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000
FXUS65 KBOI 160252
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
852 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...WIND ADVISORY ENDED AT 8 PM MDT. WILL ISSUE NEW
ZONES TO REMOVE HEADLINE. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS
AND MIXING IN INHIBITED. NEXT WEAK IMPULSE SET TO ENTER OUR SE
OREGON ZONES LATER TONIGHT SO WILL LEAVE LOW POPS IN PLACE THERE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. BROKEN-OVERCAST MID TO HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 15-25 KTS GUSTING 30 KTS
/MAINLY EAST OF MOUNTAIN HOME/ THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH AFTER 04Z.
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF BAKER COUNTY OREGON AND WEST
CENTRAL IDAHO ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ALOFT 45 KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT
10 KFT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...THROUGH 2 PM MDT WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
ADVISORY SPEEDS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY IN AND NEAR THERE.   ENERGETIC UPPER TROUGH WILL
EXIT EAST THIS EVENING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN.  WARM
OVERRUNNING IN THE ERN PACIFIC 45-50N WILL SPREAD CLOUDS INTO
HARNEY COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT.  THE WARM FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES
EWD PAST OUR CWA WEDNESDAY.  UPPER RIDGE IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL
BUILD AS IT SHIFTS INLAND THROUGH OUR CWA THURSDAY BRINGING
SIGNIFICANT WARMING /ABOUT 10F DEGREES/ INTO ALL ZONES.  COLD
FRONT UPSTREAM WILL SPREAD CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS INTO WRN HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL
BE A BRIEF BREAK OVER THE EASTER WEEKEND WITH DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK...BUT THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY IS MORE UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....JT/WH



000
FXUS65 KBOI 160252
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
852 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...WIND ADVISORY ENDED AT 8 PM MDT. WILL ISSUE NEW
ZONES TO REMOVE HEADLINE. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS
AND MIXING IN INHIBITED. NEXT WEAK IMPULSE SET TO ENTER OUR SE
OREGON ZONES LATER TONIGHT SO WILL LEAVE LOW POPS IN PLACE THERE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. BROKEN-OVERCAST MID TO HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 15-25 KTS GUSTING 30 KTS
/MAINLY EAST OF MOUNTAIN HOME/ THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH AFTER 04Z.
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF BAKER COUNTY OREGON AND WEST
CENTRAL IDAHO ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ALOFT 45 KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT
10 KFT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...THROUGH 2 PM MDT WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
ADVISORY SPEEDS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY IN AND NEAR THERE.   ENERGETIC UPPER TROUGH WILL
EXIT EAST THIS EVENING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN.  WARM
OVERRUNNING IN THE ERN PACIFIC 45-50N WILL SPREAD CLOUDS INTO
HARNEY COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT.  THE WARM FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES
EWD PAST OUR CWA WEDNESDAY.  UPPER RIDGE IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL
BUILD AS IT SHIFTS INLAND THROUGH OUR CWA THURSDAY BRINGING
SIGNIFICANT WARMING /ABOUT 10F DEGREES/ INTO ALL ZONES.  COLD
FRONT UPSTREAM WILL SPREAD CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS INTO WRN HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL
BE A BRIEF BREAK OVER THE EASTER WEEKEND WITH DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK...BUT THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY IS MORE UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....JT/WH



000
FXUS65 KBOI 160252
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
852 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...WIND ADVISORY ENDED AT 8 PM MDT. WILL ISSUE NEW
ZONES TO REMOVE HEADLINE. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS
AND MIXING IN INHIBITED. NEXT WEAK IMPULSE SET TO ENTER OUR SE
OREGON ZONES LATER TONIGHT SO WILL LEAVE LOW POPS IN PLACE THERE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. BROKEN-OVERCAST MID TO HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 15-25 KTS GUSTING 30 KTS
/MAINLY EAST OF MOUNTAIN HOME/ THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH AFTER 04Z.
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF BAKER COUNTY OREGON AND WEST
CENTRAL IDAHO ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ALOFT 45 KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT
10 KFT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...THROUGH 2 PM MDT WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
ADVISORY SPEEDS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY IN AND NEAR THERE.   ENERGETIC UPPER TROUGH WILL
EXIT EAST THIS EVENING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN.  WARM
OVERRUNNING IN THE ERN PACIFIC 45-50N WILL SPREAD CLOUDS INTO
HARNEY COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT.  THE WARM FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES
EWD PAST OUR CWA WEDNESDAY.  UPPER RIDGE IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL
BUILD AS IT SHIFTS INLAND THROUGH OUR CWA THURSDAY BRINGING
SIGNIFICANT WARMING /ABOUT 10F DEGREES/ INTO ALL ZONES.  COLD
FRONT UPSTREAM WILL SPREAD CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS INTO WRN HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL
BE A BRIEF BREAK OVER THE EASTER WEEKEND WITH DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK...BUT THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY IS MORE UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....JT/WH



000
FXUS65 KBOI 160252
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
852 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...WIND ADVISORY ENDED AT 8 PM MDT. WILL ISSUE NEW
ZONES TO REMOVE HEADLINE. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS
AND MIXING IN INHIBITED. NEXT WEAK IMPULSE SET TO ENTER OUR SE
OREGON ZONES LATER TONIGHT SO WILL LEAVE LOW POPS IN PLACE THERE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. BROKEN-OVERCAST MID TO HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 15-25 KTS GUSTING 30 KTS
/MAINLY EAST OF MOUNTAIN HOME/ THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH AFTER 04Z.
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF BAKER COUNTY OREGON AND WEST
CENTRAL IDAHO ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ALOFT 45 KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT
10 KFT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...THROUGH 2 PM MDT WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
ADVISORY SPEEDS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY IN AND NEAR THERE.   ENERGETIC UPPER TROUGH WILL
EXIT EAST THIS EVENING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN.  WARM
OVERRUNNING IN THE ERN PACIFIC 45-50N WILL SPREAD CLOUDS INTO
HARNEY COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT.  THE WARM FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES
EWD PAST OUR CWA WEDNESDAY.  UPPER RIDGE IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL
BUILD AS IT SHIFTS INLAND THROUGH OUR CWA THURSDAY BRINGING
SIGNIFICANT WARMING /ABOUT 10F DEGREES/ INTO ALL ZONES.  COLD
FRONT UPSTREAM WILL SPREAD CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS INTO WRN HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL
BE A BRIEF BREAK OVER THE EASTER WEEKEND WITH DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK...BUT THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY IS MORE UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....JT/WH



