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000
FLUS43 KARX 191651
HWOARX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1151 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ008-MNZ079-086-087-094-095-201000-
DODGE-FILLMORE-MITCHELL-MOWER-OLMSTED-WABASHA-
1151 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA
AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE WILL BE
PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT.

TWO ROUNDS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE. STORMS WILL
DEVELOP SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90...THEN LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

INSTABILITY BUILDS THIS AFTERNOON AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
QUICKLY AND COULD BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...
FLASH FLOODING...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO ARE ALL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALIZED
FLOODING...AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME SPOTTER GROUPS WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. STAY TUNED TO LATER STATEMENTS FOR TIMING.
SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS WELL.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

$$

IAZ009>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-201000-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE-
FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-MONROE-RICHLAND-
TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
1151 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT.

TWO ROUNDS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE. STORMS WILL
DEVELOP SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90...THEN LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

INSTABILITY BUILDS THIS AFTERNOON AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
QUICKLY AND COULD BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...
FLASH FLOODING...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO ARE ALL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALIZED
FLOODING...AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME SPOTTER GROUPS WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. STAY TUNED TO LATER STATEMENTS FOR TIMING.
SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS WELL.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

$$

WETENKAMP




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000
FLUS43 KFSD 191641
HWOFSD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1141 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-201200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1141 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...MOST PREVALENT FOR AREAS ALONG
THE I 29 CORRIDOR AND POINTS EASTWARD. BECAUSE OF THE RAIN AND
CLOUD COVER...CONDITIONS HAVE STABILIZED FOR THESE AREAS. BUT IF
HEATING CAN TAKE PLACE BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS...A SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL CERTAINLY EXIST MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A
SIOUX CITY IOWA TO MARSHALL MINNESOTA LINE. CONDITIONALLY IF THIS
HAPPENS...A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY QUICKLY FORM...THEN MOVE
EASTWARD DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL
THEREFORE BE LARGE HAIL OF UP TO A HALF DOLLAR SIZE AND WINDS OF
60 TO 70 MPH IN THE SEVERE CELLS...MAINLY IN THE 4 PM TO 8 PM
TIME FRAME.

FLOODING...
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING COULD LEAD TO A SPOTTY FLASH FLOODING THREAT FOR
NORTHWEST IOWA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA NEAR AND EAST
OF HIGHWAY 60. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN MORE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ON LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY
MONDAY EVENING COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY LARGE HAIL EAST OF A
STORM LAKE TO MARSHALL LINE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE ENVIRONMENT ON TUESDAY APPEARS TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF QUICK TORNADIC SPIN UPS DURING THE
DEVELOPING PHASE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 29. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR ANY TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE FROM NOON TO 4 PM AS A AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PREVALENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY AFTER

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

$$




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000
WWUS83 KDVN 191623
SPSDVN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1123 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ067-078-088-089-099-ILZ015-024>026-034-191715-
DES MOINES-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY-LEE-LOUISA-MERCER-MUSCATINE-ROCK
ISLAND-WARREN-
1123 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 1119 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO
NAUVOO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  COLUSA...NEW LONDON AND DENMARK AROUND 1130 AM CDT...
  DALLAS CITY AROUND 1135 AM CDT...
  IOWA ARMY AMMUNITION PLANT...MOUNT UNION...MIDDLETOWN AND DANVILLE
  AROUND 1140 AM CDT...
  WINFIELD AROUND 1145 AM CDT...
  WEST BURLINGTON AROUND 1150 AM CDT...

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

IF YOU HEAR THUNDER, MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STURDY BUILDING OR CAR
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4152 9118 4092 9076 4041 9132 4094 9162
TIME...MOT...LOC 1622Z 213DEG 28KT 4094 9151 4058 9130

$$

DLF








000
WWUS83 KDVN 191623
SPSDVN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1123 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ067-078-088-089-099-ILZ015-024>026-034-191715-
DES MOINES-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY-LEE-LOUISA-MERCER-MUSCATINE-ROCK
ISLAND-WARREN-
1123 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 1119 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO
NAUVOO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  COLUSA...NEW LONDON AND DENMARK AROUND 1130 AM CDT...
  DALLAS CITY AROUND 1135 AM CDT...
  IOWA ARMY AMMUNITION PLANT...MOUNT UNION...MIDDLETOWN AND DANVILLE
  AROUND 1140 AM CDT...
  WINFIELD AROUND 1145 AM CDT...
  WEST BURLINGTON AROUND 1150 AM CDT...

