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000
ATHW40 PHFO 071849
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1830 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1800 UTC JULY 07 2015

AS OF 800 AM HST...SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUED TO DEPICT THREE MAIN
AREAS OF INTEREST WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTH OF THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE MORE NOTABLE FEATURE...WHICH WILL LIKELY
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...WAS LOCATED ABOUT
1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BETWEEN 11N AND 16N FROM
137W TO 141W. THIS ACTIVITY WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS RANGED FROM -80 TO -85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.

THE SECOND AREA OF INTEREST OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE
MONSOON TROUGH WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
HILO...HAWAII. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 9N AND 12N FROM 148W
AND 151W. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS RANGED FROM -80 TO -85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT. THIS
ACTIVITY WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THE THIRD AREA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO GRADUALLY
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BETWEEN 5N AND 10N FROM 165W TO 175W. CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND RANGED FROM
-60 TO -70 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT. THIS ACTIVITY WAS SLOWLY MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED ACTIVITY
SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH HAS
TIGHTENED...WHICH HAS LED TO STRONGER TRADE WINDS OVER THE ISLANDS.
SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS WERE SHOWN TRACKING WESTWARD WITHIN THE
TRADE WINDS AT OR AROUND 20 MPH. MOST OF THE CLOUD COVERAGE ACROSS
THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN MOSTLY FOCUSED ALONG THE WINDWARD
COASTS OF THE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WERE DEPICTED.
CLOUD TOPS RANGED FROM 10 TO 15 THOUSAND FEET OR LESS.

A BAND OF CUMULUS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDED SOUTHWEST FROM 30N163W TO 24N171W. THE LEADING
EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS APPROXIMATELY 540 MILES NORTHWEST OF
KAUAI. THIS BAND WAS GRADUALLY TRACKING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM
CLOUD TOPS WERE AROUND 15 TO 20 THOUSAND FEET WITHIN THIS BAND.

$$

AG





000
ATHW40 PHFO 071849
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1830 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1800 UTC JULY 07 2015

AS OF 800 AM HST...SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUED TO DEPICT THREE MAIN
AREAS OF INTEREST WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTH OF THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE MORE NOTABLE FEATURE...WHICH WILL LIKELY
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...WAS LOCATED ABOUT
1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BETWEEN 11N AND 16N FROM
137W TO 141W. THIS ACTIVITY WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS RANGED FROM -80 TO -85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.

THE SECOND AREA OF INTEREST OR AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE
MONSOON TROUGH WAS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
HILO...HAWAII. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 9N AND 12N FROM 148W
AND 151W. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS RANGED FROM -80 TO -85 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT. THIS
ACTIVITY WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THE THIRD AREA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
HONOLULU...HAWAII. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO GRADUALLY
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BETWEEN 5N AND 10N FROM 165W TO 175W. CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND RANGED FROM
-60 TO -70 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT. THIS ACTIVITY WAS SLOWLY MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED ACTIVITY
SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH HAS
TIGHTENED...WHICH HAS LED TO STRONGER TRADE WINDS OVER THE ISLANDS.
SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS WERE SHOWN TRACKING WESTWARD WITHIN THE
TRADE WINDS AT OR AROUND 20 MPH. MOST OF THE CLOUD COVERAGE ACROSS
THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN MOSTLY FOCUSED ALONG THE WINDWARD
COASTS OF THE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WERE DEPICTED.
CLOUD TOPS RANGED FROM 10 TO 15 THOUSAND FEET OR LESS.

A BAND OF CUMULUS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDED SOUTHWEST FROM 30N163W TO 24N171W. THE LEADING
EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS APPROXIMATELY 540 MILES NORTHWEST OF
KAUAI. THIS BAND WAS GRADUALLY TRACKING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM
CLOUD TOPS WERE AROUND 15 TO 20 THOUSAND FEET WITHIN THIS BAND.

$$

AG





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000
FXHW60 PHFO 071403
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST TUE JUL 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS FAR NORTH OF THE STATE. LOW CLOUDS AND PASSING
SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS AND MAY REACH THE LEE
AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS AS THE WINDS STRENGTHEN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TRADE WIND WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLANDS EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY
WINDWARD AREAS. SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS
REACHING WINDWARD BIG ISLAND EARLIER THIS MORNING...BRINGING A
LITTLE MORE SHOWERS TO THAT AREA. THESE CLOUDS WILL SPREAD WEST AS
THE DAY PROGRESSES...AND MAY REACH MAUI COUNTY LATER THIS MORNING.
EARLY MORNING LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDINGS BOTH REVEALED A TYPICAL TRADE
WIND WEATHER PROFILE...WITH A SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHILE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IS A LITTLE LACKING ON THE LIHUE SOUNDING. EXPECT
TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY...AS AREAS OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAIN FAR NORTH OF THE STATE.

IN FACT...TRADE WINDS ARE FIRMING UP SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREAS FAR NORTH
CONSOLIDATE. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AIR MASS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE AS
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY EAST OF THE STATE IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT WEST IN THE COMING DAYS. REGARDLESS...TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH PASSING
LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS.
MODERATE SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP UNDER THE MORE FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS...THOUGH THESE SHOWERS WILL BE MOVING SWIFTLY UNDER THE
MODERATE WINDS. SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY ALSO REACH THE LEE AREAS OF
THE SMALLER ISLANDS UNDER THE WINDS.

A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1300
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO
MAKE THE FORECAST FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK MUCH MORE
CHALLENGING AS LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS STILL HAVE THIS FEATURE MOVING
WEST NORTHWEST...POSSIBLY REACHING THE VICINITY OF THE STATE TOWARD
THE WEEKEND. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE A GREAT IMPACT ON
WHAT WEATHER THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE. AS A REMINDER...THE
HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE
USE CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL KEEP A MODERATE E-NE TRADE
WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS FOCUSED
PRIMARILY ACROSS MTN AND N THRU E SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T
RULE OUT SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS AT PHLI AND PHTO...BUT GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

VAD WIND PROFILE DATA FROM RADARS ACROSS THE STATE ALONG WITH THE
PHTO AND PHLI 12Z SOUNDINGS...INDICATE THAT WINDS HAVE INCREASED
ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB. AS A RESULT...HAVE
ISSUED AN AIRMET FOR MOD TURB BLW 090 OVER AND S THRU W OF MTN ALL
ISLANDS. STILL CAN/T RULE OUT THE NEED FOR AN AIRMET DUE TO MTN OBSC
LATER THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS AND
ISSUE IF NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
SOUTH FACING SHORES CONTINUES. THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL
GRADUALLY DECLINE THURSDAY. REINFORCING SOUTHWEST SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE SURF AGAIN ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES FROM
FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...THOUGH SURF HEIGHTS ALONG SOUTH FACING
SHORES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR
THE TYPICAL WINDY COASTAL ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG
ISLAND DUE TO THE WINDS. AS THE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...SMALL CRAFT WIND CONDITIONS MAY
SPREAD TO THE OTHER COASTAL ZONES LATER.

STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS COMBINED WITH INCREASING EAST AND
NORTHEAST SWELLS MAY BRING NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL SURF HEIGHTS ALONG
EAST FACING SHORES FROM FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...HUI
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 071403
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST TUE JUL 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS FAR NORTH OF THE STATE. LOW CLOUDS AND PASSING
SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS AND MAY REACH THE LEE
AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS AS THE WINDS STRENGTHEN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TRADE WIND WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLANDS EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY
WINDWARD AREAS. SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS
REACHING WINDWARD BIG ISLAND EARLIER THIS MORNING...BRINGING A
LITTLE MORE SHOWERS TO THAT AREA. THESE CLOUDS WILL SPREAD WEST AS
THE DAY PROGRESSES...AND MAY REACH MAUI COUNTY LATER THIS MORNING.
EARLY MORNING LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDINGS BOTH REVEALED A TYPICAL TRADE
WIND WEATHER PROFILE...WITH A SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHILE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IS A LITTLE LACKING ON THE LIHUE SOUNDING. EXPECT
TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY...AS AREAS OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAIN FAR NORTH OF THE STATE.