000
FXUS65 KBOI 152052
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
252 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH 2 PM MDT WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
ADVISORY SPEEDS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY IN AND NEAR THERE.   ENERGETIC UPPER TROUGH WILL
EXIT EAST THIS EVENING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN.  WARM
OVERRUNNING IN THE ERN PACIFIC 45-50N WILL SPREAD CLOUDS INTO
HARNEY COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT.  THE WARM FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES
EWD PAST OUR CWA WEDNESDAY.  UPPER RIDGE IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL
BUILD AS IT SHIFTS INLAND THROUGH OUR CWA THURSDAY BRINGING
SIGNIFICANT WARMING /ABOUT 10F DEGREES/ INTO ALL ZONES.  COLD
FRONT UPSTREAM WILL SPREAD CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS INTO WRN HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL
BE A BRIEF BREAK OVER THE EASTER WEEKEND WITH DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK...BUT THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY IS MORE UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE.

&&

.AVIATION...WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 20-30 KTS GUSTING 35-40
KTS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 02Z. EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH THE
SNAKE RIVER VALLEY FROM KEUL TO KTWF AND KJER. OTHERWISE VFR
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF BAKER COUNTY OREGON AND WEST CENTRAL
IDAHO ON WEDNESDAY COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOCAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....JT/WH
AVIATION.....JT



000
FXUS65 KBOI 152052
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
252 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH 2 PM MDT WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
ADVISORY SPEEDS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
THE ADVISORY IN AND NEAR THERE.   ENERGETIC UPPER TROUGH WILL
EXIT EAST THIS EVENING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN.  WARM
OVERRUNNING IN THE ERN PACIFIC 45-50N WILL SPREAD CLOUDS INTO
HARNEY COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT.  THE WARM FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES
EWD PAST OUR CWA WEDNESDAY.  UPPER RIDGE IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL
BUILD AS IT SHIFTS INLAND THROUGH OUR CWA THURSDAY BRINGING
SIGNIFICANT WARMING /ABOUT 10F DEGREES/ INTO ALL ZONES.  COLD
FRONT UPSTREAM WILL SPREAD CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS INTO WRN HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES LATE THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WILL BRING SHOWERS FRIDAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL
BE A BRIEF BREAK OVER THE EASTER WEEKEND WITH DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK...BUT THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY IS MORE UNCERTAIN AS MODELS DIVERGE.

&&

.AVIATION...WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 20-30 KTS GUSTING 35-40
KTS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 02Z. EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH THE
SNAKE RIVER VALLEY FROM KEUL TO KTWF AND KJER. OTHERWISE VFR
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF BAKER COUNTY OREGON AND WEST CENTRAL
IDAHO ON WEDNESDAY COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOCAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....JT/WH
AVIATION.....JT



  [top]

000
FXUS65 KPIH 152000
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
200 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WERE SWEEPING THROUGH THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON WITH ATTENDING WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. ADVISORY LEVEL
WINDS LOOK TO DIMINISH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. TROUGH SWEEPS EAST OF
THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AS A SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE NW COAST
WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY DECENT AMOUNT OF PAC
MOISTURE WILL SPILL OVER THE RIDGE INTO THE NRN ROCKIES PROVIDING AT
LEAST A CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE THREAT OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE CNTRL AND
NE MOUNTAINS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE RIDGE SHIFTS INLAND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/THURSDAY AS THE NEXT PAC TROUGH ADVANCES INTO THE NW COAST
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THUS HAVE NUDGED THE FORECAST DRIER. BY LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...THE PAC TROUGH ADVANCES INLAND WITH ATTENDING
PRECIPITATION SPREADING INTO THE CNTRL MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS THE
SNAKE RIVER PLAIN BY NOON. THE GFS IS A BIT SLOWER AND DRIER WHEN
COMPARED TO THE NAM ON THIS SYSTEM AND HAVE THUS SPLIT THE
DIFFERENCE IN THE SOLUTIONS RESULTING IN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE GFS IS
PAINTING A FLATTER/WEAKER LOOKING TROUGH PASSAGE WHEREAS THE NAM IS
SHOWING A FAIRLY AMPLIFIED/SHARP TROUGH. I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF
THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY IF THE
NAM SCENARIO PANS OUT. HUSTON

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT AN EXITING SYSTEM
ACROSS THE UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT.
MODELS BRING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. THE GFS MODEL DOES BRING MOISTURE INTO OUR AREA MAINLY
ACROSS OUR VERY SOUTHERN AREAS FOR THE WEEKEND. THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR
AFTERNOON ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  BY MONDAY BOTH MODELS MOVE THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE EAST BRINGING A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE AREA. EXPECT
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. TUESDAY...THE ECMWF MODEL BRINGS A MOIST SYSTEM
MAINLY THROUGH OUR NORTHERN AREAS WHILE THE GFS MODEL MOVES THIS
SYSTEM MAINLY SOUTH OF OUR AREA KEEPING US RELATIVELY DRY. EXPECT
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD PARTICULARLY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. WYATT
&&

.AVIATION...A COLD FRONT HAS JUST MOVED THROUGH ALL TAF SITES THIS
AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING
PARTICULARLY FOR THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY. TAF
SITES WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD THOUGH SOME BLOWING DUST IS
EXPECTED PARTICULARLY FOR KPIH AND KIDA.  LOOK FOR SHOWERS OVER THE
UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS MAINLY ALONG THE WYOMING
BORDER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WYATT
&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR IDZ017-020>022.
&&

