER NWS FORECASTS PRODUCED BY NWRFC IN
     PORTLAND

7/ DROUGHT STATUS...
AS OF MARCH 3 2015...THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIED
MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA...INCLUDING CHURCHILL...PERSHING...STOREY...
CARSON CITY...DOUGLAS...MINERAL...WESTERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN WASHOE
COUNTIES IN NEVADA AS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT /LEVEL 4 OF 4 LEVELS OF
DROUGHT/. IN CALIFORNIA...MUCH OF LASSEN...PARTS OF PLUMAS...
SIERRA...NEVADA...PLACER...EL DORADO COUNTIES...ALL OF ALPINE AND
MONO COUNTIES AND A SMALL PART OF NORTHERN INYO COUNTY WERE
CLASSIFIED IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA WAS CLASSIFIED AS IN EXTREME DROUGHT
/LEVEL 3 OF 4 LEVELS OF DROUGHT/. IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...
PARTS OF ELKO...EUREKA AND NYE COUNTIES WERE CLASSIFIED AS HAVING
EXTREME DROUGHT WHILE THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
WAS CLASSIFIED AS HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT. FAR SOUTHEAST
INYO COUNTY AND MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WERE ALSO NOTED AS
HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT AREAS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER WHICH WERE CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY.

POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA
INCLUDE...

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS COMING SUMMER...AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND FUELS
DRY.

POSSIBLE WATER SUPPLY DEFICITS...RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS LOW AND
WATER SUPPLY COULD BECOME AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS SPRING
AND SUMMER IF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLY CONCERNS WOULD BE HIGHEST ON BASINS WITHOUT
RESERVOIR STORAGE.

8/ LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION HAS EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS FORECAST TO
HAVE EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR...ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION.

9/ FOR MORE DETAILED WATER SUPPLY AND STREAMFLOW FORECAST
INFORMATION FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA...PLEASE REFER TO THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITES /NOTE...ALL LETTERS IN WEB SITE ADDRESSES ARE
LOWER CASE/...

NWS CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_SUPPLY.PHP

NEVADA NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NV.NRCS.USDA.GOV/SNOW/

CALIFORNIA DEPT. OF WATER RESOURCES...
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/

NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG RANGE OUTLOOK MAPS...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...INCLUDING U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://DROUGHT.GOV/

NNNN






000
FGUS75 KREV 052332
ESFREV

ESFREV
NVZ001>041-CAZ070>073-CAZ519>527-120000-

WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
330 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 5 2015...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW AVERAGE
THIS SPRING...

...WELL BELOW AVERAGE STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS SPRING AND
SUMMER...

ISSUED JOINTLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE...

1/SUMMARY...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN ALL BASINS IN NEVADA AND THE
WATERSHEDS EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST IN EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW
AVERAGE.

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THESE INCLUDE
SNOWPACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND RESERVOIR STORAGE...ALONG WITH AIR
TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL DURING THE SNOW MELT PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA SINCE OCTOBER 2014. THE ONLY AREAS THAT HAVE
SEEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THAT TIME ARE LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA...SOUTHERN INYO COUNTY
AND NORTHERN AND FAR EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN EASTERN
CALIFORNIA.

RAINS IN DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY BOOSTED SOIL MOISTURE AND INCREASED
RESERVOIR STORAGE SLIGHTLY ACROSS EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA...BUT THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT THESE RAINS WERE VERY WARM AND
ADDED LITTLE TO THE OVERALL SNOWPACK...WHICH REMAINS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

THE BEST SNOWPACK IS LOCATED IN FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA IN THE UPPER
HUMBOLDT...SNAKE RIVER AND CLOVER VALLEY BASINS. EVEN THOUGH
RESERVOIR STORAGE INCREASED IN EARLY FEBRUARY...MOST REMAIN WELL
BELOW AVERAGE.

SO...UNLESS THERE IS A DRASTIC CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR. AS THE WET SEASON CAN
EXTEND INTO MID APRIL...AND EVEN LATER IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...
CHANGE IS STILL POSSIBLE...THOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

2/SUMMARY...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...
THROUGH EARLY MARCH...NORTHWEST NEVADA HAD REAPED THE BENEFITS OF
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE START OF
OCTOBER. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE EASTERN SIERRA NEVADA IN
CALIFORNIA...FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
NEVADA WERE MISSED BY THE PRECIPITATION THAT BOOSTED THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. EVEN WITH INCREASED PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS
OF THE REGION...THE PRECEDING THREE AND A HALF YEARS HAVE LEFT
RAINFALL DEFICITS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IN SOME PARTS OF WESTERN
NEVADA AND THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OVER A YEAR OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN MISSED IN THE LAST THREE AND A HALF YEARS.

A STORM IN MID DECEMBER DID BRING AN INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS DID LITTLE TO BOOST THE
MIDDLE AND LOW ELEVATION SNOW PACK.

THEN THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION AND HAD LONG STRETCHES OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION OF NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD
TEMPERATURES WORKED TO DRASTICALLY DECREASE THE SNOW PACK IN WESTERN
NEVADA WHILE EASTERN NEVADA SAW DECREASES AS WELL...JUST NOT AS
SEVERE. THE DECREASED PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES ALSO
HELPED TO INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA.

A SERIES OF WET...WARM STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA IN THE FIRST HALF OF FEBRUARY. THESE STORMS BOOSTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS ONCE AGAIN
LIMITED INCREASES TO THE SNOWPACK. THE WARM...WET NATURE OF THESE
STORMS DID PRODUCE RUN OFF AND INCREASED STORAGE ON AREA RESERVOIRS.
A COLDER STORM IN LATE FEBRUARY BROUGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEVADA AND
THE SIERRA ALONG WITH SNOW AND RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEVADA...TEMPORARILY
INCREASING THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE BENEFITS OF THIS STORM
LARGELY BYPASSED EASTERN NEVADA.

ONE BRIGHT SPOT...THESE STORMS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN SOIL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE TRUCKEE RIVER
BASIN RECORDED ITS HIGHEST MARCH 1ST SOIL MOISTURE BASED ON TEN
YEARS OF DATA. SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT EASTERN NEVADA.

AS OF EARLY MARCH...STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
BELOW AVERAGE FOR EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA THIS SPRING AND SUMMER UNLESS SNOWPACK CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. IN NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.

THE NEXT FOUR TO SIX WEEKS WILL BE CRITICAL FOR SNOWPACK INTO THE
EARLY SPRING...AND WHAT THE SPRING AND SUMMER STREAMFLOWS WILL
BE. JUST A FEW WET STORMS WITH LOW SNOW LEVELS WOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS.

3/SNOWPACK...
SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE SIERRA NEVADA REMAINED WELL BELOW
AVERAGE. LAKE TAHOE`S SNOWPACK SAT AT 23 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SNOWPACK
IN THE SIERRA IS VYING WITH 1991 AS THE LOWEST ON RECORD SINCE
SNOTEL SITES WERE INSTALLED IN THE EARLY 1980S. TWENTY-TWO MEASURING
SITES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST OR SECOND LOWEST READINGS FOR THEIR PERIOD
OF RECORD. THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA IS ALSO
BELOW NORMAL. THE CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REPORTED
THE BEST SNOWPACK AT 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

BASINS IN THE NORTHEAST AND FAR EASTERN PART OF THE NEVADA RECORDED
THE STEEPEST DECLINES WITH RESPECT TO AVERAGE THROUGH THE MONTH. THE
OWYHEE BASIN HAD THE STEEPEST DECLINE AT 36 PERCENT. EASTERN NEVADA
SAW A DECREASE OF 28 PERCENT WHILE THE UPPER HUMBOLDT FELL 24
PERCENT AND THE SNAKE BASIN FELL 23 PERCENT.

                                 MAR 1 2015
BASIN               PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................  23
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  28
CARSON RIVER ......................  36
WALKER RIVER ......................  39
NORTHERN GREAT ....................  34
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  24
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  29
CLOVER VALLEY & FRANKLIN RIVER ....  77
SNAKE RIVER .......................  74
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  47
EASTERN NEVADA ....................  40
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  NA

4/PRECIPITATION...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EARLY FEBRUARY BOOSTED AVERAGES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA OF CALIFORNIA...BUT
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA MISSED THE BULK OF THIS
PRECIPITATION AND THEIR BASIN AVERAGES FELL THROUGH THE MONTH.

THE WET FEBRUARY HAS PUSHED THE WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION...SINCE THE
START OF OCTOBER...IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA TO ABOVE
50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...BUT THE TOTALS STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FELL DURING THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY ALONG WITH ALL OF THE BASINS IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF NEVADA. THE CLOVER VALLEY
AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REMAINS THE HIGHEST AT 90 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE WHILE THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...SNAKE BASIN AND OWYHEE
BASIN ALL REMAINED GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

                                                  WATER YEAR 2015
                                    FEB 2015    /THROUGH 3/1/2015/
BASIN                              PCT OF AVE        PCT OF AVE
LAKE TAHOE .........................  105  ...........   60
TRUCKEE RIVER ......................   89  ...........   61
CARSON RIVER .......................   93  ...........   53
WALKER RIVER .......................   89  ...........   52
NORTHERN GREAT .....................   56  ...........   87
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   43  ...........   74
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   47  ...........   79
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ...   71  ...........   90
SNAKE RIVER ........................   54  ...........   83
OWYHEE RIVER .......................   49  ...........   86
EASTERN NEVADA .....................   27  ...........   57
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ...............   NA  ...........   NA

5/RESERVOIRS...
WHILE RUN OFF FROM EARLY FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN INCREASES
IN STORAGE THROUGHOUT MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA...STORAGE IN MOST RESERVOIRS REMAINED WELL BELOW AVERAGE.
IN EARLY MARCH RESERVOIR STORAGE IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA VARIED FROM A HIGH OF 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON THE
TRUCKEE RIVER BASIN TO A LOW OF 0 PERCENT OF AVERAGE IN THE LAKE
TAHOE BASIN. THIS 0 PERCENT AT LAKE TAHOE IS DUE TO THE LAKE`S
FALLING BELOW ITS NATURAL RIM IN LATE FALL. THE LEVEL OF LAKE TAHOE
ON MARCH 1ST WAS 6222.85 FEET...WHICH EQUATES TO A STORAGE DEFICIT
OF 18,190 ACRE-FEET AS NO WATER CAN FLOW OUT OF THE LAKE BELOW ITS
NATURAL RIM OF 6223.0 FEET. IN SOUTHERN NEVADA THE LOWER COLORADO
BASIN HAD A STORAGE OF 56 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BASIN                        PERCENT OF CAPACITY   PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................   0 ................   0
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  29 ................  49
CARSON RIVER ......................  14 ................  25
WALKER RIVER ......................  16 ................  31
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............   5 ................  13
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  19 ................  39
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  44 ................  56

6/STREAMFLOW...
APRIL THROUGH JULY STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 1ST ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH BELOW
AVERAGE. FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IF A TYPICAL PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
EXPERIENCED THROUGH EARLY SPRING. FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA STREAMFLOWS ON
THE VIRGIN RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. ALL
LOCATIONS SAW DROPS IN STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO
MARCH 1ST.

MARCH 1ST STREAMFLOW FORECASTS WERE HIGHEST ON THE SNAKE RIVER AT 66
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND LOWEST IN EASTERN NEVADA AT 15 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE ON STEPTOE CREEK NEAR ELY. THE CARSON RIVER AT CARSON CITY
AND HUMBOLDT RIVER AT IMLAY ARE BOTH FORECAST TO BE 16 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE VIRGIN RIVER AT LITTLEFIELD IN THE LOWER COLORADO BASIN
IS FORECAST TO BE 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BELOW ARE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED RIVER POINTS ACROSS NEVADA AND
EASTERN CALIFORNIA. SOME CONTAIN BOTH THE NRCS FORECAST AND NWS
FORECAST PROVIDED BY THE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION SYSTEM AT
THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THE FORECASTS MAY
DIFFER SLIGHTLY BASED ON FORECAST METHODOLOGY.