IN FACT...TRADE WINDS ARE FIRMING UP SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREAS FAR NORTH
CONSOLIDATE. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AIR MASS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE AS
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY EAST OF THE STATE IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT WEST IN THE COMING DAYS. REGARDLESS...TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH PASSING
LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS.
MODERATE SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP UNDER THE MORE FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS...THOUGH THESE SHOWERS WILL BE MOVING SWIFTLY UNDER THE
MODERATE WINDS. SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY ALSO REACH THE LEE AREAS OF
THE SMALLER ISLANDS UNDER THE WINDS.

A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1300
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO
MAKE THE FORECAST FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK MUCH MORE
CHALLENGING AS LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS STILL HAVE THIS FEATURE MOVING
WEST NORTHWEST...POSSIBLY REACHING THE VICINITY OF THE STATE TOWARD
THE WEEKEND. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE A GREAT IMPACT ON
WHAT WEATHER THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE. AS A REMINDER...THE
HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE
USE CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL KEEP A MODERATE E-NE TRADE
WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS FOCUSED
PRIMARILY ACROSS MTN AND N THRU E SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T
RULE OUT SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS AT PHLI AND PHTO...BUT GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

VAD WIND PROFILE DATA FROM RADARS ACROSS THE STATE ALONG WITH THE
PHTO AND PHLI 12Z SOUNDINGS...INDICATE THAT WINDS HAVE INCREASED
ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB. AS A RESULT...HAVE
ISSUED AN AIRMET FOR MOD TURB BLW 090 OVER AND S THRU W OF MTN ALL
ISLANDS. STILL CAN/T RULE OUT THE NEED FOR AN AIRMET DUE TO MTN OBSC
LATER THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS AND
ISSUE IF NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
SOUTH FACING SHORES CONTINUES. THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL
GRADUALLY DECLINE THURSDAY. REINFORCING SOUTHWEST SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE SURF AGAIN ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES FROM
FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...THOUGH SURF HEIGHTS ALONG SOUTH FACING
SHORES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR
THE TYPICAL WINDY COASTAL ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG
ISLAND DUE TO THE WINDS. AS THE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...SMALL CRAFT WIND CONDITIONS MAY
SPREAD TO THE OTHER COASTAL ZONES LATER.

STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS COMBINED WITH INCREASING EAST AND
NORTHEAST SWELLS MAY BRING NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL SURF HEIGHTS ALONG
EAST FACING SHORES FROM FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...HUI
AVIATION...JELSEMA





000
ATHW40 PHFO 071226
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1230 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALSO...A NEW SURFACE HIGH
NEAR 37N 167W...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH...HAS ALSO HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TOWARD THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE
TRADES INTO THE WINDWARD FACING SECTIONS OF SOME OF THE SMALLER
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 200 AM HST TUESDAY...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER KAUAI.
BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE WINDWARD
SHORES AND KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE ON OAHU. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD SHORES...LOWER WINDWARD SLOPES OF
MOUNT HALEAKALA AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22N 151W...OR ABOUT 330 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE AT LEAST THREE SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS
SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF
MOST INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATED THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED OVERNIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINED DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$

HOUSTON







000
ATHW40 PHFO 071226
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1230 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALSO...A NEW SURFACE HIGH
NEAR 37N 167W...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH...HAS ALSO HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TOWARD THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE
TRADES INTO THE WINDWARD FACING SECTIONS OF SOME OF THE SMALLER
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 200 AM HST TUESDAY...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER KAUAI.
BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE WINDWARD
SHORES AND KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE ON OAHU. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD SHORES...LOWER WINDWARD SLOPES OF
MOUNT HALEAKALA AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22N 151W...OR ABOUT 330 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE AT LEAST THREE SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS
SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF
MOST INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATED THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED OVERNIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINED DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ATHW40 PHFO 071226
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1230 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALSO...A NEW SURFACE HIGH
NEAR 37N 167W...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH...HAS ALSO HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TOWARD THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE
TRADES INTO THE WINDWARD FACING SECTIONS OF SOME OF THE SMALLER
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 200 AM HST TUESDAY...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER KAUAI.
BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE WINDWARD
SHORES AND KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE ON OAHU. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD SHORES...LOWER WINDWARD SLOPES OF
MOUNT HALEAKALA AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22N 151W...OR ABOUT 330 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE AT LEAST THREE SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS
SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF
MOST INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATED THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED OVERNIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINED DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ATHW40 PHFO 071226
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1230 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALSO...A NEW SURFACE HIGH
NEAR 37N 167W...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH...HAS ALSO HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TOWARD THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE
TRADES INTO THE WINDWARD FACING SECTIONS OF SOME OF THE SMALLER
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 200 AM HST TUESDAY...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER KAUAI.
BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE WINDWARD
SHORES AND KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE ON OAHU. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD SHORES...LOWER WINDWARD SLOPES OF
MOUNT HALEAKALA AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22N 151W...OR ABOUT 330 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE AT LEAST THREE SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS
SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF
MOST INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATED THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED OVERNIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINED DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ATHW40 PHFO 071226
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1230 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALSO...A NEW SURFACE HIGH
NEAR 37N 167W...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH...HAS ALSO HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TOWARD THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE
TRADES INTO THE WINDWARD FACING SECTIONS OF SOME OF THE SMALLER
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 200 AM HST TUESDAY...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER KAUAI.
BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE WINDWARD
SHORES AND KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE ON OAHU. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD SHORES...LOWER WINDWARD SLOPES OF
MOUNT HALEAKALA AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22N 151W...OR ABOUT 330 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE AT LEAST THREE SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS
SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF
MOST INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATED THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED OVERNIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINED DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ATHW40 PHFO 071226
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1230 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALSO...A NEW SURFACE HIGH
NEAR 37N 167W...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH...HAS ALSO HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TOWARD THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BEING TRANSPORTED BY THE
TRADES INTO THE WINDWARD FACING SECTIONS OF SOME OF THE SMALLER
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 200 AM HST TUESDAY...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR OVER KAUAI.
BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE WINDWARD
SHORES AND KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE ON OAHU. THERE WERE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD SHORES...LOWER WINDWARD SLOPES OF
MOUNT HALEAKALA AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22N 151W...OR ABOUT 330 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE AT LEAST THREE SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS
SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF
MOST INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATED THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED OVERNIGHT
ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINED DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$

HOUSTON






000
FXHW60 PHFO 070646
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TRADE WIND WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS EVENING...WITH
PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AREAS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS JUST NORTHEAST AND
EAST OF THE STATE AT THIS TIME. EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO REACH THE
ISLANDS LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HENCE LOOK
FOR A SLIGHT INCREASE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS OVERNIGHT FOR THE
STATE...THOUGH MUCH OF THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG
THE WINDWARD AREAS.

TRADE WINDS ARE RAMPING UP IN THE COMING DAYS...AS A HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES TO NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO
FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AIR MASS MAY BECOME A
LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY EAST OF THE
STATE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT WEST IN THE COMING DAYS.
REGARDLESS...STILL EXPECT TRADE WIND WEATHER TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY
WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS. MODERATE SHOWERS CAN DEVELOP UNDER THE
MORE FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS. SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY ALSO
REACH THE LEE AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS UNDER THE STRONGER WINDS.

A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1400
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND THIS EVENING WILL MAKE THE
FORECAST MUCH MORE CHALLENGING FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AS
MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO HAVE THIS FEATURE MOVING
NORTHWEST...POSSIBLY PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE TOWARD
THE WEEKEND. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE A GREAT IMPACT ON
WHAT WEATHER THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE. AS A REMINDER...THE
HURRICANE SEASON IS UPON US AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE
USE CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL KEEP A MODERATE E-NE TRADE
WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS FOCUSED
PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND N THRU E SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS.
CAN/T RULE OUT SOME MVFR CIGS AT PHLI AND PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST
PERIOD.