$$











000
FXUS65 KBOI 151521
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
921 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...LATEST MAV AND MET GUIDANCE STILL SUPPORT WIND
ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN SRN ZONES IN IDAHO.
ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN ERN VALLEY COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
OTHERWISE DRY.  WE HAVE KEPT MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGS BELOW MAV
GUIDANCE...CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS.  NEXT CHANCE OF
PCPN WILL COME LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING WHEN A PACIFIC
SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMES INLAND.  THAT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARM
UPPER RIDGE...SUNDAY THE WARMEST DAY.  CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD
SHAPE...NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. WINDY EAST OF KMUO THROUGH THIS EVENING. SURFACE
WINDS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 KTS EXCEPT 25-30 KTS WITH GUSTS
35-40 KTS EAST OF KMUO DIMINISHING AFTER 02Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE MVFR
CONDITIONS AT KMYL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING A COOL AND BREEZY DAY TO SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BOISE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS START RAMPING
UP BY LATE MORNING ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AS
NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT LINE UP WELL WITH THE VALLEY. WIND ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR AREAS FROM MTN
HOME EAST AND SOUTH AS A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AND SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM
WINDS ALOFT. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL COUPLE WITH WEAK LIFT TO BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SE OREGON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH
WILL TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL ID MTNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
VALLEYS NEAR THE ID/OR BORDER COULD SEE A SPRINKLE BUT FOCUS OF
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WILL STAY IN THE MTNS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN THROUGH THE DAY.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS SEVERAL WEATHER SYSTEMS
MOVE THROUGH THE FLOW.  MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT TONIGHT BUT STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY THAT THEY WILL REMAIN IN AGREEMENT.  CURRENT TREND
OF THE MODELS HAS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE FORECAST AREA. SOME MODELS HAVE MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THIS
FLOW WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHERN ZONES. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW ON ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE WEST COAST
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS
OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY COULD BE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 50S AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...LC
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 151521
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
921 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...LATEST MAV AND MET GUIDANCE STILL SUPPORT WIND
ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN SRN ZONES IN IDAHO.
ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN ERN VALLEY COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
OTHERWISE DRY.  WE HAVE KEPT MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGS BELOW MAV
GUIDANCE...CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS.  NEXT CHANCE OF
PCPN WILL COME LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING WHEN A PACIFIC
SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMES INLAND.  THAT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARM
UPPER RIDGE...SUNDAY THE WARMEST DAY.  CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD
SHAPE...NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. WINDY EAST OF KMUO THROUGH THIS EVENING. SURFACE
WINDS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 KTS EXCEPT 25-30 KTS WITH GUSTS
35-40 KTS EAST OF KMUO DIMINISHING AFTER 02Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE MVFR
CONDITIONS AT KMYL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING A COOL AND BREEZY DAY TO SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BOISE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS START RAMPING
UP BY LATE MORNING ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AS
NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT LINE UP WELL WITH THE VALLEY. WIND ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR AREAS FROM MTN
HOME EAST AND SOUTH AS A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AND SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM
WINDS ALOFT. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL COUPLE WITH WEAK LIFT TO BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SE OREGON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH
WILL TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL ID MTNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
VALLEYS NEAR THE ID/OR BORDER COULD SEE A SPRINKLE BUT FOCUS OF
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WILL STAY IN THE MTNS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN THROUGH THE DAY.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS SEVERAL WEATHER SYSTEMS
MOVE THROUGH THE FLOW.  MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT TONIGHT BUT STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY THAT THEY WILL REMAIN IN AGREEMENT.  CURRENT TREND
OF THE MODELS HAS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE FORECAST AREA. SOME MODELS HAVE MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THIS
FLOW WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHERN ZONES. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW ON ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE WEST COAST
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS
OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY COULD BE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 50S AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...LC
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 151521
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
921 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...LATEST MAV AND MET GUIDANCE STILL SUPPORT WIND
ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN SRN ZONES IN IDAHO.
ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN ERN VALLEY COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
OTHERWISE DRY.  WE HAVE KEPT MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGS BELOW MAV
GUIDANCE...CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS.  NEXT CHANCE OF
PCPN WILL COME LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING WHEN A PACIFIC
SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMES INLAND.  THAT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARM
UPPER RIDGE...SUNDAY THE WARMEST DAY.  CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD
SHAPE...NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. WINDY EAST OF KMUO THROUGH THIS EVENING. SURFACE
WINDS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 KTS EXCEPT 25-30 KTS WITH GUSTS
35-40 KTS EAST OF KMUO DIMINISHING AFTER 02Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE MVFR
CONDITIONS AT KMYL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING A COOL AND BREEZY DAY TO SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BOISE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS START RAMPING
UP BY LATE MORNING ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AS
NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT LINE UP WELL WITH THE VALLEY. WIND ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR AREAS FROM MTN
HOME EAST AND SOUTH AS A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AND SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM
WINDS ALOFT. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL COUPLE WITH WEAK LIFT TO BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SE OREGON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH
WILL TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL ID MTNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
VALLEYS NEAR THE ID/OR BORDER COULD SEE A SPRINKLE BUT FOCUS OF
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WILL STAY IN THE MTNS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN THROUGH THE DAY.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS SEVERAL WEATHER SYSTEMS
MOVE THROUGH THE FLOW.  MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT TONIGHT BUT STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY THAT THEY WILL REMAIN IN AGREEMENT.  CURRENT TREND
OF THE MODELS HAS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE FORECAST AREA. SOME MODELS HAVE MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THIS
FLOW WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHERN ZONES. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW ON ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE WEST COAST
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS
OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY COULD BE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 50S AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...LC
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 151521
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
921 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...LATEST MAV AND MET GUIDANCE STILL SUPPORT WIND
ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN SRN ZONES IN IDAHO.
ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN ERN VALLEY COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
OTHERWISE DRY.  WE HAVE KEPT MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGS BELOW MAV
GUIDANCE...CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS.  NEXT CHANCE OF
PCPN WILL COME LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING WHEN A PACIFIC
SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMES INLAND.  THAT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARM
UPPER RIDGE...SUNDAY THE WARMEST DAY.  CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD
SHAPE...NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. WINDY EAST OF KMUO THROUGH THIS EVENING. SURFACE
WINDS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 KTS EXCEPT 25-30 KTS WITH GUSTS
35-40 KTS EAST OF KMUO DIMINISHING AFTER 02Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE MVFR
CONDITIONS AT KMYL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING A COOL AND BREEZY DAY TO SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BOISE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS START RAMPING
UP BY LATE MORNING ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AS
NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT LINE UP WELL WITH THE VALLEY. WIND ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR AREAS FROM MTN
HOME EAST AND SOUTH AS A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AND SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM
WINDS ALOFT. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL COUPLE WITH WEAK LIFT TO BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SE OREGON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH
WILL TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL ID MTNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
VALLEYS NEAR THE ID/OR BORDER COULD SEE A SPRINKLE BUT FOCUS OF
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WILL STAY IN THE MTNS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN THROUGH THE DAY.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS SEVERAL WEATHER SYSTEMS
MOVE THROUGH THE FLOW.  MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT TONIGHT BUT STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY THAT THEY WILL REMAIN IN AGREEMENT.  CURRENT TREND
OF THE MODELS HAS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE FORECAST AREA. SOME MODELS HAVE MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THIS
FLOW WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHERN ZONES. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW ON ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE WEST COAST
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS
OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY COULD BE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 50S AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...LC
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 150919
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
319 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING A COOL AND BREEZY DAY TO SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BOISE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS START RAMPING
UP BY LATE MORNING ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AS
NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT LINE UP WELL WITH THE VALLEY. WIND ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR AREAS FROM MTN
HOME EAST AND SOUTH AS A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AND SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM
WINDS ALOFT. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL COUPLE WITH WEAK LIFT TO BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SE OREGON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH
WILL TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL ID MTNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
VALLEYS NEAR THE ID/OR BORDER COULD SEE A SPRINKLE BUT FOCUS OF
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WILL STAY IN THE MTNS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN THROUGH THE DAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS SEVERAL IN A SERIES OF
WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVES THROUGH THE FLOW.  MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT
TONIGHT BUT STILL SOME FORECASTER UNCERTAINTY THAT THEY WILL REMAIN
IN AGREEMENT.  CURRENT TREND OF THE MODELS HAS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST AREA. SOME MODELS HAVE
MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THIS FLOW WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
OVER NORTHERN ZONES. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON ANY CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE
NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEING TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
MOVING OVER THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT WITH
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEEKEND HIGH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY
COULD BE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE
LOWER VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 50S AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR.  SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH OVERCAST
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.  SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS AT KMYL.
SURFACE WINDS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS OR LESS THIS
MORNING...BECOMING 10-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS AFTER
18Z...EXPECT IN THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY EAST OF KMUO WITH WESTERLY
WINDS OF 25-30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35-40 KNOTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 150919
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
319 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING A COOL AND BREEZY DAY TO SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BOISE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS START RAMPING
UP BY LATE MORNING ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AS
NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT LINE UP WELL WITH THE VALLEY. WIND ADVISORY
FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR AREAS FROM MTN
HOME EAST AND SOUTH AS A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AND SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM
WINDS ALOFT. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL COUPLE WITH WEAK LIFT TO BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SE OREGON WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH
WILL TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL ID MTNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
VALLEYS NEAR THE ID/OR BORDER COULD SEE A SPRINKLE BUT FOCUS OF
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WILL STAY IN THE MTNS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN THROUGH THE DAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGRESSIVE WEATHER
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS SEVERAL IN A SERIES OF
WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVES THROUGH THE FLOW.  MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT
TONIGHT BUT STILL SOME FORECASTER UNCERTAINTY THAT THEY WILL REMAIN
IN AGREEMENT.  CURRENT TREND OF THE MODELS HAS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST AREA. SOME MODELS HAVE
MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THIS FLOW WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
OVER NORTHERN ZONES. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON ANY CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE
NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEING TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
MOVING OVER THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT WITH
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEEKEND HIGH TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY
COULD BE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S IN THE
LOWER VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 50S AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR.  SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH OVERCAST
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.  SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS AT KMYL.
SURFACE WINDS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS OR LESS THIS
MORNING...BECOMING 10-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS AFTER
18Z...EXPECT IN THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY EAST OF KMUO WITH WESTERLY
WINDS OF 25-30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35-40 KNOTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA



000
FXUS65 KPIH 150908
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
308 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A STORM SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. WE ARE ALREADY
SEEING CLOUD COVER OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN SYSTEM THIS MORNING.
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WE WILL SHOWERS AND EVEN A LONE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP OVER MAINLY THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS
AS THE MAIN PART OF THE SYSTEM AND THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH.N
SNOW LEVELS WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 5500 AND 7000FT BUT ANY
RAIN/SNOWFALL WILL BE LIGHT. THE BIGGER IMPACT WILL LIKELY COME
FROM STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING DUST/SAND. WE ARE ALREADY SEEING
GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SNAKE PLAIN AND ALSO EMPTYING
OUT OF THE SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS. STRONGER SOUTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY
MORE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL OVERTAKE EASTERN IDAHO THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOST
OF THE SNAKE PLAIN...MAGIC VALLEY AND INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME STRONG WINDS IN THE CARIBOU
HIGHLANDS IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT TO AREAS EAST OF I-15 AND ALSO
EMPTYING OUT OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INTO THE ARCO DESERT/INL
AREA. WE DECIDED TO LEAVE THOSE AREAS OUT OF THE WIND ADVISORY FOR
TODAY DUE TO THE SMALL AREA BEING AFFECTED. HOWEVER...WE DID
EXPAND THE WIND ADVISORY ALREADY OUT THERE TO INCLUDE THE UPPER
PLAIN. WINDS OVERALL MAY BE A TAD LIGHTER BUT WILL BE ENOUGH OF AN
ISSUE AS WELL AS BLOWING DUST AND SAND NORTH OF IDAHO FALLS TO
REXBURG TOWARD THE SAND DUNES. WINDS SHOULD DIE DOWN QUICKLY BUT
REMAIN BREEZY AFTER SUNSET.

THE PATTERN QUICKLY TRANSITIONS TO NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY AND WE
SHOULD SEE A BRIEF RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILD ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...WITH SOME INCREASE IN COVERAGE TOMORROW
FOR THE MOUNTAINS ESPECIALLY TOWARD ISLAND PARK AND CHALLIS. SNOW
LEVELS WILL BE DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS TONIGHT...REBOUNDING TO
5500-6000FT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WE WILL GRADUALLY SWITCH TO HIGH
PRESSURE FOR THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH EXPECT SOME CLOUDS A FEW SHOWERS
STILL CLOSER TO ISLAND PARK MOST LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER TOMORROW BEHIND THE FRONT BUT WARM BACK UP INTO THE 60S FOR
MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS FOR THURSDAY.  KEYES


.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT
THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE TROUGH. LOOKS LIKE DRY
WEATHER WILL HANG AROUND FOR THE WEEKEND AND PERHAPS INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. MODELS SLOWING DOWN THE ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. TEMPS LOOK
TO BE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

VALLE

&&

.AVIATION...A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. EXPECT GUSTY
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE REGION TODAY. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH SO MOST OF THE SHOWERS WILL REMAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
HIGHLANDS. VFR CONDITIONS FORECASTED AT ALL TAF SITES TODAY.