                      PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL TO JULY STREAMFLOW
                        MOST PROBABLE FORECAST AS OF MAR 1 2015
                          (50 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDANCE)
BASIN                                 NRCS    NWS
LAKE TAHOE RISE ...................... 31 ...  5  .. 0.4 FOOT RISE (NRCS)
TRUCKEE RIVER ........................ 37 ... 40  .. FARAD
CARSON RIVER ......................... 16 ... 19  .. CARSON CITY
WEST WALKER RIVER .................... 38 ... 44
EAST WALKER RIVER .................... 27 ... 25
NORTHERN GREAT ....................... 26 ... NA  .. MCDERMITT
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 36 ... 46  .. PALISADE
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 16 ... 24  .. IMLAY
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ..... 38 ... NA
SNAKE RIVER .......................... 66 ... 61@
OWYHEE RIVER ......................... 27 ... 33@
EASTERN NEVADA ....................... 15 ... NA  .. ELY
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ................. 34 ... 29* .. LITTLEFIELD
SUSAN RIVER........................... NA ... 21  .. SUSANVILLE
MIDDLE FORK FEATHER RIVER............. NA ...  1  .. PORTOLA

NA - FORECAST EITHER NOT PROVIDED OR NOT PRODUCED FOR THIS LOCATION
*  - VIRGIN RIVER NWS FORECAST PROVIDED BY CBRFC IN SALT LAKE CITY
@  - SNAKE AND OWYHEE RIVER NWS FORECASTS PRODUCED BY NWRFC IN
     PORTLAND

7/ DROUGHT STATUS...
AS OF MARCH 3 2015...THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIED
MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA...INCLUDING CHURCHILL...PERSHING...STOREY...
CARSON CITY...DOUGLAS...MINERAL...WESTERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN WASHOE
COUNTIES IN NEVADA AS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT /LEVEL 4 OF 4 LEVELS OF
DROUGHT/. IN CALIFORNIA...MUCH OF LASSEN...PARTS OF PLUMAS...
SIERRA...NEVADA...PLACER...EL DORADO COUNTIES...ALL OF ALPINE AND
MONO COUNTIES AND A SMALL PART OF NORTHERN INYO COUNTY WERE
CLASSIFIED IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA WAS CLASSIFIED AS IN EXTREME DROUGHT
/LEVEL 3 OF 4 LEVELS OF DROUGHT/. IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...
PARTS OF ELKO...EUREKA AND NYE COUNTIES WERE CLASSIFIED AS HAVING
EXTREME DROUGHT WHILE THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
WAS CLASSIFIED AS HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT. FAR SOUTHEAST
INYO COUNTY AND MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WERE ALSO NOTED AS
HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT AREAS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER WHICH WERE CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY.

POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA
INCLUDE...

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS COMING SUMMER...AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND FUELS
DRY.

POSSIBLE WATER SUPPLY DEFICITS...RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS LOW AND
WATER SUPPLY COULD BECOME AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS SPRING
AND SUMMER IF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLY CONCERNS WOULD BE HIGHEST ON BASINS WITHOUT
RESERVOIR STORAGE.

8/ LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION HAS EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS FORECAST TO
HAVE EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR...ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION.

9/ FOR MORE DETAILED WATER SUPPLY AND STREAMFLOW FORECAST
INFORMATION FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA...PLEASE REFER TO THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITES /NOTE...ALL LETTERS IN WEB SITE ADDRESSES ARE
LOWER CASE/...

NWS CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_SUPPLY.PHP

NEVADA NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NV.NRCS.USDA.GOV/SNOW/

CALIFORNIA DEPT. OF WATER RESOURCES...
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/

NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG RANGE OUTLOOK MAPS...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...INCLUDING U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://DROUGHT.GOV/








000
FGUS75 KREV 052332
ESFREV

ESFREV
NVZ001>041-CAZ070>073-CAZ519>527-120000-

WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
330 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 5 2015...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW AVERAGE
THIS SPRING...

...WELL BELOW AVERAGE STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS SPRING AND
SUMMER...

ISSUED JOINTLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE...

1/SUMMARY...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN ALL BASINS IN NEVADA AND THE
WATERSHEDS EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST IN EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW
AVERAGE.

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THESE INCLUDE
SNOWPACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND RESERVOIR STORAGE...ALONG WITH AIR
TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL DURING THE SNOW MELT PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA SINCE OCTOBER 2014. THE ONLY AREAS THAT HAVE
SEEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THAT TIME ARE LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA...SOUTHERN INYO COUNTY
AND NORTHERN AND FAR EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN EASTERN
CALIFORNIA.

RAINS IN DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY BOOSTED SOIL MOISTURE AND INCREASED
RESERVOIR STORAGE SLIGHTLY ACROSS EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA...BUT THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT THESE RAINS WERE VERY WARM AND
ADDED LITTLE TO THE OVERALL SNOWPACK...WHICH REMAINS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

THE BEST SNOWPACK IS LOCATED IN FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA IN THE UPPER
HUMBOLDT...SNAKE RIVER AND CLOVER VALLEY BASINS. EVEN THOUGH
RESERVOIR STORAGE INCREASED IN EARLY FEBRUARY...MOST REMAIN WELL
BELOW AVERAGE.

SO...UNLESS THERE IS A DRASTIC CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR. AS THE WET SEASON CAN
EXTEND INTO MID APRIL...AND EVEN LATER IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...
CHANGE IS STILL POSSIBLE...THOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

2/SUMMARY...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...
THROUGH EARLY MARCH...NORTHWEST NEVADA HAD REAPED THE BENEFITS OF
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE START OF
OCTOBER. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE EASTERN SIERRA NEVADA IN
CALIFORNIA...FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
NEVADA WERE MISSED BY THE PRECIPITATION THAT BOOSTED THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. EVEN WITH INCREASED PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS
OF THE REGION...THE PRECEDING THREE AND A HALF YEARS HAVE LEFT
RAINFALL DEFICITS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IN SOME PARTS OF WESTERN
NEVADA AND THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OVER A YEAR OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN MISSED IN THE LAST THREE AND A HALF YEARS.

A STORM IN MID DECEMBER DID BRING AN INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS DID LITTLE TO BOOST THE
MIDDLE AND LOW ELEVATION SNOW PACK.

THEN THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION AND HAD LONG STRETCHES OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION OF NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD
TEMPERATURES WORKED TO DRASTICALLY DECREASE THE SNOW PACK IN WESTERN
NEVADA WHILE EASTERN NEVADA SAW DECREASES AS WELL...JUST NOT AS
SEVERE. THE DECREASED PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES ALSO
HELPED TO INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA.

A SERIES OF WET...WARM STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA IN THE FIRST HALF OF FEBRUARY. THESE STORMS BOOSTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS ONCE AGAIN
LIMITED INCREASES TO THE SNOWPACK. THE WARM...WET NATURE OF THESE
STORMS DID PRODUCE RUN OFF AND INCREASED STORAGE ON AREA RESERVOIRS.
A COLDER STORM IN LATE FEBRUARY BROUGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEVADA AND
THE SIERRA ALONG WITH SNOW AND RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEVADA...TEMPORARILY
INCREASING THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE BENEFITS OF THIS STORM
LARGELY BYPASSED EASTERN NEVADA.

ONE BRIGHT SPOT...THESE STORMS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN SOIL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE TRUCKEE RIVER
BASIN RECORDED ITS HIGHEST MARCH 1ST SOIL MOISTURE BASED ON TEN
YEARS OF DATA. SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT EASTERN NEVADA.

AS OF EARLY MARCH...STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
BELOW AVERAGE FOR EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA THIS SPRING AND SUMMER UNLESS SNOWPACK CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. IN NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.

THE NEXT FOUR TO SIX WEEKS WILL BE CRITICAL FOR SNOWPACK INTO THE
EARLY SPRING...AND WHAT THE SPRING AND SUMMER STREAMFLOWS WILL
BE. JUST A FEW WET STORMS WITH LOW SNOW LEVELS WOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS.

3/SNOWPACK...
SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE SIERRA NEVADA REMAINED WELL BELOW
AVERAGE. LAKE TAHOE`S SNOWPACK SAT AT 23 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SNOWPACK
IN THE SIERRA IS VYING WITH 1991 AS THE LOWEST ON RECORD SINCE
SNOTEL SITES WERE INSTALLED IN THE EARLY 1980S. TWENTY-TWO MEASURING
SITES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST OR SECOND LOWEST READINGS FOR THEIR PERIOD
OF RECORD. THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA IS ALSO
BELOW NORMAL. THE CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REPORTED
THE BEST SNOWPACK AT 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

BASINS IN THE NORTHEAST AND FAR EASTERN PART OF THE NEVADA RECORDED
THE STEEPEST DECLINES WITH RESPECT TO AVERAGE THROUGH THE MONTH. THE
OWYHEE BASIN HAD THE STEEPEST DECLINE AT 36 PERCENT. EASTERN NEVADA
SAW A DECREASE OF 28 PERCENT WHILE THE UPPER HUMBOLDT FELL 24
PERCENT AND THE SNAKE BASIN FELL 23 PERCENT.

                                 MAR 1 2015
BASIN               PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................  23
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  28
CARSON RIVER ......................  36
WALKER RIVER ......................  39
NORTHERN GREAT ....................  34
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  24
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  29
CLOVER VALLEY & FRANKLIN RIVER ....  77
SNAKE RIVER .......................  74
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  47
EASTERN NEVADA ....................  40
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  NA

4/PRECIPITATION...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EARLY FEBRUARY BOOSTED AVERAGES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA OF CALIFORNIA...BUT
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA MISSED THE BULK OF THIS
PRECIPITATION AND THEIR BASIN AVERAGES FELL THROUGH THE MONTH.

THE WET FEBRUARY HAS PUSHED THE WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION...SINCE THE
START OF OCTOBER...IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA TO ABOVE
50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...BUT THE TOTALS STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FELL DURING THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY ALONG WITH ALL OF THE BASINS IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF NEVADA. THE CLOVER VALLEY
AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REMAINS THE HIGHEST AT 90 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE WHILE THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...SNAKE BASIN AND OWYHEE
BASIN ALL REMAINED GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

                                                  WATER YEAR 2015
                                    FEB 2015    /THROUGH 3/1/2015/
BASIN                              PCT OF AVE        PCT OF AVE
LAKE TAHOE .........................  105  ...........   60
TRUCKEE RIVER ......................   89  ...........   61
CARSON RIVER .......................   93  ...........   53
WALKER RIVER .......................   89  ...........   52
NORTHERN GREAT .....................   56  ...........   87
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   43  ...........   74
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   47  ...........   79
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ...   71  ...........   90
SNAKE RIVER ........................   54  ...........   83
OWYHEE RIVER .......................   49  ...........   86
EASTERN NEVADA .....................   27  ...........   57
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ...............   NA  ...........   NA

5/RESERVOIRS...
WHILE RUN OFF FROM EARLY FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN INCREASES
IN STORAGE THROUGHOUT MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA...STORAGE IN MOST RESERVOIRS REMAINED WELL BELOW AVERAGE.
IN EARLY MARCH RESERVOIR STORAGE IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA VARIED FROM A HIGH OF 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON THE
TRUCKEE RIVER BASIN TO A LOW OF 0 PERCENT OF AVERAGE IN THE LAKE
TAHOE BASIN. THIS 0 PERCENT AT LAKE TAHOE IS DUE TO THE LAKE`S
FALLING BELOW ITS NATURAL RIM IN LATE FALL. THE LEVEL OF LAKE TAHOE
ON MARCH 1ST WAS 6222.85 FEET...WHICH EQUATES TO A STORAGE DEFICIT
OF 18,190 ACRE-FEET AS NO WATER CAN FLOW OUT OF THE LAKE BELOW ITS
NATURAL RIM OF 6223.0 FEET. IN SOUTHERN NEVADA THE LOWER COLORADO
BASIN HAD A STORAGE OF 56 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BASIN                        PERCENT OF CAPACITY   PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................   0 ................   0
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  29 ................  49
CARSON RIVER ......................  14 ................  25
WALKER RIVER ......................  16 ................  31
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............   5 ................  13
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  19 ................  39
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  44 ................  56

6/STREAMFLOW...
APRIL THROUGH JULY STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 1ST ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH BELOW
AVERAGE. FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IF A TYPICAL PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
EXPERIENCED THROUGH EARLY SPRING. FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA STREAMFLOWS ON
THE VIRGIN RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. ALL
LOCATIONS SAW DROPS IN STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO
MARCH 1ST.