VAD WIND PROFILE DATA FROM RADARS ACROSS THE STATE...CONTINUES TO
INDICATE MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE
MOUNTAINS. GIVEN LACK OF ANY MODERATE TURB REPORTS...WILL HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING AN AIRMET FOR NOW. LATER TONIGHT...INCREASING MOISTURE
SEEN IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE E AND NE OF MAUI AND THE
BIG ISLAND...MAY RESULT IN SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. WILL MONITOR
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND ISSUE AN AIRMET IF NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
SOUTH FACING SHORES CONTINUE. THESE SWELLS WILL DECLINE DURING BY
THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.

STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF THE SHORT
PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO THE EAST FACING SHORES...THOUGH SURF HEIGHTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL AT THIS TIME.
SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR
THE TYPICAL WINDY COASTAL ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG
ISLAND DUE TO THE WINDS. AS THE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...SMALL CRAFT WIND CONDITIONS MAY
SPREAD TO THE OTHER COASTAL ZONES LATER.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...HUI
AVIATION...JELSEMA





000
FXHW60 PHFO 070646
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TRADE WIND WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS EVENING...WITH
PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AREAS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS JUST NORTHEAST AND
EAST OF THE STATE AT THIS TIME. EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO REACH THE
ISLANDS LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HENCE LOOK
FOR A SLIGHT INCREASE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS OVERNIGHT FOR THE
STATE...THOUGH MUCH OF THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG
THE WINDWARD AREAS.

TRADE WINDS ARE RAMPING UP IN THE COMING DAYS...AS A HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES TO NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO
FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AIR MASS MAY BECOME A
LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY EAST OF THE
STATE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT WEST IN THE COMING DAYS.
REGARDLESS...STILL EXPECT TRADE WIND WEATHER TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY
WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS. MODERATE SHOWERS CAN DEVELOP UNDER THE
MORE FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS. SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY ALSO
REACH THE LEE AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS UNDER THE STRONGER WINDS.

A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1400
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND THIS EVENING WILL MAKE THE
FORECAST MUCH MORE CHALLENGING FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AS
MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO HAVE THIS FEATURE MOVING
NORTHWEST...POSSIBLY PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE TOWARD
THE WEEKEND. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE A GREAT IMPACT ON
WHAT WEATHER THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE. AS A REMINDER...THE
HURRICANE SEASON IS UPON US AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE
USE CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL KEEP A MODERATE E-NE TRADE
WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS FOCUSED
PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND N THRU E SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS.
CAN/T RULE OUT SOME MVFR CIGS AT PHLI AND PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST
PERIOD.

VAD WIND PROFILE DATA FROM RADARS ACROSS THE STATE...CONTINUES TO
INDICATE MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE
MOUNTAINS. GIVEN LACK OF ANY MODERATE TURB REPORTS...WILL HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING AN AIRMET FOR NOW. LATER TONIGHT...INCREASING MOISTURE
SEEN IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE E AND NE OF MAUI AND THE
BIG ISLAND...MAY RESULT IN SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. WILL MONITOR
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND ISSUE AN AIRMET IF NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
SOUTH FACING SHORES CONTINUE. THESE SWELLS WILL DECLINE DURING BY
THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.

STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF THE SHORT
PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO THE EAST FACING SHORES...THOUGH SURF HEIGHTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL AT THIS TIME.
SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR
THE TYPICAL WINDY COASTAL ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG
ISLAND DUE TO THE WINDS. AS THE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...SMALL CRAFT WIND CONDITIONS MAY
SPREAD TO THE OTHER COASTAL ZONES LATER.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...HUI
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 070646
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TRADE WIND WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS EVENING...WITH
PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AREAS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS JUST NORTHEAST AND
EAST OF THE STATE AT THIS TIME. EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO REACH THE
ISLANDS LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HENCE LOOK
FOR A SLIGHT INCREASE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS OVERNIGHT FOR THE
STATE...THOUGH MUCH OF THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG
THE WINDWARD AREAS.

TRADE WINDS ARE RAMPING UP IN THE COMING DAYS...AS A HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES TO NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO
FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AIR MASS MAY BECOME A
LITTLE MORE UNSTABLE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY EAST OF THE
STATE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT WEST IN THE COMING DAYS.
REGARDLESS...STILL EXPECT TRADE WIND WEATHER TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY
WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS. MODERATE SHOWERS CAN DEVELOP UNDER THE
MORE FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS. SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY ALSO
REACH THE LEE AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS UNDER THE STRONGER WINDS.

A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1400
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND THIS EVENING WILL MAKE THE
FORECAST MUCH MORE CHALLENGING FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AS
MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO HAVE THIS FEATURE MOVING
NORTHWEST...POSSIBLY PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE TOWARD
THE WEEKEND. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE A GREAT IMPACT ON
WHAT WEATHER THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE. AS A REMINDER...THE
HURRICANE SEASON IS UPON US AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE
USE CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL KEEP A MODERATE E-NE TRADE
WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS FOCUSED
PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND N THRU E SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS.
CAN/T RULE OUT SOME MVFR CIGS AT PHLI AND PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST
PERIOD.

VAD WIND PROFILE DATA FROM RADARS ACROSS THE STATE...CONTINUES TO
INDICATE MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE
MOUNTAINS. GIVEN LACK OF ANY MODERATE TURB REPORTS...WILL HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING AN AIRMET FOR NOW. LATER TONIGHT...INCREASING MOISTURE
SEEN IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE E AND NE OF MAUI AND THE
BIG ISLAND...MAY RESULT IN SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. WILL MONITOR
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND ISSUE AN AIRMET IF NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
SOUTH FACING SHORES CONTINUE. THESE SWELLS WILL DECLINE DURING BY
THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.

STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF THE SHORT
PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO THE EAST FACING SHORES...THOUGH SURF HEIGHTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL AT THIS TIME.
SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR
THE TYPICAL WINDY COASTAL ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG
ISLAND DUE TO THE WINDS. AS THE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...SMALL CRAFT WIND CONDITIONS MAY
SPREAD TO THE OTHER COASTAL ZONES LATER.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...HUI
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
ATHW40 PHFO 070611 RRA
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0600 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 0530 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS
TOWARD THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLAND CHAIN. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 700 PM HST...BROKEN LOW CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE
NORTHEASTERN HALF OF KAUAI...WHILE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WERE
ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WERE
ALONG THE KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE...WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS ACROSS MOST OF THE REST OF OAHU. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. SKIES APPEARED TO
BE MOSTLY CLEAR ON LANAI AND THE REMAINDER OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...
BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD COAST AND LOWER WINDWARD
SLOPES OF MOUNT HALEAKALA...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS. BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS COVERED PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN UPSLOPE AND COASTAL AREAS OF THE
BIG ISLAND...AS WELL AS MOST OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE WINDWARD
BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.5N 151W...OR ABOUT 320
MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM
THIS LOW TO A POINT ABOUT 180 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT.
AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE A NUMBER OF SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS SOUTH
SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF MOST
INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUED TO
GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...SATELLITE DATA
SUGGESTED THAT THE LOW DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER
AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL
LIKELY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD
THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

PERSISTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW WERE LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS NEARLY STATIONARY SYSTEM
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON






000
ATHW40 PHFO 070611 RRA
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0600 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 0530 UTC JULY 07 2015

THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN END OF A
SURFACE RIDGE HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS BEEN
TRANSPORTING SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS
TOWARD THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLAND CHAIN. THE INDIVIDUAL LOW CLOUD
ELEMENTS OVER THE WINDWARD HAWAIIAN COASTAL WATERS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THE HIGHEST TOPS
OF THE LOW CLOUDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 THOUSAND FEET.