VALLE

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
IDZ017-020>022.

&&

$$








000
FXUS65 KBOI 150315
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
915 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPDATING SKY COVER TO BE MORE CLOUDY THAN PREVIOUS
FORECAST. THERE IS A SHARP CLEARING LINE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
BEHIND IT THAT APPEARS TO BE MOVING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL OREGON AT
THIS TIME. THIS LINE WILL PROVIDE BETTER VIEWING IN SE OREGON BY
MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME...IN BOISE BY 3 AM MDT...AND IN TWIN FALLS AND
JEROME BY 430 AM MDT. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PARAMETER UPDATED
THIS EVENING. THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SE PORTION OF THE CWA STILL
LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...POSSIBLE MVFR AT
KMYL CEILING AROUND 18-21Z TUES. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION AND ISOLATED
SHOWERS EAST OF KMYL IN CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT
AND VARIABLE...INCREASING AFTER 16Z TUES TO WESTERLY-NORTHWESTERLY
15-25KT WITH GUSTS TO 40KT EAST OF KMUO. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FEET
MSL...W 25-35KT BECOMING NW 25-35KT BY 00Z WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...CLEAR AND VERY DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH.  HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MAY DIM OR BLOCK THE VIEW OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE
LATE TONIGHT.  IDAHO VIEWERS SHOULD FARE BETTER THAN OREGON VIEWERS
AS THE CLOUDS WILL REACH OREGON ZONES FIRST.  ENERGETIC SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL RACE IN EARLY TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NRN
ZONES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ALL ZONES...AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY WINDY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO.  A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES LISTED BELOW.  WINDS WILL DIE
DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH COOL TEMPS
AND LIGHTER WINDS UNDER NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...AS THE NEXT PACIFIC
UPPER RIDGE COMES IN..

LONG TERM...WARMER THURSDAY UNDER THE NEXT UPPER RIDGE.  THE
FOLLOWING PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH FOR SHOWERS IN ALL
ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AMOUNTS UP TO 1/3
INCH IN NRN ZONES AND .10 INCH IN SRN ZONES.  AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE NEXT PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND.  NEXT SUNDAY MAY
BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.  MONDAY WILL STILL BE WARM
UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHING THE COAST.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION.....KA
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....LC



000
FXUS65 KBOI 150315
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
915 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPDATING SKY COVER TO BE MORE CLOUDY THAN PREVIOUS
FORECAST. THERE IS A SHARP CLEARING LINE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
BEHIND IT THAT APPEARS TO BE MOVING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL OREGON AT
THIS TIME. THIS LINE WILL PROVIDE BETTER VIEWING IN SE OREGON BY
MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME...IN BOISE BY 3 AM MDT...AND IN TWIN FALLS AND
JEROME BY 430 AM MDT. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PARAMETER UPDATED
THIS EVENING. THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SE PORTION OF THE CWA STILL
LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...POSSIBLE MVFR AT
KMYL CEILING AROUND 18-21Z TUES. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION AND ISOLATED
SHOWERS EAST OF KMYL IN CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT
AND VARIABLE...INCREASING AFTER 16Z TUES TO WESTERLY-NORTHWESTERLY
15-25KT WITH GUSTS TO 40KT EAST OF KMUO. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FEET
MSL...W 25-35KT BECOMING NW 25-35KT BY 00Z WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...CLEAR AND VERY DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH.  HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MAY DIM OR BLOCK THE VIEW OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE
LATE TONIGHT.  IDAHO VIEWERS SHOULD FARE BETTER THAN OREGON VIEWERS
AS THE CLOUDS WILL REACH OREGON ZONES FIRST.  ENERGETIC SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL RACE IN EARLY TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NRN
ZONES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ALL ZONES...AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY WINDY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO.  A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES LISTED BELOW.  WINDS WILL DIE
DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH COOL TEMPS
AND LIGHTER WINDS UNDER NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...AS THE NEXT PACIFIC
UPPER RIDGE COMES IN..

LONG TERM...WARMER THURSDAY UNDER THE NEXT UPPER RIDGE.  THE
FOLLOWING PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH FOR SHOWERS IN ALL
ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AMOUNTS UP TO 1/3
INCH IN NRN ZONES AND .10 INCH IN SRN ZONES.  AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE NEXT PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND.  NEXT SUNDAY MAY
BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.  MONDAY WILL STILL BE WARM
UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHING THE COAST.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ013>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION.....KA
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....LC




000
FXUS65 KBOI 142110
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
253 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...CLEAR AND VERY DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH.  HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MAY DIM OR BLOCK THE VIEW OF THE LUNAR EXLIPSE
LATE TONIGHT.  IDAHO VIEWERS SHOULD FARE BETTER THAN OREGON VIEWERS
AS THE CLOUDS WILL REACH OREGON ZONES FIRST.  ENERGETIC SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL RACE IN EARLY TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NRN
ZONES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ALL ZONES...AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY WINDY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO.  A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES LISTED BELOW.  WINDS WILL DIE
DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH COOL TEMPS
AND LIGHTER WINDS UNDER NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...AS THE NEXT PACIFIC
UPPER RIDGE COMES IN..