MARCH 1ST STREAMFLOW FORECASTS WERE HIGHEST ON THE SNAKE RIVER AT 66
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND LOWEST IN EASTERN NEVADA AT 15 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE ON STEPTOE CREEK NEAR ELY. THE CARSON RIVER AT CARSON CITY
AND HUMBOLDT RIVER AT IMLAY ARE BOTH FORECAST TO BE 16 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE VIRGIN RIVER AT LITTLEFIELD IN THE LOWER COLORADO BASIN
IS FORECAST TO BE 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BELOW ARE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED RIVER POINTS ACROSS NEVADA AND
EASTERN CALIFORNIA. SOME CONTAIN BOTH THE NRCS FORECAST AND NWS
FORECAST PROVIDED BY THE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION SYSTEM AT
THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THE FORECASTS MAY
DIFFER SLIGHTLY BASED ON FORECAST METHODOLOGY.

                      PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL TO JULY STREAMFLOW
                        MOST PROBABLE FORECAST AS OF MAR 1 2015
                          (50 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDANCE)
BASIN                                 NRCS    NWS
LAKE TAHOE RISE ...................... 31 ...  5  .. 0.4 FOOT RISE (NRCS)
TRUCKEE RIVER ........................ 37 ... 40  .. FARAD
CARSON RIVER ......................... 16 ... 19  .. CARSON CITY
WEST WALKER RIVER .................... 38 ... 44
EAST WALKER RIVER .................... 27 ... 25
NORTHERN GREAT ....................... 26 ... NA  .. MCDERMITT
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 36 ... 46  .. PALISADE
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 16 ... 24  .. IMLAY
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ..... 38 ... NA
SNAKE RIVER .......................... 66 ... 61@
OWYHEE RIVER ......................... 27 ... 33@
EASTERN NEVADA ....................... 15 ... NA  .. ELY
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ................. 34 ... 29* .. LITTLEFIELD
SUSAN RIVER........................... NA ... 21  .. SUSANVILLE
MIDDLE FORK FEATHER RIVER............. NA ...  1  .. PORTOLA

NA - FORECAST EITHER NOT PROVIDED OR NOT PRODUCED FOR THIS LOCATION
*  - VIRGIN RIVER NWS FORECAST PROVIDED BY CBRFC IN SALT LAKE CITY
@  - SNAKE AND OWYHEE RIVER NWS FORECASTS PRODUCED BY NWRFC IN
     PORTLAND

7/ DROUGHT STATUS...
AS OF MARCH 3 2015...THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIED
MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA...INCLUDING CHURCHILL...PERSHING...STOREY...
CARSON CITY...DOUGLAS...MINERAL...WESTERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN WASHOE
COUNTIES IN NEVADA AS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT /LEVEL 4 OF 4 LEVELS OF
DROUGHT/. IN CALIFORNIA...MUCH OF LASSEN...PARTS OF PLUMAS...
SIERRA...NEVADA...PLACER...EL DORADO COUNTIES...ALL OF ALPINE AND
MONO COUNTIES AND A SMALL PART OF NORTHERN INYO COUNTY WERE
CLASSIFIED IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA WAS CLASSIFIED AS IN EXTREME DROUGHT
/LEVEL 3 OF 4 LEVELS OF DROUGHT/. IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...
PARTS OF ELKO...EUREKA AND NYE COUNTIES WERE CLASSIFIED AS HAVING
EXTREME DROUGHT WHILE THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
WAS CLASSIFIED AS HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT. FAR SOUTHEAST
INYO COUNTY AND MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WERE ALSO NOTED AS
HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT AREAS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER WHICH WERE CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY.

POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA
INCLUDE...

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS COMING SUMMER...AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND FUELS
DRY.

POSSIBLE WATER SUPPLY DEFICITS...RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS LOW AND
WATER SUPPLY COULD BECOME AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS SPRING
AND SUMMER IF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLY CONCERNS WOULD BE HIGHEST ON BASINS WITHOUT
RESERVOIR STORAGE.

8/ LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION HAS EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS FORECAST TO
HAVE EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR...ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION.

9/ FOR MORE DETAILED WATER SUPPLY AND STREAMFLOW FORECAST
INFORMATION FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA...PLEASE REFER TO THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITES /NOTE...ALL LETTERS IN WEB SITE ADDRESSES ARE
LOWER CASE/...

NWS CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_SUPPLY.PHP

NEVADA NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NV.NRCS.USDA.GOV/SNOW/

CALIFORNIA DEPT. OF WATER RESOURCES...
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/

NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG RANGE OUTLOOK MAPS...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...INCLUDING U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://DROUGHT.GOV/

NNNN







000
FGUS75 KREV 052332
ESFREV

ESFREV
NVZ001>041-CAZ070>073-CAZ519>527-120000-

WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
330 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 5 2015...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW AVERAGE
THIS SPRING...

...WELL BELOW AVERAGE STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS SPRING AND
SUMMER...

ISSUED JOINTLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE...

1/SUMMARY...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN ALL BASINS IN NEVADA AND THE
WATERSHEDS EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST IN EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW
AVERAGE.

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THESE INCLUDE
SNOWPACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND RESERVOIR STORAGE...ALONG WITH AIR
TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL DURING THE SNOW MELT PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA SINCE OCTOBER 2014. THE ONLY AREAS THAT HAVE
SEEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THAT TIME ARE LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA...SOUTHERN INYO COUNTY
AND NORTHERN AND FAR EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN EASTERN
CALIFORNIA.

RAINS IN DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY BOOSTED SOIL MOISTURE AND INCREASED
RESERVOIR STORAGE SLIGHTLY ACROSS EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA...BUT THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT THESE RAINS WERE VERY WARM AND
ADDED LITTLE TO THE OVERALL SNOWPACK...WHICH REMAINS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

THE BEST SNOWPACK IS LOCATED IN FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA IN THE UPPER
HUMBOLDT...SNAKE RIVER AND CLOVER VALLEY BASINS. EVEN THOUGH
RESERVOIR STORAGE INCREASED IN EARLY FEBRUARY...MOST REMAIN WELL
BELOW AVERAGE.

SO...UNLESS THERE IS A DRASTIC CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR. AS THE WET SEASON CAN
EXTEND INTO MID APRIL...AND EVEN LATER IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...
CHANGE IS STILL POSSIBLE...THOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

2/SUMMARY...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...
THROUGH EARLY MARCH...NORTHWEST NEVADA HAD REAPED THE BENEFITS OF
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE START OF
OCTOBER. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE EASTERN SIERRA NEVADA IN
CALIFORNIA...FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
NEVADA WERE MISSED BY THE PRECIPITATION THAT BOOSTED THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. EVEN WITH INCREASED PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS
OF THE REGION...THE PRECEDING THREE AND A HALF YEARS HAVE LEFT
RAINFALL DEFICITS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IN SOME PARTS OF WESTERN
NEVADA AND THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OVER A YEAR OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN MISSED IN THE LAST THREE AND A HALF YEARS.

A STORM IN MID DECEMBER DID BRING AN INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS DID LITTLE TO BOOST THE
MIDDLE AND LOW ELEVATION SNOW PACK.

THEN THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION AND HAD LONG STRETCHES OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION OF NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD
TEMPERATURES WORKED TO DRASTICALLY DECREASE THE SNOW PACK IN WESTERN
NEVADA WHILE EASTERN NEVADA SAW DECREASES AS WELL...JUST NOT AS
SEVERE. THE DECREASED PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES ALSO
HELPED TO INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA.

A SERIES OF WET...WARM STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA IN THE FIRST HALF OF FEBRUARY. THESE STORMS BOOSTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS ONCE AGAIN
LIMITED INCREASES TO THE SNOWPACK. THE WARM...WET NATURE OF THESE
STORMS DID PRODUCE RUN OFF AND INCREASED STORAGE ON AREA RESERVOIRS.
A COLDER STORM IN LATE FEBRUARY BROUGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEVADA AND
THE SIERRA ALONG WITH SNOW AND RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEVADA...TEMPORARILY
INCREASING THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE BENEFITS OF THIS STORM
LARGELY BYPASSED EASTERN NEVADA.

ONE BRIGHT SPOT...THESE STORMS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN SOIL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE TRUCKEE RIVER
BASIN RECORDED ITS HIGHEST MARCH 1ST SOIL MOISTURE BASED ON TEN
YEARS OF DATA. SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT EASTERN NEVADA.

AS OF EARLY MARCH...STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
BELOW AVERAGE FOR EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA THIS SPRING AND SUMMER UNLESS SNOWPACK CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. IN NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.

THE NEXT FOUR TO SIX WEEKS WILL BE CRITICAL FOR SNOWPACK INTO THE
EARLY SPRING...AND WHAT THE SPRING AND SUMMER STREAMFLOWS WILL
BE. JUST A FEW WET STORMS WITH LOW SNOW LEVELS WOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS.

3/SNOWPACK...
SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE SIERRA NEVADA REMAINED WELL BELOW
AVERAGE. LAKE TAHOE`S SNOWPACK SAT AT 23 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SNOWPACK
IN THE SIERRA IS VYING WITH 1991 AS THE LOWEST ON RECORD SINCE
SNOTEL SITES WERE INSTALLED IN THE EARLY 1980S. TWENTY-TWO MEASURING
SITES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST OR SECOND LOWEST READINGS FOR THEIR PERIOD
OF RECORD. THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA IS ALSO
BELOW NORMAL. THE CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REPORTED
THE BEST SNOWPACK AT 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

BASINS IN THE NORTHEAST AND FAR EASTERN PART OF THE NEVADA RECORDED
THE STEEPEST DECLINES WITH RESPECT TO AVERAGE THROUGH THE MONTH. THE
OWYHEE BASIN HAD THE STEEPEST DECLINE AT 36 PERCENT. EASTERN NEVADA
SAW A DECREASE OF 28 PERCENT WHILE THE UPPER HUMBOLDT FELL 24
PERCENT AND THE SNAKE BASIN FELL 23 PERCENT.

                                 MAR 1 2015
BASIN               PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................  23
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  28
CARSON RIVER ......................  36
WALKER RIVER ......................  39
NORTHERN GREAT ....................  34
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  24
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  29
CLOVER VALLEY & FRANKLIN RIVER ....  77
SNAKE RIVER .......................  74
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  47
EASTERN NEVADA ....................  40
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  NA

4/PRECIPITATION...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EARLY FEBRUARY BOOSTED AVERAGES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA OF CALIFORNIA...BUT
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA MISSED THE BULK OF THIS
PRECIPITATION AND THEIR BASIN AVERAGES FELL THROUGH THE MONTH.