AS OF 700 PM HST...BROKEN LOW CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE
NORTHEASTERN HALF OF KAUAI...WHILE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WERE
ELSEWHERE ON THAT ISLAND. BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WERE
ALONG THE KOOLAU MOUNTAIN RANGE...WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS ACROSS MOST OF THE REST OF OAHU. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS COVERED MOST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF MOLOKAI. SKIES APPEARED TO
BE MOSTLY CLEAR ON LANAI AND THE REMAINDER OF MOLOKAI. ON MAUI...
BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WERE ALONG THE WINDWARD COAST AND LOWER WINDWARD
SLOPES OF MOUNT HALEAKALA...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS. BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS COVERED PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN UPSLOPE AND COASTAL AREAS OF THE
BIG ISLAND...AS WELL AS MOST OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE WINDWARD
BIG ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO LOOPS OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...A NEARLY STATIONARY
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.5N 151W...OR ABOUT 320
MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM
THIS LOW TO A POINT ABOUT 180 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT.
AS A RESULT...MID-TROPOSPHERIC WINDS ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS WERE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

THERE WERE A NUMBER OF SYSTEMS OF INTEREST IN THE DEEP TROPICS SOUTH
SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OF MOST
INTEREST TO THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WAS A LARGE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUED TO
GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...SATELLITE DATA
SUGGESTED THAT THE LOW DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER
AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL
LIKELY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD
THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

PERSISTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW WERE LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO.
THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS NEARLY STATIONARY SYSTEM
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON





000
FXHW60 PHFO 070211
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
411 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
DRIVING MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUNDINGS AT HILO AND LIHUE SHOW FAIRLY NORMAL VALUES PRECIPITABLE
WATER WITH STABLE MIDLEVEL INVERSIONS IN PLACE. RADAR INDICATES
ISOLATED PASSING WINDWARD SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS. EXPECT A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO THE WINDWARD SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT WITH THE
DIURNAL CYCLE.

THE TRADES WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK. THIS IS A RESULT OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
NORTH OF THE STATE...MERGING WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST AND
STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY. MIDLEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
STATE INTO THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCASIONALLY
CARRY IN WITH THE TRADE WINDS AND WILL FAVOR THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
THE ISLANDS. AS WINDS STRENGTHEN BY MIDWEEK...EXPECT TO SEE A FEW
MORE OF THE SHOWERS REACHING THE LEEWARD SLOPES OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

WE ARE MONITORING A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST MODELS BRING THIS FEATURE TOWARDS THE
WEST-NORTHWEST PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND WILL LIKELY BRING A CHANGE TO OUR
WEATHER DURING THIS TIME. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL GREATLY
INFLUENCE WHAT IMPACTS THERE WILL BE TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION DEVELOPS AND WILL HAVE
MORE INFORMATION IN THE COMING DAYS. AS A REMINDER THAT IT IS
HURRICANE SEASON AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE USE
CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
RADAR VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW GENERALLY 15-20KT OF WIND THROUGH THE
LOWER LEVELS...AND ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF LIH/HNL/OGG ALSO SHOW WINDS
UP TO 20 KT. A COUPLE PIREPS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATED NEGATIVE
TURBULENCE NEAR MOLOKAI AND MAUI. AN AIRMET FOR MODERATE LOW-LEVEL
TURBULENCE IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MAY BE NEEDED EVENTUALLY DUE
TO THE STRENGTHENING WINDS. AS CONDITIONS ARE BORDERLINE AND RECENT
REPORTS ARE OF SMOOTH AIR...WILL HOLD OFF ON AN AIRMET FOR NOW AND
SEE HOW CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE EVENING.

POCKETS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL ENHANCE CLOUDS
AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS PRIMARILY VFR. OCCASIONAL MVFR
CEILINGS AND BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS...
PRIMARILY ACROSS WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CLOUDS THINNED
OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT FILL BACK IN AGAIN OVERNIGHT IN A
TYPICAL TRADE WIND WEATHER PATTERN.


&&

.MARINE...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES DUE
TO A BUILDING SOUTH SWELL. SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE SWELL WILL
REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEE CFWHFO
PRODUCT ON OUR WEBSITE FOR MORE INFORMATION. ALONG THE EAST FACING
SHORES...STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK. SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO WINDS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FOR THE TYPICAL WINDY ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND.
WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AND MAY INCLUDE
OTHER ZONES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...BRAVENDER






000
FXHW60 PHFO 070211
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
411 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
DRIVING MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUNDINGS AT HILO AND LIHUE SHOW FAIRLY NORMAL VALUES PRECIPITABLE
WATER WITH STABLE MIDLEVEL INVERSIONS IN PLACE. RADAR INDICATES
ISOLATED PASSING WINDWARD SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS. EXPECT A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO THE WINDWARD SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT WITH THE
DIURNAL CYCLE.

THE TRADES WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK. THIS IS A RESULT OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
NORTH OF THE STATE...MERGING WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST AND
STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY. MIDLEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
STATE INTO THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCASIONALLY
CARRY IN WITH THE TRADE WINDS AND WILL FAVOR THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
THE ISLANDS. AS WINDS STRENGTHEN BY MIDWEEK...EXPECT TO SEE A FEW
MORE OF THE SHOWERS REACHING THE LEEWARD SLOPES OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

WE ARE MONITORING A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST MODELS BRING THIS FEATURE TOWARDS THE
WEST-NORTHWEST PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND WILL LIKELY BRING A CHANGE TO OUR
WEATHER DURING THIS TIME. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL GREATLY
INFLUENCE WHAT IMPACTS THERE WILL BE TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION DEVELOPS AND WILL HAVE
MORE INFORMATION IN THE COMING DAYS. AS A REMINDER THAT IT IS
HURRICANE SEASON AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE USE
CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
RADAR VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW GENERALLY 15-20KT OF WIND THROUGH THE
LOWER LEVELS...AND ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF LIH/HNL/OGG ALSO SHOW WINDS
UP TO 20 KT. A COUPLE PIREPS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATED NEGATIVE
TURBULENCE NEAR MOLOKAI AND MAUI. AN AIRMET FOR MODERATE LOW-LEVEL
TURBULENCE IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MAY BE NEEDED EVENTUALLY DUE
TO THE STRENGTHENING WINDS. AS CONDITIONS ARE BORDERLINE AND RECENT
REPORTS ARE OF SMOOTH AIR...WILL HOLD OFF ON AN AIRMET FOR NOW AND
SEE HOW CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE EVENING.

POCKETS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL ENHANCE CLOUDS
AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS PRIMARILY VFR. OCCASIONAL MVFR
CEILINGS AND BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS...
PRIMARILY ACROSS WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CLOUDS THINNED
OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT FILL BACK IN AGAIN OVERNIGHT IN A
TYPICAL TRADE WIND WEATHER PATTERN.


&&

.MARINE...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES DUE
TO A BUILDING SOUTH SWELL. SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE SWELL WILL
REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEE CFWHFO
PRODUCT ON OUR WEBSITE FOR MORE INFORMATION. ALONG THE EAST FACING
SHORES...STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK. SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO WINDS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FOR THE TYPICAL WINDY ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND.
WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AND MAY INCLUDE
OTHER ZONES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...BRAVENDER





000
FXHW60 PHFO 070211
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
411 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
DRIVING MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUNDINGS AT HILO AND LIHUE SHOW FAIRLY NORMAL VALUES PRECIPITABLE
WATER WITH STABLE MIDLEVEL INVERSIONS IN PLACE. RADAR INDICATES
ISOLATED PASSING WINDWARD SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS. EXPECT A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO THE WINDWARD SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT WITH THE
DIURNAL CYCLE.