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

IF YOU HEAR THUNDER, MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STURDY BUILDING OR CAR
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4152 9118 4092 9076 4041 9132 4094 9162
TIME...MOT...LOC 1622Z 213DEG 28KT 4094 9151 4058 9130

$$

DLF








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000
WWUS83 KDMX 191514
SPSDMX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1014 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ005>007-016-017-024>026-035>037-191715-
KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-
FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALGONA...FOREST CITY...NORTHWOOD...
GARNER...MASON CITY...HUMBOLDT...CLARION...HAMPTON...FORT DODGE...
WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA
1014 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

...BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS THIS MORNING...

GUSTY EAST SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED IN RESPONSE TO THE
PASSING OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER THIS MORNING AND A WARM
FRONT NEAR THE AREA NOW. THE WINDS MAY BRIEFLY REACH 30 TO NEAR 45
MPH AT TIMES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE BECOMING MORE
SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL STILL BE
BREEZY FROM THE SOUTH AT 15 TO 30 MPH.

$$

REV







000
FLUS43 KFSD 191104
HWOFSD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
602 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-201200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
602 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED BY EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON IN LOCATIONS FROM NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND FAR SOUTHEAST
SOUTH DAKOTA SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA. THESE STORMS
WILL MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INITIAL
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...WITH LESSER WIND AND HAIL EXPECTED WITH
STORMS MOVING NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90. WHILE FAIRLY UNLIKELY...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI
VALLEY AND EAST THROUGH NORTHWEST IOWA. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM
WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE EAST OF THE JAMES VALLEY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT THE GREATEST THREAT WILL OCCUR
BETWEEN 3 PM AND 8 PM SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM VERMILLION TO ROCK
RAPIDS TO WINDOM.

FLOODING...
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING COULD LEAD TO A SPOTTY FLASH FLOODING THREAT FOR
NORTHWEST IOWA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA NEAR AND EAST
OF HIGHWAY 60. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN MORE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS...AND AREAS WHICH HAVE
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL BE MORE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT PONDING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER
STREAMS.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ON LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY
MONDAY EVENING COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY LARGE HAIL EAST OF A
STORM LAKE TO MARSHALL LINE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE ENVIRONMENT ON TUESDAY APPEARS TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF QUICK TORNADIC SPIN UPS DURING THE
DEVELOPING PHASE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 29. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR ANY TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE FROM NOON TO 4 PM AS AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PREVALENT.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE JAMES AND
INTERSTATE
29 CORRIDOR...AND LIKELY EAST OF INTERSTATE 29...BETWEEN 300 PM
AND
900 PM CDT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

$$





000
FLUS43 KFSD 191027
HWOFSD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
526 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-201200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
526 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED BY EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON IN LOCATIONS FROM NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND FAR SOUTHEAST
SOUTH DAKOTA SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA. THESE STORMS
WILL MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INITIAL
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...WITH LESSER WIND AND HAIL EXPECTED WITH
STORMS MOVING NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90. WHILE FAIRLY UNLIKELY...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI
VALLEY AND EAST THROUGH NORTHWEST IOWA. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM
WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE EAST OF THE JAMES VALLEY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT THE GREATEST THREAT WILL OCCUR
BETWEEN 3 PM AND 8 PM SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM VERMILLION TO ROCK
RAPIDS TO WINDOM.

FLOODING...
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING COULD LEAD TO A SPOTTY FLASH FLOODING THREAT FOR
NORTHWEST IOWA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA NEAR AND EAST
OF HIGHWAY 60. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN MORE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS...AND AREAS WHICH HAVE
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL BE MORE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT PONDING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER
STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ON LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY
MONDAY EVENING COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY LARGE HAIL EAST OF A
STORM LAKE TO MARSHALL LINE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE ENVIRONMENT ON TUESDAY APPEARS TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF QUICK TORNADIC SPIN UPS DURING THE
DEVELOPING PHASE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 29. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR ANY TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE FROM NOON TO 4 PM AS A AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PREVALENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY BETWEEN 300 PM AND 900 PM EAST
OF THE JAMES VALLEY.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

$$




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000
FLUS43 KDMX 191003
HWODMX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
503 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ033>035-044>049-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-201100-
SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-
AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-
WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-
RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
503 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY
WITH A SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL OR A DAMAGING
WIND GUST. HOWEVER...MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND SPREAD
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA INTO TONIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. GOLF BALL
HAIL...DAMAGING SURFACE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60MPH AND A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM TIME TO TIME ON MONDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS WELL AS AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA. ADDITIONAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE
NEEDED FROM TIME TO TIME EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK.