THE WET FEBRUARY HAS PUSHED THE WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION...SINCE THE
START OF OCTOBER...IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA TO ABOVE
50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...BUT THE TOTALS STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FELL DURING THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY ALONG WITH ALL OF THE BASINS IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF NEVADA. THE CLOVER VALLEY
AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REMAINS THE HIGHEST AT 90 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE WHILE THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...SNAKE BASIN AND OWYHEE
BASIN ALL REMAINED GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

                                                  WATER YEAR 2015
                                    FEB 2015    /THROUGH 3/1/2015/
BASIN                              PCT OF AVE        PCT OF AVE
LAKE TAHOE .........................  105  ...........   60
TRUCKEE RIVER ......................   89  ...........   61
CARSON RIVER .......................   93  ...........   53
WALKER RIVER .......................   89  ...........   52
NORTHERN GREAT .....................   56  ...........   87
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   43  ...........   74
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   47  ...........   79
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ...   71  ...........   90
SNAKE RIVER ........................   54  ...........   83
OWYHEE RIVER .......................   49  ...........   86
EASTERN NEVADA .....................   27  ...........   57
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ...............   NA  ...........   NA

5/RESERVOIRS...
WHILE RUN OFF FROM EARLY FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN INCREASES
IN STORAGE THROUGHOUT MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA...STORAGE IN MOST RESERVOIRS REMAINED WELL BELOW AVERAGE.
IN EARLY MARCH RESERVOIR STORAGE IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA VARIED FROM A HIGH OF 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON THE
TRUCKEE RIVER BASIN TO A LOW OF 0 PERCENT OF AVERAGE IN THE LAKE
TAHOE BASIN. THIS 0 PERCENT AT LAKE TAHOE IS DUE TO THE LAKE`S
FALLING BELOW ITS NATURAL RIM IN LATE FALL. THE LEVEL OF LAKE TAHOE
ON MARCH 1ST WAS 6222.85 FEET...WHICH EQUATES TO A STORAGE DEFICIT
OF 18,190 ACRE-FEET AS NO WATER CAN FLOW OUT OF THE LAKE BELOW ITS
NATURAL RIM OF 6223.0 FEET. IN SOUTHERN NEVADA THE LOWER COLORADO
BASIN HAD A STORAGE OF 56 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BASIN                        PERCENT OF CAPACITY   PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................   0 ................   0
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  29 ................  49
CARSON RIVER ......................  14 ................  25
WALKER RIVER ......................  16 ................  31
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............   5 ................  13
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  19 ................  39
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  44 ................  56

6/STREAMFLOW...
APRIL THROUGH JULY STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 1ST ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH BELOW
AVERAGE. FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IF A TYPICAL PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
EXPERIENCED THROUGH EARLY SPRING. FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA STREAMFLOWS ON
THE VIRGIN RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. ALL
LOCATIONS SAW DROPS IN STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO
MARCH 1ST.

MARCH 1ST STREAMFLOW FORECASTS WERE HIGHEST ON THE SNAKE RIVER AT 66
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND LOWEST IN EASTERN NEVADA AT 15 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE ON STEPTOE CREEK NEAR ELY. THE CARSON RIVER AT CARSON CITY
AND HUMBOLDT RIVER AT IMLAY ARE BOTH FORECAST TO BE 16 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE VIRGIN RIVER AT LITTLEFIELD IN THE LOWER COLORADO BASIN
IS FORECAST TO BE 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BELOW ARE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED RIVER POINTS ACROSS NEVADA AND
EASTERN CALIFORNIA. SOME CONTAIN BOTH THE NRCS FORECAST AND NWS
FORECAST PROVIDED BY THE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION SYSTEM AT
THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THE FORECASTS MAY
DIFFER SLIGHTLY BASED ON FORECAST METHODOLOGY.

                      PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL TO JULY STREAMFLOW
                        MOST PROBABLE FORECAST AS OF MAR 1 2015
                          (50 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDANCE)
BASIN                                 NRCS    NWS
LAKE TAHOE RISE ...................... 31 ...  5  .. 0.4 FOOT RISE (NRCS)
TRUCKEE RIVER ........................ 37 ... 40  .. FARAD
CARSON RIVER ......................... 16 ... 19  .. CARSON CITY
WEST WALKER RIVER .................... 38 ... 44
EAST WALKER RIVER .................... 27 ... 25
NORTHERN GREAT ....................... 26 ... NA  .. MCDERMITT
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 36 ... 46  .. PALISADE
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 16 ... 24  .. IMLAY
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ..... 38 ... NA
SNAKE RIVER .......................... 66 ... 61@
OWYHEE RIVER ......................... 27 ... 33@
EASTERN NEVADA ....................... 15 ... NA  .. ELY
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ................. 34 ... 29* .. LITTLEFIELD
SUSAN RIVER........................... NA ... 21  .. SUSANVILLE
MIDDLE FORK FEATHER RIVER............. NA ...  1  .. PORTOLA

NA - FORECAST EITHER NOT PROVIDED OR NOT PRODUCED FOR THIS LOCATION
*  - VIRGIN RIVER NWS FORECAST PROVIDED BY CBRFC IN SALT LAKE CITY
@  - SNAKE AND OWYHEE RIVER NWS FORECASTS PRODUCED BY NWRFC IN
     PORTLAND

7/ DROUGHT STATUS...
AS OF MARCH 3 2015...THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIED
MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA...INCLUDING CHURCHILL...PERSHING...STOREY...
CARSON CITY...DOUGLAS...MINERAL...WESTERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN WASHOE
COUNTIES IN NEVADA AS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT /LEVEL 4 OF 4 LEVELS OF
DROUGHT/. IN CALIFORNIA...MUCH OF LASSEN...PARTS OF PLUMAS...
SIERRA...NEVADA...PLACER...EL DORADO COUNTIES...ALL OF ALPINE AND
MONO COUNTIES AND A SMALL PART OF NORTHERN INYO COUNTY WERE
CLASSIFIED IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA WAS CLASSIFIED AS IN EXTREME DROUGHT
/LEVEL 3 OF 4 LEVELS OF DROUGHT/. IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...
PARTS OF ELKO...EUREKA AND NYE COUNTIES WERE CLASSIFIED AS HAVING
EXTREME DROUGHT WHILE THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
WAS CLASSIFIED AS HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT. FAR SOUTHEAST
INYO COUNTY AND MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WERE ALSO NOTED AS
HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT AREAS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER WHICH WERE CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY.

POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA
INCLUDE...

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS COMING SUMMER...AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND FUELS
DRY.

POSSIBLE WATER SUPPLY DEFICITS...RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS LOW AND
WATER SUPPLY COULD BECOME AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS SPRING
AND SUMMER IF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLY CONCERNS WOULD BE HIGHEST ON BASINS WITHOUT
RESERVOIR STORAGE.

8/ LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION HAS EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS FORECAST TO
HAVE EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR...ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION.

9/ FOR MORE DETAILED WATER SUPPLY AND STREAMFLOW FORECAST
INFORMATION FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA...PLEASE REFER TO THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITES /NOTE...ALL LETTERS IN WEB SITE ADDRESSES ARE
LOWER CASE/...

NWS CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_SUPPLY.PHP

NEVADA NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NV.NRCS.USDA.GOV/SNOW/

CALIFORNIA DEPT. OF WATER RESOURCES...
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/

NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG RANGE OUTLOOK MAPS...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...INCLUDING U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://DROUGHT.GOV/

NNNN






000
FGUS75 KREV 052332
ESFREV

ESFREV
NVZ001>041-CAZ070>073-CAZ519>527-120000-

WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
330 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...WATER SUPPLY AND SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 5 2015...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW AVERAGE
THIS SPRING...

...WELL BELOW AVERAGE STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS SPRING AND
SUMMER...

ISSUED JOINTLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
CONSERVATION SERVICE...

1/SUMMARY...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN ALL BASINS IN NEVADA AND THE
WATERSHEDS EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST IN EASTERN CALIFORNIA IS BELOW
AVERAGE.

SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THESE INCLUDE
SNOWPACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND RESERVOIR STORAGE...ALONG WITH AIR
TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL DURING THE SNOW MELT PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA SINCE OCTOBER 2014. THE ONLY AREAS THAT HAVE
SEEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THAT TIME ARE LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA...SOUTHERN INYO COUNTY
AND NORTHERN AND FAR EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN EASTERN
CALIFORNIA.

RAINS IN DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY BOOSTED SOIL MOISTURE AND INCREASED
RESERVOIR STORAGE SLIGHTLY ACROSS EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA...BUT THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT THESE RAINS WERE VERY WARM AND
ADDED LITTLE TO THE OVERALL SNOWPACK...WHICH REMAINS WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

THE BEST SNOWPACK IS LOCATED IN FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA IN THE UPPER
HUMBOLDT...SNAKE RIVER AND CLOVER VALLEY BASINS. EVEN THOUGH
RESERVOIR STORAGE INCREASED IN EARLY FEBRUARY...MOST REMAIN WELL
BELOW AVERAGE.

SO...UNLESS THERE IS A DRASTIC CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR. AS THE WET SEASON CAN
EXTEND INTO MID APRIL...AND EVEN LATER IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...
CHANGE IS STILL POSSIBLE...THOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

2/SUMMARY...WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...
THROUGH EARLY MARCH...NORTHWEST NEVADA HAD REAPED THE BENEFITS OF
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE START OF
OCTOBER. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE EASTERN SIERRA NEVADA IN
CALIFORNIA...FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
NEVADA WERE MISSED BY THE PRECIPITATION THAT BOOSTED THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE. EVEN WITH INCREASED PRECIPITATION IN SOME PARTS
OF THE REGION...THE PRECEDING THREE AND A HALF YEARS HAVE LEFT
RAINFALL DEFICITS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IN SOME PARTS OF WESTERN
NEVADA AND THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OVER A YEAR OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN MISSED IN THE LAST THREE AND A HALF YEARS.

A STORM IN MID DECEMBER DID BRING AN INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS DID LITTLE TO BOOST THE
MIDDLE AND LOW ELEVATION SNOW PACK.

THEN THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION AND HAD LONG STRETCHES OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION OF NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD
TEMPERATURES WORKED TO DRASTICALLY DECREASE THE SNOW PACK IN WESTERN
NEVADA WHILE EASTERN NEVADA SAW DECREASES AS WELL...JUST NOT AS
SEVERE. THE DECREASED PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES ALSO
HELPED TO INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA.

A SERIES OF WET...WARM STORMS MOVED THROUGH EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA IN THE FIRST HALF OF FEBRUARY. THESE STORMS BOOSTED
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION...BUT HIGH SNOW LEVELS ONCE AGAIN
LIMITED INCREASES TO THE SNOWPACK. THE WARM...WET NATURE OF THESE
STORMS DID PRODUCE RUN OFF AND INCREASED STORAGE ON AREA RESERVOIRS.
A COLDER STORM IN LATE FEBRUARY BROUGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NEVADA AND
THE SIERRA ALONG WITH SNOW AND RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEVADA...TEMPORARILY
INCREASING THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...THE BENEFITS OF THIS STORM
LARGELY BYPASSED EASTERN NEVADA.

ONE BRIGHT SPOT...THESE STORMS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN SOIL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE TRUCKEE RIVER
BASIN RECORDED ITS HIGHEST MARCH 1ST SOIL MOISTURE BASED ON TEN
YEARS OF DATA. SOIL MOISTURE IS NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT EASTERN NEVADA.

AS OF EARLY MARCH...STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
BELOW AVERAGE FOR EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA THIS SPRING AND SUMMER UNLESS SNOWPACK CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. IN NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.

THE NEXT FOUR TO SIX WEEKS WILL BE CRITICAL FOR SNOWPACK INTO THE
EARLY SPRING...AND WHAT THE SPRING AND SUMMER STREAMFLOWS WILL
BE. JUST A FEW WET STORMS WITH LOW SNOW LEVELS WOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS.

3/SNOWPACK...
SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE SIERRA NEVADA REMAINED WELL BELOW
AVERAGE. LAKE TAHOE`S SNOWPACK SAT AT 23 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SNOWPACK
IN THE SIERRA IS VYING WITH 1991 AS THE LOWEST ON RECORD SINCE
SNOTEL SITES WERE INSTALLED IN THE EARLY 1980S. TWENTY-TWO MEASURING
SITES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST OR SECOND LOWEST READINGS FOR THEIR PERIOD
OF RECORD. THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA IS ALSO
BELOW NORMAL. THE CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REPORTED
THE BEST SNOWPACK AT 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

BASINS IN THE NORTHEAST AND FAR EASTERN PART OF THE NEVADA RECORDED
THE STEEPEST DECLINES WITH RESPECT TO AVERAGE THROUGH THE MONTH. THE
OWYHEE BASIN HAD THE STEEPEST DECLINE AT 36 PERCENT. EASTERN NEVADA
SAW A DECREASE OF 28 PERCENT WHILE THE UPPER HUMBOLDT FELL 24
PERCENT AND THE SNAKE BASIN FELL 23 PERCENT.

                                 MAR 1 2015
BASIN               PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................  23
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  28
CARSON RIVER ......................  36
WALKER RIVER ......................  39
NORTHERN GREAT ....................  34
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  24
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............  29
CLOVER VALLEY & FRANKLIN RIVER ....  77
SNAKE RIVER .......................  74
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  47
EASTERN NEVADA ....................  40
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  NA

4/PRECIPITATION...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EARLY FEBRUARY BOOSTED AVERAGES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA OF CALIFORNIA...BUT
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEVADA MISSED THE BULK OF THIS
PRECIPITATION AND THEIR BASIN AVERAGES FELL THROUGH THE MONTH.