THE TRADES WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK. THIS IS A RESULT OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
NORTH OF THE STATE...MERGING WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST AND
STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY. MIDLEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
STATE INTO THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCASIONALLY
CARRY IN WITH THE TRADE WINDS AND WILL FAVOR THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
THE ISLANDS. AS WINDS STRENGTHEN BY MIDWEEK...EXPECT TO SEE A FEW
MORE OF THE SHOWERS REACHING THE LEEWARD SLOPES OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

WE ARE MONITORING A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST MODELS BRING THIS FEATURE TOWARDS THE
WEST-NORTHWEST PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND WILL LIKELY BRING A CHANGE TO OUR
WEATHER DURING THIS TIME. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL GREATLY
INFLUENCE WHAT IMPACTS THERE WILL BE TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION DEVELOPS AND WILL HAVE
MORE INFORMATION IN THE COMING DAYS. AS A REMINDER THAT IT IS
HURRICANE SEASON AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE USE
CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
RADAR VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW GENERALLY 15-20KT OF WIND THROUGH THE
LOWER LEVELS...AND ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF LIH/HNL/OGG ALSO SHOW WINDS
UP TO 20 KT. A COUPLE PIREPS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATED NEGATIVE
TURBULENCE NEAR MOLOKAI AND MAUI. AN AIRMET FOR MODERATE LOW-LEVEL
TURBULENCE IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MAY BE NEEDED EVENTUALLY DUE
TO THE STRENGTHENING WINDS. AS CONDITIONS ARE BORDERLINE AND RECENT
REPORTS ARE OF SMOOTH AIR...WILL HOLD OFF ON AN AIRMET FOR NOW AND
SEE HOW CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE EVENING.

POCKETS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL ENHANCE CLOUDS
AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS PRIMARILY VFR. OCCASIONAL MVFR
CEILINGS AND BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS...
PRIMARILY ACROSS WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CLOUDS THINNED
OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT FILL BACK IN AGAIN OVERNIGHT IN A
TYPICAL TRADE WIND WEATHER PATTERN.


&&

.MARINE...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES DUE
TO A BUILDING SOUTH SWELL. SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE SWELL WILL
REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEE CFWHFO
PRODUCT ON OUR WEBSITE FOR MORE INFORMATION. ALONG THE EAST FACING
SHORES...STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK. SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO WINDS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FOR THE TYPICAL WINDY ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND.
WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AND MAY INCLUDE
OTHER ZONES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...BRAVENDER






000
FXHW60 PHFO 070211
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
411 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
DRIVING MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUNDINGS AT HILO AND LIHUE SHOW FAIRLY NORMAL VALUES PRECIPITABLE
WATER WITH STABLE MIDLEVEL INVERSIONS IN PLACE. RADAR INDICATES
ISOLATED PASSING WINDWARD SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS. EXPECT A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO THE WINDWARD SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT WITH THE
DIURNAL CYCLE.

THE TRADES WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK. THIS IS A RESULT OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
NORTH OF THE STATE...MERGING WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST AND
STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY. MIDLEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
STATE INTO THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCASIONALLY
CARRY IN WITH THE TRADE WINDS AND WILL FAVOR THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
THE ISLANDS. AS WINDS STRENGTHEN BY MIDWEEK...EXPECT TO SEE A FEW
MORE OF THE SHOWERS REACHING THE LEEWARD SLOPES OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

WE ARE MONITORING A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST MODELS BRING THIS FEATURE TOWARDS THE
WEST-NORTHWEST PASSING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND WILL LIKELY BRING A CHANGE TO OUR
WEATHER DURING THIS TIME. THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE WILL GREATLY
INFLUENCE WHAT IMPACTS THERE WILL BE TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION DEVELOPS AND WILL HAVE
MORE INFORMATION IN THE COMING DAYS. AS A REMINDER THAT IT IS
HURRICANE SEASON AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED...PLEASE USE
CHECKLISTS AND INFORMATIONAL RESOURCES EITHER ON OUR WEBSITE OR
STATE CIVIL DEFENSE.

&&

.AVIATION...
RADAR VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW GENERALLY 15-20KT OF WIND THROUGH THE
LOWER LEVELS...AND ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF LIH/HNL/OGG ALSO SHOW WINDS
UP TO 20 KT. A COUPLE PIREPS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATED NEGATIVE
TURBULENCE NEAR MOLOKAI AND MAUI. AN AIRMET FOR MODERATE LOW-LEVEL
TURBULENCE IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MAY BE NEEDED EVENTUALLY DUE
TO THE STRENGTHENING WINDS. AS CONDITIONS ARE BORDERLINE AND RECENT
REPORTS ARE OF SMOOTH AIR...WILL HOLD OFF ON AN AIRMET FOR NOW AND
SEE HOW CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE EVENING.

POCKETS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL ENHANCE CLOUDS
AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS PRIMARILY VFR. OCCASIONAL MVFR
CEILINGS AND BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS...
PRIMARILY ACROSS WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CLOUDS THINNED
OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT FILL BACK IN AGAIN OVERNIGHT IN A
TYPICAL TRADE WIND WEATHER PATTERN.


&&

.MARINE...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES DUE
TO A BUILDING SOUTH SWELL. SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE SWELL WILL
REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEE CFWHFO
PRODUCT ON OUR WEBSITE FOR MORE INFORMATION. ALONG THE EAST FACING
SHORES...STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK. SMALL...SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEK.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO WINDS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FOR THE TYPICAL WINDY ZONES AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND.
WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AND MAY INCLUDE
OTHER ZONES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI LANAI KAHOOLAWE MAUI AND BIG
ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...BRAVENDER





000
ATHW40 PHFO 070032
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0030 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 0000 UTC JULY 07 2015


WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A DEEP
MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE AREA...CENTERED AT 37N 131W...TO
NEAR HAWAII. ELSEWHERE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH DOMINATES THE
AREA.

A DIFFUSE BAND OF CUMULUS /CU/ AND STRATOCUMULUS /SC/...ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N 166W TO 24N 180W. THIS
BAND IS BETWEEN 75 AND 100 MILES WIDE AND CLOUD TOPS ARE GENERALLY
BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET.

EAST OF THE FRONT...THE AREA IS MADE UP OF SCATTERED CU AND SC. THE
CLOUDS ARE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AROUND 15 MPH AND HAVE
CLOUD TOPS BETWEEN 8 AND 10 THOUSAND FEET.

OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ARE BANKED UP ALONG
THE NORTH AND EAST SLOPES OF KAUAI AND OAHU.  OVER THE LEEWARD
SECTIONS THERE ARE SCATTERED CLOUDS. ON MOLOKAI AND MAUI...THE NORTH
THROUGH EAST SLOPES HAVE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WHILE THE LEEWARD
AREAS AND LANAI ARE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ONLY A FEW LOW CLOUDS. THE
NORTH THROUGH EAST SLOPES ON THE BIG ISLAND HAVE SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS FROM UPOLU POINT TO CAPE KUMUKAHI TO APUA POINT. THE KAU AND
SOUTH KONA DISTRICTS ARE CLOUDY WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS.
ALL OTHER BIG ISLAND AREAS...INCLUDING THE SUMMIT AREA ARE SUNNY.
CLOUDS JUST UPSTREAM OF ISLAND ARE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH.

THERE IS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BETWEEN 126W AND 151W AND
FROM 06N TO 17N WITH A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION NEAR 12N 134W.
CUMULONIMBUS /CB/ TOPS WITHIN THIS AREA ARE REACHING ABOVE 55
THOUSAND FEET. CIRRUS /CI/ BLOW OFF FROM THIS AREA OF CONVECTION
REACHES NORTHWARD TO 20N. CONVECTION SOUTH OF 10N AND BETWEEN 160W
AND 180W IS PRODUCING CI TO 16N...MAINLY BETWEEN 160W AND 170W.

$$

EATON/WROE





000
ATHW40 PHFO 070032
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0030 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 0000 UTC JULY 07 2015


WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A DEEP
MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE AREA...CENTERED AT 37N 131W...TO
NEAR HAWAII. ELSEWHERE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH DOMINATES THE
AREA.

A DIFFUSE BAND OF CUMULUS /CU/ AND STRATOCUMULUS /SC/...ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N 166W TO 24N 180W. THIS
BAND IS BETWEEN 75 AND 100 MILES WIDE AND CLOUD TOPS ARE GENERALLY
BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET.