.LONG TERM...WARMER THURSDAY UNDER THE NEXT UPPER RIDGE.  THE
FOLLOWING PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH FOR SHOWERS IN ALL
ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AMOUNTS UP TO 1/3
INCH IN NRN ZONES AND .10 INCH IN SRN ZONES.  AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE NEXT PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND.  NEXT SUNDAY MAY
BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.  MONDAY WILL STILL BE WARM
UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF NEXT PAFICIC TROUGH APPROACHING
THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. CLEAR SKIES UNTIL 00Z THEN CIRRIFORM OVERNIGHT.
COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AREAS OF MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION AFTER 12Z TUESDAY.  SUSTAINED POST-FRONTAL WLY OR NWLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30G40 KNOTS IN THE SNAKE BASIN LATER
TUESDAY....20G30 KTS ELSEWHERE.  WINDS ALOFT WESTERLY 15 KTS UNTIL
12Z TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 25-30 KTS AFTER 12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ014>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....LC
AVIATION.....LC



000
FXUS65 KBOI 142110
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
253 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...CLEAR AND VERY DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH.  HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MAY DIM OR BLOCK THE VIEW OF THE LUNAR EXLIPSE
LATE TONIGHT.  IDAHO VIEWERS SHOULD FARE BETTER THAN OREGON VIEWERS
AS THE CLOUDS WILL REACH OREGON ZONES FIRST.  ENERGETIC SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL RACE IN EARLY TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NRN
ZONES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ALL ZONES...AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY WINDY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO.  A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES LISTED BELOW.  WINDS WILL DIE
DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH COOL TEMPS
AND LIGHTER WINDS UNDER NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...AS THE NEXT PACIFIC
UPPER RIDGE COMES IN..

.LONG TERM...WARMER THURSDAY UNDER THE NEXT UPPER RIDGE.  THE
FOLLOWING PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH FOR SHOWERS IN ALL
ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AMOUNTS UP TO 1/3
INCH IN NRN ZONES AND .10 INCH IN SRN ZONES.  AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE NEXT PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND.  NEXT SUNDAY MAY
BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.  MONDAY WILL STILL BE WARM
UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF NEXT PAFICIC TROUGH APPROACHING
THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. CLEAR SKIES UNTIL 00Z THEN CIRRIFORM OVERNIGHT.
COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AREAS OF MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION AFTER 12Z TUESDAY.  SUSTAINED POST-FRONTAL WLY OR NWLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30G40 KNOTS IN THE SNAKE BASIN LATER
TUESDAY....20G30 KTS ELSEWHERE.  WINDS ALOFT WESTERLY 15 KTS UNTIL
12Z TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 25-30 KTS AFTER 12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ014>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....LC
AVIATION.....LC




000
FXUS65 KBOI 142053
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
253 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...CLEAR AND VERY DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH.  HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MAY DIM OR BLOCK THE VIEW OF THE LUNAR EXLIPSE
LATE TONIGHT.  IDAHO VIEWERS SHOULD FARE BETTER THAN OREGON VIEWERS
AS THE CLOUDS WILL REACH OREGON ZONES FIRST.  ENERGETIC SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL RACE IN EARLY TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NRN
ZONES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ALL ZONES...AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY WINDY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO.  A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES LISTED BELOW.  WINDS WILL DIE
DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL MOSTLY CLEAR COOL TEMPS AND
LIGHTER WINDS UNDER NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...AS THE NEXT PACIFIC
UPPER RIDGE COMES IN..

.LONG TERM...WARMER THURSDAY UNDER THE NEXT UPPER RIDGE.  THE
FOLLOWING PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH FOR SHOWERS IN ALL
ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AMOUNTS UP TO 1/3
INCH IN NRN ZONES AND .10 INCH IN SRN ZONES.  AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE NEXT PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND.  NEXT SUNDAY MAY
BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.  MONDAY WILL STILL BE WARM
UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF NEXT PAFICIC TROUGH APPROACHING
THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. CLEAR SKIES UNTIL 00Z THEN CIRRIFORM OVERNIGHT.
COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AREAS OF MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION AFTER 12Z TUESDAY.  SUSTAINED POST-FRONTAL WLY OR NWLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30G40 KNOTS IN THE SNAKE BASIN LATER
TUESDAY....20G30 KTS ELSEWHERE.  WINDS ALOFT WESTERLY 15 KTS UNTIL
12Z TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 25-30 KTS AFTER 12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ014>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....LC
AVIATION.....LC




000
FXUS65 KBOI 142053
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
253 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...CLEAR AND VERY DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH.  HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MAY DIM OR BLOCK THE VIEW OF THE LUNAR EXLIPSE
LATE TONIGHT.  IDAHO VIEWERS SHOULD FARE BETTER THAN OREGON VIEWERS
AS THE CLOUDS WILL REACH OREGON ZONES FIRST.  ENERGETIC SHORT WAVE
TROUGH WILL RACE IN EARLY TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NRN
ZONES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ALL ZONES...AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE VERY WINDY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO.  A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES LISTED BELOW.  WINDS WILL DIE
DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL MOSTLY CLEAR COOL TEMPS AND
LIGHTER WINDS UNDER NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...AS THE NEXT PACIFIC
UPPER RIDGE COMES IN..

.LONG TERM...WARMER THURSDAY UNDER THE NEXT UPPER RIDGE.  THE
FOLLOWING PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH FOR SHOWERS IN ALL
ZONES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AMOUNTS UP TO 1/3
INCH IN NRN ZONES AND .10 INCH IN SRN ZONES.  AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE NEXT PACIFIC RIDGE WILL BEGIN A WARMING TREND.  NEXT SUNDAY MAY
BE THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.  MONDAY WILL STILL BE WARM
UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF NEXT PAFICIC TROUGH APPROACHING
THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. CLEAR SKIES UNTIL 00Z THEN CIRRIFORM OVERNIGHT.
COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AREAS OF MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION AFTER 12Z TUESDAY.  SUSTAINED POST-FRONTAL WLY OR NWLY
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30G40 KNOTS IN THE SNAKE BASIN LATER
TUESDAY....20G30 KTS ELSEWHERE.  WINDS ALOFT WESTERLY 15 KTS UNTIL
12Z TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 25-30 KTS AFTER 12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ014>016-030.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....LC
AVIATION.....LC



000
FXUS65 KPIH 141934
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
133 PM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATING CONDITIONS TODAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS DOMINATING THROUGH ALL OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO. AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH WITH A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT WINDY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT IN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN...EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY AND
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY AFTER 1 PM
TOMORROW FOR THOSE LOCATIONS. EXPECT SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MAINLY
IN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS WITH SNOW LEVELS
DROPPING TO AROUND 5 THOUSAND FEET BY SUNSET. A WEAK SHORT WAVE IN
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS GOING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD
IN THURSDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SHOULD HAVE NEAR
SEASONAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WITH WELL BELOW NORMAL
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. AFTER WINDY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
GK

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
MODELS A BIT OUT OF SORTS WITH TIMING IN A FAIRLY SWIFT AND DYNAMIC
PATTERN. THAT SAID...UPPER RIDGING GIVES WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS
THURSDAY NIGHT WITH APPROACH OF NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH. SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE CWA FRIDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND SOME RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. PROGRESSIVE PATTERN BRINGS
RIDGING BACK FOR THE WEEKEND BEFORE THE NEXT UPSTREAM SYSTEM
APPROACHES MONDAY.