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-036>039-050-201100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-
GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-TAMA-
503 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY
WITH A SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL OR A DAMAGING
WIND GUST. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING SURFACE WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60MPH. AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS
TIME. IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE TODAY
INTO TONIGHT WHICH MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM TIME TO TIME ON MONDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS WELL AS AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. ADDITIONAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM TIME TO
TIME EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK.

$$

CC




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000
FLUS43 KOAX 190918 AAA
HWOOAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
418 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-192330-
MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-
PAGE-KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON-
STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER-
SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE-
JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-
418 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
IOWA...WEST CENTRAL IOWA...EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AFTER A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HIGHEST INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR ARE
EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA TO
POINTS SOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE
WEATHER COULD BE ACROSS THAT AREA...SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER ALL OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA DUE TO THE STRENGTH
OF THE UPPER SYSTEM AND AT LEAST MODEST INSTABILITY EXPECTED OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE AMONG THE
HAZARDS. WITH A POSSIBLE DRY-LINE OR WARM FRONT IN SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS
WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CLOSING OFF AND STALLING OVER THE
PLAINS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY WITH AFTERNOON HEATING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVITY MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

$$
PEARSON




000
FLUS43 KOAX 190915
HWOOAX
ZCZC OMAHWOOAX ALL
TTAA00 KOMA DDHHMM

TEST

$$





000
FLUS43 KARX 190915
HWOARX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
414 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ008-MNZ079-086-087-094-095-201200-
DODGE-FILLMORE-MITCHELL-MOWER-OLMSTED-WABASHA-
414 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA
AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE WILL BE
PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT...HOWEVER PROVIDING
DETAILS ON TIMING AND LOCATION IS DIFFICULT. IT WOULD APPEAR THAT
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE AFTERNOON
PROGRESSES...AND THEN CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

WEAKENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING WITH LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN THREATS.

INSTABILITY WILL BUILD IN THE AFTERNOON IN HUMID CONDITIONS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AND QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING LOOK TO BE THE
MAIN THREATS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

FURTHER UPDATES WILL BE NEEDED TO BETTER DEFINE THE THREAT AREAS
AND TIMING...ONCE THEY CAN BE DETERMINED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALIZED
FLOODING...AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
YOUR PATIENCE IS APPRECIATED AS WE FURTHER REFINE THE MOST
LIKELY TIME AND LOCATION OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. SPOTTERS
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS WELL.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

$$

IAZ009>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-201200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE-
FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-MONROE-RICHLAND-
TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
414 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT...HOWEVER
PROVIDING DETAILS ON TIMING AND LOCATION IS DIFFICULT. IT WOULD
APPEAR THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE AFTERNOON
PROGRESSES...AND THEN CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

WEAKENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHEAST
IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND INTO NORTHCENTRAL WISCONSIN
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN
THREATS.

INSTABILITY WILL BUILD IN THE AFTERNOON IN HUMID CONDITIONS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AND QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LOOK TO BE
THE MAIN THREATS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

FURTHER UPDATES WILL BE NEEDED TO BETTER DEFINE THE THREAT AREAS
AND TIMING...ONCE THEY CAN BE DETERMINED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALIZED
FLOODING...AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
YOUR PATIENCE IS APPRECIATED AS WE FURTHER REFINE THE MOST
LIKELY TIME AND LOCATION OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. SPOTTERS
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS WELL.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

$$
BAUMGARDT




  [top]

000
FLUS43 KDVN 190858
HWODVN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
355 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-200900-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-CLINTON
IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-HENDERSON IL-HENRY
IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-
JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-
MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-
STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
355 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AND THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

THE MOST LIKELY FRAME FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE FROM 3 TO 10 PM
WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL UP TO 1.5 INCHES.

LATE TONIGHT...MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD AGAIN BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL
OVER 1 INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

MONDAY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA.  AT THIS
TIME...THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
ENOUGH FORCING THAT MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS...MAINLY LATE
MONDAY PM AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  THE PRIMARY RISKS APPEARS TO
BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES A
SECONDARY CONCERN LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

TUESDAY...STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON THAT COULD
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WITH MARGINAL...LOW END SEVERE
STORMS POSSIBLE.

WEDNESDAY...ANY STORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS DUE TO
LIMITED INSTABILITY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS THE OUTLOOK AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

08/NICHOLS





000
FLUS43 KOAX 190855
HWOOAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
355 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-192300-
MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-
PAGE-KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON-
STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER-
SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE-
JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-
355 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
IOWA...WEST CENTRAL IOWA...EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AFTER A POSSIBLE LULL IN THE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HIGHEST INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR
ARE EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA
TO POINTS SOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE
WEATHER COULD BE ACROSS THAT AREA...SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER ALL OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA DUE TO THE STRENGTH
OF THE UPPER SYSTEM AND AT LEAST MODEST INSTABILITY EXPECTED OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE AMONG THE
HAZARDS. WITH A POSSIBLE DRY-LINE OR WARM FRONT IN SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS
WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CLOSING OFF AND STALLING OVER THE
PLAINS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY WITH AFTERNOON HEATING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVITY MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

$$
PEARSON




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