EAST OF THE FRONT...THE AREA IS MADE UP OF SCATTERED CU AND SC. THE
CLOUDS ARE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AROUND 15 MPH AND HAVE
CLOUD TOPS BETWEEN 8 AND 10 THOUSAND FEET.

OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ARE BANKED UP ALONG
THE NORTH AND EAST SLOPES OF KAUAI AND OAHU.  OVER THE LEEWARD
SECTIONS THERE ARE SCATTERED CLOUDS. ON MOLOKAI AND MAUI...THE NORTH
THROUGH EAST SLOPES HAVE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WHILE THE LEEWARD
AREAS AND LANAI ARE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ONLY A FEW LOW CLOUDS. THE
NORTH THROUGH EAST SLOPES ON THE BIG ISLAND HAVE SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS FROM UPOLU POINT TO CAPE KUMUKAHI TO APUA POINT. THE KAU AND
SOUTH KONA DISTRICTS ARE CLOUDY WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS.
ALL OTHER BIG ISLAND AREAS...INCLUDING THE SUMMIT AREA ARE SUNNY.
CLOUDS JUST UPSTREAM OF ISLAND ARE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH.

THERE IS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BETWEEN 126W AND 151W AND
FROM 06N TO 17N WITH A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION NEAR 12N 134W.
CUMULONIMBUS /CB/ TOPS WITHIN THIS AREA ARE REACHING ABOVE 55
THOUSAND FEET. CIRRUS /CI/ BLOW OFF FROM THIS AREA OF CONVECTION
REACHES NORTHWARD TO 20N. CONVECTION SOUTH OF 10N AND BETWEEN 160W
AND 180W IS PRODUCING CI TO 16N...MAINLY BETWEEN 160W AND 170W.

$$

EATON/WROE






000
ATHW40 PHFO 070032
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0030 UTC TUE JUL 07 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 0000 UTC JULY 07 2015


WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A DEEP
MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE AREA...CENTERED AT 37N 131W...TO
NEAR HAWAII. ELSEWHERE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH DOMINATES THE
AREA.

A DIFFUSE BAND OF CUMULUS /CU/ AND STRATOCUMULUS /SC/...ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N 166W TO 24N 180W. THIS
BAND IS BETWEEN 75 AND 100 MILES WIDE AND CLOUD TOPS ARE GENERALLY
BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET.

EAST OF THE FRONT...THE AREA IS MADE UP OF SCATTERED CU AND SC. THE
CLOUDS ARE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AROUND 15 MPH AND HAVE
CLOUD TOPS BETWEEN 8 AND 10 THOUSAND FEET.

OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ARE BANKED UP ALONG
THE NORTH AND EAST SLOPES OF KAUAI AND OAHU.  OVER THE LEEWARD
SECTIONS THERE ARE SCATTERED CLOUDS. ON MOLOKAI AND MAUI...THE NORTH
THROUGH EAST SLOPES HAVE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WHILE THE LEEWARD
AREAS AND LANAI ARE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ONLY A FEW LOW CLOUDS. THE
NORTH THROUGH EAST SLOPES ON THE BIG ISLAND HAVE SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS FROM UPOLU POINT TO CAPE KUMUKAHI TO APUA POINT. THE KAU AND
SOUTH KONA DISTRICTS ARE CLOUDY WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS.
ALL OTHER BIG ISLAND AREAS...INCLUDING THE SUMMIT AREA ARE SUNNY.
CLOUDS JUST UPSTREAM OF ISLAND ARE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH.

THERE IS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BETWEEN 126W AND 151W AND
FROM 06N TO 17N WITH A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION NEAR 12N 134W.
CUMULONIMBUS /CB/ TOPS WITHIN THIS AREA ARE REACHING ABOVE 55
THOUSAND FEET. CIRRUS /CI/ BLOW OFF FROM THIS AREA OF CONVECTION
REACHES NORTHWARD TO 20N. CONVECTION SOUTH OF 10N AND BETWEEN 160W
AND 180W IS PRODUCING CI TO 16N...MAINLY BETWEEN 160W AND 170W.

$$

EATON/WROE






000
FXHW60 PHFO 061937
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
937 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
DRIVING MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING.
SOUNDINGS AT HILO AND LIHUE SHOW FAIRLY NORMAL VALUES PRECIPITABLE
WATER OF 1.34 INCHES WITH STABLE MIDLEVEL INVERSIONS IN PLACE.
RADAR INDICATES SCATTERED PASSING WINDWARD SHOWERS OVER THE
ISLANDS. EXPECT SOME OF THE WINDWARD SHOWERS TO WANE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE WARM SIDE
AGAIN TODAY BUT TRADE WINDS WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF.

THE TRADES WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TO FRESH BREEZES BY THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK. THIS IS A RESULT OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
NORTHWEST OF THE STATE...MERGING WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST
AND STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY. MIDLEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE STATE INTO THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL OCCASIONALLY CARRY IN WITH THE TRADE WINDS AND WILL FAVOR
THE WINDWARD SIDES OF THE ISLANDS...MOSTLY DURING THE NIGHTTIME. AS
WINDS STRENGTHEN BY MIDWEEK...EXPECT TO SEE A FEW MORE OF THE SHOWERS
REACHING THE LEEWARD SLOPES OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY CONSTANT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC...ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
HILO. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY
SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR
THE WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT
EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE
DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS FUTURE
TRACK AND INTENSITY.


&&

.AVIATION...
TRADE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER TODAY. RADAR VAD WIND
PROFILES SHOW GENERALLY 15-20KT OF WIND THROUGH THE LOWER LEVELS...
WITH A FEW ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF HNL MEASURING UP TO 25 KNOTS JUST
BELOW THE INVERSION. A COUPLE PIREPS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATED
NEGATIVE TURBULENCE NEAR MOLOKAI AND MAUI. AN AIRMET FOR MODERATE
LOW-LEVEL TURBULENCE IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MAY BE NEEDED
EVENTUALLY DUE TO THE STRENGTHENING WINDS. AS CONDITIONS ARE
BORDERLINE AND RECENT REPORTS ARE OF SMOOTH AIR...WILL HOLD OFF ON
AN AIRMET FOR NOW AND SEE HOW CONDITIONS EVOLVE DURING THE DAY.

POCKETS OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL ENHANCE CLOUDS
TODAY...WITH CONDITIONS PRIMARILY VFR. OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS AND
BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS...PRIMARILY ACROSS
WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CLOUDS WILL THIN OUT A BIT DURING
THE AFTERNOON...BUT FILL BACK IN AGAIN OVERNIGHT IN A TYPICAL TRADE
WIND WEATHER PATTERN.


&&

.MARINE...
TRADE WINDS ARE RECOVERING MORE QUICKLY THAN EXPECTED...AND MODELS
ARE STRONGLY SUGGESTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AS
EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS IS
THEREFORE IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS ADVISORY
MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED AS TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TODAY. ANOTHER SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF HEIGHTS MAY ONCE
AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE...A SMALL NORTHWEST
SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK PROVIDING
FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING
TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO INCREASE THIS
WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...BRAVENDER





000
ATHW40 PHFO 061837
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1830 UTC MON JUL 06 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1800 UTC JULY 06 2015

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA CENTERED NEAR 36N 130W WITH A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST
TO NEAR HAWAII. WEST OF THIS AREA...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH DOMINATES
THE AREA.

A BAND OF CUMULUS /CU/ AND STRATOCUMULUS /SC/ CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N 166W TO 24N 180W. THE
BAND IS BETWEEN 100 AND 150 MILES WIDE WITH CLOUDS TOPS GENERALLY
BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET. WEST OF THE FRONT A BROKEN DECK OF SC CLOUDS
ARE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.

SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS BELOW 8 THOUSAND FEET SHOW A WEAK TROUGH
FROM 30N 150W TO 21N 149W...OR APPROXIMATELY 650 MILES NORTHEAST OF
HAWAII. AN AREA OF BROKEN CU AND SC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
AND ARE MOVING TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. BETWEEN THE
TROUGH AND HAWAII...SCATTERED CU AND SC ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.