THE WET FEBRUARY HAS PUSHED THE WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION...SINCE THE
START OF OCTOBER...IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA TO ABOVE
50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...BUT THE TOTALS STILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. THE AVERAGE FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN FELL DURING THE
MONTH OF FEBRUARY ALONG WITH ALL OF THE BASINS IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF NEVADA. THE CLOVER VALLEY
AND FRANKLIN RIVER BASIN REMAINS THE HIGHEST AT 90 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE WHILE THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...SNAKE BASIN AND OWYHEE
BASIN ALL REMAINED GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

                                                  WATER YEAR 2015
                                    FEB 2015    /THROUGH 3/1/2015/
BASIN                              PCT OF AVE        PCT OF AVE
LAKE TAHOE .........................  105  ...........   60
TRUCKEE RIVER ......................   89  ...........   61
CARSON RIVER .......................   93  ...........   53
WALKER RIVER .......................   89  ...........   52
NORTHERN GREAT .....................   56  ...........   87
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   43  ...........   74
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ...............   47  ...........   79
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ...   71  ...........   90
SNAKE RIVER ........................   54  ...........   83
OWYHEE RIVER .......................   49  ...........   86
EASTERN NEVADA .....................   27  ...........   57
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ...............   NA  ...........   NA

5/RESERVOIRS...
WHILE RUN OFF FROM EARLY FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN INCREASES
IN STORAGE THROUGHOUT MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA...STORAGE IN MOST RESERVOIRS REMAINED WELL BELOW AVERAGE.
IN EARLY MARCH RESERVOIR STORAGE IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND EASTERN
CALIFORNIA VARIED FROM A HIGH OF 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON THE
TRUCKEE RIVER BASIN TO A LOW OF 0 PERCENT OF AVERAGE IN THE LAKE
TAHOE BASIN. THIS 0 PERCENT AT LAKE TAHOE IS DUE TO THE LAKE`S
FALLING BELOW ITS NATURAL RIM IN LATE FALL. THE LEVEL OF LAKE TAHOE
ON MARCH 1ST WAS 6222.85 FEET...WHICH EQUATES TO A STORAGE DEFICIT
OF 18,190 ACRE-FEET AS NO WATER CAN FLOW OUT OF THE LAKE BELOW ITS
NATURAL RIM OF 6223.0 FEET. IN SOUTHERN NEVADA THE LOWER COLORADO
BASIN HAD A STORAGE OF 56 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BASIN                        PERCENT OF CAPACITY   PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAKE TAHOE ........................   0 ................   0
TRUCKEE RIVER .....................  29 ................  49
CARSON RIVER ......................  14 ................  25
WALKER RIVER ......................  16 ................  31
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ..............   5 ................  13
OWYHEE RIVER ......................  19 ................  39
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ..............  44 ................  56

6/STREAMFLOW...
APRIL THROUGH JULY STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS OF MARCH 1ST ARE FORECAST TO BE MUCH BELOW
AVERAGE. FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA STREAMFLOW FORECASTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IF A TYPICAL PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
EXPERIENCED THROUGH EARLY SPRING. FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA STREAMFLOWS ON
THE VIRGIN RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. ALL
LOCATIONS SAW DROPS IN STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FROM FEBRUARY 1ST TO
MARCH 1ST.

MARCH 1ST STREAMFLOW FORECASTS WERE HIGHEST ON THE SNAKE RIVER AT 66
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND LOWEST IN EASTERN NEVADA AT 15 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE ON STEPTOE CREEK NEAR ELY. THE CARSON RIVER AT CARSON CITY
AND HUMBOLDT RIVER AT IMLAY ARE BOTH FORECAST TO BE 16 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE VIRGIN RIVER AT LITTLEFIELD IN THE LOWER COLORADO BASIN
IS FORECAST TO BE 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

BELOW ARE FORECASTS FOR SELECTED RIVER POINTS ACROSS NEVADA AND
EASTERN CALIFORNIA. SOME CONTAIN BOTH THE NRCS FORECAST AND NWS
FORECAST PROVIDED BY THE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION SYSTEM AT
THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THE FORECASTS MAY
DIFFER SLIGHTLY BASED ON FORECAST METHODOLOGY.

                      PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL TO JULY STREAMFLOW
                        MOST PROBABLE FORECAST AS OF MAR 1 2015
                          (50 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDANCE)
BASIN                                 NRCS    NWS
LAKE TAHOE RISE ...................... 31 ...  5  .. 0.4 FOOT RISE (NRCS)
TRUCKEE RIVER ........................ 37 ... 40  .. FARAD
CARSON RIVER ......................... 16 ... 19  .. CARSON CITY
WEST WALKER RIVER .................... 38 ... 44
EAST WALKER RIVER .................... 27 ... 25
NORTHERN GREAT ....................... 26 ... NA  .. MCDERMITT
UPPER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 36 ... 46  .. PALISADE
LOWER HUMBOLDT RIVER ................. 16 ... 24  .. IMLAY
CLOVER VALLEY AND FRANKLIN RIVER ..... 38 ... NA
SNAKE RIVER .......................... 66 ... 61@
OWYHEE RIVER ......................... 27 ... 33@
EASTERN NEVADA ....................... 15 ... NA  .. ELY
LOWER COLORADO RIVER ................. 34 ... 29* .. LITTLEFIELD
SUSAN RIVER........................... NA ... 21  .. SUSANVILLE
MIDDLE FORK FEATHER RIVER............. NA ...  1  .. PORTOLA

NA - FORECAST EITHER NOT PROVIDED OR NOT PRODUCED FOR THIS LOCATION
*  - VIRGIN RIVER NWS FORECAST PROVIDED BY CBRFC IN SALT LAKE CITY
@  - SNAKE AND OWYHEE RIVER NWS FORECASTS PRODUCED BY NWRFC IN
     PORTLAND

7/ DROUGHT STATUS...
AS OF MARCH 3 2015...THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIED
MUCH OF WESTERN NEVADA...INCLUDING CHURCHILL...PERSHING...STOREY...
CARSON CITY...DOUGLAS...MINERAL...WESTERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN WASHOE
COUNTIES IN NEVADA AS IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT /LEVEL 4 OF 4 LEVELS OF
DROUGHT/. IN CALIFORNIA...MUCH OF LASSEN...PARTS OF PLUMAS...
SIERRA...NEVADA...PLACER...EL DORADO COUNTIES...ALL OF ALPINE AND
MONO COUNTIES AND A SMALL PART OF NORTHERN INYO COUNTY WERE
CLASSIFIED IN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA WAS CLASSIFIED AS IN EXTREME DROUGHT
/LEVEL 3 OF 4 LEVELS OF DROUGHT/. IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...
PARTS OF ELKO...EUREKA AND NYE COUNTIES WERE CLASSIFIED AS HAVING
EXTREME DROUGHT WHILE THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
WAS CLASSIFIED AS HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT. FAR SOUTHEAST
INYO COUNTY AND MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WERE ALSO NOTED AS
HAVING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT AREAS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER WHICH WERE CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY.

POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT IN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA
INCLUDE...

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS COMING SUMMER...AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND FUELS
DRY.

POSSIBLE WATER SUPPLY DEFICITS...RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS LOW AND
WATER SUPPLY COULD BECOME AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS SPRING
AND SUMMER IF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLY CONCERNS WOULD BE HIGHEST ON BASINS WITHOUT
RESERVOIR STORAGE.

8/ LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION HAS EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION IS FORECAST TO
HAVE EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR...ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION.

9/ FOR MORE DETAILED WATER SUPPLY AND STREAMFLOW FORECAST
INFORMATION FOR NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA...PLEASE REFER TO THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITES /NOTE...ALL LETTERS IN WEB SITE ADDRESSES ARE
LOWER CASE/...

NWS CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_SUPPLY.PHP

NEVADA NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NV.NRCS.USDA.GOV/SNOW/

CALIFORNIA DEPT. OF WATER RESOURCES...
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/

NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG RANGE OUTLOOK MAPS...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...INCLUDING U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://DROUGHT.GOV/

NNNN






  [top]

000
FGUS76 KSTO 052151
ESFSTO
CAC003-005-007-009-011-017-021-033-035-057-061-063-067-077-089-
091-095-099-101-103-109-113-115-062200-

WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
151 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL EXPECTED FOR CALIFORNIA THIS
SPRING...

THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR ALL BASINS
IN CALIFORNIA AND THE UPPER KLAMATH LAKE BASIN IN OREGON.  LOW
SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS DUE TO PROLONGED DROUGHT AND/OR BELOW
NORMAL SNOWPACKS ARE MINIMIZING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.  IT
APPEARS THAT CALIFORNIA WILL HAVE TO ENDURE ITS FOURTH
CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF BELOW AVERAGE SPRING RUNOFF.

THE APRIL 1ST AVERAGE SNOWPACK IS MUCH WORSE THAN AT THIS TIME
LAST YEAR.  VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE STATE BENEFITED FROM EXCELLENT
DECEMBER PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER, JANUARY TURNED OUT TO BE VERY DRY.
SOME RELIEF OCCURRED DURING FEBRUARY AND THE BEGINNING OF MARCH
PREDOMINANTLY OVER THE NORTH HALF OF THE STATE.  MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION THAT FELL DURING DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY WAS WARM IN
NATURE, INCREASING STORAGE TO MANY RESERVOIRS BUT ADDING LITTLE
TO THE MOUNTAIN SNOW PACK.  IT WILL TAKE A SERIES OF STRONG, COLD
STORM SYSTEMS TO RETURN THE SNOWPACK TO NORMAL CONDITIONS BY
APRIL 1ST...WHICH IS THE TYPICAL TIME OF MAXIMUM SNOWPACK
ACCUMULATION.  IT APPEARS VERY UNLIKELY THAT SNOWPACKS CAN RECOVER
FROM THE CURRENT DEFICIT THIS LATE INTO THE WET SEASON. NOTE THAT
FLOODING COULD STILL RESULT FROM HEAVY RAINFALL ALONE OR
COMBINED WITH SNOWMELT ANYTIME BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY APRIL.


PRECIPITATION...
NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FELL ON MUCH OF THE REGION
DURING FEBRUARY 2015.  HOWEVER...THE WATER YEAR AVERAGE IS
VERY LOW FOR WATERSHEDS IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA, PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL COAST AND THE SOUTH COAST.

                   PERCENT OF AVG PCPN         PERCENT OF AVG PCPN
BASIN                 FEBRUARY 2015               WATER YEAR 2015
UPPER KLAMATH              108                           99
LOWER KLAMATH              159                           98
TRINITY                     82                           62
EEL RIVER                  123                           93
RUSSIAN                     69                           86
NAPA                        67                           90
SF BAY AREA                118                           95
UPPER SACRAMENTO           129                          102
FEATHER                     95                           79
YUBA                        79                           77
AMERICAN                    79                           73
MOKELUMNE                  102                           81
STANISLAUS                  82                           59
TUOLUMNE                    72                           57
MERCED                      65                           45
UPPER SAN JOAQUIN           53                           56
KINGS                       76                           56
KAWEAH                      67                           58
KERN                        52                           53
CENTRAL COAST
    SANTA CRUZ              46                           81
    PAJARO RIVER            46                           93
    SALINAS RIVER           62                           91
    SAN LUIS OBISPO         45                           58
    SANTA YNEZ              11                           48
SOUTH COAST
    SANTA BARBARA COAST     23                           67
    VENTURA LA COASTAL      24                           69
    SANTA CLARA RIVER       18                           73
    LOS ANGELES RIVER       22                           60
    SANTA ANA RIVER         20                           61
    SAN DIEGO BASIN         18                           64

SOUTH EAST DESERTS
    OWENS RIVER             20                           33
    AMARGOSA                51                           88
    MOJAVE DESERT           18                           67
    MOJAVE RIVER            70                          114
    COLORADO RIVER          21                           54
    WHITEWATER RIVER        15                           35


SNOWPACK...
SNOW MEASUREMENTS TAKEN FROM SNOW COURSES CONFIRM THAT
CALIFORNIA`S MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK NOT ONLY HOLDS FAR LESS WATER THAN
NORMAL BUT IS MORE DISMAL THAN IT WAS AT THIS TIME LAST
YEAR.  CURRENTLY, IT IS AMONG THE LOWEST ON RECORD, RIVALING
THE LOW PACK YEARS OF 1977 AND 1991.