DITTMANN

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT. APPROACHING TROUGH
BRINGS SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN WINDS TUESDAY WITH G30KT LIKELY OVER
KPIH...KIDA... AND KBYI BY 151800Z.

DITTMANN

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY IDZ017-021-022.

&&

$$








000
FXUS65 KBOI 141519
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
919 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...INCOMING UPPER RIDGE BRINGING CLEAR SKIES AND DRY
AIR TO OUR AREA TODAY.  THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN THIS EVENING AS
IT IS OVERTAKEN BY A FASTER INCOMING SHORT WAVE TROUGH.  THE
TROUGH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY TO NRN ZONES AND
SOME CLOUDINESS TO SRN ZONES ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPS AND INCREASING
POST-FRONTAL WEST WINDS TUESDAY.  WINDS WILL APPROACH ADVISORY
SPEEDS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT WE WILL
HOLD BACK ON ISSUING AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.  NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL COME FRIDAY AS A STRONGER PACIFIC SHORT WAVE TROUGH
COMES INLAND.  CURRENT POPS FOR THAT DAY LOOK LOW...WILL ADJUST
PER NEW 12Z MODEL DATA FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR MASS.  SURFACE WINDS
SOUTHEAST GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  WINDS AT 10K FEET MSL
FROM THE NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS BECOMING WEST 15 KTS BY 00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR ANOTHER DAY. MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY DUE TO A WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
RIDGING ALOFT. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. BY 06Z /START OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE/ A
HIGH CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE COVERING THE SKY FOR MOST OF SE OREGON
AND SW IDAHO...THOUGH THE THICKNESS OF THE HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS A
WILD CARD. A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT TRACK THROUGH SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT/S A FAIRLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXCEPT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MTNS WHICH WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 5000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS OPEN
VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TODAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST WHILE A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.  DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS SHORT LIVED
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  MODELS AGREE WITH THE TROUGH MOVEMENT OVER
THE REGION BUT STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES ON STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW.  WITH THE LATEST MODEL TREND WILL
SEE AT LEAST CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES...BUT IF THE TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENT
FORECAST COULD SEE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES.  THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY BUT THIS RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE
WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.  SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER ALL ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AS THE RIDGE EXITS TO
THE EAST AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...LC
AVIATION.....LC
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....JA



000
FXUS65 KBOI 141519
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
919 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...INCOMING UPPER RIDGE BRINGING CLEAR SKIES AND DRY
AIR TO OUR AREA TODAY.  THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN THIS EVENING AS
IT IS OVERTAKEN BY A FASTER INCOMING SHORT WAVE TROUGH.  THE
TROUGH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY TO NRN ZONES AND
SOME CLOUDINESS TO SRN ZONES ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPS AND INCREASING
POST-FRONTAL WEST WINDS TUESDAY.  WINDS WILL APPROACH ADVISORY
SPEEDS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT WE WILL
HOLD BACK ON ISSUING AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.  NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL COME FRIDAY AS A STRONGER PACIFIC SHORT WAVE TROUGH
COMES INLAND.  CURRENT POPS FOR THAT DAY LOOK LOW...WILL ADJUST
PER NEW 12Z MODEL DATA FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR MASS.  SURFACE WINDS
SOUTHEAST GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  WINDS AT 10K FEET MSL
FROM THE NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS BECOMING WEST 15 KTS BY 00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR ANOTHER DAY. MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY DUE TO A WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
RIDGING ALOFT. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. BY 06Z /START OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE/ A
HIGH CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE COVERING THE SKY FOR MOST OF SE OREGON
AND SW IDAHO...THOUGH THE THICKNESS OF THE HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS A
WILD CARD. A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT TRACK THROUGH SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT/S A FAIRLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXCEPT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MTNS WHICH WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 5000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS OPEN
VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TODAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST WHILE A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.  DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS SHORT LIVED
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  MODELS AGREE WITH THE TROUGH MOVEMENT OVER
THE REGION BUT STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES ON STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW.  WITH THE LATEST MODEL TREND WILL
SEE AT LEAST CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES...BUT IF THE TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENT
FORECAST COULD SEE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES.  THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY BUT THIS RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE
WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.  SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER ALL ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AS THE RIDGE EXITS TO
THE EAST AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...LC
AVIATION.....LC
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 140934
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
334 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR ANOTHER DAY. MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY DUE TO A WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
RIDGING ALOFT. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. BY 06Z /START OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE/ A
HIGH CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE COVERING THE SKY FOR MOST OF SE OREGON
AND SW IDAHO...THOUGH THE THICKNESS OF THE HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS A
WILD CARD. A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT TRACK THROUGH SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT/S A FAIRLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXCEPT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MTNS WHICH WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 5000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS OPEN
VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TODAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST WHILE A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.  DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS SHORT LIVED
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  MODELS AGREE WITH THE TROUGH MOVEMENT OVER
THE REGION BUT STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES ON STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW.  WITH THE LATEST MODEL TREND WILL
SEE AT LEAST CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES...BUT IF THE TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENT
FORECAST COULD SEE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES.  THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY BUT THIS RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE
WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.  SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER ALL ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AS THE RIDGE EXITS TO
THE EAST AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER CLEAR SKIES.  SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 20 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 140934
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
334 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR ANOTHER DAY. MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY DUE TO A WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
RIDGING ALOFT. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. BY 06Z /START OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE/ A
HIGH CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE COVERING THE SKY FOR MOST OF SE OREGON
AND SW IDAHO...THOUGH THE THICKNESS OF THE HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS A
WILD CARD. A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT TRACK THROUGH SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT/S A FAIRLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXCEPT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MTNS WHICH WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 5000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS OPEN
VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TODAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST WHILE A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.  DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS SHORT LIVED
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  MODELS AGREE WITH THE TROUGH MOVEMENT OVER
THE REGION BUT STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES ON STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW.  WITH THE LATEST MODEL TREND WILL
SEE AT LEAST CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES...BUT IF THE TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENT
FORECAST COULD SEE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES.  THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY BUT THIS RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE
WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.  SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER ALL ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AS THE RIDGE EXITS TO
THE EAST AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER CLEAR SKIES.  SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 20 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 140934
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
334 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR ANOTHER DAY. MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY DUE TO A WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
RIDGING ALOFT. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. BY 06Z /START OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE/ A
HIGH CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE COVERING THE SKY FOR MOST OF SE OREGON
AND SW IDAHO...THOUGH THE THICKNESS OF THE HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS A
WILD CARD. A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT TRACK THROUGH SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT/S A FAIRLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXCEPT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MTNS WHICH WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 5000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS OPEN
VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TODAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST WHILE A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.  DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS SHORT LIVED
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  MODELS AGREE WITH THE TROUGH MOVEMENT OVER
THE REGION BUT STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES ON STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW.  WITH THE LATEST MODEL TREND WILL
SEE AT LEAST CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES...BUT IF THE TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENT
FORECAST COULD SEE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES.  THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY BUT THIS RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE
WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.  SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER ALL ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AS THE RIDGE EXITS TO
THE EAST AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER CLEAR SKIES.  SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 20 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 140934
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
334 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS FOR ANOTHER DAY. MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY DUE TO A WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
RIDGING ALOFT. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. BY 06Z /START OF THE LUNAR ECLIPSE/ A
HIGH CLOUD SHIELD WILL BE COVERING THE SKY FOR MOST OF SE OREGON
AND SW IDAHO...THOUGH THE THICKNESS OF THE HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS A
WILD CARD. A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT TRACK THROUGH SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT/S A FAIRLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXCEPT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MTNS WHICH WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 5000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS OPEN
VALLEYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER
THAN TODAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST WHILE A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.  DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE AXIS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS SHORT LIVED
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  MODELS AGREE WITH THE TROUGH MOVEMENT OVER
THE REGION BUT STILL CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES ON STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW.  WITH THE LATEST MODEL TREND WILL
SEE AT LEAST CHANCE POPS OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTHERN ZONES...BUT IF THE TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENT
FORECAST COULD SEE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES.  THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY BUT THIS RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE
WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.  SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER ALL ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AS THE RIDGE EXITS TO
THE EAST AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER CLEAR SKIES.  SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 20 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA




000
FXUS65 KPIH 140853
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
253 AM MDT MON APR 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH
TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THE RIDGE BEGINS TO FLATTEN OUT AS IT MOVES THE
STATE. THERE WILL BE A SLOW INCREASE IN HIGHER CLOUDS AS
WELL...WHICH MAY PROVE TO BE A POTENTIAL ISSUE FOR THOSE VIEWING
THE LUNAR ECLIPSE. IT SHOULDN`T BE A TOTAL BUST AT THIS POINT
THOUGH. DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE...IT WILL BE A COLD ONE FOR A
WHILE THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE DRY AIR WILL ALLOW FOR A DECENT
REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON. WE WILL BE RUNNING RIGHT
AROUND NORMAL FOR MID APRIL AND 5-10 DEGREES WARMER THAN SUNDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A RETURN TO ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS
EASTERN IDAHO. A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS OUR AREA TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS DURING THE DAY. WE WILL ALSO SEE SHOWERS AND
POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MOUNTAINS. WE MAY SEE A BIT OF ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTH
AND EVEN WITH THE FRONT...BUT THE POTENTIAL IN THOSE AREAS WILL BE
PRETTY LIMITED. THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE THE WINDS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SNAKE PLAIN...MAGIC VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. THE UPPER PLAIN APPEARS TO MISS OUT
ON THE STRONGEST WINDS FOR THE MOST PART. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF STRONGER WINDS WITH THE FRONT BUT OTHER THAN
THAT...IMPACTS RELATED TO WIND WILL BE PRETTY LOW THERE INCLUDING
BLOWING DUST. WE ARE LOOKING A LIKELY LOW-END WIND ADVISORY EVENT
FOR THOSE AREAS LISTED ABOVE. IF IT`S LIKE PREVIOUS
EVENTS...BLOWING DUST MAY END UP BEING MORE LOCALIZED AND NOT MUCH
OF AN IMPACT OVERALL. THAT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED THOUGH. AS
THE STORM PASSES...IT APPEARS THAT A CONVERGENCE EVENT WILL DROP
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SNAKE PLAIN IN ADDITION TO A BAND ACROSS THE
EASTERN HIGHLANDS TOMORROW NIGHT. THE CONVERGENCE BAND SHOULDN`T
MAKE ANY FARTHER SOUTHWEST THAN A CRATERS TO POCATELLO LINE.
OVERALL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...WITH SNOW LEVELS
DROPPING TO 4500-5300 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE TAIL END
OF A STORM ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS SWINGS SOUTH INTO
MONTANA...THIS WILL HELP KEEP SHOWERS GOING AREAWIDE ON WEDNESDAY
WITH HIGHER CHANCES CLOSER TO THE MONTANA BORDER AND DIVIDE AREAS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER ACROSS THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS TOMORROW...AND ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS DUE TO THE FRONT ARRIVING LATER IN THE DAY. BY
WEDNESDAY...WE WILL BE RUNNING 5 DEGREES OR SO BELOW NORMAL AND
3-8 DEGREES COOLER THAN TUESDAY.  KEYES

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH JUST A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE EASTERN HIGHLANDS. TRANSITORY RIDGE WILL
BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. LOOKS LIKE A FEW ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT. DRY AND
WARM WEATHER RETURNS FOR SUNDAY AS A RIDGE SLIDES THROUGH THE AREA.
PERHAPS ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE AREA.

VALLE

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TODAY. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 15KTS
POSSIBLE IN THE SNAKE PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

VALLE

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$








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