OVER THE ISLANDS...LEEWARD AREAS ARE CLEAR WHILE BROKEN LOW CLOUDS
LINGER OVER THE NORTH THROUGH EAST MOUNTAIN SLOPES. CLOUD TOPS ARE
GENERALLY BELOW 8 THOUSAND FEET. A SMALL AREA OF ENHANCED CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS IS APPROXIMATELY 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF HANA MAUI AND
MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. CLOUDS TOPS ARE UP TO
12 THOUSAND FEET.

THERE IS DEEP CONVECTION MAINLY SOUTH OF 10N WEST OF 150W...WITH
CIRRUS /CI/ EXTENDING NORTH TO 17N. AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH TOPS
ABOVE 50 THOUSAND FEET IS CENTERED NEAR 12N 150W. THIS AREA IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION BETWEEN 142W AND 126W
AND FROM 06N TO 15N IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
CUMULONIMBUS /CB/ TOPS EXTEND ABOVE 55 THOUSAND FEET. CI EXTEND
NORTHWARD NEAR 20N FROM BOTH AREAS.

$$

EATON/WROE






000
ATHW40 PHFO 061837
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1830 UTC MON JUL 06 2015

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1800 UTC JULY 06 2015

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA CENTERED NEAR 36N 130W WITH A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST
TO NEAR HAWAII. WEST OF THIS AREA...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH DOMINATES
THE AREA.

A BAND OF CUMULUS /CU/ AND STRATOCUMULUS /SC/ CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N 166W TO 24N 180W. THE
BAND IS BETWEEN 100 AND 150 MILES WIDE WITH CLOUDS TOPS GENERALLY
BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET. WEST OF THE FRONT A BROKEN DECK OF SC CLOUDS
ARE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.

SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS BELOW 8 THOUSAND FEET SHOW A WEAK TROUGH
FROM 30N 150W TO 21N 149W...OR APPROXIMATELY 650 MILES NORTHEAST OF
HAWAII. AN AREA OF BROKEN CU AND SC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
AND ARE MOVING TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. BETWEEN THE
TROUGH AND HAWAII...SCATTERED CU AND SC ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.

OVER THE ISLANDS...LEEWARD AREAS ARE CLEAR WHILE BROKEN LOW CLOUDS
LINGER OVER THE NORTH THROUGH EAST MOUNTAIN SLOPES. CLOUD TOPS ARE
GENERALLY BELOW 8 THOUSAND FEET. A SMALL AREA OF ENHANCED CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS IS APPROXIMATELY 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF HANA MAUI AND
MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. CLOUDS TOPS ARE UP TO
12 THOUSAND FEET.

THERE IS DEEP CONVECTION MAINLY SOUTH OF 10N WEST OF 150W...WITH
CIRRUS /CI/ EXTENDING NORTH TO 17N. AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH TOPS
ABOVE 50 THOUSAND FEET IS CENTERED NEAR 12N 150W. THIS AREA IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION BETWEEN 142W AND 126W
AND FROM 06N TO 15N IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
CUMULONIMBUS /CB/ TOPS EXTEND ABOVE 55 THOUSAND FEET. CI EXTEND
NORTHWARD NEAR 20N FROM BOTH AREAS.

$$

EATON/WROE





000
FXHW60 PHFO 061330
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
330 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM LAST
EVENING. HOWEVER...WE ARE TRANSITIONING TO A TRADE WIND PATTERN A
BIT FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED. TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS
MORNING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND
WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA
RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AN ASCAT PASS
LAST EVENING SHOWED WIND SPEEDS HAD ALREADY REACHED INTO THE 15 TO
20 MPH RANGE. OVERNIGHT SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES AROUND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF LESS THAN
400 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS MOVING
IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND CLOUD COVER
ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A FAMILIAR TRADE WIND
DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS. HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY
LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR
RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND
PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST LEEWARD AREAS WILL
REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER LEEWARD AREAS OF
THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO
BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY AREAS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE
ISLANDS THROUGH MID MORNING...AFFECTING PRIMARILY THE WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS WITH TEMPO MVFR CONDS. COVERAGE OF THESE CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT AIRMET SIERRA FOR
MTN OBSCURATION...HOWEVER. EXPECT LESS SHOWERS...AND CLOUDS BY NOON.

THE KONA AND KAU SLOPES WILL HAVE THEIR NORMAL CLOUD BUILDUP DURING
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS
AND VIS FROM THE ISOL SHOWERS.

THE TRADE WINDS WILL BE STRENGTHENING AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...LIKELY
REQUIRING AN AIRMET TANGO STARTING WITH THE 22Z PACKAGE.

&&

.MARINE...
TRADE WINDS ARE RECOVERING MORE QUICKLY THAN EXPECTED...AND MODELS
ARE STRONGLY SUGGESTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AS
EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS IS
THEREFORE IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS ADVISORY
MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED AS TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TODAY. ANOTHER SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF HEIGHTS MAY ONCE
AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE A SMALL NORTHWEST
SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK PROVIDING
FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED SHORELINES.
STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO
INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH 6 AM HST WEDNESDAY FOR ALENUIHAHA AND
PAILOLO CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY AND WATERS SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU








000
FXHW60 PHFO 061330
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
330 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM LAST
EVENING. HOWEVER...WE ARE TRANSITIONING TO A TRADE WIND PATTERN A
BIT FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED. TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS
MORNING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND
WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA
RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AN ASCAT PASS
LAST EVENING SHOWED WIND SPEEDS HAD ALREADY REACHED INTO THE 15 TO
20 MPH RANGE. OVERNIGHT SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES AROUND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF LESS THAN
400 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS MOVING
IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND CLOUD COVER
ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A FAMILIAR TRADE WIND
DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS. HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY
LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR
RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND
PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST LEEWARD AREAS WILL
REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER LEEWARD AREAS OF
THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO
BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY AREAS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE
ISLANDS THROUGH MID MORNING...AFFECTING PRIMARILY THE WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS WITH TEMPO MVFR CONDS. COVERAGE OF THESE CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT AIRMET SIERRA FOR
MTN OBSCURATION...HOWEVER. EXPECT LESS SHOWERS...AND CLOUDS BY NOON.

THE KONA AND KAU SLOPES WILL HAVE THEIR NORMAL CLOUD BUILDUP DURING
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS
AND VIS FROM THE ISOL SHOWERS.

THE TRADE WINDS WILL BE STRENGTHENING AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...LIKELY
REQUIRING AN AIRMET TANGO STARTING WITH THE 22Z PACKAGE.

&&

.MARINE...
TRADE WINDS ARE RECOVERING MORE QUICKLY THAN EXPECTED...AND MODELS
ARE STRONGLY SUGGESTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AS
EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS IS
THEREFORE IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS ADVISORY
MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED AS TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TODAY. ANOTHER SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF HEIGHTS MAY ONCE
AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE A SMALL NORTHWEST
SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK PROVIDING
FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED SHORELINES.
STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO
INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH 6 AM HST WEDNESDAY FOR ALENUIHAHA AND
PAILOLO CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY AND WATERS SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU







000
FXHW60 PHFO 061330
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
330 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM LAST
EVENING. HOWEVER...WE ARE TRANSITIONING TO A TRADE WIND PATTERN A
BIT FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED. TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS
MORNING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND
WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA
RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AN ASCAT PASS
LAST EVENING SHOWED WIND SPEEDS HAD ALREADY REACHED INTO THE 15 TO
20 MPH RANGE. OVERNIGHT SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES AROUND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF LESS THAN
400 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS MOVING
IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND CLOUD COVER
ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A FAMILIAR TRADE WIND
DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS. HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY
LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR
RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND
PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST LEEWARD AREAS WILL
REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER LEEWARD AREAS OF
THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO
BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY AREAS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE
ISLANDS THROUGH MID MORNING...AFFECTING PRIMARILY THE WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS WITH TEMPO MVFR CONDS. COVERAGE OF THESE CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT AIRMET SIERRA FOR
MTN OBSCURATION...HOWEVER. EXPECT LESS SHOWERS...AND CLOUDS BY NOON.