               PERCENT OF AVG SNOWPACK    PERCENT OF AVG SNOWPACK
BASIN                 MARCH 1 2014             MARCH 1 2015
NORTH COAST                13                        13
SACRAMENTO                 15                         8
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY         29                        15
TULARE LAKE                24                        18
UPPER KLAMATH*             31                        17

  * PERCENT MEDIAN AS REPORTED BY THE NRCS, PORTLAND


RESERVOIRS... UNLIKE LAST YEAR ON FEBRUARY 28...STORAGE IN MANY OF
CALIFORNIA`S MAJOR RESERVOIRS STAND AT MUCH BELOW AVERAGE...

               PERCENT OF AVG STORAGE
RESERVOIR             FEB 28 2015
SHASTA LAKE                 73
LAKE OROVILLE               73
YUBA-BULLARDS BAR           90
AMERICAN-FOLSOM LAKE       110
STANISLAUS-NEW MELONES      43
TUOLUMNE                    58
MERCED-LAKE MCCLURE         17
SAN JOAQUIN-MILLERTON LAKE  59
KINGS-PINE FLAT             33
KERN-ISABELLA               25
UPPER KLAMATH LAKE, OR     112


RUNOFF...
THE PREDOMINANTLY DRY CONDITIONS SO FAR THIS WATER YEAR ARE
REFLECTED IN THE BELOW AVERAGE RUNOFF CONDITIONS FOR
FEBRUARY 28.  THIS IS PARTICULARLY EVIDENT IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
AND TULARE LAKE REGION OF THE SIERRA NEVADA...

                 PERCENT OF AVG RUNOFF    PERCENT OF AVG RUNOFF
BASIN                 FEBRUARY 2015      OCT 1 2014-FEB 28 2015
TRINITY-SACRAMENTO          83                      80
SAN JOAQUIN                 62                      40
TULARE LAKE                 42                      32
UPPER KLAMATH               86                      85


STREAMFLOW FORECASTS...
APRIL THROUGH JULY FORECASTS DERIVED FROM ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ARE
GENERALLY MUCH BELOW AVERAGE FOR UPPER SACRAMENTO/WEST-SLOPE
SIERRA NEVADA WATERSHEDS AT THE 50 PERCENT EXCEEDENCE LEVEL.
THE APRIL THROUGH SEPTEMBER FORECAST FOR UPPER KLAMATH LAKE
IS ABOUT 71 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.


TO SUMMARIZE... THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR ALL
WATERSHEDS IN CALIFORNIA TYPICALLY AFFECTED BY SPRINGTIME
SNOWMELT...AS WELL AS OTHER REGIONS IN THE STATE WHERE SNOWMELT
IS NOT A MAJOR FACTOR IN SPRINGTIME FLOODING.  THIS IS SUPPORTED
BY LOW SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT IN MANY AREAS DUE TO PROLONGED DRY
PERIODS DURING THE PAST YEAR...MUCH BELOW AVERAGE MOUNTAIN
SNOWPACKS...AMPLE ROOM FOR STORAGE IN MANY OF THE STATE`S LARGE
RESERVOIRS...AND MUCH BELOW AVERAGE SPRING RUNOFF FORECASTS AT THE
PRESENT TIME.

CNRFC/AT
STO/CM

|

$$








000
FGUS76 KSTO 052151
ESFSTO
CAC003-005-007-009-011-017-021-033-035-057-061-063-067-077-089-
091-095-099-101-103-109-113-115-062200-

WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
151 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL EXPECTED FOR CALIFORNIA THIS
SPRING...

THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR ALL BASINS
IN CALIFORNIA AND THE UPPER KLAMATH LAKE BASIN IN OREGON.  LOW
SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS DUE TO PROLONGED DROUGHT AND/OR BELOW
NORMAL SNOWPACKS ARE MINIMIZING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.  IT
APPEARS THAT CALIFORNIA WILL HAVE TO ENDURE ITS FOURTH
CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF BELOW AVERAGE SPRING RUNOFF.

THE APRIL 1ST AVERAGE SNOWPACK IS MUCH WORSE THAN AT THIS TIME
LAST YEAR.  VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE STATE BENEFITED FROM EXCELLENT
DECEMBER PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER, JANUARY TURNED OUT TO BE VERY DRY.
SOME RELIEF OCCURRED DURING FEBRUARY AND THE BEGINNING OF MARCH
PREDOMINANTLY OVER THE NORTH HALF OF THE STATE.  MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION THAT FELL DURING DECEMBER AND FEBRUARY WAS WARM IN
NATURE, INCREASING STORAGE TO MANY RESERVOIRS BUT ADDING LITTLE
TO THE MOUNTAIN SNOW PACK.  IT WILL TAKE A SERIES OF STRONG, COLD
STORM SYSTEMS TO RETURN THE SNOWPACK TO NORMAL CONDITIONS BY
APRIL 1ST...WHICH IS THE TYPICAL TIME OF MAXIMUM SNOWPACK
ACCUMULATION.  IT APPEARS VERY UNLIKELY THAT SNOWPACKS CAN RECOVER
FROM THE CURRENT DEFICIT THIS LATE INTO THE WET SEASON. NOTE THAT
FLOODING COULD STILL RESULT FROM HEAVY RAINFALL ALONE OR
COMBINED WITH SNOWMELT ANYTIME BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY APRIL.


PRECIPITATION...
NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FELL ON MUCH OF THE REGION
DURING FEBRUARY 2015.  HOWEVER...THE WATER YEAR AVERAGE IS
VERY LOW FOR WATERSHEDS IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA, PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL COAST AND THE SOUTH COAST.

                   PERCENT OF AVG PCPN         PERCENT OF AVG PCPN
BASIN                 FEBRUARY 2015               WATER YEAR 2015
UPPER KLAMATH              108                           99
LOWER KLAMATH              159                           98
TRINITY                     82                           62
EEL RIVER                  123                           93
RUSSIAN                     69                           86
NAPA                        67                           90
SF BAY AREA                118                           95
UPPER SACRAMENTO           129                          102
FEATHER                     95                           79
YUBA                        79                           77
AMERICAN                    79                           73
MOKELUMNE                  102                           81
STANISLAUS                  82                           59
TUOLUMNE                    72                           57
MERCED                      65                           45
UPPER SAN JOAQUIN           53                           56
KINGS                       76                           56
KAWEAH                      67                           58
KERN                        52                           53
CENTRAL COAST
    SANTA CRUZ              46                           81
    PAJARO RIVER            46                           93
    SALINAS RIVER           62                           91
    SAN LUIS OBISPO         45                           58
    SANTA YNEZ              11                           48
SOUTH COAST
    SANTA BARBARA COAST     23                           67
    VENTURA LA COASTAL      24                           69
    SANTA CLARA RIVER       18                           73
    LOS ANGELES RIVER       22                           60
    SANTA ANA RIVER         20                           61
    SAN DIEGO BASIN         18                           64

SOUTH EAST DESERTS
    OWENS RIVER             20                           33
    AMARGOSA                51                           88
    MOJAVE DESERT           18                           67
    MOJAVE RIVER            70                          114
    COLORADO RIVER          21                           54
    WHITEWATER RIVER        15                           35


SNOWPACK...
SNOW MEASUREMENTS TAKEN FROM SNOW COURSES CONFIRM THAT
CALIFORNIA`S MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK NOT ONLY HOLDS FAR LESS WATER THAN
NORMAL BUT IS MORE DISMAL THAN IT WAS AT THIS TIME LAST
YEAR.  CURRENTLY, IT IS AMONG THE LOWEST ON RECORD, RIVALING
THE LOW PACK YEARS OF 1977 AND 1991.

               PERCENT OF AVG SNOWPACK    PERCENT OF AVG SNOWPACK
BASIN                 MARCH 1 2014             MARCH 1 2015
NORTH COAST                13                        13
SACRAMENTO                 15                         8
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY         29                        15
TULARE LAKE                24                        18
UPPER KLAMATH*             31                        17

  * PERCENT MEDIAN AS REPORTED BY THE NRCS, PORTLAND


RESERVOIRS... UNLIKE LAST YEAR ON FEBRUARY 28...STORAGE IN MANY OF
CALIFORNIA`S MAJOR RESERVOIRS STAND AT MUCH BELOW AVERAGE...

               PERCENT OF AVG STORAGE
RESERVOIR             FEB 28 2015
SHASTA LAKE                 73
LAKE OROVILLE               73
YUBA-BULLARDS BAR           90
AMERICAN-FOLSOM LAKE       110
STANISLAUS-NEW MELONES      43
TUOLUMNE                    58
MERCED-LAKE MCCLURE         17
SAN JOAQUIN-MILLERTON LAKE  59
KINGS-PINE FLAT             33
KERN-ISABELLA               25
UPPER KLAMATH LAKE, OR     112


RUNOFF...
THE PREDOMINANTLY DRY CONDITIONS SO FAR THIS WATER YEAR ARE
REFLECTED IN THE BELOW AVERAGE RUNOFF CONDITIONS FOR
FEBRUARY 28.  THIS IS PARTICULARLY EVIDENT IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
AND TULARE LAKE REGION OF THE SIERRA NEVADA...

                 PERCENT OF AVG RUNOFF    PERCENT OF AVG RUNOFF
BASIN                 FEBRUARY 2015      OCT 1 2014-FEB 28 2015
TRINITY-SACRAMENTO          83                      80
SAN JOAQUIN                 62                      40
TULARE LAKE                 42                      32
UPPER KLAMATH               86                      85


STREAMFLOW FORECASTS...
APRIL THROUGH JULY FORECASTS DERIVED FROM ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ARE
GENERALLY MUCH BELOW AVERAGE FOR UPPER SACRAMENTO/WEST-SLOPE
SIERRA NEVADA WATERSHEDS AT THE 50 PERCENT EXCEEDENCE LEVEL.
THE APRIL THROUGH SEPTEMBER FORECAST FOR UPPER KLAMATH LAKE
IS ABOUT 71 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.


TO SUMMARIZE... THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR ALL
WATERSHEDS IN CALIFORNIA TYPICALLY AFFECTED BY SPRINGTIME
SNOWMELT...AS WELL AS OTHER REGIONS IN THE STATE WHERE SNOWMELT
IS NOT A MAJOR FACTOR IN SPRINGTIME FLOODING.  THIS IS SUPPORTED
BY LOW SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT IN MANY AREAS DUE TO PROLONGED DRY
PERIODS DURING THE PAST YEAR...MUCH BELOW AVERAGE MOUNTAIN
SNOWPACKS...AMPLE ROOM FOR STORAGE IN MANY OF THE STATE`S LARGE
RESERVOIRS...AND MUCH BELOW AVERAGE SPRING RUNOFF FORECASTS AT THE
PRESENT TIME.

CNRFC/AT
STO/CM

|

$$







  [top]

000
FGUS86 KSTO 052100
RVSLSC
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
100 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...Little Change Expected On The Lower Sacramento River...

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


CAC067-101-113-062100-
100 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Verona 03/05 11:45 stage 11.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 11.0 FT thru near Saturday noon.
 Monitor stage MSG ft, Flood stage 41.3 ft


$$

CAC067-113-062100-
100 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 I Street Bridge 03/05 12:00 stage 2.9 ft

    THU     03/05
02 45 PM          2.6
07 15 PM          3.8
    FRI     03/06
03 30 AM          2.5
08 00 AM          3.5
03 15 PM          2.6
08 00 PM          3.8
    SAT     03/07
03 45 AM          2.6
08 30 AM          3.6


 MONITOR STAGE 25.0 FT, FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT



$$




  [top]

000
FGUS86 KSTO 052059
RVSUSA
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1259 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...Little Change Expected on the Upper Sacramento River...