THE KONA AND KAU SLOPES WILL HAVE THEIR NORMAL CLOUD BUILDUP DURING
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS
AND VIS FROM THE ISOL SHOWERS.

THE TRADE WINDS WILL BE STRENGTHENING AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...LIKELY
REQUIRING AN AIRMET TANGO STARTING WITH THE 22Z PACKAGE.

&&

.MARINE...
TRADE WINDS ARE RECOVERING MORE QUICKLY THAN EXPECTED...AND MODELS
ARE STRONGLY SUGGESTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AS
EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS IS
THEREFORE IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS ADVISORY
MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED AS TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TODAY. ANOTHER SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF HEIGHTS MAY ONCE
AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE A SMALL NORTHWEST
SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK PROVIDING
FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED SHORELINES.
STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO
INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH 6 AM HST WEDNESDAY FOR ALENUIHAHA AND
PAILOLO CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY AND WATERS SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU







000
FXHW60 PHFO 061330
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
330 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL FAVOR WINDWARD
AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM LAST
EVENING. HOWEVER...WE ARE TRANSITIONING TO A TRADE WIND PATTERN A
BIT FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED. TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS
MORNING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND
WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA
RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AN ASCAT PASS
LAST EVENING SHOWED WIND SPEEDS HAD ALREADY REACHED INTO THE 15 TO
20 MPH RANGE. OVERNIGHT SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES AROUND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF LESS THAN
400 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS MOVING
IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND CLOUD COVER
ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A FAMILIAR TRADE WIND
DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS. HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY
LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR
RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND
PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST LEEWARD AREAS WILL
REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER LEEWARD AREAS OF
THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO
BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY AREAS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE
ISLANDS THROUGH MID MORNING...AFFECTING PRIMARILY THE WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS WITH TEMPO MVFR CONDS. COVERAGE OF THESE CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT AIRMET SIERRA FOR
MTN OBSCURATION...HOWEVER. EXPECT LESS SHOWERS...AND CLOUDS BY NOON.

THE KONA AND KAU SLOPES WILL HAVE THEIR NORMAL CLOUD BUILDUP DURING
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS
AND VIS FROM THE ISOL SHOWERS.

THE TRADE WINDS WILL BE STRENGTHENING AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...LIKELY
REQUIRING AN AIRMET TANGO STARTING WITH THE 22Z PACKAGE.

&&

.MARINE...
TRADE WINDS ARE RECOVERING MORE QUICKLY THAN EXPECTED...AND MODELS
ARE STRONGLY SUGGESTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AS
EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE TRADITIONALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND
MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS IS
THEREFORE IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS ADVISORY
MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED AS TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TODAY. ANOTHER SWELL
IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF HEIGHTS MAY ONCE
AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE A SMALL NORTHWEST
SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK PROVIDING
FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED SHORELINES.
STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF TO
INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH 6 AM HST WEDNESDAY FOR ALENUIHAHA AND
PAILOLO CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY AND WATERS SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU








000
FXHW60 PHFO 060630
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS EVENING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AFTERNOON SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES BETWEEN 4500 AND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF
LESS THAN 200 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS MOVING IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND
CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A
FAMILIAR TRADE WIND DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS.
HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO
AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
ASIDE FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND VIS...AFFECTING PRIMARILY
THE WINDWARD AND MTN AREAS OF MOLOKAI...MAUI...AND THE BIG ISLAND...
VFR WILL BE THE FLYING RULE FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON TUESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060630
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS EVENING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AFTERNOON SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES BETWEEN 4500 AND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF
LESS THAN 200 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS MOVING IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND
CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A
FAMILIAR TRADE WIND DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS.
HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO
AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
ASIDE FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND VIS...AFFECTING PRIMARILY
THE WINDWARD AND MTN AREAS OF MOLOKAI...MAUI...AND THE BIG ISLAND...
VFR WILL BE THE FLYING RULE FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON TUESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU







000
FXHW60 PHFO 060630
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS EVENING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AFTERNOON SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES BETWEEN 4500 AND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF
LESS THAN 200 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS MOVING IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND
CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A
FAMILIAR TRADE WIND DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS.
HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO
AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
ASIDE FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND VIS...AFFECTING PRIMARILY
THE WINDWARD AND MTN AREAS OF MOLOKAI...MAUI...AND THE BIG ISLAND...
VFR WILL BE THE FLYING RULE FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON TUESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060630
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TROUGHING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD THIS EVENING...ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO OUR NORTHEAST TO REBOUND WESTWARD. THIS IS STEEPENING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA RESULTING IN STEADILY INCREASING
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. AFTERNOON SOUNDINGS SHOW PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH BASES BETWEEN 4500 AND 5000 FEET ALONG WITH CAPE OF
LESS THAN 200 J/KG. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW
CLOUDS MOVING IN ON THE TRADES TOWARDS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND
CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE ISLANDS HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ASSUME A
FAMILIAR TRADE WIND DISTRIBUTION FAVORING WINDWARD AREAS.
HOWEVER...RADAR SHOWS VERY LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
AREA...LIKELY A TESTAMENT OF OUR RATHER STABLE AND DRIER THAN CLIMO
AIR MASS.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG RANGE
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE PRESENT TIME. THE
CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US IN A TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES. THIS COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND ON ITS
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
ASIDE FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND VIS...AFFECTING PRIMARILY
THE WINDWARD AND MTN AREAS OF MOLOKAI...MAUI...AND THE BIG ISLAND...
VFR WILL BE THE FLYING RULE FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON TUESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...POWELL
AVIATION...LAU







000
FXHW60 PHFO 060147
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060147
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA







000
FXHW60 PHFO 060147
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060147
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060147
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060147
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060131
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HORUS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060131
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HORUS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060131
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HORUS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






000
FXHW60 PHFO 060131
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TRADE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA. CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS
WILL FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND BRIEF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND
THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE STATE, THIS WILL
PROVIDE FOR A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST PLACES WILL BASICALLY BE CLEAR. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE KONA SLOPES THIS EVENING.

TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE AREA.
CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL TEND TO FAVOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS BUT MOST SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. MOST
LEEWARD AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER
LEEWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HORUS. TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK TRADE WINDS WILL BE
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER TO
SELECT LEEWARD AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS.

THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI ARE MONITORING A COUPLE OF AREAS OF
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST PACIFIC. THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IN
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS RATHER LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME. THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST KEEPS US BASICALLY IN A
TRADE WIND REGIME WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EMBEDDED IN
THE TRADES. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON WEATHER OR NOT A SYSTEM
DOES DEVELOP AND ON ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL KEEP A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TRADE WIND FLOW IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS OVER
THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN A BIT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...PRIMARILY ACROSS MOUNTAIN AND
NORTH THRU EAST SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR
CIGS AND/OR VSBYS AT PHLI OR PHTO OVERNIGHT...BUT PREDOMINANTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

NO AIRMETS ARE IN EFFECT AND NONE ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AROUND MAUI
COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD TOWARD THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONGER TRADE WINDS.

DATA FROM THE BARBERS POINT BUOY SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT SOUTH SWELL
HAD DIMINISHED A BIT. THUS THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER SWELL IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SURF
HEIGHTS MAY ONCE AGAIN APPROACH LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUOY DATA FOR SIGNS OF THIS NEW SWELL. OTHERWISE
A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PROVIDING FOR SOME SMALL RIDEABLE WAVES ALONG EXPOSED
SHORELINES. STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS WILL CAUSE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF TO INCREASE THIS WEEK ALONG EAST FACING SHORES..

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...JELSEMA






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