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


CAC103-062059-
1259 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River Above
 Bend Bridge 03/05 11:45 stage 1.1 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 1.0 FT thru near tomorrow noon.
 Monitor stage 22.0 ft, Flood stage 27.0 ft


$$

CAC103-062059-
1259 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Tehama Bridge 03/05 12:00 stage 200.6 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 200.5 FT thru near tomorrow noon.
 Monitor stage 210.0 ft, Flood stage 213.0 ft


$$

CAC103-062058-
1259 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Vina Woodson Bridge 03/05 12:45 stage 166.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 166.0 FT thru near tomorrow noon.
 Monitor stage 180.0 ft, Flood stage 183.0 ft


$$

CAC007-021-062058-
1259 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Ord Ferry 03/05 12:45 stage 96.5 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 96.5 FT thru near tomorrow noon.
 Monitor stage 110.0 ft, Flood stage 114.0 ft


$$

CAC011-101-062058-
1259 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Colusa Bridge 03/05 12:45 stage 41.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 41.0 FT thru near Saturday noon.
 Monitor stage 63.0 ft, Flood stage 70.0 ft


$$





000
SRUS46 KMFR 051815
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      85 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.84 FT /      62 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.39 FT /    1629 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.62 FT /    1767 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.48 FT /     319 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.43 FT /     399 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.53 FT /    3074 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.17 FT /     490 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.12 FT /     376 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.03 FT /     840 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.42 FT /    1210 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.68 FT /      61 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.76 FT /    1213 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.21 FT /    2212 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.42 FT /      63 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 4.95 FT /    3799 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 8.43 FT AT 09:00 AM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.20 FT /    1106 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.28 FT /     407 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 5.70 FT /    2798 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
FGUS86 KSTO 051505
RVSLSC
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
705 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...Little Change Expected On The Lower Sacramento River...

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


CAC067-101-113-061505-
705 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Verona 03/05 06:45 stage 11.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 11.0 FT thru Saturday morning.
 Monitor stage MSG ft, Flood stage 41.3 ft


$$

CAC067-113-061505-
705 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 I Street Bridge 03/05 06:00 stage 3.2 ft

    THU     03/05
07 45 AM          3.5
02 45 PM          2.6
07 15 PM          3.8
    FRI     03/06
03 30 AM          2.5
08 00 AM          3.5
03 15 PM          2.6
08 00 PM          3.8
    SAT     03/07
03 45 AM          2.6


 MONITOR STAGE 25.0 FT, FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT



$$





000
FGUS86 KSTO 051505
RVSLSC
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
705 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...Little Change Expected On The Lower Sacramento River...

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


CAC067-101-113-061505-
705 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Verona 03/05 06:45 stage 11.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 11.0 FT thru Saturday morning.
 Monitor stage MSG ft, Flood stage 41.3 ft


$$

CAC067-113-061505-
705 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 I Street Bridge 03/05 06:00 stage 3.2 ft

    THU     03/05
07 45 AM          3.5
02 45 PM          2.6
07 15 PM          3.8
    FRI     03/06
03 30 AM          2.5
08 00 AM          3.5
03 15 PM          2.6
08 00 PM          3.8
    SAT     03/07
03 45 AM          2.6


 MONITOR STAGE 25.0 FT, FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT



$$





000
FGUS86 KSTO 051459
RVSUSA
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...Little Change Expected on the Upper Sacramento River...

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


CAC103-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River Above
 Bend Bridge 03/05 05:45 stage 1.1 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 1.0 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 22.0 ft, Flood stage 27.0 ft


$$

CAC103-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Tehama Bridge 03/05 06:00 stage 200.6 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 200.5 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 210.0 ft, Flood stage 213.0 ft


$$

CAC103-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Vina Woodson Bridge 03/05 06:45 stage 166.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 166.0 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 180.0 ft, Flood stage 183.0 ft


$$

CAC007-021-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Ord Ferry 03/05 06:45 stage 96.5 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 96.5 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 110.0 ft, Flood stage 114.0 ft


$$

CAC011-101-061458-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Colusa Bridge 03/05 06:45 stage 41.3 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 41.0 FT thru Saturday morning.
 Monitor stage 63.0 ft, Flood stage 70.0 ft


$$





000
FGUS86 KSTO 051459
RVSUSA
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

...Little Change Expected on the Upper Sacramento River...

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


CAC103-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River Above
 Bend Bridge 03/05 05:45 stage 1.1 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 1.0 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 22.0 ft, Flood stage 27.0 ft


$$

CAC103-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Tehama Bridge 03/05 06:00 stage 200.6 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 200.5 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 210.0 ft, Flood stage 213.0 ft


$$

CAC103-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Vina Woodson Bridge 03/05 06:45 stage 166.2 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 166.0 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 180.0 ft, Flood stage 183.0 ft


$$

CAC007-021-061459-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Ord Ferry 03/05 06:45 stage 96.5 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 96.5 FT thru tomorrow morning.
 Monitor stage 110.0 ft, Flood stage 114.0 ft


$$

CAC011-101-061458-
659 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Sacramento River At
 Colusa Bridge 03/05 06:45 stage 41.3 ft
 Forecast to fluctuate near 41.0 FT thru Saturday morning.
 Monitor stage 63.0 ft, Flood stage 70.0 ft


$$




  [top]

000
FGUS86 KSTO 051414
RVSSTO

DELTA TIDE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
613 AM PLT THU MAR 05 2015

NEXT ISSUANCE: FRIDAY, MARCH 06, 2015 AT 9AM PLT



ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS

*********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-

*********************************************************************
      RIO VISTA                   ANTIOCH
       [RVBC1]                    [ATIC1]
      THU 03/05                  THU 03/05
 10 00  AM       2.9         9 15  AM       2.4
  3 45  PM       5.7         3 00  PM       5.3
 10 45  PM       2.3        10 00  PM       1.9
      FRI 03/06                  FRI 03/06
  4 30  AM       5.4         4 00  AM       5.1
 10 45  AM       2.8        10 00  AM       2.4
  4 15  PM       5.5         3 45  PM       5.3
 11 00  PM       2.5        10 30  PM       2.1
      SAT 03/07                  SAT 03/07
  4 45  AM       5.5         4 30  AM       5.2
 11 15  AM       2.8        10 45  AM       2.4
  5 00  PM       5.3         4 30  PM       5.1

    MALLARD ISLAND             VENICE ISLAND
       [MLIC1]                    [VNCC1]
      THU 03/05                  THU 03/05
  8 45  AM       2.0        11 30  AM       3.0
  2 15  PM       5.4         5 15  PM       5.4
  9 15  PM       1.4
      FRI 03/06                  FRI 03/06
  3 15  AM       5.0        12 15  AM       2.7
  9 15  AM       1.9         6 15  AM       5.2
  2 45  PM       5.3        12 15  PM       2.9
  9 30  PM       1.6         6 00  PM       5.4
      SAT 03/07                  SAT 03/07
  3 30  AM       5.1        12 45  AM       2.8
  9 45  AM       1.9         6 30  AM       5.3
  3 15  PM       5.3        12 45  PM       2.8
                             6 30  PM       5.3

   I STREET BRIDGE
       [SACC1]
      THU 03/05
  7 45  AM       3.5
  2 45  PM       2.6
  7 15  PM       3.8
      FRI 03/06
  3 30  AM       2.5
  8 00  AM       3.5
  3 15  PM       2.6
  8 00  PM       3.8
      SAT 03/07
  3 45  AM       2.6
  8 30  AM       3.6
  4 00  PM       2.6

ALL THOSE AFFECTED BY RIVER CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND FOR POSSIBLE FORECAST REVISIONS.

KH

.AR SACC1 20150305 DH1300/DC201503051413/HG        2.9 :OBSERVED
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH1545/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.5
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH2245/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH0315/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.8
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH1130/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.5
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH1600/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.5
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH2315/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150307 DH0400/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.8
.AR SACC1 20150307 DH1145/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150307 DH1630/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.6
.AR SACC1 20150308 DH0000/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        5.2 :OBSERVED
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH1930/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   3.0
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH0115/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH0815/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.7
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH1415/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.2
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH2015/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.9
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH0200/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH0845/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH1430/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH2045/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR VNCC1 20150308 DH0230/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        3.2 :OBSERVED
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH1645/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.0
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH2215/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH0515/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.4
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH1115/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.0
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH1715/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH2245/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH0530/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.6
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH1130/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH1745/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH2315/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        3.9 :OBSERVED
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH1715/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH2300/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH0600/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH1200/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH1800/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH2345/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150307 DH0630/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.1
.AR ATIC1 20150307 DH1230/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.2
.AR ATIC1 20150307 DH1845/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150308 DH0030/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        4.8 :OBSERVED
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH1800/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.9
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH2345/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.7
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH0645/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.3
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH1230/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH1845/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH0015/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.5
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH0700/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.5
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH1245/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.5
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH1915/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR RVBC1 20150308 DH0100/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3

$$




000
FGUS86 KSTO 051414
RVSSTO

DELTA TIDE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
613 AM PLT THU MAR 05 2015

NEXT ISSUANCE: FRIDAY, MARCH 06, 2015 AT 9AM PLT



ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS

*********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-

*********************************************************************
      RIO VISTA                   ANTIOCH
       [RVBC1]                    [ATIC1]
      THU 03/05                  THU 03/05
 10 00  AM       2.9         9 15  AM       2.4
  3 45  PM       5.7         3 00  PM       5.3
 10 45  PM       2.3        10 00  PM       1.9
      FRI 03/06                  FRI 03/06
  4 30  AM       5.4         4 00  AM       5.1
 10 45  AM       2.8        10 00  AM       2.4
  4 15  PM       5.5         3 45  PM       5.3
 11 00  PM       2.5        10 30  PM       2.1
      SAT 03/07                  SAT 03/07
  4 45  AM       5.5         4 30  AM       5.2
 11 15  AM       2.8        10 45  AM       2.4
  5 00  PM       5.3         4 30  PM       5.1

    MALLARD ISLAND             VENICE ISLAND
       [MLIC1]                    [VNCC1]
      THU 03/05                  THU 03/05
  8 45  AM       2.0        11 30  AM       3.0
  2 15  PM       5.4         5 15  PM       5.4
  9 15  PM       1.4
      FRI 03/06                  FRI 03/06
  3 15  AM       5.0        12 15  AM       2.7
  9 15  AM       1.9         6 15  AM       5.2
  2 45  PM       5.3        12 15  PM       2.9
  9 30  PM       1.6         6 00  PM       5.4
      SAT 03/07                  SAT 03/07
  3 30  AM       5.1        12 45  AM       2.8
  9 45  AM       1.9         6 30  AM       5.3
  3 15  PM       5.3        12 45  PM       2.8
                             6 30  PM       5.3

   I STREET BRIDGE
       [SACC1]
      THU 03/05
  7 45  AM       3.5
  2 45  PM       2.6
  7 15  PM       3.8
      FRI 03/06
  3 30  AM       2.5
  8 00  AM       3.5
  3 15  PM       2.6
  8 00  PM       3.8
      SAT 03/07
  3 45  AM       2.6
  8 30  AM       3.6
  4 00  PM       2.6

ALL THOSE AFFECTED BY RIVER CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND FOR POSSIBLE FORECAST REVISIONS.

KH

.AR SACC1 20150305 DH1300/DC201503051413/HG        2.9 :OBSERVED
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH1545/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.5
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH2245/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH0315/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.8
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH1130/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.5
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH1600/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.5
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH2315/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150307 DH0400/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.8
.AR SACC1 20150307 DH1145/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150307 DH1630/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   3.6
.AR SACC1 20150308 DH0000/DC201503051413/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        5.2 :OBSERVED
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH1930/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   3.0
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH0115/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH0815/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.7
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH1415/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.2
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH2015/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.9
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH0200/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH0845/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH1430/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH2045/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR VNCC1 20150308 DH0230/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        3.2 :OBSERVED
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH1645/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.0
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH2215/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH0515/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.4
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH1115/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.0
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH1715/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH2245/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH0530/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.6
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH1130/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH1745/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR MLIC1 20150307 DH2315/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        3.9 :OBSERVED
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH1715/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH2300/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH0600/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH1200/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH1800/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH2345/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150307 DH0630/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.1
.AR ATIC1 20150307 DH1230/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.2
.AR ATIC1 20150307 DH1845/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150308 DH0030/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503051413/HG        4.8 :OBSERVED
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH1800/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.9
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH2345/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.7
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH0645/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.3
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH1230/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH1845/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH0015/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.5
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH0700/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.5
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH1245/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.5
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH1915/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR RVBC1 20150308 DH0100/DC201503051413/HGIFEZZ   5.3

$$




000
SRUS46 KMFR 051215
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.85 FT /      83 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.85 FT /      64 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.41 FT /    1650 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.64 FT /    1789 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.49 FT /     323 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.43 FT /     399 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.54 FT /    3090 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.19 FT /     499 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.13 FT /     381 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.03 FT /     840 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.45 FT /    1235 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.69 FT /      62 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.80 FT /    1264 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.22 FT /    2226 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.45 FT /      68 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 4.99 FT /    3862 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 10.30 FT AT 03:00 AM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.34 FT /    1146 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.40 FT /     428 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.60 FT /    3360 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 2.91 FT /     122 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 050615
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 PM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.85 FT /      83 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /    1300 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      66 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.40 FT /    1639 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.65 FT /    1799 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.49 FT /     323 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.46 FT /     406 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.57 FT /    3139 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.22 FT /     512 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.14 FT /     386 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.07 FT /     857 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.48 FT /    1259 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.70 FT /      63 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.84 FT /    1315 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.24 FT /    2255 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.46 FT /      69 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.04 FT /    3942 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 7.51 FT AT 09:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.31 FT /    1137 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.49 FT /     444 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 5.37 FT /    2703 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 2.97 FT /     133 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 050615
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 PM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.85 FT /      83 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /    1300 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      66 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.40 FT /    1639 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.65 FT /    1799 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.73 FT /     235 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.49 FT /     323 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.46 FT /     406 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.57 FT /    3139 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.22 FT /     512 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.14 FT /     386 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.07 FT /     857 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.48 FT /    1259 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.70 FT /      63 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.84 FT /    1315 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.24 FT /    2255 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.46 FT /      69 CFS  AT  09:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.04 FT /    3942 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 7.51 FT AT 09:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.31 FT /    1137 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.49 FT /     444 CFS  AT  09:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 5.37 FT /    2703 CFS  AT  09:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 2.97 FT /     133 CFS  AT  09:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 050015
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 PM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.88 FT /      87 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      66 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.43 FT /    1672 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.64 FT /    1789 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.74 FT /     238 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.50 FT /     328 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.49 FT /     414 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.59 FT /    3172 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.24 FT /     520 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.15 FT /     391 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.07 FT /     857 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.51 FT /    1283 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.70 FT /      63 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.84 FT /    1315 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.26 FT /    2284 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.47 FT /      71 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.08 FT /    4005 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 9.40 FT AT 03:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.52 FT /    1198 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.60 FT /     463 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.54 FT /    3354 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 050015
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 PM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.88 FT /      87 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.66 FT /    1290 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      66 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.43 FT /    1672 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.64 FT /    1789 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.74 FT /     238 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.50 FT /     328 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.49 FT /     414 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.59 FT /    3172 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.24 FT /     520 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.15 FT /     391 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.07 FT /     857 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.51 FT /    1283 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.70 FT /      63 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.84 FT /    1315 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.26 FT /    2284 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.47 FT /      71 CFS  AT  03:00 PM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.08 FT /    4005 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 9.40 FT AT 03:00 PM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.52 FT /    1198 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.60 FT /     463 CFS  AT  03:45 PM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.54 FT /    3354 CFS  AT  03:30 PM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  03:15 PM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 041815
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.87 FT /      86 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /    1300 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      66 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.41 FT /    1650 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.66 FT /    1810 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.74 FT /     238 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.50 FT /     328 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.51 FT /     420 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.60 FT /    3189 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.26 FT /     529 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.16 FT /     396 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.11 FT /     877 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.55 FT /    1316 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.71 FT /      64 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.88 FT /    1366 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.28 FT /    2312 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.49 FT /      74 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.13 FT /    4085 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 9.40 FT AT 09:00 AM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.42 FT /    1169 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.66 FT /     473 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 6.30 FT /    2977 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 041815
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.87 FT /      86 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /    1300 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.86 FT /      66 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.41 FT /    1650 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.66 FT /    1810 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.74 FT /     238 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.50 FT /     328 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.51 FT /     420 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.60 FT /    3189 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.26 FT /     529 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.16 FT /     396 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.11 FT /     877 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.55 FT /    1316 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.71 FT /      64 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.88 FT /    1366 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.28 FT /    2312 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.49 FT /      74 CFS  AT  09:00 AM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.13 FT /    4085 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 9.40 FT AT 09:00 AM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.42 FT /    1169 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.66 FT /     473 CFS  AT  09:45 AM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 6.30 FT /    2977 CFS  AT  09:30 AM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.09 FT /     158 CFS  AT  09:15 AM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
FGUS86 KSTO 041423
RVSSTO

DELTA TIDE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
623 AM PLT WED MAR 04 2015

NEXT ISSUANCE: THURSDAY, MARCH 05, 2015 AT 9AM PLT



ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS

*********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-

*********************************************************************
      RIO VISTA                   ANTIOCH
       [RVBC1]                    [ATIC1]
      WED 03/04                  WED 03/04
  9 15  AM       3.2         8 30  AM       2.7
  3 15  PM       5.9         2 30  PM       5.6
 10 15  PM       2.3         9 30  PM       1.7
      THU 03/05                  THU 03/05
  4 15  AM       5.3         3 30  AM       5.0
 10 00  AM       2.9         9 15  AM       2.4
  3 45  PM       5.6         3 00  PM       5.3
 10 45  PM       2.3        10 00  PM       1.7
      FRI 03/06                  FRI 03/06
  4 30  AM       5.3         4 00  AM       5.0
 10 45  AM       2.8        10 00  AM       2.3
  4 15  PM       5.4         3 45  PM       5.2

    MALLARD ISLAND             VENICE ISLAND
       [MLIC1]                    [VNCC1]
      WED 03/04                  WED 03/04
  8 00  AM       2.3        10 45  AM       3.3
  1 45  PM       5.6         4 45  PM       5.7
  9 00  PM       1.4        11 45  PM       2.7
      THU 03/05                  THU 03/05
  3 00  AM       4.9         5 45  AM       5.1
  8 30  AM       2.0        11 30  AM       3.0
  2 15  PM       5.4         5 15  PM       5.4
  9 15  PM       1.4
      FRI 03/06                  FRI 03/06
  3 15  AM       4.8        12 15  AM       2.8
  9 15  AM       1.9         6 00  AM       5.2
  2 45  PM       5.3        12 15  PM       2.9
                             6 00  PM       5.3

   I STREET BRIDGE
       [SACC1]
      WED 03/04
  7 15  AM       3.6
  2 00  PM       2.8
  6 45  PM       3.9
      THU 03/05
  3 00  AM       2.4
  7 45  AM       3.5
  2 45  PM       2.6
  7 15  PM       3.8
      FRI 03/06
  3 30  AM       2.3
  8 15  AM       3.5
  3 15  PM       2.5

ALL THOSE AFFECTED BY RIVER CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND FOR POSSIBLE FORECAST REVISIONS.

KH

.AR SACC1 20150304 DH1400/DC201503041423/HG        3.6 :OBSERVED
.AR SACC1 20150304 DH1515/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   3.6
.AR SACC1 20150304 DH2200/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   2.8
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH0245/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   3.9
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH1100/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   2.4
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH1545/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   3.5
.AR SACC1 20150305 DH2245/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   2.6
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH0315/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   3.8
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH1130/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   2.3
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH1615/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   3.5
.AR SACC1 20150306 DH2315/DC201503041423/HGIFZZZ   2.5
.AR VNCC1 20150304 DH1345/DC201503041423/HG        5.3 :OBSERVED
.AR VNCC1 20150304 DH1845/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   3.3
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH0045/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.7
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH0745/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.7
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH1345/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.1
.AR VNCC1 20150305 DH1930/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   3.0
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH0115/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH0815/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH1400/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.2
.AR VNCC1 20150306 DH2015/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.9
.AR VNCC1 20150307 DH0200/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR MLIC1 20150304 DH1400/DC201503041423/HG        3.0 :OBSERVED
.AR MLIC1 20150304 DH1600/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.3
.AR MLIC1 20150304 DH2145/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.6
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH0500/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   1.4
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH1100/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   4.9
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH1630/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.0
.AR MLIC1 20150305 DH2215/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.4
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH0515/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   1.4
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH1115/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   4.8
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH1715/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   1.9
.AR MLIC1 20150306 DH2245/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150304 DH1400/DC201503041423/HG        3.7 :OBSERVED
.AR ATIC1 20150304 DH1630/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.7
.AR ATIC1 20150304 DH2230/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.6
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH0530/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   1.7
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH1130/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.0
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH1715/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.4
.AR ATIC1 20150305 DH2300/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH0600/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   1.7
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH1200/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.0
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH1800/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.3
.AR ATIC1 20150306 DH2345/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.2
.AR RVBC1 20150304 DH1400/DC201503041423/HG        4.7 :OBSERVED
.AR RVBC1 20150304 DH1715/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   3.2
.AR RVBC1 20150304 DH2315/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.9
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH0615/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.3
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH1215/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH1800/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.9
.AR RVBC1 20150305 DH2345/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.6
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH0645/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.3
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH1230/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.3
.AR RVBC1 20150306 DH1845/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   2.8
.AR RVBC1 20150307 DH0015/DC201503041423/HGIFEZZ   5.4

$$




000
SRUS46 KMFR 041215
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.89 FT /      88 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /    1300 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.87 FT /      68 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.43 FT /    1672 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.67 FT /    1821 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.74 FT /     238 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.50 FT /     328 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.52 FT /     423 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.61 FT /    3205 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.28 FT /     537 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.18 FT /     408 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.13 FT /     890 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.58 FT /    1340 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.71 FT /      64 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.94 FT /    1443 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.30 FT /    2341 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.50 FT /      75 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.17 FT /    4148 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 9.65 FT AT 03:00 AM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.57 FT /    1212 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.83 FT /     502 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.22 FT /    3322 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.02 FT /     142 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





000
SRUS46 KMFR 041215
RVAMFR


HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

Elk Creek   - near Trail
   Most recent reading: 2.89 FT /      88 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Rogue River - at Eagle Point
   Most recent reading: 2.67 FT /    1300 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Bear Creek - at Medford
   Most recent reading: 2.87 FT /      68 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Rogue River - below Gold Ray
   Most recent reading: 1.43 FT /    1672 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Rogue River - at Grants Pass
   Most recent reading: 1.67 FT /    1821 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Applegate River - near Applegate
   Most recent reading: 1.74 FT /     238 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Applegate River - at Wilderville
   Most recent reading: 2.50 FT /     328 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Illinois River - near Kerby
   Most recent reading: 3.52 FT /     423 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Rogue River - near Agness
   Most recent reading: 3.61 FT /    3205 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Tiller
   Most recent reading: 2.28 FT /     537 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Cow Creek - near Riddle
   Most recent reading: 2.18 FT /     408 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

South Umpqua River - at    Riddle
   Most recent reading: 4.13 FT /     890 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - near Winston
   Most recent reading: 5.58 FT /    1340 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Deer Creek - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 2.71 FT /      64 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

South Umpqua River - at Roseburg
   Most recent reading: 5.94 FT /    1443 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

North Umpqua River - near Winchester
   Most recent reading: 3.30 FT /    2341 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Elk Creek - near Drain
   Most recent reading: 1.50 FT /      75 CFS  AT  03:00 AM.

Umpqua River - near Elkton
   Most recent reading: 5.17 FT /    4148 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

Umpqua River - at   Reedsport
   Most recent reading: 9.65 FT AT 03:00 AM.

South Fork Coquille - at Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.57 FT /    1212 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.

North Fork Coquille - near Myrtle Point
   Most recent reading: 6.83 FT /     502 CFS  AT  03:45 AM.

Coquille River - at Coquille
   Most recent reading: 8.22 FT /    3322 CFS  AT  03:30 AM.

Sprague River - near Beatty
   Most recent reading: 3.02 FT /     142 CFS  AT  03:15 AM.


For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.





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